A Benguela Niño developed in November 2010 and lasted for 5 months along the Angolan and Namibian... more A Benguela Niño developed in November 2010 and lasted for 5 months along the Angolan and Namibian coastlines. Maximum amplitude was reached in January 2011 with an interannual monthly Sea Surface Temperature anomaly larger than 4 °C at the Angola Benguela Front. It was the warmest event since 1995. Consistent with previous Benguela Niños, this event was generated by a relaxation of the trade winds in the western equatorial Atlantic, which triggered a strong equatorial Kelvin wave propagating eastward along the equator and then southward along the southwest African coast. In the equatorial band, the associated ocean sub-surface temperature anomaly clearly shows up in data from the PIRATA mooring array. The dynamical signature is also detected by altimetry derived Sea Surface Height and is well reproduced by an Ocean Linear Model. In contrast to previous Benguela Niños, the initial propagation of sub-surface temperature anomalies along the equator started in October and the associated warming in the Angolan Benguela Front Zone followed on as early as November 2010. The warming was then advected further south in the Northern Benguela upwelling system as far as 25°S by an anomalously strong poleward sub-surface current. Demise of the event was triggered by stronger than normal easterly winds along the Equator in April and May 2011 leading to above normal shoaling of the thermocline along the Equator and the southwest African coastline off Angola and an associated abnormal equatorward current at the Angola Benguela Front in April and May 2011.
The link between equatorial Atlantic Ocean variability and the coastal region of Angola-Namibia i... more The link between equatorial Atlantic Ocean variability and the coastal region of Angola-Namibia is investigated at interannual time scales from 1998 to 2012. An index of equatorial Kelvin wave activity is defined based on Prediction and Research Moored Array in the Tropical Atlantic (PIRATA). Along the equator, results show a significant correlation between interannual PIRATA monthly dynamic height anomalies, altimetric monthly Sea Surface Height Anomalies (SSHA), and SSHA calculated with an Ocean Linear Model. This allows us to interpret PIRATA records in terms of equatorial Kelvin waves. Estimated phase speed of eastward propagations from PIRATA equatorial mooring remains in agreement with the linear theory, emphasizing the dominance of the second baroclinic mode. Systematic analysis of all strong interannual equatorial SSHA shows that they precede by 1–2 months extreme interannual Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies along the African coast, which confirms the hypothesis that major warm and cold events in the Angola-Benguela current system are remotely forced by ocean atmosphere interactions in the equatorial Atlantic. Equatorial wave dynamics is at the origin of their developments. Wind anomalies in the Western Equatorial Atlantic force equatorial downwelling and upwelling Kelvin waves that propagate eastward along the equator and then poleward along the African coast triggering extreme warm and cold events, respectively. A proxy index based on linear ocean dynamics appears to be significantly more correlated with coastal variability than an index based on wind variability. Results show a seasonal phasing, with significantly higher correlations between our equatorial index and coastal SSTA in October–April season.
The near-shore surface mesoscale atmospheric circulation in the upwelling systems off Peru and Ch... more The near-shore surface mesoscale atmospheric circulation in the upwelling systems off Peru and Chile is influential on the Sea Surface Temperature through Ekman transport and pumping. There has been a debate whether or not the so-called " wind drop-off " , that is a shoreward decrease of the surface wind speed near the coast, can act as an effective forcing of upwelling through Ekman pumping. Although the wind drop-off has been simulated by high-resolution atmospheric models, it has not been well documented due to uncertainties in the scatterometry-derived wind estimates associated with land contamination. Here we use the along-track altime-try-derived surface wind speed data from ENVISAT, Jason-1, Jason-2, and SARAL satellites, to document the spatial variability of the mean wind drop-off near the coast as estimated from the inversion of the radar backscattering coefficient. The data are first calibrated so as to fit with the scatterometer observations of previous and current satellite missions (QuikSCAT, ASCAT). The calibrated data are then analyzed near the coast and a wind drop-off scale is estimated. The results indicate that the wind drop-off takes place all along the coast, though with a significant alongshore variability in its magnitude. Differences between products are shown to be related both to the differences in repeat cycle between the different altimetry missions and to the peculiarities of the coastline shape at the coastal latitudes of the incident tracks. The relative contribution of Ekman pumping and Ekman transport to the total transport is also estimated indicating a comparable contribution off Chile while transport associated to Ekman pumping is on average ~1.4 larger than Ekman transport off Peru. Despite the aliasing effect associated with the weak repetitivity of the satellite orbit and the high frequency variability of the winds in this region, the analysis suggests that the seasonal cycle of the surface winds near the coast could be resolved at least off Peru.
The recurrent occurrences of interannual warm and cold events along the coast of Africa have been... more The recurrent occurrences of interannual warm and cold events along the coast of Africa have been intensively studied because of their striking effects on climate and fisheries. Using sensitivity experimentation based on a coupled physical/biogeochemical model, we show that the oceanic remote equatorial forcing explains more than 85% of coastal interannual nitrate and oxygen fluctuations along the Angolan and Namibian coasts up to the Benguela Upwelling System (BUS). These events, associated with poleward propagations of upwelling and downwelling Coastal Trapped Waves (CTW), are maximum in subsurface and controlled by physical advection processes. Surprisingly, an abrupt change in the CTW biogeochemical signature is observed in the BUS, associated with mixed vertical gradients due to the strong local upwelling dynamics. Coastal modifications of biogeochemical features result in significant primary production variations that may affect fisheries habitats and coastal biodiversity along the southwestern African coasts and in the BUS.
In this study, uncoupled and coupled ocean–atmosphere simulations are carried out for the Califor... more In this study, uncoupled and coupled ocean–atmosphere simulations are carried out for the California Upwelling System to assess the dynamic ocean–atmosphere interactions, namely, the ocean surface current feedback to the atmosphere. The authors show the current feedback, by modulating the energy transfer from the atmosphere to the ocean, controls the oceanic eddy kinetic energy (EKE). For the first time, it is demonstrated that the current feedback has an effect on the surface stress and a counteracting effect on the wind itself. The current feedback acts as an oceanic eddy killer, reducing by half the surface EKE, and by 27% the depth-integrated EKE. On one hand, it reduces the coastal generation of eddies by weakening the surface stress and hence the nearshore supply of positive wind work (i.e., the work done by the wind on the ocean). On the other hand, by inducing a surface stress curl opposite to the current vorticity, it deflects energy from the geostrophic current into the atmosphere and dampens eddies. The wind response counteracts the surface stress response. It partly reenergizes the ocean in the coastal region and decreases the offshore return of energy to the atmosphere. Eddy statistics confirm the current feedback dampens the eddies and reduces their lifetime, improving the realism of the simulation. Finally, the authors propose an additional energy element in the Lorenz diagram of energy conversion: namely, the current-induced transfer of energy from the ocean to the atmosphere at the eddy scale.
We investigate the respective roles of equatorial remote (Equatorial Kelvin Waves) and local atmo... more We investigate the respective roles of equatorial remote (Equatorial Kelvin Waves) and local atmospheric (wind, heat fluxes) forcing on coastal variability in the SouthEast Atlantic Ocean extending up to the Benguela Upwelling System (BUS) over the 2000–2008 period. We carried out a set of six numerical experiments based on a regional ocean model, that differ only by the prescribed forcing (climatological or total) at surface and lateral boundaries. Results show that at subseasonal timescales (<100 days), the coastal oceanic variability (currents, thermocline, and sea level) is mainly driven by local forcing, while at interan-nual timescales it is dominated by remote equatorial forcing. At interannual timescales (13–20 months), remotely forced Coastal-Trapped Waves (CTW) propagate poleward along the African southwest coast up to the northern part of the BUS at 248S, with phase speeds ranging from 0.8 to 1.1 m.s 21. We show that two triggering mechanisms limit the southward propagation of CTW: interannual variability of the equatorward Benguela Current prescribed at the model's southern boundary (308S) and variability of local atmospheric forcing that modulates the magnitude of observed coastal interannual events. When local wind stress forcing is in (out) of phase, the magnitude of the interannual event increases (decreases). Finally, dynamical processes associated with CTW propagations are further investigated using heat budget for two intense interannual events in 2001 and 2003. Results show that significant temperature anomalies (628C), that are mostly found in the subsurface, are primarily driven by alongshore and vertical advection processes.
Changes in the mean circulation of the equatorial Pacific Ocean partly control the strong decadal... more Changes in the mean circulation of the equatorial Pacific Ocean partly control the strong decadal modulation of El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This relationship is considered from the linear stability of a conceptual recharge/discharge model with parameters tuned from the observed mean state. Whereas decadal changes in the mean thermocline depth alone are usually considered in conceptual ENSO models, here focus is given to decadal changes in the mean stratification of the entire upper ocean (e.g., the mean thermocline depth, intensity, and thickness). Those stratification changes modify the projection of wind stress forcing momentum onto the gravest ocean baroclinic modes. Their influence on the simulated frequency and growth rate is comparable in intensity to the one of usual thermodynamic and atmospheric feedbacks, while they have here a secondary effect on the spatial structure and propagation of SST anomalies. This sensitivity is evidenced in particular for the climate shift of the 1970s in the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA) dataset, as well as in a preindustrial simulation of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) model showing stratification changes similar to the ones after 2000. Despite limitations of the linear stability approach, conclusions on the sensitivity to stratification may be extended to interpret the modulation and diversity of ENSO in observations and in general circulation models.
Simulating the oceanic circulation in Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS) is a challenging ... more Simulating the oceanic circulation in Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS) is a challenging issue due to the paucity of wind stress products of a sufficiently high spatial resolution to simulate the observed upwelling dynamics. In this study, we present the results of regional simulations of the Hum- boldt current system (Peru and Chile coasts) to assess the value of a statistical downscaling model of sur- face forcing. Twin experiments that differ only from the momentum flux forcing are carried out over the 1992–2000 period that encompasses the major 1997/98 El Niño/La Niña event. It is shown that the mean biases of the oceanic circulation can be drastically reduced simply substituting the mean wind field of NCEP reanalysis by a higher resolution mean product (QuikSCAT). The statistical downscaling model improves further the simulations allowing more realistic intraseasonal and interannual coastal undercur- rent variability, which is notoriously strong off Central Peru and Central Chile. Despite some limitations, our results suggest that the statistical approach may be useful to regional oceanic studies of present and future climates.
In this study, we document and interpret the characteristics of the Intra-Seasonal Kelvin wave(IS... more In this study, we document and interpret the characteristics of the Intra-Seasonal Kelvin wave(ISKw) in the Pacific over the 1989–2011 period, based on observations, a linear model, and the outputs of an Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM). We focus on the wave activity during the Central Pacific (CP) El Nino events contrasting with the extraordinary El Nino of 1997/1998. We find that the ISKw activity is enhanced in Austral summer (spring) in the central Pacific (west of 120°W) during CP El Nino events. The linear model experiment indicates that the Austral summer peak is wind-forced, while the Austral spring peak is not and consequently results from non linear processes. In addition, a strong dissipation of the ISKws is observed east of 120°W which cannot be accounted for by a linear model using a Rayleigh friction. A vertical and horizontal mode decomposition of the OGCM simulation further confirms the sharp changes in characteristics of the ISKws as well as the reflection of the latter into first-meridional Rossby wave at the longitude where the maximum zonal gradient of the thermocline is found (~120°W). Our analysis suggests that the confinement of CP El Nino warming in the central Pacific may result from the reinforcement of the zonal gradient in stratification associated with the La Nina-like conditions since the late of the 1990s, leading to scattering of the energy of the ISKws in the eastern Pacific.
We investigate the impact of sub-monthly rain fluctuations on the daily-to-interannual variations... more We investigate the impact of sub-monthly rain fluctuations on the daily-to-interannual variations of the salinity in the tropical Indian Ocean. A three-year record of daily observed precipitation and wind are used to force an Indian Ocean model in two experiments that differ only by their rain forcing, which is either daily- (Exp_day) or monthly- (Exp_month) averaged. Results show that submonthly precipitations significantly impact the Surface Layer Salinity (SLS) in the northern and eastern Bay of Bengal during the wet season from May to November. In September when the Bay reaches its SLS minimum, the Andaman Sea is saltier by as much as 1.3 psu for Exp_day. The frequency shift between the sub-monthly rain forcing and the yearly salinity response is due to accumulation in time of nonlinear mechanisms: sudden rain deficits increase the SLS by entraining salty waters from below, whereas rain excesses are inefficient to decrease the salinity of the thick surface layer.
We investigate the tropical Atlantic vertical structure variability (1981–2000) basedon the CLIPP... more We investigate the tropical Atlantic vertical structure variability (1981–2000) basedon the CLIPPER ocean general circulation model (OGCM). We aim at determining to what extent the observed interannual variability can be explained by the low-frequencywave dynamics. The linear vertical modes of the OGCM climatological stratification are estimated along the equator. The baroclinic mode contributions to surface zonal current and sea level anomalies are calculated and analyzed at interannual time-scales. The second baroclinic mode is the most energetic. The first (third) mode exhibits a variability peak in the west (east). The summed-up contribution of the high-order baroclinic modes (4–6) is as energetic as the gravest modes and is largest in the east. Wave components are then derived by projection onto the associated meridional structures. The effect of longitudinal boundaries near the equator is taken into consideration. Equatorial Kelvin and Rossby waves propagations, with phases speed close to the theory, are identified for the first three baroclinic modes. The comparison with a multimode linear simulation corroborates the propagating properties of the OGCM waves coefficients. An estimationof the meridional boundary reflection efficiency indicates that wave reflections take place at both boundaries. A 65% reflection efficiency is found at the eastern boundary. Our study suggests that low-frequency wave dynamics is to a large extent at work in the tropical Atlantic. On the basis of what is known on the Pacific El Nino-Southern Oscillation mode this may provide a guidance for investigating ocean-atmosphere mechanisms that can lead to the Atlantic zonal equatorial mode.
The Sea Surface Temperature (SST) intraseasonal variability (40–90 days) along the coast of Peru ... more The Sea Surface Temperature (SST) intraseasonal variability (40–90 days) along the coast of Peru is commonly attributed to the efficient oceanic connection with the equatorial variability. Here we investigate the respective roles of local and remote equatorial forcing on the intraseasonal SST variability off central Peru (8°S–16°S) during the 2000–2008 period, based on the experimentation with a regional ocean model. We conduct model experiments with different open lateral boundary conditions and/or sur- face atmospheric forcing (i.e., climatological or not). Despite evidence of clear propagations of coastal trapped waves of equatorial origin and the comparable marked seasonal cycle in intraseasonal Kelvin wave activity and coastal SST variability (i.e., peak in Austral summer), this remote equatorial forcing only accounts for $20% of the intraseasonal SST regime, which instead is mainly forced by the local winds and heat fluxes. A heat budget analysis further reveals that during the Austral summer, despite the weak along-shore upwelling (downwelling) favorable wind stress anomalies, significant cool (warm) SST anomalies along the coast are to a large extent driven by Ekman-induced advection. This is shown to be due to the shallow mixed layer that increases the efficiency by which wind stress anomalies relates to SST through advection. Diabatic processes also contribute to the SST intraseasonal regime, which tends to shorten the lag between peak SST and wind stress anomalies compared to what is predicted from an advective mixed-layer model.
The freshest surface waters in the tropical Pacific are found at its eastern boundary.Using in si... more The freshest surface waters in the tropical Pacific are found at its eastern boundary.Using in situ observations, we depict the quasi-permanent presence of a far eastern Pacificfresh pool with sea surface salinity (SSS) lower than 33, which is confined betweenPanama ’ s west coast and 85 W in December and extends westward to 95°W in April.Strong SSS fronts are found at the outer edge of this fresh pool. We investigate the seasonal dynamics of the fresh pool using complementary satellite wind, rain, sea level and in situ oceanic current data at the surface, along with hydrographic profiles. The fresh pool appears off Panama due to the strong summer rains associated with the northward migration of the ITCZ over Central America in June. During the second half of the year,the eastward-flowing North Equatorial Counter-Current keeps it trapped to the coast and strengthens the SSS front on its western edge. During winter, as the ITCZ moves southward, the northeasterly Panama gap wind creates a south-westward jet-like current in its path with a dipole of Ekman pumping/eddies on its flanks. As a result, upwelling in the Panama Bight brings to the surface cold and salty waters which erode the fresh pool on its eastern side while both the jet current and the enhanced South Equatorial Current stretch the fresh pool westward until it nearly disappears in May. New SMOS satellite SSS data proves able to capture the main seasonal features of the fresh pool and monitor its spatial extent.
The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and QuikSC... more The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and QuikSCAT wind stress satellite data are used to investigate the intraseasonal upwelling variability along the coat of Peru over the period 2000–2008.Two regions of peak variance correspond to the central Peru region (Pisco region, 15°S)and the northern Peru region (Piura region, 5°S). A covariance analysis reveals a significant coherency between winds and SST anomalies off Pisco, consistent with Ekman pumping and transport dynamics. The upwelling cell consists in a meridionally extended fringe of colder (warmer) water extending as far as 250 km from the coast at 15°S. In the Piura region, the intraseasonal covariability pattern is represented by two modes, one relevant to the direct Ekman dynamics and the other one associated with the remote forcing of intraseasonal oceanic Kelvin wave. Two regimes of variability are evidenced. A low-period regime (10–25 days) is the signature of Ekman transport/pumping dynamics and is remotely forced by the migratory atmospheric disturbances across the southeastern Pacific anticyclone. A high‐period regime (35–60 day band) is associated with the combined forcing of oceanic equatorial Kelvin waves and migratory atmospheric disturbances in the mid-latitudes. In particular,the modes of covariability exhibit a prominent ∼50 day period energy peak. It is shown that this period arises from the impact of the first two baroclinic modes Kelvin wave, with the second baroclinic mode Kelvin wave being more influential on the Piura region.
An Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM) of the tropical Pacific in which combined TOPEX/Poseido... more An Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM) of the tropical Pacific in which combined TOPEX/Poseidon and ERS sea level anomalies are assimilated over January 1994 through July 1999, is used to investigate equatorial wave characteristics during the intense1997–1999ElNino-La Nina event. Near the equator, the linear vertical modes are estimated at each grid point of the OGCM simulation with and without assimilation. Consistently with an increase of the vertical gradient within the thermocline and a rise of the thermocline depth in the eastern basin, the assimilation results in an increased contribution of the higher-order baroclinic modes in the eastern basin and a decreased contribution of the first baroclinic mode in the western Pacific for the zonal current variability. For pressure, the first baroclinic mode contribution is reduced whereas the higher-order modes contribution is weakly impacted. Kelvin and first-meridional Rossby waves are then derived for the first two more energetic baroclinic modes in the simulation with assimilation. Kelvin waves of both modes constructively contribute to the strong warming observed in 1997, with the first (second) baroclinic mode being more energetic than the second (first) baroclinic mode inthe early (mature) stage of the warming. Kelvin waves of both modes reflect as first meridional Rossby waves at the eastern boundary (reflection efficiency of 95%) and contribute to push back the warm pool westward. The reversal of the warming is apparently initiated by the second baroclinic mode contribution which controls the position of the 28°C isotherm in the surface layer in the far eastern Pacific from January 1998. At the western boundary, reflections of Rossby waves take place for both modes with an estimated total efficiency of ~50% at 165°E. This suggests that, in our model, the delayed oscillator theory is not applicable for explaining the reversal from warm to cold conditions in 1998 while the zonal advective feedback was at work.More generally, the study suggests that it is necessary to take into account the vertical structure of the ocean when interpreting altimetric data, which can be done through an assimilation experiment.
Intraseasonal equatorial Kelvin wave activity (IEKW) at a low frequency in the Pacific is investi... more Intraseasonal equatorial Kelvin wave activity (IEKW) at a low frequency in the Pacific is investigated using the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA) oceanic reanalyses. A vertical and horizontal mode decomposition of SODA variability allows estimation of the Kelvin wave amplitude according to the most energetic baroclinic modes. A wave number–frequency analysis is then performed on the time series to derive indices of modulation of the IEKW at various frequency bands. The results indicate that the IEKW activity undergoes a significant modulation that projects onto baroclinic modes and is not related in a straightforward manner to the low-frequency climate variability in the Pacific. Linear model experiments corroborate that part of the modulation of the IEKW is tightly linked to change in oceanic mean state rather than to the low-frequency change of atmospheric equatorial variability.
The relative roles played by the remote El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forcing and the loca... more The relative roles played by the remote El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forcing and the local air–sea interactions in the tropical Atlantic are investigated using an intermediate coupled model (ICM) of the tropical Atlantic. The oceanic component of the ICM consists of a six-baroclinic mode ocean model and a simple mixed layer model that has been validated from observations. The atmospheric component is a global atmospheric general circulation model developed at the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). In a forced context, the ICM realistically simulates both the Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly (SSTA) variability in the equatorial band, and the relaxation of the Atlantic northeast trade winds and the intensification of the equatorial westerlies in boreal spring that usually follows an El Niño event.The results of coupled experiments with or without Pacific ENSO forcing and with or without explicit air–sea interactions in the equatorial Atlantic indicate that the background energy in the equatorial Atlantic is provided by ENSO. However, the time scale of the variability and the magnitude of some peculiar events cannot be explained solely by ENSO remote forcing. It is demonstrated that the peak of SSTA variability in the 1–3-yr band as observed in the equatorial Atlantic is due to the local air–sea interactions and is not a linear response to ENSO. Seasonal phase locking in boreal summer is also the result of the local coupling.The analysis of the intrinsic sustainable modes indicates that the Atlantic El Niño is qualitatively a noise-driven stable system. Such a system can produce coherent interdecadal variability that is not forced by thePacific or extra-equatorial variability. It is shown that when a simple slab mixed layer model is embedded into the system to simulate the Northern Tropical Atlantic (NTA) SST variability, the warming over NTA following El Niño events have characteristics (location and peak phase) that depend on air–sea interaction in the equatorial Atlantic. In the model, the interaction between the equatorial mode and NTA can produce a dipole like structure of the SSTA variability that evolves at a decadal time scale. The results herein illustrate the complexity of the tropical Atlantic ocean–atmosphere system, whose predictability jointly depends on ENSO and the connections between the Atlantic modes of variability.
We investigate the interannual warm event that occurred in the equatorial Atlantic in boreal spri... more We investigate the interannual warm event that occurred in the equatorial Atlantic in boreal spring-summer 1996. The role of local coupled air-sea interactions versus Tropical Pacific remote forcing is analysed using observations and ensemble experiments of an intermediate coupled model of the Tropical Atlantic. Results show that the persistent anomalous cold conditions in the Tropical Pacific over 1995–96 were favorable to the growth of the local air-sea interactions that led to the 1996 warming in the equatorial Atlantic. Based on the estimation of the changes in the Walker circulation over the Pacific and Atlantic for the meteorological reanalyses and the coupled model, a mechanism of Pacific-Atlantic equatorial connection is proposed to explain this particular warm episode.
A Benguela Niño developed in November 2010 and lasted for 5 months along the Angolan and Namibian... more A Benguela Niño developed in November 2010 and lasted for 5 months along the Angolan and Namibian coastlines. Maximum amplitude was reached in January 2011 with an interannual monthly Sea Surface Temperature anomaly larger than 4 °C at the Angola Benguela Front. It was the warmest event since 1995. Consistent with previous Benguela Niños, this event was generated by a relaxation of the trade winds in the western equatorial Atlantic, which triggered a strong equatorial Kelvin wave propagating eastward along the equator and then southward along the southwest African coast. In the equatorial band, the associated ocean sub-surface temperature anomaly clearly shows up in data from the PIRATA mooring array. The dynamical signature is also detected by altimetry derived Sea Surface Height and is well reproduced by an Ocean Linear Model. In contrast to previous Benguela Niños, the initial propagation of sub-surface temperature anomalies along the equator started in October and the associated warming in the Angolan Benguela Front Zone followed on as early as November 2010. The warming was then advected further south in the Northern Benguela upwelling system as far as 25°S by an anomalously strong poleward sub-surface current. Demise of the event was triggered by stronger than normal easterly winds along the Equator in April and May 2011 leading to above normal shoaling of the thermocline along the Equator and the southwest African coastline off Angola and an associated abnormal equatorward current at the Angola Benguela Front in April and May 2011.
The link between equatorial Atlantic Ocean variability and the coastal region of Angola-Namibia i... more The link between equatorial Atlantic Ocean variability and the coastal region of Angola-Namibia is investigated at interannual time scales from 1998 to 2012. An index of equatorial Kelvin wave activity is defined based on Prediction and Research Moored Array in the Tropical Atlantic (PIRATA). Along the equator, results show a significant correlation between interannual PIRATA monthly dynamic height anomalies, altimetric monthly Sea Surface Height Anomalies (SSHA), and SSHA calculated with an Ocean Linear Model. This allows us to interpret PIRATA records in terms of equatorial Kelvin waves. Estimated phase speed of eastward propagations from PIRATA equatorial mooring remains in agreement with the linear theory, emphasizing the dominance of the second baroclinic mode. Systematic analysis of all strong interannual equatorial SSHA shows that they precede by 1–2 months extreme interannual Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies along the African coast, which confirms the hypothesis that major warm and cold events in the Angola-Benguela current system are remotely forced by ocean atmosphere interactions in the equatorial Atlantic. Equatorial wave dynamics is at the origin of their developments. Wind anomalies in the Western Equatorial Atlantic force equatorial downwelling and upwelling Kelvin waves that propagate eastward along the equator and then poleward along the African coast triggering extreme warm and cold events, respectively. A proxy index based on linear ocean dynamics appears to be significantly more correlated with coastal variability than an index based on wind variability. Results show a seasonal phasing, with significantly higher correlations between our equatorial index and coastal SSTA in October–April season.
The near-shore surface mesoscale atmospheric circulation in the upwelling systems off Peru and Ch... more The near-shore surface mesoscale atmospheric circulation in the upwelling systems off Peru and Chile is influential on the Sea Surface Temperature through Ekman transport and pumping. There has been a debate whether or not the so-called " wind drop-off " , that is a shoreward decrease of the surface wind speed near the coast, can act as an effective forcing of upwelling through Ekman pumping. Although the wind drop-off has been simulated by high-resolution atmospheric models, it has not been well documented due to uncertainties in the scatterometry-derived wind estimates associated with land contamination. Here we use the along-track altime-try-derived surface wind speed data from ENVISAT, Jason-1, Jason-2, and SARAL satellites, to document the spatial variability of the mean wind drop-off near the coast as estimated from the inversion of the radar backscattering coefficient. The data are first calibrated so as to fit with the scatterometer observations of previous and current satellite missions (QuikSCAT, ASCAT). The calibrated data are then analyzed near the coast and a wind drop-off scale is estimated. The results indicate that the wind drop-off takes place all along the coast, though with a significant alongshore variability in its magnitude. Differences between products are shown to be related both to the differences in repeat cycle between the different altimetry missions and to the peculiarities of the coastline shape at the coastal latitudes of the incident tracks. The relative contribution of Ekman pumping and Ekman transport to the total transport is also estimated indicating a comparable contribution off Chile while transport associated to Ekman pumping is on average ~1.4 larger than Ekman transport off Peru. Despite the aliasing effect associated with the weak repetitivity of the satellite orbit and the high frequency variability of the winds in this region, the analysis suggests that the seasonal cycle of the surface winds near the coast could be resolved at least off Peru.
The recurrent occurrences of interannual warm and cold events along the coast of Africa have been... more The recurrent occurrences of interannual warm and cold events along the coast of Africa have been intensively studied because of their striking effects on climate and fisheries. Using sensitivity experimentation based on a coupled physical/biogeochemical model, we show that the oceanic remote equatorial forcing explains more than 85% of coastal interannual nitrate and oxygen fluctuations along the Angolan and Namibian coasts up to the Benguela Upwelling System (BUS). These events, associated with poleward propagations of upwelling and downwelling Coastal Trapped Waves (CTW), are maximum in subsurface and controlled by physical advection processes. Surprisingly, an abrupt change in the CTW biogeochemical signature is observed in the BUS, associated with mixed vertical gradients due to the strong local upwelling dynamics. Coastal modifications of biogeochemical features result in significant primary production variations that may affect fisheries habitats and coastal biodiversity along the southwestern African coasts and in the BUS.
In this study, uncoupled and coupled ocean–atmosphere simulations are carried out for the Califor... more In this study, uncoupled and coupled ocean–atmosphere simulations are carried out for the California Upwelling System to assess the dynamic ocean–atmosphere interactions, namely, the ocean surface current feedback to the atmosphere. The authors show the current feedback, by modulating the energy transfer from the atmosphere to the ocean, controls the oceanic eddy kinetic energy (EKE). For the first time, it is demonstrated that the current feedback has an effect on the surface stress and a counteracting effect on the wind itself. The current feedback acts as an oceanic eddy killer, reducing by half the surface EKE, and by 27% the depth-integrated EKE. On one hand, it reduces the coastal generation of eddies by weakening the surface stress and hence the nearshore supply of positive wind work (i.e., the work done by the wind on the ocean). On the other hand, by inducing a surface stress curl opposite to the current vorticity, it deflects energy from the geostrophic current into the atmosphere and dampens eddies. The wind response counteracts the surface stress response. It partly reenergizes the ocean in the coastal region and decreases the offshore return of energy to the atmosphere. Eddy statistics confirm the current feedback dampens the eddies and reduces their lifetime, improving the realism of the simulation. Finally, the authors propose an additional energy element in the Lorenz diagram of energy conversion: namely, the current-induced transfer of energy from the ocean to the atmosphere at the eddy scale.
We investigate the respective roles of equatorial remote (Equatorial Kelvin Waves) and local atmo... more We investigate the respective roles of equatorial remote (Equatorial Kelvin Waves) and local atmospheric (wind, heat fluxes) forcing on coastal variability in the SouthEast Atlantic Ocean extending up to the Benguela Upwelling System (BUS) over the 2000–2008 period. We carried out a set of six numerical experiments based on a regional ocean model, that differ only by the prescribed forcing (climatological or total) at surface and lateral boundaries. Results show that at subseasonal timescales (<100 days), the coastal oceanic variability (currents, thermocline, and sea level) is mainly driven by local forcing, while at interan-nual timescales it is dominated by remote equatorial forcing. At interannual timescales (13–20 months), remotely forced Coastal-Trapped Waves (CTW) propagate poleward along the African southwest coast up to the northern part of the BUS at 248S, with phase speeds ranging from 0.8 to 1.1 m.s 21. We show that two triggering mechanisms limit the southward propagation of CTW: interannual variability of the equatorward Benguela Current prescribed at the model's southern boundary (308S) and variability of local atmospheric forcing that modulates the magnitude of observed coastal interannual events. When local wind stress forcing is in (out) of phase, the magnitude of the interannual event increases (decreases). Finally, dynamical processes associated with CTW propagations are further investigated using heat budget for two intense interannual events in 2001 and 2003. Results show that significant temperature anomalies (628C), that are mostly found in the subsurface, are primarily driven by alongshore and vertical advection processes.
Changes in the mean circulation of the equatorial Pacific Ocean partly control the strong decadal... more Changes in the mean circulation of the equatorial Pacific Ocean partly control the strong decadal modulation of El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This relationship is considered from the linear stability of a conceptual recharge/discharge model with parameters tuned from the observed mean state. Whereas decadal changes in the mean thermocline depth alone are usually considered in conceptual ENSO models, here focus is given to decadal changes in the mean stratification of the entire upper ocean (e.g., the mean thermocline depth, intensity, and thickness). Those stratification changes modify the projection of wind stress forcing momentum onto the gravest ocean baroclinic modes. Their influence on the simulated frequency and growth rate is comparable in intensity to the one of usual thermodynamic and atmospheric feedbacks, while they have here a secondary effect on the spatial structure and propagation of SST anomalies. This sensitivity is evidenced in particular for the climate shift of the 1970s in the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA) dataset, as well as in a preindustrial simulation of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) model showing stratification changes similar to the ones after 2000. Despite limitations of the linear stability approach, conclusions on the sensitivity to stratification may be extended to interpret the modulation and diversity of ENSO in observations and in general circulation models.
Simulating the oceanic circulation in Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS) is a challenging ... more Simulating the oceanic circulation in Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS) is a challenging issue due to the paucity of wind stress products of a sufficiently high spatial resolution to simulate the observed upwelling dynamics. In this study, we present the results of regional simulations of the Hum- boldt current system (Peru and Chile coasts) to assess the value of a statistical downscaling model of sur- face forcing. Twin experiments that differ only from the momentum flux forcing are carried out over the 1992–2000 period that encompasses the major 1997/98 El Niño/La Niña event. It is shown that the mean biases of the oceanic circulation can be drastically reduced simply substituting the mean wind field of NCEP reanalysis by a higher resolution mean product (QuikSCAT). The statistical downscaling model improves further the simulations allowing more realistic intraseasonal and interannual coastal undercur- rent variability, which is notoriously strong off Central Peru and Central Chile. Despite some limitations, our results suggest that the statistical approach may be useful to regional oceanic studies of present and future climates.
In this study, we document and interpret the characteristics of the Intra-Seasonal Kelvin wave(IS... more In this study, we document and interpret the characteristics of the Intra-Seasonal Kelvin wave(ISKw) in the Pacific over the 1989–2011 period, based on observations, a linear model, and the outputs of an Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM). We focus on the wave activity during the Central Pacific (CP) El Nino events contrasting with the extraordinary El Nino of 1997/1998. We find that the ISKw activity is enhanced in Austral summer (spring) in the central Pacific (west of 120°W) during CP El Nino events. The linear model experiment indicates that the Austral summer peak is wind-forced, while the Austral spring peak is not and consequently results from non linear processes. In addition, a strong dissipation of the ISKws is observed east of 120°W which cannot be accounted for by a linear model using a Rayleigh friction. A vertical and horizontal mode decomposition of the OGCM simulation further confirms the sharp changes in characteristics of the ISKws as well as the reflection of the latter into first-meridional Rossby wave at the longitude where the maximum zonal gradient of the thermocline is found (~120°W). Our analysis suggests that the confinement of CP El Nino warming in the central Pacific may result from the reinforcement of the zonal gradient in stratification associated with the La Nina-like conditions since the late of the 1990s, leading to scattering of the energy of the ISKws in the eastern Pacific.
We investigate the impact of sub-monthly rain fluctuations on the daily-to-interannual variations... more We investigate the impact of sub-monthly rain fluctuations on the daily-to-interannual variations of the salinity in the tropical Indian Ocean. A three-year record of daily observed precipitation and wind are used to force an Indian Ocean model in two experiments that differ only by their rain forcing, which is either daily- (Exp_day) or monthly- (Exp_month) averaged. Results show that submonthly precipitations significantly impact the Surface Layer Salinity (SLS) in the northern and eastern Bay of Bengal during the wet season from May to November. In September when the Bay reaches its SLS minimum, the Andaman Sea is saltier by as much as 1.3 psu for Exp_day. The frequency shift between the sub-monthly rain forcing and the yearly salinity response is due to accumulation in time of nonlinear mechanisms: sudden rain deficits increase the SLS by entraining salty waters from below, whereas rain excesses are inefficient to decrease the salinity of the thick surface layer.
We investigate the tropical Atlantic vertical structure variability (1981–2000) basedon the CLIPP... more We investigate the tropical Atlantic vertical structure variability (1981–2000) basedon the CLIPPER ocean general circulation model (OGCM). We aim at determining to what extent the observed interannual variability can be explained by the low-frequencywave dynamics. The linear vertical modes of the OGCM climatological stratification are estimated along the equator. The baroclinic mode contributions to surface zonal current and sea level anomalies are calculated and analyzed at interannual time-scales. The second baroclinic mode is the most energetic. The first (third) mode exhibits a variability peak in the west (east). The summed-up contribution of the high-order baroclinic modes (4–6) is as energetic as the gravest modes and is largest in the east. Wave components are then derived by projection onto the associated meridional structures. The effect of longitudinal boundaries near the equator is taken into consideration. Equatorial Kelvin and Rossby waves propagations, with phases speed close to the theory, are identified for the first three baroclinic modes. The comparison with a multimode linear simulation corroborates the propagating properties of the OGCM waves coefficients. An estimationof the meridional boundary reflection efficiency indicates that wave reflections take place at both boundaries. A 65% reflection efficiency is found at the eastern boundary. Our study suggests that low-frequency wave dynamics is to a large extent at work in the tropical Atlantic. On the basis of what is known on the Pacific El Nino-Southern Oscillation mode this may provide a guidance for investigating ocean-atmosphere mechanisms that can lead to the Atlantic zonal equatorial mode.
The Sea Surface Temperature (SST) intraseasonal variability (40–90 days) along the coast of Peru ... more The Sea Surface Temperature (SST) intraseasonal variability (40–90 days) along the coast of Peru is commonly attributed to the efficient oceanic connection with the equatorial variability. Here we investigate the respective roles of local and remote equatorial forcing on the intraseasonal SST variability off central Peru (8°S–16°S) during the 2000–2008 period, based on the experimentation with a regional ocean model. We conduct model experiments with different open lateral boundary conditions and/or sur- face atmospheric forcing (i.e., climatological or not). Despite evidence of clear propagations of coastal trapped waves of equatorial origin and the comparable marked seasonal cycle in intraseasonal Kelvin wave activity and coastal SST variability (i.e., peak in Austral summer), this remote equatorial forcing only accounts for $20% of the intraseasonal SST regime, which instead is mainly forced by the local winds and heat fluxes. A heat budget analysis further reveals that during the Austral summer, despite the weak along-shore upwelling (downwelling) favorable wind stress anomalies, significant cool (warm) SST anomalies along the coast are to a large extent driven by Ekman-induced advection. This is shown to be due to the shallow mixed layer that increases the efficiency by which wind stress anomalies relates to SST through advection. Diabatic processes also contribute to the SST intraseasonal regime, which tends to shorten the lag between peak SST and wind stress anomalies compared to what is predicted from an advective mixed-layer model.
The freshest surface waters in the tropical Pacific are found at its eastern boundary.Using in si... more The freshest surface waters in the tropical Pacific are found at its eastern boundary.Using in situ observations, we depict the quasi-permanent presence of a far eastern Pacificfresh pool with sea surface salinity (SSS) lower than 33, which is confined betweenPanama ’ s west coast and 85 W in December and extends westward to 95°W in April.Strong SSS fronts are found at the outer edge of this fresh pool. We investigate the seasonal dynamics of the fresh pool using complementary satellite wind, rain, sea level and in situ oceanic current data at the surface, along with hydrographic profiles. The fresh pool appears off Panama due to the strong summer rains associated with the northward migration of the ITCZ over Central America in June. During the second half of the year,the eastward-flowing North Equatorial Counter-Current keeps it trapped to the coast and strengthens the SSS front on its western edge. During winter, as the ITCZ moves southward, the northeasterly Panama gap wind creates a south-westward jet-like current in its path with a dipole of Ekman pumping/eddies on its flanks. As a result, upwelling in the Panama Bight brings to the surface cold and salty waters which erode the fresh pool on its eastern side while both the jet current and the enhanced South Equatorial Current stretch the fresh pool westward until it nearly disappears in May. New SMOS satellite SSS data proves able to capture the main seasonal features of the fresh pool and monitor its spatial extent.
The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and QuikSC... more The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and QuikSCAT wind stress satellite data are used to investigate the intraseasonal upwelling variability along the coat of Peru over the period 2000–2008.Two regions of peak variance correspond to the central Peru region (Pisco region, 15°S)and the northern Peru region (Piura region, 5°S). A covariance analysis reveals a significant coherency between winds and SST anomalies off Pisco, consistent with Ekman pumping and transport dynamics. The upwelling cell consists in a meridionally extended fringe of colder (warmer) water extending as far as 250 km from the coast at 15°S. In the Piura region, the intraseasonal covariability pattern is represented by two modes, one relevant to the direct Ekman dynamics and the other one associated with the remote forcing of intraseasonal oceanic Kelvin wave. Two regimes of variability are evidenced. A low-period regime (10–25 days) is the signature of Ekman transport/pumping dynamics and is remotely forced by the migratory atmospheric disturbances across the southeastern Pacific anticyclone. A high‐period regime (35–60 day band) is associated with the combined forcing of oceanic equatorial Kelvin waves and migratory atmospheric disturbances in the mid-latitudes. In particular,the modes of covariability exhibit a prominent ∼50 day period energy peak. It is shown that this period arises from the impact of the first two baroclinic modes Kelvin wave, with the second baroclinic mode Kelvin wave being more influential on the Piura region.
An Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM) of the tropical Pacific in which combined TOPEX/Poseido... more An Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM) of the tropical Pacific in which combined TOPEX/Poseidon and ERS sea level anomalies are assimilated over January 1994 through July 1999, is used to investigate equatorial wave characteristics during the intense1997–1999ElNino-La Nina event. Near the equator, the linear vertical modes are estimated at each grid point of the OGCM simulation with and without assimilation. Consistently with an increase of the vertical gradient within the thermocline and a rise of the thermocline depth in the eastern basin, the assimilation results in an increased contribution of the higher-order baroclinic modes in the eastern basin and a decreased contribution of the first baroclinic mode in the western Pacific for the zonal current variability. For pressure, the first baroclinic mode contribution is reduced whereas the higher-order modes contribution is weakly impacted. Kelvin and first-meridional Rossby waves are then derived for the first two more energetic baroclinic modes in the simulation with assimilation. Kelvin waves of both modes constructively contribute to the strong warming observed in 1997, with the first (second) baroclinic mode being more energetic than the second (first) baroclinic mode inthe early (mature) stage of the warming. Kelvin waves of both modes reflect as first meridional Rossby waves at the eastern boundary (reflection efficiency of 95%) and contribute to push back the warm pool westward. The reversal of the warming is apparently initiated by the second baroclinic mode contribution which controls the position of the 28°C isotherm in the surface layer in the far eastern Pacific from January 1998. At the western boundary, reflections of Rossby waves take place for both modes with an estimated total efficiency of ~50% at 165°E. This suggests that, in our model, the delayed oscillator theory is not applicable for explaining the reversal from warm to cold conditions in 1998 while the zonal advective feedback was at work.More generally, the study suggests that it is necessary to take into account the vertical structure of the ocean when interpreting altimetric data, which can be done through an assimilation experiment.
Intraseasonal equatorial Kelvin wave activity (IEKW) at a low frequency in the Pacific is investi... more Intraseasonal equatorial Kelvin wave activity (IEKW) at a low frequency in the Pacific is investigated using the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA) oceanic reanalyses. A vertical and horizontal mode decomposition of SODA variability allows estimation of the Kelvin wave amplitude according to the most energetic baroclinic modes. A wave number–frequency analysis is then performed on the time series to derive indices of modulation of the IEKW at various frequency bands. The results indicate that the IEKW activity undergoes a significant modulation that projects onto baroclinic modes and is not related in a straightforward manner to the low-frequency climate variability in the Pacific. Linear model experiments corroborate that part of the modulation of the IEKW is tightly linked to change in oceanic mean state rather than to the low-frequency change of atmospheric equatorial variability.
The relative roles played by the remote El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forcing and the loca... more The relative roles played by the remote El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forcing and the local air–sea interactions in the tropical Atlantic are investigated using an intermediate coupled model (ICM) of the tropical Atlantic. The oceanic component of the ICM consists of a six-baroclinic mode ocean model and a simple mixed layer model that has been validated from observations. The atmospheric component is a global atmospheric general circulation model developed at the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). In a forced context, the ICM realistically simulates both the Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly (SSTA) variability in the equatorial band, and the relaxation of the Atlantic northeast trade winds and the intensification of the equatorial westerlies in boreal spring that usually follows an El Niño event.The results of coupled experiments with or without Pacific ENSO forcing and with or without explicit air–sea interactions in the equatorial Atlantic indicate that the background energy in the equatorial Atlantic is provided by ENSO. However, the time scale of the variability and the magnitude of some peculiar events cannot be explained solely by ENSO remote forcing. It is demonstrated that the peak of SSTA variability in the 1–3-yr band as observed in the equatorial Atlantic is due to the local air–sea interactions and is not a linear response to ENSO. Seasonal phase locking in boreal summer is also the result of the local coupling.The analysis of the intrinsic sustainable modes indicates that the Atlantic El Niño is qualitatively a noise-driven stable system. Such a system can produce coherent interdecadal variability that is not forced by thePacific or extra-equatorial variability. It is shown that when a simple slab mixed layer model is embedded into the system to simulate the Northern Tropical Atlantic (NTA) SST variability, the warming over NTA following El Niño events have characteristics (location and peak phase) that depend on air–sea interaction in the equatorial Atlantic. In the model, the interaction between the equatorial mode and NTA can produce a dipole like structure of the SSTA variability that evolves at a decadal time scale. The results herein illustrate the complexity of the tropical Atlantic ocean–atmosphere system, whose predictability jointly depends on ENSO and the connections between the Atlantic modes of variability.
We investigate the interannual warm event that occurred in the equatorial Atlantic in boreal spri... more We investigate the interannual warm event that occurred in the equatorial Atlantic in boreal spring-summer 1996. The role of local coupled air-sea interactions versus Tropical Pacific remote forcing is analysed using observations and ensemble experiments of an intermediate coupled model of the Tropical Atlantic. Results show that the persistent anomalous cold conditions in the Tropical Pacific over 1995–96 were favorable to the growth of the local air-sea interactions that led to the 1996 warming in the equatorial Atlantic. Based on the estimation of the changes in the Walker circulation over the Pacific and Atlantic for the meteorological reanalyses and the coupled model, a mechanism of Pacific-Atlantic equatorial connection is proposed to explain this particular warm episode.
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Papers by Serena Illig
due to the paucity of wind stress products of a sufficiently high spatial resolution to simulate the
observed upwelling dynamics. In this study, we present the results of regional simulations of the Hum-
boldt current system (Peru and Chile coasts) to assess the value of a statistical downscaling model of sur-
face forcing. Twin experiments that differ only from the momentum flux forcing are carried out over the
1992–2000 period that encompasses the major 1997/98 El Niño/La Niña event. It is shown that the mean
biases of the oceanic circulation can be drastically reduced simply substituting the mean wind field of
NCEP reanalysis by a higher resolution mean product (QuikSCAT). The statistical downscaling model
improves further the simulations allowing more realistic intraseasonal and interannual coastal undercur-
rent variability, which is notoriously strong off Central Peru and Central Chile. Despite some limitations,
our results suggest that the statistical approach may be useful to regional oceanic studies of present and
future climates.
Layer Salinity (SLS) in the northern and eastern Bay of Bengal during the wet season from May to November. In September when the Bay reaches its SLS minimum, the Andaman Sea is saltier by as much as 1.3 psu for Exp_day. The frequency shift between the sub-monthly rain forcing and the yearly salinity response is due to accumulation in time of nonlinear mechanisms: sudden rain deficits increase the SLS by entraining salty waters from below, whereas rain excesses are inefficient to decrease the salinity of the thick surface layer.
face atmospheric forcing (i.e., climatological or not). Despite evidence of clear propagations of coastal trapped waves of equatorial origin and the comparable marked seasonal cycle in intraseasonal Kelvin wave
activity and coastal SST variability (i.e., peak in Austral summer), this remote equatorial forcing only accounts for $20% of the intraseasonal SST regime, which instead is mainly forced by the local winds and heat fluxes. A heat budget analysis further reveals that during the Austral summer, despite the weak along-shore upwelling (downwelling) favorable wind stress anomalies, significant cool (warm) SST anomalies along the coast are to a large extent driven by Ekman-induced advection. This is shown to be due to the shallow mixed layer that increases the efficiency by which wind stress anomalies relates to SST through advection. Diabatic processes also contribute to the SST intraseasonal regime, which tends to shorten the lag between peak SST and wind stress anomalies compared to what is predicted from an advective mixed-layer model.
’
s west coast and 85
W in December and extends westward to 95°W in April.Strong SSS fronts are found at the outer edge of this fresh pool. We investigate the seasonal dynamics of the fresh pool using complementary satellite wind, rain, sea level and in situ oceanic current data at the surface, along with hydrographic profiles. The fresh pool appears off Panama due to the strong summer rains associated with the northward migration of the ITCZ over Central America in June. During the second half of the year,the eastward-flowing North Equatorial Counter-Current keeps it trapped to the coast and strengthens the SSS front on its western edge. During winter, as the ITCZ moves southward, the northeasterly Panama gap wind creates a south-westward jet-like current in its path with a dipole of Ekman pumping/eddies on its flanks. As a result, upwelling in the Panama Bight brings to the surface cold and salty waters which erode the fresh pool on its eastern side while both the jet current and the enhanced South Equatorial Current stretch the fresh pool westward until it nearly disappears in May. New SMOS satellite SSS data proves able to capture the main seasonal features of the fresh pool and monitor its spatial extent.
interactions versus Tropical Pacific remote forcing is analysed using observations and ensemble experiments of an intermediate coupled model of the Tropical Atlantic. Results show that the persistent anomalous cold conditions in the Tropical Pacific over 1995–96 were favorable to the growth of the local air-sea interactions that led to the 1996 warming in the equatorial Atlantic. Based on the estimation of the changes in the Walker circulation over the Pacific and Atlantic for the meteorological reanalyses and the coupled model, a mechanism of Pacific-Atlantic equatorial connection is proposed to explain this particular warm episode.
due to the paucity of wind stress products of a sufficiently high spatial resolution to simulate the
observed upwelling dynamics. In this study, we present the results of regional simulations of the Hum-
boldt current system (Peru and Chile coasts) to assess the value of a statistical downscaling model of sur-
face forcing. Twin experiments that differ only from the momentum flux forcing are carried out over the
1992–2000 period that encompasses the major 1997/98 El Niño/La Niña event. It is shown that the mean
biases of the oceanic circulation can be drastically reduced simply substituting the mean wind field of
NCEP reanalysis by a higher resolution mean product (QuikSCAT). The statistical downscaling model
improves further the simulations allowing more realistic intraseasonal and interannual coastal undercur-
rent variability, which is notoriously strong off Central Peru and Central Chile. Despite some limitations,
our results suggest that the statistical approach may be useful to regional oceanic studies of present and
future climates.
Layer Salinity (SLS) in the northern and eastern Bay of Bengal during the wet season from May to November. In September when the Bay reaches its SLS minimum, the Andaman Sea is saltier by as much as 1.3 psu for Exp_day. The frequency shift between the sub-monthly rain forcing and the yearly salinity response is due to accumulation in time of nonlinear mechanisms: sudden rain deficits increase the SLS by entraining salty waters from below, whereas rain excesses are inefficient to decrease the salinity of the thick surface layer.
face atmospheric forcing (i.e., climatological or not). Despite evidence of clear propagations of coastal trapped waves of equatorial origin and the comparable marked seasonal cycle in intraseasonal Kelvin wave
activity and coastal SST variability (i.e., peak in Austral summer), this remote equatorial forcing only accounts for $20% of the intraseasonal SST regime, which instead is mainly forced by the local winds and heat fluxes. A heat budget analysis further reveals that during the Austral summer, despite the weak along-shore upwelling (downwelling) favorable wind stress anomalies, significant cool (warm) SST anomalies along the coast are to a large extent driven by Ekman-induced advection. This is shown to be due to the shallow mixed layer that increases the efficiency by which wind stress anomalies relates to SST through advection. Diabatic processes also contribute to the SST intraseasonal regime, which tends to shorten the lag between peak SST and wind stress anomalies compared to what is predicted from an advective mixed-layer model.
’
s west coast and 85
W in December and extends westward to 95°W in April.Strong SSS fronts are found at the outer edge of this fresh pool. We investigate the seasonal dynamics of the fresh pool using complementary satellite wind, rain, sea level and in situ oceanic current data at the surface, along with hydrographic profiles. The fresh pool appears off Panama due to the strong summer rains associated with the northward migration of the ITCZ over Central America in June. During the second half of the year,the eastward-flowing North Equatorial Counter-Current keeps it trapped to the coast and strengthens the SSS front on its western edge. During winter, as the ITCZ moves southward, the northeasterly Panama gap wind creates a south-westward jet-like current in its path with a dipole of Ekman pumping/eddies on its flanks. As a result, upwelling in the Panama Bight brings to the surface cold and salty waters which erode the fresh pool on its eastern side while both the jet current and the enhanced South Equatorial Current stretch the fresh pool westward until it nearly disappears in May. New SMOS satellite SSS data proves able to capture the main seasonal features of the fresh pool and monitor its spatial extent.
interactions versus Tropical Pacific remote forcing is analysed using observations and ensemble experiments of an intermediate coupled model of the Tropical Atlantic. Results show that the persistent anomalous cold conditions in the Tropical Pacific over 1995–96 were favorable to the growth of the local air-sea interactions that led to the 1996 warming in the equatorial Atlantic. Based on the estimation of the changes in the Walker circulation over the Pacific and Atlantic for the meteorological reanalyses and the coupled model, a mechanism of Pacific-Atlantic equatorial connection is proposed to explain this particular warm episode.