PurposeThe paper aims to review all the techniques for developing scenarios that have appeared in... more PurposeThe paper aims to review all the techniques for developing scenarios that have appeared in the literature, along with comments on their utility, strengths and weaknesses.Design/methodology/approachThe study was carried out through an electronic search using internet search engines and online databases and indexes.FindingsThe paper finds eight categories of techniques that include a total of 23 variations used to develop scenarios. There are descriptions and evaluations for each.Practical implicationsFuturists can use this list to broaden their repertoire of scenario techniques.Originality/valueScenario development is the stock‐in‐trade of futures studies, but no catalog of the techniques used has yet been published. This list is the start at developing a consensus list of techniques that can be refined as the field matures.
2007 40th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS'07), 2007
Building on state-of-the-art techniques for forecasting future developments in technology, busine... more Building on state-of-the-art techniques for forecasting future developments in technology, business, economics, and other areas of human endeavor, we describe a novel methodology for adaptive contingency planning at the strategic initiative level. Complementing normal ...
PurposeThe paper aims to review all the techniques for developing scenarios that have appeared in... more PurposeThe paper aims to review all the techniques for developing scenarios that have appeared in the literature, along with comments on their utility, strengths and weaknesses.Design/methodology/approachThe study was carried out through an electronic search using internet search engines and online databases and indexes.FindingsThe paper finds eight categories of techniques that include a total of 23 variations used to develop scenarios. There are descriptions and evaluations for each.Practical implicationsFuturists can use this list to broaden their repertoire of scenario techniques.Originality/valueScenario development is the stock‐in‐trade of futures studies, but no catalog of the techniques used has yet been published. This list is the start at developing a consensus list of techniques that can be refined as the field matures.
2007 40th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS'07), 2007
Building on state-of-the-art techniques for forecasting future developments in technology, busine... more Building on state-of-the-art techniques for forecasting future developments in technology, business, economics, and other areas of human endeavor, we describe a novel methodology for adaptive contingency planning at the strategic initiative level. Complementing normal ...
Uploads