JOHN LINANTUD
Dr. John Linantud started working at the University of Houston Downtown (UHD) in 2002. He is currently Professor and Coordinator of Political Science.
Dr. Linantud has published articles in Contemporary Southeast Asia, Geopolitics, International Journal of Heritage Studies, International Perspectives IQ, and International Social Science Review.
His teaching responsibilities include Federal Government; Texas Government; Introduction to World Politics; Dictatorship and Democracy in the Developing World; Dictatorship and Democracy in Europe, Russia, and the United States; East and Southeast Asia; Politics of the Americas; and Special Projects.
Dr. Linantud also assigns the immersive world politics simulation Statecraft on a regular basis.
Phone: 713-221-2774
Address: 1 Main Street N-1018
Houston, Texas 77002
Dr. Linantud has published articles in Contemporary Southeast Asia, Geopolitics, International Journal of Heritage Studies, International Perspectives IQ, and International Social Science Review.
His teaching responsibilities include Federal Government; Texas Government; Introduction to World Politics; Dictatorship and Democracy in the Developing World; Dictatorship and Democracy in Europe, Russia, and the United States; East and Southeast Asia; Politics of the Americas; and Special Projects.
Dr. Linantud also assigns the immersive world politics simulation Statecraft on a regular basis.
Phone: 713-221-2774
Address: 1 Main Street N-1018
Houston, Texas 77002
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Papers by JOHN LINANTUD
Based on Victor Corpus' Silent War (1989), this paper re-introduces strategic analysis and political geography to the study of nationalist-leftist insurgencies in the Philippines. National geography and changes in the geopolitics of Southeast Asia have, and will continue, to create the strategic context for guerilla wars and the rival end games of Manila and insurgents. In 1898-99 and 1941-45, for example, the geopolitical center of gravity passed over Central Luzon and led to the regime changes desired by insurgents. Since 1945, the geopolitical center of gravity has bypassed Luzon, an external development which has provided a tremendous advantage to counterinsurgents and made it easier for Manila to neutralize the Hukbalahap in the 1950s, and to contain the New People's Army to remote provinces since the 1960s. In the present day, the regional focus of geopolitics has shifted to China and the South China Sea. But an analysis of the current situation based on political geography indicates that China has little reason to invade Central Luzon, even in the event of war over disputed islands. Moreover, communist insurgent zones are not close enough to Manila to force the guerillas into the new strategic considerations of China, the United States, or the Philippines. These factors make it unlikely that China will intervene on behalf of the NPA in the near future.
Recommended Citation
Linantud, John (2015) "China, Rebalance, and the “Silent War”," International Social Science Review: Vol. 91: Iss. 2, Article 4.
Available at: http://digitalcommons.northgeorgia.edu/issr/vol91/iss2/4
Based on Victor Corpus' Silent War (1989), this paper re-introduces strategic analysis and political geography to the study of nationalist-leftist insurgencies in the Philippines. National geography and changes in the geopolitics of Southeast Asia have, and will continue, to create the strategic context for guerilla wars and the rival end games of Manila and insurgents. In 1898-99 and 1941-45, for example, the geopolitical center of gravity passed over Central Luzon and led to the regime changes desired by insurgents. Since 1945, the geopolitical center of gravity has bypassed Luzon, an external development which has provided a tremendous advantage to counterinsurgents and made it easier for Manila to neutralize the Hukbalahap in the 1950s, and to contain the New People's Army to remote provinces since the 1960s. In the present day, the regional focus of geopolitics has shifted to China and the South China Sea. But an analysis of the current situation based on political geography indicates that China has little reason to invade Central Luzon, even in the event of war over disputed islands. Moreover, communist insurgent zones are not close enough to Manila to force the guerillas into the new strategic considerations of China, the United States, or the Philippines. These factors make it unlikely that China will intervene on behalf of the NPA in the near future.
Recommended Citation
Linantud, John (2015) "China, Rebalance, and the “Silent War”," International Social Science Review: Vol. 91: Iss. 2, Article 4.
Available at: http://digitalcommons.northgeorgia.edu/issr/vol91/iss2/4