Peer-Reviewed Research Article
The Challenges of Economic
Cold-War Thinking for the
Belt and Road and Counter
Strategies
Shu Zhan*
Hao Ruiqi**
Prof. Dr.
School of Marxism, Fuzhou University
Expert
School of Marxism, Harbin Institute of Technology
*Shu Zhan is a member of the Academic Committee of Fuzhou University, the leader of the first-level
disciplines in the School of Marxism, and the director of the “Research Center for Xi Jinping's Socialism
Thought with Chinese Characteristics in the New Era” of the Fujian Provincial Social Science Research
Base of Fuzhou University. She is mainly engaged in research on international political economy
and Chinese Marxism. She has headed and completed more than ten projects of the National Social
Science Foundation of China, Humanities and Social Sciences Projects of the Ministry of Education,
and provincial and departmental projects. She has published more than 90 articles in Marxist Studies
and Contemporary Economic Studies, and most of his articles have been reprinted by the Journal of
the Social Science Information Center of Renmin University of China.
E-mail: shuzhan915@163.com.
ORCID: 0009-0005-4477-6585
**Hao Ruiqi is a PhD student at the School of Marxism, Harbin Institute of Technology. He specializes
in Marxism Theory.
E-mail: 906826113@qq.com.
ORCID: 0009-0001-0419-7651
Received: 10.1.2024
Accepted: 1.5.2024
How to cite: Shu, Z., Hao, R. (2024). The Challenges of Economic Cold-War Thinking for the Belt
and Road and Counter Strategies. BRIQ Belt and Road Initiative Quarterly, 5(3), 310-335.
Shu Zhan & Hao Ruiqi - The Challenges of Economic Cold-War Thinking for the Belt and Road and Counter Strategies
ABSTRACT
Since its inception, the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has achieved fruitful results, but it has also
been challenged by economic cold war thinking. The mutually beneficial purpose and participatory
content of the BRI have been misinterpreted by the economic Cold-War thinking. This challenge
has its roots in the economic interests of international monopoly capital, as well as in biases caused
by cultural and ideological differences, and in the systemic gaps caused by the vastly different paths
of development. To promote the construction of the BRI in response to the challenges of economic
Cold-War thinking, one should strengthen the influence of international communication, make the
“cake” of common interests bigger and better, and accelerate the BRI construction. Equally important
is to improve the mutual benefit mechanism of the BRI. However, with regard to all the deliberate
misinterpretations and provocations of the economic Cold-War mentality, it is also necessary to be
bold enough to fight and good enough to engage in dialogue, so as to meet challenges and resolve
conflicts.
Keywords: Belt and Road, Cold War thinking, Economic Challenges, China’s Counter Strategies,
globalization.
Introduction
AS AN INTERNATIONALLY RECOGNIZED
flagship cooperation initiative, the Belt and Road
Initiative (BRI), encompassing both the “Silk
Road Economic Belt” and the “21st Century
Maritime Silk Road,” has garnered enthusiastic
responses from numerous countries and garnered high praise from the global community
since its inception in 2013. By June 2023, China had entered into over 230 cooperation agreements pertaining to BRI construction with
more than 150 countries and 30 international
organizations. These agreements have fostered
comprehensive and cross-disciplinary connectivity among participating nations, furthering
the BRI’s objectives. The BRI has become the
most popular international public goods project and the largest international cooperation
platform in the world, and has been hailed as a
“development belt” for the benefit of the world
and “a road to happiness” for the people of all
countries. However, in the process of promoting the BRI, it has also been challenged by a
Cold-War mentality, which has made China a
target of suspicion for “setting up a new cooker” and “seeking hegemony”, allegedly provoking economic and ideological confrontation.
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November 2022, during inspection work on the China-Russia eastern route natural gas pipeline in Qinhuangdao,
northern China's Hebei Province (Photo: CGTN, 2022).
President Xi Jinping once pointed out that “the
world is in the midst of a century of changes
with accelerated evolution” and the international environment for jointly building the BRI is
becoming increasingly complex. “We have to
maintain strategic determination and actively
respond to challenges” (Xi, 2022, p.496). At the
third Belt and Road International Cooperation
Summit Forum in 2023, Xi Jinping once again
clarified his position and views to the world:
“We do not engage in ideological rivalry, geopolitical games, or bloc political confrontation,
and we oppose unilateral sanctions, economic
coercion or ‘decoupling and breaking the chain’” (FMPRC, 2023). Effectively responding to
the challenge of economic Cold War thinking is
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important for the smooth progress of the “BRI”
construction and the healthy development of
the world economy.
Economic Cold-War thinking and its
manifestations
Economic Cold-War thinking originated from
the stereotypes formed during the confrontation
between the two camps of capitalism and socialism, that is, during the Cold War era. At a time
when economic globalization and scientific and
technological change are rapidly developing and
when countries have become closely linked in various fields such as economic trade, investment,
and finance, some people in Western countries
Shu Zhan & Hao Ruiqi - The Challenges of Economic Cold-War Thinking for the Belt and Road and Counter Strategies
are still using the antagonistic concepts of the
Cold War era to make ill-intentioned speculations about the development of emerging countries such as China and even to obstruct it, with
an extremely negative impact on the economic
exchanges and cooperation among countries all
over the world.
Cold-War Mentality and its Economic
Incarnations
The Cold War was a period from the mid1940s to the early 1990s in which countries with
different ideologies and social systems, namely
capitalism and socialism, formed opposing camps that confronted each other politically, economically, militarily, scientifically, technologically,
and ideologically without breaking into a world
war. The manifestation of the Cold War was that
the two camps assisted and co-operated internally in the economic, scientific, technological, and
military fields and competed fiercely externally.
The origin and essence of the Cold
War was that the Western capitalist
camp, based on ideological bias and
competing geopolitical interests,
joined forces to combat the
development of the socialist camp
using economic blockades and
embargoes, political isolation, and
ideological and cultural penetration.
The origin and essence of the Cold War was
that the Western capitalist camp, based on ideological bias and competing geopolitical interests, joined forces to combat the development
of the socialist camp using economic blockades
and embargoes, political isolation, and ideological and cultural penetration.
With the détente between the United States and the Soviet Union in the late 1980s and
the subsequent dramatic changes in the Soviet
Union, it was widely believed in the academic
community that the Cold War era had ended.
However, in recent years, with the anti-globalization measures of the Western countries, as
well as the economic and trade friction between China and the United States and the emergence of the United States of America’s full-scale suppression of China, some scholars believe
that the Cold War is not over and even tends to
warm up. For example, Professor Cheng Enfu
believes that the current state of “cool war”
between China and the United States (or even
“warm war” tendency), as new form of international relations, is a continuation of the Cold
War, with military confrontation as the form of
struggle, ideological differences as an important cause, and self-control as a way to avoid a
hot war. The difference between the two is that
the “cool war” did not involve the emergence of
two opposing blocs, a large-scale arms race, or
a global struggle for hegemony (Cheng & Yang,
2021).
Whether or not the Cold War still exists, the
Cold War mentality does. After the dramatic
changes in the Soviet Union, some Western politicians and strategists have continued their habitual strategic thinking of manipulating the world
to maintain their hegemony, which has negatively
impacted the peaceful development of the world
economy. The term “Cold-War thinking” was first
used by Japanese-American linguist and politician Samuel Hayakawa (S.I. Hayakawa) in 1964 in
General Semantıcs And The Cold War Mentalıty.
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“In recent years, inspired by the ‘clash of civilizations theory’, ‘China threat theory’, ‘comprehensive containment of
China theory’, etc., the Cold War mentality and inter-camp conflict have been revived”
(Figure: Cai Meng/China Daily, 2022).
According to some scholars, the Cold War mentality has the basic features of “hostility to others, zero-sum logic, highlighting ideological
contradictions, relying on military deterrence and stressing geopolitical alliance.” In the
author’s view, Cold-War thinking refers to the
thinking mode that is contrary to the concept
of the community of human destiny, which
is characterized by the thinking mode of un314
derstanding the world situation and dealing
with international relations that have been
carried forward from the Cold-War period
and overly emphasizes the differences between the two sides of interests and downplays
their homogeneity. It specifically refers to the
mindset of some government officials, elites,
and media in Western countries, who adhere
to dichotomous thinking and hold a distrust-
Shu Zhan & Hao Ruiqi - The Challenges of Economic Cold-War Thinking for the Belt and Road and Counter Strategies
ful attitude towards the development of emerging countries, especially socialist countries,
and even advocate active suppression of such
thinking. In recent years, as China’s economy,
science and technology, military power, and
international influence have rapidly increased, the Cold-War mentality and confrontation between camps have resurged based on
justifications inspired by “the theory of the
clash of civilizations”, “the theory of the threat
of China”, “the theory of comprehensive containment of China”, etc.
President Xi Jinping stated at the
the 3rd Belt and Road Forum for
International Cooperation that
“treating the development of
others as a threat and economic
interdependence as a risk will
not make one’s life better or
development faster”
Economic Cold-War thinking is the manifestation of Cold War thinking in international economic relations. It manifests itself in
the way that conservative countries treat developing countries, especially emerging market countries, by using ideological command
and attacks on political and economic systems
as a means of severing the intricate and interdependent economic ties among countries
and attempting to impede each other’s economic development. President Xi Jinping stated
at the the 3rd Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation that “treating the development of others as a threat and economic
interdependence as a risk will not make one’s
life better or development faster” (FMPRC,
2023). Economic globalization is the inevitable result of the expansion of the scope of
human interactions and the refinement of the
division of labor in society. In turn, economic
Cold-War thinking is bound to fail in practice, because it runs counter to the objective
laws of economic globalization, artificially
restricts the voluntary economic and trade
exchanges between peoples, and impedes the
natural formation of the international division of labor.
The Chinese government and academics
have responded to and criticized the ColdWar mentality. As early as December 1995,
Qian Qichen, then Vice-Premier and Foreign Minister of the State Council, pointed
out when discussing the characteristics of the
international situation that “in international
relations, the tendency to adhere to the ‘ColdWar mentality’ and to promote hegemony
and power politics has developed”. Nowadays,
Foreign Ministry spokespersons have also repeatedly urged the United States and others
to abandon the outdated Cold-War zero-sum
mentality and ideological prejudices. In the
meantime, there is a view that the BRI is a
way to break the Cold War mentality. Foreign
Ministry spokespersons have highlighted that
the Cold War mentality and zero-sum game
are no longer in line with the trend of the
world’s development in the new era. Research
on the BRI and the Cold War mentality in the
existing literature has shown a clear separation, reflecting the way and attitude of the postCold War capitalist camps towards China’s
role in the transformation of the global order
(Niu & Sun, 2019).
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Manifestations of Economic Cold-War
Thinking
Before the collapse of the Soviet Union in
1991, some commentators pointed out that
the Cold War between the East and the West
was over, but the “economic Cold War” between the United States, Japan, and Europe would
begin, and that economic competition among
the three parties would become more and more
intense, and that the contradictions and struggles in the economic relationship would be even
more acute than those during the Cold War.
Whilst the United States, Japan, and Europe are
all capitalist economies, there is no fundamental difference in ideology. the United States and
its allies, namely Japan and Europe, have a wide
range of common interests. However, when the
U.S. government believes its economic interests
are damaged, it will still use tariffs, forcing the
other side to “voluntarily restrict exports” and
other means to reverse the trade deficit, maintain its dominant position, and safeguard
its monopoly interests. For example, the trade
friction between the United States and Japan
in the twentieth century, which lasted from
the 1950s to the 1990s, involved textiles, steel,
semiconductors, television, automobiles, and
other industries and ended with Japan’s compromise and retreat, plunging its economy into
a prolonged slump.
From the historical manifestations of economic Cold-War thinking, such as the exchange
rate trap of the Plaza Accord between the United States and Europe in 1985 and the transfer
of European debt from the 2008 US subprime
mortgage crisis, it can be seen that Western
countries are still engaged in internal conflicts,
There is a clear distinction reflecting the attitudes and approaches of the post-Cold War capitalist camps towards
China's constructive role in transforming the global order (Figure: Liu Rui/GT, 2020).
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and their treatment of countries fundamentally
different in ideology and social systems has become even more severe.
After the dramatic changes in
the Soviet Union, China has
become the world’s largest
socialist country. However,
China has always advocated
“non-interference in the internal
affairs of other countries” and
“respect for the development
path and social system
independently chosen by the
people of all countries.”
After the dramatic changes in the Soviet Union, China has become the world’s largest socialist
country. However, China has always advocated
“non-interference in the internal affairs of other
countries” and “respect for the development path
and social system independently chosen by the
people of all countries.” However, the academic
and strategic circles of some capitalist countries,
namely academics, strategists, and politicians,
regard China’s pursuit of a socialist market economy as a threat and try to curb China’s economic development by importing the neoliberal
paradigm and launching an “economic war”. The
blockades, embargoes, tax increases, sanctions,
and repressive measures against China and other
socialist countries, and even the former socialist
countries, are prominent manifestations of the
economic Cold-War mentality in today’s world.
First, the policy of high-tech blockade against
China is maintained. In April 1994, the “Paris
Coordinating Committee” (the Coordinating
Committee on Export Controls against Communist Countries, set up by the United States in
conjunction with a group of capitalist countries
in November 1949) was disbanded. However, in
July 1996, 33 countries, mainly Western countries, signed the Wassenaar Agreement in Vienna, Austria, and decided to implement the new
control lists and information exchange rules. Moreover, China is still excluded from the existing
42 member countries in order to prevent China
from obtaining its existing high-precision and
cutting-edge technology through normal economic and trade exchanges and scientific and technological exchanges, and to create obstacles for
China’s scientific and technological progress in
high-tech areas. For example, Germany and Japan
have imposed a technology embargo on China
for high-end CNC machine tools, and the United
States and the Netherlands have prevented China
from mastering photolithography technology. In
December 2021, the Biden administration blocked eight Chinese companies, including Chinese
drone maker DJI Innovations. It imposed export
controls on 25 entities, including China’s Academy of Military Medical Sciences and 12 other
scientific research organizations. It also imposed
export controls on 25 entities, including 12 research institutes, including the Chinese Academy
of Military Medical Sciences (CAMS). It considered tougher sanctions on China’s largest chip
maker, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC), to limit what it termed
“China’s access to advanced technology”. Subsequently, the United States passed the Chip and
Science Act. It brought together Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan to form the “Chip Quadrilateral
Alliance” to restrain mainland China and build
a “small yard and high wall” in high technology.
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In addition, Western countries have also adopted long-term embargoes and blockade measures against socialist countries such as Cuba.
Since the triumph of the Cuban Revolution in
1959, the Government of the United States has
continued to implement a hostile policy against
Cuba and has not lifted the embargo against
Cuba in its entirety yet.
Secondly, safeguarding unilateral interests
in international trade. Statistics released by the
Ministry of Commerce’s “China Trade Remedy
Information Network” show that from 2001 to
2023, the United States initiated 168 anti-dumping and 111 anti-subsidy trade remedy cases
against China, while the European Union initiated 118 anti-dumping and 18 anti-subsidy
trade remedy cases against China. As the United States and the European Union refused to
recognize China’s market economy status and
imposed high tariffs on China by applying the
“substitute country” system in anti-dumping
determinations, Chinese enterprises lost billions of dollars in commodity exports. This
shows that Western countries unfairly treat
China with double standards in the economic
and trade fields. During its tenure, the Trump
administration of the United States has bypassed the WTO dispute settlement mechanism,
launched investigations, and imposed tariffs
on Chinese products based on domestic law,
provoking and escalating economic and trade
friction between China and the United States.
In addition, in October and December 2020,
the US launched “301 investigations” into Vietnam’s timber, textile and garment, footwear,
and exchange rate policies, listed the Vietnamese side as an “exchange rate manipulator” and
imposed punitive and high tariffs on Vietnam’s
exports to the US. Under the guise of “fair trade”, developed capitalist countries, represented
“The advanced capitalist countries, led by the US, have resorted to trade protectionism and trade bullying, unilaterally
creating trade frictions” (Figure: Ma Xuejing/China Daily, 2024).
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by the United States, have resorted to trade protectionism and trade bullying, unilaterally creating trade frictions to safeguard their vested
interests, thus posing a serious challenge to the
actual fairness of international trade.
Enterprises from socialist
and transition countries are
targeted on the grounds of
generalized national security.
Thirdly, enterprises from socialist and transition countries are targeted on the grounds of
generalized national security. In recent years,
the United States has generalized the concept
of “national security” and abused its national
power to suppress Chinese enterprises based
on such trumped-up charges as “stealing user
information” and “endangering national security”. This has seriously hindered the normal
development of their overseas business. The
U.S. Department of Commerce has successively put two Chinese communications companies, ZTE and Huawei, on the “Entity List”
for export control, interrupted the supply of
core components such as chips, banned equipment produced by Chinese companies in
the construction of 5G networks, and forced
ZTE to pay huge fines and reorganize its board of directors. In 2021, the Trump administration issued an executive order banning U.S.
investors from buying from China. In January
2021, the Trump administration issued another
executive order banning U.S. investors from
investing in dozens of so-called “Chinese military-owned or controlled” companies, including China Mobile, China Unicom, and China
Telecom, and prohibiting Americans from dealing with the developers or controllers of eight
Chinese software products, including Alipay,
Tencent QQ, and WPS. At the end of 2020, the
U.S. Department of Commerce placed 58 Chinese companies on its “Entity List” to restrict
exports to them while also placing 45 Russian
companies on its “Black List” to suppress them.
According to U.S. Commerce Secretary Raimondo, more than 700 Chinese companies are
now on the U.S. government’s export control
list, more than a third of which have been added since the Biden administration took office.
These arbitrary and unreasonable practices are the very embodiment of the economic
Cold-War mentality, which has given rise to
pessimistic expectations of “decoupling”, “breaking the chain” and even the outbreak of a “new
Cold War” between China and the United States. In this regard, China has made it clear that
it rejects decoupling and firmly opposes the
so-called “new Cold War” artificially created
by individual Western government officials, as
President Xi Jinping pointed out in a special
message at the World Economic Forum’s “Davos Agenda” dialogue: “To engage in a ‘small
circle’ and a ‘new cold war’ in the international
arena, to exclude, threaten and intimidate others, and to engage in decoupling, cutting off
supplies and imposing sanctions at the drop of
a hat, and to artificially isolate and even isolate each other, will only push the world towards
division and even confrontation.” “In today’s
world, if we go down the wrong path of confrontation and antagonism, whether by engaging in a cold war, a hot war, a trade war or a
science and technology war, we will ultimately
harm the interests of all countries and sacrifice
the well-being of our people” (FMPRC, 2021).
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Challenges to the economic Cold-War
mentality of the BRI
The challenges to the economic Cold-War thinking
encountered by the BRI are mainly reflected in the
following: first, various misinterpretations of the
purpose and content of the BRI; second, attempts
to set up a corresponding mechanism to obstruct
the BRI process on the basis of economic ColdWar thinking.
Intentional misinterpretation of the purpose
of the BRI
The BRI has attracted widespread attention and
multiple interpretations by foreign academics.
Among the various misinterpretations of the
BRI, there are two representative views: the BRI is
“China’s version of the Marshall Plan” and the BRI
is a response to the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP).
The Marshall Plan was a post-World War II plan for
the United States to reconstruct Western European
countries and provide economic assistance. The
United States became the biggest beneficiary of
the plan, through the implementation of which it
strengthened its control over Western European
countries. The Peterson Institute for Economic
Research, the RAND Corporation, and other think
tanks have compared the BRI with the Marshall Plan,
arguing that China intends to follow the example of
the United States in the past, attempting to transform
economic power into geopolitical influence, in order
to achieve its own will “to be the most influential”
in the world. They believe that China intends to
follow the example of the United States, attempting
to transform its economic power into geopolitical
influence to “reshape the international order”
according to its wishes (Milton, 2018). According to
an article in The Diplomat, China’s New Silk Road
and the US Marshall Plan are “attempts by a rising
global power to use economic power to achieve its
foreign policy goals” (Tiezzi, 2014). The promotion
of the BRI as China’s version of the Marshall
Plan, or “geo-expansionism” is “designed to build
momentum to bring in allies against China. It aims
to create momentum to draw in allies against China
A China-Europe freight train bound for Budapest, Hungary, leaves a logistics base in Hefei, east China's Anhui
Province, on July 29, 2022 (Photo: Xi Jingyu/Xinhua, 2022).
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Shu Zhan & Hao Ruiqi - The Challenges of Economic Cold-War Thinking for the Belt and Road and Counter Strategies
Figure 1. Foreign programs similar to or intended to compete with BRI in recent years
Programs that are similar to or compete with the Belt and Road Initiative, including the year of inception,
organizing country and name table (Figure: Shu, 2024).
and incite countries and regions along the route to
boycott the BRI”.
The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is a
multilateral free trade agreement negotiated under
the auspices of the United States with Japan,
Canada, and 12 other countries. In January 2015,
then-US President Obama said in his State of the
Union address that the TPP was designed to prevent
“China from setting international economic rules
in the most dynamic region of the global economy
(Asia).” The U.S. has demonstrated its absolute
leadership in the Asia-Pacific region by setting high
standards for new international trade rules, with a
more pronounced coloring of containment of China
(Cui, et al., 2018). In October of the same year, the
Nihon Keizai Shimbun published an article entitled
“China’s BRI counter the TPP” arguing that “China
and the U.S. around the Asian economic circle of
the dominance of the fight has been in full swing”.
The above views all regard the relationship between
TPP and BRI as antagonistic, competitive, and rival,
especially regarding “Belt and Road” as “another
stove” in order to fight against the TPP, which
“excludes China”. After Trump became president
of the United States in 2017, he immediately
announced his withdrawal from the TPP, changing
from “competing with China for the right to make
international economic rules” during the Obama
era to more directly creating economic and trade
friction between China and the United States,
which is a result of the further strengthening of the
economic Cold-War mentality. This is the result of
the further intensification of economic Cold War
thinking.
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In addition, some conservative think tanks in the
United States consider the BRI as a tool for China to
pursue an expansionary foreign policy and stimulate
its domestic economic development, stressing and
even exaggerating the damage that the BRI may cause
to the interests of the United States. They predict
that the construction of the BRI will face many
difficulties and uncertainties and emphasize and even
exaggerate the damage that the BRI may cause to US
interests. The above views of these think tanks have
a greater influence on the decision-making of the
United States Government, prompting the United
States Government to respond to the BRI in a “coldshoulder,” boycott or even obstructionist manner.
Obstruction of the BRI construction
processi
Since China put forward the BRI, the Governments
of the United States, Japan, India, and other
countries have put forward programs highly similar
to the BRI regarding infrastructure construction and
connectivity in the Asia-Pacific region. However,
these so-called reconstruction assistance programs
are not based on fair competition and benefitting
developing countries but rather deliberately obstruct
and target the promotion of the BRI. In particular,
the “China-Indian Ocean-Africa-Mediterranean
Blue Economic Corridor”, which is part of the
maritime cooperation under the BRI is facing fierce
strategic competition between China, the United
States, and other major powers in the region. China,
the United States, and other regional big powers are
facing the serious challenge of fierce strategic games.
In May 2015, the Japanese government proposed
the “Partnership for High-Quality Infrastructure”
program, announcing that it would provide $110
billion in aid to Asian countries over the next five years
for the construction of “high quality” infrastructure
and increasing its efforts to promote healthcare,
Japan’s emphasis on “high quality” has been a major
factor in the promotion of exports of healthcare,
digital, green and low-carbon infrastructure. Japan’s
emphasis on “high quality” refers to the “low quality”
Photo taken on July 29, 2021 shows the Peljesac Bridge being built by China as part of the Belt and Road Initiative in Mali
Ston Bay near Komarna in southern Croatia. The 2.4 km bridge over Mali Ston Bay in the Adriatic Sea connects mainland
Croatia and the Peljesac Peninsula of the southernmost Dubrovnik-Neretva County, bypassing a short strip of Bosnia and
Herzegovina territory (Photo: Xinhua/Gao Lei, 2021).
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of China’s aid infrastructure. At the same time, the
program’s construction content, coverage, strategic
objectives, and use of funds are all highly similar to
the BRI program. “At the same time, the program’s
construction content, coverage, strategic objectives,
and use of funds are all highly similar to those of the
BRI, and its real purpose is to compete with the BRI
in a tit-for-tat manner (Mei, 2018).
China’s foreign ministry refuted
this with solid data “The so-called
‘One Belt, One Road’ creates a
debt trap, which is a completely
false proposition”
The Government of India proposed the AsiaAfrica Growth Corridor (AAGC) program in May
2017, which “focuses on promoting connectivity
between Southeast Asia, South Asia and the African
continent, with an emphasis on building maritime
corridors linking the continents.” Emphasis is placed
on the program’s environmental friendliness and
low cost, as well as its “comparative advantage,”
which is “based on widely recognized international
norms, good governance, the rule of law, openness,
transparency and equality” (Chaudry, 2017). The
“Asia-Africa Growth Corridor” has a high degree of
overlap with the BRI in terms of geographic scope
and areas of cooperation, which shows the intention
of some political forces in India and Japan to join
forces to counterbalance China and weaken the
influence of the BRI. Some political forces in India
and Japan intend to jointly counterbalance China
and reduce the influence of the BRI.
The US Overseas Private Investment Corporation
(OPIC) proposed the “Blue Dot Network” program
in November 2019, which it claims is designed
to promote “market-driven, transparent, and
financially sustainable” infrastructure development
in the Indo-Pacific region and worldwide. The
Blue Dot Network will evaluate and certify
construction projects. The program is supported by
US government officials, with former Commerce
Secretary Ross making it clear that the US was
launching a program to support “sustainable”
projects in Asia as a counterweight to China’s BRI,
and former Assistant to the President for National
Security Affairs, John O’Brien, stating that the “Blue
Dot Network” was a “market-driven, transparent
and financially sustainable” infrastructure
development program in the Indo-Pacific region
and around the world. O’Brien, former assistant to
the president for national security affairs, said that
the “Blue Dot Network” would fight against “lowquality projects that put countries in a debt trap”
implying that China’s BRI has a so-called “debt trap”.
China’s foreign ministry refuted this with solid
data “The so-called ‘One Belt, One Road’ creates a
debt trap, which is a completely false proposition”
(Xinhua, 2022).
At the strategic level, the Trump administration
proposed the “Indo-Pacific Strategy” in 2017 to
form a geopolitical containment posture against
the BRI, especially the “21st Century Maritime
Silk Road”, posing a potential threat militarily
and creating an economic hedge. The “IndoPacific Strategy” is intended to form a geopolitical
containment posture, pose a potential military
threat, and create an economic hedge. As it advances
in infrastructure, it will compete head-on with the
BRI, and the U.S. will use this strategy to join forces
with relevant countries to block the BRI. These two
geopolitical cooperation agendas mean that the
US-China competition is shifting from the level
of interest and influence on a higher level of rules
and order, and the friction between the two will
be long-term and intense (Wang & Zhang, 2021).
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In May 2022, US President Biden announced the
launch of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework
(IPEF), which will provide economic support
for the Indo-Pacific strategy and promised to
provide more than $50 billion in funding for the
Indo-Pacific infrastructure development. Biden
announced the launch of the IPEF in May 2022
to provide economic underpinning for the IndoPacific Strategy and pledged more than $50bn for
Indo-Pacific infrastructure.
In June 2022, the leaders of the Group of Seven (G7)
announced the launch of the Partnership for Global
Infrastructure and Investment (PGII) program, the
PGII program promises to raise $600 billion over five
years to build infrastructure in developing countries
and “rebuild a better world” with a “values-driven,
high-standard and transparent” global infrastructure
initiative “led by leading democracies” to compete
with the BRI. European Commission President Von
der Leyen declared that the infrastructure plan was
designed to “counter China’s ‘Belt and Road’ projects”
and to “replace Chinese investment there” (Reuters,
2022). September 2023 On 9 September, the United
States, India, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the European
Union signed a memorandum of understanding
on the sidelines of the G20 summit announcing
the construction of the India-Middle East-Europe
Economic Corridor (IMEC). This ambitious “Modern
Spice Route” is one of the key US initiatives to counter
China’s growing influence and replace the BRI
infrastructure.
Reasons behind the economic Cold War
mentality that have challenged the BRI
The challenge to the BRI posed by the economic Cold
War mentality is rooted in the maintenance of vested
economic interests by international monopoly capital, as well as in the bias in understanding caused by
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cultural and ideological differences and the systemic
gap caused by the vastly different paths of development. In recent years, the United States Government
has unjustifiably adopted a series of containment policies towards China, which is essentially a “dispute
over roads and values” based on the Cold-War mentality of the United States side (Cheng & Li, 2021).
Understanding bias due to cultural and
ideological differences
The reason for the challenge of economic ColdWar thinking in the BRI process lies first and foremost in the cultural differences between China
and the West. Due to the differences in natural
conditions and historical traditions, China and the
West have formed different cultural backgrounds.
For example, Chinese culture advocates “harmony
among nations” and “world unity”, while Western
culture firmly believes in the “Thucydides trap” of
“the struggle for supremacy”; Chinese culture emphasizes mutual assistance and cooperation, “help
the world “, while Western culture advocates competition and “the law of the jungle”. According to
German sociologist Max Weber, Chinese culture,
dominated by Confucianism, is “pacifist in character”, very different from the expansionist character
of Western Protestantism. China was historically
ahead of the West for a long time and made important contributions to human civilization. People in
the West were once full of yearning for profound
Chinese culture. However, in modern times, China suffered from the invasion and bullying of the
Western imperialist powers, and the Chinese culture was regarded as backward and inferior. Under
the leadership of the Communist Party of China
(CPC), the Chinese nation has re-established itself
confidently as one of the peoples of the world, and
the combination of the basic principles of Marxism
Shu Zhan & Hao Ruiqi - The Challenges of Economic Cold-War Thinking for the Belt and Road and Counter Strategies
with the excellent traditional Chinese culture has
made Chinese culture shine once again. However,
some Western bourgeois elites are unwilling to see
the revival of Chinese culture under the socialist
system and refuse to engage in multicultural exchanges. Skinner, former director of the Office of
Policy Planning at the U.S. Department of State,
believes the U.S.-Soviet Cold War was a “struggle
within the Western family”. At the same time, the
Sino-American conflict was a “battle of civilizations and races” between two types of “civilizations and races” and the first time in U.S. history
that the U.S. had to “battle a genuinely different
civilization”. It is the first time in the history of
the United States that it is “fighting against a truly
different civilization” (Micheal, 2019). Gingrich,
the former Speaker of the US House of Representatives, also claimed that the conflict between
the US and China is a long-term “clash of civili-
zations”. From this cultural perspective of a “zero-sum game, you lose, I win,” the West will not
understand the Chinese wisdom of “tolerance and
mutual understanding, harmony and difference”.
The culture of a certain society is reflected in
political and economic thought, i.e. ideology.
The cultural roots of economic Cold War thinking lie in ideological differences. The difference between ideologies reflecting the interests of
different classes creates an obstacle to cultural
exchanges and mutual understanding between
China and the West. China insists on the guiding
position of Marxism in the field of ideology, representing the fundamental interests of the proletariat and the masses of the working people. In
contrast, bourgeois ideology justifies the exploitation of the workers by the capitalists and promotes the narrow-minded belief that “the individual
is supreme, and self-interest comes first”.
Countries on the BRI route are located in regions such as Central Asia, West Asia, South Asia, Southeast Asia, Eastern
Europe, Africa (Figure: CGTN, 2022).
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Therefore, the bourgeois ideology has been fighting
with Marxism for the right to speak and dominate in
various ways, thus hindering the spread of Marxism.
For example, by their “hegemony of public opinion”,
certain Western media use “double standards” to make
selective reports, and even distort the facts, fabricate
lies, vilify the image of China’s Party and government,
and ban accounts that express pro-Chinese views, which are still provoking ideological confrontation to this
day. They are still stirring up ideological confrontation. For example, Ratcliffe, the former director of the
United States national intelligence, published an article
in the Wall Street Journal in which he falsely claimed
that China was “the greatest threat to democracy and
freedom around the world since World War II”. Pompeo, the former secretary of state, made anti-communist and anti-Chinese remarks on occasions such as the
Nixon Library, attacking the actions of the Communist
Party of China as “the greatest challenge to the free
world” and instigating a campaign against the Chinese
Communist Party and government. Former Secretary
of State Pompeo made anti-communist and anti-China
remarks at the Nixon Library and other occasions, attacking “the actions of the Communist Party of China as
the greatest challenge to the free world” and instigating
“the need for free nations to form a new democratic alliance to deal with the Chinese Communist Party”. After the Biden administration came to power, it cobbled
together the so-called “Democracy Summit”, peddling
the narrative of “democracy against authoritarianism”,
engaged in bloc politics, forced people to choose sides,
and instigated division and confrontation to serve its
hegemonic designs.
Institutional divides resulting from very
different development paths
The different national conditions of countries worldwide dictate that each country has the right to cho326
ose a path of development consistent with its realities
and to establish a social system that meets its development requirements. The socialist system with Chinese characteristics is rooted in Chinese soil, has been
explored in practice, reflects the will of the Chinese
people, and guarantees the nation’s great rejuvenation. In launching the “Belt and Road” and promoting
international cooperation on the BRI, China does
not intend to transplant the Chinese system, export
the Chinese model, or expand its sphere of influence but to fully respect the independent choices of the
people of all countries, so that they can enjoy the wealth created by economic development. It is to fully
respect the independent choice of the people of all
countries so that they can enjoy the wealth created
by economic development. On the other hand, those who adhere to the economic Cold-War mentality
sanctify the capitalist economic system and set it as
a monolithic one, use hard power as a backing to enforce their system model all over the world, export
the neoliberal economic paradigm of “privatization,
marketization, and liberalization” everywhere, restrict and suppress the elements of the socialist system,
and even stage color revolutions “that lead to drastic
changes in the system behind the scenes. They even
instigated behind the scenes a “color revolution” that
led to drastic changes in the system. Francis Fukuyama, a Japanese-American scholar, once declared
that human history would “end” with the capitalist
“system of freedom and democracy”, but the fact
that the socialist system with Chinese characteristics has persisted, been perfected, and developed has
declared “the end of history”. However, the fact that
the socialist system with Chinese characteristics has
persisted, improved and developed has declared “the
end of history”, and Fukuyama himself had to admit
that his prediction had been inaccurate. In essence,
the exclusivity of economic Cold-War thinking is
caused by the capitalist private ownership system, in
Shu Zhan & Hao Ruiqi - The Challenges of Economic Cold-War Thinking for the Belt and Road and Counter Strategies
which “exclusivity” is stronger than “sharing” in the
concept of private ownership and private ownership;
the competitiveness of economic Cold-War thinking
is the result of the “winner-takes-all” principle under
the capitalist market economy system. The competitive nature of economic Cold-War thinking is the
result of the “winner-takes-all” mentality under the
capitalist market economy system, in which competition is based on the principle of “the defeat and death
of some, and the victory and domination of others”
(Stalin, 1979, p.195). The expansionist nature of economic Cold-War thinking is precisely rooted in the
global expansion of the capitalist mode of production,
in which the profit-seeking nature of capital has made
it transcend the scope of one country to realize value
appreciation. The expansionist nature of economic
Cold War thinking stems precisely from the global
expansion of the capitalist mode of production, in
which the profit-seeking nature of capital causes it to
go beyond the boundaries of a single country in order
to add value and seek to bring the whole world under
its influence.
Root causes of the international monopoly
capital’s economic interests
The rejection of the BRI by the economic ColdWar mentality is rooted in the defense of the vested economic interests of international monopoly
capital, which is twofold. On the one hand, the
BRI may touch on the original economic interests
of international monopoly capital in the countries
along the routes. The countries along the “Belt and
Road” are located in Central Asia, West Asia, South
Asia, Southeast Asia, Eastern Europe, Africa, etc.
The international monopoly capital or the Western
developed capitalist countries led by the United States have already controlled some of these regions
by their economic, political, cultural, and military
power and even have a substantial influence on the
economic lifelines of some countries to ensure the
monopoly bourgeoisie’s stable acquisition of surplus
value. Suppose China cooperates with the countries
along the Belt and Road. In that case, it will inevitably exert economic influence in these regions, which
may lead to a profound adjustment of the original
pattern of interests, touching the “cheese” of the original beneficiaries, resulting in damage to the vested
interests of the international monopoly capital and
developed countries, and causing contradictions in
the economic interests of the emerging powers and
the established powers.
On the other hand, the BRI may create new conflicts of interest with the monopoly capital of Western
countries. Through the BRI construction, countries
along the route will share the fruits of development,
achieve win-win and common prosperity, gradually
build a community of interests and a community of
destiny, and realize the modernization of “peaceful development, mutually beneficial co-operation
and common prosperity”. The moral advantages of
the BRI and the fruitful results it has achieved have
made it possible for more countries to identify with
it, and for countries to strengthen their cooperation
with China in areas such as infrastructure construction, trade and investment, so that the commodities,
technologies and capital of China and the countries
along the route can circulate smoothly along the
Belt and Road, and the countries along the route will
also have a better understanding of the BRI, and will
be able to make better use of it. The smooth flow of
commodities, technology, and capital between China and the countries along the BRI, especially the
promotion of China’s infrastructure construction
projects “going out”, not only lays the foundation for
the sustainable development of the host country’s
economy and adds strength, but also expands
the space for China’s economic development.
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In this way, the economic pattern centered on the
developed countries, with the developing countries
channeling their profit surpluses to the developed
countries, which has continued since the colonial era
of capitalism, will be completely broken, thus creating a stark contrast between the positive response of
the countries along the routes and the passive denigration of the developed countries in the West.
Promoting the construction of the BRI in
addressing the challenges of economic
Cold-War thinking
To effectively counter the challenge of economic ColdWar thinking and provide theoretical and practical guarantees for the smooth progress of the construction of
the BRI, it is necessary to, on the one hand, give a proper
name to the BRI in terms of information and increase the
degree of symmetry and transparency, to make all countries in the world have a good understanding of the BRI.
On the other hand, it is necessary to work with various
international cooperation platforms and governments
to enlarge and share the “cake” in terms of common interests and to replace vicious competition with benign
interaction; it is also necessary to respond to deliberate
misinterpretations and provocations with courageous
struggles and resolve conflicts and concerns with good
dialogue. We should also respond to deliberate misinterpretations and provocations with the courage to fight
and resolve conflicts and concerns with good dialogue.
Strengthening the influence of
international communication and actively
giving the BRI a good reputation
As the developed countries in the West still control
the dominant power of international discourse, the situation of China being “scolded” has not yet been fundamentally improved. The publicity work also needs China
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to take the initiative to do a good job of “creating a good
atmosphere for public opinion, explaining in depth the
concept, principles and methods of jointly building the
BRI, and telling the story of jointly building the BRI” (Xi,
2022, p.498). Promptly, it is important to show the world
what China has done along the BRI, to clarify the facts,
and to convey China’s true stance and position. At the
same time, we should refute the slander of certain bad
media, and politicians in the West take the initiative to
expose and actively counter neo-imperialist attacks on
the BRI (Cheng & Li, 2021). We should also explore the
disclosure of information on the BRI and enhance symmetry and transparency to gradually eliminate the problem of symmetry and transparency in constructing the
BRI. It should also explore the disclosure of information
on the BRI and enhance symmetry and transparency to
gradually eliminate the economic cold war thinking in
promoting the construction of the BRI.
First, the BRI is not a Chinese version of the Marshall Plan. BRI is a product of openness and cooperation
and a vivid practice of building a community of human
destiny, not a geostrategic concept or a geopolitical tool,
and it cannot be viewed with outdated Cold War thinking. BRI has enabled China to integrate with the world
economy deeply and provided solutions for the world
to cope with the current crisis. Ivona Radovac, Director
of the Belt and Road Centre for Regional Studies at the
Serbian Institute of International Political and Economic
Studies, commented on behalf of international objectivity that the BRI is not a new version of the Marshall
Plan but has very different goals and methods. BRI is
fundamentally different from the Marshall Plan in terms of background, fundamental purpose, participation,
and status of the participants. The Marshall Plan was a
product of the economic confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union in the Cold War, and its
fundamental purpose was to achieve economic control
of the United States over Western Europe and to counterbalance the socialist camp. The United States attached
Shu Zhan & Hao Ruiqi - The Challenges of Economic Cold-War Thinking for the Belt and Road and Counter Strategies
“China is willing to engage with all connectivity initiatives and jointly explore cooperation that will be beneficial for
developing countries,” Foreign Minister Wang Yi said at a press conference at the Third Belt and Road Summit for
International Cooperation (Photo: Xinhua, 2023).
anti-Soviet and anti-Communist political conditions to
the economic assistance provided to Western European
countries, and the recipient countries were in a passive
and subordinate position. BRI, on the other hand, abandons the Cold-War mentality and does not draw boundaries based on ideology. It is an initiative that conforms
to the trend of economic globalization and promotes international cooperation with an open and tolerant mindset, with the fundamental aim of seeking common development and prosperity of the countries along the routes
and adding a new impetus to the recovery of the world
economy. China respects the social systems and development paths independently chosen by the countries along
the BRI and assists without any political conditions, with
all participants on an equal footing and a common basis.
Clearly distinguishing between the BRI and the Marshall Plan will help countries worldwide break through
the Cold-War mindset to view China’s initiative and thus
more clearly understand the mutually beneficial and
contemporary nature of the BRI.
Secondly, BRI is not intended to counter the international economic and trade cooperation mechanisms
dominated by Western countries. In response to the
economic cold war thinking that sees the BRI as China’s
counterweight to the TPP and CPTPP, China’s proposal
of the BRI is certainly a reflection of its strategic thinking
with a long-term perspective. However, it is not competitive thinking with a one-sided battle, and China will not
exclude all beneficial international cooperation mechanisms. China does not usually reject all kinds of beneficial international cooperation mechanisms. Foreign Minister Wang Yi said at the press conference for the Third
Belt and Road Summit on International Cooperation
that “China is willing to dovetail with all connectivity
initiatives and jointly explore cooperation that is beneficial to develop countries” and hopes that other countries’ connectivity initiatives will not “create small circles”.
China has indicated that it is open to any international
economic and trade cooperation mechanism that is
conducive to the development of world trade and a fair
and open trading environment and formally applied to
join the CPTPP agreement in September 2021, which
is an important step in expanding openness to the outside world in the new era. The new high-standard international trade rules have commonality with China’s
reform initiatives to establish pilot free trade zones and
trade harbors, and the BRI and the CPTPP can work
together rather than having an either/or relationship.
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Through the practice of the BRI, China can provide
experience for improving and innovating international
economic and trade rules. Making clear to the world
China’s non-confrontational attitude towards the TPP
and CPTPP will help all countries, especially the member countries of these cooperation mechanisms, feel
the inclusiveness and openness of the BRI.
Exploring the disclosure of
information on the BRI is
necessary to enhance symmetry
and transparency.
Thirdly, exploring the disclosure of information on
the BRI is necessary to enhance symmetry and transparency. In the face of concerns and questions from some
foreigners and media about the compliance and standardization of the BRI projects, the source and use of
funds, the construction process, and the distribution of
proceeds, it is necessary to actively explore the disclosure
of information related to the BRI projects under the premise of ensuring the safety of information, projects, and
funds. It is necessary to actively explore the disclosure
of BRI-related information to ensure the safety of information, projects and funds. Drawing on the useful experience of international organizations such as the WTO,
we can regularly release to the world, through authoritative channels and using public announcements, information related to the construction of the BRI, such as data,
regulatory bases, and professional evaluations, etc. and
adopt digital means to publish information that can be
queried, supervised, and verified, to respond to concerns
and dispel doubts promptly, and to allow the BRI to be
implemented promptly. BRI will pass under the sunlight
so that the rumors fabricated by certain ill-intentioned
people will not be broken in the face of facts. Proactive
and extensive public disclosure of the co-construction
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status will help enhance the symmetry and transparency
of information on the BRI and improve its credibility.
Enlarging the “cake” of common interests
and improving the mutually beneficial
mechanism of the BRI
Marx pointed out that “everything that people strive
for is related to their interests.” The pursuit of interests is
the motivation for all social activities of human beings
(Marx & Engels, 1956, p.82). To cope with the challenges
posed by the economic Cold-War mentality to the BRI,
we should fundamentally rely on expanding the common interests with the relevant international organizations, multilateral mechanisms, and foreign governments
and finding the largest “covenant” to make the cooperation platforms and countries achieve mutual benefits and
win-win results in the construction of the BRI. Cooperation platforms and countries can achieve mutual benefits
and win-win results in constructing the BRI.
First, it should be active in international organizations and multilateral mechanisms. BRI is not in opposition to or in competition with various global and
regional international economic organizations and multilateral economic cooperation mechanisms, but rather
in coexistence and co-prosperity. In order to open up to
the outside world and enhance international economic
cooperation, China has joined the World Trade Organization (WTO), Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
(APEC), the Group of 20 (G20), the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO), the BRICS countries, and signed the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership
(RCEP). After the BRI was put forward, it also triggered
a warm response from these international organizations
and multilateral mechanisms and was widely praised.
For example, Azevedo, the former Director-General of
the WTO, believes that the BRI is exactly what the world
needs most today, and it will change how it works. What
the world needs most, it will change the world” (Hou,
Shu Zhan & Hao Ruiqi - The Challenges of Economic Cold-War Thinking for the Belt and Road and Counter Strategies
A platform of the Mombasa-Nairobi Railway in Nairobi, Kenya, May 2023. This railway line has become one of the
important indicators of China-Africa cooperation (Photo: Xinhua/Wang Guansen, 2023).
2017). The concept and proposition of the BRI has been
written into the documents of international organizations and mechanisms such as APEC and G20. Strengthening multilateral cooperation is a powerful means to
deal with the Cold-War mentality, and the willingness
of the world’s countries to carry out economic cooperation is inversely related to the Cold-War mentality. In
proposing the BRI, China is not setting aside existing
international organizations and cooperation mechanisms, nor is it overturning the existing global economic
governance system. However, it is compatible with and
innovative within the existing framework and adheres
to the concept of global governance of “co-discussion,
co-construction, and sharing”. Through international
cooperation under the BRI, new impetus will be added
to common development, contributing to improving
and reforming the existing global economic governance
system. According to the functions of various international organizations and multilateral mechanisms, the
BRI should be dovetailed with them, such as the doveta-
iling of the WTO and the BRI for trade facilitation, the
New Development Bank and the BRI for capital financing, and so on. These organizations and mechanisms
should be important platforms for the BRI cooperation
and implementing the Belt and Road concept.
Secondly, it has strengthened strategic coordination and economic cooperation with the countries
concerned; from 2013 to 2022, China’s total imports
and exports with the countries concerned will reach a
cumulative total of 19.1 trillion United States dollars,
with an average annual growth rate of 6.4 percent. Its
two-way investment with the countries concerned will
exceed 380 billion United States dollars, with China’s
outward direct investment exceeding 240 billion United
States dollars.
The BRI has already been joined with Russia’s Eurasian Economic Union, Kazakhstan’s Bright Road,
Turkmenistan’s Revival of the Silk Road, Mongolia’s Silk Road and the Eurasian Economic Union to
form the BRI, and the Eurasian Economic Union.
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China’s neighboring countries are the focus of the BRI
construction, taking India and Russia as an example: India, as a big country in South Asia and a neighbor of China, has not only held a resistant attitude to the BRI, but
also put forward the “Asia-Africa Growth Corridor” with
Japan and the United States. The “Asia-Africa Growth
Corridor” and “India-Europe Economic Corridor” have
been proposed together with Japan and the United States
to counterbalance the BRI. China and India, as ancient
civilizations, regional powers, and emerging market
countries, should abide by the Five Principles of Peaceful
Coexistence, seek common ground while reserving differences, strengthen unity and collaboration, and closely
cooperate economically to form a synergy for promoting
development in Asia. Taking into account India’s economic development needs, China should provide targeted
economic assistance, such as infrastructure assistance, so
that the other side can realize the benefits of cooperation
through practical measures, generate more sense of gain
and trust, thus enhancing the sense of identity with the
BRI, and voluntarily participate in the BRI construction.
Russia is an important country along the BRI, and when
China put forward the BRI, Russia and other countries
also established the Eurasian Economic Union. The two
cooperation mechanisms overlap in terms of the parties
involved, so at first, some people predicted that China
and Russia would “inevitably erupt into conflict in the
region”. However, both China and Russia have adhered
to the principle of “no conflict, no confrontation”. Through the leadership of the head of state, many rounds
of negotiations, and multi-level consultations, they have
finally achieved the Silk Road. The successful docking
of the Silk Road Economic Belt and the Eurasian Economic Union provides an example of policy coordination between different countries. It proves that the
China-Russia relationship is based on the principles of
“permanent good-neighbourly relations, comprehensive
strategic cooperation, and mutually beneficial cooperation and win-win situation”(MFA, 2023), is indeed a mo332
del for the relations between major powers today. Only
by adhering to the principle of “keeping good relations
with one’s neighbours and keeping one’s neighbours as
one’s companions”, handling relations with neighbouring
countries based on the concepts of “proximity, sincerity,
beneficence and tolerance”, and giving priority to benefiting neighbouring countries from the fruits of China’s
development can neighbouring countries become more
supportive and willing to participate in the BRI. Only by
doing so can neighbouring countries become more supportive of the BRI and more willing to integrate into it.
Dare to fight and dialogue to address
challenges and resolve conflicts
With China’s growing proximity to the center of the
world stage, the United States has gradually changed
its orientation towards China from “partner” to “competitor”. In response to U.S. Secretary of State Antony
Blinken’s “zero-sum game” of “competition, cooperation
and confrontation” trichotomy, Foreign Minister Wang
Yi made it clear: “Competition should not offset each
other, but rather promote each other”, “There is no way
out of conflict and confrontation, and neither China nor
the United States can change anyone”. The challenge of
economic cold war thinking encountered by the BRI is
mainly from the U.S. Some scholars have summarized
the “four kinds of worries” of the U.S. mainstream politics and academia about the BRI. Firstly, China is worried
that the BRI will counterbalance the U.S. Asia-Pacific
strategy and gradually transform the “U.S. Asia-Pacific”
into “China’s periphery”; secondly, it is worried that China will gradually expand its economic cooperation with
the relevant countries into political, economic and social
cooperation. Secondly, it is worried that China and the
relevant countries will gradually expand from economic
cooperation to political and security cooperation, thus
forming a “de-Americanised” regional order; thirdly, it is
worried that China will draw in U.S. allies and partners
Shu Zhan & Hao Ruiqi - The Challenges of Economic Cold-War Thinking for the Belt and Road and Counter Strategies
US is taking more overt steps to balance China on values such as 'human rights' and to pressure China by rallying
allies (Figure: CGTN, 2023).
through the BRI, and “poach” U.S. “interests”. Thirdly,
China is worried that through the BRI, it will draw in
U.S. allies and partners and “poach” the U.S.; fourthly, it
is worried that the BRI will impact the existing international rules led by the U.S., and even pose a deep challenge
to the development model of the U.S. and other Western
countries (Zhao, 2018).
In recent years, the U.S. government’s policy towards China has undergone more complex changes, still
viewing China as its “most serious competitor” and
more clearly counterbalancing China on values such
as “human rights” and bringing in allies to exert pressure on China. In terms of strategic competition, the
U.S. Congress passed the 283-page Strategic Competitiveness Act of 2021 in April 2021 and the Innovation
and Competitiveness Act in March 2022, rendering
the “China Threat” and advocating strategic competition with China to unite with Western allies to check
and balance the BRI with a Cold War mindset. “The
U.S. response to the BRI uses a multi-layered strategy, with tactics to unite allies, content of the standards
dispute, and actions to attack and discredit, but there
is no ‘engagement’ or a hint of ‘co-operation’.” In this
regard, China should not be afraid of strong opponents, not be afraid of pressure, calm and cool, not
only dare to “show the sword”, the courage to fight, but
also “reasonable, advantageous, and temperate”, good
at dialogue, in order to respond to the challenges and
properly resolve the conflict effectively.
First, we will carry forward the spirit of struggle
and resolutely counteract acts that undermine China’s
interests. In the face of the sanctions against China
introduced by the United States Government, the
Chinese side has carried out reciprocal countermeasures, such as the imposition of tariffs on United
States commodities exported to China, the banning
of United States anti-China politicians such as Pompeo and O’Brien and their families from entering
the country and the restriction of their affiliated enterprises and institutions from traveling to and from
China, the adoption by the Standing Committee of the
National People’s Congress of the Anti-Foreign Sanctions Act, and the imposition of export controls on gallium-germanium-related goods, among other things.
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In response to the U.S. strategy of checking and balancing the BRI on the one hand, it has been actively speaking out in the international academic and public
opinion circles, revealing the new monopoly of neo-imperialism in the areas of production and circulation, financial capital, the U.S. dollar and intellectual property rights, and international oligarchic
alliances, as well as their predatory and transitory
economic nature and the general trend, and critiquing the economic coercion and unilateralism of
the U.S. and other Western countries (Cheng, et al.,
2019). On the other hand, in the actual operation,
we can try to transfer our claims against the US to
the countries that are co-builders of the BRI, so that
the US side may actually provide guarantees for the
Belt and Road projects, in order to achieve the goal
of “countering the US with the US”.
Secondly, we should insist on dialogue under the
premise of good faith to push China-United States
relations back on the right track. In dialogue and
communication, we should make them aware that
the common interests of China and the United States outweigh their differences and that cooperation
benefits both sides, while fights are detrimental to
both. Strategic dialogue should be carried out to let
both sides fully understand each other’s strategic
intentions, especially to let the U.S. side understand that the BRI is an opportunity rather than a
threat to all countries in the world, including the
U.S., and that a revived China has no intention of
replacing the U.S., but rather to “continue to transcend itself to become a better China”. President Xi
Jinping pointed out in his meeting with Biden that
“the wide world can fully accommodate China and
the United States in their respective development
and common prosperity”, China will not challenge
or replace the United States, and the United States
should not undermine China’s legitimate rights and
interests. The two sides should respect each other
334
and not mold each other according to their wishes,
let alone deprive each other of their rights to development. Stabilizing and improving China-US
relations can only be achieved through frank, substantive, and constructive strategic communication,
which can effectively avoid conflicts resulting from
strategic miscalculations. The same applies to developed economies such as Japan and the EU. At
the Third Belt and Road International Cooperation
Summit Forum, China made it clear that the BRI
can be dovetailed with the EU’s “Global Gateway”
program. We will give full play to our respective advantages and make joint efforts to help developing
countries speed up infrastructure construction.
Only by actively engaging in dialogue on an equal
footing while firmly defending the legitimate rights
and interests of the country can we effectively address the strategic concerns of developed countries
about China.
In short, we should expand the convergence of
interests with all countries through active action
in multilateral and bilateral relations, highlight the
advantages of China’s socialist market economic
system in practice, avoid taking the old path of
Western capitalism’s profit-mindedness and hegemony, gradually realize the historic transcendence
of the capitalist world system, promote globalization in a fairer and more inclusive direction (Shen,
2019). We should replace the geopolitical game
of economic cold war thinking with the win-win
cooperation of the community of human destiny,
“unity instead of division, cooperation instead of
confrontation, openness instead of closure, and
win-win instead of zero-sum”, inject new impetus
into global economic growth and development,
open up new space, set up a new framework for international economic cooperation, and contribute
more Chinese wisdom and programs to the construction of an open world economy.
Shu Zhan & Hao Ruiqi - The Challenges of Economic Cold-War Thinking for the Belt and Road and Counter Strategies
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