energies
Article
Biomass Clusterization from a Regional Perspective: The Case
of Lithuania
Mantas Svazas 1 , Valentinas Navickas 1 , Yuriy Bilan 2, * , Joanna Nakonieczny 3
1
2
3
4
*
Citation: Svazas, M.; Navickas, V.;
Bilan, Y.; Nakonieczny, J.; Spankova, J.
Biomass Clusterization from a
Regional Perspective: The Case of
and Jana Spankova 4
School of Economics and Business, Kaunas University of Technology, 44239 Kaunas, Lithuania;
mantas.svazas@ktu.lt (M.S.); valentinas.navickas@ktu.lt (V.N.)
Faculty of Bioeconomy Development, Vytautas Magnus University, 44239 Kaunas, Lithuania
Faculty of Management, Rzeszow University of Technology, 35-959 Rzeszow, Poland;
j.nakonieczny@prz.edu.pl
Faculty of Social and Economic Relations, Alexander Dubček University of Trenčín, 91150 Trenčín, Slovakia;
jana.spankova@tnuni.sk
Correspondence: y.bilan@prz.edu.pl
Abstract: The usage of renewable resources has become inseparable from the further development of
the world economy. To preserve a clean environment for future generations, the use of renewable
resources is becoming inevitable even in less developed countries. Recently, the world is facing
with challenges in securing green heat production. This situation allows the biomass energy sector
to develop. Biomass extracted from waste enables to produce green energy, while contributing to
the sustainable development of forestry. One of the major constraints on the usage of biomass is
the complex and multifaceted supply chain involving different business subjects. Compatibility
problems with different interests can be solved by operating in a cluster structure. Cluster activities
allow for more efficient use of limited resources. It allows to create added value for the region and
society. Due to the specificity of biomass energy, there is an opportunity to create regional business
units that would involve human resources and solves long-standing social problems. The aim of
the study is to show the progress of Lithuanian regions in using biomass resources for heat energy
production. With the assistance of cluster analysis, it is performed based on economic, social, and
environmental data of Lithuanian regions.
Lithuania. Energies 2021, 14, 6993.
https://doi.org/10.3390/en14216993
Keywords: biomass clusters; region’s development; clusterization; cluster analysis
Academic Editor:
Oleksandr Melnychenko
Received: 28 September 2021
Accepted: 20 October 2021
Published: 25 October 2021
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4.0/).
1. Introduction
The rising concern about global warming encourages investments in green energy
solutions. Depending on the climate conditions and the abundance of natural resources
available, countries in the world choose different ways of producing green energy. The
developed Western European countries and the United States of America focus on electricity
generation through the development of technologies using wind and solar resources. At
the same time, the heat production sector faces several challenges: how to produce large
amounts of energy without harming the environment, while at the same time replacing
the polluting coal and natural gas fuels. Geothermal waters and biomass are mentioned
in the scientific literature as cost-effective renewable energy sources [1–5]. However, the
distribution of geothermal water resources in the world is uneven and the use of biomass
allows the combined generation of both heat and electricity. In addition, biomass is
environmentally neutral, as incineration produces only the amount of carbon dioxide
that the plant has absorbed during its life cycle. In other cases, the use of biomass for
energy production has a positive impact on the economy: the processing of biomass in
a biogas reactor allows the release and incineration of hazardous methane gas, which
would otherwise be released directly into the planet’s atmosphere. All these factors have
created a situation where biomass is one of the most cost-effective solutions for green
energy production.
Energies 2021, 14, 6993. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14216993
https://www.mdpi.com/journal/energies
Energies 2021, 14, 6993
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The cluster concept is based on cooperation between different entities in a certain
region and striving for the common aim. In the classical cluster structure financial, human,
and intellectual resources are concentrated to achieve the cluster’s activity objectives. The
phenomenon under analysis in the article is of relevance in two aspects. As regards the first
aspect, there is a lack of research to demonstrate the action of a biomass cluster in a certain
area. In the second case, it is stated that the biomass cluster is designed to satisfy the energy
needs of a certain region or a group of regions. This is fundamentally different from the
classic concept of clusters, where resources and work in a cluster are directed at national or
export markets as a whole. The activities of the biomass cluster are reserved exclusively for
the region of activity, the sustainable use of the resources it contains and the enrichment of
the region. The uncertainty of the existing synergistic effects and the resulting difficulties in
characterizing the positive effect of the conversion of biomass make it necessary to identify
positive trends in the effects of the biomass cluster and to define the market structure
factors that support and influence the current activity of the biomass cluster.
The clustering of the biomass sector as an energy unit is relatively poorly investigated.
Scientists turned to the idea of the use of biomass to meet energy needs only about a decade
ago. The scientific problem is addressed through several different aspects, the studies are
fragmentary and there are no developed research trends and topics of particular relevance.
The regional dimension is observed, i.e., in different continents ways of usage of different
types of biomass and their impacts are investigated. A number of studies on the potential
of usage of biomass in industrial clusters have been carried out [6–10]. In this case, biomass
is considered to be a secondary factor meeting the energy needs of industrial clusters. In
this way the scientists are investigating how industrial clusters start converting biomass,
but industrial entities of biomass have not been seen as an important part of the cluster.
They are treated as service providers and ensures of energy supply. The recent articles
have examined different types of biomass, such as woody biomass, methanol and different
types of algae.
In most of the studies there is a lack of economic assessment. The combined technicaleconomic assessment prevails, when the technical perspective is distinguished, while the
economic factors are treated as important, but do not determine the decision of technical
modernization [11–13]. Studies have also been carried out where the use of biomass is
combined with the use of other fuels [14–16]. There is no specific emphasis on the energy
consumption target here: in one case it may be clustered rural areas and in the other
case different groups of business and private customers. Biomass plays a significant role
in energy production, but it is combined with other forms of energy. In this case the
technical and political characteristics are also emphasized, but there is a lack of in-depth
economic assessment.
The aim of the article—to investigate the impact of the use of biomass on regional
development in the aspect of sustainable development. This includes different economic
indicators of the regions, the connection of which allows to study the comprehensive
development of the regions.
2. Literature Review
Biomass clustering processes take place exclusively in regional areas, close to existing
biomass resources—forests, unused land areas, plantations of energy crops. It creates
regional distinctiveness—fully clustered activities in cities would not be possible. Involving
specialists of different profiles solving regional problems, such as long-term unemployment,
lack of capital, and a wide range of social problems. However, biomass energy has longstanding barriers to development, which in many cases are due to a lack of political
will. Regions, that have been able to see the benefits of using biomass more quickly have
developed relatively faster. Development is based on the usage of local resources, thus
leaving all the value created within the region.
In general, researchers single out various types of barriers that prevent the development of biomass energy. At the same time, it limits the scope for clustering of the
Energies 2021, 14, 6993
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sector. One of the main barriers is related to raising capital, (Table 1), but infrastructure
and social aspects are also important. Reducing the impact of these barriers would create
preconditions for concentrating corporate resources in clusters and using them to occupy
new markets. To ensure the financial side of the activity, it is also necessary to work with
the social partners—to acquaint them with the concept of clusters, to clarify the impact of
the activity, to present the benefits of the activity to the society. In this way, threats arising
from information asymmetry and misinformation can be eliminated.
Table 1. Barriers to biomass energy development.
Source
Identified Barriers
[17] (Czechia, 2014)
[18] (Northern Italy, 2016)
Information flows
[19] (Denmark, 2016)
[20] (Devens, MA, 2016)
Failure to comply the national laws
[17] (Czechia, 2014)
[21] (Spain, 2009)
Unskilled human resources
[20] (Devens, MA, 2016)
[18] (Northern Italy, 2016)
Technological issues
[18] (Northern Italy, 2016)
[21] (Spain, 2009)
Lack of information
One of the biggest obstacles in biomass energy sector is technical barriers. It can
significantly limit the spread of biomass energy, interfere investment and energy progress.
From the point of view of [22], given the obvious inevitable issues related to fossil fuels,
including the availability of fossil fuels in the coming years, renewable energy may be
the positive path for the future of energy production sector. However, consumption
patterns are also changing and the demand for a new product depends on the added value
created in terms of economic, social and environmental benefits. New products must
be technologically and economically viable to be successful. According to Dasappa [23],
presents some possible technical barriers with an economic basis:
•
•
•
•
•
Biomass resources and geographical distribution;
Biomass (wood waste and crop residues) demand (energy, feed, etc.) and geographical distribution;
Electricity demand and possible growth of electricity demand (with increasing electrification) according to geographical distribution;
Identification of potential regions with compatibility of available resources and energy needs;
Technical aspects of gasification;
#
#
#
Norms and standards for renewable energy efficiency, production, installation
and maintenance are weak and/or non-existent.
Lack of collection points for locally produced renewable energy technology
components without exploiting the region’s concentrated knowledge, skills
and experience in operating renewable energy systems.
Limited technical capabilities to design, install, operate, manage and maintain
local grids (renewable mini-grids).
Biomass energy sector efficiency maintains cluster activities and solve particular
problems [24]. Opportunities for the development of a biomass cluster that are relevant to
countries that do not have a deep tradition of operating in the sector. Incentive instruments
can be used in the early stages of operation to develop the acceleration of activity. According
to the researchers, the new capable energy production cluster should be significantly
supported by some coordinated government policy. Various options for the development
of an energy cluster are possible, but any solution is likely to require changes in tax
Energies 2021, 14, 6993
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policy and include tax incentives, “tax holidays”, initial investment grants, voluntary
upgrading of infrastructure (e.g., roads to power plants or biomass concentration places)
and public/private transport. private sector partnerships. Meanwhile, [25] distinguishes
the main project performance indicators:
•
•
•
•
•
Optimization of key production indicators—economic activity (sales volume, profitability, capital productivity, etc.) in the cluster members;
Increase in tax revenue;
Growth of attracted investments, including foreign funds and private investments;
Increase in the number of companies and organizations, including SMEs, participating
in the cluster;
Increasing the number of skilled jobs, including the involvement of high-tech experts.
The activities of the biomass cluster create a wide range of macroeconomic impacts,
which are assessed on a regional and national scale. Business clustering initiates an
extensive social redistribution, which manifests itself in the creation of unskilled jobs, the
reduction of unemployment, increased stability, and changes in environmental protection,
development and regional policy. The use of biomass is desirable for several reasons,
including energy security factors, environmental concerns, foreign exchange savings, and
socioeconomic issues [26]. Synergistic effects arising from biomass clustering permit the
reorientation of both the energy system and the regional economy.
Creation of the new workplaces is a key part of economic development. Positive effects
are not limited to the amount of wages paid. The positive effect occurs when workers
spend part of their income in the local economy, creating additional benefits, thus creating
a multiplier effect. The increased costs create economic activity (jobs and income) in other
sectors, such as retail, restaurants, the leisure sector, and entertainment. Renewable energy
systems can create more workplaces per unit of money invested than conventional energy
supply projects. The number of workplaces also depends on the number of production
stages carried out in the region, as more jobs will be created if materials and technologies
are recycled and produced locally [27]. The growth of taxes on labor relations is directly
reflected in national and social security budgets, and additional funds can be directed to
protect the most vulnerable sections of society from further stagnation. Biomass energy can
create many jobs in the internal market, and it is guaranteed that many of these jobs will
not be relocated due to the locality of resources [28]. Funds invested in energy efficiency
measures generate cash flows that can be channeled to stimulate the economy and new
workplaces creation.
Finally, it must be emphasized that the impact of biomass clusters is not limited
to reduced pollution levels and improved bio-waste management. The use of biomass
in energy facilitates the development of a sustainable society. A sustainable society is
envisioned as an assembly of people capable of using limited resources sustainably. It is
also added that one of the factors necessary for the sustainable development of society is
the decreasing or at least not increasing total energy consumption [29]. Biomass clusters
can contribute to this by offering consumers a shift to more efficient energy solutions. By
maintaining constant communication with energy consumers, the cluster can steer them
on the path to changes in energy consumption.
Summarizing the impact of the biomass cluster on the economy, it can be predicate that
the impact is both direct (development of a new business sector) and indirect (exploitation
of local resources by cleaning the environment, solving social problems while creating
value). The impact of the cluster is based on synergies—the factors of local resource use
together strengthen energy security, economic viability of regions, improve the state of the
environment. The activities of the cluster emphasize the link between the principles of
sustainable development—it is inseparable from the daily activities of the cluster and is
the main factor ensuring competitiveness.
Energies 2021, 14, 6993
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3. Materials and Methods
The methodology uses data related to sustainable development in the regional areas.
The example of Lithuania is used for the research. In the country since 2009 the use
of biomass resources has increased by more than 70%. The growth of biomass use in
Lithuania developed according to the principles of clustering—strong biomass preparation
and processing sectors were created, and producers of equipment using biomass emerged.
At the same time, there is a constant exchange of scientific information, which has made
it possible to develop more efficient equipment and reduce fuel production losses. By
cooperating with each other, business entities were able to supply regional centers with
biomass, thus reducing the cost of heat. Prior to the use of biomass, imported natural gas
was used for heat production. Production and consumption of biomass on the principle of
clustering is formed naturally, forming the whole market. Nevertheless, research lacks a
scientific rationale for how the use of biomass affects national and regional economies. The
prevailing situation in the country is fully in line with the goals of the European Union’s
Green deal—to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and promote green energy production.
The impact of biomass use in this work is assessed on the basis of data defining sustainable
development. The use of biomass is inseparable from the desire to decarbonization, which
has social and economic consequences. Together with environmental data, these three
groups of criteria are distinguished. These criteria include the directions of impact that the
biomass cluster operates during its activities. In one case, new value is created (products
not used before), in another case savings and increased operational efficiency are observed.
From an environmental point of view, progress in environmental management due to the
positive financial impact is highlighted (Table 2).
Table 2. Required data for the research.
Criteria Group
Criterion
Unit
Source of Data
€
Economic perspective
Municipal (regional) budget revenues
Municipal (regional) budget
expenditures
Personal income tax revenues
Costs for biomass
Costs for gas
Heat price
€
€
€
€ct/kWh
Social perspective
Costs for social allowance
Average wage
Unemployed persons
€
€
Persons
[30]
Environmental
perspective
Forest management projects
Forest coverage level
ha
%
[35]
€
[30–34]
Data were processed and adapted for this study before use. Until 2015 the litas
currency circulated in Lithuania, after which the litas was replaced by the single EU
currency, the euro. All data presented in litas were converted into euros. In some cases,
when data were provided in the format of counties or other regional compounds, they
were disaggregated by assigning a particular regional part. In the case of gas and biomass
costs, the amount of costs by municipality was determined by considering the amount of
fuel consumed, multiplied by the prevailing fuel price at that time. In the absence of a
contribution of GDP by municipalities, based on the theoretical analysis, the impact of the
use of biomass on economic, social, and environmental cohesion was chosen to be studied.
This has led to a more complex study, covering not only economic factors but also the
importance of biofuel actions for the main levels of activity in the region.
Cluster analysis is used to group regions according to certain characteristics. According to the available data, the regions are divided into clusters, which are then used for
other analytical activities. Regions in clusters are united by similar characteristics and development scenarios. In this case, clustering of time series is distinguished, as the available
Energies 2021, 14, 6993
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data relate to a certain analyzed period, allowing to compare different regions according to
the degree of sustainable energy development. Clustering methods are applied in many
fields, including artificial intelligence and model recognition, ecology, economics, geology,
marketing, medical research, political science, psychometry, and others [36]. Cluster analysis is unique in that its goal is to reduce the number of cases or observations by dividing
them into homogeneous groups, identifying groups without knowing in advance group
membership or the number of possible groups [37]. Cluster analysis also provides many
possibilities related to the grouping algorithm, with each choosing a different grouping
structure. Therefore, cluster analysis can be a convenient statistical tool for studying the
basic structures of different types of data sets. The uniqueness of the cluster analysis
is related to the possibility to group the components of different capacities according to
certain selected criteria, creating conditions for comparing the components.
The two most widely used methods of cluster analysis are mentioned in the scientific
literature—hierarchical clustering and K-Mean clustering. This procedure is an exploratory
tool designed to reveal natural groups (or clusters) of a data set that cannot be detected.
The algorithm used by this method has a significant amount of desired properties that
make it different from other methods [38]:
1.
2.
3.
Application of categorical and continuous variables: Assuming that the variables are
independent, a general multinomial-normal distribution can be established for the
categorical and continuous variables.
Automatic selection of some clusters: By comparing the values of the model selection
criterion in different clustering solutions, the procedure can automatically determine
the optimal number of clusters.
Scaling: A group property tree is constructed that summarizes the number of optimal clusters.
With some data, the most appropriate clustering method can be applied. Before
making a decision on the choice of method, it is necessary to carefully analyze the available
data and know what result is sought. The methods can combine indicators of different
dimensions, but of the same analysis period, by dividing them into clusters describing
certain regularities. The methods used in cluster analysis differ in their specifics, data
sample, level of data preparation. Choosing the incorrectly method could lead to inaccurate
test results. Detailed analysis of clustering methods will allow us to accurately determine
the need to use a particular method, avoiding further research errors. In addition, the
presentation of different methods will allow us to justify the decision to choose one method
of cluster analysis. A more detailed analysis of data clustering methods is presented
in Table 3.
Table 3. The methods of cluster analysis.
Source
[39–43]
Method
Specification
partitioning
One of the most popular methods is K-Means, where each
cluster has a prototype calculated from the average of
objects in that group. The goal of this method is to
minimize the distance (scatter) between the objects in each
group. From this method, the k-meanoids method (PAM)
has evolved, where the prototype of each group contains a
real object whose value is closest to the group mean. For
both methods, the number of clusters must be defined in
advance. Applying fuzzy logic results in the Fuzzy
c-Means (FCM) method, where one value can belong to
several clusters and the number of clusters is selected
during optimization.
Energies 2021, 14, 6993
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Table 3. Cont.
Source
[44–49]
[50–53]
[54–58]
[59–63]
[64–66]
Method
Specification
hierarchical
Probably the most widely used method is agglomerative
hierarchical cluster analysis. It is based on a proximity
matrix that includes an assessment of the similarity of all
object pairs. A variety of measures can be used to measure
the similarity or difference between different types of
variables (quantitative, qualitative, and binary). In addition,
it is often the case that clusters have sub-clusters, and
hierarchical structures naturally reflect the main scope.
However, due to the complexity of the quadratic
calculation, it only applies to small data sets.
grid-based
Grid-based clustering proceeds by dividing data space into
a grid structure with a certain finite number of cells.
Operations are then performed on all of these cells, not on
individual data points. This method usually processes data
faster than other methods due to the reduced number of
elements processed.
The considered time period is divided into a finite number
of periods from which a grid is formed. The use of waves is
a classic example of such a group of methods. This type of
method is rarely used for time series clustering.
model-based
An attempt is made to reproduce the original model from a
given data set by creating a separate model for each cluster
and selecting the objects that best fit that model. The
model-based model relies on finite models, where the
density of each component typically represents a cluster.
The disadvantages of this group of methods are high
computational costs, the requirement of a pre-known
model format, and non-real-world process assumptions
used to create the model. One way to handle large-scale
data in a model-based approach is to use a factor analyzer
model or some variants of it.
density-based
Density-based clustering proceeds on the principle that all
data is considered as a single image of the density function,
but those areas where more points are concentrated should
be considered as those that can provide data analysis
results. Clusters obtained on the basis of density-based
clustering are summarized as separated by low-density
areas. Traditional density methods are DBSCAN, OPTICS,
and DENCLUE. DBSCAN and its extension, OPTICS, are
typical density methods that summarize groups based on
density-based link analysis in a spatial data set. DENCLUE
is a method for classifying objects based on the value
distribution analysis of density functions
multi-step
At different levels, several of the above methods are applied
or they are applied according to the different characteristics
of the rows. E.g., applying the k-means object method to
different metrics (line form and time) allows to find lines
with similar properties with small computational resources.
Based on the cluster analysis methods presented in the table, was made the decision to
use the division method using K-mean cluster analysis. The decision was made considering
the available data and the objectives of the article. Researchers base the reasons for the
use of the K-mean differently. The K-Mean clustering algorithm is a basic algorithm based
on the decomposition method used for many clustering tasks, especially for small-sized
data sets [67]. Using the K-mean clustering method, data are grouped according to their
proximity to each other according to Euclidean distance. In this case, ky is accepted as an
Energies 2021, 14, 6993
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input parameter, thus dividing the set of n objects into groups of ky . The average value
of an object is considered a similarity parameter when forming groups [68]. The cluster
average or center is formed by randomly selecting a ky object. After comparing the existing
similarities, the objects are assigned to a cluster. Cluster analysis assists to group regions
into different characteristics. This makes it possible to single out regions with positive
economic characteristics and areas whose energy performance needs to be improved. In the
case of biomass clustering, regions with sufficient biomass resources can be studied [69,70].
used the Markov model in his study, which models different time series simultaneously.
This model identifies groups of time series with similar dynamics that can be applied to the
analysis of time series relationships, considering the heterogeneity of time series as well as
the hidden states in the time series. This extended hidden Markov model can be useful
for monitoring any consistent process. Based on the work of the presented researchers,
it is assumed that the K-mean method will permit the division of the regions into such
groups, which will summarize their chosen path of reorientation of the energy system,
solution of social problems, use of local resources. At the same time, this method can
be used with data of different dimensions, as is the case in this study. With usage of the
method, it will be possible to see the progress or regression of regions over time, thus
moving different clusters. Lithuanian municipalities with district heating networks are
used to perform cluster analysis, excluding large cities. The latter municipalities are not
considered to produce biomass but may be home to the parent biofuel companies. In this
way, their results can significantly distort the overall situation.
In summary, the cluster analysis is appropriate for investigation the economies of
regional areas, as the analysis examines different indicators. In the case of biomass clusters,
indicators of sustainable development are studied, thus enabling to detect the leading
regions. K-Mean clustering allows to use indicators of different dimensions as a unifying
factor in emphasizing the time series. The research provides the progress of Lithuanian
regions in the development of biomass energy, conveyed according to the link between
sustainable development indicators.
4. Results
Analytical actions are performed based on cluster analysis elements. Two important
components that characterize the data groups are analyzed—analysis of variance and
determination of cluster centers. The results of analysis of variance are first considered. To
do this, an F test is performed. It is generally accepted that variables with large F values
best divide the data into certain clusters [70]. In this case, it is considered that certain
indicators define the municipalities concentrated in different clusters. The results of the
ANOVA analysis of variance presented in Table 4 show that several indicators stand out
with particularly high values, thus enabling the grouping of data into different clusters.
In order to unify the values and dimensions of the numbers, for the analysis are used
normalized values.
Table 4. Results of variance analysis.
Error
Cluster
Zscore (Costs_for_biomass_EUR)
Zscore (Costs_for_gas _EUR)
Zscore (Costs_for_social_allowance_th_EUR)
Zscore: Municipal_budget_
expenditures_th_EUR
Zscore: Municipal_budget_ revenues_th_EUR
Zscore (Personal_income_tax_revenues_EUR)
Zscore (heat_price_euro_ct_kWh)
Zscore (Forest_coverage_level_%)
Zscore (Forest_management_projects_ha)
Zscore: (Unemployed_persons)
Zscore (Average_wage_EUR)
Mean sq.
1.351
0.246
6.797
0.108
0.134
0.760
98.625
27.550
175.804
0.836
55.498
F
Sig.
467
467
467
467
9.868
5.148
23.874
3.134
0.000
0.006
0.000
0.044
467
467
467
467
467
467
467
3.716
18.498
173.777
30.454
481.164
9.254
91.106
0.025
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
df
Mean sq.
df
2
2
2
2
0.137
0.048
0.285
0.035
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
0.036
0.041
0.568
0.905
0.365
0.090
0.609
Energies 2021, 14, 6993
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The ANOVA table shows that the values of F for forest management projects, heat
prices and average wages are the highest. It can be argued that these indicators are the basis
for classifying data sets into clusters, thus providing a basis for further regional analysis.
After obtaining these results, the procedure for determining cluster centers is performed
(Table 5), i.e., the singled-out indicators are indicated as the most important for a particular
cluster and characterized it.
Table 5. The results of final cluster centers determination.
Zscore (Costs_for_biomass_EUR)
Zscore (Costs_for_gas _EUR)
Zscore (Costs_for_social_allowance_th_EUR)
Zscore: Municipal_budget_
expenditures_th_EUR
Zscore: Municipal_budget_ revenues_th_EUR
Zscore (Personal_income_tax_revenues_EUR)
Zscore (heat_price_euro_ct_kWh)
Zscore (Forest_coverage_level_%)
Zscore (Forest_management_projects_ha)
Zscore: (Unemployed_persons)
Zscore (Average_wage_EUR)
1
2
3
−0.25051
−0.28372
−0.17768
−0.31265
−0.21730
−0.16977
−0.00086
−0.24692
−0.07046
−0.21327
−0.35495
−0.22943
−0.32151
−0.31481
−0.35659
1.00732
3.02849
−0.30456
−0.17456
−0.24909
−0.29682
0.68760
−0.21547
−0.30700
−0.16675
−0.60067
−0.22918
−0.18539
−0.64319
0.22887
−0.08453
−0.28244
0.41051
Cluster centers are related to previously identified economic, social, and environmental assumptions. The center of the first cluster is forest management projects, and the
level of forest cover is also positive. The center of the second cluster is the price of heat,
which is attributed to the economic outlook. The center of the third cluster is the average
wage assigned to the social perspective data group. In the first case the results of the early
period—2008 have been analyzed (Figure 1). In this case the regions are distributed into
the second and the third clusters. There is no precedent of the first cluster which would
characterize so far relatively passive municipalities. The major part of the municipalities
belongs to the second cluster. As has been investigated before, the municipalities of the
second cluster are characterized by the use of fossil resources and relatively lower analyzed
indicators. The major part of the municipalities located in the Eastern Lithuania which
have abundant biomass resources in their disposition belong to the third cluster. Varena,
Mazeikiai, Ignalina municipalities (Group A) ought to be attributed to the municipalities
which use biomass relatively abundantly. Other municipalities such as Prienai, Rokiskis,
Kelme, Svencionys (Group B) municipalities are characterized by big forest covers and
strong sector of biomass preparation, however the amounts of biomass consumed by them
during the analyzed period were not marked. Other municipalities are attributed to the
second cluster. Nearly all the municipalities are in Middle Lithuania excluding several
individual municipalities in the Western and Eastern Lithuania. The only observed exception is Panevezys City Municipality (Group C) in which biomass was used relatively
abundantly, although due to the size of the municipality no biomass preparation sector
of a wide scale was created. Excluding Lazdijai, Sakiai, Zarasai (Group D) municipalities
for the production of heat energy the absolute majority of the municipalities of the second
cluster were using natural gas. The mentioned municipalities although they had abundant
resources of biomass and were using them for energy generation had not managed to
exploit the natural resources enjoyed by them on a wider scale.
In 2014, it was noticeable significant progress in the use of biomass. The number
of regions in the third cluster increased significantly, especially in Western Lithuania
(Figure 2). However, progress in Eastern Lithuania has stalled and regional municipalities
have been included in the first cluster. There is a noticeable improvement in the situation
in Central Lithuania due to large capital investments—four municipalities belonging to the
third cluster have invested over 30 million EUR in biomass energy facilities. This has more
than halved reduced the cost of heat [49.50]. Decreasing unemployment contributed to
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the faster progress of the regions also, the areas of uncultivated land in Western Lithuania
decreased. 2014 can be considered a transitional period when regions are developing in a
fragmented way.
Figure 1. The results of clustering applying clusters analysis of 2008.
—
Figure 2. The results of clustering applying clusters analysis of 2014.
The results of 2017 have been presented likewise (Figure 3). In this case the effect of
biomass conversion is clearly visible—the —
number of municipalities which have been attributed to the third cluster has grown significantly. Nearly in the whole Middle Lithuania
excluding the Kedainiai District Municipality conversion effect has occurred—the municipalities have progressed to the use of biomass, improving the other analyzed indicators in
this way as well.
—
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Figure 3. The results of clustering applying clusters analysis of 2020.
In comparison with the period before a decade only three municipalities the results of
which are attributed to the second cluster have remained. In these municipalities biomass
makes the main share in the general consumption of fuel, but these municipalities have no
big own fuel resources and this has hindered the creation—of strong biomass preparation
sector. Inter alia these municipalities have inveterate problems of unemployment, the
level of salaries is also low and the heat price due to the lack of efficiency of fuel use is
high. During the analyzed period a situation which significantly increased the number of
municipalities belonging to the first cluster has arisen. It indicates that these municipalities
have not managed to avail of the enjoyed advantages (in the form of resources) via the
creation of positive impact on the region and the society. Even though these municipalities
are using biomass in the major part of cases, have abundant resources of this fuel, the sector
of fuel preparation had not been created in them, they have not managed to reduce the
number of the payees of welfare benefits and create well paid workplaces. This has reduced
the competitiveness of the municipalities, although a decade before they were among the
leaders. This enables to state that the disability of these municipalities to encourage the
business entities to develop the processing of natural resources into biomass has reduced
the attractiveness of these municipalities among both the society and the business entities.
In summary, the use of biomass has significantly improved the situation in the regions.
However, a gap has emerged between regions that are moving in the direction of progress
and those that have stuck to outdated energy
— production methods. The use of biomass
correlates with the solution of social problems—the unemployment rate, the number
of long-term unemployed persons, and allowance for this group have —
decreased. The
use of biomass did not worsen the situation of forests, on the contrary, it reduced the
area of derelict land that was later used for agricultural activities. The creation —
of the
biomass energy sector has made it possible to expand the use of renewable resources in
Lithuania, thus placing the country in a leading position in the European Union. Cluster
analysis has shown that significant progress has been made over the decade in converting
regional energy systems. In some cases, municipalities that were ranked among the
innovators were left out due to stalled progress. The data analyzed by clusters showed
that municipalities drastically changed their energy system by purchasing many parts of
fuel, and the analysis of clusters showed that such municipalities are leaders in the fields
of energy and social cohesion.
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5. Conclusions
The impact of clustering of biomass sector encompasses microeconomic and macroeconomic factors. The impact of biomass clustering on microeconomic level manifests
itself in three main aspects. First—decentralization of power generation in the region.
The employment of biomass creates the conditions to diversify the power market in the
region, thus increasing the competitiveness of the locality. Second—the increased level of
innovativeness. The activity of the biomass cluster is constantly innovated, thus forcing
other power industry structures to maintain high level of efficiency. Last—the springing
up of new business entities serving the cluster. The constant necessity to provide biomass
and maintain a smooth supply chain creates the conditions to establish new SMEs entities.
The impact created by the clustering of biomass sector on the macroeconomic level is
concentrated on the following trends: the growth of energetic safety, the improvement
of environmental situation and the positive economic consequences resulting from it, the
improving life quality and social situation in the regions. By diversifying the energy system
of the region, a biomass cluster increases the energetic safety level, as the cluster activity
enables to avoid the external sabotage actions appearing due to the unexpected interruptions of energy resources supply and the inadequately growing prices of the resources. By
employing organic waste which in certain cases may have negative impact on environment,
economic value is extracted and cleaner dwelling environment is created. The clustering of
biomass enables to create new jobs in the whole supply chain of biomass thus reducing the
scale of social problems and creating an independent, ambitious and satisfied society.
During the cluster analysis while investigating the statistical indicators of the regions
it has been stated that the regions are being fragmented according to the type of the used
fuel and the impact created by this solution on other levels of economy. The municipalities
using fossil fuel acquire less income into their budgets, collect less personal income tax and
their population buys thermal power for a higher price. The situation is opposite in the
municipalities using biomass—in them significantly more personal income tax is collected
from the sector, the heat price is significantly less, thus indicating the opportunities of
the populations of these municipalities to save means or redirect them to other directions.
During the change of the analyzed period the structure of clustering changes as well—the
regions which had progressed to the use of biomass were significantly improving their
results on the economic and social plane. It has been investigated that the regions using
biomass increase the level of the received income, ipso facto, the conditions for bigger
expenses are created in them. The indicators of the registered unemployed and the expenses
for welfare benefits in the municipalities using fossil fuel in comparison with the results of
other municipalities are markedly bigger and also inversely proportional to the dynamics
of employment of biomass. The municipalities in which the level of forest cover is high
and which are implementing projects of forest management on a vast scale are not able to
multiply the created positive impact and to spread it wider to economic and social spheres.
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, M.S. and J.S.; methodology, M.S. and V.N.; software, M.S.
and V.N.; validation, M.S. and V.N.; formal analysis, M.S. and J.S.; investigation, M.S.; resources
Y.B. and J.N.; data curation, Y.B. and J.N.; writing—original draft preparation, M.S. writing—review
and editing, Y.B. and J.S.; visualization, M.S.; supervision, J.S.; project administration, Y.B.; funding
acquisition, Y.B. and J.S. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding: This research received no external funding.
Institutional Review Board Statement: Not applicable.
Informed Consent Statement: Not applicable.
Data Availability Statement: Not applicable.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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