Search Results (499)

Obtaining temperature and humidity profiles with high vertical resolution is essential for describing and predicting atmospheric motion, and, in particular, for understanding the evolution of medium- and small-scale weather processes, making short-range and near-term weather forecasting, and implementing weather modifications (artificial rainfall, artificial rain elimination, etc.). Ground-based microwave radiometers can acquire vertical tropospheric atmospheric data with high temporal and spatial resolution. However, the accuracy of temperature and relative humidity retrieval is still not as accurate as that of radiosonde data, especially in cloudy conditions. Therefore, improving the observation and retrieval accuracy is a major challenge in current research. The focus of this study was to further improve the accuracy of atmospheric temperature and humidity profile retrieval and investigate the specific effects of cloud information (cloud-base height and cloud thickness) on temperature and humidity profile retrieval. The observation data from the ground-based multichannel microwave radiometer (GMR) and the millimeter-wave cloud radar (MWCR) were incorporated into the retrieval process of the atmospheric temperature and relative humidity profiles. The retrieval was performed using the backpropagation neural network (BPNN). The retrieval results were quantified using the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The statistical results showed that the temperature profiles were less affected by the cloud information compared with the relative humidity profiles. Cloud thickness was the main factor affecting the retrieval of relative humidity profiles, and the retrieval with cloud information was the best retrieval method. Compared with the retrieval profiles without cloud information, the MAE and RMSE values of most of the altitude layers were reduced to different degrees after adding cloud information, and the relative humidity (RH) errors of some altitude layers were reduced by approximately 50%. The maximum reduction in the RMSE and MAE values for the retrieval of temperature profiles with cloud information was about 1.0 °C around 7.75 km, and the maximum reduction in RMSE and MAE values for the relative humidity profiles was about 10%, which was obtained around 2 km. Full article

The state of watermain systems is intrinsically linked to climate factors such as fluctuations in temperature and variations in rainfall. However, the integration of these climate-related factors into watermain failure prediction models, with a specific focus on climate change impacts, remains insufficiently explored. In response to these challenges, this research incorporates the potential effects of climate change on the frequency of watermain breaks by utilizing machine learning techniques, including K-Nearest Neighbours, Random Forest, Artificial Neural Network, and Extreme Gradient Boosting. By leveraging projected climate trends, the models provide actionable intelligence that can inform the development of more robust maintenance and rehabilitation strategies. Full article

The rainfall drainage characteristics of urban areas result in more surface runoff compared to soil surfaces. Conventional Urban Drainage Systems, CUDs, have disadvantages when managing this surface runoff, leading to urban water circulation issues such as flooding and depletion of groundwater. The performance of CUDs varies significantly depending on the clogging of grate inlets with various debris and shapes. To address these disadvantages, Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems, SUDs, have been proposed. This study compares the drainage efficiency of the two systems; using a physical model with an artificial rainfall simulator, an experimental study was conducted with respect to clogging type, clogging ratio, and rainfall intensity. Comparative analysis of peak flow rates and the peak time demonstrates the advantages of IRDs. As a result, IRDs are applicable to the mitigation of urban water circulation problems such as inundation. Full article

Runoff forecasting is crucial for water resource management and flood safety and remains a central research topic in hydrology. Recent advancements in machine learning provide novel approaches for predicting runoff. This study employs the Competitive Adaptive Reweighted Sampling (CARS) algorithm to integrate various machine learning models into a data-driven rainfall–runoff simulation model. We compare the forecasting performance of different machine learning models to improve rainfall–runoff prediction accuracy. This study uses data from the Maduwang hydrological station in the Bahe river basin, which contain 12 measured flood events from 2000 to 2010. Historical runoff and areal mean rainfall serve as model inputs, while flood data at different lead times are used as model outputs. Among the 12 flood events, 9 are used as the training set, 2 as the validation set, and 1 as the testing set. The results indicate that the CARS-based machine learning model effectively forecasts floods in the Bahe River basin. Under the prediction period of 1 to 6 h, the model achieves high forecasting accuracy, with the average NSE ranging from 0.7509 to 0.9671 and the average R² ranging from 0.8397 to 0.9413, though the accuracy declines to some extent as the lead time increases. The model accurately predicts peak flow and performs well in forecasting high flow and recession flows, though peak flows are somewhat underestimated for longer lead times. Compared to other machine learning models, the SVR model has the highest average RMSE of 0.942 for a 1–6 h prediction period. It exhibits the smallest deviation among low-, medium-, and high-flow curves, with the lowest NRMSE values across training, validation, and test sets, demonstrating better simulation performance and generalization capability. Therefore, the machine learning model based on CARS feature selection can serve as an effective method for flood forecasting. The related findings provide a new forecasting method and scientific decision-making basis for basin flood safety. Full article

Tidal flats, crucial for biodiversity and ecosystem services, are facing significant alterations due to human activities such as reclamation. In South Korea, over 65% of tidal flats have been reclaimed since the 1970s, resulting in morphological changes and altered sediment transport dynamics. This study investigates sediment transport processes in the artificial Aam tidal channel, created as part of the megacity development project in Incheon, Korea. Using data from Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler and Vector instruments deployed in 2019 and 2021, we analyzed tidal asymmetry, current velocities, shear stress, and suspended sediment concentration. Our results reveal a pronounced tidal asymmetry influencing sediment transport, with ebb-dominant currents near the channel entrance and flood-dominant currents in the interior. We observed significant sediment deposition in the landward section of the channel, driven by tidal mixing asymmetry and rainfall events. These findings highlight the complex interactions between artificial structures and natural sediment dynamics, informing future coastal development and management strategies. Full article

Soil hydrology seriously affects the prevention of desertification in karst areas. However, water infiltration in the different soil layers of secondary forests and artificial forests in karst areas remains uncertain. This lack of clarity is also the factor that constrains local vegetation restoration. Therefore, monitoring and simulating the priority transport of soil moisture will help us understand the shallow soil moisture transport patterns after artificial vegetation restoration in the local area, providing a reference for more scientific restoration of the ecological environment and enhancement of carbon storage in karst areas. The integration of soil physical property assessments, computed tomography (CT) scanning, dye tracing studies, and HYDRUS-2D modeling was utilized to evaluate and contrast the attributes of soil macropores and the phenomenon of preferential flow across various forestland categories. This approach allowed for a comprehensive analysis of how the soil structure and water movement are influenced by different forest ecosystems and infiltration head simulations (5 mm, 15 mm, 35 mm, and 55 mm) to elucidate the dynamics of water movement across diverse soil types within karst regions, to identify the causes of water leakage due to preferential flow in secondary forests, and to understand the mechanisms of water conservation and reduction in artificial forests adopting a multifaceted approach. This study demonstrated that (1) the soil hydrological capacity of a plantation forest was 20% higher than a natural forest, which may be promoted by the clay content and distribution. (2) Afforestation-enhanced soils in karst regions demonstrate a significant capacity to mitigate the loss of clay particles during episodes of preferential flow and then improve the soil erosion resistance by about 5 times, which can effectively control desertification in karst area. (3) The uniform distribution of macropores in plantation forest soil was conducive to prevent water leakage more effectively than the secondary forest but was incapable of hindering the occurrence of preferential flow. The secondary forest had a very developed preferential flow phenomenon, and soil clay deposition occurred with an increase in depth. (4) Moreover, the results for preferential flow showed that the matrix flow depth did not increase with the increase in water quantity. Short-term and high-intensity heavy rainfall events facilitated the occurrence of preferential flow. Infiltration along the horizontal and vertical directions occurred simultaneously. These results could facilitate a further understanding of the contribution of the plantation to soil amelioration and the prevention of desertification in karst areas, and provide some suggestions for the sustainable development of forestry in karst areas where plantation restoration is an important ingredient. Full article

Wildfire susceptibility maps play a crucial role in preemptively identifying regions at risk of future fires and informing decisions related to wildfire management, thereby aiding in mitigating the risks and potential damage posed by wildfires. This study employs eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques, particularly SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), to map wildfire susceptibility in Izmir Province, Türkiye. Incorporating fifteen conditioning factors spanning topography, climate, anthropogenic influences, and vegetation characteristics, machine learning (ML) models (Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM) were used to predict wildfire-prone areas using freely available active fire pixel data (MODIS Active Fire Collection 6 MCD14ML product). The evaluation of the trained ML models showed that the Random Forest (RF) model outperformed XGBoost and LightGBM, achieving the highest test accuracy (95.6%). All of the classifiers demonstrated a strong predictive performance, but RF excelled in sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F-1 score, making it the preferred model for generating a wildfire susceptibility map and conducting a SHAP analysis. Unlike prevailing approaches focusing solely on global feature importance, this study fills a critical gap by employing a SHAP summary and dependence plots to comprehensively assess each factor’s contribution, enhancing the explainability and reliability of the results. The analysis reveals clear associations between factors such as wind speed, temperature, NDVI, slope, and distance to villages with increased fire susceptibility, while rainfall and distance to streams exhibit nuanced effects. The spatial distribution of the wildfire susceptibility classes highlights critical areas, particularly in flat and coastal regions near settlements and agricultural lands, emphasizing the need for enhanced awareness and preventive measures. These insights inform targeted fire management strategies, highlighting the importance of tailored interventions like firebreaks and vegetation management. However, challenges remain, including ensuring the selected factors’ adequacy across diverse regions, addressing potential biases from resampling spatially varied data, and refining the model for broader applicability. Full article

Green roofs (GRs) are a widely recognized green infrastructure (GI) strategy that helps reduce runoff volume and runoff pollution caused by the significant increase in impervious urban areas. However, the leaching of several nutrients from GR substrates is a growing concern. Biochar, a carbon-rich material, possesses advantageous properties that can help address such environmental challenges associated with GRs. Therefore, this paper aimed to undertake a field study to investigate the impacts of various biochar application methods, particle sizes, and amendment rates on the quality of runoff from GRs. Observational data of runoff quality were collected over a two-month period from five newly established 1 m × 1 m biochar-amended GR test beds and a control test bed without biochar, with all test beds subjected to artificially simulated rainfall. The results indicated that the addition of biochar did not result in a significant improvement in runoff pH, whereas the electrical conductivity (EC) was higher in runoff from GRs with biochar-amended substrates. When comparing the total nitrogen (TN) concentration in runoff from the non-biochar GR (ranging from 3.7 to 31 mg/L), all biochar test beds exhibited higher TN release (4.8 to 58 mg/L), except for the bed where medium biochar particles were applied at the bottom of the substrate (ranging from 2.2 to 21 mg/L). Additionally, all biochar-amended GRs exhibited higher TP concentrations in runoff (0.81 to 2.41 mg/L) when compared to the control GR (0.35 to 0.67 mg/L). Among the different biochar setups, GR with fine biochar particles applied to the surface of the substrate had the poorest performance in improving runoff water quality. Despite these mixed results, biochar holds significant potential to improve runoff quality by significantly increasing water retention, thereby reducing pollutant loads. Full article

In the context of climate change, studying changes in rainfall patterns is a crucial area of research, remarkably so in arid and semi-arid regions due to the susceptibility of human activities to extreme events such as droughts. Employing predictive models to calculate drought indices can be a useful method for the effective characterization of drought conditions. This study applies two type of machine learning methods—long short-term memory (LSTM) and Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time Series Forecasting (N-HiTS)—to develop and deploy artificial neural network models with the aim of predicting the regional standardized precipitation index (SPI) in four regions of Zacatecas, Mexico. The predictor variables were a set of climatological time series data spanning from 1964 to 2020. The results suggest that the N-HiTS model outperforms the LSTM model in the prediction and forecasting of SPI time series for all regions in terms of performance metrics: the Mean Squared Error, Mean Absolute Error, Coefficient of Determination and ξ correlation coefficient range from 0.0455 to 0.5472, from 0.1696 to 0.6661, from 0.9162 to 0.9684 and from 0.9222 to 0.9368, respectively, for the regions under study. Consequently, the outcomes revealed the successful performance of the N-HiTS models in accurately predicting the SPI across the four examined regions. Full article

Modeling streamflow is essential for understanding flow inundation. Traditionally, this involves hydrologic and numerical models. This research introduces a framework using agent-based modeling (ABM) combined with data-driven modeling (DDM) and Artificial Intelligence (AI). An agent-driven model simulates streamflow and its interactions with river courses and surroundings, considering hydrologic phenomena related to precipitation, water level, and discharge as well as channel and basin characteristics causing increased water levels in the Medio River. A five-year dataset of hourly precipitation, water level, and discharge measurements was used to simulate streamflow. The model’s accuracy was evaluated using statistical metrics like correlation coefficient (r), coefficient of determination (R²), root mean squared error (RMSE), and percentage error in peak discharge (Qpk). The ABM’s simulated peak discharge (Qpk) was compared with the measured peak discharge across four experimental scenarios. The best simulations occurred in scenario 3, using only rainfall and streamflow data. Data management and visualization facilitated input, output, and analysis. This study’s ABM combined with DDM and AI offers a novel approach for simulating streamflow and predicting floods. Future studies could extend this framework to other river basins and incorporate advanced sensor data to enhance the accuracy and responsiveness of flood forecasting. Full article

Trees in degraded forest areas are generally exposed to water stress due to harsh environmental conditions, threatening their survival. This study simulated the environmental conditions of a degraded forest area by constructing an artificial rainfall slope and observing the physiological responses of Pinus densiflora to control, mulching, and waterbag treatments. P. densiflora exhibited distinct isohydric plant characteristics of reducing net photosynthetic rate and stomatal transpiration rate through regulating stomatal conductance in response to decreased soil moisture, particularly in the control and waterbag treatments. Additionally, the trees increased photochemical quenching, such as Y(NPQ), to dissipate excess energy as heat and minimize damage to the photosynthetic apparatus. However, these adaptive mechanisms have temporal limitations, necessitating appropriate measures. Under extreme drought stress (DS45), mulching treatment showed 4.5 times and 2.2 times higher in PI_abs and SFI_abs than in the control, and after the recovery period (R30), waterbag and mulching treatment showed similar levels, while PI_abs and SFI_abs in the control were only 45% and 75% of those in the mulching and waterbag treatments, respectively. Specifically, mulching extended the physiological mechanisms supporting survival by more than a week, making it the most effective method for enhancing the planting ground in degraded forest areas. Although the waterbag treatment was less effective than mulching treatment, it still significantly contributed to forming better growth conditions compared to the control. These findings highlight the potential for mulching and waterbag treatments to enhance forest restoration efforts, suggesting future research and application could lead to more resilient reforested areas capable of withstanding climate change-induced drought conditions. Full article

Landslides or slope failure pose a significant risk to human lives and infrastructures. The stability of slopes is controlled by various hydrological processes such as rainfall infiltration, soil water dynamics, and unsaturated soil behavior. Accordingly, soil hydrological monitoring and tracking the displacement of slopes become crucial to mitigate such risks by issuing early warnings to the respective authorities. In this context, there have been advancements in monitoring critical soil hydrological parameters and slope movement to ensure potential causative slope failure hazards are identified and mitigated before they escalate into disasters. With the advent of the Internet of Things (IoT), artificial intelligence, and high-speed internet, the potential to use such technologies for remotely monitoring soil hydrological parameters and slope movement is becoming increasingly important. This paper provides an overview of existing hydrological monitoring systems using IoT and AI technologies, including soil sampling, deploying on-site sensors such as capacitance, thermal dissipation, Time-Domain Reflectometers (TDRs), geophysical applications, etc. In addition, we review and compare the traditional slope movement detection systems, including topographic surveys for sophisticated applications such as terrestrial laser scanners, extensometers, tensiometers, inclinometers, GPS, synthetic aperture radar (SAR), LiDAR, and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs). Finally, this interdisciplinary research from both Geotechnical Engineering and Computer Science perspectives provides a comprehensive state-of-the-art review of the different methodologies and solutions for monitoring landslides and slope failures, along with key challenges and prospects for potential future study. Full article

Agricultural sustainability is dependent on the ability to predict crop yield, which is vital for farmers, consumers, and researchers. Most of the works used the amount of rainfall, average monthly temperature, relative humidity, etc. as inputs. In this paper, an attempt was made to predict the yield of the citrus crop (Washington Navel orange, Valencia orange, Murcott mandarin, Fremont mandarin, and Bearss Seedless lime) using weather factors and the accumulated heat units. These variables were used as input parameters in an artificial neural network (ANN) model. The necessary information was gathered during the growing seasons between 2010/2011 and 2021/2022 under Egyptian conditions. Weather factors were daily precipitation, yearly average air temperature, and yearly average of air relative humidity. A base air temperature of 13.0 °C was used to determine the accumulated heat units. The heat use efficiency (HUE) for cultivars was determined. The Bearss Seedless lime had the lowest HUE of 9.5 kg/ha °C day, while the Washington Navel orange had the highest HUE of 20.2 kg/ha °C day. The predictive performance of the ANN model with a structure of 9-20-1 with the backpropagation was evaluated using standard statistical measures. The actual and estimated yields from the ANN model were compared using a testing dataset, resulting in a value of RMSE, MAE, and MAPE of 2.80 t/ha, 2.58 t/ha, and 5.41%, respectively. The performance of the ANN model in the training phase was compared to multiple linear regression (MLR) models using values of R²; for MLR models for all cultivars, R² ranged between 0.151 and 0.844, while the R² value for the ANN was 0.87. Moreover, the ANN model gave the best performance criteria for evaluation of citrus yield prediction with a high R², low root mean squared error, and low mean absolute error compared to the performance criteria of data mining algorithms such as K-nearest neighbor (KNN), KStar, and support vector regression. These encouraging outcomes show how the current ANN model can be used to estimate fruit yields, including citrus fruits and other types of fruit. The novelty of the proposed ANN model lies in the combination of weather parameters and accumulated heat units for accurate citrus yield prediction, specifically tailored for Egyptian regional citrus crops. Furthermore, especially in low- to middle-income countries such as Egypt, the findings of this study can greatly enhance the reliance on statistics when making decisions regarding agriculture and climate change. The citrus industry can benefit greatly from these discoveries, which can help with optimization, harvest planning, and postharvest logistics. We recommended furthering proving the robustness and generalization ability of the results in this study by adding more data points. Full article

Certain impacts of climate change could potentially be linked to alterations in rainfall patterns, including shifts in rainfall intensity or drought occurrences. Hence, predicting droughts can provide valuable assistance in mitigating the detrimental consequences associated with water scarcity, particularly in agricultural areas or densely populated urban regions. Employing predictive models to calculate drought indices can be a useful method for the effective characterization of drought conditions. This study applied an Auto-Machine-Learning approach to deploy Artificial Neural Network models, aiming to predict the Standardized Precipitation Index in four regions of Zacatecas, Mexico. Climatological time-series data spanning from 1979 to 2020 were utilized as predictive variables. The best models were found using performance metrics that yielded a Mean Squared Error, Mean Absolute Error, and Coefficient of Determination ranging from 0.0296 to 0.0388, 0.1214 to 0.1355, and 0.9342 to 0.9584, respectively, for the regions under study. As a result, the Auto-Machine-Learning approach successfully developed and tested Artificial Neural Network models that exhibited notable predictive capabilities when estimating the monthly Standardized Precipitation Index within the study region. Full article

Flood prediction in hilly regions, characterized by rapid flow rates and high destructive potential, remains a significant challenge. This study addresses this problem by introducing a novel machine learning-based approach to enhance flood forecast accuracy and lead time in small watersheds within hilly terrain. The study area encompasses small watersheds of approximately 600 km². The proposed method analyzes spatiotemporal characteristics in rainfall dynamics to identify historical rainfall–flood events that closely resemble current patterns, effectively “learning from the past to predict the present”. The approach demonstrates notable precision, with an average error of 8.33% for peak flow prediction, 14.27% for total volume prediction, and a lead time error of just 1 h for peak occurrence. These results meet the stringent accuracy requirements for flood forecasting, offering a targeted and effective solution for flood forecasting in challenging hilly terrains. This innovative methodology deviates from conventional techniques by adopting a holistic view of rainfall trends, representing a significant advancement in addressing the complexities of flood prediction in these regions. Full article