Abstract
Background
Underlying pathophysiological mechanisms drive excessive clustering of cardiometabolic risk factors, causing metabolic syndrome (MetS). However, MetS status may transform as adolescents transition to young adulthood. This study evaluated the latent clustering structure and its stability for MetS during adolescence and investigated the determinants for MetS transformation over 2 years of follow-up.
Methods
A community-based representative adolescent cohort (n=1516) was evaluated for MetS using four diagnostic criteria and followed for 2.2 years to identify new-onset MetS. Factor analysis and polytomous logistic regression were separately applied to investigate the latent clustering structure for MetS and the relationship between changes in metabolic risk factors and transformations in MetS status.
Results
The clustering pattern of cardiometabolic parameters was comparable at baseline and follow-up surveys; both comprised a fat‒blood pressure‒glucose three-factor structure (total variance explained: 68.8% and 69.7%, respectively). Among adolescents who were MetS-negative at baseline, 3.2%‒4.4% had incident MetS after 2 years. Among adolescents who were MetS-positive at baseline, 52.0%‒61.9% experienced MetS remission, and 38.1%‒48.0% experienced MetS persistence. Increased systolic blood pressure (SBP) was associated with a higher risk of MetS incidence, and decreased SBP, triglycerides, and glucose levels were associated with MetS remission. Compared with adolescents with a normal metabolic status at baseline, those having an initial abnormal status in the five MetS components all had greater risks for persistent metabolic abnormality 2 years later, with abdominal obesity and increased triglycerides rendering a 15.0- and 5.7-fold risk, respectively.
Conclusions
The structure of cardiometabolic parameter clustering for MetS is stable during adolescence. Changes in metabolic risk factors affect typological transformation of adolescent MetS. Abnormal MetS components have a high probability of persisting. Early identification of each abnormal component and attendant intervention are vital in adolescents to minimize the future risk of cardiometabolic disorders.