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Problem 3

An assembly contains 3 mechanical components with individual probabilities of meeting specifications of 0.95, 0.98, and 0.99. Assuming independence, the probability mass function and expected number of components meeting specifications is determined. There are possible outcomes for the number of components (0, 1, 2, 3) meeting specifications. The probabilities of each outcome are calculated and presented in a table. The probability mass function and cumulative distribution function are given in terms of the number of components meeting specifications.

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Cường Nguyễn
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4K views

Problem 3

An assembly contains 3 mechanical components with individual probabilities of meeting specifications of 0.95, 0.98, and 0.99. Assuming independence, the probability mass function and expected number of components meeting specifications is determined. There are possible outcomes for the number of components (0, 1, 2, 3) meeting specifications. The probabilities of each outcome are calculated and presented in a table. The probability mass function and cumulative distribution function are given in terms of the number of components meeting specifications.

Uploaded by

Cường Nguyễn
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Problem 3.27: Problem content: An assembly consists of three mechanical components.

Suppose that the probabilities that the first, second, and third components meet specifications are 0.95, 0.98, and 0.99. Assume that the components are independent. Determine the probability mass function of the number of components in the assembly that meet specifications. Solution: According to the problem content, let is the probability that component is meet specifications then = 1 - is the probability that component is not meet specifications. We have 3 components so we have stand for the first, second and third components. So then:

Table 1: Probability
Let is the event that component is meet specifications. Then is the event that component is not meet specifications. With Then we have the possible outcomes table: Event Probabilities NOC

*NOC: Number of components meets specification Table 2: Possible outcomes and probabilities
Let the random variable denote the number of components that meet specifications. Then, can assume any of integer values 0 through 3. Let denote the measured value of . Then Let and is the probability mass function of , is the probability of with is the cumulative distribution function of

According to Table 2, we have: Probability to have 0 component meets specification: Probability to have 1 component meets specification: Probability to have 2 components meets specification: Probability to have 3 components meets specification:

Then we have the probability mass function:

And the cumulative distributions function:

Means (expected values): Variance values

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