MIERCOLES

SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
CANTIDAD
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

DEMANDA REAL
FT
ET
SCEP
AT
(W1*AT3)
+(W2*AT2)+(W3*AT1)
AT-FT
(ET)
SEMANA
319277
336761
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
326533.60
344230.60
357909.00
397034.60
434096.40
483758.00
518001.60
540635.20
46260.40
58292.40
106359.00
101610.40
93244.60
82974.00
36419.40
46260.40
104552.80
210911.80
312522.20
405766.80
488740.80
525160.20
PMP 3
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
5
Series1
7
Series2
10
11
ROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
ABS(ET)
46260.40
58292.40
106359.00
101610.40
93244.60
82974.00
36419.40
DMA
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
46260.40
104552.80
210911.80
312522.20
405766.80
488740.80
525160.20
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/ SCEP/
ABS(ET)*100/ ABS(ET)*10 (ABS(ET)
N
DMA
At
0/At
*100/At) /n
46260.40
52276.40
70303.93
78130.55
81153.36
81456.80
75022.89
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
0
12.41
14.48
22.91
20.38
17.68
14.64
6.57
12.41
26.89
49.80
70.18
87.86
102.50
109.07
12.41
13.45
16.60
17.54
17.57
17.08
15.58
W1
W2
W3
0.2
0.2
0.6
SEMANA
DEMANDA
REAL
FT
ET
SCEP
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
AT
(W1*AT3)
+(W2*AT2)+(W3*AT1)
AT-FT
(ET)
ABS(ET)
319277
336761
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
330030.40
344493.60
364852.60
402980.40
446445.40
490633.40
523740.80
548513.40
42763.60
58029.40
99415.40
95664.60
80895.60
76098.60
30680.20
42763.60
100793.00
200208.40
295873.00
376768.60
452867.20
483547.40
PMP (3) 2,4,4

600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11
42763.60
58029.40
99415.40
95664.60
80895.60
76098.60
30680.20
MOVIL PONDERADO 3
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
SCEP/DMA ABS(ET)*100/ ABS(ET)*10 (ABS(ET)*10
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
W1
W2
W3
42763.60
100793.00
200208.40
295873.00
376768.60
452867.20
483547.40
42763.60
50396.50
66736.13
73968.25
75353.72
75477.87
69078.20
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
1
11.47
14.42
21.41
19.18
15.34
13.43
5.53
11.47
25.89
47.30
66.49
81.83
95.25
100.79
11.47
12.94
15.77
16.62
16.37
15.88
14.40
0.2
0.4
0.4
SEMANA
DEMANDA
REAL
FT
ET
SCEP
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
AT
(W1*AT3)
+(W2*AT2)+(W3*AT1)
AT-FT
(ET)
ABS(ET)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
18
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
332041.80
351568.70
374270.20
418302.30
459495.30
499810.30
534488.60
549990.30
40752.20
50954.30
89997.80
80342.70
67845.70
66921.70
19932.40
40752.20
91706.50
181704.30
262047.00
329892.70
396814.40
416746.80
40752.20
50954.30
89997.80
80342.70
67845.70
66921.70
19932.40
PMP(3) 4,3,3
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11
MOVIL PONDERADO 3
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
W1
W2
W3
40752.20
91706.50
181704.30
262047.00
329892.70
396814.40
416746.80
40752.20
45853.25
60568.10
65511.75
65978.54
66135.73
59535.26
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
2
10.93
12.66
19.38
16.11
12.87
11.81
3.60
10.93
23.59
42.98
59.09
71.95
83.76
87.36
10.93
11.80
14.33
14.77
14.39
13.96
12.48
0.4
0.3
0.3

DEMANDA
REAL
FT
ET
SCEP
AT
(W1*AT3)
+(W2*AT2)+(
W3*AT1)
AT-FT
(ET)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
334053.20
358643.80
383687.80
433624.20
472545.20
508987.20
545236.40
551467.20
38740.80
43879.20
80580.20
65020.80
54795.80
57744.80
9184.60
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
ABS(ET)
38740.80
82620.00
163200.20
228221.00
283016.80
340761.60
349946.20
38740.80
43879.20
80580.20
65020.80
54795.80
57744.80
9184.60
38740.80
82620.00
163200.20
228221.00
283016.80
340761.60
349946.20
PMP(3) 6,2,2
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11
PONDERADO 3
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
W1
W2
W3
38740.80
41310.00
54400.07
57055.25
56603.36
56793.60
49992.31
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
3
10.39
10.90
17.36
13.04
10.39
10.19
1.66
10.39
21.29
38.65
51.69
62.08
72.27
73.93
10.39
10.65
12.88
12.92
12.42
12.04
10.56
0.6
0.2
0.2

DEMANDA
REAL
FT
ET
SCEP
AT
(W1*AT3)
+(W2*AT2)+(
W3*AT1)
AT-FT
(ET)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
336064.60
365718.90
393105.40
448946.10
485595.10
518164.10
555984.20
552944.10
36729.40
36804.10
71162.60
49698.90
41745.90
48567.90
-1563.20
36729.40
73533.50
144696.10
194395.00
236140.90
284708.80
283145.60
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
ABS(ET)
36729.40
36804.10
71162.60
49698.90
41745.90
48567.90
1563.20
36729.40
73533.50
144696.10
194395.00
236140.90
284708.80
286272.00
PONDERADO 3
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
W1
W2
W3
36729.40
36766.75
48232.03
48598.75
47228.18
47451.47
40896.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
6.92
5
9.85
9.14
15.33
9.97
7.92
8.57
0.28
9.85
19.00
34.32
44.29
52.21
60.78
61.06
9.85
9.50
11.44
11.07
10.44
10.13
8.72
0.8
0.1
0.1

DEMANDA
REAL
FT
ET
SCEP
AT
(W1*AT5)
+(W2*AT4)+(W3*AT3)+(
W4*AT2)+(W5*AT1)
AT-FT
(ET)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
368787.00
408254.30
443903.20
481050.70
518569.10
536874.30
95481.00
90390.70
83437.80
85681.30
35851.90
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
ABS(ET)
95481.00
185871.70
269309.50
354990.80
390842.70
95481.00
90390.70
83437.80
85681.30
35851.90
PMP(5) 4,2,2,1,1
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11
95481.00
185871.70
269309.50
354990.80
390842.70
DERADO 3
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
95481.00
92935.85
89769.83
88747.70
78168.54
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
7
20.57
18.13
15.82
15.12
6.47
20.57
38.69
54.52
69.63
76.10
20.57
19.35
18.17
17.41
15.22
0.4
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1

DEMANDA
REAL
FT
AT
(W1*AT5)
+(W2*AT4)+(
W3*AT3)+(W
4*AT2)+(W5*
AT1)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
ET
SCEP
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
(ET)
AT-FT
372258.80
411227.20
450077.70
484488.40
521438.70
540813.40
92009.20
87417.80
77263.30
82243.60
32982.30
ABS(ET)
92009.20
179427.00
256690.30
338933.90
371916.20
92009.20
87417.80
77263.30
82243.60
32982.30
92009.20
179427.00
256690.30
338933.90
371916.20
PMP (5) 4,3,1,1,1

600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
PONDERADO 3
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
92009.20
89713.50
85563.43
84733.48
74383.24
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6
10
11
19.82
17.53
14.65
14.51
5.95
19.82
37.35
52.00
66.51
72.46
19.82
18.67
17.33
16.63
14.49
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.1

DEMANDA
REAL
FT
AT
(W1*AT5)
+(W2*AT4)+(
W3*AT3)+(W
4*AT2)+(W5*
AT1)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
ET
SCEP
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
(ET)
AT-FT
365814.10
402079.80
440465.50
478181.10
514630.00
538105.40
98453.90
96565.20
86875.50
88550.90
39791.00
ABS(ET)
98453.90
195019.10
281894.60
370445.50
410236.50
98453.90
96565.20
86875.50
88550.90
39791.00
98453.90
195019.10
281894.60
370445.50
410236.50
PMP (5) 3,3,2,1,1

600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11
PONDERADO 3
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
98453.90
97509.55
93964.87
92611.38
82047.30
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
7
21.21
19.37
16.47
15.62
7.18
21.21
40.57
57.05
72.67
79.85
21.21
20.29
19.02
18.17
15.97
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
SEMANA
DEMANDA
REAL
FT
ET
SCEP
AT
(FT-1) + * ((AT1)- (FT-1))
AT-FT
(ET)
-12094.33
6599.10
7254.19
41246.77
66851.09
121910.98
144096.89
158383.20
181935.88
151431.29
6599.10
13853.29
55100.06
121951.15
243862.14
387959.03
546342.22
728278.10
879709.39
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
331371.33
330161.90
330821.81
331547.23
335671.91
342357.02
354548.11
368957.80
384796.12
402989.71
418132.84
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
ABS(ET)
6599.10
7254.19
41246.77
66851.09
121910.98
144096.89
158383.20
181935.88
151431.29
6599.10
13853.29
55100.06
121951.15
243862.14
387959.03
546342.22
728278.10
879709.39
EXPONENCIAL AMINORADO =0,1

600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11
ONDERADO 3
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
6599.10
6926.65
18366.69
30487.79
48772.43
64659.84
78048.89
91034.76
97745.49
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
7
1.96
2.15
11.06
16.61
26.26
28.90
30.03
32.10
27.31
1.96
4.11
15.17
31.78
58.04
86.93
116.97
149.07
176.38
1.96
2.05
5.06
7.94
11.61
14.49
16.71
18.63
19.60
0.1

DEMANDA
REAL
FT
ET
SCEP
AT
(FT-1) + *
((AT-1)- (FT1))
AT-FT
(ET)
-12094.33
8413.25
7624.94
40436.70
60056.53
106787.40
114467.55
114546.66
125300.99
81664.75
8413.25
16038.19
56474.89
116531.42
223318.81
337786.36
452333.02
577634.02
659298.76
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
331371.33
328347.75
330451.06
332357.30
342466.47
357480.60
384177.45
412794.34
441431.01
472756.25
493172.44
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
ABS(ET)
8413.25
7624.94
40436.70
60056.53
106787.40
114467.55
114546.66
125300.99
81664.75
8413.25
16038.19
56474.89
116531.42
223318.81
337786.36
452333.02
577634.02
659298.76
AMONIRADO =0,25
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11
PONDERADO 3
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
8413.25
8019.09
18824.96
29132.85
44663.76
56297.73
64619.00
72204.25
73255.42
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
4
2.50
2.26
10.85
14.92
23.00
22.96
21.72
22.11
14.73
2.50
4.75
15.60
30.52
53.52
76.48
98.20
120.31
135.04
2.50
2.38
5.20
7.63
10.70
12.75
14.03
15.04
15.00
0.25

DEMANDA
REAL
FT
ET
SCEP
AT
(FT-1) + *
((AT-1)- (FT1))
AT-FT
(ET)
-12094.33
9622.68
7569.74
39638.33
55493.92
97816.05
97957.43
92368.33
99430.41
52318.77
9622.68
17192.43
56830.76
112324.68
210140.72
308098.15
400466.48
499896.90
552215.67
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
331371.33
327138.32
330506.26
333155.67
347029.08
366451.95
400687.57
434972.67
467301.59
502102.23
520413.80
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
ABS(ET)
9622.68
7569.74
39638.33
55493.92
97816.05
97957.43
92368.33
99430.41
52318.77
9622.68
17192.43
56830.76
112324.68
210140.72
308098.15
400466.48
499896.90
552215.67
AMINORADO = 0,35
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11
PONDERADO 3
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
9622.68
8596.21
18943.59
28081.17
42028.14
51349.69
57209.50
62487.11
61357.30
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
4
2.86
2.24
10.63
13.79
21.07
19.64
17.52
17.54
9.44
2.86
5.10
15.73
29.52
50.58
70.23
87.75
105.29
114.73
2.86
2.55
5.24
7.38
10.12
11.70
12.54
13.16
12.75
0.35

DEMANDA
REAL
FT
ET
SCEP
AT
(FT-1) + *
((AT-1)- (FT1))
AT-FT
(ET)
-12094.33
11436.83
7033.42
38234.71
48846.35
86168.18
77461.09
67426.54
73104.27
24241.14
11436.83
18470.25
56704.96
105551.31
191719.49
269180.58
336607.12
409711.39
433952.53
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
331371.33
325324.17
331042.58
334559.29
353676.65
378099.82
421183.91
459914.46
493627.73
530179.86
542300.43
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
ABS(ET)
11436.83
7033.42
38234.71
48846.35
86168.18
77461.09
67426.54
73104.27
24241.14
11436.83
18470.25
56704.96
105551.31
191719.49
269180.58
336607.12
409711.39
433952.53
AMINORADO = 0,50
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11
PONDERADO 3
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
11436.83
9235.13
18901.65
26387.83
38343.90
44863.43
48086.73
51213.92
48216.95
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
3
3.40
2.08
10.26
12.14
18.56
15.53
12.79
12.90
4.37
3.40
5.48
15.73
27.87
46.43
61.96
74.75
87.65
92.02
3.40
2.74
5.24
6.97
9.29
10.33
10.68
10.96
10.22
0.5

DEMANDA
REAL
FT
ET
SCEP
AT
(FT-1) + *
((AT-1)- (FT1))
AT-FT
(ET)
-12094.33
13250.98
5952.84
36801.50
42609.52
76658.33
61207.42
50118.60
56932.51
7615.38
13250.98
19203.83
56005.32
98614.85
175273.18
236480.60
286599.19
343531.70
351147.08
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
331371.33
323510.02
332123.16
335992.50
359913.48
387609.67
437437.58
477222.40
509799.49
546805.62
551755.62
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
ABS(ET)
13250.98
5952.84
36801.50
42609.52
76658.33
61207.42
50118.60
56932.51
7615.38
13250.98
19203.83
56005.32
98614.85
175273.18
236480.60
286599.19
343531.70
351147.08
AMINORADO = 0,65
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11
PONDERADO 3
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
13250.98
9601.91
18668.44
24653.71
35054.64
39413.43
40942.74
42941.46
39016.34
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
2
3.93
1.76
9.87
10.59
16.51
12.27
9.50
10.05
1.37
3.93
5.70
15.57
26.15
42.66
54.94
64.44
74.49
75.86
3.93
2.85
5.19
6.54
8.53
9.16
9.21
9.31
8.43
0.65

DEMANDA
REAL
FT
ET
SCEP
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
AT
(FT-1) + *
((AT-1)- (FT1))
AT-FT
(ET)
ABS(ET)
-12094.33
15065.13
4328.03
35583.61
36845.72
69114.14
48199.83
38335.97
47058.19
-2899.36
15065.13
19393.16
54976.77
91822.49
160936.63
209136.46
247472.43
294530.62
291631.26
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
331371.33
321695.87
333747.97
337210.39
365677.28
395153.86
450445.17
489005.03
519673.81
557320.36
555000.87
DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA
15065.13
4328.03
35583.61
36845.72
69114.14
48199.83
38335.97
47058.19
2899.36
15065.13
19393.16
54976.77
91822.49
160936.63
209136.46
247472.43
294530.62
297429.98
AMINORADO = 0,8
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICP
10
11
PONDERADO 3
DMA
ST
DMAP
DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
15065.13
9696.58
18325.59
22955.62
32187.33
34856.08
35353.20
36816.33
33047.78
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
8.82
1
4.47
1.28
9.55
9.15
14.89
9.67
7.27
8.30
0.52
4.47
5.75
15.30
24.45
39.34
49.01
56.28
64.58
65.10
4.47
2.88
5.10
6.11
7.87
8.17
8.04
8.07
7.23
0.8

DEMANDA
REAL
FIT
FT
AT
Ft+Tt
* (AT-1)+(1)*(FT-1+Tt1)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
18
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
349210.33
358293.83
365568.98
368032.35
376012.46
391032.65
423497.60
466957.86
516808.08
572203.57
614909.08
Tt
331371.33
344720.33
355063.91
361445.03
368746.60
379989.04
402017.95
434769.71
476015.33
524296.67
569536.19
17839.00
13573.50
10505.07
6587.32
7265.86
11043.61
21479.65
32188.15
40792.75
47906.91
45372.89
ET
SCEP
AT-FIT
(ET)
-21532.83
-27492.98
4761.65
26510.54
73235.35
75147.40
60383.14
49923.92
-17782.57
-21532.83
-49025.81
-44264.17
-17753.62
55481.73
130629.13
191012.27
240936.20
223153.62
A.TENDENCIA=15 =95
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11
EDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

DESVIA.
DMA
ST
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
DMAP
ABSOLUTA
DES.ABS/
ABS(ET)
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
21532.83
27492.98
4761.65
26510.54
73235.35
75147.40
60383.14
49923.92
17782.57
21532.83
49025.81
53787.46
80298.00
153533.35
228680.76
289063.90
338987.82
356770.40
21532.83
24512.91
17929.15
20074.50
30706.67
38113.46
41294.84
42373.48
39641.16
-1.00
-2.00
-2.47
-0.88
1.81
3.43
4.63
5.69
5.63
9
6.39
8.13
1.28
6.59
15.77
15.07
11.45
8.81
3.21
6.39
14.53
15.80
22.39
38.16
53.23
64.68
73.49
76.70
6.39
7.26
5.27
5.60
7.63
8.87
9.24
9.19
8.52
0.15
0.95
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
DEMANDA
REAL
FIT
FT
AT
Ft+Tt
* (AT-1)+(1)*(FT-1+Tt-1)
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
349210.33
361885.83
374717.30
384996.87
398667.63
414833.88
438949.21
465946.95
494580.79
526451.60
552324.46
Tt
331371.33
344720.33
358117.11
369221.10
383166.44
399245.94
422249.00
447903.58
475156.05
505403.47
530647.01
17839.00
17165.50
16600.19
15775.76
15501.20
15587.94
16700.21
18043.37
19424.73
21048.13
21677.45
ET
SCEP
AT-FIT
(ET)
-29933.33
-25124.83
-36641.30
-12202.87
3855.37
49434.12
59695.79
61394.05
72151.21
27969.40
-25124.83
-61766.13
-73969.00
-70113.63
-20679.52
39016.27
100410.33
172561.54
200530.94
A.TENDENCIA=15 =15
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11

DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
ABS(ET)
25124.83
36641.30
12202.87
3855.37
49434.12
59695.79
61394.05
72151.21
27969.40
DMA
ST
DMAP
ABSOLUTA DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
25124.83
61766.13
73969.00
77824.37
127258.48
186954.27
248348.33
320499.54
348468.94
25124.83
30883.07
24656.33
19456.09
25451.70
31159.05
35478.33
40062.44
38718.77
-1.00
-2.00
-3.00
-3.60
-0.81
1.25
2.83
4.31
5.18
14
7.46
10.84
3.27
0.96
10.65
11.97
11.64
12.73
5.04
7.46
18.30
21.57
22.53
33.18
45.15
56.79
69.52
74.57
7.46
9.15
7.19
5.63
6.64
7.52
8.11
8.69
8.29
0.15
0.15

DEMANDA
REAL
FIT
FT
AT
Ft+Tt
* (AT-1)+(1)*(FT-1+Tt1)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
18
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
349210.33
349762.83
353283.44
352572.39
368861.93
397513.17
452933.95
511388.67
563057.00
611264.32
625358.37
Tt
331371.33
338733.67
345212.19
347960.84
359649.96
380643.30
420877.36
468932.82
516971.99
564343.25
591369.16
ET
SCEP
AT-FIT
(ET)
-13001.83
-15207.44
20221.61
33661.07
66754.83
45711.05
15952.33
3675.00
-56843.32
-13001.83
-28209.27
-7987.67
25673.40
92428.23
138139.28
154091.61
157766.62
100923.30
17839.00
11029.17
8071.25
4611.56
9211.97
16869.87
32056.59
42455.85
46085.01
46921.07
33989.22
A.TENDENCIA=35 =65
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1
DEMANDA
7
PRONOSTICO
10
11

DESVIA.
DMA
ST
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
DMAP
ABSOLUTA
DES.ABS/
ABS(ET)
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
13001.83
15207.44
20221.61
33661.07
66754.83
45711.05
15952.33
3675.00
56843.32
13001.83
28209.27
48430.88
82091.95
148846.78
194557.83
210510.16
214185.17
271028.49
13001.83
14104.64
16143.63
20522.99
29769.36
32426.31
30072.88
26773.15
30114.28
-1.00
-2.00
-0.49
1.25
3.10
4.26
5.12
5.89
3.35
3
3.86
4.50
5.42
8.36
14.38
9.17
3.03
0.65
10.25
3.86
8.36
13.78
22.15
36.52
45.69
48.72
49.37
59.62
3.86
4.18
4.59
5.54
7.30
7.62
6.96
6.17
6.62
0.35
0.65

DEMANDA
REAL
FIT
FT
AT
Ft+Tt
* (AT-1)+(1)*(FT-1+Tt1)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
349210.33
352905.83
359449.57
361544.98
376436.31
399716.44
444366.84
492070.62
537442.31
584308.74
606801.82
353041.75
144850.09
-8218.62
-106706.51
-157652.08
-171454.33
-159422.63
Tt
331371.33
338733.67
347255.14
351968.82
365482.14
385566.65
422309.48
463364.19
504415.26
547693.70
573848.03
394421.18
229477.14
94152.56
-5342.11
-69359.23
-102473.85
-111445.31
17839.00
14172.17
12194.42
9576.16
10954.17
14149.79
22057.35
28706.43
33027.05
36615.04
32953.79
-41379.43
-84627.05
-102371.18
-101364.40
-88292.85
-68980.47
-47977.32
ET
SCEP
AT-FIT
(ET)
-16144.83
-21373.57
11249.02
26086.69
64551.56
54278.16
35270.38
29289.69
-29887.74
-606801.82
-353041.75
-144850.09
8218.62
106706.51
157652.08
171454.33
-16144.83
-37518.40
-26269.38
-182.69
64368.88
118647.04
153917.42
183207.11
153319.38
-453482.44
-806524.19
-951374.28
-943155.66
-836449.15
-678797.07
-507342.74
A.TENDENCIA=35 =35
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
-100000
10
11
12
-200000
-300000
DEMANDA
PRONOSTICO
13
14
15
16
17
18
MEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

DESVIA.
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
ABS(ET)
16144.83
21373.57
11249.02
26086.69
64551.56
54278.16
35270.38
29289.69
29887.74
606801.82
353041.75
144850.09
8218.62
106706.51
157652.08
171454.33
DMA
ST
DMAP
ABSOLUTA DES.ABS/
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
16144.83
37518.40
48767.42
74854.11
139405.68
193683.84
228954.22
258243.91
288131.65
894933.47
1247975.22
1392825.31
1401043.93
1507750.44
1665402.52
1836856.85
16144.83
18759.20
16255.81
18713.53
27881.14
32280.64
32707.75
32280.49
32014.63
89493.35
113452.29
116068.78
107772.61
107696.46
111026.83
114803.55
-1.00
-2.00
-1.62
-0.01
2.31
3.68
4.71
5.68
4.79
-5.07
-7.11
-8.20
-8.75
-7.77
-6.11
-4.42
10
4.79
6.32
3.02
6.48
13.90
10.89
6.69
5.17
5.39
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
4.79
11.12
14.13
20.61
34.52
45.40
52.09
57.26
62.65
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
4.79
5.56
4.71
5.15
6.90
7.57
7.44
7.16
6.96
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0.35
0.35

DEMANDA
REAL
FIT
FT
AT
Ft+Tt
* (AT-1)+(1)*(FT-1+Tt1)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
349210.33
343851.00
347963.58
347958.29
372144.46
407456.15
471607.75
528307.29
570739.34
610548.84
608862.94
163372.18
-104300.55
-209454.26
-204431.20
-145701.08
-76268.23
-20578.04
Tt
331371.33
334243.67
340306.00
343019.79
360376.14
387333.73
435862.07
485126.37
527824.15
568735.67
582484.92
304431.47
81686.09
-52150.28
-104727.13
-102215.60
-72850.54
-38134.12
17839.00
9607.33
7657.58
4938.50
11768.32
20122.42
35745.68
43180.92
42915.19
41813.17
26378.02
-141059.29
-185986.64
-157303.99
-99704.07
-43485.49
-3417.69
17556.08
ET
SCEP
AT-FIT
(ET)
-7090.00
-9887.58
24835.71
30378.54
56811.85
27037.25
-966.29
-4007.34
-56127.84
-608862.94
-163372.18
104300.55
209454.26
204431.20
145701.08
76268.23
-7090.00
-16977.58
7858.13
38236.66
95048.52
122085.77
121119.47
117112.14
60984.30
-547878.64
-711250.81
-606950.26
-397496.00
-193064.80
-47363.71
28904.52
A.TENDENCIA=50 =55
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
-100000
10
11
12
-200000
-300000
demanda
pronostico
13
14
15
16
17
18

DESVIA.
DMA
ST
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
DMAP
ABSOLUTA
DES.ABS/
ABS(ET)
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
7090.00
9887.58
24835.71
30378.54
56811.85
27037.25
966.29
4007.34
56127.84
608862.94
163372.18
104300.55
209454.26
204431.20
145701.08
76268.23
7090.00
16977.58
41813.29
72191.83
129003.68
156040.93
157007.23
161014.56
217142.40
826005.34
989377.51
1093678.07
1303132.33
1507563.53
1653264.61
1729532.84
7090.00
8488.79
13937.76
18047.96
25800.74
26006.82
22429.60
20126.82
24126.93
82600.53
89943.41
91139.84
100240.95
107683.11
110217.64
108095.80
-1.00
-2.00
0.56
2.12
3.68
4.69
5.40
5.82
2.53
-6.63
-7.91
-6.66
-3.97
-1.79
-0.43
0.27
3
2.11
2.92
6.66
7.55
12.24
5.42
0.18
0.71
10.12
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
2.11
5.03
11.69
19.24
31.48
36.90
37.08
37.79
47.91
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
2.11
2.52
3.90
4.81
6.30
6.15
5.30
4.72
5.32
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0.5
0.55

DEMANDA
REAL
FIT
FT
AT
Ft+Tt
* (AT-1)+(1)*(FT-1+Tt1)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
349210.33
345347.67
350226.33
350589.34
373125.89
405873.02
466257.95
520926.00
564051.40
605912.74
609102.26
196438.52
-54092.02
-167186.59
-186116.89
-153705.74
-102916.37
-54365.51
Tt
331371.33
334243.67
341054.33
344151.17
361691.67
387824.45
435070.51
482451.48
524133.50
565391.70
580166.87
304551.13
98219.26
-27046.01
-83593.29
-93058.44
-76852.87
-51458.19
17839.00
11104.00
9172.00
6438.17
11434.22
18048.57
31187.44
38474.53
39917.90
40521.04
28935.40
-108112.61
-152311.28
-140140.58
-102523.59
-60647.29
-26063.50
-2907.32
ET
SCEP
AT-FIT
(ET)
-8586.67
-12150.33
22204.66
29397.11
58394.98
32387.05
6415.00
2680.60
-51491.74
-609102.26
-196438.52
54092.02
167186.59
186116.89
153705.74
102916.37
-8586.67
-20737.00
1467.66
30864.76
89259.75
121646.79
128061.79
130742.38
79250.65
-529851.62
-726290.14
-672198.12
-505011.53
-318894.64
-165188.90
-62272.53
A.TENDENCIA=50 =45
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
-100000
10
11
12
-200000
-300000
DEMANDA
PRONOSTICO
13
14
15
16
17
18

DESVIA.
DMA
ST
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
DMAP
ABSOLUTA
DES.ABS/
ABS(ET)
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
8586.67
12150.33
22204.66
29397.11
58394.98
32387.05
6415.00
2680.60
51491.74
609102.26
196438.52
54092.02
167186.59
186116.89
153705.74
102916.37
8586.67
20737.00
42941.66
72338.76
130733.75
163120.79
169535.79
172216.38
223708.12
832810.39
1029248.91
1083340.93
1250527.51
1436644.40
1590350.14
1693266.51
8586.67
10368.50
14313.89
18084.69
26146.75
27186.80
24219.40
21527.05
24856.46
83281.04
93568.08
90278.41
96194.42
102617.46
106023.34
105829.16
-1.00
-2.00
0.10
1.71
3.41
4.47
5.29
6.07
3.19
-6.36
-7.76
-7.45
-5.25
-3.11
-1.56
-0.59
3
2.55
3.59
5.96
7.30
12.58
6.50
1.22
0.47
9.29
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
2.55
6.14
12.10
19.40
31.98
38.48
39.69
40.17
49.45
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
2.55
3.07
4.03
4.85
6.40
6.41
5.67
5.02
5.49
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0.5
0.45

DEMANDA
REAL
FIT
FT
AT
Ft+Tt
* (AT-1)+(1)*(FT-1+Tt1)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
349210.33
340782.83
348282.84
349440.54
377725.34
412590.34
476684.01
526457.97
562732.14
601942.22
596852.52
98913.53
-97867.95
-144476.51
-127921.10
-93024.65
-59647.79
-34396.02
Tt
331371.33
329753.67
338168.64
341648.39
364620.29
393843.82
446180.82
490958.65
527031.94
565332.05
571053.43
208898.38
34619.73
-34253.78
-50566.78
-44772.38
-32558.63
-20876.73
17839.00
11029.17
10114.20
7792.14
13105.06
18746.52
30503.19
35499.31
35700.20
36610.17
25799.09
-109984.85
-132487.68
-110222.72
-77354.32
-48252.27
-27089.16
-13519.29
ET
SCEP
AT-FIT
(ET)
-4021.83
-10206.84
23353.46
24797.66
51677.66
21960.99
883.03
3999.86
-47521.22
-596852.52
-98913.53
97867.95
144476.51
127921.10
93024.65
59647.79
-4021.83
-14228.67
9124.79
33922.44
85600.10
107561.09
108444.12
112443.98
64922.76
-531929.76
-630843.29
-532975.34
-388498.84
-260577.74
-167553.09
-107905.30
A.TENDENCIA=65 =35
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
-100000
10
11
12
-200000
DEMANDA
PRONOSTICO
13
14
15
16
17
18

DESVIA.
DMA
ST
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
DMAP
ABSOLUTA
DES.ABS/
ABS(ET)
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
4021.83
10206.84
23353.46
24797.66
51677.66
21960.99
883.03
3999.86
47521.22
596852.52
98913.53
97867.95
144476.51
127921.10
93024.65
59647.79
4021.83
14228.67
37582.14
62379.79
114057.45
136018.44
136901.47
140901.33
188422.55
785275.07
884188.60
982056.55
1126533.05
1254454.15
1347478.80
1407126.59
4021.83
7114.34
12527.38
15594.95
22811.49
22669.74
19557.35
17612.67
20935.84
78527.51
80380.78
81838.05
86656.39
89603.87
89831.92
87945.41
-1.00
-2.00
0.73
2.18
3.75
4.74
5.54
6.38
3.10
-6.77
-7.85
-6.51
-4.48
-2.91
-1.87
-1.23
3
1.19
3.02
6.26
6.16
11.13
4.40
0.17
0.71
8.57
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
1.19
4.21
10.48
16.64
27.77
32.17
32.34
33.05
41.62
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
1.19
2.11
3.49
4.16
5.55
5.36
4.62
4.13
4.62
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0.65
0.35

DEMANDA
REAL
FIT
FT
AT
Ft+Tt
* (AT-1)+(1)*(FT-1+Tt1)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
349210.33
334945.83
342084.77
343744.44
379165.46
420755.23
493830.05
543785.60
572974.60
606157.40
587910.60
-27241.66
-231035.35
-204750.70
-109043.91
-29475.48
10826.86
20358.33
Tt
331371.33
329753.67
336125.69
339479.07
362626.65
394347.86
449038.53
496959.77
533096.61
568916.91
572528.74
205768.71
-9534.58
-80862.37
-71662.75
-38165.37
-10316.42
3789.40
17839.00
5192.17
5959.07
4265.37
16538.81
26407.37
44791.51
46825.83
39877.99
37240.49
15381.86
-233010.37
-221500.77
-123888.33
-37381.16
8689.89
21143.28
16568.93
ET
SCEP
AT-FIT
(ET)
1815.17
-4008.77
29049.56
23357.54
43512.77
4814.95
-16444.60
-6242.60
-51736.40
-587910.60
27241.66
231035.35
204750.70
109043.91
29475.48
-10826.86
1815.17
-2193.60
26855.96
50213.50
93726.27
98541.22
82096.62
75854.02
24117.62
-563792.98
-536551.32
-305515.98
-100765.27
8278.64
37754.11
26927.25
A.TENDENCIA=65 =65
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
-100000
10
11
12
-200000
-300000
DEMANDA
PRONOSTICO
13
14
15
16
17
18

DESVIA.
DMA
ST
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
DMAP
ABSOLUTA
DES.ABS/
ABS(ET)
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
1815.17
4008.77
29049.56
23357.54
43512.77
4814.95
16444.60
6242.60
51736.40
587910.60
27241.66
231035.35
204750.70
109043.91
29475.48
10826.86
1815.17
5823.93
34873.49
58231.03
101743.80
106558.75
123003.35
129245.95
180982.35
768892.95
796134.61
1027169.96
1231920.66
1340964.57
1370440.05
1381266.91
1815.17
2911.97
11624.50
14557.76
20348.76
17759.79
17571.91
16155.74
20109.15
76889.30
72375.87
85597.50
94763.13
95783.18
91362.67
86329.18
1.00
-0.75
2.31
3.45
4.61
5.55
4.67
4.70
1.20
-7.33
-7.41
-3.57
-1.06
0.09
0.41
0.31
0
0.54
1.19
7.79
5.80
9.37
0.97
3.12
1.10
9.33
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0.54
1.72
9.52
15.32
24.69
25.66
28.78
29.88
39.21
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0.54
0.86
3.17
3.83
4.94
4.28
4.11
3.73
4.36
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0.65
0.65

DEMANDA
REAL
FIT
FT
AT
Ft+Tt
* (AT-1)+(1)*(FT-1+Tt1)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
349210.33
338313.33
349872.76
351349.16
382850.02
416081.07
479833.19
523095.10
555383.63
595169.87
586758.50
47658.07
-67787.31
-80030.42
-69674.17
-56455.05
-44778.42
-35278.55
Tt
331371.33
325263.67
337071.47
340435.35
368505.03
398588.40
454630.61
494882.64
526491.82
564462.33
562570.77
117351.70
9531.61
-13557.46
-16006.08
-13934.83
-11291.01
-8955.68
17839.00
13049.67
12801.29
10913.81
14344.99
17492.66
25202.57
28212.46
28891.81
30707.55
24187.73
-69693.63
-77318.92
-66472.95
-53668.09
-42520.22
-33487.41
-26322.86
ET
SCEP
AT-FIT
(ET)
-1552.33
-11796.76
21444.84
19672.98
48186.93
18811.81
4245.90
11348.37
-40748.87
-586758.50
-47658.07
67787.31
80030.42
69674.17
56455.05
44778.42
-1552.33
-13349.09
8095.74
27768.72
75955.66
94767.47
99013.37
110361.75
69612.88
-517145.63
-564803.69
-497016.38
-416985.96
-347311.79
-290856.74
-246078.32
A.TENDENCIA=80 =20
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
-100000
10
11
12
-200000
DEMANDA
PRONOSTICO
13
14
15
16
17
18

DESVIA.
DMA
ST
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
DMAP
ABSOLUTA
DES.ABS/
ABS(ET)
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
1552.33
11796.76
21444.84
19672.98
48186.93
18811.81
4245.90
11348.37
40748.87
586758.50
47658.07
67787.31
80030.42
69674.17
56455.05
44778.42
1552.33
13349.09
34793.93
54466.91
102653.85
121465.66
125711.56
137059.93
177808.81
764567.31
812225.37
880012.68
960043.10
1029717.27
1086172.33
1130950.75
1552.33
6674.55
11597.98
13616.73
20530.77
20244.28
17958.79
17132.49
19756.53
76456.73
73838.67
73334.39
73849.47
73551.23
72411.49
70684.42
-1.00
-2.00
0.70
2.04
3.70
4.68
5.51
6.44
3.52
-6.76
-7.65
-6.78
-5.65
-4.72
-4.02
-3.48
4
0.46
3.49
5.75
4.89
10.38
3.77
0.81
2.00
7.35
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0.46
3.95
9.70
14.59
24.97
28.74
29.55
31.55
38.90
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0.46
1.98
3.23
3.65
4.99
4.79
4.22
3.94
4.32
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
0.8
0.2

DEMANDA
REAL
FIT
FT
AT
Ft+Tt
* (AT-1)+(1)*(FT-1+Tt1)
SEMANA
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
319277
336761
338076
372794
402523
464268
498645
527341
566732
554421
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
349210.33
323945.33
341081.56
343637.25
390583.11
431397.01
509993.22
545951.20
564189.07
600976.92
568689.90
-245265.84
-251086.85
-91555.47
-1053.69
17721.03
10134.51
2131.12
Tt
331371.33
325263.67
334197.87
338677.11
366962.65
400135.02
457693.80
500914.64
531063.04
566223.41
563732.18
113737.98
-49053.17
-50217.37
-18311.09
-210.74
3544.21
2026.90
17839.00
-1318.33
6883.69
4960.13
23620.46
31261.99
52299.42
45036.56
33126.03
34753.50
4957.72
-359003.82
-202033.68
-41338.10
17257.40
17931.76
6590.31
104.22
ET
SCEP
AT-FIT
(ET)
12815.67
-3005.56
29156.75
11939.89
32870.99
-11348.22
-18610.20
2542.93
-46555.92
-568689.90
245265.84
251086.85
91555.47
1053.69
-17721.03
-10134.51
12815.67
9810.11
38966.86
50906.75
83777.74
72429.52
53819.32
56362.25
9806.33
-558883.57
-313617.73
-62530.88
29024.59
30078.28
12357.25
2222.74
A.TENDENCIA=80 =80
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
-100000
10
11
12
-200000
-300000
DEMANDA
PRONOSTICO
13
14
15
16
17
18

DESVIA.
DMA
ST
ABSOLUTA DESVIA.
DMAP
ABSOLUTA
DES.ABS/
ABS(ET)
N
At
0/At
0/At) /n
12815.67
3005.56
29156.75
11939.89
32870.99
11348.22
18610.20
2542.93
46555.92
568689.90
245265.84
251086.85
91555.47
1053.69
17721.03
10134.51
12815.67
15821.23
44977.98
56917.87
89788.86
101137.09
119747.29
122290.22
168846.14
737536.04
982801.88
1233888.73
1325444.20
1326497.89
1344218.92
1354353.43
12815.67
7910.61
14992.66
14229.47
17957.77
16856.18
17106.76
15286.28
18760.68
73753.60
89345.63
102824.06
101957.25
94749.85
89614.59
84647.09
1.00
1.24
2.60
3.58
4.67
4.30
3.15
3.69
0.52
-7.58
-3.51
-0.61
0.28
0.32
0.14
0.03
0
3.81
0.89
7.82
2.97
7.08
2.28
3.53
0.45
8.40
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
3.81
4.69
12.52
15.48
22.56
24.84
28.37
28.82
37.21
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
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3.81
2.35
4.17
3.87
4.51
4.14
4.05
3.60
4.13
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0.8
0.8
MODELO
0,2-0,2-0,6
0,2-0,4-0,4
0,4-0,3-0,3
PMP (3)
0,6-0,2-0,2
0,8-0,1-0,1
0,4-0,2-0,2-0,1-0,1
0,4-0,3-0,1-0,1-0,1
PMP (5)
0,3-0,3-0,2-0,1-,0,1
=0,10
=0,25
EXPONENCIAL =0,35
AMINORADO =0,50
=0,65
=0,80
=0,15- =0,95
=0,15- =0,15
=0,35- =0,65
EXPONENCIAL =0,35- =0,35
AMINORADO =0,50- =0,55
=0,50- =0,45
CON
TENDENCIA =0,65- =0,35
=0,65- =0,65
=0,8- =0,2
=0,8- =0,8
SCEP
DMA
ST
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-507342.74
114803.55
28904.52
108095.80
-62272.53
105829.16
-107905.30
87945.41
26927.25
86329.18
-246078.32
70684.42
2222.74
84647.09
0
1
2
3
5
7
6
7
7
4
4
3
2
1
9
14
3
10
3
3
3
0
4
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PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

ROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PMP (3) 2,4,4

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PMP (5) 4,3,1,1,1

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PMP (5) 3,3,2,1,1

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

(FT-1) + * ((AT1)- (FT-1))

EXPONENCIAL AMINORADO =0,1

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

EDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

EDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

EDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

MEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

EDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

EDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

EDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

EDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

EDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

EDIO MOVIL PONDERADO 3

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