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Dahl Power 1957

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THE CONCEPT OF POWER

by Robert A . Dahl
Department oj Political Science, Yale University

What is power? Most people have an intuitive notion of what


it means. But scientists have not yet formulated a statement of the
concept of power that is rigorous enough to be of use in the systematic study of this important social phenomenon. Power is here
defined in terms of a relation between people, and is expressed
in simple symbolic notation. From this definition is developed
a statement of power comparability, or the relative degree of
power held by two or more persons. With these concepts it is
possible for example, to rank members of the United States Senate
according to their power over legislation on foreign policy and
on tax and fiscal policy.

some people have more power than being studied more or less systematically.
others is one of the most palpable facts The second and more cynical suspicion is
of human existence. Because of this, the that a Thing to which people attach many
concept of power is as ancient and ubiquitous labels with subtly or grossly different meanas any that social theory can boast. If these ings in many different cultures and times is
assertions needed any documentation, one probably not a Thing at all but many
could set up an endless parade of great Things; there are students of the subject,
names from Plato and Aristotle through although I do not recall any who have had
Machiavelli and Hobbes to Pareto and the temerity t o say so in print, who think
Weber to demonstrate that a large number that because of this the whole study of
of seminal social theorists have devoted a power is a bottomless swamp.
Paradoxical as it may sound, it is probably
good deal of attention to power and the
too
early to know whether these critics are
phenomena associated with it. Doubtless it
would be easy to show, too, how the word right. For, curiously enough, the systematic
and its synonyms are evcrywhere embedded study of power is very recent, precisely bein the languagc of civilized peoples, often in cause it is only lately that serious attempts
subtly different ways: power, influence, con- have been made to formulate the concept
trol, pouvoir, puissance, Macht, Herrschaft, rigorously enough for systematic study. If
Gewalt, imperium, potestas, auctoritas, we take as our criterion for the efficiency of
a scientific concept its usability in a theopotentia, etr.
I shall spare the reader the fruits and retical system that possesses a high degree
myself the labor of such a demonstration.
By dernonst,ratingthe importance of concepts
Reflecting on the appeal to authority that such as power and influence, particularly in pomight be made does, however, arouse two litical analysin, and by insisting upon rigorous
conceptual clarity, Harold TAasswellhas had a
suspicions: First (following the axiom that seminal
influence. Cf. especially Reference 3. A
where there is smoke there is fire), if so similar approach will be found in References 6, 7,
many people at so many different times have 8, 10. For the approach of the present article I owe
felt the need to attach the label power, or a particularly heavy debt to March, with whom I
something like it, to some Thing they be- had countlesR profitable discussions during a year
both spent as fellows at the Center for Adlieve they have observed, one is tempted to we
vanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences. I have
suppose that the Thing must exist; and not drawn free1.v not only on our joint work but on
only exist, but exist in a form capable of his own published and unpublished writings on the
HAT

201

202

ROBERTA. DAHL

of systematic and empirical import, then we


simply cannot say whether rigorous definitions of the concept of power are likely
to be useful in theoretical systems with a
relatively large pay-off in the hard coin of
scientific understanding. The evidence is
not yet in.
I think it can be shown, however, that
to define the concept power in a way that
seems to catch the central intuitively understood meaning of the word must inevitably
result in a formal definition that is not easy
to apply in concrete research problems;
and therefore, operational equivalents of
the formal definition, designed to meet the
needs of a particular research problem, are
likely to diverge from one another in important ways. Thus we are not likely to
producecertainly not for some considerable time to comeanything like a single,
consistent, coherent Theory of Power.
We are much more likely to produce a
variety of theories of limited scope, each
of which employs some definition of power
that is useful in the context of the particular
piece of research or theory but different in
important respects from the definitions of
other studies. Thus we may never get
through the swamp. But it looks as if we
might someday get around it.
With this in mind, I propose first to essay
a formal definition of power that will, I
hope, catch something of ones intuitive
notions as to what the Thing is. By formal
I mean that the definition will presuppose
the existence of observations of a kind that
may not always or even frequently be
possible. Second, I should like to indicate
how operational definitions have been or
might be modelled on the formal one for
subject. The comments of Jacob Marschak on this
paper have also been most helpful. There are, of
course, approaches radically different from the
one employed here and in the works mentioned
above. John R. P. French, Jr. (2), has developed a
model that assumes a unidimensional continuum
of opinion which can be measured with a ratio
scale, and he defines the power of A over B
(with respect to a given opinion) [to be] equal to
the maximum force which A can induce on B
minus the maximum resisting force which B can
mobilize in the opposite direction. Game theory
provides still another approach. Cf. References 4,
5, 9.

some specific purposes, and the actual or


possible results of these operational d, tinitions.
I should like to be permitted one liberty.
There is a long and honorable history attached to such words as power, influence,
control, and authority. For a great many
purposes, it is highly important that a
distinction should be made among them;
thus to Max Weber, Herrschaft ist. . , ein
Sonderfall u r n Macht, Authority is a special
case of the first, and Legitimate Authority
a subtype of cardinal significance (11).
In this essay I am seeking to explicate the
primitive notion that seems to lie behind
all of these concepts. Some of my readers
would doubtless prefer the term (influence,
while others may insist that I am talking
about control. I should like to be permitted
to use these terms interchangeably when
it is convenient to do so, without denying
or seeming to deny that for many other
purposes distinctions are necessary and
useful. Unfortunately, in the English language power is an awkward word, for unlike
influence and control it has no convenient verb form, nor can the subject and
object of the relation be supplied with noun
forms without resort to barbaric neologisms.
POWER AS A RELATION AMONG PEOPLE

What is the intuitive idea we are trying


to capture? Suppose I stand on a street
corner and say to myself, I command all
automobile drivers on this street to drive
on the right side of the road; suppose
further that all the drivers actually do as I
command them to do; still, most people
will regard me as mentally ill if I insist that
I have enough power over automobile
drivers to compel them to use the right side
of the road. On the other hand, suppose a
policeman is standing in the middle of an
intersection a t which most traffic ordinarily
moves ahead; he orders all traffic to turn
right or left; the traffic moves as he orders
it to do. Then it accords with what I conceive t o be the bedrock idea of power to
say that the policeman acting in this particular role evidently has the power to make
automobile drivers turn right or left rather
than go ahead. My intuitive idea of power,
then, is something like this: A has power

CONCEPT
OF POWER
over B to the extent that he can get B to
do homething that B would not otherwise do.
If Hume and his intellec%ual successors
had never existed, the distinction between
the two events above might be firmer than
it, is. But anyone who sees in the two cases
the need to distinguish mere association
from causc will realize that the attempt
to define power could push us into some
messy epistemological problems that do not
semi to havc any generally accepted solutions at the moment. I shall therefore
quite deliberately stccr dear of the possible
identity of power with cause, and the
host of problems this identity might give
rise to.
Let us proceed in a different way. First,
let 11s agree that power is a relation, and that
it is a relatioii among people. Although in
common speech the term encompasses relations among people and other animate or
inanimate objects, we shall have our hands
full if we confiiie the relationship to humaii
beings. All of the social theory I mentioned
earlicr is interesting only when it deals with
this liniitcd kind of relationship. Let us
call the objects in the relationship of power,
actors. Actors may be individuals, groups,
roles, ofices, governments, nation-states,
or other human aggregates.
To specify the actors in a power relatioiiA has power over R-is not very interesting,
informative, or even accurate. Although the
statement that the President has (some)
power over Congress is not empty, neither is
it very useful. A much more complete
statement would include references to ( a )
the source, domain, or base of the Presidents
power over Congress; (1)) the means or
iiistrunieiits uhed by the President to exert
power over Congress; ( c ) the amount or
extent of his p o w r over Congress; and ( d )
the range or scopc of his power over Congress.
The base of an avtors power consists of all
the rc~sources-opportunities, acts, objects,
ctc.-that he can exploit in order to effect
thc behavior of another. Much of the best
writing on power-Bertrand Russell is a
good example-consists of an examination of
the possible bases of power. A study of the
war potential of nations is also a study of the
h s e s of power. t5ome of the possible bases of
u Presidelits power over a Senator are his

203

patronage, his constitutional veto, the


possibility of calling White House conferences, his influence with the national
electorate, his charisma, his charm, and the
like.
In a sense, the base is inert, passive. It
must be exploited in some fashion if the
behavior of others is to be altered. The
means or instruments of such exploitation
are numerous; often they involve threats or
promises to employ the base in some way
and they may involve actual use of the base.
In the case of the President, the means
would include the promise of patronage,
the threat of veto, the holding of a conference,
the threat of appeal to the electorate, the
e.rcrcise of charin and charisma, etc.
Thus the means is a mediating activity by
A between As base and Bs response. The
scope consists of Bs responses. The scope
of the Presidents power might therefore
include such Congressional actions as
passiiig or killing a bill, failing to override
a veto, holding hearings, etc.
The amount of an actors power can be
represented by a probability statement:
e.g., the chances are 9 out of 10 that if the
President promises a judgeship to five key
Senators, the Senate will not override his
veto, etc. Clearly the amount can only be
specified in conjunction with the means
and scope.
Suppose now we should wish to make a
relatively complete and concise statement
about the power of individual A over individual a (whom I shall call the respondent)
with respect to some given scope of responses. In order to introduce the basic
ideas involved, let us restrict ourselves to
the 2 by 2 case, where the actor A does or
does not perform some act and the respondent a does or does not respond.
Let us employ the following symbols:

(-4,w)

( A , TO)
(a, .T)

=
=

(a, 5)

A does w. For example, the


President makes a nationwide television appeal for
tax increases.
A does not do W.
a, the respondent, does x. For
example, the Senate votes to
increase taxes.
a does not do x.

204

ROBERTA. DAHL

P (ulv) = Probability that u happens


when v happens.
Then a relatively complete and concise
statement would be symbolized :

P(a, zlA, w) = pl
p ( a , xlA,
= PZ
Suppose now, that p1 = 0.4 and p z = 0.1.
Then one interpretation might be: (The
probability that the Senate will vote to
increase taxes if the President makes a
nationwide television appeal for a tax
increase is 0.4. The probability that the
Senate will vote to increase taxes if the
President does not make such an appeal is
0.1.
PROPERTIES OF THE POWER RELATION

Now let us specify some properties of the


power relation.
1. A necessary condition for the power
relation is that there exists a time lag,
however small, from the actions of the
actor who is said to exert power to the responses of the respondent. This requirement merely accords with ones intuitive
belief that A can hardly be said to have
power over a unless As power attempts
precede as responses. The condition, obvious as it is, is critically important in the
actual study of power relations. Who runs
the XYZ Corporation? Whenever the
president announces a new policy, he immediately secures the compliance of the top
officials. But upon investigation it turns
out that every new policy he announces has
first been put to him by the head of the sales
department. Or again, suppose we had a
full record of the times at which each one of
the top Soviet leaders revealed his positions
on various issues; we could then deduce a
great deal about who is running the show
and who is not. A good bit of the mystery
surrounding the role of White House figures
like Sherman Adams and Harry Hopkins
would also be clarified by a record of this
kind.
2. A second necessary condition is, like
the first, obvious and nonetheless important
in research: there is no action at a distance. Unless there is some connection
between A and a, then no power relation

can be said to exist. I shall leave the concept of connection undefined, for I wish
only to call attention to the practical significance of this second condition. In looking
for a flow of influence, control, or power from
A to a, one must always find out whether
there is a connection, or an opportunity for a
connection, and if there is not, then one need
proceed no further. The condition, obvious
as it is, thus has considerable practical
importance for it enables one t o screen out
many possible relations quite early in an
inquiry.
3. In examining the intuitive view of the
power relation, I suggested that it seemed
t o involve a successful attempt by A to
get a to do something he would not otherwise do. This hints at a way of stating a
third necessary condition for the power
relation. Suppose the chances are about one
out of a hundred that one of my students,
Jones, will read The Great Transformation
during the holidays even if I do not mention
the book to him. Suppose that if I mention
the book to him and ask him to read it, the
chances that he will do so are still only one
out of a hundred. Then it accords with my
intuitive notions of power to say that
evidently I have no power over Jones with
respect to his reading The Great Transformution during the holidays-at
least
not if I restrict the basis of my action to
mentioning the book and asking him (politely) t o read it. Guessing this to be the
case, I tell Jones that if he does not read the
book over the holidays I shall fail him in
my course. Suppose now that the chances
he will read the book are about 99 out of
100. Assume further that nothing else in
Joness environment has changed, at least
nothing relevant to his reading or not reading the book. Then it fully accords with my
intuitive notions of power to say that I
have some power over Joness holiday reading habits. The basis of my power is the
right to fail him in his course with me, and
the means I employ is t o invoke this threat.
Let me now set down symbolically what
I have just said. Let

(D,w) = my threat to fail Jones if he does


not read The Great Transformationduring the holidays.

CONCEPT
OF POWER

205

I do have a curious kind of negative power


no action on my part.
over
him. The Legion of Decency sometimes
(,I,.r)
Jones reads The Great Transjormntion during the holidays. seems to have this kind of power over moviegoers. Stalin was often said to wield negative
Further, let
power over the actions on appropriations for
p l = P ( J , xID,
w)the probability that foreign aid by the American Congress. A
Jones will read The
Great Transjorma- study of the Senate that will be discussed
tion if I threaten to later suggested that at least one Senator
had this kind of effect on the Senate on some
fail him.
kinds of issues.
p 2 = P ( J , zID, a)the probability that
Note that the concept of negative power,
Jones will read the
and
M as a measure, are both independent
book if I do not
of
the
intent of A . The measure does, to
threaten to fail him.
be sure, require one to assign a positive and
Now let us define the amount of power. negative direction to the responses of the
To avoid the cbonfusion that might arise from respondent; what one chooses as a criterion
the letter p , let us use the symbol M (from of direction will depend upon his research
Macht) to designate the amount of power. purposes and doubtless these will often inThen, in accordance with the ideas set out clude some idea as to the intent of the actors
in the illustration above, we define As power in a power relation. To take a specific case,
over a, with respect to the response x, by pl could mean the probability that Congress
will defeat a bill if it is contained in the
means of w,as M, or, more fully:
Presidents legislative program, and p2
could mean the probability that Congress
M -:w, z = P(a, x1 A , w)
will defeat such a bill if it is not contained in
- P(a, z I A , m ) = p l - p the Presidents legislative program. By
assigning direction in this way, positive
Thus in the case of myself and Jones, M , values of M would be associated with what
my power over Jones, with respect to read- ordinarily would be interpreted as meaning
ing a hook during the holidays, is 0.98. a negative influence of the President over
We can now specify some additional Congress. The point of the example is to
properties of the power relation in terms of show that while the measure does require
ill :
that direction be specified, the intent of A
a. If pl = p2, then M = 0 and no power is not the only criterion for assigning direlation exists. The absence of power is thus rection.
equivalent to statistical independence.
POWER COMPARABILITY
b. M is at a maximum when p l = 1 and
The main problem, however, is not to
p 2 = 0. This is roughly equivalent to saying
that A unfailingly gets B to do something determine the existence of power but to
make comparisons. Doubtless we are all
B would never do otherwise.
c. M is at a minimum when p l = 0 and agreed that Stalin was more powerful than
p 2 = 1. If negative values of M are to be Roosevelt in a great many ways, that
McCarthy was less powerful after his
included in the power relation at all-and
censure by the Senate than before, etc.
Some readers might object to the idea-then
we shall have a concept of negative power. But what, precisely, do we mean? Evidently
This is not as foolish as it may seem, al- we need to define the concepts more power
though one must admit that negative con- than, less powerthan, and equal power.
Suppose we wish to compare the power of
trol of this kind is not ordinarily conceived
of as power. If, whenever I ask my son to two different individuals. We have at least
stay home on Saturday morning to mow five factors that might be included in a
the lawn, my request has the inevitable comparison: (1) differences in the basis of
effect of inducing him to go swimming, their power, (2) differences in means of
when he would otherwise have stayed home, employing the basis, (3) differences in the

(D,W )

(:

=
=

206

ROBERTA. DAHL

scope of their power, i.e., in type of response evoked, (4)differences in the number
of comparable respondents, and ( 5 ) differences in the change in probabilities, or M .
The first two of these may be conveniently
thought of as differences in properties of the
actors exercising power, and the last three
may be thought of as differences in the
responses of the respondents. Now it is
clear that the pay-off lies in the last t h r e e
the responses. When we examine the first
two in order to compare the power of individuals, rulers, or states, we do so on the
supposition that differences in bases and
means of actors are very likely to produce
differences in the responses of those they
seek to control.
As I have already indicated, much of the
most important and useful research and
analysis on the subject of power concerns
the first two items, the properties of the
actors exercising power, and there is good
reason to suppose that studies of this kind
will be as indispensable in the future as they
have been in the past. But since we are
concerned at the moment with a formal
explication of the concept of power, and
not with an investigation of research problems, (some of these will be taken up later
on) it is important to make clear that
analysis of the first two items does not,
strictly speaking, provide us with a comparison of the power of two or more actors,
except insofar as it permits us to make
inferences about the last three items. If we
could make these inferences more directly,
we should not be particularly interested in
the first two items-at least not for purposes
of making comparisons of power. On the
other hand, given information about the
responses, we may be interested in comparing
the efficiency of different bases or means;
in this case, evidently, we can make a
comparison only by holding one or both of
the first two factors constant, so to speak.
In general, the properties of the power
wielder that we bring into the problem are
determined by the goals of ones specific
research. For example, one might be interested in the relative power of different
state governors to secure favorable legislative action on their proposals by means
of patronage; or alternatively, one might be

interested in the relative effectiveness of the


threat of veto employed by different governors.
In whatever fashion one chooses to define
the relevant properties of the actors whose
power he wishes to compare, strictly speaking one must compare them with respect to
the responses they are capable of evoking.
Ideally, it would be desirable to have a
single measure combining differences in
scope, number of comparable respondents
controlled, and change in probabilities.
But there seems to exist no intuitively
satisfying method for doing so. With an
average probability approaching one, I
can induce each of 10 students to come to
class for an examination on a Friday afternoon when they would otherwise prefer to
make off for New York or Northampton.
With its existing resources and techniques,
the New Haven Police Department can
prevent about half the students who park
along the streets near my office from staying
beyond the legal time limit. Which of us has
the more power? The question is, I believe,
incapable of being answered unless we are
ready to treat my relationships with my
students as in some sense comparable with
the relations of the Police Department to
another group of students. Otherwise any
answer would be arbitrary, because there is
no valid way of combining the three variables-scope, number of respondents, and
change in probabilities-into a single scale.
Let us suppose, for a moment, that with
respect to two of the three variables the
responses associated with the actions of
two (or more) actors we wish to compare
are identical. Then it is reasonable to define
the power of A as greater than the power
of B if, with respect to the remaining variable, the responses associated with As acts
are greater than the responses associated
with Bs acts. It will be readily seen, however, that we may have jumped from the
frying pan into the fire, for the term greater
than is still to be defined. Let us take up
our variables one by one.
To begin with, we may suppose that the
probability of evoking the response being the
same for two actors and the numbers of
comparable persons in whom they can evoke
the response also being the same, then if the

CONCEPT
OF POWER
scope of responses evoked by A is greater
than that evoked by B, As power is greater
than Bs. But how ran we decide whether
one scope is larger than another? Suppose
that I could induce my son to bathe every
evening and to brush his teeth before going
to bed and that my neighbor could induce
his son to serve him breakfast in bed every
morning. Are the two responses I can control t o be counted as greater than the one
response my neighbor call control? Evidently what we are willing to regard as a
greater or lesser scope of responses will
be dictated by the particular piece of research a t hand; it seems fruitless to attempt to devise any single scale. At one
extreme we may wish to say that As scope
is greater than Bs only if As scope contains in it every response in Bs and a t
least one more; this would appear to be the
narrowest definition. At the other extreme,
we may be prepared to treat a broad category of responses as comparable, and As
scope is then said to be greater than Bs
if the number of comparable responses in
his scope is larger than the number in Bs.
There are other possible definitions. The
important point is that the particular
definition one chooses will evidently have to
merge from considerations of the substance
and objectives of a specific piece of research,
and not from general theoretical considerations.
Much the same argument applies to the
second variable. It is clear, I think, that we
cannot compare A s power with respect to
the respondents al, a2 . . . a, and Bs power
with respect to the respondents bl, bz . . . b,
unless we are prepared to regard the two
sets of individuals as comparable. This is a
disagreeable requirement, but obviously a
sensible one. If I can induce 49 undergraduates to support or oppose federal aid
to education, you will scarcely regard this as
equivalent to the power I would have if I
could induce 49 Senators to support or
oppose federal aid. Again, whether or not
we wish t o treat Senators as comparable to
students, rich men as comparable to poor
men, soldiers as comparable to civilians,
enlisted men as comparable t o officers,
military officers as comparable to civil servants, etc., is a matter that can be de-

207

termined only in view of the nature and aims


of the research a t hand.
The third variable is the only one of the
three without this inherent limitation. If
scope and numbers are identical, then there
can be no doubt, I think, that it fully accords with our intuitive and common-sense
notions of the meaning of power to say that
the actor with the highest probability of
securing the response is the more powerful.
Take the set of Democratic Senators in the
United States Senate. Suppose that the
chance that at least two-thirds of them will
support the Presidents proposals on federal
aid to education is 0.6. It is fair to say that
no matter what I may do in behalf of federal
aid to education, if there are no other
changes in the situation except those brought
about by my efforts the probability that
two-thirds of them will support federal
aid will remain virtually a t 0.6. If, on the
other hand, Senator Johnson, as majority
leader, lends his full support and all his skill
of maneuver t o the measure the probability
may rise, let us say, to 0.8. We may then
conclude (what we already virtually know
is the case, of course) that Senator Johnson
has more power over Democratic Senators
with respect to federal aid t o education than
I have.
Earlier in defining the amount of power by
the measure, M , I had already anticipated
this conclusion. What I have just said is
precisely equivalent to saying that the power
of A with respect to some set of respondents
and responses is greater than the power of B
with respect to an equivalent set if and only
if the measure M associated with A is
greater than the measure M associated with
B . To recapitulate:

(:

)
pi

- :w,
x

= p l - pz,
=

where

p ( a , x ( A ,W )

the probability that a will do x , given


action w by A
pz = p ( a , x ~ A3, )

the probability that a will do x , given


no action w by A .

ROBERTA. DAHL

208
IIf

(:

- :y,

p: - p ; , where

Pf

P(b, zlB, Y>

p: = P(b, zlB, 8 ) .

Now if these two situations are power


comparable (a notion we shall examine in a
moment) then As power is greater than
Bs if and only if

M(t:w,x)

> M(F:y,z).

In principle, then, whenever there are two


actors, A and B, provided only that they are
power comparable, they can be ranked
according to the amount of power they
possess, or M . But if it is possible to rank
A and B , it is possible to rank any number
of pairs. And it is obvious from the nature
of M that this ranking must be transitive,
i.e.,

M (t:w,x)

>M

(u, u )

In principle, then, where any number of


actors are in some relation to any number of
equivalent subjects, and these relations are
regarded as power comparable, then all the
actors can be unambiguously ranked according to their power with respect to these
subjects.
There is, as everyone knows, many a slip
twixt principle and practice. How can one
convert the theoretical measure, M , into
a measure usable in practical research?
Specifically, suppose one wishes to examine
the power relations among some group of
people-a
city council, legislature, community, faculty, trade union. One wants to
rank the individuals in the group according
to their power. How can one do so?
The first problem to be faced is whether
given the aims, substance, and possible
theoretical import of his study, one does in
fact have power comparability. One of the
most, important existing studies of the power

structure of a community has been criticized


because of what appears to have been a
failure to observe this requirement. A
number of leaders in a large Southern city
were asked, If a project were before the
community that required decision by a group
of leaders-leaders that nearly everyone
would accept-which ten on the list of forty
would you choose? On the basis of the
answers, individuals were ranked in such a
way that a pyramidal power structure was
inferred to exist in the city, i.e., one consisting of a small number of top leaders who
made the key decisions, which were then
executed by a larger middle-group of subordinate leaders. The significance of this
conclusion is considerably weakened, however, if we consider whether the question
did in fact discriminate among different
kinds of responses. Specifically, suppose the
leaders had been asked to distinguish between decisions over local taxes, decisions
on schools, and efforts to bring a new industry t o the community: would there be
significant differences in the rankings
according to these three different kinds of
issues? Because the study does not provide
an answer to this question, we do not know
how to interpret the significance of the
pyramidal power structure that assertedly
exists. Are we to conclude that in Regional
City there is a small determinate group of
leaders whose power significantly exceeds
that of all other members of the community
on all or nearly all key issues that arise?
Or are we to conclude, at the other extreme,
that some leaders are relatively powerful on
some issues and not on others, and that no
leaders are relatively powerful on all issues?
We have no way of choosing between these
two interpretations or indeed among many
others that might be formulated.
Let us define A and B as formally power
comparable (in the sense that the relative
magnitudes of the measure M are held to
order the power of A and B correctly) if and
only if the actors, the means, the respondents
and the responses or scopes are comparable.
That is,
theactor
A is comparable to the actor
B;
Asrespondent, a.

Bs respondent, b;
I
I

v; and
Asmeans,
w
(,
,( Es meam,
arreaponse, z
b8 reponae,
a.

CONCEPTOF POWER
But this is not a very helpful definition.
For the important question is whether we
can specify some properties that will insure
comparability among actors, respondents,
means, and scopes. The answer, alas, is no.
So far as an explicat,ion of the term power
is concerned, power comparability must be
taken as an undefined term. That is, power
comparability will have to be interpreted in
the light of the specific requirements of
research and theory, in the same way that
the decision as t o whether to regard any
two objects-animals,
plants, atoms, or
whatnot-as
comparable depends upon
general considerations of classification and
theoretical import. To this extent, and to
this extent only, the decision is arbitrary;
but it is not more arbitrary than other
decisions that establish the criteria for a
class of objects.
T o political scientists it might seem farfetched t o compare the power of a British
prime minister over tax legislation in the
House of Commons with the power of the
President of the United States over foreign
policy decisions in the Senate. It would seem
farfetched because the theoretical advantages of such a comparison are not at
all clear. On the other hand, it would not
seem quite so farfetched to compare the
two institutional positions with respect to
the same kind of policy-say tax legislation or foreign policy; indeed, political
scientists do make comparisons of this
kind. Yet the decision to regard tax legislation in the House of Commons as comparable in some sense to tax legislation in
the Senate is arbitrary. Even the decision
to treat as comparable two revenue measures
passed a t different times in the United
States Senate is arbitrary. What saves a
comparison from being genuinely arbitrary
is, in the end, its scientific utility. Some kinds
of comparisons will seem more artificial
than others; some will be theoretically more
interesting and more productive than others.
But these are criteria derived from theoretical and empirical considerations independent
of the fundamental meaning of the term
power.
On what grounds, then, can one criticize
the study mentioned a moment ago? Be-

209

cause the use of undiscriminating questions


produced results of very limited theoretical
significance. By choosing a relatively weak
criterion of power comparability, the author
inevitably robbed his inquiry of much of
its potential richness. Considerations of
comparability are, therefore, critical. But
the criteria employed depend upon the
problem a t hand and the general state of
relevant theory. The only way to avoid an
arbitrary and useless definition of power
comparability is to consider carefully the
goals and substance of a particular piece of
research in view of the theoretical constructs one has in mind. Thus in the case of
the Senate, it may be satisfactory for one
piece of research to define all Senate roll-call
votes on all issues as comparable; for another, only votes on foreign policy issues
will be comparable; and for still another,
only votes on foreign policy issues involving
large appropriations; et>c. I n a word, the
researcher himself must define what he
means by comparability and he must do so
in view of the purpose of the ranking he is
seeking to arrive at, the information available, and the relevant theoretical constructs
governing the research.
APPLICATIONS OF THE CONCEPT OF
POWER COMPARABILITY

Assuming that one has power comparability, the next problem is to rank every
actor whose rank is relevant to the research,
Here we run into practical problems of
great magnit>ude.
Suppose we wish to rank a number of
Senators with respect to their influence over
the Senate on questions of foreign affairs.
Specifically, the respondent and response
are defined as all Senate roll-call votes on
measures that have been referred to the
Foreign Relations Committee. To begin
with, let us take two Senators. What we
wish to find out is the relative influence on
the Senate vote of the activities of the two
Senators for or against a measure prior to
the roll call. For and against must be
defined by reference to some standard
direction. Passage of the measure is one
possible direction in the sense that a
Senator can be for passing the measure,

ROBERTA. DAHL

210

against it, or without a position for or against


passage. This is not, however, a particularly
significant or meaningful direction, and one
might wish to determine the direction of a
measure by reference to the Presidents
position, or by content, or by some other
standard. For this discussion, I shall assume
that for and against are defined by
reference to the first standard, i.e., passing
the measure.
Let us now assume that a Senator does
one of three things prior to a roll-call vote.
He works for the measure, he works against
it, or he does nothing. (The assumption,
although a simplification of reality, is by no
means an unreasonable simplification), Let
us further assume (what is generally true)
that the Senate either passes the measure or
defeats it. With respect to a particular
Senator, we have the following conditional
probabilities:
Works
For

The Senator
Works
Does
Against Nothing

The Senate

Since the bottom row provides no additional information we shall, in future, ignore
it. Following the earlier discussion of the
concept M , the measure of power, it is
reasonable to define

MI = pi - pa.
Mz

p3 - pz.

M I is a measure of the Senators power when


he works for a measure and M z a measure
of his power when he works against a measure; in both cases a comparison is made
with how the Senate will act if the Senator
does nothing. There are various ways in
which we might combine M1 and Mz into
a single measure, but the most useful would
appear to be simply the sum of M1 and MI.
To avoid confusion with the earlier and
slightly different measure which we are now
approximating, let us call the sum of MI
and M z , M*. Like M , it is at a maximum
of 1 when the Senate always passes the bills
a given Senator works -for and always

defeats the bills he works against; it is at a


minimum of -1 when the Senate always
defeats the bills he works for and always
passes the bills he works against; and it is
a t 0 when there is no change in the outcome,
no matter what he does.
In addition, there is one clear advantage
to M*. It is easily shown that it reduces to

M*

pi - p2.

In a moment we shall see how advantageous


such a simple measure is.
The theoretical problem, then, is clear-cut
and a solution seems reasonably well defined.
It is at this point, however, that practical
research procedures begin to alter the
significance of a solution, for the particular
operational means selected to breathe life
into the relatively simple formal concepts
outlined so far can produce rather different
and even conflicting results.
Let me illustrate this point by drawing
on a paper by Dahl, March, and Nasatir (1)
on influence ranking in the United States
Senate. The aim of the authors was to rank
thirty-four Senators according to their
influence on the Senate with respect to two
different areas, foreign policy and tax and
economic policy. The 34 Senators were all
those who had held office continuously from
early 1946 through late 1954, a long enough
period, it was thought, to insure a reasonably
large number of roll-call votes. The classification of measures to the two areas was
taken from the Congressional Quarterly
Almanac, as were the votes themselves.
Thus the subject was well defined and the
necessary data were available.
No such systematic record is maintained
of course, for the positions or activities of
Senators prior to a roll-call vote, and what
is more it would be exceptionally difficult
to reconstruct the historical record even
over one session, not to say over an eightyear period. Faced with this apparently
insuperable obstacle, it was necessary to
adopt a rather drastic alternative, nstmely
to take the recorded roll-call vote of a
Senator as an indication of his position and
activities nrior to the roll-call. While this
is not unreasonable, it does pose one major
difficulty: a vote is necessarily cast either
for or against a measure and hence the r o h
Y

CONCEPT
OF POWER
call provides no way of determining when a
Senator does nothing prior to the roll-call.
But the very es-ence of the formal concept
of power outlincd earlier hinges on a comparison of the difference between what the
Senate will do wh:n a Smator takes a given
position and what it does when he takes no
position.
It is at this point that the advantages of
the measure M* reveal themselves. For
provided only that one is prepared to take
the Senators recorded vote as a fair indi.
cation of his prior position and activities,
the data permit us to estimate the following
probabilities, and hence M *
The Senator
Works
Works
For
Against
The Senate

Passes

pl

pi

One could, therefore, estimate M* for


each of the 34 Senators and rank all of them,
The validity of this method ranking
would appear to be greatest, however, when
all Senators are ranked on precisely the
same set of bills before the Senate. To the
extent that they vote on different (although
mostly overlapping) sets of bills, the comparability of M * from one Senator to another will be reduced, conceivably to the
vanishing point.
For a number of reasons, including a
slightly different interpretation of the
characteristics of an ideal measure, the
authors chose a rather different approach.
They decided to pair every Senator against
every other Senator in the following way.
The number in each cell is an estimate of
the probability that the Senate will pass a
proposal, given the positions of the two
Senators as indicated; the number is in
fact the proportion of times that the Senate
passed a foreign policy (or tax) measure in
the period 1946-54, given the recorded
votes of the two Senators as indicated.
S I

Favors Opposes
the
the
motion motion
Favors the motion
S?

Opposes the motion

____--

21 1

With 34 Senators, 561 possible pairs of this


kind exist; but only 158 pairs were tabulated
for foreign policy and 206 for tax and
economic policy over the whole period.
The measure used to enable comparisons to
be made between the two Senators in each
pair might be regarded as an alternative to
M*. This measure-let us call it M-rests
upon the Same basic assumption, namely
that we can measure a Senators influence
by the difference between the probability
that the Senate will pass a measure the
Senator opposes and the probability that
it will pass a measure he supports. However, there are two important differences.
First, the authors decided not to distinguish
between negative and positive power;
consequently they used absolute values only.
Second, in estimating the probability of a
measure passing the Senate, the positions of
two Senators were simultaneously compared
in the manner shown in the table. Thus the
influence of Sl over the Senate was measured
as the difference between the probability
that a bill will pass the Senate when S1
favors it and the probability that it will
pass when Sl opposes it. However, this
difference in probabilities was measured
twice: (1) when SZ favors the motions
before the Senate; and (2) when S z opposes
the motions. In the same way, S2s influence
was measured twice. Thus:
MY(&)

Jpii- pizl,

that is, the change in probabilities,


given S z in favor of the bill.

Mf(Si) = lpzi - p z z l ,
that is, the change in probabilities,
given S2 in opposition to the bill.
Likewise,

MY(S2) = lpll - pal

Mf(Sz)

lpiz -

~ 2 2 1 .

The influence of S1 was said to be greater


than the influence of Sz only if M:(Sl) >
M:(Sz) and M:(S1) > M:(Sz). That is, if

- plzl > lpll - pzll and


lPZl - pzzl > lPl2 - p221.

lpll

Except for the rare case of what would


ordinarily be regarded as negative

ROBERTA. DAHL

212

The results, some of which are sho-;.-n in


Tables 1 to 3, are roughly consistent i-&h
expectations based on general kncivledge.
Note how the formal concept of power
has been subtly altered in the process of
research; it has been altered, moreover,
not arbitrarily or accidentally but because
of the limitations of the data available,
p21 > p12.
limitations that appear to be well-nigh
In the ordinary case, then, using the measure inescapable even in the case of the United
M we can say that the power of Senator States Senate, a body whose operations are
George is greater than that of Senator Know- relatively visible and well recorded over a
land if the probability that the Senate will long period of time.
The most important and at first glance
pass a measure is greater when Senator
George favors a bill and Senator Knowland the most innocent change has been to accept
opposes it than when Senator Knowland the roll-call position of a Senator as an
favors a bill and Senator George opposes it. indication of his position prior to the rollcall vote. This change is for most practical
purposes unavoidable, and yet it generates a
TABLE 1
THIRTY-FOUR
U. S. SENATORS
RANKED
ACCORDINQ serious consequence which I propose to
TO POWER
OVER SENATE
DECISIONS
call the problem of the chameleon. Suppose
O N FOREIGN
POLICY,
1946-54
a Senator takes no prior position on any

power-which, as I have already said, this


particular measure was not intended to
distinguish from positive power-the
absolute values are the same as the algebraic
ones. Where the algebraic differences can
be taken, and this will normally be the case,
both inequalities reduce to

HIGH
Hayden

(tie) Magnuson
Chavez
Smith (N. J.)**
George**
Maybank
Green**
Hill*
Aiken
(tie) Wiley**
Hoey
Kilgore
Ferguson*
Murray*
Knowland*
Morse
Fulbright** (tie) Saltonstall
Johnston
Cordon
Hickenlooper**
Ellender
Millikin
(tie) McClellan
Eastland
Russell
Bridges*
Johnson ((2010.)
Byrd
Butler (Nebr.)
Langer*
Young
Capehart*
McCarran
LOW

** member of Foreign Relations Committee five or more


years

member of Foreign Relatins Committee one to four


years

TABLE 2
THIRTY-FOUR
U. S. SENATORS
RANKED
ACCORDING
TO POWEROVER SENATE
DECISIONS
ON
TAXA N D ECONOMIC
POLICY,1946-54
HIGH
Georget t
Milli kintt
Ellender
Byrd t t
Saltonstallt
Cordon
McCarran
Young
Hoeyt t
Maybank
Johnson (Colo.) tt (tie) McClellan
Hickenlooper
Eastland
Russell
Smith (N. J.)
Knowland
Aiken
Capehart
Johnston
Bridges
Hayden (tie) Chavez
Butler (Nebr.)tt (tie) Wiley (tie) Ferguson
Langer (tie) Hill (tie) Murray (tie) Magnuson
(tie) Fulbright (tie) Green
Morse (tie) Kilgore
LOW
tt member of Finance Committee five or more year8
t member of Finance Committea one to four years

CONCEPT
OF POWER

213

TABLE 3
THIRTY-FOUR
U. S. SENATORS
CLASSIFIED
ACCORDING
TO POWER
OVER SENATE
DECISIONS
ON FOREIQX POLICY
AND TAX POLICY,
1946-54
Foreign Policy
High influence

Tax and Economic


Policy

Medium influence

Low influence

High
influence

George**tt
Hoeytt
Maybank

Ellender
Saltonstallt
Cordon

Millikintt
B d t t
McCarran
Young
Johnson (Colo.)tt
McClellan

Medium
influence

Smith (N. J.)**


Aiken*
Hayden
Chavez

Hickenlooper**
Knowland*
Johnston

Eastland
Russell
Capehart*
Bridges*

LOW
influence

Ferguson*
Murray*
Fulbright**
Morse
Kilgore

Wiley**
Hill*
Magnusan
Green**

Butler (Nebr.)tt
Langer*

** member of Foreign Relations Committee five or more years


* member of Foreign Relations Committee one to four years

tt member of Finance Committee five or more years


t member of Finance Committee one to four years
bill and always decides how to vote by
guessing how the Senate majority will
vote; then, if he is a perfect guesser, according to the ranking method used he will
be placed in the highest rank. Our common
sense tells us, however, that in this case it is
the Senate that has power over the Senator,
whereas the Senator has no influence on the
votes of other Senators.
If the reader will tolerate an unnatural
compounding of biological and celestial
metaphors, a special case of the chameleon
might be called the satellite. Although I
have no evidence that this was so, let UE
suppose that Senator Hoey took no prior
positions on issues and always followed the
lead of Senator George (Table 3). Let UE
assume that on foreign policy and tax
policy, Senator George was the most powerful man in the Senate-as indeed nearly
every seasoned observer of the Senate does
believe. By following George, Hoey would
rank as high as George; yet, according to
our hypothetical assumptions, he had no
influence at all on George or any other
Senator.
The problem of the chameleon (and the

satellite) is not simply an artifact created by


the method of paired comparisons employed.
It is easy to see that ranking according to
the measure M* would be subject to the
same difficulties given the same data. The
formal concept of power, that is to say,
presupposes the existence of data that in this
case do not seem to be available-certainly
not readily available. If one had the kinds
of observations that permitted him to
identify the behavior of the chameleon or
satellite then no serious problem would arise.
One could treat chameleon activity as
equivalent t o doing nothing to influence
the passage or defeat of a measure. Since,
as we have seen, under the measure M *
the column does nothing is superfluous,
the effect would be to ignore all cases of
chameleon or satellite behavior and make
estimates only from the instances where a
Senator actually works for or works against
various bills.
Thus the conceptual problem is easily
solved. But the research problem remains.
In order to identify chameleon behavior and
separate it from actual attempts a t influence, one cannot rely on roll-calls. One

214

ROBERTA. DAHL

needs observations of the behavior of


Senators prior to the roll-calls. But if it is
true, as I have been arguing, that observations of this kind are available only
with great difficulty,rarely for past sessions,
and probably never in large numbers, then
in fact the data needed are not likely to
exist. But if they do not exist for the Senate,
for what institutions are they likely to exist?
CONCLUSIONS: A DIALOGUE BETWEEN A
CONCEPTUAL THEORETICIAN AND
AN OPERATIONALIST

The conclusions can perhaps best be


stated in the form of a dialogue between a
conceptual theoretician and a strict
(operationalist. I shall call them C and 0.
C . The power of an actor, A , would seem
to be adequately defined by the measure M
which is the difference in the probability of
an event, given certain action by A , and
the probability of the event given no such
action by A . Because the power of any
actor may be estimated in this way, at least
in principle, then different actors can be
ranked according to power, provided only
that there exists a set of comparable subjects
for the actors who are to be ranked.
0. What you say may be true in principle,
but that phrase in principle covers up a
host of practical difficulties. In fact, of
course, the necessary data may not exist.
C . That is, of course, quite possible. When
I say in principle I mean only that no
data are demanded by the definition that
we cannot imagine securing with combinations of known techniques of observation
and measurement. The observations may be
exceedingly difficult but they are not inherently impossible: they dont defy the
laws of nature as we understand them.
0. True. But the probability that we can
actually make these observations on, say,
the U. S. Senate is so low as to be negligible,
at least if we want relatively large numbers
of decisions. It seems to me that from a
strict operational point of view, your concept
of power is not a single concept, as you have
implied ; operationally, power would appear
to be many different concepts, depending on
the kinds of data available. The way in
which the researcher must adapt to the

almost inevitable limitations of his data


means that we shall have to make do with a
great many different and not strictly comparable concepts of power.
C . I agree with all you have said. In
practice, the concept of power will have to
be defined by operational criteria that will
undoubtedly modify its pure meaning.
0. In that case, it seems wiser to dispense
with the concept entirely. Why pretend that
power, in the social sense, is a concept that
is conceptually clear-cut and capable of
relatively unambiguous operational definitions-like mass, say, in physics? Indeed,
why not abandon the concept of power
altogether, and admit that all we have or can
have is a great variety of operational concepts, no one of which is strictly comparable
with another? Perhaps we should label them:
Power 1, Power 2, etc.; or better, lets
abandon single, simple, misleading words
like power and influence, except when
these are clearly understood to be a part of
a special operational definition explicitly
defmed in the particular piece of research.
C . Im afraid that I must disagree with
your conclusion. You have not shown that
the concept of power as defined by the
measure M is inherently defective or that it
is never capable of being used. It is true, of
course, that we cannot always make the
observations we need in order to measure
power; perhaps we can do so only infrequently. But the concept provides us with a
standard against which to compare the
operational alternatives we actually employ.
In this way it helps us to specify the defects
of the operational definitions as measures of
power. To be sure, we may have to use defective measures; but at least we shall know
that they are defective and in what ways.
More than that, to explicate the concept of
power and to pin-point the deficiencies of the
operational concepts actually employed
may often help us to invent alternative
concepts and research methods that produce
a much closer approximation in practice to
the theoretical concept itself.
REFERENCES
1 . Dahl, R. A., March, J., & Nauatir, D. In-

fluence ranking in the United States Senate.

CONCEPTOF POWER

2.
3.

4.
5.

6.

Read at the annual meeting of the American


Political Science Association, Washington,
D. C. September 1956 (mimeo).
French, J. R. 1. Jr. A formal theory of social
power. Psychol. Rev., 1956,63, 181-194.
Lasswell, H. D., & Kaplan, A. Power and SOciely. New Haven: Yale Univ. Press, 1950.
Luce, R. D. Further comments on power distribution for a stable two-party Congress.
1956 (September) (mimeo).
Luce, R . D., & Rogow, A. A. A game theoretic
analysis of Congressional power distributions for a stable t.wo-party system. Behav.
Sci., 1956, 1 , 83-95.
March, J. G . An introduction t o the theory
and measurement of influence. Amer. pol.
Sci. Rev., 1955, 59, 431-451.

215

7. March, J. G . Measurement concepts in the


theory of influence. J . Politics. (In press).
8 . March, J. G. Influence measurement in experimental and semi-experimental groups. Sociomelry. 1956, 19,26&271.
9 . Shapley, L. S. & Shubik, M. A method for
evaluating the distribution of power i n a
committee system. Amer. pol. S c i . Rev.,
1954,48, 787-792.
10. Simon, H . Notes on the observation and measurement of political power. J . Politics, 1953,
15, W 5 1 6 .
11. Weber, M. Wirtschaft und Gesellschuft. Tubingen: J. C. B. Mohr, 1925, 2 vols. (Grundriss
der Sozialekonomilc, Vol. 3 ) .
(Manuscript received April 3, 1957.)

Get rid of the old liberals, then; get rid of the soldier in politics;
and put the world into the hands of the scientists, the industrial
captains and the artists. For the new society was to be organized,
not, like Babeufs, on the principle of equality, but according t o a
hierarchy of merit. Saint-Simon divided mankind into three classes:
the savants, the propertied, and the unpropertied. The savants were
to exercise the spiritual power and to supply the personnel of the
supreme body, which was to be known as the Council of Newtonsince it had been revealed to Saint-Simon in a vision that it was
Newton and not the Pope whom God had elected to sit beside Him
and t o transmit to humanity His purposes. This council, according
to one of Saint-Simons prospt?ctuses, was to be made u p of three
mathematicians, three physicians, three chemists, three physiologists, three littdraburs, three painters and three musicians; and it
was t o occupy itself with devising new inventions and works of art
for the general improvement of humanity, and in especial with
discovering a new law of gravitation applicable to the behavior of
social bodies which would keep people in equilibrium with one
another. (So the eighteenth-century communist philosopher Morellet, in a book called The Code of Nature, had asserted that the law of
self-love was to play the same role in the moral sphere as the law of
gravitation in the physical.) The salaries of the Council of Newton
were t o be paid by general subscription, because it was obviously
t o everybodys advantage that human destinies should be controlled
by men of genius; the subscription would be international, because
i t would of course be to the advantage of all peoples to prevent
international wars.
-EDMUNDWILSON,
To The Finland Station

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