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Credit Evaluation

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Types of Errors

Type I error
Type II error
Traditional Credit Analysis
Character
Capacity
Capital
Collateral
Conditions
Should Credit
be Granted?

Character

Strong Week

Capacity Capacity

Strong Week Strong Week

Capital Capital Capital Capital


Week Strong

Strong Week Strong Week Strong Week

Excellent risk Fair risk Doughtful Risk Dangerous


Risk

How much
credit should
be granted?
Numerical Credit Scoring
Identify factors relevant for credit evaluation.
Assign weight to these factors that reflect there
relative importance.
Rate the customer on various factors, using a suitable
rating scale.
For each factor, multiply the factor rating with the
factor weight to get factor score.
Add all the factor scores to get overall customer rating
index.
Based on the rating index, classify the customer.
Credit Rating Index
Factor Factor Rating Factor Score
  weight 5 4 3 2 1  
 

Past payment 0.30           1.20


Net profit 0.20           0.80
margin
Current Ratio 0.20           0.60
Debt-equity 0.10           0.40
ratio
Return on 0.20           1.00
equity
Rating index 4.00
Discriminant Analysis
Risk Classification Scheme
Risk Class Description
1 Customer with no risk of default
2 Customer with negligible risk of default
3 Customer with little risk of default
4 Customer with some risk of default
5 Customers with significant risk of default
Controls of Accounts Receivables
Days’ Sales Outstanding
The days’ sales outstanding at a given time t may be
defined as the ratio of accounts receivable outstanding
at that time to average daily sales figure during the
preceding 30 days, 60 days, 90days or some other
relevant period.

Accounts receivables at time t


 DSOt = --------------------------------------
Average daily sales
Sales and Receivables Data

Month Sales Receivables Month Sales Receivables

January 150 400 July 190 340

February 156 360 August 200 350

March 158 320 September 200 350

April 190 310 October 220 380

May 170 300 November 230 400

June 180 320 December 240 420


Ageing Schedule
Age Group (in days) Percent of Receivables

0-30 35

31-60 40

61-90 20

More than 90 5
Collection Matrix
Percentage of Receivables January February March April May June
Collected During the Sales Sales Sales Sales Sales Sales

Month of sales 13 14 15 12 10 9

First following month 42 35 40 40 36 35

Second following month 33 40 21 24 26 26

Third following month 12 11 24 19 24 25

Fourth following month - - - 5 4 5

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