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MCX Newsletter-Daily: 11-JULY-2013

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MCX NEWSLETTER- DAILY


11-JULY-2013

Daily MCX Newsletter 11-JULY-2013

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MARKET NEWS

BULLION
Its a demand from Dragon that seems to support gold in recent times of weakness. As per the reports Chinese demand for gold has jumped sharply during May-June period against previous months. In a report, ETF Securities noted that China's gold imports from Hong Kong increased 40% in May from a month earlier, as bargain hunters increased purchases. Also, the Central banks from emerging markets have bought 24 tonnes of gold in April and May. World Gold Council quarterly data, which will be produced in coming weeks, also include estimates of other official sector buying and should provide a fuller picture. However, the underlying trend of strong net central bank purchases of gold appears to be firmly intact.

BASE METAL
Copper in the global market remained volatile after yearly Chinese producer price index (PPI) continued its negative trend and recorded a fall of 2.7% in June. Meanwhile, Chinese consumer price index rose to 2.7% in June from 2.1% in May, year-on-year basis, according to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China. Traders are awaiting yearly data on Chinese imports, exports and trade balance which are scheduled to be released on Today. Concerns that US Federal Reserve may roll back its monetary stimulus on recovering economic growth in the United States is putting pressure on the base metal to certain extent. At the same time, we expect Chinas copper imports to recover modestly, a function of reemerging financing imports and restocking.

ENERGY
The Chairman noted that the softness in commodity prices corroborate his stand. This time around, weve purchased, and are in the process of purchasing, a lot more than we did in so -called QE2. We havent really seen much increase in commodity prices. Commodity prices are way off their peaks of early last year. Oil is a little bit different from others in that its kind of hung up. But many other commodity prices have fallen further, and the reason I would give for that is that the emerging markets China, the rest of Asia , and some other parts of the world plus Europe , of course , are softer , and so global commodity demand is weaker. And that explains, I think, the bulk of why commodity prices have not risen so much, Bernanke said. He also lauded the efforts of Bank of Japan which is trying hard to tackle the deflationary ambience in Japan.

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TECHNICAL VIEW

BULLION

GOLD (5 AUGUST)

OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : -CONSOLIDATE : - 26300, 26650 : - 25950, 25670 : - BUY ON DIPS

SILVER (5 JULY)

OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 40400, 40550 : - 39900, 39500 : - BUY ON DIPS

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ENERGY

CRUDEOIL (19 JULY)

OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 6450, 6500 : - 6350, 6280 : - BUY ON DIPS

NATURAL GAS (26 JULY)

OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 224.00, 227.50 : - 218.50, 216.20 : - SELL ON HIGHS

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BASE METAL

COPPER (30 AUG.)

OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 416.50, 418.50 : - 406.10, 408.50 : - BUY ON DIPS

LEAD (31 JULY)

OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 125.30, 126.40 : - 122.70, 121.20 : - BUY ON DIPS

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ZINC (31 JULY)

OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 113.20, 114.20 : - 111.70, 110.80 : - BUY ON DIPS

ALUMINUM (31 JULY)

OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 108.30, 109.50 : - 106.90, 105.50 : - BUY ON DIPS

NICKEL (31 JULY)

OUTLOOK:
TREND RESISTANCE SUPPORT STRATEGY : - CONSOLIDATE : - 821.00, 828.00 : - 810.00, 790.00 : - BUY ON DIPS

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INTERNATIONAL MARKET

GOLD SILVER COPPER CRUDE OIL NATURAL GAS PALLADIUM PLATINUM

1283.30 19.8630 03.158 106.40 03.660 721.20 1395.50

USDINR EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD

59.7825 01.3074 99.400 00.9502 01.5082 01.0416

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ECONOMIC CALANDER

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