ETF Mastery Breaking New Ground
ETF Mastery Breaking New Ground
ETF Mastery Breaking New Ground
Neither Better Trades or any of its personnel are registered broker-dealers or investment advisers. I will mention that I consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. Because I consider the securities or positions appropriate to the discussion or for illustration purposes does not mean that I am telling you to trade the strategies or securities. Keep in mind that we are not providing you with recommendations or personalized advice about your trading activities. The information we are providing is not tailored to any particular individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security or a suggestion that it is suitable for any specific person. Keep in mind that all trading involves a risk of loss, and this will always be the situation, regardless of whether we are discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk. Also Better Trades personnel are not subject to trading restrictions. I and others at Better Trades could have a position in a security or initiate a position in a security at any time.
The Process of the workshop is: Start off using ETFs Learn the Strategy Creation System (SCS) Review Trade Setups
The Process of the workshop is: Start off using ETFs Learn the Strategy Creation System (SCS) Review Trade Setups
In the back of the manual are the Bonuses, make sure to review them Trading Plan Trading Mantra Extreme Charts 821 Moving Average Filter Trading Psychology Test / Test Results Blank ETF Fact Sheet
ETF Facts
An ETF is an Exchange Traded Fund. They are trusts that track a basket of stocks. ETFs trade just like a stock does Many ETFs are optionable Many optionable ETFs have options with $1.00 strike prices They trade with less whipsaw than most individual stocks do Some ETFs track a stagnant basket of stocks (SPY tracks the S&P 500). Others track a managed basket of stocks. Some ETFs trade inverse to the market while others trade in multiples to the market. Not all ETFs are created equal. Some have huge volume while others have almost no volume.
Using Highly Qualified candidates may give the trader an edge over other traders unaware of these benefits.
Not all sheets will have all of the same information, some details are not available on a specific ETF.
These ETFs were chosen as examples of trading opportunities because of their potential tradability. They are not recommendations.
Fibonacci 50 Trade
The move should be the most recent major move the position has made
If the trend is moving higher, then start from the lowest low in the run and draw to the highest high of the run.
If the run is bearish, start at the highest high to the lowest low of the run.
(The following examples are conducted using the Extreme Charts program. If you use another program, your charts may look different.)
Step 1: Draw the Fibonacci using the rules on the previous page Step 2: Right click on any of the Fibonacci lines on the chart and click edit Step 3: This will open up a settings box. Follow the settings on the next page
Note: This is the method to set up Extreme Charts. If you are using a different program then consult with that company on how to set up the Fibonacci using my settings.
Extend Primary Lines None Extend Ratio Lines None Test these settings to see what you like Hit save as default when you are done
When the stock bounces off of the 50% line, consider entering the trade (long or short)
You may want to add additional indicators to confirm the bounce (MACD, RSI, CCI, Moving Averages, etc.
Fib 50 Trade
Fib 50 Trade
The stock tends to bounce around between the .236 and 0 line.
Fib 50 Trade
Now that is looking good, you want the position to get down to the 50% line. A long entry could be considered here but waiting another day would be safer.
Fib 50 Trade
Trade Entry
Fib 50 Trade
3rd Exit 2nd Exit
Entry
1st Exit
EXIT SCALING First Exit - .236 line (Scale out of 1/3rd of your position) Second Exit 0 line (Scale out of the next 1/3rd of your position) Third Exit (-.272 line) Scale out of the last 1/3rd of your position
NOTES After each exit tighten up your stops in case the position reverses
Fib 50 Trade
Fib 50 Trade
Fib 50 Trade
Fib 50 Trade
Fib 50 Trade
Entry Enter a bearish position at this point If the stock has weekly options that do not expire tomorrow, consider using the weekly for entering the trade Find a delta of 65 85 Verify there is enough open interest Use 3 or 5 minute candles for this setup
Entry Enter a bearish position at this point For end of day setup only use monthly options, not weekly options Find a delta of 65 85 Verify there is enough open interest Use 3 or 5 minute candles for this setup
Opening Gap
Trading the gap is a great way to take advantage of the volatility in the market right at the open. The Gap Trade is a purely statistical trade, meaning it is based on the numbers. When a stock gaps up, you want to fade the gap (trade the gap in the opposite direction) As the stock gaps up (as an example) you would want to trade the bearish side of the position. You want to fade the gap as you are anticipating the gap filling (or getting closed up) On the following pages you have examples of trades that are analyzed based on statistical data, so you can learn to determine which gaps to possibly trade and which ones to pass on.
Opening Gap
Setup Criteria Based on your risk tolerance, use the gap statistics to determine which levels of gap fade you are most comfortable with If the gap doesnt meet your criteria, pass on the trade Have the pivot points, R2, R1, S2, S1 drawn on your real time charts
Entry Criteria Use 1-minute candles and watch the SPY chart from the open. If the stock gaps up, you are waiting for the stock to run out of steam and roll over; if this happens, consider entering a bearish position. Use weekly options if available
Opening Gap
Setting Stops The initial stop should be set above the most recent high If the stock continues to go higher, exit your position Exit Criteria Manage the trade in the direction of your position A half gap fill is a good place to scale out of your first half of your trade Look for a full gap fill for exiting the balance of the trade Notes Consider using the SPY to start with and, once comfortable, look at the gaps on equities For stocks, looking for trading opportunities that have an Average True Range (ATR) greater than $4.00 Use weekly options if possible Gap fade is potentially stronger if it runs up to a pivot level and reverses from there
Gap FAR
Chart Setup Intraday Candlesticks Charts 1, 5, 15 & 30 Minute
End of day chart (daily bars)
Bullish Trade Setup This trade can be done with stocks or options, we will discuss it using stocks. For options use the option rules in the Gap Fade Frenzy trade The trade setup is off of a 1 minute candle chart 8 & 21 EMA are in an uptrend on the 5, 15 & 30 minute charts Ideally the gap is in the same direction as the EMA trend (Up for bullish trades) Allow the stock to fill the gap Once the gap is filled wait for the first green candle to take out the high of the low red candle (Normally between 9:50 and 10:00am) Buy 1 penny above the low bar high Entry is taken intra candle not on the candle close
Gap FAR
Gap FAR
Risk Management The trade risk is assessed on your maximum trade loss (how much money are you willing to risk on this trade). Example: You are willing to risk $100 on this trade Determine where your entry is from the stop loss setting You enter the trade at $25.00 The Stop is at $24.75 You will be risking $0.25 per share Multiply $0.25 x $100 = 400 Shares to trade in this example Round shares to full lots (100 share increments) Initial Stop Place a stop 1 penny below the low of the entry bar The Hard Stop stays in place until 2 consecutive bars close green (you want to see 2 consecutive bars of profitability) before adjusting the stop from the initial setting.
Gap FAR
Stop Adjustments The Hard Stop stays in place until 2 consecutive bars close green (you want to see 2 consecutive bars of profitability) before adjusting the stop from the initial setting. After the trade 2 Green Bar Rule is met then move your stop to breakeven Then use the recent 5 minute bars low as a trailing stop The low of the previous 5 minute bar will be used as the trailing stop Scaling Out If using the 200 SMA as an exit (of profitability) Scale out of half of the position just below that level. Manage the last half of the position using the 2 Green Bar Rule (Above)
Gap FAR
Gap FAR
Observations The 8, 21 & 200 can be used for entry and exit help They can be used as a support or resistance level Bearish trades have a better potential to fill because of the fear factor On any stock you are considering draw a line at the gap If the gap is filled and it violates line you drew watch for a reversal and a potential entry
Gap FAR
Notes Consider using 3 min candles Prior to entry of a trade make sure the market is still ok If position hits the recent high take off half of the position Consider scaling out in 3 portions or 2 portions based on market conditions If a large bar forms (after you are in the trade) use the center of that bar to exit some of the position Use 8ema as trend exits. If trade is 10 contracts and you did 2 exits and are left with 3 contracts use the 8ema violation as a last exit.
Bullish Entry Criteria Look for the 8 period moving average cross up above the 21 period moving average on the days close The next day if the stock continues to move up, consider entering a long position
Notes The most powerful crosses potentially happen when the stock was below the moving averages the day before the crossover happens.
Bonus Section
Trading Plan Trading Mantra Extreme Charts 821 Moving Average Filter Trading Psychology Test / Test Results Blank ETF Fact Sheet
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2. What do you trade? What do you prefer trading? What are you most comfortable with? (stocks, futures, options)
3. What time frame do you prefer to trade in? (day, swing, intermediate-term, etc.)
4. What position size do you trade? (Is it too large or too small) (What percent of the total account are you trading)
6. What overall market conditions must be met for you to trade? (What conditions do you avoid?)
7. What are your trade entry signals? Are you using them effectively? Do you use a combination of signals? Market Conditions, specific patterns, technical Indicators
8. When do you get out of a winning position? What are the criteria? Do you have any?
10. What do you do when you have a losing streak? How do you define a losing streak?
11. What specific money-management tools do you use? How much do you risk on each trade? If you were stopped out of all positions at once, what would the result be?
12. Do you trade both long and short? Do you need to? Are you comfortable with going short? What is your experience trading on the short side?
14. How do you create a watch list? How can you improve it? How often do you update it?
16. What do traders that you admire do that you dont do?
18. What is your annual income goal? Break it down to daily/weekly goals (i.e. $250,000 = $1,000/day or $5,000/week) What do you need to do to achieve this goal? The next two questions are designed for newer traders: 19. How much money will you start out with? What percent of your net worth does this represent?
20. When do you plan on becoming profitable? (if not already) How long will your paper trading period last?
3. Trading Criteria Youll use these daily Make these very specific (This is perhaps the most important section) For trading criteria, here are some examples to consider: I will only trade stocks with MACD crossing over. My daily goal is X. I will only trade 100 shares until Im profitable for three straight months.
-- to track profitability
Neither Better Trades or any of its personnel are registered broker-dealers or investment advisers. I will mention that I consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. Because I consider the securities or positions appropriate to the discussion or for illustration purposes does not mean that I am telling you to trade the strategies or securities. Keep in mind that we are not providing you with recommendations or personalized advice about your trading activities. The information we are providing is not tailored to any particular individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security or a suggestion that it is suitable for any specific person. Keep in mind that all trading involves a risk of loss, and this will always be the situation, regardless of whether we are discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk. Also Better Trades personnel are not subject to trading restrictions. I and others at Better Trades could have a position in a security or initiate a position in a security at any time.