1) Dr. Julian Allwood argues that token gestures aimed at sustainability, like banning plastic grocery bags, make little impact and we need scalable solutions. 2) Allwood's research found that 64% of global CO2 emissions come from industry, buildings, and transport, with the top 5 materials (steel, cement, paper, plastic, aluminum) accounting for 55% of industrial emissions. 3) Allwood proposes a "Material Manifesto" with 6 actions including using less metal through design optimization, reducing yield losses in production, and reusing components before recycling to cut emissions in key industries by up to 30%.
1) Dr. Julian Allwood argues that token gestures aimed at sustainability, like banning plastic grocery bags, make little impact and we need scalable solutions. 2) Allwood's research found that 64% of global CO2 emissions come from industry, buildings, and transport, with the top 5 materials (steel, cement, paper, plastic, aluminum) accounting for 55% of industrial emissions. 3) Allwood proposes a "Material Manifesto" with 6 actions including using less metal through design optimization, reducing yield losses in production, and reusing components before recycling to cut emissions in key industries by up to 30%.
1) Dr. Julian Allwood argues that token gestures aimed at sustainability, like banning plastic grocery bags, make little impact and we need scalable solutions. 2) Allwood's research found that 64% of global CO2 emissions come from industry, buildings, and transport, with the top 5 materials (steel, cement, paper, plastic, aluminum) accounting for 55% of industrial emissions. 3) Allwood proposes a "Material Manifesto" with 6 actions including using less metal through design optimization, reducing yield losses in production, and reusing components before recycling to cut emissions in key industries by up to 30%.
1) Dr. Julian Allwood argues that token gestures aimed at sustainability, like banning plastic grocery bags, make little impact and we need scalable solutions. 2) Allwood's research found that 64% of global CO2 emissions come from industry, buildings, and transport, with the top 5 materials (steel, cement, paper, plastic, aluminum) accounting for 55% of industrial emissions. 3) Allwood proposes a "Material Manifesto" with 6 actions including using less metal through design optimization, reducing yield losses in production, and reusing components before recycling to cut emissions in key industries by up to 30%.
Dr Julian Allwood > Back to Investigating the Future > Back to Contents Domestic Disaster 3: Planet Earth by the artist duo HeHe recreates a miniaturised polluted atmosphere placed on a world map THE FUTURE IN PRACTICE THE STATE OF SUSTAINABILITY LEADERSHIP Sustainable materials with both eyes open Dr Julian Allwood Dr Julian Allwood is a University Reader in the Department of Engineering, and leader of the Low Carbon Materials Processing Group. He is co-author of Sustainable Materials With Both Eyes Open (2011). Interview by Wayne Visser. Allwood believes that we need to face the facts and nd scalable solutions, rather than token gestures that make very little impact. In the opening chapter of his new book, Sustainable Materials, Allwood cites plastic grocery bags in the UK as a case in point. He notes that plastic accounts for about 1 per cent of the UKs CO 2
emissions, and plastic carrier bags make up 1 per cent of plastic use. Hence, even if all plastic bags were scrapped and assuming their substitute were carbon neutral, which is unlikely we would only be addressing 0.01 per cent of the UKs carbon footprint. By contrast, says Allwood, our aim is to look for solutions, and our number-one guiding principle is about scale we want to make sure that we identify options for change that are big enough to make a big dierence. Allwoods research team starts by quantifying which economic activities generate the most emissions. It turns out that 64 per cent of global CO 2 emissions are energy- or process- related (the rest are from deforestation, agriculture or decay); and 35 per cent of these emissions are from industry, 31 per cent from buildings and 27 per cent from transport. In terms of buildings and transport, Allwood believes that there are still signicant gains to be made from improved designs and The Future in Practice: The State of Sustainability Leadership The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) estimates that global greenhouse gas reductions of 5085 per cent will be needed by 2050 to avoid dangerous climate change, representing a radical shift away from todays fossil-fuel-derived economy. 1 This begs the question: is such a reduction achievable, and if so, how? This is one of the key challenges tackled through the research of Dr Julian Allwood and his Low Carbon Materials Processing Group (LCMPG) at the University of Cambridge. 1 Keeping the concentration of CO 2 equivalents in the atmosphere between 445490 parts per million with a corresponding average global temperature increase of between 2.0C and 2.4C technologies perhaps as much as 75 per cent in energy savings. This is especially true for passive systems which provide more nal services for each unit of useful energy. He concludes that technical solutions for energy- ecient cars and houses are known, and their implementation depends on political will and public motivation. The same is not true, however, for industrial emissions, where many systems are already highly optimised, and where demand for materials is anticipated to double in the next 40 years. For most materials used to provide buildings, infrastructure, equipment and products, global stocks are still sucient to meet anticipated demand; but the environmental impacts of materials production and processing, particularly those related to energy, are rapidly becoming critical. In this case, it is not energy eciency, but rather material eciency that represents the biggest opportunity. Material eciency which essentially means delivering the same required services with less primary production could allow greater cuts, at lower cost. Here, too, it is important to focus on the biggest sources of impact, namely the ve materials that contribute 55 per cent of global CO 2 emissions from industry and 20 per cent of global CO 2 emissions from energy use and industrial processes. Allwoods LCMP Group has predicted emissions scenarios to 2050 for ve materials: steel, cement, paper, plastic and aluminium. Specically, in their Reference scenario which includes implementing all known and emerging best available technologies globally, raising recycling to the maximum possible, and securing 20 per cent decarbonisation of all energy industry still fails to deliver the minimum 50 per cent emission cuts required by the IPCC. Based on an analysis of strategies to improve material eciency in these ve key materials, Allwoods LCMP Group have created a Material Manifesto, which includes the following six actions to make the future of materials use more sustainable. 1. Use less metal by design We could make big savings by optimising the design of metal components. The materials used by industry are often designed in a regular shape to make production easier and more ecient. But this means that they often use more material than they have to. The researchers calculate that if we can optimise beam designs, for example, to suit their use, we could make weight savings of up to 30 per cent with a similar reduction in the emissions caused by production. Similar techniques could be applied to the production of components for cars, the rebar used to reinforce concrete, and steel cans for food storage. Figure 1: Sources of global CO 2 emissions. from Sustainable Materials With Both Eyes Open. Figure 2: Normalised global demand for the ve key materials since 1960, from Allwood et al, Environmental Science & Technology 2010, 44, 18881894. Continued... > Back to Investigating the Future > Back to Contents 2. Reduce yield losses At least 25 per cent of liquid steel and 40 per cent of liquid aluminium never makes it into products. Instead, it is cut o as scrap in manufacturing. One extreme example is the aluminium wing skin used for aeroplanes: 90 per cent of the metal produced in this process ends up as swarf, or aluminium scrap. The researchers found that this is often the result of habit, rather than necessity. Clothing manufacturers have, for example, actually derived the algorithms needed to make sure that rolls of fabric are used to maximum eect. Manufacturers could do the same thing with the metal they receive. The team calculated that reducing yield losses through this and other techniques would cut CO 2 emissions by about 16 per cent in the steel industry and 7 per cent in the aluminium industry. 3. Divert manufacturing scrap Scrap metal is usually sent for recycling, which means melting it (an energy-intensive process). In fact, it could just be used elsewhere. For example, most steel scrap comes from blanking skeletons the remains of sheets of steel after shapes have been cut out of them. About 60 megatons of steel are scrapped on this basis every year. We could eectively reduce scrap steel by half if these skeletons went to the manufacturers of smaller components instead, who can use whats left. 4. Re-use old components before recycling at all Old components are often recycled when they could be re-used directly instead. Car dismantlers are an example of good practice, breaking up damaged or old vehicles and re-using the components. But steel in construction remains the biggest potential asset, and although the beams from dismantled buildings are usually recycled, they could often be used again straight away instead. When you take a building down, the steel girder is totally reusable, Allwood says. All you need to do is unbolt it and clean it, because steel doesnt degrade with use. Re-use means we can avoid all the energy of melting, casting and re-rolling old steel. 5. Extend the lives of products Most demand for products in developed economies isnt to expand the overall stock, but to replace existing items. Fridges are a good example we still need them but in the UK we destroy 33 per cent more fridges every year than we make cars. The researchers advocate Figure 3: Predicted 2050 emissions for the ve key materials under various future strategies. The blue bar shows how extensively the strategy must be implemented to reach the IPCC target. If 100 per cent implementation is insucient, the red bar shows the excess emissions relative to the target. Strategies Steel Cement Plastic Paper Aluminium Reference: all known and emerging best available technologies implemented globally, raise recycling to maximum possible and 20% decarbonisation of all energy As Reference, but with carbon sequestration applied to primary production As Reference, but with non-destructive recycling As Reference, but with demand reduced through light-weighting, substitution and extending product lives As Reference with novel process technologies using less energy and creating less scrap 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% When you take a building down, the steel girder is totally reusable. All you need to do is unbolt it and clean it, because steel doesnt degrade with use. Allwood, JM and Cullen, J, 2012. Sustainable Materials With Both Eyes Open. Cambridge: UIT Cambridge. Free download from www. withbotheyesopen.com Allwood, JM, Ashby, MF, Gutowski, TG and Worrel, E, 2011. Material eciency: a white paper. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 55 (2011) pp.362381 Allwood, JM, Cullen, JM and Milford, RL, 2010. Options for Achieving a 50% Cut in Industrial Carbon Emissions by 2050. Environmental Science and Technology 44, (2010) pp.18881894 Cambridge Research News, 2011. Six steps to a better material world. 30 November. http://www. cam.ac.uk/research/news/six-steps-to-a-better- material-world/ The artist duo HeHe, formed by Helen Evens and Heiko Hansen, create with Domestic Disaster 3: Planet Earth (2012) an unsettling installation, full of beauty and menace. Colourful and articial, animated by a slow movement and accompanied by a sound choreography, this atmosphere echoes the research on uid dynamics led by Jean-Marc Chomaz (CNRS, Laboratoire LadHyX, France). The work was commissioned for the Cape Farewell exhibition Carbon 12: Art and Climate Change. CPSL is proud to be collaborating with Cape Farewell, which works with artists and scientists on a cultural response to climate change. www.capefarewell.com modifying products rather than replacing them wholesale, and urging manufacturers to develop adaptable designs that would help this process. This requires a change in thinking and an end to planned obsolescence. 6. Reduce nal demand The fall-back option that no policymaker would ever condone, except in times of war, is to reduce nal demand. Yet it remains the case that we could be living with less stu overall. In the UK, for example, we each spend 225 hours per year in the car. We have 28 million licensed cars with, on average, four seats in each. There are 60 million people. So each car seat is, on average, in use for 2 per cent of the year. We could reduce our overall stock to 7 million cars with ease. This is, of course, scuppered by the convenience factor of having a car when we need it. We may not want to make these changes to our convenient lifestyles, but that is not to say that we couldnt do it if we needed to. In industrialised nations, material eciency strategies have had little attention, mainly because of economic, regulatory and social barriers. However, evidence from waste management and the pursuit of energy eciency suggests that these barriers might be overcome. Critically, however, dierent strategies are not equally eective for dierent materials. For instance, non- destructive recycling may have the most potential for steel and paper, while novel process technologies may be more appropriate for plastics. In general, reducing demand through light-weighting, substitution and extending product life appears to be a strong strategic option across the ve materials. Reecting on his groups ambitious research programme, which resulted in the publication of Sustainable Materials, Allwood concludes: We wanted to consider whether we could cut emissions by reducing the amount of stu produced in the rst place. Every aspect of our lives today depends on materials like steel and aluminium. If we want a sustainable future, we need to reduce the impact of producing them, and our biggest option for achieving this is to reduce our thirst for new material. > Next Article > Back to Investigating the Future > Back to Contents Download PDF of this article > > The State of Sustainability Leadership is CPSLs annual thought leadership report, delivering insight and challenge from our world-wide network of business leaders, policymakers and academic experts. This years edition, to be published in full in December 2012, is focused on the theme of business and the long-term what leaders can do to understand and shape the future. CPSL is an institution within the University of Cambridges School of Technology. www.cpsl.cam.ac.uk