Current Market Condition
Current Market Condition
Current Market Condition
The Philippines economy is small and has one of the lowest GDP per capita rates ($US3,200) in
the whole of Asia. However, between 2003 and 2007, GDP grew by over 50% in terms of its
local currency and in 2007 real GDP grew at over 7% (although in 2008 GDP dropped to 4% as a
result of the financial crisis), making it one of the worlds fastest growing economies. This has
largely been driven by strong domestic demand, economic reform, relative political stability, and
the successful exports of services (e.g. telecommunications, business outsourcing), labour, and
manufactured goods and resources.1
Euromonitor reports that the Philippine economy is growing at a healthy pace and steady rates of
growth are expected in the medium term. The real growth rate of the Gross Domestic Product,
(GDP), grew 4.8% in 2012 to US$416.7 billion on a purchasing power parity, PPP, basis. Real
GDP should grow by 5% in 2013. Though this represents a slowdown from the forecast of 5.5%
in 2012, the economy will still be expanding faster than its potential. Even though economic
headwinds will likely slow exports of electronics, strong fiscal spending, low interest rates, and
resilient remittances from overseas Filipinos will continue to drive the economy. 2
The Philippine retail sector continues to modernize and expand, fostering steady sales of a wide
range of Food & Beverage, (F&B), products. Supermarket chains are opening large, Westernstyle stores in Metro Manila, Cebu, Davao and other key provincial cities such as Bacolod,
Cagayan de Oro and Iloilo. At least some of the recent improvements in the retail sector can be
attributed to the passage of the Retail Trade Liberalization Law in 2000, which allows foreign
retailers to operate independently in the Philippines. In response to liberalization, local
supermarket chains undertook positive changes to modernize their stores, stream-line operations
and broaden their line of imported products. The retail sector is dominated by companies such as
Metro Gaisano, Robinson's Supermarket, Rustans/ Shopwise Supercenters, SM Supermarket
and S&R.3
Sales in the Philippine Hotel, Restaurant and Institutional (HRI) food service sector have grown
by 99% over the past five years to an estimated US$4.25 billion in 2012. Restaurants were the
1 http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/agriculture/investment-trade/market-access-andcompetitiveness/markets/philippines/analysis-of-the-food-sector-in-philippines
2 http://www.foodexport.org/resources/countryprofiledetail.cfm?itemnumber=1030
3 http://www.foodexport.org/resources/countryprofiledetail.cfm?itemnumber=1030
top contributors with US$3.7 billion (87%), hotels and resorts with US$377 million (9%), and
catering and other food service institutions with US$163 million (4%) in estimated gross sales.4
A booming economy, the proliferation of malls and shopping centers throughout the country, and
a growing influx of tourists have all contributed to this strong growth. According to industry
interviews, roughly 25% of all consumer-oriented F&B product imports flow through this
sector.5
According to the 2011 Annual Survey of Philippine Business and Industry on Hotels and
Restaurants, the number of restaurants (including fast-food chains, casual dining outlets, cafes
and bars) grew from 72,200 outlets in 2007 to 80,000 outlets in 2011, an increase of 11%. It is
anticipated that the number of restaurants will continue to grow by 2% to 5% annually as the
Philippine economy continues to strengthen and major shopping malls throughout the country
continue to flourish.6
Post anticipates continued growth in F&B import demand through 2013 (and beyond) across a
wide spectrum of products, with some of the fastest growth potential in convenience, gourmet,
and healthy, natural, and organic categories.7
There are over 11,000 food and beverage processing companies in the Philippines producing a
wide variety of products that rely heavily on imported ingredients such as meat and poultry
products, fish and marine products, dairy products, processed fruits and vegetables, seasonings,
and fats and oils. The small to medium size industries are mostly family-owned. Unlike other
countries in the region where multinationals dominate the food processing industry, local
companies such as San Miguel, RFM Corporation and Universal Robina Corporation hold a
large share of the Philippine food-processing sector.8
Food manufacturing, including food and beverage processing remains the Philippines' most
dominant primary industry accounting for more than 40% of total output in manufacturing. The
industry contributes approximately 20% of GDP per year.9
4 http://www.foodexport.org/resources/countryprofiledetail.cfm?itemnumber=1030
5 http://www.foodexport.org/resources/countryprofiledetail.cfm?itemnumber=1030
6 http://www.foodexport.org/resources/countryprofiledetail.cfm?itemnumber=1030
7 http://www.foodexport.org/resources/countryprofiledetail.cfm?itemnumber=1030
8 http://www.foodexport.org/resources/countryprofiledetail.cfm?itemnumber=1030
9 http://www.foodexport.org/resources/countryprofiledetail.cfm?itemnumber=1030
Table 1 - Total Family Spending on Processed Foods and Beverages, 2009 (in million pesos)
Expenditure Item
Amount
Percent Share
83,299
20.4
2,732
0.7
5,409
1.3
50,322
12.3
74,536
18.3
31,441
7.7
33,932
8.3
10 http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/agriculture/investment-trade/market-access-andcompetitiveness/markets/philippines/analysis-of-the-food-sector-in-philippines
11 http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/agriculture/investment-trade/market-access-andcompetitiveness/markets/philippines/analysis-of-the-food-sector-in-philippines
44,360
10.9
Food n.e.c*
60,365
14.8
Alcoholic beverages
21,850
5.4
408,246
100
Note: * Food not elsewhere classified; includes sugar products, cooking oil, margarine, sauces,
other spices and seasoning and other food n.e.c
Source of basic data: NSO Family Income and Expenditure Survey12
There were 882 processed food and beverage establishments2 with employment of 20 and over,
according to the NSO's Annual Survey of Philippine Business Establishments, 2008. These
establishments employed a total of 150,955 workers with value of output reaching nearly Php
640 billion. The figures include about 78 establishments engaged in the manufacture of
beverages with total employment of 14,014 persons and value of output of about Php 93.6
billion.13
Meanwhile, there were some 80 processed food and beverage companies included in the
Philippines' Top 1000 Corporations, with total gross revenues of close to Php 688 billion in
2009. About a fourth of the gross revenues were contributed by the leading companies in the
manufacture of malts and liquors, some 14 percent by milk manufacturers (except infant's milk)
and 12 percent by softdrink manufacturers.14
12http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/agriculture/investment-trade/market-access-andcompetitiveness/markets/philippines/analysis-of-the-food-sector-in-philippines
13 http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/agriculture/investment-trade/market-access-andcompetitiveness/markets/philippines/analysis-of-the-food-sector-in-philippines
14 http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/agriculture/investment-trade/market-access-andcompetitiveness/markets/philippines/analysis-of-the-food-sector-in-philippines
Magnolia, Inc.
Nestle Philippines
Croley Foods
URC
Snackfoods
Leslie Corp.
Cenmaco, Inc.
URC
Zest-O Corp.
Alcoholic beverages
Processed fish
Ayala Seafoods
Bagumbuhay Industrial
Chattrade Enterprises
Dalisay Sweets
Monde-Nissin Corp.
Nestle Philippines
Nissin URC
URC
Zest-O Corp.
Processed meat
CDO Foodsphere
Bottled water
URC
Coffee
Softdrinks
Source: Center for Food and Agri Business, University of Asia and the Pacific15
Most of the companies are located in Luzon, catering to the large Metro Manila market, which
has a night population of about 11.5 million in 2010. The daytime/work day population could be
about 14 million. Some are concentrated in Mindanao such as in the case of fish canning,
seaweed processing and pineapple processing.16
Philippine processed foods and beverages are among the country's leading export products. In
2009, exports amounted to US$1.2 billion with a robust growth of 11.6 percent per annum from
only US$782 million in 2005. Shipments consisted mainly of processed fruits and vegetables,
fish and seafood preparations, sugars and sugar confectionery, cereal, flour, starch, milk
preparations and products, and dairy products, and edible animal products. The key markets
include the United States (US), Asian countries like Japan, South Korea, Indonesia, Malaysia,
15 http://www.ats-sea.agr.gc.ca/ase/6212-eng.htm
16 http://www.ats-sea.agr.gc.ca/ase/6212-eng.htm
Thailand, Taiwan, Singapore and Vietnam, as well as countries in the Middle East such as Iran
and the United Arab Emirates.
Meanwhile, imports grew by 9.8 percent per year to nearly US$2 billion in 2009 from a little
over US$1.4 billion in 2005. The leading product categories include dairy products, eggs, honey,
edible animal products, miscellaneous edible preparations, meat and edible meat offal, cereal,
flour, starch, milk preparations and products, and milling products, malt, starches, inulin and
wheat gluten. The major country suppliers include New Zealand, Australia, US, India, Thailand
and Ireland.
The trade balance has consistently been negative, with imports outpacing exports by nearly
US$800 million per annum during the last five years.17
The Philippines is a net importer of processed foods and beverages, just like most of its
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) neighbours. In 2009, its imports outpaced
exports by US$789 million, the third highest deficit after Singapore (US$962) and Malaysia
(US$960). It paled in comparison to Thailand, Indonesia and Vietnam, which managed to post
trade surpluses.
Table 2 - Processed foods and beverages: Trade Balances of ASEAN Countries, 2009
(in US$ millions)
Country
Exports
Imports
Balance
Brunei
169
(168)
Cambodia
33
486
(453)
Indonesia
4 420
2 734
1 686
Laos
35
216
(181)
Malaysia
3 386
4 346
(960)
17 http://www.ats-sea.agr.gc.ca/ase/6212-eng.htm
Myanmar
43
484
(441)
Philippines
1 195
1 984
(789)
Singapore
4 094
5 056
(962)
Thailand
12 173
1 964
10 210
Vietnam
3 606
3 048
559
18 http://www.ats-sea.agr.gc.ca/ase/6212-eng.htm