Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

Trend Lines
TEKS
8.5 Proportionality. The student applies mathematical process standards to use proportional and
non-proportional relationships to develop foundational concepts of functions. The student is expected
to:
D. use a trend line that approximates the linear relationship between bivariate sets of data to make
predictions;
Essential Question(s)
What meaning can be extracted from a data set?
Understanding
Data is used to make
generalizations and predictions
regarding population.

Know
Definition of Trend Line

Problem 2:
Draw a trend line on a
scatterplot.
Make prediction from a
scatterplot using a trend line.

Materials:
Warm-Up Trend Lines
Student Notes Trend Lines
Strand of Spaghetti 1 per student
Pair Check Trend Lines
Exit Ticket Trend Lines
Practice Trend Lines
References
Use Trend Lines to Make Predictions Math Volume 2 pgs 637-644
Vocabulary
Trend Line A line close to most of the data points with approximately half the data points above and
half the data points below.
Teacher Notes (Expected student answers will be shown in italics)

Warm-up:
Have students review the previous days content using the warm up question.
Correct answer: B
Procedure:
Student Notes Trend Lines
Problem 1: Have the students use the spaghetti strand to help draw the trend line on the scatterplot.
Trend lines help us make predictions about the data.
Trend lines can help us make predictions in 3 ways
1. Predict a y value on the graph given an x value.
2. Predict a x value on the graph given an y value.
3. Predict future data off the given graph.
Parts C-E give an example of each type of prediction. Possible solutions are shown below.
C: About $12.50
D: About 3 pounds
E: About $24.00

Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

Problem 2: Have students practice drawing trend lines using their spaghetti strand. Have
them show their trend lines to a partner and discuss how they determined where to draw it.
Problem 3: Use problem 3 as a preparation for
students to work the pair check independently
partner.
Scaffold the questioning by having students
their trend line and then compare the trend
with a partner. Then, do the same with parts
you walk around checking student work on
papers. Possible solutions are shown below.

Concessions Sales ($)

8000

with a

7000

draw
lines
A-D as
their

6000
5000
4000
3000
2000

A.
B.
C.
D.

about $5,000
about 450 tickets
About $8,500
linear; positive

1000
0

Tickets Sold
0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Pair Check Trend Lines

1. Pair students up for this activity. Have them define Person A and Person B. For each set of
questions, students will be looking at the same graph and making predictions. Students should
work their corresponding question, and then trade papers to check their partners work and sign on
their paper. Correct answers are shown below.
1: A. about $60
B. Linear; Positive
2: A. about 42 feet
B. Linear; Positive
3: A. about $90 earned
B. Linear; Positive
4: A. about $20 saved
B. Linear; Positive
5: A. D
B. Linear; Negative
6: A. B
B. Linear; Negative
7: C
8: B

Extension Trend Lines

1. In this extension, students can learn how to construct scatterplots on the graphing calculator and
make predictions by calculating a linear regression for a set of linear data.
Example 1:
A. Have the students create a scatterplot on their calculator using the data in the table and
create a trend line using Linear Regression on their calculators using the steps listed on the
student handout. Show students how to look in the table to predict this amount using the
trend line.

Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

negative
Linear
About 570 million
The year 2027
Around 1998
Because more people buy
digital music than CDs.

1000

CDs Purchased (millions)

B.
C.
D.
E.
F.
G.

950
900
850
800
750
700
650
600
550
500
0

Example 2:
A. Between 84 and 85 degrees
B. 47%
C. 22%

Year

10 11 12 13 14

Example 3:
A. 35 minutes
B. 6 miles
C. 71 minutes

Exit Ticket Trend Lines

1. Have students respond to the multiple choice question as proof of mastery of the days learning.
Correct answer: A
2. Have students respond to the quick write.
Practice:
1. Student practice to be started in class and completed for homework.
2. Correct answers are shown below.
1. B. 6.5 inches
C. 7 years
C. positive association
D. linear relationship
2. B. about 26 goldfish
C. about 5 months
D. positive association
E. Linear
3. B. about 2.5 f
C. about 45 mi/h
D. negative association
E. Linear
4. A. about 60%
B. about 100
C. Positive association
D. Linear

Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

Warm Up Trend Lines
Name __________________________________ Date ____________ Period ____
1. Which scatterplot suggests a linear relationship between x and y?

Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

Student Notes Trend Lines
Name _____________________________________ Date ________________ Period __________
1. The scatterplot below represents the relationship between the size of a Thanksgiving turkey and its
price at various grocery stores.
cost
16

14

12

10

pounds
0

10

A. Draw a line through the data that represents the trend of the relationship.
B. Trend lines help us ___________

_______________________ about the data.

Trend lines can help us make

predictions in 3 ways
C. About how much would you expect an eight-pound
turkey to cost?

D. If you spent $5.00, about how many pounds of turkey

did you buy?

1.

2.

3.
E. Kaitlin is having a party and needs to buy 15 pounds
of turkey. How much should she expect to spend?

Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

2. Lets practice drawing good trend lines
y

26

24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0

x
0

10

y
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1

x
0

10

11

12

13

14

15

3. Based on the relationship between the total amount of money collected at the concession stand and
the total number of tickets sold at a movie theater during the holiday weekend.
A. About how much money will be collected at
the concession stand when 1200 tickets have
been sold?
___________________
B. What would be a reasonable prediction of
how many tickets were sold when the
concession stand made $2000?
___________________
C. About how much money will be collected at
the concession stand when 2000 tickets have
been sold?

Concessions Sales ($)

8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0

Tickets Sold
0

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

___________________
D. Circle the words below that best describe this relationship.
Linear / Non-Linear

Positive / Negative / No association

Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

Extension Trend Lines
Name _______________________________________ Date ________________ Period __________
1. The table below shows the number of CDs (in millions) that were purchased from 2007 to 2012.
A. Create a scatterplot on the calculator using the data in the table.
Year

CDs Purchased
(in millions)

2002

970

2003

950

2004

960

2005

955

2006

950

2007

930

2008

900

2009

879

2010

810

2011

745

2012

740

2013

730

Linear Regression Calculator Steps

2nd, y=, enter
Select On by pressing enter.
stat, 1:Edit
Enter the data into L1 for x and L2 for y.
zoom, 9:ZoomStat
You should see your scatterplot
stat, CALC, 4:LinReg(ax+b)
Store RegEQ:, vars, Y-VARS, 1:Function, 1:Y1
Calculate, Graph
You should see your trend line graph over your
scatter plot.
2nd, window
Set TblStart to 2000 and Tbl to 1
2nd, graph
Scroll through the table to make predictions.

B. Does the data show positive, negative, or no association? ____________________________

C. Does this data show linear or nonlinear relationship?________________________________
D. If the trend continued, about how many CDs would be purchased in 2020? ______________
E. Approximately when would you assume that there would be about 400 CDs sold? __________
F. Approximately when would you assume that there would be about 1100 CDs sold? _________
G. Why do you think that this relationship is negative?

Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

2. Use the data below to create a scatterplot using your calculator and then make a trend line to
answer the questions below.
Temperature
(F)
Humidity
(%)

65

72

81

78

88

75

90

72

10

30

50

70

100

40

98

50

67
20

A. Use the trend line to predict the approximate temperature at a 80% humidity.

B. If the temperature is 75F, what would be an approximate of the humidity?

C. If the temperature is 68F, what would be an approximation of the humidity?

3. Ms. Escalante is training for a 5k race. She recorded her training runs for the last 12 days. She
recorded the distance she ran and how many minutes it took her to run it. Use your calculator to
draw a scatterplot and determine the trend line.
Distance
(mi)
Time
(min)

15

25

38

20

54

25

30

10

50

40

A. Use the trend line to predict how long it would take Ms. Escalante to run 3.5 miles.

B. Predict how far she would run in 60 minutes.

C. Predict how long would it take her to run 7 miles?

3
28

Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

Exit Ticket:
1. The manager of a restaurant recorded how many people were in different groups of customers and how much
those groups spent on food and beverages. The scatterplot below shows the data she recorded.

Based on this scatterplot, about how much money would a group of 10 people be expected to spend on food
and beverages at this restaurant?
A

$135

$115

$105

D $150

2. Quick Write: How can you use a trend line to make a prediction on a scatterplot?
____________________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________________________

Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

DIRECTIONS: Answer each question and

show all of your work. Person A will answer the
___________________________first question, then person B will check their
work. Person B will then answer the second
questions, then Person A will check their work.
___________________________Continue doing this until all the questions have
been completed.

Trend Lines - Pair Check Activity Sheet

Person A:

Person B:

Person A:
1. The scatterplot below shows the cost, in dollars, of five different ladders. Each ladder is a different
length. Draw a trend line on this graph.
A. How much would you expect a ladder that is 25
feet in length to cost?

___________________________
B. Circle the words that best describe this
relationship.
Linear / Non-Linear
Positive / Negative / No Association

Cost
80
60
40
20
0

Lenght of Ladder
5

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Person B check & initial: _______

Person B:
2. The scatterplot below shows the cost, in dollars, of five different ladders. Each ladder is a different
length. Draw a trend line on this graph.
A. What would be the length of a
ladder that cost $80?

__________________________
B. Circle the words that best describe this
relationship.
Linear / Non-Linear
Positive / Negative / No Association

Cost
80
60
40
20
0

Lenght of Ladder
5

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Person A check & initial: _______

Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

Person A:
3. The scatterplot below shows the dollars saved for each dollar earned. Draw a trend line on the
graph.
A. About how much money would you have to
earn if you saved $13?

Dollars Saved
35
30

___________________________
B. Circle the words that best describe this
relationship.
Linear / Non-Linear
Positive / Negative / No Association

25
20
15
10
5
0

Dollars Earned
20

40

60

80

100 120 140

Person B check & initial: _______

Person B:
4. The scatterplot below shows the dollars saved for each dollar earned. Draw a trend line on the
graph.
A. About how much money would be saved if you
earned $120?

Dollars Saved
35
30

___________________________
B. Circle the words that best describe this
relationship.
Linear / Non-Linear
Positive / Negative / No Association

25
20
15
10
5
0

Dollars Earned
20

40

60

80

100 120 140

Person A check & initial: _______

Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

Person A:
5. The scatterplot shows the average number of hours each
of 13 people spends at work every week and the average
number of hours each of them spends on recreational
activities every week.
A. Based on the scatterplot, what is the best prediction
of the average number of hours a person spends at
work every week if that person spends an average of
10 hours on recreational activities?
A
B
C
D

33
75
50
65

h
h
h
h

B. Circle the words that best describe this relationship.

Linear / Non-Linear
Positive / Negative / No Association

Person B check & initial: _______

Person B:
6. The scatterplot shows the average number of hours each
of 13 people spends at work every week and the average
number of hours each of them spends on recreational
activities every week.
A. Based on the scatterplot, what is the best prediction of
the average number of hours a person spends on
recreational activities every week if that person
spends an average of 80 hours at work?
A
B
C
D

15 h
5h
20 h
50 h

B. Circle the words that best describe this relationship.

Linear / Non-Linear
Positive / Negative / No Association

Person A check & initial: _______

Gr 8 Unit 5 Trend Lines

Person A:
7. The scatterplot shows the number of hours that 12 people
spent learning to type on a keyboard and each persons
average typing speed.
Based on the scatterplot, what is the best prediction of a
persons average typing speed in words per minute (wpm) if
the person has spent 70 hours learning to type?
A
B
C
D

100 wpm
55 wpm
85 wpm
70 wpm

Person B check & initial: _______

Person B:
8. The scatterplot shows the number of hours that 12 people
spent learning to type on a keyboard and each persons
average typing speed.
Based on the scatterplot, what is the best prediction of a
persons average typing speed in words per minute (wpm) if
the person has spent 100 hours learning to type?
A
B
C
D

100 wpm
115 wpm
150 wpm
90 wpm

Person A check & initial: _______