Macro Tutor2u A
Macro Tutor2u A
Macro Tutor2u A
OCR AS
Economics (Macro)
Paper A
Section A
ANSWER ALL QUESTIONS IN THIS SECTION
3. A government runs a fixed exchange rate system, and wishes to keep the value of its currency
below the free market equilibrium. Which of the following policies is it most likely to use?
A. Using its foreign currency reserves to buy up its own currency
B. Raising the rate of interest
C. Imposing import quotas
D. Using its own currency to increase its foreign exchange reserves
4. The following chart shows the UKs overall employment rate and the UKs youth unemployment
rate, from 2005 to 2015.
9 24
UK Youth Unemployment Rate (%)
22
UK Unemployment Rate (%)
20
7
18
6
16
5
14
4 12
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
D. The youth unemployment rate was lowest in 2005 when it was just above 4%.
20
5. 7
Study the charts below, which summarise the UK governments fiscal position in 2015/2016.
18
6
Which of the following statements is correct?
16
A. The UK government ran a budget deficit of 72bn in 2015/2016
5
B. The UK government had a balanced budget in 2015/2016 14
C. The UK government ran a budget surplus of 72bn in 2015/2016
4 12
D. The2006
size of the budget
2008 deficit increased
2010 in 2015/2016
2012 2014
Defence - 45 billion
Transport - 28 billion
Health - 141 billion
7. The table below shows the UKs real GDP for recent years.
The index numbers missing from the table for 2008 and 2014 are:
8. Which of the following is regarded as an injection into the circular flow of income?
A. Savings
B. Investment
C. Taxation
D. Imports
12. The table below shows the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the UK from Q3 2012 to
Q3 2015 (2005 = 100)
2012 Q3 123
2012 Q4 124.5
2013 Q1 125.1
2013 Q2 126
2013 Q3 126.4
2013 Q4 127.1
2014 Q1 127.2
2014 Q2 128.1
2014 Q3 128.2
2014 Q4 128.3
2015 Q1 127.4
2015 Q2 128.1
2015 Q3 128.2
Which of the following can be correctly inferred from the table above?
A. Prices in Q3 2015 were 5.2% higher than in Q3 2012
B. There was deflation in Q1 2015
C. Inflation was most rapid in Q3 2015
D. There was disinflation between Q1 2014 and Q2 2014
13. Which of the following supply-side policies is most likely to cause aggregate supply to increase?
A. An increase in the progressivity of income tax
B. A reduction in the immigration quota
C. Raising the National Minimum Wage
D. Tax reductions to firms carrying out research and development
14. A devaluation of the currency is most likely to cause a reduction in the size of the trade deficit if:
A. The combined price elasticity of demand for exports and imports is greater than 1
B. The income elasticity of demand for exports is high and positive
C. The combined price elasticity of demand for exports and imports is elastic
D. The cross elasticity of demand between exports and imports is negative
AS1
AS2
AS
Price level
D
B
C
P
A
AD1
AD
AD2
Y Real GDP
6
Percent
-1
Sept 2005 Sept 2007 Sept 2009 Sept 2011 Sept 2013 Sept 2015
Page 6 Practice exam paper - OCR AS Economics (Macro) Paper A
AS1
AS2
AS
Price level
Section B D
ANSWER ALL QUESTIONS IN THIS SECTION
B
C
P
A
Inflation, unemployment and living standards
AD
AD1 in the UK
AD2
Throughout 2015, the rate of inflation had been low, varying between a positive 0.3% and negative 0.1%. Inflation
had also been comparatively stable; the rate of inflation ranged between 0.5% and 1.9% in 2014. During the
financial crisis in 2008, the rate of inflation ranged between 2.2% and 5.8%.
6
Percent
0
Costs and benefits
-1
Sept 2005 Sept 2007 Sept 2009 Sept 2011 Sept 2013 Sept 2015
Of course, the rate of inflation faced by individual households will vary depending on what they spend their money
on. For example, rental prices (including social and council rents) increased by 3.0% in the year to September 2015.
Conversely, food prices fell by 2.5% in the wake of continued supermarket price wars. This means that prices in the
sector fell for the 15th month in a row. Meanwhile, prices of motor fuels fell by 14.9% and diesel prices at 110.2p
per litre were at their lowest in close to six years.
One implication of the negative CPI rate is that most benefits would be frozen from April 2016. The annual uprating
of some benefits, public sector pensions, and the state second pension, is linked to the September CPI rate,
meaning that millions of people were unlikely to see any rise in these benefits. In addition, the government had
already announced a freeze for most working age benefits, such as Job Seekers Allowance, Employment and
Support Allowance, some types of Housing Benefit, and Child Benefit. The state pension, however, is protected
and is guaranteed to rise by at least 2.5%.
On the other hand, the government had also announced that the National Minimum Wage was to be increased for
workers over the age of 25 to 7.20 an hour from April 2016, with the intention of raising it by stages to 60 per cent
of median earnings in 2020 assumed by the Office for Budget Responsibility to be a figure of 9.35. Businesses
employing staff on the minimum wage, such as hotels, coffee bars and care homes, expressed concern about the
impact this would have the number of staff that they could afford to employ.
16 (a) Throughout 2015, the rate of inflation had been low (line 6). What is the meaning of inflation? [1 mark]
(b) Assuming that pay for employees remains at the same rate in September 2015 as a month earlier,
calculate the real rate of inflation in September 2015. [2 marks]
(c) (i) Using information from the case study, explain why weighting would be used to calculate the
Consumer Price Index. [2 marks]
(c) (ii) Using fig. 1, state why the Governor of the Bank of England would be required to write an open letter to
the Chancellor of the Exchequer in September 2011 and in September 2015. [2 marks]
(d) (i) Using information from the case study, distinguish between the Labour Force Survey and the
Claimant Count measures of unemployment. [2 marks]
(d) (ii) Calculate the percentage change in the number of people employed in the period June to August 2015
compared with a year earlier. [2 marks]
(e) Show using a diagram, how the freezing of benefits paid by the government might be expected to impact
Aggregate Demand in the UK. [4 marks]
(f)* Evaluate the extent to which the introduction of the new higher National Minimum Wage of 7.20 an hour
for employees over the age of 25 might affect employment in hotels, coffee bars and care homes.
[10 marks]
17* Comparing June to August 2015 with a year earlier, pay for employees in Great Britain increased
by 2.8%.
Evaluate, with the aid of an appropriate diagram(s), whether such rise in average pay is likely to lead the
Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England to raise the Base Rate. [20 marks]
OR
18* Following the General Election in May 2015, the Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne
set an objective of binding future governments to maintaining a budget surplus when the
economy is growing.
Evaluate, with the aid of an appropriate diagram(s), the extent to which such a policy would ensure that
macroeconomic objectives could be achieved. [20 marks])
Answers
1. C 6. C 11. A
2. D 7. C 12. B
3. D 8. B 13. D
4. B 9. A 14. C
5. A 10. B 15. D
(d) i The Labour Force Survey counts those who are without 2 Up to two marks:
any kind of job including part time work but who have (AO1 One mark for understanding of each
looked for work in the past month and are able to start work x 2) term
immediately. The Claimant Count measure includes people
who claim the Job Seekers Allowance (JSA).
(d) ii Employment June-August 2015 = 31.12mn 2 Up to two marks:
Increase compared with June-August 2014 = 359,000 (AO2 Two marks for correct answer 1.17%
Number employed in June-August 2014 = (31.12mn x 2) (allow 1.167%)
0.359mn) = 30.761mn One mark if % symbol is omitted
Percentage increase Where candidates have used the
= (0.359) x 100 correct formula OFR applies one
30.761 mark for formula.
= 1.17%
Price level
higher NMW might affect employment. 1 AO3 x might include:
Price level
4 AO4 The effect will dependAggregate
on thesupply
age profile
Strong analysis of ways in which the higher NMW might x 5) of employees in the industry
affect employment. A relevant and accurately labelled The
P* effect will depend on the price
P*
Price level
evaluation in the upper portion of the band. Analysis may include a diagram:
W
substantiated. W2
W1
Q2 Q1 Q3 QL
Real GDP
Good analysis of ways in which the higher NMW might affect
employment. A relevant and accurately labelled diagram(s) is Analysis of the reasons the higher
provided and is linked to the analysis. NMW might affect employment might
Price level
Reasonable evaluation of ways in which the higher NMW Whether the employer can pass
might affect employment. on the
P
increased costs to the
1
consumer
P*
There is a line of reasoning presented with some structure. Why those industries in particular
Aggregate demand 1
The information presented is in the most-part relevant and might be affected Aggregate demand
supported by some evidence. Y* Y1 Real GDP P
Knowledge of how a higher wage P
17.
Answer Marks Guidance
(a) Level 4 (16-20 marks) 20 This question requires a discussion
Good knowledge and understanding of the likely impact of (AO1 x 3 of the different factors which may be
rising average pay and other factors on the level of inflation. AO2 x 4 considered by the Monetary Policy
AO3 x 6 Committee in deciding whether to
Strong analysis of the likely impact of rising average pay AO4 x 7 raise the Base Rate.
and other factors on the level of inflation. A relevant and Answers are likely to set out the
accurately labelled diagram is provided and is linked to the likely impact of rising average pay
analysis. on the level of inflation, and then
consider other factors which may be
Strong evaluation of the likely impact of rising average pay inflationary or deflationary. This should
and other factors on the level of inflation, and the monetary culminate in a reasoned judgement as
policy decisions which might result. to the likelihood of a decision to raise
Base Rate:
There is a well-developed line of reasoning which is clear and The decision may depend
logically structured. The information presented is relevant and upon estimates of the marginal
substantiated. propensity to consume and the
multiplier effect
The decision may depend upon the
level of inflation at the time
The decision may depend upon
the strength of other inflationary/
deflationary factors
The decision may depend upon
expectations for those factors for
the next 12-18 months
The decision may depend upon an
assessment of spare capacity in the
economy
Pric
P*
P*
P1
Aggregate demand
Aggregate demand 1
0 Y1 Y* Real GDP
Price level
Answer Marks Guidance
The decision may depend upon
W
P1
trends in business confidence
S = AC and P*
prospects for counter-inflationary
investment
W2
Real GDP
Level 3 (11-15 mark) various factors under consideration Pe
Price level
rising average pay and other factors on the level of inflation.
Aggregate supply
Price level
provided and is linked to the analysis. P*
Aggregate demand 1
Good evaluation of the likely impact of rising average pay and Aggregate demand
other factors on the level of inflation, and the monetary policy Y* Y1 Real GDP P1
There is a line of reasoning presented with some structure. Analysis which examines other
The information presented is in the most-part relevant and factors which may affect aggregate
supported by some evidence. supply in the short run (such as
wage costs and import prices) and/
or long run aggregate supply (such
Level 2 (6-10 marks) as rising confidence resulting in more
Reasonable knowledge and understanding of the likely investment in capacity) would require
impact of rising average pay and other factors on the level of use of diagrams showing a rightward
inflation. shift of aggregate supply, with or
without an accompanying shift of
Reasonable analysis of the likely impact of rising average pay aggregate demand:
and other factors on the level of inflation. A relevant diagram
is provided, which is less than perfect.
Price level
LRAS LRAS1
Price level
Aggregate supply
Reasonable evaluation of the likely impact of rising average
pay and other factors on the level of inflation, but without a
judgement being made. P*
P* AD AD1
P1
Aggregate demand 1 Y* Y1
evidence. Real GDP
0 Y1 Y* Real GDP
Price level
AS
AS1
W
P1
S = AC
P*
W2 AD
Page 14 Practice exam paper - OCR AS Economics (Macro) Paper A
W1
Y* Y1 Real GDP
Answer Marks Guidance
Level 1 (1-5 marks)
Limited knowledge and understanding of the likely impact of
Price level
Price level
LRAS
rising average pay and other factors on the level of inflation.
LRAS1
LRAS1 LRAS
Aggregate supply
P* Mark p
P* AD diagra
AD1 LRAS a
AD
are rev
Limited or no evaluation. Aggregate demand 1
The do
Aggregate demand tion of
to whe
Y* Y1 Real GDP Y1 Y*
In the
Y* The
Y1 information is basic and communicated in an
Real GDP
Real GDP AS and
leave P
unstructured way. The information is supported byLRAS
limited
Price level
In the
Price level
evidence and the relationship to the evidence may not be AS1
box an
PPC
AS
clear.
AS1
AS
P*
P1
0 marks no response or no response worthy of credit.
AD AD1 P*
Y* Y1 Real GDP
AD
AD
Y1 Y* Real GDP
Y* Y1 Real GDP
Current
account
surplus Capital goods
inflation
Contraction Expansion Y2 Y1
Consumer goods
Time
Price
Candidates will demonstrate
Level
knowledge and understanding of
Price level
AS1 AS2
P1
how rising average pay might cause
Aggregate supply
P2
demand pull inflation, and raise
the level of Real GDP. They may
P1
AD also demonstrate knowledge and
P*
understanding of other factors which
Aggregate demand 1 Y1 Y2 Real GDP the MPC would take into account,
Aggregate demand
such as spare capacity, employment
Y* Y1 Real GDP
levels, consumer and business
Quantity of cars
confidence, retail sales, export
competitiveness, import prices,
exchange rates, macroeconomic
performance in major trading partners
Price level
LRAS LRAS1
is growing, and of macroeconomic objectives. A Balanced government budget as the purpose
Price level
a government budget surplus when the economy growth in a downturn (may include reference to
is growing, and of macroeconomic objectives, but
Aggregate demand automatic stabilisers)
without a judgement being made. Aggregate demand 1 Unemployment Y*how lower Y Real growth
GDP may result 1
0 Y1 Y* Real GDP
in fewer jobs in an upturn but funds be used to
The information has some relevance and is protect jobs in a downturn
Price level
presented with limited structure. The information is Inflation how lowerAS growth in an upturn may
AS1
supported by limited evidence. moderate demand pull inflation
Balance of Payments how lower aggregate
W
P 1
upturn
D
Q2 Q1 Q3 QL Recovery Boom
Real GDP
Trend
Peak
Curr
acco
Price level
defic
Trough
Aggregate supply
Contraction Expansion
Time
P1
Mark on the above diagram please remove the
Price level
P*
dotted lines, and label the wavy line as Actual
Aggregate supply
Aggregate demand 1 GDP growth
Aggregate demand
Y* Y1 Real GDP P1
P*
Aggregate demand 1
Aggregate demand
Y* Y1 Real GDP
Quantity of cars
Q2 Q1 Q3 QL Recovery Boom
Real GDP
Trend
Peak
Price level
Trough
Limited knowledge and understanding of the effect showing a rightward shift in aggregate demand:
Time
of maintaining
P1 a government budget surplus when
Price level
the economy
P* is growing, and of macroeconomic
objectives.
Aggregate supply
Aggregate demand 1
Aggregate demand
Limited or no analysis of the effect of maintaining a
government budgetY* surplus
Y1 when the economy
Real GDP is P1
growing, and of macroeconomic objectives. P*