Mind Maps Level 1 - 2016 - Full 10 Topics-3
Mind Maps Level 1 - 2016 - Full 10 Topics-3
Mind Maps Level 1 - 2016 - Full 10 Topics-3
com)
Transaction ID: 72C95497K16554647
MIND MAP
CFA
LEVEL 1
EXAM PRE
2017
MIND MAPS
For learning CFA Exam
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CFA and Chartered Financial Analyst are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute
3.4 Standard IV. DUTIES TO EMPLOYERS 3.3 Standard III. DUTIES TO CLIENTS
Ethical & Professional Standards - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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identify the important issues involved Ethics refers co the study of good and bad behavior.
Explain Ethics
examine these issues from multiple perspectives behavior char follows moral principles and is consistent with society's ethical expectations.
develop the necessary judgment and decision making skills required The importance of using a framework Ethical conduct conduce char improves outcomes for stakeholders
Framework for Ethical Decision Making
avoid unanticipated ethical consequences
Relevant facts, stakeholders and duties owed, ethical principles, conflicts of interest. A code of ethics is a written set of moral principles that can guide
Identify behavior by describing what is considered acceptable behavior
to communicate the values, principles, and expectations of an organization or ocher group of people
Situational influences, additional guidance, alternative actions Consider
Ethical decision-making framework Role to provide a general guide to what constitutes acceptable behavior
Decide and act (For CFA Level 1)
The Role of a Code of Ethics refers to a group of people with specialized skills and knowledge who
Was the outcome as anticipated? Why or why not? Reflect serve ochers and agree to behave in accordance with a code of ethics
A profession
1. ETHICS AND TRUST IN THE A professional code of ethics is a way for a profession to communicate to the public that its
members
Not all unethical actions are illegal, and not all illegal actions are unethical INVESTMENT PROFESSION will use their knowledge and skills to serve their clients in an honest and ethical manner
ethical decisions require more judgment and Distinguish between Ethical
consideration compared to legal decisions and Legal Standards
Ethical principles often set a higher standard
of behavior than laws and regulations overrate the ethical quality of their behavior on a relative basis
Individuals tend to overemphasize the importance of their own personal
Internal (personal) traits
traits in determining the ethical quality of their behavior
Investment professionals have a responsibility to protect and grow client assets
Trust in investment professionals takes on a greater importance than in many other
Challenges Loyalty to an employer, supervisor,
businesses because investment advice and management are intangible produces
Social pressure from ochers organization, or co-workers
Failure to act in a highly ethical manner can damage not only client wealth Challenges to Ethical Behavior External traits (situation influences)
but also impede the success of investment firms and investment professionals
The prospect of acquiring more money or greater prestige
reduce the funds entrusted to them and increase che cost
of raising capital for business investment and growth The Need for High Ethical Standards so focused on adhering to compliance rules that
Firms with strict rules-based compliance individuals only ask themselves what they can do
reduce the amounts invested and increase the
procedures run the risk of fostering a
returns required to attract investor capital another layer of risk culture
Unethical behavior by financial services professionals
can have negative effects for society
reduces the growth of an economy
and the well-being of its people Misallocation of capital
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Selfdisclosure
Written complaints
An inquiry can be prompted
Evidence of misconduct
by several circumstances
Report by a CFA exam proctor
Analysis of exam materials and monitoring
a. of social media by CFA Insitute
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Understand and comply with
applicable laws and regulations
Code and Standards vs. Local law Follow stricter law and regulation
Stay informed
Review procedures
Members and Maintain current files
candidates
When in doubt, seek advice of
compliance personnel or legal counsel
When dissociating from violations, --> Document
Recommended any violations and urge firms to stop them
procedures for
compliance (RPC) Develop and/or adopt a code of ethics
Make available to employees info that
Firms highlights applicable laws and regulations
Establish written procedures for reporting suspected
violation of laws, regulations or company policies
Application
Internal
pressures to issue favorable research on current or
Investmentbanking prospective investmentbanking clients
How to cope with external and
relationships
internal pressures Conflicts of interest
3.1 Standard I PROFESSIONALISM - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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Should not take advantage of their position in the industry to the detriment of clients
Limit the number of people aware that a change in recommendation will be made
3.3 Standard III
Shorten the time between decision and dissemination
DUTIES TO CLIENTS
Publish personnel guidelines for pre-dissemination
Simultaneously disseminate recommendations to all clients who
have expressed an interest or for whom an investment is suitable.
Be sure to gather client info in the form of an IPS and make suitability
analysis prior to making recommendation/taking investment action
Inquiry should be repeated at least annually/prior to material changes
Risk analysis
Guidance Be sure investments are consistent with the stated mandate
C. Suitability Fund managers
Written IPS
Investors' objectives and constraints should be maintained and reviewed
RPC
periodically to reflect any changes in clients' circumstances
D. Performance presentation Guidance Research analysts promoting the success ensure that their claims are
of accuracy of their recommendations fair, accurate, and complete
GIPS
RPC
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3.4 Standard IV DUTIES TO EMPLOYERS - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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3.5 Standard V. INVESTMENT ANALYSIS, RECOMMENDATIONS & ACTIONS - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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prominent
Disclosures
must be made in plain language
in a manner to effectively communicate the info to clients
CONFLICTS OF RPC Disclose to clients info that fee based on a share of capital gains
INTEREST Disclose as a footnote to research report published if members have
outstanding agent options to buy stocks as a part of compensation package
may occur
client is not disadvantaged by the trade
investment professional does
Conflicts of interests not benefit personally from
make sure trades undertaken for clients
investment professional
Guidance complies with applicable
regulatory requirements
employer
whom client
prospective client
compensation
consideration
C. Referral fees Inform what
benefit
received from, or paid to, others
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Overpromise the
competence of an individual
Preventing promotional efforts
Overpromise future
that make promises or guarantees
investment results
3.7 Standard VII: tied to the CFA designation
RESPONSIBILITIES Applies to any form of communication
AS CFA MEMBER/CANDIDATE Remit annually to CFAI a completed
Professional Conduct Statement
Pay applicable CFAI membership dues
To maintain CFAI membership
on an annual basis
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Firms previously claiming compliance with an Investment Performance If not meet all the requirements, cannot state:"...in compliance with GIPS except for..."
Council-endorsed Country Version of GIPS are granted reciprocity to Statements referring to the calculation methodology used in a composite
claim compliance with GIPS for historical periods prior to 1 Jan. 2006 presentation as being "in accordance [or compliance] with the Global
Claims of compliance Investment Performance Standards" are prohibited .
Statements referring to the performance of a single, existing client as being "calculated in
accordance with the Global Investment Performance Standards" are prohibited except when a
GIPS complaint firm reports the performance of an individual account to the existing client
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7. DISCOUNTED CASH
12. HYPOTHESIS TESTING
FLOW APPLICATIONS
Quantitative
11. SAMPLING & ESTIMATION Methods 8. STATISTICAL CONCEPTS
AND MARKET RERURNS
Quantitative Methods - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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b. Interest rate
receiving less than fair value if an
6. TIME VALUE liquidity risk investment must be sold for cash quickly
Future value Several risks of securities
OF MONEY
Longer-term bonds have more risk
Present value maturity risk than shorter-term bonds
a series of equal cash flows that occurs -->The required rate of return on a security = real risk-free rate + expected inflation rate
at evenly spaced intervals over time. + default risk premium + liquidity premium + maturity risk premium
occur at the end of each time period. Ordinary Annuity
represents the annual rate of return actually being earned after
FV of Annuity Due = FV of Ordinary adjustments have been made for different compounding periods
Annuity x (1+ I/Y) Annuity e. CF calculations
Where:
PV of Annuity Due = PV of Ordinary occur at the beginning of each time period. Annuity Due Periodic rate = stated annual rate/m
Annuity x (1+ I/Y) m = the number of compounding periods per year
c,d. EAR
divide the stated annual interest rate by the number of compounding
periods per year, m, and multiply the number of years by the number
PV of a Perpetuity of compounding periods per year
Non-annual time value of
money problems
Discount each individual cash flows
Use CF function in Calculator Uneven CF
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NPV
Acce pt projects with a posi tive NPV
1. Based on face value, not price Different project size: the smaller projects may have
Calculate,
2. Use 360-day higher IRR but their contribution to the firm value
Not much meaningful Interpret, Conflict with may be smaller compared to the larger projects
3. Use simple interest, ignore Decision rule NPV due to
reinvestment of interest Differen timing of cash flows
7. DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW APPLICATIONS - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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Statistical methods
pertain to the procedures used to
make forecasts, estimates, or
Inferential statistics judgement about a large set of data
Sample statistics
A sample is defined as a subset of mean (measures of central tendency)
Population vs. Sample the populations of interest which addresses return
a.
The most frequently concerned Var (measures of variation around
Excess kurtosis = sample kurtosis - 3 Calculate center) which addresses risk
mean=median=mode
A parameter is a measure used to
the frequency of experiencing
describe a characteristic of a population
losses and gains are the same
Parameter vs. Sample statistic A sample statistic is used to
measure a characteristic of a sample
bar chart
Histogram
CV (Coefficient of Variation) d.
line chart
i. Relative dispersion Frequency polygon
94%: +/-4k
Weighted mean
Mean (portfolio return)
Easy to compute
affected by extreme value (compound growth)
Range = Max - Min Geometric mean
no info on how data is distributed
e. Measures of (return data set)
better than range
central tendency Use of arithmetic or geometric mean
less sophisticated than Var and Sd when determining investment returns
No mode
Unimodal, bimodal, trimodal
Semivariance and
--> the only measure can be
semideviation
Mode used with nominal scale
Model interval -->
for continuous distribution
into fifths
f. Quantile Quintile
into tenths
Decile
Ly =(n+1) x y /100
Percentile (100)
8. Statistical Concepts and Market Rerurns - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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Factorial
historical data
Based on the b. Empirical
event O's occurrence n. Bayes' formula
Priori formal reasoning and inspection process
Determine probabilities
Subjective personal judgment
k. Covariance and Correlation Of any number of also apply the multiplication rule but to
Joint Probability
more than two independent events
f. Calculate independent events
Correlation is a standardized
p=1: perfectly positive measure of association between
p=-1: perfectly negative the addition rule
two random variables & ranges Probability of at least
p=0: no linear relationship one event will occur
from -1 to 1
9. PROBABILITY CONCEPTS - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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10. COMMON
PROBABILITY
DISTRIBUTIONS
Skewed to the right
bounded from below by zero so useful for modeling
asset prices which never take negative values e,f,g. Discrete
random variables
Binomial
Shortfall risk = Probability that (return < threshold)
the number of "successes" in a given
number of trials, whereby the outcome
can be either "success" or "failure."
Using Z-table, denoted by F(z) = P(Z<z) defined over a range that spans between some lower limit, a, and
some upper limit, b, which serve as the parameters of the distribution
a range within which we have i. Continuous uniform distribution
a given level of confidence of
finding a point estimate
1 --> 68%
1.65 --> 90% Completely described by its mean and variance
For any normally distributed
1.96 or 2 --> 95% l. Confidence intervals Skewness = 0 -->symmetrical, mean = median = mode
random variable
(for normal distribution) Kurtosis = 3
2.58 --> 99%
Normal distribution A linear combination of normally distributed
random variables is also normally distributed
The tails get very thin but extend infinitely
two times [1 - the cumulative left-hand tail probability, F(-A)], or two probability that a normally
times {1 - the right-hand tail probability, [1 - F(A)]}, where F(A) is
distributed random variable X j,k. Normal distribution Univariate distribution: the distribution
the cumulative standard normal probability of A
of a single random variable
2 discrete random variables: use joint probability
10. COMMON PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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Too short: research results may reflect a method of selecting a sample in such a way that
phenomena specified to that time period each item in the population being studied has Using random numbers
or perhaps even data mining equal opportunity of being included in the sample
occurs when time span of data in the Systematic sample
Too long: the fundamental economic sample is either too short or too long Time-period bias Simple random sampling
relationship that underlie the result may
c. Sampling methods
have changed uses a classification system to separate the population into smaller
groups based on one or more distinguishing characteristics. From
each subgroup or stratum, a random sample is taken proportionally
Not available to its weight in the population and the results are pooled
Non-Normal AND n<30 Stratified random sampling
11. SAMPLING & ESTIMATION - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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known variance (review b) = (sample statistic - hypothesized value)/(standard error of the sample statistic)
f. Mean of a normally
unknown variance (review b)
distributed population with
12. HYPOTHESIS
TESTING
Test
statistic
equal assumed variances
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Line chart
Closing prices as a
continuous line
Bar chart
13. TECHNICAL
ANALYSIS (part 1)
Candlestick chart
b. Charts
X: increases
Point & figure chart Plot only price reversals
O: decreases
Scale
Volume chart
13. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (part 1) - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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Head &
shoulders
Reversal patterns
Inverse head
& shoulders
13. TECHNICAL
ANALYSIS (part 2)
Triangles
Continuation patterns
Rectangle
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New equity issuance (IPO) =market _________ (peak/trough) because Issuers sell new shares
and Secondary offerings when stock prices are thought to be _____ (high/low)
Kondratieff Wave
(54 years)
f. Cycles 18-year cycle
Decennial (10-year) pattern
4-year Presidential cycle
Uptrend
Size of waves correspond with Fibonacci ratios Price target can be 1.618
of the previous high
13. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (part 3) - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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ECONOMICS - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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Each point along the curve represents the minimum ATC for a given plant size or scale of operations
=% QD/% P
One or more goods are very good substitutes for the good => elastic
Elasticity is not slope for demand curves Slope is dependent on the units chat price and quantity are measured in
Average coral costs first decrease with larger scale and eventually increase
The lowest point on the LRATC corresponds to the scale or plant size at which the average total cost of production is at a minimum
Under perfect competition, firms must operate at minimum efficient scale in long-run equilibrium, and LRATC will equal the market price The minimum efficient scale
Price, Income, and Cross Price Elasticities of
result from factors such as labor specialization, mass production, and investment in more efficient equipment and technology, lower input prices Demand and Factors that Affect each Measure
The downward-sloping segment: economies of
A firm operating with economies of scale can increase its competitiveness by expanding production and reducing costs scale (increasing returns to scale)
result as the increasing bureaucracy of larger firms leads co inefficiency, problems with
motivating a larger workforce, and greater barriers to innovation and entrepreneurial activity
A firm operating under diseconomies of scale will want to decrease output and move back toward the minimum efficient scale The upward-sloping segment: diseconomies of scale
Costs are constant for the various plane sizes There may be a relatively Rae portion at the
bottom of the LRATC curve that exhibits constant
returns to scale
The time period over which some factors of production are fixed
Short run
For most goods, the sign of income elasticity is positive Normal goods
Substitutes An increase in the price of a related good => increase demand for another good
Cross Price Elasticity of Demand
Complements An increase in the price of a related good => decrease demand for another good
Land
Labor
Capital Factors of production
Materials
Consider two inputs: capital and labor to calculcate the quantity of output
The increase in production that will result as increasing
one labor employed given a fixed amount of capital
Production Function
Adding one more worker will increase total product Marginal product
by less than rhe addition of the previous worker
Income and Substitution Effects
When we reach the quantity of labor for which the additional output for each additional worker begins to decline
Beyond this quantity of labor, the additional output from each additional worker continues to decline
There is some quantity for labor for which the marginal product of labor is actually negative
A specific good may be an inferior good for some ranges of income and a normal good
for other ranges of income
is an inferior good for which the negative income effect outweighs the positive substitution effect when price falls
At lower prices, a smaller quantity would be demanded as a result
A Giffen good of the dominance of the income effect over the substitution effect
The existence is not ruled out by the axioms of the theory of consumer choice
Normal Goods and Inferior Goods
The consumer gets utility from being seen to consume a good chat has high status
and that a higher price for che good conveys more status and increases its utility
is one for which a higher price
makes the good more desirable The substitution and income effects of a price
increase are to decrease consumption of the good
A Veblen good Not an inferior good
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Many firms produce identical products, and competition forces them all to sell at the market price
Perfectly elastic (horizontal) demand curves at the price determined in the market
Firms compete for sales only the basis of price. Nature of competition
In short-run
On any unit which MR < MC. At any output above the quantity where MR = MC
-> generate losses on MP & maximize profits by reducing output to where MR = MC
If P = AVC: operating at shutdown point.
A permanent change in demand --> the entry
of firms to, or exit of firms from, an industry. If P < AVC: by continuing to operate --> losses > fixed costs -->
the firm will shut down (zero output) and lay off its workers.
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Each firm differentiates its product(s) from those of other firms through some
combination of differences in product quality, product features, and marketing
The demand curves are highly elastic because competing
The demand curve is downward sloping; while products are perceived by consumers as close substitutes
demand is elastic, it is not perfectly elastic.
Many firms
Number of sellers
Low
Barriers to entry The entry of new firms shifts the demand curve faced by each individual firm down to the
point where price equals average total cost (P*= ATC*), such that economic profit is zero.
Nature of competition
15. The Firm And Continually look for innovative product features that will make
Market Structures - their products relatively more desirable to some consumers
Part 2 than those of the competition.
The costs of product innovation must be weighed
Product innovation against the extra revenue that it produces
A firm is considered to be spending the optimal amount on innovation when MC of
(additional) innovation just equals the MR (marginal benefit) of additional innovation
High
Advertising expenses To inform about the unique features of their products and to create or increase
a perception of differences between products that are actually quite similar.
some
Pricing power
g. Identify type of
market structure
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A few firms competing. Each firm must consider the actions and
responses of other firms in setting price and business strategy
--> interdependent.
Firms determine their quantities simultaneously each period and, under the assumptions
of the Cournot model, these quantities will change each period until they are equal.
When each firm selects the same quantity, there is no longer any additional
profit to be gained by changing quantity --> a stable equilibrium
The Cournot model
The resulting market price is less than the profit maximizing price that a monopolist would
The profit maximizing output for charge, but higher than marginal cost, the price that would result from perfect competition
a monopolist is where MR = MC.
To ensure a profit, the demand curve must lie
above the firm's average total cost (ATC) curve at
the optimal quantity so that price > ATC.
The market demand curve is a downward-sloping. The firm has
The profit maximizing output is Q*, with a price of P*, the power to choose the price at which it sells its product.
and an economic profit equal to (P* - ATC*) x Q*.
Monopolists are price searchers and have imperfect in
formation regarding market demand. They must
experiment with different prices to find the one that
maximizes profit
Single firm
Number of sellers
One source of monopoly power is the protection offered by copyrights and patents
Another possible source of monopoly power is control over a resource specifically needed
to produce the product. Most frequently, monopoly power is supported by government
A natural monopoly refers to a situation where the average cost of production is falling over Very high
the relevant range of consumer demand. In this case, having two (or more) producers would Barriers to entry
result in a significantly higher cost of production and be detrimental to consumers.
Nash equilibrium
Sometimes market power is the result of network effects or synergies that make it very is reached when the choices of all firms are such that
difficult to compete with a company once it has reached a critical level of market penetration there is no other choice that makes any firm better off
OLIGOPOLY (increases profits or decreases losses). There are fewer firms.
No good substitutes Products are more similar (less differentiated).
Nature of substitutes products
Cost structures are more similar
Increase price in an oligopoly market will be more
Advertising 15. The Firm And successful (have less cheating) when: Purchases are relatively small and frequent.
Nature of competition
Market Structures - Retaliation by other firms for cheating
Single-price
Part 3 is more certain and more severe.
Price discrimination is described in more detail after we address single-price profit maximization. There is less actual or potential
Face a downward-sloping demand curve. competition from firms outside the cartel.
Have at least two identifiable groups of customers with For price discrimination to work, MONOPOLY
different price elasticities of demand for the product. the seller must
Be able to prevent the customers paying the lower price from
reselling the product to the customers paying the higher price.
The quantity produced by a monopolist reduces the sum A price decrease by one of the competitive firms, which increases QCF in
of consumer and producer surplus by an amount the short run, will lead to a decrease in price by the dominant firm, and
represented by the triangle labeled deadweight loss (DWL) competitive firms will decrease output and/or exit the industry in the long run.
The long-run result of such a price decrease by competitors below P* would then be to decrease
the overall market share of competitor firms and increase the market share of the dominant firm.
Increase output
and decrease price.
Monopolists have to reduce price to
Increase social welfare where the firm's ATC intersects
(allocative efficiency). the market demand curve. Average cost pricing is the most NATURAL MONOPOLY There is a single firm that has a significantly large market share because of its greater scale and lower cost structure-the dominant firm (DF). In such
common form of regulation.
Ensure the monopolist a normal a model, the market price is essentially determined by the dominant firm, and the other competitive firms (CF) take this market price as given.
profit because price = ATC.
Few firms
Number of sellers
Increases output and reduces price, Monopolists have to reduce price to
but causes the monopolist to incur a the point where the firm's MC curve High Often because economies of scale in production or marketing lead to very large firms.
loss because price is below ATC Marginal cost pricing is also
intersects the market demand curve Barriers to entry
referred to as efficient regulation
Very good substitutes but differentiated
The government to sell the Nature of substitutes products
monopoly right to the highest bidder
Price, marketing, features
Nature of competition
Some to Significant
Pricing power
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G D P = C + I + G + (X - M)
where:
The number of people over the age of 16 who are either C = consumption spending
working or available for work but currently unemployed
Labor supply GDP is calculated by summing the amounts spent on I = business investment (capital
It is affected by population growth, net Expenditure approach goods and services produced during the period equipment, inventories)
immigration, and the labor force participation rate G = government purchases
X =exports
Workers who are skilled and well-educated (possess more human capital) are a. Calculate GDP using M =imports
more productive and better able to take advantage of advances in Human capital
technology, investment in human capital leads to greater economic growth.
GDP is calculated by summing the amounts earned by GDP = national income + capital
households and c ompanies during the period, including consumption allowance + statistical
A high rate of investment increases a country's stock of physical capital Income approach
Physical capital stock Sources wage income, interest income, and business profits discrepancy
A larger capital stock increases labor productivity and potential GDP
improvements in technology increase productivity and potential GDP. Tec hnology GDP is calculated by summing the additions to value
Sum-of-value-added method created at each stage of production and distribution.
Raw material inputs, such as oil and land, m.
are necessary to produce economic output.
b. Compare
GDP is calculated by summing the values of all final
These resources may be renewable or nonrenewable Natural resources Value-of-final-output method goods and services produced during the period
Compare
Potential GDP = aggregate hours worked x labor productivity
Measurement Real GDP Real GOP measures current year output using prices from a base year.
Growth in potential GDP = growth in labor force + growth in labor productivity c.
GDP The GDP deflator is a price index that can be used to convert nominal
Can be estimated by estimating the growth rate of labor
GDP deflator GDP into real GDP by removing the effects of changes in prices
productivity and the growth rate of the labor force
Is important because long-term equity returns are highly
Sustainability Economic growth
dependent on economic growth over time The four components of gross domestic product are consumption
GDP spending, business investment, government spending, and net exports.
A country's sustainable rate of economic growth is the
rate of increase in the economy's productive capacity
= compensation of employees (wages and benefits)
The relationship between output and labor, the capital stock, and productivity. + corporate and government enterprise profits before taxes
+ interest income
Economic output function: Y =A xf(L, K) The income received by all factors of production + unincorporated business net income (business owners' incomes)
where: National income used in the creation of final output. + rent
Y = aggregate economic output + indirect business taxes - subsidies (taxes and subsidies that are
L = size of labor force included in final prices)
K = amount of capital available
A = total factor productivity
n. Production function approach d. Compare
The production function can be stated on a per-worker basis by = national income
dividing by L: Y/L = Ax f(K/L) + transfer payments to households
where: The pretax income received by households. - indirect business taxes
Y/L = output per worker (labor productivity) Personal income - corporate income taxes
K/L = physical capital per worker - undistributed corporate profits
Labor productivity can be increased by either improving
technology or increasing physical capital per worker.
Personal income after taxes. PDI measures the amount that households have
Growth in potential GDP = growth in technology + Wl(growth in labor) + Wc(growth in capital) available to either save or spend on goods and services and is an important
WL and Wc are labor's percentage share of national income Input growth Personal disposable income economic indicator of the ability of consumers to spend and save.
and capital's percentage share of national income. Personal disposable income = personal income - personal taxes
Driven by improvements in technology. Sometimes, the relationship between potential o. Components of economic growth
GDP, technology improvements, and capital growth is written on a per-capita basis Growth of total S (household and business savings)
Growth in per-capita potential GDP = growth in factor productivity Saving
technology + Wc (growth in the capital-to-labor ratio) S =I+ (G - T) +(X- M)
Investment
a positive value is a government budget deficit
(G - T)
a negative value is a budget surplus
16. Aggregate IS & LM The LM curve shows the combinations of GDP or real income
Curve (Y) and real interest rate (r) that keep the quantity of real money
Output, Price, And LM curve
demanded equal to the quantity of real money supplied
Economic Growth
Equilibrium GOP decreases from GDP* to GDP1' Slopes downward because higher price levels reduce real wealth,
increase real interest rates, and make domestically produced
goods more expensive compared to goods produced abroad.
Inflation rises as the price level increases from P0 to P1
Difficult for government policymakers to address because policy changes to reduce inflation tend to
make unemployment worse, while policy changes to fight recession tend to make inflation worse
Decrease investment in fixed income securities in
The positive relationship between real GDP supplied and the
anticipation of higher inflation and nominal interest rates.
SR price level, when other factors are held constant
Decrease investment in equities as revenue
An investor anticipating stagflation should
and profit margins will decrease.
Perfectly inelastic (vertical)
Increase investment related to commodities in
anticipation of higher commodity prices. LR Long-run aggregate supply represents potential GDP,
the full employment level of economic output.
AD increases --> GDP of short-run equilibrium>full-employment GDP Short-run recessionary gap Aggregate
j. Distinguish between the following supply curve in
types of macroeconomic equilibria
AD decreases --> GDP of short-run equilibrium< full-employment GDP Short-run inflationary gap
AS decreases --> GDP < full-employment GDP but with an crease in price level Short-run stagflation
The AS curve describes the relationship between the price level and the
quantity of real GDP supplied, when all other factors are kept constant
Caused by changes in household wealth, business and consumer expectations, capacity utilization,
fiscal policy, monetary policy, currency exchange rates, and global economic growth rates.
Businesses will experience unintended Shifts in the short-run aggregate supply curve
decreases in inventories and respond by There is excess demand for real goods and services.
increasing output and prices. This is sometimes referred to as an inflationary gap.
The short-run aggregate supply (SRAS) curve reflects the relationship between
output and the price level when wages and other input prices are held constant.
In Panel (a), short-run equilibrium real GDP, GDP1, is less than caused by changes in nominal wages or other input prices, expectations of future prices,
full-employment GDP (along the LRAS curve) and we would interpret business taxes, business subsidies, and currency exchange rates
this as a recession, or below full-employment equilibrium. i. Fluctuations in aggregate D & S
-->SR changes in econ & biz cycle The long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) curve is vertical (perfectly
Difference between real GDP and full-employment GDP is called a
inelastic) at the potential (full-employment) level of real GDP.
recessionary gap or output gap --> downward pressure on money wages
and resource prices --> decrease the equilibrium price level from P1 to P* h. Shifts and Increase in the supply and quality of labor
movements
along D & S curves Increase in the supply of natural resources
Shifts in the long-run aggregate supply curve Changes in factors that affect the real Increase in the stock of physical capital:
output that an economy can produce at
Short-run Equilibrium Real Output Tec hnology
full employment will shift the LRAS curve.
Decreases in labor quality, labor supply, the supply of natural resources, or the
stock of physical capital will all decrease LRAS. Technology does not really retreat,
but a law prohibiting the use of an improved technology could decrease LRAS.
An economic expansion where aggregate demand has
Increase in consumers' wealth
grown faster than LRAS.
Business expectations
The result will be upward pressure on prices -->
inflation as the general price level increases from P1 to P* Consumer expectations of future income
Changes in the money supply --> changes in aggregate demand. An increase Exchange rates
in the money supply --> decrease real interest rates and increase aggregate Global ec onomic growth
demand through increasing consumption expenditures on durable goods
Note that a change in the price level is represented as a
A decrease in the money supply will have the opposite effect, increasing movement along the AD curve, not a shift in the AD curve.
the real interest rate and reducing consumption and investment spending. Movements along these curves reflect the impact of a change in the price level on the quantity demanded
and the quantity supplied. Changes in the price level alone do not cause shifts in the AD and AS curves
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have turning points that tend to coincide Phases of Biz Cycle real GDP is
with those of the business cycle Coincident indicators Types of indicators Contraction or recession decreasing
have turning points that tend to occur i. Describe economic indicators real GDP stops decreasing
after those of the business cycle Lagging indicators Economic Trough and begins increasing
indicators
Uses Inventory-sales ratio
Inventory levels
relationships with the business cycle are inexact and can vary over time Resource use
Limitations
fluctuation Labor
Past biz cycle Physical capital utilization levels
Current biz cycle Mortgage rate
j. Identify Housing
Expected future biz cycle sector Housing costs relative to income
b. Economy moving activity
through biz Cycle --> Speculative activity
persistent increase in the price level over time Inflation Business cycle Demographic factors
g. Inflation measures results from the time it takes for employers looking to fill
uses current consumption weights for the basket of goods and services for both periods jobs and employees seeking those jobs to find each other
Paasche index Frictional unemployment
reduces substitution bias
The geometric mean of a Laspeyres and a Paasche index results from long-term economic changes that require
Fisher index workers to learn new skills to fill available jobs
Types Structural unemployment
Hedonic pricing
positive (negative) when the economy is producing less
results from a decrease in aggregate supply caused by an increase in (more) than its potential real GDP.
Cyclical unemployment
the real price of an important factor of production, such as labor or energy Cost-push inflation
d. Unemployment Unemployment rate = Unemployment/ labor force
results from persistent increases in aggregate demand that h. Factors that
increase the price level and temporarily increase economic affect price levels
includes all people who are either
output above its potential or full-employment level. Demand-pull inflation
Labor force employed or unemployed
Voluntarily unemployed
Measures
Underemployed
Discouraged worker
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b. Store of value
Money
includes narrow money plus any amount available in
Broad money liquid assets, which can be used to make purchases
Fiscal policy
Taxpayers reduce current consumption and increase current The central bank follows through
saving by just enough to repay the principal and interest on Credibility on its stated policy intentions
the debt the government issued to fu nd the increased deficit j. Qualities of effective central banks
Ricardian Equivalence
The central bank makes it clear what economic indicators
Higher future taxes lead to disincentives to work, Transparency it uses and reports on the state of those indicators
negatively affecting long-term economic growth.
Fiscal deficits may not be financed by economic growth
the market when debt levels are high Arguments for
inflation
Crowding-out effect as government borrowing increases
interest rates and decreases private sector investment increase aggregate demand
increase investment demand
Debt may be financed by domestic citizens
q. Being concerned with Lower interest rate currency depreciation
Deficits for capital spending can boost k. Relationships between
the productive capacity of the economy Size of a fiscal debt monetary policy and interest with low real interest rate
Recognition lag: Policymakers may not immediately l. Contrast the use of inflation, interest rate, Developing economies sometimes target
a stable exchange rate for their currency Use foreign reserves to adjust
recognize when fiscal policy changes are needed. Delays in realizing exchange rate targeting by central bank
difficulties of r. Explain relative to that of a developed economy Must follow a monetary policy that
Action lag: Governments take time to enact needed fiscal policy changes the effects caused by
implementation supports the target exchange rate
Impact lag: Fiscal policy changes take time to affect economic activity.
Expansionary
monetary policy The policy rate is below the neutral rate
Decrease in a government budget surplus or increase in a government budget deficit Expansionary fiscal policy
m. Contractionary
Increase in a government budget surplus or decrease in a government budget deficit s. monetary policy The policy rate is above the neutral rate
Contractionary fiscal policy
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A country must buy the currencies of the foreign countries in order to accomplish transactions
such as payment for their purchases of foreign goods, services, and financial assets
Description
Imports
Merchandise and services Exports
Income receipts Current account Autarky or closed economy
Unilateral transfers Free trade
Trading blocs or regional trading agreement (RTA) To importing countries Lower-cost goods
barriers to import or export are removed Free trade areas (FTA)
increasing employment
= FTA Benefit
b. International trade To exporting countries increasing wages
adopting a common set of trade Customs union (CU) profits from exports
restrictions with non-members
f. Motivations for
& Advantages of 19. International Trade employees have to retrain
Types of agreements losing jobs
CM
Common market (CM) And Capital Flows Costs
common institutions and econ policy for the union
Exchange Rates
EU Lower opportunity cost
Monetary union
a single currency Trading brings gains regardless
Comparative advantage
of absolute advantage
Tariffs
quotas
Export subsidies Type
Min domestic content
The production
Voluntary export restraint (VER) possibility frontiers (PPF)
Reduce imports
Increase price
To domestic country,
Decrease consumer surplus quotas,tariffs and VERs all
Increase domestic quantity supplied
Increase producer surplus
prohibition of investment
prohibition or taxes on the income earned Capital restrictions
on foreign investment by domestic citizens
prohibition of foreign investment Form of restrictions
in certain domestic industries
restrictions on repatriation of earnings of
foreign entities operating in a country.
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Financial Statement
Element Additional disclosures required by regulatory
Any commentary by management
FR Financial position
Useful to a wide range of users in
Roles of FR & FSA Role of FR Firm's performance making economic decisions
Revenues
Expenses
Income Statement
Gains and Losses
Assets
Liabilities
Role of some FS Balance Sheet (A=L+OE)
Owners' equity
CFO
CFI
CF statement
CFF
Statement of changes in Owners' equity
not audited
operating income or sales by region
or business segments
Supplementary schedules reserves for an oil and gas company
info about hedging activities and
financial instruments
Importance of
assessment of financial performance and condition of a
company from the perspective of its management
21. FSA
Results from operations, with trends
Introduction in sales and expenses
Publicly held companies in US Capital resources and liquidity, with trends in CF
General business overview
discuss accounting policies that require
significant judgements by management
discuss significant effects of trends, events, uncertainties
MD&A
liquidity and capital resource issues, transactions
or events with liquidity implications
Discontinued operations, extraordinary
items, unusual or infrequent events
Extensive disclosures in interim financial statements
disclosure of a segment's need for CF
or its contribution to revenues or profit
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Operating activity: activities that are part of the day-to-day business function of an entity
Investing activity: activities associated with acquisition & disposal of long-term asset
Classification
Financing activity: activities related to obtaining or repaying capital from shareholders or creditors
Classification of
Depend on the nature of the firm
business activities How to classify
Note: The same classification is used on the statement of cash flows
but they are defined differently than business activities are defined here
Notice
Assets
Liabilities
Elements Equity
Revenue
FS elements
& accounts Expense
Account & financial Chart of accounts : set forth the actual accounts used in a company's accounting system
Accounts
statement Contra account: offset or deducted from other accounts
Liabilities
Assets Contributed capital
Accounting equation Owners' equity
Retained earning
22. Financial reporting Expanding: A = L + Contributed capital + BGN Retained earnings + Rev - Exp - Dividend
mechanics
Unearned (Deffered) revenue
Cash movement prior to Acct. recognition
Prepaid expense
Accruals & Valuation
Accruals Unbilled (Accrued) revenue (when billing, Un.Rev decrease & Receivables increase)
adjustment Cash movement after Acct. recognition
Accrued expense
Valuation adjustment: made to company's A or L so that account records current market value (not Historical cost)
Relationships among IS, BS: show a company's financial position at a point in time
BS and statement of CFs, Changes in BS accounts during an accounting period are
and of owners' equity reflected in IS, statement of CFs and owners' equity
Using fin. statement Analyst uses FS to judge the fin. health of the company
in security analysis Analyst can use his understanding to detect misrepresentation
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IOSCO (international): not a regulatory, but its members regulate significant portion
Standard setting &
Regulatory bodies FSA (in UK)
Regulatory authorities 1. Protect investors
(enforcing standards) SEC (in USA) 2. Ensure: market is fair, efficient, transparent
3. Reduce systematic risk
Understandability
Verifiability
Relevance
Enhancing Comparability (consistent among firms and time periods)
Qualitative Faithful presentation
characteristics (complete, neutral, free from error) Timeliness
of Financial position: A, L, E
Measurements
of performance: Income, Expense
IFRS framework
Accrual basis
Assumptions
Going concern
Fair presentation
23. Financial Going concern basis
Reporting Standards Accrual basis
General requirements Aggregation
for FS under IFRS
No offsetting
Principles for PREPARING
Consistency
Materiality
Comparative information
Frequency of reporting
Transparency
Characteristics of a coherent Comprehensiveness
financial reporting framework Consistency
Valuation
IFRS
Principles-based
Effective FR relies on broad framework
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Used to assess a firm's liquidity, solvency, and ability to pay dividends to shareholders
Uses & limitation of BS BS assets,liabilities and equity should not be interpreted as market value or intrinsic value
in financial analysis
Some assets and liabilities are difficult to quantify and are not reported on the BS
Market value
Current assets Marketable securities 2. Available for sale
(can be used up within 1 fiscal year or 1 operating cycle) Gain/Loss: other comprehensive income
Accounts payable
Note payables
Current portion of long term debt
Current liabilities Tax payables
Classifying Assets &
Accrued liabilities
Liabilities
Unearned revenue/income
25. Understanding
The BS Measurement base
US GAAP: cost model
For operating activities IFRS: cost model / revaluation model
Carrying value = Original cost - Accumulated depreciation - Impairment
Property, plan & equipment (PPE)
US GAAP: no specific requirement
Measurement base
For investment IFRS: cost model / revalution model
Non-current assets
Financial asset
Long-term investment
Long-term debt
Measurement base: Amortised cost
Deferred tax liabilities
Non-current liabilities
Financial lease
Common-size analysis of BS
current ratio = (current assets/current liabilities)
Liquidity quick ratio = (cash + marketable securities + receivables)/(current liabilities)
cash ratio = (cash + marketable securities)/(current liabilities)
Analysis of BS
long-term debt-to-equity = (long-term debt)/(total equity)
BS ratios
total debt-to-equity = (total debt)/(total equity)
Solvency
debt ratio = (total debt)/(total assets)
financial leverage = (total assets)/(total equity)
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I/ CFO
.Cash received from customers= Rev - delta.Receivable + delta.Unearned rev
.Cash paid to supplier = COGS + delta.Inventory - del.Payable +del.Prepaid exp
.----------- for operating = Operating exp + del.Prepaid exp - del.Accrued exp
.--------------- interest = Interest exp - del.Accrued exp
.--------------- taxex = Tax exp - del.Tax payble - del.Deferred tax
Sales from fixed assets
Inflow Sales proceed from debt & equity investment
Elements & format
Principal received from borrowing to others
II/ CFI
Purchase new fixed assets
Interest inc & Div inc: CFI; CFO Direct method: is encourage
IFRS Interest exp & Div paid: CFF; CFO
IFRS vs. US GAAP
26. Understanding Interest exp & Div inc & Interest inc: CFO Direct method: is encourage, but
require reconciliation btw N.I & CFO
The CF Statement US GAAP Div paid: CFF
% of Revenue
Common-size CFs, divided by % Cash inflow/outflow
Stockholders
available to
To Firm: FCFF=IN+NCC+Int*(1-t)-FCInv-WCInv (=CFO+Int*(1-t)-FCInv) Debt holders
Cash flow per share =(CFO-preferred dividends)/(Weighted average number of common shares)
Coverage ratios
Debt payment ratio = CFO/cash long term debt repayment
Investing and financing ratio = CFO/cash outflows from investing and financing activities
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Ratio analysis
Balance sheet
Vertical
a. Analyses Income statement
Common size
Horizontal
Charts: stacked column graph, line graph
Fixed assets management Fixed asset T.O = revenue/average net fixed assets
Debt-to-equity = D/E
Classes of ratios Debt-to-capital = D/(D+E)
Use of debt financing
Debt-to-assets = D/A
Solvency Financial leverage = A/E
Coefficients of Revenue
variation of Operating income
Business risk
Net income
Ratios used in
Capital adequacy
VaR
For Banks, Insurance
companies, financial firms Reserve requirements
Liquid asset requirement
Net interest margin
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LIFO higher IFRS demonstrate that the change will provide reliable and more relevant information
COGS and inventory turnover
FIFO lower
US. GAAP explain why the change in cost flow method is preferable
Inflation (increasing prices) & stable
LIFO lower Gross profit, net income Inventory changes
and inventory balances or increasing inventory quantities
Exception a firm changes to LIFO from another cost flow method
FIFO higher
LIFO lower
COGS and inventory turnover Compare to FIFO, LIFO produces higher COGS in IS and lower earnings
FIFO higher Affect of inflation and deflation of
Profitability
Deflation (decreasing price) & stable inventory costs to FS and ratios
LIFO higher Gross profit, net income
or increasing inventory quantities Compare to FIFO, LIFO results lower inventory value on BS, lower
and inventory balances
FIFO lower current ratio, lower working capital. Quick ratio is unaffected
Liquidity
FIFO provides the most useful measure for ending inventory Calculation of financial ratios Compare to FIFO, LIFO results higher inventory turnover; lower days of inventory
LIFO provides better approximation of current cost (COGS) in hand; more recent and higher goods of COGS; lower and older inventory
The weighted average cost method results Usefulness when the price is changing Activity
in values between those of LIFO and FIFO Compare to FIFO, LIFO results lower total assets, lower
stockholders' equity, higher debt ratio and debt-to-equity ratio
Solvency
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Overview
Intangible A
Tangible A
Classify
Financial A (investment)
Measurement base
Depreciation/Amortisation method Capitalize cost : allocate to Income Stm
main capitalized cost should be purchase cost
Revaluation model . gradually (Depreciation)
expenditure to install & bring asset to the location ready for use
Useful life of new A Disclosure related to
Whether to use A as security/collateral long-lived A Expense: all are recorded to Income Stm immediately
other expenditure => exp in Income Statement
Impairment loss
Classification of A Tangible A (IFRS) Interest income from investing borrowing amount: decrease total borrowing cost
Reconciliation of Carrying value over the period Borrowing cost : incurred can be capitalize to
Construction asset the extend that it associated with the asset If "Asset for SALE" : Capitalized
cost=>Inventory (NO more Depreciation)
Def: A hold to earn rental income or capital appreciation . Interest exp : capitalize & become Depreciation
US GAAP : cost model expense over the life of the asset
A contractual arrangement whereby the lessor, the owner of the asset, allows a
lessee to use the asset for a specified period of time in return for periodic payments Cannot be purchased separately
Include: Finance (capital) lease or operating lease A lease unidentifiable May have an indefinite life
E.g: goodwill
At inception: no entry is made
recognized in the lessees income statement; CF statement: Record value of asset at purchase price + associated expenditure
Acquisition of assets
lease payment is reported as an outflow from operating During the term of the lease: rent Total purchase price is allocated to each other on its fair value
activities; No asset or liability is reported on the balance sheet expense = the lease payment Operating lease -> an analyst is more interested in the type of asset acquired
Purchased as part of a group
Externally purchase
Assets remains on the balance sheet of the lessor and is depreciated higher net income in the first year and
Effect Effects of capitalizing intangible assets are the
Lease payments are rental income same as the effects capitalizing other expenditures lower net income in the subsequent years
the lower of the present value of future minimum lease payments or fair Intangible A Purchase price is allocated to the identifiable assets
value is recognized as an asset and a liability on the lessees balance sheet At inception and liabilities of the acquired firm on its fair value
The acquisition method is used to
account for business combination Remaining amount of the purchase
The leased asset is depreciated over its life; the present value of the Leasing price is recorded as goodwill
lease payment is liability that is amortized over the term of the lease. Obtain in a business combination
The interest portion of the lease payment and the depreciation of the Costs of any internally generated goodwill
Evaluate Only goodwill created in a business
asset are recorded as expenses on the income statement are expensed in the period incurred
combination is capitalized on the BS
on the cash flow statement, the interest portion of
the lease payment is an operating cash outflow Internally created : expenditures are expense as incurred
Under U.S.GAPP
Over the term of the lease US GAAP: ALL are expense
Finance lease
R&D
financing or operating is ok) and the principal IFRS: R=exp, D=capitalize
portion is a financing cash outflow Under IFRS
For sale:
Lessor: removes the asset from the BS and replaces it with a lease receivable; Interest portion Excluding > All expense before technological feasibility: Expense
> After that: Capitalize
is interest income; remainder is a principal repayment that decreases the lease receivable
Lessee: adds the asset and the related lease liability to the BS -> equity is initially unchanged. R&D in software development Internal use:
Depreciation and interest expense comprise the lease expenses recorded on the IS and will exceed Effect 1. IFRS: similar
the lease payment in the early years of the lease and be less than the lease payment in the later 2. US GAAP: ALL are capitalized
years of the lease -> less profit for the early years of a lease and greater profit in the later years
29. Long-lived Assets
Depreciation expense = (original cost-
higher net income expensing in that period and lower net income Straight-line method salvage value)/depreciation life
in the subsequent periods compared to immediately expensing Capitalizing an expenditure delays
the recognition of an expense
reduce variability of net income by spreading the expense over the multiple periods Accelerated DDB depreciation in year x = (2/depreciable life
depreciation in years)* book value at the beginning of year x
capitalizing expenditures may result in earnings that are higher over
many periods compared to an otherwise identical expensing firm Net income
Growing firms Units-of-production depreciation = (original
Units-of-production cost - salvage value)/(life in output units)
Over the life of an asset, total net income is identical *(output units in the period)
method
greater total assets; higher net income, higher retained earnings,
higher shareholders equity in the period of the expenditure IFRS requires firms to depreciate the
Capitalization components of an asset separately ->
lower net income, retained earnings, shareholders equity in subsequent periods
require useful life for each component
Shareholders equity Finite life
retained earnings, shareholders equity Intangible A: amortization Component depreciation U.S.GAAP allows component
Method: SLM + Accelerated
reflect the entire reduction in net income Expense immediately depreciation but seldom uses
Allocation of cost of assets depreciation + Unit of production
Fixed asset: depreciation
Tangible Longer useful lives -> decrease annual depreciation
A capitalized expenditure: usually reported as an outflow from investing Natural resource: depletion
-> increase net income and vice versa
activities -> higher operating cash flow, lower investing cash flow
Higher salvage values -> decrease depreciation
Immediately expenditure: usually reported as an outflow from operating activities
-> lower operating cash flow and higher investing cash flow Effects of capitalizing -> increase net income and vice versa
and expensing costs Effect of choice of
A change in an accounting estimate is put into
No difference in tax treatment ->the same total cash flow in both ways depreciation/amortization effect in the current period and prospectively
Changes in tax treatment to match financial reporting treatment: Cash flow from operations method and assumptions
Estimates: involved when a
expensing will cause higher operating cash flow in the first year Tax treatment
manufacturing firm allocates Does not affect operating margin
Tax treatment is independent of the financial reporting treatment, depreciation expense between
taxes and therefore cash flow, are unaffected by the choice COGS and SG&A affect gross margin (which is
computed before SG&A expense)
initially higher assets, higher equity compared to expensing and operating expenses
-> lower debt-to-equity and debt-to-assets
Capitalizing an expenditure
initially higher ROA and ROE but lower ROA, ROE in the subsequent years
US GAAP: only cost model
lower ROA, ROE in the first year and higher in the subsequent years Apply IFRS: both (with Revaluation: Carrying amout=FV)
higher net income (numerator), lower assets Expensing an expenditure
and equity (denominators) after the first year Financial ratios Revaluation model Note: If Gain>Previous loss
vs. Cost model => 2 parts:
Capitalizing interest results in lower interest expense 1/ Gain=Pre loss: Income stm
Revalution model FV>carrying value => Gain
compared to expensing in the year of expenditure 2/ Residual: Equity
Analyst may include capitalized interest as interest expense Higher interest Interest coverage EBIT/interest expense FV<carrying value => Loss
for analytical purposes -> reduce interest coverage ratio coverage ratio
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Taxable income
Tax base = net amount of asset/liability used for tax reporting purposes
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Coupon rate < Required rate => Interest=Coupon pmt + Bond payble
With bondholders -------------- > -------------- => -------- =Coupon pmt - Principal repayment
1. Record the same amount discount (or premium) at each period Note:
IFRS: required Total interest exp=Total coupon
Types of recording discount +/- Discount(Premium)
(or premium) 2. Effective of interest
US GAAP : not required but prefer
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Bill-and-hold, barter, or related party-transactions primary criterion adherence to GAAP but not
for judging necessarily result in highest quality
Net income not supported by operating cash flows
Capitalization decisions, depreciation methods, useful Accounting warning signs
useful to users in making decisions
lives, salvage values out of line with comparable firms relevance
Fourth-quarter earnings patterns not caused by seasonality Financial reporting quality material
Cash flows
Display the most comparable GAAP
measure with equal prominence Balance sheet items
of such non-IFRS measures 6. Reporting is not compliant and includes numbers that are essentially fictitious or fraudulent
Non-IFRS
Reconcile the differences
tend to decrease reported
earnings and financial position
(on BS) for the current period tend to increase future period earnings
A registration process for the issuance Conservative accounting
of new publicly traded securities
Specific disclosure and reporting requirements including Distinguish between tend to increase reported earnings
periodic financial statements and accompanying notes Biased accounting choices or improve financial position for
the current period tend to decrease future period earnings
An independent audit of financial reports Aggressive accounting
A statement of financial condition (or management require
commentary) made by management Conservative bias when earnings are above target
used by some managers to
A signed statement by the person responsible artificially smooth earnings Aggressive bias when earnings are below target
for the preparations of the financial reports
A review process for newly registered securities Securities regulations typically Pressure to meet or exceed earnings targets
and periodic review after registration
Career considerations
fines
Motives to issue low
Mechanisms & their Increasing compensations
quality financial reports
suspension of participation in an potential limitations Improving perceptions of the firms among customers and suppliers
issuance and trading of securities Meeting the terms of debt covenants
public disclosure of the results enforcement actions
of disciplinary proceedings
Motivation Listed above
pursue criminal prosecution of
fraudulent or otherwise illegal activities Weak internal control
"clean" audit opinion only offers reasonable assurance (free from Conducive conditions to issue low Inadequate oversight by board of directors
material errors), does not guarantee the absence of error or fraud Three factors Opportunity
quality or fraudulent financial reports Wide ranges of acceptable
An assessment of the effectiveness of the firm's internal control
accounting treatments
by management is required to add for securities trade in the U.S
Auditing Rationalization of the behavior
The firms select and pay their auditors may
limit the effectiveness of this mechanism
Private contracts such as those with lenders
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Make assumptions of future sources & uses of cash Typical: noncash working capital remains constant
forecast CF The most important of these will be increases in working capital, capital expenditures on
new fixed assets, issuance or repayments of debt, and issuance or repurchase of stock
Larger companies and th ose with a wider var iety of prod uct
c. FSA in assessing credit Scale and diversification lines and gr eater geographi c diversi fication are be tter credit risks.
quality for DEBT investment
Such items as operating ROA, operating
Operational efficiency margins, and EBITDA margins
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No specific sectors are excluded but investors attempt to identify the companies with the best practices
across environmental sustainability, employee rights and safety, and overall governance practices How Environmental, Social, and Governance
Positive screening Factors may be used in Investment Analysis
Refers to investing in order to promote specific social or environmental goals
Impact investing
Refers to investing based on a single goal, such as the development of alternative energy sources or clean water resources
Thematic investing
The use of environmental, social, and governance factors in making investment decisions
May include harm or potential harm to the environment, risk of loss due co environmental
Environmental and Social Considerations
accidents, the changing demographics of the workforce, and changing worker preferences ESG integration or ESG investing
in Investment Analysis
is also termed as sustainable inves ting or responsible investing or socially responsible investing
is the system of internal controls and procedures by which individual companies are managed
the arrangement of checks, balances, and incentives to minimize and
manage the conflicting interests between insiders and external shareowners
Voting control is typically proportional to share ownership provides a framework chat defines the rights, roles and
responsibilities of various groups within an organization
one class of shares may be entitled to several votes per share,
while another class of shares is entitled to one vote per share the primary focus is the interests maximization of the market value of the firm's common equity
is often used to ensure that founding shareholders (and Dual class structure Describe Corporate Governance of the firm's shareholders primarily concerned with the conflict of interest between
Company ownership and voting structure
their heirs) can maintain control of the board of directors Under share hol der theory the firm's managers and its owners (shareholders)
The interests of the owners of shares with multiple voces will
cake precedence over the interests of shareholders in general These groups include shareholders, employees,
considers conflicts among the several groups that have
suppliers, and customers, among others
Are executive, non-exec utive, or independent di rectors an interest in the activities and performance of the firm
Under stakeholder theory
Are involved in related-party transactions with the company lmportant considerations
Are involved in related-party transactions with the company are whether directors:
have a residual interest to the net assets of the corporation after all liabilities have been settled
Have served for many years and may have become
too close to the company's management Compo siti on of a company 's board Shareholders have voting rights for the election of the board of directors and for other important corporate matters
An analyst must decide if the board is responsive to shareholder interests or has conflicts of interest, and if the board have an int erest in the ongoing profitabi lity and growth of the firm
has the mix of expertise that is needed to deal with challenges and pursue the best strategy for the company
prot ect the int erests of share holders;
The remuneration plan seems to offer greater incentives, paid in cash, to achieve short-term performance
Factors Relevant to the Analysis of Corporate
hi re, fire, and set the comp ensation of the firm's senior m anagers
goals tc the expense of building long-term company value through equity-based incentives Governance and Stakeholder Management has a responsibility to
set the strategic direction of the firm
Performance-based incentive pay is fairly stable over time, indicating that the performance targets are possibly easy to achieve
Analyses may be concerned if Mana ge ment incentives monitor financial performance and other aspects of the firm's ongoing activities
Management remuneration is very high relative to chat of comparable companies in the industry and remunerat ion the firm's executives (mo st-seni or managers) often serve on the board of director
Management incentives are not aligned with current company strategy and objectives The board of directors
both company executives and non-executive board
members serve on a single board of directors
one-tier board structure
If a significant portion of a company's outstanding shares are held by an affiliated company or institution,
those shareholders may be able to exert enough influence to dictate the company's policies and direction
non-executive board members serve on a supervisory board that
Activist shareholders and investors buying shares to profit from their activism can cause changes in the composition Co mp osi tion of shareh olders oversees a management board, made up of company executives
two-tier board structure
of a firm's shareholders, its board membership, and its corporate strategy in a relatively short period of time Stakeholder Groups
and their Interest Primary stakeholders
If the rights of shareholders are weak, perceived increases in shareholder returns from being acquired typically receive compensation (remuneration) made up of a salary, a bonus
or from significant changes in corporate strategy may be difficult or impossible to realize based on some measure of company performance, and perquisites
Relative strength of sha reholders' rights
Their interests can be expected to include continued employment
A failure to manage stakeholder issues well or manage other long-term risks to the company's sustainability Senior managers and maximizing the coral value of their compensation
can have disastrous consequences for shareholders and others with interests tied to company results Executive bonuses are typically tied to some measure of firm performance,
Man agement of long- term risk s giving senior managers a strong interest in the financial success of the firm
Creditors Their interests are protected to varying degrees by covenants in their debt agreements with the firm
may have incentive compensation that causes management
May choose lower than-optimal
to pursue their own benefit rather than the company's benefit
risk, reducing company value
Ris ks of poor governan ce and have an interest preserving an ongoing relationship with the firm, in the profitability of their trade with the firm,
stakeholder lawsuits stakeholder mana ge ment Supp liers and in the growth and ongoing stability of the firm, in the firm's solvency and on-going financial strength
Potential Risks of Poor Corporate Governance
failure co comply with governmental regulations Legal and reputational risks and Stakeholder Management and Benefits
debt default and bankrup tcy from Effective One
arises because an agent is hired to act in the interest of the principal,
Impr ove operational effi ciency 34. CORPORATE GOVERNANCE but an agent's interests may not coincide exactly wich those of the principal
The principal-age nt conflict
Avoid many legal and regulatory risks
AND ESG: AN INTRODUCTION
Reducing the cost of debt financing Be nefits of effective govern ance the risk of managers and directors is more dependent of firm
Redu ce the ri s k of debt defaul t or bankrupt cy and s take holder man agement performance while shareholders hold diversified portfolios of
Managers and directors may choose a lower
level of business risk than shareholders would stocks and are not dependent on the firm for employment
Better financial performance and greater company value
When directors who are also managers favor management interests at the expense of
Conflicts of interest between shareholders shareholders or when directors favor one group of shareholders at the expense of another
Communicacion and engagemenr with shareholders
and managers or directors
initi ating shareholder laws uits decreases the ability of shareholders or non-executive directors to monitor and
Information as ymmet ry b etween
evaluate whether managers are acting in the best interests of shareholders
shareholders and managers
seeking representation on the board of directors pressure companies for change Principal-agent and other Relations hips
proposing shareholder resolutions for a vote and raising their issues to all shareholders or the public to gain wider support & Conflicts in C orporate Governance A single shareholder or group of shareholders
Acti vi st share hol ders Majority shareholders may cause the company to enter into related party transactions, agreements or specific
Proxy fight may hold a majority of the votes and act against
the interests of the minority shareholders transactions that benefit entities in which they have a financial interest, to the detriment of minority shareholders
Tender offer Market and Non-market Factors Conflicts between groups
Threat of hostile takeover and existence of anti-takeover provisions of sharehold ers
Shareholders' and creditors' interests are considered to be Shareholders may prefer mor e bu siness ris k than c reditors do
judges ' rulings become l aw in some instances. better protected in countries with a common-law system Conflicts of interest between Equity owners could also act against the interests of creditors by issuing new debt that increases the default risk faced by
Company's legal environment creditors and shareholders existing debt holders, or by the company paying greater dividends to equity holders, thereby increasing creditors' risk of default
In a civil law system, judges are bound to rule based only on specifically enacted laws
Growth of firms that advise funds on proxy voting and rate companies' corporate governance The company may raise prices or reduce produce quality in order to increase profits to the detriment of customers
Conflicts of interest between
shareholders and other stakeholders The company may employ strategies that significantly reduce the taxes they pay to the government
A single board of directors including internal (executive directors) and external directors (non-executive directors or independent directors)
In a one-tier b oard
The chairman is sometimes the company CEO
refers to the management of company relations with stakeholders and is based on having a good
There is a supervisory board that typically excludes executive directors understanding of stakeholder interests and maintaining effective communication with stakeholders
The l egal infra stru c ture identifies the laws relevant to and the legal recourse of stakeholders when their rights are violated
The supervisory board and the management board (made up of executive direccors) operate independently In a two-tier b oard
The managemenr board is typically led by the company's CEO Boa rd structur e
refers co the contracts between the company and its stakeholders that spell
When a lead independent director is appointed, he has the ability to call meetings of the independent directors, separate from meetings of che full board out the rights and responsibilities of the company and the stakeholders
The c ontractual infras tru cture
is based on four types
Elections for some board Stakeholder management
=> limits the ability of shareholders to replace board members in any one year of infrastructure
positions are held each year refers to a company's corporate governance procedures, includingt its internal
Staggered board
The organi zational infrastru ctur e systems and practices chat address how it manages its stakeholder relationships
Selecting senior management, setting their compensation and bonus structure, evaluating their performance, and replacing them as needed
Govern mental infra struc ture comprises the regulations to which companies are subject
Setting the strategic direction for the company and making sure that management implements the strategy approved by the board
Approving capital structure changes, significant acquisitions, and large investment expenditures Stakeholder Management, Mechanisms There are standard practices with respect to the company's relationship with shareholders
Revi ewing company performance and imp lement ing any necessary correct ive steps to Manage Stakeholder Relationships is often held of the end of a fiscal year
Board re sponsibili ties and Mitigate Associated Risks
Planning for continuity of management and the succession of the CEO and other senior managers provides shareholders with the audited financial statements for the year, addresses the company's
Establishing, monitoring, and overseeing the firm's internal controls and risk management system Annual general mee ting performance and significant actions over the period, and answers shareholder questions
A shareholder who does not attend the annual general meeting can vote her shares by proxy
Ensuring the quality of the firm's financial reporting and internal audit, as well as oversight of the external auditors
requir e a supermajority vote for p assage
Report to the board, retains the overall responsibility for the various board functions
Functions and Responsibilities of a Company's Special resolutions or extraordinary general meetings can be called anytime
Oversight of the financial reporting function and implementation of accounting policies
Board of Director and its Committees the candidate with the most votes for each single board position is elected
Effectiveness of the company's internal controls and the internal audit function
Audi t commi ttee Majority voting
Recommending an external auditor and its compensation
shareholders can cast all their votes (shares times number of board position elections) for a single board candidate or divide them among board candidates
Propo sing remedies based on their review of intern al and extern al audits
Cumulative vo ti ng result in greater minority shareholder representation on the board compared to majority voting
Overs ight of the comp any's corp orat e govern ance code
Minority shareholders may have special rights by law when the company is acquired by another company
Implementing the company's code of ethics and policies regarding conflicts of interest
Governance committee
Monitoring changes in relevant laws and regulations
Ensuring that the company is in compliance with all applicable laws and regulations, as well as with the company's governance policies
Proposing qualified candidates for election to the board Board commit tees
Managing the search pro cess Nominations c ommittee
Attempting to align the board's composition with the company's corporate governance policies
Recomm ending to the board the amount s and types of comp ensation t o be pa id to directors and senior managers Compen sation commi ttee
or remuneration committee
Oversight of employee benefit plans and evaluation of senior managers
Informing the board about appropriate risk policy and risk tolerance of the organization
Ris k committee
Overseeing the enterprise-wide risk management processes of the organization
Reviewing and reporting to the board on management proposals for large acquisitions or projects, sale or other disposal
of company assets or segments, and the performance of acquired assets and other large capital expenditures Investme nt comm i ttee
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# accounting income
sunk cost --> exclude
35. Capital
Budgeting NPV
IRR
Payback period (number of years to recover initial cost)
Methods
Discounted payback period (like Payback, but uses the present values)
Profitability Index = (PV of future CF) : (CFo)
Average accounting rate of return = (Ave. IN) : (Ave. BV)
NPV profile and compare NPV Disadvantage Not consider size of project
NPV & IRR methods
Advantage Measure profitability = %
Relationship between NPV, A positive NPV project -> increase stock price
company value and stock price
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use for projects have same Weights use Current capital structure + Trend
If lack information
risks as firm or Industry average
Pure-play method
D/E: fr. this company
Project beta Step 2: re-lever
BetaPro. = BetaA * [1+(1-t).D/E]
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Breakeven quantity . + .
=
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Face - P
% discount=
Face
Face - P 360
Discount-basis yield=
Face Days
Face - P 360
39. Working Money market yield=
P Days
Capital Management e. Comparable yields
(already in Quant )
Differ fr. BEY in Quant
Face - P 365
Bond-equivalent yield=
Face Days
Accounts payable
Term: 2/10 net 60
Fixed assets
From banks Inventory
Loan collateralized by
Account receivables
Blanket lien
g. Short term
funding choices Banker's acceptances Cost = Int / (Loan-Int)
Factoring
Non bank
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OVERVIEW
Portfolio
Management PORTFOLIO RISK & RETURN
BASICS OF PORTFOLIO
PLANNING & CONSTRUCTION
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the management selects individual securities Monitor risk, return, weights of assets,...over
with the goal of producing returns greater Stock mutual funds time --> rebalance, adjust allocations
than those of their benchmark indexes
measure portfolio performance and
Have higher turnover of portfolio securities Feedback step
Actively managed funds evaluate to the benchmark portfolio
-->greater tax liabilities than index funds
Annual management fees are higher
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the minimum loss over a period that May increase its exposure
will occur with a specific probability to risks it decides to take
Value at Risk (VaR) Define risk management May decrease its exposure to risks that it is less well &
The process does not seek to
the expected value of a loss, given that minimize or eliminate all risks respond by making organizational changes, purchasing
the loss exceeds a minimum amount insurance or entering into hedge transactions
Conditional VaR (CVaR) Risk (uncertainty) is not something to be avoided
examines the effects of a specific Specific risks and overall level of risk are under managers control
(usually extreme) change in a key Determining the optimal bundle of risks for the organization and
variable such as an interest rate or Risk management
implementing risk mitigation strategies to achieve that bundle of risks
exchange rate Stress testing
May use multiple methods to reduce a single risk considering their various risk characteristics
Risk profile that the matches risk Criterion is always a comparison of combine risks characteristics to meet
tolerance and cost versus potential Choosing among risk
the costs and benefits of risk modification methods Risk budgeting: the process of organizations risk tolerance
returns modification allocating firm resources to goal: allocate acceptable risk to the mix
assets (or investments) by of assets or investments that have the
greatest expected returns over time
uncertainty about whether the
counterparty to a transaction will May be a single metric such as
fulfill its contractual obligations Credit risk Risk budgeting and its portfolio beta, value at risk, portfolio
role in risk governance duration or returns variance
the risk of loss when selling an asset at a time May be constructed based on
when market conditions make the sales prices categories of investments such as
Financial risks
less than the underlying fair value of the asset Liquidity risk domestic equities, domestic debt
securities, international equities and
Risk budget
uncertainty about the market prices international debt securities or
identify specific risk factors that specific risk factors: interest rate
of assets and interest rates Market risk
comprise the overall risk of the risk, equity market risk, foreign
portfolio or organization exchange rate risk
human error or faulty organizational processes Operational risk
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After tax nominal return the return after deducting tax liability
Other return measures
Real return nominal return adjusted for inflation
Selection of an
optimal portfolio a return to an investor that is a multiple
of the return on the underlying asset
Leveraged return is calculated as the gain or loss on the investment
as a percentage of an investor's cash investment
the line representing the combinations of risk-free
Capital allocation line (CAL)
assets and the optimal risky asset portfolio
Mean
42. Portfolio
Risk & Return Covariance
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CAPM
Standard deviation =
43. Portfolio
Risk & Return The risk cannot be diversified away
Systematic (nondiversifiable
- Part II risk or market risk)
The risk can be eliminated by diversification
Nonsystematic (unsystematic, unique,
diversifiable or firm-specific risk)
c. Risks
Macroeconomic
Types of Factors Fundamental
Statistical
with k factors
Factor sensitivity of Factor loading
Multifactor models Firm size, Firm B/P, Rm-Rf
Fama & French three-factor model
d. Return Formula
generating Carhart suggest 4th factor: prior period returns
--> to measure price momentum
models
Definition: the sensitivity of an asset's
return to the return on the market index
Single-factor model
= covariance of asset i's return with the
market return/variance of market portfolio
Market model
e. Calculate Beta
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Absolute
Return objective
Relative
The need to draw cash from the portfolio for anticipated or unexpected
future spending needs. High liquidity needs often translate to a high
Liquidity portfolio allocation to bonds or cash.
Often the period over which assets are accumulated and before
withdrawals begin. Risky or illiquid investments may be inappropriate
Time horizon for an investor with a short time horizon.
Equities
Strategic
(baseline) f. Asset Bonds
asset allocation classes
Cash
Categories Real estate
Appendices Hedge funds, PE funds,
commodity funds, artwork,
Alternative intellectual property rights
manager's skill
success depends on
Security selection opportunities (mispricing or inefficiencies)
Risk budgeting
Role of asset allocation
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EQUITY - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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Saving
Borrowing
Issuing equity
Allow entities to Risk management
Main functions
Exchanging assets
of financial system
Utilizing information
Protect unsophisticated investors Financial A vs. Real A R.A: commodities, real estate...
Operational efficiency (Low cost) Characteristics of Primary vs. Secondary market Secondary: subsequents sales of sec
Informational efficiency (P reflects fundamental info) well-functioning fin. system Money: for debt securities < 1y
Allocational efficiency (at the best efficiency) Money vs. Capital market Capital: for equity+debt securities> 1y
Long =Buy
Long vs. Short Short =Sell
1 Initial margin
Leveraged positions Margin call P=P0
1 Maintenance margin
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Fundamental weighting
(earnings, dividends, cash flow)
Rebalancing & Rebalance: adjust the weights of securities uses for Equal-weighted index
Reconstitution
Reconstitution: add & delete securities that make up an index
Market value
Distinguish Def: the value that a rational investor
would willing to pay
Intrinsic value
Fundamental analysis
Implications of each form of EMH Technical analysis
Choosing between active and passive
Loss aversion
Investor overconfidence
Representativeness
Gambler's fallacy
Behavioral finance
Conservatism
Disposition effect
Narrow framing
Information cascades; herding behavior
act in concert on the same side of the information cascade results when
market, acting not on private analysis investors mimic the decision of others
Herding
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Include:
1. Statutory voting
2. Cumulative voting (serve minority shareholders better )
Characteristics Callable
Common shares Putable
3 main types Leveraged buyouts (LBO) (buy all firm's equity =debt)
Private equity securities
Private investment in public equity (PIPE)
potentially greater return for investors once the firm goes public
Distinguish
higher reporting costs
less ability to focus on long-term prospects
Compare to private equity firms more liquid
Public equity securities more financial disclosure
better corporate governance
Direct investing
Global depository receipts (GDRs) (US institutional investors can buy)
Role of equity
Provide funds to the firm to buy productive assets, to buy
securities in financing other companies, or to offer employees as compensation
company's assets &
Provide liquidity when raise additional funds
creating company value
Distinguish is the difference between the financial statement value of the firm's assets and liabilities
(+) retained earnings increase book value of equity
Book value of equity
reflects the firm's past operating and financing choices
N.I/(average B.V)
ROE = N.I/(B.Vt-1)
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Negative growth Sensitivity to business cycle cyclical industries often include growth firms
Declining prices non-cyclical can be affected by severe recessions
5. Decline stage
Consolidation defensive industries are not always safe environments
Limitations of such descriptors
business cycle timing differs across countries and regions
classification of firms is somewhat arbitrary
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d. Preferred stock
e. Common stock
Dividend discount models Stable & mature
f. Appropriate for
companies that are Non-cyclical
1. DCF models Dividend-paying
FCFE models
Advantages
.
Disadvantages
Equity valuation models
h. Stock price / fundamentals
Types of models
e. Enterprise value / EBITDA or revenue
D1
DDM V0 =
ke g
Gordon growth model
DCF model
FCFE t
V=
(1+k e )t
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FIXED INCOME
54. INTRODUCTION TO ASSET-BACKED SECURITIES
FIXED INCOME - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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Corporations
Sovereign national government
Non-sovereign Gov
Bond issuer
Quasi-government entity
Supranational entity
Dual-currency bond
Payment currency Currency option bond
Types of bond Deferred (split) coupon bond regular coupon payments do not begin until a period of time after issuance
Capital-indexed bond
Indexed-annuity bond Principal protected bond: not pay less than
Inflation-indexed Par even when the index has decreased
Index-linked bond Indexed zero-coupon bond
Interest-indexed bond
Benefit bondholder
Convertible bond + Contingent Convertible Bond
Warrants
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7. Selling the bonds Best effort offering investment bank sells the bonds on commission
Bank debt
Difficulties:
1. Deterioration in a company's actual
When mature: "Rolled over" 2. Significant systemic financial distress
Types of debt issued
Commercial paper
by corporation US: %discount from FV
Quoted price EU: add-on yield
Corporate bond
Medium-term Note (not necessarily medium-term) *
Customer deposits
Short-term funding
Certificates of deposit
alternatives available to
Interbank fund
banks
Central bank fund market
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Def: the market discount rates for a single pmt to be received in the future
Spot rate
Floating-rate note
T-bill: discount basis
Money market instrument
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Def. are ABS backed by various types of financial assets such as carries out collection and other responsibilities related to financial assets
small business loans, acounts receivables, credit card receivables,
The servicer may be the same entity as the seller, not have to be
automobile loans, home equity loans, manufactured housing loans
Backed by automobiles
Maturity: 36 to 72 months the differences classes of securities, each with a different a particular risk is redistributed across
claim to the cash flows of the underlying assets the tranches but total risk is unchanged
Issuers: financial subsidiaries of auto manufacturers, commercial banks,
credit unions, finance companies, other small financial institutions Tranches
Interest payments any credit losses are first absorbed by the tranche with the lowest
Describe typical structures priority and after that by any other subordinated tranches, in order
Scheduled principal payments
CFs components Auto Loan ABS of securitizations Credit tranching
if car is sold, traded in,
repossessed, stolen, wrecked refers to classes that receive the principal payments from underlying
Prepayments
securities sequentially as each prior tranche is repaid in full
Non-mortgage Time tranching
Senior-subordinated structure asset-backed securities Some structures have both time tranching and credit tranching
Internal credit enhancements such as a reserve account, Credit enhancement
an excess interest spread, overcollateralization,...
Def. is a loan for which the collateral that underlies the loans is residential real estate
Backed by credit card receivables which are revolving debt (non-amortizing)
indicates the percentage of the value of the real estate collateral that is loaned
Issuers: banks, retailers, travel and entertainment
Loan-to-value ratio The lower LTVs, the less credit risk
companies, and other credit card issuer
With fixed or floating interest rate US. 15-20 years; Europe: 20-40 years or 50 years;
Interest payments Japan: may have terms of 100 years
Maturity
Credit Card ABS
No principal payments during lockout period because principal
payments are used to purchase additional receivables CFs interest rate is unchanged over the life of the mortgage
Fixed-rate mortgage
to preserve credit
quality of securities Typically have an early amortization provision Adjustable-rate mortgage
or variable-rate mortgage E.g An index-referenced mortgage
more contraction & extension risk & higher promised interest rate
Reserves fund (cash or excess spread)
Floating-rate tranches
occurs when the ABS is issued with a face less
Credit enhancement of than the value of the underlying collateral
non-agency RMBS Internal credit enhancement Overcollateralization
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Effective duration
Def. of key rate duration (partial duration) is the sensitivity of the value of a bond or
Key rate duration and portfolio to changes in the spot rate for a specific maturity, holding other spot rates constant
its key use in measuring
particularly useful to measure the effect of a
the bond's sensitivity nonparallel shift in the yield curve on a bond portfolio
Calculate the weighted average number of not work for a portfolio that contains
55. Understanding F.I periods 'til the portfolio's CF will be received bonds with embedded options
Money duration & Price value Money duration = Annual Mod.Dur * Full price of bond
of a basis point (PVBP) PVBP
V +V + 2V 0
V= ( YTM 2 )2V 0
Def: relation between the volatility of bond yields & times to maturity
Structure of yield volatility
i.e: ST bond has more price volatility than a longer-term bond with greater duration
Credit spread & liquid affect YTM Spread to the benchmark includes: credit risk premium + illiquidity premiu
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Covenants
Negative restricts the borrower from taking certain actions
Intangible assets
Depreciation
Collateral
Equity market capitalization
Human and intellectual capital
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DERIVATIVES - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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57. DERIVATIVE MARKETS AND INSTRUMENTS - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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Storage, insurance costs --> very low, not significant for financial assets
Costs of holding an asset Opportunity cost of the invested funds in the asset
Cost of carry
Explain concepts
Valuation of derivatives is based on a
no-arbitrage condition with risk-neutral pricing
asset position at time 0 + short position in a
forward contract at time 0 = (payoff on the
Cash inflow > cash outflow
asset at time T + payoff on the short forward
-> intrinsic value >0 In the money: payoff > 0 Risk of a derivative is entirely based on the risk of the at time T)/(1 + Rf)^T
underlying asset, we can construct a fully hedged
Out of the money: payoff < 0 Moneyness
portfolio and discount its future CFs at the risk-free rate
At the money: payoff = 0
risky asset + derivative = risk-free asset
In the money: S-X>0
Three replications among a derivative, its risk asset - risk-free asset = - derivative position
Out of the money: S-X<0 Call option underlying asset and a risk-free asset
Exercise, time value and derivative position - risk-free asset = - risky asset
At the money: S = X moneyness of an option
In the money: X-S>0 Option Price of a forward or futures contract is
the forward price specified in the contract
Out of the money: X-S<0 Put option Price & Value of forward
Value of a forward or futures contract is zero at initiation. Its value may
At the money: X = S and futures contracts
increase or decrease during its life, with gains and losses in the value of a
option premium = intrinsic value + time value Time value is the amount by which an long position just opposite to gains or losses in the value of a short position
option's price is greater than its exercise
value. Time value is zero at expiration F 0 (T)+, an arbitrageur could take short
position, sell asset at time T at F 0 (T)+,
buy at S 0 , with funds borrowed at Rf,
If there are no costs or benefits repay the loan at cost of S 0 (1+Rf)^T,
The value of a call option is the greater of zero or the underlying asset price minus the exercise price European option from holding the underlying keep the positive difference between
The value of a put option is the greater of zero or the exercise price minus the underlying asset price at expiration 58. Basics of asset, forward price of an asset F0 (T)+ and S 0 (1+Rf)^T,
to be delivered at time T is
Derivative Pricing Determine value & price F 0 (T)-, do opposite transaction
one party pays a floating rate and the other and Valuation (Part1) of a forward contract
pays a fixed rate on a notional principal amount The value of a forward contract is zero
A Simple interest-rate swap
at initiation. During its life, at time t,
The first payment is known at initiation and the rest of the payments are unknown the value of the forward contract is
Similar to but different from
The unknown payments are equivalent to the payments on off-market FRAs At expiration, the payoff to a long forward is S T - F0(T), the difference between
a series of forward contracts
the spot price of the asset at expiration and the price of the forward contract
to Replicate a swap with a value of zero at initiation, the Swap contracts
sum of the present values of these FRAs must equal zero
The price of a swap is the fixed rate of interest specified in the swap contract. If holding an asset has costs and benefits,
the no-arbitrage forward price is
The value depends on how expected future floating rates change over time. An increase Distinguish between Benefits and costs associated
in expected short-term future rates will produce a positive value for fixed-rate payer, and the value and price The present values of the costs and
a decrease in expected future rates will produce a negative value for fixed-rate payer
with holding the underlying
benefits decrease as time passes. The
asset and its effects value of the forward at time t is
Gains and losses on futures contracts are settled daily At expiration the costs and benefits of holding the asset are zero and
do not affect the value a long forward position, which is S T - F0(T)
Prices of forwards and futures that have the same terms may
be different if interest rates are correlated with futures prices
Why forward and A forward rate agreement (FRA) is a derivative contract that has
Futures are more valuable than forwards when interest rates and futures prices
futures prices differ a future interest rate, rather than an asset, as its underlying
are positively correlated and less valuable when they are negatively correlated.
If interest rates are constant or uncorrelated with future A firm that intends to borrow in the future can lock
prices, the prices of futures and forwards are the same an interest rate with a long position in an FRA
FRAs are used by firms to hedge
the risk of borrowing and lending A firm that intends to lend in the future can lock
they intend to do in the future. an interest rate with a short position in an FRA
E.g
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Factors determining
the value of an option
and their effects
58. Basics of
Where:
Probabilities Derivative Pricing and Fiduciary call = protective put
Rf = risk-free rate
U = size of an up-move Valuation - Part 2
One-period binomial
D = size of an down-move
model to determine
Calculating the payoff of the option at maturity the value of an option
in both the up-move and down-move states Put-call parity for
Calculating the expected value of the option in one year as European options Synthetic call
the probability-weighted average of the payoffs in each state
Calculate the value of an option by
Discounting this expected value
back to today at the risk-free rate
is derived with a forward contract rather than the underlying asset itself
Synthetic underlying
Synthetic bond
Covered call
Arbitrage opportunity
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Covered call
Payoff diagram
Payoff (covered call) = Payoff (Long stock) + Payoff (short call)
= ST - Max(0, S T - X)
Profit (Covered call) = Payoff (Covered call) - So + C
Max loss when payoff is min -> S T = 0 -> Max loss = So - C
Max profit when payoff is max -> ST > X
59. Risk Management Payoff diagram (Covered call): similar to payoff diagram of short put
Applications of
Option Strategies = Long stock + Long put
= S + P
Protective put = Long put protects potential loss of a stock
Protective put
Payoff diagram
Payoff (Protective put) = payoff (Long stock) + Payoff (long put)
= ST + Max(0, X - S T)
Profit = Payoff - So - P
Max loss when payoff is min -> S T = 0 -> Max loss = So + P - X
Max profit when payoff is max -> ST > X -> Max profit is indefinite
Payoff diagram (protective put) is similar to that of long call
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ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS - CFA Mind Maps Level 1 - 2017 - Copyright by WAY TO FINANCE SUCCESS
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Hedge funds
Private equity funds
Real estate
Categories Commodities
fine wines, Stamps, automobiles, antique furniture,
and art, as well as patents, an intangible asset"
Other
Organization
Portfolio management
Operations and controls
Due diligence Risk management
Legal review
Fund terms
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Management fee of 1-3% of committed capital until Buy the (undervalued) securities of firms in
fully invested; fees calculated on NAV after that financial distress when analysis indicates
Structure and fees value will be increased by a successful
Incentive fees typically 20% profits after restructuring; possibly short overvalued
LPs have received initial investment back Fees Event-driven (Profit from short-term events) security types at the same time.
Distressed/restructuring
Fees paid periodically may exceed 20% over time: clawback
provision requires managers to return excess fees Gain board seats to influence
Activist shareholder company decisions
current management team involved in
the acquisition, remain with the company Management buyout (MBO)
Spinoffs, asset sales, security
Special situations issuance or repurchase
Current management team is being replaced Management buy-ins (MBI)
Buy convertible bonds and sell the
Debt is the key to financing a buyout
Fixed income convertible arbitrage same issuer's common stocks
deal: e.g equity 30%, debt 70%
Usually, debt = bank loans
Fixed income asset backed Take advantage do mispricing across different ABS
(leveraged loans) + high yield bonds Relative value (Profit from a pricing
Leveraged loans: usually largest amount discrepancy between related
Fixed income general Relative value within fixed income markets
securities)
Mezzanine financing may be used instead of high LBO financing
yield bonds. Mezzanine refers to debt or preferred Trade options based on implied
shares with warrants or conversion options versus expected volatility
Volatility
Covenants included to protect investors: maintain
specified financial ratios, submit information, restrict Across asset classes or instruments
from further borrowings, limit dividend distributions Multi-strategy
Sell portfolio company to competitor Use of market or estimated values of underlying positions
Trade sale
A common practice of using average quote =[(bid+ask)/2]
Sell portfolio company to other PE investors if market value is use. A more conservative approach is to
Secondary sale
Valuation use bid for longs and ask for shorts
Sell portfolio company shares to public Estimated values are used for illiquid or non=traded investments.
IPO
Procedures for in-house valuation should be developed to ensure
Private equity exit strategies consistency and reduce effects do potential conflicts of interest
Issue portfolio company debt to fund
dividend payment (to private equity owner) Recapitalization Investment strategy.
Investment process.
Outright sale of the firm's assets when
the firm is deemed no longer viable Source of competitive advantages.
Write-off/Liquidation
Historical returns.
Return: possible higher return opportunities by PE funds due Valuation and returns calculation methods.
to ability to invest in private companies, influence on portfolio
Longevity
companies' management & operations, use of leverage
Potential diversification benefits given less than perfect correlation Amount of assets under management
Due diligence: factors to consider
Management style
US private equity performance index outperformed
stocks based on NASDAQ and S&P 500 Key person risk
Measuring historical performance of PE may be Diversification benefits, Reputation
problematic due to survivorship, backfill and other biases performance & risk
Growth plans
Higher risks in PE investing than common stocks
Systems for risk management
Likely large difference in returns between top quartile
Appropriateness of benchmark
(IRR = 22%) and bottom quartile (IRR = 3%)
Hedge fund - "2 and 20" (2% management fee &
Market or comparable: using multiples (e.g EBITDA
Common structure 20% incentive fee). FOF - "1 and 10"
multiple, net income & revenue multiples)
DCF: PV of the relevant expected future cash flows (FCFF & cost of
Hurdle rate: fee structure may specify that the Hard hurdle rate: incentive fee based
capital; FCFE & cost of equity; capitalize income or cash flow Portfolio company valuation incentive fee is only earned after having achieved
Fee structure on returns in excess of the hurdle rate
Asset-based: Assets - Liabilities = Value to equity holders a specified return known as hurdle rate
Soft hurdle rate: on the entire return
Current and anticipated economic conditions High water mark: to avoid paying twice for the same performance
Interest rate and capital availability expectations
Refinancing risks
Choice of manager (general partner),
GP experience & knowledge
Financial & operating Factors to consider
Investment consideration &
Valuation methodology
Due diligence
Alignment of GP's incentives with interests of LPs
Plan to draw on committed capital
Planned exit strategies
Factors in DD of hedge funds also apply
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Direct investments: sole ownership, joint ventures
Indirect investments: limited partnerships,
or other forms of commingled funds
Forms of real estate
A claim on an asset: mortgages
investment
Mortgage-backed securities (residential and commercial)
Shares of RE operating companies; shares of REITs
Inflation hedge
Income from harvest quantities &
Real estate agricultural commodity prices
Farmland
Return drivers: same as timerland
Farmland, timerland
Income stream from sale of timber products
Return drivers are biological growth, commodity
price changes and land price changes
Timerland
Historically not correlated with other asset classes
Flexibility because timber can be grown
and easily stored by not harvesting
Historically, real estate returns are highly correlated with global equity returns
but less correlated with global bond returns. The construction method of real
estate indexes may contribute to the low correlation with bond returns.
Potential benefits and risks
Fee structure
global national economic factors
Local market conditions
Factors to consider Interest rates
60.3. Describe different regulations
categories & issues Due diligence
Property-specific risks
abilities of managers
in valuing and calculating
Additional risk factors to consider
returns (Part 3) zoning, permitting, and environmental
for distressed properties investing
and real estate development considerations or remediation, ...
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THE END!