CFA Mindmap
CFA Mindmap
CFA Mindmap
CFALEVEL1 STUDYSESSION01
All CFA Institute members and candidates are required to comply with the Code and Standards Basic structure for enforcing the Code and Standards The CFA Institute Bylaws Rules of Procedure Based on two primary principles Fair process to member and candidate Confidentiality of proceedings
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Maintains oversight and responsibility Structure of the CFA Institute Professional Conduct Program Professional Conduct program (PCP) The CFA Institute Board of Governors Through the Disciplinary Review Committee (DRC) Is responsible for the enforcement of the Code and Standards
a.
The Professional Conduct staff conducts an investigation that may include When an inquiry is initiated Upon reviewing the material obtained during the investigation, the Designated Officer may
The member or candidate Interviewing Complaining parties Third parties Collecting documents and records in support of its investigation Conclude the inquiry with no disciplinary sanction Issue a cautionary letter Continue proceedings to discipline the member or candidate If finding that a violation of the Code and Standards occurred, the Designated Officer proposes a disciplinary sanction Accepted by member Rejected by member The matter is referred to a hearing by a panel of CFA Institute members
Act with integrity, competence, diligence, respect and in an ethical manner Six components of the Code of Ethics Integrity of investment profession & interest of clients above personal interest Care & judgment Practice ethics & encourage others to practice Integrity & rules of capital markets Professional competence
b,c.
Seven Standards of Professional Conduct
Professionalism Integrity of Capital markets Duties of Clients Duties to Employers Investment analysis, Recommendations & Actions Conflict of interest Responsibilities as a CFA Institute member or CFA Candidate
Understand and comply with applicable laws and regulations Code and Standards vs. Local law Follow stricter law and regulation knowingly participate or assist ->Leave employers (in extreme cases)
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Responsible for violations in which they Dissociate from illegal, unethical activities Guidance Participation or association with violations by others
Attempt to stop the behavior by bringing it to the attention of employer through a supervisor or compliance department Intermediate steps May consider directly confronting the involved individuals If not successful,-> step away and dissociate from the activity by Removing their name from written reports Asking for a different assignment
Inaction with continued association may be construed as knowing participation Not require reporting violations to government, CFAI, but... Stay informed Review procedures Recommended procedures for compliance (RPC) Members and candidates Maintain current files When in doubt,->seek advice of compliance personnel or legal counsel When dissociating from violations,-> Document any violations and urge firms to stop them Develop and/or adopt a code of ethics Firms Application Make available to employees info that highlights applicable laws and regulations Establish written procedures for reporting suspected violation of laws,...
Maintain independence and objectivity in professional activities By benefits External pressures Gifts, Invitations to lavish functions, Tickets, Favors, Job referrals, Allocation of shares in oversubscribed IPOs... To issue favorable reports May try to pressure sell-side analysts
e.g. to issue favorable research reports/recommendations for certain companies How to cope with external and internal pressures Guidance Internal pressures From their own firms Investment-banking relationships to issue favorable research on current or prospective investment-banking clients Conflicts of interest -->must disclose to employers
-->Modest gifts and entertainment are acceptable but special care must be taken convey true opinions -->Recommendations must
-->Best practice: reject any offer of gift,..threatening independence and objectivity --> free of bias from pressures be stated in clear and unambiguous language -->Portfolio managers must respect and foster honesty of sell-side research Is fraught with conflicts Must engage in thorough, independent, and unbiased analysis Issuer-paid research Must fully disclose potential conflicts, including the nature of compensation -->Analysts Must strictly limit the type of compensation they accept for conducting research Best practice Protect integrity of opinions Create a restricted list Restrict special cost arrangements RPC Limit gifts Restrict employee investments Review procedures Written policies on independence and objectivity of research Equity IPOs Private placements Accept only flat fee for their work prior to writing the report Without regard to conclusions or recommendations
Definition of "Misrepresentation" Must not knowingly make misrepresentation or give false impression in Guidance Must not misrepresent any aspect of practice, including
any untrue statement or omission of a fact or any fasle or misleading statement oral representations, advertising electronic communications written materials qualifications or credentials, services performance record characteristics of an investment any misrepresentation relating to member's professional activities
C. Misrepresentation
Must not guarantee clients specific return on investments that are inherently volatile Standard I(C) prohibits plagiarism in preparation of material for distribution to employers, associates, clients, prospects, general publich Written list of available services, description of firm's qualification Designate employees to speak on behalf of firm RPC Prepare summary of qualifications and experience, list of services capable of performing Maintain copies To avoid plagiarism Attribute quotations Attribute summaries
Address conduct related to professional life Guidance Violations Any act involving lying, cheating, stealing, other dishonest conduct that reflects adversely on member's professional activities would be violation Conduct damaging trustworthiness or competence Abuse of the CFA Institute Professional Conduct Program Develop and/or adopt a code of ethics RPC Disseminate to all employee a list of potential violations Check references of potential employees
D. Misconduct
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Definition of "Material nonpublic information" Must be particularly aware of info selectively disclosed by corporations Guidance Analysis of Public info + nonmaterial nonpublic info --> Investment conclusion Mosaic Theory Analysts are free to act on this collection of info without risking violation Analysts should save and document all their research
Make reasonable efforts to achieve public dissemination of material info If public dissemination is not possible, Must communicate the info only to the designated supervisory and compliance personnel within the firm Must not take investment action on the basis of the info
RPC
Must not knowingly engage in conduct inducing insiders to privately disclose MNI adopt compliance procedures preventing misuse of MNI Encourage firms to
develop & follow disclosure policies to ensure proper dissemination use "firewall"
Prohibition of all proprietary trading while firm is in possession of MNI may be inappropriate
Transactions that artificially distort prices or volume Securing a controlling, dominant position in a financial instrument to exploit and manipulate price of a related derivative/or underlying asset
can be related to
B. Market manipulation
prohibit legitimate trading strategies prohibit transactions done for tax purposes
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duty to exercise reasonable care Prudence require cautions and discretion act with care, skill, and diligence follow the investment parameters set forth by clients & balancing risk & return a
duty of loyalty
Determine identity of "client" Must be aware of whether they have "custody" or effective control of client assets Manage pool of assets in accordance with terms of governing documents Put their obligation to client first in all dealings Avoid all real or potential conflicts of interest Forgo using opportunities for their own benefit at the expense of client Follow any guidelines set out by client for the management of assets Judge investment decisions in context of total portfolio Vote proxies in an informed & responsible manner Understand & adhere to fiduciary duties
"Soft dollars" Submit to clients at least quarterly itemized statements Separate assets Review investments periodically Establish policies & procedures with respect to proxy voting and the use of client brokerage Encourage firms to address some topics (p. ) Do not discriminate against any clients "Fairly" vs "equally Standard III(B) addresses the manner of disseminating investment recommendations or changes in prior recommendations to clients Ensure fair opportunity to act on Encourage firms to design equitable system to prevent selective, discriminatory disclosure Investment recommendations particularly clients may have acted on Material changes should be communicated to all current clients or been affected by earlier advise Clients who don't know changes and therefore place orders contrary to a current recommendation should be advised of the changed recommendation before the order is accepted
RPC
Investment actions
Treat all clients fairly in light of their investment objectives & circumstances duty of fairness and loyalty to clients can Disclose to clients & never be overridden by client consent to prospects written patently unfair allocation procedures allocation procedures Should not take advantage of their position in the industry to the detriment of clients
Guidance C. Suitability
Be sure to gather client info in the form of an IPS and make suitability analysis prior to making recommendation/taking investment action Inquiry should be repeated at least annually/prior to material changes -->suitability analysis must be If clients withhold info done based on info provided Risk analysis Fund managers Be sure investments are consistent with the stated mandate
-->refrain from making trade or seek affirmative statement from client that suitability is not a consideration
Written IPS Investors' objectives and constraints should be maintained and reviewed periodically to reflect any changes in clients' circumstances Standard III(D) prohibits misrepresentations of past performance or reasonably expected performance --> Provide credible performance info -->Should not state or imply that clients will obtain or benefit from rate of return generated in the past --> ensure that their claims are Research analysts promoting the success fair, accurate, and complete of accuracy of their recommendations If the presentation is brief, must make available to clients and prospects the detailed info upon request RPC GIPS on the basis of their special ability to conduct a portion of clients' business or personal affairs arising from or is relevant to that portion of clients' business that is the subject of special or confidential relationship Comply with applicable laws When in doubt -->consult with compliance department/ outside counsel before disclosing Standard III(E) is applicable when members receive info Standard III(E) does not prevent cooperating with an investigation by CFAI PCP
RPC
Page 6 In matters related to their employment, members and candidates must not engage in conduct that harms the interests of the employer
-->Comply with policies and procedures established by employers that govern employer-employee relationship Standard IV(A) does not require to place employer interests ahead of personal interests in all matters The relationship imposes duties and responsibilities on both parties
Employer-employee relationship
Abstain from independent competitive activity that could conflict with employer's interests Provide notification to employer, obtain consent from employer in advance
A. Loyalty
Planning to leave, must continue to act in employer's best interest Must Firm records or work performed on behalf of firm stored on a home computer should be erased or returned to employer engage in activities conflicting with duty until resignation effective Must not contact existing clients/potential clients prior to leaving for soliciting take records of files to a new employer without written permission Free to make arrangements/preparations provided that not breaching duty of loyalty Applicable non-compete agreement Whistle blowing Nature of employment
Leaving an employer
Guidance
Obtain written consent from employer before accepting compensation or other benefits from third parties...
RPC
Must have in-depth knowledge of the Code & Standards Apply knowledge in discharging supervisory responsibilities Delegation of supervisory duties does not relieve members of supervisory responsibility -->Instruct subordinates methods to prevent and detect violations
Make reasonable efforts to detect violation of laws, rules, regulations, and Code & Standards Must understand what constitutes an adequate compliance system Guidance -->Establish and implementing Compliance procedures Make reasonable efforts to see that appropriate compliance procedures are established, documented, communicated to covered personnel and followed Bring an inadequate compliance system to senior managers's attention & recommend corrective action If clearly cannot discharge responsibilities 'cos of absence of compliance system, In case of employee's violation, -->decline in writing to accept responsibilities
C. Responsibilities of supervisors
Recommend employer to adopt a code of ethics Respond promptly RPC If there is a violation Conduct a thorough investigation Increase supervision or place appropriate limitations on the wrongdoer pending the outcome of the investigation
investment philosophy followed The application of Standard V(A) depends on role of member in the investment decision-making process support and resources provided by employer
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Must make reasonable efforts to cover all pertinent issues when arriving at recommendation Provide or offer to provide supporting info to clients when making recommendations/changing recommendations Guidance
-->must make reasonable &diligent efforts to determine whether 2nd/3rd party research is sound
If member does not agree with the independent and objective view of the group
-->Not necessarily have to decline to be identified if believing consensus opinion has reasonable & adequate basis -->Should document member's difference of opinion with group
RPC (p. )
Standard V(B) addresses conduct with respect to communicating with clients Communication is not confined to written form but via any means of communication Developing and maintaining clear, frequent, and thorough communication practices is critical distinguish clearly between facts & opinions present basic characteristics of the analyzed security in preparing research report Must adequately illustrate to clients & prospective clients the manner of conducting investment decision-making process keep them informed with respect to changes to the chosen investment process Guidance
Brief communications
-->should notify clients that additional info and analyses are available from the producer of the report
-->must be supported by readily available reference material -->in a manner consistent with previously applied methodology or with changes highlighted
Should outline known limitations, consider principal risks in investment analysis, report RPC
In hard copy or electric form Fulfilling regulatory requirements may satisfy the requirements of this Standard Must explicitly determine whether it does
Guidance
C. Record retention
is a critical part of working in investment industry Managing conflicts can take many forms prominent Disclosures must be made in plain language in a manner to effectively communicate the info to clients between member or their firm and issuer Relationships investment banking underwriting and financial relationships Broker/dealer market-making activities Material beneficial ownership of stock All matters may impair objectivity Guidance Disclosure to clients Investment personnel also serves as a director between duties to clients and to shareholders of the company poses conflicts of interest may receive option to purchase securities of the company as compensation MNI -->members providing investment services also serving as directors should be isolated from those making investment decisions -->Sell-side members -->Buy-side members should disclose material beneficial ownership interest in securities/investment recommended should disclose procedures for reporting requirements for personal transactions by firewalls Best practice is to avoid conflicts of interest when possible If not, disclosure is necessary
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A. Disclosure of conflicts
Same circumstances with clients Any potential conflict situation Enough info Must comply with employer's restrictions regarding conflict of interest
How?
Other requirements
Must take reasonable steps to avoid conflicts If conflicts occur inadvertently, must report them promptly
Should disclose special compensation arrangements with employer that might conflict with client interest RPC Document request & may consider dissociating from the activity if firm does not permit disclosure of special compensation arrangements Disclose to clients info that fee based on a share of capital gains Disclose as a footnote to research report published if members have outstanding agent options to buy stocks as a part of compensation package
Clients & employers' transactions have priority Co-investment -->personal investment positions or transactions should never adversely affect client investments may occur client is not disadvantaged by the trade Conflicts of interests Guidance investment professional does not benefit personally from trades undertaken for clients investment professional complies with applicable regulatory requirements Having knowledge of pending transactions, assess to info during normal preparation of research recommendations -->Must not convey such info
-->make sure
B. Priority of transactions
May undertake personal transactions after clients & employers have had adequate opportunity to act on recommendation Family accounts (that are client accounts) RPC (p. ) should be treated like other accounts if member has beneficial ownership -->may still be subject to pre clearance or reporting requirements
C. Referral fees
what
how
before entry into any formal agreement nature of the consideration or benefit
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Cheating on CFA exam or any exam Prohibiting any conduct that undermines the integrity of the CFA charter (p. ) Not following rules and policies of the CFA program Giving confidential info on the CFA Program to candidates or the public ..... Not precluded from expressing opinion regarding the CFA Program or CFAI
Preventing promotional efforts that make promises or guarantees tied to the CFA designation
B. Reference to CFA Institute, the CFA Designation and the CFA program
Remit annually to CFAI a completed Professional Conduct Statement Pay applicable CFAI membership dues on an annual basis
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a2. Who can claim compliance? a3. Who benefit from Compliance? b. Construction & purpose of Composites c. Verification The Structure of the GIPS Standards
GIPS Objectives
3+4 GIPS
Investment firm definition
c1. How are GIPS standards implemented in countries with existing standards for performance reporting
c2. Appropriate response when the GIPS standards & local regulations conflict
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CFALEVEL1 STUDYSESSION02&03
QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
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b. Interest rate
c,d. EAR
FV=
PV=
Annuity
e. CF calculations
PV of a Perpetuity
Uneven CF
Find PMT
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NPV
c. HPR
Money Weighted
IRR More appropriate if manager has complete control over cash in/out
Time weighted
Compound growth Geometric mean Not affected by cash in/out Preferred method
e. Yields of T-bills
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Statistical methods Population vs. Sample Descriptive statistics Inferential statistics
a.
b.
Frequency distribution
c.
d.
Frequency polygon Population mean vs. Sample mean Arithmetic mean Weighted mean (portfolio return) Mean Geometric mean (compound growth)
f. Quantile
MAD Variance & Standard deviation 1-1/(k^2) Population Sample (use n-1)
CV (Coefficient of Variation) = StdDev / Average Sharpe Ratio / Reward-to-Variability ratio mean=median=mode Calculate: Sample skewness = =Excess return/ StdDev
Symmetrical
mode<median<mean mean<median<mode
Calculate
Sample kurtosis = Excess kurtosis = sample kurtosis - 3 Leptokurtic: more peaked, fatter tails (excess kurtosis > 0) --> more risk Platykurtic: less peaked (excess kurtosis < 0) Mesokurtic: identical (excess kurtosis = 0)
l. Kurtosis
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Floating c
a.
0<=P(E)<=1 sum of all P(E) =1, if set of events is mutually exclusive & exhaustive Empirical past data formal reasoning and inspection process personal judgment
b.
Determine probabilities
Priori
Subjective
d.
Conditional probabilities
Multiplication rule
e. Probability rules
Joint Probability
8. PROBABILITY CONCEPTS
f. Calculate
j. Tree diagram
l. Portfolio
n. Bayes' formula
Factorial Labeling Combination Permutation
o. Counting methods
Probability distribution Random variables Discrete Continuous Discrete distribution vs. continuous distribution
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a,b.
c,d. Functions
PDF- Probability density function f(x) CDF- Cumulative distribution function F(x)=P(X<=x)
Discrete uniform
Bernoulli Binomial
h. Tracking error
1 --> 68%
z=
o. Lognormal distribution
Discretely compounded EAR=
Continuously compounded
From S: HPR=
q,r. Simulation
Historical simulation
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c. Sampling methods
Time- series
d. Set of data
Cross- sectional
n>=30
Point estimation
Unbiased
Efficient Consistent
Used when
Small samples (n<30), unknown variance Normal (or approximately normal) distribution
i. Student's t-distribution
Symmetrical Properties Degrees of freedom df=n-1 Less peaked, fatter tails than normal Higher n --> approach z
Not available --> z test if n >=30 --> t approach z --> both are ok
Other situations
Known variance
Possible mistake: Observations from a different population may be included Higher Cost
Sample selection bias Bias Survivorship bias Look-ahead bias Time-period bias
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Statement about population parameter Hypothesis One-tailed and two-tailed tests of hypotheses 1. State the hypothesis
b. Test statistic
a.
Hypothesis testing steps 4. State decision rule
c. Decision rule
5. Collect data and calculate test statistic 6. Make statistical decision Statistical result
d. Distinguish
7. Make economic/investment decision Type I (alpha) reject null when it's true
b. Errors
Type II
=1-beta
c. The relation between confidence intervals and hypothesis tests e. How to use p-value
f. Mean of a normally distributed population with known variance unknown variance
Test means
g. The equality of means of 2 normally distributed populations, based on independent random samples with h. The mean difference of 2 normally distributed populations (paired comparisons test)
Single population
Chi-square test
i. Test variance
F-test
Parametric test
j.
Nonparametric test
Fundamentalists
Overview: 3 views
Principles
a. Technical analysis
Applications Market price reflects both rational & irrational investor behavior (EMH does not hold) Assumptions Trends & Patterns exist & tend to repeat, can be used to forecast
Line chart
OHLC chart
Bar chart
b. Charts
Candlestick chart
X: increases O: decreases
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Definition: a trend approaches a range of prices but fails to continue beyond that range
Floating Topic
Double tops & bottoms Definition: a pause in a trend rather than a reversal
d. Chart patterns
Triangles
Continuation patterns
Rectangle
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Floating Topic
c. Trends
breakout vs. breakdown Trend
Support & Resistance lines Change in polarity (Polarity= phn cc, i lp) --> to smooth fluctuations --> trends are easier to see
=mean of the last n closing prices (n=20; 250...) Moving average lines
______ (smoother/less smooth) line larger n --> if overly long n --> may obscure price trend (obscure = hide) viewed as support or resistance level
above below
--> golden cross --> _________ (buy/sell) signal --> dead cross --> _________ (buy/sell) signal
Price-based
SMA (Simple Moving Average) vs. EMA (Exponential) (place more weigts on recent data) e.g.: bollinger band (20,2) means 2 standard deviations above and below the 20-day moving average line viewed as contrarian indicator: if price at or above upper band --> over___ (bought/sold) market --> we should ____ (buy/sell)
Bollinger bands
e. Common TA indicators
Momentum () oscillator (or Rate of Change oscillator)
closing price today & n days earlier (today - past day) x 100 2 formulas today / past day Relative strength index --> oscillate around 0
MACD line (e.g.: MACD (26,12): ExpMA(26)-ExpMA(12) Signal line: ExpMA(9) of MACD MACD line crossing above Signal line (or divergence histogram crosses up) --> buy signal Lines %K line: (latest price - recent low) / (recent high - recent low) %D line: 3-period average of %K line Fast %K = %K basic calculation Fast %D = 3-period SMA of Fast %K Slow %K = Fast %K smoothed with 3-period SMA Slow %D = 3-period SMA of Slow %K
If %K line crosses up %D line --> buy signal Stochastic oscillator Fast stochastic oscillator
Opinion polls (survey) =put vol / call vol Put/Call ratio Calculated statistical indices Sentiment indicators Margin debt Short interest ratio Non-price-based indicators viewed as contrarian indicator: if very high --> __________ (bearish/bullish) investor sentiment --> over_______ (bought/sold) market =volatility of options on S&P 500 CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) if high --> investors ____ (bearish/bullish) --> we should be______ (bearish/bullish)
if increase --> investors are ________ (bearish/bullish) --> prices are __________ (increasing/decreasing) short interest = number of shares that investors have borrowed and sold short
contrarian indicator of follow the smart money indicator? =(number of advancing issues/number of declining issues) / (volume of advancing issues / volume of declining issues) Arms index or TRIN (short-term TRading INdex) Compare to 1: Spikes upward = daily ____ (gain/loss) Spikes downward = daily ______ (gain/loss)
Margin debt
if increase --> investors _________ (buy/sell) more = mutual fund cash / total assets viewed as contrarian indicator =market _________ (peak/trough) because Issuers sell new shares when stock prices are thought to be _____ (high/low)
Mutual fund cash position New equity issuance (IPO) and Secondary offerings
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f. Cycles
18-year cycle
Decennial (10-year) pattern 4-year Presidential cycle Upward moves: 5 waves (1,3,5=impulses; 2,4=corrective; 2=pullback Downward moves: 3 waves (A,B,C) (A=bulltrap)
Uptrend
Downtrend: downward moves (5 waves); upward moves (3 waves) Fibonacci numbers Size of waves correspond with Fibonacci ratios 0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21... Golden ratio: 1.618 or 0.618
Different waves
Supercycle
Cycle
Primary
Intermediate
Minor
Minute
Minuette
h. Intermarket analysis
Floating Topic
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CFALEVEL1 STUDYSESSION04,05&06
ECONOMICS
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a. Types of markets
Movement along
Stable
e. Equilibria
Unstable
Individual and aggregate demand and supply curves Amount of excess demand Amount of excess supply
Types of auctions
h.
Winning price
Consumer surplus
j.k.
m. Elasticity
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a
Consumer utility theory
Opportunity sets
b.c.
Budget constraints
Substitution effects
e. Compare
Income effects
f.
Giffen goods Explain Veblen goods
Accounting profit
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a. Concepts
Normal profit
Economic profit
Total revenue
b. Revenue
a c. Factors of production
Total costs
Average costs
d. Costs
Marginal costs
Fixed costs
Variable costs
Breakeven points
e.
Shutdown points
Economies of scale
f.
Diseconomies of scale
h. Distinguish
LR profit maximization
Decreasing-cost industries
i. Distinguish
Constant-cost Industries
Increasing-cost industries
Total
j. Product of labor
Marginal
Average
k.l.
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PERFECT COMPETITION
MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION
a.b.c.d.e
OLIGOPOLY
MONOPOLY
Use
f. Concentration measures
Limitations
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Sum-of-value-added method
b. Compare
Value-of-final-output method
a GDP c.
GDP deflator Compare Nominal GDP Real GDP
d. Compare
Personal income Personal disposable income
Saving Investment
SR
j.
Measurement Sustainability
Economic growth
Input growth
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Biz Cycle
a. Describe
Phases of Biz Cycle
Business cycle
d. Unemployment
Measures
Inflation
e. Explain
Disinflation Deflation
g. Inflation measures
Uses Limitations
Uses Limitations
Economic indicators
Past biz cycle
j. Identify
Monetary policy
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a. Compare
Fiscal policy
c. Theories of
Supply of money
i.
Contractionary monetary policy
k. Describe
Objectives
Fiscal policy
n. Explain
difficulties of implementation
o.
Contractionary fiscal policy
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a. International trade
Costs
Comparative advantage
b. Distinguish
Absolute advantage
Ricardian
c. Models of trade
Heckscher-Ohlin
Trade restrictions
d. Restrictions
Capital restrictions
Trading blocs
Common markets
Economic unions
Description
f.
Components
Balance of payments
Consumers
g. Influenced by
Firms
Govt
World Bank
IMF
WTO
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a.
Distinguish
Functions
b. FOREX market
Participants
e. Currency cross-rates
International trade
Capital flows
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CFALEVEL1 STUDYSESSION7,8,9,10
FRA
Role of FiR
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of an entity that is useful to a wide range of users in making economic decisions
Changes in fin position Use info in a company's Fin Statements Use other relevant info To evaluate past, current, and prospective performance and fin position Invest in securities To make economic decisions. E.g.: Recommend to investors Whether to extend trade, bank credit Analysts: form opinions about company's ability to earn profits and generate CF
Roles of FSA
b. Role of key FS
CF statement
accounting methods, assumptions, estimates acquisitions or disposals legal actions employee benefit plans contingencies and commitments significant customers sales to related parties segments of firm
FS notes (footnotes)
Additional items:
are audited Supplementary schedules not audited operating income or sales by region or business segments reserves for an oil and gas company info about hedging activities and financial instruments
c. Importance of
assessment of financial performance and condition of a company from the perspective of its management Results from operations, with trends in sales and expenses Publicly held companies in US Capital resources and liquidity, with trends in CF General business overview discuss accounting policies that require significant judgements by management discuss significant effects of trends, events, uncertainties liquidity and capital resource issues, transactions or events with liquidity implications Discontinued operations, extraordinary items, unusual or infrequent events Extensive disclosures in interim financial statements disclosure of a segment's need for CF or its contribution to revenues or profit
= independent review of an entity's FS objective: auditor's opinion on fairness and reliability of FS, "no material errors" Independent review though FS prepared by mgmt and are its responsibility 3 parts Reasonable assurance of no material errors (follow generally accepted auditing standards) FS prepared in accordance with accepted accounting principles, reasonable accounting principles and estimates, consistency Explanatory paragraph: when a material loss is probable but amount cannot be reasonably estimated. Uncertainties may relate to the going concern assumption --> signal serious problems and need close examination by analyst (under US GAAP): Opinion on internal controls Unqualified opinion: auditor believes statements are free from material omissions and errors 3 types of Opinions Qualified opinion: if statements make any exceptions to accounting principles --> explain these exceptions Adverse opinion: if statements are not presented fairly or are materially nonconforming with accounting standards
d. Audits of FS
Quarterly or Semiannual reports (update FS and footnotes, but not audited) from EDGAR to shareholders when there are matters that require a shareholder vote
Proxy statements
About election of board members, compensation, management and qualifications and issuance of stock options Corporate reports and press releases Viewed as PR or sales materials
State the objective and context Gather data Process data Analyze and interpret data Report the conclusions or recommendations Update the analysis
Assets Liabilities
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5 Elements
Basic form
b. Accounting equation
Extended forms
c. Recording process
Unearned revenue
Accruals
Other adjustments
Historical vs Current costs --> Valuation adjustments --> income statement or in "other comprehensive income
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a.
Importance of reporting standards in security analysis and valuation Of standard-setting bodies (establishing standards)
IASB (International Accounting Standards Board) US FASB (Financial Accounting Standards Board)
b. Role
IOSCO (International Organization of Securities Commissions) UK FSA- Financial Services Authority US SEC- Securities and Exchange Commission
a
disagree standard setting bodies regulatory authorities
c.
political pressures from business groups and others Objective of financial statements Understandability Comparability Qualitative characteristics Relevance consistent among firms and time periods info timely and sufficiently detailed -> influence decision faithful representation substance over form neutrality prudence and conservatism in estimates completeness
Reliability
d. IFRS framework
assets, liabilities, equity, income, expenses Historical cost: amount originally paid for the asset Current cost: would have to pay today for the same asset Realizable value: amount for which firm could sell the asset Present value: discounted future cash flows Fair value: 2 parties in an arm's length transaction would exchange the asset
Measurement bases
Constraints
reliability and relevance (timely) cost Intangible and non-quantifiable info Accrual basis Going concern Required financial statements BS, IS, CFS, OE, Explanatory notes (incl. accounting policies)
Assumptions
Fair presentation Principles for PREPARING Going concern basis Accrual basis Consistency Materiality Aggregation Principles for PRESENTING No offsetting Classified balance sheet Minimum information is required Comparative information Purpose of framework IASB requires mgmt to consider the framework if no explicit standard exists IASB same objective FASB different objectives for biz and non-biz Assumptions Qualitative characteristics IASB emphasizes going concern FASB: relevance, reliability IASB: comparability, understandability also
Primary characteristics
IASB: income+expenses Performance FASB: Revenues, Expenses, Gains, Losses, comprehensive income IASB: resource from which future economic benefit is expected FASB: future economic benefit "Probable" IASB: define criteria for recognition FASB: define assets and liabilities IASB: allow FASB: not allow
Asset definition
Values of assets to be adjusted upward Reconciliation statement Characteristics of a coherent financial reporting framework Transparency Comprehensiveness Consistency Valuation Barriers to creating a coherent financial reporting framework
IFRS relies on broad framework FASB in the past specific guidance how to classify trx FASB moving now blend the other two
g.
www.iasb.org www.fasb.org
standard does not apply will not affect the FS materially are still evaluating the effects of the new standards
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a
a. IS
Accrual accounting
FASB evidence of arrangement btw buyer and seller SEC product delivered or service rendered price is determined or determinable seller reasonably sure of collecting money
Not reasonably estimated collectibility -> installment method Highly uncertain collectibility -> cost recovery method Round trip transactions primary obligator bear inventory & credit risk ability to choose supplier reasonable latitude to establish prices
Gross revenue reporting (vs. net revenue reporting) Implications for Financial Analysis
d. Expense recognition
Discontinued operations Nonrecurring items Unusual or infrequent items Extraordinary items Changes in accounting standards Change in accounting principle Change in accounting estimate Prior-period adjustment
Operating components
f. Distinguish
Nonoperating components
Capital structure
Simple Complex
Basic EPS
g. EPS
Diluted EPS
h.
Formula:
Assets
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a. Elements
Liabilities Equity
2 common formats
c. Formats of BS
Current assets Current vs.non current Current liabilities Non current assets Non current liabilities Liquidity-based presentation Reporting noncontrolling/ minority interest
d. Classifying
Historical cost Bases Fair value Replacement cost PV of future CF Cash and cash equivalent Account receivable Current assets lower of cost or net realizable value Inventories standard costing retail method Marketable securities Prepaid expenses and others Accounts payable
Note payables Current portion of long term debt Tax payables Accrued liabilities Unearned revenue/income Tangible assets Used in operations Not used in operation -> investment assets Identifiable (finite period) -> amortized Intangible assets Unidentifiable (infinite) -> not amortized, but tested for impairment at least annually Internally produced -> not recorded, except legal costs Goodwill
Non-current assets
f. Components of OE
BS
g. Analyse
Statement of changes in OE
The CF statement
CFO CFI
Page 39
a
affect Net Income affect Long term assets and certain investments affect capital structure
a.
CFF
dividends paid
interest paid
taxes paid
Direct
Indirect
Revenue Total cash inflow (for inflows) and Total cash outflow (for outflows)
to Firm: FCFF=NI+NCC+Int*(1-t)-FCInv-WCInv=CFO+Int*(1-t)-FCInv to Equity: FCFE=CFO-FCInv+NetBorrowing CF to revenue =CFO/net revenue =CFO/average total assets =CFO/average total equity
available to
Cash return-on-asset Performance ratios Cash return-on-equity Cash-to-income Cash flow per share CF ratios Debt coverage Interest coverage Reinvestment ratio Coverage ratios Debt payment ratio Dividend payment Investing and financing ratio
i.
=CFO/Total debt =(CFO+Interest paid+taxes paid)/interest paid =CFO/cash paid for long term assets =CFO/cash long term debt repayment =CFO/dividends paid =CFO/cash outflows from investing and financing activities
Page 40
Page 41
Ratio analysis Common size Vertical Horizontal Charts: stacked column graph, line graph Balance sheet Income statement
Page 42
a. Analyses
Receivables management
Receivables T.O = annual sales/average receivables Days of sales outstanding or average collection period = 365/ receivables T.O Inventory T.O = COGS/average inventory Days of inventory on hand = 365/inventory T.O Payables T.O = purchases/average trade payables Number of days of payables = 365/payables T.O Total asset T.O = revenue/average total assets Fixed asset T.O = revenue/average net fixed assets Working capital T.O = revenue/average working capital
Inventory management
Activity
Trade credit management Total assets management Fixed assets management Working capital management
Current ratio = current assets/current liabilities Quick ratio = (cash + marketable securities + receivables)/current liabilities
Liquidity
Cash ratio= (cash + marketable securities)/ current liabilities Defensive interval= (cash + marketable securities + receivables)/ average daily expenditures Cash conversion cycle = days sales outstanding + days of inventory on hand - number of days of payables
Solvency
Ability to repay debt obligations
Financial leverage = A/E Interest coverage = EBIT/Interest payments Fixed charge coverage= (EBIT + lease payments) / (interest payments+lease payments)
Gross profit margin= (Net sales - COGS)/ Revenue Operating profitability Operating profit margin = EBIT/ Revenue Pretax margin= EBT/ Revenue
Profitability
Profitability relative to funds
ROA
Formula 1: ROA= Net income/ Average total assets Formula 2: ROA= (Net income + int exp (1- tax rate))/ Average total assets
Operating ROA = EBIT / Average total assets ROTC (Return on Total Capital) = EBIT/ Average total capital ROE = Net income/ Average total equity Return on common equity = (Net income - preferred dividends)/ Average common equity
Sales per share, EPS, P/CF ... (in Equity study section)
Original approach
d. DuPont analysis
Extended (5-way) DuPont
Valuation ratios Dividends and Retention Rate Net income per employee and Sales per employee Industry-specific ratios Growth in same-store sales Sales per square foot Equity analysis Business risk Revenue Coefficients of variation of Operating income Net income for service and consulting firms for restaurants and retail industries
e. Ratios used in
Capital adequacy VaR For Banks, Insurance companies, financial firms Reserve requirements Liquid asset requirement Net interest margin Credit analysis Ratios: interest coverage ratios, return on capital, debt-to-assets, CF to total debt ... Altman Z-score Business segment Segment analysis Geographic segment
Using ratio analysis Using techniques: sensitivity analysis, scenario analysis, simulation
Page 43
BALANCE SHEET
Cash Account receivable Inventory Total current assets Net PPE Total assets Account payable Short-term debt Long-term debt Equity Total liabilities+equity 10 days 7 days on credit 5 days in store 105 70 25 200 300 500 50 150 300 500 1.4% 8.2% 2.9%
Page 44
Inventory cost flow methods Inventory valuation methods IFRS-> Lower of cost or NRV US GAAP -> LCM=lower of cost or market ending = beginning + purchases - COGS
Inventory accounting
a
product cost --> capitalized period cost --> expensed
Specification Indication
Periodic
d. Inventory systems
Perpetual
29. Inventories
e. Effects of different inventory accounting methods on
COGS Inventory balances Other FS items: taxes , net income , working capital , cash flows
IFRS GAAP
f. Inventory reporting
Exception
Commodity-like products
Profitability
Page 45
Financial ratios
Interest incurred during construction --> capitalize What interest rate to use?
i/r on debt related to construction if no construction debt outstanding-> based on existing unrelated borrowings Interest costs in excess of project construction -> expensed
reported in FSs
Unidentifiable: Goodwill
IFRS: R&D anything Created internally --> EXPENSED except for Identifiable
R: Expense D: Capitalise
Software for sale --> similar to IFRS Software for use Before technical feasibility: expense After technical feasibility: capitalize Capitalize all
b. Intangible assets
Purchased externally --> CAPITALIZED (asset at cost) USGAAP --> expense Obtained in business acquisition IFRS --> not expense
Page 46
Carrying Value (or Book value)
c1. Concepts
SL (Straight Line) depr=2/n* book value Accelerated depreciation DDB (Double Declining Balance) or final year: depr=book value - salvage Units-of-production
d. Depreciation methods
Component depreciation
Cost model
g. IFRS
Reversal of previous loss --> gain in IS Above historical cost --> revaluation surplus in equity
IFRS
Recoverable amount = max (value in use, fair value - selling cost) If carrying value > recoverable amount --> impair
Step 1: Recoverability test US GAAP Tangible assets Step 2: Loss measurement Intangible assets
h. Impairment
Abandoned --> no proceeds, loss=carrying value Exchange --> equivalent to sell and buy another
IFRS US GAAP
Taxable income Taxes payable TAX RETURN Income tax paid current tax expense actual cash flow =past or current loss --> create DTA
Page 47
Tax base = net amount of asset/liability used for tax reporting purposes Accounting profit Income tax expense FINANCIAL REPORTING DTL Income before tax Earnings before tax =Taxes payable + change in DTL - change in DTA
a. Terminology
= Income tax expense - Taxes payable Cause: depreciation =Taxes payable - income tax expense Causes: Warranty expenses, Tax-loss carry forwards
DTA
Valuation allowance: contra account to DTA Carrying value = net balance sheet value of asset/liability Permanent difference vs. Temporary difference DTL Revenues/Gains recognized in IS before in tax return Expenses/Losses tax deductible before recognized in IS (depreciation) Revenues/Gains taxable before recognized in IS
b.
DTA
Expenses/Losses recognized in IS before tax deductible (warranty expenses, post-employment benefits) Tax loss carryforwards
Treatment for analytical purpose: DTL not expected to reverse --> equity Definition Assets Examples Definition Liabilities Examples Customer advance Warranty liability Note payable Depreciable equipment R&D AR
c. Tax base of
d. Calculation
Adjustment to FS =Taxes payable + change in DTL - change in DTA
Impact on FS and ratios Temporary differences between tax base and carrying value will reverse result in DTA or DTL
f. Differences
Permanent differences
between taxable income and pretax income not reverse makes effective tax rate different from statutory tax rate >50% probability effective tax rate = income tax expense / pretax income
LIFO, FIFO Post-employment benefits and deferred compensation --> DTA Unrealized gains/losses on available-for-sale marketable securities
Page 48
Bond terminology a
BS
IS
CF
Premium bond
Amortization methods
IFRS: effective interest rate method US GAAP prefers: effective interest rate method allows: straight line depreciation
Issuance costs
IFRS: increase liability --> increase effective i/r US GAAP: capitalize as an asset (prepaid exp.)
c. Derecognition of debt
d. Debt covenants
Page 49
Less costly financing
Reduced risk of obsolescence Less restrictive provisions OBS financing Tax reporting advantages
Operating lease Transfer of title US GAAP: If meets one of the criteria Bargain purchase option Lease period >=75% economic life PV(lease pmts)>=90% fair value
Lessee
g. Types of lease
IFRS: similar to US GAAP but less specific, with 1 additional criterion: leased asset is specialized collectability of lease payments is reasonably certain lessor has substantially completed performance
Lessor
IFRS: like lessee with added condition: substantially all rights & risks of ownership are transferred to lessee
Operating lease
Finance lease
Finance lease
i. Disclosures of lease
Defined contribution Service cost j. Two types Interest cost Defined benefit Expected return on plan assets Actuarial G/L Prior service costs k. Presentation & disclosure
Pension Plans
Page 50
Meet earnings expectations overreport earnings Lending covenants Incentive compensation Trade relief (quotas, tariffs) underreport earnings
a. Incentives to
Negotiable favorable terms from creditors Negotiable favorable terms from labor contracts More solvent
Manage the BS
Structuring transactions --> achieve desired outcomes Aggressive unrealistic assumptions, estimates Exploit intent of an accounting principle: apply narrow rule to broad range of transactions
=motives Threats to financial stability or profitability Incentives or pressure risk factors Excessive third-party pressures Personal net worth of mgmt or BOD is threatened Excessive pressure to meet internal financial goals =weakness in internal control Nature of the firm's industry or operations Opportunity Ineffective mgmt monitoring Complex or unstable organizational structure Deficient internal control
33. Financial Reporting Quality: Red Flags And Accounting Warning Signs
risk factors
c. "Fraud triangle"
=mindset that fraudulent behavior is justified Inappropriate ethical standards Excessive participation by nonfinancial mgmt in the selection of accounting standards Attitudes or rationalization risk factors Known history of violations by mgmt or board members Obsession with increasing firm's stock price or earnings trend Commitments to third parties Failing to correct known reportable conditions Inappropriately minimizing earnings for tax purposes Use of materiality as a basis to justify inappropriate or questionable accounting methods Strained relationship between mgmt & auditor
Aggressive revenue recognition CFO growth rate # Earnings growth rate Abnormal sales growth as compared to economy, industry or peers Abnormal inventory growth as compared to sales growth Boosting revenue with nonoperating income and nonrecurring gains Delaying expense recognition
Abnormal use of operating leases by lessees Hiding expenses by classifying them as extraordinary or nonrecurring LIFO liquidations Abnormal gross margin & operating margin as compared to industry peers Extending the useful lives of LT assets Aggressive pension assumptions Year-end surprises Equity method investments & OBS special purpose entities Other OBS financing arrangements including debt guarantees
Page 51
Page 52
Page 53
CFALEVEL1 STUDYSESSION11
CORPORATE FINANCE
Step 1: Idea generation Step 2: Analyzing project proposal Step 3: Create firm-wide capital budget Step 4: Monitoring decisions and conducting a post audit Replacement To maintain business For cost reduction
Page 54
a.
Project Categories
Expansion New product/market development Mandatory Other pet project high risk (R&D)
Base on incremental CF
# accounting income sunk cost --> exclude ! externalities Cannibalization --> include !
b. Basic principles
Opportunity cost --> include ! Timing of CF is important After tax basis Financing costs Exclude ! because Reflected in required rate of return
c. Interactions
NPV
IRR
d. Methods
Payback period
PI
e.
Conflicting project rankings Problems with IRR Multiple IRR and No IRR problems
Location
Europe: PP more than IRR and NPV Larger: NPV, IRR Private: PP Public: NPV, IRR More educated -> NPV, IRR
Company Size
Public vs Private
Management education
Page 55
Discount rate
MCC
k. MCC schedule
Incorrect
Correct
Page 56
Leverage or Gearing
Business risk
a. Define
a
Financial risk <-- financial leverage
DOL
b. Calculate
DFL
DTL
Page 57
Regular dividends Cash dividends Extra/ Irregular/ Special dividends Liquidating dividends
a. Explain
if after-tax borrowing cost > earnings yield if after-tax borrowing cost < earnings yield
Page 58
Cash balances (selling goods, collecting receivables, from short term investments) Primary sources Sources of liquidity Secondary sources Short term funding (trade credit from vendors, lines of credit from banks) Effective CF management Liquidating assets (short term or long lived) Renegotiating debt agreements Filing for bankruptcy Reorganizing company Factors that influence company's liquidity position Drags on liquidity: delay/reduce cash inflows or increase borrowing cost Pulls on liquidity: accelerate cash outflows Current ratio = CA/CL Quick ratio = (Cash + ST marketable securities + Receivables) / CL Receivables Receivables turnover = Credit sales/receivables Number of days of receivables = =365/receivable turnover
a.
b. Liquidity measures
Inventory
Payables
Payables turnover ratio = purchases/average trade payable Number of days of payables = 365/payables turnover
Operating cycle
US T bills
d. Tools to manage net daily cash position (more details in Fixed Income)
Short term federal agency securities Bank CD Banker's acceptances Time deposits Repurchase agreements Commercial paper MM mutual funds Adjustable- rate preferred stock % discount
Discount basis yield Money market yield Bond equivalent yield Purpose and objective Guidelines Who does that Responsibilities Steps to make investment Limitations and constraints aging schedule
Receivables weighted average collection period Inventory Accounts payable 2/10 net 60 Trade credit Cost of trade credit Number of days of payables Uncommitted line of credit Lines of credit Committed (regular) line of credit (overdraft) Revolving line of credit From banks Fixed assets Inventory Account receivables Blanket lien
f. Evaluate performance of
Short term bank loans, collateralized by Banker's acceptances Factoring Non bank
Page 59
economic cycles regression analysis of GDP growth and sales growth seasonality new product introductions specific events changes in regulation competing products
pay down debt entirely reduce L+E pay down debt + buy back common stocks L+E > A --> surplus
Reconcile IS and BS
increase A L+E < A --> deficit CAPEX
Page 60
INCOME STATEMENT
Sales Cost of goods sold SG&A Interest expense Nonoperating income Earnings before tax Income tax Net income Dividends Increase/Decrease in Retained earnings
BALANCE SHEET
Current assets Net PPE Total assets Current liabilities Long-term debt Common stock Retained earnings Total liabilities+equity 100 900 1,000 100 500 100 300 1,000 20.0% 20.0% 180.0% (assume full capacity) 200 1,800 2,000 200 500 100 650 1,450
Page 61
a. Corporate governance
Majority of BOD is independent Meets regularly outside the presence of management Chairman of BOD should not be CEO or former CEO otherwise, independent board members should have a primary or leading board member
Board members should not be closely aligned with supplier, customer, share-option plan, pension adviser b. Independence Able to hire external consultants without management approval firm & subsidiaries, former employees, executives & their families Individuals or groups with a controlling interest c. Define "independence" no material relationship with Executive management & their families Firm's advisers, auditors & their families Entity with a cross directorship with the firm b. Frequency of Board Elections annual, not 2-3 years, not staggered (classified)
Effective BOD
Skills, experience, qualifications Care & competence d. Experience Ethical stances Other board experience Regularly attend meetings If served on the board for more than 10 years --> not very independent c. Resources
Audit Committee
set executive compensation, commensurate with responsibilities and performance make sure independence link compensation to firm performance and profitability
e. Board committees
Nominations Committee
f2. Related party transactions and personal use of company assets --> should discourage:
Finder's fees for identifying M&A targets Other compensation Related party transactions Personal use of company's assets
Confidential voting Voting Rules Cumulative voting Voting for other corporate changes
Shareowner-sponsored proposals
proxy statement
Shareowner-sponsored resolutions
g. Evaluate policies
Shareowner Legal Rights Golden parachutes Takeover defenses Poison pills Greenmail
Page 62
CFALEVEL1 STUDYSESSION12
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
Page 63
DC pension plans DB pension plans Endowment Foundation Bank Insurance companies Investment companies/ Mutual funds Sovereign wealth funds
b. Types of investors
Institutional investors
Planning step
c. Steps in PM process
What is it?
2 categories
Money market funds Types Bond mutual funds Stock mutual funds Index funds Actively managed funds
ETF Separately managed account Long/Short funds Equity market-neutral funds Long bias, Short bias
Hedge funds
Strategies
Event-driven funds Fixed income arbitrage funds Convertible bond arbitrage funds Global macro funds
Page 64
Gross return Pretax nominal return Other return measures After tax nominal return Real return Leveraged return
Asset classes with greatest average return also have highest standard deviation
Real return much more stable than nominal returns Returns distributions are negatively skewed greater kurtosis (fatter tails than normal distribution)
Mean Variance
c. Calculate
Covariance Correlation
d. Risk aversion
g. Interpret
Investor's utility
Page 65
Return =
Standard deviation =
b.
CML (Capital Market Line)
Systematic
c. Risks
Nonsystematic
Macroeconomic Types of Factors Fundamental Statistical Multifactor models Formula with k factors Factor sensitivity of Factor loading Firm size, Firm B/P, Rm-Rf
Carhart suggest 4th factor: prior period returns --> to measure price momentum Market model
e. Calculate Beta
Page 66
Description of Client
Statement of the purpose of the IPS Statement of duties & responsibilities of Investment manager Custodian of assets Client Procedures to update IPS & to respond to various possible situations Forms Absolute Relative Ability Willingness
c. Investment objectives
(derived from communications with the client)
Liquidity
e. Investment constraints
Investment guidelines (how the policy will be executed, asset types permitted, leverage) Evaluation of performance (e.g..: benchmark) Correlations within a class should be very high Correlations between classes should be low Equities
Appendices
f. Asset classes
Categories
Bonds Cash Real estate Alternative Hedge funds, PE funds, commodity funds, artwork, intellectual property rights
Tactical asset allocation (deviate from strategic asset allocation) Rebalancing: how & when
Identify investable asset classes Strategic asset allocation Principles of portfolio construction Tactical asset allocation Risk, Return, Correlation Efficient frontier Identify portfolio which best meets risk & requirement of investor (based on IPS) to take advantage of perceived short term opportunities success depends on manager's ability to identify short term opportunities the existence of such short term opportunities manager's skill opportunities (mispricing or inefficiencies)
g.
Security selection Risk budgeting Role of asset allocation success depends on
Page 67
EQUITY
Saving Borrowing Allow entities to Issuing equity Risk management Exchanging assets Utilizing information Supply & demand determine returns (i/r) Allocate capital to most efficient uses Equilibrium interest rate
Page 68
a
Financial vs. Real assets Public vs. Private securities Debt vs. Equity vs. Derivative Common stock Equity Preferred stock Warrants Fixed income Securities Convertible debt Mutual funds ETFs and ETNs (depositories) ABS Hedge funds Currencies Forward, Futures, Swap, Option Contracts Commodities Real assets Insurance Credit default swap
c. Asset classes
Spot vs. Derivative markets IPO vs. Secondary issues (or seasoned offerings) Primary market Public offerings vs Private placements & other transactions Securities trade after initial offerings provide liquidity
Secondary market--> importance: Money vs. Capital markets Traditional investment market (debt, equity) vs. Alternative market (hedge funds, commodities, real estate...) Trades occur at specific times
All trades, bids, asks are declared, and then one negotiated price is set to clear the market for the stock
Call market
Traders/investors indicate their bids and asks NOT a dealer or quote-driven market in smaller markets used to set opening prices and prices after trading halts on major exchanges Trade occur any time the market is open
j1. Distinguish
Continuous market
Price is set by
j2. Distinguish
Order-driven markets (rules are used to match buyers & sellers) Brokered markets
Block brokers Investment banks Exchanges Alternative trading systems (ATS) Dealers
d. Financial intermediaries
Securitizers Depository institutions Insurance companies Arbitrageurs Clearinghouses and Custodians Clearinghouses Custodians
Long position
Page 69
e. Positions
The investor pays for the stock with some cash and borrow the rest through the broker The broker keeps the stock as collateral Leverage ratio Margin lending rate The proportion of total transaction value that must be paid in cash Initial margin (IM) Maintenance margin (MM) -->margin call
f. Margin transaction
Margin requirement
Bid-ask Market order Limit order Execution instructions All-or-nothing order Hidden order Iceberg order Stop order Stop loss orders To prevent losses or To protect profits
g,h.
day order Validity instructions
good-till-cancelled immediate or cancel order (fill or kill order) good-on-close order market-on-close order
Commissions Operationally efficient low trading costs Bid-ask spreads Price impact Prices that rapidly adjust to new info The prevailing price is fair since it reflects all available info regarding the asset Investors can save at fair rates of return Creditworthy borrowers can obtain funds Hedgers can manage risks Traders can obtain assets they need Having financial intermediaries that
Informationally efficient
Consequences
liquidity declines, firms shun risky projects, new ideas go unfunded, economic growth slows
Require minimum standards of competency and make it easier for investors to evaluate performance Prevent insiders from exploiting other investors Financial reporting requirements Require minimum levels of capital
Page 70
Value
arithmetic average
=sum of stock prices / number of stocks adjusted for splits -->Index movements are influenced by the differential prices of the components
A percentage change in a high-priced stock will have a relatively greater effect on the index 30 stocks arithmetic 2 major indexes DJIA criticisms limited number of stock downward bias large growing firms --> splits --> lose weights
Nikkei Dow Jones Stock Average arithmetic average return of the index stocks
225 stocks
equivalent to a portfolio that has equal dollar amounts invested in each stock in the index The Value Line (VL) Composite average Examples Financial Times Ordinary Share Index 30 stocks on LSE 1695 stock returns
= Criticism: large company has greater impact Float-adjusted market cap- weighted index
Page 71
Measure of market return and risk Measure of beta and risk-adjusted return Model portfolio for index funds
Characteristics
Sectors, geographic regions, levels of country economic development, type of issuers or collateral, coupon, maturity, default risk, inflation protection Broad market indexes, sector indexes, style indexes & other specialized indexes
Commodity indexes
Page 72
a. Concepts a
Market value
b. Distinguish
Intrinsic value
Weak form
d. Forms of EMH
Fundamental analysis
January effect (or turn-of-the-year effect) Turn-of-the-month effect Anomalies in Time-series data Calendar anomalies Day-of-the-week effect Weekend effect Holiday effect Overreaction and momentum anomalies
Other anomalies
g. Behavioral finance
Page 73
Common shares Callable common shares
a
Putable common shares
a. Characteristics of
b. Equity classes
Public equity securities Characteristics Private equity securities 3 main types Venture capital Leveraged buyouts (LBO) Private investment in public equity (PIPE)
c. Distinguish
Direct investing
Global depository receipts (GDRs) American depository receipts (ADRs) Global registered shares (GRS) Basket of listed depository receipts (BLDR)
f. Role of equity securities in financing company's assets & creating company value
g. Distinguish
Company's accounting ROE = Company's cost of equity rate of return required by investors
h. Contrast
Investors' required rates of return depends on estimates of firm's future CF & risk
Page 74
a. Industry analysis
Grouping companies by
different sectors Cyclical Non-cyclical firms with highly correlated returns --> same group Limitations GICS Systems RGS Industry Classification Benchmark by DJ & FTSE Basic material and processing firms
b. Industry classification
Consumer discretionary Consumer staples Energy Financial services Industrial and producer durables Technology Telecommunications United Nations
Government classifications
European Community Australia & New Zealand North America (US, Canada, Mexico)
d. Peer group
Slow growth Embryonic stage High prices Large investment required High risk of failure Rapid growth Growth stage Limited competitive pressures Falling prices Increasing profitability Growth has slowed Intense competition Increasing industry overcapacity Declining profitability Increased cost cutting Increased failures Slow growth Consolidation Mature stage High barriers to entry Stable pricing Superior firms gain market share Negative growth Decline stage Declining prices Consolidation
Page 75
Shakeout stage
Industry concentration
Financial condition Analyze Products and services Competitive strategy Should include
ROE (DuPont)
Firm overview, Industry characteristics, Product demand, Product costs, Pricing environment, Financial ratios, Projected financial statements and firm valuation
Page 76
Confidence about valuation model Confidence about the inputs Why stock is mispriced If market price will move toward intrinsic value
c. Rationale
d. Preferred stock
e. Common stock
Advantages Disadvantages
Advantages
k.
Disadvantages
Explain
j. Assetbased models
Advantages
k.
Disadvantages
Page 77
FIXED INCOME
Page 78
a. Bond's indenture
Covenants
Negative Affirmative
Basic features of a bond Zero coupon Coupon rate structures Step-up notes Deferred coupon bonds
b.
Floating-rate securities
Amortizing securities
Prepayment options
Call provisions
Nonrefundable bonds
Redemption price
Regular Special
e. Embedded options
Margin buying
Repo
Interest rate risk Yield curve risk Call risk Prepayment risk Coupon Reinvestment risk i. Factors affecting reinvestment risk Call feature Amortizing Prepayment option
Page 79
Default risk Credit risk j. Forms Credit spread risk Downgrade risk j. Meaning and role of credit rating
a,i,j,k,l,m,n,o. Risks
Liquidity risk
l. Exchange-rate risk m. Inflation risk n. Volatility risk Disaster o. Event risk Corporate restructuring Regulatory issues Sovereign risk
b. Relations among
Call Put
Less certain CF- call risk/prepayment risk Reinvestment risk Potential price appreciation < option free securities
f,g. Duration
g. Duration and Yield curve risk for a portfolio of bonds
Page 80
Regular cycle auction- single price Distribution methods Regular cycle auction- multiple price Ad hoc auction system Tap system
T-bills
TREASURIES
Instruments T- notes T- bonds TIPS
On-the-run Off-the-run
Ginnie Mae (Government National Mortgage Association) TVA (Tennessee Valley Authority)
GSEs (Government Sponsored Enterprises) (privately owned, publicly chartered) (commonly issue debentures)
Federal Farm Credit System Federal home Loan Bank System Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) Federal Home Loan Bank Corporation (Freddie Mac) Student Loan Marketing Association (Sallie Mae)
AGENCY BONDS
CF
Instruments
Mortgage passthrough security Tranche I 3 tranches CMOs (Collateralized mortgage obligations) Tranche II Tranche III f. Motivation for creating CMO Stripped mortgage-backed securities
Tax
Page 81
Tax- backed bonds or GO (General Obligation) bonds Instruments Revenue bonds Insured bonds Prerefunded bonds
Unlimited tax GO debt Double-barreled bonds Appropriation-backed obligations (or Moral obligation bonds)
Credit enhancements
Shelf registration (sold over time) Maturity ranges Best effort underwriting
= typical bond + derivative Purpose: get around restrictions Step-up notes Structured notes Inverse floaters Structured medium term notes Deleveraged floaters Dual-indexed floaters Range notes Index amortizing notes
Instruments
Commercial paper
Negotiable CDs Bankers Acceptances Role of a SPV i. Asset-backed securities Motivation External credit enhancements Corporate guarantees LC Bond insurance j. CDO (Collateralized debt obligation)
k. Bonds
Page 82
Discount rate OMO Banks borrow reserves from Fed
Flat Humped
Pure expectation
e. Measures
Issue size
h. Liquidity spread
Maturity spread
i. Tax
j. LIBOR
Page 83
1. Estimate CFs
Coupons Principal
Defaults and potential credit problems Embedded options -> uncertain principal repayment
c.
Price-yield profile
Page 84
Coupons
Current yield
d. Calculate BEY and EAY Assumptions CF will be reinvested at YTM Bond will be held till maturity Reinvestment income YTM Limitations
c. Reinvestment
BEY
Yield to call
Yield to worst
Yield to refunding
YTP
CFY
f. Spreads
Option-adjusted spread (OAS) OAS = Z spread - Option cost
Page 85
Option-free bonds
Callable bonds
Prepayable bonds
Putable bonds
Macaulay duration
Modified duration
Duration
f. Interpreting duration
=
g. Portfolio duration
Limitations
j. PVBP
Relationship to duration
What is it? Positive Negative Relation to bond price and yield h. Calculation Modified convexity Effective convexity
Can be
c,h,i. Convexity
i. Types
Page 86
CFALEVEL1 STUDYSESSION17
DERIVATIVES
Page 87
Derivative
a.
b.
Calls Contingent claim Options Puts Convertible, callable bonds
Criticisms
c. Derivative markets
Purposes -
d. Arbitrage
2 securities with uncertain returns combined in a portfolio
Page 88
Long position
a. Positions
Short position
Settling
b. Settling Basics
Terminating a position prior to expiration with same party (offsetting) with other party
Dealer
c. Parties
Corporations End user Gov. units Non-profit
Single stocks
61. Forward
Quote: yield to maturity Exclusive of accrued interest Include provisions for default, embedded options Can be on individual or portfolio of bonds
Large banks outside of US Denominated in U$ Published daily by British Banker's Association Eurodollar time deposit Compiled from quotes from large banks E.g..: LIBOR Annualized 360-day/year Add-on rate (# T-bill) = reference/benchmark rate
e. Rates
Euribor
Formula:
g. Payoff of an FRA
Term of FRA # Term of loan Quote E.g.: 2x5 FRA Off-the-run FRA
Page 89
Similar to forward
Futures : exchange- traded >< Forwards are private, do NOT trade Futures are highly standardized >< Forwards are customized Futures: clearinghouse as counterparty --> reduce credit risk Futures market regulated by government
Quality, Quantity, Delivery time, manner, minimum price fluctuation Uniformity promotes market liquidity
# margins in securities markets Initial margin Types of margins Maintenance margin Variation margin Settlement price How a futures trade takes place
c. Margins
Price limits
62. Futures
d.
Marking to market
adjust margin balance on daily basis (or more frequent in chaotic situations)
e. Terminate a futures
Ex-pit transactions
For short position What (T-bonds), where (gold, corn), when to deliver
T-bill futures
Eurodollar futures
f.
T-bond futures
Currency futures
Page 90
a. Options characteristics
In-the-money
c. Moneyness
Out-of-the-money At-the-money
e. Underlying instruments
Cap
Floor Collar
Page 91
a
for a stock option
h. Option payoffs
Intrinsic value
i. Option value =
+ Time value
Put-Call parity
Lower bounds
Page 92
Characteristics
a
Mutual termination
a.
64. Swap
Currency swaps
b.
Equity swaps
Page 93
a
Value at expiration Profit Maximum profit/loss
Breakeven underlying price General shape of the graph Market outlook of investors
Page 94
CFALEVEL1 STUDYSESSION18
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
Page 95
Style Sector
b. Strategies
Definition
mimic an index
In-kind process
Advantages
price tax
Diversification
Exchange traded Better risk management Composition is known Operating expense ratio No trading at a discount or premium Tax
b,c,d. ETF
Dividend Few indices Disadvantages Intraday trade Inefficient markets Larger investors Market risk Asset class/ sector risk Risks Trading prices # NAV (depth and liquidity) Tracking errors Derivative risks --> credit risk Currency and country risks
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a
Types
Characteristics
Cost method
Income method
Seed stage
R&D
Start-up financing
Initial marketing
Stages
Balanced stage
Commercial production
Later stage
Major expansion
IPO
Difficulty in valuation Limited data Characteristics Entrepreneurial / Management mismatches Fund Manager incentive mistakes Timing in the business cycle Requirement for extensive operations analysis i. NPV of a venture capital project
Absolute return Limited partnership Forms Limited liability corporation Offshore corporation Long/short funds Classifications Market-neutral funds Global macro funds Event- driven funds Leverage Illiquidity Potential for mispricing
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j. Hedge fund
l.
Unique risks
Performance Self-selection bias Backfilling bias Survivorship bias Smoothed pricing Option-like strategies Fee structures and gaming Effect of survivorship bias
m.
Biases
o. Valuation methods
describe
compare with VC
q,r Commodities
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Contango Backwardation
Active investment