Tata Motors Valuation
Tata Motors Valuation
Tata Motors Valuation
Reference Items
EBITDA 154699.7 200382.5 224942.3
Trailing 12M EBITDA Margin 12.8967 12.309 12.169
Interest Received 3136.4 4672.5 7128.9
Net Cash Paid for Acquisitions 704.2 3043.3 0
Free Cash Flow 10585.6 16726.6 -5579.8
Free Cash Flow to Firm 25767.7187 15116.716
Free Cash Flow to Equity -411 142176.9 69471.7
Free Cash Flow per Basic Share 3.5081 5.2149 -1.7317
Price to Free Cash Flow 70.4147 52.2216
Cash Flow to Net Income 0.9902 1.1503 1.8503
Source: Bloomberg
FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 Last 12M
03/31/2014 03/31/2015 03/31/2016 03/31/2017 03/31/2017
Reference Items
Accounting Standard IN GAAP IN GAAP IN GAAP
Shares Outstanding 3207.1037 3207.5855 3224.3324
Number of Treasury Shares 0 0 0
Pension Obligations 0 0 0
Future Minimum Operating Lease Obligations 2556.4 3924 3809.9
Capital Leases - Total 189.1 464.3 505.5
Percent Of Foreign Ownership 44.67 44.53 17.5
Number Of Shareholders 359185 448876 457954
Options Granted During Period 0
Options Outstanding at Period End 0
Net Debt 260440 271920.3 307556.3
Net Debt to Equity 134.1225 82.386 80.9193
Tangible Common Equity Ratio -3.3171 2.2917 0.5589
Current Ratio 0.7635 0.8798 0.8568
Cash Conversion Cycle -18.9644 -17.5005 -28.8317
Number of Employees 52244 58618 62716
FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017
03/31/2014 03/31/2015 03/31/2016 03/31/2017
Reference Items
Accounting Standard IN GAAP IN GAAP
EBITDA 155124.6 201149.7
EBITDA Margin (T12M) 12.9322 12.3561
EBITA 123406.6 167658.3
EBIT 108614.6 144941.1
Gross Margin
Operating Margin 9.0548 8.9034
Profit Margin 7.7505 8.4001
Sales per Employee 22960068.142 27771919.888
Dividends per Share 3.9576 3.9576
Total Cash Common Dividends 12692.2798 12694.1863
Capitalized Interest Expense 5112.3 7777.6
Personnel Expenses 93426.7 122984.5
Depreciation Expense 31718 33491.4
Rental Expense 2223.4 3144.8
FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017
03/31/2013 03/31/2014 03/31/2015 03/31/2016 03/31/2017
1862621.9 2304134.4 2611478.7 2733936.9 2696925.1
1848478.8 2279459 2585425 2702595.7 2696925.1
14143.1 24675.4 26053.7 31341.2 0
1713408.3 2106567.2 2362597.7 2513084 2540987.1
5001.5 4135.5 4561 5631.1
76012.8 110781.6 133886.3 170141.8 179049.9
1632394 1991650.1 2224150.4 2337311.1 2361937.2
149213.6 197567.2 248881 220852.9 155938
12422 6781.5 22024.1 56118.2 73935.7
-3630.3 9801.2 13175.8 9295.5
28615.3 40757.9 40436.5 38526.3
32245.6 30956.7 27260.7 29230.8
-378.9 -356.5 -589.7 -443.6
4332.7 -16291.2 394.8 37160.3 39101
12098.5 13628 9043.2 10106 34834.7
136791.6 190785.7 226856.9 164734.7 82002.3
318.3 2096 9831.3 24926 -11145.6
1639.4
253.6 221.6 25.9
0 535 929.9 327.2 676.1
-800.9 -1145.8 -1195.7 -1813.9
4.1
861.5 2485.2 10097.1 24747.4 -11821.7
136473.3 188689.7 217025.6 139808.7 93147.9
37766.6 47647.9 76429.1 28726 32512.3
27167.4 43684.2 45588.1 19612.1 31376.6
10599.2 3963.7 30841 9113.9 1135.7
-1056.1 537.1 -134.2 -213.4 -14930
99762.8 140504.7 140730.7 111296.1 75565.6
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
99762.8 140504.7 140730.7 111296.1 75565.6
836.7 594.5 867.8 1058.6 1022
98926.1 139910.2 139862.9 110237.5 74543.6
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
98926.1 139910.2 139862.9 110237.5 74543.6
2645909.7
179049.9
2466859.8
119528.9 213005.091 283457.1
34074.7
34744.1
85454.1991210938 158567.872 221425.027
-7693.699949646
-8369.8
93147.8999023438 158567.872 221425.027
32512.3
-14930
75565.6 125589.973 175824.2
0
0
0
75565.6
1022
74543.6 125589.973 175824.2
0
0
74543.600402832 125589.973 175824.2
3398.6155
21.89 38.637 53.243
21.89 38.637 53.243
20.457045 36.544 50.215
3401.3064133017
21.88 38.637 53.243
21.88 38.637 53.243
20.446914 36.544 50.215
1.365 2.535
283322
Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) - Profitability
Margins
EBITDA Margin 12.8967 12.309 12.169
Operating Margin 9.0194 8.8562 8.0593
Pretax Margin 8.7011 8.3135 7.383
Income before XO Margin 7.7715 8.3534 5.397
Net Income Margin 7.7311 8.3029 5.3518
Net Income to Common Margin 7.7311 8.3029 5.3518
Additional
Effective Tax Rate 11.6543 27.6733
Dvd Payout Ratio 13.6864 9.3916 6.4495
Sustainable Growth Rate 58.4733 47.2222 26.3154
FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017
03/31/2014 03/31/2015 03/31/2016 03/31/2017
0 1 2
Projected Cash Flow 122267.93 130337.97 138940.66
Discount Factor 1.00 0.90 0.81
Present Value of Cash Flow 122267.93 117538.08 112991.19
Value of Prepeuity at stable growth
Present value factor
Present Value of prepeuity
Value of enterprise 2195244.33
Less: Debt Value 793233.60
Add: Cash 511190.30
Value of Equity 1913201.03
No of shares 3396.00
Value of Share 563.37
Calculation of R&D
R&D Expneses 1218.60 2433.00 5001.50
Life of R&D assumed 5 Years
Unamortised Portion of R&D (%) 0.20 0.20 0.20
Unamortised Portion of R&D
Value of Research Assets this year
Amortisation this year (20% of Face Value) 243.72 730.32
Amortisation of R&D this year 1218.60 2189.28 4271.18
Constant G
563.37 2%
9%
10%
11%
WACC
12%
13%
WACC
14%
15%
Constant Growth
0% 563.37
2%
-2%
2014 2015 2016 2017 Trailing 12 Months Average Growth
2304134.40 2611478.70 2733936.90 2696925.10
23.70% 13.34% 4.69% -1.35% 15%
1995785.60 2228711.40 2342942.20 2361937.20
308348.80 382767.30 390994.70 334987.90
13.38% 14.66% 14.30% 12.42%
36.91% 24.13% 2.15% -14.32% 15%
110781.60 133886.30 170141.80 179049.90
197567.20 248881.00 220852.90 155938.00
8.57% 9.53% 8.08% 5.78%
32.41% 25.97% -11.26% -29.39% 9%
45739.46 52279.60 30980.83 52527.26
0.23 0.21 0.14 0.34
151827.74 196601.40 189872.07 103410.74
6.59% 7.53% 6.95% 3.83% 0.07
27.04% 29.49% -3.42% -45.54% 5%
3275.52 3366.97 3664.39 2826.56
2404.88 2003.28 2161.18 2374.73
160201.02 187551.22 159560.52 42668.68
-12049.40 -81130.90 -19149.40 -61977.70
2805.48 88817.39 47957.74 122267.93
0.12% 3.40% 1.75% 4.53%
-94.34% 3065.85% -46.00% 154.95%
3 4 5 6
148111.15 157886.92 168307.92 175073.90
0.73 0.66 0.60 0.54
108620.20 104418.30 100378.95 94160.14
2548382.81
0.60
1529029.68
4135.50 4561.00 5631.10
Constant Growth
3% 4% 5% 6%
WACC Growth
0% 563.37 0% 563.37
2% 2%
-2% -2%
Geometric Growth Fundamental Growth Rate (Firm) Expert Opinion
14.31% 6.58%
13.69%
6.21%
0.92%
Particulars (Rs. Million) 2011 2012
Revenue
%YOY Growth
Less: Operating Expenses (excluding Dep.)
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
%YOY Growth
Less: Depreciation and Amortisation
EBIT
EBIT Margin
%YOY Growth
Less: Interest
EBT
EBT Margin
`
Tax
Effective Tax Rate
NI
NI Margin
%YOY Growth
Less: Abnormal Loss
Add: Adjustment of R&D
Less: Net Capex
Less: Change in Non-cash WC
Less: Net debt repayment
FCFE
FCFF Margin
%YOY Growth
FCFF (2017)
Growth
Stable Growth
WACC
Current Liabilities
Less: Interest Bearing Liabilities
Non- interest bearing current liabiliites
As the growth is 30%, so it is not possible for a firm to keep growing on that rate. Therefore, constant rate
model can not be used.
2 Stage Model:
Assuming the 30% growth till year 5 and then 10%
Year Dividend Present Value of Dividend
Value of Perpectuity
1 0.26 0.23
2 0.34 0.26
3 0.44 0.30
4 0.57 0.35
5 0.74 0.40
6 0.82 14.08 26.10
Value of Share 15.63
As the dividend given by the company is not true indicator of EPS. Therefore, this model cant be used.
As all the models are based on dividend, so these models can not be used to understand the value of the company.
Announce Divi
ment den
d
Date
5/30/2016 0.20
5/29/2014 2.00
5/29/2013 2.00
5/29/2012 4.00
5/26/2011 4.00
5/27/2010 3.00
5/29/2009 1.20
5/16/2008 3.00
5/18/2007 3.00
5/19/2006 2.60
5/17/2005 2.50
5/20/2004 0.80
1/14/2004 0.80
5/27/2003 0.80
ue of the company.