Watermark
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*Correspondence address. Recurrent Miscarriage Unit, Fertility Clinic 4071, University Hospital Copenhagen Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9,
DK-2100 Kbenhavn , Denmark. Tel: +45-3545-4951; E-mail: astrid.marie.kolte@regionh.dk
Submitted on December 20, 2013; resubmitted on February 3, 2014; accepted on February 5, 2014
study question: Are non-visualized pregnancy losses (biochemical pregnancy loss and failed pregnancy of unknown location combined) in the
reproductive history of women with unexplained recurrent miscarriage (RM) negatively associated with the chance of live birth in a subsequent pregnancy?
summaryanswer: Non-visualized pregnancy losses contribute negatively to the chance for live birth: each non-visualized pregnancy loss confers
a relative risk (RR) for live birth of 0.90 (95% CI 0.83; 0.97), equivalent to the RR conferred by each additional clinical miscarriage.
what is known already: The number of clinical miscarriages prior to referral is an important determinant for live birth in women with RM,
whereas the signicance of non-visualized pregnancy losses is unknown.
study design, size, duration: A retrospective cohort study comprising 587 women with RM seen in a tertiary RM unit 20002010. Data
on the outcome of the rst pregnancy after referral were analysed for 499 women.
participants/materials, setting, methods: The study was conducted in the RM Unit at Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.
We included all women with unexplained RM, dened as 3 consecutive clinical miscarriages or non-visualized pregnancy losses following spontaneous
conception or homologous insemination. The category non-visualized pregnancy losses combines biochemical pregnancy loss (positive hCG, no ultra-
sound performed) and failed PUL (pregnancy of unknown location, positive hCG, but on ultrasound, no pregnancy location established). Demographics
were collected, including BMI, age at rst pregnancy after referral and outcome of pregnancies prior to referral. Using our own records and records from
other Danish hospitals, we veried the outcome of the rst pregnancy after referral. For each non-visualized pregnancy loss and miscarriage in the
womens reproductive history, the RR for live birth in the rst pregnancy after referral was determined by robust Poisson regression analysis, adjusting
for risk factors for negative pregnancy outcome.
main results and the role of chance: Non-visualized pregnancy losses constituted 37% of reported pregnancies prior to referral
among women with RM. Each additional non-visualized pregnancy loss conferred an RR for live birth of 0.90 (95% CI 0.83; 0.97), which was not statistically
signicantly different from the corresponding RR of 0.87 (95% CI 0.80; 0.94) conferred by each clinical miscarriage. Among women with 2 clinical
miscarriages, a reduced RR for live birth was also shown: 0.82 (95% CI 0.74; 0.92) for each clinical miscarriage and 0.89 (95% CI 0.80; 0.98) for each
non-visualized pregnancy loss, respectively. Surgically treated ectopic pregnancies (EPs) were signicantly more common for women with primary
RM and no conrmed clinical miscarriages, compared with women with primary RM and 1 clinical miscarriage (22 versus 6%, difference 16% (95%
CI 9.1%; 28.7%); RR for ectopic pregnancy was 4.0 (95% CI 1.92; 8.20).
limitations, reasons for caution: RM was dened as 3 consecutive pregnancy losses before 12 weeks gestation, and we included
only women with unexplained RM after thorough evaluation. It is uncertain whether the ndings apply to other denitions of RM and among women with
known causes for their miscarriages.
& The Author 2014. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Human Reproduction and Embryology. All rights reserved.
For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com
wider implications of the findings: To our knowledge, this is the rst comprehensive investigation of prior non-visualized pregnancy
losses and their prognostic signicance for live birth in a subsequent pregnancy in women with unexplained RM. We show that a prior non-visualized
pregnancy loss has a negative prognostic impact on subsequent live birth and is thus clinically signicant.
study funding/competing interest(s): None.
trial registration number: N/A.
Key words: recurrent miscarriage / biochemical pregnancy loss / pregnancy of unknown location / non-visualized pregnancy loss /
retrospective cohort study
Figure 1 Inclusion of women in the cohort. All women were seen between January 2000 and January 2011. PRM, primary recurrent miscarriage; SRM,
secondary recurrent miscarriage; NVPL, non-visualized pregnancy loss.
pregnancy loss, as a positive hCG, but no TVS performed. The two categories
failed PUL and biochemical pregnancy loss were combined as non-
Results
visualized pregnancy losses. As the study is retrospective, all diagnoses are
nal.
Reproductive history
For 88% of the women in the cohort, we relied on self-reporting and Of 2781 pregnancies reported at rst consultation, 327 were births
records available at time of referral. However, as a data quality check, we after Week 22 (12%). Of the 2454 pregnancy losses, there were 1426
obtained further details on reported non-visualized pregnancy losses for miscarriages before Week 12 (58%), 578 biochemical pregnancy
the 61 women born on the rst to third of each month. losses (23%) and 334 (16%) failed PULs. Thus non-visualized pregnancy
losses constituted 37% of all pregnancy losses before referral in this group.
Additionally, there were 73 late miscarriages between Week 12 and 22
(3%) and 43 EPs (2%) (see Fig. 2). All EPs had been treated surgically.
Statistics Figure 3 shows the distribution of biochemical pregnancy losses, failed
As we have chosen to report our results as relative risk (RR) and the outcome PULs and miscarriages by gestational age. The mean gestational age for
live birth was common (.10%), we used robust Poisson regression instead
biochemical pregnancy losses was 6.08 weeks (95% CI for the mean
of standard logistic regression (Deddens and Petersen, 2008). In the Poisson
5.96; 6.19) and for failed PULs 6.59 (95% CI 6.43; 6.75). The difference
regression analysis we used non-visualized pregnancy losses as the independ-
ent variable and corrected for the risk factors PRM versus SRM; age at index is 0.51 weeks (95% CI 0.33; 0.70). The mean gestational age for clinical
pregnancy; the number of prior early and late miscarriages; EPs; and treat- miscarriages was 8.87 (95% CI 8.74; 9.01), signicantly higher than for
ment. Equivalent analyses were performed with non-visualized pregnancy non-visualized pregnancy losses, mean difference 2.60 weeks (95% CI
losses split into biochemical pregnancy losses and failed PULs. We also 2.44; 2.76).
used miscarriage as independent variable equivalent to non-visualized preg- As shown in Fig. 4, women with PRM and no clinical miscarriages had a
nancy loss. As standard Poisson regression uses the log-link function, female statistically signicantly higher frequency of surgically treated EPs than
age in years, early miscarriages, non-visualized pregnancy losses, biochemical those with at least one clinical miscarriage (22 versus 6%, difference
pregnancy losses, failed PULs and EPs were modelled as linear variables on 16% (95% CI 9.1%; 28.7%), corresponding to an RR for having had an
the logit scale. Testing for linearity showed no problems for any of the vari- EP of 4.0 (95% CI: 1.92; 8.20) in the former group. We did not
ables. Model control was performed. There were no signs of interaction
conrm the nding for women with SRM.
for any of the variables and thus multiple regression analysis was deemed ap-
The women for whom we attempted to obtain further details about
propriate. For these analyses the statistical software package STATA 11 was
used.
prior non-visualized pregnancy losses reported a total of 123 non-
Fishers exact test was used to test the hypothesis of equal proportions of visualized pregnancy losses, of which 77 (63%) were biochemical preg-
ectopic pregnancies (EPs) between different groups of patients. T-test was nancy losses and 46 (37%) were failed PULs. We were able to conrm
used for comparison of gestational age between groups of pregnancy loss. the self-reported information in all cases except one; the woman
For these analyses we used the statistical software package SAS 19.2. reported a biochemical pregnancy loss, which actually was a miscarriage.
Table I Relative risk (95% CI) of live birth in the index pregnancy, unadjusted for treatment.
We analysed the 290 PRM and 209 SRM women separately and the RR the majority of failed PULs are early intrauterine miscarriages (Kirk
did not change signicantly, but as expected, the condence intervals et al., 2009).
widened due to smaller numbers in each subgroup. Data on PRM When interpreting our results it is important to note that the denition
versus SRM women are available online as Supplementary data, Table SI. of RM applied in the study was three or more consecutive early preg-
nancy losses. Even though our calculations were based on a linear
model on the logit scale, we are unable to project the results to sporadic
Treatment pregnancy losses or other denitions of RM, e.g. two consecutive or non-
In an analysis of RR for live birth by non-visualized pregnancy loss, clinical consecutive early pregnancy losses. We did show a statistically signicant
miscarriage and biochemical pregnancy loss and failed PULs among the reduction in relative risk for live birth also for women who full the ASRM
344 women who received only TLC we found comparable results as denition of recurrent pregnancy loss, i.e. 2 clinical miscarriages. The
for the total group of 499 patients, as can be seen in Table I. ndings in this study should prompt further inquiry into an evidence-
Ninety-eight women received IVIg in addition to TLC and had an RR based denition of RM.
for live birth of 1.27 (95% CI 1.07; 1.52) compared with TLC alone, As the cohort only included women with unexplained RM, our results
and the RR of IVIg for live birth for patients with PRM was 1.39 (1.10; may not apply to other groups of patients, such as patients with chromo-
1.76). Adjustment for treatment did not signicantly alter the effect of somal abnormalities, irregular menstrual cycles and patients with RM
non-visualized pregnancy losses, miscarriages, biochemical pregnancy after IVF/ICSI.
losses and failed PULs on the RR for live birth (see Table II). To our knowledge, there are no data regarding the cost-effectiveness
of RM evaluation or treatment if non-visualized pregnancy losses are
included in the denition, although this is already clinical practice in
Discussion several European countries such as Great Britain and Denmark. As
resources in clinical care are limited, this would be a logical next step
Non-visualized pregnancy losses represent a signicant proportion of the
by health care economists and relevant policy makers.
pregnancy losses experienced by women referred to the Danish RM
clinic. We have demonstrated that non-visualized pregnancy losses
and miscarriages both have a negative prognostic inuence on the
chance for live birth in the rst pregnancy after referral among women Gestational age
with unexplained RM. The number of clinical miscarriages before referral The exclusion of non-visualized pregnancy losses in RM denitions is
has been reported to be an important determinant for RM womens probably based on reports that a transiently positive pregnancy test at
prognosis for live birth (Brigham et al., 1999; Lund et al., 2012). To the time of menstrual period is a common nding in normal women
our knowledge, this is the rst investigation of the prevalence and prog- (Wilcox et al., 1987). It is therefore noteworthy that the mean gestational
nostic signicance of non-visualized pregnancy losses in women with age at time of diagnosis of both biochemical pregnancy losses and failed
RM. PULs in this study was 6 weeks.
Presently, non-visualized pregnancy losses in the history of women The gestational age for non-visualized pregnancy losses is based on last
with RM are largely ignored by gynaecologists and general practitioners. menstrual period and may therefore be unreliable. However, as all
The nding that non-visualized pregnancy losses and early miscarriages women in the cohort had regular menstrual cycles with a variation of
have a similar negative effect on RR for live birth is thus very important. no more than 23 days for each individual woman, we assume that
At least for women with RM, our ndings support the assumption that the estimate of gestational age in prior pregnancies is reasonably
Table II Relative risk (95% CI) of live birth in the index pregnancy, adjusted for treatment.
accurate. This is substantiated by our data validation where the consist- distinguish between women with regular and irregular menstrual
ency between patient les and information given at rst consultation was cycles. In our study, we did not demonstrate a negative impact of high
99%. BMI on the chance of live birth.
Increased maternal age decreases the RR for live birth in the rst preg-
Life style factors nancy after referral. The RR described in this study is for each additional
High BMI has been reported to be prognostically negative in RM (Lashen year, and as such aligns well with previously published studies (Brigham
et al., 2004; Lo et al., 2012). In these studies the authors do not et al., 1999; Lund et al., 2012).