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Solutions To Chapter 9 Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis To Make Investment Decisions

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Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

Solutions to Chapter 9

Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

1. Net income = ($74 $42 $10) [0.35 ($74 $42 $10)] = $22 $7.7 = $14.3 million
Revenues cash expenses taxes paid = $74 $42 $7.7 = $24.3 million
After-tax profit + depreciation = $14.3 + $10 = $24.3 million
(Revenues cash expenses) (1 tax rate) + (depreciation tax rate)
= ($32 0.65) + ($10 0.35) = $24.3 million

Est time: 0105

2. a. NWC = accounts receivable + inventory accounts payable


= $1,000 + $500 $2,000 = $2,500

b. Cash flow = $36,000 $24,000 + $2,500 = $14,500

Est time: 0105

3. Net income = ($7 $4 $1) [0.35 ($7 $4 $1)] = $2 $0.7 = $1.3 million
Revenues cash expenses taxes paid = $3 $0.7 = $2.3 million
After-tax profit + depreciation = $1.3 + $1.0 = $2.3 million
(Revenues cash expenses) (1 tax rate) + (depreciation tax rate)
= ($3 0.65) + ($1 0.35) = $2.3 million

Est time: 0105

4. While depreciation is a noncash expense, it has an impact on net cash flow because of its
impact on taxes. Every dollar of depreciation expense reduces taxable income by one dollar,
and thus reduces taxes owed by $1 times the firm's marginal tax rate. Accelerated
depreciation moves the tax benefits forward in time and thus increases the present value of
the tax shield, thereby increasing the value of the project.

Est time: 0105

9-1
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

5. Gross revenues from new chip = 12 million $25 = $300 million


Cost of new chip = 12 million $8 = $96 million
Lost sales of old chip = 7 million $20 = $140 million
Saved costs of old chip = 7 million $6 = $42 million
Increase in cash flow = ($300 $96) ($140 $42) = $106 million

Est time: 0105

6. Revenue $160,000
Rental costs 30,000
Variable costs 50,000
Depreciation 10,000
Pretax profit 70,000
Taxes (35%) 24,500
Net income $ 45,500

Est time: 0105

7. a. Net income + depreciation = $45,500 + $10,000 = $55,500

b. Revenue rental costs variable costs taxes


= $160,000 $30,000 $50,000 $24,500 = $55,500

c. [(Revenue rental costs variable costs) (1 0.35)] + (depreciation 0.35)


= [($160,000 $30,000 $50,000) 0.65] + ($10,000 0.35)
= $52,000 + $3,500 = $55,500

Est time: 0105

8. Change in working capital = accounts receivable accounts payable


= ($4,500 $1,200) ($300 $700) = $3,700
Cash flow = $16,000 $9,000 $3,700 = $3,300

Est time: 0105

9-2
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

9. Incremental cash flows are:


a. The current market value of the painting (i.e., the cash that could have been realized
by selling the art).
b. The reduction in taxes due to its declared tax deduction.

Est time: 0105

10. Revenue $120,000


Variable costs 40,000
Fixed costs 15,000
Depreciation 40,000
Pretax profit 25,000
Taxes (35%) 8,750
Net income 16,250
Depreciation 40,000
Operating cash flow $ 56,250

Est time: 0105

11. a.

Book Value
Year MACRS (%) Depreciation
(end of year)
1 20.00 $ 8,000 $32,000
2 32.00 12,800 19,200
3 19.20 7,680 11,520
4 11.52 4,608 6,912
5 11.52 4,608 2,304
6 5.76 2,304 0

b. If the machine is sold for $22,000 after 3 years, sales price exceeds book value
by:
$22,000 $11,520 = $10,480
After-tax proceeds are $22,000 (0.35 $10,480) = $18,332.

Est time: 0610

9-3
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

12. a. If the office space would have remained unused in the absence of the proposed project,
then the incremental cash outflow from allocating the space to the project is effectively
zero. The incremental cost of the space used should be based on the cash flow given up
by allocating the space to this project rather than some other use.

b. One reasonable approach would be to assess a cost to the space equal to the rental
income that the firm could earn if it allowed another firm to use the space. This is the
opportunity cost of the space.

Est time: 0105

13. Cash flow = net income + depreciation increase in NWC


1.2 = 1.2 + 0.4 NWC NWC = $0.4 million

Est time: 0105

14. Cash flow = profit increase in inventory = $10,000 $1,000 = $9,000

Est time: 0105

15. NWC2011 = $32 + $25 $12 = $45 million


NWC2012 = $36 + $30 $26 = $40 million
Net working capital has decreased by $5 million.

Est time: 0105

16. Depreciation expense per year = $40/5 = $8 million


Book value of old equipment = $40 (3 $8) = $16 million
After-tax cash flow = $18 [0.35 ($18 $16)] = $17.3 million

Est time: 0105

17. Using the 7-year MACRS depreciation schedule, after 5 years the machinery will be written
down to 22.30% of its original value: 0.2230 $10 million = $2.230 million
If the machinery is sold for $4.5 million, the sale generates a taxable gain of $2.270 million.
This increases the firms tax bill by 0.35 $2.270 = $0.7945 million.
Thus: Total cash flow = $4.5 $0.7945 = $3.7055 million

Est time: 0105

9-4
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

18. a. All values should be interpreted as incremental results from making the purchase.
Earnings before depreciation $1,500
Depreciation 1,000
Taxable income 500
Taxes 200
Net income 300
+ Depreciation 1,000
Operating CF $1,300 in years 16
Net cash flow at time 0 is $6,000 + [$2,000 (1 0.40)] = $4,800.
b. NPV = $4,800 + [$1,300 annuity factor (16%, 6 years)]
1 1
= $4,800 $1,300 6
$9.84
0.16 0.16 (1.16)
c. Incremental CF in each year (using the depreciation tax shield approach) is:
[$1,500 (1 0.40)] + (depreciation 0.40)
Year Depreciation CF
0 n/a $4,800.00
1 $1,200.00 1,380.00
2 1,920.00 1,668.00
3 1,152.00 1,360.80
4 691.20 1,176.48
5 691.20 1,176.48
6 345.60 1,038.24
$1,380 $1,668 $1,360.80 $1,176.48 $1,176.48 $1,038.24
NPV $4,800 $137.09
1.16 1.16 2 1.16 3 1.16 4 1.16 5 1.16 6

Est time: 1115

19. If the firm uses straight-line depreciation, the present value of the cost of buying, net of
the annual depreciation tax shield (which equals $1,000 0.40 = $400), is:
$6,000 [$400 annuity factor (16%, 6 years)] =
1 1
$6,000 $400 6
$4,526.11
0.16 0.16 (1.16)
The equivalent annual cost (EAC) is therefore determined by:
C annuity factor (16%, 6 years) = $4,526.11
1 1
C 6
$4,526.11
0.16 0.16 (1.16)

9-5
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

C 3.68474 = $4,526.11 C = EAC = $1,228.34


Note: This is the equivalent annual cost of the new washer and does not include any of
the washer's benefits.

Est time: 0610

20. a. In the following table, we compute the impact on operating cash flows by
summing the value of the depreciation tax shield (depreciation tax rate) plus the
net-of-tax improvement in operating income [$20,000 (1 tax rate)]. Although
the MACRS depreciation schedule extends out to 4 years, the project will be
terminated when the machine is sold after 3 years, so we need to examine cash
flows for only 3 years.

Operating Contribution to
Depreciation
MACRS Depreciation Income Operating Cash
0.035
(1 0.35) low
0.3333 $13,332 $4,666.20 $13,000 $17,666.20
0.4445 17,780 6,223.00 13,000 19,223.00
0.1481 5,942 2,073.40 13,000 15,073.40
0.0741

b. Total cash flow = operating cash flow + cash flow associated with investments
At time 0, the cash flow from the investment is $40,000.
When the grill is sold at the end of year 3, its book value will be $2,964, so the
sales price, net of tax, will be $10,000 [0.35 ($10,000 $2,964)] = $7,537.40.
Therefore, total cash flows are:

9-6
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

Time Cash Flow


0 $40,000.00
1 17,666.20
2 19,223.00
3 22,610.80 [= 15,073.40 + 7,537.40]

c. The net present value of this cash-flow stream, at a discount rate of 12%, is
$7,191.77, which is positive. So the grill should be purchased.

Est time: 1115

21. a. Working capital = 20% $40,000 = $8,000


Initial investment = $45,000 + $8,000 = $53,000

b.
All figures in thousands of dollars
Working
Year Revenues Expenses Depreciation Cash Flow*
Capital
1 40 16 6 11.25 20.9
2 30 12 4 11.25 17.3
3 20 8 2 11.25 13.7
4 10 4 0 11.25 10.1
*Cash flow = [(revenues expenses) (1 0.40)] + (depreciation 0.40)
+ $2,000 (decrease in working capital from previous year)

$20,900 $17,300 $13,700 $10,100


c. NPV $53,000 $4,377.71
1.12 1.12 2 1.12 3 1.12 4

d. To compute IRR, use trial and error or a financial calculator to solve for r in the
following equation:
$20,900 $17,300 $13,700 $10,100
$53,000 IRR 7.50%
1 r (1 r ) 2 (1 r )3 (1 r ) 4

Est time: 1115

9-7
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

22. a. The present value of the cost of buying is:


$25,000 [$5,000/(1.12)5 ] = $22,162.87
The cost of leasing (assuming that lease payments are made at the end of
each year) is:
$5,000 annuity factor (12%, 5 years) =
1 1
$5,000 5
$18,023.88
0.12 0.12 (1.12)
Leasing is less expensive.

b. The maximum lease payment (L) would be chosen so that:

L annuity factor (12%, 5 years) = $22,162.87


1 1
L 5
$22,162.87 L $6,148.20
0.12 0.12 (1.12)

Est time: 0610

23. The initial investment is $100,000 for the copier plus $10,000 in working capital, for a
total outlay of $110,000.
Depreciation expense = ($100,000 $20,000)/5 = $16,000 per year
The project saves $20,000 in annual labor costs, so the net operating cash flow
(including the depreciation tax shield) is:
$20,000 (1 0.35) + ($16,000 0.35) = $18,600
In year 5, the copier is sold for $30,000, which generates net-of-tax proceeds of:
$30,000 (0.35 $10,000) = $26,500
In addition, the working capital associated with the project is freed up, which releases
another $10,000 in cash. So, nonoperating cash flow in year 5 totals $36,500.
The NPV is thus:
NPV = $110,000 + [$18,600 annuity factor (8%, 5 years)] + [$36,500/(1.08)5]
1 1 $36,500
= $110,000 $18,600 5

0.08 0.08 (1.08) (1.08)
5

= $110,000 + $99,105.69 = $10,894.31


Because NPV is negative, Kinkys should not buy the new copier.

Est time: 0610

9-8
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

24. Find the equivalent annual cost of each alternative:

Quick and Dirty Do-It-Right


Operating costs $1 million $1 million
Investment $10 million $12 million
Project life 5 years 8 years
Annual depreciation $2 million $1.5 million
Depreciation tax shield $0.700 million $0.525 million
PV(depreciation tax shield)* $2.523 million $2.608 million

Net capital cost $7.477 million $9.392 million
EAC of net capital cost* $2.074 million $1.891 million
*Annuity discounted at 12%; number of years = project life.

Investment PV(depreciation tax shield).


The present value of the depreciation tax shield for each alternative is computed as follows:

1 1
PV $0.700 million 5
$2.523 million
0.12 0.12 (1.12)

1 1
PV $0.525 million 8
$2.608 million
0.12 0.12 (1.12)

The equivalent annual cost (EAC) for each alternative is computed as follows:
1 1
C 5
$7.477 million C EAC $2.074 million
0.12 0.12 (1.12)

1 1
C 8
$9.392 million C EAC $1.891 million
0.12 0.12 (1.12)

Since the operating costs are the same, then Do-It-Right is preferred because it has
the lower EAC.

Est time: 1115

9-9
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

25.
All figures in thousands
0 1 2 3 4
Net working capital $176 $240 $112 $40 $0
Investment in NWC 176 64 128 72 40
Investment in plant &
equipment 200 0 0 0 0
Cash flow from
investment activity $376 $ 64 +$128 +$72 +$40

All figures in thousands


0 1 2 3 4
Revenue $880.00 $1,200.00 $560.00 $200.00
Cost 550.00 750.00 350.00 125.00
Depreciation 66.66 88.90 29.62 14.82
Pretax profit 263.34 361.10 180.38 60.18
Taxes 92.17 126.39 63.13 21.06
Net income 171.17 234.71 117.25 39.12
Depreciation 66.66 88.90 29.62 14.82
Operating cash flow $237.83 $ 323.61 $146.87 $ 53.94
Total cash flow $376.00 $173.83 $ 451.61 $218.87 $ 93.94

$173.83 $451.61 $218.87 $93.94


NPV $376 $254.440, or $254,440
1.20 1.202 1.203 1.204

Est time: 1115

26. All figures are on an incremental basis:


Labor savings $125,000
Operating cost 35,000
Depreciation 90,000
EBIT 0
Taxes 0
Net income 0
+ Depreciation 90,000
Operating cash flow $ 90,000
NPV = $1,000,000 + [$90,000 annuity factor (8%, 10 years)] + [$100,000/(1.08)10]
1 1 $100,000
= $1,000,000 $90,000 10
$349,773.33
0.08 0.08 (1.08) (1.08)
10

Est time: 0610

9-10
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

27. If the savings are permanent, then the inventory system


is worth $250,000 to the firm. The firm can take $250,000 out
of the project now without ever having to replace it. So the
most the firm should be willing to pay is $250,000.

Est time: 0610

28. All cash flows are in millions of dollars. Sales price of machinery in year 6 is shown
on an after-tax basis as a positive cash flow on the capital investment line.
a.
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Sales (traps) 0.5 0.6 1 1 0.6 0.2
Revenue 0 2 2.4 4 4 2.4 0.8
Working capital 0.2 0.24 0.4 0.4 0.24 0.08 0
Change in working capital 0.2 0.04 0.16 0 0.16 0.16 0.08

Revenues 2 2.4 4 4 2.4 0.8


Expense 0.75 0.9 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.3
Depreciation 1 1 1 1 1 1
Pretax profit 0.25 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.5
Ta 0.0875 0.175 0.525 0.525 0.175 0.175
After-tax profit 0.1625 0.325 0.975 0.975 0.325 0.325
Cash flow from operations 1.1625 1.325 1.975 1.975 1.325 0.675

Cash flow: capital invest. 6 0.325


Cash flow from WC 0.2 0.04 0.16 0 0.16 0.16 0.08
Cash flow from operations 0 1.1625 1.325 1.975 1.975 1.325 0.675
Total cash flow 6.2 1.1225 1.165 1.975 2.135 1.485 1.08
PV of cash flow at 12% 6.2 1.002 0.929 1.406 1.357 0.843 0.547
Net present value 0.11665

9-11
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

b.
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Sales (traps) 0.5 0.6 1 1 0.6 0.2
Revenue 0 2 2.4 4 4 2.4 0.8
Working capital 0.2 0.24 0.4 0.4 0.24 0.08 0
Change in working capital 0.2 0.04 0.16 0 0.16 0.16 0.08

Revenues 2 2.4 4 4 2.4 0.8


Expense 0.75 0.9 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.3
Depreciation 1.2 1.92 1.152 0.6912 0.6912 0.3456
Pretax profit 0.05 0.42 1.348 1.8088 0.8088 0.1544
Ta 0.0175 0.147 0.4718 0.63308 0.28308 0.05404
After-tax profit 0.0325 0.273 0.8762 1.17572 0.52572 0.10036
Cash flow from operations 1.2325 1.647 2.0282 1.86692 1.21692 0.44596

Cash flow: capital invest. 6 0.325


Cash flow from WC 0.2 0.04 0.16 0 0.16 0.16 0.08
Cash flow from operations 0 1.2325 1.647 2.0282 1.86692 1.21692 0.44596
Total 6.2 1.1925 1.487 2.0282 2.02692 1.37692 0.85096

Net present value 0.00564

Using the 5-year MACRS schedule, the net present value increases by $111,010 (=
116,650 5,640).

Est time: 1115

29. If working capital requirements were only one-half of those in the previous problem, then the
working capital cash-flow forecasts would change as follows:
Year: 0 1 2 3 4 5
Original forecast 0.20 0.04 0.16 0.0 +0.16 +0.24
Revised forecast 0.10 0.02 0.08 0.0 +0.08 +0.12
Change in cash flow +0.10 +0.02 +0.08 0.0 0.08 0.12
The PV of the change in the cash-flow stream (at a discount rate of 12%) is $0.0627 million.

Est time: 0610

30. a. Annual depreciation is ($115 $15)/5 = $20 million.


Book value at the time of sale is $115 (2 $20) = $75 million.
Sales price = $80 million, so net-of-tax proceeds from the sale are:
$80 (0.35 $5) = $78.25 million
Therefore, the net cash outlay at time 0 is $150 $78.25 = $71.75 million.

9-12
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

b. The project saves $10 million in operating costs and increases sales by $25 million.
Depreciation expense for the new machine would be $50 million per year. Therefore,
including the depreciation tax shield, operating cash flow increases by:
($25 + $10) (1 0.35) + ($50 0.35) = $40.25 million per year

c. NPV = $71.75 + [$40.25 annuity factor (10%, 3 years)]


1 1
= $71.75 $40.25 3
$28.35, or $28.35 million
0.10 0.10 (1.10)
To find the internal rate of return, set the PV of the annuity to $71.75 and solve for
the discount rate (r):
1 1
$40.25 3
$71.75 r IRR 31.33%
r r (1 r )

Est time: 1115

31. At the optimistic production level the NPV of the power plant is $453 million:
Year Revenue Fuel Costs Labor & Other Depreciation Oper. Prof. Tax Cash Flow Present Value
0 -386 -386
1 398.64 229.52 45.00 14.48 109.65 38.38 85.74 76.56
2 410.60 236.41 46.35 27.87 99.97 34.99 92.85 74.02
3 422.92 243.50 47.74 25.78 105.89 37.06 94.62 67.35
4 435.60 250.80 49.17 23.85 111.77 39.12 96.51 61.33
5 448.67 258.33 50.65 22.04 117.66 41.18 98.52 55.90
6 462.13 266.08 52.17 20.38 123.51 43.23 100.66 51.00
7 476.00 274.06 53.73 18.88 129.33 45.27 102.94 46.56
8 490.28 282.28 55.34 17.45 135.20 47.32 105.33 42.54
9 504.99 290.75 57.00 17.22 140.02 49.01 108.23 39.03
10 520.13 299.47 58.71 17.22 144.73 50.66 111.29 35.83
11 535.74 308.46 60.48 17.22 149.59 52.36 114.45 32.90
12 551.81 317.71 62.29 17.22 154.60 54.11 117.70 30.21
13 568.37 327.24 64.16 17.22 159.75 55.91 121.05 27.74
14 585.42 337.06 66.08 17.22 165.06 57.77 124.50 25.48
15 602.98 347.17 68.07 17.22 170.53 59.68 128.06 23.40
16 621.07 357.58 70.11 17.22 176.16 61.66 131.72 21.49
17 639.70 368.31 72.21 17.22 181.96 63.69 135.49 19.73
18 658.89 379.36 74.38 17.22 187.94 65.78 139.37 18.12
19 678.66 390.74 76.61 17.22 194.09 67.93 143.37 16.65
20 699.02 402.46 78.91 17.22 200.43 70.15 147.49 15.29
21 719.99 414.54 81.28 8.61 215.57 75.45 148.73 13.77
22 741.59 426.97 83.71 0.00 230.90 80.81 150.08 12.40
23 763.84 439.78 86.22 0.00 237.83 83.24 154.59 11.41
24 786.75 452.98 88.81 0.00 244.96 85.74 159.23 10.49
25 810.35 466.57 91.48 0.00 252.31 88.31 164.00 9.65

N PV: 452.84

The company should go ahead with the project since the NPV is still positive ($24.45
million) at the more realistic production level of 3.624 (6.04 0.060) million megawatt-
hours.

9-13
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

Year Revenue Fuel Costs Labor & Other Depreciation Oper. Prof. Tax Cash Flow Present Value
0 -386 -386
1 239.18 137.71 45.00 14.48 42.00 14.70 41.77 37.30
2 246.36 141.84 46.35 27.87 30.30 10.60 47.56 37.92
3 253.75 146.10 47.74 25.78 34.13 11.94 47.97 34.14
4 261.36 150.48 49.17 23.85 37.85 13.25 48.46 30.80
5 269.20 155.00 50.65 22.04 41.52 14.53 49.03 27.82
6 277.28 159.65 52.17 20.38 45.09 15.78 49.69 25.17
7 285.60 164.44 53.73 18.88 48.56 16.99 50.44 22.81
8 294.17 169.37 55.34 17.45 52.01 18.20 51.25 20.70
9 302.99 174.45 57.00 17.22 54.32 19.01 52.52 18.94
10 312.08 179.68 58.71 17.22 56.47 19.76 53.92 17.36
11 321.44 185.07 60.48 17.22 58.68 20.54 55.36 15.91
12 331.09 190.63 62.29 17.22 60.95 21.33 56.84 14.59
13 341.02 196.34 64.16 17.22 63.30 22.15 58.36 13.37
14 351.25 202.23 66.08 17.22 65.72 23.00 59.93 12.26
15 361.79 208.30 68.07 17.22 68.20 23.87 61.55 11.24
16 372.64 214.55 70.11 17.22 70.77 24.77 63.21 10.31
17 383.82 220.99 72.21 17.22 73.41 25.69 64.93 9.46
18 395.33 227.62 74.38 17.22 76.12 26.64 66.70 8.67
19 407.19 234.45 76.61 17.22 78.92 27.62 68.52 7.96
20 419.41 241.48 78.91 17.22 81.81 28.63 70.39 7.30
21 431.99 248.72 81.28 8.61 93.39 32.69 69.31 6.42
22 444.95 256.18 83.71 0.00 105.05 36.77 68.29 5.64
23 458.30 263.87 86.22 0.00 108.21 37.87 70.33 5.19
24 472.05 271.79 88.81 0.00 111.45 39.01 72.44 4.77
25 486.21 279.94 91.48 0.00 114.80 40.18 74.62 4.39

NPV: 24.45

Est time: 1115


Solution to Minicase for Chapter 9

The spreadsheet on the next page shows the cash flows associated with the project.
Rows 1 to 10 replicate the data in Table 9-4, with the exception of the substitution of
MACRS depreciation for straight-line depreciation.
Row 12 (capital investment) shows the initial investment of $1.5 million in refurbishing the
plant and buying the new machinery.
When the project is shut down after 5 years, the machinery and plant will be worthless. But
they will not be fully depreciated. The tax loss on each will equal the book value, since the
market price of each asset is zero. Therefore, tax savings in year 5 (rows 14 and 15) equal:
0.35 book value (i.e., original investment minus accumulated depreciation)
The investment in working capital (row 13) is initially equal to $300,000, but in year 5, when
the project is shut down, the investment in working capital is recouped.
If the project goes ahead, the land cannot be sold until the end of year 5. If the land is sold
for $600,000 (as Mr. Tar assumes it can be), the taxable gain on the sale is $590,000, since
the land is carried on the books at $10,000. Therefore, the cash flow from the sale of the
land, net of tax at 35%, is $393,500.
The total cash flow from the project is given in row 17. The present value of the cash flows,
at a 12% discount rate, is $716,400.

9-14
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

If the land can be sold for $1.5 million immediately, the after-tax proceeds will be:
$1,500,000 [0.35 ($1,500,000 $10,000)] = $978,500
So it appears that immediate sale is the better option.
However, Mr. Tar may want to reconsider the estimate of the selling price of the land 5 years
from now. If the land can be sold today for $1,500,000 and the inflation rate is 4%, then
perhaps it makes more sense to assume it can be sold in 5 years for:
$1,500,000 1.045 = $1,825,000
In that case, the forecast after-tax proceeds of the sale of the land in 5 years increases to
$1,190,000, which is $796,500 higher than the original estimate of $393,500; the present value
of the proceeds from the sale of the land increases by:
$796,500/1.125 = $452,000
Therefore, under this assumption, the present value of the project increases from the original
estimate of $716,400 to a new value of $1,168,400, and in this case the project is more
valuable than the proceeds from selling the land immediately.

Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
1. Yards sold 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
2. Price per yard 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00
3. Revenue 3,000.00 3,000.00 3,000.00 3,000.00 3,000.00
4. Cost of goods sold 2,100.00 2,184.00 2,271.36 2,362.21 2,456.70
5. Operating cash flow 900.00 816.00 728.64 637.79 543.30
6. Depreciation on machine* 200.00 320.00 192.00 115.20 115.20
7. Depreciation on plant 50.00 90.00 72.00 57.60 46.10
8. Income (5 6 7) 650.00 406.00 464.64 464.99 382.00
9. Tax at 35% 227.50 142.10 162.62 162.75 133.70
10. Net income 422.50 263.90 302.02 302.24 248.30
11. Cash flow from operations 672.50 673.90 566.02 475.04 409.60

12. Capital investment 1,500.00


13. Investment in wk cap 300.00 300.00
14. Tax savings on machine 20.16
15. Tax savings on plant 64.51
16. Sale of land (after tax) 393.50
17. TOTAL CASH FLOW 1,800.00 672.50 673.90 566.02 475.04 1,187.77

*5-yr MACRS depreciation 0.2000 0.3200 0.1920 0.1152 0.1152

10-yr MACRS depreciation 0.1000 0.1800 0.1440 0.1152 0.0922

9-15
Chapter 09 - Using Discounted Cash-Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions

We compare the NPV of the project to the value of an immediate sale of the land. This treats
the problem as two competing, mutually exclusive investments: Sell the land now versus
pursue the project. The investment with higher NPV is selected. Alternatively, we could
treat the after-tax cash flow that can be realized from the sale of the land as an opportunity
cost at year 0 if the project is pursued. In that case, the NPV of the project would be reduced
by the initial cash flow given up by not selling the land. Under this approach, the decision
rule is to pursue the project if the NPV is positive, accounting for that opportunity cost. This
approach would result in the same decision as the one we have presented.

9-16

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