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ResEng IU Ch1
ResEng IU Ch1
CONTENTS
4 PROBABILISTIC REPRESENTATION OF
RESERVES
7 DEVELOPMENT PLANNING
7.1 Reservoir Modelling
7.2 Technoconomics
7.3 Coping with Uncertainty
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Having worked through this chapter the Student will be able to:
• Show using a block diagram the integration of reservoir engineering with other
petroleum engineering and other subjects.
• Calculate given the prerequisite data proved, probable and possible reserves.
• Describe briefly with the aid of a sketch the various maps used to represent
reservoir; area, thickness porosity, saturation.
• Describe briefly the use of the production (well0 test to determine reservoir
flowability and properties.
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
1 INTRODUCTION
With the petroleum industry’s desire to conserve and produce oil and gas more efficiently
a field of specialisation has developed called Petroleum Reservoir Engineering. This
new science which can be traced back only to the mid 1930’s has been built up on a
wealth of scientific and practical experience from field and laboratory. In the 1959
text of Craft & Hawkins1 on Applied Reservoir Engineering it is commented that “as
early as 1928 petroleum engineers were giving serious consideration to gas-energy
relationships and recognised the need for more precise information concerning
physical conditions as they exist in wells and underground reservoirs. Early progress
in oil recovery methods made it obvious that computations made from wellhead or
surface data were generally misleading.” Dake2, in his text "The Practise of Reservoir
Engineering", comments that “Reservoir Engineering shares the distinction with
geology in being one of the ‘underground sciences’ of the oil industry, attempting
to describe what occurs in the wide open spaces of the reservoir between the sparse
points of observation - the wells”
The reservoir engineer in the multi-disciplinary perspective of modern oil and gas
field management is located at the heart of many of the activities acting as a central
co-ordinating role in relation to receiving information processing it and passing it on
to others. This perspective presented by Dake2 is shown in the figure below.
Exploration
Geophysics/ Petrophysics
Geology
Reservoir Engineering
Economics Production
(Project viability) Process Egineering
General Engineering
Platform Topsides Design
2
Figure 1 Reservoir Engineering in Relation to Other Activities (adapted Dake )
The responsibility of the first is shared with other disciplines whereas the second is
primarily the responsibility of the reservoir engineer. Attaching a time scale to recovery
is the development of a production profile and again is not an exclusive activity. The
day-to-day operational role is on going through the duration of the project.
A project can be conveniently divided into two stages and within these the above
activities take place, the appraisal stage and the development phase. The appraisal
phase is essentially a data collection and processing phase with the one objective of
determining the ‘viability’ of a project. The development phase covers the remaining
period if the project is considered viable from the time continuous production com-
mences to the time the field is abandoned. Reservoir engineering activity in various
forms takes place during both of these stages.
The activities of reservoir engineering fall into the following three general catego-
ries:
Before any production has been obtained, the so-called ‘volumetric estimate of
reserves’ is usually made. Geological and geophysical data are combined to obtain
a range of contour maps with the help of a planimeter and other tools the hydrocar-
bon bearing rock volumes can be estimated. From well log petrophysical analysis,
estimates of an average porosity and water saturation can be made and when applied
to the hydrocarbon rock volume yield an estimate of oil in place (STOIIP). Since
it is well known that only a fraction of this oil may in fact be ‘recoverable’, labora-
tory tests on cores may be carried out to estimate movable oil. The reserve estimate
finally arrived at is little more than an educated guess but a very important one for
it determines company policy.
In 1987 the Society of Petroleum Engineers in collaboration with the World Petroleum
Congress published definitions with respect to reserves and these are now accepted
world-wide 3. These definitions have been used in the summary of reserve defini-
tions which follow.
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
In the past the traditionally available reservoir engineering tools were mainly
designed to give satisfactory results for a slide rule and graph paper approach. For
many problems encountered by reservoir engineers today this remains a perfectly
valid approach where the slide rule has been replaced by the calculator. Increasingly,
however, the advance of computing capability is enabling reservoir engineering
modelling methods (‘simulations’) to be carried out at the engineers desk, previously
considered impossible.
The basis of the development of the 'model' of the reservoir are the various data
sources. As the appraisal develops the uncertainty reduces in relation to the quality
of the forecasts predicted by the model. Building up this ‘geological’ model of the
reservoir progresses from the early interpretation of the geophysical surveys, through
various well derived data sets, which include drilling information, indirect wireline
measurements, recovered core data, recovered fluid analysis, pressure depth surveys,
to information generated during production.
3. RESERVE ESTIMATING
The Society of Petroleum Engineers SPE and World Petroleum Congress WPO1987
agreed classification of reserves3 provides a valuable standard by which to define
reserves, the section below is based on this classification document.
3.1 Definitions
Reserves are those quantities of petroleum which are anticipated to be commercially
recovered from known accumulations from a given date forward.
All reserve estimates involve some degree of uncertainty. The uncertainty depends
chiefly on the amount of reliable geologic and engineering data available at the time
Unproved reserves are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves and may
be further sub-classified as probable and possible reserves to denote progressively
increasing uncertainty in their recoverability.
If deterministic methods are used, the term reasonable certainty is intended to express
a high degree of confidence that the quantities will be recovered. If probabilistic
methods are used, there should be at least a 90% probability that the quantities actu-
ally recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
the term proved refers to the actual quantities of petroleum reserves and not just
the productivity of the well or reservoir. In certain cases, proved reserves may
be assigned on the basis of well logs and/or core analysis that indicate the subject
reservoir is hydrocarbon bearing and is analogous to reservoirs in the same area that
are producing or have demonstrated the ability to produce on formation tests.
The area of the reservoir considered as proved includes (1) the area delineated by
drilling and defined by fluid contacts, if any, and (2) the undrilled portions of the
reservoir that can reasonably be judged as commercially productive on the basis of
available geological and engineering data. In the absence of data on fluid contacts, the
lowest known occurrence of hydrocarbons controls the proved limit unless otherwise
indicated by definitive geological, engineering or performance data. Reserves may be
classified as proved if facilities to process and transport those reserves to market are
operational at the time of the estimate or there is a reasonable expectation that such
facilities will be installed. Reserves in undeveloped locations may be classified as
proved undeveloped provided (1) the locations are direct offsets to wells that have
indicated commercial production in the objective formation, (2) it is reasonably
certain such locations are within the known proved productive limits of the objective
formation, (3) the locations conform to existing well spacing regulations where
applicable, and (4) it is reasonably certain the locations will be developed. Reserves
from other locations are categorised as proved undeveloped only where interpretations
of geological and engineering data from wells indicate with reasonable certainty that
the objective formation is laterally continuous and contains commercially recoverable
petroleum at locations beyond direct offsets.
Before looking at further detail we will carry out some tests to help emphasise the
above definition.
Test 1
There are 950 MM stb ( million stock tank barrels) of oil initially in place in a res-
ervoir. It is estimated that 500 MM stb can be produced. Already 100 MM stb have
been produced. In the boxes below, identify the correct answer.
Before starting production it was estimated that there was a 90% chance of produc-
ing at least 100 MM stb, 50% chance of producing 500 MM stb and 10% chance of
producing 700MM stb. That is we are sure we can produce at least 100MM stb, and
we will probably produce as much as 500 MM stb, and we will possibly produce as
much as 700 MM stb.
Test 3
Test 4
Test 5
A reservoir has been discovered by drilling a successful exploration well, and drilling
a number of producing wells. We have even produced some 200 MM stb of oil.
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
Test 1 answer
There are 950 MM stock tank boards in place. It is estimated that 500 MM stb can
be produced and 100 MM stb have been produced then 400 recoverable reserves
remain.
Test 2 answer
Test 3 answer
Economic Variables
What economic factors are used in the calculations? What oil and gas price do we
use for proved reserve estimates? Is inflation taken into account? Do we predict
future price trends? Do we apply discount factors to calculate present value of the
project? Are all these used in proved reserve calculations? The current economic
conditions are used for the calculations, with respect to prices, costs, contracts and
government regulations.
Test 4 answer
The following sources are required for proved reserves. Maps (from seismic and/
geological data). Petrophysical logs. Well test results and rock properties from core
analysis tests on recovered core.
This comes from drilled and produced hydrocarbons, the definition of the gas and oil
and water contacts or the highest and lowest observed level of hydrocarbons. Also
the undrilled area adjacent to the drilled can be used.
Test 5 answer
Possible Possible
Probability Levels
P50
Probable Probable
Time
Seismic Discovery of Start of Dev Start of Abandonment
Data Well Planning Production
What are the amounts termed that are not recoverable? The quantity of hydrocar-
bons that remains in the reservoir are called remaining hydrocarbons in place, NOT
remaining reserves!
10
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
(ii) It is reasonably certain that the project will proceed. Reserves to be recovered
by improved recovery methods that have yet to be established through
commercially successful applications are included in the proved classification
only:
(i) After a favourable production response from the subject reservoir from either
(b) An installed program where the response provides support for the analysis
on which the project is based and
(3) Incremental reserves attributable to infill drilling that could have been classified
as proved if closer statutory spacing had been approved at the time of the
estimate,
(5) Reserves in an area of the formation that appears to be separated from the
proved area by faulting and the geologic interpretation indicates the subject
area is structurally higher than the proved area,
(2) reserves in formations that appear to be petroleum bearing based on log and
core analysis but may not be productive at commercial rates,
(3) incremental reserves attributed to infill drilling that are subject to technical
uncertainty,
12
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
3.4.1. Developed:
Developed reserves are expected to be recovered from existing wells including reserves
behind pipe. Improved recovery reserves are considered developed only after the
necessary equipment has been installed, or when the costs to do so are relatively minor.
Developed reserves may be sub-categorised as producing or non-producing.
3.4.1.1 Producing:
Reserves subcategorised as producing are expected to be recovered from comple-
tion intervals which are open and producing at the time of the estimate. Improved
recovery reserves are considered producing only after the improved recovery project
is in operation.
3.4.1.2. Non-producing:
Reserves subcategorised as non-producing include shut-in and behind-pipe reserves.
Shut-in reserves are expected to be recovered from (1) completion intervals which
are open at the time of the estimate but which have not started producing, (2) wells
which were shut-in for market conditions or pipeline connections, or (3) wells not
capable of production for mechanical reasons. Behind-pipe reserves are expected to
be recovered from zones in existing wells, which will require additional completion
work or future recompletion prior to the start of production.
Whereas in the deterministic approach the volumes are determined by the calculation
of values determined for the various parameters, with the probalistic statistical analysis
is used, using tools like Monte Carlo methods. The curve as shown in the figure 3
below presents the probability that the reserves will have a volume greater or equal
to the chosen value.
1.0
0.9 'Proven'
as large as indicated.
'Proven + Proable
0.1 + Possible'
0
Recoverable Reserve
On this curve:
The proven reserves represent the reserves volume corresponding to 90% probability
on the distribution curve.
The probable reserves represent the reserves volume corresponding to the difference
between 50 and 90% probability on the distribution curve.
The possible reserves represent the reserves volume corresponding to the difference
between 10 and 50% probability on the distribution curve.
As with the deterministic approach there is also some measure of subjectivity in the
probalistic approach. For each of the elements in the following equation, there is a
probability function expression in low, medium and high probabilities for the particular
values. A schematic of a possible distribution scenario for each of the elements and
the final result is given below in the figure 4.
P = p50
p10
14
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
Probable = 240 MM stb which together with the proven makes up the P50 figure.
of 740MMstb
Possible = 120 MM stb which together with the proven and probable makes up the
P10 value of 860MMstb
60
Proven 500 MMstb P50
50
Probable 240 M
40
30
P+P+P = 860 MMstb
20
120 P10
10
Proven Probable Possible
0
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Reserves / MMstb
As a field is developed and the fluids are produced the shape of the probability curve
changes. Probability figures for reserves are gradually converted into recovery leav-
ing less uncertainty with respect to the reserves. This is illustrated in figure 6.
80
70
Probability / %
60
50 P50
40
Proved ultimate recovery.
30
20
10 P10
Production Proved reserves
0
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Reserves / MMstb
5.1 The volume of oil and gas in-place depends on a number of parameters :
The aerial coverage of the reservoir. A
The thickness of the reservoir rock contributing to the hydrocarbon volume. hn
The pore volume, as expressed by the porosity ,φ , the reservoir quality rock.
The proportion of pore space occupied by the hydrocarbon ( the saturation ).
1-Sw
The simple equation used in calculation of the volume of fluids in the reservoir, V,
is
V=Ahnφ(1-Sw): (1)
where:
A= average area
hn = nett thickness. nett thickness = gross thickness x nett: gross ratio
φ = average porosity
Sw = average water saturation.
When expressed as stock tank or standard gas volumes, equation above is divided
by the formation volume factor Bo or Bg.
V = Ahnφ (1 − Sw ) / Bo (2)
16
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
The recovery factor, RF, indicates the proportion of the in-place hydrocarbons ex-
pected to be recovered. To convert in place volumes to reserves we need to multiply
the STOIIP by the recovery factor so that:
The line over the various terms indicates the average value for these spatial
parameters.
The reservoir area A, will vary according to the category; proven, probable or pos-
sible, that is being used to define the reserves.
Oil
Using this data and possible suggested structure we can carry out some oil in place
calculations and estimate reserves. These figures however are not admissible in public
reserve estimates. They are useful inside the company to justify project expenditure!
The question is where do we locate the first exploration well and get involved in large
exploration expenditure costs. Figure 8 suggest three alternatives
Oil
In figure 9 an exploration well has been drilled and a core recovered and the struc-
ture of the field with respect to formations and contacts redefined. The redefined
structure can now be used to provide an estimate of reserves according to the
three, proven, probable and possible perspectives. Figure 10
Oil
18
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
Proved
e
l
ab
ble
bl
si Oil ible
ba
ob
os s
Pos
o
Pr
P
Pr
Figure 10 After The Exploration Well Was Drilled.
Subsequent appraisal wells are now drilled to give better definition of the reserves
of the field. Well 2 aimed at defining the field to the left identifies some additional
isolated hydrocarbon structure with its own oil water contact. Figure 11. The well, as
well as increasing the proven reserves, further identifies previous unknown reserves.
The next appraisal well is aimed at defining the reserves in the other direction. Dur-
ing well testing on wells 1or 2 indications of faulting are also helping to define the
flowing nature of the accumulation. Figure 12 for the further appraisal well confirms
the accumulation to the right and also identifies the impact of the fault with a new
oil water contact. Subsequent appraisal wells and early development give greater
definition to the field description. Figure 13
ven
Pro Proven
Oil
Gas
ven
Pro Proven
Oil
Gas
ven
Pro Proven
Oil
From a deterministic perspective the various reserve estimates, that is, proven,
probable and possible can be further determined. The indication of the various
elements based on the top structure map are shown. Figure 14
20
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
Probable
1
Proved
3
4
2
Possible
Fault B
ounda
ry
Porosity
Fluid Boundary
Contact
ry
Bo unda
Fault
7
Figure 15 Structure Contour Map.
se lu
St m
ru e
ctu
re
(units ss)
Hydrocarbon Water
Contact Elevation
o
Area Contained by Contour
7
Figure 16 Reservoir cross section.
Figures 17 & 18 show an example of a top structure map and cross section of the
Rough Gas field in the North Sea.
47/2 47/3
Completed Producers
Gw
x Abandoned Wells
9
95500
00 C.I. = 50ft.
C
w
G
0
955000
960
95 50 8
94 00 8
94 50 8
93 00 8 8
8 93 8
B 250 8 A
9 A2 00
A
8 92
47/7 47/8 8 A A4
47/8-1x A5
A
8 A Platform A
A3
9100 A6
50
91 93
9200
50
92
93 50
00
x 47/8-2
5
Figure 17 Top Sand Structure Map Rough Gas Field.
22
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
Depth (ft) A3 A1 A4
subsea
9000 A2 A5
Unc
onf
9200 orm
Rot ity
lieg
Fault
end
Fault
Unc es
onfo
9400 rmit
y
Tentative
9600 hydrocarbon/
water contact
9800
Carboniferous
Sands
5
Figure 18 Schematic Cross Section of The Rough Field.
Isopach C I
25 Units
75
100
125
150
0
7
Figure 19 Net Pay Thickness Isopach.
130
C
Gw
120
0
11 0
10
A2
47/7 47/8 A4
47/8-1 x A5
80
A1
70
11
6
A3
11
100
0
90
A6
x 47/8-2
5
Figure 20 Rough Field Isopach.
The isopach map can also be used to calculate reservoir volume. For example in figure
21 the area under a plot of net pay thickness vs. area contained within the contour
provides a net pay volume. These plots can be generated for each section or rock
type. The thickness plots for each section are called isoliths.
40
Area Enclosed = Net Rock Volume
Net Pay Isopach Value
80
120
140
OWC
180
Area Contained by Contour
7
Figure 21 Hydrocarbon Volume From Net Pay Isopach.
24
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
∑φ h k n, k
φw = k =1
hn (4)
where φk is the average porosity derived from the log over a small thickness hn,k
within the net pay thickness, hn.
These values of porosity can then be plotted to generate an isoporosity map as il-
lustrated in figure 22. The example of an isoporosity map for the Rough Field is
shown in figure 23.
Porosity C I
5%
25
20
15
5 10
7
Figure 22 Iso Porosity Map.
47/2 47/3
Gw
C
C
w
G
A2
x A5
A
A1
12%
%
10
A3
8%
A6
6%
47/8-2
x
7
Figure 23 Rough Field Iso Porosity Map.
∑S w, k φ k h n,k
Sw,w = k =1
φwh n (5)
The values of Sw,w can be plotted and contours of constant saturation (isosaturation)
presented. Figure 24.
Shale
15 20
25
30 35
40
WOC
4
Figure 24 Iso Saturation (sw) Map.
A more detailed description together with exercises are given in the mapping section
of the geology module.
26
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
φ (1 − Sw )
0.1611 0.0979 0.1741
k pb
ER, o = 0.4185 (Sw ) 0.3722
Bob µob pa
(6)
φ (1 − Sw )
0.0422 0.0770
k µ wi p
ER, o = 0.54898 (Sw )− o.1903 pi − 0.2159
Boi µoi a
(7)
b refers to bubble point conditions, i is the initial condition and a, refers to abandonment
pressure.
RESIDUAL SATURATIONS
1.00 1.00
Reservoirs
0.50 0.50
0.05 0.05
−σ +σ
MEDIAN
0 0
2 5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 95 98
Figure 25 Log - Probability Residual Oil Saturation For Water Drive and Solution Gas
6
Drive Reservoirs. (API )
2 5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 95 98
OIL RECOVERY EFFICIENCY AT FIELD ABANDONMENT
RESIDUAL SATURATIONS
1.00 1.00
Water Drive
IN PERCENT OF OIL PLACE
0.05 0.05
−σ +σ
MEDIAN
0 0
2 5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 95 98
6
Figure 26 Log - Probability of Oil Recovery For Various Drive Mechanisms. (API )
28
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
4 5 4 3 2 1
0.5
123
0.25
7
Figure 27 Isocapacity Map.
47/2
Gw
C
C
w
G
120 A2
47/7 47/8 100 A4
80 A5
47/8-1 x
60 Platform B
40
A3
0
A6
x 47/8-2
Contour Intervals 20 millidarcies
5
Figure 28 Rough Field Permeability Map.
where:
_ _
Sh = 1 − Sw
Figure 29 gives an HPT map and the Rough Field HPT map is given in figure 30
12
15
11
0
14 10
14
13
13
12
11
10
9
0
7
Figure 29 Hydrocarbon Pore Thickness Map.
10
A2
9
8
A4
A5 7
A1 6
A3 5
A6
4
5
Figure 30 Rough Field Hydrocarbon Pore Thickness.
30
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
A considerable amount of reservoir data can be obtained from these well tests
sometimes called DST’s ( drill stem tests). It has been the practise over recent years
for the produced fluids to be flared since there is unlikely to be an infrastructure to
collect these fluids. Now that companies are moving to a zero or reduced hydrocarbon
emission policy the nature and facilities required for these tests are changing. A
feature of the flaring approach is a public demonstration of the productivity of the
well being tested.
Production casing
Production tubing
Cement
Packer
Perforations
Down hole
pressure monitor
32
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
q bbls / day
Flow 1 Flow 2 Well shut in
Pi
Pressure build up
Well test analysis is a powerful reservoir engineering tool and is treated in depth in
a subsequent module of the Petroleum Engineering course.
The nature of the fluids is key to reservoir behaviour and also subsequent processing
in any development. The collection and analysis of these fluids is an important
role and is at the focus of PVT analysis. This topic is covered in Chapter 14 PVT
Analysis. The pressure profile in a well is another important aspect of reservoir
characterisation and can be used to identify fluid contacts. When used during the
early stages of production it can be a powerful means of refining the structure and
hydrodynamic continuity characteristics of the reservoir. This is covered in the next
chapter. Like PVT analysis where the information is based on samples removed
from the reservoir, core analysis is based on recovered core from the formation.
Various tests on this material and its reaction to various fluids provides many of the
reservoir engineering parameters important in determining the viability of a project.
Core analysis also provides a cross check for indirect measurements made downhole.
These core analysis perspectives are covered in chapters 7 and 8.
In any project new data is always being generated. Indeed for a reservoir, its
characteristics are unlocked over the whole lifetime of the project. The duration of
the appraisal stage clearly is a techno economic decision related to the confidence
to go ahead based on a good foundation of quality data and forecasts. Fine tuning
can always be carried out but this is costly if this delays the development stage. It
is important to identify and fill the gaps for the largest uncertainties, and having
sufficient information to design a system which is safe and cost effective. The
difficulty is making the decision on the data under which a line is drawn which
defines the basis for field development design. In reservoir development the reservoir
is always revealing its properties, indeed it is in the production phase that the true
characteristics are revealed.
7 DEVELOPMENT PLANNING
The starting point will invariably be a reservoir map used to calculate reserves, but
in addition use will be made of the material balance equation (chapter 15), together
with some drive concepts (chapter 11), to predict reservoir behaviour. One of the
problems faced in making predictions is to adequately take into account knowledge
about geological trends and, although individual well models can be adjusted to reflect
local conditions, there is no practical ‘desk calculator’ technique for using say, the
material balance equation and well models to come up with a predictive reservoir
performance. Displacement models such as those derived by Buckley and Leverett
(chapter 18), mainly from observations in the laboratory, give some insight into
reservoir behaviour but again do not significantly assist in allowing the engineer to
study the effect of alternative development plans on a heterogeneous reservoir.
With insight and ingenuity, the reservoir can be divided into a number of simple
units that can be analysed by the traditionally available techniques but such an
approach remains unsatisfactory. Over recent years the integration of geological and
geophysical perspectives is contributing considerably to the ‘confidence’ in reservoir
modelling.
7.2 Technoeconomics
For hydrocarbon accumulations found on dry land the traditional reservoir engineering
techniques available for field development planning were, in fact, quite adequate. This
is mainly so because land development operations offer a high degree of planning
34
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
flexibility to oil companies and hence allow them to make optimal use of the latest
information. In an offshore environment this is not the case; once platforms have
been ordered most development options are closed. It is with respect to offshore field
development planning that reservoir simulation models have found their greatest
application potential.
It is clear from what we have overviewed in this chapter and the topics which will be
covered in the subsequent chapters that there are many parameters which contribute
to the viability of the various aspects of successful oil and gas production. It is also
clear that the various forms of data required, the confidence in the absolute values
vary according to the type, and therefore the final impact on the final result will vary
according to the particular parameter.
The following list summarises some of the principal uncertainties associated with
the performance of the overall reservoir model. The type of data can for example
be subdivided into two aspects “static” and “dynamic” data .
Static Properties
• Reservoir structure
• Reservoir properties
• Reservoir sand connectivity
• Impact of faults
• “thief” sands
Dynamic Properties
• Relative permeability etc
• Fluid properties
• Aquifer behaviour
• Well productivity (fractures, welltype, condensate drop out etc.)
The impact of each of these parameters will vary according to the particular field but
it is important that the company is not ignorant of the magnitude of the contributing
uncertainties, so that resources can be directed at cost effectively reducing specific
uncertainties. Figure 33 illustrates an outcome which might arise from an analysis
of various uncertainties for a particular field. It demonstrates for this particular field
and at the time of analysis the impact of the various data has on the final project cost.
Clearly in this case the aquifer behaviour uncertainties has the least impact whereas
reservoir structure and well productivity uncertainties had the most significant. An-
other field would result in different impact perspectives, and therefore a different
strategy to reduce overall project uncertainty would be required.
Sand
conectives
Aquifer
behaviour
Fluid properties
Relative
permeabilities etc.
Thief zones
Faults
- Changes +
During the development phase Dake2 has identified a number of roles for the Reservoir
Engineering which are targeted at optimising production. It is an irony that some
of the best data is generated during the production phase. Through production the
reservoir unveils more of its secrets. Some of these may cause modifications to the
development, perhaps in defining new well locations. The nature of the hydrodynamic
continuity of the reservoir is mainly revealed through pressure surveys run after a period
of production. This may define zones not being drained and therefore modifications
to the well completions might result.
As production progresses fluid contacts rise and therefore these contacts need to
be monitored and the results used to decide, for example, to recomplete a well as a
result of, for example excessive water production. As is pointed out in the chapter on
reservoir pressure, development wells before they are completed provide a valuable
resource to the reservoir engineer to enable surveys of pressure to be run to provide
a dynamic pressure-depth profile.
36
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
More simple approaches not requiring the resources of a complex simulator can also
be used to up date early predictions, for example material balance studies.
Once production has been obtained, the additional data becomes available and makes
an important contribution to the refining of the initial reserves estimates. Two tech-
niques historically used are decline curve analysis and material balance studies.
In material balance studies, the pressure-volume behaviour of the entire field is
studied assuming an infinite permeability for the reservoir. By assuming an initial
oil-in-place from volumetric calculations, the pressure is allowed to decline following
fluid withdrawal. This decline is matched against the observed pressure behaviour
and, if necessary, the original oil-in-place figure is modified until a match is obtained.
In the presence of a water drive, additional variables are included by allowing water
influx into the ‘tank’. Water influx is governed by mathematical relationships such
as van Everdingen and Hurst (These concepts are covered in Chapters 11, 12, and
13 MB/MB Applications and Water Influx).
Decline curves are plots of rate of withdrawal versus time or cumulative withdrawal
on a variety of co-ordinate scales. Usually a straight line is sought through these ob-
servations and extrapolated to give ultimate recovery and rates of recovery. Decline
curves only use rates of withdrawal and pay relatively little attention to the reservoir
and flowing pressures. A change in the mode of operation of the field could change the
slope of the decline curve; hence, this is one of the weaknesses of this technique.
A noteworthy feature of these two approaches is that the engineer in fact ‘fits’ a sim-
ple model to observe data and uses this model to predict the future by extrapolation.
As more data becomes available the model gets ‘updated’ and predicted results are
adjusted. Decline curve analysis has not been used to the same extent as in the 60’s
and 70’s. With the power of computing and the efforts made to integrate geological
understanding , the physics of the flow and behaviour of rock and fluid systems into
reservoir simulation, the ‘fitting” and the uncertainty of earlier methods are being
superseded by integrated reservoir simulation modelling.
The routine company function will generate the need for on going production pro-
file updates. The generation of these is generally the responsibility of the reservoir
engineer, who might chose simple analytical approaches to the more costly reservoir
simulation methods.
Plateau phase
Production rate
Artificial lift
Economic limit
Time - years
The challenge facing the industry is the issue of the proportion of hydrocarbons left
behind. The ability to extract a greater proportion of the in-place fluids is obviously
a target to be aimed at and over recent years recoveries have increased through the
application of innovative technology. Historically there have been three phases of
recovery considered. Primary recovery, which is that recovery obtained through the
natural energy of the reservoir.
Much effort was put into enhanced oil recovery (EOR) research up until the mid
seventies. Sometimes it is termed tertiary recovery. When the oil price has dropped
the economics of many of the proposed methods are not viable. Many are based on
38
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
the injection of chemicals which are often oil based. The subject of EOR has not been
forgotten and innovative methods are being investigated within the more volatile
oil price arena. Figure 35 gives a schematic representation of the various phases of
development and includes the various improved recovery methods. More recently
a new term has been introduced called Improved Oil Recovery (IOR). IOR is more
loosely defined and covers all approaches which might be used to improve the recov-
ery of hydrocarbons in place. Clearly it is not as specific as EOR but provides more
of an achievable target than perhaps some of the more sophisticated EOR methods.
As we have entered into the next millennium it is interesting to note that a number
of major improved recovery initiatives are being considered particularly with respect
to gas injection. One perspective which make a project more viable is that of the
disposal of gas for example which is an environmental challenge in one field can
be the source of gas for another field requiring gas for a gas injection improved oil
recovery process.
Primary
Recovery
C
Natural Artifical Lift O
Pump gas lift etc. N
Flow V
E
N
Secondary T
Recovery I
O
N
A
Natural Pressure L
Flow Maintenance
Water, gas injection
Tertiary
Recovery
E
O
R Thermal Gas Chemical Microbial
As we have discussed the role of the reservoir engineer in combination with other
disciplines is to predict the behaviour of the reservoir. Whereas in the early years of
oil exploration little attention was paid to understanding the detailed characteristics
of the reservoir, it is now recognized that detailed reservoir properties associated with
often complex physical and chemical laws determine field behaviour. The unlocking
of these characteristics and understanding the laws enable engineering plans to be
put in place to ensure optimised developments are implemented. This is schemati-
cally illustrated in figure 36.
Development
Plan
Reservoir Description
Unique
Dynamic and Static
At one extreme for example in a blow - out situation, a reservoir produces in an un-
controlled manner only restricted by the size of the well through which is producing.
Optmised development however based on a thorough understanding of the reservoir
enables the reservoir to be produced in a controlled, optimised manner.
In many other industries the effort expended on one project can be utilised in engi-
neering a duplicate or a similar size unit elsewhere. Such opportunities are not pos-
sible in the engineering of a reservoir. Reservoirs are unique in many aspects. The
composition of the fluids are unique, the rock characteristics and related properties
are unique, the size and shape are unique and so on. From our perspective this reser-
voir description is dynamic as the reservoir over a period of time gives up its secrets.
From the reservoir’s perspective however the description is static, except with the
changes resulting from the impact of fluid production or injection. The challenge
to those involved is reducing the time it takes for our dynamic description to match,
our static description known only to the reservoir or whoever was responsible for
its formation! The answer perhaps is more of a philosophical nature. The reality is
shown in figure 37 where the top structure map for a North Sea gas field with a ten
year gap shows the impact of knowledge gained from a number of wells as against
that interpreted from the one well. Considerable faulting is shown not as a result of
major geological a activity over the ten years but knowledge gained from the data
associated with the new wells.
40
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
21
00
0
0
200
100
53°10 53°10
SHELL/ESSO 49/26 AMOCO 49/27
20
2200
00
21
21
49/26.1 00
53°05 53°05
12
00
100
80 0
0
20
10
00
00
20 100
10
20
100
20
00 0
00
0
00
00
0
210
2000
2°00 2°20
Present interpretation of Leman Gas-field, showing contours on top of Rotliegendes in feet below sea-level
Figure 37 (a) The Leman Field as it Appeared to be When The Exploration Well Was
The Leman field as it appeared to be when the exploration well was drilled
Drilled.
Depth in feet
0 1 Miles
0 1 2 KMS
70
A permanent platform
63
00 63
00
53°05 53°05
620
0 6400
6300
69
00
610
6900 0
6300 6
90 0
690
0 64
69
0
00
0
6300
70 69 6400
00 00
53°00 53°00
Present interpretation of Leman Gas-field, showing contours on top of Rotliegendes in feet below sea level.
The coverage of the reservoir has also changed effecting the equity associated with
the blocks. This illustrates the early benefits to be gained from drilling a number of
exploration wells. These equity agreements, are called unitisation agreements and such
agreements are shortened when good quality and comprehensive reservoir descrip-
tion data is available. Clearly there can never be sufficient description, however the
10. CONCLUSION
It is also important that the Petroleum Reservoir Engineer has a thorough basic
understanding in general, historical and petroleum geology. The influence of geological
history on the structural conditions existing in a reservoir should be known and
considered in making a reservoir engineering study. Such a study may also help to
identify and characterise the reservoir as to its aerial extent, thickness and stratification
and the chemical composition, size distribution and texture of the rock materials.
In his latest text, Dake2 comments on some of the philosophy of approach to reser-
voir engineering, and identifies the importance of pinning down interpretation and
prediction of reservoir behaviour to well grounded laws of physics.
Reservoir forecasting has moved on considerably since wells were drilled with little
interest and concern into the production and forecasting of what was happening in
the reservoirs thousands of feet below. The approach to coping with uncertainty as
jokingly reflected in the cartoon below, (Figure 38) is no longer the case as sophisti-
cated computational tools enable predictions to be made with confidence and where
uncertainty exists the degree of uncertainty can be defined.
42
Introduction To Reservoir Engineering
"We feed the geological data for the area, the computer produces a schematic topological
overview designating high probability key points, then we stick the printout on the wall and
Lever throws darts at it."
REFERENCES