Forrester Future of Work
Forrester Future of Work
Forrester Future of Work
WORK
© 2019 Forrester Research, Inc.
PART ONE
PART TWO
PART THREE
PART FOUR
PART FIVE
What It Means
PART SIX
Move too slow, and risk acute competitive risk; move too fast, and
create operational complexity that weighs down the organization
and confuses (or disenfranchises) customers. Regardless, automation
gaps will create the next level of technical debt, where companies
can’t or are slow to reap the expected benefits.
1. Automation must create the adaptive enterprise 3. Ultimately, automation fuels and is driven by
— with an adaptive workforce — able to disrupt shape-shifting organizations.
and respond to disruption. The organization of tomorrow is nothing like today’s
Organizations that exist in the next five years will hierarchical and siloed firms with clarity of jobs
do so because they were able to leverage digital to and boundaries. Instead, it will have a powerful
adapt to customers, competitors, and disruptors. In core of purpose and culture with a central control
10 years, adaptive enterprises will be table stakes. framework for automation — a task- (not job-) driven
The question is which companies used technology organization leveraging both the gig economy
as the aperture to pursue new opportunities — to and digital outsourcing. This shape-shifting
act as disruptors as disruption becomes normal. organization gives context to the structure and
role of automation.
2. Automation influences and is influenced by the
gig economy. 4. Automation should assume the emergence of
Automation will accelerate the need for and size of personal data twins (PDTs) and more transparent
the gig economy, as it displaces jobs and sources and balanced privacy rules.
the talent able to deliver on certain competencies Customers are becoming increasingly wary of
and tasks. Automation will also enable the gig institutions that use their data outside their sight and
economy to exist by connecting buyers and sellers. permission. Expect customers to build PDTs based
on zero-party data and governed by a select set
of trusted entities able to act as identity stewards.
PDTs will be a key currency of tomorrow's
enterprises and ecosystems.
1. Impact on jobs Four Options Are Emerging For The Future Of Work
Human-touch workers, cross-domain knowledge
workers, teachers/explainers, and digital elite jobs
will grow. Single-domain knowledge workers,
The talent Automation
physical workers, function-specific knowledge economy deficits
workers, location-based workers, coordinators, 30% 29%
and cubicle jobs will shrink. (Skills to tasks) (Job loss)
Disruption to
traditional
2. Impact on economic opportunity and disparity employment
Job Automation
Automation will exacerbate income disparity, dividends
transformation
as dividends shift to digital-savvy leaders and
80% 13%
negatively impact non-digital workers unable to (Restructured work) (New
automation jobs)
skill up fast enough.
Skills and income gap
3. Impact on global markets
Source: Forrester forecasts
Outsourcing and evolving supply chains
have favored low income economies able to
match skill level and capacity to global needs.
Automation disrupts offshoring: substituting low- 4. Impact on how work is done
cost manufacturing with less expensive localized The way we have done work has already
automated manufacturing that is responsive to changed significantly. The difference in the
customer demand; replacing human outsourcing; future is those changes measured in decades
and applying additional pressure on economies will now be measured in years and months. Work
to build domestic demand that is able to counter- will depend on a symbiotic relationship between
balance changing global demand. man and machine. This is not a man-led, machine-
do structure; instead, it will match leadership,
decisioning, and execution tasks across robots
and humans that best deliver the desired outcome.
U N DE RWAY
What It Means
Intelligent technologies and the future of work will have far-reaching
implications: some we can imagine now and some we cannot. This
is not a future-only narrative that allows leaders to wait until it clearly
arrives at your doorstep; this is a dynamic already underway that will
pick up substantial speed and scope and requires attention now.
2. Economic planning
Automation will disrupt global, national, and
local economies, from where goods are made
and sold to the emergence of more complex
ecosystems and changes in the labor markets.
Governments and companies need to join
together to create economic policy to maximize
commercial opportunity while minimizing the
impact to local jobs.
2. Prepare and hone leadership: Leading organizations and teams will be markedly
different than today. The future enterprise will be a shape-shifting one with adaptive
workforces that flex as needs evolve. Maintaining a purpose, culture, and brand that
establishes distinction and power, managing talent across the gig economy to align
to tasks as they come and go, determining the best fit and purpose for robots, and
ensuring that employees are empowered and outfitted to navigate this more complex
work environment is no easy task. Forrester’s Future Fit allows leaders to assess
where they stand to take on this challenge, creating a baseline and development
path to advance leadership.
5. Build a learning enterprise: We are past the days of classic change management
where the goal was to move a human or team from point A to point B. Going forward,
change will be constant, meaning there is no point B. An employee’s ability (and, in
some ways, desire) to learn will be a differentiating competency for firms — moving
learning from a tactical hygiene to an economic engine. Forrester offers learning
products designed to build fundamental skills and competencies in burgeoning areas
such as customer experience.
Automation will drive significant change, but it will not change what
a company is and how it works. The basic meaning and purpose of
the company remains intact — to prosper by creating differentiated
value for customers. In other words, leaders must guide change and
performance in a remarkably different context, mastering the obvious
and nuanced in the future of work.
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