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Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

Chapter 15
The Term Structure of Interest Rates

Multiple Choice Questions

1. The term structure of interest rates is:


A. The relationship between the rates of interest on all securities.
B. The relationship between the interest rate on a security and its time to maturity.
C. The relationship between the yield on a bond and its default rate.
D. All of these are correct.
E. None of these is correct.

2. Treasury STRIPS are


A. securities issued by the Treasury with very long maturities.
B. extremely risky securities.
C. created by selling each coupon or principal payment from a whole Treasury bond as a
separate cash flow.
D. created by pooling mortgage payments made to the Treasury.
E. created both by selling each coupon or principal payment from a whole Treasury bond as a
separate cash flow and by pooling mortgage payments made to the Treasury.

3. The value of a Treasury bond should


A. be equal to the sum of the value of STRIPS created from it.
B. be less than the sum of the value of STRIPS created from it.
C. be greater than the sum of the value of STRIPS created from it.
D. be greater than or less than the sum of the value of STRIPS created from it.
E. None of these is correct.

15-1
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

4. If the value of a Treasury bond was higher than the value of the sum of its parts
(STRIPPED cash flows) you could

A. profit by buying the stripped cash flows and reconstituting the bond.
B. not profit by buying the stripped cash flows and reconstituting the bond.
C. profit by buying the bond and creating STRIPS.
D. not profit by buying the stripped cash flows and reconstituting the bond but profit by
buying the bond and creating STRIPS.
E. None of these is correct.

Multiple Choice Questions

5. If the value of a Treasury bond was lower than the value of the sum of its parts (STRIPPED
cash flows) you could
A. profit by buying the stripped cash flows and reconstituting the bond.
B. not profit by buying the stripped cash flows and reconstituting the bond.
C. profit by buying the bond and creating STRIPS.
D. not profit by buying the stripped cash flows and reconstituting the bond and profit by
buying the bond and creating STRIPS.
E. None of these is correct.

6. If the value of a Treasury bond was lower than the value of the sum of its parts (STRIPPED
cash flows)
A. arbitrage would probably occur.
B. arbitrage would probably not occur.
C. the FED would adjust interest rates.
D. arbitrage would probably not occur and the FED would adjust interest rates.
E. None of these is correct.

15-2
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

7. If the value of a Treasury bond was higher than the value of the sum of its parts
(STRIPPED cash flows)
A. arbitrage would probably occur.
B. arbitrage would probably not occur.
C. the FED would adjust interest rates.
D. arbitrage would probably not occur and the FED would adjust interest rates.
E. None of these is correct.

8. Bond stripping and bond reconstitution offer opportunities for ______, which can occur if
the _________ is violated.
A. arbitrage; Law of One Price
B. arbitrage; restrictive covenants
C. huge losses; Law of One Price
D. huge losses; restrictive covenants
E. both arbitrage and huge losses; restrictive covenants

9. ______ can occur if _____.


A. arbitrage; the Law of One Price is not violated
B. arbitrage; the Law of One Price is violated
C. riskless economic profit; the Law of One Price is not violated
D. riskless economic profit; the Law of One Price is violated
E. both arbitrage and riskless economic profit; the Law of One Price is violated

10. The yield curve shows at any point in time:


A. The relationship between the yield on a bond and the duration of the bond.
B. The relationship between the coupon rate on a bond and time to maturity of the bond.
C. The relationship between yield on a bond and the time to maturity on the bond.
D. All of these are correct.
E. None of these is correct.

15-3
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

11. An inverted yield curve implies that:


A. Long-term interest rates are lower than short-term interest rates.
B. Long-term interest rates are higher than short-term interest rates.
C. Long-term interest rates are the same as short-term interest rates.
D. Intermediate term interest rates are higher than either short- or long-term interest rates.
E. None of these is correct.

12. An upward sloping yield curve is a(n) _______ yield curve.


A. normal
B. humped
C. inverted
D. flat
E. None of these is correct

13. According to the expectations hypothesis, an upward sloping yield curve implies that
A. interest rates are expected to remain stable in the future.
B. interest rates are expected to decline in the future.
C. interest rates are expected to increase in the future.
D. interest rates are expected to decline first, then increase.
E. interest rates are expected to increase first, then decrease.

14. Which of the following is not proposed as an explanation for the term structure of interest
rates?
A. The expectations theory.
B. The liquidity preference theory.
C. The safety of principal theory.
D. Modern portfolio theory.
E. Both the expectations theory and the liquidity preference theory.

15-4
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

15. The expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates states that
A. forward rates are determined by investors' expectations of future interest rates.
B. forward rates exceed the expected future interest rates.
C. yields on long- and short-maturity bonds are determined by the supply and demand for the
securities.
D. All of these are correct.
E. None of these is correct.

Suppose that all investors expect that interest rates for the 4 years will be as follows:

16. What is the price of 3-year zero coupon bond with a par value of $1,000?
A. $863.83
B. $816.58
C. $772.18
D. $765.55
E. None of these is correct.

17. If you have just purchased a 4-year zero coupon bond, what would be the expected rate of
return on your investment in the first year if the implied forward rates stay the same? (Par
value of the bond = $1,000)
A. 5%
B. 7%
C. 9%
D. 10%
E. None of these is correct.

15-5
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

18. What is the price of a 2-year maturity bond with a 10% coupon rate paid annually? (Par
value = $1,000)
A. $1,092
B. $1,054
C. $1,000
D. $1,073
E. None of these is correct.

19. What is the yield to maturity of a 3-year zero coupon bond?


A. 7.00%
B. 9.00%
C. 6.99%
D. 7.49%
E. None of these is correct.

The following is a list of prices for zero coupon bonds with different maturities and par value
of $1,000.

20. What is, according to the expectations theory, the expected forward rate in the third year?
A. 7.00%
B. 7.33%
C. 9.00%
D. 11.19%
E. None of these is correct.

15-6
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

21. What is the yield to maturity on a 3-year zero coupon bond?


A. 6.37%
B. 9.00%
C. 7.33%
D. 10.00%
E. None of these is correct.

22. What is the price of a 4-year maturity bond with a 12% coupon rate paid annually? (Par
value = $1,000)
A. $742.09
B. $1,222.09
C. $1,000.00
D. $1,141.92
E. None of these is correct.

23. An upward sloping yield curve


A. may be an indication that interest rates are expected to increase.
B. may incorporate a liquidity premium.
C. may reflect the confounding of the liquidity premium with interest rate expectations.
D. All of these are correct.
E. None of these is correct.

24. The "break-even" interest rate for year n that equates the return on an n-period zero-
coupon bond to that of an n−1-period zero-coupon bond rolled over into a one-year bond in
year n is defined as
A. the forward rate.
B. the short rate.
C. the yield to maturity.
D. the discount rate.
E. None of these is correct.

15-7
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

25. When computing yield to maturity, the implicit reinvestment assumption is that the
interest payments are reinvested at the:
A. Coupon rate.
B. Current yield.
C. Yield to maturity at the time of the investment.
D. Prevailing yield to maturity at the time interest payments are received.
E. The average yield to maturity throughout the investment period.

26. Given the bond described above, if interest were paid semi-annually (rather than
annually), and the bond continued to be priced at $850, the resulting effective annual yield to
maturity would be:
A. Less than 12%.
B. More than 12%.
C. 12%.
D. Cannot be determined.
E. None of these is correct.

27. Forward rates ____________ future short rates because ____________.


A. are equal to; they are both extracted from yields to maturity.
B. are equal to; they are perfect forecasts.
C. differ from; they are imperfect forecasts.
D. differ from; forward rates are estimated from dealer quotes while future short rates are
extracted from yields to maturity.
E. are equal to; although they are estimated from different sources they both are used by
traders to make purchase decisions.

15-8
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

28. The pure yield curve can be estimated


A. by using zero-coupon Treasuries.
B. by using stripped Treasuries if each coupon is treated as a separate "zero."
C. by using corporate bonds with different risk ratings.
D. by estimating liquidity premiums for different maturities.
E. by using zero-coupon Treasuries and by using stripped Treasuries if each coupon is treated
as a separate "zero."

29. The on the run yield curve is


A. a plot of yield as a function of maturity for zero-coupon bonds.
B. a plot of yield as a function of maturity for recently issued coupon bonds trading at or near
par.
C. a plot of yield as a function of maturity for corporate bonds with different risk ratings.
D. a plot of liquidity premiums for different maturities.
E. a plot of yield as a function of maturity for zero-coupon bonds and a plot of yield as a
function of maturity for recently issued coupon bonds trading at or near par.

30. The yield curve


A. is a graphical depiction of term structure of interest rates.
B. is usually depicted for U. S. Treasuries in order to hold risk constant across maturities and
yields.
C. is usually depicted for corporate bonds of different ratings.
D. is a graphical depiction of term structure of interest rates and is usually depicted for U. S.
Treasuries in order to hold risk constant across maturities and yields.
E. is a graphical depiction of term structure of interest rates and is usually depicted for
corporate bonds of different ratings.

15-9
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

31. What should the purchase price of a 2-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased at the
beginning of year 2 and has face value of $1,000?
A. $877.54
B. $888.33
C. $883.32
D. $893.36
E. $871.80

32. What would the yield to maturity be on a four-year zero coupon bond purchased today?
A. 5.80%
B. 7.30%
C. 6.65%
D. 7.25%
E. None of these is correct.

33. Calculate the price at the beginning of year 1 of a 10% annual coupon bond with face
value $1,000 and 5 years to maturity.
A. $1,105
B. $1,132
C. $1,179
D. $1,150
E. $1,119

34. Given the yield on a 3 year zero-coupon bond is 7.2% and forward rates of 6.1% in year 1
and 6.9% in year 2, what must be the forward rate in year 3?
A. 8.4%
B. 8.6%
C. 8.1%
D. 8.9%
E. None of these is correct.

15-10
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

35. An inverted yield curve is one


A. with a hump in the middle.
B. constructed by using convertible bonds.
C. that is relatively flat.
D. that plots the inverse relationship between bond prices and bond yields.
E. that slopes downward.

36. Investors can use publicly available financial data to determine which of the following?
I) The shape of the yield curve.
II) Expected future short-term rates (if liquidity premiums are ignored).
III) The direction the Dow indexes are heading.
IV) The actions to be taken by the Federal Reserve.
A. I and II
B. I and III
C. I, II, and III
D. I, III, and IV
E. I, II, III, and IV

37. Which of the following combinations will result in a sharply increasing yield curve?
A. Increasing future expected short rates and increasing liquidity premiums
B. Decreasing future expected short rates and increasing liquidity premiums
C. Increasing future expected short rates and decreasing liquidity premiums
D. Increasing future expected short rates and constant liquidity premiums
E. Constant future expected short rates and increasing liquidity premiums

38. The yield curve is a component of


A. the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
B. the consumer price index.
C. the index of leading economic indicators.
D. the producer price index.
E. the inflation index.

15-11
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

39. The most recently issued Treasury securities are called


A. on the run.
B. off the run.
C. on the market.
D. off the market.
E. None of these is correct.

Suppose that all investors expect that interest rates for the 4 years will be as follows:

40. What is the price of 3-year zero coupon bond with a par value of $1,000?
A. $889.08
B. $816.58
C. $772.18
D. $765.55
E. None of these is correct.

41. If you have just purchased a 4-year zero coupon bond, what would be the expected rate of
return on your investment in the first year if the implied forward rates stay the same? (Par
value of the bond = $1,000).
A. 5%
B. 3%
C. 9%
D. 10%
E. None of these is correct.

15-12
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

42. What is the price of a 2-year maturity bond with a 5% coupon rate paid annually? (Par
value = $1,000).
A. $1,092.97
B. $1,054.24
C. $1,028.51
D. $1,073.34
E. None of these is correct.

43. What is the yield to maturity of a 3-year zero coupon bond?


A. 7.00%
B. 9.00%
C. 6.99%
D. 4%
E. None of these is correct.

The following is a list of prices for zero coupon bonds with different maturities and par value
of $1,000.

44. What is, according to the expectations theory, the expected forward rate in the third year?
A. 7.23
B. 9.37%
C. 9.00%
D. 10.9%
E. None of these is correct.

15-13
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

45. What is the yield to maturity on a 3-year zero coupon bond?


A. 6.37%
B. 9.00%
C. 7.33%
D. 8.24%
E. None of these is correct.

46. What is the price of a 4-year maturity bond with a 10% coupon rate paid annually? (Par
value = $1,000).
A. $742.09
B. $1,222.09
C. $1,035.66
D. $1,141.84
E. None of these is correct.

47. You have purchased a 4-year maturity bond with a 9% coupon rate paid annually. The
bond has a par value of $1,000. What would the price of the bond be one year from now if the
implied forward rates stay the same?
A. $995.63
B. $1,108.88
C. $1,000.00
D. $1,042.78
E. None of these is correct.

15-14
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

48. Given the bond described above, if interest were paid semi-annually (rather than
annually), and the bond continued to be priced at $917.99, the resulting effective annual yield
to maturity would be:
A. Less than 10%.
B. More than 10%.
C. 10%.
D. Cannot be determined.
E. None of these is correct.

49. What should the purchase price of a 2-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased at the
beginning of year 2 and has face value of $1,000?
A. $877.54
B. $888.33
C. $883.32
D. $894.21
E. $871.80

50. What would the yield to maturity be on a four-year zero coupon bond purchased today?
A. 5.75%
B. 6.30%
C. 5.65%
D. 5.25%
E. None of these is correct.

15-15
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

51. Calculate the price at the beginning of year 1 of an 8% annual coupon bond with face
value $1,000 and 5 years to maturity.
A. $1,105.47
B. $1,131.91
C. $1,084.25
D. $1,150.01
E. $719.75

52. Given the yield on a 3 year zero-coupon bond is 7% and forward rates of 6% in year 1 and
6.5% in year 2, what must be the forward rate in year 3?
A. 7.2%
B. 8.6%
C. 8.5%
D. 6.9%
E. None of these is correct.

53. What should the purchase price of a 1-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased today
and has face value of $1,000?
A. $966.37
B. $912.87
C. $950.21
D. $956.02
E. $945.51

15-16
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

54. What should the purchase price of a 2-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased today
and has face value of $1,000?
A. $966.87
B. $911.37
C. $950.21
D. $956.02
E. $945.51

55. What should the purchase price of a 3-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased today
and has face value of $1,000?
A. $887.42
B. $871.12
C. $879.54
D. $856.02
E. $866.32

56. What should the purchase price of a 4-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased today
and has face value of $1,000?
A. $887.42
B. $821.15
C. $879.54
D. $856.02
E. $866.32

57. What should the purchase price of a 5-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased today
and has face value of $1,000?
A. $776.14
B. $721.15
C. $779.54
D. $756.02
E. $766.32

15-17
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

58. What is the yield to maturity of a 1-year bond?


A. 4.6%
B. 4.9%
C. 5.2%
D. 5.5%
E. 5.8%

59. What is the yield to maturity of a 5-year bond?


A. 4.6%
B. 4.9%
C. 5.2%
D. 5.5%
E. 5.8%

60. What is the yield to maturity of a 4-year bond?


A. 4.69%
B. 4.95%
C. 5.02%
D. 5.05%
E. 5.08%

61. What is the yield to maturity of a 3-year bond?


A. 4.6%
B. 4.9%
C. 5.2%
D. 5.5%
E. 5.8%

62. What is the yield to maturity of a 2-year bond?


A. 4.6%
B. 4.9%
C. 5.2%
D. 4.7%
E. 5.8%

15-18
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

Short Answer Questions

63. Discuss the theories of the term structure of interest rates. Include in your discussion the
differences in the theories, and the advantages/disadvantages of each.

64. Term structure of interest rates is the relationship between what variables? What is
assumed about other variables? How is term structure of interest rates depicted graphically?

65. Although the expectations of increases in future interest rates can result in an upward
sloping yield curve; an upward sloping yield curve does not in and of itself imply the
expectations of higher future interest rates. Explain.

15-19
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

66. Explain what the following terms mean: spot rate, short rate, and forward rate. Which of
these is (are) observable today?

67. Answer the following questions that relate to bonds.


A 2-year zero-coupon bond is selling for $890.00. What is the yield to maturity of this bond?
The price of a 1-year zero coupon bond is $931.97. What is the yield to maturity of this bond?
Calculate the forward rate for the second year.
How can you construct a synthetic one-year forward loan (you are agreeing now to loan in
one year)? State the strategy and show the corresponding cash flows. Assume that you can
purchase and sell fractional portions of bonds. Show all calculations and discuss the meaning
of the transactions.

15-20
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

Chapter 15 The Term Structure of Interest Rates Answer Key

Multiple Choice Questions

1. The term structure of interest rates is:


A. The relationship between the rates of interest on all securities.
B. The relationship between the interest rate on a security and its time to maturity.
C. The relationship between the yield on a bond and its default rate.
D. All of these are correct.
E. None of these is correct.

The term structure of interest rates is the relationship between two variables, years and yield
to maturity (holding all else constant).

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

2. Treasury STRIPS are


A. securities issued by the Treasury with very long maturities.
B. extremely risky securities.
C. created by selling each coupon or principal payment from a whole Treasury bond as a
separate cash flow.
D. created by pooling mortgage payments made to the Treasury.
E. created both by selling each coupon or principal payment from a whole Treasury bond as a
separate cash flow and by pooling mortgage payments made to the Treasury

Treasury STRIPS are created by selling each coupon or principal payment from a whole
Treasury bond as a separate cash flow.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-21
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

3. The value of a Treasury bond should


A. be equal to the sum of the value of STRIPS created from it.
B. be less than the sum of the value of STRIPS created from it.
C. be greater than the sum of the value of STRIPS created from it.
D. be greater than or less than the sum of the value of STRIPS created from it
E. None of these is correct.

The value of a Treasury bond should be equal to the sum of the value of STRIPS created from
it.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

4. If the value of a Treasury bond was higher than the value of the sum of its parts
(STRIPPED cash flows) you could

A. profit by buying the stripped cash flows and reconstituting the bond.
B. not profit by buying the stripped cash flows and reconstituting the bond.
C. profit by buying the bond and creating STRIPS.
D. not profit by buying the stripped cash flows and reconstituting the bond but profit by
buying the bond and creating STRIPS
E. None of these is correct.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Understand
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

Multiple Choice Questions

15-22
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

5. If the value of a Treasury bond was lower than the value of the sum of its parts (STRIPPED
cash flows) you could
A. profit by buying the stripped cash flows and reconstituting the bond.
B. not profit by buying the stripped cash flows and reconstituting the bond.
C. profit by buying the bond and creating STRIPS.
D. not profit by buying the stripped cash flows and reconstituting the bond and profit by
buying the bond and creating STRIPS
E. None of these is correct.

Buying and stripping the bond would be profitable so answer D is correct.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Understand
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

6. If the value of a Treasury bond was lower than the value of the sum of its parts (STRIPPED
cash flows)
A. arbitrage would probably occur.
B. arbitrage would probably not occur.
C. the FED would adjust interest rates.
D. arbitrage would probably not occur and the FED would adjust interest rates
E. None of these is correct.

If the value of a Treasury bond was lower than the value of the sum of its parts (STRIPPED
cash flows) arbitrage would probably occur.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Understand
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-23
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

7. If the value of a Treasury bond was higher than the value of the sum of its parts
(STRIPPED cash flows)
A. arbitrage would probably occur.
B. arbitrage would probably not occur.
C. the FED would adjust interest rates.
D. arbitrage would probably not occur and the FED would adjust interest rates
E. None of these is correct.

If the value of a Treasury bond was higher than the value of the sum of its parts (STRIPPED
cash flows) arbitrage would probably occur.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Understand
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

8. Bond stripping and bond reconstitution offer opportunities for ______, which can occur if
the _________ is violated.
A. arbitrage; Law of One Price
B. arbitrage; restrictive covenants
C. huge losses; Law of One Price
D. huge losses; restrictive covenants
E. both arbitrage and huge losses; restrictive covenants

Bond stripping and bond reconstitution offer opportunities for arbitrage, which can occur if
the Law of One Price is violated.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Understand
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-24
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

9. ______ can occur if _____.


A. arbitrage; the Law of One Price is not violated
B. arbitrage; the Law of One Price is violated
C. riskless economic profit; the Law of One Price is not violated
D. riskless economic profit; the Law of One Price is violated
E. both arbitrage and riskless economic profit; the Law of One Price is violated

Arbitrage (also known as riskless economic profit) can occur if the Law of One Price is
violated.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Understand
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

10. The yield curve shows at any point in time:


A. The relationship between the yield on a bond and the duration of the bond.
B. The relationship between the coupon rate on a bond and time to maturity of the bond.
C. The relationship between yield on a bond and the time to maturity on the bond.
D. All of these are correct.
E. None of these is correct.

The yield curve shows the relationship between yield on a bond and the time to maturity on
the bond.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Yield curve

15-25
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

11. An inverted yield curve implies that:


A. Long-term interest rates are lower than short-term interest rates.
B. Long-term interest rates are higher than short-term interest rates.
C. Long-term interest rates are the same as short-term interest rates.
D. Intermediate term interest rates are higher than either short- or long-term interest rates.
E. None of these is correct.

The inverted, or downward sloping, yield curve is one in which short-term rates are higher
than long-term rates. The inverted yield curve has been observed frequently, although not as
frequently as the upward sloping, or normal, yield curve.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Yield curve

12. An upward sloping yield curve is a(n) _______ yield curve.


A. normal.
B. humped.
C. inverted.
D. flat.
E. None of these is correct.

The upward sloping yield curve is referred to as the normal yield curve, probably because,
historically, the upward sloping yield curve is the shape that has been observed most
frequently.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Yield curve

15-26
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

13. According to the expectations hypothesis, an upward sloping yield curve implies that
A. interest rates are expected to remain stable in the future.
B. interest rates are expected to decline in the future.
C. interest rates are expected to increase in the future.
D. interest rates are expected to decline first, then increase.
E. interest rates are expected to increase first, then decrease.

An upward sloping yield curve is based on the expectation that short-term interest rates will
increase.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Yield curve

14. Which of the following is not proposed as an explanation for the term structure of interest
rates?
A. The expectations theory.
B. The liquidity preference theory.
C. The safety of principal theory.
D. Modern portfolio theory.
E. Both the expectations theory and the liquidity preference theory.

A and B are theories that have been proposed to explain the term structure.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-27
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

15. The expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates states that
A. forward rates are determined by investors' expectations of future interest rates.
B. forward rates exceed the expected future interest rates.
C. yields on long- and short-maturity bonds are determined by the supply and demand for the
securities.
D. All of these are correct.
E. None of these is correct.

The forward rate equals the market consensus expectation of future short interest rates.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

Suppose that all investors expect that interest rates for the 4 years will be as follows:

16. What is the price of 3-year zero coupon bond with a par value of $1,000?
A. $863.83
B. $816.58
C. $772.18
D. $765.55
E. None of these is correct.

$1,000/(1.05)(1.07)(1.09) = $816.58

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-28
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

17. If you have just purchased a 4-year zero coupon bond, what would be the expected rate of
return on your investment in the first year if the implied forward rates stay the same? (Par
value of the bond = $1,000)
A. 5%
B. 7%
C. 9%
D. 10%
E. None of these is correct.

The forward interest rate given for the first year of the investment is given as 5% (see table
above).

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

18. What is the price of a 2-year maturity bond with a 10% coupon rate paid annually? (Par
value = $1,000)
A. $1,092
B. $1,054
C. $1,000
D. $1,073
E. None of these is correct.

[(1.05)(1.07)]1/2 − 1 = 6%; FV = 1000, n = 2, PMT = 100, i = 6, PV = $1,073.34

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-29
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

19. What is the yield to maturity of a 3-year zero coupon bond?


A. 7.00%
B. 9.00%
C. 6.99%
D. 7.49%
E. None of these is correct.

[(1.05)(1.07)(1.09)]1/3 − 1 = 6.99.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

The following is a list of prices for zero coupon bonds with different maturities and par value
of $1,000.

20. What is, according to the expectations theory, the expected forward rate in the third year?
A. 7.00%
B. 7.33%
C. 9.00%
D. 11.19%
E. None of these is correct.

881.68/808.88 − 1 = 9%

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-30
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

21. What is the yield to maturity on a 3-year zero coupon bond?


A. 6.37%
B. 9.00%
C. 7.33%
D. 10.00%
E. None of these is correct.

(1000/808.81)1/3 − 1 = 7.33%

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

22. What is the price of a 4-year maturity bond with a 12% coupon rate paid annually? (Par
value = $1,000)
A. $742.09
B. $1,222.09
C. $1,000.00
D. $1,141.92
E. None of these is correct.

(1000/742.09)1/4 − 1 = 7.74%; FV = 1000, PMT = 120, n = 4, i = 7.74, PV = $1,141.92

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-31
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

23. An upward sloping yield curve


A. may be an indication that interest rates are expected to increase.
B. may incorporate a liquidity premium.
C. may reflect the confounding of the liquidity premium with interest rate expectations.
D. All of these are correct.
E. None of these is correct.

One of the problems of the most commonly used explanation of term structure, the
expectations hypothesis, is that it is difficult to separate out the liquidity premium from
interest rate expectations.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Yield curve

24. The "break-even" interest rate for year n that equates the return on an n-period zero-
coupon bond to that of an n-1-period zero-coupon bond rolled over into a one-year bond in
year n is defined as
A. the forward rate.
B. the short rate.
C. the yield to maturity.
D. the discount rate.
E. None of these is correct.

The forward rate for year n, fn, is the "break-even" interest rate for year n that equates the
return on an n-period zero- coupon bond to that of an n−1-period zero-coupon bond rolled
over into a one-year bond in year n.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-32
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

25. When computing yield to maturity, the implicit reinvestment assumption is that the
interest payments are reinvested at the:
A. Coupon rate.
B. Current yield.
C. Yield to maturity at the time of the investment.
D. Prevailing yield to maturity at the time interest payments are received.
E. The average yield to maturity throughout the investment period.

In order to earn the yield to maturity quoted at the time of the investment, coupons must be
reinvested at that rate.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

26. Given the bond described above, if interest were paid semi-annually (rather than
annually), and the bond continued to be priced at $850, the resulting effective annual yield to
maturity would be:
A. Less than 12%
B. More than 12%
C. 12%
D. Cannot be determined
E. None of these is correct.

FV = 1000, PV = -850, PMT = 50, n = 40, i = 5.9964 (semi-annual); (1.059964)2 − 1 =


12.35%.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-33
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

27. Forward rates ____________ future short rates because ____________.


A. are equal to; they are both extracted from yields to maturity.
B. are equal to; they are perfect forecasts.
C. differ from; they are imperfect forecasts.
D. differ from; forward rates are estimated from dealer quotes while future short rates are
extracted from yields to maturity.
E. are equal to; although they are estimated from different sources they both are used by
traders to make purchase decisions.

Forward rates are the estimates of future short rates extracted from yields to maturity but they
are not perfect forecasts because the future cannot be predicted with certainty; therefore they
will usually differ.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Understand
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

28. The pure yield curve can be estimated


A. by using zero-coupon Treasuries.
B. by using stripped Treasuries if each coupon is treated as a separate "zero."
C. by using corporate bonds with different risk ratings.
D. by estimating liquidity premiums for different maturities.
E. by using zero-coupon Treasuries and by using stripped Treasuries if each coupon is treated
as a separate "zero."

The pure yield curve is calculated using stripped or zero coupon Treasuries.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-34
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

29. The on the run yield curve is


A. a plot of yield as a function of maturity for zero-coupon bonds.
B. a plot of yield as a function of maturity for recently issued coupon bonds trading at or near
par.
C. a plot of yield as a function of maturity for corporate bonds with different risk ratings.
D. a plot of liquidity premiums for different maturities.
E. a plot of yield as a function of maturity for zero-coupon bonds and a plot of yield as a
function of maturity for recently issued coupon bonds trading at or near par.

The on the run yield curve is a plot of yield as a function of maturity for recently issued
coupon bonds trading at or near par.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

30. The yield curve


A. is a graphical depiction of term structure of interest rates.
B. is usually depicted for U. S. Treasuries in order to hold risk constant across maturities and
yields.
C. is usually depicted for corporate bonds of different ratings.
D. is a graphical depiction of term structure of interest rates and is usually depicted for U. S.
Treasuries in order to hold risk constant across maturities and yields.
E. is a graphical depiction of term structure of interest rates and is usually depicted for
corporate bonds of different ratings.

The yield curve (yields vs. maturities, all else equal) is depicted for U.S. Treasuries more
frequently than for corporate bonds, as the risk is constant across maturities for Treasuries.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-35
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

31. What should the purchase price of a 2-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased at the
beginning of year 2 and has face value of $1,000?
A. $877.54
B. $888.33
C. $883.32
D. $893.36
E. $871.80

$1,000/[(1.064)(1.071)] = $877.54

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

32. What would the yield to maturity be on a four-year zero coupon bond purchased today?
A. 5.80%
B. 7.30%
C. 6.65%
D. 7.25%
E. None of these is correct.

[(1.058) (1.064) (1.071) (1.073)]1/4 − 1 = 6.65%

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-36
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

33. Calculate the price at the beginning of year 1 of a 10% annual coupon bond with face
value $1,000 and 5 years to maturity.
A. $1,105
B. $1,132
C. $1,179
D. $1,150
E. $1,119

i = [(1.058) (1.064) (1.071) (1.073) (1.074)]1/5 − 1 = 6.8%; FV = 1000, PMT = 100, n = 5, i =


6.8, PV = $1,131.91

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

34. Given the yield on a 3 year zero-coupon bond is 7.2% and forward rates of 6.1% in year 1
and 6.9% in year 2, what must be the forward rate in year 3?
A. 8.4%
B. 8.6%
C. 8.1%
D. 8.9%
E. None of these is correct.

f3 = (1.072)3/[(1.061) (1.069)] − 1 = 8.6%

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-37
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

35. An inverted yield curve is one


A. with a hump in the middle.
B. constructed by using convertible bonds.
C. that is relatively flat.
D. that plots the inverse relationship between bond prices and bond yields.
E. that slopes downward.

An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term rates are higher than long-term rates.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Yield curve

36. Investors can use publicly available financial data to determine which of the following?
I) The shape of the yield curve
II) Expected future short-term rates (if liquidity premiums are ignored)
III) The direction the Dow indexes are heading
IV) The actions to be taken by the Federal Reserve
A. I and II
B. I and III
C. I, II, and III
D. I, III, and IV
E. I, II, III, and IV

Only the shape of the yield curve and future inferred rates can be determined. The movement
of the Dow Indexes and Federal Reserve policy are influenced by term structure but are
determined by many other variables also.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-38
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

37. Which of the following combinations will result in a sharply increasing yield curve?
A. Increasing future expected short rates and increasing liquidity premiums
B. Decreasing future expected short rates and increasing liquidity premiums
C. Increasing future expected short rates and decreasing liquidity premiums
D. Increasing future expected short rates and constant liquidity premiums
E. Constant future expected short rates and increasing liquidity premiums

Both of the forces will act to increase the slope of the yield curve.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Yield curve

38. The yield curve is a component of


A. the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
B. the consumer price index.
C. the index of leading economic indicators.
D. the producer price index.
E. the inflation index.

Since the yield curve is often used to forecast the business cycle, it is used as one of the
leading economic indicators.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Yield curve

15-39
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

39. The most recently issued Treasury securities are called


A. on the run.
B. off the run.
C. on the market.
D. off the market.
E. None of these is correct.

The most recently issued Treasury securities are called on the run.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Remember
Difficulty: Basic
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

Suppose that all investors expect that interest rates for the 4 years will be as follows:

40. What is the price of 3-year zero coupon bond with a par value of $1,000?
A. $889.08
B. $816.58
C. $772.18
D. $765.55
E. None of these is correct.

$1,000/(1.03)(1.04)(1.05) = $889.08

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-40
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

41. If you have just purchased a 4-year zero coupon bond, what would be the expected rate of
return on your investment in the first year if the implied forward rates stay the same? (Par
value of the bond = $1,000)
A. 5%
B. 3%
C. 9%
D. 10%
E. None of these is correct.

The forward interest rate given for the first year of the investment is given as 3% (see table
above).

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

42. What is the price of a 2-year maturity bond with a 5% coupon rate paid annually? (Par
value = $1,000)
A. $1,092.97
B. $1,054.24
C. $1,028.51
D. $1,073.34
E. None of these is correct.

[(1.03)(1.04)]1/2 − 1 = 3.5%; FV = 1000, n = 2, PMT = 50, i = 3.5, PV = $1,028.51

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-41
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

43. What is the yield to maturity of a 3-year zero coupon bond?


A. 7.00%
B. 9.00%
C. 6.99%
D. 4%
E. None of these is correct.

[(1.03)(1.04)(1.05)]1/3 − 1 = 4%.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

The following is a list of prices for zero coupon bonds with different maturities and par value
of $1,000.

44. What is, according to the expectations theory, the expected forward rate in the third year?
A. 7.23
B. 9.37%
C. 9.00%
D. 10.9%
E. None of these is correct.

862.57/788.66 − 1 = 9.37%

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-42
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

45. What is the yield to maturity on a 3-year zero coupon bond?


A. 6.37%
B. 9.00%
C. 7.33%
D. 8.24%
E. None of these is correct.

(1000/788.66)1/3 − 1 = 8.24%

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

46. What is the price of a 4-year maturity bond with a 10% coupon rate paid annually? (Par
value = $1,000)
A. $742.09
B. $1,222.09
C. $1,035.66
D. $1,141.84
E. None of these is correct.

(1000/711.00)1/4 − 1 = 8.9%; FV = 1000, PMT = 100, n = 4, i = 8.9, PV = $1,035.66

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-43
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

47. You have purchased a 4-year maturity bond with a 9% coupon rate paid annually. The
bond has a par value of $1,000. What would the price of the bond be one year from now if the
implied forward rates stay the same?
A. $995.63
B. $1,108.88
C. $1,000.00
D. $1,042.78
E. None of these is correct.

(925.16/711.00)1/3 − 1.0 = 9.17%; FV = 1000, PMT = 90, n = 3, i = 9.17, PV = $995.63

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

48. Given the bond described above, if interest were paid semi-annually (rather than
annually), and the bond continued to be priced at $917.99, the resulting effective annual yield
to maturity would be:
A. Less than 10%
B. More than 10%
C. 10%
D. Cannot be determined
E. None of these is correct.

FV = 1000, PV = −917.99, PMT = 45, n = 36, i = 4.995325 (semi-annual); (1.4995325)2 − 1 =


10.24%.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-44
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

49. What should the purchase price of a 2-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased at the
beginning of year 2 and has face value of $1,000?
A. $877.54
B. $888.33
C. $883.32
D. $894.21
E. $871.80

$1,000/[(1.055)(1.06)] = $894.21

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

50. What would the yield to maturity be on a four-year zero coupon bond purchased today?
A. 5.75%
B. 6.30%
C. 5.65%
D. 5.25%
E. None of these is correct.

[(1.05) (1.055) (1.06) (1.065)]1/4 − 1 = 5.75%

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-45
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

51. Calculate the price at the beginning of year 1 of an 8% annual coupon bond with face
value $1,000 and 5 years to maturity.
A. $1,105.47
B. $1,131.91
C. $1,084.25
D. $1,150.01
E. $719.75

i = [(1.05) (1.055) (1.06) (1.065) (1.07)]1/5 − 1 = 6%; FV = 1000, PMT = 80, n = 5, i = 6, PV =


$1084.25

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

52. Given the yield on a 3 year zero-coupon bond is 7% and forward rates of 6% in year 1 and
6.5% in year 2, what must be the forward rate in year 3?
A. 7.2%
B. 8.6%
C. 8.5%
D. 6.9%
E. None of these is correct.

f3 = (1.07)3/[(1.06) (1.065)] − 1 = 8.5%

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-46
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

53. What should the purchase price of a 1-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased today
and has face value of $1,000?
A. $966.37
B. $912.87
C. $950.21
D. $956.02
E. $945.51

$1,000/(1.046) = $956.02

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

54. What should the purchase price of a 2-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased today
and has face value of $1,000?
A. $966.87
B. $911.37
C. $950.21
D. $956.02
E. $945.51

$1,000/[(1.046)(1.049)] = $911.37

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-47
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

55. What should the purchase price of a 3-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased today
and has face value of $1,000?
A. $887.42
B. $871.12
C. $879.54
D. $856.02
E. $866.32

$1,000/[(1.046)(1.049)(1.052)] = $866.32

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

56. What should the purchase price of a 4-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased today
and has face value of $1,000?
A. $887.42
B. $821.15
C. $879.54
D. $856.02
E. $866.32

$1,000/[(1.046)(1.049)(1.052)(1.055)] = $821.15

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-48
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

57. What should the purchase price of a 5-year zero coupon bond be if it is purchased today
and has face value of $1,000?
A. $776.14
B. $721.15
C. $779.54
D. $756.02
E. $766.32

$1,000/[(1.046)(1.049)(1.052)(1.055)(1.058)] = $776.14

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

58. What is the yield to maturity of a 1-year bond?


A. 4.6%
B. 4.9%
C. 5.2%
D. 5.5%
E. 5.8%

4.6% (given in table)

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-49
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

59. What is the yield to maturity of a 5-year bond?


A. 4.6%
B. 4.9%
C. 5.2%
D. 5.5%
E. 5.8%

[(1.046)(1.049)(1.052)(1.055)(1.058)]1/5 − 1 = 5.2%

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

60. What is the yield to maturity of a 4-year bond?


A. 4.69%
B. 4.95%
C. 5.02%
D. 5.05%
E. 5.08%

[(1.046)(1.049)(1.052)(1.055)]1/4 − 1 = 5.05%

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

61. What is the yield to maturity of a 3-year bond?


A. 4.6%
B. 4.9%
C. 5.2%
D. 5.5%
E. 5.8%

[(1.046)(1.049)(1.052)]1/3 − 1 = 4.9%

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-50
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

62. What is the yield to maturity of a 2-year bond?


A. 4.6%
B. 4.9%
C. 5.2%
D. 4.7%
E. 5.8%

[(1.046)(1.049)]1/2 − 1 = 4.7%

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

Short Answer Questions

63. Discuss the theories of the term structure of interest rates. Include in your discussion the
differences in the theories, and the advantages/disadvantages of each.

The expectations hypothesis is the most commonly accepted theory of term structure. The
theory states that the forward rate equals the market consensus expectation of future short-
term rates. Thus, yield to maturity is determined solely by current and expected future one-
period interest rates. An upward sloping, or normal, yield curve would indicate that investors
anticipate an increase in interest rates. An inverted, or downward sloping, yield curve would
indicate an expectation of decreased interest rates. A horizontal yield curve would indicate an
expectation of no interest rate changes.
The liquidity preference theory of term structure maintains that investors prefer to be liquid to
illiquid, all else equal, and will demand a liquidity premium in order to go long term. Thus,
liquidity preference readily explains the upward sloping, or normal, yield curve. However,
liquidity preference does not readily explain other yield curve shapes.

Feedback: The purpose of this question is to ascertain that students understand the various
explanations (and deficiencies of these explanations) of term structure.

AACSB: Reflective Thinking


Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-51
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

64. Term structure of interest rates is the relationship between what variables? What is
assumed about other variables? How is term structure of interest rates depicted graphically?

Term structure of interest rates is the relationship between yield to maturity and term to
maturity, all else equal. The "all else equal" refers to risk class. Term structure of interest rates
is depicted graphically by the yield curve, which is usually a graph of U. S. Treasuries of
different yields and different terms to maturity. The use of U. S. Treasuries allows one to
examine the relationship between yield and maturity, holding risk constant. The yield curve
depicts this relationship at one point in time only.

Feedback: This question is designed to ascertain that students understand the relationships
involved in term structure, the restrictions on the relationships, and how the relationships are
depicted graphically.

AACSB: Reflective Thinking


Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

65. Although the expectations of increases in future interest rates can result in an upward
sloping yield curve; an upward sloping yield curve does not in and of itself imply the
expectations of higher future interest rates. Explain.

The effects of possible liquidity premiums confound any simple attempt to extract expectation
from the term structure. That is, the upward sloping yield curve may be due to expectations of
interest rate increases, or due to the requirement of a liquidity premium, or both. The liquidity
premium could more than offset expectations of decreased interest rates, and an upward
sloping yield would result.

Feedback: The purpose of this question is to assure that the student understands the
confounding of the liquidity premium with the expectations hypothesis, and that the
interpretations of term structure are not clear-cut.

AACSB: Reflective Thinking


Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Yield curve

15-52
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

66. Explain what the following terms mean: spot rate, short rate, and forward rate. Which of
these is (are) observable today?

The n-period spot rate is the yield to maturity on a zero-coupon bond with a maturity of n
periods. The short rate for period n is the one-period interest rate that will prevail in period n.
The forward rate for period n is the short rate that would satisfy a "break-even condition"
equating the total returns on two n-period investment strategies. The first strategy is an
investment in an n-period zero-coupon bond. The second is an investment in an n-1 period
zero-coupon bond "rolled over" into an investment in a one-period zero. Spot rates and
forward rates are observable today, but because interest rates evolve with uncertainty, future
short rates are not.

Feedback: This question checks whether the student understands the difference between each
kind of rate.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Understand
Difficulty: Intermediate
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-53
Chapter 15 - The Term Structure of Interest Rates

67. Answer the following questions that relate to bonds.


A 2-year zero-coupon bond is selling for $890.00. What is the yield to maturity of this bond?
The price of a 1-year zero coupon bond is $931.97. What is the yield to maturity of this bond?
Calculate the forward rate for the second year.
How can you construct a synthetic one-year forward loan (you are agreeing now to loan in
one year)? State the strategy and show the corresponding cash flows. Assume that you can
purchase and sell fractional portions of bonds. Show all calculations and discuss the meaning
of the transactions.

Calculations are shown in the table below.


Calculations for YTM of the 2-year zero: N=2, PV=−890.00, PMT=0, FV=1000, CPT IÞ6.0
Calculations for YTM of the 1-year zero: N=1, PV=−931.97, PMT=0, FV=1000, CPT IÞ7.3.
Calculations for f2: (1.06)2/(1.073) − 1 = .047157502, f2 = 4.7157502%
As shown by the calculations below, you purchase enough 2-year zeros to offset the cost of
the 1-year zero. At time 1 the 1-year zero matures and you get $1,000. At time 2 the 2-year
zeros mature and you have to pay 1.047157502 * $1,000 = $1,047.16. You are effectively
borrowing $1,000 a year from now and paying $1,047.16 a year from then. The rate on this
forward loan is $1,047.16/$1,000 − 1 = .04716, which equals the forward rate for the second
year (f2).

Feedback: This questions tests the students understanding of the relationship between the
prices of zero-coupon bonds and the yield curve.

AACSB: Analytic
Bloom's: Apply
Difficulty: Challenge
Topic: Term structure of interest rates

15-54

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