PIYUSH
PIYUSH
PIYUSH
ON
SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT
BAHRA UNIVERSITY (H.P)
Ms.Swati Piyush
Assistant professor BU2017UGBB030
Ms.Prerna Chandel
Assistant Professor
SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT
November-201
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
She always had the answers to my queries, be it regarding any concept related
to banking. Her warmth support, practical guidance and easy explanations not
only regarding the project matters but others too add to the success of my
project. Her continuous interaction and support made it possible for the
successful completion of the project.
PIYUSH
DECLARATION
hereby declare that I have done the project report on the topic“ A STUDY ON
FUTURES AND POTIONS” which is submitted in partial fulfillment of the
requirement for the degree of BACHELOR OF BUSINESS
ADMINISTRATION OF BAHRA UNIVERSITY, the data that is included in
it is pure. The assistance and help that received during the course of this
investigation has been duly acknowledged. It is further, declare that it has an
original piece of work and it is worthy of the consideration for the degree of
BBA.
Date:
Place :
COMPANY PROFILE
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METHODOLOGY
FUTURES
OPTIONS
BIBLIOGRAPHY
INTRODUCTION
DEFINITION:
PARTICIPANTS:
SPECULATORS:
Speculators wish to bet on future movements in the price of an asset.
Futures and options contracts can give them an extra leverage; that is, they can
increase both the potential gains and potential losses in a speculative venture.
ARBITRAGEURS:
Arbitrageurs are in business to take advantage of a discrepancy between
prices in two different markets. If, for example, they see the futures price of an
asset getting out of line with the cash price, they will take offsetting positions in
the two markets to lock in a profit.
TYPES OF DERIVATIVES:
The following are the various types of derivatives. They are:
FORWARDS:
FUTURES:
OPTIONS:
Options are of two types - calls and puts. Calls give the buyer the right
but not the obligation to buy a given quantity of the underlying asset, at a given
price on or before a given future date. Puts give the buyer the right, but not the
obligation to sell a given quantity of the underlying asset at a given price on or
before a given date.
WARRANTS:
Options generally have lives of upto one year; the majority of options
traded on options exchanges having a maximum maturity of nine months.
Longer-dated options are called warrants and are generally traded over-the-
counter.
LEAPS:
BASKETS:
Basket options are options on portfolios of underlying assets. The
underlying asset is usually a moving average of a basket of assets. Equity index
options are a form of basket options.
SWAPS:
SWAPTIONS:
Swaptions are options to buy or sell a swap that will become operative at
the expiry of the options. Thus a swaption is an option on a forward swap.
There are yet other types of influences which are external to the firm,
cannot be controlled and affect large number of securities. They are termed as
systematic risk. They are:
1. Economic
2. Political
3. Sociological changes are sources of systematic risk.
For instance, inflation, interest rate, etc. their effect is to cause prices of
nearly all individual stocks to move together in the same manner. We therefore
quite often find stock prices falling from time to time in spite of company’s
earnings rising and vice versa.
Derivative products allow the user to transfer this price risk by looking
in the asset price there by minimizing the impact of fluctuations in the asset
price on his balance sheet and have assured cash flows.
COCHINREFN 1300
Kochi Refineries Ltd
Colgate Palmolive (I) Ltd. COLGATE 1050
Dabur India Ltd. DABUR 1800
GAIL (India) Ltd. GAIL 1500
Great Eastern Shipping Co. Ltd. GESHIPPING 1350
Glaxosmithkline Pharma Ltd. GLAXO 300
Grasim Industries Ltd. GRASIM 175
Gujarat Ambuja Cement Ltd. GUJAMBCEM 550
HCL Technologies Ltd. HCLTECH 650
Housing Development Finance
HDFC 300
Corporation Ltd.
HDFC Bank Ltd. HDFCBANK 400
Hero Honda Motors Ltd. HEROHONDA 400
Hindalco Industries Ltd. HINDALC0 150
Hindustan Lever Ltd. HINDLEVER 2000
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. HINDPETRO 650
ICICI Bank Ltd. ICICIBANK 700
Industrial development bank of India
IDBI 2400
Ltd.
Indian Hotels Co. Ltd. INDHOTEL 350
Indian Rayon And Industries Ltd INDRAYON 500
Infosys Technologies Ltd. INFOSYSTCH 100
Indian Overseas Bank IOB 2950
Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. IOC 600
ITC Ltd. ITC 150
Jet Airways (India) Ltd. JETAIRWAYS 200
Jindal Steel & Power Ltd JINDALSTEL 250
Jaiprakash Hydro-Power Ltd. JPHYDRO 6250
Cummins India Ltd KIRLOSKCUM 1900
LIC Housing Finance Ltd LICHSGFIN 850
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. M&M 625
Matrix Laboratories Ltd. MATRIXLABS 1250
Mangalore Refinery and
MRPL 4450
Petrochemicals Ltd.
Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd. MTNL 1600
National Aluminium Co. Ltd. NATIONALUM 1150
Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd. NEYVELILIG 2950
Nicolas Piramal India Ltd NICOLASPIR 950
National Thermal Power Corporation
NTPC 3250
Ltd.
Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. ONGC 300
Oriental Bank of Commerce ORIENTBANK 600
Patni Computer System Ltd PATNI 650
Punjab National Bank PNB 600
Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd. RANBAXY 200
Reliance Energy Ltd. REL 550
Reliance Capital Ltd RELCAPITAL 1100
Reliance Industries Ltd. RELIANCE 600
Satyam Computer Services Ltd. SATYAMCOMP 600
State Bank of India SBIN 500
Shipping Corporation of India Ltd. SCI 1600
Siemens Ltd SIEMENS 150
Sterlite Industries (I) Ltd STER 350
Sun Pharmaceuticals India Ltd. SUNPHARMA 450
Syndicate Bank SYNDIBANK 3800
Tata Chemicals Ltd TATACHEM 1350
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd TCS 250
Tata Power Co. Ltd. TATAPOWER 800
Tata Tea Ltd. TATATEA 550
Tata Motors Ltd. TATAMOTORS 825
Tata Iron and Steel Co. Ltd. TISCO 675
Union Bank of India UNIONBANK 2100
UTI Bank Ltd. UTIBANK 900
Vijaya Bank VIJAYABANK 3450
Videsh Sanchar Nigam Ltd VSNL 1050
Wipro Ltd. WIPRO 300
Wockhardt Ltd. WOCKPHARMA 600
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK:
The trading of derivatives is governed by the provisions contained in the
SC ( R ) A, the SEBI Act, the and the regulations framed there under the rules
and byelaws of stock exchanges.
The provisions in the SC (R) A govern the trading in the securities. The
amendment of the SC (R) A to include “DERIVATIVES” within the ambit of
‘Securities’ in the SC (R ) A made trading in Derivatives possible within the
framework of the Act.
6. The Minimum contract value shall not be less than Rs.2 Lakh.
Exchanges should also submit details of the futures contract they
purpose to introduce.
7. The trading members are required to have qualified approved user and
sales person who have passed a certification programme approved by
SEBI.
FUTURES
DEFINITION:
Locations of settlement
TYPES OF FUTURES:
On the basis of the underlying asset they derive, the futures are divided
into two types:
Stock futures:
The stock futures are the futures that have the underlying asset as the
individual securities. The settlement of the stock futures is of cash settlement
and the settlement price of the future is the closing price of the underlying
security.
Index futures:
Index futures are the futures, which have the underlying asset as an
Index. The Index futures are also cash settled. The settlement price of the
Index futures shall be the closing value of the underlying index on the expiry
date of the contract.
There are two parties in a future contract, the Buyer and the Seller. The
buyer of the futures contract is one who is LONG on the futures contract and
the seller of the futures contract is one who is SHORT on the futures contract.
The pay off for the buyer and the seller of the futures contract are as follows.
PAYOFF FOR A BUYER OF FUTURES:
CASE 1:
The buyer bought the future contract at (F); if the futures price goes to
E1 then the buyer gets the profit of (FP).
CASE 2:
The buyer gets loss when the future price goes less than (F), if the
futures price goes to E2 then the buyer gets the loss of (FL).
CASE 1:
The Seller sold the future contract at (f); if the futures price goes to E1
then the Seller gets the profit of (FP).
CASE 2:
The Seller gets loss when the future price goes greater than (F), if the
futures price goes to E2 then the Seller gets the loss of (FL).
MARGINS:
Margins are the deposits, which reduce counter party risk, arise in a
futures contract. These margins are collected in order to eliminate the counter
party risk. There are three types of margins:
Initial Margin:
Whenever a futures contract is signed, both buyer and seller are required
to post initial margin. Both buyer and seller are required to make security
deposits that are intended to guarantee that they will infact be able to fulfill their
obligation. These deposits are Initial margins and they are often referred as
performance margins. The amount of margin is roughly 5% to 15% of total
purchase price of futures contract.
Maintenance margin:
The investor must keep the futures account equity equal to or greater
than certain percentage of the amount deposited as Initial Margin. If the equity
goes less than that percentage of Initial margin, then the investor receives a call
for an additional deposit of cash known as Maintenance Margin to bring the
equity up to the Initial margin.
Role of Margins:
The role of margins in the futures contract is explained in the following
example.
S sold a Satyam February futures contract to B at Rs.300; the following
table shows the effect of margins on the contract. The contract size of Satyam
is 1200. The initial margin amount is say Rs.20000, the maintenance margin is
65% of Initial margin.
Contract is
1 300.00
entered and
initial margin
is deposited.
2 311(price increased)
+13,200 -13,200 B got profit
+13,200 and S got
loss, S
deposited
maintenance
margin.
F=S (1+r-q) t
Where
F – Futures Price
r – Cost of Financing
T – Holding Period.
FUTURES TERMINOLOGY:
Spot price:
Futures price:
The price at which the futures contract trades in the futures market.
Contract cycle:
The period over which a contract trades. The index futures contracts on
the NSE have one-month, two-months and three-month expiry cycles which
expire on the last Thursday of the month. Thus a January expiration contract
expires on the last Thursday of January and a February expiration contract
ceases trading on the last Thursday of February. On the Friday following the last
Thursday, a new contract having a three-month expiry is introduced for trading.
Expiry date:
It is the date specified in the futures contract. This is the last day on
which the contract will be traded, at the end of which it will cease to exist.
Contract size:
The amount of asset that has to be delivered under one contract. For
instance, the contract size on NSE’s futures market is 200 Nifties.
Basis:
In the context of financial futures, basis can be defined as the futures
price minus the spot price. There will be a different basis for each delivery
month for each contract. In a normal market, basis will be positive. This
reflects that futures prices normally exceed spot prices.
Cost of carry:
The relationship between futures prices and spot prices can be
summarized in terms of what is known as the cost of carry. This measures the
storage cost plus the interest that is paid to finance the asset less the income
earned on the asset.
Open Interest:
Total outstanding long or short positions in the market at any specific
time. As total long positions for market would be equal to short positions, for
calculation of open interest, only one side of the contract is counted.
OPTIONS
DEFINITION:
Option is a type of contract between two persons where one grants the
other the right to buy a specific asset at a specific price within a specified time
period. Alternatively the contract may grant the other person the right to sell a
specific asset at a specific price within a specific time period. In order to have
this right, the option buyer has to pay the seller of the option premium.
PROPERTIES OF OPTIONS:
Options have several unique properties that set them apart from other
securities. The following are the properties of options:
Limited Loss
Limited Life
The options are classified into various types on the basis of various
variables. The following are the various types of options:
On the basis of the underlying asset the options are divided into two types:
INDEX OPTIONS:
STOCK OPTIONS:
A stock option gives the buyer of the option the right to buy/sell stock at
a specified price. Stock options are options on the individual stocks, there
are currently more than 50 stocks are trading in this segment.
CALL OPTION:
A call options is bought by an investor when he seems that the stock
price moves upwards. A call option gives the holder of the option the right
but not the obligation to buy an asset by a certain date for a certain price.
PUT OPTION:
A put option is bought by an investor when he seems that the stock price
moves downwards. A put option gives the holder of the option right but not
the obligation to sell an asset by a certain date for a certain price.
On the basis of the exercising of the option, the options are classified
into two categories.
AMERICAN OPTION:
American options are options that can be exercised at any time up to the
expiration date, most exchange-traded options are American.
EUROPEAN OPTION:
S
-
Strike
price
OTM -
Out of the
Money
SP
- Premium/Loss ATM - At the Money
E2 - Spot price 2
The pay-off of seller of the call option depends on the spot price of the
underlying asset. The following graph shows the pay-off of seller of a call
option:
S - Strike price ITM - In the Money
E2 - Spot price 2
The payoff of buyer of the option depends on the spot price of the
underlying asset. The following graph shows the pay off of the buyer of a call
option:
S - Strike price ITM - In The Money
E2 - Spot price 2
The pay off of seller of the option depends on the spot price of the
underlying asset. The following graph shows the pay-off of seller of a put
option:
S - Strike price ITM - In The Money
E2 - Spot price 2
The following are the various factors that affect the price of an option.
They are:
Stock price:
The pay-off from a call option is the amount by which the stock price
exceeds the strike price. Call options therefore become more valuable as the
stock price increases and vice versa. The pay-off from a put option is the
amount; by which the strike price exceeds the stock price. Put options therefore
become more valuable as the stock price increases and vice versa.
Strike price:
In the case of a call, as the strike price increases, the stock price has to
make a larger upward move for the option to go in-the –money. Therefore, for a
call, as the strike price increases, options become less valuable and as strike
price decreases, options become more valuable.
Time to expiration:
Both Put and Call American options become more valuable as the time
to expiration increases.
Volatility:
The volatility of n a stock price is a measure of uncertain about future
stock price movements. As volatility increases, the chance that the stock will do
very well or very poor increases. The value of both Calls and Puts therefore
increase as volatility increase.
Risk-free interest rate:
The put option prices decline as the risk – free rate increases where as
the prices of calls always increase as the risk – free interest rate increases.
Dividends:
Dividends have the effect of reducing the stock price on the ex dividend
date. This has a negative effect on the value of call options and a positive affect
on the value of put options.
PRICING OPTIONS
The Black Scholes formulas for the prices of European Calls and puts on a non-
dividend paying stock are:
CALL OPTION:
C = SN (D1)-Xe-rtN(D2)
PUT OPTION:
P = Xe-rtN(-D2)-SN (-D2)
Options Terminology:
Strike Price:
The price specified in the options contract is known as the Strike price
or Exercise price.
Option Premium:
Option premium is the price paid by the option buyer to the option
seller.
Expiration Date:
An at the money option is an option that would lead to zero cash flow if
it is exercised immediately.
Out-Of-The-Money Option:
The time value of an option is the difference between its premium and
its intrinsic value.
2. Data collection:
3. Analysis:
ANALYSIS
MARKET
DATE PRICE
30-Dec-
07 685.1
31-Dec-
07 714.65
1-Jan-
08 695.6
2-Jan-
08 706.4
3-Jan-
08 717.1
4-Jan-
08 713.45
7-Jan-
08 726.6
8-Jan-
08 724.05
9-Jan-
08 720.85
10-Jan-
08 742.1
11-Jan-
08 736.9
14-jan-
08 734.1
15-Jan-
08 731.75
16-Jan-
08 728
17-Jan-
08 726.2
727.8
18-Jan-
08
21-Jan-
08 722.7
22-Jan-
08 693.25
23-Jan-
08 657.7
24-Jan- 664.4
08
28-Mar-
08 665.6
29-Jan-
08 641.7
30-Jan-
08 661.05
31-Jan-
08 654.8
The closing price of SBI at the end of the contract period is 654.80 and this is
considered as settlement price.
The following table explains the amount of transaction between option holder
and option writer.
Six call options are considered with six different strike prices.
The current market price on the expiry date is Rs.654.80 and this is
considered as final settlement price.
The premium paid by the option holders whose strike price is far and greater
than the current market price have paid high amounts of premium than those
who are near to the current market price.
The call option holders whose strike price is less than the current market
price are said to be In-The-Money. The calls with strike price 640 are said
to be In-The-Money, since, if they exercise they will get profits.
The call option holders whose strike price is less than the current market
price are said to be Out-Of-The-Money. The calls with strike price of 660,
680,700,720,740 are said to be Out-Of-The-Money, since, if they exercise,
they will get losses.
FINDINGS:
The premium of the options with strike price of 700 and 720 is high, since most
of the period of the contract the cash market is moving around 700 mark.
FINDINGS:
The contracts with strike price 660, 680, 700, 720, 740 get no profit,
since their strike price is more than the settlement price.
The contract with strike price 640 gets the profit.
NET PAY OFF OF PUT OPTION HOLDERS AND WRITERS.
Six put options are considered with six different strike prices.
The current market price on the expiry date is Rs.654.80 and this is
considered as the final settlement price.
The premium paid by the option holders whose strike price is far and greater
than the current market price have paid high amount of premium than those
who are near to the current market price.
The put option holders whose strike price is more than the current market
price are said to be In-The-Money. The puts with strike price
660,680,700,720 are said to be In-The-Money, since, if they exercise they
will get profits.
The put option holders whose strike price is less than the current market
price are said to be Out-Of-The-Money. The puts with strike price of
600,640 are said to be Out-Of-The-Money, since, if they exercise their puts,
they will get losses.
FINDINGS:
The premium of the option with strike price 700 is higher when compared to
other strike prices. This is because of the movement of the cash market
price of the SBI between 640 and 720.
FINDINGS:
The put option holders whose strike price is more than the settlement price
are In-The-Money.
The put options whose strike price is less than the settlement price are Out-
Of-The-Money.
DATA OF SBI THE FUTURES OF THE JANUARY MONTH
30-Dec-
07 689.6 685.1
31-Dec-
07 720.65 714.65
1-Jan-
08 700.65 695.6
2-Jan-
08 710.9 706.4
3-Jan-
08 720.85 717.1
4-Jan-
08 716.85 713.45
7-Jan-
08 729.2 726.6
8-Jan-
08 728.25 724.05
9-Jan-
08 723.35 720.85
10-Jan-
08 745.3 742.1
11-Jan-
08 741.35 736.9
14-Jan-
08 738.95 734.1
15-Jan-
08 735.7 731.75
16-Jan-
08 733.15 728
17-Jan-
08 730.75 726.2
18-Jan-
08 732.3 727.8
21-Jan-
08 725.25 722.7
22-Jan-
08 695 693.25
23-Jan-
08 660.1 657.7
24-Jan-
08 666.7 664.4
28-Jan-
08 667.75 665.6
29-Jan-
08 642.7 641.7
30-Jan-
08 662.05 661.05
31-Jan-
08 655.95 654.8
OBSERVATIONS AND FINDINGS:
The cash market price of the SBI is moving along with the futures price.
If the buy price of the futures is less than the settlement price, then the buyer
of the futures get profit.
If the selling price of the futures is less than the settlement price, then the
seller incur losses.
SUMMARY,
CONCLUSIONS
AND
RECOMMENDATINONS
SUMMARY
In bullish market the call option writer incurs more losses so the investor is
suggested to go for a call option to hold, where as the put option holder
suffers in a bullish market, so he is suggested to write a put option.
In bearish market the call option holder will incur more losses so the
investor is suggested to go for a call option to write, where as the put option
writer will get more losses, so he is suggested to hold a put option.
In the above analysis the market price of State Bank of India is having low
volatility, so the call option writers enjoy more profits to holders.
RECOMMENDATIONS
The derivative market is newly started in India and it is not known by every
investor, so SEBI has to take steps to create awareness among the investors
about the derivative segment.
In order to increase the derivatives market in India, SEBI should revise
some of their regulations like contract size, participation of FII in the
derivatives market.
Contract size should be minimized because small investors cannot afford
this much of huge premiums.
SEBI has to take further steps in the risk management mechanism.
SEBI has to take measures to use effectively the derivatives segment as a
tool of hedging.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
BIBLIOGRAPHY
BOOKS:
WEBSITES:
www.nseindia.com
www.equitymaster.com
www.peninsularonline.com
NEWS EDITIONS: