Utp
Utp
INTRODUCTION
Travel forecasting models are used to predict changes in travel patterns and the
utilization of the transportation system in response to changes in regional
development, demographics, and transportation supply. Modeling travel demand is
a challenging task, but one that is required for rational planning and evaluation of
transportation systems .
Transportation planning involves the decision-making process for potential
improvements to a community’s roadway infrastructure. To aid in the decision-
making process, several computerbased and manual tools have been developed.
Two of these key tools are :
b) Travel rate indices for providing congestion and delay information for a
community. The four-step urban planning process is comprised of the following:
Trip Generation, Trip Distribution, Mode Split, and Traffic Assignment .
THE FOLLOWING SEQUENTIAL STAGES ARE RELEVANT TO
TRANSPORTATION PLANNING:
The data that we have collected from road side interview survey is regarding their
age,destination and land use.The number of people that we have interviewed is 30.
TOWARDS
HEBBAL
TOWARDS
AIRPORT
ROAD
Trips are made for different purposes, and a classification by purpose is helpful.
The following are some of the important classes based on the purpose of a
trip:
i. Work
ii. Education
iii. Business
iv. Shopping
v. Health and medical
vi. Social, recreational, and sports
vii. Miscellaneous purposes.
AGE GROUP
14
12
10
8
6
4 AGE GROUP
2
0
16 AND
18-30
BELOW 30-45
46-60
STAGE 2. TRIP DISTRIBUTION:
Trip distribution models are used to predict the spatial pattern of trips or other
flows between origins and destinations. Models similar to those applied for trip
distribution are often used to model commodity flows, retail trade, and store
patronage.
This step matches trip makers origin and destination to develop a trip table. this
explains number of trips going from each origin and destination.
ORIGIN DESTINATION 1 2 3 4 5 6
TOWARDS 1 1 2 2 2 1
NAGWARA(N)
TOWARDS 1 2 1 1 2 0
HEBBAL(H)
KOGILU TOWARDS 1 1 2 1 1 0
CROSS YELHANKA
NEW
TOWN(Y)
TOWARDS 1 2 1 1 1 1
AIR PORT(A)
SL TOWARDS TOWARDS HEBBAL TOWARDS TOWARDS
NO NAGAWARA (H) YELHANKA AIRPORT
(N) NEWTOWN ROAD
(Y) (A)
1 BELAHALLI JAKKUR YELAHANKA VENKTALA
CROSS RAILWAY
STATION
2 RK HEGDE SAHAKAR NAGAR NES BAGALUR
NAGAR CROSS
3 THANISANDRA BYATARAYANPURA MS PALYA SIR MVIT
(ELEMENTS CROSS
MALL)
4 MANYATA COLUMBIA ASIA VIDYARANYA CHIKKAJALA
TECH PARK HOSPITAL PURAM
5 NAGAWARA HEBBAL JALAHALLI DEVANAHALLI
CROSS
6 KR PURAM AIRPORT
Trip distribution is a model of the number of trips that occur between each origin
zone and each destination zone. It uses the predicted number of trips originating in
each origin zone (trip production model) and the predicted number of trips ending
in each destination zone (trip attraction model)
The number of trips generated with respect to zones is represented in the given
figure below
Zone 2
Zone 3
Zone 4
The choice of transport mode is probably one of the most important classic models
in transport planning. This is because of the key role played by public transport in
policy making. Public transport modes make use of road space more efficiently
than private transport. Also they have more social benefits like if more people
begin to use public transport , there will be less congestion on the roads and the
accidents will be less. Again in public transport, we can travel with low cost. In
addition, the fuel is used more efficiently. Main characteristics of public transport
is that they will have some particular schedule, frequency etc.
Factors influencing the choice of mode
Modal split
cab
13%
Bus
car 40%
20%
Bike
27%
Trip generation gives an idea about the total number of trips generated to and
attracted from different zones in the study area. In trip distribution, growth factor
modeling and in trip generation, regression methods can be used to predict the
trips. Trip matrix can be used to represent the trip pattern of a study area. Growth
factor methods and gravity model are used for computing the trip matrix.
Transportation planning involves so many iterative techniques, and large road
networks, which is not possible to solve manually. But the computer programmers
are created readymade softwares available for solved the transportation planning
problems. Trip assignment is the last phase of four stage transportation planning.
Multipath route assignment technique seems to be the most realistic among all
those techniques.