1. An office has 10 dot matrix printers.

Each requires a new ribbon approximately every

seven weeks. If the stock clerk finds at the beginning of a certain week that there are only
five ribbons in stock, what is the probability that the supply will be exhausted during that
week?

Answer:

10
λ= t=1 POI X
7

5
e−λt ( λt )x
P ( X >5 ) =1−P ( X ≤5 ) =1− ∑
X =0 x!

10 0 10 1
−10 −10 −10 5
10

¿ 1− ( e 7

0!
7 ( )
+
e 7

1!
( )
7
+⋯+
e 7

5!
7 ( ) )
¿ 1−( 0,240+ 0,342+ 0,244+0,116 +0,042+0,012 )=0,004

8. A jar contains 30 green jelly beans and 20 purple jelly beans. Suppose 10 jelly beans are
selected at random from the jar.

(a) Find the probability of obtaining exactly five purple jelly beans if they are selected with
replacement.

(b) Find the probability of obtaining exactly five purple beans if they are selected without
replacement.

Answer:

(a) 5 purple with replacement

bin ( x ; n , p )=nx C ∙ p x ∙ (1−p )n−x

2
p= n=10 x=5
5

2 10 2 5 3 5
(
b 5 ; 10 ,
5)= C∙
5 5
∙
5 ()()
=0,201

(b)5 purple without replacement

 k
C Nn−−kxC
x
H ( x ; N ; n ; k )= N
nC

N=50 n=10 k =5 x=5

5
C ∙ 455C
5
H ( 5; 50 ; 10 ; 5 )= 50 =0,00012
10 C

15. The man in Exercise 13 has three children, and he must win a Kewpie doll for each one.

(a) What is the probability that 10 throws will be required to win the three dolls?

(b) What is the probability that at least four throws will be required?

(c) What is the expected number of throws needed to win three dolls?

Answer:

(a) bin X

p=0,1 x=3 n=10

b ( 3 ; 10 ; 0,1 )=103C ∙ ( 0,1 )3 ∙ ( 0,9 )7=0,0574

(b) b ¿ X

p=0,1 k =3 n=10 x≥ 4

P ( x ≥ 4 )=1−P ( x <4 )

¿ 1−b ¿ ( 3 ; 3; 0,1 )

¿ 1− {33C ∙ ( 0,1 )3 ∙ ( 0,9 )0 }

1
¿ 1− =0,999
1000

k 3
(c) E ( x )= = =3,003
p 0,999

22. If X has a Poisson distribution and if P[X=0] = 0.2, fint P[X>4].

Answer:
P ( x=0 )=0,2

e− μ ( μ )0
P ( x=0 )=
0!

0,2=e−μ

μ=1,61

4
P ( X > 4 )=1−P ( X ≤ 4 )=1− ∑ poi ( x ; 1,61 )
X=0

e−1,61 ( 1,61 )0 e−1,61 ( 1,61 )1 e−1,61 ( 1,61 )4

¿ 1− ( 0!
+
1!
+ ⋯+
4! )
¿ 1−( 0,2+ 0,322+ 0,2592+ 0,1391+ 0,05599 )=1−0,9763=0,0237

29. A 20-sided (icosahedral) die has each face marked with a different integer from 1
through 20. Assuming that each face is equally likely to occur on a single roll, the outcome is
a random variable X DU(20).

(a) If the die rolled twice, find the pdf of the smallest value obtained, say Y.

(b) If the die rolled three times, find the probability that the largest value is 3.

(c) Find E( X) and Var ( X ).

Answer:

( n+1−x )2 ∙ ( n−x )2
(a) f ( x )= y =
n2

( 21−x )2 ∙ ( 20−x )2
¿
400

(b) Event=19 Sample space=203=8000

19
f ( x )=
8000

k +1 21
(c) E ( x )= = =10,5
2 2
 k 2−1 399
Var ( x ) = = =33,25
12 12

36. Use the properties of Theorem 3.3.1 to find each of the following:

(a) Γ (5).

(b)Γ (5 /2).

(c) Give an expression for the binomial coefficient, ( nk), in terms of the gamma
Answer:

Theorem 3.3.1

Γ ( n+1 ) =n !

Γ ( n ) =( n−1 ) Γ ( n−1 )

Γ ( 12 )=√ π
(a) Γ ( 5 )=4 !=4 ∙3 ∙ 2∙ 1=24

(b) Γ ( 52 )= 32 ∙ Γ ( 32 )= 32 ∙ 12 ∙ Γ ( 12 )= 34 √ π
(c) Γ ( n ) =( n−1 ) Γ ( n−1 )=( n−1 )( n−2 ) ⋯ ( n−k +1 )

43. If X WEI ( θ , β ), derive E ( x k ) assuming that k >−β

Answer:

∞
β β

E ( x )= β ∫ x (1+ β )−1 e−( x/ θ) dx

θ 0

∞
β k β

E ( x k )= β∫
x k { (1+ β )−1 } e−( x /θ )
dx
θ 0

β k {(1+ β )−1} −( x /θ )
k β

dE ( x k ) = x e
θβ
50. Rework Exercise 40 assuming that, rather than being exponential, the failure time has a
Pareto distribution X PAR ( 100,2 ).

Answer:

X PAR ( θ ; κ )

− ( κ +1 )
κ x
f ( x ; θ ;κ)=
θ ( )
1+
θ

(a) P ( x>15 )=1−P ( x ≤ 15 )

15 −3
2 x
¿ 1−∑
x=0 100
1+
100 ( )
¿ 1−0,260=0,740

(b) P ( x>110 )=1−P ( x ≤110 )

110 −3
2 x
¿ 1−∑
x=0 100
1+
100 ( )
¿ 1−0,784=0,216

(c) After 95 hours, the failure time has been decreasing from the failure time when at 15
hours.

θ2 κ
(d) Var ( x ) =
[ ( κ−2 )( κ−1 )2 ]

1002 ∙ 2
¿ =∞
( 0∙ 12 )

57. Suppose the computer store in Exercise 26 of Chapter 2 expands its marketing operation
and orders 10 copies of the software package. As before, the annual demand is a random
variable, X , and unsold copies are discarded; but assume now that X BIN (10 , p ) .

(a) Find the expected net profit to the store as a function of p.

(b) How large must p be to produce a positive expected net profit?

(c) If instead X POI (2 ) , would the store make a greater expected net profit by ordering
more copies of the software?

Answer:

Sale price = $35

(a) E ( net profit )= ( $ 35 ∙ 10∙ p )−( $ 10 ∙10 )

¿ 350 p−100

(b) 350 p−100> 0

350 p>100

100
p>
350

2
p>
7

(c) If X POI (2 ), the store would not make a greater expected net profit by ordering more
copies of the software.