Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                
Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 14

[a,b] a 4

a+rand()*b-a b 12

Chart Title
rand() a+rand()*b-a 0.12
0.896873 0.1 4.61892763108
0.1
0.783569 0.1 4.94190137972
0.227004 0.1 5.94960495978 0.08
0.49284 0.1 6.11475754015
0.06
0.976226 0.1 5.62423805731
0.549209 0.1 6.71469999435 0.04
0.897984 0.1 5.79236891406 0.02
0.241896 0.1 7.93486477037
0.31932 0.1 4.05653264764 0
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0
0.858718 0.1 9.40823303185
Chart Title

0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1


The Poisson probability that exactly x successes occur in a Poisson experiment, when the mean number of successes is
number of events in an interval of time
6 requests / hour or 0.1 / minute

if lambda = 8 requests / hour P(5) ? poisson

P(wait up to x minutes for next request/arrival )


8/60 interarrival time = 0.13 E(<x) lambda = 1/0.13
time taken between two events
average number of events in one unit of time (minute, hour, …)
P(X > x) = L exp ^-L x probbaility time between two event is > x (time interval)
P(X < x) = 1 - L exp ^-L x probbaility time between two event is < x (time interval)
ex: service 6 requests / hour or 0.1 / minute

successes is
(time interval)
(time interval)
lambda 1,4,10 pmf 1/lambda CDF
x 1 4 10
0 0.367879 0.018316 4.54E-05 0 0.25 0 0
1 0.367879 0.073263 0.000454 1 0.1947 0.367879 0.073263
2 0.18394 0.146525 0.00227 2 0.151633 0.551819 0.219788
3 0.061313 0.195367 0.007567 3 0.118092 0.613132 0.415154
4 0.015328 0.195367 0.018917 4 0.09197 0.628461 0.610521
5 0.003066 0.156293 0.037833 5 0.071626 0.631526 0.766815
6 0.000511 0.104196 0.063055 6 0.055783 0.632037 0.87101
7 7.299E-05 0.05954 0.090079 7 0.043443 0.63211 0.930551
8 9.124E-06 0.02977 0.112599 8 0.033834 0.632119 0.960321
9 1.014E-06 0.013231 0.12511 9 0.02635 0.63212 0.973552
10 1.014E-07 0.005292 0.12511 10 0.020521 0.632121 0.978845
11 9.216E-09 0.001925 0.113736 11 0.015982 0.632121 0.980769
12 7.68E-10 0.000642 0.09478 12 0.012447 0.632121 0.981411
13 5.908E-11 0.000197 0.072908 13 0.009694 0.632121 0.981608
14 4.22E-12 5.64E-05 0.052077 14 0.007549 0.632121 0.981664
15 2.813E-13 1.504E-05 0.034718 15 0.005879 0.632121 0.981679
16 1.758E-14 3.76E-06 0.021699 16 0.004579 0.632121 0.981683
17 1.034E-15 8.847E-07 0.012764 17 0.003566 0.632121 0.981684
18 5.746E-17 1.966E-07 0.007091 18 0.002777 0.632121 0.981684
19 3.024E-18 4.139E-08 0.003732 19 0.002163 0.632121 0.981684
20 1.512E-19 8.277E-09 4.54E-05 20 0.001684 0.632121 0.981684
Chart Title Chart Title Cha
0 0.4 0.25 0.14
0.000454 0.35 0.12
0.3 0.2
0.002724 0.1
0.25 0.15
0.010291 0.2 0.08
0.15 0.1 0.06
0.029207
0.1 0.05 0.04
0.067041 0.05 0.02
0
0.130096 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 0
0 5 10 15 20 25 0 5 10
0.220175
0.332774
0.457884 Chart Title Chart Title Char
0.7
0.582994 0.6 1.2
1.2
0.696731 0.5 1
1
0.791511 0.4 0.8
0.8
0.6
0.864419 0.3 0.6
0.4
0.2 0.4
0.916496 0.2
0.1 0.2
0.951214 0
0 0 5 10 15 20 25 0
0.972913 0 5 10 15 20 25 0 2 4 6 8

0.985677
0.992768
0.9965 Chart Title
0.996546 0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
0 5 10 15 20 25
Chart Title
0.14
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0 5 10 15 20 25

Chart Title
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
L 10
x pdf excel function - x excel CDF x CDF
11 0.11373639611 0.11373639611 11 0.6967761463 5 0.037833
12 0.094780330092 0.09478033009 12 0.79155647639 5 0.075667
9 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 9 0.45792971447 5 0.1135
13 0.072907946224 0.07290794622 13 0.86446442262 5 0.151333
5 0.037833274802 0.0378332748 5 0.06708596288 5 0.189166
8 0.112599032149 0.11259903215 8 0.33281967875 7 0.279246
8 0.112599032149 0.11259903215 8 0.33281967875 8 0.391845
8 0.112599032149 0.11259903215 8 0.33281967875 8 0.504444
20 0.001866081314 0.00186608131 20 0.99841173934 8 0.617043
9 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 9 0.45792971447 8 0.729642
9 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 9 0.45792971447 8 0.842241
13 0.072907946224 0.07290794622 13 0.86446442262 8 0.95484
12 0.094780330092 0.09478033009 12 0.79155647639 8 1.067439
9 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 9 0.45792971447 9 1.192549
9 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 9 0.45792971447 9 1.317659
19 0.003732162628 0.00373216263 19 0.99654565802 9 1.442769
5 0.037833274802 0.0378332748 5 0.06708596288 9 1.567879
8 0.112599032149 0.11259903215 8 0.33281967875 9 1.692989
5 0.037833274802 0.0378332748 5 0.06708596288 9 1.818099
12 0.094780330092 0.09478033009 12 0.79155647639 9 1.943209
8 0.112599032149 0.11259903215 8 0.33281967875 9 2.068319
9 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 9 0.45792971447 9 2.193429
10 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 10 0.58303975019 10 2.318539
13 0.072907946224 0.07290794622 13 0.86446442262 10 2.443649
20 0.001866081314 0.00186608131 20 0.99841173934 10 2.568759
8 0.112599032149 0.11259903215 8 0.33281967875 10 2.693869
12 0.094780330092 0.09478033009 12 0.79155647639 10 2.818979
13 0.072907946224 0.07290794622 13 0.86446442262 11 2.932716
12 0.094780330092 0.09478033009 12 0.79155647639 11 3.046452
13 0.072907946224 0.07290794622 13 0.86446442262 12 3.141232
8 0.112599032149 0.11259903215 8 0.33281967875 12 3.236013
10 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 10 0.58303975019 12 3.330793
9 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 9 0.45792971447 12 3.425573
7 0.090079225719 0.09007922572 7 0.2202206466 12 3.520354
12 0.094780330092 0.09478033009 12 0.79155647639 12 3.615134
12 0.094780330092 0.09478033009 12 0.79155647639 12 3.709914
14 0.052077104446 0.05207710445 14 0.91654152707 12 3.804695
10 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 10 0.58303975019 12 3.899475
9 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 9 0.45792971447 13 3.972383
10 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 10 0.58303975019 13 4.045291
5 0.037833274802 0.0378332748 5 0.06708596288 13 4.118199
10 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 10 0.58303975019 13 4.191107
11 0.11373639611 0.11373639611 11 0.6967761463 13 4.264015
9 0.125110035721 0.12511003572 9 0.45792971447 13 4.336923
14 0.052077104446 0.05207710445 14 0.91654152707 14 4.389
12 0.094780330092 0.09478033009 12 0.79155647639 14 4.441077
5 0.037833274802 0.0378332748 5 0.06708596288 16 4.462776
16 0.021698793519 0.02169879352 16 0.97295839022 19 4.466508
12 0.094780330092 0.09478033009 12 0.79155647639 20 4.468374
13 0.072907946224 0.07290794622 13 0.86446442262 20 4.47024
pmf cdf
pdf RNG poisson - excel
0.037833 7 0.090079 7 0.220221
0.037833 8 0.112599 8 0.33282
0.037833 7 0.090079 7 0.220221
0.037833 9 0.12511 9 0.45793
0.037833 12 0.09478 12 0.791556
0.090079 8 0.112599 8 0.33282
0.112599 11 0.113736 11 0.696776
0.112599 10 0.12511 10 0.58304
0.112599 14 0.052077 14 0.916542
0.112599 6 0.063055 6 0.130141
0.112599 10 0.12511 10 0.58304
0.112599 6 0.063055 6 0.130141
0.112599 4 0.018917 4 0.029253
0.12511 9 0.12511 9 0.45793
0.12511 10 0.12511 10 0.58304
0.12511 8 0.112599 8 0.33282
0.12511 7 0.090079 7 0.220221
0.12511 13 0.072908 13 0.864464
0.12511 10 0.12511 10 0.58304
0.12511 11 0.113736 11 0.696776
0.12511
0.12511
0.12511
0.12511
0.12511
0.12511
0.12511
0.113736
0.113736
0.09478
0.09478
0.09478
0.09478
0.09478
0.09478
0.09478
0.09478
0.09478
0.072908
0.072908
0.072908
0.072908
0.072908
0.072908
0.052077
0.052077
0.021699
0.003732
0.001866
0.001866
pmf
0 0.5 1 1.5 Excel /1.5 pdf
1 0.303265 1 0.367879 1 0.334695 1 0.334695 1
2 0.18394 2 0.135335 2 0.074681 2 0.074681 2
3 0.111565 3 0.049787 3 0.016663 3 0.016663 3
4 0.067668 4 0.018316 4 0.003718 4 0.003718 4
5 0.041042 5 0.006738 5 0.00083 5 0.00083 5
6 0.024894 6 0.002479 6 0.000185 6 0.000185 6
7 0.015099 7 0.000912 7 4.13E-05 7 4.13E-05 7
8 0.009158 8 0.000335 8 9.216E-06 8 9.216E-06 8
9 0.005554 9 0.000123 9 2.056E-06 9 2.056E-06 9
10 0.003369 10 4.54E-05 10 4.589E-07 10 4.589E-07 10
11 0.002043 11 1.67E-05 11 1.024E-07 11 1.024E-07 11
12 0.001239 12 6.144E-06 12 2.284E-08 12 2.284E-08 12
13 0.000752 13 2.26E-06 13 5.097E-09 13 5.097E-09 13
14 0.000456 14 8.315E-07 14 1.137E-09 14 1.137E-09 14
15 0.000277 15 3.059E-07 15 2.538E-10 15 2.538E-10 15
16 0.000168 16 1.125E-07 16 5.663E-11 16 5.663E-11 16
17 0.000102 17 4.14E-08 17 1.264E-11 17 1.264E-11 17
18 6.17E-05 18 1.523E-08 18 2.819E-12 18 2.819E-12 18
19 3.743E-05 19 5.603E-09 19 6.291E-13 19 6.291E-13 19
20 2.27E-05 20 2.061E-09 20 1.404E-13 20 1.404E-13 20
CDF
CDF 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.77687 1 0.393469 1 0.632121 1 0.77687
0.950213 2 0.632121 2 0.864665 2 0.950213
0.988891 3 0.77687 3 0.950213 3 0.988891
0.997521 4 0.864665 4 0.981684 4 0.997521
0.999447 5 0.917915 5 0.993262 5 0.999447
0.999877 6 0.950213 6 0.997521 6 0.999877
0.999972 7 0.969803 7 0.999088 7 0.999972
0.999994 8 0.981684 8 0.999665 8 0.999994
0.999999 9 0.988891 9 0.999877 9 0.999999
1 10 0.993262 10 0.999955 10 1
1 11 0.995913 11 0.999983 11 1
1 12 0.997521 12 0.999994 12 1
1 13 0.998497 13 0.999998 13 1
1 14 0.999088 14 0.999999 14 1
1 15 0.999447 15 1 15 1
1 16 0.999665 16 1 16 1
1 17 0.999797 17 1 17 1
1 18 0.999877 18 1 18 1
1 19 0.999925 19 1 19 1
1 20 0.999955 20 1 20 1

You might also like