1. The document provides information about decision making processes for companies across 6 variants. It includes details on potential projects or products for companies, possible outcomes associated with each option, and estimated probabilities of different outcomes occurring. Students are tasked with drawing decision trees and determining the best choices based on financial considerations.
2. Variants 1-6 each include 2 scenarios requiring students to draw decision trees showing choices for companies, potential outcomes, and probabilities when provided. Students are also asked to calculate the best options based on financial figures and show their work.
3. The document provides all necessary information for students to complete the assigned tasks of drawing decision trees and determining best choices through financial analysis for the given company scenarios.
1. The document provides information about decision making processes for companies across 6 variants. It includes details on potential projects or products for companies, possible outcomes associated with each option, and estimated probabilities of different outcomes occurring. Students are tasked with drawing decision trees and determining the best choices based on financial considerations.
2. Variants 1-6 each include 2 scenarios requiring students to draw decision trees showing choices for companies, potential outcomes, and probabilities when provided. Students are also asked to calculate the best options based on financial figures and show their work.
3. The document provides all necessary information for students to complete the assigned tasks of drawing decision trees and determining best choices through financial analysis for the given company scenarios.
1. The document provides information about decision making processes for companies across 6 variants. It includes details on potential projects or products for companies, possible outcomes associated with each option, and estimated probabilities of different outcomes occurring. Students are tasked with drawing decision trees and determining the best choices based on financial considerations.
2. Variants 1-6 each include 2 scenarios requiring students to draw decision trees showing choices for companies, potential outcomes, and probabilities when provided. Students are also asked to calculate the best options based on financial figures and show their work.
3. The document provides all necessary information for students to complete the assigned tasks of drawing decision trees and determining best choices through financial analysis for the given company scenarios.
1. The document provides information about decision making processes for companies across 6 variants. It includes details on potential projects or products for companies, possible outcomes associated with each option, and estimated probabilities of different outcomes occurring. Students are tasked with drawing decision trees and determining the best choices based on financial considerations.
2. Variants 1-6 each include 2 scenarios requiring students to draw decision trees showing choices for companies, potential outcomes, and probabilities when provided. Students are also asked to calculate the best options based on financial figures and show their work.
3. The document provides all necessary information for students to complete the assigned tasks of drawing decision trees and determining best choices through financial analysis for the given company scenarios.
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Tasks for students
Variant – 1
1. The company's management decides to design a plant for one of four projects. The size of the winnings that a company may derive depends on the favorable or unfavorable environment of the market.
№ Alternatives to the company environment of the market
Favorable Unfavorable (0,5) (0,5) 1 Project 1 170000 -80000 2 Project 2 200000 -120000 3 Project 3 100000 -37000 4 Project 4 150000 -69000 Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
2. Mobile phone manufacturers have developed a new type of battery and want to launch it on sale. In case of success, the profit for the company will be $ 100,000, if not, the company will suffer a loss of $ 70,000. On the basis of experience, it was concluded that the sale of a new type has been successful in 70% cases.
The battery's performance can be estimated by testing at an estimated $ 8000. If the effect is positive, then 80% of sales will be successful, if not, then 30%. The probability that testing will bring a positive result is estimated at 60%.
Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
3. Using the decision shown (without probability), calculate which option should be selected on purely financial grounds. Show all your calculations to support your answer. 4. Try to determine the appropriate probabilities Variant – 2
1. In the process of choosing one of the three alternatives a company “ABC” needs to consider the following situations: stable growth of business activity; decline in business activity; high rates of inflation. The probability of occurrenc e of each of these situations are: p1=0,4, p2=0,3, p3=0,3
№ Alternatives to the situations on the market
company stable growth of decline in high rates business activity business activity of inflation 1 open a branch 980000 -150000 20000 2 improvement of 630000 -70000 15000 production potential 3 open a deposit in a bank 910000 72000 -10000 Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
2. The company is trying to sell a new kind of medicine, profit $ 50,000 if the sale is successful, if not, the damage will be $ 35,000. Sales of a new type of drug will be successful in 60% of cases. The effectiveness of a new type of drug can be estimated by testing $ 5000, if the results are positive, then the chance that the sale will be profitable is 80%, if the results are negative, then 30%. There is also a probability that the test will bring 60% of the positive result, and 40% - negative.
Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
3. Using the decision shown (without probability), calculate which option should be selected on purely financial grounds. Show all your calculations to support your answer.
4. Try to determine the appropriate probabilities
5. Draw a Decision Tree (task 1 and 2) in Excel Variant – 3
1. The company's management decides to design a plant for one of four projects. The size of the winnings that a company may derive depends on the favorable or unfavorable environment of the market.
№ Alternatives to the company environment of the market
Favorable Unfavorable (0,5) (0,5) 1 Project 1 150000 -100000 2 Project 2 250000 -110000 3 Project 3 150000 -27000 4 Project 4 100000 -69000 Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
2. Mobile phone manufacturers have developed a new type of battery and want to launch it on sale. In case of success, the profit for the company will be $ 100,000, if not, the company will suffer a loss of $ 70,000. On the basis of experience, it was concluded that the sale of a new type has been successful in 70% cases.
The battery's performance can be estimated by testing at an estimated $ 8000. If the effect is positive, then 80% of sales will be successful, if not, then 30%. The probability that testing will bring a positive result is estimated at 60%.
Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
3. Using the decision shown (without probability), calculate which option should be selected on purely financial grounds. Show all your calculations to support your answer.
4. Try to determine the appropriate probabilities
Variant – 4
1. In the process of choosing one of the three alternatives a company “ABC” needs to consider the following situations: stable growth of business activity; decline in business activity; high rates of inflation. The probability of occurrenc e of each of these situations are: p1=0,4, p2=0,3, p3=0,3
№ Alternatives to the situations on the market
company stable growth of decline in high rates business activity business activity of inflation 1 open a branch 980000 -150000 20000 2 improvement of 630000 -70000 15000 production potential 3 open a deposit in a bank 910000 72000 -10000 Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
2. The company is trying to sell a new kind of medicine, profit $ 50,000 if the sale is successful, if not, the damage will be $ 35,000. Sales of a new type of drug will be successful in 60% of cases. The effectiveness of a new type of drug can be estimated by testing $ 5000, if the results are positive, then the chance that the sale will be profitable is 80%, if the results are negative, then 30%. There is also a probability that the test will bring 60% of the positive result, and 40% - negative.
Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
3. Using the decision shown (without probability), calculate which option should be selected on purely financial grounds. Show all your calculations to support your answer.
4. Try to determine the appropriate probabilities
Variant – 5
1. The company's management decides to design a plant for one of four projects. The size of the winnings that a company may derive depends on the favorable or unfavorable environment of the market.
№ Alternatives to the company environment of the market
Favorable Unfavorable (0,5) (0,5) 1 Project 1 170000 -80000 2 Project 2 200000 -120000 3 Project 3 100000 -37000 4 Project 4 150000 -69000 Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
2. Mobile phone manufacturers have developed a new type of battery and want to launch it on sale. In case of success, the profit for the company will be $ 100,000, if not, the company will suffer a loss of $ 70,000. On the basis of experience, it was concluded that the sale of a new type has been successful in 70% cases.
The battery's performance can be estimated by testing at an estimated $ 8000. If the effect is positive, then 80% of sales will be successful, if not, then 30%. The probability that testing will bring a positive result is estimated at 60%.
Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
3. Using the decision shown (without probability), calculate which option should be selected on purely financial grounds. Show all your calculations to support your answer. 4. Try to determine the appropriate probabilities Variant – 6
1. In the process of choosing one of the three alternatives a company “ABC” needs to consider the following situations: stable growth of business activity; decline in business activity; high rates of inflation. The probability of occurrenc e of each of these situations are: p1=0,4, p2=0,3, p3=0,3
№ Alternatives to the situations on the market
company stable growth of decline in high rates business activity business activity of inflation 1 open a branch 980000 -150000 20000 2 improvement of 630000 -70000 15000 production potential 3 open a deposit in a bank 910000 72000 -10000 Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
2. The company is trying to sell a new kind of medicine, profit $ 50,000 if the sale is successful, if not, the damage will be $ 35,000. Sales of a new type of drug will be successful in 60% of cases. The effectiveness of a new type of drug can be estimated by testing $ 5000, if the results are positive, then the chance that the sale will be profitable is 80%, if the results are negative, then 30%. There is also a probability that the test will bring 60% of the positive result, and 40% - negative.
Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
3. Using the decision shown (without probability), calculate which option should be selected on purely financial grounds. Show all your calculations to support your answer.
4. Try to determine the appropriate probabilities
5. Draw a Decision Tree (task 1 and 2) in Excel Variant – 7
1. The company's management decides to design a plant for one of four projects. The size of the winnings that a company may derive depends on the favorable or unfavorable environment of the market.
№ Alternatives to the company environment of the market
Favorable Unfavorable (0,5) (0,5) 1 Project 1 150000 -100000 2 Project 2 250000 -110000 3 Project 3 150000 -27000 4 Project 4 100000 -69000 Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
2. Mobile phone manufacturers have developed a new type of battery and want to launch it on sale. In case of success, the profit for the company will be $ 100,000, if not, the company will suffer a loss of $ 70,000. On the basis of experience, it was concluded that the sale of a new type has been successful in 70% cases.
The battery's performance can be estimated by testing at an estimated $ 8000. If the effect is positive, then 80% of sales will be successful, if not, then 30%. The probability that testing will bring a positive result is estimated at 60%.
Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
3. Using the decision shown (without probability), calculate which option should be selected on purely financial grounds. Show all your calculations to support your answer.
4. Try to determine the appropriate probabilities
Variant – 8
1. In the process of choosing one of the three alternatives a company “ABC” needs to consider the following situations: stable growth of business activity; decline in business activity; high rates of inflation. The probability of occurrenc e of each of these situations are: p1=0,4, p2=0,3, p3=0,3
№ Alternatives to the situations on the market
company stable growth of decline in high rates business activity business activity of inflation 1 open a branch 980000 -150000 20000 2 improvement of 630000 -70000 15000 production potential 3 open a deposit in a bank 910000 72000 -10000 Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
2. The company is trying to sell a new kind of medicine, profit $ 50,000 if the sale is successful, if not, the damage will be $ 35,000. Sales of a new type of drug will be successful in 60% of cases. The effectiveness of a new type of drug can be estimated by testing $ 5000, if the results are positive, then the chance that the sale will be profitable is 80%, if the results are negative, then 30%. There is also a probability that the test will bring 60% of the positive result, and 40% - negative.
Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
3. Using the decision shown (without probability), calculate which option should be selected on purely financial grounds. Show all your calculations to support your answer.
4. Try to determine the appropriate probabilities
Variant – 9
1. The company's management decides to design a plant for one of four projects. The size of the winnings that a company may derive depends on the favorable or unfavorable environment of the market.
№ Alternatives to the company environment of the market
Favorable Unfavorable (0,5) (0,5) 1 Project 1 170000 -80000 2 Project 2 200000 -120000 3 Project 3 100000 -37000 4 Project 4 150000 -69000 Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
2. Mobile phone manufacturers have developed a new type of battery and want to launch it on sale. In case of success, the profit for the company will be $ 100,000, if not, the company will suffer a loss of $ 70,000. On the basis of experience, it was concluded that the sale of a new type has been successful in 70% cases.
The battery's performance can be estimated by testing at an estimated $ 8000. If the effect is positive, then 80% of sales will be successful, if not, then 30%. The probability that testing will bring a positive result is estimated at 60%.
Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
3. Using the decision shown (without probability), calculate which option should be selected on purely financial grounds. Show all your calculations to support your answer. 4. Try to determine the appropriate probabilities Variant – 10
1. In the process of choosing one of the three alternatives a company “ABC” needs to consider the following situations: stable growth of business activity; decline in business activity; high rates of inflation. The probability of occurrenc e of each of these situations are: p1=0,4, p2=0,3, p3=0,3
№ Alternatives to the situations on the market
company stable growth of decline in high rates business activity business activity of inflation 1 open a branch 980000 -150000 20000 2 improvement of 630000 -70000 15000 production potential 3 open a deposit in a bank 910000 72000 -10000 Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
2. The company is trying to sell a new kind of medicine, profit $ 50,000 if the sale is successful, if not, the damage will be $ 35,000. Sales of a new type of drug will be successful in 60% of cases. The effectiveness of a new type of drug can be estimated by testing $ 5000, if the results are positive, then the chance that the sale will be profitable is 80%, if the results are negative, then 30%. There is also a probability that the test will bring 60% of the positive result, and 40% - negative.
Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
3. Using the decision shown (without probability), calculate which option should be selected on purely financial grounds. Show all your calculations to support your answer.
4. Try to determine the appropriate probabilities
5. Draw a Decision Tree (task 1 and 2) in Excel Variant – 11
1. The company's management decides to design a plant for one of four projects. The size of the winnings that a company may derive depends on the favorable or unfavorable environment of the market.
№ Alternatives to the company environment of the market
Favorable Unfavorable (0,5) (0,5) 1 Project 1 150000 -100000 2 Project 2 250000 -110000 3 Project 3 150000 -27000 4 Project 4 100000 -69000 Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
2. Mobile phone manufacturers have developed a new type of battery and want to launch it on sale. In case of success, the profit for the company will be $ 100,000, if not, the company will suffer a loss of $ 70,000. On the basis of experience, it was concluded that the sale of a new type has been successful in 70% cases.
The battery's performance can be estimated by testing at an estimated $ 8000. If the effect is positive, then 80% of sales will be successful, if not, then 30%. The probability that testing will bring a positive result is estimated at 60%.
Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
3. Using the decision shown (without probability), calculate which option should be selected on purely financial grounds. Show all your calculations to support your answer.
4. Try to determine the appropriate probabilities
Variant – 12
1. In the process of choosing one of the three alternatives a company “ABC” needs to consider the following situations: stable growth of business activity; decline in business activity; high rates of inflation. The probability of occurrenc e of each of these situations are: p1=0,4, p2=0,3, p3=0,3
№ Alternatives to the situations on the market
company stable growth of decline in high rates business activity business activity of inflation 1 open a branch 980000 -150000 20000 2 improvement of 630000 -70000 15000 production potential 3 open a deposit in a bank 910000 72000 -10000 Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
2. The company is trying to sell a new kind of medicine, profit $ 50,000 if the sale is successful, if not, the damage will be $ 35,000. Sales of a new type of drug will be successful in 60% of cases. The effectiveness of a new type of drug can be estimated by testing $ 5000, if the results are positive, then the chance that the sale will be profitable is 80%, if the results are negative, then 30%. There is also a probability that the test will bring 60% of the positive result, and 40% - negative.
Draw a Decision Tree showing these choices and choose the best choice
3. Using the decision shown (without probability), calculate which option should be selected on purely financial grounds. Show all your calculations to support your answer.
