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ZULUAGA, 2020 - Cash Flow Cycle Analysis Template

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Example Company (million COP)

Cash Flow Cycle Analysis


Selected Financial Statement acco Year t-3 Year t-2 Year t-1 Year t Activity ratios Year t-2
Inventories 11,925 11,620 6,864 6,116 Receivables Turnover 3.5
Trade receivables 2,718 3,422 3,657 Payables Turnover 0.6
Total assets 20,074 15,876 14,593 Inventory turnover 0.5

Trade and other payables   8,665 4,339 4,683 Days Receivables 105
Total liabilities 16,342 10,377 9,515 Days Payables 629
Inventory days 795
Net Sales 9,428 12,764 10,018 Net Sales 9,428
Estimated amount to
Cost of goods sold 5,332 8,099 5,837 pay to suppliers per
year 14,936
900 14000 Payment date
800
12000
700
10000
600
8000 Days Payables
500
Inventory days
400 6000 Days Receivables
Net Sales
300
4000
200
2000
100

0 0
Year t-2 Year t-1 Year t
Year t-1 Year t
3.7 2.7
0.8 1.1
1.2 1.0

98 133
474 336
309 382
12,764 10,018

5,632 4,309
31-Jan-2019
Purchase OrderGoods Arrive Cash Paid for Goods Goods Sold Cash Received

Supplier Lead time, inventory days and receivables 60 336 382 133
Date of the event 1/01/2018 2/03/2018 31/01/2019 19/03/2019 30/07/2019
Cash Conversion cycle 180
Operating cycle 516
Cash Received
FX Analysis: Imports vs Exports
Exchange Rate end of year 3,001 2,984
Imports - FOB USD USD1,175,949 USD0
Exports - FOB USD USD0 USD160,462
% Exports on Receivables (USD) 0.00% 13.99%
% Imports on Payables (USD) 40.72% 0.00%
FX net position for the company Short (importer) Long (exporter)

FX payment analysis
day 1-Jan-2018 31-Jan-2019
Numer of days 0 396
Spot COP / USD 2984 3163.46
Estimated payment done in USD 912,300
Estimated dev/rev aluation 2.20% annual 2.39%
Actual dev/rev aluation on day 396 6.01%
Estimated forward rate on day 396 3055
Forward contract value in COP ### 2,886,024,558
End result for importer Gain

Payment Scenarios at delivery in COP


Importer ###
Bank ###

Exchange rate (TRM) Profit/Loss per USD for the importer


2200 -855
2400 -655
2600 -455
2800 -255
3000 -55
3200 145
3400 345
3600 545
3800 745
4000 945
4200 1145

FX hedging using an FX investment


i USD 5% annual 0.01%
1-Jan-2018 31-Jan-2019
FV 912,300
PV USD 865,279 USD
PV COP ###
1500
3,250
USD912,300 1000

Profit/Loss per USD


USD0
0.00% 500
63.31%
Short (importer) Profit/Loss per USD
0 for the importer
00 00 00 00 00 00
22 26 30 34 38 42
-500

-1000
Exchange rate
Actual dev/rev aluation
USD
for the period
for the period 5.53%

daily

USD
Loss per USD
e importer

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