Module 8 - Quantitative Methods
Module 8 - Quantitative Methods
III. INTRODUCTION: This course provides you with an understanding of how various business
situations are modeled and optimized effectively using mathematical modeling and
quantitative techniques. Examples of the techniques covered in this course are time-series
analysis, regression, optimization (linear, nonlinear, and discrete), probabilistic modeling,
decision analysis, and simulation. Application areas include forecasting, finance,
operations, production and logistics.
V. LEARNING CONTENT
PRELIM
Module I: Data Management, Statistics, and Forecasting
1. Introduction to Mathematical Modeling - Business modeling examples, the modeling
process, certainty and uncertainty in models. Importance of understanding data before
modeling, and modeling with spreadsheet in simple decision situations. Data Analysis in
spreadsheet.
2. Statistics - Review of descriptive statistics, confidence intervals, distribution fit,
hypothesis testing, regression analysis.
3. Forecasting - Quantitative Methods in Forecasting, Time series analysis, seasonal
demand, regression.
MIDTERM
Module II: Optimization
1. Linear Programming Models - Decision Variables, objectives, constraints, Blending
Models, Product Mix Models, Linear Programming Solver, Sensitivity and what-if
analysis
2. Linear and Nonlinear Models, Financial Optimization - Multi-period planning models,
nonlinear models, Markovitz model, Capital budgeting models, Reinvestment models
3. Network and Integer Optimization - Assignment, staffing, scheduling, shortest path
problems. Transportation and Transshipment models, Introduction to Integer Programs.
4. Integer and multi-objective optimization, location, routing and logistics - Facility location
and logistics modeling, multi-objective modeling
FINAL
Module III: Decision Analysis and Simulation
1. Decision Analysis - Decision criterion, advanced probabilistic decision models, expected
value of perfect and imperfect information, decision trees, and utility functions.
2. Spreadsheet Simulation - Basics of Monte-Carlo simulation, Input and Output analysis.
Queueing Analysis - Design and analysis of production and service system using
queueing models to predict and mitigate delay and congestion
VIII. SUMMARY
IX. REFERENCES