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INTRODUCTION 1
Like it or not, the vast majority of us have to work. We work to sustain ourselves
and our dependents. Often, we earn money for our labour and use that money to
purchase goods and services. But money can be used for more than everyday needs.
If we spend less than we earn, we have savings. If we seek to earn a return on our
savings, we are investing.
To explain how savers become investors, consider the example of a Canadian entre-
preneur who needs money to set up a new business. She needs to find savers who are
willing to invest in her business, so she spends weeks asking her friends and neighbours
until she eventually finds a friend who is willing to invest. This friend believes he will
get back more money than he lends, so he is prepared to invest some of his savings.
The entrepreneur is happy because she can now start her business. But the search for
money has taken a long time; it could have been so much quicker and easier for her
to find the money if there was a system that connected those who need money with
those who have savings and are willing to invest these savings. Well, there is such a
system! It is called the financial system.
1 Bolded terms are glossary terms. Many important terms are introduced in this chapter, but only the
terms that are critical to your understanding of what is discussed in this chapter are bolded. The terms that
are discussed more thoroughly in subsequent chapters are bolded in those chapters.
© 2014 CFA Institute. All rights reserved.
6 Chapter 1 ■ The Investment Industry: A Top-Down View
TERMINOLOGY
Typically, the term saver characterises those who have accumulated savings.
As illustrated in the example earlier, these savings are often invested. When
savers have made investments, they are typically called investors and become
providers of capital. If the investment is a loan—that is, money that is expected
to be repaid with interest—investors are often referred to as lenders. Similarly,
the term spender characterises those who need money. When spenders have
received the money they need and start using it, they become users of capital.
If they are recipients of a loan, they are typically called borrowers. Note that
there are times when the terms savers/investors/lenders/providers of capital or
spenders/borrowers/users of capital are used interchangeably.
Savings can be invested in a wide range of assets. Assets are items that have value and
include real assets and financial assets. Real assets are physical assets, such as land,
buildings, machinery, cattle, and gold. They often represent a company’s means (or
factors) of production and are sometimes referred to as physical capital. In contrast,
financial assets are claims on real, or possibly other financial, assets. For example, a
share of stock represents ownership in a company. This share gives its owner, who is
called a shareholder, a claim to some of the company’s assets and earnings. An investor’s
total holdings of financial assets is usually called a portfolio or investment portfolio.
Financial assets that can be traded are called securities. The two largest categories
of securities are debt and equity securities.
■■ Debt securities are loans that lenders make to borrowers. Lenders expect the
borrowers to repay these loans and to make interest payments until the loans
are repaid. Because interest payments on many loans are fixed, debt securities
are also called fixed-income securities. They are also known as bonds, and
investors in bonds are referred to as bondholders. More information about debt
securities is provided in the Debt Securities chapter.
■■ Equity securities are also called stocks, shares of stock, or shares. As men-
tioned earlier, shareholders (also known as stockholders) have ownership in a
company. The company has no obligation to either repay the money the share-
holders paid for their shares or to make regular payments, called dividends.
However, investors who buy shares expect to earn a return by being able to sell
their shares at a higher price than they bought them and, possibly, by receiv-
ing dividends. Equity securities are discussed further in the Equity Securities
chapter.
Markets are places where buyers meet sellers to trade. Places where buyers and
sellers trade securities are known as securities markets, or financial markets. How
securities are issued, bought, and sold is explained in The Functioning of Financial
Markets chapter.
Exhibit 1 shows how the financial services industry helps channel funds between those
that have money to invest (the savers that become providers of capital) and those that
need money (the spenders that become users of capital). Key industry participants
and processes are described in more detail later in this chapter.
The Financial Services Industry 7
Direct Finance
Financial Markets
Where savers and spenders
Savers can buy and sell securities. Spenders
(Providers of Capital) (Users of Capital)
Financial Services
Industry
Financial Intermediaries
Channel funds from
savers to spenders.
Indirect Finance
Providers and users of capital may interact through financial markets or through
financial intermediaries. The movement of funds through financial markets is called
direct finance because the providers of capital have a direct claim on the users of
capital. For example, if you own shares of Nestlé, you have a claim on the assets and
earnings of Nestlé.
Providers and users of capital often rely on financial intermediaries to find each other
and to channel funds between each other. This process is indirect finance because
financial intermediaries act as middlemen between savers and spenders; the former
do not have direct claims on the latter. Financial intermediaries may also create new
products and securities that depend on other assets.
3 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
3.1 Banks
Banks collect deposits from savers and transform them into loans to borrowers. In
doing so, they indirectly connect savers with borrowers. The saver does not have a
direct claim on the borrower but rather has a claim on the bank through its deposit,
and the bank has a claim on the borrower through the loan. Banks are also called
deposit-taking institutions (or depository institutions) because they take deposits.
In exchange for using the depositors’ money, banks offer transaction services, such as
check writing and check cashing, and may pay interest on the deposit. Banks may also
raise money to make loans by issuing and selling bonds or stocks on financial markets.
Banks vary in whom they serve and how they are organised. They may have different
names in different countries. Building societies (also called savings and loan associa-
tions in some countries) specialise in financing long-term residential mortgages. Retail
banks provide banking products and services to individuals and small businesses.
These products and services include checking and savings accounts, debit and credit
cards, and mortgage and personal loans. An increasing number of retail banking
transactions are now performed either electronically via automated teller machines
(ATMs) or over the internet. Commercial banks provide a wide range of products
and services to companies and other financial institutions.
Co-operative and mutual banks are financial institutions that their members own
and sometimes run. They may specialise in providing mortgages and loans to their
members. Some co-operative and mutual banks may offer a wider range of products
and services, similar to those offered by commercial banks. Depositors benefit because
they earn a return (in interest, transaction services, dividends, or capital appreciation)
on their capital without having to locate the borrowers, check their credit, contract
with them, and manage their loans.
If borrowers default, banks still must pay their depositors and other lenders. If the
banks cannot collect sufficient money from their borrowers, the banks will have to
use their owners’ capital to pay their debts.2 The risk of losing capital should focus
the banks’ attention so that they do not offer credit foolishly. However, notable lapses
occasionally occur, such as in the run-up to the financial crisis of 2008. Investors too
often were not aware of, ignored, or could not control the risks that banks were taking.
2 In many countries, depositors benefit from government-guaranteed deposit insurance. This insurance
gives depositors comfort that their savings are not at risk, although the amount that is guaranteed is
usually capped.
How Economies Benefit from the Existence of the Investment Industry 9
There are two main types of insurance companies: property and casualty insurers that
cover assets such as homes, cars, and businesses, and legal liability and life insurers
that pay out a sum of money upon death or serious injury of the person insured.
Insurers are financial intermediaries because they connect buyers of their insurance
contracts with providers of capital that are willing to bear the insured risks. The buyers
of insurance contracts benefit because they can transfer risk without searching for
somebody who would be willing to assume those risks. The providers of capital benefit
because the insurance company allows them to earn a return for taking on these risks
without having to manage the insurance contracts. The insurance company manages
the relationships with the insured individual and companies—primarily, the collection
of the premiums and the settlement of claims. In addition, the insurance company
hopefully controls various issues in insurance markets—for example, fraud, moral
hazard, and adverse selection. Fraud occurs when people deliberately cause or falsely
report losses to collect insurance settlements. Moral hazard occurs when people are
less careful about avoiding losses once they have purchased insurance. Moral hazard
potentially leads to losses occurring more often with insurance than without. Adverse
selection occurs when only those who are most at risk buy insurance, causing insured
losses to be greater than average losses.
Insurers are not only financial intermediaries but also among the largest investors.
They usually invest a significant portion of the premiums they receive from the buyers
of insurance contracts in financial markets in order to meet the cost of future claims.
Resources, such as labour, real assets, and financial capital, are necessary to produce
goods and services. Desire for goods and services is unlimited, but resources are
limited. To illustrate this concept of scarcity, assume that an individual has a limited
budget; in other words, his financial capital is scarce. Should he spend his money
buying food, paying his mortgage, purchasing a new car, or going on holiday? Similarly,
should a company focus its resources on an existing product or on a new one that
might produce a higher profit? And should governments spend money on health care,
education, defence, or infrastructure?
Because resources are scarce, decisions must be made regarding the allocation of these
resources. Participants in economic systems must address three questions: (1) Which
goods and services should be produced? (2) How should the goods and services be
produced? (3) Who should receive the goods and services that are produced? The
allocation of scarce resources is efficient if the scarce resources are used to produce
goods and services that best satisfy the needs of consumers.
However, pure, free market capitalism exists only in theory. In the real world, gov-
ernments play a role in all economic systems. In some capitalistic economies, such as
in Western economies, the government’s role in business may be relatively minimal.
In economies largely dependent on the extraction of natural resources, such as some
former Soviet Republics and some Middle Eastern, African, and South American
countries, the government may maintain significant control over key national indus-
tries. In transition economies, which are moving from planned economies to market
economies, the government may play a significant role in business.
The investment industry plays an important role in providing and processing infor-
mation about investment opportunities. It helps investors collect and analyse data
about economies and information about individuals, companies, and governments.
It also assists investors in determining the value of real and financial assets. The types
of inputs and tools used by investment industry participants are described in the
chapters in the Inputs and Tools module.
The investment industry also provides liquidity. Liquidity refers to the ease of buying
or selling an asset without affecting its price. Some assets, such as real estate (land
and buildings), are inherently illiquid. For example, if you want to sell your house, it
will likely take some time to sell, even if it is priced fairly compared with other houses
in your neighbourhood. If you want to sell your house quickly, you may have to sell
it at a lower price than you think is fair. Other assets are more liquid, such as shares
that trade actively. But an investor may hold a large number of shares and selling all
the shares quickly could have a negative effect on the share price. For example, if an
investor owns 100 shares in a company with actively traded shares, she will likely be
able to sell her shares quickly and not affect the share price. But if she owns 100,000
shares, she may not be able to sell her shares quickly without affecting the share
price. As a result, she may have to accept a lower price for some or all of the shares
she wants to sell. Liquidity is a very important aspect of well-functioning financial
markets. Highly liquid markets allow investors to complete a transaction quickly (and
to reverse it quickly if they change their minds) and to have confidence that they are
getting a fair price at that particular moment.
All of these benefits increase the willingness of savers to supply funds to those who
need them. Capital that is put to more productive use fosters economic growth, which
ultimately benefits society.
Investment industry participants may also buy and sell various real and financial
assets and then package them to create new assets that suit the needs of investors
better than the original assets. Mortgage-backed securities are an example; they
represent a claim on the money generated by a large number of mortgages that have
been grouped together in a process called securitisation, which is further discussed
in the Debt Securities chapter.
Investors benefit when financial markets are competitive. Competitive markets lead
to fair prices, which ensure that buyers pay and sellers receive a reasonable and satis-
factory price. Markets in general and financial markets in particular are competitive
if a large number of participants compete with one another without any one of them
having an undue influence on supply or demand. Supply refers to the quantity of
a good or service sellers are willing and able to sell, whereas demand refers to the
quantity of a good or service buyers desire to buy. More information about supply and
demand and how the interaction of supply and demand affects prices of goods and
services is presented in the Microeconomics chapter. Competitive markets promote
higher production efficiency and help keep the prices of goods and services, including
investment products and services, down.
Investors also benefit when financial markets are liquid and transaction costs are low.
As mentioned earlier, liquidity ensures that investors can quickly buy or sell an asset
without affecting its price. Transaction costs are the costs associated with trading.
Because transaction costs reduce the return savers make on their investments, the
lower the transaction costs, the better.
To make reasonable judgments about what to invest in, savers need relevant and
reliable information about the companies and governments to which they provide or
may provide capital. By helping collect and process financial information, investment
industry participants provide benefits to investors. The timeliness of this information
is also critical because securities prices may change quickly in response to new, rel-
evant information. For example, the share price of an oil company that announces it
has discovered a large new oil field will likely increase as investors anticipate that the
company will make higher profit.
How Investors Benefit from the Existence of the Investment Industry 13
The investment industry also provides ways of reducing risk. For example, contracts
and products that represent some form of insurance may be available for purchase.
Or industry professionals may provide advice on how best to mitigate the risk of
investments. Those who are willing and able to take on risk may sell insurance or
offer investments that allow others to reduce their risks.
Trust is essential to the proper functioning of the financial system in general and the
investment industry in particular. Savers should be confident that they will be treated
fairly by those they lend to or invest in as well as by those who advise them, sell them
investment products or services, and manage their investments. If trust is lacking,
savers will be reluctant to invest, and the economy and society will suffer.
Laws and regulations are necessary to ensure that investors are treated fairly and
honestly. Usually, laws are passed by a legislative body, such as Congress in the United
States, Parliament in the United Kingdom, and the Diet in Japan. Regulations are
created by agencies, such as the Canadian Securities Administrators in Canada, the
Autorité des Marchés Financiers in France, and the Securities & Futures Commission
in Hong Kong SAR. Laws and regulations must be enforceable to be effective.
The form and extent of laws and regulations vary between countries and change over
time, but a number of general principles are widely applied. Laws and regulations are
designed to
■■ prevent fraud,
For example, trading based on non-public information that could affect a security’s
price—known as insider trading—is forbidden in most jurisdictions. For example, an
analyst who learns during a private meeting with a company’s management that the
company is about to acquire a competitor is not allowed to buy or sell shares in the
company or its competitor until the company has officially announced the acquisition.
14 Chapter 1 ■ The Investment Industry: A Top-Down View
If the analyst trades before this information is available to all market participants, he
could gain from this inside information and the integrity and fairness of the financial
market would be compromised. In many jurisdictions, the analyst could also face
punitive legal or regulatory measures.
Although the investment industry is subject to laws and regulations, these laws and
regulations cannot cover every situation and cannot prevent fraud or market abuse
from happening. This risk is why it is important that
We return to the discussion of ethics and regulation in the chapters in the Ethics and
Regulation module. The Risk Management chapter addresses the issue of compliance
with laws and regulations.
There are many investment industry participants who help spenders raise capital and
savers invest their money. Anybody working in the investment industry or purchasing
products and services provided by the investment industry is likely to come in contact
with a number of these participants. Key participants are introduced in Sections 6.1
and 6.2. The rest of the curriculum provides more information about how investment
industry participants operate and how they interact with investors and with one another.
The company contacts an investment bank to help it. Investment banks, also known
as merchant banks, are financial intermediaries that have expertise in assisting com-
panies and governments raise capital. Investment banks help companies organise
equity and debt issuances—that is, the sale of shares and bonds to the public. In the
case of the Canadian company, the equity issuance is called an initial public offering
(IPO) because it is the first time the company sells shares to the public. The Equity
Securities and The Functioning of Financial Markets chapters provide more details
about IPOs and other equity issuances.
Investment banks are specialists in matching investors with companies and govern-
ments seeking capital. The investment banks pay close attention to the types of invest-
ments that investors most want so that they can help companies and governments
design securities that will suit the needs of the company or government and appeal
to investors. By offering securities that investors want to purchase, companies and
governments are able to obtain capital at a lower cost.
The investment bank will help the Canadian company determine the price at which the
new shares will be issued. To do so, the investment bank has to gauge investor interest
in purchasing the company’s shares. The investment bank’s analysts—often called
sell-side analysts because they work for the organisation selling the securities—will
collect and analyse information about the company and its competitors and prepare
a detailed report that can be shared with potential investors.
When the Canadian company becomes a public company, it will have to comply with
the rules of the Toronto Stock Exchange and with relevant Canadian laws and regula-
tions. It will, for instance, have to file quarterly financial statements and audited annual
financial statements. Auditors will evaluate the company’s internal controls and financial
reporting and ensure that investors receive relevant and reliable financial information,
a key feature of well-functioning financial markets. More information about financial
statements and the role of auditors is provided in the Financial Statements chapter.
The services that the investment industry provides to individual investors differ depend-
ing on the investor’s wealth and level of investment knowledge and expertise, as well as
on the regulatory environment. Retail investors tend to receive standardised services,
whereas wealthier investors often receive services specially tailored to their needs.
Institutional investors that invest to advance their missions include the following:
■■ Pension plans, which hold and manage investment assets for the benefit of
future and already retired people, called beneficiaries.
Institutional investors that invest on behalf of others include investment firms and
financial institutions, such as banks and insurance companies. Different categories of
investors and their needs are discussed further in the Investors and Their Needs chapter.
Despite the differences between investors and their needs, many of the services they
require are common to all of them. Some of these services are shown in Exhibit 2.
Investment
Investment Information
Financial Management Trading
Planning Custodial
Savers
(Providers of Capital)
When investors want to buy or sell shares, they need to find another investor who
is willing to sell or buy shares. Brokers and dealers are trading service providers that
facilitate this trading. Brokers act as agents—that is, they do not trade directly with
investors but help buyers and sellers find and trade with each other. In contrast,
dealers act as principals—that is, they use their own accounts and their own capital
to trade with buyers and sellers in what is known as proprietary trading. They “make
markets” in securities by acting as buyers when investors want to sell and as sellers
when investors want to buy. They often have thousands of clients so if one client wants
to sell shares at a certain price, the dealer can usually identify another client who is
willing to buy the shares at a similar price. Brokers and dealers both provide liquidity
and help reduce transaction costs; as mentioned earlier, liquidity and low transaction
costs are beneficial to investors.
Other participants that provide trading services include clearing houses and settlement
agents, which confirm and settle trades after they have been agreed on. Custodians
and depositories hold money and securities on behalf of their clients.
Individual investors often do not have the time, the inclination, or the expertise to
manage the entire investment process on their own, so many of them seek the help
of investment professionals. Financial planning service providers, such as financial
planners, help their clients understand their future financial needs and define their
investment goals. Investment management service providers, such as asset managers,
make and help their clients make investment decisions in order to achieve the clients’
investment goals.
Many investors, particularly retail investors, are willing to invest but lack sufficient
financial resources to contract with an investment manager to look after their invest-
ments. These investors often buy investment products created and managed by invest-
ment firms, banks, and insurance companies. For example, an individual who wants to
plan for her retirement may need a convenient and inexpensive way to invest money
regularly. She may buy shares in a mutual fund, a professionally managed vehicle that
invests in a range of securities.
18 Chapter 1 ■ The Investment Industry: A Top-Down View
Other changes are driven by external forces. These external forces are
Competition
Regulation
Technology
Investment
Industry
Globalisation
SUMMARY
Without the financial services industry, money would have difficulty finding its way
from savers to individuals, companies, and governments that have businesses and
projects to finance but insufficient capital to do so themselves. At its best, the indus-
try efficiently matches those who need money with those who have savings to invest,
minimising the costs to each and allowing money to support the most productive
businesses and projects. The investment industry acts on behalf of savers, helping
them to navigate the financial markets. When the investment industry is efficient and
trustworthy, economies and individuals benefit.
The points below summarise what you have learned in this chapter about the financial
services and investment industries.
■■ The main financial institutions are banks and insurance companies. Banks
collect deposits from savers and transform them into loans to borrowers.
Insurance companies are not only financial intermediaries that connect buy-
ers of insurance contracts with providers of capital who are willing to bear the
insured risks, but also among the largest investors.
Summary 21
■■ The investment industry, a subset of the financial services industry, includes all
participants that help savers invest their money and spenders raise capital in
financial markets.
■■ Four key forces that drive the investment industry are competition, technology,
globalisation, and regulation.
Chapter Review Questions 23
A savers.
B lenders.
C borrowers.
A increasing risk.
B decreasing liquidity.
C increasing efficiency.
A risk transfer.
B lower prices.
C greater integrity.
4 Which of the following would most likely assist individuals in defining their
investment goals?
A Dealers
B Financial planners
C Investment bankers
5 Which of the following is most likely to facilitate trading and help reduce trans-
action costs?
A Brokers
B Analysts
C Asset managers
A foundation.
B endowment fund.
A agent.
B principal.
C proprietary trader.
A pension plan.
B investment bank.
C endowment fund.
9 Which of the following forces that drive the investment industry promotes
transparency of financial markets?
A Regulation
B Competition
C Computerisation
10 A force driving the investment industry that has led to decreased trade process-
ing costs is:
A regulation.
B technology.
C globalisation.
A increased.
B decreased.
C remained stable.
Answers 25
ANSWERS
2 C is correct. The investment industry helps savers invest their money and
borrowers get the funds they require. In doing so, it reduces the resources that
would be expended on the search rather than on productive uses, thus increas-
ing efficiency. A is incorrect because the investment industry helps transform
and transfer risk, not increase it. B is incorrect because the investment industry
increases rather than decreases liquidity.
7 A is correct. Brokers act as agents and do not trade directly with investors. B
and C are incorrect because brokers do not use their own accounts to trade as
principals with buyers/sellers nor do they use their own capital as proprietary
traders.
11 A is correct. Globally, there has been a growing trend toward greater regulation
of the investment industry.
CHAPTER 2
ETHICS AND INVESTMENT
PROFESSIONALISM
by Gerhard Hambusch, CFA
LEARNING OUTCOMES
INTRODUCTION 1
Ethics play an essential role in protecting financial market integrity and the functioning
of the investment industry. Financial market integrity refers to financial markets that
are ethical and transparent and provide investor protection. Trust in the investment
industry is enhanced when workers in the industry make decisions that are ethically
sound.
In 2013, a study by CFA Institute and Edelman examined trust by investors in invest-
ment managers and explored the dimensions that influence that level of trust.1 The
study found that only about half of the surveyed investors trust investment managers
to act ethically. This result is troubling. As Alan M. Meder, CFA, former chair of the
CFA Institute Board of Governors, put it earlier, “A tarnished reputation is difficult to
clean. . . . The investment profession is built on trust as much as it relies on expertise.”2
What do these words mean in practice? When trust is absent, investors are less likely
to participate in financial markets. Without investment, investors may be unable to
reach their financial goals. Without available capital for companies, economic growth
will slow. So, it is important that investors are treated fairly because society benefits
from well-functioning financial markets.
The creation and maintenance of trust depends on the behaviour, actions, and integrity
of entities participating in the financial markets. These market participants include
companies and governments raising capital, investment firms (companies in the invest-
ment industry), rating agencies, accounting firms, financial planners and advisers,
regulators, and institutional and individual investors. Ultimately, trust relies on the
actions of individuals participating in financial markets, including those working in
the investment industry. In short, trust depends on everyone.
Rules are important to the effective functioning of financial markets too; however,
rules are unlikely to cover every problematic situation encountered. An individual’s
ability to identify, develop, and apply ethical standards when there are no clear-cut
rules is, therefore, critical. In the end, trust depends on individuals choosing to comply
with rules and to act ethically.
Ethical standards, and some professional standards, are based on principles that
support and promote desired values or behaviours. Ethics is defined as a set of moral
principles, or the principles of conduct governing an individual or a group. Professional
organisations, such as CFA Institute, establish codes of ethics and professional stan-
dards based on fundamental ethical principles to guide practice. Ethics and rules are
intertwined; ethical standards help guide the development of rules, and rules help
individuals and groups, such as professional associations, think about, develop, and
apply ethical standards.
1 CFA Institute and Edelman, “CFA Institute & Edelman Investor Trust Study” (2013): www.cfainstitute.
org/learning/products/publications/ccb/Pages/ccb.v2013.n14.1.aspx.
2 Alan M. Meder, “Creating a Culture of Integrity,” CFA Institute (2011): www.cfainstitute.org/learning/
products/publications/contributed/Pages/creating_a_culture_of_integrity.aspx.
© 2014 CFA Institute. All rights reserved.
34 Chapter 2 ■ Ethics and Investment Professionalism
Ethics
Rules
Professional Standards
A culture of integrity based on ethical standards can be built and developed at a
personal and business level by applying the following four-step process, as suggested
by Meder. This process can be adapted to be relevant for anyone:
4 Take action when breaches of integrity and ethical standards are observed.
These steps help individuals to identify, assess, and deal with ethical dilemmas.
Ethical dilemmas are situations in which values, interests, and/or rules potentially
conflict. Sometimes, the ethical dilemma and the appropriate ethical response seem
obvious. In other instances, neither the ethical dilemma nor the appropriate ethical
response is obvious. To identify and deal with an ethical dilemma, it is useful to be
able to consult a framework that guides ethical decision making. An example of such
a framework is described in Section 6. Individuals following such a framework are
more likely to identify ethical dilemmas and to ensure that they and others around
them behave ethically.
Global financial markets have grown in size and complexity over the last few decades.
Investment products and financial services offered have also increased in breadth
and complexity. Such growth and increased complexity increase the likelihood of
ethical dilemmas occurring. This likelihood is further enhanced as organisations
and individuals conduct business across borders and under different regulatory and
cultural frameworks.
Investment professionals help provide access to and information about these invest-
ment opportunities and the financial markets. Investment professionals are involved
in making and helping clients make investment decisions and in creating products
that help with and add value to the investment decision-making process.
Individuals who work in the investment industry but outside of the investment man-
agement functions are also critical to the functioning of the investment industry. These
individuals include employees working in fund administration, securities trading and
account services, and other support activities—including legal, human resources,
marketing, sales, and information technology.
Why Ethical Behaviour Is Important 35
The decisions and actions of all the individuals in the investment industry may directly
or indirectly affect clients, prospective clients, employers, and/or co-workers. So these
individuals have a responsibility to make ethical decisions and to act appropriately.
In other words, they have to be trustworthy.
For example, clients seeking wealth management advice trust that the investment
professionals they consult will provide suitable recommendations. Typically, these
professionals rely on the support of others to provide investment services to clients.
This support may be provided from within the investment firm or, in some cases, by
third parties, such as legal or tax consulting firms. Such support also extends to the
use of third-party information, such as credit ratings and investment research. When
using such support and information, individuals working in the investment industry
must be careful and conduct due diligence to ensure the reliability of the information
and its sources. If all parties are committed to acting in the best interests of the client,
the client’s trust in the professional relationship is more likely to be sustained.
It is critical that high ethical standards guide decisions and actions. Investors are
unlikely to have confidence in—and more broadly, the public is unlikely to trust in—
the fairness of financial markets if there is not a general belief that individuals in the
investment industry behave ethically. Some of the factors, including success of the
investment industry, affected by ethical standards are shown in Exhibit 1. High ethical
standards support these factors, and a breach of ethical standards can undermine them.
For example, when investors hear about insider trading (trading while in possession
of information that is not publicly available and that is likely to affect the price, often
referred to as material, non-public information) or misrepresented financial reports,
it brings into question the integrity and fairness of financial markets and lowers public
trust and investor confidence in them.
Investor
Confidence
Success of Integrity of
the Investment the Investment
Industry Profession
The exception to the rule that those working in the investment industry should put
the interests of a client first is when this would harm the integrity of financial mar-
kets. For example, trading on insider information on behalf of clients will benefit
client interests financially but ultimately will harm all investors by eroding investor
confidence in the financial markets.
Conflicts of interest are inevitable. They present ethical dilemmas that need to be
appropriately dealt with. Depending on the circumstances, they can be dealt with
in different ways. In some cases, an individual may choose to avoid the conflict by
rejecting an assignment. For example, an investment professional may decline to
prepare a research report on a company in which the professional owns a significant
number of shares. In other cases, an individual may choose to disclose a conflict to
other relevant parties who can then decide what action is appropriate. The solution is
important, but the critical first step is to identify conflicts of interest and to recognise
that they result in potential ethical dilemmas.
Have you ever faced a conflict of interest in your work? Even if you have not faced
one yet, be aware that employees in all parts of the investment industry face potential
conflicts of interest. Investment professionals and support staff alike must remain
alert to conflicts that may arise.
■■ A broker receives a large buy order from a client. Before executing the cli-
ent’s order, the broker executes a personal buy order (also known as front
running) in order to benefit from increasing market prices caused by the
client’s large buy order.
Obligations of Employees in the Investment Industry 39
Exhibit 2 (Continued)
The following are examples of conflicts of interest involving support staff.
Obligations also include loyalty, professional competence, and care. Loyalty, in the
context of the employment relationship, incorporates the expectation that employees
will work diligently on behalf of their employer, will place their employer’s interests
above their own, and will not misappropriate company property. Misappropriation of
company property, whether small or large in monetary terms, is unethical. Examples
of misappropriation include making excessive claims on expense reports and using
company assets for personal purposes. Misappropriation may occur when an employee
has access to company assets that are difficult to protect, particularly trade secrets and
intangible assets, such as client lists, stock selection models, the company’s employee
compensation structure, or portfolio management procedures.
Employees are expected to carry out their assigned responsibilities with competence
and care. The efficient operation of the company can be compromised if employees
do not act competently and carefully. If an employee does not feel capable of carry-
ing out a task, he or she should either develop the necessary skills, work with others
to complete it, or decline the task. This situation may not immediately seem like an
ethical dilemma, but when an individual accepts responsibility to complete a task, he
or she has an ethical obligation to be capable of completing the task efficiently and
with the appropriate level of knowledge, care, and skill.
tasks of co-workers and the overall success of a team. In a worst-case scenario, the
lack of competence and care by one worker can reflect on others and result in the
loss of trust in one or more co-workers and perhaps even in their dismissal. These
are far-reaching consequences that co-workers should not have to face. By contrast,
ethical conduct—including competence, care, and respect towards co-workers—not
only contributes to the achievement of client and employer goals but can also enhance
your career as you develop social and communication skills and, in some cases, team
leadership skills.
1 What is my role in the company and in what way do I contribute to its success?
These questions are intended to identify major obligations, but they are not compre-
hensive. They can be adapted to identify and consider standards applicable to any
employee’s work environment.
ETHICAL STANDARDS 4
Laws and regulations help to ensure that those working in the investment industry
fulfil their obligations. They also help protect the integrity of the financial system and
promote fairness and efficiency of financial markets. However, laws and regulations
alone are not sufficient to protect the financial system. Some of the reasons for this
include the following:
■■ Laws and regulations may not extend to all areas of finance and can be vague or
ambiguous, making their interpretation a challenge.
■■ Laws and regulations are often slow to catch up with market innovations.
■■ Situations may arise in which no applicable law exists or the existing law is
inconclusive.
The need for ethical standards is particularly apparent in situations in which vague
or ambiguous legal rules provide room for unethical behaviour that could affect the
integrity of the investment industry and result in a loss of clients’ and/or investors’
trust. To protect the financial system in these cases, ethical standards should guide
the behaviour of market participants. The principles embedded in codes of ethics and
professional standards should help guide the behaviour of industry participants and
allow them to adapt to a continuously changing investment industry.
Section 4.1 describes why codes of ethics and professional standards exist. As an
illustration, Section 4.1.1 describes the Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional
Conduct developed by CFA Institute to guide how investment professionals are
expected to behave. Section 4.1.2 describes how the code can be adapted and applied
to the behaviour of others working in the investment industry.
professional association. This adherence helps ensure that common ethical standards
are applied across a wide group of people. Engineers, accountants, lawyers, and doctors,
for example, have ethical and professional standards they are expected to adhere to.
Standards vary around the world because professional associations are not typically
global in nature.
The Code and Standards should be viewed and interpreted as an interwoven tapestry
of ethical requirements, outlining conduct that constitutes fair and ethical business
practices. Adhering to the ethical principles underlying the Code and Standards will
help protect the integrity of financial markets and promote trust in the investment
profession. The CFA Institute Code of Ethics is shown in Exhibit 3; it reflects fun-
damental ethical principles applicable to the investment industry professional. This
code includes ethical principles that can be adapted for use by others working in the
investment industry. These principles are described in Section 4.1.2.
■■ Place the integrity of the investment profession and the interests of clients
above their own personal interests.
Exhibit 3 (Continued)
■■ Practice and encourage others to practice in a professional and ethical
manner that will reflect credit on themselves and the profession.
■■ Promote the integrity and viability of the global capital markets for the
ultimate benefit of society.
■■ Act with independence and objectivity. Those working in the investment indus-
try should carry out their professional responsibilities in a thoughtful and
objective manner, free from any obligations, encumbrances, or biases, such as
gifts or relationships that may influence their judgment.
■■ Make full and fair disclosure. Transparency and good communication are key
elements in building trust with investors and allowing clients to make intelli-
gent and informed decisions. Those in the investment industry who make false
or misleading statements harm investors and reduce investor confidence in
financial markets.
■■ Engage in fair dealing. All clients in similar situations should be treated fairly
regardless of whether one client has more assets, pays more fees, or has a closer
relationship. Fair treatment of all stakeholders maintains the confidence of the
investing public in the investment industry.
The Code and Standards, which are intended to guide the investment professional,
can help guide all participants in the investment industry to identify, promote, and
follow high ethical standards.
4.1.2 How the Code of Ethics May Guide All Employees in the Investment Industry
The Code of Ethics and the ethical principles embedded in it may seem overwhelming.
Key aspects of potential relevance to you are summarised in Exhibit 4. An explanation
of each of the four aspects follows the exhibit.
The Code requires investment professionals to act with integrity and to place the
integrity of the financial markets and the investment profession before personal or
employer interests. Integrity also applies to the client relationship. The obligations
to avoid or manage conflicting interests and to prioritize client interests serve this
relationship and promote public trust in the investment industry. It is important that
all employees in the investment industry act with integrity and act with the primacy
of clients’ interests in mind.
The Code requires investment professionals to act with competence, diligence, and
reasonable care. Because financial markets, investment tools, and related services are
constantly evolving, employees must continuously strive to maintain and improve their
knowledge and competence, as well as that of others. Personal education and skill
development will help employees meet these responsibilities competently and diligently.
The Code requires the investment professional to respect clients, employers, co-
workers, and other investment professionals. Treating others with respect is rele-
vant to all investment industry employees. This requirement complements the CFA
Institute vision of promoting equitable, free, and efficient financial markets. Acting
respectfully and in an ethical manner contributes to building and maintaining public
trust in financial markets.
Benefits of Ethical Conduct and Consequences of Unethical Conduct 45
Following ethical principles has benefits. Similarly, violating ethical principles has
consequences. The next section describes potential benefits of ethical behaviour and
potential consequences of unethical conduct.
Profita
bili
t
y
Liquidity Efficiency
TRUST
Investment industry employees behaving ethically increase investors’ trust in the
industry and strengthen the fairness of financial markets. This trust increases market
participation and market efficiency (by which prices adjust quickly to reflect new infor-
mation about the value of assets in the market place), which, in turn, helps investors
achieve their investment goals.
Increased market efficiency and trust can increase access to equity and debt funding
and decrease the cost of capital for companies and governments requiring capital.
Increasing the availability of capital and decreasing the cost of capital may positively
influence the profitability and growth of companies as well as the development of the
investment industry and the overall economy.
Increased market efficiency and participation can directly support the goals of com-
panies in the investment industry. These goals include economic objectives, such as
profitability and share value, and non-economic objectives, such as reputation and
customer satisfaction. In addition, an employee following ethical standards is less
likely to take excessive or unauthorised risk or to misappropriate company assets.
The misappropriation can be of tangible assets (for example, using the company car
for personal trips without authorisation) or intangible assets (for example, sharing
information about customers or company research). If employees behave ethically,
their actions are less likely to have far-reaching (including legal) consequences for
their employer.
development. Complying with ethical standards may directly and positively affect a
professional’s position, compensation, and reputation. It may also provide indirect
benefits through the increased reputation and business success of a professional’s
team and entire firm, thereby providing long-term career and skill set development
opportunities. Compliance will be further discussed in the Investment Industry
Documentation chapter.
4 Ponzi schemes are named after Charles Ponzi, who defrauded many people in the United States in the
1930s. Typically in a Ponzi scheme, a plausible but semi-secretive method for earning returns is presented
but, in fact, there is no such method. Fictitious returns are reported and payments are made to investors
using cash receipts from other investors. The scheme falls apart and is revealed when there are no new
investors and/or investors begin to request withdrawals rather than reinvesting their supposed earnings.
48 Chapter 2 ■ Ethics and Investment Professionalism
result, the US-based global investment firm Lehman Brothers went bankrupt.5 These
events led to a liquidity crisis (a shortage of available funds) in financial markets.
The ensuing global financial crisis almost resulted in the bankruptcy of American
International Group (AIG), a large multinational insurance company, which required
a regulatory bailout to survive. The crisis negatively affected many more companies
and reduced the output and growth expectations of several economies around the
world. This extreme case demonstrates how unethical behaviour—such as aggressive
mortgage lending—by some market participants can lead to the bankruptcy of a
company and a negative impact on other interlinked companies, their clients, and
the entire financial system.
In all of these cases of unethical behaviour, clients can lose wealth and income. For
example, if a client owns shares in an investment bank and there is a trading scandal,
the value of the shares may fall and the client may lose money. The client may also
suffer a decrease in current income because of lower dividend payments. In addition,
the client’s future income can be reduced if retirement funds have been affected. Faced
with financial damage to wealth and income, clients can experience a great level of
personal distress along with severe mistrust in the investment industry, whether that
mistrust is justified or misplaced.
5 A 2,200-page, 9-volume report issued 11 March 2010 by the court-appointed examiner of Lehman
Brothers identified various questionable, but not necessarily illegal, activities undertaken by the firm.
Benefits of Ethical Conduct and Consequences of Unethical Conduct 49
In some cases, an employer can face closure because of the unethical and/or illegal
behaviour of one or more individuals within the company. US energy and commod-
ity trading company Enron, for instance, collapsed in 2001 as a result of unethical,
aggressive accounting practices, which were later identified to be illegal. As a result,
Enron CEO Jeffrey K. Skilling received a 24-year prison sentence. In addition, Arthur
Andersen, Enron’s audit firm, was negatively affected and later dissolved because of
questions of integrity with respect to some of its partners involved in the Enron audit.
In a different case, unethical and ultimately illegal behaviour by former British deriv-
atives trader Nicholas Leeson single-handedly caused losses exceeding £800 million,
resulting in the bankruptcy of the United Kingdom’s oldest investment bank, Barings
Bank, in 1995. Leeson, who had executed unauthorised trades, was sent to prison for
six-and-a-half years. Interestingly, if the back-office accounting person had refused
to comply with Leeson’s orders on accounting matters, the losses might have been
identified earlier, when they were significantly lower. These extreme examples show
how the unethical behaviour of a few individuals can have detrimental effects on co-
workers and employers.
A loss of reputation can result in a loss of company profits and a loss of shareholder
value. In cases of illegal conduct, a company in the investment industry may be held
liable for financial losses sustained by customers or other market participants. If prose-
cuted, the employer may also be subject to fines and loss of operating licences and may
be obliged to pay compensation to clients or other market participants for financial
losses. These consequences can result in additional loss of company value, which is
amplified if the company loses the right to provide some investment services. The
employer’s profits may further decrease as a result of expenditures required to assess,
manage, and prevent future occurrences of compliance failures. Lastly, a company
may become subject to increased regulatory scrutiny and required to use company
resources to administer and provide additional costly analysis and information.
2007, she settled a civil action suit for insider trading brought by the US Securities
and Exchange Commission (SEC) by paying a fine of US$195,000 and accepting a
five-year ban on serving as an officer or director of a public company.
7 Seek Additional Guidance (this may occur earlier in the decision making
process or not at all)
This framework is based on “A Framework for Thinking Ethically” from the Markkula Center for
Applied Ethics at Santa Clara University (www.scu.edu/ethics/practicing/decision/framework.html).
Framework for Ethical Decision Making 51
Exhibit 6 illustrates the application of the framework using a scenario that is fictional
but realistic. Some guideline questions and possible responses are included in Exhibit 6
to help you see how to use the framework. As you read through the exhibit, consider
how you would answer the questions posed and go through the framework if you were
in the situation. For example, are you able to identify additional alternative actions?
Several colleagues and their friends from outside of the office go out after work
with Carlos, a newly hired employee. The more experienced employees tell the
“new guy” to charge the meal and drinks to the company credit card. Carlos’s
colleagues tell him the friends are “prospective clients” and that they have charged
similar outings on the card before, and the boss always approves the charges.
Is it appropriate to use the company credit card to pay for the dinner
with colleagues and their friends?
In some situations, duties to multiple parties may exist for the indi-
vidual facing the dilemma. In this case, Carlos’s sole duty is to his
employer.
In this case, Carlos may struggle with wanting to fit in with his new
colleagues versus following his understanding of the policies of the
employer.
Exhibit 6 (Continued)
During the orientation, limitations on the use of the company credit
card were identified.
During the dinner, more experienced colleagues have told him it is okay
to use the card for business expenses of this nature. The friends were
identified by them as prospective clients.
In this situation, Carlos does not have the luxury of gathering more
information about the policy. Carlos may wonder if the friends actually
represent prospective clients for the company but may find it difficult to
question his colleagues further. As a result of the orientation, Carlos is
concerned that charging the meal to the card may be in violation of the
company policy and be unethical.
Exhibit 6 (Continued)
■■ complying with his colleagues’ request and charging the dinner
to the company card but indicating that he will speak to the boss
about it the next day.
■■ charging the dinner to his personal card and indicating that he will
speak to the boss about it the next day.
The orientation should lead him to understand that using the company
card is unacceptable and would reflect poorly upon him. Carlos might
be uncomfortable sharing the decision to charge the company card.
Carlos might feel more comfortable sharing other decisions.
Exhibit 6 (Continued)
8 Act and Review the Outcome
●● How did the decision turn out, and what has been learned from this
specific situation?
This framework is based on “A Framework for Thinking Ethically” from the Markkula Center for
Applied Ethics at Santa Clara University (www.scu.edu/ethics/practicing/decision/framework.html).
A framework for ethical decision making and the application of ethical principles will
hopefully assist individuals in addressing ethical dilemmas.
Exhibit 7 (Continued)
■■ A portfolio manager tells her assistant that she and 7 of the 10 other port-
folio managers in the firm are leaving to form their own firm. She asks the
assistant to join the new firm and to put together a list of current clients
with their phone numbers and other personal details.
In each of these examples, at least one person is facing an ethical dilemma. Using
a framework for ethical decision making and applying ethical principles may help
those individuals to first identify the ethical dilemmas and then to navigate their way
through them.
56 Chapter 2 ■ Ethics and Investment Professionalism
SUMMARY
■■ Rules are helpful but are unlikely to cover every situation encountered. In the
absence of clear rules, ethical principles can help guide decision making and
behaviour.
■■ The CFA Institute Code of Ethics sets ethical standards for investment
professionals.
■■ All employees in the investment industry should act with integrity; use com-
petence, diligence, and reasonable care; act respectfully and ethically; and use
independent judgment.
Summary 57
■■ Benefits of ethical conduct in the investment industry are many but begin with
trust. Increased trust in the fairness of financial markets and the ethical con-
duct of market participants leads to increased market participation. Increased
market participation leads to increased liquidity, increased market efficiency,
and increased availability of capital at a reduced cost. As a result, the overall
economy thrives.
■■ Violations of legal and ethical standards can have significant negative conse-
quences for clients, investment professionals, investment firms, the investment
industry, financial markets, and the global economy.
■■ A framework for ethical decision making, such as the one listed here, can help
individuals make ethical decisions:
1 Maintaining high ethical standards in the investment industry will most likely
result in:
2 Maintaining high ethical standards in the investment industry will most likely:
3 Which of the following most likely represents potential violation of ethical prin-
ciples due to a conflict of interest?
C An employee sells her own shares of a company after placing a client’s order
to sell shares of the same company.
5 If the required structural and procedural controls have not been established,
then an employee should:
6 Which of the following outcomes of acting with high ethical standards will most
likely directly benefit both clients and investment professionals?
7 For individuals working in the investment industry, ethical standards are most
needed when:
A Clients
B Employers
C Co-workers
A not allowed.
A Increased employment
A employment.
17 Which of the following best describes an internal factor that could affect judg-
ment in ethical decisions?
A Incentives
B Rationalization
C Authority figures
Answers 61
ANSWERS
5 A is correct. Supervisory duties should only be assumed when the work envi-
ronment provides the requisite structural and procedural controls to prevent
and detect violations. Supervisors are expected to execute supervisory duties
responsibly, which includes ensuring compliance with ethical, legal, profes-
sional, and organisational standards. B and C are incorrect because if deficien-
cies are detected, the employee should document all issues and refrain from
assuming supervisory duties until controls have been established. The employee
does not necessarily have an obligation to notify the appropriate regulatory
authorities.
62 Chapter 2 ■ Ethics and Investment Professionalism
6 C is correct. Acting with high ethical standards increases clients’ trust in the
fairness of financial markets, thus promoting market efficiency, which, in turn,
helps clients achieve their investment goals. This outcome also benefits invest-
ment professionals because increased trust from clients increases the likelihood
that clients will seek their advice, thus enhancing the security of their employ-
ment. A and B are incorrect because enhanced employment security and the
reduced risk of adverse legal consequences benefit investment professionals
directly and only indirectly may benefit clients.
7 A is correct. Ethical standards are most needed when legal obligations are
ambiguous. The need for ethical standards is particularly apparent in situations
in which vague or ambiguous legal rules provide opportunities for unethical
behaviour. B is incorrect because laws and regulations are often slow to catch
up with market innovations. So, in the case of frequent market innovations, the
need for ethical standards would be great. But in an environment with infre-
quent market innovations, the need is not so apparent. C is incorrect because
activities that occur in different jurisdictions can be complicated by inconsis-
tencies in legal obligations, which would make the need for ethical standards
important. But in different jurisdictions where legal obligations are unambigu-
ous and similar, the need for ethical standards is not as great.
access to equity and debt funding will likely increase and the cost of capital
for companies requiring capital will decrease. A and B are incorrect because
unethical behaviour by investment professionals may result in lower economic
output, lower employment, and reduced long-term growth expectations for the
economy.
15 C is correct. Conflicts of interests with clients and employers may arise in the
course of business. Conflicts should be avoided or managed through disclosure
so that all relevant stakeholders are aware of these conflicts and their potential
effects on the relationship. A and B are incorrect because, although it is prefer-
able to avoid conflicts of interest, it is not always possible to avoid or eliminate
them. In situations lacking that ability, an employee should prominently disclose
the conflicts in plain language to effectively communicate the information.
a Define regulations;
e Identify specific types of regulation and describe the reasons for each;
INTRODUCTION 1
Rules are important to the investment industry. Without rules, customers could be
sold unsuitable products and lose some or all of their life savings. Customers can
also be harmed if a company in the investment industry misuses customer assets.
Furthermore, the failure of a large company in the financial services industry, which
includes the investment industry, can lead to a catastrophic chain reaction that results
in the failure of many other companies, causing serious damage to the economy.
Recall from the Investment Industry: A Top-Down View chapter that regulation is
one of the key forces driving the investment industry. Regulation is important because
it attempts to prevent, identify, and punish investment industry behaviour that is
considered undesirable. Financial services and products are highly regulated because
a failure or disruption in the financial services industry, including the investment
industry, can have devastating consequences for individuals, companies, and the
economy as a whole.
Regulations are rules that set standards for conduct and that carry the force of law.
They are set and enforced by government bodies and by other entities authorised by
government bodies. This enforcement aspect is a critical difference of regulations
with ethical principles and professional standards. Violations of ethical principles
and professional standards have consequences, but those consequences may not be as
severe as those for violations of laws and regulations. Therefore, laws and regulations
can be used to reinforce ethical principles and professional standards.
It is important that all investment industry participants comply with relevant regula-
tion. Companies and employees that fail to comply face sanctions that can be severe.
More important, perhaps, than the effects on companies and employees, failure to
comply with regulations can harm other participants in the financial markets as well
as damage trust in the investment industry and financial markets.
Companies set and enforce rules for their employees to ensure compliance with reg-
ulation and to guide employees with matters outside the scope of regulation. These
company rules are often called corporate policies and procedures and are intended
to establish desired behaviours and to ensure good business practices.
Laws and
Company Regulations
Rules
TRUST
IN THE
INDUSTRY
Professional
Ethical Standards
Principles
2 OBJECTIVES OF REGULATION
Regulators act in response to a perceived need for rules. Regulation is needed when
market solutions are insufficient for a variety of reasons. Understanding the objectives
of regulation makes it easier for industry participants to anticipate and comply with
regulation.
2 Foster capital formation and economic growth. Financial markets allocate funds
from the suppliers of capital—investors—to the users of capital, such as compa-
nies and governments. The allocation of capital to productive uses is essential
Consequences of Regulatory Failure 69
3 Support economic stability. The higher proportion of debt funding used in the
financial services industry, particularly by financial institutions, and the inter-
connections between financial service industry participants create the risk of a
systemic failure—that is, a failure of the entire financial system, including loss
of access to credit and collapse of financial markets. Regulators thus seek to
ensure that companies in the financial services industry, both individually and
as an industry, do not engage in practices that could disrupt the economy.
4 Ensure fairness. All market participants do not have the same information.
Sellers of financial products might choose not to communicate negative infor-
mation about the products they are selling. Insiders who know more than the
rest of the market might trade on their inside information. These information
asymmetries (differences in available information) can deter investors from
investing, thus harming economic growth. Regulators attempt to deal with
these asymmetries by requiring fair and full disclosure of relevant information
on a timely basis and by enforcing prohibitions on insider trading. Regulators
seek to maintain “fair and orderly” markets in which no participant has an
unfair advantage.
financial services industry, which includes the investment industry. Customers may
lose their life savings when sold unsuitable products or customers could be harmed
if an investment firm misuses customer assets. Furthermore, the failure of one large
company in the financial services industry can lead to a catastrophic chain reaction
(contagion) that results in the failure of many other companies, causing serious dam-
age to the economy.
The processes by which regulations are developed vary widely from jurisdiction to
jurisdiction and even within jurisdictions. This section describes steps involved in a
typical regulatory process and compares different types of regulatory regimes.
Exhibit 1 shows steps in a typical regulatory process, from the need for regulation to
its implementation and enforcement.
n
d y t a tio n tion
e t l i o lu
d Ne hori n su n tat ng
t
en Res
o
e u t is C o n e r i m
rc eiv al A alys blic optio plem nito force pute view
g
Pe Le An Pu Ad Im Mo En Dis Re
analysis also needs to carefully weigh the costs and benefits of the proposed
regulation, even though the benefits are often difficult to quantify. In other
words, does the cure cost more than the disease? Regulations impose costs,
including the direct costs incurred to hire people and construct systems to
achieve compliance, monitor compliance, and enforce the regulations. These
costs increase ongoing operating costs of regulators and companies, among
others. A regulation may be effective in leading to desired behaviours but very
inefficient given the costs associated with it.
1 For example, the United Kingdom’s Financial Services Authority took into account “the desirability of
maintaining the competitive position of the UK” (www.fsa.gov.uk/pages/About/Aims/Principles/index.shtml).
72 Chapter 3 ■ Regulation
punishments also may involve the loss of licences, a ban from working in the
investment industry, and even prison terms. The loss of reputation resulting
from regulatory action, even when the individual is not convicted or punished,
can have significant effects on individuals and companies.
9 Dispute resolution. When disputes arise in a market, a fair, fast, and efficient
dispute resolution system can improve the market’s reputation for integrity and
promote economic efficiency. Mechanisms that provide an alternative to going
to court to resolve a dispute—often known as alternative dispute resolutions—
have been developed globally. These typically use a third party, such as a tribu-
nal, arbitrator, mediator, or ombudsman, to help parties resolve a dispute. Using
alternative dispute resolutions may be faster and less expensive than going to
court.
Although the creation of regulation often involves the processes just outlined, regula-
tions can be created less formally. Sometimes, regulators will issue informal guidance
that may not have the formal legal status of written regulations but will affect the
interpretation and enforcement of regulations. Enforcement officials may decide, for
instance, that a previously acceptable practice has become abusive and start sanctioning
individuals and companies for it. This potential is one of the reasons why individuals
and companies should maintain ethical standards higher than the legal minimums.
Again, the real world regulatory environment is often a hybrid of these two types of
regulation. For example, although US regulation is mostly disclosure-based, US reg-
ulators sometimes impose extra burdens of disclosure and restrict access to products
that they think lack merit, are highly risky, or are poorly understood.
■■ Gatekeeping rules
■■ Operations rules
■■ Disclosure rules
■■ Trading rules
2 To be precise, US prosecutions for insider trading are typically made under US SEC Rule 10b-5, which
does not mention insider trading directly. It states, “It shall be unlawful for any person, directly or indirectly,
by the use of any means or instrumentality of interstate commerce, or of the mails or of any facility of any
national securities exchange,
a. To employ any device, scheme, or artifice to defraud,
b. To make any untrue statement of a material fact or to omit to state a material fact necessary in
order to make the statements made, in the light of the circumstances under which they were made, not
misleading, or
c. To engage in any act, practice, or course of business which operates or would operate as a fraud or
deceit upon any person, in connection with the purchase or sale of any security.”
74 Chapter 3 ■ Regulation
■■ Anti-money-laundering rules
Financial products. Financial products must generally comply with numerous regula-
tions before they can be sold to the public. In disclosure-based regimes, the regulators
monitor the accuracy of the disclosures; in merit-based regimes, the regulators pass
judgement on the merits of the investments.
Gatekeeping rules are necessary because some financial products are complicated to
understand, and sellers of these products may have incentives to offer and recommend
the wrong products to a client. For example, between 2002 and 2008, Hong Kong SAR
banks and brokerage firms sold a total of HK$14.7 billion of Lehman Brothers’ invest-
ment products—mainly unlisted notes linked to the credit of various companies—to
about 43,700 individual investors. After Lehman’s bankruptcy in 2008, investors lost
most, if not all, of the principal amount they had invested.
Net capital. It is important that companies in the financial services industry have
sufficient resources to honour their obligations. History shows that highly leveraged
companies (companies with a high amount of debt relative to equity) pose a risk not
only to their own shareholders, but also to their customers and the economy as a
whole. Bankruptcies of even small companies in the financial services industry can be
disruptive. The aggregate effects of a large number of small collapses can have a serious
impact on the overall economy.
The collapse of larger entities can result in global financial contagion, a situation in
which financial shocks spread from their place of origin to other locales or markets.
Contagion occurred in the 1997 Asian crisis—a crisis that began in some Asian
countries and spread across the globe. Contagion also took place during the financial
crisis of 2008. Regulators seek to prevent excessive risk taking by imposing capital
requirements that limit the amount of leverage that companies in the financial services
industry, particularly a financial institution, can use. More information about the effect
of leverage on a company’s performance is provided in the Financial Statements chapter.
Types of Financial Market Regulation 75
Handling of customer assets. Most jurisdictions impose rules that require customer
assets to be strictly segregated from the assets of an investment firm. Even with regu-
lations, however, companies may be tempted to use these valuable assets in ways that
have not been approved by the customer. Even if there is no intentional diversion of
customer funds, mishandling or poor internal control of these assets exposes customers
to the risk of loss. Any reported problems in this area may damage the reputation of
the entire investment industry.
Market transparency. Information about what other investors are willing to pay for
a security, or the price they just paid, is valuable to investors because it helps them
assess how much a security is worth. But investors generally do not want to reveal
private information. Regulation requires the dissemination of at least some information
regarding the trading environment for securities.
Advertising. Regulators may control the form and content of advertising to ensure
that advertising is not misleading. For example, regulators often disapprove of such
advertised promises as “guaranteed” returns and “sure win” situations. Providers of
76 Chapter 3 ■ Regulation
Fees. Regulators may impose price controls to limit the commissions that can be
charged on the sale of various financial products as well as to limit the mark-ups and
mark-downs that occur when investment firms trade securities with their customers
out of their own inventories.
Information barriers. Many large firms in the investment industry offer investment
banking services to corporate issuers and, at the same time, publish investment research
and provide financial advice. This situation creates potential conflicts of interest. For
instance, firms may publish biased investment advice in order to win more lucrative
investment banking business. Similarly, research analysts may be under pressure to
publish favourable research reports on securities in which the firm has large positions in
its own inventory. Regulators attempt to resolve conflicts of interest by requiring firms
to create barriers—virtual and physical—between investment banking and research.
Market standards. Government regulation can be used to set, for example, the stan-
dard length of time between a trade and the settlement of the trade (typically three
business days for equities in most global markets).
Types of Financial Market Regulation 77
Insider trading. A market in which some participants have an unfair advantage over
other participants lacks legitimacy and thus deters investors. For this reason, most
jurisdictions have rules designed to prevent insider trading. Because material non-
public information flows through companies in the financial services industry about the
financial condition of their clients and their trading, regulators often expect companies
to have policies and procedures in place to restrict access to such information and to
deter parties with access from trading on this information.
Front running. As with insider trading, regulators may ensure that companies have
procedures in place to deter front running and to monitor employees’ personal trad-
ing. Front running is the act of placing an order ahead of a customer’s order to take
advantage of the price impact that the customer’s order will have. For example, if you
know a customer is ordering a large quantity that is likely to drive up the price, you
could take advantage of this information by buying in advance of that customer’s order.
3 CFA Institute also has ethical standards for the use of soft dollars. See CFA Institute, CFA Institute Soft
Dollar Standards: Guidance for Ethical Practices Involving Client Brokerage (2011): www.cfapubs.org/doi/
pdf/10.2469/ccb.v2004.n1.4005.
78 Chapter 3 ■ Regulation
Regulations affect all aspects of the investment industry, from entry into it to exit
from it.
Companies within the investment industry, like all companies, are expected to have
policies and procedures (also referred to as corporate policies and procedures) in
place to ensure employees’ compliance with applicable laws and regulations. Policies
are principles of action adopted by a company. Procedures are what the company
must do to achieve a desired outcome. Although company policies and procedures
do not have the force of law, they are extremely important for the survival of com-
panies. Policies and procedures establish desired behaviours, including behaviours
with respect to regulatory compliance. Indeed, companies may be sanctioned or
even barred from the investment industry for not having policies and procedures in
place that ensure compliance with regulations. Policies and procedures also guide
employees with matters outside the scope of regulation. Recall from the Ethics and
Investment Professionalism chapter that policies and procedures are important in
helping to prevent undesirable behaviour.
Companies use a similar process as regulators when setting corporate policies and
procedures. Typically, corporate policies and procedures respond to a perceived need.
Companies establish systems to make employees aware of new policies and procedures,
to monitor compliance, and to act on failures to comply. It is important to document
policies and procedures so that the company can prove it is in compliance when
inspected by regulators. It is also important to document that the company follows
and enforces its policies and procedures.
Regulators also expect supervisors of subordinate employees to make sure that the
employees are in compliance with the company’s policies and procedures and with
relevant regulation. Regulators may discipline higher-level executives for misdeeds
within a company because the executives did not supervise their employees properly,
even when the executives had no involvement whatsoever in the misdeeds.
Supervision starts even before a new employee joins a company. The company should
conduct background checks to make sure that the prospective employee is competent
and of good character. The employee’s initial orientation and training should empha-
sise the importance of compliance with corporate policies and procedures and with
relevant regulations.
A company must also be able to prove to regulators that it has established good
corporate policies and procedures and that they are being followed. Good documen-
tation, such as keeping records of employees’ continuing education, is essential to
prove compliance and enforcement. The Investment Industry Documentation chapter
provides a discussion of documentation in the context of the investment industry.
Regulators have many ways of disciplining firms and individuals that violate informal
rules. Sanctions for individuals may include fines, imprisonment, loss of licence, and
a lifetime ban from the investment industry. When subordinates violate rules, man-
agers may also face consequences for failure to supervise. Even long after the issue
is resolved, the regulatory sanctions remain a matter of public record that can haunt
the individuals involved for the rest of their lives. The economic damage from loss of
reputation can be huge.
Companies also face sanctions including fines, loss of licences, and forced closure.
A company may be forced to spend significant resources in corrective actions, such
as hiring outside consultants, to demonstrate compliance. Companies interact with
regulators on an ongoing basis, so running afoul of a regulator’s opinion in one area
can lead to problems in other areas.
Compliance failures affect more than just the company and its employees. Customers
and counterparties can be harmed and trust in the investment industry and financial
markets damaged. Customers may lose their life savings and counterparties may suf-
fer losses. At the extreme, the failure of one large company in the financial services
industry can lead to a catastrophic chain reaction (contagion) that results in the failure
of many other companies, causing serious damage to the economy.
SUMMARY
If every individual and every company acted ethically, the need for regulation would
be greatly reduced. But the need would not disappear altogether because regulation
does not just seek to prevent undesirable behaviour but also to establish rules that
can guide standards that can be widely adopted within the investment industry. The
existence of recognised and accepted standards is important to market participants, so
trust in the investment industry depends, in no small measure, on effective regulation.
■■ Regulations are rules carrying the force of law that are set and enforced by
government bodies and other entities authorised by government bodies. It is
important that all investment industry participants comply with relevant regu-
lation. Those that fail to do so face sanctions that can be severe.
■■ Financial services and products are highly regulated because a failure or disrup-
tion in the financial services industry, which includes the investment industry,
can have catastrophic consequences for individuals, companies, and the econ-
omy as a whole.
■■ Failure to comply with regulation and policies and procedures can have signif-
icant consequences for employees, managers, customers, the firm, the invest-
ment industry, and the economy.
82 Chapter 3 ■ Regulation
1 Consequences are most severe for market participants who violate which of the
following?
A Regulations
B Ethical principles
C Professional standards
2 Regulations that affect the financial services industry are most likely needed
because:
A To protect consumers
A a social objective.
B an efficiency objective.
5 Regulations intended to increase the national savings rate and encourage home
ownership most likely have:
A a social objective.
B a fairness objective.
8 The step in the regulatory process at which regulators weigh the costs and ben-
efits of a proposed regulation is the:
A analysis.
10 Which of the following is most likely the first step in a typical regulatory
process?
A Public consultation
B Compliance monitoring
11 In the regulatory process, regulators must assess whether firms and individu-
als are complying with regulations. This step in the regulatory process is best
described as:
A monitoring.
B enforcement.
C implementation.
84 Chapter 3 ■ Regulation
13 Regulations that require large financial firms to create virtual and physical bar-
riers between investment banking activities and research activities are examples
of:
A trading rules.
B gatekeeping rules.
A trading rules.
B operational rules.
C set standards for employee conduct that carry the force of law.
C are borne by the employee who failed to comply and not by the employee’s
supervisor or employer.
Chapter Review Questions 85
ANSWERS
2 C is correct. Regulations that affect the financial services industry are needed
because a high number of interconnections exist among industry participants.
The interconnections between industry participants create the risk of a systemic
failure. A and B are incorrect because there are differences in the relative power
and access to information among industry participants, which creates a need
for regulation.
13 C is correct. Regulations that require large financial firms to create virtual and
physical barriers between investment banking activities and research activities
are examples of sales practice rules. Sales practice rules attempt to address
potential conflicts of interest when financial service providers have a financial
stake in the decisions that their clients make. Such regulation also includes con-
trols on advertising and pricing. A is incorrect because trading rules focus on
88 Chapter 3 ■ Regulation
18 C is correct. Failure to comply with regulations and internal policies may result
in regulatory sanctions, including fines, loss of licences, and forced closure. A
and B are incorrect because sanctions can include fines, loss of licences, and
forced closure.
CHAPTER 4
MICROECONOMICS
by Michael J. Buckle, PhD, James Seaton, PhD, Sandeep Singh, PhD, CFA, CIPM, and
Stephen Thomas, PhD
LEARNING OUTCOMES
a Define economics;
g Describe and interpret price and income elasticities of demand and their
effects on quantity and revenue;
i Describe production levels and costs, including fixed and variable costs,
and describe the effect of fixed costs on profitability;
INTRODUCTION 1
Would you prefer to buy a new car, to have more leisure time, or to be able to retire
early? Can you afford to do all three? If not, you will need to prioritise.
Prioritising is what individuals and organisations do all the time, and it involves trade-
offs. An individual only has so many hours in a week and so much money. A city may
want to build new schools, better recreation facilities, and a bigger industrial park.
If it decides to build new schools, it may have to cut back spending on recreation or
industrial facilities. Alternatively, the city could try to increase its share of resources
by increasing taxes or borrowing money.
Individuals and organisations have numerous wants and must prioritise them. In The
Investment Industry: A Top-Down View chapter, we learned that resources to meet
these wants are often limited or scarce—such resources as labour, real assets, financial
capital, and so on are not unlimited. Thus, individuals and organisations have to make
decisions regarding the allocation of these scarce resources.
This chapter focuses on factors that influence the supply and demand of products
and services. Many of the explanations and examples focus on products, but they are
equally applicable to services. Supply refers to the quantity of a product or service
sellers are willing to sell, whereas demand refers to the quantity of a product or service
buyers desire to buy. The interaction of supply and demand is a driving force behind
the economy and is part of the “invisible hand”1 that, over time, should lead to greater
prosperity for individuals, companies, and society at large.
1 A term from Adam Smith’s 1776 book, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations,
in which the invisible hand refers to the role of the markets in allocating scarce resources.
© 2014 CFA Institute. All rights reserved.
96 Chapter 4 ■ Microeconomics
Similarly, microeconomic concepts help investors allocate their savings. Investors try
to provide capital to companies that will make the most efficient use of it. As noted
in The Investment Industry: A Top-Down View chapter, efficient allocation of cap-
ital benefits investors and the economy as a whole. Knowing how microeconomics
affects a company’s revenues, costs, and profit is vital to understanding the health of
a company and its value as an investment.
Buyers demand a product, and sellers supply the product. Consumers buy products,
such as cars, books, and furniture, from manufacturers and retailers, who sell them in
markets. These markets can take the form of physical structures, such as supermarkets
or shops, or they can be virtual, internet-based markets, such as eBay or Amazon.
Properly functioning markets are essential to capitalism because the interaction of
buyers and sellers determines the price and quantity of a product or service traded.
We will start by defining demand and discussing factors that affect the demand for
products and services. Then we will discuss factors that affect the supply of prod-
ucts and services. We will also describe how the interaction of supply and demand
determines the equilibrium price, which is the price at which the quantity demanded
equals the quantity supplied.
2.1 Demand
When economists refer to demand, they mean the desire for a product or service cou-
pled with the ability and willingness to pay a given price for it. Consumers will demand
and pay for a product as long as the perceived benefit is greater than its cost or price.
At the beginning of the chapter, we indicated that individuals satisfy wants through
the choices they make regarding scarce resources. Economists term this satisfaction
of want as utility; utility is a measure of relative satisfaction. For example, consumers
derive utility or satisfaction from eating pizza. According to the law of diminishing
Demand and Supply 97
marginal utility, the marginal (additional) satisfaction derived from an additional unit
of a product decreases as more of the product is consumed. For example, the satisfac-
tion a consumer gets from eating each additional slice of pizza diminishes as the total
amount eaten increases. As demonstrated in Exhibit 1, a consumer may enjoy eating
one slice of pizza when his or her stomach is empty, but as the consumer’s stomach
fills, eating a second slice of pizza typically brings less satisfaction.
2 For simplicity, we assume in this exhibit and the following discussion that the demand curve is based on
an individual’s demand. In reality, the demand curve reflects what economists call aggregate demand—that
is, the sum of all the individuals’ demands.
98 Chapter 4 ■ Microeconomics
D
3.0
2.8
2.6
Price
2.4
2.2
2.0
1 2 3 4 5
Quantity Demanded
The demand curve in Exhibit 2 shows the quantities of pizza that the individual
is willing to buy at various prices over a given period, if all other factors affecting
demand remain constant. Note that the demand curve slopes downward from left
to right, indicating that as the price of pizza decreases, the quantity the individual is
willing to buy increases. Factors affecting supply, such as input costs, do not affect
the demand curve at all.
If the price of pizza changes, there is a change in the quantity demanded, which is
represented by a move along the demand curve. So, as shown in Exhibit 2, at a price
of 3.0 the individual demands two slices of pizza. But for three slices of pizza, the
individual is only willing to pay the lower price of 2.5. Effectively, the individual is only
willing to pay an additional 1.50 [ = (3 × 2.5) – (2 × 3.0)] for the third slice.
Note that when the only thing that changes is the price, the quantity demanded
changes, but the demand curve itself does not change—that is, a change in the price
of a product leads to a move along the demand curve, not a shift in the demand curve.
However, if one or more other factors that affect demand change, the overall level of
demand for the product at any given price may change. If so, the demand curve itself
shifts. The demand curve in Exhibit 2 may shift if the individual’s income changes,
if the prices of other food or non-food products change, or if the individual stops
liking pizza as much.
A change in a factor may make the product more attractive—for instance, if the price
of sandwiches, a substitute for pizza, increases relative to the price of pizza. In this
case, demand will shift to the right, meaning that people will demand more of the
product at a given price. The range of prices of the product has not changed, but the
quantity demanded at each price has increased. Alternatively, a change in a factor may
make the product less attractive—for instance, if people’s tastes change and they stop
liking pizza as much. In this case, demand will shift to the left, meaning that people
will demand less of the product at a given price. The range of prices for the product
has not changed, but the quantity demanded at each price has decreased.
Demand and Supply 99
Exhibit 3 illustrates how a change in a factor that has made the product more attractive
shifts the demand curve to the right from D to D1.
D D1
Price
Quantity Demanded
Now we will take a closer look at the major factors that affect the demand curve.
A change in a consumer’s income may shift a product’s demand curve. For most
goods—called normal goods—if income increases, demand increases too. Meat is an
example of a normal good in most emerging economies. For inferior goods, the rela-
tionship works in the opposite direction. That is, demand for inferior goods decreases
as income increases. Grain is often considered an inferior good. So, when incomes
are higher, people consume more meat relative to grain.
Recessions offer an example of when demand for inferior products increases. During a
period of decline in economic activity, consumers tend to switch to lower-cost brands
and shop more at discount stores than at department stores. So, during recessions,
investors may focus on companies that sell inferior goods to identify stocks that may
perform better.
in the demand curve to the right. In contrast, if the price of a product is expected to
fall in the future, current demand may go down as consumers wait for the price to
decrease before purchasing.
Consumers substitute relatively cheaper products for relatively more expensive ones.
So, if the price of a substitute product decreases, demand for the substitute may
increase and demand for the original product may decrease. Example 1 describes this
effect using Coke and Pepsi.
2.1.6.3 Unrelated Products Demand for a particular product may be affected by prices
of other products that are not substitute or complementary products. For example, a
substantial increase in oil prices often causes demand for unrelated products, including
pizzas, to decrease. The reason is because many people use cars to go to work, school,
or shopping and will have to pay more to put fuel in their cars if the price of oil rises.
As a result, they will have less money to buy other products.
2.2 Supply
The supply curve represents the quantity supplied at different prices. The law of supply
states that when the price of a product increases, the quantity supplied increases too.
Thus, the supply curve is upward sloping from left to right. The law of supply and the
supply curve are illustrated in Exhibit 4. S and S1 are supply curves.
S1
S
Price
Quantity Supplied
The principles that apply to the demand curve also apply to the supply curve. A
change in the price of a product leads to a move along the supply curve, not a shift
in the supply curve.
102 Chapter 4 ■ Microeconomics
Factors other than the product’s price that may lead to a shift in the supply curve include
production costs, technology, and taxes. Higher production costs and taxes will result
in reduced supply at each price and shift the supply curve to the left, meaning that the
supplier is willing to offer the same quantity at higher prices or a smaller quantity at
the same prices. This is shown in the move from S to S1 in Exhibit 4.
Lower production costs, which may be the result of improvements in technology, lower
costs of inputs such as raw materials or labour, or lower taxes, will result in increased
supply for a given price. The supply curve will shift to the right.
Changes in the supply curve are of considerable interest to investors and analysts. A
shift in the supply curve caused by higher or lower costs can affect the profits gen-
erated by a company. For example, a car manufacturer that faces higher steel prices
may be willing to produce fewer cars at a given price level, which changes the supply
curve. Whether a company can pass on any cost increases to customers helps investors
assess the company’s future profits.
A company that cannot cover its costs and earn a profit at prices along certain parts
of the supply curve will not supply products at those prices. Companies may view
factors affecting the supply curve as temporary and be willing to continue operations
despite short-term losses. But if the mismatch between revenues and costs persists
for longer periods, it can cause companies to file for bankruptcy or shut down. Many
airlines have encountered this problem when their production costs, such as the cost
of fuel, increased. Their ability to increase fares was limited because customers may
have chosen an alternative airline or mode of travel. Equally, they could not easily add
or reduce the number of seats on their planes. So, some airlines accumulated large
losses and were forced to declare bankruptcy.
As illustrated in Exhibit 5, the interaction between the demand and supply curves
determines the equilibrium price of a product. The equilibrium price (EP) is the price
at which the quantity demanded (D) equals the quantity supplied (S). In other words,
it is the point at which the demand and supply curves intersect.
Demand and Supply 103
D S
Price
EP
Quantity
At any price above the equilibrium price (EP) in Exhibit 5, suppliers are willing to
produce more of a product than consumers are willing to buy. A price that is higher
than the equilibrium price may result in increasing inventories, which provides an
incentive for suppliers to cut prices to reduce their inventories. Prices will thus move
back toward the equilibrium price. Conversely, if the price is below the equilibrium
price, consumers will demand more of a product than suppliers find it profitable to
produce. To meet consumers’ higher demand, suppliers’ inventories may be depleted.
Once inventories are depleted, suppliers have an incentive to raise prices and increase
production. Prices will thus move back toward the equilibrium price. The only price
at which suppliers and consumers are both content, with no imbalance between the
quantity produced and the quantity demanded, is at the equilibrium price.
What factors—other than the price of the product—affect the market equilibrium
price? If demand increases because of an increase in consumers’ income, and the supply
curve stays the same, the result is an increase in the equilibrium price and quantity,
which is shown in Exhibit 6. A shift in the demand curve to the right, from D to D1,
could also be the result of an increase in the price of a close substitute, a decrease in
the price of a close complement, or an advertising campaign that successfully changes
consumers’ tastes and preferences.
104 Chapter 4 ■ Microeconomics
Exhibit 6 Shift in the Demand Curve to the Right with the Supply Curve
Unchanged
D D1 S
Price
EP 1
EP
Quantity
The supply curve can shift while the demand curve remains unchanged. An increase
in taxes could lead to a shift in the supply curve to the left, as could any increase in
production costs, such as wages or energy costs. A decrease in these costs would
have the opposite effect and shift the supply curve to the right, leading to increased
production at each price. For example, if the government decreases the taxes com-
panies have to pay for their workers’ salaries, companies may hire more people and
increase production as a result. Companies’ costs will be lower, so they will be will-
ing to produce more of a given product at the current price. This strategy was used
in India and Ireland after the global financial crisis that started in 2008. The Indian
and Irish governments cut taxes in an effort to stimulate their economies, resulting
in companies increasing output (quantity produced) and hiring workers because the
costs of doing so were lower.
So, looking at the supply and demand curves is useful when analysing factors driving
company, industry, and consumer behaviour.
3 ELASTICITIES OF DEMAND
Although supply and demand curves are essential to an understanding of price and
quantity changes, they are less useful in assessing the magnitude of these changes. To
gauge the change in quantities demanded by consumers and supplied by producers,
we use elasticity measures.
to identify the companies and industries that will grow the quickest as the economy
grows. Elasticity of demand thus has relevance to anticipate which companies and
industries will be successful in the future.
When looking at elasticities, two elements matter: the sign and the magnitude.
The sign of price elasticity of demand provides information about how the quantity
demanded changes relative to a change in price. As illustrated in Example 2, own price
elasticity of demand is usually negative, reflecting the law of demand discussed in
Section 2.1.1—that is, the inverse relationship between price and quantity demanded.
The magnitude of price elasticity of demand provides information about the strength
of the relationship between quantity demanded and changes in price. When price
elasticity is less than –1, such as in the car and hotel room examples, the price elas-
ticity of demand is high, or elastic. This means that a small change in price produces a
106 Chapter 4 ■ Microeconomics
Products for which demand increases as price increases have positive own price elas-
ticities. This result usually indicates that the product is a luxury product. For luxury
products, such as expensive cars, watches, and jewellery, an increase in price may
lead to an increase in quantity demanded.
Exhibit 7 summarises what the sign and magnitude of own price elasticity mean.
The sign and magnitude of the own price elasticity helps a company set its pricing
strategy. In setting prices, a company needs to know whether a small percentage
increase in price will lead to a decrease in sales and if it does, whether it is a large or
small percentage decrease in sales. Cutting the price of a product whose own price
elasticity is less than –1 tends to lead to an increase in total revenue. Total revenue
is usually measured as price times quantity of products sold. So, when elasticity is
highly negative, the decrease in price is more than offset by a greater increase in
quantity. By contrast, cutting the price of a product with inelastic demand leads to a
decrease in total revenue because the percentage increase in quantity is less than the
percentage decrease in price.
Elasticities of Demand 107
Uniform, non-differentiated products, such as fuel or flour, are typically products with
highly negative own price elasticities of demand. Companies with many competitors
selling similar products may find that increasing prices leads to a reduction in revenue.
Perfectly inelastic demand indicates that quantity demanded will not change at all,
even in the face of large price increases or decreases. Perfectly inelastic demand
may occur with products that have no substitutes and are necessities, such as drugs
under patent. If the drug is beneficial and under patent protection, the manufacturer
should be able to charge a higher price without losing sales. Once the patent expires
and cheaper generic drugs become available, the manufacturer may have to lower its
price to maintain sales.
Another example of a price inelastic product is one that has a well-defined identity,
such as the Apple iPad. The reason is because, in the mind of many consumers, other
tablets do not compare with the iPad; there are no perceived substitute products. As a
result, the quantity sold may be insensitive to price increases and an increase in price
of the iPad may lead to higher revenues for Apple.
A negative cross-price elasticity of demand, as in the case of coffee and cream, indicates
complementary products. For complementary products, an increase in the price of
one product is usually accompanied by a reduction in the quantity demanded of the
other product. Conversely, a positive cross-price elasticity of demand characterises
108 Chapter 4 ■ Microeconomics
substitute products in many, but not all, cases; it depends on how close of a substitute
one product is for the other product. For example, coffee and tea are substitutes in the
eyes of some people, but not all. So, there will be some cross-price elasticity between
coffee and tea, but it might not be represented by a high number. Coke and Pepsi are
considered closer substitutes and have a larger cross-price elasticity of demand. As
discussed in Section 2.1.6.1, a decrease in the price of Coke may be accompanied by
a reduction in the quantity demanded of Pepsi.
Elasticity of demand helps market participants assess the effects of price changes.
Investors and analysts use elasticity of demand to assess a company’s potential as an
investment. As discussed in Section 3.1.1, whether a company will see its sales increase
or decrease as a result of a change in prices, and by how much, helps investors and
analysts understand what drives a company’s profit, which, in turn, affects its stock
valuation.
Consider Coke and Pepsi again. Although each has its own brand loyalty among
customers who are committed to one or the other, there are plenty of substitutes,
including tap water. Some people are indifferent about the two brands and consider
neither brand to be a necessity. If one of the two companies seeks to take market share
from the other by cutting prices, what might happen? If Coca-Cola lowers its price, it
might increase the number of units sold at the expense of Pepsi’s sales, as discussed
earlier. The lower price may also encourage some people to switch from tap water
to Coke, providing even more new customers. But, assuming that Coke’s production
costs are still the same, the profit Coca-Cola makes on each unit sold is less. If Coca-
Cola cuts its price too much, it may even incur a loss on each unit sold. Even though
Coca-Cola might gain market share, it becomes a less attractive investment if it is a
less profitable company. Thus, elasticities of demand are often a prime consideration
for investors and analysts when they consider the pricing power of a company or
industry and the potential effect on a company’s bottom line (profit) if it tries to gain
market share by cutting prices.
Most products have positive income elasticities, meaning that as consumers’ income
increases, they purchase a greater quantity of the product. As described in Section
2.1.3, products with positive income elasticities are called normal goods. In con-
trast, if consumers purchase less of a product as their income increases, the income
Profit and Costs of Production 109
elasticity is negative and the products are called inferior goods. Consumers demand
fewer inferior goods as their income increases and they substitute more expensive
and desirable products, such as meat instead of potatoes or rice.
Exhibit 8 shows graphically the distinction between inferior, necessity, normal, and
luxury products based on their income elasticity of demand.
Necessity
Product
Inferior Normal Luxury
Product Product Product
O 1
The difference between accounting profit and economic profit is best illustrated by
an example. Consider the owner of a restaurant in France. For a particular period,
the restaurant has revenues of 5,000,000 euros. The costs of operating the restaurant,
which include renting the premises, paying the salaries of the staff, and buying the
raw food, is 3,000,000 euros. The accounting profit considers only the explicit costs
and is, in this example, 2,000,000 euros (5,000,000 euros –3,000,000 euros).
Economists, however, take a broader view of costs and also deduct implicit costs from
revenues and explicit costs to arrive at economic profit. The owner of the restau-
rant risks her capital by operating the restaurant. That is, if the restaurant fails, she
loses all her money. She could have used her skills and risked her capital differently.
Assume that the restaurant’s owner could find employment, invest her capital and earn
1,600,000 euros from receiving a salary and from investing her capital elsewhere. The
amount she would receive from these activities represents what economists call an
opportunity cost. An opportunity cost is the value forgone by choosing a particular
course of action relative to the best alternative that is not chosen. Because the owner
forgoes 1,600,000 euros by operating the restaurant, the restaurant’s accounting profit
should be at least equal to this. Otherwise, operating the restaurant is an inefficient
allocation of its owner’s resources.
In this example, the economic profit from operating the restaurant is 400,000 euros—
that is, the accounting profit of 2,000,000 euros minus the opportunity cost of 1,600,000
euros.
Fixed Costs
Number of Units
Profit and Costs of Production 111
Fixed costs include costs associated with buildings and machinery, insurance, salaries
of full-time employees, and interest on loans. In contrast, costs that fluctuate with the
level of output of the company are called variable costs, as illustrated in Exhibit 9B.
Costs
Total
Costs
Variable Costs
Fixed Costs
Number of Units
For example, raw materials tend to be a variable cost because the more units the com-
pany produces, the more raw materials it needs. The sum of fixed costs and variable
costs gives total costs, illustrated by the green line in Exhibits 9B and 9C.
fit
Pro
Breakeven
Point
Costs
sts
t a l Co
To e
s nu
Los eve
R
Number of Units
The blue line in Exhibit 9C shows the company’s revenues. If the revenues are higher
than the total costs—the right side of the graph—the company is making a profit. By
contrast, if the revenues are lower than total costs—the left side of the graph—the
company is suffering a loss. The point at which the revenue and total costs lines
intersect is called the breakeven point. It reflects the number of units produced and
sold at which the company’s profit is zero—that is, revenues exactly cover total costs.
112 Chapter 4 ■ Microeconomics
In the long run, all factors of production can be changed and some costs that are
regarded as fixed become variable because, for instance, a company can relocate its
facilities or purchase new equipment. Some costs, such as advertising, may be fixed
but are also discretionary, meaning that the company can adjust spending on this.
When production first starts, fixed costs related to production will be incurred. As
production increases, the average fixed costs or fixed costs per unit of output will
decrease because the fixed costs are spread over more units. For example, the same
building is used to produce more units of output. Average variable costs or variable
costs per unit of output may also decrease a little but are generally fairly constant.
Thus, average total costs or total costs per unit of output, which are the sum of both
average fixed costs and average variable costs, should decrease as output expands.
The decrease in total costs per unit will continue until one or more factors of produc-
tion reaches full capacity or breaks down and additional resources must be added. For
example, machinery being used continuously, allowing no time for servicing, is likely
to break down. Breakdowns result in reduced output, expensive repairs, and increased
overtime as workers shift production to functioning machines. When this happens,
additional fixed costs may be incurred, such as the purchase of a new machine. So,
total costs per unit decrease until the point of full capacity and then increase as new
fixed costs are incurred.
Economies of scale are cost savings arising from a significant increase in output
without a comparable rise in fixed costs. These cost savings lead to a reduction in
total costs per unit as a result of increased production. Economies of scale can be
obtained if, for example, staff, buildings and machinery are unchanged but output
increases, which results in lower fixed costs per unit and lower total costs per unit.
But although adding variable inputs of one factor, such as labour, to fixed inputs of
production, such as machinery, increases total output, the gain in output will increase
at a decreasing rate even if the fixed inputs of production remain unchanged. This
economic principle is known as the law of diminishing returns and is illustrated in
Exhibit 10. For example, suppose a factory has a fixed number of machines and hires
additional workers to operate them and make more products. Total output may rise
quite rapidly at first—the first area of increasing marginal returns. But the rate at which
total output rises will eventually decline as the workers have to share the machines—the
second area of diminishing marginal returns. Hiring more workers means that they
will have to stand in line waiting for their turn at operating the machines. Hiring still
more workers means that they may get in each other’s way, potentially making the
contribution of the additional workers negative—the area of negative marginal return.
According to the law of diminishing returns, adding ever more variable inputs, such
as workers, is self-defeating.
Profit and Costs of Production 113
Total Output
3
2
1
Number of Workers
The term operating leverage (or operational gearing) refers to the extent to which
fixed costs are used in production. Companies with high fixed costs relative to vari-
able costs, such as the steel mill, have high operating leverage. For these companies,
higher output leads to lower total costs per unit until the full capacity is reached or
breakdowns happen, at which point costs increase.
Companies and industries with high fixed costs thus have greater potential for increased
profitability by increasing output. Examples of high-fixed-cost projects include the
construction of a major gold or coal mine or the construction of a large-scale ship-
building facility. Companies may add capacity by incurring additional fixed costs. For
example, an airline can buy an additional aircraft and landing rights, or a retailer may
open a new store. In these cases, economies of scale occur as fixed costs are spread
over more passengers or retail customers.
114 Chapter 4 ■ Microeconomics
As total costs per unit of a product decrease, profitability should improve, assuming
that the appropriate price has been established. The cost to the company of produc-
ing an incremental or additional unit is known as the marginal cost. The amount of
money a company receives for that additional unit is known as its marginal revenue.
The general rule is that the marginal cost can be increased up to the point that it
equals the marginal revenue. Producing to the point at which marginal revenue equals
marginal cost will, in theory, maximise profit.
5 PRICING
So far, we have discussed key factors that affect the price at which a product can be
sold, such as the product’s characteristics, own price and cross-price elasticities of
demand, income elasticity of demand, cost, supply, and the degree of competition.
We will discuss competition and how it affects pricing decisions more thoroughly in
Section 6.
However, if a product has a unique identity, it is less price sensitive, which gives its
producer the ability to charge higher prices and obtain higher profits. For example, one
bottle of water may be very similar to another in terms of taste and chemical composi-
tion, but experience indicates that consumers perceive that there is a difference. Some
marketers of bottled water have achieved substantial product differentiation and are
able to charge a higher price for their water. Although most people think of pricing
as a product’s production cost plus a mark-up chosen by the producer, the mark-up
is in fact determined by the product’s uniqueness and substitutability.
In addition, if demand for a product is greater than the amount supplied, competing
products will benefit. Suppliers of similar products will be able to raise their prices
and achieve a higher mark-up or profit.
Income levels and elasticity also influence the pricing of products. Producers within an
industry, such as mobile communications, may have more pricing power as a group as
disposable income increases. But which companies benefit the most depends on the
existence of close substitutes and consumer perceptions. The perceived superiority of
the Apple iPhone, for example, may give Apple greater pricing power than companies
that manufacture similar phones that are regarded as inferior in quality.
Prices also increase when supply is limited. If the supply of oil is interrupted by a war,
for example, buyers frantically chase the limited supplies and bid up prices. Fuel and
heating oil prices will be affected because the underlying cost of the product—the raw
material oil—is more expensive. Oil is unique in that consumers and companies cannot
easily find substitutes in the short term. In summary, an investor’s or analyst’s need to
evaluate the uniqueness and substitutability of a product in assessing its pricing power.
Market Environment 115
MARKET ENVIRONMENT 6
The market environment in which a company operates influences its pricing, supply,
and efficiency. It may be categorised according to the degree of competition. At one
extreme, where there is a high degree of competition, a market is said to be perfectly
competitive. At the other extreme, where there is no competition, a market is said to
be a monopoly. Most markets lie between these two extremes.
Barriers to entry are obstacles, such as licences, brand loyalty, or control of natural
resources, that prevent competitors from entering the market. Barriers to entry in a
perfectly competitive market are low to non-existent, meaning that other companies
can easily enter the market. The entry of other companies causes an increase in the
market supply and in the long run, abnormal profits are eliminated and only normal
profits are earned.
The advantages of a perfectly competitive market are that resources are more likely to
be allocated to their most efficient use and companies operate at maximum efficiency.
Natural monopolies exist when competition is not possible for various reasons.
Consider, for instance, the large amount of capital that is needed to set up a competing
nuclear power plant. A potential competitor may not want to or may not be able to
enter the market because of the huge amount of capital required.
116 Chapter 4 ■ Microeconomics
Because such companies as utility companies provide essential services, many monop-
olies are regulated and the government approves their prices, sometimes called rates.
Typically, the government allows the company to set prices that will yield what is
called a fair return. Examples of government-regulated monopolies include power
companies and companies that provide national postal services.
Often, the large scale of their operations also enables monopolistic companies to
exploit economies of scale that may lower costs to consumers. However, compared
with companies operating in a perfectly competitive market, a monopolistic company
is likely to charge higher prices and have a lower total volume of products and services.
Each company may have a limited monopoly because of the differentiation of its
product. Examples of companies in this type of market include restaurants, clothing
shops, hotels, and consumer service businesses. For example, there may be a number
of clothing shops in a shopping centre, but there may be only one that sells a particular
fashion brand. That particular fashion brand may compete with other fashion brands,
but for people who desire only that brand, only one shop will satisfy their demand. That
shop is a monopoly market for this customer. But customers who have no preference
have a choice between different merchandise sold at different price points, so all the
clothing shops in the shopping centre can compete for these customers.
6.4 Oligopoly
An oligopoly is a market dominated by a small number of large companies because
the barriers to entry are high. As a consequence, companies are able to make abnor-
mal profits for long periods. Oligopolies exist in the oil industry, telecommunications
industry, and in some countries, the banking industry.
Because of the large size of each company in the market, one company’s actions
affect other companies significantly. A company that cuts prices will need to con-
sider the possible reactions of the other companies in the industry. Given this degree
of interdependence, there is a tendency for collusion in markets characterised as
oligopolies. Collusion in this setting is often an agreement between competitors to
try to raise prices. This practice is usually illegal or prohibited by regulators because
competition is a necessary ingredient for functioning capitalism; unfair advantages
Summary 117
caused by collusion make markets less efficient and are detrimental to consumers,
who are forced to pay prices that may be excessive. However, laws and regulations
cannot prevent occasional cases of competitors colluding by limiting production or
setting high prices.
A cartel is a special case of oligopoly in which a group jointly controls the supply
and pricing of products or services produced by the group. An example of a cartel
is the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which sets the
production and pricing of oil.
SUMMARY
Every time you buy or sell a product, or try to assess the value of a product or service,
you are effectively applying microeconomics. You may directly use microeconomics
in your everyday work. Even if you do not, it is very likely to be used by others in
your workplace to make business and investment decisions. Microeconomics is an
important concept in investing, so knowing about it will help you better understand
the industry in which you work.
■■ Demand is the desire for a product or service coupled with the ability and will-
ingness to pay a given price for it.
■■ The law of demand states that the quantity demanded and price of a product are
usually inversely related.
■■ When the only thing that changes is the price, the change in the price of a prod-
uct leads to a move along the demand curve, not a shift in the demand curve.
■■ Factors that may cause the demand curve to shift include consumers’ income,
the expected future price of the product, changes in general tastes and pref-
erences, and the prices of other products. If the change in a factor makes a
product more attractive, the demand curve will shift to the right, meaning that
people will demand more of the product at a given price. Alternatively, if the
change in a factor makes the product less attractive, the demand curve will shift
to the left, meaning that people will demand less of the product at a given price.
118 Chapter 4 ■ Microeconomics
■■ According to the income effect, if consumers have more purchasing power, the
quantity of products purchased may increase. Increases in income lead to an
increase in demand for normal products and a decrease in demand for inferior
products.
■■ If consumers expect that the price of a product will increase in the future, the
current quantity demanded may increase as consumers accumulate the product
to avoid paying a higher price in the future.
■■ If consumers’ tastes and preferences change and they stop liking the product as
much, the quantity demanded at each price will decrease.
■■ A substitute product is a product that could generally take the place of another
product. According to the substitution effect, consumers substitute relatively
cheaper products for relatively more expensive ones.
■■ The supply curve represents the quantity supplied at different prices. The law of
supply states that when the price of a product increases, the quantity supplied
increases too. Thus, the supply curve is upward sloping from left to right.
■■ The price at which the quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied in a
market is known as the equilibrium price. This price is the one at which the
demand and supply curves intersect and it is the only price at which suppliers
and consumers are both content, with no desire to change the quantity pro-
duced or bought.
income elasticities are called normal products, whereas products with negative
income elasticities are called inferior products. Income elasticity of demand
also enables investors to distinguish between luxuries, which have income
elasticity greater than one, and necessities, which have an income elasticity of
approximately zero.
■■ Profit is the difference between the revenue generated from selling products
and services and the cost of producing them. Accounting profit considers only
the explicit costs, whereas economic profit takes into account both explicit
costs and the implicit opportunity costs. Opportunity costs capture the value
forgone by choosing a particular course of action relative to the best alternative
that is not chosen.
■■ Fixed costs do not fluctuate with the level of output, whereas variable costs
do. As production increases, average total costs, which include both average
fixed costs and average variable costs, decrease because the fixed costs are
spread over more units. Increased production allows producers to benefit from
economies of scale, the cost savings arising from a significant increase in output
without a simultaneous increase in fixed costs.
■■ Companies with high fixed costs relative to variable costs have high operating
leverage and have greater potential for increased profitability by increasing
output.
■■ Key factors that affect the price at which a product can be sold are its charac-
teristics, own price and cross-price elasticities of demand, income elasticity of
demand, cost, supply, and the degree of competition.
■■ In a pure monopoly, a single company produces a product for which there are
no close substitutes. There are significant barriers to entry that prevent other
companies from entering the industry. A monopolistic company is likely to
charge higher prices, have a lower total volume of products and services, and
may earn higher profits.
120 Chapter 4 ■ Microeconomics
■■ In monopolistic competition, there are many buyers and sellers who are able
to differentiate their products to buyers. Each company may have a limited
monopoly because of the differentiation of its products. Thus, products trade
over a range of prices rather than a single market price. There are typically no
major barriers to entry.
A an economy as a whole.
A increase.
B decrease.
C remain unchanged.
3 Which of the following would most likely cause a steel manufacturer to increase
the quantity supplied? An increase in:
A input costs.
B corporate taxes.
A deplete.
B pile up.
C remain unchanged.
5 Holding all other factors constant, if the price of a product increases, the
demand for a substitute product is most likely to:
A increase.
B decrease.
C remain unchanged.
6 Holding all other factors constant, if the demand for printers increases, the
demand for ink cartridges is most likely to:
A increase.
B decrease.
C remain unchanged.
7 Market equilibrium is a state in the market when, at a particular price and with
all other factors remaining unchanged, no buyer or seller has any incentive or
desire to change the:
9 If revenues decrease when the price of a good increases, the price elasticity of
this good is most likely:
A elastic.
B inelastic.
C unit elastic.
11 Which of the following costs is most likely a variable cost for a manufacturing
plant?
A Energy costs
B Interest expense
C Insurance expense
Chapter Review Questions 123
12 Which of the following statements best describes the effect of lower production
on a manufacturing plant’s costs per unit? Average:
13 Which of the following factors is most likely to affect the pricing of a service?
A Production costs
A monopoly.
B oligopoly.
C perfect competition.
124 Chapter 4 ■ Microeconomics
ANSWERS
2 B is correct. The law of demand states that the quantity demanded and the price
of a product are inversely related. If the price of chocolate increases, then the
quantity of chocolate demanded should decrease. A and C are incorrect because
the law of demand suggests that as the price of a product increases, the quantity
demanded will decrease, not increase or remain unchanged.
3 C is correct. The law of supply states that when prices increase, the quantity
supplied by companies will increase. Movements along the supply curve occur
when only the price changes. A is incorrect because an increase in input costs
would cause the supply curve to shift to the left and the manufacturer to offer
the same quantities of steel at higher prices or smaller quantities at the same
prices. B is incorrect because an increase in corporate taxes would cause the
supply curve to shift to the left and the manufacturer to offer the same quanti-
ties of steel at higher prices or smaller quantities at the same prices.
4 A is correct. When the price of a good is below the equilibrium price, consum-
ers will demand more of the good than producers will find profitable to sell and
inventories will be depleted. B is incorrect because inventories pile up when
companies are willing to supply more of a good than consumers are willing to
buy. C is incorrect because sellers’ inventories are affected by consumer demand
and will not remain unchanged.
5 A is correct. When the price of a product increases, the demand for substitute
products also increases. B is incorrect because the demand for a complemen-
tary product, not a substitute product, will decrease if the price of the prod-
uct increases. C is incorrect because the demand for a substitute product will
increase if the price of a product increases.
9 A is correct. For elastic goods, an increase in price will lead to a greater per-
centage decrease in quantity and a decrease in revenues. B is incorrect because
for inelastic goods, a decrease in price will lead to a decrease in revenues. C is
incorrect because price changes do not affect total revenue for goods that are
unit elastic.
11 A is correct. Energy costs are variable costs that are sensitive to the level of pro-
duction. B is incorrect because interest expense is often a fixed cost and does
not vary with the level of production. C is incorrect because insurance expense
is often a fixed cost and does not vary with the level of production.
12 C is correct. Average variable cost or variable cost per unit of output is gener-
ally constant as production changes. A is incorrect because average total cost
should increase as output decreases. B is incorrect because average fixed cost
will increase. The fixed costs are being spread over fewer units of production.
INTRODUCTION 1
Many news programmes and articles contain items about the economy. You may
hear that “the economy is booming”, “the economy is depressed”, or “the economy
is recovering”. The term economy is widely used but rarely defined. Have you ever
stopped to think about what it actually means?
Although it is often referred to as a single entity, in fact the economy represents millions
of purchasing and selling and lending and borrowing decisions made by individuals,
companies, and governments. Macroeconomics is the study of the economy as a
whole. Macroeconomics considers the effects of such factors as inflation, economic
growth, unemployment, interest rates, and exchange rates on economic activity. The
effects of these factors on business, consumer, and government economic decisions
represent an intersection of micro- and macroeconomics.
For countries with the highest total GDP, GDP is partly a function of their popula-
tions. When GDP is adjusted for the size of population, smaller but relatively wealthy
countries rise to the top of the list. In other words, although the United States is the
world’s wealthiest country, the average citizen of Monaco or Norway is relatively
wealthier than the average citizen of the United States.
We can estimate GDP by summing either expenditures or incomes. Under the income
approach, the sum can be referred to as gross domestic income. Gross domestic income
should equal gross domestic product; after all, what one economic entity spends is
another economic entity’s income. This equivalence relationship is a useful cross check
when statisticians are measuring economic activity because, in practice, GDP is hard
to measure and subject to error. The results of the two approaches can be compared
to ensure that the estimate of GDP provides a fair reflection of the economic output
of an economy.
Using the expenditures approach, GDP is estimated with the following equation:
GDP = C + I + G + (X – M)
The equation shows that GDP is the sum of the following components:
The term (X – M) represents net exports. Exports result in spending by other countries’
residents on domestically produced products and services, whereas imports involve
domestic residents spending money on foreign-produced products and services. So,
exports are included as spending on domestic output and are added to GDP, whereas
imports are subtracted from GDP. Household spending (or consumer spending) is
often the largest component of total spending and may represent up to 70% of GDP.
Exhibit 1 shows the percentage shares of the GDP components for the United States
and Japan in 2010. You can see that for both countries, consumer spending was the
largest component. Japan’s net exports represented 1% of GDP whereas imports
exceeded exports for the United States and net exports represented –3% of GDP.
Gross Domestic Product and the Business Cycle 131
Exhibit 1 GDP Components for the United States and Japan in 2010
80
70
68%
60
59%
Percent of GDP
50
40
30
20 21%
20% 20%
10 14%
1%
–3%
0
–10 Consumer Gross Government Exports Minus
Spending Investment Spending Imports
Source: Based on data from www.bea.gov for the United States and www.stat.go.jp for Japan.
GDP changes as the amount spent changes. Changes in the amount spent could be
the result of changes in either the quantity purchased or the prices of products and
services purchased. If a change in GDP is solely the result of changes in prices with
no accompanying increase in quantity of products and services purchased, then the
economic production of the country has not changed. This result is equivalent to a
company increasing its prices by 5% and reporting a subsequent 5% increase in sales.
In fact, the company’s production has not increased, so looking at nominal (reported)
sales would not accurately reflect the change in output. Similarly, nominal GDP, which
reflects the current market value of products and services, unadjusted for price changes,
may over- or understate actual economic growth. Real GDP is nominal GDP adjusted
for changes in price levels. Changes in real GDP, which reflect changes in actual phys-
ical output, are a better measure of economic growth than changes in nominal GDP.
In the United States, when GDP is expressed in real terms, it may be referred to as
constant dollar GDP. Other countries use similar terminology to differentiate between
nominal and real data. Exhibit 2 shows the growth in real GDP per capita in the United
States from 1981 to 2010. Over the period, GDP per capita, adjusted for changes in
price level, generally exhibited a steady increase. It appears that living standards, as
measured by real GDP per capita, rose over the time period.
132 Chapter 5 ■ Macroeconomics
Exhibit 2 Real GDP per Capita for the United States, 1981–2010
50,000
45,000
40,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
The “trend” rate of GDP growth is determined at its most simplistic level by growth in
the labour force plus productivity gains, subject to the availability of capital to produce
more products and services. That is, GDP growth is determined by
■■ growth of the labour force, which represents the increase of labour in the
market;
■■ productivity gains, which represent growth in output per unit of labour; and
■■ availability of capital, which represents inputs other than labour necessary for
production.
The GDP growth rate depends to a large extent on productivity gains. For example, if a
worker assembles two cell phones in an hour instead of one, productivity has doubled.
If that increase is applied across the economy, the economy will grow more rapidly,
provided that there is a market for the additional products and services produced.
a worker may be able to increase production from one cell phone per hour to two
cell phones per hour. That is, the worker is more efficient. But with a technological
advance, a worker may be able to produce three cell phones per hour.
The increase in productivity is because of increased worker efficiency and the availability
of new technology. There are many real-world examples of this relationship. Decades
ago, for instance, typesetting allowed the mass production of printed material and
factories increased productivity in the textile industry through the use of machines.
More recently, computer technology has revolutionised business operations. For
example, some aspects of automobile production are computerised, and the internet
allows consumers to perform tasks they formerly outsourced to service companies,
such as airline travel agents. But although technology has boosted economic produc-
tivity, it is also disruptive in the sense that while new occupations have been created,
other occupations have been rendered irrelevant. Productivity gains can result in a
lower demand for labour and increased unemployment unless the productivity gains
are offset by increases in demand for products and services.
We will now discuss the effects of growth in the labour force and productivity gains
on GDP. Developed countries typically have ageing populations and low birth rates,
so their potential labour force will grow slowly or even decline. This means GDP will
grow more slowly unless this slowing labour force growth is offset by productivity
gains. Exhibit 3 shows the annual GDP growth rate for a sample of countries from
1971 to 2010.
China 9.1%
India 5.4
Brazil 4.0
United States 2.9
Canada 2.9
Japan 2.6
France 2.3
United Kingdom 2.2
Germany 2.0
World 3.2
1 Expansion
2 Peak
3 Contraction
4 Trough
5 Recovery
There is no universal agreement on what the phases of business cycles are and when
they begin and end. For example, some economists view recovery as the start of an
expansion phase, whereas others view recovery as the end of a trough phase. Exhibit 4
shows a stylised representation of a business cycle. The level of national economic
activity is measured by the GDP growth rate.
Gross Domestic Product and the Business Cycle 135
Peak
GDP Growth Rate
Peak te
wth Ra
n
P G ro
sio
Co nd in GD
ntr Tre
n
pa
ac
Ex
tio
n Recovery
Trough
Time
Aspects of the expansion, peak, contraction, trough, and recovery phases are described
in the following paragraphs.
Peak. At a peak, economic growth reaches a maximum level and begins to slow, or
contract. Each country has a central bank that serves as the banker for the government
and other banks. Central banks may implement policies to slow the economy and con-
trol inflation. These policies are discussed in Section 4.1. Other factors contributing
to the end of an expansion include a drop in consumer or business confidence caused
by events such as rising oil prices, falling real estate prices, and/or declining equity
markets. Shocks, such as natural disasters, or geopolitical events, such as a war, can
also contribute to the end of an expansion.
WHAT IS A RECESSION?
There are different definitions associated with the term “recession”. In Europe,
a recession is typically defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth.
In the United States, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines
a recession as a significant decline in economic activity spread across the econ-
omy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income,
employment, industrial production, and wholesale–retail sales.
Trough and recovery. A trough marks the end of the contraction phase and the
beginning of recovery. In a trough, the rate of economic growth stabilises and there is
no further contraction. Eventually, companies need to replace obsolete equipment and
individuals need to purchase new household items, spurring more spending. Lower
interest rates may encourage more borrowing to finance spending. Finally, the economic
growth rate begins to improve and the economy enters a recovery phase.
■■ Consumer spending
■ Business spending
■■ Government spending
Governments and central banks will then usually take action to try to stim-
ulate the economy. When that happens, consumer confidence increases again
along with consumer spending, and the economy begins a period of recovery
(expansion).
Changes in the business cycle can be driven by many factors other than changes in the
housing sector. A decrease or increase in the price of a key commodity, such as oil,
can also affect spending. A decrease or increase in the stock market or the financial
services sector can be transmitted through to the components of GDP. The decline in a
sector can be very dramatic; an extreme decline is often described as a bubble bursting.
As the economy moves from trough to expansion, companies begin to hire. Other
consumers who witness job gains may become more confident in their own employ-
ment prospects, even if they are already employed. With unemployment declining and
confidence growing, consumers increase their spending. So, we see that psychology
and consumer confidence have a significant effect on spending decisions.
–2
–4
–6
1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
Note: Annual percentage growth of GDP is calculated at market prices based on constant local
currency.
Source: Based on data from the World Bank.
Economic indicators are measures that offer insight regarding economic activity and
are reported with greater frequency than GDP. Economic indicators are estimated
and reported by governments and private institutions. Economic indicators can be
used to guide forecasts of future economic activity as well as forecasts of activity and
performance in the financial markets and exchange rates.
Industrial production, for example, is available monthly and reports the output of the
industrial sector of the economy—principally the output of manufacturing, mining, and
utility companies. Industrial production excludes the agricultural and service sectors,
which can also be significant contributors to economic activity. Other indicators of
economic activity include
■■ retail sales,
Sentiment surveys attempt to measure the confidence that economic entities, such
as manufacturers and consumers, have in the economy and their intended levels of
activity. Sentiment surveys may be useful as predictors of spending plans, but they
have limitations:
■■ They measure only general attitudes about economic conditions rather than
actual spending or output.
■■ The sample may not be representative. For example, only large companies may
be sampled, or the sample of consumers may be pedestrians at a single street
corner. Therefore, because of sampling error, these surveys might not reflect
data on an economy-wide basis.
■■ The survey may only ask respondents to choose between more, the same, or
fewer sales, employment, output, and so on. So, the responses may show only
the direction of the expected change but not its magnitude.
Lagging indicators signal a change in economic activity after output has already
changed. An example of a lagging indicator is the employment rate, which tends to
fall after economic activity has already declined.
Coincident indicators reveal current economic conditions, but do not have predictive
value. Examples of coincident indicators include industrial production and personal
income statistics.
Leading indicators usually signal changes in the economy in the future, and are con-
sidered useful for economic prediction and policy formulation. Examples of leading
indicators include money supply (the amount of money in circulation) and broad stock
market indices, such as the S&P 500 Index, the FTSE Index, and the Hang Seng Index.
Exhibit 6 shows economic indicators provided by the Economist magazine at the end
of each issue. The Economist includes them for a number of countries, but Exhibit 6
shows them only for the five largest economies.
140 Chapter 5 ■ Macroeconomics
China +7.7 Q4 +7.4 +7.7 +7.3 +9.7 Dec +2.5 Dec +2.5 +2.6 4.0 Q3§
France +0.2 Q3 –0.5 +0.2 +0.8 +1.5 Nov +0.7 Dec +1.3 +1.0 10.8 Nov
Germany +0.6 Q3 +1.3 +0.5 +1.7 +3.5 Nov +1.4 Dec +2.0 +1.5 6.9 Dec
Japan +2.4 Q3 +1.1 +1.7 +1.5 +4.8 Nov +1.6 Nov –0.2 +0.2 4.0 Nov
United +2.0 Q3 +4.1 +1.8 +2.7 +3.7 Dec +1.5 Dec +1.7 +1.5 6.7 Dec
States
3 INFLATION
Have you noticed that your food costs tend to increase every year? Food that cost on
average $100 a week last year, may cost on average $110 a week this year.
Inflation is a general rise in prices for products and services. Changing inflation has
implications for economic activity and national competitiveness. Companies must
monitor increases in costs and prices. They assess their competitive environment to
decide how to respond to rising costs and prices. Consumers use changes in prices
to make their buying decisions. So, accurate measurement of inflation is important.
Consumer price index. A consumer price index (CPI) is used to measure the change
in price of a basket of goods typically purchased by a consumer or household over
time. A CPI is constructed by determining the weight—or relative importance—of each
product and service in a typical household’s spending in a particular base year and then
measuring the price of the basket of goods in subsequent years.
Inflation 141
Weights in this index can be altered when long-term consumer trends change. For
example, computers and technology-related products may not have been part of a
typical household budget in the past, so they were not included in baskets of goods.
Today their weighting in a basket of goods may be relatively high. Inflation measured
by a CPI may overstate or understate inflation for a particular consumer or household
depending on how their spending patterns compare with the basket of goods.
In different countries, terminology may vary, and the basket of goods is likely to vary.
For example, in the United Kingdom, at least two CPIs are reported: a retail price
index (RPI) based on a basket of goods that includes housing costs, and a CPI with
a smaller basket of goods that does not include housing. Inflation rates as measured
by the UK RPI and CPI are typically not the same.
Indices based on core inflation, such as the US Core CPI, exclude the effects of tempo-
rary volatility in commodity (including food and energy) prices. Policymakers, such as
governments and central banks, find these indices useful. The reported core inflation
can differ from what households and companies are experiencing.
Producer price index. Another measure of inflation is a producer price index (PPI).
PPIs measure the average selling price of products in the economy. They are broader
than CPIs in that they include the price of investment products, but they are simultane-
ously narrower in that they do not include services. PPIs can be reported by individual
industries, commodity classifications, or stage of processing of products, such as raw
material and finished products.
Inflation rates and price indices. Different indices can produce different inflation
measures, even in the same country over the same period. As you can see in Exhibit 7,
which shows inflation rates based on different price indices for the United Kingdom and
the United States, inflation rates over the same period can vary noticeably depending
on the price index used.
142 Chapter 5 ■ Macroeconomics
Exhibit 7 Inflation Rates in the United States and the United Kingdom,
1989–2010
10
–2
–4
–6
1989 1994 1999 2004 2009
Source: Based on data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and the Office of National
Statistics.
The relationship between CPIs and PPIs is sometimes used to determine the degree
to which producers’ costs are passed on to consumers. If consumer prices (or costs
to consumers) are static and producer prices (or costs to producers) are rising, then
producers seem unable to pass on the costs to consumers. Examining increases in
production costs relative to consumer price increases can indicate whether profit
margins are expanding or contracting.
Implicit GDP deflator. Another way of measuring inflation is to estimate what would
happen if the weight of each good in the index is changed each year to reflect actual
spending on that good. Such a measure is known as an implicit deflator and is widely
used to estimate changes in GDP. The implicit GDP deflator is simply defined as nominal
GDP divided by real GDP and is the broadest-based measure of a nation’s inflation rate.
Consumers. If consumers expect prices to increase, they may buy now rather than save.
Or they may choose to borrow to increase spending. Borrowers benefit from inflation
because they repay loans with money that is worth less (has lower purchasing power).
During times of inflation, wages may not increase at the same rate as the prices of
products and services. If wages increase by a lesser amount, consumers may have less
money to spend as their budgets are squeezed. Additionally, if unemployment is high,
labour’s bargaining power declines, and real consumer spending (consumer spending
adjusted for inflation) may weaken. This scenario may help break the inflationary cycle.
Investments. Finally, inflation affects the values of financial investments. Any invest-
ment paying a fixed cash amount will decline in value if interest rates rise. As inflation
increases, interest rates generally rise, so higher inflation will lead to lower values for
fixed-income investments, such as bonds. Inflation tends to benefit borrowers, as
described earlier, and hurt lenders.
Shares, on the other hand, may be a good hedge (protection) against inflation if com-
panies are able to increase the selling prices of their products or services as their input
prices increase. A more detailed discussion of bonds, shares, and other investments
will be covered in the Investment Instruments module.
Deflation. A persistent and pronounced decrease in prices across most products and
services in an economy is called deflation. Deflation was experienced in the 1930s during
the Great Depression in the United States and more recently in Japan. If consumers
expect prices to fall, they may choose to save, even if they earn zero interest, and delay
purchases until prices decrease further. As a result, demand drops, companies reduce
144 Chapter 5 ■ Macroeconomics
Hyperinflation. Hyperinflation involves price increases so large and rapid that consum-
ers find it hard to afford many products and services. Consumers try to spend money
as quickly as they get it, anticipating increases in prices of products and services and
preferring to hold real assets rather than money. Often products and services are not
available because producers hold back anticipating further price increases. Although
most commonly associated with emerging markets, Germany experienced hyperinfla-
tion following World War I. Hyperinflation causes severe damage to an economy and
cannot be readily counteracted by governments and central banks. Fortunately, cases
of hyperinflation are relatively rare.
Economic growth, inflation, and unemployment are major concerns for central banks
and governments. They each use different financial tools to affect economic activity.
Central banks, which are often independent from governments, use monetary policy.
Governments use fiscal policy.
■■ Output or GDP
Monetary and Fiscal Policies 145
■■ Price stability
■■ Employment
Most central banks have a mandate of maintaining price stability (controlling inflation
while avoiding deflation), which has indirect effects on other macroeconomic targets,
such as employment and output. Many central banks have additional responsibili-
ties to sustain employment levels and to stimulate or slow down economic growth.
Focussing on these only may result in lack of price stability; increased employment
and high economic growth is often accompanied by inflation.
To reduce the supply of money and credit in circulation in order to slow an economy,
the central bank sells these instruments to the commercial banks. The commercial
banks now have lower balances at the central bank and more short-term government
instruments. The decrease in cash balances reduces the credit available to the private
sector. Interest rates rise as consumers and companies compete for a smaller amount
of credit.
By conducting open market operations, the central bank creates a shortage or surplus
of money. Effectively, the central bank is compelling commercial banks to change
their lending rates.
146 Chapter 5 ■ Macroeconomics
QUANTITATIVE EASING
The policy of quantitative easing (QE), used in a number of countries after the
financial crisis of 2008, is similar to open market operations, but on a much
larger scale and it involves the purchase of instruments other than short-term
government instruments. In the United States, QE differed from open mar-
ket operations in that it involved the purchase of mortgage bonds as well as
large-scale purchases of longer-term US Treasury securities. The intent was
to decrease longer-term interest rates for bonds and across a variety of credit
products, induce bank lending, and thereby increase real economic activity.
It has proven difficult to evaluate the effectiveness of QE because there were
other simultaneous stimulus programmes in the wake of the financial crisis.
If a central bank announces an increase in its lending rate, then commercial banks
will normally increase their lending base rates at the same time. Through its lending
rate and its money market operations, a central bank can influence the availability
and cost of credit. Generally, the higher the central bank lending rate, the higher the
rate that banks, if they run short of funds, will have to pay to not only the central
bank but to other banks that loan to them as well. The higher the central bank lending
rate, the more likely banks are to reduce lending and thus decrease the money supply.
So, higher central bank lending rates are expected to slow down economic activity.
Similarly, lower central bank lending rates are expected to stimulate economic activity.
■■ add to their cash balances because they believe either that the economy will
slow further and they need protective funds or that prices may drop and offer
better purchase opportunities later.
Thus, the psychology and likely responses of consumers and companies must be
considered. Consider a scenario in which the central bank raises interest rates to
reduce consumer spending and demand because it is concerned about inflationary
pressures. If an economy is doing well, general optimism about income, employment,
and business profits may be high. In that case, increases in borrowing costs are less
effective in deterring spending. At other times, an increase in interest rates may be
effective because optimism is less established. So, the levels of consumer and business
confidence influence the effectiveness of monetary policy.
The effectiveness of these policies will vary over time and among countries depending
on circumstances. For example, in a recession with rising unemployment, cuts in the
income tax will not always raise consumer spending because consumers may want to
increase their savings in anticipation of further deterioration in the economy.
148 Chapter 5 ■ Macroeconomics
■■ Time lags
■■ Unintended consequences
Time lags. There can be a significant time lag between when a change in economic
conditions occurs and when actions based on fiscal policy changes affect the economy.
A variety of events have to occur in the interim period. These events include recogni-
tion of the economic change that requires fiscal policy action, a decision on the fiscal
policy response, implementation of the decision, and responses to the changed fiscal
policy. In other words, it takes time for policymakers to recognise that a problem
exists, for decisions to be made and implemented, and for actions to occur that affect
the economy. By the time the actions affect the economy, economic conditions may
have already changed.
Each entity is subject to much the same limitations: time lags between when a change in
economic conditions occurs and when policy actions take effect; unexpected responses
by consumers and companies; and unintended consequences, such as successfully
Summary 149
stimulating the economy but at the same time increasing inflation. However, the time
lag for monetary policy may be shorter because central banks may be able to act more
quickly than governments.
Economists are generally divided into two camps regarding the effectiveness of mon-
etary and fiscal policies. Keynesians, named after British economist John Maynard
Keynes (pronounced “canes”), believe that fiscal policy can have powerful effects on
aggregate demand, output, and employment when there is substantial spare capacity
in an economy. Some economists believe that changes in monetary variables under
the control of central banks can only affect monetary targets, such as inflation, and
will not lead to changes in output or employment. This is a subject of intense debate
between economists.
Monetarists believe that fiscal policy has only a temporary effect on aggregate demand
and that monetary policy is a more effective tool for affecting economic activity.
Monetarists advocate the use of monetary policy instead of fiscal policy to control
the cycles in real GDP, inflation, and employment.
In practice, both governments and central banks are likely to act in response to eco-
nomic conditions. This is particularly true when economic conditions are extremely
worrisome—for example, when a recession is identified or when either inflation or
unemployment is high. The modern economy is a complex system of human behaviour
and interactions. To encourage growth in real GDP requires considerable insight into
the effects of interest rate or tax changes on decisions by consumers and companies.
After all, the economy represents the collective action of many millions of consumers,
companies, and governments around the globe.
SUMMARY
■■ Gross domestic product is the total value of all final products and services
produced in an economy over a particular period of time. Nominal GDP uses
current market values, and real GDP adjusts nominal GDP for changes in price
levels.
■■ GDP per capita is equal to GDP divided by the population. It allows compari-
sons of GDP between countries or within a country.
150 Chapter 5 ■ Macroeconomics
■■ Economic activity and growth rates tend to fluctuate over time. These fluc-
tuations are referred to as business cycles. Phases of a business cycle include
expansion, peak, contraction, trough, and recovery.
■■ Changes in the business cycle can be driven by many factors, such as housing,
the stock market, and the financial services sector.
■■ With the growth of international trade, mobility of labour, and more closely
connected financial markets, movements in the business cycles of countries
have become more closely aligned with each other.
■■ Changes in price levels can affect economic growth because consumers, com-
panies, and governments may change the timing of their purchases, the amount
of their spending, and their saving and spending decisions based on anticipated
changes in prices.
■■ Three additional price level changes investors also consider are deflation, stag-
flation, and hyperinflation.
■■ Monetary policy refers to central bank activities that are directed toward
influencing the money supply and credit in an economy. Its goal is to influence
output, price stability, and employment.
■■ Fiscal policy involves the use of government spending and tax policies to influ-
ence the level of aggregate demand in an economy and thus the level of eco-
nomic activity.
■■ Both fiscal and monetary policies have limitations: they are affected by time lags
and the responses to and consequences of each may not be as expected.
Chapter Review Questions 151
A output of a country.
2 Which of the following best measures the relative wealth of citizens of different
countries?
A Real GDP
C Nominal GDP
3 In a given year, if a country’s GDP per capita decreases while total GDP is
unchanged, then the population of the country has:
A decreased.
C increased.
A gross investment.
B government spending.
5 Holding all other factors constant, an increase in imports would most likely
cause total GDP to:
A decrease.
C increase.
6 If all other factors remain the same, which of the following changes would most
likely cause an increase in the growth rate of a country’s GDP?
A An increase in productivity
B An increase in unemployment
7 Which stage of the business cycle is most often characterised by rising interest
rates and higher wages?
A Recession
B Expansion
C Contraction
8 Which of the following will most likely decrease when an economy is in the
expansion phase of the business cycle?
A Production
B Unemployment rate
C Consumer spending
9 Which of the following phases of the business cycle most likely follows the peak
phase?
A Trough
B Recovery
C Contraction
10 Integrated global financial markets have most likely caused business cycles
between countries to be:
A less aligned.
B unrelated.
C more aligned.
A decreasing.
B remaining unchanged.
C increasing.
A delayed consumption.
B increased production.
C reduced unemployment.
A government spending.
19 Fiscal policy that is intended to stimulate the economy includes decreases in:
A tax rates.
B interest rates.
C public spending.
154 Chapter 5 ■ Macroeconomics
22 Time lags until policies affect the economy are most likely associated with:
ANSWERS
1 A is correct. GDP is the total output of a country. It is the total value of final
goods and services produced within a country over a period of time. B is incor-
rect because the total output of a country per person measures GDP per capita.
C is incorrect because total changes in real output of a country is a measure of
economic growth.
2 B is correct. GDP per capita is defined as a country’s total GDP divided by pop-
ulation and describes the average wealth of each citizen of a country. A and C
are incorrect because GDP—real and nominal—is a measure of total wealth of a
country, which can be highly dependent on total population.
3 C is correct. GDP per capita is calculated as total GDP divided by the popu-
lation. A lower GDP per capita with an unchanged total GDP implies that the
population has increased.
9 C is correct. The business cycle can vary, but it typically follows a pattern
of expansion, peak, contraction, trough, recovery, and back to expansion.
Therefore, an economic peak is most likely followed by a contraction phase.
A and B are incorrect because the trough and recovery phases typically occur
following the contraction cycle.
17 A is correct. Government spending and tax policies are tools of fiscal policy. B
and C are incorrect because open market operations and changes in the central
bank lending rate are tools of monetary policy.
18 B is correct. There can be a time lag before the effects of monetary and fiscal
policies are realised. A is incorrect because fiscal policy is set by lawmakers
whereas monetary policy is usually set by a central bank, which is often inde-
pendent from other government branches and may not require legislative
action. C is incorrect because commercial banks tend to respond quickly to
monetary policy but not to fiscal policy.
20 B is correct. Monetary policies are typically carried out by central banks and
include such tools as open market operations, changes in central bank lending
rates, and changes in reserve requirements for commercial banks. A and C are
incorrect because both are examples of fiscal policy tools.
ineffective policies. A and B are incorrect because both are limitations of fiscal
policy. Increased government borrowing and spending may crowd out private
borrowers. Unlike fiscal policy, monetary policy can be implemented quickly.
22 C is correct. Both monetary policies and fiscal policies can have a significant
time lag between a change in policy and when actions based on policy changes
affect the economy.
CHAPTER 6
ECONOMICS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE
by Michael J. Buckle, PhD, James Seaton, PhD, and Stephen Thomas, PhD
LEARNING OUTCOMES
a Define imports and exports and describe the need for and trends in
imports and exports;
d Describe why a country runs a current account deficit and describe the
effect of a current account deficit on the country’s currency;
INTRODUCTION 1
When you walk into a supermarket where you can buy Scottish salmon, Kenyan veg-
etables, Thai rice, South African wine, and Colombian coffee, you are experiencing
the benefits of international trade. Without international trade, consumers’ needs
may not be fulfilled because people would only have access to products and services
produced domestically. Certain products and services may be missing—perhaps food,
vaccines, or insurance products.
International trade is the exchange of products, services, and capital between coun-
tries. The growth in international trade, from $296 billion in 1950 to $18.2 trillion in
2011,1 can be viewed as both a cause and consequence of globalisation, one of the
four key forces driving the investment industry discussed in the Investment Industry:
A Top-Down View chapter.
Today, the factors driving supply and demand, and thus prices, are global. An under-
standing of how international trade and foreign exchange rate fluctuations affect econ-
omies, companies, and investments is important. We discussed in the Microeconomics
chapter how companies and individuals make decisions to allocate scarce resources.
In the Macroeconomics chapter, we discussed the factors that affect economies, such
as economic growth, inflation, and unemployment. We now bring into the discussion
the international dimension of economics, which investment professionals must also
take into account before deciding which assets to invest in.
This chapter will give you a better understanding of how international trade and for-
eign exchange rate fluctuations affect both your daily life and the work of investment
professionals.
The flow of goods and services in international trade between countries is primarily
measured by imports and exports. Imports refer to products and services that are
produced outside a country’s borders and then brought into the country. For exam-
ple, many countries in the European Union import natural gas from Russia. Exports
refer to products and services that are produced within a country’s borders and then
transported to another country. For example, Japan exports consumer electronics to
the rest of the world.
Imports and exports represent the flow of products and services in international
trade. They are important components of a country’s balance of payments, which is
discussed in Section 4.
A common reason for international trade is to gain access to resources for which there
is no or insufficient supply domestically. For example, Japanese manufacturers need
access to such resources as metals and minerals, machinery and equipment, and fuel
to produce the cars and consumer electronics that they then export to the rest of the
world. Imports are a way for Japanese manufacturers to gain access to those resources
for which there is no or insufficient supply domestically. Japanese manufacturers
may import metals and minerals from Australia, Canada, and China; machinery and
equipment from Germany; and fuel from the Middle East.
International trade creates additional demand for products and services that are
produced domestically. For example, if Japanese manufacturers could not sell cars
and consumer electronics abroad, they would have to limit their production to the
quantity that can be consumed in Japan, which is a relatively small market. This lower
production would translate into lower sales and profits for the Japanese manufacturers,
which would probably have a negative effect on the Japanese economy—GDP may be
lower and unemployment higher.
International trade provides consumers with a greater choice of products and ser-
vices. Imports give consumers access to goods and services that may not be available
domestically. For example, consumers in the United Kingdom would not be able to
enjoy bananas or a cup of tea if importing these products was not possible. Imports
may also enable consumers to access products and services that better suit their needs.
Imports and Exports 163
Imported products and services may be less expensive and/or of better quality than
domestically produced ones. By increasing competition between suppliers of products
and services, international trade promotes greater efficiency, which helps keep prices
down. International trade also stimulates innovation, which generates better-quality
products and services.
Trade barriers are restrictions, typically imposed by governments, on the free exchange
of products and services. These restrictions can take different forms. Common trade
barriers include the following:
■■ Tariffs: Taxes (duties) levied on imported products and services. They allow
governments not only to establish trade barriers, often to protect domestic
suppliers, but also to raise revenue.
International trade barriers have steadily been reduced since the passage of the
General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) in 1947 and the creation of the
World Trade Organization (WTO) in 1995. The WTO, with more than 150 member
nations, is designed to help countries negotiate new trade agreements and ensure
adherence to existing trade agreements. The WTO also provides a dispute resolu-
tion process between countries. In addition, international trade has been promoted
by the creation of regional trade agreements, such as the Association of Southeast
Asian Nations’ (ASEAN) Free Trade Area (AFTA), the North American Free Trade
Agreement (NAFTA), the Southern Common Market (MERCOSUR), and the African
Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).
164 Chapter 6 ■ Economics of International Trade
Shoes Kettles
No Reason to Trade?
It may appear that there is no reason why Growland would want to trade with
Makeland because Growland is able to produce both shoes and kettles less
expensively than Makeland. Growland has what is called an absolute advantage
over Makeland. An absolute advantage is when a country is more efficient at
producing a product or a service than other countries—that is, it needs less
resources to produce the product or service.
Balance of Payments 165
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 4
The balance of payments tracks transactions between a country and the rest of the
world over a period of time, usually a year. According to the International Monetary
Fund (IMF), an international organisation whose mission includes facilitating inter-
national trade, “transactions consist of those involving goods, services, and income;
those involving financial claims on, and liabilities to, the rest of the world; and those
(such as gifts) classified as transfers”.3 The balance of payments shows the flow of
money in and out of the country as a result of exports and imports of products and
services. It also reflects financial transactions and financial transfers between resident
and non-resident economic entities. Economic entities include individuals, companies,
governments, and government agencies. Resident entities are based in the country
(domestic), whereas non-resident entities are based in other countries (foreign).
3 IMF, “Chapter II”, in Balance of Payments Manual, International Monetary Fund (2012):6 (www.imf.org/
external/pubs/ft/bopman/bopman.pdf, accessed 11 September 2012).
166 Chapter 6 ■ Economics of International Trade
■■ The current account indicates how much the country consumes and invests
(outflows) compared with how much it receives (inflows). It is primarily driven
by the trade of products and services with the rest of the world—that is, exports
and imports.
■■ The capital and financial account records the ownership of assets. In particular,
it reflects investments by domestic entities in foreign entities and investments
by foreign entities in domestic entities. These investments can be acquisitions of
production facilities or purchases and sales of financial securities, such as debt
and equity securities.
In theory, the sum of the current account and the capital and financial account is equal
to zero. In other words, the balance of payments should sum to zero. Before explaining
why this is the case, we need to understand what drives each account.
■■ Income
■■ Current transfers
Balance of Payments 167
Current Account
Income
Salaries + Income on financial
investments
Current Transfers
Unilateral transfers, such as
gifts or workers’ remittance
The difference between exports and imports of products and services is called net
exports, also referred to as the balance of trade or trade balance.4 If the value of
exports is equal to the value of imports—that is, if net exports are zero—the country’s
trade is balanced. In reality, this is rarely the case. If the value of exports is higher
than the value of imports—that is, if net exports are positive—the country has a trade
surplus. Alternatively, if the value of exports is lower than the value of imports—that
is, if net exports are negative—the country has a trade deficit.
The income account reflects the flow of money in and out of the country from salaries
and from income on financial investments. For example, if a domestic company has
a debt or equity investment in a foreign company, any income—such as interest pay-
ments on debt or dividend payments on equity—received by the domestic company
is included in income in the country’s current account. In this example, the interest
or dividend payments are reported as inflows because they represent money coming
into the country from other countries.
4 Balance of trade may be used by some to refer only to the difference between exports and imports of
goods. In this chapter, when we refer to balance of trade, we include both goods and services.
168 Chapter 6 ■ Economics of International Trade
The current transfers account includes unilateral transfers, such as gifts or workers’
remittance. Gifts of aid from one country are outflows for that country and inflows
for the receiving country. Money sent home by migrant workers is an outflow from
the country where they work and an inflow to the country to which the money is sent.
The sum of the goods and services account, the income account, and the current trans-
fers account gives the current account balance. A positive current account balance
is called a current account surplus, whereas a negative current account balance is
called a current account deficit. For most countries, the goods and services account is
larger than the sum of the income account and the current transfers account. In other
words, the trade balance tends to dominate the current account balance. So, countries
that have a trade surplus because they export more than they import tend to have a
current account surplus. In contrast, countries that have a trade deficit because they
import more than they export tend to have a current account deficit.
A current account surplus indicates that the country is saving. That is, the country has
more inflows than outflows, so it has the ability to lend to or invest in other countries.
As can be seen in Exhibit 2, Germany, China, Saudi Arabia, the Netherlands, and
Russia had current account surpluses in 2013. By contrast, a country that is running
Balance of Payments 169
a current account deficit spends more than it earns so it needs to borrow or receive
investments from other countries. As indicated in Exhibit 2, the United States, the
United Kingdom, Brazil, India and Canada had current account deficits in 2013.
As the name suggests, the capital and financial account refers to the combination of
two accounts:
■■ The capital account, which primarily reports capital transfers between domes-
tic entities and foreign entities, such as debt forgiveness or the transfer of assets
by migrants entering or leaving the country.
■■ The financial account, which reflects the investments domestic entities make in
foreign entities and the investments foreign entities make in domestic entities.
Capital
Capital transfers between
domestic and foreign entities
Financial
Direct investments + Portfolio
investments + Other investments
+ Reserve account
■■ Portfolio investments reflect the purchases and sales of securities, such as debt
and equity securities, between domestic entities and foreign entities.
■■ Other investments are largely made up of loans and deposits between domestic
entities and foreign entities.
■■ The reserve account shows the transactions made by the monetary authorities
of a country, typically the central bank.
In practice, however, the capital and financial account balance does not exactly offset
the current account balance because of measurement errors. All the items reported in
the balance of payments must be measured independently by using different sources of
data. For example, data are collected from customs authorities on exports and imports,
from surveys on tourist numbers and expenditures, and from financial institutions on
capital inflows and outflows. Some of the inputs are based on sampling techniques,
so the resulting figures are estimates.
Current account
Exports of goods +1,097.3
Imports of goods –909.1
Net exports of goods +188.2
Balance of Payments 171
Exhibit 4 (Continued)
Exhibit 4 shows that in 2012, Germany had a current account surplus of €185.4 billion
and was thus a net saver. The current account surplus was primarily driven by a trade
surplus of €157.8 billion, indicating that Germany exported more than it imported
during the year. As a consequence of its current account surplus, Germany is a net
lender to other countries through a combination of direct, portfolio, and other invest-
ments. In 2012, Germany’s capital and financial account deficit was €234.9 billion.
The difference of €49.5 billion between the current account balance and the capital
and financial account balance labelled errors and omissions is the plug figure that
is needed because of measurement errors. The plug figure is often a large amount,
indicating how difficult it is to measure accurately the items reported in the balance
of payments.
4.4 Why Does a Country Run a Current Account Deficit and How
Does It Affect Its Currency?
We saw in Exhibit 2 that some countries, such as the United States, the United
Kingdom, Brazil, India, and Canada, run large current account deficits. Is running a
current account deficit a bad sign, and should all countries aim at maximising their
current account balance? The answer to both questions is, not necessarily. First, the
172 Chapter 6 ■ Economics of International Trade
sum of the current account balances of all countries is, by definition, equal to zero.
In other words, an inflow for one country is an outflow for another country. So, it is
impossible for all countries to have a current account surplus.
Second, a current account deficit must be put in context before drawing conclusions. A
developing country may run a current account deficit because it needs to import many
products (such as machinery and equipment) and services (such as communication
services) to help its economy evolve. As the initial period of heavy investment ends
and the economy gets stronger, the developing country may experience a decrease in
imports and an increase in exports, progressively reducing or even eliminating the
current account deficit. This scenario can also apply to transition economies that are
moving from a socialist planned economy to a market economy. In such a scenario, the
current account deficit may only be temporary. Alternatively, a mature economy may
run a current account deficit because its consumption far exceeds its production and
its ability to export. Thus, when reviewing the economic outlook for a country running
a current account deficit, an investment professional must factor in the country’s stage
of economic development and understand what drives the current account balance.
There is a long-running debate about the risk for a country of running a persistent
current account deficit. As mentioned earlier, a current account deficit means that
the country spends more than it earns and makes up the difference by borrowing or
receiving investments from other countries. Some economists argue that as long as
foreign entities are willing to continue holding the assets and the currency of the coun-
try with a current account deficit, running a current account deficit does not matter.
But what if foreign entities become unwilling to hold the assets and the currency of
the country running a current account deficit?
Consider the example of the country running the largest current account deficit, the
United States. Because the United States has a large trade deficit with many countries,
those countries hold US dollars. These US dollars can be held as bank deposits in the
United States or they can be invested. For example, foreign companies may use their
US dollars to acquire US companies, or they may invest in debt and equity securities
issued by US companies. Other governments may also invest in bonds (debt secu-
rities) issued by the US government—these bonds are called US Treasury securities
or US Treasuries.
But if other countries decide that they want to reduce their exposure to the United
States, they may start selling US assets, which will have a negative effect on the price
of these assets. In addition, they may decide to convert their US dollars into other
currencies, which will cause a depreciation of the US dollar relative to other curren-
cies—that is, the US dollar will get weaker and a unit of the US currency will buy
less units of foreign currencies. Put another way, foreign currencies will get stronger
relative to the US dollar, a situation referred to as an appreciation of foreign curren-
cies relative to the US dollar. To encourage entities in other countries to invest in the
United States, the Federal Reserve Board (or the Fed), which is the US central bank,
may increase interest rates. An increase in interest rates would increase the cost of
financing for individuals, companies, and the government in the United States. So,
the combination of lower asset prices, a weaker US dollar, and higher interest rates
would likely hurt the US economy, potentially leading to a lower GDP, maybe even a
recession, and higher unemployment.
Foreign Exchange Rate Systems 173
The exchange rates between world currencies, such as the US dollar (US$), euro,
British pound, and Japanese yen (¥) are just like prices of products and services. As
discussed in the Microeconomics chapter, prices change continuously depending on
supply and demand. If a lot of people want to buy a particular currency, such as the
euro, demand for the euro will increase and the price of the euro will rise. It will take
more of the other currency to buy a euro. In this case, the euro is said to appreciate
(get stronger) relative to other currencies. Alternatively, if a lot of people want to sell
the euro, demand for the euro will decrease and the price of the euro will fall. It will
take less of the other currency to buy a euro. In this case, the euro is said to depreciate
(get weaker) relative to other currencies.
■■ Fixed rate
■■ Floating rate
At the Bretton Woods conference in 1944, the major nations of the Western world
agreed to an exchange rate system in which the value of the US dollar was defined as
$35 per ounce of gold. So, a dollar was equivalent to one thirty-fifth of an ounce of
gold. All other currencies were defined or “pegged” in terms of the US dollar. Such
a system of exchange rates, which does not allow for fluctuations of currencies, is
known as a fixed exchange rate system or regime.
The advantage of a fixed exchange rate system is that it eliminates currency risk (or
foreign exchange risk), which is the risk associated with the fluctuation of exchange
rates. In a fixed-rate regime, importers and exporters know with greater certainty
the amount that they will pay or receive for the products and services they trade.
A disadvantage is that, as the competitiveness of economies changes over time, an
economy that becomes uncompetitive will see its current account balance worsen
because its currency becomes overvalued; its exports are too expensive from the
buyer’s perspective and its imports are too cheap from the seller’s perspective. Under
174 Chapter 6 ■ Economics of International Trade
a fixed exchange rate system, the only solution to this problem is for the country to
formally devalue its currency. Devaluation is the decision made by a country’s central
bank to decrease the value of the domestic currency relative to other currencies, an
action that many governments are reluctant to take.
To overcome the disadvantages of a fixed exchange rate system, the Bretton Woods
system was abandoned in 1973 and currency values were left to market forces. Thus,
since 1973, the major currencies, such as the US dollar, the euro, and the British pound,
have existed under a floating exchange rate system. In a pure floating exchange rate
system, a country’s central bank does not intervene and lets the market determine the
value of its currency. That is, the exchange rate between the domestic currency and
foreign currencies is only driven by supply and demand for each currency.
6 CURRENCY VALUES
This section identifies some major factors that affect the value of a currency and then
describes how to assess the relative value of currencies.
■■ balance of payments,
■■ level of inflation,
But, as discussed earlier, the self-adjusting mechanism does not always work in practice
because there are many factors other than international trade that influence exchange
rates. In addition, the natural correction that should lead to a reduction of the current
account deficit or surplus may not occur if the country belongs to a single currency
zone. For example, as of March 2014, the euro is the common currency used by 18
European countries. Some countries, such as France, Belgium, and Italy, run large
current account deficits. The self-adjusting mechanism should lead to a depreciation
of the euro and reduce the current account deficits of these countries. But the euro is
also the currency used by Germany, the country running the largest current account
surplus, as shown in Exhibit 2. Because 18 European countries use the same currency
but face very different economic environments, it makes it difficult, if not impossible,
for natural corrections to take place.
The following table shows the price of identical loaves of bread in Ireland and
in the United Kingdom in January and in June.
In January, the loaf of bread costs €1.20 in Ireland and £1.00 in the United
Kingdom, which implies an exchange rate of €1.20/£1. If inflation in the United
Kingdom drives the price of the bread to £1.10 in June, but the price remains
€1.20 in Ireland, then the purchasing power of the pound is lower in June than
176 Chapter 6 ■ Economics of International Trade
it was in January. The exchange rate has moved from €1.20/£1 to €1.20/£1.10
or €1.09/£1. A pound buys fewer euros, so the pound has depreciated relative
to the euro.
A country with a consistently high level of inflation will see the value of its currency
fall compared with a country that has a consistently low level of inflation.
As discussed in the Macroeconomics chapter, raising interest rates is a way for central
banks to control inflation. When a central bank raises interest rates, it may attract
more foreign investors to buy that currency, making the currency appreciate. The
appreciating currency makes imports less expensive and thus helps reduce inflation.
In addition, some countries that have balanced economic growth and higher relative
interest rates may see an increase in capital flows into their currency. This increase
occurs because many investors see higher interest rates as a way of achieving a higher
yield. But high interest rates can also reduce capital inflows if investors believe they
might lead to higher inflation and potential currency depreciation.
Government policies toward foreign investors also affect capital flows. Capital flows
usually increase when a country becomes more open to outside investors and liber-
alises foreign direct investments (FDIs)—that is, direct investments made by foreign
investors and companies. For example, India is slowly allowing foreign ownership in
some of its domestic companies.
Exhibit 5 summarises the major factors that affect the value of a currency.
Currency Values 177
There may be factors other than the ones listed in Exhibit 5 that affect the value of a
currency, particularly if the currency has the status of reserve currency, which is the
case of the US dollar. A reserve currency is a currency that is held in significant quan-
tities by many governments and financial institutions as part of their foreign exchange
reserves. A reserve currency also tends to be the international pricing currency for
products and services traded on a global market and for commodities, such as oil and
gold. Because the US dollar is a reserve currency, the demand for US financial assets
and for US dollars is higher than it would be based on the country’s macroeconomic
outlook alone. Many economists believe that a decline in the demand for US finan-
cial assets and for US dollars may take place over many years as alternative reserve
currencies emerge. However, major foreign investors holding US financial assets and
substantial US dollar reserves—such as non-US central banks—do not want to cause
the value of their holdings to drop by embarking on large sales of these assets.
Example 3 illustrates what happens if two identical products have different prices and
how prices and the exchange rate should adjust.
Assume that the exchange rate is currently 10 Mexican pesos for 1 US dollar
(M$10/$1). In the United States, a particular car sells for $30,000, whereas in
Mexico, the same car sells for M$270,000. Given the exchange rate, the car
178 Chapter 6 ■ Economics of International Trade
costs $30,000 in the United States but the equivalent of $27,000 [M$270,000/
(M$10/$1)] in Mexico. In other words, it is cheaper for a US citizen to buy the
car in Mexico.
The fact that the same product sells for different prices presents an arbitrage
opportunity—that is, an opportunity to take advantage of the price difference
between the two markets. If consumers are able to do this without incurring
extra costs, then the following may happen:
2 Demand for the car sold in Mexico will increase, so the price Mexican
retailers charge will also increase.
3 By contrast, demand for the car sold in the United States will decrease
because consumers will go to Mexico to buy it. Thus, the price US retail-
ers charge for the car will decrease.
Eventually, these events should cause the prices in the two countries and the
exchange rate to change until the price difference vanishes. But the adjustment
process may take time.
In practice, buying the car in Mexico and bringing it to the United States may not be
as advantageous as it seems in theory. Anything that limits the free trade of goods will
limit the opportunities people have to take advantage of these arbitrage opportunities
and will influence currency valuations. The following are examples of three such limits:
■■ Import and export restrictions. Restrictions, such as tariffs, quotas, and non-
tariff barriers discussed in Section 2.2, may make it difficult to buy products in
one market and bring them into another. If the United States imposes a tax on
cars imported from Mexico, then it may no longer be advantageous to buy the
car in Mexico instead of in the United States.
Purchasing power parity is the concept behind the Economist’s Big Mac index. On a
regular basis, the Economist records the price of McDonald’s Big Mac hamburgers
in various countries around the world, and then it estimates what the exchange rates
should be to make the price of Big Macs the same in all the countries. This exchange
rate relies on purchasing power parity and assumes that an identical product, the Big
Mac, should have the same price everywhere. Otherwise, there would be an arbitrage
opportunity, such as the one described in Example 3. The Economist constructs a table
Currency Values 179
of purchasing power parity exchange rates relative to the US dollar and then compares
them with the actual exchange rates to help identify whether currencies are under- or
overvalued relative to the US dollar.
Example 4 illustrates how the Economist uses Big Macs to calculate purchasing power
parity exchange rates and how it determines which currencies are under- and over-
valued relative to the US dollar.
In January 2014,
In January 2014, a Big Mac cost US$4.62 in the United States and R23.50 in
South Africa, which implies a purchasing power parity exchange rate of R5.09/
US$1 (R23.50/US$4.62). The actual exchange rate in January 2014 was R10.88/
US$1. This means that, based on purchasing power parity, the South African
rand is undervalued relative to the US dollar because it takes more South African
rand than purchasing power parity implies to buy a US dollar. Put another way, if
in January 2014 a Big Mac cost R23.50 in South Africa and the actual exchange
rate was R10.88/US$1, the cost of a Big Mac in the United States should be
US$2.16. But the cost was US$4.62, which means that the South African rand
was undervalued by more than 50%; converting R23.50 to US dollars would only
give us US$2.16, which is not enough to buy a Big Mac in the United States.
Exhibit 6 shows the currencies identified by the Economist as the most under- and
overvalued as of January 2014.
180 Chapter 6 ■ Economics of International Trade
India –66.8
Malaysia –51.8
United States
Britain .1
Switzerland 54.5
Venezuela 54.7
Norway 68.6
As of January 2014, the most undervalued currencies were the Indian rupee, the South
African rand, and the Malaysian ringgit. The most overvalued currencies were the
Norwegian krone, the Venezuelan peso, and the Swiss franc. The British pound and
the New Zealand dollar were fairly valued compared with the US dollar.
The purchasing power parity exchange rates constructed using Big Macs are only loosely
representative of actual exchange rates because they are based on just one product. In
reality, purchasing power parity exchange rates should reflect a representative basket
of goods, but the Big Mac index serves as an easily understandable proxy.
Although purchasing power parity provides a way to explain relative currency valu-
ations, it has limitations. Two of these limitations are the difficulty of identifying a
basket of goods for comparison between countries and, as discussed earlier, the bar-
riers to international trade. These problems help explain why evidence suggests that
purchasing power parity does not hold very well in the short to medium term. But
in the long term, deviations of actual exchange rates from purchasing power parity
rates eventually correct themselves. In other words, purchasing power parity tends
to apply only in the long term.
Foreign Exchange Market 181
■■ The bid exchange rate (or bid rate) is the exchange rate at which the bank or
currency dealer will buy the foreign currency.
■■ The offer exchange rate (or offer rate), also called the ask exchange rate (or
ask rate), is the exchange rate at which the bank or dealer will sell the foreign
currency.
The difference between the bid and offer (ask) rates is known as the bid–offer spread
(bid–ask spread). The bid–offer spread is how the bank or currency dealer makes
money—these intermediaries make a profit by buying a unit of currency more cheaply
than they sell it. The bid–offer spread will vary from bank to bank, from currency
to currency, and according to market conditions. The more a currency is traded, the
smaller the bid–offer spread.
Example 5 shows how bid and offer rates are used to convert currencies. Remember
that you are not responsible for calculations. The presentation of formulas and illus-
trative calculations in Examples 5 and 6 may enhance your understanding.
182 Chapter 6 ■ Economics of International Trade
A currency dealer in a US airport indicates the following bid and offer rates:
Bid Offer
Customer A, who has just arrived from the United Kingdom, wants to con-
vert £1,000 into US dollars. Customer B, who is leaving shortly for the United
Kingdom, wants to convert $1,600 into pounds.
From the US perspective, the British pound is the foreign currency and the
US dollar is the domestic currency. Customer A wants to sell the foreign currency
(£) and buy the domestic currency ($), which means that the currency dealer has
to buy the foreign currency (£). Thus, the currency dealer applies the bid rate of
$1.50/£1 and Customer A will receive $1,500 (£1,000 × ($1.50/£1) for the £1,000.
Customer B wants to sell the domestic currency ($) and buy the foreign cur-
rency (£), which means that the currency dealer has to sell the foreign currency
(£). Thus, the currency dealer applies the offer rate of $1.60/£1 and Customer B
will receive £1,000 [$1,600/($1.60/£1)] for the $1,600.
The currency dealer made a profit of $100. It received £1,000 from Customer
A and passed the entire amount to Customer B. At the same time, the currency
dealer received $1,600 from Customer B but passed only $1,500 to Customer
A. So, the currency dealer is left with a profit of $100. This profit is the result
of the bid–offer spread.
If you are ever confused, just remember that the exchange rate works to the advantage
of the dealer; a dealer will pay as little as possible for any currency.
Let us return to the example of the French supermarket chain importing dairy prod-
ucts from the United Kingdom that has to pay its UK dairy producers £100,000. If
the French supermarket needs to make the payment now and convert euros into
pounds immediately, the exchange rate at which the conversion takes place is the spot
rate. Assuming a spot rate of €1.20/£1, the French supermarket chain has to convert
€120,000 to pay its invoice today, as shown earlier.
In the business world, however, many suppliers give credit to their customers. Assume
that the French supermarket chain has two months to pay its UK dairy producers.
Because the conversion of euros into pounds is not required now but in two months,
the French supermarket chain faces uncertainty about the exchange rate that will prevail
in two months and thus the amount it will have to give its bank or currency dealer to
get the £100,000 necessary to pay its UK dairy producers. In other words, the French
supermarket chain is exposed to currency risk because of the potential fluctuation
of the exchange rate between the euro and the pound during the next two months.
Example 6 shows the effect of both an appreciation and a depreciation of the euro
relative to the pound on the amount the French supermarket chain would have to
pay its UK dairy producers.
A French supermarket chain imports dairy products from the United Kingdom
and has to pay its UK dairy producers £100,000.
The French supermarket may want to determine today how many euros it will have to
give its bank or currency dealer to get £100,000 in two months when it converts the
euros into pounds. By using the forward market today, the French supermarket chain
can lock in (fix) the exchange rate at which it will pay the invoice in two months. For
example, if the two-month forward rate for delivery in two months is €1.21/£1, the
French supermarket chain can use the forward market to lock in this exchange rate
and determine today that it will need €121,000 to get the £100,000 necessary to pay
its UK dairy producers. In doing so, it eliminates the currency risk—no matter how
much the euro fluctuates relative to the pound in the next two months, the French
supermarket chain has certainty about the amount it will pay its UK dairy suppliers.
Reducing or eliminating risk such as currency risk is often called hedging and is fur-
ther discussed in the Derivatives chapter.
Gaining certainty is important for companies because it enables them to ensure that
they can meet future cash outflows, such as operating expenses and interest payments.
Also, most companies prefer to focus on trading their products and services profitably,
rather than focus on the intricacies of buying and selling currencies.
SUMMARY
The next time you walk into a supermarket, you may look at the types and prices of
products, such as wine, coffee, and rice, in a new light. This chapter has hopefully
allowed you to see how imports and exports affect the types of products you find
in shops and the prices you pay for those products. International trade and foreign
exchange fluctuations are relevant to your everyday life and also to the work of
investment professionals who try to assess how they will affect the valuation of assets.
■■ Countries trade with each other by importing products and services that are
produced in other countries and by exporting products and services produced
domestically.
■■ International trade has benefited from the reduction in trade barriers, such
as tariffs, quotas, and non-tariff barriers, and from better transportation and
communications.
■■ Countries tend to specialise in products and services for which they have a
comparative advantage, and then they trade to get access to products and ser-
vices that other countries can produce relatively more efficiently. The combina-
tion of specialisation and international trade ultimately benefits all countries,
leading to a better allocation of resources and increased wealth.
Summary 185
■■ The balance of payments includes two accounts: the current account and the
capital and financial account.
■■ The current account reports trades of imported and exported goods and
services as well as income and current transfers. A country where the value
of exports is higher than the value of imports has a trade surplus. By contrast,
a country where the value of exports is lower than the value of imports has a
trade deficit. Because the trade balance tends to dominate the current account
balance, countries that have a trade surplus tend to have a current account sur-
plus, whereas countries that have a trade deficit tend to have a current account
deficit.
■■ In theory, the sum of the current account and the capital and financial account
is equal to zero. Thus, a country that has a current account surplus will have a
capital and financial account deficit of the same magnitude—the country is a
net saver and ends up being a net lender to the rest of the world. Alternatively,
a country that has a current account deficit will have a capital and financial
account surplus of the same magnitude—the country is a net borrower from the
rest of the world. However, in practice, the capital and financial account balance
does not exactly offset the current account balance because of measurement
errors reflected in the balance of payments in errors and omissions.
■■ A country may run a current account deficit because it needs to import many
goods to help its economy evolve or because its consumption far exceeds its
production and its ability to export. A persistent current account deficit may
cause a depreciation of the country’s currency relative to other currencies.
■■ An exchange rate is the rate at which one currency can be exchanged for
another. It can also be considered as the value of one country’s currency in
terms of another currency.
■■ Three main types of exchange rate systems are fixed exchange rate, floating
exchange rate, and managed floating exchange rate systems. A fixed exchange
rate system does not allow for fluctuations of currencies. By contrast, a floating
exchange rate system is driven by supply and demand for each currency, allow-
ing exchange rates to adjust to correct imbalances, such as current account defi-
cits. In practice, pure floating exchange rate systems are rare. Managed floating
exchange rate systems, in which a central bank will intervene to stabilise its
country’s currency, are more common although intervention is uncommon.
■■ Major factors that affect the value of a currency include the balance of pay-
ments, inflation, interest rates, government debt, and the political and eco-
nomic environment. A current account deficit, high inflation, low interest rates,
high government debt, political instability, and poor economic prospects tend
186 Chapter 6 ■ Economics of International Trade
■■ One of the simplest models for determining the relative strength of currencies
is purchasing power parity, which is based on the principle that a basket of
goods in two different countries should cost the same after taking into account
the exchange rate between the two countries’ currencies. Purchasing power par-
ity has limitations because of the difficulty of identifying a basket of goods for
comparison between countries and barriers to international trade.
■■ Two exchange rates are quoted in the market: the bid rate and the offer rate.
The bid rate is the rate at which the dealer will buy the foreign currency, and
the offer rate is the rate at which the dealer will sell the foreign currency. The
bid–offer spread is how the dealer makes money.
■■ Foreign exchange transactions may take place with immediate delivery via the
spot market or with future delivery via the forward market.
■■ The forward market allows importers and exporters to eliminate currency risk
by fixing today the exchange rate at which they will trade in the future.
Chapter Review Questions 187
A exports.
B imports.
C net exports.
B reduces competition.
3 Which of the following would most likely be reduced if India imposed a tariff on
goods from Japan?
A India’s exports
B India’s imports
C Japan’s imports
A Increased tariffs
5 Country A can produce 1 electric turbine using 10 units of labour and 4 refrig-
erators using 10 units of labour. Country B can produce 1 electric turbine using
7 units of labour and 4 refrigerators using 12 units of labour. According to the
theory of comparative advantage, Country A should produce:
A current account.
B capital account.
C financial account.
7 Countries with exports greater than imports most likely have a current account:
A deficit.
B surplus.
C in balance.
8 If a country has a current account surplus, it most likely has a capital and finan-
cial account:
A deficit.
B surplus.
C in balance.
10 A company imports goods and pays for them in a foreign currency. Which
of the following exchange rate systems would eliminate currency risk for the
company?
A Fixed
B Pure floating
C Managed floating
A High inflation
B Political instability
12 A country’s currency will most likely depreciate when the country experiences
high:
A interest rates.
B government debt.
C economic growth.
14 The most likely objective of an exporter using the forward market in currencies
is to:
A reduce risk.
B increase profit.
ANSWERS
1 A is correct. Exports are products and services that are produced within a
country’s borders and then transported to another country. B is incorrect
because imports are products and services that are produced outside a coun-
try’s borders and then brought into the country. C is incorrect because net
exports represent the difference between exports and imports of products and
services.
7 B is correct. A country with exports greater than imports has positive net
exports, or a trade surplus. The trade balance tends to dominate the current
account balance, so this country most likely has a current account surplus.
13 A is correct. The bid exchange rate (or bid rate) is the exchange rate at which
the currency dealer will buy the foreign currency, and the offer exchange rate
(or offer rate) is the exchange rate at which the currency dealer will sell the for-
eign currency. The currency dealer makes a profit by buying a unit of currency
more cheaply than it sells it. Thus, the wider the bid–offer spread, the more
money the currency dealer makes.
h Explain links between the income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow
statement;
INTRODUCTION 1
The financial performance of a company matters to many different people. Management
is interested in assessing the success of its plans relative to its past and forecasted
performance and relative to its competitors’ performance. Employees care because
the company’s financial success affects their job security and compensation. The
company’s financial performance matters to investors because it affects the returns
on their investments. Tax authorities are interested as well because they may tax the
company’s profits. An investment analyst will scrutinise a company’s performance and
then make recommendations to clients about whether to buy or sell the securities,
such as shares of stocks and bonds, issued by that company.
One way to begin to evaluate a company is to look at its past performance. The primary
summary of past performance is a company’s financial statements, which indicate,
among other things, how successful a company has been at generating a profit to repay
or reward investors. Companies obtain funds from investors from either the sale of
debt securities (bonds) or the sale of equity securities (shares of stock, sometimes
referred to as stocks or shares). The value of the debt and equity securities to investors
depends on a company’s future success along with its ability to repay its debt and to
create returns for shareholders to compensate for the risks they assume.
Financial statements are historical and forward-looking at the same time; they focus
on past performance but also provide clues about a company’s future performance.
Accountants collect relevant financial information and then communicate that infor-
mation to various stakeholders, such as investors, management, employees, and com-
petitors. This information is communicated through financial statements, including
the balance sheet, the income statement, and the cash flow statement. These financial
statements show the monetary value of the economic resources under the company’s
control and how those resources have been used to create value. Financial statements
also include notes that describe the accounting methods selected, significant account-
ing policies, and other information critical to interpreting a company’s results. These
notes are an important component of a shareholder’s evaluation.
The existence of standard setters, regulators, and auditors help ensure the consistency
of financial information reported by companies.
Standards for financial reporting are typically set at the national or international level
by private sector accounting standard-setting bodies. One set of standards that details
the “rules” of financial reporting is the International Financial Reporting Standards
(IFRS), published by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB). As of 2013,
most countries require or allow companies to produce financial reports using IFRS.
In the United States, US-based publicly traded companies must report using US gen-
erally accepted accounting principles (US GAAP), but non-US-based companies may
report using IFRS. There is a movement to have accounting standards converge and
to create a single set, or at least a compatible set, of high-quality financial reporting
standards worldwide. In countries that have not adopted IFRS, efforts to converge
with or transition to IFRS are taking place.
When standards allow some choice, the accounting method that a company chooses
affects the earnings reported in the company’s financial statements. A company may
use aggressive accounting methods that boost reported earnings in the current period
or it may use conservative accounting methods that dampen reported earnings in the
current period. For example, a company may recognise more or less revenue—and thus
show more or less profit—depending on the methods allowed by accounting standards
and the company’s interpretation of these standards. In other words, despite the use
of standards to guide companies in how to prepare financial statements, there is still
scope for flexibility in choosing and interpreting the standards.
Where there are alternative acceptable accounting methods, the choices of methods
are reported in the notes to the financial statements. The notes accompany the state-
ments and explain much of the information presented in the statements, as well as the
accounting decisions behind the presentation. The notes are an aid to understanding
the financial statements.
Before they can be published, the financial statements must first be reviewed by inde-
pendent accountants called auditors. The auditor issues an opinion on their correctness
and presentation, which indicates to the reader how trustworthy the statements are
in reflecting the financial performance of the company. Opinions can range from an
unqualified or clean opinion, meaning that the financial statements are prepared in
Financial Statements 197
Note that a clean audit report does not always imply a financially-sound company,
but only verifies that the financial statements were created and presented correctly.
In other words, an audit opinion is not a judgement on the company’s performance
but on how well it accounted for its performance.
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 3
A company is required to keep accounting records and to produce a number of finan-
cial reports, which include the following:
■■ The income statement (also called statement of profit or loss, profit and loss
statement, or statement of operations) identifies the profit or loss generated by
the company during the period covered by the financial statements.
■■ The cash flow statement shows the cash received and spent during the period.
Other reports may be required. For example, in the United Kingdom, companies
are required to file a report from the directors as well as a report from the auditors.
The directors’ report contains information about the directors of the company, their
remuneration and a review of the performance of the business during the reporting
year. It also provides a statement of whether the company complies with corporate
governance codes of conduct. In the United States, a 10-K report must be filed annually
with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The 10-K report includes not only the
financial statements, but also such other information as the management’s discussion
and analysis of financial conditions and results of operations as well as quantitative
and qualitative disclosures about the risks the company faces.
The fundamental relationship underlying the balance sheet, known as the accounting
equation, is
Total assets = Total liabilities + Total shareholders’ equity
Another way of looking at the balance sheet is that total assets represent the resources
available to the company for generating profit. Total liabilities plus shareholders’ equity
indicate how those resources are financed—by creditors (liabilities) or by shareholders
(equity). The value of the assets must be equal to the value of the financing provided
to acquire them. In other words, the balance sheet must balance!
Assets Liabilities
Equity
The values of many of a company’s assets are reported at historical cost, which is
the actual cost of acquiring the asset minus any cost expensed to date. An alterna-
tive is to report the value of an asset at its fair value, which reflects the amount the
asset could be sold for in a transaction between willing and unrelated parties, called
an “arm’s length transaction”. Fair value accounting is applied only to a few assets,
such as some financial instruments. Most companies choose to report assets, where
allowed, at historical cost.
Equity reflects the residual value of the company’s shares. Note that this is not the
same as the company’s current market value—that is, the value that the market believes
the company is currently worth or how much investors are willing to pay to own the
shares of the company. The balance sheet rarely shows the current market value of
the assets or the company itself because, as mentioned earlier, most of the assets are
reported at their historical cost rather than fair market value. The balance sheet values
are commonly known as the book values of the company’s assets, liabilities, and equity.
To illustrate the basic structure of a balance sheet, Exhibit 1 shows the balance sheet
for hypothetical company ABC. Two years of information are displayed to reflect
the values of the company’s assets, liabilities, and equity on 31 December 20X1 and
20X2. Most companies will report the most recent period’s information in the first
Financial Statements 199
column of numbers, but occasionally companies will report the most recent period’s
information in the far-right column. Although it is common practice to use paren-
theses or minus signs to indicate subtraction, some companies will assume that the
reader knows which numbers are generally subtracted from others and will not use
minus signs or parentheses.
($ millions)
Assets
Cash 25 16
Accounts receivable 40 35
Inventories 95 90
Other current assets 5 5
Total current assets $165 $146
Gross property, plant, and equipment 460 370
Accumulated depreciation (160) (120)
Net property, plant, and equipment $300 $250
Intangible assets 100 100
Total non-current assets $400 $350
Total assets $565 $496
Liabilities and Equity
Accounts payable 54 50
Accrued liabilities 36 36
Current portion of long-term debt 10 10
Total current liabilities $100 $96
Long-term debt 232 200
Total non-current liabilities $232 $200
Total liabilities $332 $296
Common stock 85 85
Retained earnings 148 115
Total owners’ equity $233 $200
Total liabilities and equity $565 $496
Balance sheets typically classify assets as current and non-current. The difference
between them is the length of time over which they are expected to be converted into
cash, used up, or sold. Current assets, which include cash; inventories (unsold units of
production on hand called stocks in some parts of the world); and accounts receivable
(money owed to the company by customers who purchase on credit, sometimes called
debtors), are assets that are expected to be converted into cash, used up, or sold within
the current operating period (usually one year). A company’s operating period is the
200 Chapter 7 ■ Financial Statements
average amount of time elapsed between acquiring inventory and collecting the cash
from sales to customers. Non-current assets (sometimes called fixed or long-term
assets) are longer term in nature. Non-current assets include tangible assets, such as
land, buildings, machinery, and equipment, and intangible assets, such as patents.
These assets are used over a number of years to generate income for the company.
The tangible assets are often grouped together on the balance sheet as property, plant,
and equipment (PP&E). Non-current assets may also include financial assets, such as
shares or bonds issued by another company.
Other assets that might be included on a company’s balance sheet are long-term
financial investments, intangible assets (such as patents), and goodwill. Goodwill is
recognised and reported if a company purchased another company, but paid more than
the fair value of the net assets (assets minus liabilities) of the company it purchased.
The additional value reflected in goodwill is created by other items not listed on the
balance sheet, such as a loyal customer base or skilled employees. The process of
expensing the costs of intangible assets over their useful lives is called amortisation;
this process is similar to depreciation.
The other balance sheet items—liabilities and equity—represent how the company’s
assets are financed. There are two fundamental types of financing: debt and equity. Debt
is money that has been borrowed and must be repaid at some future date; therefore,
debt is a liability—an obligation for which the company is liable. Equity represents
the shareholders’ (owners’) investment in the company.
Debt can be split into current (short-term) liabilities and long-term debt. Current lia-
bilities must be repaid in the next year and include operating debt, such as accounts
payable (credit extended by suppliers, sometimes called creditors), short-term bor-
rowing (for example, loans from banks), and the portion of long-term debt that is
due within the reporting period. Unpaid operating expenses, such as money due to
workers but not yet paid, are often shown together as accrued liabilities. Long-term
debt is money borrowed from banks or other lenders that is to be repaid over periods
greater than one year.
Shareholders are the residual owners of the company; that is, they own the residual
value of the company after its liabilities are paid. The amount of the company’s equity
is shown on the balance sheet in two parts: (1) the amount received from selling stock
to common shareholders, which are direct contributions by owners when they pur-
chase shares of stock; and (2) retained earnings (retained income), which represents
Financial Statements 201
the company’s undistributed income (as opposed to the dividends that represent
distributed income). Retained earnings are an indirect contribution by owners who
allow the company to retain profits.
Retained earnings represent a link between the company’s income statement and the
balance sheet. When a company earns profit and does not distribute it to shareholders
as a dividend, the remaining profit adds value to the company’s equity. After all, the
company exists to make a profit; when it does, that makes the company more valu-
able. Likewise, if the company experiences a net loss, that decreases the value of its
retained earnings and thus its equity; the company becomes less valuable because it
has lost, rather than earned, value.
To illustrate the basic structure of an income statement, Exhibit 2 shows the income
statement for the hypothetical company ABC for the year ending 31 December 20X2.
Note that the net income of $76 million minus the dividend paid of $43 million equals
$33 million, the same amount as the change in retained earnings from 20X1 to 20X2 as
shown on the balance sheet in Exhibit 1 ($148 million – $115 million = $33 million).
($ millions)
Revenues $650
Cost of sales (450)
Gross profit $200
Other operating expenses
Selling expenses $(30)
General and administrative expenses (20)
Depreciation expense (40)
Total other operating expenses (90)
Operating income $110
Interest expense (15)
Earnings before taxes $95
Income taxes (19)
Net income $76
Additional information:
Dividends paid to shareholders $43
(continued)
202 Chapter 7 ■ Financial Statements
Exhibit 2 (Continued)
The income statement shows the company’s financial performance during a given
time period, which is one year in Exhibit 2. It includes the revenues earned from
the company’s operation and the expenses of earning those revenues. The difference
between the revenues and the expenses is the company’s profit. In its most basic form,
the income statement can be represented by the following equation:
Profit (loss) = Revenues – Expenses
■■ Operating expenses, which include the cost of sales (or cost of goods sold); sell-
ing, general, and administrative expenses; and depreciation expenses
■■ Income taxes
Cost of sales is not the only cost incurred by the company in its effort to sell products
or services. There are other operating expenses, such as marketing expenses (costs
of promoting the products or services to customers), administrative expenses (costs
of running the company that are not directly related to production or sales, such
as salary of executives, office stationery, and lighting), and depreciation expenses
(non-cash expenses that represent annual allocated costs of long-term assets, such
as equipment). Subtracting these additional costs from gross profit gives operating
income, or operating profit.
Operating income = Gross profit – Other operating expenses
Operating income is often referred to as earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT).1
Operating income is the income (earnings) generated by the company before taking
into account financing costs (interest) and taxes.
1 Note that operating income and EBIT may be different. For example, profit (or losses) that are not related
to the company’s operations are excluded from operating income but included in EBIT. The difference is
usually small, so these two terms are often used interchangeably.
Financial Statements 203
If the company has borrowed money to help finance its activities, it will have to pay
interest. Deducting interest expense from operating income determines the earnings
before taxes (or profit before tax).
Earnings before taxes = EBIT (or operating income) – Interest expense
The income taxes owed by the company on its earnings are then deducted to arrive
at net income (or net profit or profit after tax).
Net income = EBIT (or operating income) – Interest expense – Tax expense
= Earnings before taxes – Tax expense
Net income represents the income that the company has available to retain and
reinvest in the company (retained earnings) or to distribute to owners in the form of
dividends (disbursements of profit).
The company’s owners (shareholders) are interested in knowing how much income
the company has created per share, which is called earnings per share (EPS). It is
approximated as net income divided by the number of shares outstanding. Existing
and potential investors are also interested in the amount of dividends the company
pays for each share outstanding, or dividend per share. The importance of earnings
per share and dividend per share in valuing a company is discussed in the Equity
Securities chapter.
On the income statement, profits are measured on an accrual basis, which means
that revenues are recorded when the revenues are earned rather than when they are
received in cash and that related expenses may be recognised before or after they are
paid out in cash. Because of the timing difference between when revenues are earned
and when customers pay their bills, the cash received during a particular period is
not likely to be the same amount as the revenues earned during that period, unless all
sales are for cash. Equally, the cash paid for expenses during the period is not likely
to be the same amount as the expenses recognised on the income statement. Thus,
profits and net cash flow are typically not the same amount.
There are other reasons why the profits measured on the income statement are not
the same as cash flows. For example, the balance sheet reports long-term assets when
they are acquired, but there is no “long-term asset” expense shown immediately on the
income statement. Instead, the use of the long-term asset is expensed on the income
statement over its useful life by using depreciation expense. This depreciation expense
does not correspond to a cash flow; the cash flow for the asset acquisition happens
up front, when the asset is acquired.
The use of accrual accounting on the income statement creates a need for a separate
statement to track the company’s cash. This separate statement is the cash flow state-
ment to which we now turn.
($ millions)
Operating activities
Net Income $76
Financial Statements 205
Exhibit 3 (Continued)
The cash inflows and outflows of a company are classified and reported as one of
three kinds of activities.
1 Cash flows from operating activities reflect the cash generated from a com-
pany’s operations, its main profit-creating activity. Cash flows from operating
activities typically include cash inflows received for sales and cash outflows paid
for operating expenses, such as cost of sales, wages, operating overheads, and so
on. When the specific cash inflows and outflows listed in the previous sentence
are reported in cash flows from operating activities, the company is reporting
using the direct method.
When the company reports net income and then makes adjustments to arrive
at the cash flow from operating activities, it is using the indirect method. The
indirect method shows the relationship between income statement and balance
sheet changes and cash flow from operating activities.
cash is not available to ABC. It can be viewed as a use of cash (negative cash
flow)—that is, increasing inventories by $5 million used cash. The increase in
accounts payable of $4 million is a source (positive cash flow) of cash for ABC
because it has not yet paid its suppliers (used cash) for a service or product.
2 Cash flows from investing activities are typically cash outflows related to
purchases of long-term assets, such as equipment or buildings, as the company
invests in its long-term resources. Sales of long-term assets are reported as cash
inflows from investing activities. Exhibit 1 shows an increase in ABC’s gross
property, plant, and equipment of $90 million. This amount matches the cash
used in (outflow for) investing activities.
3 Cash flows from financing activities are cash inflows resulting from raising
new capital (an increase in borrowing and/or issuance of shares) and cash
outflows for payment of dividends, repayment of debt, or repurchase of shares
(also known as share buybacks, which are discussed in the Equity Securities
chapter). ABC shows an inflow from borrowing of $32 million, which matches
the increase in long-term debt from 20X1 to 20X2. The dividend payment of
$43 million is shown at the bottom of the income statement and is included in
the change in retained earnings from 20X1 to 20X2 on the balance sheet.
Each net cash flow from operating, investing, and financing activities will be positive
or negative depending on whether more cash came in (positive) or went out (negative).
The net cash flows from operating activities, investing activities, and financing activ-
ities are added together to arrive at the net cash flow during the accounting period.
The net cash flow corresponds to the change in the amount of cash reported on the
balance sheet. For ABC, net cash flow of $9 million corresponds to the increase in cash
from year-end 20X1 to year-end 20X2 as reported on the balance sheet in Exhibit 1
($25 million – $16 million = $9 million).
The income statement is linked to the balance sheet in many ways. The revenues and
expenses reported on the income statement that have not been settled in cash are
reflected on the balance sheet as current assets or current liabilities. In other words,
the revenues not yet collected are reflected in accounts receivable, and the expenses
not yet paid are reflected in accounts payable and accrued liabilities. Another example
of linkages is when a company purchases fixed assets, such as equipment or buildings.
These cash expenditures are shown as an increase in the gross fixed assets on the
balance sheet ($90 million) and a cash outflow on the cash flow statement, but they
Financial Statements 207
only show up on the income statement when the cost of the fixed asset is expensed
or depreciated over time. As noted earlier, depreciation is a non-cash expense repre-
senting the annual expense for the fixed assets.
The balance sheet reflects financial conditions at a certain point in time, whereas the
income and cash flow statements explain what happened between two points in time.
So, although the three financial statements show different kinds of information and
have different purposes, they are all related to each other and should not be read in
isolation.
Some links between ABC’s financial statements are described in Exhibit 4 and in the
table below.
208 Chapter 7 ■ Financial Statements
Balance Sheet
As of 31 December 20X2 20X1
($ millions)
Assets 1
Cash 25 16 Income Statement
Accounts receivable 40 35
($ millions)
Inventories 95 90
Revenues $650
Other current assets 5 5
Cost of sales (450)
Total current assets 2 $165 $146
Gross profit $200
Gross property, plant, and equipment 460 370
Other operating expenses
Accumulated depreciation (160) (120)
Selling expenses $(30)
Net property, plant, and equipment $300 $250
General and administrative expenses (20)
Intangible assets 100 100
Depreciation expense (40)
Total non-current assets $400 $350
Total other operating expenses (90)
Total assets $565 $496
Operating income $110
Interest expense (15)
Liabilities and Equity
Earnings before taxes $95
Accounts payable 54 50
Income taxes 3 (19)
Accrued liabilities 36 36
Net income $76
Current portion of long-term debt 10 10
Total current liabilities $100 $96
Additional information:
Long-term debt 232 200
Dividends paid to shareholders $43
43
Total non-current liabilities $232 $200 +
Total liabilities $332 $296 Additions to retained earnings $33
Common stock 85 85
Retained earnings 148 115
Total owners’ equity $233 $200
Total liabilities and equity $565 $496
Exhibit 4 (Continued)
On the balance sheet, the increase in cash from 20X1 to 20X2 is $9 million.
20X2 cash – 20X1 cash = Net increase in cash
$25 million – $16 million = $9 million
The cash flow statement explains this change in cash. The $9 million is shown
as an increase in cash for the year.
On the balance sheet, the company has invested $90 million in gross plant,
property, and equipment (PP&E) from 20X1 to 20X2.
20X2 PP&E – 20X1 PP&E = Investment in PP&E
$460 million – $370 million = $90 million
On the cash flow statement, the $90 million is shown as an investment in
PP&E.
The net income of $76 million (shown on the income statement and the
starting point of the cash flow statement) is separated into dividends paid to
shareholders of $43 million (an outflow of cash on the cash flow statement)
and additions to retained earnings of $33 million.
Net income – Dividends paid = Additions to retained earnings
$76 million – $43 million = $33 million
On the balance sheet, the additions to retained earnings (when a company
earns a profit and does not distribute it to shareholders as a dividend) from
20X1 to 20X2 is $33 million.
20X1 retained earnings + Additions to retained earnings = 20X2 retained
earnings
$115 million + $33 million = $148 million
In additional information on the income statement, the amount of dividends
paid to shareholders is $43 million.
Ratios help managers of the company or outside creditors and investors answer the
following questions that are important to help determine a company’s potential future
performance:
How would you characterise the liquidity of ABC based on the information
below?
165
ABC’s current ratio = = 1.65
100
165 − 95 70
ABC’s quick ratio = = = 0.70
100 100
ABC’s current ratio of less than 2 and its quick ratio of less than 1 indicate
that the company may have difficulties meeting its obligations in the short term.
But it is not necessarily a source of concern because ABC may have access to
resources, such as a line of credit from its bank, that do not appear on the bal-
ance sheet and these resources may be used to meet ABC’s obligations.
Financial Statement Analysis 211
As is the case for most ratios, comparison with industry norms (average ratios for
the industry), ratios for comparable companies, or past ratios gives a deeper context
for interpreting the ratio.
How would you interpret ABC’s net profit margin based on the information
below?
76
ABC’s net profit margin == 0= .1169 11.69%
650
ABC’s net profit margin of 11.69% means that for every dollar of revenue,
ABC earns $0.1169 of profit.
Some analysts may choose to use operating income rather than net income when
calculating return on assets. Recall from an earlier discussion that operating income is
the income generated from a company’s assets excluding how those assets are financed.
When calculated using operating income, a better name for the ratio is operating
return on assets or basic earning power. The basic earning power ratio compares
the profit generated from operations with the assets used to generate that income.
Operating income
Basic earning power =
Total assets
Whatever ratio is chosen to measure profitability per unit of assets, it should be used
consistently when making comparisons.
212 Chapter 7 ■ Financial Statements
How would you assess the profitability of ABC, knowing that the average return
on assets and basic earnings power of companies that are similar to ABC and
operate in the same industry are 10% and 15%, respectively?
76
= 0=
ABC’s return on assets = .1345 13.45%
565
110
ABC’s basic earning power = = 0=
.1947 19.47%
565
ABC’s ratios are higher than the industry averages so it appears to be gen-
erating more income from its assets than comparable companies. Th is result
reflects well on the company’s management because the company is using its
assets more efficiently to generate income; it is able to earn more income for
each dollar’s worth of assets.
To investigate how the company generates more income from its assets than compa-
rable companies, return on assets can be separated into two components:
Net income Net income Revenues
Return on assets = ROA = = ×
Total assets Revenues Total assets
Similarly, the basic earning power ratio can be separated into two components:
Operating income Operating income Revenues
Basic earning power = = ×
Total assets Revenues Total assets
The first component is a measure of profitability: net profit margin in the return on
assets and a ratio called operating profit margin in the basic earning power ratio. Net
profit margin and operating profit margin show how good the company is at turning
revenues into net income or operating income; in other words, how good the company
is at controlling its expenses or the costs of generating its revenues.
The second component of return on assets and the basic earning power ratio is a
measure of asset utilisation and is known as asset turnover. This ratio is expressed
as a multiple and indicates the volume of revenues being generated by the assets used
in the business, or how effectively the company uses its assets to generate revenues.
An increasing ratio may indicate improving performance, but care should be taken
in interpreting this figure. An increasing ratio may also indicate static revenues and
decreasing assets attributable to depreciation; in other words, sales are not growing
and the company is not reinvesting to keep its plant and machinery up to date. It is
important to assess the cause of changes in a ratio.
Take a look at the three ratios for ABC shown below. What might these ratios
tell you about how ABC generates its profits?
Financial Statement Analysis 213
76
= 0=
ABC’s net profit margin = .1169 11.69%
650
110
= 0=
ABC’s operating profit margin = .1692 16.92%
650
650
ABC’s asset turnover = = 1.15
565
The fi rst two ratios indicate that for each dollar of revenue, the company
generates $0.1169 of net profit (net income) and $0.1692 of operating profit
(operating income). The net and operating profit margins should be compared
with previous years’ profit margins or with the profit margins of similar com-
panies to evaluate how well the company is doing. For example, if the net and
operating profit margins for ABC the previous year were 10.20% and 15.10%,
respectively, it suggests that the company has become more profitable because
it has better control of its expenses.
ABC’s asset turnover is 1.15 times in the year; in other words, for every $1
of assets, $1.15 of revenues is generated. If the asset turnover ratio for similar
companies in the same industry averages 1.80, then ABC does not appear to be
using its assets as effectively as those companies to generate revenues.
Try to assess from the ratios below whether ABC has a high level of debt. What
does this level tell you about the riskiness of ABC?
214 Chapter 7 ■ Financial Statements
10 + 232 242
ABC’s debt-to-equity ratio = = = 1.04
233 233
565
ABC’s equity multiplier = = 2.42
233
A debt-to-equity ratio close to 1 indicates that debt and equity provide
approximately equal amounts of financing to ABC. An equity multiplier close
to 2 shows that ABC’s asset value is more than twice the amount of equity. To
interpret these leverage ratios, a comparison should be made with other com-
panies in the same industry. If ABC is found to have a higher proportion of debt
than the industry average, then it may indicate a greater financial risk for ABC.
In some countries, the use of debt financing is referred to as gearing rather than lever-
age. Highly leveraged or geared companies are often referred to as being less solvent.
Thus, leverage and solvency are concepts that are inversely related. A company that
uses little debt financing is generally considered to be more solvent than a company
that uses a large amount of debt financing—that is, a company that is highly leveraged.
Return on equity can be decomposed in three components: net profit margin, asset
turnover, and financial leverage. You can see this algebraically as
Net income Net income Revenues Total assets
Return on equity = ROE = = × ×
Equity Revenues Total assets Equity
or
You could simply calculate the return on equity by dividing net income by equity, but
the point here is not the algebra itself but the meaning it reveals. The first two com-
ponents give the return on assets. The other component that potentially affects the
return on equity is the amount of leverage or debt used. The assets of the company
are financed by debt and equity. A company that has a higher level of debt in its total
capital will have a higher return on equity as long as the debt returns more than it
costs—that is, as long as its return on assets is greater than its after-tax cost of debt
(the cost of its debt net of tax). This is why the financial leverage ratio is also known
as the equity multiplier ratio.
In summary, a company’s ability to create return for its shareholders (as measured by
the return on equity) depends on three factors—its ability to efficiently
Net income
■■ generate profits from revenues, expressed as net profit margin = ;
Revenues
Revenues
■■ generate revenues from assets, expressed as asset turnover = ; and
Total assets
■■ use borrowing to finance its assets, expressed as financial leverage
Total assets
= .
Equity
When any of these ratios increase, all else being equal, the return on equity increases.
Although it makes intuitive sense that a company’s performance improves when
generating more profit from revenues and more revenues from its assets, a company
also increases its return on equity by supplementing its equity with borrowing (using
leverage). But borrowing may not always be a sound strategy depending on the com-
pany’s ability to afford its debt. In other words, an increase in return on equity due to
borrowing comes with increased risk. This scenario is why ratio analysis (breaking the
ratio into components) is useful because it allows analysts to better understand why
the company’s return on equity is changing and to interpret the sources of that change.
Although each ratio measures an aspect of performance, gaining insight into a com-
pany’s performance depends on the ability to view the ratios in the larger context of
overall competitive and historical performance.
What does the decomposition of ABC’s return on equity into its three key
components tell you about the company’s overall performance?2
76
= 0=
ABC’s return on equity (ROE) = .3262 32.62%
233
Broken into its components
2 The differences between 32.62%, 32.53%, and 32.55% are due to rounding.
216 Chapter 7 ■ Financial Statements
76 650 565
= × ×
650 565 233
= 11.69% × 1.15 × 2.42 = 32.53%
Or
76 565
= × = 13.45% × 2.42 = 32.55%
565 233
ABC’s return on assets, as discussed in Section 4.2, is approximately 13.45%.
ABC’s return on assets of 13.45% is probably greater than its after-tax cost of
debt. So increasing the leverage of the company, or borrowing to finance assets,
has generated a larger return on equity for shareholders. But as noted earlier,
the high level of leverage brings greater risks.
Current assets
Current ratio 1.65 1.92
Current liabilities
Net income
Return on assets 13.45% 10.00%
Total assets
Operating income
Basic earning power 19.47% 15.00%
Total assets
Net income
Return on equity Equity
32.62% 27.30%
Net income
Net profit margin 11.69% 5.56%
Revenues
Exhibit 5 (Continued)
Revenues
Asset turnover 1.15 1.80
Total assets
Total assets
Financial leverage Equity
2.42 2.73
Ratios are used to standardise financial data for comparisons and create a context for
comparing the numbers. By themselves, the ratios for ABC in Exhibit 4 reveal some
information about the company’s performance. But when compared with industry
averages, specific competitors, or previous years’ performances, they become a pow-
erful tool for assessing a company’s relative performance.
These ratios allow us to see that ABC is less liquid than the industry average. We can
also see that ABC’s return on assets, basic earning power, and return on equity are
higher than the industry average, which is desirable. Looking into what causes these
ratios to be higher, we find that it is attributable to higher net and operating profit
margins. ABC does not turn over its assets as frequently as the industry average, but
it compensates with higher profit margins. ABC uses less debt than the industry aver-
age, as reflected in the lower financial leverage ratio, which means it is taking on less
financial risk. In spite of the lower financial risk, ABC has a higher return on equity
as a result of its higher return on assets. Overall, our ratio analysis suggests that ABC
appears to be performing better than the industry average.
The second ratio is the price-to-book ratio. It compares the company’s share price
with the company’s book value per share:
218 Chapter 7 ■ Financial Statements
SUMMARY
The points below recap what you have learned in this chapter about financial statements:
■■ Financial statements are read and analysed by many people to assess a compa-
ny’s past and forecasted performance.
■■ Auditors are independent accountants who express an opinion about the finan-
cial statements’ preparation and presentation. This opinion helps determine
how much reliance to place on the financial statements.
■■ The three primary financial statements are the balance sheet, the income state-
ment, and the cash flow statement. They are accompanied by notes that provide
information that helps investors understand and assess the financial statements.
■■ The accounting equation underlying the balance sheet is Total assets = Total
liabilities + Total shareholders’ equity.
■■ The income statement (or profit and loss statement or statement of opera-
tions) identifies the profit (or loss) generated by a company during a given time
period.
■■ The profits reported on the income statement are not the same as net cash
flows. Revenues and expenses, which are used to calculate profit, are measured
on an accrual basis rather than when they are received or paid in cash.
■■ The statement of cash flows identifies the sources and uses of cash during a
period and explains the change in the company’s cash balance reported on the
balance sheet.
■■ The statement of cash flows shows how much cash was received or spent, as
well as for what the cash was received or spent. Cash inflows and outflows are
classified into three kinds of activities on the cash flow statement: operating,
investing, and financing.
■■ The three financial statements have different purposes and provide different
kinds of information but they are all related to each other.
Ratio Formula
Current assets
Current ratio
Current liabilities
Net income
Return on assets
Total assets
Operating income
Basic earning power
Total assets
(continued)
220 Chapter 7 ■ Financial Statements
Ratio Formula
Net income
Return on equity Equity
Net income
Net profit margin
Revenues
Operating income
Operating profit margin
Revenues
Revenues
Asset turnover
Total assets
Total assets
Financial leverage Equity
Chapter Review Questions 221
A balance sheet.
B income statement.
A Goodwill
B Inventory
A cash.
B common stock.
C long-term debt.
A assets.
B liabilities.
C shareholders’ equity.
A shareholders’ equity.
B long-term debt.
C non-current assets.
A balance sheet.
B income statement.
A all expenses.
B cost of sales.
C operating expenses.
A net income.
B operating income.
A Income statement
15 Operating income and cash flow from operating activities are reported, respec-
tively, on the:
18 Dividends:
19 A net loss during an accounting period will cause shareholders’ equity to:
A increase.
B decrease.
C remain unchanged.
B Net income is often the starting point for the cash flow statement.
A is positive.
B is negative.
22 Cash paid for salaries would be included as a component of cash flows from:
A financing activities.
B investing activities.
C operating activities.
24 A manufacturing company recently sold one of its buildings. The proceeds from
the sale are classified as a cash flow from:
A financing activities.
B investing activities.
C operating activities.
26 The ratio that best measures a company’s ability to meet its short-term obliga-
tions is:
28 The return on equity for a company and the industry in which it operates are
10.3% and 9.6%, respectively. The company is most likely performing:
A Current ratio
B Debt-to-equity ratio
C Return on assets
30 Which of the following values of a company’s quick ratio indicates the best
liquidity?
A 0.50
B 1.00
C 1.50
31 A company’s return on equity (ROE) can be broken down into which of the
following components?
ANSWERS
4 C is correct. Most balance sheet items are reported at historical cost, but some
assets, such as financial instruments, may be reported at fair market value.
A and B are incorrect because the values of assets on the balance sheet are
reported at a mix of historical cost or fair market value.
13 B is correct. The cash flow statement is prepared on a cash, not accrual, basis.
A and C are incorrect because the income statement (also called the profit
and loss statement) is prepared on an accrual basis. The accrual basis requires
revenues to be recorded when the revenues are earned rather than when they
are received in cash. Recognition of related expenses on the income statement
does not necessarily coincide with when they are paid in cash. Expenses may be
recognised before, at the same time, or after they are paid for.
14 C is correct. Net cash flow most likely differs from profit because revenues and
expenses, which are used to calculate profit, are accounted for on an accrual
basis (when the revenue is earned or the expense incurred). Cash flows for rev-
enues and expenses are accounted for when cash is actually exchanged. Thus,
profit and cash flow generally differ in the timing of recognition of revenues and
expenses. A and B are incorrect because revenue, expenses, and measures of
income such as net and operating income are accounted for on an accrual basis.
228 Chapter 7 ■ Financial Statements
16 B is correct. The statement of cash flows presents the sources and uses of cash
over a period of time. A is incorrect because revenues and expenses over a
period of time are presented on the income statement. C is incorrect because
assets, liabilities, and shareholders’ equity at a point in time are presented on
the balance sheet or statement of financial position.
26 A is correct. The quick ratio is a liquidity ratio used to assess a company’s ability
to pay its outstanding obligations in the short term. B is incorrect because the
asset turnover ratio measures asset utilisation, which indicates the volume of
revenues being generated by the assets used in the business. C is incorrect
because the debt-to-equity ratio, a leverage ratio, measures how much debt is
used in the financing of the business.
27 C is correct. Ratio analysis can provide an analyst with information about the
past financial performance of a company, including its relative position of
assets, liabilities, liquidity, and profitability using such ratios as the quick ratio,
return on assets, and financial leverage. Additionally, an analyst can use the his-
torical information provided by the financial statements combined with market
price of a company’s shares to compare companies and their relative valuation
in the market by using such ratios as price-to-earnings and price-to-book. A
and B are incorrect because ratio analysis can be used by analysts to evaluate
both historical financial performance and relative market valuation.
28 A is correct. The return on equity is higher for the company than for the
industry, indicating that the company is performing better. An analyst should
conduct further analysis to identify the source(s) of this apparently superior
performance.
31 C is correct. The basic ratio for return on equity (ROE) is calculated as Net
income/Equity. Analysts often break this down into component parts to deter-
mine what is affecting the return on equity. ROE can be calculated as follows:
d Describe how time and discount rate affect present and future values;
g Explain uses of mean, median, and mode, which are measures of fre-
quency or central tendency;
INTRODUCTION 1
Knowledge of quantitative (mathematically based) concepts is extremely important to
understanding the world of finance and investing. Quantitative concepts play a role
in financial decisions, such as saving and borrowing, and also form the foundation
for valuing investment opportunities and assessing their risks. The time value of
money and descriptive statistics are two important quantitative concepts. They are
not directly related to each other, but we combine them in this chapter because they
are key quantitative concepts used in finance and investment.
The time value of money is useful in many walks of life: it helps savers to know how
long it will take them to afford a certain item and how much they will have to put
aside each week or month, it helps investors to assess whether an investment should
provide a satisfactory return, and it helps companies to determine whether the profit
from investing will exceed the cost.
Statistics are also used in a wide range of business and personal contexts. As you
attempt to assess the large amount of personal and work-related data that are part of
our everyday lives, you will probably realise that an efficient summary and description
of data is helpful to make sense of it. Most people, for instance, look at summaries of
weather information to make decisions about how to dress and whether to carry an
umbrella or bring rain gear. Summary statistics help you understand and use informa-
tion in making decisions, including financial decisions. For example, summary infor-
mation about a company’s or market’s performance can help in investment decisions.
In short, quantitative concepts are fundamental to the investment industry. For any-
one working in the industry, familiarity with the concepts described in this chapter is
critical. As always, you are not responsible for calculations, but the presentation
of formulae and illustrative calculations may enhance your understanding.
2.1 Interest
Borrowing and lending are transactions with cash flow consequences. Someone who
needs money borrows it from someone who does not need it in the present (a saver)
and is willing to lend it. In the present, the borrower has money and the lender has
given up money. In the future, the borrower will give up money to pay back the lender;
the lender will receive money as repayment from the borrower in the form of interest,
as shown below. The lender will also receive back the money lent to the borrower. The
money originally borrowed, which interest is calculated on, is called the principal.
Interest can be defined as payment for the use of borrowed money.
Lends Money
Pays Interest
Lender Borrower
Interest is all about timing: someone needs money now while someone else is willing
and able to give up money now, but at a price. The borrower pays a price for not being
able to wait to have money and to compensate the lender for giving up potential current
consumption or other investment opportunities; that price is interest. Interest is paid
by a borrower and earned by the lender to compensate the lender for opportunity cost
and risk. Opportunity cost, in general, is the value of alternative opportunities that
have been given up by the lender, including lending to others, investing elsewhere,
or simply spending the money. Opportunity cost can also be seen as compensation
for deferring consumption. Lending delays consumption by the term of the loan (the
time over which the loan is repaid). The longer the consumption is deferred, the more
compensation (higher interest) the lender will demand.
The lender also bears risks, such as the risk of not getting the money back if the
borrower defaults (fails to make a promised payment). The riskier the borrower or
the less certain the borrower’s ability to repay the loan, the higher the level of inter-
est demanded by the lender. Another risk is that as a result of inflation (an increase
in prices of goods and services), the money received may not be worth as much as
expected. In other words, a lender’s purchasing power may decline even if the money is
repaid as promised. The greater the expected inflation, the higher the level of interest
demanded by the lender.
From the borrower’s perspective, interest is the cost of having access to money that
they would not otherwise have. An interest rate is determined by two factors: oppor-
tunity cost and risk. Even if a loan is viewed as riskless (zero likelihood of default),
there still has to be compensation for the lender’s opportunity cost and for expected
inflation. Exhibit 1 shows examples of borrowers and lenders.
Time Value of Money 235
If people invest in a
Invest Money company and earn interest
by buying bonds, they are
the lenders and the
Receive Interest
company is the borrower.
The actual amount of interest earned or paid depends on the simple interest rate, the
amount of principal lent or borrowed, and the number of periods over which it is lent
or borrowed. We can show this mathematically as follows:
Simple interest = Simple interest rate × Principal × Number of periods
If you put money in a bank account and the bank offers a simple interest rate of 10%
per annum (or annually), then for every £100 you put in, you (as a lender to the bank)
will receive £10 in the course of the year (assume at year end to simplify calculations):
Interest = 0.10 × £100 × 1 = £10
If your money is left in the bank for two years, the interest paid will be £20:
Interest = 0.10 × £100 × 2 = £20
236 Chapter 8 ■ Quantitative Concepts
Simple interest is not reinvested and is applied only to the original principal, as shown
in Exhibit 2.
160
Interest per Year
150
£10
140
£10
130
Pounds (£)
£10
120
£10 End of Previous
110 Year Balance
£10 (Principal + Interest)
100
...
Original Principal
0
Original Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Principal
If the interest earned is added to the original principal, the relationship between the
original principal and its future value with simple interest can be described as follows:
To extend our deposit example: £100 × [1 + (0.10 × 2)] = £100 × (1.20) = £120. The
value at the end of two years is £120.
If a deposit of £100 is made and earns 10% and the money is reinvested (remains
on deposit), then additional interest is earned in the course of the second year on
the £10 of interest earned in the first year. The interest is being compounded. Total
interest after two years will now be £21; £10 (= £100 × 0.10) for the first year, plus
£11 (= £110 × 0.10) for the second year. The second year’s interest is calculated on the
original £100 principal plus the first year’s interest of £10. As shown in Exhibit 3, the
total interest after two years is £21 rather than £20 as in the case of simple interest
shown in Exhibit 2.
Time Value of Money 237
160
Interest per Year £14.64
150
140 £13.31
130
Pounds (£)
£12.10
120
£11.00 End of Previous
110 Year Balance
£10.00 (Principal + Interest)
100
The relationship between the original principal and its future value when interest is
compounded can be described as follows:
Future value = Original principal × (1 + Simple interest rate)Number of periods
In the deposit example, £100 × (1 + 0.10)2 = £100 × (1.10)2 = £121. With compounding,
the value at the end of two years is £121.
700
600
500
Balance (£)
400
300
200
100
0
0 5 10 15 20
Years
Simple Interest Compound Interest
365
0.1524
Credit card 15.24% 16.46% = 1 + −1
365
12
0.024
Bank deposit 2.4% (= 0.2% × 12) 2.43% = 1 + −1
12
4
0.06
Loan 6.0% 6.14% = 1 + −1
4
Present Future
Time Time
A saver may want to know how much money is needed today to produce a certain
sum in the future given the rate of interest, r. In the example in Exhibit 3, today’s value
is £100 and the interest rate is 10%, so the future value after two years is £100 × (1 +
0.10)2 = £121. The present value—the equivalent value today—of £121 in two years,
given that the annual interest rate is 10%, is £100.
240 Chapter 8 ■ Quantitative Concepts
£100 £121
Present Interest Rate (10%) Future
Value Value
Today In 2 Years
£100 £121
Present Discount Rate (10%) Future
Value Value
Before you can calculate present or future values, you must know the appropriate
interest or discount rates to use. The rate will usually depend on the overall level of
interest rates in the economy, the opportunity cost, and the riskiness of the invest-
ments under consideration. The following equations generalise the calculation of
future and present values:
Example 2 compares two investments with the same initial outflow (investment) but
with different future cash inflows at different points in time.
1 You are choosing between two investments of equal risk. You believe
that given the risk, the appropriate discount rate to use is 9%. Your initial
investment (outflow) for each is £500. One investment is expected to pay
out £1,000 three years from now; the other investment is expected to pay
out £1,350 five years from now. To choose between the two investments,
you must compare the value of each investment at the same point in time.
2 You are choosing between the same two investments but you have reas-
sessed their risks. You now consider the five-year investment to be more
risky than the first and estimate that a 15% return is required to justify
making this investment.
Example 2 shows three elements that must be considered when comparing investments:
■■ the risk associated with each investment, which is reflected in the discount rate.
Present value considers the joint effect of these three elements and provides an effec-
tive way of comparing investments with different risks that have different future cash
flows at different points in time.
The NPV of the investment in Example 2 that is paying £1,350 in five years
(discounted at 15%) if it initially cost £500 is:
£671.19 – £500.00 = £171.19
The NPV of the investment paying £1,000 in three years discounted at 9%
if it initially cost £700 is:
£772.18 – £700 = £72.18.
242 Chapter 8 ■ Quantitative Concepts
This amount is less than £171.19, making the investment paying £1,350 in
five years discounted at 15% worth more in present value terms. This conclusion
differs from that reached when present value only was used.
If costs were to occur at times different from time zero, then they would also be dis-
counted back to time zero for the purposes of comparison and calculation of the NPV.
If the NPV is zero or greater, the investment is earning at least the discount rate. An
NPV of less than zero indicates that the investment should not be made.
Calculating the NPV allows an investor to compare different investments using their
projected cash flows and costs. The concepts of present value and net present value
have widespread applications in the valuation of financial assets and products. For
example, equities may pay dividends and/or be sold in the future, bonds may pay
interest and principal in the future, and insurance may lead to future payouts.
1 You place £1,000 on deposit at an annual interest rate of 10% and make
regular contributions of £250 at the end of each of the next two years.
How much do you have in your account at the end of two years?
2 You place £1,000 on deposit and withdraw £250 at the end of the first
year. The balance on deposit at the beginning of the year earns an annual
interest rate of 10%. How much do you have in your account at the end of
two years?
At the end of the first year, you have £1,000 × (1 + 0.10) = £1,100
You withdraw £250 and begin the second year with an amount = £850
At the end of the second year, you have £850 × (1 + 0.10) = £935
Time value of money can also help determine the value of a financial instrument. It
can help you work out the value of an annuity or how long it will take to pay off the
mortgage on your home.
2.2.3.1 Present Value and the Valuation of Financial Instruments People invest
in financial products and instruments because they expect to get future benefits in
the form of future cash flows. These cash flows can be in the form of income, such
as dividends and interest, from the repayment of an amount lent, or from selling the
financial product or instrument to someone else. An investor is exchanging a sum of
money today for future cash flows, and some of these cash flows are more uncertain
than others. The value (amount exchanged) today of a financial product should equal
the value of its expected future cash flows. This concept is shown in Example 5.
Consider the example of a simple loan that was made three years ago. Two years
from today, the loan will mature and the borrower should repay the principal
value of the loan, which is £100. The investor who buys (or owns) this loan should
also receive from the borrower two annual interest payments at the originally
promised interest rate of 8%. The interest payments will be £8 (= 8% × £100),
with the first interest payment received a year from now and the second two
years from now.
How much would an investor pay today to secure these two years of cash flow
if the appropriate discount rate is 10% (i.e. r = 0.10)? Note that the rate used for
discounting the future cash flows should reflect the risk of the investment and
interest rates in the market. In practice, it is unlikely that the discount rate will
be equal to the loan’s originally promised interest rate because the risk of the
investment and interest rates in the market may change over time.
£8
The first year’s interest payment is worth = £7.27.
1.101
£8
The second year’s interest payment is worth = £6.61.
1.102
The repayment of the loan’s principal value in two years is
£100
worth = £82.64.
1.102
244 Chapter 8 ■ Quantitative Concepts
So today, the cash flows returned by the loan are worth £7.27 + £6.61 + £82.64 =
£96.52. So this loan is worth £96.52 to the investor. In other words, if the original
lender wanted to sell this loan, an investor would pay £96.52.
Through the understanding of present value and knowing how to calculate it, investors
can assess whether the price of a financial instrument trading in the marketplace is
priced cheaply, priced fairly, or overpriced.
2.2.3.2 Time Value of Money and Regular Payments Many kinds of financial arrange-
ments involve regular payments over time. For example, most consumer loans, including
mortgages, involve regular periodic payments to pay off the loan. Each period, some of
the payment covers the interest on the loan and the rest of the payment pays off some
of the principal (the loaned amount). A pension savings scheme or pension plan may
also involve regular contributions.
Most consumer loans result in a final balance of money equal to zero. That is, the
loan is paid off. Two time value of money applications that require the final balance
of money to be zero are annuities and mortgages.
Example 6 illustrates the reduction of an annuity to zero over time and the reduction
of a mortgage to zero over time. To simplify the examples, the assumption is that the
annuity and the mortgage each mature in five years and entail a single withdrawal or
payment each of the five years.
Withdrawal
Annuity Balance (Payment by
at Beginning Balance at End of Year Insurance
Year of Year before Withdrawal Company)
2 You borrow £60,000 to buy a small cottage in the country. The interest
rate on the mortgage is 4.60%. Your payment at the end of each year will
be £13,706.
Mortgage
Outstanding Total
at Beginning Mortgage Principal
Year of Year Payment Interest Paid Reduced
As you can see in Example 6, both the annuity and mortgage balances decline to zero
over time.
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 3
As the name suggests, descriptive statistics are used to describe data. Often, you are
confronted by data that you need to organise in order to understand it. For exam-
ple, you get the feeling that the drive home from work is getting slower and you are
thinking of changing your route. How could you assess whether the journey really is
getting slower? Suppose you calculated and compared the average daily commute time
each month over a year. The first question you need to address is, what is meant by
average? There are a number of different ways to calculate averages that are described
in Section 3.1, each of which has advantages and disadvantages.
246 Chapter 8 ■ Quantitative Concepts
In general, descriptive statistics are numbers that summarise essential features of a data
set. A data set relates to a particular variable—the time it takes to drive home from
work in our example. The data set includes several observations—that is, observed
values for the variable. For example, if you keep track of your daily commute time
for a year, you will end up with approximately 250 observations. The distribution of
a variable is the values a variable can take and the number of observations associated
with each of these values.
We will discuss two types of descriptive statistics: those that describe the central ten-
dency of a data set (e.g., the average or mean) and those that describe the dispersion
or spread of the data (e.g., the standard deviation). In addition to knowing whether
the drive to work is getting slower (by comparing monthly averages), you might also
want to find a way to measure how much variation there is between journey times
from one day to another (by using standard deviation).
Similar needs to summarise data arise in business. For example, when comparing the
time taken to process two types of trades, a sample of the times required to process
each trade would need to be collected. The average time it takes to process each type of
trade could be calculated and the average times could then be compared. Descriptive
statistics efficiently summarise the information from large quantities of data for the
purpose of making comparisons. Descriptive statistics may also help in predicting
future values and understanding risk. For example, if there was little variation in the
times taken to process a trade, then presumably you would be confident that you had
a good idea of the average time it takes to process a trade and comfortable with that
as an estimate of how long it will take to process future trades. But if the time taken
to process trades was highly variable, you would have less confidence in how long it
would take on average to process future trades.
Measures of central tendency are useful for making comparisons between groups
of individuals or between sets of figures. Such measures reduce a large number of
measurements to a single figure. For instance, the mean or average temperature in
country X in July from 1961 to 2011 is calculated to be 16.1°C. Over the same period
in September, the average temperature is 13.6°C. Because it is a long time series, you
can reasonably conclude that it is usually warmer in July than September in country X.
■■ arithmetic mean,
■■ geometric mean,
■■ median, and
■■ mode.
Descriptive Statistics 247
The appropriate measure for a given data set depends on the features of the data and
the purpose of your calculation. These measures are examined in the following sections.
Exhibit 5 shows the annual returns earned on an investment over a 10-year period. The
information contained in Exhibit 5 will be used in examples throughout this section.
25
26.4%
20
Annual Returns (%)
15
10
8.0% 7.2%
4.2% 5.2%
5 3.7% 3.7%
2.4%
1.3% 0.8%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year
25
26.4%
20
10
8.0% 7.2%
Mean
5
2.4% 4.2% 5.2%
1.3% 0.8% 3.7% 3.7%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year
(1.3 + 2.4 + 0.8 + 3.7 + 8.0 + 3.7 + 7.2 + 26.4 + 4.2 + 5.2)
= 6.3% Mean
10
The arithmetic mean return or average annual return over the 10-year period
is 6.3%. The weighted mean return (shown in the following equation) is the same
as the arithmetic return because the probability assigned to each return is the
same: 10% or 0.1.
Weighted mean annual return
= (0.1 × 1.3) + (0.1 × 2.4) + (0.1 × 0.8) + (0.1 × 3.7) + (0.1 × 8.0)
+ (0.1 × 3.7) + (0.1 × 7.2) + (0.1 × 26.4) + (0.1 × 4.2) + (0.1 × 5.2)
= 6.3%
The mean has one main disadvantage: it is particularly susceptible to the influence of
outliers. These are values that are unusual compared with the rest of the data set by
being especially small or large in numerical value. The arithmetic mean is not very
representative of the whole set of observations when there are outliers. Example 8
shows the effect of excluding an outlier from the calculation of the arithmetic mean.
25
26.4%
20
Outlier
Annual Returns (%)
15
10
8.0% 7.2%
5.2%
5 Mean without Outlier 4.2%
1.3% 0.8% 3.7% 3.7%
2.4%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year
Including the outlier, the mean is dragged in the direction of the outlier. When there
are one or more outliers in a set of data in one direction, the data are said to be
skewed in that direction. In Example 7, ordering data so larger numbers are to the
right of smaller numbers, 26.4% lies to the right of the other data. Thus, the data are
said to be right skewed (or positively skewed). Other measures of central tendency
may better accommodate outliers.
8% 3% 7%
periods held” root of the value (1.19031/3 ≈ 1.060). This value of 1.060 includes both
the original investment and the average yearly return on the investment each year (1
plus the geometric mean return). The last step is, therefore, to subtract 1 from this
value to arrive at the return that would have to be earned on average each year to get to
the total accumulation over the three years (1.060 – 1 ≈ 0.060 or 6.0%). The geometric
mean return is 6.0%, which in this case is the same as the arithmetic mean return.
Geometric mean is frequently the preferred measure for the investment industry.
where
Example 9 shows the calculation of the geometric mean return for the investment
of Exhibit 5.
If 1 currency unit was invested, you would have 1.8 currency units at the end
of the 10 years.
Total accumulation after 10 years
= [(1 + 1.3%) × (1 + 2.4%) × (1 + 0.8%) × (1 + 3.7%) × (1 + 8.0%) × (1 +
3.7%) × (1 + 7.2%) × (1 + 26.4%) × (1 + 4.2%) × (1 + 5.2%)]
= [(1.013) × (1.024) × (1.008) × (1.037) × (1.08) × (1.037) × (1.072) ×
(1.264) × (1.042) × (1.052)]
= 1.8
Average accumulation per year = 10th root of 1.8 = (1.8)1/10 = 1.061
Geometric mean annual return = 1.061 – 1 = 0.061 = 6.1%
This can also be done as one calculation:
Geometric mean annual return
= {[(1 + 1.3%) × (1 + 2.4%) × (1 + 0.8%) × (1 + 3.7%) × (1 + 8.0%) × (1 +
3.7%) × (1 + 7.2%) × (1 + 26.4%) × (1 + 4.2%) × (1 + 5.2%)](1/10)} – 1
= 6.1%
The geometric mean annual return is 6.1%. One currency unit invested for 10
years and earning 6.1% per year would accumulate to approximately 1.8 units.
An important aspect to notice is that the geometric mean is lower than the arithmetic
mean even though the annual returns over the 10-year holding period are identical.
This result is because the returns are compounded when calculating the geometric
Descriptive Statistics 251
mean return. Recall that compounding will result in a higher value over time, so a
lower rate of return is required to reach the same amount. In fact, if the same set of
numbers is used to calculate both means, the geometric mean return is never greater
than the arithmetic mean return and is normally lower.
3.1.3 Median
If you put data in ascending order of size from the smallest to the largest, the median
is the middle value. If there is an even number of items in a data set, then you average
the two middle observations. Hence, in many cases (i.e., when the sample size is odd
or when the two middle-ranked items of an even-numbered data set are the same)
the median will be a number that actually occurs in the data set. Example 10 shows
the calculation of the median for the investment of Exhibit 5.
EXAMPLE 10. MEDIAN
When the returns are ordered from low to high, the median value is the arith-
metic mean of the fifth and sixth ordered observations.
0.8% 1.3% 2.4% 3.7% 3.7% 4.2% 5.2% 7.2% 8.0% 26.4%
(3.7 + 4.2)
≈ 4.0% Median
2
25
26.4%
20
Annual Returns (%)
15
10
8.0% 7.2%
4.2% 5.2%
5 Median
1.3% 0.8% 3.7% 3.7%
2.4%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year
The median investment return over the 10-year period is 4.0%.
An advantage of the median over the mean is that it is not sensitive to outliers. In the
case of the annual returns shown in Exhibit 5, the median of close to 4.0% is more
representative of the data’s central tendency. This 4.0% median return is close to the
4.1% arithmetic mean return when the outlier is excluded. The median is usually a
better measure of central tendency than the mean when the data are skewed.
252 Chapter 8 ■ Quantitative Concepts
3.1.4 Mode
The mode is the most frequently occurring value in a data set. Example 11 shows how
the mode is determined for the investment of Exhibit 5.
EXAMPLE 11. MODE
Looking at Exhibit 5, we see that one value occurs twice, 3.7%. This value is the
mode of the data.
3.7% Mode
The mode can be used as a measure of central tendency for data that have been sorted
into categories or groups. For example, if all the employees in a company were asked
what form of transportation they used to get to work each day, it would be possible
to group the answers into categories, such as car, bus, train, bicycle, and walking. The
category with the highest number would be the mode.
A problem with the mode is that it is often not unique, in which case there is no
mode. If there are two or more values that share the same frequency of occurrence,
there is no agreed method to choose the representative value. The mode may also
be difficult to compute if the data are continuous. Continuous data are data that can
take on an infinite number of values between whole numbers—for example, weights
of people. One person may weigh 62.435 kilos and another 62.346 kilos. By contrast,
discrete data show observations only as distinct values—for example, the number
of people employed at different companies. The number of people employed will be
a whole number. For continuous data, it is less likely that any observation will occur
more frequently than once, so the mode is generally not used for identifying central
tendency for continuous data.
Another problem with the mode is that the most frequently occurring observation may
be far away from the rest of the observations and does not meaningfully represent them.
140
120
100
Salary ($ thousands)
80
60 Average
Annual Salary
40
20
0
Company A Company B
Another reason why measures of dispersion are important in finance is that invest-
ment risk is often measured using some measure of variability. When investors are
considering investing in a security, they are interested in the likely (expected) return
on that investment as well as in the risk that the return could differ from the expected
return (its variability). A risk-averse investor considering two investments that have
similar expected returns but very different measures of variability (risk) around those
expected returns, typically prefers the security with the lower variability.
Two common measures of dispersion of a data set are the range and the standard
deviation.
3.2.1 Range
The range is the difference between the highest and lowest values in a data set. It is
the easiest measure of dispersion to calculate and understand, but it is very sensitive
to outliers. Example 12 explains the calculation of the range of returns for the invest-
ment of Exhibit 5.
EXAMPLE 12. RANGE
In Exhibit 5 we see that the highest annual return is 26.4% and the lowest annual
return is 0.8%.
Clearly, the range is affected by extreme values and, if there are outliers, it says little
about the distribution of the data between those extremes.
If there are a large number of observations ranked in order of size, the range can be
divided into 100 equal-sized intervals. The dividing points are termed percentiles. The
50th percentile is the median and divides the observations so that 50% are higher and
50% are lower than the median. The 20th percentile is the value below which 20% of
observations in the series fall. So, the dispersion of the observations can be described
in terms of percentiles. Observations can be divided into other equal-sized intervals.
Commonly used intervals are quartiles (the observations are divided into four equal-
sized intervals) and deciles (the observations are divided into 10 equal-sized intervals)
The differences between the observed values of X and the mean value of X capture
the variability of X. These differences are squared and summed. Note that because
the differences are squared, what matters is the size of the difference not the sign of
the difference. The sum is then divided by the number of observations. Finally, the
square root of this value is taken to get the standard deviation.
The value before the square root is taken is known as the variance, which is another
measure of dispersion. The standard deviation is the square root of the variance. The
standard deviation and the variance capture the same thing—how far away from
the mean the observations are. The advantage of the standard deviation is that it
is expressed in the same unit as the mean. For example, if the mean is expressed as
minutes of journey time, the standard deviation will also be expressed as minutes,
whereas the variance will be expressed as minutes squared, making the standard
deviation an easier measure to use and compare with the mean.
Descriptive Statistics 255
To illustrate the calculation of the standard deviation, let us return to the example of
a three-year investment that returns 8% or 0.08 the first year, 3% or 0.03 the second
year, and 7% or 0.07 the third year. The arithmetic mean return is 6% or 0.06. The
standard deviation is approximately 2.16%.
8% 3% 7%
(0.0014)
= = 0.0216 = 2.16%
3
Example 13 shows the calculation of the standard deviation for the investment in
Exhibit 5.
Larger values of standard deviation relative to the mean indicate greater variation in
a data set. Also, by using standard deviation, you can determine how likely it is that
any given observation will occur based on its distance from the mean. Example 14
compares the returns of the investment shown in Exhibit 5 and the returns on another
investment over the same period using mean and standard deviation.
256 Chapter 8 ■ Quantitative Concepts
Number of Employees
Salary ($) Company X Company Y
15,000–20,000 5 1
20,001–25,000 8 1
25,001–30,000 20 3
30,001–35,000 30 8
35,001–40,000 22 10
40,001–45,000 12 15
45,001–50,000 6 20
50,001–55,000 2 9
55,001–60,000 1 7
35
Number of Employees
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
15–20 20–25 25–30 30–35 35–40 40–45 45–50 50–55 55–60
Salary Range ($ thousands)
25
Number of Employees
20
15
10
0
15–20 20–25 25–30 30–35 35–40 40–45 45–50 50–55 55–60
Salary Range ($ thousands)
Note that the two distributions are not symmetrical. A symmetrical distribution
would have observations falling off fairly evenly on either side of the centre of the
range of salaries ($35,001–$40,000). Instead, in each of these distributions, the bulk
of the observations are stacked towards one end of the range and tail off gradually
towards the other end. The two distributions are different in that each is stacked
towards a different end. Such distributions are considered skewed; the distribution
for Company X is positively skewed (i.e., the majority of the observations are on the
left and the skew or tail is on the right), whereas the distribution for Company Y is
negatively skewed (left skewed).
Although the range of the observations is the same in each case, the mean for each
is very different. Company X’s mean is approximately $35,000, whereas Company Y’s
mean is approximately $44,000.
is larger than the median because the mean is more affected by extreme values than
the median. The distribution is skewed to the right, so the mean is dragged towards
the extreme positive values. The reverse is true for distributions that are negatively
skewed, such as in Company Y’s salary data. In this case, the mean is smaller than the
median because the mean is pulled left in the direction of the skew.
A normal distribution has special importance in statistics because many variables have
the approximate shape of a normal distribution—for example, height, blood pressure,
and lengths of objects produced by machines. This distribution is often useful as a
description of data when there are a large number of observations.
0.3413 0.3413
0.0228 0.0228
0.1359 0.1359
SD
–3 –2 –1 0 1 2 3
68.26%
95.44%
Descriptive Statistics 259
The total area under the curve or bell is 100% of the distribution. The area under
the curve that is within one standard deviation of the mean is about 68% of all the
observations. In other words, given a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1, about
68% of the observations fall between –1 and +1, and 32% of the observations are more
than one standard deviation from the mean. The area under the curve that is within 2
standard deviations of the mean is about 95% of the observations. Given a mean of 0
and a standard deviation of 1, about 95% of the observations fall between –2 and +2,
and 5% of the observations are more than two standard deviations from the mean. The
area under the curve that is within three standard deviations of the mean represents
about 99% of the observations. Given a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1, about
99% of the observations fall between –3 and +3, and less than 1% of the observations
occur more than three standard deviations away from the mean.
The observations that are more than a specified number of standard deviations from
the mean can be described as lying in the tails of the distribution. Assuming that
returns on a portfolio of stocks are normally distributed, the chance of extreme losses
(a return more than three standard deviations lower than the mean return) is relatively
small. The chance of the return being in the left tail more than two standard deviations
from the mean (which would be an extreme loss under typical circumstances) is just
2.5%. In other words, out of 200 days, 5 days are expected to have observations that
are more than two standard deviations from the mean. But during the financial crisis
of 2008, the losses that were incurred by some banks over several days in a row were
25 standard deviations below the mean.
To put this in perspective, if returns are normally distributed, a return that is 7.26
standard deviations below the mean would be expected to occur once every 13.7 billion
years. That is approximately the age of the universe. The frequency of extreme events
during the financial crisis of 2008 was, therefore, much higher than predicted by the
normal distribution. This inconsistency is often referred to as the distribution having
“fat tails”, meaning that the probability of observing extreme outcomes is higher than
that predicted by a normal distribution.
In Exhibit 9, the curve with the solid line represents the normal distribution. The curve
with the dotted line is an example of distribution with thinner tails than the normal
distribution, indicating a reduced probability of extreme outcomes. By contrast, the
curve with the dashed line is an example of a distribution with fatter tails than the
normal distribution, indicating increased likelihood of extreme outcomes.
3.3 Correlation
Another way of using and understanding data is identifying connections between
data sets. The strength of a relationship between two variables, such as growth in
gross domestic product (GDP) and stock market returns, can be measured by using
correlation. Essentially, two variables are correlated when a change in one variable
helps predict change in another variable.
When both variables change in the same direction, the variables are positively cor-
related. If we take the example of traders at an investment bank, salary and age are
positively correlated if salaries increase as age increases. If the variables move in the
opposite direction, then they are negatively correlated. For example, the size of a
transaction and the fees expressed as a percentage of the transaction are negatively
correlated if the larger the transaction, the smaller the associated fees. When there is no
clear tendency for one variable to move in a particular direction (up or down) relative
to changes in the other variable, then the variables are close to being uncorrelated.
In practice, it is difficult to find two variables that have absolutely no relationship,
even if just by chance.
of +1. When the two variables move exactly in step in opposite directions, they are
perfectly negatively correlated and the correlation coefficient is –1. Variables with no
relationship to each other will have a correlation coefficient close to 0.
Correlation measures both the direction of the relationship between two variables
(negative or positive) and the strength of that relationship (the closer to +1 or –1, the
stronger the relationship). In practice, it is unusual to find variables that are perfectly
positively or perfectly negatively correlated. The stronger the relationship between two
variables—the higher the degree of correlation—the more confidently one variable can
be predicted given the other variable. For example, there may be a high correlation
between stock market index returns and expected economic growth. In that case, if
economic growth in the future is expected to be high then returns on the stock market
index are likely to be high too.
It is important, however, to realise that correlation does not imply causation. For
example, historically in the United States, stock market returns and snowfall are both
higher in January, and from that you may assume a correlation. But obviously snowfall
does not cause an increase in stock market returns, and an increase in stock market
returns clearly does not cause snowfall. There may be situations in which a correla-
tion implies some causal relationship. For example, a high correlation has been found
between power production and job growth. It may follow that the more workers there
are, the more power is consumed, but it does not necessarily follow that an increase
in power generation will create jobs.
Correlation is important in investing because the rise or fall in value of a variable may
help predict the rise or fall in value of another variable. It is also important because
when two or more securities that are not perfectly correlated are combined together in
a portfolio, there is normally a reduction in risk (measured by the portfolio’s standard
deviation of returns). As long as the returns on the securities do not have a correlation
of +1 (that is, they are less than perfectly correlated), then the risk of the portfolio will
be less than the weighted average of the risks of the securities in the portfolio because
it is not likely that all the securities will perform poorly at the same time.
SUMMARY
The better your understanding of quantitative concepts, the easier it will be for you
to make sense of the financial world. Knowledge of quantitative concepts, such as
time value of money and descriptive statistics, is important to the understanding of
many of the key products in the financial industry. Understanding the time value of
money allows you to interpret cash flows and thus value them. Meanwhile, knowledge
of statistical concepts will help in identifying the important information in a large
amount of data, as well as in understanding what statistical measures reported by
others mean. It is easy to misinterpret or be misled by statistics, such as mean and
correlation, so an understanding of their uses and limitations is crucial.
■■ Interest is return earned by a lender that compensates for opportunity cost and
risk. For the borrower, it is the cost of borrowing.
■■ The simple interest rate is the cost to the borrower or the rate of return to the
lender, per period, on the original principal borrowed. A commonly quoted
simple interest rate is the annual percentage rate (APR).
■■ Compound interest is the return to the lender or the cost to the borrower when
interest is reinvested and added to the original principal.
■■ The present value of a future sum of money is found by discounting the future
sum by an appropriate discount rate. (The present value of multiple cash flows
is the sum of the present value of each cash flow.)
■■ All else being equal (in other words, only one of the three elements differs):
●● the higher the cash flows, the higher the present and future values.
●● the earlier the cash flows, the higher the present and future values.
●● the lower the discount rate, the higher the present value.
●● the higher the interest rate, the higher the future value.
■■ The net present value is the present value of future cash flows net of the invest-
ment required to obtain them. It is useful when comparing alternatives that
require different initial investments.
■■ The arithmetic mean is the most commonly used measure. It represents the
sum of all the observations divided by the number of observations. It is an easy
measure to understand but may not be a good representative measure when
there are outliers.
■■ The geometric mean return is the average compounded return for each
period—that is, the average return for each period assuming that returns are
compounding. It is frequently the preferred measure of central tendency for
returns in the investment industry.
■■ When observations are ranked in order of size, the median is the middle value.
It is not sensitive to outliers and may be a more representative measure than the
mean when data are skewed.
■■ The mode is the most frequently occurring value in a data set. A data set may
have no identifiable unique mode. It may not be a meaningful representative
measure of central tendency.
■■ Measures of dispersion are important for describing the spread of the data, or
its variation around a central value. Two common measures of dispersion are
range and standard deviation.
■■ Range is the difference between the highest and lowest values in a data set. It is
easy to measure, but it is sensitive to outliers.
■■ Standard deviation measures the variability of a data set around the mean of the
data set. It is in the same unit of measurement as the mean.
■■ A distribution is simply the values that a variable can take, showing its observed
or theoretical frequency of occurrence.
■■ For a perfectly symmetrical distribution, the mean, median, and mode will be
identical.
2 A company obtains a loan from a local bank for $50 million. From the compa-
ny’s perspective, interest is best defined as the:
A risk of default.
B cost of borrowing.
3 The greater the risk associated with a borrower’s ability to repay a loan, the
greater the:
4 To maintain purchasing power, lenders demand an interest rate that reflects the:
A likelihood of default.
5 If interest is paid and compounded annually, the compound interest rate is most
likely to be:
6 Compared with compound interest, simple interest assumes that interest is:
A paid annually.
A Simple interest
B Compound interest
9 The interest rate used to determine the present value of future cash flows is
called the:
A discount rate.
10 The most effective way to compare investments with the same initial outflow
that have different cash flows at different points in time is to determine each
investment’s:
A discount rate.
B present value.
11 The present value of €100 that will be received two years from today is:
B equal to €100.
12 All else being equal, given a choice of when to pay for a purchase, an individual
would most likely prefer to pay £100:
A today.
13 Assuming a discount rate of 10%, which of the following projects will have the
highest present value?
14 Given an interest rate of 10% and assuming that interest is reinvested, which of
the following will have the highest future value?
15 When evaluating an investment, if the discount rate increases while holding all
other factors constant, the present value will:
A increase.
B decrease.
C remain unchanged.
16 When choosing among investments that have different initial costs and future
cash flows, the best choice is the investment with the highest:
A discount rate.
A negative $5.
B $0.
C positive $5.
A received a loan.
B obtained a mortgage.
C purchased an annuity.
268 Chapter 8 ■ Quantitative Concepts
19 In a mortgage transaction, the amount of each fixed payment made by the bor-
rower that represents interest:
A Mean
B Range
C Standard deviation
21 If the data in a set are continuous and skewed, which of the following gives the
best measure of central tendency?
A Mean
B Mode
C Median
A mode.
B arithmetic mean.
C geometric mean.
A is less risky.
B is more risky.
A Mode
B Range
C Median
Chapter Review Questions 269
A Arithmetic mean
B Geometric mean
C Standard deviation
B There are more observations to the right of the mean than to the left.
C There are more observations to the left of the mean than to the right.
A symmetrical.
B positively skewed.
C negatively skewed.
28 For a normal distribution, the height and width of the distribution is deter-
mined by the distribution’s:
A mean.
B median.
C standard deviation.
A +1.
B 0.
C –1.
30 Assume the correlation between the unemployment rate and the inflation rate
is close to –1. Based on this information, if the unemployment rate is expected
to increase, then the inflation rate will most likely:
A increase.
B decrease.
C remain unchanged.
270 Chapter 8 ■ Quantitative Concepts
ANSWERS
3 B is correct. The lower the certainty a borrower will make the promised pay-
ments on the loan in a timely manner, the higher the level of interest required
by the lender to compensate for the increased risk of default. A is incorrect
because the opportunity cost for the lender, not the borrower, is unrelated to
the risk of the borrower. C is incorrect because the lender bears the risk that
purchasing power will decrease not increase.
8 A is correct. The amount of money in the account at the end of three years will
be lower using simple interest compared with compound interest. Compound
interest will result in interest being earned on the original deposit as well as
interest on interest.
10 B is correct. Present value considers the three elements that should be used
when comparing investments; the amount of the future cash flows, the tim-
ing of the future cash flows, and the risk associated with each investment as
reflected by the discount rate. A and C are incorrect because they are elements
needed to determine present value.
11 A is correct. The present value of any amount is less than the same amount
received in the future. How much less depends on the discount rate used
to determine the present value. B and C are incorrect because any amount
received in the future is worth less than the same amount received today.
12 C is correct. For any given amount of money, most individuals would prefer to
pay the amount later compared with paying the same amount of money today
because money has a time value. The present value of the payment of £100
is lower the further in the future that amount is paid. A and B are incorrect
because if the individual postpones payment, the £100 could be invested for two
years rather than for one year or not at all.
14 C is correct. The longer the compounding period, the greater the future value.
15 B is correct. The higher the discount rate, the lower the present value.
16 B is correct. Net present value is the difference between the present value of
future cash inflows and the cost of that investment. The investment with the
highest positive net present value is the best choice if only one investment will
be chosen. A is incorrect because the investment with the largest discount rate
is the one with the most risk. It may or may not have the highest net present
value, depending on expected cash flows and their timing and initial cost. C is
incorrect because the present value of future cash flows must be compared with
the cost before a choice can be made.
17 A is correct. A net present value of negative $5 means that the cost of the
investment is $5 more than the present value of the future cash flows from
the investment and the investment should not be made. B and C are incorrect
because a net present value of zero or greater means that the investment is
earning at least the discount rate and is acceptable.
a simple loan requires interest payments and the repayment of the loan amount
when the loan matures. B is incorrect because the individual obtaining the
mortgage must make the fixed payments of a certain amount to the lender.
19 A is correct. Although the payment amount is fixed, the portion of each pay-
ment that is interest is based on the remaining principal at the beginning of
each period. As the principal declines, so does the amount of the fixed payment
that constitutes interest. B is incorrect because the payment remains fixed, but
the portion allocated to interest decreases over time while the portion allocated
to principal increases over time. C is incorrect because the portion of the fixed
payment allocated to principal increases over time.
21 C is correct. The median is the middle value in a data set when the items in that
data set are ordered from smallest to largest. Thus, the median is not affected
by outliers (extremely high or low value items in the data set). A is incorrect
because the mean is affected by outliers. B is incorrect because with continuous
data, it is less likely that any observation will appear more than once; thus, the
mode may not be identifiable.
22 C is correct. The investment industry prefers the geometric mean because the
geometric mean is the average return earned each year to get the total accumu-
lation assuming that returns are compounding. A is incorrect because invest-
ment returns are continuous data; the mode is not a useful measure of central
tendency when data are continuous. B is incorrect because the arithmetic mean
does not assume compounding.
26 A is correct. The mean and median are identical in a normal distribution. B and
C are incorrect because in a normal distribution, like any symmetrical distribu-
tion, there are the same number of observations to the left and to the right of
the mean.
30 B is correct. Because the unemployment rate and the inflation rate are nega-
tively correlated, if unemployment is expected to increase, then the inflation
rate is likely to decrease
CHAPTER 9
DEBT SECURITIES
by Lee M. Dunham, PhD, CFA, and Vijay Singal, PhD, CFA
LEARNING OUTCOMES
j Explain the relationship between a bond’s price and its yield to maturity;
INTRODUCTION 1
The Canadian entrepreneur in the Investment Industry: A Top-Down View chapter
initially financed her company with her own money and that of family and friends. But
over time, the company needed more money to continue to grow. The company could
get a loan from a bank or it could turn to investors, other than family and friends, to
provide additional money.
Companies and governments raise external capital to finance their operations. Both
companies and governments may raise capital by borrowing funds. As the following
illustration shows, in exchange for the use of the borrowed money, the borrowing
company or government promises to pay interest and to repay the borrowed money
in the future.
If people invest in a
Invest money company and earn interest
by buying bonds, they are
the lenders and the
Receive interest
company is the borrower.
The illustration has been simplified to show a company borrowing from individuals.
In reality, the borrower may be a company or a government, and the investors may be
individuals, companies, or governments. Companies may also raise capital by issuing
(selling) equity securities, as discussed in the Equity Securities chapter.
A bond is governed by a legal contract between the bond issuer and the bondholders.
The legal contract is sometimes referred to as the bond indenture or offering circular.
In the event that the issuer does not meet the contractual obligations and make the
promised payments, the bondholders typically have legal recourse. The legal contract
describes the key features of the bond.
A typical bond includes the following three features: par value (also called principal
value or face value), coupon rate, and maturity date. These features define the prom-
ised cash flows of the bond and the timing of these flows.
Par value. The par (principal) value is the amount that will be paid by the issuer to
the bondholders at maturity to retire the bonds.
Coupon rate. The coupon rate is the promised interest rate on the bond.
The term “coupon rate” is used because, historically, bonds were printed with
coupons attached. There was one coupon for each date an interest payment
was owed, and each coupon indicated the amount owed (coupon payment).
Bondholders cut (clipped) the coupons off the bond and submitted them to the
issuer for payment. The use of the term “coupon rate” helps prevent confusion
between the interest rate promised by the bond issuer and interest rates in the
market.
Coupon payments are linked to the bond’s par value and the bond’s coupon rate. The
annual interest owed to bondholders is calculated by multiplying the bond’s coupon
rate by its par value. For example, if a bond’s coupon rate is 6% and its par value
Features of Debt Securities 281
is £100, the coupon payment will be £6. Many bonds, such as government bonds
issued by the US or UK governments, make coupon payments on a semiannual basis.
Therefore, the amount of annual interest is halved and paid as two coupon payments,
payable every six months. Taking the previous example, bondholders would receive
two coupon payments of £3. Coupon payments may also be paid annually, quarterly,
or monthly. The bond contract will specify the frequency and timing of payments.
Maturity date. Debt securities are issued over a wide range of maturities, from as short
as one day to as long as 100 years or more. In fact, some bonds are perpetual, with no
pre-specified maturity date at all. But it is rare for new bond issues to have a maturity
of longer than 30 years. The life of the bond ends on its maturity date, assuming that
all promised payments have been made.
Example 1 describes the interaction of the three main features of a bond and shows
the payments that the bond issuer will make to a bondholder over the life of the bond.
A bond has a par value of £100, a coupon rate of 6% (paid annually), and a
maturity date of three years. These characteristics mean the investor receives
a coupon payment of £6 for each of the three years it is held. At the end of the
three years, the investor receives back the £100 par value of the bond.
£100
+
£6.00 £6.00 £6.00
Other features. Other features may be included in the bond contract to make it more
attractive to bondholders. For instance, to protect bondholders’ interests, it is common
for the bond contract to contain covenants, which are legal agreements that describe
actions the issuer must perform or is prohibited from performing. A bond may also
give the bondholder the right, but not the obligation, to take certain actions.
Bonds may also contain features that make them more attractive to the issuer. These
include giving the issuer the right, but not the obligation, to take certain actions.
Rights of bondholders and issuers are discussed further in the Bonds with Embedded
Provisions section.
282 Chapter 9 ■ Debt Securities
3 SENIORITY RANKING
The bond contract gives bondholders the right to take legal action if the issuer fails to
make the promised payments or fails to satisfy other terms specified in the contract. If
the bond issuer fails to make the promised payments, which is referred to as default,
the debtholders typically have legal recourse to recover the promised payments. In
the event that the company is liquidated, assets are distributed following a priority
of claims, or seniority ranking. This priority of claims can affect the amount that an
investor receives upon liquidation.
The par value (principal) of a bond plus missed interest payments represents the
maximum amount a bondholder is entitled to receive upon liquidation of a company,
assuming there are sufficient assets to cover the claim. Because debt represents a
contractual liability of the company, debtholders have a higher claim on a company’s
assets than equity holders. But not all debtholders have the same priority of claim:
borrowers often issue debt securities that differ with respect to seniority ranking. In
general, bonds may be issued in the form of secured or unsecured debt securities.
Secured. When a borrower issues secured debt securities, it pledges certain specific
assets as collateral to the bondholders. Collateral is generally a tangible asset, such as
property, plant, or equipment, that the borrower pledges to the bondholders to secure
the loan. In the event of default, the bondholders are legally entitled to take possession
of the pledged assets. In essence, the collateral reduces the risk that bondholders will
lose money in the event of default because the pledged assets can be sold to recover
some or all of the bondholders’ claim (missed coupon payments and par value).
1. Secured Debt
Unsecured Debt
2. Senior Unsecured Debt
TYPES OF BONDS 4
Bonds, in general, can be classified by issuer type, by type of market they trade in,
and by type of coupon rate.
Although the term “bond” may be used to describe any debt security, irrespec-
tive of its maturity, debt securities can also be referred to by different names
based on time to maturity at issuance. Debt securities with maturities of one
year or less may be referred to as bills. Debt securities with maturities from 1
to 10 years may be referred to as notes. Debt securities with maturities longer
than 10 years are referred to as bonds.
Issuer. Bonds issued by companies are referred to as corporate bonds and bonds
issued by central governments are sovereign or government bonds. Local and regional
government bodies may also issue bonds.
Market. At issuance, investors buy bonds directly from an issuer in the primary mar-
ket. The primary market is the market in which new securities are issued and sold to
investors. The bondholders may later sell their bonds to other investors in the secondary
market. In the secondary market, investors trade with other investors. When investors
buy bonds in the secondary market, they are entitled to receive the bonds’ remaining
promised payments, including coupon payments until maturity and principal at maturity.
Coupon rates. Bonds are often categorised by their coupon rates: fixed-rate bonds,
floating-rate bonds, and zero-coupon bonds. These categories of bonds are described
further in the following sections.
The calculation of the floating rate reflects the reference rate and the riskiness (or
creditworthiness) of the issuer at the time of issue. The floating rate is equal to the
reference rate plus a percentage that depends on the borrower’s (issuer’s) creditwor-
thiness and the bond’s features. The percentage paid above the reference rate is called
the spread and usually remains constant over the life of the bond. In other words, for
an existing issue, the spread used to calculate the coupon payment does not change
to reflect any change in creditworthiness that occurs after issue. But the reference
rate does change over time with changes in the level of interest rates in the economy.
quarterly coupon payment. The coupon rate is reset every quarter. The following
table shows the Libor rate at the beginning of each quarter and the total coupon
payment made each quarter by the company.
(0.0112 + 0.0140)
31 December × £2,000,000 = £12,600 £2 million
4
Because of the inflation protection offered by inflation-linked bonds, the coupon rate
on an inflation-linked bond is lower than the coupon rate on a similar fixed-rate bond.
Zero-coupon bonds are issued at a discount to the bond’s par value—that is, at an issue
price that is lower than the par value.1 The difference between the issue price and the
par value received at maturity represents the investment return earned by the bond-
holder over the life of the zero-coupon bond, and this return is received at maturity.
Many debt securities issued with maturities of one year or less are issued as zero-
coupon debt securities. For example, Treasury bills issued by the US government
are issued as zero-coupon securities. Companies and governments sometimes issue
zero-coupon bonds that have maturities of longer than one year. Because of the risk
involved when the only payment is the payment at maturity, investors are reluctant to
buy zero-coupon bonds with long terms to maturity. If they are willing to do so, the
expected return has to be relatively high compared to the interest rate on coupon-
paying bonds, and many issuers are reluctant to pay such a high cost for borrowing.
Also, if the buyer of a zero-coupon bond decides to sell it prior to maturity, its price
could be very different because of changes in interest rates in the market and/or
changes in the issuer’s creditworthiness.
6.80%
Required Rate of Return
No Coupon Payments
1 December 2008 1 December 2028
Investor pays Investor receives
€268.31 €1000 Par Value
2 To illustrate the sensitivity of zero-coupon bonds to changes in required
rate of return, assume that an original buyer decides to sell the Vodafone
note one year after issue. Furthermore, assume that at that time, given
1 In the exceptional circumstance of negative interest rates, zero coupon bonds may not be issued at a
price below par.
288 Chapter 9 ■ Debt Securities
8.0%
Required Rate of Return
Call, put, and conversion provisions are options, a type of derivative instrument
discussed in the Derivatives chapter. The following sections describe call, put, and
conversion provisions and callable, putable, and convertible bonds.
A callable bond gives the issuer the right to buy back (retire or call) the bond from
bondholders prior to the maturity date at a pre-specified price, referred to as the call
price. The call price typically represents the par value of the bond plus an amount
referred to as the call premium. In general, bond issuers choose to include a call
provision so that if interest rates fall after a bond has been issued, they can call the
bond and issue new bonds at a lower interest rate. In this case, the bond issuer has
the ability to retire the existing bonds with a higher coupon rate and issue bonds with
a lower coupon rate. For example, consider a company that issues 10-year fixed-rate
bonds that are callable starting 3 years after issuance. Suppose that three years after
the bonds are issued, interest rates are much lower. The inclusion of the call provi-
sion allows the company to buy back the bonds, presumably using proceeds from the
issuance of new bonds at a lower interest rate.
It is important to note that the call provision is a benefit to the issuer and is an adverse
provision from the perspective of bondholders. In other words, the call provision
is an advantage to the issuer and a disadvantage to the bondholder. Consequently,
Bonds with Embedded Provisions 289
the coupon rate on a callable bond will generally be higher than a comparable bond
without an embedded call provision to compensate the bondholder for the risk that
the bond may be retired early. This risk is referred to as call risk.
A bond issuer is likely to exercise the call provision when interest rates fall. From the
perspective of bondholders, this outcome is unfavourable because the bonds available
for the bondholder to purchase with the proceeds from the original bonds will have
lower coupon rates. For most callable bonds, the bond issuer cannot exercise the call
provision until a few years after issuance. The pre-specified call price at which bonds
can be bought back early may be fixed regardless of the call date, but in some cases
the call price may change over time. Under a typical call schedule, the call price tends
to decline and move toward the par value over time.
A putable bond gives bondholders the right to sell (put back) their bonds to the
issuer prior to the maturity date at a pre-specified price referred to as the put price.
Bondholders might want to exercise this right if market interest rates rise and they
can earn a higher rate by buying another bond that reflects the interest rate increase.
It is important to note that, in contrast to call provisions, put provisions are a right
of the bondholder and not the issuer. The inclusion of a put provision is an advantage
to the bondholder and a disadvantage to the issuer.
Consequently, the coupon rate on a putable bond will generally be lower than the
coupon rate on a comparable bond without an embedded put provision. Bondholders
are willing to accept a relatively lower coupon rate on a bond with a put provision
because of the downside price protection provided by the put provision. The put pro-
vision protects bondholders from the loss in value because they can sell their bonds
to the issuing company at the put price.
Putable bonds typically do not start providing bondholders with put protection until
a few years after issuance. When a bondholder exercises the put provision, the pre-
specified put price at which bonds are sold back to the issuer is typically the bond’s
par value.
benefit to bondholders, convertible bonds typically offer a coupon rate that is lower
than the coupon rate on a similar bond without a conversion feature. Convertible
bonds are discussed further in the Equity Securities chapter.
6 ASSET-BACKED SECURITIES
Securitisation refers to the creation and issuance of new debt securities, called asset-
backed securities, that are backed by a pool of other debt securities. The most common
type of asset-backed security is backed by a pool of mortgages. In some parts of the
world, these asset-backed securities may be referred to as mortgage-backed securities.
Mortgage-backed securities have the advantage that default losses and early repay-
ments are much more predictable for a diversified portfolio of mortgages than for
individual mortgages. This feature makes them less risky than individual mortgages.
Mortgage-backed securities, a diversified portfolio of mortgages, may be attractive to
investors who cannot service mortgages efficiently or evaluate the creditworthiness of
individual mortgages. By securitising mortgage pools, mortgage banks allow investors
who are not wealthy enough to buy hundreds of mortgages to gain the benefits of
diversification, economies of scale in loan servicing, and professional credit screening.
Other asset-backed securities are created similarly to mortgage-backed securities
except that the types of underlying assets differ. For instance, the underlying assets
can include credit card receivables, auto loans, and corporate bonds.
Investors who buy asset-backed securities receive a portion of the pooled monthly loan
payments. Unlike typical debt securities that offer coupon payments on a quarterly,
semiannual, or annual basis and a single principal payment paid at the maturity date,
most asset-backed securities offer monthly payments that include both an interest
component and a principal component.
Valuation of Debt Securities 291
The cash flows for a debt security are typically the future coupon payments and the
final principal payment. The value of a bond is the present value of the future coupon
payments and the final principal payment expected from the bond. This valuation
approach relies on an analysis of the investment fundamentals and characteristics of
the issuer. The analysis includes an estimate of the probability of receiving the promised
cash flows and an establishment of the appropriate discount rate. Once an estimate
of the value of a bond is calculated, it can be compared with the current price of the
bond to determine whether the bond is overvalued, undervalued, or fairly valued.
It is important to note that the expected payments may not occur if the issuer defaults.
Therefore, when estimating the value of a debt security using the DCF approach, an
analyst or investor must estimate and use an appropriate discount rate (r) that reflects
the riskiness of the bond’s cash flows. This discount rate represents the investor’s
required rate of return on the bond given its riskiness. The expected cash flows of
bonds with higher credit risk should be discounted at relatively higher discount rates,
which results in lower estimates of value.
Although you are not responsible for calculating a bond’s value, Example 5 illustrates
how to do so and the effect of using different discount rates. This example also serves
to illustrate the effect of a change in discount rates on a bond. A change in discount
rates may be the result of a change in interest rates in the market or a change in credit
risk of the bond issuer.
Consider a three-year fixed-rate bond with a par value of $1,000 and a coupon
rate of 6%, with coupon payments made semiannually. The bond will make
six coupon payments of $30 (one coupon payment every six months over the
life of the bond) and a final principal payment of $1,000 on the maturity date.
The value of the bond can be estimated by discounting the bond’s promised
payments using an appropriate discount rate that reflects the riskiness of the
cash flows. If an investor determines that a discount rate of 7% per year, or 3.5%
semiannually, is appropriate for this bond given its risk, the value of the bond
is $973.36, calculated as
$30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $1, 030
V0 = + + + + +
1 2 3 4 5
(1.035) (1.035) (1.035) (1.035) (1.035) (1.035)6
V0 = $973.36.
For the same bond, if an investor determines that a discount rate of 8% per
year, or 4.0% semiannually, is appropriate for this bond given its risk, the value
of the bond is $947.58, calculated as
$30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $1, 030
V0 = + + + + +
1 2 3 4 5
(1.040) (1.040) (1.040) (1.040) (1.040) (1.040)6
V0 = $947.58.
For the same bond, if an investor determines that a discount rate of 6% per
year, or 3.0% semiannually, is appropriate for this bond given its risk, the value
of the bond is $1,000.00, calculated as
$30 $30 $30 $30 $30 $1, 030
V0 = + + + + +
1 2 3 4 5
(1.030) (1.030) (1.030) (1.030) (1.030) (1.030)6
V0 = $1, 000.00.
For the same bond, if an investor determines that a discount rate of 5% per
year, or 2.5% semiannually, is appropriate for this bond given its risk, the value
of the bond is $1,027.54, calculated as
Valuation of Debt Securities 293
Example 5 also illustrates how the relationship between the coupon rate and the dis-
count rate (required rate of return) affects the bond’s value relative to the par value.
To explain this relationship further,
■■ if the bond’s coupon rate and the required rate of return are the same, the
bond’s value is its par value. Thus, the bond should trade at par value.
■■ if the bond’s coupon rate is lower than the required rate of return, the bond’s
value is less than its par value. Thus, the bond should trade at a discount (trade
at less than par value).
■■ if the bond’s coupon rate is higher than the required rate of return, the bond’s
value is greater than its par value. Thus, the bond should trade at a premium
(trade at more than par value).
In the case of a zero-coupon bond, the only promised payment is the par value on
the maturity date. To estimate the value of a zero-coupon bond, the single promised
payment equal to the bond’s par value is discounted to its present value by using an
appropriate discount rate that reflects the riskiness of the bond.
where P0 represents the current market price of the bond, and r ytm represents the
bond’s yield to maturity.
Many investors use a bond’s yield to maturity to approximate the annualised return
from buying the bond at the current market price and holding it until maturity,
assuming that all promised payments are made on time and in full. When a bond’s
payments are known, as in the case of fixed-rate bonds and zero-coupon bonds, the
yield to maturity can be inferred by using the current market price. Example 6 shows
the calculation of yield to maturity. Again, you are not responsible for knowing how
to do the calculation.
294 Chapter 9 ■ Debt Securities
Consider a fixed-rate bond with exactly five years remaining until maturity, a par
value of $1,000 per unit, and a coupon rate of 4% with semiannual payments.
The bond is currently trading at a price of $914.70. With this information, the
bond’s yield to maturity can be found by solving for r ytm:
$20 $20 $20 $1, 020
$914.70 = + + ++ .
(1 + rytm ) (1 + rytm ) (1 + rytm ) (1 + rytm )
1 2 3 10
The bond’s yield to maturity is the discount rate that makes the present value
of the bond’s promised cash flows equal to its market price. The bond’s future
cash flows consist of 10 semiannual coupon payments of $20 occurring every 6
months and a final principal payment of $1,000 on the maturity date in 5 years,
or 10 semiannual periods. In this case, r ytm is 3% on a semiannual basis, or 6%
annualised. Thus, at a price of $914.70, the bond’s yield to maturity is 6%.
The current yield is calculated as $40/$914.70 = 4.37%. You can see that the
current yield and the yield to maturity differ.
It is important to understand that bond prices and bond yields to maturity are inversely
related. That is, as bond prices fall, their yields to maturity increase, and as bond prices
rise, their yields to maturity decrease.
A yield curve applied by investors to US debt securities is the US Treasury yield curve,
which graphs yields on US government bonds by maturity. Exhibit 2 illustrates the
US Treasury yield curve as of 22 April 2014. In this case, the yield curve is upward
sloping, indicating that longer-maturity bonds offer higher yields to maturity than
shorter-maturity bonds. For example, the yield to maturity on a 30-year Treasury bond
is 3.50%, but the yield to maturity on a 1-year Treasury bill is only 0.11%.
Risks of Investing in Debt Securities 295
4.0
22/Apr/14
3.0
Yield (%)
2.0
1.0
0
1Mo 3Mo 6Mo 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 5Yr 7Yr 10Yr 20Yr 30Yr
Maturity
Although an upward-sloping curve is typical, there are times when the yield curve
may be flat, meaning that the yield to maturity of US Treasury bonds is the same no
matter what the maturity date is. There are also times when the yield curve is down-
ward sloping, or inverted, which can happen if interest rates are expected to decline
in the future.
The term structure for government bonds, such as Treasury bonds, provides investors
with a base yield to maturity, which serves as a reference to compare yields to matu-
rity offered by riskier bonds. Relative to Treasury bonds, riskier bonds should offer
higher yields to maturity to compensate investors for the higher credit or default risk.
It is important to note that credit risk can affect bondholders even when the company
does not actually default on its payments. For example, if market participants suspect
that a particular bond issuer will not be able to make its promised bond payments
because of adverse business or general economic conditions, the probability of future
default will increase and the bond price will likely fall in the market. Consequently,
investors holding that particular bond will be exposed to a price decline and a potential
loss of money if they want to sell the bond.
Bonds are classified based on credit risk as investment-grade bonds (those in the
shaded area of Exhibit 3) or non-investment-grade bonds (those in the non-shaded
area of Exhibit 3). The term investment-grade bonds comes from the fact that regu-
lators often specify that certain investors, such as insurance companies and pension
funds, must restrict their investments to or largely hold bonds with a high degree of
creditworthiness (low risk of default).
Standard &
Poor’s Moody’s Fitch
AAA Aaa AAA
AA+ Aa1 AA+
AA Aa2 AA
AA– Aa3 AA–
Investment A+ A1 A+
Grade A A2 A
A– A3 A–
BBB+ Baa1 BBB+
BBB Baa2 BBB
BBB– Baa3 BBB–
Creditworthiness
BB+ Ba1 BB+
BB Ba2 BB
BB– Ba3 BB–
B+ B1 B+
B B2 B
B– B3 B–
Non-Investment CCC+ Caa1 CCC
Grade CCC Caa2
CCC– Caa3
Ca
C
DDD
DD
D D
Credit rating agencies assign a bond rating at the time of issue, but they also review
the rating and may change a bond’s credit rating over time depending on the issuer’s
perceived creditworthiness. An improvement in credit rating is referred to as an
upgrade, and a reduction in credit rating is referred to as a downgrade. A high credit
rating gives a bond issuer two major benefits: the ability to issue debt securities at a
lower interest rate and the ability to access a larger pool of investors. The larger pool
of investors will include institutional investors that must hold significant portions of
their investment assets in investment-grade bonds.
The bond’s credit spread over a 30-year Treasury is 4.10% – 3.22% = 0.88%,
or 88 bps. The extra yield, or credit spread, being offered by the Caterpillar
bond serves as compensation to the investor for taking a higher risk relative to
the Treasury bond.
Higher-risk bonds, such as junk bonds, trade at wider credit spreads because of their
higher default risk. Similarly, lower-risk bonds trade at narrower credit spreads rela-
tive to high-risk bonds. Credit spreads enable investors to compare yield differences
across bonds of different credit quality. If a bond is perceived to have become more
risky, its price will fall and its yield will rise, which will likely result in a widening
of the bond’s credit spread relative to a government bond with the same maturity.
Similarly, a bond perceived to have experienced an improvement in credit quality will
see its price rise and its yield fall, likely resulting in a narrower credit spread relative
to a comparable government bond.
Floating-rate bonds partially protect against inflation because the coupon rate adjusts.
They provide no protection, however, against the loss of purchasing power of the
principal payment. Investors who are concerned about inflation and want protection
against it may prefer to invest in inflation-linked bonds, which adjust the principal
(par) value for inflation. Because the coupon payment is based on the par value, the
coupon payment also changes with inflation.
Liquidity risk refers to the risk of being unable to sell a bond prior to the maturity
date without having to accept a significant discount to market value. Bonds that do
not trade very frequently exhibit high liquidity risk. Investors who want to sell their
relatively illiquid bonds face higher liquidity risk than investors in bonds that trade
more frequently.
Reinvestment risk refers to the fact that in a period of falling interest rates, the coupon
payments received during the life of a bond and/or the principal payment received
from a bond that is called early must be reinvested at a lower interest rate than the
bond’s original coupon rate. If market interest rates fall after a bond is issued, bond-
holders will most likely have to reinvest the income received on the bond (the coupon
payment) at the current lower interest rates.
Call risk, sometimes referred to as prepayment risk, refers to the risk that the issuer
will buy back (redeem or call) the bond issue prior to maturity through the exercise
of a call provision. If interest rates fall, issuers may exercise the call provision, so
bondholders will have to reinvest the proceeds in bonds offering lower coupon rates.
Callable bonds, and most mortgage-backed securities based on loans that allow the
borrowers to make loan prepayments in advance of their maturity date, are subject
to prepayment risk.
How do the risks of a bond affect its price in the market? The yield to maturity on
a bond is a function of its maturity and risk. In general, two bonds with the same
maturity and risk should trade at prices that offer approximately the same yield to
maturity. For example, two five-year bonds with the same liquidity and a BBB rating
will trade at approximately equal yields to maturity.
Low-risk bonds, such as many government bonds, trade at relatively lower yields to
maturity, which imply relatively higher prices. Similarly, high-risk bonds, such as junk
bonds, trade at relatively higher yields to maturity, which imply relatively lower prices.
Relative to secured debt, subordinated debt securities offer higher yields to maturity,
which reflect their higher default risk.
300 Chapter 9 ■ Debt Securities
SUMMARY
As the Canadian entrepreneur found out, debt securities are an alternative to bank
loans for raising capital and financing growth. But debt securities generally have more
features than bank loans and must be understood before they are used. Both issuers
and investors need to fully understand the key features and risks of financing with
debt securities. The financial consequences of not doing so can be substantial.
The following points recap what you have learned in this chapter about debt securities:
■■ A typical debt security is characterised by three features: par value, coupon rate,
and maturity date.
■■ Coupon and principal payments must be made on scheduled dates. If the issuer
fails to make the promised payments, it is in default and bondholders may be
able to take legal action to attempt to recover their investment.
■■ Debt securities are classified as either secured debt securities (secured by collat-
eral) or unsecured debt securities (not secured by collateral). Debtholders have
a higher priority claim than equityholders if a company liquidates, but priority
of claims or seniority ranking can vary among debtholders.
■■ Fixed-rate bonds are the most common bonds. They offer fixed coupon pay-
ments based on an interest (or coupon) rate that does not change over time.
These coupon payments are typically paid semiannually.
■■ The only cash flow offered by a zero-coupon bond is a single payment equal to
the bond’s par value to be paid on the bond’s maturity date.
■■ Many bonds come with embedded provisions that provide the issuer or the
bondholder with particular rights, such as to call, put, or convert the bond.
from the debt security. The discount rate used to estimate present value rep-
resents the required rate of return on the debt security based on market condi-
tions and riskiness.
■■ The discount rate that equates the present value of a bond’s promised cash flows
to its market price is called the yield to maturity, or yield. Investors use a bond’s
yield to approximate the annualised return from buying the bond at the current
market price and holding the bond until maturity.
■■ The term structure of interest rates depicts the relationship between govern-
ment bond yields and maturities and is often presented in graphical form as the
yield curve.
■■ The primary risks of investing in debt securities are credit or default risk, inter-
est rate risk, inflation risk, liquidity risk, reinvestment risk, and call risk.
■■ The credit spread is the difference in the yields of two bonds with the same
maturity but different credit quality. Investors commonly assess the credit
spread of risky corporate bonds relative to government bonds, such as US
Treasury bonds.
302 Chapter 9 ■ Debt Securities
A companies.
B central governments.
2 Which of the following entities raises external capital to finance their opera-
tions by issuing a combination of equity and debt securities?
A Companies
B Governments
A Secured debt
B Subordinated debt
4 Which of the following classes of debt securities has the highest ranking in the
priority of claims?
A Secured debt
B Subordinated debt
5 Which debt security promises its investors only one payment over the life of the
bond?
A Fixed-rate bond
B Zero-coupon bond
C Floating-rate bond
A Par value
B Coupon rate
C Coupon payments
7 Bonds with coupon rates linked to a reference rate are best described as:
A fixed-rate bonds.
B floating-rate bonds.
C zero-coupon bonds.
A par value.
A Put
B Call
C Conversion
10 The risk of loss as a result of the bond issuer failing to make timely payments of
interest and/or principal is referred to as:
A call risk.
B credit risk.
A default risk.
B inflation risk.
12 The risk of being unable to sell a bond prior to the maturity date without having
to accept a significant discount to market value best describes:
A credit risk.
B liquidity risk.
13 When valuing debt securities by using the discounted cash flow approach, the
expected cash flows of bonds with:
14 When valuing a fixed-rate bond by using the discounted cash flow approach,
the discount rate used in the valuation is typically the:
15 The rate that equates the present value of a bond’s promised cash flows to its
market price is a bond’s:
A coupon rate.
B current yield.
C yield to maturity.
16 ABC Company issued a 10-year bond at a price of $1,000. A month after issu-
ance, the market price of the bond had dropped to $980. Over the month, the
yield to maturity on the bond:
A increased.
B decreased.
A increase.
B decrease.
C remain unchanged.
A par value.
B yield to maturity.
A yield curve.
B current yield.
C credit spread.
Chapter Review Questions 305
21 If a corporate bond’s default risk increases, its credit spread will most likely:
A decrease.
B remain unchanged.
C increase.
306 Chapter 9 ■ Debt Securities
ANSWERS
4 A is correct. The priority of claims, from highest to lowest of the choices given,
is secured debt, senior unsecured debt, subordinated debt.
6 B is correct. The coupon rate usually remains unchanged. The par value of the
bond, not the coupon rate, is adjusted at each payment date to reflect changes
in inflation, usually measured by a consumer price index. A is incorrect because
the par value is adjusted to reflect changes in inflation. C is incorrect because
the bond’s coupon payments are adjusted for inflation and the fixed coupon rate
is multiplied by the inflation-adjusted par value.
9 B is correct. The call provision provides bond issuers with the right to buy back
the bonds prior to maturity at a prespecified price. A is incorrect because a put
provision provides bondholders with the right to sell their bonds to the issuer
prior to maturity at a pre-specified price. C is incorrect because a conversion
provision provides bondholders with the right to convert the bonds into a pre-
specified number of common shares of the issuing company.
10 B is correct. Credit risk, or default risk, is the risk of loss as a result of the bond
issuer failing to make full and timely payments of interest and/or principal. A is
incorrect because call risk describes the risk to the bondholder that the issuer
will buy back (call) a bond prior to maturity through the exercise of a call pro-
vision. C is incorrect because interest rate risk is the risk that interest rates will
increase, resulting in a decrease in the price of a bond.
11 A is correct. Credit rating agencies assess the credit quality of particular bonds
and issue credit ratings, which help bond investors to assess the bond’s default
risk (or credit risk). B and C are incorrect because although rating agencies
assess inflation and interest rate risk when they analyse the credit quality of a
particular bond, their ratings help investors assess the default risk of the debt
issue.
12 B is correct. Liquidity risk refers to the risk of being unable to sell a bond prior
to the maturity date without having to accept a significant discount to market
value. A is incorrect because credit risk is the risk of loss as a result of the bor-
rower (the bond issuer) failing to make full and timely payments of interest and/
or principal. C is incorrect because interest rate risk refers to the risk associated
with decreases in bond prices as a result of increases in interest rates.
13 C is correct. When estimating the value of a debt security using the discounted
cash flow approach, an analyst or investor must estimate and use an appro-
priate discount rate that reflects the riskiness of the bond’s cash flows. The
expected cash flows of bonds with higher credit risk should be discounted at
relatively higher discount rates. This approach will result in lower estimates
of value. A is incorrect because the expected cash flows of bonds with lower
credit risk should be discounted at relatively lower discount rates. B is incorrect
because the credit risk associated with the expected cash flows of bonds and
the discount rate have a positive, as opposed to inverse, relationship. Thus, the
expected cash flows of bonds with higher credit risk should be discounted at
relatively higher, not lower, discount rates.
14 C is correct. The discount rate used in the valuation is the investor’s required
rate of return on the bond given its riskiness. The expected cash flows of bonds
with higher credit risk should be discounted at relatively higher discount rates,
which results in lower estimates of value. A is incorrect because the coupon rate
is used in determining the bond’s future cash flows. B is incorrect because Libor
is a widely used reference rate to determine the coupon rate for floating-rate
bonds. Libor is not necessarily the discount rate used to value a fixed-rate bond.
15 C is correct. The yield to maturity for a bond is the discount rate that equates
the present value of a bond’s promised cash flows with its market price. Many
investors use a bond’s yield to maturity to approximate the annualised return
from buying a bond at the market price and holding it until maturity. A is
incorrect because the coupon rate determines the periodic coupon payments
308 Chapter 9 ■ Debt Securities
but does not measure the overall return from or reflect the risk of investing in a
bond. B is incorrect because the current yield measures the current year return
calculated as the total annual coupon payment divided by the current market
price of the bond.
16 A is correct. Bond prices and bond yields to maturity are inversely related. As
the price of a bond falls, its yield to maturity increases.
17 B is correct. A bond’s price and the discount rate are inversely related. If the
discount rate increases, the bond’s value, represented by the present value of the
bond’s expected cash flows, will decrease.
19 A is correct. The term structure of interest rates shows how interest rates on
government bonds vary with maturity. The term structure presented in graph-
ical form is referred to as the yield curve. B is incorrect because the bond’s
current yield is calculated as the bond’s annual coupon payment divided by its
current market price. C is incorrect because the credit spread is the difference
between a risky bond’s yield to maturity and the yield to maturity on a govern-
ment bond with the same maturity.
21 C is correct. The difference between a risky bond’s yield to maturity and the
yield to maturity on a government bond with the same maturity is the risky
bond’s credit spread. If the corporate bond’s default risk increases, its credit
spread will also increase to compensate investors for the increased risk of
default.
CHAPTER 10
EQUITY SECURITIES
by Lee M. Dunham, PhD, CFA, and Vijay Singal, PhD, CFA
LEARNING OUTCOMES
INTRODUCTION 1
At some point in their lives, many people participate in the stock market either directly,
such as by buying shares, or indirectly, perhaps by contributing to a retirement plan
or by investing through a mutual fund.1 Whether or not they participate in the stock
market, most people tend to be aware of shares and stock markets because stock
market information, such as stock market indices, is widely reported. As discussed in
the Macroeconomics chapter, stock market indices, which represent the performance
of a group of shares, are useful indicators of the state of the economy.
In addition to borrowing funds, companies may raise external capital to finance their
operations by issuing (selling) equity securities. Issuing shares (also called stock and
shares of stock) is a company’s main way of raising equity capital and shares are the
primary equity securities discussed in this chapter.2
Borrows Money,
Issues Bonds Issues Shares
Debt Equity
Securities Securities
1 Recall from the Investment Industry: A Top-Down View chapter that a mutual fund is a professionally
managed investment vehicle that has investments in a variety of securities. Mutual funds are discussed
further in the Investment Vehicles chapter.
2 Security market indices are discussed further in the Investment Vehicles chapter.
© 2014 CFA Institute. All rights reserved.
312 Chapter 10 ■ Equity Securities
Companies may issue different types of equity securities. The types of equity securities,
or equity-like securities, that companies typically issue are common stock (or com-
mon shares), preferred stock (or preferred shares), convertible bonds, and warrants.
Each of these types is discussed more extensively in the next section. Each type of
equity security has different features attached to it. These features affect a security’s
expected return, risk, and value.
There are four features that characterise and vary among equity securities:
■■ Life
■■ Par value
■■ Voting rights
Life. Many equity securities are issued with an infinite life. In other words, they are
issued without maturity dates. Some equity securities are issued with a maturity date.
Par Value. Equity securities may or may not be issued with a par value. The par value
of a share is the stated value, or face value, of the equity security. In some jurisdictions,
issuing companies are required to assign a par value when issuing shares.
Voting Rights. Some shares give their holders the right to vote on certain matters.
Shareholders do not typically participate in the day-to-day business decisions of large
companies. Instead, shareholders with voting rights collectively elect a group of people,
called the board of directors, whose job it is to monitor the company’s business activ-
ities on behalf of its shareholders. The board of directors is responsible for appointing
the company’s senior management (e.g., chief executive officer and chief operating
officer), who manage the company’s day-to-day business operations. But decisions of
high importance, such as the decision to acquire another company, usually require the
approval of shareholders with voting rights.
Cash Flow Rights. Cash flow rights are the rights of shareholders to distributions,
such as dividends, made by the company. In the event of the company being liquidated,
assets are distributed following a priority of claims, or seniority ranking. This priority
of claims can affect the amount that an investor will receive upon liquidation.
Types of Equity Securities 313
Common shares represent the largest proportion of equity securities by market value.
Large companies often have many common shareholders, each of whom owns a portion
of the company’s total shares. Investors may own common stock of public or private
companies. Shares of public companies typically trade on stock exchanges that facilitate
trading of shares between buyers and sellers. Private companies are typically much
smaller than public companies, and their shares do not trade on stock exchanges. The
ability to sell common shares of public companies on stock exchanges offers potential
shareholders the ability to trade when they want to trade and at a fair price.
Common stock typically provides its owners with voting rights and cash flow rights
in proportion to the size of their ownership stake. Common shareholders usually
have the right to vote on certain matters. Companies often pay out a portion of their
profits each year to their shareholders as dividends; the rights to such distributions
are the shareholders’ cash flow rights. Dividends are typically declared by the board
of directors and vary according to the company’s performance, its reinvestment
needs, and the management’s view on paying dividends. As owners of the underlying
company, common shareholders participate in the performance of the company and
have a residual claim on the company’s liquidated assets after all liabilities (debts) and
other claims with higher seniority have been paid.
Many companies have a single class of common stock and follow the rule of “one
share, one vote”. But some companies may issue different classes of common stock
that provide different cash flow and voting rights. In general, an arrangement in which
a company offers two classes of common stock (e.g., Class A and Class B) typically
provides one class of shareholders with superior voting and/or cash flow rights.
Example 1 describes the two classes of common stock of Berkshire Hathaway and
their cash flow and voting rights.
314 Chapter 10 ■ Equity Securities
BRK.A BRK.B
The reason for having multiple share classes is usually that the company’s original
owner wants to maintain control, as measured by voting power, while still offering
cash flow rights to attract shareholders. In general, for large public companies in which
nearly all shareholders hold small ownership positions, the difference in voting rights
may not be important to shareholders.
Preferred shares are typically issued with an assigned par value. Along with a stated
dividend rate, this par value defines the amount of the annual dividend promised
to preferred shareholders. Preferred share terms may provide the issuing company
with the right to buy back the preferred stock from shareholders at a pre-specified
price, referred to as the redemption price. In general, the pre-specified redemption
price equals the par value for a preferred share. The par value of a preferred share
also typically represents the amount the shareholder would be entitled to receive in
a liquidation, as long as there are sufficient assets to cover the claim.
Preferred shareholders usually receive a fixed dividend, although it is not a legal obli-
gation of the company. The preferred dividend will not increase if the company does
well. If the company is performing poorly, the board of directors is often reluctant to
reduce preferred dividends.
3 These are ticker symbols, which are used to identify a particular stock, share class, or issue on a par-
ticular stock exchange.
Types of Equity Securities 315
Preferred shares differ with respect to the policy on missed dividends, depending on
whether the preferred stock is cumulative or non-cumulative. Cumulative preferred
stock requires that the company pay in full any missed dividends (dividends prom-
ised, but not paid) before paying dividends to common shareholders. In comparison,
non-cumulative preferred stock does not require that missed dividends be paid before
dividends are paid to common shareholders. In a liquidation, preferred shareholder
may have a claim for any unpaid dividends before distributions are made to common
shareholders.
Example 2 provides a variety of the features that can characterise a preferred share
issue. It shows the features of two different issues of Canadian preferred stock.
Par Value
Cumulative/ (Canadian
Issue Non-Cumulative dollars) Annual Dividend Rate Redeemable
Royal Bank of Non-cumulative C$25.00 6.25%, reset after five years Yes, redeemable on or after
Canada, Series B and every five years there- 24 February 2014 at par
after to 3.50% over the five-
year Government of Canada
bond yield
Canadian Cumulative C$25.00 4.90% Yes, redeemable after 1
Utilities Limited, September 2017, redemption
Series AA price begins at C$26.00 and
declines over time to C$25.00
Some companies have more than a single issue of preferred stock. Multiple preferred
stock issues (or rounds) are referred to by series. Each preferred stock issue by a com-
pany usually carries its own dividend, based on stated par value and dividend rate,
and may differ with respect to other features as well.
The number of common shares that the bondholder will receive from converting the
bond is known as the conversion ratio. The conversion ratio may be constant for the
security’s life, or it may change over time. The conversion value (or parity value) of
a convertible bond is the value of the bond if it is converted to common shares. The
conversion value is equal to the conversion ratio times the share price. At conversion,
the bonds are retired (cease to exist) and common shares are issued.
316 Chapter 10 ■ Equity Securities
When a convertible bond is issued, the conversion ratio is set so that its value as a
straight bond (i.e., the value of the bond if it were not convertible) is higher than
its conversion value. If the share price of the company significantly increases, the
conversion value of the bond will rise and may become greater than the value of the
convertible bond as a straight bond. If this happens, converting the bond becomes
attractive. In general, if the conversion value is low relative to the straight bond value,
the convertible bond will trade at a price close to its straight bond value. But if the
conversion value is greater than the straight bond value, the convertible bond will
trade at a value closer to its conversion value.
Because a convertible bond should not trade below its conversion value, bondhold-
ers may choose not to convert into common shares even if the conversion value is
higher than the par (principal) value of the bond. Often, a convertible bond includes
a redemption (buyback) option. The redemption (buyback) option gives the issuing
company the right to buy back (redeem) the convertible bonds, usually at a pre-
specified redemption price and only after a certain amount of time. Convertible bond
issues typically include redemption options so that the issuing company can force
conversion into common shares.
Similar to convertible bonds, some preferred shares include a convertible feature. The
convertible feature provides the shareholder with the option to convert the preferred
share into a specified number of common shares. With this option, a preferred share-
holder may be able to participate in the performance of the company. That is, if the
company is doing well, it may be to a preferred shareholder’s advantage to convert
the preferred share into the specified number of common shares. Also, similar to
convertible bonds, convertible preferred shares typically include a redemption option.
Types of Equity Securities 317
3.4 Warrants
A warrant is an equity-like security that entitles the holder to buy a pre-specified
amount of common stock of the issuing company at a pre-specified per share price
(called the exercise price or strike price) prior to a pre-specified expiration date. A
company may issue warrants to investors to raise capital or to employees as a form
of compensation. The holders of warrants may choose to exercise the rights prior to
the expiration date. A warrant holder will exercise the right only when the exercise
price is equal to or lower than the price of a common share. Otherwise, it would be
cheaper to buy the stock in the market. When a warrant holder exercises the right,
the company issues the pre-specified number of new shares and sells them to the
warrant holder at the exercise price.
Warrants typically have expiration dates several years into the future. In some cases,
companies may attach warrants to a bond issue or a preferred stock issue in an effort
to make the bond or preferred stock more attractive. When issued in this manner,
warrants are known as sweeteners because the inclusion of the warrants typically
allows the issuer to offer a lower coupon rate (interest rate) on a bond issue or a lower
annual fixed dividend on a preferred stock issue.
Example 4 describes the use of warrants to make a deal more attractive to an investor.
EXAMPLE 4. WARRANTS
Depositary receipts are not issued by the company and do not raise capital for the
company, but rather, they are issued by financial institutions. Depositary receipts
facilitate trading of a company’s stock in countries other than the country where the
company is located. Depositary receipts are often referred to as global depositary
receipts (GDRs), but may be called by different names in different countries. In the
United States, GDRs are known as American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) or American
depositary shares. Depositary receipts are generally similar globally but may vary
slightly because of different laws.
Now we will consider how depositary receipts are created and work, using the example
of Sony and Mexican investors. Mexican investors may want to invest in the stock of
Sony, a Japanese company, but Sony’s stock is not listed on the Mexican Stock Exchange.
Buying Sony stock on the Tokyo Stock Exchange is expensive and inconvenient for
Mexican investors. To make this process easier, a financial institution in Mexico, such
as a bank, can buy Sony’s stock on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and make it available
to Mexican investors. Rather than making the shares directly available for trading on
the Mexican Stock Exchange, the bank holds the shares in custody and issues GDRs
against the shares held. The Sony GDRs issued by the custodian bank are listed on
the Mexican Stock Exchange for trading. In essence, the Sony GDRs trade like the
stock of a domestic company on the Mexican Stock Exchange in the local currency
(Mexican peso).
Depositary receipts, like the shares they are based on, have no maturity date (i.e., they
have an infinite life). Depositary receipts typically do not offer their owners any voting
rights even though they essentially represent common stock ownership; the custodian
financial institution usually retains the voting rights associated with the stock.
Example 5 describes the depositary receipt of Vodafone Group in the United States.
Exhibit 1 shows the three main types of securities and their typical cash flow and
voting rights.
The return potential for both debt securities and preferred stock is limited because
the cash flows (interest, dividends, and repayment of par value) do not increase if
the company performs well. The return potential to common shareholders is higher
because the share price rises if the company performs well. Relative to holders of debt
securities and preferred stock, common shareholders expect a higher return but must
accept greater risk. The voting rights of common shareholders may give them some
influence over the company’s business decisions and thereby somewhat reduce risk.
Debt securities are the least risky because the cash flows are contractually obligated.
Preferred stock is less risky than common stock because it ranks higher than common
stock with respect to the payment of dividends. The risk of preferred stock is also
reduced to some degree by the expectation of a dividend each year. Although the
dividend is not a contractual obligation, companies are reluctant to omit dividends
on preferred shares. Common stock is considered the riskiest of the three because it
ranks last with respect to the payment of dividends and distribution of net assets if
the company is liquidated.
In the event of the company being liquidated, assets are distributed following a prior-
ity of claims, or seniority ranking. This priority of claims can affect the amount that
an investor will receive upon liquidation. Exhibit 2 illustrates the priority of claims.
320 Chapter 10 ■ Equity Securities
1. Secured Debt
Unsecured Debt
2. Senior Unsecured Debt
6. Common Stock
Debt capital is borrowed money and represents a contractual liability of the company.
Debt investors thus have a higher claim on the company’s assets than equity investors.4
After the claims of debt investors have been satisfied, preferred stock investors are
next in line to receive what they are due. Common shareholders are last in line and
known as the residual claimants in a company. Common shareholders share propor-
tionately in the remaining assets after all other claims have been satisfied. If funds are
insufficient to pay off all claims, equity investors will likely receive only a fraction of
their investment back or may even lose their entire investment. Accordingly, investing
in equity securities is riskier than investing in corporate debt securities.
Equity investors are at least protected by limited liability, which means that higher
claimants, particularly debt investors, cannot recover money from other assets
belonging to the shareholders if the company’s assets are insufficient to fully cover
their claims.5 Because a company is a legal entity separate from its shareholders, it
is responsible, at the corporate level, for all company liabilities. By legally separating
the shareholders from the company, an individual shareholder’s liability is limited to
the amount he or she invested. So, shareholders cannot lose more money than they
have invested in the company.
It is important to note that limited liability of shareholders can actually increase the
losses of debt investors as the company approaches bankruptcy. As a company moves
closer to a bankruptcy filing, shareholders do not have any incentive to maintain or
upgrade the assets of the company because doing so might require additional capital,
which they might be unwilling to invest. The consequent deterioration in asset quality
hurts debt investors because the liquidation value of the company decreases. Debt
investors are thus motivated to closely monitor the company’s actions to ensure that
the company operates in accordance with the debt contract.
Given the fact that equity securities are riskier than debt securities, shareholders
expect to earn higher returns on equity securities over the long term. Because equity
is riskier than debt, risk-averse investors may prefer debt securities to equity securi-
ties. However, although debt is safer than equity for a given entity, debt securities are
not risk-free; they are subject to many risk factors, which are discussed in the Debt
Securities chapter.
Exhibit 3 shows annualised historical return and risk data on various equity and debt
indices for the 1980–2010 period. Recall from the Quantitative Concepts chapter that
the standard deviation of returns is often used as a measure of risk. The shaded rows
in Exhibit 3 present return and risk data (based on standard deviation of returns) for
six equity indices. The non-shaded rows present return and risk data for three bond
indices.
Standard
Deviation of
Index Annual Return Returns
S&P 500 10.80% 15.60%
Russell 2000 10.35 19.94
MSCI Europe 10.81 17.80
Equity
MSCI Pacific Basin 7.89 21.13
FTSE All World 7.26 15.98
MSCI EAFE 7.09 17.71
Lehman Brothers Corporate Bond 8.82 7.23
Barclays Capital Government Bond 8.15 5.51 Debt
Merrill Lynch World Government Bond 7.88 7.04
Source: Frank K. Reilly and Keith C. Brown, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management, 10th
ed. (Mason, OH: South-Western Cengage Learning, 2012).
The data are generally consistent with the expectation that riskier investments should
generate higher returns over the long term. For the United States and Europe, annual
equity returns (first three shaded indices) were higher than annual bond returns
(non-shaded indices). Annual equity returns exhibited higher risk than annual debt
returns. Note that for the three indices that include emerging economies (the last
three shaded indices), however, annual equity returns were marginally lower than
annual bond returns but more risky.
Exhibit 4 presents annual real returns (returns adjusted for inflation) on equity securities
and government long-term bonds for 19 countries, Europe, the world, and the world
excluding the United States (ex-US) for 1900–2010. Equity returns over the period
are higher than government bond returns within every country and region. The real
return (return adjusted for inflation) of equity securities ranged from approximately
2% to 7%. The real returns of government bonds ranged from approximately –2%
(that is, they failed to cover inflation) to +3%. On average, government bonds have
322 Chapter 10 ■ Equity Securities
beaten inflation, earning a modest positive real return per year. But in some countries,
the return to bondholders was not sufficient to cover inflation, so bondholders lost
purchasing power.
6
Real Annualised Return (%)
–2
–4
Italy
Belgium
Germany
France
Spain
Ireland
Japan
Norway
Switzerland
Europe
Netherlands
World ex-US
Denmark
United Kingdom
Finland
World
New Zealand
Canada
United States
Sweden
South Africa
Australia
Equities Bonds
Source: E. Dimson, P. Marsh, and M. Staunton, Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Sourcebook 2011 (Zurich: Credit Suisse Research
Institute, 2011).
Valuing common shares is a complex process because of their infinite life and the
difficulty of estimating future company performance. There are three basic approaches
to valuing common shares:
■■ Relative valuation
■■ Asset-based valuation
Analysts frequently use more than one approach to estimate the value of a common
share. Once an estimate of value has been determined, it can be compared with the
current price of the share, assuming that the share is publicly traded, to determine
whether the share is overvalued, undervalued, or fairly valued.
Valuation of Common Shares 323
Common shareholders expect to receive two types of cash flows from investing in
equity securities: dividends and the proceeds from selling their shares. Example 6
illustrates the application of the DCF approach, using estimates of dividends and
selling price, for a common share of Volkswagen.
The estimated value of a Volkswagen share using the DCF valuation approach
is equal to the present value of the cash flows the investor expects to receive
from the equity investment. The investor computes the present value of the
expected cash flows as follows:
4.00 4.20 4.50 150.00
Value = + + + = €111.02
1 2 3
(1 + 0.14) (1 + 0.14) (1 + 0.14) (1 + 0.14)3
Estimated Estimated
Stock Value Stock Price
€111.02 €150.00
€4.00 €4.20 €4.50
The DCF valuation approach can also be used to value preferred shares. Valuing pre-
ferred shares is typically easier than for common shares because the expected dividends
are specified and do not change over time. The value of a preferred share, with a fixed
dividend and no maturity date, is the discounted value of the future dividends, which
is equal to the dividend divided by the discount rate.
The investor estimates the value of Ford common stock, on a per share basis,
is $14.40 (= $1.60 × 9). It is important to note that even though the P/E is 9 in
both examples, this does not mean that 9 is a typical P/E.
One issue with the use of the relative valuation approach is that price multiples change
with investor sentiment. Companies trade at higher multiples and as a result of higher
market prices when investors are optimistic and at lower multiples and prices when
investors are pessimistic.
The difference between total assets and total liabilities on a company’s balance sheet
represents shareholders’ equity, or the book value of equity. But the values of some
assets on the balance sheet are based on historical cost (the cost when they were pur-
chased), and the actual market value of these assets may be very different. For instance,
the value of land on a company’s balance sheet, typically carried at historical cost,
may be quite different from its current market value. As a result, estimating the value
of the equity of a company using asset values taken directly from the balance sheet
may provide a misleading estimate. To improve the accuracy of the value estimate,
current market values can be estimated instead.
Also, some assets may not be included on the balance sheet because of financial
reporting rules. For instance, some internally developed intangible assets, such as a
brand or reputation, are not listed in the financial reports. It is important that analysts
using asset-based valuation estimate reasonable values for all of a company’s assets,
which can be very challenging to do.
326 Chapter 10 ■ Equity Securities
The relative valuation approach does not estimate future cash flows but instead uses
price multiples of other comparable, publicly traded companies to arrive at an estimate
of equity value. These price multiples rely on performance measures, such as EPS or
revenue per share, to estimate value. The relative valuation approach implicitly assumes
that common shares of companies with similar risk and return characteristics should
have similar price multiples.
Companies undertake major changes as they grow, evolve, mature, or merge with
another company. Some of these changes result in changes to the number of common
shares outstanding—the number of common shares currently held by shareholders.
Various corporate actions can affect equity outstanding:
■■ Selling shares to the public for the first time (when a private company becomes
a public company), referred to as an initial public offering (IPO)
■■ Selling shares to the public in an offering subsequent to the initial public offer-
ing, referred to as a seasoned equity offering or secondary equity offering
Each of these actions and their effects are discussed in the following sections.
Private companies become publicly traded companies for a number of reasons. First,
it gives the company more visibility, which makes it easier to raise capital to fund
growth opportunities. It also helps attract talented staff, raise brand awareness, and
gain credibility with trading partners. In addition, it provides greater liquidity for
shareholders who want to sell their shares or buy additional shares. At or after the
IPO, some of the original shareholders may choose to sell some of their shares. The
fact that the shares now trade in a public market makes the shares more liquid and
thus easier to sell.
$566 Million
(7%)
Money Raised after Costs
Transaction Costs
$7,330 Million
Example 9 gives an example of a seasoned equity offering and the associated costs.
328 Chapter 10 ■ Equity Securities
$183 Million
(‹2%)
$11,823 Million
To buy back shares, a company can buy shares on the open market just like other inves-
tors or it can make a formal offer for repurchase directly to shareholders. Shareholders
may choose to sell their shares or to remain invested in the company. For an existing
investor who does not sell shares, the decrease in the number of shares outstanding
effectively increases that investor’s ownership percentage.
× $50 = $1,000,000), assuming that the company can buy the shares at their
current market value. After the repurchase, the number of shares outstanding
would decrease to 1.98 million (2 million – 20,000).
When a company splits its stock or issues a stock dividend, the number of shares
outstanding increases and additional shares are issued proportionally to existing
shareholders based on their current ownership percentages. The overall value of
the company should not change, so the price of each share should decrease. But the
value of any single shareholder’s total shares should not change in value. Example 11
illustrates the effects of a stock split and a stock dividend on the stock price, number
of shares, and total shareholder value.
A company has 24,000 shares outstanding and each share trades at €75.00. An
investor owns 900 shares.
Stock Split
The company announces a three-for-two stock split. This means for every two
shares the investor currently owns, she will receive three shares in replacement.
So, she will have 1,350 shares after the stock split.
(900/2) × 3 = 1,350 shares
Stock Dividend
The company declares a 50% stock dividend—that is, for every share the investor
currently owns, she will receive an additional 0.5 shares. In other words, she
will have 1,350 shares.
900 × 1.5 = 1,350 shares
The effects of the stock split and stock dividend are shown in the following
table.
330 Chapter 10 ■ Equity Securities
As Example 11 illustrates, a stock split or stock dividend does not change each share-
holder’s proportional ownership of the company. Shareholders do not invest any addi-
tional money for the increased number of shares, and the stock split or stock dividend
does not have any effect on the company’s operations. The total value of the company’s
shares and an investor’s shares are unchanged by the stock split or stock dividend.
Given that stock splits and stock dividends do not have any effect on company oper-
ations or value, why do you think companies take these actions? One explanation is
that as a company does well and its assets and profits increase, the stock price is likely
to increase. At some point, the stock price may get so high that shares become unaf-
fordable to some investors and liquidity decreases. A stock split or stock dividend will
have the effect of lowering a company’s stock price, making the stock more affordable
to investors, and thereby improving liquidity.
Companies with very low stock prices may conduct a reverse stock split to increase
their stock price. In this case, the company reduces the number of shares outstanding.
The primary reason for a reverse stock split is that a company may face the risk of
having its shares delisted from a public exchange if its stock price falls below a min-
imum level dictated by the exchange. After the reverse stock split, shareholders will
still own the same proportion of the shares they originally owned. In other words,
a reverse stock split reduces the number of shares outstanding but does not affect a
shareholder’s proportional ownership of the company. After a reverse stock split, the
stock price should increase by the same multiple as the reverse stock split. Example 12
describes a 1-for-10 reverse stock split by Citigroup.
Company Actions That Affect Equity Outstanding 331
6.6 Acquisitions
One company may acquire another by agreeing to buy all of its shares outstanding.
All of the outstanding shares of the acquired company are redeemed for cash, for
stock in the acquiring company, or for a combination of cash and stock of the acquir-
ing company. Shareholders of the acquiring company and the target company (the
company to be acquired) are typically asked to vote on a proposed acquisition. If the
company being acquired is small and the acquirer has sufficient cash, there is no need
to issue new shares.
For larger acquisitions, the acquiring company may pay for the purchase by issuing
new shares. The amount of new shares issued depends on the purchase price and the
ratio of the two companies’ stock prices. An acquisition in which the company uses
its stock to finance the transaction results in an increase in the acquiring company’s
shares outstanding. For existing shareholders in the acquiring company, the increased
shares outstanding effectively dilutes their ownership percentage.
6.7 Spinoffs
A company may create a new company from an existing subsidiary in a process referred
to as a spinoff. Shares of the new entity are distributed to the parent company’s existing
shareholders. After the spinoff, the value of the shares of the parent company initially
declines as the assets of the parent company are reduced by the amount allocated to
the new company. But shareholders receive the shares of the newly formed company
to compensate them for the decrease in value.
332 Chapter 10 ■ Equity Securities
A company’s management may conduct a spinoff in an effort to create value for its
shareholders by splitting the company into two separate businesses. The rationale
behind a spinoff is that the market may assign a higher valuation to two separate but
more specialised companies compared with the value assigned to these entities when
they were part of the parent company.
SUMMARY
Equity securities are an important way for companies to raise financing to fund their
activities. They are also popular assets among investors, who are attracted by their
potential returns. However, equities are riskier than debt securities and must be
analysed with care and skill.
The following points recap what you have learned in this chapter about equity securities:
■■ Companies often issue different types or classes of equity securities. The types
of equity securities, or equity-like securities, that companies may issue include
common shares, preferred shares, convertible bonds, and warrants.
■■ Equity securities are typically characterised by four main features: specified life
(infinite or with a maturity date), par value, voting rights, and cash flow rights.
■■ Debt securities include contractual obligations to pay a return to the debt pro-
viders. Equity securities, however, contain no such contractual obligations. A
company does not have to repay the amounts contributed by the shareholders
or pay a dividend.
■■ Preferred shares typically offer fixed dividends, based on stated par values and
dividend rates. Generally, preferred shareholders have no voting rights or own-
ership claim on the company.
■■ In the event of liquidation, priority of claims states that debt investors rank
higher than preferred shareholders and preferred shareholders rank higher than
common shareholders.
■■ Relative to preferred stock, common stocks offer the potential for a higher
return but with greater investment risk.
■■ Equity securities are riskier than debt securities, and empirical data suggest that
equity securities earn higher returns than debt securities, thereby compensating
investors for the higher risk.
■■ The discounted cash flow approach estimates the value of a security as the pres-
ent value of its expected future cash flows to its holder.
■■ The relative valuation approach estimates the value of a common share as the
multiple of some measure, such as earnings per share. This approach implicitly
assumes that common shares of companies with similar risk and return charac-
teristics should have similar price multiples.
■■ Some corporate actions result in changes to the number of common shares out-
standing. Such actions include initial public offerings, seasoned equity offerings,
share repurchases, stock splits, stock dividends, acquisitions, and spinoffs.
334 Chapter 10 ■ Equity Securities
1 Which of the following securities most likely provides voting rights to investors?
A Common shares
B Preferred shares
C Depositary receipts
A senior management.
B common shareholders.
C preferred shareholders.
A Low risk
B Finite life
C Limited liability
A voting rights.
A voting rights.
B limited liability.
6 All else being equal, the fixed coupon rate on a convertible bond compared with
a straight bond is most likely:
A lower.
B the same.
C higher.
A equal.
B lower.
C higher.
A warrant.
B convertible bond.
C depositary receipt.
A governments.
B financial institutions.
A increases.
B decreases.
C remains unchanged.
A warrants.
B convertible bonds.
C depositary receipts.
A less risky.
B more risky.
C equally risky.
336 Chapter 10 ■ Equity Securities
A equal.
B lower.
C higher.
15 The approach to valuing common shares that uses price multiples of other com-
parable, publicly traded companies best describes:
A relative valuation.
B asset-based valuation.
16 A company that needs to raise capital in a public market for the first time would
most likely:
A repurchase shares.
A stock dividend.
B share repurchase.
A Share repurchase
B Exercise of warrants
A increase.
B decrease.
C remain unchanged.
A spinoff.
B stock split.
21 The corporate action most likely taken to mitigate the effects of exercised war-
rants is:
A a stock dividend.
ANSWERS
4 B is correct. Cumulative preferred stock requires that the company pay in full
any missed dividends (dividends promised but not paid in prior years) before
paying dividends to common shareholders. By comparison, non-cumulative
(or straight) preferred stock does not require that missed dividends from prior
years be paid before dividends are paid to common shareholders. A is incorrect
because preferred shareholders are usually not entitled to voting rights, irre-
spective of whether the preferred stock is cumulative or non-cumulative. C is
incorrect because the redemption feature (that is, the company’s ability to buy
back the preferred shares) is unrelated to the distinction between cumulative
and non-cumulative preferred stock.
12 A is correct. Preferred shares are less risky than common shares because they
rank higher than common shares with respect to the payment of dividends and
distribution of net assets upon liquidation. The risk of preferred shares is also
reduced to some degree by the expectation of a fixed dividend each year.
16 B is correct. An initial public offering (IPO) is a way for a company to raise cap-
ital in a public market for the first time. In the process, the company becomes a
publicly traded company. A is incorrect because share repurchases require the
company to use capital to buy back (or repurchase) shares from existing share-
holders. C is incorrect because publicly traded companies may raise additional
capital by selling additional shares in a seasoned (or secondary) equity offering
subsequent to the IPO.
17 C is correct. The selling of new shares to the public by a publicly traded com-
pany to raise additional capital is referred to as a seasoned (or secondary) equity
offering. A and B are incorrect because stock dividends and share repurchases
do not raise additional capital for the company. In a stock dividend, the com-
pany distributes new shares at no cost to existing shareholders. In a share
repurchase, the company buys back (or repurchases) shares from existing
shareholders.
19 C is correct. A stock split replaces one existing common share with a specified
number of common shares. It increases the number of shares outstanding but
does not change any single shareholder’s proportion of ownership.
outstanding but does not change any single shareholder’s proportional owner-
ship. A stock dividend does nothing to mitigate the dilution effect created by
the exercise of warrants. B is incorrect because issuing new shares compounds
the effect of the exercised warrants, increasing the dilution effect on existing
shareholders.
CHAPTER 11
DERIVATIVES
by Vijay Singal, PhD, CFA
LEARNING OUTCOMES
INTRODUCTION 1
When you plan a vacation, you do not usually wait until you get to your planned des-
tination to book a room. Booking a hotel room in advance provides assurance that a
room will be available and locks in the price. Your action reduces uncertainty (risk)
for you. It also reduces uncertainty for the hotel. Now imagine that you are a wheat
farmer and want to reduce some of the risk of farming. You might presell some of
your crop at a fixed price. In fact, contracts to reduce the uncertainty of agricultural
products have been traced back to the 16th century. These contracts on agricultural
products may be the oldest form of what are known as derivatives contracts or, sim-
ply, derivatives.
Derivatives are contracts that derive their value from the performance of an underly-
ing asset, event, or outcome—hence their name. Since the development of derivatives
contracts to help reduce risk for farmers, the uses and types of derivatives contracts
and the size of the derivatives market have increased significantly. Derivatives are no
longer just about reducing risk, but form part of the investment strategies of many
fund managers.
The size of the global derivatives market is now around $800 trillion. To put this figure
in context, the combined value of every exchange-listed company in the United States
is around $23 trillion.1 Given their sheer volume, derivatives are very important to
financial markets and the work of investment professionals.
Let us continue the story of the wheat farmer. The farmer anticipates having at least
50,000 bushels of wheat available for sale in mid-September, six months from now.
Wheat is currently trading in the market at $9.00 per bushel, which is the spot price.
The farmer has no way of knowing what the market price of wheat will be in six months.
The farmer finds a cereal producer that needs wheat and is willing to contract to buy
1 Information from “Centrally Cleared Derivatives: Clear and Present Danger”, Economist (4 April 2012).
© 2014 CFA Institute. All rights reserved.
346 Chapter 11 ■ Derivatives
50,000 bushels of wheat at a price of $8.50 per bushel in six months. The contract
provides a hedge for both the farmer and the cereal producer. A hedge is an action
that reduces uncertainty or risk.
Underlying
But what if the farmer cannot find someone who actually needs the wheat? The farmer
might still find a counterparty that is willing to enter into a contract to buy the wheat
in the future at an agreed on price. This counterparty may anticipate being able to sell
the wheat at a higher price in the market than the price agreed on with the farmer.
This counterparty may be called a speculator. This counterparty is not hedging risk but
is instead taking on risk in anticipation of earning a return. But there is no guarantee
of a return. Even if the price in the market is lower than the price agreed on with the
farmer, the counterparty has to buy the wheat at the agreed on price and then may
have to sell it at a loss.
Derivatives allow companies and investors to manage future risks related to raw material
prices, product prices, interest rates, exchange rates, and even uncontrollable factors,
such as weather. They also allow investors to gain exposure to underlying assets while
committing much less capital and incurring lower transaction costs than if they had
invested directly in the assets.
There are four main types of derivatives contracts: forward contracts (forwards), futures
contracts (futures), option contracts (options), and swap contracts (swaps). Each of
these will be discussed in the following sections. All derivatives contracts specify four
key terms: the (1) underlying, (2) size and price, (3) expiration date, and (4) settlement.
Key Terms of Derivatives Contracts 347
3.1 Underlying
Derivatives are constructed based on an underlying, which is specified in the contract.
Originally, all derivatives were based only on tangible assets, but now some contracts
are based on outcomes. Examples of underlyings include the following:
■■ Agricultural products (such as wheat, rice, soybeans, cotton, butter, and milk)
■■ Currencies
■■ Interest rates
■■ Bond indices
■■ Natural resources (such as crude oil, natural gas, gold, silver, and timber)
A derivative’s underlying must be clearly defined because quality can vary. For example,
crude oil is classified by specific attributes, such as its American Petroleum Institute
(API) gravity, specific gravity, and sulphur content; Brent crude oil, light sweet crude
oil, and crude oil are different underlyings. Similarly, there is a difference between
Black Sea Wheat, Soft Red Winter Wheat No. 1 and No.2, and KC Hard Red Winter
Wheat No. 1 and No. 2.
3.4 Settlement
Settlement describes how a contract is satisfied at expiration. Some contracts require
settlement by physical delivery of the underlying and other contracts allow for or
even require cash settlement. If physical delivery to settle is possible, the contract will
348 Chapter 11 ■ Derivatives
Forwards and futures involve obligations in the future on the part of both parties to
the contract. Forward and futures contracts are sometimes termed forward commit-
ments or bilateral contracts because both parties have a commitment in the future.
Bilateral contracts expose each party to the risk that the other party will not fulfil the
contractual agreement.
4.1 Forwards
A forward contract is an agreement between two parties in which one party agrees
to buy from the seller an underlying at a later date for a price established at the start
of the contract. The future date can be in one month, in one year, in five years, or at
any other specified date. Investors primarily use forward contracts to lock in the price
of an underlying and to gain certainty about future financial outcomes. Example 1
continues the story of the farmer and describes a forward contract between the farmer
and a cereal producer.
The contract between the farmer and cereal producer for 50,000 bushels of
wheat in mid-September, six months from now, at $8.50 per bushel is a forward
contract. The underlying is wheat, the size is 50,000 bushels, the exercise price
is $8.50 per bushel, the expiration date is mid-September, and settlement will
be with physical delivery. In September, the farmer will deliver the wheat to the
cereal producer and receive $8.50 per bushel.
Forwards and Futures 349
Underlying
2 Over-the-counter markets are also called quote-driven markets and dealer markets. They are called
over-the-counter markets because in the past, securities literally traded over a counter in a dealer’s office.
Traders call them quote-driven and dealer markets because customers trade at the prices quoted by dealers.
More information about dealer markets, quote-driven markets, and dealers is provided in The Functioning
of Financial Markets chapter.
350 Chapter 11 ■ Derivatives
If at expiration of the forward contract, the price in the market for a bushel of
wheat is $8.50 per bushel, neither the farmer nor the cereal producer would be
better off transacting in the spot market, but neither lost anything.
But if at expiration of the forward contract, the price in the market for a
bushel of wheat is $9.00 per bushel, the farmer loses $0.50 per bushel relative to
the spot price. In other words, the farmer could have sold the wheat for $9.00
per bushel rather than the $8.50 per bushel agreed on in the forward contract.
The cereal producer gains $0.50 per bushel relative to the spot price because the
producer only pays $8.50 per bushel rather than the $9.00 spot price.
Similarly, if at expiration of the forward contract the price in the market for
a bushel of wheat is $8.00 per bushel, the farmer gains and the cereal producer
loses $0.50 per bushel relative to the spot price.
Forwards and Futures 351
Given the possibility of losing money relative to the future spot price, why
do the farmer and cereal producer enter into the forward contract? Because
each is more concerned about eliminating the uncertainty related to the sale
price and purchase price of wheat in six months, which is valuable in making
investment and production decisions. This certainty is more important to them
than winning or losing relative to the future spot price.
4.2 Futures
What if the farmer could not identify a party that wanted to be on the other side of
the contract? Futures markets may provide the solution. A futures contract is similar
to a forward contract in that it is an agreement that obligates the seller, at a specified
future date, to deliver to the buyer a specified underlying in exchange for the specified
futures price. The buyer of the contract is obligated to take delivery of the underlying,
and the seller of the contract is obligated to deliver the underlying, although settle-
ment may be with cash. The main difference is that futures contracts are standardised
contracts that trade on exchanges. The buyers and sellers do not necessarily know who
is on the other side of the contract. Because the contracts are traded on exchanges,
they are liquid and it is possible for a buyer or seller to close out a position by taking
the opposite side. In other words, the buyer of a contract can sell the same contract
and the seller of a contract can buy the same contract.
The amount deposited on the day that the transaction occurs is called the initial margin.
The initial margin should be sufficient to protect the exchange against movements
in the underlying’s price. The exchange sets the margin amount depending on the
underlying’s price volatility—the greater the underlying’s price volatility, the higher
the margin.
Another way of reducing the counterparty risk for futures contracts is by marking to
market daily. Marking to market means that profits or losses on futures contracts are
settled at the end of every business day, which has the effect of resetting the contract
price and cash flows to buyers and sellers. At the end of each day, the exchange estab-
lishes a settlement price based on the closing trades and determines the difference
between the current settlement price and the previous day’s settlement price. The
buyer’s and seller’s margin accounts are adjusted to reflect the change in settlement
price and whether it was to their advantage or disadvantage. Marking to market con-
tinues until the contract expires.
If at any time the balance in an account falls below a pre-specified amount, the exchange
will ask the customer to submit additional funds. If the customer does not do so, the
futures position is closed. Daily marking to market reduces counterparty risk and
administrative overhead for the exchange. The result is enhanced trading, increased
liquidity, and reduced transaction costs on futures contracts.
Standardised terms of futures contracts include the underlying; size, price, and expira-
tion date of the contract; and settlement. A number of different standardised contracts
may trade for an underlying on an exchange, but standardisation of futures contracts
reduces the number of contract types available for the same underlying. Typically,
each of the contracts is the same with respect not only to the underlying but also to
size and settlement. Exercise price and expiration date may vary among contracts.
Specifying the underlying in a futures contract includes defining the quality of the
asset so that the buyer and seller have little room for confusion regarding pricing and
physical delivery. Certain deviations from the default quality standards are permitted
with adjustments in price. In addition, the contract specifies the delivery locations
and the period within which delivery must be made. The size of a futures contract is
set by the exchange to ensure a tradable quantity of adequate value.
The other terms may vary across the different contracts. Futures typically expire every
quarter, usually on the third Wednesday of March, June, September, and December. In
addition, many end-of-month futures are available. Standardised contracts may exist
that only differ on the specified price. A contract’s net initial value to each party should
be zero; cash may be paid by one of the parties to enter into the contract depending
on how the exercise price compares with the current settlement price.
Example 3 describes futures contracts on wheat along with actions of and cash flows
for the farmer and cereal producer. The cash flows include those in the marking-to-
market process. For simplicity, the price of wheat changes only twice over the life
of the contract and at expiration. In reality, the price is likely to change daily, with
resulting changes to the accounts of the farmer and cereal producer.
Forwards and Futures 353
■■ Expiration: March (H), May (K), July (N), September (U), and December
(Z)
The farmer and the cereal producer find contracts that expire in September
with exercise prices ranging from 550.0 cents to 1100.00 cents. The farmer
decides to sell 10 contracts with an exercise price of 850.0 cents. This means the
farmer has a contract for the delivery of 50,000 bushels of wheat or their cash
settlement equivalent. The cereal producer decides to buy 10 contracts with an
exercise price of 850.0 cents.
The farmer and the cereal producer do not transact directly with each other,
but through an exchange. The current spot price of wheat is 900.0 cents per
bushel. Because a contract’s net initial value to each party should be zero, the
farmer has to give the exchange 50.0 cents per bushel and the exchange puts
50.0 cents into the cereal producer’s account. The effective receipt to the farmer
and cost to the cereal producer is 850.0 cents per bushel if the contract expires
today. In addition, each is required to deposit an additional amount as collateral
with the exchange to protect the exchange, which takes on the counterparty
risk to the contract.
The price of wheat remains unchanged for two months and then changes
to 875.0 cents per bushel, a decrease of 25.0 cents from the initial spot price of
900.0 cents. The farmer’s account is increased by 25.0 cents per bushel and the
cereal producer’s account is reduced by 25.0 cents per bushel. After another two
months, the price per bushel increases to 925.0 cents per bushel, an increase of
50.0 cents from the previous spot price of 875.0 cents. So, the farmer’s account is
reduced by 50.0 cents per bushel and the cereal producer’s account is increased
by 50.0 cents per bushel.
At expiration, the price per bushel is 910.0 cents per bushel, a decrease in
price of 15.0 cents from the previous spot price of 925.0 cents. The farmer’s
account is increased by 15.0 cents per bushel and the cereal producer’s account
is reduced by 15.0 cents per bushel. The farmer has settled over time by paying
in net 60 cents (= –50.0 + 25.0 – 50.0 + 15.0). The cereal producer has received
over time net 60 cents. Each will receive back the additional amount deposited
to protect the exchange.
354 Chapter 11 ■ Derivatives
The farmer and the cereal producer are each in the same position as they
would have been under the forward contract. The farmer can sell the wheat in
the spot market for 910.0 cents per bushel and paid 60 cents per bushel to set-
tle the futures contract. The farmer has a net receipt of 850.0 cents per bushel.
Similarly, the cereal producer can buy the wheat in the spot market for 910.0
cents per bushel and received 60 cents per bushel to settle the futures contract.
So, the cereal producer has a net cost of 850.0 cents per bushel.
For hedgers that are trying to reduce or eliminate risk, standardisation makes it dif-
ficult to precisely hedge a position. For non-hedging investors who are entering into
contracts expecting compensation for taking the opposite side of a hedge or who are
taking a position based on expectations about future performance of an underlying,
standardisation of the contracts is not problematic.
Liquidity. Forward contracts trade in the over-the-counter market and are illiquid.
Futures contracts are relatively liquid; they trade on exchanges and can be bought and
sold at times other than initiation. An investor can close out (cancel) a position using
futures contracts relatively easily.
Counterparty Risk. Counterparty risk is potentially very high in forward contracts. That
is, the risk that one party may be unwilling or unable to fulfil its contractual obligations.
Futures contracts have lower counterparty risk. The presence of an exchange or a clear-
ing house as the intermediary for all buyers and all sellers helps reduce counterparty
risk. Counterparty risk cannot be eliminated completely, however, because there is
always a remote chance that the exchange fails to fulfil its own contractual obligations.
3 Recall from the Economics of International Trade chapter that the bid price is the price at which a dealer
is prepared to buy, and the ask (or offer) price is the price at which a dealer is prepared to sell.
Option Contracts 355
Timing of Cash Flows. Forward contracts have no cash flows except at maturity.
Futures contracts are marked to market daily. It is important to note that if forward
and futures contracts with identical terms are held to maturity, the final outcome is the
same. For a forward contract, the entire effect of changing prices is taken into account
at maturity, whereas for a futures contract, the effect of changing prices is taken into
account on an ongoing basis.
Settlement. Forward contracts may settle with physical delivery or cash settlement.
Futures contracts are typically settled with cash.
Similarities Differences
■■ Both types of contracts exist on a wide ■■ Forwards are customised contracts that
range of underlyings, including shares, trade in private over-the-counter mar-
bonds, agricultural products, and kets, whereas futures are standardised
precious and industrial metals, among contracts that trade on exchanges.
others.
■■ Counterparty risk is high with forward
■■ For both types of contracts, both the contracts, but limited with futures
buyer and seller have obligations. contracts. Requirements imposed by
exchanges, such as initial and main-
■■ Both types of contracts allow locking in tenance margins and daily marking to
a price today for a transaction that will market, reduce the counterparty risk
occur in the future. associated with futures contracts.
OPTION CONTRACTS 5
What if the farmer does not want to lock in the price because the farmer thinks the
price of wheat is going to increase? But the farmer does want to make sure that at
least a certain amount is received for the wheat. Similarly, the cereal producer thinks
that the price of wheat is going to decrease, but wants to make sure that no more than
a certain amount is paid. Option markets may provide the solution for both parties.
Options give one party (the buyer) to the contract the right to demand an action from
the other party (the seller) in the future. In an option contract, the buyer of the option
has the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying. Options are termed
356 Chapter 11 ■ Derivatives
unilateral contracts because only one party to the contract (the seller) has a future
commitment that, if broken, represents a breach of contract. Unilateral contracts
expose only the buyer to the risk that the seller will not fulfil the contractual agreement.
The buyer of the contract will exercise the right or option if conditions are favourable
or if specified conditions are met. For this reason, options are also known as contingent
claims—that is, claims are dependant on future conditions. If the buyer decides to use
(exercise) the option, the seller is obligated to satisfy the option buyer’s claim. If the
buyer decides not to exercise the option, it expires without any action by the seller.
Options may trade in the over-the-counter market, but they trade predominantly on
exchanges. In this chapter, we focus on options traded on exchanges. Options in the
over-the-counter market are similar, except that they are customisable.
An option contract specifies the underlying, the size, the price to trade the underlying
in the future (called the exercise price or strike price), and the expiration date. Option
contracts typically expire in March, June, September, or December, but options are
available for other months as well.
■■ An investor who buys a call option has the right (but not the obligation) to
buy or call the underlying from the option seller at the exercise price until the
option expires.
■■ An investor who buys a put option has the right (but not the obligation) to sell
or put the underlying to the option seller at the exercise price until expiration.
The cereal producer may buy a call option to secure the right, but not the obligation,
to buy wheat at the exercise price. The farmer may buy a put option to secure the
right, but not the obligation, to sell wheat at the exercise price. Note that the cereal
producer and farmer enter into totally different option contracts to manage their risks.
If Company A’s share price is less than £6.00 per share, the call option buyer
has no incentive to exercise the option; it would not make sense to voluntarily
pay more than the market price. In this case, the buyer will let the option expire.
Because an option buyer is not forced to exercise an option, an option’s value
cannot be negative.
Example 4 illustrates that, ignoring the premium paid, an option buyer’s payoff is
never negative. Option buyers pay premiums to option sellers to compensate option
sellers for their risk. But if an option seller underestimates the risk associated with
the option, the premiums paid may be far less than the losses they incur on exercise.
Call options protect the buyer by establishing a maximum price the option buyer will
have to pay to buy the underlying; the maximum price is the exercise price.
■■ A call option is said to be “in the money” if the market price is greater than the
exercise price. In this case, the option would be exercised.
■■ A call option is “out of the money” if the market price is less than the exercise
price. In this case, the option would not be exercised.
■■ A call option is “at the money” if the market price and exercise price are the
same. In this case, the option may be exercised.
Put options protect the buyer by establishing a minimum price the option buyer will
receive when selling the underlying; the minimum price is the exercise price.
■■ A put option is said to be “in the money” if the market price is less than the
exercise price. In this case, the option would be exercised.
4 The number of shares associated with an option varies with the exchange.
358 Chapter 11 ■ Derivatives
■■ A put option is “out of the money” if the market price is greater than the exer-
cise price. In this case, the option would not be exercised.
■■ A put option is “at the money” if the market price and exercise price are the
same. In this case, the option may be exercised.
The lower the exercise price for a call option relative to the current spot price, the
higher the premium because the likelihood that it will be exercised is greater. The
higher the exercise price for a put option relative to the current spot price, the higher
the premium because the likelihood that it will be exercised is greater.
The longer the time to expiration of an option, the higher the option premium because
the likelihood is greater that the underlying will change in favour of the option buyer
and that it will be exercised. Similarly, the greater the volatility of the underlying, the
higher the option premium because the likelihood is greater that the underlying will
change in favour of the option buyer and that it will be exercised.
In summary, an option’s premium depends on the current spot price of the underlying,
exercise price, time to expiration, and volatility of the underlying. Exhibit 2 shows
the effects on an option’s premium for a call option and a put option of an increase
in each factor.
SWAP CONTRACTS 6
Swaps are typically derivatives in which two parties exchange (swap) cash flows or
other financial instruments over multiple periods (months or years) for mutual benefit,
usually to manage risk.
Swaps of this type involve obligations in the future on the part of both parties to the
contract. These swaps, like forwards and futures, are forward commitments or bilateral
contracts because both parties have a commitment in the future. Similar to forwards
and futures, a contract’s net initial value to each party should be zero and as one side
of the swap contract gains the other side loses by the same amount.
Swaps in which two parties exchange cash flows include interest rate and currency
swaps. An interest rate swap, the most common type, allows companies to swap
their interest rate obligations (usually a fixed rate for a floating rate) to manage inter-
est rate risk, to better match their streams of cash inflows and outflows, or to lower
their borrowing costs. A currency swap enables borrowers to exchange debt service
obligations denominated in one currency for equivalent debt service obligations
denominated in another currency. By swapping future cash flow obligations, the two
parties can manage currency risk.
Credit default swaps (CDS) are not truly swaps. Like options, credit default swaps
are contingent claims and unilateral contracts. One party buys a CDS to protect itself
against a loss of value in a debt security or index of debt securities; the loss of value
is primarily the result of a change in credit risk. The seller is providing protection to
the buyer against declines in value of the underlying. The seller does this in exchange
for a premium payment from the buyer; the premium compensates the seller for the
risk of the contract. The contract will specify under what conditions the seller has to
make payment to the buyer of the CDS. Similar to sellers of options, sellers of CDS
may misjudge the risk associated with the contracts and incur losses far in excess of
payments received to enter into the contracts.
The use of swaps has grown because they allow investors to manage many kinds of
risks, including interest rate risk, currency risk, and credit default risk. In addition,
investors can use swaps to reduce borrowing and transaction costs, overcome currency
exchange barriers, and manage exposure to underlying assets.
360 Chapter 11 ■ Derivatives
SUMMARY
Derivatives have grown remarkably since their introduction because they help to
provide innovative investment products and to manage risk at a considerably lower
cost. For example, by using options, investors can gain exposure to stock or bond
markets with a fraction of the capital needed to invest directly in stocks or bonds.
Also, the transaction costs of trading derivatives are considerably smaller compared
with direct investments. Derivatives thus can effectively substitute for direct invest-
ments in underlying assets.
Derivatives also provide ways to manage future risk. For example, an airline company
cannot hedge the risk of volatile jet fuel prices in a cost-effective manner except through
derivatives. Theoretically, it is possible to buy and store millions of gallons of jet fuel for
next year’s operations. But the capital investment and storage costs required for such
an undertaking would be formidable. In addition to hedging the risk of movements
in raw material prices, derivatives can be used to hedge other kinds of risk, including
currency risk, product price risk, and economic risk.
The following points recap what you have learned in this chapter about derivatives:
■■ Derivatives are used to manage risks of various types, to earn compensation for
taking the opposite side of a hedge, and to potentially benefit an investor based
on expectations about the future performance of an underlying.
■■ There are four main types of derivatives contracts: forwards, futures, options,
and swaps.
■■ Forwards, futures, and most swaps involve obligations in the future on the part
of both parties to the contract. These contracts are sometimes termed forward
commitments or bilateral contracts because both parties have a commitment in
the future.
■■ Options and credit default swaps are unilateral contracts and provide contin-
gent claims. They give one party to the contract the right to extract an action
from the other party under specified conditions.
■■ Forwards and futures are similar; both represent an agreement to buy or sell a
specified underlying at a specified date in the future for a specified price.
Summary 361
■■ Options give the option buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy (in the
case of a call option) or sell (in the case of a put option) a specified amount of
the underlying at a prespecified price (exercise price) until the option expires.
■■ A call option ensures that the option buyer will pay, ignoring transaction costs,
no more than the exercise price. A put option ensures that the option buyer will
receive, ignoring transaction costs, no less than the exercise price.
■■ The option seller is paid a premium for providing the option. The premium is
the maximum benefit to the option seller. An option’s premium depends on
spot and exercise prices for the underlying, the time to expiration, and volatility
of the underlying. The effect of an increase in each on an option premium is
shown in the following table.
■■ Swaps are typically derivatives in which two parties exchange (swap) cash flows
or other financial instruments over multiple periods (months or years) for
mutual benefit, usually to manage risk.
■■ Interest rate swaps, the most common type, allow companies to swap their
interest rate obligations to manage interest rate risk, to better match their
streams of cash inflows and outflows, or to lower their borrowing costs.
■■ A credit default swap (CDS) is a contingent claim and unilateral contract. One
party buys a CDS to protect itself against the loss of value in a debt security or
index of debt securities. The contract will specify under what conditions the
other party has to make payment to the buyer of the credit default swap.
362 Chapter 11 ■ Derivatives
A swap contracts.
B futures contracts.
C forward contracts.
3 A farmer will harvest his corn crop in six months but wants to lock in a price
today. The farmer will most likely:
4 Forward contracts and futures contracts, with otherwise identical terms, are
similar with respect to:
A counterparty risk.
B payoffs at maturity.
C customisation of contracts.
A greater liquidity.
A Put seller
B Call seller
C Call buyer
A Put seller
B Put buyer
C Call seller
A A put option in which the underlying’s price is lower than the exercise price.
B A call option in which the underlying’s price is lower than the exercise price.
C A put option in which the underlying’s price is higher than the exercise
price.
9 A call option contract on shares of Company A has an exercise price of €50. The
option is in the money when the share price of Company A is:
A €45.
B €50.
C €55.
10 A put option on shares of Company B has an exercise price of £40. The option
is out of the money when the share price of Company B is:
A £35.
B £40.
C £45.
11 Swap contracts:
ANSWERS
1 A is correct. Derivatives are contracts that derive their value from the perfor-
mance, such as price, of an underlying. B and C are incorrect because although
the supply of and demand for the underlying will affect the price of the underly-
ing, they will indirectly rather than directly affect the value of the derivatives.
6 C is correct. The buyer of a call option has the right to buy shares at the exercise
price. A is incorrect because the seller of a put option has an obligation to buy
shares at the exercise price. B is incorrect because the seller of a call option has
an obligation to sell shares at the exercise price if the call buyer exercises the
option.
7 A is correct. The seller of a put option has an obligation to buy shares at the
strike or exercise price if the put buyer exercises the option. B is incorrect
because a put buyer has the right to sell shares at the exercise price. C is incor-
rect because a call seller has an obligation to sell shares at the exercise price if
the call buyer exercises the option.
8 A is correct. A put option is in the money when the underlying’s price is lower
than the exercise price. The put buyer has the right to sell the underlying at the
exercise price, which is higher than the current market price of the underlying.
B is incorrect because a call option in which the underlying’s price is lower
Answers 365
than the exercise price is out of the money. C is incorrect because a put option
in which the underlying’s price is higher than the exercise price is out of the
money.
9 C is correct. A call option is in the money when the underlying’s price exceeds
the exercise price. A is incorrect because the call option is out of the money
when the underlying’s price is less than the exercise price. B is incorrect because
the call option is at the money when the underlying’s price equals the exercise
price.
10 C is correct. A put option contract is out of the money when the underlying’s
price is higher than the exercise price. A is incorrect because the put option
contract is in the money when the underlying’s price is less than the exercise
price. B is incorrect because the put option contract is at the money when the
underlying’s price equals the exercise price.
11 B is correct. The initial net value of a swap contract is zero. Over time, the
swap changes in value as the underlying changes in value. One side of the swap
contract loses while the other side gains. A and C are incorrect because swap
contracts mostly trade in private, over-the-counter (OTC) markets and not on
exchanges; consequently, the parties to swap contracts are susceptible to coun-
terparty risk.
CHAPTER 12
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
by Sean W. Gill, CFA
LEARNING OUTCOMES
INTRODUCTION 1
If a public company needs funds to invest in a project, perhaps to build a new produc-
tion facility or to expand its operations abroad, it may turn to the financial markets
and issue the types of debt and equity securities discussed in the Debt Securities
and Equity Securities chapters. But what if an entrepreneur needs money to start a
promising new business? Or what if a young company needs funds to grow, but it is
not established well enough to seek an initial public offering? The entrepreneur and
the young company are not established well enough to issue debt or equity securities
to the public. In addition, although they may seek loans from banks, the amount of
money they can borrow is often limited. Banks often do not finance new and young
companies because the risk of not getting the money back is too high. So, entrepre-
neurs or young companies may turn to the venture capital sector to obtain the money
they need. Venture capitalists specialise in financing new and young companies. They
provide entrepreneurs and young companies with both the capital and the expertise
to launch and grow their businesses.
Venture capital is a form of private equity, which is itself a type of alternative invest-
ment. From an investor’s point of view, alternative investments are diverse and
typically include the following:
Private equity, real estate, and commodities are all considered alternative because they
represent an alternative to investing exclusively in “traditional” asset classes, such as
debt and equity securities. Although alternative investments have gained prominence
in the 21st century, they are not new; in fact, real estate and commodities are among
the oldest types of investments.
The different types of alternative investments often look completely unrelated to each
other. But they have potential common advantages: they may help enhance returns and
reduce risk by providing diversification benefits. They also share similar limitations:
typically, they are less regulated, transparent, liquid, and easier to value than debt
and equity investments. Advantages and disadvantages of alternative investments are
discussed further in Sections 2.1 and 2.2.
Exhibit 1 shows the results of a global survey of institutional investors regarding their
holdings of different assets. As of March 2012, almost 100% of respondents invest in
equity and debt. But 94% of them also hold some type of alternative investments. On
average, 22.4% of the respondents’ portfolios are invested in alternative investments,
with the most popular types being private equity and private real estate.
Source: Based on data from Russell Research, “Russell Investment’s 2012 Global Survey on
Alternative Investing”, (19 June 2012): http://www.russell.com/Public/pdfs/publication/communi-
que_october_2012/global_survey_on_alternative_investing.pdf.
Enhancing Returns. Exhibit 2 shows historical returns for various asset classes between
1990 and 2009. It indicates that over the 20-year period, investments in private equity
and real estate have outperformed investments in equity and debt securities. However,
you should not conclude from this exhibit that alternative investments always offer
higher returns than other asset classes. During the global financial crisis that started in
2008, many investors suffered losses on their private equity and real estate investments
and some of these losses were worse than those on traditional investments, such as
publicly traded equity.
Exhibit 2 Historical Returns for Various Asset Classes between 1990 and
2009
12
Historical Return (%)
10 10.8
8 9.4
6 7.2
6.2
4 4.5
2
0
Equity Debt Private Real Commodities
Equity Estate
Asset Class
Reducing Risk. Investors rarely allocate all their money to one type of asset or security.
Instead, they diversify their portfolios by investing in assets and securities that behave
differently from each other. How investments behave relative to each other takes us
back to the concept of correlation discussed in the Quantitative Concepts chapter. If
two assets or securities do not have a correlation of +1 (that is, if they are less than
perfectly positively correlated), then combining these two assets or securities in a
portfolio provides diversification benefits and thus reduces the risk in the portfolio.
In other words, the risk to the portfolio of including these two assets or securities is
lower than the weighted sum of the risks of the two assets or securities. Because there
is a relatively low correlation between different types of alternative investments and
also between alternative investments and other asset classes, adding private equity,
real estate, and commodities to portfolios helps investors reduce risk. As noted in the
Quantitative Concepts chapter, during periods of financial crisis, returns on different
investments may become more correlated and the benefits of diversification may be
reduced.
372 Chapter 12 ■ Alternative Investments
■■ illiquid, and
■■ difficult to value.
Because alternative investments are less regulated and less transparent than tradi-
tional investments, such as equity and debt securities, individual investors are less
likely to invest in them. Institutional investors may view this as an opportunity to
take advantage of market inefficiencies. This is discussed further in the Investment
Management chapter.
In addition, most alternative investments are illiquid—that is, they are difficult to sell
quickly without accepting a lower price. For example, it is much easier to sell shares
of a public company listed on a stock exchange than shares in a private company, a
piece of land, or a building. Some institutional investors, depending on their cash
flow needs, may be willing and able to hold investments for long periods, so liquidity
may be less important for them than for individuals or institutional investors that
have liquidity constraints.
Alternative investments are also difficult to value because data availability to assess how
much they are worth is limited. Purchases and sales of start-up companies, land, or
buildings are infrequent, so valuation is challenging and is often based on an appraisal.
An appraisal is an assessment or estimation of the value of an asset and is subject to
certain assumptions, which may not always be realistic. For example, a property may
be estimated to be worth £100,000 based on its location, its square footage, and the
price per square foot paid in similar transactions. But if the property market slows
down, the assumption about the price per square foot may prove overly optimistic
and the value of the property could be worth less than estimated.
3 PRIVATE EQUITY
Let us revisit the example of the Canadian entrepreneur we first encountered in The
Investment Industry: A Top-Down View chapter. When the entrepreneur set up her
new business, she turned to her friends and neighbours for the money she needed. Five
years later, her company was successful. To raise the additional capital the company
required to support its growth plans, it could issue shares to the public via an initial
public offering (IPO). But in between, the company probably needed more money to
grow than the entrepreneur, her friends, neighbours, and banks were able or willing
to provide, and it was not yet ready to go public. Who could have potentially financed
such a young and not well-established company? As mentioned in the introduction,
Private Equity 373
the answer is venture capitalists. The entrepreneur could have sold some of her com-
pany’s shares to a private equity firm to get the additional capital necessary to grow
her business.
Private equity firms invest in private companies that are not publicly traded on a stock
exchange. Although people commonly refer to private “equity”, investments include
both equity and debt securities. Debt investments, however, are less common than
equity investments.
Venture capital is considered the riskiest type of private equity investment strategy
because many more companies fail than succeed. It can take many years before a
company becomes successful, and most venture capital–funded companies have years
of unprofitable activity before they reach the point of making money. So, venture
capital investing requires patience. However, those companies that do succeed tend
to greatly reward their investors.
Some growth equity investors specialise in helping companies prepare for an initial
public offering. These investors provide additional money at a later stage of a com-
pany’s development than venture capitalists or early-stage growth equity investors.
As discussed in the Equity Securities chapter, additional equity dilutes existing
shareholders’ ownership because there are more investors sharing the company’s
cash flows. However, because the later-stage growth equity investors typically have
expertise in organising initial public offerings, they may bring benefits that outweigh
the disadvantages of dilution. An initial public offering, such as those of Microsoft,
374 Chapter 12 ■ Alternative Investments
3.1.3 Buyouts
Buyouts are a private equity investment strategy that consists of financing established
companies that require money to restructure and facilitate a change of ownership.
Buyout transactions sometimes involve making a publicly traded company private.
For example, such companies as UK-based Alliance Boots or US-based Hertz and
Hilton Hotels were once public companies, but they underwent buyouts and are now
privately owned companies.
Buyouts for which the financing of the transaction involves a high proportion of debt
are often called leveraged buyouts (LBOs)—recall from the Debt Securities chapter
that financial leverage refers to the proportion of debt relative to equity in a compa-
ny’s capital structure. Because the high level of debt implies high interest payments
and principal repayments, companies that undergo an LBO must be able to generate
strong and sustainable cash flows. So, they are often well-established companies
with good competitive positioning in their industry. Buyout investors often target
companies that have recently underperformed but that offer opportunities to grow
revenues and margins.
3.1.4 Distressed
When companies encounter financial troubles, they may be at risk of not being able to
make full and timely payments of interest and/or principal. This risk, which is known as
credit or default risk, was discussed in the Debt Securities chapter. Distressed investing
focuses on purchasing the debt of troubled companies that may have defaulted or are
on the brink of defaulting. Frequently, investments are made at a significant discount
to par value—that is, the amount owed to the lenders at maturity. For example, an
investor who purchases the debt of a troubled company may only offer the existing
lenders 20% or 30% of the amount they are owed. If the company can survive and
prosper, the value of its debt will increase and the investor will realise significant value.
Distressed investing does not typically involve a cash flow to the company.
3.1.5 Secondaries
Another strategy that does not involve a cash flow to the company is secondaries.
Secondaries are not based on a company’s stage of development. This strategy involves
buying or selling existing private equity investments. As discussed more thoroughly in
the next section, private equity investments are usually organised in funds managed
by partnerships. The life of a private equity fund is typically about 10 years, but it can
be longer. It includes three or four years of investing followed by five to seven years of
developing the investments and returning capital to those who invested in the private
equity fund. Some private equity partnerships may not be able or willing to hold on
to all of their investments, which could be venture capital, growth equity, buyouts,
or distressed. So, a partnership may want to sell one or several of its investments to
another private equity partnership in what is known as the secondary market. The
purchases and sales between private equity partnerships are secondary transactions.
Private Equity 375
■■ The general partner is typically a private equity firm that sets up the part-
nership. It is responsible for raising capital, finding suitable investments, and
making decisions. General partners have unlimited personal liability for all the
debts of the partnership—that is, general partners could lose more than their
investment in the partnership because if necessary, their personal assets could
be used to pay the partnership’s debts.
■■ Limited partners are investors who contribute capital to the partnership. They
are not involved in the selection and management of the investments. Limited
partners have limited personal liability—that is, limited partners cannot lose
more than the amount of capital they contributed to the partnership.
A private equity firm may create different private equity funds for different types of
investments. The investments are usually not managed by the general partner itself,
but by professional fund managers who are hired by the general partner. Each private
equity fund may have its own fund manager who is responsible for the day-to-day
management of the investments in the funds.
■■ management fees, which are the fees that limited partners must pay general
partners to compensate them for managing the private equity investments.
Management fees are typically set as a percentage of the amount the limited
partners have committed rather than the amount that has been invested.
Additionally, limited partners must pay management fees even if an investment
is underperforming and must continue paying management fees even if an
investment has failed.
Investments in private equity partnerships tend to be illiquid. That is, once the limited
partners have committed capital to the partnership, it is difficult, if not impossible,
for them to exit the investment before the end of the commitment term.
Fund Manager
Fixed Fees
Limited Capital Calls Incentive Fees
Partner Company
Management Fees W
A Carried Interest Investments
Limited
Partner Company
B X
Private Equity Firm/
General Partner
Limited
Partner Company
C Y
Cash Realisations
Limited Distributions
Partner Company
D Z
Assume that a private equity firm has created a $4 million private equity
fund to invest in start-up companies. As discussed in Section 3.1.1, this private
equity investment strategy is called venture capital. The private equity firm is
the general partner and its first task is to raise capital from investors. Suppose
that it identifies four investors who are willing and able to contribute $1 million
each. These investors are the limited partners—A, B, C, and D in the figure. The
limited partners do not transfer $1 million each to the general private equity
firm immediately; initially, they only agree to invest $1 million each over the
commitment term of the private equity fund’s life, say 10 years.
When the private equity firm has secured the $4 million, it can start invest-
ing. Assume that it finds a suitable investment in Company W for $400,000.
The private equity firm contacts the limited partners and makes a capital call of
$100,000 per limited partner—capital calls often happen on short notice. Limited
partners A, B, C, and D transfer $100,000 each to the private equity firm, which
invests the $400,000 in Company W. A few months later, the private equity firm
identifies another suitable investment in Company X for $600,000. It makes
another capital call, this time of $150,000 per limited partner. This process may
continue for several years until the private equity firm has invested the $4 million.
As shown in the figure, the private equity firm makes investments in four
companies. These investments are typically managed by a professional fund
manager who charges the private equity firm fees for his or her services, usually
a combination of a fixed fee plus an incentive fee. In turn, the private equity firm
charges the limited partners management fees to cover the fund manager fees
and other administrative fees. For example, assume that the annual management
fee is 1.5% of the committed capital. So, each limited partner who committed
$1 million must pay the private equity firm an annual management fee of $15,000
Private Equity 377
regardless of how much capital the private equity firm has already invested.
Thus, in the early years of the private equity fund’s life, the limited partners may
be paying management fees on amounts that have not actually been invested.
After several years, assume that the private equity firm sells its investment in
Company W for $1 million. It can now distribute capital plus profit to the lim-
ited partners. Before it does so, it deducts a share of the profit, which is carried
interest. Recall that carried interest is a form of incentive fee that ensures that
the private equity firm and the fund manager make the best possible decisions
on behalf of the limited partners. Suppose that carried interest is 15%. The profit
on the investment in Company W is $600,000—that is, the difference between
the selling price of $1,000,000 and the initial investment of $400,000. So the
private equity firm and the fund manager can keep $90,000 (15% of $600,000)
in carried interest, which means that the amount of profit to be split between
the limited partners is $510,000 ($600,000 – $90,000). Thus, each limited part-
ner receives a cash distribution of $227,500—that is, $100,000 of capital plus
$127,500 of profit, which represents a return on investment of 128% [($227,500
– $100,000)/$100,000], ignoring management fees.
A typical pattern of cash flows for a limited partner is illustrated in Exhibit 3. This
illustration reflects a hypothetical investment of $1 million in a private equity fund
with a life of 10 years. It is assumed that the private equity firm makes investments in
10 companies between Year 1 and Year 6, these investments start paying dividends in
Year 4, and they get sold between Year 6 and Year 10. The blue bars show the sum of
the capital calls and management fees, which are assumed to be 1.5% of the committed
capital. The green bars reflect the cash distributions, ignoring carried interest. The
line is the cumulative net cash flow to the limited partner—that is, the sum of the
cash distributions minus the sum of the capital calls and management fees. This line
is known as a J curve because its shape resembles the letter J.
378 Chapter 12 ■ Alternative Investments
800
600
400
Dollars (Thousands)
200
–200
–400
–600
–800
–1000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year
4 REAL ESTATE
Real estate investments take different forms. For many people, it is the purchase of
their home, which may be a significant portion of their net worth. Houses, apartments,
and other residential properties that are owner occupied are indeed the foundation of
many individuals’ financial plans. However, although considered part of their financial
plan, most residential real estate is not included in individuals’ investment portfolios.
Generally, residential real estate transactions involve owner-occupiers (that is, people
who live in the home they own), and are made for personal reasons as opposed to
purely investment-related reasons. Individuals or groups of individuals may invest in
residential real estate for investment-related purposes, such as renting out holiday
homes.
Real Estate 379
Many investors focus their real estate investments on what is commonly referred to
as commercial real estate—that is, income-generating real estate. As illustrated in
Exhibit 4, the majority of commercial real estate in terms of value is concentrated in
a small number of countries.
Source: Prudential Real Estate Investors, “A Bird’s Eye View of Global Real
Estate Markets: 2012 Update”, (2012): www.prei.prudential.com/view/page/
pimcenter/6815.
4.1.1 Land
Undeveloped, or raw, land can be highly speculative because there are no cash
inflows from tenants or occupants, only cash outflows in the form of real estate taxes
and other costs of holding the land. As improvements are made, such as obtaining
building permits and installing roads, utilities, and other services, the land becomes
more developed and its value rises based on a projected stream of future cash flows.
Investing in undeveloped land is risky because values can decrease rapidly when
380 Chapter 12 ■ Alternative Investments
housing demand falls. As an example, CalPERS, one of the largest US pension plans
representing public employees in California, had a $970 million investment in 15,000
acres of undeveloped land outside Los Angeles lose more than 90% of its value in the
aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis.1
4.1.2 Offices
Offices represent one of the largest segments of commercial real estate. They are usu-
ally owned by real estate investment companies that lease space to tenants in varying
terms, from short-term monthly leases to longer multiyear leases. Because tenants are
responsible for paying their leases whether they occupy the space or not, the income
associated with office rents is relatively predictable over the life of the lease. In addition,
office rents typically adjust for inflation, which makes offices an attractive investment
for those seeking to protect their real estate income against inflation.
4.1.6 Hotels
Hotels include branded short-term stay facilities and longer-stay facilities catering to
contract workers in remote locations, as well as boutique and independent facilities.
1 Michael Corkery, “Calpers Confronts Huge Housing Losses”, Wall Street Journal (13 November 2008).
Real Estate 381
Real estate limited partnerships are partnerships that specialise in real estate invest-
ments. Their structure and mechanics are similar to those of the private equity partner-
ships discussed in Section 3.2. The partnership is often set by a real estate development
firm that becomes the general partner. The general partner then raises capital from
investors, who become the real estate limited partnership’s limited partners. The capital
raised is invested in real estate projects. Real estate projects take different forms, such
as the construction of an office block or an apartment complex. If the general partner
is a real estate development firm, it may also manage the real estate projects. As with
private equity partnerships, the limited partners in a real estate limited partnership
must pay the general partner management fees on the committed capital and carried
interest on the profit made on the real estate assets.
Real estate equity funds typically hold investments in hundreds of commercial prop-
erties. These properties are diversified by geography, property type, and vintage year
(that is, the year the purchase was made). Real estate equity funds are often open-end
funds, meaning that they issue or redeem shares when investors want to buy or sell—
open-end mutual funds are discussed in the Investment Vehicles chapter. Redemptions
either take place at regular intervals, such as quarterly, or on demand. They are made
out of the real estate equity funds’ cash flows, such as the income received from rents
and the sale of properties. So, real estate equity funds are, in theory, more liquid than
real estate limited partnerships. However, there is no guarantee that the cash flows
will be sufficient to meet investors’ redemption requests.
5 COMMODITIES
Commodities, such as precious and base metals, energy products, and agricultural
products, tend to rise in price with inflation. So, they can provide inflation protection
in a portfolio.
There are several ways for investors to gain exposure to commodities. They can buy
■■ commodity derivatives.
SUMMARY
The following points recap what you have learned in this chapter about alternative
investments:
■■ Alternative investments are diverse and include private equity, real estate, and
commodities.
■■ Real estate includes both residential and commercial properties, the latter rep-
resenting a larger portion of the investable universe.
■■ Investors can buy real estate directly or gain exposure to real estate through the
private market via real estate limited partnerships and real estate equity funds,
or through the public market via real estate investment trusts.
2 Which type of private equity strategy is most likely used to finance a start-up
company?
A Buyout
B Growth equity
C Venture capital
5 Which of the following real estate segments represents the most speculative
investment?
A Offices
B Undeveloped land
A equity fund.
B investment trust.
C limited partnership.
ANSWERS
3 A is correct. A private equity fund is typically funded by investors who are lim-
ited partners; these investors face limited liability, which means that they can-
not lose more than the amount of capital they contributed to the private equity
fund. B is incorrect because a private equity fund is typically operated by a fund
manager but the fund manager is not a limited partner. C is incorrect because a
private equity fund is set up by a private equity firm but the private equity firm
is a general rather than limited partner.
4 A is correct. The private equity firm receives management fees based on the
amount of committed capital. B is incorrect because the private equity firm
receives management fees even if the private equity fund is not profitable. C is
incorrect because carried interest is the fee that the private equity firm receives
based on profits generated by the private equity fund’s investments.
INTRODUCTION 1
The investment industry helps individuals, companies, and governments save and
invest money for the future. Individuals save to ensure that money will be available to
cover unforeseen circumstances, to buy a house, to cover their living expenses during
retirement, to pay for college or university tuition, to fund such discretionary spending
as travel and charitable gifts, and to pass wealth on to the next generation. Companies
save to invest in future projects and to pay future salaries, taxes, and other expenses.
Governments save when they collect tax revenues in advance or in excess of spending
requirements or receive the money from bond sales before this money is spent.
The investment industry provides many services to facilitate successful saving and
investing. This chapter discusses how investment professionals organise their efforts
to help their clients meet their financial goals. It also describes how these efforts help
ensure that only the individuals, companies, and governments with the best value-
enhancing plans for using capital receive funding.
Investment
Investment Information
Financial Management Trading
Planning Custodial
Savers
(Providers of Capital)
■■ determine their financial goals—in particular, how much money they will need
to invest for future uses and how much money they can withdraw over time.
■■ hold, manage, and account for securities and assets during the periods of the
investments.
These activities generally require information, expertise, and systems that few individual
and institutional investors have. Investors obtain assistance with these activities from
investment professionals, either directly by hiring investment professionals or indirectly
by investing in investment vehicles that the investment industry creates and oversees.
Some investment firms and professionals working in the investment industry specialise
in providing a single service. Others provide a broad spectrum of investment services.
For the sake of clarity, this discussion considers each service separately, even though
most investment firms and professionals provide multiple services.
Investment clients often need advice to set their financial goals and determine how
much money they should save for future expenses. Some clients also need advice
about how much money they can spend on current expenses while still preserving
their capital. Financial planners help their clients understand their current and future
financial needs, the risks they face when investing, their ability to tolerate investment
risks, and their preferences for capital preservation versus capital growth. This process
is described further in the Investors and Their Needs chapter.
Financial planners create savings and investment plans appropriate for their clients’
needs. The plans often require complex analyses that depend on expected rates of
return and risks for various securities and assets, the client’s capacity and tolerance for
bearing risk, tax considerations, and projections of future expenses. Future expenses
are often particularly difficult to forecast. They may depend on inflation and, in the
case of retirement expenses, uncertain longevity and uncertain future health care
expenses. Analyses related to pensions and health care are typically done by actuar-
ies—professionals who specialise in assessing insurance risks using statistical models.
Many pension funds employ financial planners to help pension beneficiaries make
better savings decisions. Some employers also contract with financial planning con-
sultants to make financial planning services available to their employees and retirees.
Increasingly, financial planners provide financial planning advice over the internet to
retail investors.1
Various organisations require financial planning services to help them meet their
investment objectives. For example, foundations and endowment funds—which are
not-for-profit institutions with long-term investment objectives—sometimes hire
1 Recall from the Investment Industry: A Top-Down View chapter that retail investors are individual
investors with a low amount of investable assets.
Investment Management Services 9
financial planners to help them create their payout policies. Payout policies specify
how much money can be taken from long-term funds to use for current spending.
The payout policies depend on the assumptions the financial planners make about
future expected investment returns. Assuming high future expected returns allows
for higher current spending. But if these assumptions prove to be overly optimistic,
payouts will exceed the returns generated by the investments and the spending of the
foundation or endowment fund will have to decrease over time.
■■ asset allocation
■■ investment analysis
■■ portfolio construction
Passive investment strategies are the least costly strategies to implement because they
involve buying and holding securities based only on their characteristics rather than
on analyses of their future return prospects. Index investing is a widely used passive
investment strategy and is discussed further in the Investment Vehicles chapter.
In contrast, active investment managers try to predict which securities and assets
will outperform or underperform comparable securities and assets. The managers
then act on their opinions by buying the securities and assets that they expect to
outperform and selling (or simply not buying) the securities and assets that they
expect to underperform. Active investment strategies are more expensive than passive
investment strategies because they require greater resources, so investment clients hire
active investment managers only when they believe that these managers have the skill
to outperform the market after taking into consideration all fees and commissions.
Active investment managers collect and analyse as much relevant information and data
as they can reasonably obtain to predict which securities and assets will outperform
or underperform their peers in the future. They often need the help of investment
information service providers to gather the required information and data.
Investment Information Services 11
Some investment professionals receive commissions from the firms that sell mutual
funds and life insurance policies for the trades and contracts they recommend. Others
are fee-only professionals who accept payments only from their clients. Unlike brokers
and agents, who are paid commissions on the trades and contracts they recommend,
fee-only professionals do not have incentives to generate commissions by recom-
mending specific products or excessive trades. Retail clients may implement their
investment plans by passive investing in pooled investment vehicles, such as mutual
funds, that are professionally managed. Types and characteristics of pooled investment
vehicles are discussed in the Investment Vehicles chapter. Retail investors may also
need investment information to implement their investment plans.
Firms that provide research reports assemble information and opinions that most
investors cannot easily produce themselves. To produce the reports, these firms
employ data collectors, financial reporters, and expert analysts. Research reports can
be particularly valuable when they are written by industry experts who understand
the financial implications of new industrial technologies—for example, the fracking
technologies that oil and gas drillers now increasingly use to extract hydrocarbons.
Most research reports are largely based on publicly available information. These reports
summarise information from lengthy disclosures, saving investors considerable time.
Many reports also present financial analyses that estimate the fundamental value of
securities.
12 Chapter 13 ■ Structure of the Investment Industry
Investors often get research reports from their brokers, who purchase them or pro-
duce them internally in their research departments. Brokers give research to their
clients to better serve them, to attract new clients, and to encourage their clients to
trade. Investors may also purchase reports directly from independent research firms,
or they may obtain reports from research firms that issuers pay to produce reports
about their securities.
Macro-
Economic
Data
Industry
Data
Firm
Data
Most credit rating agencies do not charge investors for their ratings, although they
may charge them for the detailed reports on which the ratings are based. Instead,
companies pay credit rating agencies to rate their securities; they are willing to do
so because having a rating generally makes a security more marketable. An obvious
conflict of interest thus arises because companies are likely to direct their business to
those credit rating agencies that will provide higher ratings. Equally, the credit ratings
agencies may give companies high ratings to secure future business. If they lose their
independence, credit rating agencies run the risk that investors may no longer respect
their ratings. Such a situation would have a negative effect not only on credit rating
agencies but also on the economy in general and the investment industry in particular
because flows of capital would be reduced.
Investment Information Services 13
Exhibit 1 shows examples of historical data that may be of interest to investors and
how investors may use these data to make decisions.
Macroeconomic data Information about economic activity and inter- Investment professionals use macroeco-
national trade. nomic data to better understand the envi-
ronment in which companies operate and
compete.
Accounting data Information about a company’s financial state- Investment professionals use accounting
ments, including the balance sheet, income data to assess a company’s financial per-
statement, and cash flow statement. formance and to estimate the fundamental
value of its securities, such as common
shares.
Historical market data Information about past market prices and trad- Investment professionals use historical
ing volumes. market data to evaluate the performance of
their investments and to help them identify
securities that may outperform in the future.
The following are important real-time data resources used by investment professionals:
■■ Newsfeeds, which provide real-time news about companies and markets that
investors need to know because such news may affect the value of the compa-
nies’ securities.
■■ Market data feeds, which provide real-time information about market quotes
and orders, as well as recent trades, that is helpful for investors who want to
trade.
Access to investment data was once very expensive and thus restricted to investment
firms and institutional investors. The growth of information technologies, particularly
those involving the internet, has substantially reduced the cost of accessing data, so
more investment data are now available to the general public. In many countries, some
data, such as regulatory disclosures by issuers, can be freely accessed via the internet.
Other data are only available on a subscription basis from data vendors.
The widespread availability of investment data has greatly changed the investment
industry landscape; whereas access to data used to be a key driver of investment
profits, now investment profits increasingly depend on the ability to analyse data.
14 Chapter 13 ■ Structure of the Investment Industry
6 TRADING SERVICES
6.1 Brokers
Brokerage services are provided to clients who want to buy and sell securities; they
include not only execution services (that is, processing orders on behalf of clients)
but also investment advice and research.
Brokerage services are provided by brokerage firms or brokers. Brokers are agents
who arrange trades for their clients. They do not trade with their clients. Instead, they
search for traders who are willing to take the other side of their clients’ orders. Brokers
help their clients by reducing the cost of finding counterparties for their clients’ trades.
Brokers provide many different trading services. First and foremost, brokers find sellers
for their clients who want to buy and buyers for their clients who want to sell. For
highly liquid securities, the search usually involves only routing (directing) a client’s
order to an exchange or to a dealer. Exchanges arrange trades by matching buy and
sell orders and are discussed in The Functioning of Financial Markets chapter; dealers
are discussed in the next section. For less liquid securities and assets, brokers may
spend substantial resources looking for suitable counterparties.
For complex trades, such as real estate transactions, for which effective negotiation is
essential to successful investment, brokers often serve as professional negotiators. In
such transactions, skilled negotiators can increase the probability of arranging trades
with favourable financial terms.
Clients pay commissions to their brokers for arranging their trades. The commissions
vary widely but typically depend on the value or quantity traded. It is worth noting that
commissions have decreased over the past 30 years, primarily because of deregulation,
technological progress, and increased competition among brokers.
Brokers often also ensure that their clients settle their trades. Such assurances are
essential when exchanges arrange trades between strangers who do not have credit
arrangements with each other. For such trades, brokers guarantee the settlement of
their clients’ trades.
Individual brokers may work for large brokerage firms or the brokerage arms of
investment banks or at exchanges. Some brokers match clients personally. Others
use specialised computer systems to identify potential trades and help their clients
fill their orders. Many simply route their clients’ orders to exchanges or to dealers.
Block brokers help investors who want to trade large blocks of securities. Large block
trades are hard to arrange because finding a counterparty willing to buy or sell a large
number of securities is often quite difficult. Investors who want to trade a large block
often have to offer price concessions to encourage other investors to trade with them.
Trading Services 15
Often, buying a large number of securities requires paying a premium on the current
market price, and selling a large number of shares requires offering a discount on the
current market price.
Prime brokerage refers to a bundle of services that brokers provide to some of their
clients, usually investment professionals engaged in trading. In addition to the typical
brokerage services mentioned, a prime broker helps these professionals finance their
positions. Although the trades may be arranged by other brokers, prime brokers clear
and settle them. Thus, prime brokerage allows the netting of collateral requirements
across all their trades and the lowering of costs of financing to the trader.
6.2 Dealers
Dealers make it possible for their clients to trade without having to wait to find a
counterparty; they are ready to buy from clients who want to sell and to sell to clients
who want to buy. Dealers thus participate in their clients’ trades, in contrast to brokers
who do not trade with their clients but only arrange trades on behalf of their clients.
Dealers profit when they can buy securities for less than they sell them—that is, when
the price at which they buy securities (called the bid price) is lower than the price at
which they sell them (called the ask price or offer price). If dealers can arrange trades
simultaneously with buyers and sellers, they will make risk-free profits. Dealers risk
losses if prices fall after they purchase but before they can sell or if prices rise after
they sell but before they can repurchase.
Dealers provide liquidity to their clients by allowing them to buy and sell when they
want to trade. In effect, dealers match buyers and sellers who want to trade the same
instrument at different times and are thus unable to trade directly with each other. In
contrast, brokers must bring a buyer and a seller together to trade at the same time
and place. Dealers are often called market makers because they are willing to make
a market (that is, trade on demand) in specified securities at their bid and ask prices.
Dealers may organise their operations within investment banks, hedge funds, or sole
proprietorships. Almost all investment banks have dealing operations ready to buy
and sell currencies, bonds, stocks, and derivatives if no other counterparty can be
found. Some dealers rely on individuals to make trading decisions; others primarily
use computers.
Many dealers also broker orders, and many brokers also deal with their clients in a
process called internalisation. Internalisation is when brokers fill their clients’ orders
by acting as proprietary traders rather than as agents—that is, by trading directly with
their clients rather than by arranging trades with others on behalf of their clients.
Because the distinction between broker and dealer is not always clear, many practi-
tioners often use the term broker/dealer to refer to them jointly.
Broker/dealers face a conflict of interest with respect to how they fill their clients’
orders. When acting as brokers, they must seek the best price for their clients’ orders.
When acting as dealers, however, they profit most when they sell to their clients at
high prices or buy from their clients at low prices. This trading conflict of interest is
most serious when clients allow their brokers to decide whether to trade their orders
with other traders or to fill them internally. Consequently, when trading with broker/
dealers, some clients may specify that they do not want their orders to be internalised.
Or they may choose to trade only via brokers who do not also act as dealers.
16 Chapter 13 ■ Structure of the Investment Industry
Primary dealers are dealers with which central banks trade when conducting monetary
policy. Recall from the Macroeconomics chapter that monetary policy refers to cen-
tral bank activities that aim to influence the money supply, interest rates, and credit
availability in an economy. Central banks sell bonds to primary dealers to decrease the
money supply. The primary dealers then sell the bonds to their clients. Central banks
buy bonds from primary dealers to increase the money supply, the primary dealers
buy bonds from their clients and sell them back to the central banks.
Settlement Clearing
Buyer’s Seller’s
Broker Broker
Clearing House
Clearing houses arrange for the final settlement of trades. The members of a clearing
house are the only traders for whom the clearing house will settle trades. Thus, bro-
kers and dealers who are not members of the clearing house must arrange to have a
clearing member settle their trades at the clearing house.
Reliable settlement of all trades promotes liquidity because it reassures investors that
their trades will be settled and thus allows strangers to confidently contract with each
other without worrying much about settlement risk, which is the risk that counter-
parties will not settle their trades. A secure clearing system thus greatly increases the
number of counterparties with whom a trader can safely arrange a trade.
Custodians may also offer other services for their clients, including trade settlement
and collection of interest and dividends. The fees they charge their clients often depend
on the type of services they provide to them.
Trading Services 17
Depositories act not only as custodians but also as monitors. They are often regulated
and their role is to help
■■ prevent the loss of securities and payments through fraud, deficient oversight,
or natural disaster.
■■ ensure that securities cannot be pledged more than once by the same borrower
as collateral for loans.
Having reputable third-party custodians and depositories hold all assets managed
by an investment manager helps prevent investment fraud, such as Ponzi schemes,
which use money contributed by new investors to pay purported returns to existing
investors rather than to purchase additional securities.
Most individual and many smaller institutional investors hold securities in brokerage
accounts that provide them with custodial services. Their brokers, in turn, hold the
securities with custodians and depositories for safekeeping.
■■ Find sellers for clients who want to buy and buyers for
clients who want to sell
In this chapter so far, we have discussed how firms in the investment industry serve
their clients and facilitate trading. What gives the investment industry recognisable
structure is how participants are grouped and how some of the firms organise their
activities. In practice, a distinction is often made between buy-side and sell-side firms.
When structuring their activities, many sell-side firms distinguish between the front,
middle, and back office.
However, the buy-side/sell-side classification does not apply to all firms in the invest-
ment industry. For example, it is not relevant for the investment information services
presented in Section 5. In addition, the buy-side/sell-side classification is somewhat
arbitrary and not easily applied to many large, integrated firms. For example, many
Organisation of Firms in the Investment Industry 19
investment banks have divisions or wholly owned subsidiaries that provide investment
management services, which are buy side. These functions are on the buy side, even
though investment banks are sell-side firms.
The front office consists of client-facing activities that provide direct revenue genera-
tion. The sales, marketing, and customer service departments are the most important
front-office activities. Some practitioners consider the trading department to be a
front-office activity, especially if the traders regularly interact with clients. Some con-
sider research to be a front-office activity because it generates revenue from clients.
The middle office includes the core activities of the firm. Risk management, infor-
mation technology (IT), corporate finance, portfolio management, and research are
generally considered middle-office activities, especially if these departments do not
interact directly with clients. IT activities are particularly important because most
firms in the investment industry need to process and retrieve vast quantities of data
efficiently and accurately. Risk management activities are also critical because they
help ensure that the firm and its clients are not intentionally, inadvertently, or fraud-
ulently exposed to excessive risk.
The back office houses the administrative and support functions necessary to run
the firm. These functions include accounting, human resources, payroll, and opera-
tions. For brokerage firms and banks that provide custodial services, the accounting
department is especially important because it is responsible for clearing and settling
trades and for keeping track of who owns what.
Clients
Orders
Executions
Some activities are not easily classified as front, middle, or back office. For example,
compliance activities are relevant to the entire organisation. A firm’s compliance
department ensures that the firm and its clients comply with the many laws and
regulations that govern the investment industry.
The terms front office, middle office, and back office are generally not used when
describing buy-side firms. However, the main departments of buy-side investment
management firms are similar to those of sell-side firms. These departments include
sales and client relations, investment research and portfolio management, trading,
compliance, accounting, and administration.
Title Responsibility
At many firms, especially smaller ones, some people hold multiple titles and responsi-
bilities. For example, the chief investment officer of a smaller investment management
firm may also be the chief executive officer.
■■ Research assistants assist research analysts with the collection and analysis of
investment information.
■■ Buy-side traders interact with sell-side firms to trade orders created by their
portfolio managers.
■■ Sales traders at sell-side firms help arrange trades for their buy-side clients.
■■ Salespeople identify potential clients and sell them the firm’s products and
services.
■■ Client service agents and their assistants answer client questions and help cli-
ents open, close, and manage their accounts.
Investment professionals who interact with clients may also be known as account
executives and account managers at many firms.
Research assistant is often the entry-level position for investment professionals inter-
ested in becoming portfolio managers. Assistants who acquire strong expertise in a
particular area and who can write well may be promoted to research analysts. Those
analysts who demonstrate excellent investment judgment often become portfolio
managers. Likewise, sales assistants and account services assistants are entry-level
positions for investment professionals interested in sales or account services.
Companies that provide investment management services also employ many other
types of professionals besides investment professionals. These include professionals
working in accounting, information services, marketing, and legal services.
22 Chapter 13 ■ Structure of the Investment Industry
SUMMARY
You should now have a good idea of who the main participants are in the investment
industry and what roles they fulfil. Ways in which the various participants interact
have also been described, and you should be able to visualise the basic structure of
the industry based on the description of these interactions. Some important points
to remember include the following:
■■ Investing involves many activities that most individual and institutional inves-
tors cannot do themselves. Investors obtain assistance with these activities
either directly or indirectly.
■■ Financial planning helps investors set their financial goals and determine how
much money they should save for future expenses and/or how much money
they can spend on current expenses while still preserving their capital.
■■ Brokers act as agents, arrange trades for their clients, and ensure that cli-
ents settle their trades. For complex trades, they often serve as professional
negotiators.
■■ Dealers participate on the opposite side of their clients’ trades and are willing to
trade on demand, thus providing liquidity.
■■ After a trade has been agreed on, clearing houses arrange for final settlement
of the trade, and then settlement agents organise the final exchange of cash for
securities.
■■ Sell-side firms are typically investment banks, brokers, and dealers that provide
investment products and services. Buy-side participants are typically investors
and investment managers that purchase investment products and services.
■■ The front office of a sell-side firm consists of client-facing activities that pro-
vide direct revenue generation. The middle office includes the core activities of
the firm, such as risk management, information technology, corporate finance,
Summary 23
portfolio management, and research. The back office houses the administrative
and support functions necessary to run the firm, such as accounting, human
resources, payroll, and operations.
A dealers.
B financial planners.
A Asset allocation
B Investment analysis
C Portfolio construction
A Asset allocation
B Investment analysis
C Portfolio construction
A custodial services.
6 Real-time data about companies and market conditions are usually supplied by:
A data vendors.
9 Which of the following parties most likely arranges trades on behalf of clients
who want to trade large blocks of securities?
A Block brokers
B Prime brokers
C Primary dealers
11 Which of the following parties most likely acts as a custodian and as a monitor?
A Depositories
B Clearing houses
C Primary dealers
14 Practitioners most likely use the term buy side to refer to:
B investors who purchase investment products and services from the sell side.
C firms that only provide investment data, research, and consulting services.
A sales.
B accounting.
C risk management.
17 Which of the following titles best describes the person responsible for leading
the legal department and interpreting regulations?
B General counsel
18 Which of the following titles best describes the person in a firm responsible for
providing independent assessments of the firm’s operational systems?
ANSWERS
4 C is correct. Passive managers seek to match the return and risk of an appro-
priate benchmark, such as a broad market index. A and B are incorrect because
it is active, not passive, managers who trade securities to beat the benchmark.
Note that active managers will buy securities that are expected to outperform
and sell securities that are expected to underperform.
6 A is correct. Real-time data about companies and market conditions are usually
supplied by data vendors. B and C are incorrect because credit rating agencies
and investment research providers do not supply real-time data about compa-
nies and market conditions. Credit rating agencies supply opinions about the
credit quality of bonds and their issuers. Investment research providers supply
research reports about companies.
28 Chapter 13 ■ Structure of the Investment Industry
9 A is correct. Brokers who help arrange trades of large blocks of securities for
clients by finding counterparties willing to buy or sell a large number of secu-
rities are referred to as block brokers. B is incorrect because prime brokers
usually offer brokerage services to investment professionals, as well as a bundle
of other services, including financing clients’ investment positions. C is incor-
rect because primary dealers do not typically trade for clients on a brokerage
basis. Their role is to facilitate monetary policy transactions that are initiated by
central banks.
10 A is correct. Brokers are agents who arrange trades for their clients by find-
ing counterparties to take the other side of their clients’ trades. B is incorrect
because collecting interest and dividends for clients’ securities is a function
most likely provided by custodians. C is incorrect because eliminating settle-
ment risk by acting as a settlement intermediary is a role that is performed by a
clearing house, not a broker.
14 B is correct. Practitioners typically use the term buy side to refer to investors
who purchase investment products and services from the sell side. A is incor-
rect because it is sell-side, not buy-side, firms that provide investment products
and services. C is incorrect because the classifications of buy side and sell side
are not usually applied to independent firms, such as the ones that provide
investment data, research, and consulting services.
17 B is correct. A firm’s general counsel is usually the head of the legal depart-
ment, which is responsible for arranging contracts, interpreting regulations, and
handling lawsuits. A is incorrect because the chief risk officer is responsible for
identifying and managing potential risks to clients and the firm. C is incorrect
because the chief compliance officer is usually the person responsible for ensur-
ing that the firm follows internal policies and regulations or constraints placed
on the firm by laws, regulations, and clients.
18 B is correct. The firm’s chief auditor, or chief audit executive, is responsible for
leading the firm’s auditing department, assessing the firm’s operational systems,
and suggesting ways for the firm to improve them. A is incorrect because the
chief risk officer is responsible for identifying and managing potential risks to
clients and the firm. C is incorrect because the firm’s chief operating officer is
responsible for the day-to-day management of the firm.
CHAPTER 14
INVESTMENT VEHICLES
by Larry Harris, PhD, CFA
LEARNING OUTCOMES
INTRODUCTION 1
Investment professionals offer a great number of financial services, which were dis-
cussed in the previous chapter, and products to help their clients address their invest-
ment and risk management requirements. The large variety of services and products
reflects the many different needs and challenges their clients face. Understanding the
products and how they are structured is necessary to appreciate how the investment
industry creates value for its clients.
Investment vehicles are assets offered by the investment industry to help investors
move money from the present to the future, with the hope of increasing the value
of their money. These assets include securities, such as shares, bonds, and warrants;
real assets, such as gold; and real estate. Many investment vehicles are entities that
own other investment vehicles. For example, an equity mutual fund is an investment
vehicle that owns shares.
This chapter introduces the most important investment vehicles and explains how
they are structured and how those structures serve investors. Understanding these
products and how they benefit clients will help you support investment professionals
and contribute to the value creation process.
But a common way to invest is through indirect investment vehicles. That is, inves-
tors give their money to investment firms, which then invest the money in a variety
of securities and assets on their behalf. Thus, investors make indirect investments
when they buy the securities of companies, trusts, and partnerships that make direct
investments. The following are examples of indirect investment vehicles:
Most indirect investment vehicles are pooled investments (also known as collective
investment schemes) in which investors pool their money together to gain the advan-
tages of being part of a large group. The resulting economies of scale can significantly
improve investment returns.
Direct Investment
$ Commodities
¥€
Real Estate
Indirect Investment
Commodities
$ Investment $
¥€ Vehicle ¥€
Real Estate
■■ Indirect investments are often substantially less expensive to trade than the
underlying assets. This cost advantage is especially significant for publicly
traded investment vehicles that own highly illiquid assets; recall from the
Alternative Investments chapter that liquidity is one of the benefits of real
estate investment trusts compared with real estate limited partnerships or real
Direct and Indirect Investments 35
estate equity funds. Although the assets in which traded investment vehicles
invest may be difficult to buy and sell, ownership shares in these vehicles can
trade in liquid markets.
Direct investments also present some advantages to investors compared with indirect
investments.
■■ Investors exercise more control over direct investments than over indirect
investments. Investors who hold indirect investments generally must accept all
decisions made by the investment managers, and they can rarely provide input
into those decisions.
■■ Investors who are wealthy can often obtain high-quality investment advice at a
lower cost when investing directly rather than indirectly.
So, is direct or indirect investment more advantageous for investors? The answer is: it
depends. Each investor and each investment firm must decide on the best approach
given their specific needs and circumstances.
■■ Investment managers who do not conduct sufficient research and due diligence
may suggest inappropriate investments. Take the example of a manager who
buys a stock for a client portfolio simply based on the recommendation of a
friend. It would be inappropriate for the manager to buy the stock without first
conducting thorough research and due diligence on the company.
36 Chapter 14 ■ Investment Vehicles
In contrast, large institutional investors are often direct investors who hire and over-
see investment managers. These institutional investors can often devote substantial
resources to monitoring and evaluating their managers.
3 POOLED INVESTMENTS
Most retail investors choose to save through pooled investment vehicles managed by
investment firms. The sole purpose of these investment vehicles is to own securities
and other assets. The investment vehicles, in turn, are owned by their investors, who
share in the profits and losses in proportion to their ownership. It is important to
note that investors in an investment vehicle do not share ownership of the investment
securities and assets held by the investment vehicle. Instead, they share in the own-
ership of the investment vehicle itself. That is, they are the beneficial owners of the
investment vehicle’s securities and assets, but not their legal owners.
All pooled investment vehicles disclose their investment policies, deposit and redemp-
tion procedures, fees and expenses, and past performance statistics in an official offering
document called a prospectus. Investors use this information to evaluate potential
investments. Investment vehicles may disclose additional information through other
mandated regulatory filings, on their websites, or in marketing materials.
The three main types of pooled investment vehicles are open-end mutual funds,
closed-end funds, and exchange-traded funds. An important distinction between
pooled investment vehicles is whether they are exchange-traded or not. Many closed-
end funds and exchange-traded funds trade in organised secondary markets just like
common stocks. In contrast, open-end mutual funds are not exchange traded.
Sections 3.2 to 3.4 discuss more thoroughly the characteristics of open-end mutual
funds, closed-end funds, and exchange-traded funds. Section 3.5 compares the three
types of pooled investment vehicles and concludes with a summary table.
The manager of an open-end mutual fund determines the prices at which deposits
and redemptions occur. No-load funds, which do not charge deposit or redemption
fees, set the same price for deposits and redemptions on any given day. This price is
the net asset value of the fund. The net asset value (NAV) of a fund is calculated by
38 Chapter 14 ■ Investment Vehicles
dividing the total net value of the fund (the value of all assets minus the value of all
liabilities) by the fund’s current total number of shares outstanding. Managers compute
the fund’s NAV each day following the normal close of exchange market trading. They
use last reported trade prices to value their portfolio securities and usually publish
the NAVs a few hours after the market closes.
Investors may have to pay sales loads to the fund distributor, who markets the fund,
at the time of purchase, at the time of redemption, or over time. Front-end sales loads
are fees that investors may have to pay when they buy shares in a fund. Back-end
sales loads are fees that investors may have to pay when they sell shares in a fund that
they have not held for more than some pre-specified period, typically a year or more.
Sales loads are calculated as a percentage of the sales price. The percentage is usually
around 3%, but can be as high as 9%. Typically, the fund distributor receives the fee
and pays part of it to the investment manager and part of it to anybody who helped
arrange the sale, except where legally restricted from doing so.
Some funds also charge purchase or redemption fees. Investors pay these fees to the
fund as opposed to paying them to the distributor as in a front-end or back-end sales
load. Purchase and redemption fees help compensate existing shareholders for costs
imposed on the fund when other shareholders buy and sell their shares. These costs
primarily consist of the costs of trading portfolio securities incurred when buying
securities to invest the cash received from investors or when selling securities to raise
cash for redemptions.
Money market funds are a special class of open-end mutual funds that investors view
as uninsured interest-paying bank accounts. Unlike other open-end mutual funds,
regulators permit money market funds to accept deposits and satisfy redemptions
at a constant price per share (typically one unit of the local currency—for example,
a euro per share in the eurozone) if they meet certain conditions. In particular, they
may only hold money market securities—that is, generally very short-term, low-risk
debt securities issued by entities with very high-quality credit. In that case, regulators
allow money market funds to pay daily income distributions to their shareholders,
which they typically distribute at the end of the month. These arrangements ensure
that money market funds’ NAVs remain very close to their constant redemption price.
Money market funds are vulnerable to a run on assets. In particular, if investors expect
that the value of their money market funds will decline in the near future, they may
rush to redeem their shares before the NAV falls. These actions can be destabilising
because they force funds to sell portfolio securities when the market is falling.
Listed closed-end funds sell shares to the public in initial public offerings (IPOs), as
described in the Equity Securities chapter. They then use the proceeds from the IPO
to purchase securities and other assets. After the IPO, investors who want to buy or
sell a listed closed-end fund do so through exchanges and dealers. The closed-end
fund does not participate in these transactions aside from registering the resulting
ownership changes. Investors buy and sell the shares at whatever prices they can
obtain in the market.
Listed closed-end funds are actively managed and generally trade at prices different
from their NAV. A fund is said to trade at a discount if the trading price is lower than
the fund’s NAV or at a premium if the trading price is greater than its NAV. Discounts
are more common than premiums because many closed-end fund investment managers
have been unable to add more value to their funds than the funds lose through their
various operational costs. The investment management fee typically is the largest of
these costs. Other costs include portfolio transaction costs and fees for accounting
and other administrative services.
3.5.1 Risks
All pooled investment vehicles are risky, although the risks associated with each
investment vehicle mainly depend on the securities and other assets that it holds in
its portfolio. These risks vary much more by the investment approach than by how
the investment vehicle is organised. In general, passively managed funds are less risky
than actively managed funds that invest in the same asset class because investors in
actively managed funds run the risk that their managers will underperform the market
for that asset class.
Closed-end funds generally are riskier than similar open-end mutual funds because the
discounts and occasional premiums at which closed-end funds trade relative to their
NAVs vary over time. Variation of these discounts and premiums increases the risk
of holding closed-end funds. ETFs also sometimes trade at discounts and premiums
to their NAVs, but these variations tend to be small.
40 Chapter 14 ■ Investment Vehicles
Management accountability is only a minor concern for ETFs and for open-end mutual
funds that use passive investing strategies because their managers have little influence
on portfolio performance.
Investors are more concerned about the accountability of managers of actively managed
open-end mutual funds and ETFs. Investors will withdraw their money from these
funds if they are unhappy with the management, thus reducing the manager’s assets
under management and the fee paid to the manager.
In contrast, managers of closed-end funds are largely insulated from their shareholders.
Shareholders can sell their shares to new investors, but the assets under management
remain the same.
3.5.3 Costs
The costs incurred by pooled investment vehicles are deducted from their assets,
reducing their investment performance.
The biggest costs are those associated with management, distribution, and account
maintenance. The level of management fees depends primarily on the style of asset
management and the type of assets managed. Investors in passively managed funds
generally pay lower management fees, whereas management fees for actively managed
funds are usually higher.
Another type of cost is associated with trading. Investors can trade most listed closed-
end funds or ETFs at any time they can find a counterparty willing to take the other
side of their trade. In contrast, investors in open-end mutual funds can trade only
at the end of the day. They can place their orders at any time, but settlement occurs
after the markets close when the NAV has been determined.
Investors who trade listed closed-end funds and exchange-traded funds generally know
the prices at which their trades can take place because market prices are available.
They usually use brokers to arrange their trades and must pay commissions to them.
Investors should be aware of the tax implication of these cash dividends. Section 8
discusses more thoroughly how investors can manage their tax liabilities.
Index Funds 41
Managed Yes, actively or passively Yes, primarily actively Yes, primarily passively
Exchange traded No Yes, but not traded Yes, traded continuously
continuously
If exchange traded, size of Can be large, usually trade Small, usually trade at close
the gap between the price at a discount to the NAV to the NAV
and the net asset value
Redeemable Yes No Yes
Risky Yes Yes Yes
Management accountability Few issues, particularly Management not particu- Few issues, particularly if
if funds are passively larly responsive to share- funds are passively managed
managed holders’ concerns
Management fees High if actively managed, High because actively Low if passively managed
low if passively managed managed
INDEX FUNDS 4
Index funds, which are passively managed, are among the most common types of
pooled investment vehicles and are used widely in most parts of the world. They are
popular because they provide broad exposure to an asset class and are cheap relative
to many other products. In order to understand index funds, it is necessary to have
an understanding of security market indices.
Some indices include a small number of securities from one national market or one
particular sector. For example, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) includes only
30 large US company stocks and the Dow Jones Utilities includes only 15 large US
company stocks from the utility sector. Other indices try to capture a larger share of
the securities market and include hundreds or thousands of securities from around
the world. For example, the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World
Index Funds 43
Index includes more than 6,000 stocks in 24 developed markets. Note that the list of
securities included in an index may change from time to time. The process of adding
and removing securities included in the index is called index reconstitution.
There are different approaches used to assign weights to the securities included in an
index: price-weighted, capitalisation-weighted, or equal-weighted.
Equal-weighted indices show what returns would be made if an equal value were
invested in each security included in the index. The prices of these securities change
continuously. Thus, to maintain the equal weights between securities, regular index
rebalancing is necessary. That is, the weights given to securities whose prices have risen
must be decreased, and the weights given to securities whose prices have fallen must be
increased. The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index is an example of an equal-weighted index.
The fact that different indices include different securities and use different approaches
to assign weights to the securities explains why the changes in values of indices
vary, even when focusing on the same national market or sector. For example, as of
August 2018, Apple is the largest company by market capitalisation. Apple stock is
included in both the S&P 500 Equal Weight and Market Weight Indices. Because the
S&P 500 Equal Weight Index assigns the same weights to all the stocks it includes, Apple
represents only 0.2% (1/500th) of the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index. Because the S&P
500 Market Weight Index assigns to each stock a weight that reflects the company’s
market capitalisation, Apple represents 4.5% of the S&P 500 Market Weight Index.
A change in the price of Apple’s stock will have a small effect on the S&P 500 Equal
Weighted Index, but will have a much larger effect on the S&P 500 Market Weight
Index. Knowing which securities are included in an index and how much weight is
assigned to each is important information for people using the index.
The percentage change in the value of an index over some time interval is the index
return. Analysts focus more on index returns than on index values because index
values are arbitrary. For example, the value of the FTSE 100 was arbitrarily set to
a base value of 1,000 on 3 January 1984 when the Financial Times and the London
Stock Exchange created the index.
44 Chapter 14 ■ Investment Vehicles
Index funds are popular among individual and institutional investors because they
produce returns that closely track market returns. Index funds are generally broadly
diversified and highly transparent, with relatively low management and trading costs.
They are tax-efficient because they do not do a lot of trading that can generate taxable
capital gains. The low level of trading also reduces trading costs. Most individual
investors and many institutional investors invest in index funds by buying open-end
mutual funds that hold index portfolios. Many large institutional investors also hold
index portfolios in their investment accounts; in other words, they create their own
index funds.
Some index fund managers invest in every security in the benchmark index, a strat-
egy known as full replication. Other index funds find it difficult to buy and hold all
of the securities included in the benchmark index. The securities may not be easily
available or the transaction costs of acquiring and holding all the securities included
in the benchmark index may be high. If full replication is difficult or too costly, index
fund managers might invest in only a representative sample of the index securities,
a strategy called sampling replication. Managers of small funds, which track indices
with many securities, often use the sampling replication strategy to reduce costs.
Once set up, index funds only trade if the weightings need to be adjusted. Adjustments
are necessary in the case of index reconstitution—that is, when securities are added
or deleted from the list of index securities. All index funds are affected by index
reconstitution, but equal-weighted index funds are most affected by a need to change
weightings. The equal-weighted index fund has to trade to maintain the equal weighting.
The capitalisation-weighted index fund only needs to rebalance if corporate actions,
such as mergers and acquisitions, affect weightings.
Index funds sometimes buy securities to invest cash when cash inflows are received.
Cash inflows include receipt of dividends and/or interest. They also include additional
net cash inflows from investors—that is, additional investments from investors that
exceed withdrawal (redemption) requests by investors. Index funds may have to sell
securities if withdrawal requests from investors exceed additional investment from
investors.
5 HEDGE FUNDS
Hedge funds are another type of pooled investment vehicle. They are less widely used
by investors than index funds because they tend to be more complex, less transparent,
and less liquid, with higher costs and a high minimum investment level.
Hedge Funds 45
5.1 Characteristics
Hedge funds are private investment pools that investment managers organise and
manage. As a group, they pursue diverse strategies. The term “hedge” once referred to
the practice of buying one asset and selling a correlated asset to take advantage of the
difference in their values without taking much market risk—thus the use of the term
hedge because it refers to a reduction or elimination of market risk. Although many
hedge funds do engage in some hedging, it is not the distinguishing characteristic of
most hedge funds today.
Hedge funds are distinguished from other pooled investment vehicles primarily by
■■ agreements that lock up the investors’ capital for fixed periods, and
They can also be distinguished by their use of strategies beyond the scope of most
traditional closed-end funds and open-end mutual funds that are actively managed.
5.1.1 Availability
Hedge funds are usually available only to some investors who meet various wealth,
income, and investment knowledge criteria that regulators set. The criteria are
designed to ensure that these investment vehicles are suitable for their investors.
Most money invested in hedge funds comes from large institutional investors, such
as pension funds, university endowment funds, and sovereign wealth funds, as well
as from high-net-worth individuals.
5.1.3 Compensation
Perhaps the most distinguishing characteristic of hedge funds is the managerial
compensation system they use. Hedge fund managers generally receive an annual
management fee plus a performance fee that is often specified as a percentage of the
returns that they produce in excess of a hurdle rate. For example, a manager who
receives “2 and 20” compensation will receive 2% of the fund assets in management
fees every year plus a performance fee of 20% of the return on the fund assets that
exceeds the hurdle rate.
46 Chapter 14 ■ Investment Vehicles
HURDLE RATE
For example, assume that the assets under management are £1 million, that
the hurdle rate is 5%, and that the return on the fund assets for the year is 17%.
As illustrated in the figure, the excess return—that is, the return in excess of
the hurdle rate—is 12%. Based on a “2 and 20” compensation, the hedge fund
manager will receive an annual management fee of £20,000 and a performance
fee of £24,000 for a total compensation of £44,000.
17% return
5% hurdle
Hedge fund managers usually earn the performance fee only if the fund is above its
high-water mark. The high-water mark reflects the highest value, net of fees, that the
fund has reached at any time in the past (Exhibit 2). The high-water mark provision
ensures that investors pay the managers only for net returns calculated from the ini-
tial investment and not for returns that recoup previous losses. This provision is also
called the loss-carryback provision.
Hedge Funds 47
High-Water Mark
Net Asset Value of Fund
High-Water Mark
High-Water Mark
Some managers terminate their funds and start over when they have significant losses
because they know they may never achieve their high-water mark and so cannot collect
performance fees. Restarting gives managers a new high-water mark. But it does not
always solve their problem: managers who have performed poorly often have difficulty
raising new funds from investors.
Investors pay high performance fees in the belief that the fees provide strong incen-
tives to managers to perform well. These incentives work when the fund is near its
high-water mark but they are less powerful when the fund has performed poorly.
5.2 Risks
Although many hedge funds are not particularly risky, the high performance fees might
encourage some fund managers to take substantial risks. Hedge funds sometimes
increase their risk exposure through leverage. Increased leverage can be achieved
through the use of borrowed funds or through the use of derivatives.
On the one hand, if their investments are successful, the performance fee can make the
managers extremely wealthy. On the other hand, if the hedge fund has poor returns,
the investors lose their whole investment but the managers lose only the opportunity to
stay in business. This asymmetry in managers’ compensation can encourage risk taking.
Hedge fund investment managers often also participate as investors in their hedge
funds. Their co-investments help assure their investors that the managers’ interests
are well aligned with theirs. Such assurances help managers raise funds.
Most hedge funds are open-end investment vehicles that allow new investors to buy
in and existing investors to leave at the NAV. But as mentioned before, most funds
only allow investors to withdraw funds following a lock-up period and then only on
specific dates.
48 Chapter 14 ■ Investment Vehicles
Some hedge funds are domiciled in offshore financial centres where tax rates may
be lower. The Cayman Islands are a popular domicile for hedge funds because of
favourable laws and regulations for investors and investment managers and the tax
advantages this location offers.
6 FUNDS OF FUNDS
Funds of funds are investment vehicles that invest in other funds. They can be actively
managed or passively managed.
Fund
$€ 1
¥
$ Fund $ Fund
¥€ of
Funds
¥€ 2
$
¥€
Fund
3
Two main investment strategies characterise most actively managed funds of funds.
Some managers try to identify funds with managers they believe will outperform the
market. They then invest in funds managed by those managers. Others use various
proprietary models to predict which investment strategies are most likely to be suc-
cessful in the future and then invest in funds that implement those strategies. Both
types of managers try to hold well-diversified portfolios of funds to reduce the overall
risk of their funds.
The costs of investing in an actively managed fund of funds can be high because
investors pay two levels of fees. They pay management and performance fees directly
to the fund of funds manager and they also indirectly pay fees to the managers of the
funds in which the fund of funds invests.
In the case of a fund of hedge funds, investors may pay particularly high manage-
ment fees because of the performance fees paid to the hedge fund managers. In a
well-diversified fund of hedge funds, investment gains in some funds are often offset
by losses in the other funds. The fund of hedge funds pays performance fees to the
Tax-Advantaged Accounts and Managing Tax Liabilities 49
winning hedge fund managers and thus shares its gains in these funds with those
managers. But losing hedge fund managers do not share in the losses of their hedge
funds. If the gains and losses are of equal size, fund-of-hedge-funds investors will not
profit overall, but will still pay substantial performance fees to the winning managers.
MANAGED ACCOUNTS 7
Many investors contract with investment professionals to help manage their invest-
ments. These investment professionals generally promise to implement specific
strategies in exchange for an advisory fee or for commissions on the trades that they
recommend. Investors are increasingly using fee-based investment professionals to
ensure that these professionals will not profit from recommending excessive trading.
Institutional investors that do not manage investments in-house use fee-based invest-
ment professionals. Retail investors often obtain the services of fee-based investment
professionals through wrap accounts. In a wrap account, the charges for investment
services, such as brokerage, investment advice, financial planning, and investment
accounting, are all wrapped into a single flat fee. The fee typically ranges between 1%
and 3% of total assets per year and is usually paid quarterly or annually.
Some countries allow all distributions from certain tax-advantaged accounts to be tax
free if the money is used for higher education or for health care. Distributions from
retirement accounts are generally taxed as ordinary income.
Saving in tax-advantaged accounts from which distributions are not taxed is advan-
tageous for investors if they are certain that they will ultimately use the money for its
authorised purpose. For example, investors saving for education will always be better
off doing so with tax-advantaged accounts if the withdrawals used to fund educational
expenses are not taxable.
Some tax-advantaged accounts allow the deferral of tax. Whether deferral is advanta-
geous depends on the tax rates at which the principal and investment income would
otherwise be taxed and on the tax rates at which the deferred income will be taxed.
If future tax rates are expected to be lower or the same as current tax rates, deferral
is advantageous.
Deferring taxes may not be beneficial if tax rates are expected to be higher in the
future. Future rates may be higher under a variety of circumstances: tax rates may
change during the period of the investment, the investor may be wealthier in the
future and thus subject to higher tax rates, or the investor may pay ordinary income
tax rates on distributions from a tax-advantaged account but would have paid lower
rates on capital gains and investment income earned (dividends and interest) on the
investment if the money was invested in a taxable account.
Most jurisdictions allow taxpayers to offset their realised capital gains with realised
capital losses so that they are taxed only on the net gain. Accordingly, investors fre-
quently realise losses by selling losing positions so that they can use them to offset
realised capital gains.
Many jurisdictions tax capital gains at lower rates than they tax investment income,
such as interest and dividends. Taxpaying investors in these jurisdictions can min-
imise their taxes by using investment vehicles that do not pay investment income.
Alternatively, they could invest in companies that distribute cash by repurchasing
shares on the open market instead of paying dividends. Share prices of these compa-
nies tend to rise over time as the share repurchases reduce the total number of shares.
Investors who retain their shares thus earn long-term capital gains rather than current
investment income. These companies provide more tax-efficient investments than do
otherwise similar companies that pay dividends. Some countries, such as Singapore,
do not have capital gains taxes.
Whether investors should defer taxable income depends on the tax regime, their
expectations of future tax rates (including estate tax rates, which are imposed on the
transfer of properties from the deceased to his or her heirs), and the probability that
they will need money that they cannot access if placed in a tax-advantaged account.
Some investment professionals can help investors work through these issues.
SUMMARY
Companies in the investment industry offer many investment vehicles that help indi-
vidual and institutional investors meet their investment needs. Investors use these
investment vehicles to reduce the cost of investing, control their risk exposure, and
improve their returns. By pooling their money in investment vehicles, investors can
gain access to skilled professional investment managers, reduce risk through diversi-
fication, and benefit from economies of scale.
This chapter provides an overview of the investment vehicles that investors commonly
use. Some important points to remember include the following:
■■ Investors who make indirect investments buy investment vehicles from invest-
ment firms. The investment vehicles invest directly in portfolios of securities
and assets. Indirect investors benefit from access to professional management,
the ability to share ownership of large assets, the ability to diversify their risks,
and often, lower trading costs than direct investments.
■■ The three main types of pooled investments are open-end mutual funds, closed-
end funds, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Investors like them because they
allow them to cheaply invest in highly diversified portfolios in a single low-cost
transaction.
■■ Almost all closed-end funds use active management strategies whereas open-
end mutual funds can use active or passive investment strategies. Most ETFs
are passively managed.
■■ Closed-end funds and ETFs are exchange-traded and may trade at prices other
than their net asset values. In contrast, open-end mutual funds do not trade
on an organised secondary market. Open-end funds’ securities are bought and
redeemed with the fund at net asset value.
■■ The other main differences between the various types of pooled investments are
related to management accountability, management fees and trading costs, and
the tax implication of cash distributions.
■■ Funds of funds are investment vehicles that invest in other funds. Fund-of-
funds managers seek to add value by selecting managers who will outperform
their peers rather than by selecting securities that will outperform other securi-
ties. Fees can be high because investors implicitly pay two levels of fees.
■■ Separate accounts can be managed for the exclusive benefit of a single investor,
but they can be expensive to manage. In contrast, commingled accounts provide
investors the benefit of economies of scale in asset management.
A a company.
B a mutual fund.
A trade continuously.
6 An index that gives each security’s weight according to the proportion of its
market capitalisation is:
A a price-weighted index.
B a value-weighted index.
C an equal-weighted index.
A churning.
B rebalancing.
C reconstitution.
A price weighted.
B equal weighted.
C capitalisation weighted.
9 From the perspective of an investor, index funds are popular because they are
generally:
A broadly diversified.
B tax-free investments.
12 Increasing the hurdle rate for a hedge fund manager will usually lead to total
fees that are:
A lower.
B unchanged.
C higher.
A hurdle rate.
B lock-up period.
C high-water mark.
Chapter Review Questions 55
A investors.
B fund managers.
15 The ability to defer taxes in tax-advantaged accounts will be most beneficial for
investors who expect their tax rates in the future to:
A increase.
B decrease.
C remain unchanged.
56 Chapter 14 ■ Investment Vehicles
ANSWERS
2 B is correct. Investors who hold direct investments can exercise more control
over their investments than investors who hold indirect investments. Investors
who hold indirect investments generally must accept all the decisions made by
the investment managers, and they can rarely provide input into those deci-
sions. A is incorrect because indirect investments are often substantially less
expensive to trade than their underlying assets. C is incorrect because indirect
investments, not direct investments, allow investors to share in the purchase
and ownership of large assets. This advantage is especially important to small
investors who cannot afford to buy large assets themselves.
4 C is correct. The shares of open-end mutual funds are bought and redeemed
at net asset value. Shares of closed-end funds generally trade at prices different
from their net asset value. A is incorrect because it is the shares of closed-end,
not open-end, mutual funds that are not redeemable. B is incorrect because it is
the shares of closed-end, not open-end, mutual funds that are exchange traded.
6 B is correct. An index that gives each security’s weight according the propor-
tion of its market capitalisation is a value-weighted index, also known as a
capitalisation-weighted, cap-weighted, or market-weighted index. The market
capitalisation of a security is the market price of the security multiplied by the
number of units outstanding of the security. A is incorrect because a price-
weighted index assigns weights in the proportion of market price rather than
market capitalisation. C is incorrect because an equal-weighted index gives the
same weight to all the securities included in the index.
9 A is correct. Index funds are diversified. They are also transparent and tax effi-
cient with very low management and trading costs. B is incorrect because index
funds are tax-efficient investments but not tax-free investments. C is incorrect
because index funds represent investments with very low, but not zero, man-
agement fees.
10 B is correct. Index funds may have to sell securities if withdrawal requests from
investors exceed additional investment from investors. A is incorrect because
an index fund uses a passive investment strategy. C is incorrect because an
index fund will purchase securities if net cash inflows (Dividends + Interest +
Investor contributions) are greater than withdrawal requests.
11 A is correct. Most hedge funds impose capital lock-up periods, the lengths of
which depend on how much time the hedge fund managers expect that they
will need to successfully implement their strategies. B is incorrect because
retail investors are not typically eligible to invest in hedge funds. C is incorrect
because hedge funds have relatively high management and performance fees.
13 B is correct. Most hedge funds lock up their investors’ capital for various peri-
ods of time, which will restrict investors’ access to their invested capital. A and
C are incorrect because a hurdle rate and a high-water mark benefit investors
participating in hedge funds and would thus be viewed as favourable features.
14 A is correct. Hedge fund managers usually earn the performance fee only if the
fund is above its high-water mark. Therefore, the existence of the high-water
mark is a benefit to investors. If the net asset value of the fund is below the
high-water mark, no performance fee is payable.
f Compare long, short, and leveraged positions in terms of risk and poten-
tial return;
INTRODUCTION 1
Have you have ever bought shares, bonds, or invested money in a mutual fund? If
so, you have—whether you realise it or not—been served by financial markets. Many
investors use financial markets to implement their investment decisions, as reflected
by the trillions of financial market transactions each year.
Investors buy and trade securities that are issued by companies and governments
that need to raise capital. Markets in which companies and governments sell their
securities to investors are known as primary markets. Each type of security has its
own primary market. For example, in most countries, there is a primary market for
shares issued by companies or bonds issued by the sovereign (national) government.
Investors also trade securities, such as shares and bonds, as well as contracts, such
as futures and options. These trades take place in secondary markets. When trading
securities and contracts in secondary markets, investors often obtain assistance from
trading services providers, such as brokers and dealers. These specialists perform a
variety of tasks, which were described in the Structure of the Investment Industry
chapter.
offered consist of new shares issued by the company and may also include shares that
the founders and other early investors in the company want to sell. The IPO provides
founders and other early investors with a means of converting their investments into
cash, a process known as monetising.
The selling of new shares by a publicly traded company subsequent to its IPO is
referred to as a secondary, or seasoned, equity offering. Both initial public and sea-
soned offerings occur in the primary market for a particular type of securities—for
instance, the primary market for corporate bonds. Later, if investors buy and sell this
type of securities from and to each other, they do so in the secondary market. Note
that the issuer only receives additional capital when it issues new securities in the
primary market. It will not receive any new capital from the trading of its securities
in the secondary market.
Primary Secondary
Market Market
Issuer Investor Issuer Exchange/ Investor
The issuer receives Broker
no cash (capital) in
Cash secondary market Cash (Buyer) or
(Capital) transactions. Securities (Seller)
Before a public offering, the issuer typically provides detailed information about its
business and inherent risks as well as the proposed uses for the money it hopes to
raise. This information is offered in the form of a prospectus to potential investors.
Most exchanges and their regulators have detailed rules regarding the format and
content of a prospectus.
Companies generally contract with investment banks to help them sell their securities
to the public. Investment banks play an important role in identifying potential investors
and setting the offering price—that is, the price at which the securities are sold. The
role played by investment banks is different, however, depending on whether it is an
underwritten offering or a best efforts offering.
The most common offering type for initial public and seasoned offerings is an under-
written offering. In an underwritten offering, the investment bank acts as an under-
writer. In this role, the investment bank buys the securities from the issuer at a price
that is negotiated with the issuer, thus guaranteeing that the issuer gets the amount
of capital it requires. The securities are then sold at an agreed-on offering price to
investors. The objective of the investment bank is not to become a long-term share-
holder of the issuer but to be an intermediary between the issuer and the investors
for a fee. Finding investors willing to buy the securities is thus an important aspect
of an underwritten offering because it reduces the risk that the investment bank is
unable to resell all the securities it bought from the issuer.
In a process called book building, the investment bank identifies investors who are
willing to buy the securities. These investors are known in the industry as subscribers.
The investment bank tries to build a book of orders from clients or other interested
buyers to whom they can resell the securities.
Primary Security Markets 63
In the book building process, the right offering price is particularly important. If
there are not enough buyers for all the securities that are for sale, the offering is said
to be undersubscribed. If there is more demand than securities for sale, the offering
is said to be oversubscribed. In the case of oversubscription, the securities are often
allocated by the investment bank to preferred clients or on a pro rata basis, by which
all investors get a set proportion of the shares they ordered.
In the case of undersubscription, the investment bank will be left with unsold secu-
rities, which not only commits capital for longer than expected but is also risky. If
after the public offering, the price of the securities falls below the offering price, the
investment bank may face a loss. So, investment banks have a conflict of interest with
respect to the offering price in underwritten offerings. As agents for the issuers, they
should price the issue to raise the most money for the issuer. But as underwriters,
they have strong incentives to choose a lower price because it reduces the risk of
the offering being undersubscribed. Underwriters can also allocate these essentially
“underpriced” securities to benefit their clients, a process that indirectly benefits the
investment bank.
First-time issuers may accept lower offering prices because they are concerned about
the possibility of the issue being undersubscribed. Many believe that an undersub-
scribed IPO conveys unfavourable information about a company’s prospects at a time
when the company is most vulnerable to public opinion about its future. The issuer
may fear that an undersubscribed IPO will reduce the benefits of going public, such
as the opportunity to raise capital in subsequent offerings and the positive publicity
associated with a successful IPO.
In an IPO, the underwriter usually promises to ensure that the secondary market for
the securities will be liquid. If necessary, the underwriter provides price support for
a limited period of time, typically about a month. During that time, if the price of the
securities falls below a certain threshold, the underwriter will buy securities to stop
or limit the price fall. Providing price support is costly to investment banks, and it is
another factor that motivates them to choose a lower offering price so that the secu-
rity’s price in the secondary market rises immediately following the IPO. However,
price support does not guarantee that the security’s price will not fall. For example,
the price of Facebook’s shares declined substantially in the weeks that followed the
company’s IPO in 2012, despite price support from the underwriters.
Pricing is less challenging in a seasoned offering because the issuer’s securities already
trade in the secondary market. Thus, it is easier to identify an appropriate price for the
offering. The fees charged for a seasoned offering are lower than for an initial public
offering because there is less risk.
A single investment bank may not have the distribution network, capital, or risk appe-
tite to organise a large offering, so large offerings are often organised by a syndicate
that includes several investment banks. The syndicate helps the investment bank that
leads the offering (known as the lead underwriter) to build the book of orders. The
issuer pays the investment banks an underwriting fee for all these services.
In a best efforts offering, the investment bank acts only as a broker and does not
assume the risk associated with buying the securities. If the offering is undersubscribed,
the issuer will sell fewer securities and may not be able to raise as much capital as it
had planned.
Participant Role
Issuer Makes new shares or shares held by the founders and other
early investors available for sale to the public.
Provides detailed information about its business and inherent
risks as well as the proposed uses for the funds.
Investment bank Identifies investors who are willing to buy the securities and
helps sell the securities to the public.
Underwritten offering
Buys the securities from the issuer at a price that is negoti-
ated with the issuer and then resells them to investors at the
offering price. This effectively guarantees that the issuer gets
the amount of capital it expects.
In an initial public offering, it also promises to ensure that
the secondary market for the securities will be liquid and to
provide price support for a limited period of time.
Best effort offering
Only acts as a broker of the offered securities and does not
assume the risk associated with buying the securities.
Syndicate Helps the lead underwriter build the book of orders.
Companies sometimes sell new issues of seasoned securities directly to the public over
time via shelf registrations. In a shelf registration, the company provides the same
detailed information that it would for a regular public offering. However, in contrast
to a seasoned offering in which all the shares are sold in a single transaction, a shelf
registration allows the company to sell the shares directly to investors over a longer
period of time. Shelf registrations provide companies with flexibility on the timing of
raising capital, and they can alleviate the downward pricing pressures often associated
with large secondary offerings.
Investors in private placements are expected to have sufficient knowledge and expe-
rience to recognise the risks that they assume, so most countries require less disclo-
sure for private placements than for public offerings. Thus, private placements allow
quicker access to capital with less regulatory oversight and lower cost of regulatory
compliance than public offerings.
Issuers can raise money in the primary markets at a lower cost when their securities
can be traded in liquid secondary markets. Investors value liquidity because they
may need to sell their securities quickly to raise cash. So investors will pay less for
securities that are difficult or costly to sell (illiquid) than for those that are easy to sell
(liquid). Because securities offered in a private placement do not trade in a secondary
Primary Security Markets 65
market like securities offered in a public offering, investors are willing to pay less
for the former than for the latter. In other words, investors generally require higher
returns for securities issued via private placements than for the same securities issued
via public offerings.
Private
Placement
Qualified
Issuer Investors
Capital
Because rights do not need to be exercised, they are options—one of the types of
derivative instruments presented in the Derivatives chapter. The exercise price of the
rights is typically set below the current market price of the shares so that buying shares
by exercising the rights is immediately profitable—that is, an existing shareholder can
pay the exercise price and get shares that can immediately be sold at a higher market
price for a profit. Accordingly, most rights are exercised.
Existing shareholders who do not want to exercise their rights will be “diluted”—that
is, their proportional ownership will decrease because they will hold the same number
of shares in a company that now has more shares outstanding. By selling their rights
to others who will exercise them, they receive compensation for the decrease in their
proportional ownership. Shareholders generally dislike rights offerings because they
must provide additional capital to avoid dilution or sell their rights and experience
dilution of ownership.
3 TRADING VENUES
So far in this chapter, we have described how primary markets operate; the rest of
the chapter focuses on secondary markets and how they help investors buy and sell
securities. In secondary markets, securities trade among investors, and there is thus
a need for a trading venue—either physical or electronic—where orders can be placed
and trading among investors can occur. Orders are instructions that investors who
want to trade give trading service providers, such as brokers and dealers, who are
discussed in the Structure of the Investment Industry chapter.
This section discusses exchanges and alternative trading venues and then compares
them.
3.1 Exchanges
Securities exchanges, or exchanges, are where traders can meet to arrange their
trades. Historically, brokers and dealers met on an exchange floor to negotiate trades.
Increasingly, exchanges now arrange trades based on orders that brokers and dealers
submit to them electronically. These exchanges essentially act as brokers, blurring the
distinction between exchanges and brokers.
The main distinction between exchanges and brokers is their regulatory operations.
Most exchanges regulate their members’ actions when trading on the exchange and
sometimes also away from the exchange. Brokers generally regulate trading only in
their brokerage systems.
Many exchanges also regulate the issuers that list on the exchange, generally requiring
timely financial reporting and disclosure. Financial analysts use this information to
value the securities traded on the exchange. Without such information, valuing secu-
rities would be difficult and market prices might not reflect the fundamental values
of the securities. Recall from the Structure of the Investment Industry chapter that
a security’s fundamental value is the value that would be placed on it by investors if
they had a complete understanding of the security’s investment characteristics. When
market prices do not reflect fundamental values, well-informed participants can profit
from less-informed participants. To avoid losses, less-informed participants withdraw
from the market, which is detrimental not only to the investment industry but also
to the wider economy.
Exchanges also attempt to ensure that companies are run for the benefit of all share-
holders and not to promote the interests of controlling shareholders who lack significant
economic stakes in the company. For example, some exchanges prohibit companies
from concentrating voting rights in the hands of a few shareholders who do not own
a proportionate share of the company’s equity.
Exchanges derive their regulatory authority from their national or regional govern-
ments or through voluntary agreements by their members and their issuers. In most
countries, regulators created by the national government oversee exchanges. Most
countries also have regulators that impose financial disclosure standards on public
issuers.
Trading Venues 67
Exchanges charge fees for their services. They may charge the buyer, the seller, or
both parties a transaction fee, which is essentially a commission for facilitating trades.
Transaction fees and other transaction costs are further discussed in Section 8.
Many alternative trading venues permit only certain traders or types of traders to
use their trading systems, and each of them has its own rules. Most alternative trad-
ing venues allow institutional traders to trade directly with each other without the
intermediation of dealers or brokers, which makes them lower-cost trading venues.
Some alternative trading venues are known as dark pools because of their lack of
transparency. Dark pools do not display orders from clients to other market partici-
pants. Large institutional investors may transact in dark pools because market prices
often move to their disadvantage when other traders know about their large orders.
Electronic trading systems have greatly decreased the costs of arranging trades. The
lower costs of trading have increased trading volumes, and investors now use many
investment strategies that were previously too expensive to implement.
An important distinction between exchanges and alternative trading venues is the reg-
ulatory authority that exchanges exert over users of their trading systems. Alternative
trading venues only control the conduct of subscribers who use their trading systems.
Another distinction among trading venues is related to trade transparency. A market
is said to be pre-trade transparent if the trading venue publishes real-time data about
68 Chapter 15 ■ The Functioning of Financial Markets
quotes and orders. Quotes are prices at which dealers are prepared to buy and sell
securities and are discussed in Section 6. Markets are said to be post-trade transparent
if the trading venue publishes trade prices and sizes soon after trades occur.
Secondary markets are organised either as call markets or as continuous trading mar-
kets. In a call market, participants can arrange trades only when the market is called,
which is usually once a day. In contrast, in a continuous trading market, participants
can arrange and execute trades any time the market is open. Most markets, including
alternative trading venues, are continuous.
Buyers can easily find sellers and vice versa in call markets because all traders interested
in trading (or orders representing their interests) are present at the same time and
place. Trading venues that are call markets have the potential to be very liquid when
they are called, but they are completely illiquid between calls. In contrast, traders can
arrange and execute their trades at any time in continuous trading markets.
There are three main types of market structures for trading: quote-driven, order-
driven, and brokered markets.
Because rules match buyers and sellers, trades are often arranged among complete
strangers. Order-driven markets thus must have settlement systems to ensure that
buyers and sellers settle their security trades and perform on their contract trades.
Otherwise, dishonest traders would not settle their obligations if a change in market
conditions made settlement unprofitable.
Brokers who are organising markets in unique assets try to know everyone who might
now or in the future be willing to trade such assets. These brokers spend most of their
time on the telephone and in meetings building their client networks.
POSITIONS 5
A position refers to the quantity of an asset or security that a person or institution
owns or owes. An investment portfolio usually consists of many positions.
Investors are said to have long positions when they own assets or securities. Examples
of long positions include ownership of shares, bonds, currencies, commodities, or real
assets. Long positions increase in value when prices rise. In contrast, positions that
increase in value when prices fall are called short positions. To take short positions,
investors must sell assets or securities that they do not own, a process that involves
borrowing the assets or securities, selling them, and repurchasing them later to return
them to their owner. Section 5.1 describes this short-selling process more thoroughly,
and Section 5.2 discusses leveraged positions.
70 Chapter 15 ■ The Functioning of Financial Markets
The potential gains in a long position generally are unlimited. For example, the share
prices of successful companies can increase many times over. But the potential losses in
a long position are limited to 100%—a complete loss of the initial investment—unless
the position is financed by borrowings (debt). We will discuss leveraged positions in
the next section.
The potential gains and losses in a short position are mirror images of the potential
losses and gains in a long position. In other words, the potential gains in a short
position are limited to 100%, but the potential losses are unlimited. The unlimited
potential losses make short positions potentially highly risky.
Although security lenders may believe that they still own the securities they lend, this
is not the case during the period of the loan. Instead, security lenders own promises
made by the short sellers to return the securities. These promises are recorded in
security lending agreements. These agreements specify that the short sellers will pay
the security lenders all dividends or interest that they otherwise would have received
had they not loaned their securities. These payments are called payments in lieu of
dividends or of interest.
Security lending is subject to the risk that one of the parties to the contract will fail
to honour their obligation, a risk called counterparty risk. To limit counterparty risk,
security lenders require that short sellers leave the proceeds of the short sale on deposit
with them as collateral for the loan. Collateral refers to assets that a borrower pledges
to the lender. Security lenders run the risk that short sellers will fail to return the
securities if their price rises. Thus, short sellers must provide additional collateral to
secure the loan following an increase in the price of the securities. In contrast, short
sellers run the risk that security lenders will fail to return the collateral if the price of
the securities falls, so security lenders must return some of the collateral following a
decrease in the price of the securities.
Buying securities on margin increases the potential gains or losses for a given amount
of equity in a position because the buyer can buy more securities using borrowed
money. The use of leverage allows buyers to earn greater profits when prices rise.
But, equally, a buyer who has leveraged a position suffers greater losses when prices
fall. Buying securities on margin thus increases the risk of investing in the securities.
Investors usually borrow the money from their brokers. The borrowed money is called
a margin loan, hence the reference to buying on margin. The maximum amount an
investor can borrow is often set by the government, the trading venue, or another
trading services provider, such as a clearing house. In practice, though, a broker may
only be prepared to lend an investor less than that maximum amount, particularly if
the broker wants to limit its exposure to a certain investor. The loan does not have a
set repayment schedule and must be repaid on demand. As with any loan, the borrower
must pay interest on the borrowed money.
The leverage ratio is the ratio of a position’s value to the value of the equity in it. It is a
useful measure because it indicates the effect of the return on the equity investment,
as illustrated in Example 1.
EXAMPLE 1
But if Toyota’s share price falls by 10%, the return on the equity investment
will be –25%. That is, a loss of 25%, or 2.5 times the loss on a debt-free position.
This example shows that by buying shares on margin with a leverage ratio of
2.5, the investor magnifies the return, both positive and negative, on her equity
investment by 2.5. These calculations do not count interest on the margin loan
and commission payments, both of which lower realised returns.
72 Chapter 15 ■ The Functioning of Financial Markets
Some investors, including hedge funds and investment banks, get into trouble when
they use leverage. In an attempt to obtain greater profits by borrowing to increase
their positions, they often underestimate the risks to which they are exposed. If prices
move against their positions, their losses can put them into financial distress or, in
extreme cases, bankruptcy.
6 ORDERS
When investors want to trade a security, they issue an order that will be directed to
a chosen trading venue. All orders specify what security to trade, whether to buy or
sell, and how much should be bought or sold. In addition, most orders have other
instructions attached to them, including order execution, exposure, and time-in-force
instructions, discussed in Sections 6.1, 6.2, and 6.3, respectively.
In quote-driven markets, the prices at which dealers are willing to buy from investors
or other dealers are called bid prices, and the prices at which they are willing to sell
are called ask prices (or offer prices). The ask prices are invariably higher than the
bid prices.
Dealers may also indicate the quantities that they will trade at their bid and ask prices.
These quantities are called bid sizes for bids and ask sizes for offers. Depending on
the trading venue, these quotation sizes may or may not be exposed to other traders
or dealers in that market.
Dealers are said to quote a market when they expose their bids and offers. They often
quote both bid and ask prices, in which case they quote a two-sided market. The high-
est bid in the market is the best bid and the lowest ask in the market is the best ask.
The difference between the best bid and the best offer is the market bid–ask spread.
The market bid–ask spread is generally smaller than dealers’ bid–ask spreads (it can
never be more) because dealers often quote better prices on one side of the market
than on the other. Accordingly, the bids and asks that are the best bid and best ask in
the market often come from different dealers.
■■ A market order instructs the broker or trading venue to obtain the best price
immediately available when filling the order.
■■ A limit order also instructs the broker or trading venue to obtain the best price
immediately available when filling the order, but it also specifies a limit price—
that is, a ceiling price for a buy order and floor price for a sell order. A trade
cannot be arranged at a price higher than the specified limit price when buying
or a price lower than the specified limit price when selling.
Orders 73
Market orders generally execute immediately if other traders are willing to take the
other side of the trade. The main drawback with market orders is that a market buy
order may fill at a high price and a market sell order may fill at a low price. The filling
of orders at disadvantageous prices is particularly likely when the order is placed in
a market for a thinly traded security or when the order is large relative to normal
trading activity in the market.
Buyers and sellers who are concerned about the possibility of trading at unacceptable
prices add limit prices to their orders. The main problem with limit orders is that
they may not execute. Limit orders do not execute if the limit price on a buy order is
too low or if the limit price on a sell order is too high. For example, if an investment
manager submits a limit order to buy at €20 and nobody is willing to sell at or below
€20, the order will not be filled.
Whether traders use market orders or limit orders when trying to arrange trades
depends on whether their main concerns are about price, trading quickly, or failing
to trade. On average, limit orders trade at better prices than market orders when they
trade, but they often do not trade.
A stop order is an order for which a trader has specified a stop price—that is, a price
that triggers the conversion of a stop order into a market order. For a sell order, the
trader’s order may not be filled until a trade occurs at or below the stop price. After
that trade, the order becomes a market order. If the market price subsequently rises
above the sell order’s stop price before the order trades, the order remains valid. For
a buy order, the trader’s order becomes a market order only after a trade occurs at
or above the stop price.
Traders who want to protect their long positions often use stop orders that trigger
market sell orders if prices are falling with the hope of stopping losses on positions
that they have established. These stop orders are often called stop-loss orders.
Some order execution instructions specify conditions on size. For example, all-or-
nothing orders can trade only if their entire sizes can be traded. Traders can likewise
specify minimum fill sizes.
Note that there is nothing wrong or unethical about hiding an order. Traders with large
orders use hidden orders when they are afraid that other investors might trade against
them if they knew that a large order was in the market. In particular, large buyers fear
that they will scare sellers away if their orders are seen. Sellers generally do not want
to be the first to trade with large buyers because large buyers often push prices up.
Large buyers are also concerned that other buyers will be able to trade before them
by buying first to profit from any increase in price necessary to fill their large orders.
This increases the costs of filling large orders by taking buying opportunities away
from the large traders. Large sellers likewise fear that buyers will shy away from their
exposed orders and that other sellers will trade before them.
74 Chapter 15 ■ The Functioning of Financial Markets
■■ day orders, which can be executed only on the day they are submitted and are
cancelled at the end of that day;
Brokers and trading venues, especially those that arrange trades among strangers, gen-
erally need intermediaries to help traders clear and settle orders that have been filled.
7.1 Clearing
The most important clearing activity is confirmation, which is performed by clearing
houses. Before a trade can be settled, the buyer and seller must confirm that they
traded and the exact terms of their trade. Confirmation generally takes place on the
day of the trade and is necessary only for manually arranged trades. For electronic
trades, confirmation is done automatically.
To ensure that their members settle their trades, clearing houses require that mem-
bers have adequate capital and post margins. Margins are cash or securities that are
pledged as collateral. Clearing houses also limit the aggregate net quantities (that is,
buy minus sell) that their members can settle. In addition, they monitor their members
to ensure that these members do not arrange trades that they cannot settle.
This system generally ensures that traders settle their trades. The brokers and dealers
guarantee settlement of the trades they arrange for their individual and institutional
clients. The clearing members guarantee settlement of the trades that their clearing
clients present to them, and clearing houses guarantee settlement of all trades presented
to them by their clearing members. If a clearing member fails to settle a trade, the
clearing house settles the trade using its own capital or capital pledged by the other
members of the clearing house.
The ability to settle trades reliably is important because it allows strangers to confi-
dently contract with each other without worrying about counterparty risk. A secure
clearing system thus greatly increases liquidity because it vastly expands the number
of counterparties with whom a trader can confidently arrange a trade.
Clearing and Settlement 75
7.2 Settlement
Following confirmation, settlement may occur in real time (instantaneously) or it
may take up to three trading days. The settlement cycle refers to the timing of the
procedures used to settle trades and differs across markets. For example, in most
countries, stocks and bonds settle three trading days after negotiating a trade. The
seller must deliver the security to the clearing house and the buyer must deliver cash.
The settlement agent then makes the exchange in a process called delivery versus
payment. This process eliminates the losses that would occur if one party settles and
the other does not.
Many markets have reduced the length of their settlement cycles to reduce what is often
referred to as settlement risk, a form of counterparty risk in which one of the parties
fails to honour their obligation between the time a trade is negotiated and the time
the trade is settled—for instance, as a result of bankruptcy. The fewer unsettled trades
outstanding, the less damage occurs when a trader fails to settle. Also, the shorter the
settlement period, the fewer extreme price changes can occur before final settlement.
Once a trade is settled, the settlement agent reports the trade to the issuing company’s
transfer agent, which maintains a registry of who owns the company’s securities.
Most transfer agents are banks or trust companies, but sometimes companies keep
their own records and act as their own transfer agents. Companies need to maintain
databases about their security holders so they know who is entitled to any interest
and dividend payments, who can vote in corporate elections, and to whom various
corporate communications should be sent.
Exhibit 2 shows the life of a trade from order to settlement/closure. An order for a
trade is placed by one party. For the trade to execute and settle, another party has to
be willing to take the other side of the trade. Throughout the life of a trade, various
people within the firm receiving the order will be involved. These include people taking
the order, executing the order, and accounting for the order/trade.
76 Chapter 15 ■ The Functioning of Financial Markets
Order Placed
No Yes
Market
Order?
No Yes
Order
Remains
Open?
No
Order Closed Order Settled
* This assumes the order is one for which the trade is approved. For example, the order’s magnitude
is within approved limits for the trader. Generally, market orders will be executed. The exceptions
occur when there are liquidity issues.
Peter Robinson, an asset manager for Aus Ltd., wants to buy 1 million shares
in a company that is listed on a stock exchange in the Middle East.
The order is fi lled and fi nancial settlement takes place. A record of the
transaction is then sent to James Armistead, who works for Big Bank Financial
Services, a custodian bank. It provides safekeeping of assets, such as the shares
purchased by Aus Ltd. Big Bank Financial Services keeps a record of the security
and the price paid, and this record is available—usually online—so that Aus
Ltd. Can prove it owns the shares and can include them in its accounts.
Transaction Costs 77
Settles Order
and Keeps Record
Custodian
Bank
TRANSACTION COSTS 8
Trading is expensive. The costs associated with trading are called transaction costs
and include two components: explicit costs and implicit costs.
Most market participants employ brokers to trade on their behalf. They pay their
brokers commissions for arranging their trades. The commissions are usually a fixed
percentage of the principal value of the transaction or a fixed price per share, bond,
or contract.
The commissions compensate brokers for the resources they use to fill orders. Brokers
must maintain order routing systems, market data systems, accounting systems,
exchange memberships, office space, and personnel to manage the trading process.
These are all fixed costs. Brokers also pay variable costs, such as exchange, regulatory,
and clearing fees, on behalf of their clients. Traders who do not trade through brokers
pay the fixed and variable costs of trading themselves.
■■ bid–ask spreads
78 Chapter 15 ■ The Functioning of Financial Markets
■■ price impact
■■ opportunity costs
Market participants use various techniques to reduce their transaction costs. They
employ skilful brokers, use electronic algorithms to manage their trading, or as men-
tioned before, use hidden orders or dark pools so other market participants cannot
see their orders and exploit them.
Summary 79
Most brokers and large institutional traders conduct transaction cost analyses of their
trades to measure the costs of their trading and to determine which trading strate-
gies work best for them. In particular, these studies help large institutional investors
better understand how their order submission strategies affect the trade-off between
transaction costs and opportunity costs.
The following are the three types of efficiency that ultimately contribute to efficient
financial markets:
SUMMARY
Financial markets that function efficiently benefit all investors by keeping transaction
costs low and allowing investors to trade financial instruments easily.
Some important points to remember about financial markets include the following:
■■ Issuers sell their securities and raise capital in primary markets. The securities
then trade in secondary markets among investors.
80 Chapter 15 ■ The Functioning of Financial Markets
■■ Other ways to issue securities in the primary markets are through private
placements or rights offerings. In a private placement, companies sell securities
directly to a small group of investors, usually with the assistance of an invest-
ment bank. In a rights offering, companies give existing shareholders the right
to buy shares in proportion to their holdings at a price that is typically set below
the current market price of the shares, thus making the exercise of the rights
immediately profitable.
■■ Liquid secondary markets reduce the costs of raising capital because investors
value the ability to sell their securities quickly to raise cash.
■■ Exchanges are the most common type of trading venue, but alternative trad-
ing venues, which have their own rules, have gained in popularity. The two
main distinctions between exchanges and alternative trading venues are that
exchanges typically have regulatory authority and more trade transparency than
alternative trading venues.
■■ When investors borrow some of the purchase price to buy securities, they are
said to buy securities on margin and leverage their positions. Leveraged posi-
tions expose investors to more risk and higher potential gains and losses than
otherwise identical debt-free positions.
■■ Orders are instructions to trade. They always specify what security to trade,
whether to buy or sell, and how much should be bought or sold. They usually
provide several other instructions as well, such as execution instructions about
Summary 81
how to fill an order; exposure instructions about whether, how, and by whom an
order should be seen; and time-in-force instructions about when an order can
be filled.
■■ Market orders are instructions to obtain the best price immediately available
when filling the order. They generally execute immediately but can be filled at
disadvantageous prices. A limit order specifies a limit price—a ceiling price for
a buy order and a floor price for a sell order. They generally execute at better
prices, but they may not execute if the limit price on a buy order is too low or if
the limit price on a sell order is too high.
■■ Stop orders specify stop prices; the order is filled when a trade occurs at or
above the stop price for a buy order and at or below the stop price for a sell
order. Traders often use stop orders to stop losses on their long positions.
■■ Intermediaries help traders clear and settle orders that have been filled. The
most important clearing activity is confirmation, which is performed by clearing
houses. Settlement follows confirmation; at settlement, the seller must deliver
the security to the clearing house and the buyer must deliver cash.
■■ The costs associated with trading are called transaction costs and include two
components: explicit costs and implicit costs. Brokerage commissions are the
largest explicit trading cost. Implicit trading costs result from bid–ask spreads,
price impact, and opportunity costs. Traders usually choose order submission
strategies that minimise transaction costs.
A call market.
B primary market.
C secondary market.
2 The market where an investor sells shares of a publicly traded company she
bought in an initial public offering (IPO) three years ago is known as the:
A primary market.
B secondary market.
C private placement.
A a rights offering.
C an underwritten offering.
A decrease.
C increase.
A a brokered market.
B a quote-driven market.
C an order-driven market.
A price-driven.
B order-driven.
C quote-driven.
10 Unique assets, such as real estate, are most likely traded in:
A a dealer market.
B a brokered market.
C an order-driven market.
A long position
B short position
C leveraged position
13 If the price of a security falls, the loss experienced by an investor who bought
the security on margin relative to the loss experienced by an investor who did
not use leverage will most likely be:
A lower.
B higher.
C the same.
84 Chapter 15 ■ The Functioning of Financial Markets
A Stop order
B Limit order
C Market order
15 From the investor’s perspective, the main drawback to using a limit order to buy
shares is that it may:
A not execute.
B execute immediately.
C The settlement cycle refers to the timing of the procedures used to settle
trades.
18 The price concessions that occur as large-trade buyers push prices up and large-
trade sellers push prices down are called:
A price impact.
B bid–ask spreads.
C opportunity costs.
19 The costs associated with orders failing to execute are best described as:
A opportunity costs.
C brokerage commissions.
20 Markets that can absorb large orders without substantial price impacts are clas-
sified as:
A operationally efficient.
B allocationally efficient.
C informationally efficient.
Chapter Review Questions 85
21 An economy that uses resources where they are most valuable can be described
as being:
A operationally efficient.
B allocationally efficient.
C informationally efficient.
86 Chapter 15 ■ The Functioning of Financial Markets
ANSWERS
1 B is correct. Primary markets are the markets in which issuers sell their secu-
rities to investors. If the company is selling shares in a public market for the
first time, it is an initial public offering (IPO). If the company has previously
sold shares in a public market, the sale of new shares is a seasoned offering.
A is incorrect because a call market is where participants can arrange trades
only once per day and is not the sale of newly issued shares to the public. C is
incorrect because secondary markets are the markets in which securities trade
between investors.
2 B is correct. The investor will sell the shares to another investor, and trading of
securities between investors takes place in the secondary market. A is incorrect
because the purchase of the shares in the IPO three years ago took place in the
primary market—that is, the market in which the company sold shares to inves-
tors for the first time. C is incorrect because a private placement is a primary
market transaction in which a company sells shares to a small group of qualified
investors.
6 B is correct. Private placements allow for quicker access to capital with less reg-
ulatory oversight and lower cost of regulatory compliance than public offerings.
A is incorrect because access to capital is quicker. C is incorrect because the
cost of regulatory compliance is lower.
Answers 87
9 B is correct. Many shares trade on exchanges that use order-driven trading sys-
tems. Order-driven markets arrange trades by using rules to match buy orders
with sell orders. A and C are incorrect because price-driven and quote-driven
markets are the same thing; they are also called over-the-counter markets. They
are markets in which investors trade with dealers at the prices quoted by the
dealers. Almost all bonds and currencies and most commodities for immediate
delivery (spot commodities) trade in price-driven/quote-driven markets.
10 B is correct. Unique assets, such as real estate, are likely to be traded in a bro-
kered market. Brokers organise markets for assets that are unique and thus of
interest to only a limited number of buyers and sellers. Successful brokers spend
most of their time building their client networks. A is incorrect because dealer
markets are markets in which investors trade with dealers at the prices quoted
by the dealers. Dealers are not likely to make markets in real estate because real
estate is infrequently traded and expensive to carry in inventory. C is incorrect
because unique assets, such as real estate, are not likely to be traded in order-
driven markets because too few traders would participate.
11 A is correct. Investors have long positions when they own assets or securities,
such as stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, or real assets. The potential
gain in a long position generally is unlimited. But the potential loss on a long
position is limited to no more than 100%—a complete loss of the initial invest-
ment—for a long position with no associated liabilities (debt). B is incorrect
because the potential gains and losses in a short position are mirror images of
the potential losses and gains in a long position. Thus, the potential gain on a
short position is limited to no more than 100%, but the potential loss is unlim-
ited. C is incorrect because a leveraged position involves buying securities on
margin—that is, by borrowing some of the purchase price. Buying securities on
margin increases the potential gains or losses for a given amount of equity in a
position because the buyer can buy more securities on margin than otherwise.
88 Chapter 15 ■ The Functioning of Financial Markets
The buyer thus earns greater profits when prices rise. But the buyer suffers
greater losses when prices fall—losses that potentially could exceed the amount
of the initial investment.
12 C is correct. Investors take short positions when they sell securities that they do
not own, a process that involves borrowing securities, selling them, and repur-
chasing them later to return them to their owner. If the security falls in price,
the investor profits because she can repurchase the security at a lower price
than the price at which she sold it. If the security rises in price, she loses. A is
incorrect because if the investor buys the security, she takes a long, not short,
position in the security. B is incorrect because if the investor lends the security
to another trader, she becomes the security lender.
14 C is correct. A market order instructs the broker or exchange to obtain the best
price immediately available when filling an order. B is incorrect because a limit
order also instructs the broker or exchange to obtain the best price immediately
available, but it sets conditions on price. The price to be paid on a purchase
cannot be higher than the specified limit price, or the price to be accepted on
a sale cannot be lower than the specified limit price. Thus, the order may not
execute. A is incorrect because a stop order is an order for which the trader has
specified a stop condition. The order may not be filled until the stop condition
has been satisfied.
15 A is correct. The main drawback with a limit order is that it may not execute.
Limit orders do not execute if the limit price on a buy order is too low or if the
limit price on a sell order is too high. B is incorrect because a limit order will
only execute immediately if the limit price matches the bid or ask price of other
traders. C is incorrect because by placing a limit order, the investor ensures that
the buy order is executed at an acceptable price.
16 B is correct. The most important clearing activity is confirming the terms of the
trade. A and C are incorrect because exchanging cash for securities and report-
ing the trade to the company’s transfer agent are activities that occur after
clearing activities and are settlement activities.
17 C is correct. The settlement cycle refers to the timing of the procedures used to
settle trades. Settlement may occur in real time (instantaneously), or it may take
up to three trading days. A is incorrect because settlement cycles vary across
markets. B is incorrect because a short, not long, settlement cycle reduces
counterparty risk.
19 A is correct. The costs associated with orders failing to execute are called
opportunity costs. Traders lose the opportunity to profit if their buy orders
fail to execute when prices are rising, and they lose the opportunity to avoid
losses if their sell orders fail to execute when prices are falling. Thus, oppor-
tunity costs represent the costs of not trading. B and C are incorrect because
price impact costs and brokerage commissions are only incurred if orders
execute—that is, if trading happens. Price impact costs are price concessions
that often occur over time as large-trade buyers push prices up and large-trade
sellers push them down in multiple transactions. For large institutions, the price
impact of trading large orders generally is the biggest component of their trans-
action costs. Brokerage commissions are the commissions that market partici-
pants pay their brokers to arrange their trades. These commissions usually are
a fixed percentage of the principal value of the transaction or a fixed price per
security or contract.
INTRODUCTION 1
The investment industry provides a range of services—including financial planning,
trading, and investment management—to a wide variety of clients. Individual investor
clients range from those of modest means to the very wealthy. The investment industry
also provides services to many types of institutional investors, such as pension funds,
endowment funds, and insurance companies. Because investors are all unique, it is
important to understand each of their specific circumstances in order to best meet
their financial needs. It is not possible to act in a client’s best interests if those interests
are not understood and incorporated into the chosen investment strategy.
Clients differ in terms of their financial resources, personal situations (if they are indi-
vidual clients), objectives, attitudes, financial expertise, and so on. These differences
affect their investment needs, what services they require, and what investments are
appropriate for them. For example, elderly clients with significant resources may be
very concerned with estate (inheritance) planning, but elderly clients with modest
resources may be more concerned about outliving their resources. A shortfall in
investment returns may have significant consequences for the latter but have less
impact on the former.
Investors can hold securities, such as shares and bonds, directly, or they can invest in
professionally managed funds to get exposure to the assets they want to hold. Investors
may choose securities or funds themselves or engage an investment professional to
assist in the selection. Investment professionals must get to know their clients well if
they are to provide appropriate investment services to meet the clients’ needs.
The most basic distinction among investors is that between individual and institutional
investors. Individual investors trade (buy or sell) securities or authorise others to trade
securities for their personal accounts. Institutional investors are organisations that hold
and manage portfolios of assets for themselves or others. The characteristics that define
individual investors are usually different from those that define institutional investors.
invest. Many investment firms make a distinction between their retail clients, more
affluent clients with larger amounts, and high- and ultra-high-net-worth investors
with the largest amounts of investable assets.
The services offered by investment firms and the investments available will typically
vary by the amount of money the client has to invest. Some specialist funds may require
minimum sizes of investment (e.g., $1 million), and some portfolio management ser-
vices may have minimum fees, making them uneconomical for smaller account sizes.
An investment firm that focuses on retail investors has to service the needs of a large
number of relatively small accounts. Often, this means consolidating the retail inves-
tors’ assets into a smaller number of funds and having automated processes for the
administration of client fund holdings.
Individual investors vary in their level of investment knowledge and expertise. Some
individual investors have relatively limited investment knowledge and expertise,
and others are more knowledgeable, perhaps as a result of their education or work
experience. Because individual investors are often thought of as less knowledgeable
and less experienced than institutional investors, regulators in many countries try
to protect them by putting restrictions on the investments that can be sold to them.
For example, in the United States, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC),
as of 2013, restricts investments in hedge funds to accredited investors. An individual
qualifies as an accredited investor if he or she earned income of $200,000 or more in
each of the prior two years and reasonably expects to earn at least $200,000 in the
current year or has (alone or together with a spouse) a net worth (excluding his or
her primary residence) greater than $1 million. This restriction is presumably based
on the logic that wealthier investors are expected to have a higher level of investment
knowledge or at least be better able to pay for advice and better able to bear risk.
The services that the investment industry provides to individual investors differ
depending on the investors’ wealth and level of investment knowledge and expertise,
as well as the regulatory environment. Retail investors tend to receive standardised
(less personalised) services, whereas wealthier investors often receive services specially
tailored to their needs.
Wealthy families often have substantial real estate holdings and large investment
portfolios. The investment professionals who work in family offices generally manage
these investments using the same methods and systems that institutional investors
use. They pay especially close attention to personal and estate tax issues that may
significantly affect the family’s wealth and its ability to pass wealth on to future gen-
erations or charitable institutions.
Some institutional investors manage their investments internally and employ investment
professionals whose job it is to select the investments. Other institutional investors
outsource the investment of the portfolio to one or more external investment firms.
The choice between internal and external management will often be driven by the size
of the institutional investor, with larger institutional investors better able to afford the
resources required for internal management. Some institutional investors will adopt
a mixed model, managing some assets internally in which they have expertise and
outsourcing more specialised investments—for example, alternative investments—to
Types and Characteristics of Investors 101
Pension plans differ by whether they are organised as defined benefit or defined
contribution plans.
2.2.1.1 Defined Benefit Plans Defined benefit pension plans promise a defined annual
amount to their retired members. The defined amount typically varies by member
based on such factors as years of service and annual compensation while employed.
Typically, employees do not have the right to receive benefits until they have worked for
the company or government for a period specified by the pension plan. An employee’s
rights are vested (protected by law or contract) once they have worked for that period.
In a defined benefit pension plan, the sponsoring employer promises its members
(or employees) a defined amount of benefit. For example, it is quite common for the
employer to promise an annual pension that is a set proportion of the employee’s
final pre-retirement salary. The pension may be adjusted for inflation over time. The
employer will make contributions to the pension fund to fulfil the promise. Employees
may also be asked to contribute.
In a defined benefit plan, the employer bears the risk—in this case, that the invest-
ments made by the pension fund fail to perform as expected. If the investments fail to
perform as expected, the employer may be required to make additional contributions
to the fund. However, it is possible that pension sponsors will be unable to make the
necessary contributions and that beneficiaries will not receive the benefits expected.
Defined benefit plans are becoming less common around the globe and are being
replaced by defined contribution plans.
102 Chapter 16 ■ Investors and Their Needs
In defined contribution plans, the member (or employee) bears the risk that the pen-
sion account’s investments fail to perform as expected. This contrasts with defined
benefit plans, in which the employer bears the risk. In defined contribution plans,
the employer has no obligation to make additional contributions if the investments
perform poorly. If the retirement fund is less than expected, the employee may have
to make do with less retirement income or, possibly, defer retirement. Because saving
enough and choosing the right investments are very important, defined contribution
plan sponsors are increasingly providing financial guidance to their beneficiaries or
arranging for financial planners to help guide members.
In the past, most pension plans were defined benefit pension plans. Because these
plans promise defined benefits to their beneficiaries, they are expensive obligations
for the sponsor (employer) and many sponsors no longer offer them. This change
explains why defined contribution pension plans are increasingly replacing defined
benefit plans in most countries.
Endowment funds are usually intended to exist in perpetuity and, as such, are regarded
as very long-term investors. But they are also typically required to spend annually
on the charitable or philanthropic purpose for their existence, so money needs to be
drawn from their funds. Many endowment funds and foundations establish spending
rules; for example, they may set spending goals of a percentage range of their assets.
Often, their challenge lies in balancing long-term growth with shorter-term income
or cash flow requirements.
Each endowment fund or foundation has its own specific circumstances. Some are
able to raise money on an ongoing basis, whereas others are restricted from raising
more money. Some endowment funds and foundations are required to spend a fixed
portion of the portfolio each year, whereas others have more flexibility to vary spend-
ing. These differences have implications for how the institutional investor’s assets
are invested. An endowment client that is restricted from fundraising has to meet
its financial needs from income or the sale of assets, but an endowment client that
has no restriction on fundraising may also raise money to meet its financial needs.
Sovereign wealth funds typically invest in long-term securities and assets. They also
may purchase companies. Sovereign wealth funds either manage their investments
in-house or hire investment managers to manage their money.
Non-financial companies invest money that they do not presently require to run their
businesses. This money may be invested short-term, mid-term, or long-term. The
corporate treasurer usually manages the short-term investment assets. These assets
typically include cash that the company will need soon to pay salaries and accounts
payable and financial vehicles that are safe and liquid, including demand deposits
(checking accounts), money market funds, and short-term debt securities issued by
governments or other companies.
Long-term investments are usually managed under the direction of the chief financial
officer or the chief investment officer, if the company has one. Companies often invest
long-term to finance future research, investments, and acquisitions of companies and
products. Companies may invest long-term directly, or they may hire investment
managers to invest on their behalf.
Many companies invest directly in the shares and bonds of their suppliers and in
the shares of potential merger partners to strengthen their relationships with them.
Practitioners call these investments “strategic investments.” These types of investments
are common in Asian countries, such as Japan and South Korea, and in European
countries, such as France, Germany, and Italy.
Mutual funds pool the assets of many investors into a single investment vehicle, which
is professionally managed and benefits from economies of scale. There are thousands
of mutual funds managed by investment management firms. Mutual funds are typ-
ically categorised by their investment(s). Investments eligible for inclusion may be
106 Chapter 16 ■ Investors and Their Needs
narrowly or broadly defined and based on types of assets, geographic area, and so on.
For example, mutual funds may indicate that they invest in Chinese equities identified
as having growth potential, global equities, long-term investment-grade European
corporate bonds, or commodities. The investment management firm receives a fee
for managing the fund. Although a mutual fund can be regarded as an institutional
investor, the term “mutual fund” also refers to the investment vehicle, shares of which
an individual or institutional investor can hold in a portfolio.
Hedge funds and private equity funds can similarly be considered institutional investors
that manage private investment pools and as investment vehicles. They are distin-
guished by their use of strategies beyond the scope of most traditional mutual funds.
longer-term time horizons and more predictable payouts and, therefore, have more
latitude to invest in riskier assets. They usually invest their reserve funds, which often
are very large, in securities, commodities, real estate, and other real assets.
Isabel Robilio
Zhang Li
Money to Makes
Be Invested Investment
Premiums Financial
Markets
Returns
Insurance
Company
Zhang Li, the retail investor described in Section 2.1.1, purchased life insur-
ance from ABC Insurance to provide money for her family in the event of her
death. Isabel Robilio is the chief investment officer for ABC Insurance.
Insurance companies try to match their investments to their liabilities. For example, if
they expect to make fixed annuity payments in the distant future, they may invest in
long-term fixed-income securities to match the interest rate risk of their investments
to the interest rate risk of their liabilities. This strategy of matching investment assets
to liabilities, called asset/liability matching, reduces the risk that the company will
fail to pay its claims.
Most large insurance companies manage their investments in-house. They also may
contract with investment managers to manage specialised investments in industries,
asset classes, or geographical regions where they lack expertise or access.
■■ Required return
■■ Risk tolerance
■■ Time horizon
Investors may also have specific needs in relation to liquidity, tax considerations,
regulatory requirement, consistency with particular religious or ethical standards, or
other unique circumstances. Investors’ circumstances and needs change over time,
so it is important to re-evaluate their needs at least annually.
The return requirement, particularly for a long-term horizon, should be specified in real
terms, which means adjusting for the effect of inflation. This adjustment is important
because it maintains the focus on what the accumulated portfolio will provide at the
end of the time horizon. An increase in value that simply matches inflation does not
give a client increased spending power.
The investment manager or adviser has to be comfortable that the investor’s desired
rate of return is achievable within the related constraints. Most clients would like high
returns with low risks, but few investments have this expected profile. The adviser
or manager has a role in counselling the client. Typically, higher levels of expected
return will require higher levels of risk to be taken. Some investors will choose to
invest in highly risky assets because they require high levels of return to meet their
goals, but the potential consequences (the downside risks) associated with this strat-
egy need to be understood. Other investors will have already accumulated sufficient
Factors That Affect Investors’ Needs 109
assets that they do not need high returns and can adopt a lower-risk approach with
more certainty of meeting their goal. This situation could be the case for a pension
plan that has a high funding level, meaning that its assets are sufficient, or nearly
sufficient, to meet its liabilities. Other investors that have accumulated significant
assets may choose to invest in riskier assets because they are capable of bearing the
risk and able to withstand losses.
Investors, particularly individual investors, will usually adjust the proportion they
invest in different kinds of assets over time as they age and their circumstances
change. Individual investors with defined contribution pension plans can also adjust
their investments within the defined contribution plan.
Risk Tolerance
Ability to Willingness
Take Risk to Take Risk
Willingness to take risk is also related to the investor’s psychology, which may be
assessed using questionnaires completed by the investor. Willingness to take risk is
often thought of as a more important issue for individual investors, but even those
who oversee institutional investments will have risk guidelines within which they must
operate and that help define their ability and willingness to take risk.
Some institutional investors, such as insurance companies and other financial inter-
mediaries, may also face regulatory restrictions on how much risk they can take with
their portfolios.
110 Chapter 16 ■ Investors and Their Needs
There may be situations in which an investor’s willingness to take risk and his or her
ability to take risk differ. In such situations, the investment adviser should counsel the
investor on risk and determine the appropriate level of risk to take in the portfolio,
taking into account both the investor’s ability and willingness to take risk. The lesser
of the two risk levels should be the risk level assumed.
On the institutional side, for example, a property and casualty insurance company that
expects to have to meet claims in the next few years will have a short time horizon,
whereas a sovereign wealth fund that is investing oil revenues for the benefit of future
generations will have a long time horizon, possibly decades.
In the case of individual investors, for example, someone who is planning on buying
a new home or paying for college in two or three years will have a short horizon for
at least a portion of his or her investments. A 20-year-old saving for retirement will
typically have a long horizon, probably more than 40 years.
The investment horizon has important implications for how much risk can be taken
with the portfolio and the level of liquidity that may be required. Liquidity is the
ease with which the investment can be converted into cash. For example, an illiquid
private equity investment with a likely payoff in 10 years would be unsuitable for an
investor with a 5-year horizon.
Investors with longer time horizons should be able to take more risk because they
have more time to adapt to their circumstances. For example, they can save more to
compensate for any losses or returns that are less than expected. History shows that
over time, markets go up more often than they go down, so an investor with a longer
time horizon has more potential to accumulate positive return performance. Longer-
term investors are also better able to wait for markets to recover from a period of
poor performance, although recovery cannot be guaranteed.
3.4 Liquidity
Investors vary in the extent to which they may need to withdraw money from their
portfolios. They may need to make a withdrawal to fund a specific purchase or to
generate a regular income stream. These needs have implications for the types of
investments chosen. When liquidity is required, the investments will need to be able
to be converted to cash relatively quickly and without too much cost (keeping trans-
action costs and changes in price low) when the cash is needed.
Factors That Affect Investors’ Needs 111
An individual may also require that a portion of the portfolio be liquid to meet
unexpected expenses. In addition, the individual may have known future liquidity
requirements, such as a planned future expenditure on children’s education or retire-
ment income needs.
For an institution, the liquidity constraint typically reflects the institution’s liabilities.
For example, a pension fund may expect to begin experiencing net cash outflows at a
particular point in the future (i.e., when pension payments exceed new contributions
to the plan) and will need to sell off some portfolio investments to meet those needs.
It needs to hold liquid assets in order to do this.
Maximum
Maximum Foreign
Public Equity Public Equity
Investments (% Investments (%
Country of portfolio) of portfolio) Other
3.6 Taxes
Tax circumstances vary among investors. Some types of investors are taxed on their
investment returns, and others are not. For example, in many countries, pension funds
are exempt from tax on investment returns. Furthermore, the tax treatment of income
and capital gains can vary. It is important to consider an investor’s tax situation and
the tax consequences of different investments.
Investors should care about the returns they earn after taxes and fees because that
is what is available to spend. For example, an investor who is subject to higher tax
on dividend income than capital gains will typically desire a portfolio of investments
seeking capital growth (i.e., from an increase in value of shares) rather than income
(i.e., dividends from shares).
Individuals may also face different tax circumstances for different parts of their wealth.
For example, an individual may choose to hold some assets in a pension account if
income and capital gains on assets held in a pension account are tax-exempt or tax-
deferred. The investor may choose to hold assets expected to generate capital gains
in a taxable investment account if capital gains are taxed at a lower rate than income.
Where assets are located (held) can significantly affect an investor’s after-tax returns
and wealth accumulation.
Some investors have social, religious, or ethical preferences that affect how their
assets can be invested. For example, investors may choose not to hold investments in
companies that engage in activities they believe potentially harm the environment.
Other investors may require investments that are consistent with certain religious
beliefs. For example, some investors may not invest in conventional debt securities
because they do not believe they comply with Islamic law.
Investors may also have specific requirements that stem from the nature of their broader
investment portfolio or financial circumstances. For example, an individual who is
employed by a company may want to limit investment in that company, which would
help the employee reduce single-company exposure and gain broader diversification.
Interestingly, many individuals are actually inclined to boost their holdings in their
employers’ shares on the grounds of loyalty or familiarity, despite the risk that this
strategy entails. Such a strategy can have severe consequences if the company fails or
its financial position declines. For example, many employees of Enron Corporation, a
US energy company, not only lost their jobs but also suffered significant investment
losses when Enron went bankrupt.
Institutional investors may also have unique and specific requirements as a result of
their objectives and circumstances. For example, a medical foundation may want to
avoid investing in tobacco stocks because it believes encouraging tobacco smoking is
counter to its objectives of improving health.
Investment Policy Statements 113
The IPS should capture the investor’s objectives and any constraints that will apply to
the portfolio. The investor and manager/adviser should agree on the IPS and review
it on a regular basis, typically once a year. It should also be reviewed when the client
experiences a change in circumstances. Creating and reviewing an IPS is a good
opportunity for the investment manager and client to discuss the client’s goals.
A common format for an IPS is to split it into sections covering objectives and con-
straints. Each section has its own subsections. The IPS identifies the investor’s cir-
cumstances and goals within the types of needs and differences discussed in Section
3. The following format is typical:
■■ Objectives
●● Return requirement
●● Risk tolerance
■■ Constraints
●● Time horizon
●● Liquidity
●● Regulatory constraints
●● Taxes
●● Unique circumstances
A typical IPS covers objectives and constraints, but many investors, especially insti-
tutional investors, will also include procedural and governance issues in the IPS. The
IPS may set out the role of an investment committee, its structure, and its authority.
It may also set out the roles of investment managers, the basis on which they will be
appointed, and the criteria on which they will be reviewed. An important role of the
IPS is to provide information that is useful in determining the types and amounts of
assets in which to invest and the way the portfolio will be managed over time. So, the
IPS serves as the basis for determining the appropriate portfolio strategies and asset
allocations. The following section provides more detail for an institutional investor’s IPS.
114 Chapter 16 ■ Investors and Their Needs
■■ the risk tolerance of the organisation and its capacity for bearing risk
■■ all economic and operational constraints, such as tax considerations, legal and
regulatory circumstances, and any other special circumstances
■■ a target asset allocation that indicates what proportion of the investment funds
will be invested in each asset class
■■ the benchmarks against which the institution will measure overall investment
returns
The board of the institution or its senior leadership formally adopts the investment
and payout policies.
Institutional investors that use outside investment managers may use one manager to
manage all investments or multiple managers. Institutional investors often use multiple
managers to reduce the risk of substantial loss as a result of poor performance by any
one manager. Many institutional investors use different managers for each asset class
in which they invest. By hiring managers who specialise in particular asset classes,
the institutional investors gain investment expertise and access to investments that
a generalist might not have.
Summary 115
SUMMARY
■■ Needs vary among different investor types. Clients have their own objectives
related to their circumstances and have different constraints that apply to their
portfolios. Key dimensions include
●● time horizon.
■■ Investors may also have particular requirements related to liquidity, tax, regu-
lation, and other unique circumstances, including consistency with particular
religious or ethical standards.
■■ The investment policy statement should capture the investor’s objectives and
any constraints that will apply to the portfolio. An investment policy statement
is typically divided into sections that cover objectives and constraints. Each
section has its own subsections.
116 Chapter 16 ■ Investors and Their Needs
A Insurance company
C Ultra-high-net-worth investor
3 Which of the following types of institutional investors is most likely to have the
shortest investment time horizon?
A Life insurer
B Endowment fund
A plan sponsor.
B plan beneficiaries.
C investment manager.
A decrease.
C increase.
A plan sponsor.
B plan member.
C investment manager.
9 When an investor’s willingness and ability to take risk differ, the investment
adviser should counsel the investor to use a risk level based on the:
A client constraints.
B investment objectives.
ANSWERS
3 C is correct. Property and casualty insurers have short-term horizons and rel-
atively unpredictable payouts. A is incorrect because life insurers have longer-
term time horizons and relatively predictable payouts. B is incorrect because
endowments are usually intended to exist in perpetuity and, as such, can be
regarded as very long-term investors.
5 B is correct. The benefits associated with a defined benefit pension plan are
established independent of specified investment targets. If the performance of
the fund exceeds projections, a pension surplus may be created that improves
the funding status of the plan but does not alter the benefit payments made to
plan members.
7 A is correct. Investors with longer time horizons can take on more risk because
they have more time to adapt to their circumstances. B is incorrect because
investors with long time horizons, and consequently a greater ability to take on
Answers 119
risk, are likely to have higher return requirements given their higher level of
assumed risk. C is incorrect because investors with long time horizons have a
greater ability to invest in illiquid investments.
10 C is correct. The investment policy statement serves as a guide for the investor
and investment manager regarding what is required and what is acceptable in
the investment portfolio. A is incorrect because the investment policy state-
ment outlines the investment plan objectives and serves as a guide to achieving
the objectives but it cannot ensure that investment plan objectives will be met.
B is incorrect because the investor and manager/adviser should agree on the
investment policy statement and review it on a regular basis, typically at least
once a year. If the client experiences a change in circumstances, the investment
policy statement may be reviewed more frequently.
INTRODUCTION 1
Investors expect the industry participants that serve them to act ethically, to comply
with regulation, and to be well organised. Just as importantly, they expect a return on
the money they invest. Competent investment management is critical to achieving
returns and helping investors meet their financial goals.
As discussed in the Investors and Their Needs chapter, an investment policy statement
(IPS) captures information about a client and the client’s needs. The IPS serves as a
guide to what is required of and what is acceptable in the investment portfolio. The
IPS helps guide asset allocation—that is, which asset classes and how much of each
asset class should be included in the investor’s portfolio.
The results of academic studies have indicated that asset allocation is the most import-
ant determinant of portfolio return. Most investors—both individual and institutional—
hold a diversified portfolio of investments rather than a portfolio concentrated in just
a few investments. A key reason for this diversification is the desire to manage risk,
which is consistent with the saying, “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket.”
Most investors prefer higher returns and lower risks. That is, they prefer better out-
comes and more certainty, all other things being equal. The trade-off between risk
and return is a fundamental issue in investment management. Typically, the higher
the risk of an investment, the higher the expected return; the lower the risk, the lower
the expected return.
The distinction between systematic and specific risk is important because the two
types of risk have different implications for investors. Investors can reduce specific
risk by holding a number of different securities in their portfolios. Holding a number
of different securities that are not correlated diversifies away specific risk. The extent
to which two asset classes (or securities) move together is captured by the statistical
measure of correlation, which is presented in the Quantitative Concepts chapter. The
greater the correlation between asset classes (or securities), the more similar their
price movements will be.
Investors cannot diversify away systematic risk. They can do little to avoid systematic
risk because all investments will be affected to some extent by systematic risk—for
instance, a recession. Diversifying an equity portfolio by adding different types of
investments, such as real estate, will not eliminate systematic risk because rents and
real estate values are affected by the same broad economic conditions as the stock
market. Because systematic risk cannot be avoided or diversified away and because
risk is undesirable, investors have to be compensated for taking on systematic risk.
More exposure to systematic risk tends to be associated with higher expected returns
over the long term.
Portfolio theory suggests that taking on more specific risk does not necessarily lead
to higher returns on average because specific risk can be diversified away. But some
investors may try to identify shares that they expect to outperform (to earn higher
returns than expected based on their risk) and invest in them rather than diversifying.
In the process, investors take on specific risk; if they turn out to be correct, they may
earn a higher return as a result of taking on more risk.
2.2 Diversification
Diversification is one of the most important principles of investing. When assets and/
or asset classes with different characteristics are combined in a portfolio, the overall
level of risk is typically reduced.
Systematic Risk, Specific Risk, and Diversification 125
Mathematically, a portfolio that combines two assets has an expected return that is
the weighted average of the returns on the individual assets.1 Provided that the two
assets are less than perfectly correlated, the risk of the portfolio (measured by the
standard deviation of returns) will be less than the weighted average of the risk of
the two assets individually.2 Overall, this means the risk–return trade-off, which is a
key concern for investors, is better for a portfolio of assets than for individual assets.
Most investors hold more than two securities in their portfolios. Adding more secu-
rities to a portfolio will reduce risk through diversification, although eventually the
additional benefits begin to lessen. Exhibit 1 shows the levels of risk—total, specific,
and systematic—for portfolios of shares chosen at random from all of the shares in
the US market. Specific risk is reduced by combining additional shares, but as the
portfolio moves beyond 30 shares, the incremental risk reduction becomes small and
the associated trading costs may outweigh any incremental benefit of risk reduction.
Exhibit 1 illustrates the concepts of specific risk and diversification. Specific risk is
highest at the left side of the exhibit (one share) and lowest at the right side of the
exhibit because much of the specific risk is diversified away.
Specific
Risk
Total Risk
Risk
Risk of Market
Portfolio
Systematic
Risk
1 5 10 20 30
Number of Shares
Exhibit 1 assumes randomly chosen shares. There is the potential for greater risk
reduction when shares with low correlation to each other are chosen.
Combining different asset classes can also improve diversification and reduce a
portfolio’s risk by reducing specific risk. For example, an investor might combine
investments in various stock and bond markets with investments in real estate and
commodities to reduce the overall risk of a portfolio.
1 The expected return on a portfolio of x assets is the weighted average of the returns on the individual assets.
2 The systematic risk (measured by beta) of a portfolio is the weighted average of the systematic risks of
the individual assets. Systematic risk cannot be diversified away.
126 Chapter 17 ■ Investment Management
After developing the investment policy statement (IPS), which includes—among other
information—an investor’s willingness and ability to take risk, the asset allocation of
the portfolio is determined. This determination involves decisions regarding which
asset classes are suitable (e.g., global equities, domestic government bonds, commod-
ities, or domestic real estate investment trusts) and the proportion of the portfolio to
invest in each asset class. In some cases, the asset allocation decision is documented
as part of the IPS; in other cases, asset allocation is regarded as part of the subsequent
implementation of the IPS.
Academic studies have demonstrated that strategic asset allocation significantly affects
the average return on a portfolio. Thus, asset allocation warrants considerable attention
from investors, investment managers, and investment advisers.
A portfolio allocation of 40% bonds and 60% equity gives an expected return
of 7%:
(0.40 × 0.04) + (0.60 × 0.09) = 0.07 or 7%
The committee has to consider the level of risk implied by this asset allocation.
If the committee is not comfortable with the risk, the return requirement may
need to be reduced. The portfolio mix can be adjusted as bond yields change and
the committee revises its expectations for the return on the global equity market.
Asset Allocation and Portfolio Construction 127
Rebalancing involves selling some of the holdings that have increased as a proportion
of the portfolio and investing the proceeds into the holdings that have decreased as a
proportion of the portfolio. Because there are trading costs associated with rebalanc-
ing, most investors will not rebalance on a continual basis but will instead rebalance
at specified intervals or weightings.
allocation to 50% equities and 50% bonds. If the manager’s expectation is correct, this
50/50 tactical allocation will perform better in the short term than the strategic asset
allocation of 60/40. The manager will have added return for the investor compared
with maintaining the strategic weights on a static basis. But forecasting markets is
difficult, and tactical allocation does not always benefit the investor. The difficulty of
financial forecasting means investors may choose to maintain their strategic asset
allocation within predetermined ranges. For example, an acceptable strategic asset
allocation may be determined to be 56%–64% global equities and 36%–44% European
government bonds, rather than 60% global equities and 40% European government
bonds. Such ranges allow for some tactical asset allocation and reduce the need for
and expense of frequent portfolio rebalancing.
An investor or manager typically uses a variety of tools and inputs to make tactical
allocation decisions. The decisions may be based on
When considering tactically altering a portfolio’s asset allocation, a manager may look
at the strength of the economy and likely future trends to gain a perspective on how
the central bank might change interest rates and on what might happen to corporate
profits. The manager may then look at the level of the price-to-earnings ratio of the
stock market and how it compares with recent decades as a measure of valuation or
with the level of bond yields relative to historical ranges. The manager could also look
at stock and bond market trends as a way of gauging investor sentiment.
Beyond deciding on asset allocation, an investor must decide whether to use a passive
or active management approach to asset selection.
Performance
Time
Active Management Benchmark
Passive Management
The choice between the two approaches typically hinges on the relative costs of active
management compared with passive management and on the investor’s expectation of
the success of active management. The expectation is related to the investor’s beliefs
about the efficiency of the markets being invested in. An investor may decide to use
a passive approach in some markets and an active approach in other markets based
on an assessment of the efficiency of each market.
The markets for such investments as real estate or private equity may not be efficient
for a number of reasons. For instance, information on these investments may not be
publicly available and trading is less active and done privately rather than in a public
market in which prices and volumes can be observed. As a result, some investors
may have access to information and deals that are not available to other investors.
In cases where inefficiency is believed to exist, it is reasonable to believe that active
management may be a successful approach.
But many benchmarks are difficult and costly to fully replicate, sometimes because
of the number of securities or because of liquidity and availability issues. So, instead
of full replication, passive managers may use a tracking approach and hold a subset
of the market that is expected to closely track the benchmark’s returns and risk. For
example, a passive manager in the UK equity market has the choice of replicating
the FTSE 100 market index directly or attempting to track the index by selecting a
subset of shares to represent each industrial sector of the market. Bond index funds
are typically restricted to the tracking approach because it is almost impossible to
own every bond issue in an index.
and so on) in a way that equity investments do not. So, most investments in real estate
are actively managed to some extent. A similar argument applies to private equity
and venture capital.
Proponents of active management argue that good active managers can more than
cover their costs and thus deliver net benefit to investors. Conversely, proponents of
passive management argue that the difficulty of identifying superior investments means
it is not worth paying higher costs for that effort and that passive management will
deliver higher net-of-costs returns over the longer term. Concerns about the costs, the
average or below-average performance of most active managers, and the difficulties of
identifying active investment managers who will outperform in the future have made
passive investment strategies increasingly popular over time. Despite these concerns,
active management still remains popular.
As noted earlier, an investor may decide to use a passive approach in some markets
and an active approach in other markets based on an assessment of the efficiency of
each market.
Active investment managers use various methods to try to identify future performance.
Managers using fundamental analysis focus on macroeconomic, industry-specific, and
company-specific factors that make securities and assets valuable. Other managers
use technical and behavioural models to identify trends and momentum in the market
and to predict how trading by other market participants may change future market
prices. Some active managers build statistical or quantitative models to try to identify
shares that are likely to outperform or underperform. In practice, many managers use
a blend of the techniques discussed in the following sections. Based on their analysis,
active managers purchase assets that are expected to have superior returns and sell
assets that are expected to underperform.
that have better prospects than the stock market price reflects. Typically, an analyst
or investment manager performs some form of fundamental analysis to arrive at an
estimated value for a company’s shares. If the share price is significantly below the
estimated value, the manager will increase the weighting of the shares in the portfolio
or add the shares to the portfolio.
As explained in the Equity Securities and Debt Securities chapters, the value of a
security can be viewed as the present value of all the cash flows the security will gen-
erate in the future. For example, recall that investors can estimate the value of a stock
by discounting all the dividends they expect to receive while they hold the stock and
adding the proceeds from selling the stock. Value that is estimated this way is called
the stock’s fundamental value or intrinsic value. Although fundamental values are not
observable, many active investment managers work hard to accurately estimate them.
Managers using fundamental analysis operate on the premise that security market
prices tend to move toward their estimates of fundamental values. They can produce
exceptional returns when they accurately estimate values and make the appropriate
investments before other market participants.
To estimate fundamental values, they must forecast future cash flows and estimate the
rates at which these cash flows are discounted. Managers using fundamental analysis
take into account many issues when forming investment opinions. The issues most
important to their opinions vary according to the type of asset they are analysing.
For example, when analysing fixed-income securities (such as bonds, notes, and bills),
managers consider borrowers’ ability and willingness to pay their debts—that is,
borrowers’ creditworthiness and trustworthiness. Lenders consider borrowers to be
creditworthy if they expect that the borrowers will be able to pay interest, principal,
and preferred dividends when due. They consider borrowers to be trustworthy if they
expect that borrowers will arrange their affairs to ensure that they can and will make
these payments. Managers consider financial data and past borrowing histories to
determine whether borrowers are creditworthy and trustworthy.
When analysing equities, they pay close attention to an issuer’s future prospects for
earning money and producing valuable assets. Among many other issues, they con-
sider the following:
■■ Profit margins of the company and whether the margins are sustainable
■■ Amount of debt the company uses to fund its operations and investments
■■ Legal and regulatory environment the company operates within and whether
any major changes are planned
When analysing alternative investments, the issues considered will also differ. For
example, when analysing real estate investments, managers consider how the value
of the property compares with similar properties in the area, how its rental prospects
might develop in the future, and whether there is scope to add value to the property
through redevelopment. Managers using fundamental analysis consider the specific
factors that are expected to affect the value of the type of asset being analysed.
Some investment managers use a technical approach, seeking to assess price and
trading volume trends in the stock market to identify shares that may outperform or
underperform. For example, an active manager who believes in momentum will try
to invest in shares that have recently been rising in the market, which is based on the
notion that a rising share will continue to rise. Other managers might look for signs of
imbalance between the potential buyers and sellers of a share to try to predict which
direction the share is likely to move.
Recall from the discussion about supply and demand in the Microeconomics chapter
that an increase in demand or a decrease in supply will typically cause prices to increase.
Similarly, a decrease in demand or an increase in supply will typically cause prices to
decrease. Investment managers who use technical and behavioural approaches try to
buy a particular security or asset before an increase in buyer interest or a decrease
in seller interest causes the price of the security to rise, and they try to sell before
an increase in seller interest or a decrease in buyer interest causes the price of the
security to fall.
of the share price to earnings per share, known as P/E) and above-average expected
earnings growth tend to outperform. This insight can then be used to search for
shares that show those characteristics. Managers using this approach are often called
“quants”, because of the quantitative models they use.
As noted earlier, managers may use a combination of the types of analysis. Also,
depending on the asset, asset class, or market being analysed, the approach(es) used
and the precise variables of interest will differ.
SUMMARY
In your workplace, you may not be directly involved in investment management, but
knowing how assets are selected and how portfolios are constructed for investors is
important to better understand the investment industry.
■■ Returns on investments, such as shares, bonds, and real estate, are likely to be
affected by general economic conditions. Risk created by general economic
conditions is known as systematic risk. Risk specific to a certain security or
company is variously known as specific, idiosyncratic, non-systematic, or unsys-
tematic risk.
■■ Portfolio theory maintains that systematic risk cannot be avoided, but that spe-
cific risk can be diversified away. Investors should be compensated for system-
atic risk but not necessarily for specific risk. Thus, taking on more specific risk
does not necessarily lead to higher returns.
■■ Strategic asset allocation is the long-term mix of assets that is expected to meet
an investor’s objectives. Strategic asset allocation is a decision that has a great
impact on the long-term returns on a portfolio.
136 Chapter 17 ■ Investment Management
■■ Although the strategic asset allocation should meet the investor’s objectives
over the longer term, the manager or investor can potentially increase returns
by exploiting short-term fluctuations in asset class returns. The process of
exploiting these short-term fluctuations by adjusting the asset class mix in the
portfolio is known as tactical asset allocation.
■■ Active management attempts to add value to the portfolio through the selection
of investments that are expected to outperform the benchmark and/or through
tactical asset allocations.
■■ The choice between the active and passive approaches typically hinges on the
costs of active management and on investors’ expectations of the chances of
success using active management. The expectation of success is related to the
investor’s beliefs about the efficiency of the markets being invested in.
■■ The successful active manager needs access to better information or the ability
to process information faster and/or better than other investors. These require-
ments are demanding. Any mispricing of investments has to be substantial
enough to cover the costs of exploiting it.
3 The benefits of risk reduction are most likely to be greater by combining securi-
ties whose expected returns have a:
A low correlation.
A diversification.
5 The act of an investment manager adjusting his or her portfolio to take advan-
tage of short-term fluctuations in asset class returns most likely describes:
A rebalancing.
7 Active investment managers are more likely than passive investment managers
to:
9 The factor most likely to contribute to the success of active management is the:
A behavioural analysis.
B quantitative analysis.
C fundamental analysis.
11 Analysts who review share price and trading volume trends in an effort to iden-
tify shares that might outperform are most likely:
A technical analysts.
B fundamental analysts.
C quantitative analysts.
Answers 139
ANSWERS
1 B is correct. Systematic risk (also known as market risk) is the risk created by
general economic conditions. A is incorrect because the risk that is related to a
certain company or security is known as specific, idiosyncratic, non-systematic,
or unsystematic risk. C is incorrect because specific risk, not systematic risk, is
the result of a lack of diversification.
2 B is correct. Adding securities that are less than perfectly positively correlated
with the other securities in the portfolio will likely decrease the specific risk
and, therefore, the total risk. A is incorrect because the total risk of the portfo-
lio will likely decrease, not increase, as a result of the decrease in specific risk. C
is incorrect because the portfolio’s systematic risk is independent of the number
of securities in the portfolio.
6 C is correct. Passive investment managers seek to match the risk and return of
an appropriate benchmark. A is incorrect because passive investment managers
do not try to outperform the benchmark. B is incorrect because although the
140 Chapter 17 ■ Investment Management
costs of passive management are lower than the costs of active management,
the return earned by the passive investor will typically be less than the bench-
mark return because of these costs.
7 A is correct. Active managers may try to time a market (buying when they
believe a market is undervalued and selling when they believe a market is over-
valued). B is incorrect because passive investment managers, rather than active
managers, tend to use strategic asset allocation. C is incorrect because passive
investment managers, rather than active managers, attempt to minimise track-
ing error.
11 A is correct. Technical analysts use price and trading volume trends within
the stock market to identify stocks that may outperform or underperform. For
example, managers might look for imbalances between the potential buyers and
sellers of a stock as a sign of which direction the share may move. B is incorrect
because fundamental analysts conduct a detailed and thorough analysis of a
company’s business model, its prospects, and its financial situation to identify
shares that will outperform or underperform. C is incorrect because quantita-
tive analysts build statistical models to identify shares that are likely to outper-
form or underperform.
CHAPTER 18
RISK MANAGEMENT
by Hannes Valtonen, CFA
LEARNING OUTCOMES
INTRODUCTION 1
Risk is part of your daily life, and whether you realise it or not, you often act as a risk
manager. Before crossing a busy road, you first assess that it is safe for you to do so; if
you take a toddler to the swimming pool, you make sure that she is wearing inflatable
armbands before she gets into the water and that she is never left unattended; you
have probably purchased car, home, and/or health insurance to protect you and your
family against accidents, disasters, or illnesses. Thus, in the course of your life, you are
well acquainted with identifying risks, assessing them, and selecting the appropriate
response, which is what risk management is about.
This chapter puts the emphasis on the types of risks that companies in the invest-
ment industry (investment firms) and people working for these companies face. It is
important for companies to develop a structured process that helps them recognise
and prepare for a wide range of risks. Although risk management is sometimes
viewed as a specialist function, a good risk management process will encompass the
entire company and filter down from senior management to all employees, giving
them guidance in carrying out their roles. Any action that you take as an employee
may affect your company’s risk profile, even if these actions are “only” regular daily
activities. An unintentional error can cause substantial damage to a company, so it is
important that you gain a good understanding of the types of risks companies in the
investment industry face and that you learn how these risks are managed.
Risk
M a nage m e n t
Events that have or could have a negative effect, leading to losses or negative rates
of return, tend to be emphasised in discussions of risk. Some of these events are
external to the company. For example, a bank that has a large portfolio of commercial
loans may suffer substantial losses if the economy goes into recession and corporate
defaults increase. Other events, such as internal fraud or network failure, are inter-
nal to the company. But not all outcomes from events are negative. Some events can
have a positive effect on the company, creating opportunities for gains. For example,
a company that takes the risk of investing in a country with tight capital controls (or
controls on flows in financial markets) may benefit if the capital controls are lifted
and the company becomes one of the few foreign companies licensed to buy and sell
securities in that country. So, the assessment of risk needs to include opportunities
as well as threats.
All companies face the risk of not being able to operate profitably in a given com-
petitive environment, typically because of a shift in market conditions. For example,
a company’s ability to grow and remain profitable may be affected by changes in
customer preferences, the evolution of the competitive landscape, or product and
technology developments.
There are three risks to which companies in the investment industry are typically
exposed and that are discussed in this chapter:
■■ Operational risk, which refers to the risk of losses from inadequate or failed
people, systems, and internal policies and procedures, as well as from external
events that are beyond the control of the company but that affect its operations.
Examples of operational risk include human errors, internal fraud, system mal-
functions, technology failure, and contractual disputes.
■■ Compliance risk, which relates to the risk that a company fails to follow all
applicable rules, laws, and regulations and faces sanctions as a result.
■■ Investment risk, which is the risk associated with investing that arises from
the fluctuation in the value of investments. Although it is an important risk for
investment professionals, it is less important for individuals involved in support
activities, so it receives less coverage than operational and compliance risks in
this chapter.1
1 Investment risks are discussed elsewhere in the curriculum. It was introduced in the Quantitative
Concepts chapter and discussed further in the Investment Management chapter.
The Risk Management Process 149
A risk management process provides a framework for identifying and prioritising risks;
assessing their likelihood and potential severity; taking preventive or mitigating actions,
if necessary; and constantly monitoring and making adjustments. A company’s risk
management process is not always consistently planned; it often evolves in response
to crises, incorporating the lessons learned and the new regulatory requirements that
sometimes follow these crises. Well-run companies, however, benefit from people and
processes that enable forward-looking attention to emerging risks.
The involvement of the board of directors and senior management in risk management
is critical because they set corporate strategy and strategic business objectives. Although
directors and senior managers are in charge of setting the appropriate level of risk to
support the corporate strategy, risk management should involve all employees. One
employee making an inaccurate or fraudulent assessment can damage the reputation
of his or her company and even lead to its demise. Reputations take years to build but
they can be lost in an instant. Markets are increasingly interdependent, and media and
the internet can spread the news of a mistake or scandal across the globe in a matter
of minutes. Thus, risk management is critical to protecting reputations as well as
maintaining confidence among market participants and trust in the financial system.
150 Chapter 18 ■ Risk Management
tive
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The aim of risk management is to try to capture the full range of risks, including hidden
or undetected ones. Therefore, companies should involve employees in many differ-
ent roles and business areas in order to detect and identify as many risks as possible.
But there will always be unforeseen hazards. No matter how hard companies try to
identify and reduce threats, they can never be completely identified or eliminated.
The complexity of the business environment makes it impossible to understand and
model the large number of possible outcomes and combinations of outcomes. What
risk management provides is a robust framework to help companies prepare for adverse
events, identify their occurrence as early as possible if they do materialise, and thus
reduce their effect. The process of identifying potential risks can also reveal hidden
value-enhancing opportunities.
Catastrophic
Extremely
Expected Severity
Harmful
Harmful
Slightly
Harmful
Negligible
Highly Unlikely Possible Likely Highly
Unlikely Likely
Expected Frequency
Depending on their expected level of frequency and severity, risks will receive different
levels of attention:
■■ Green. Risks in the green area should not receive much attention because they
have a low expected frequency and a low expected severity.
■■ Yellow. Risks coded yellow are either more likely but of low severity, or more
severe but unlikely. They should receive a little more attention than risks in the
green area, but less attention than risks in the orange area.
152 Chapter 18 ■ Risk Management
■■ Orange. Risks in the orange area have a higher expected frequency or higher
expected severity than risks coded yellow, so they should be monitored more
actively.
■■ Red. Risks coded red should receive special attention because they have a rela-
tively high expected frequency and their effect on the company would be severe.
■■ Black. Risks in the black area are highly unlikely but would have a catastrophic
effect. These risks are sometimes called “black swans”, which is in reference to
the presumption in Europe that black swans did not exist and is a belief that
persisted until they were discovered in Australia in the 17th century. These risks
are usually not identified until after they occur.
In practice, the selection of key risk measures is important for the risk management
function to be proactive and predictive. Key risk measures should provide a warning
when risk levels are rising. They require the collection and compilation of data from
various internal and external sources. The types of key risk measures vary among
industries and companies, and they need to be reviewed regularly to ensure that the
measures are still relevant and sensitive to risk events.
Example 1 shows two of the many key risk measures that may be used by a securities
brokerage firm. The example identifies the measure, the type of risk it is concerned
with, the source of data, and how to interpret the measure.
It is important to recognise that all companies must take risks in the course of their
business activities to be able to create value. The restriction of activities to those that
have no risk would not generate sufficient returns for shareholders or investors, who
would thus be less willing to provide capital to companies or to invest their savings
in the range of investments available.
Therefore, each company must determine the risks that should be exploited, which are
often risks the company has expertise in dealing with and can benefit from. Companies
must also determine the risks that should be mitigated or eliminated, which are often
risks it has little or no expertise in dealing with. A risk management process that
enables managers to distinguish between the risks that are most likely to provide
opportunities and the risks that are most likely to be harmful helps companies generate
superior returns. Risk response strategies can be classified into four “T” categories:
■■ Tolerate. This strategy involves accepting the risk and its effect. In some cases,
the risk is well understood and taking it provides opportunities to create value.
In other cases, the risk must be taken because other risk response strategies are
unavailable or too costly.
■■ Treat. This strategy involves taking action to reduce the risk and its effect.
■■ Transfer. This strategy involves moving the risk and its effect to a third party.
■■ Terminate. This strategy involves avoiding the risk and its effect by ceasing an
activity.
Example 2 illustrates the use of the four risk response strategies by a bank.
Assume that a bank has expertise in making loans to small companies in its home
country. A neighbouring country is opening its economy and experiencing strong
growth. The bank is looking for value-enhancing opportunities and decides to
use its business expertise to make loans to small companies in the neighbouring
country. At this stage, the bank is willing to tolerate the risks of doing business
in a foreign country because the opportunity is potentially significant.
A few years later, the bank has a large portfolio of loans in the neighbouring
country, but the economic situation there is deteriorating. The bank is concerned
about the risk of an increasing number of borrowers defaulting on their loans;
this risk is called credit risk and is discussed in Section 6.2. Thus, the bank
decides to treat this credit risk by implementing stricter criteria before granting
loans to small companies and by obtaining additional collateral to back each
loan. Recall from the Debt Securities chapter that collateral refers to the assets
that secure a loan.
A few months later, the neighbouring country faces a recession, which leads
to social and political unrest. The bank makes the decision that it no longer wants
to do business there. It sells its remaining portfolio of loans to another financial
institution and ceases all activities in the neighbouring country. In doing so, the
bank terminates all risks.
In practice, investment firms set internal risk limits that incorporate the company’s
overall risk tolerance and risk management strategy—for example, by specifying the
maximum amount of a risky security that can be held or the maximum aggregate
exposure to one asset type or to one counterparty. Defining limits and then controlling
and monitoring those limits allows firms to implement risk response strategies.
At some point, risks must be consolidated and managed at the company level, bringing
together different risks into an overall risk exposure. Enterprise risk management
(ERM) helps a company manage all its risks together in an integrated way rather than
managing each risk separately. The advantage of this approach is that it aligns risk
management with objectives at all levels of the company, from the corporate level to
the business unit level to the project level.
Risk management functions vary by company, but it is typical for companies in the
investment industry to have a stand-alone risk management function with a senior
head, often called the chief risk officer, who is capable of independent judgment and
action. The chief risk officer often reports directly to the board of directors. The
purpose of establishing a strong independent risk management function is to build
checks and balances to ensure that risks are seriously considered and balanced against
other objectives, such as profitability.
Despite the existence of specialist risk managers, risk management remains everyone’s
responsibility. Risk managers assess, monitor, and report on risks, and in some cases,
they may have an approval function or veto authority. But it is the members of the
business functions, such as portfolio managers or traders, who “own” the risk of their
deals. These employees have the most intimate knowledge of what they trade, and they
The Risk Management Process 155
must monitor their deals on a regular basis. The risk manager must ensure that all
relevant risks are identified, but the final judgment on the business decision lies with
the decision makers. Therefore, it is important for risk management to be part of the
company’s corporate culture and to be fully integrated with core business activities.
Risk
ployees / Manager
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Front-line employees and managers, through their daily responsibilities, form the first
line of defence. The risk management and compliance groups operate as a second
line of defence, assisting and advising employees and managers while maintaining a
certain level of independence. An internal audit function then forms the third line of
defence. Internal audit is an independent function. Internal auditors follow risk-based
internal audit programmes, delving into the details of business processes and ensuring
that information technology and accounting systems accurately reflect transactions.
Proactive auditors may also advise managers on how to improve risk management,
controls, and efficiency. Best practice suggests that internal auditors should report
directly to the audit committee of the board of directors to ensure their independence.
Thus, risk and audit committees of the board will often hear presentations from the
heads of risk management, compliance, and internal audit.
■■ limiting the amount of risk a company takes, preventing excessive risk taking
and potential related losses, and lowering the likelihood of bankruptcy;
156 Chapter 18 ■ Risk Management
■■ improving performance assessment and making sure that the compensation sys-
tem is consistent with the company’s risk tolerance;
■■ enhancing the flow of information within the company, which results in better
communication, increased transparency, and improved awareness and under-
standing of risk; and
■■ assisting with the early detection of unlawful and fraudulent activities, thus
complementing compliance procedures and audit testing.
All of these benefits should enhance the company’s ability to create value.
The costs of establishing risk management systems include tangible costs, such as hiring
dedicated risk management personnel, putting in place procedures, and investing in
systems, and intangible costs, such as slower decision making and missed opportunities.
4 OPERATIONAL RISK
As mentioned earlier, operational risk is the risk of losses from inadequate or failed
people, systems, and internal policies and procedures, as well as from external events
that are beyond the control of the company but that affect its operations.
One example of operational risk that has a human component and that is more fre-
quent in the financial services industry than in any other industry is rogue trading.
Rogue trading refers to situations wherein traders bypass management controls and
place unauthorised trades, at times causing large losses for the companies they work
for. Rogue trading may involve fraudulent trading that is done for personal enrich-
ment or to make up losses. Exhibit 4 lists a number of rogue trading incidents that
occurred in the past.
Year of the
Loss Company Rogue Trader Estimated Loss
Banks, like most companies, have tried to learn from past events and plug the holes
in their systems and controls to prevent similar events from occurring. The failure
of Barings Bank in 1995 revealed the danger of not segregating front and back office
activities properly. In the small bank branch of Barings in Singapore, the same indi-
viduals managed both types of activities. An initial trading loss (a front office activity)
because of a human error was hidden in the accounting system (a back office activity),
and subsequent losses accumulated until they exceeded the bank’s equity capital.
Following Barings’ collapse, banks were required to establish a clear separation between
their front and back offices.
To avoid the risk of recruiting the wrong people, companies typically take various
precautions, such as the following:
■■ Carrying out background checks, such as checking criminal records and disci-
plinary records with regulators for new hires
Although these precautions may appear to be standard, studies have shown that dis-
crepancies between presented and actual credentials are common. Cases in which
background checks of senior executives were not appropriately performed are regularly
reported. Because of a loss of trust, some of these executives had to resign when the
truth was revealed, even if they had performed successfully in their position.
Risk taking should also be considered in the structure of compensation, for example
when defining bonus payments for employees. It is particularly important for employees
who expose the company to significant risks, such as traders and investment staff. A
good compensation system should take into account the level of risk undertaken for
a given level of return and should reward those who achieve returns without taking
excessive risks. An example of an incentive that could lead to perverse behaviour is
rewarding traders for profits regardless of the risks they take. This approach would
give them all the upside for trading gains, but less downside for taking on risks and
trading losses. In practice, traders generating substantial losses typically lose their
jobs and reputations, but they usually do not have to pay back much compared with
the compensation they previously received. Some authorities are now imposing new
compensation structures that include deferred compensation to take into account
long-term performance as well as claw-back provisions, whereby employees may have
to return their bonuses if reported profitable deals result in losses later.
for users and IT technical staff, the creation of appropriate security standards and
configurations for systems, and the allocation of adequate personnel and technical
resources to maintain a well-controlled IT environment.
Compliance and internal audit functions are key to ensuring that employees are actually
following internal policies and procedures.
The role of an in-house legal expert is crucial to controlling legal risk. Most areas of
a company have dealings with external parties, such as deal counterparties, business
partners, suppliers, and service providers. An important control in managing the
legal risk of these external relationships is to have legal experts review every contract.
Companies should clearly delegate authority and specify who should review and
approve which type of contracts. The most significant deals usually require approval
at the level of the board of directors. Another control is to use template agreements
and standard contract terms and conditions that have been reviewed and approved
by the legal team.
The storage of records, documents, and all forms of communication must also be in
line with legal requirements for all relevant jurisdictions, a topic that will be discussed
in the Investment Industry Documentation chapter.
Although there are usually legal means to compel a counterparty to perform its obli-
gations, such measures are costly and time-consuming. A counterparty is more likely
to find it difficult to fulfil its obligations during challenging economic times or when
bankruptcy is imminent than during profitable times. In the case of bankruptcy, it
may take months or years to receive assets through a bankruptcy resolution proce-
dure and the proceeds may only be a fraction of the original nominal amount of debt.
COMPLIANCE RISK 5
Compliance risk is the risk that a company fails to comply with all applicable rules,
laws, and regulations. The risk of non-compliance with laws and regulations is higher
than non-compliance with internal policies and procedures because sanctions can
be applied. These sanctions can affect both individuals and companies and may be
severe. Ensuring compliance with rules and regulations has often been viewed as a
rather mundane chore, but the rapidly changing regulatory environment has recently
brought compliance to the forefront of business priorities. Many people believe that
the trend toward less regulation contributed to the global financial crisis that began
in 2008. The trend has reversed with the re-imposition of greater regulation and
oversight. This increased legislation, in turn, has led to more compliance activities
and more compliance risk.
Complying with applicable laws and regulations is required of every company. The
consequences of not doing so can be severe and can include financial penalties, loss
of business licenses, lawsuits by clients, and in serious cases, prison terms. Often the
greatest consequences are the damage to the company’s reputation and the loss of
existing and potential business opportunities.
5.2.1 Corruption
Corruption, which is defined as the abuse of power for private gain, has received height-
ened attention because of tightened laws and regulations on bribery and increased
regulatory scrutiny, investigations, prosecutions, and fines. Some national authorities
may apply these laws extra-territorially, even to foreign entities. Firms that operate
through agents and other third parties should be aware that their responsibility for
preventing corruption extends to the actions of these third parties. Ignoring the
practices of third parties does not constitute a defence in the event of a regulatory
investigation.
There is a technical difference between “tax avoidance”, which means using tax code
provisions to minimise the tax that is owed, and “tax evasion”, which means not
paying taxes in violation of the tax law. In practice, however, the line between tax
avoidance and tax evasion is not always clear and expert tax advice is necessary. From
a risk-management perspective, tax risk should be managed in a consistent manner,
incorporating the appropriate expertise at each stage of a transaction or financial
reporting cycle.
5.2.4 Anti-Money-Laundering
Anti-money-laundering legislation is a set of rules to prevent money derived from
criminal activities from entering the financial system and acquiring the appearance
of being from legitimate sources. These rules require companies in the financial ser-
vices industry, including those in the investment industry, to obtain sufficient original
or certified documentation to perform a formal risk assessment on each client and
counterparty; the procedures of such an assessment are called know-your-customer
procedures.
INVESTMENT RISK 6
Risk is a critical element of investment decisions. Investors, for instance, buy equity
securities, commodities, or real estate. When they do, they are exposed to investment
risk—that is, the risk associated with investing. For example, investors may face losses
if the company in which they bought common shares loses value or goes bankrupt or
if commodity or real estate prices fall.
Investment risk can take different forms depending on the company’s investments and
operations. Companies in the investment industry typically experience three broad
types of investment risk:
■■ Market risk, which is the risk caused by changes in market conditions affecting
prices.
■■ Credit risk, which is the risk for a lender that a borrower fails to honour a con-
tract and make timely payments of interest and principal.
■■ Liquidity risk, which is the risk that an asset or security cannot be bought or
sold quickly without a significant concession in price.
A common theme for success in all types of investment risk management is the need
to understand the risks and price them accurately.
Many investment firms are in the business of assuming investment risks, and they tend
to tolerate market risks. But like any other company, they must align their risk profiles
with their risk tolerance. They often implement an approach called risk budgeting to
determine how risk should be allocated among different business units, portfolios,
or individuals. For example, an asset management firm may use the following risk
budgeting steps:
■■ Set risk budgets and limits for each asset class and/or investment manager
Market risks that cannot be tolerated must be mitigated, and companies have different
alternatives available. One of them is to hedge unwanted risks by using derivative
instruments. The Derivatives chapter and Economics of International Trade chapter
offer examples of how companies can hedge unwanted risks.
The expected loss from credit exposure is a function of three elements: the amount of
money lent to a particular borrower, the probability that the borrower defaults, and
the loss that would be incurred if the borrower defaults. The amount that is at risk
may be reduced if collateral or guarantees from third parties are included. Enforcing
contract provisions to take possession of collateral, however, can be a time-consuming
legal process. The value of collateral assets for a lender depends on their liquidity and
marketability—that is, how easy it is to sell the assets to a third party and at how much
of a discount if sold on short notice. Assets for which a steady market demand exists
and that can be moved and easily transferred are more valuable than assets that are
traded less frequently and are less mobile.
There are various approaches to managing credit risk, including the following:
■■ Transfer risk by using derivative instruments. Credit default swaps are often
used when companies want to protect themselves against the risk of a loss
in value of a debt security or index of debt securities, as discussed in the
Derivatives chapter.
Firms in the investment industry face a greater level of liquidity risk than, say, man-
ufacturers. To operate profitably, they need markets that can accommodate their
trades without significant adverse effects on prices. When markets are illiquid—either
temporarily, such as during financial crises, or more structurally, such as in some
emerging markets—the ability to trade assets is substantially reduced, which has a
negative effect on these firms.
VALUE AT RISK 7
Companies in the financial services industry expect that the assets and securities they
hold will provide them with a positive return. However, they also need to estimate the
potential loss on an investment if their forecasts for the asset or security turn out to be
inaccurate. This potential loss is often measured using a metric known as value at risk.
166 Chapter 18 ■ Risk Management
■■ It is a useful tool for risk budgeting if there is a central process for allocating
capital across business units according to risk.
In practice, VaR often underestimates the frequency and magnitude of losses, mainly
because of erroneous assumptions and models. First, VaR primarily relies on historical
data to forecast future expected losses. But past returns may not be a good predictor
of future returns. In addition, history is not helpful in forecasting events that have
far-reaching effects, but are unforeseen or considered impossible—that is, black swan
events. Second, VaR makes an assumption regarding the distribution of returns. For
example, it is often assumed that returns are normally distributed and follow the bell-
shaped distribution presented in Exhibit 8 in the Quantitative Concepts chapter. The
use of historical data and the assumption of a normal distribution may work relatively
well in normal market conditions but not during periods of market turmoil.
The global financial crisis of 2008 is a case in point. Until 2007, most banks had a low
daily VaR, which gave them a false sense of security. Once the crisis hit, the number
of days when trading losses exceeded the daily VaR and the amount of those losses
were substantially higher than predicted. Some banks reported that the frequency of
losses was 10 to 20 times higher than the VaR predictions, and some banks recorded
losses that significantly reduced their equity capital.
Summary 167
It is worth noting that the weaknesses related to VaR apply to all measures that rely on
models. The risk arising from the use of models is collectively known as model risk.
This risk is associated with inappropriate underlying assumptions, the unavailability
or inaccuracy of historical data, data errors, and misapplication of models.
SUMMARY
Although most companies in the investment industry have dedicated risk manage-
ment functions, it is important to remember that risk is not just the responsibility of
the risk management team—everyone is a risk manager. So, even if you are not a risk
management specialist, you should still seek to understand risk management process,
systems, and tools and participate in risk management activities in your organisation.
The points below recap what you have learned in this chapter about risk management:
■■ Risk assessment involves the identification of undesirable events and the esti-
mation of their expected frequency and the expected severity of their conse-
quences. It is important for a company to build a risk matrix and select key risk
measures to prioritise risks and warn when risk levels are rising.
■■ Risk response strategies include exploiting risks that the company has expertise
dealing with and can benefit from as well as mitigating or eliminating risks that
the company has little or no expertise in dealing with. Risk response strategies
include tolerating, treating, transferring, or terminating risk.
168 Chapter 18 ■ Risk Management
■■ Operational risk is the risk of losses from inadequate or failed people, systems,
and internal policies and procedures, as well as from external events that are
beyond the control of the company but that affect its operations. The reduction
of operational risk requires companies to manage people to reduce human fail-
ures ranging from unintentional errors to fraudulent activities; manage systems,
particularly IT and communication systems, and ensure compliance with inter-
nal policies and procedures; and manage political, legal, and settlement risks.
■■ Compliance risk is the risk that a company fails to comply with all applicable
rules, laws, and regulations. The company may face sanctions and damage to
its reputation as a result of non-compliance. Examples of key compliance risks
that have the potential to inflict serious damage on investment firms and their
employees include corruption, inadequate tax reporting, insider trading, and
money laundering.
■■ Value at risk, which provides an estimate of the minimum loss of value that can
be expected for a given period of time with a given probability, is a widely-used
metric to measure risk. By relying on historical data and making assumptions
about the distribution of returns, VaR suffers from weaknesses that are typical
of all measures that rely on models.
Chapter Review Questions 169
1 The type of risk characterised by failed internal policies and procedures is clas-
sified as:
A operational.
B compliance.
C investment.
C the expected level of frequency of the event and the expected severity of its
consequences.
A shareholders.
B board of directors.
A internal auditors.
B less accountability.
A investment risk.
B operational risk.
C compliance risk.
C that an asset cannot be bought and sold quickly without a significant con-
cession in price.
12 Value at risk:
ANSWERS
2 C is correct. Compliance risk is the risk that an organisation fails to follow all
applicable rules, laws, and regulations and faces sanctions as a result. B is incor-
rect because the risk that a counterparty does not complete its side of a deal as
agreed describes settlement risk (also called counterparty risk). A is incorrect
because failure of an IT network that paralyses business operations is an exam-
ple of operational risk.
4 C is correct. A risk matrix is used to assess and prioritise the risks an organ-
isation faces. It classifies risks according to the expected level of frequency of
the event (e.g., highly unlikely, unlikely, possible, likely, or highly likely) and the
expected severity of its consequences (e.g., negligible, slightly harmful, harmful,
extremely harmful, or catastrophic). A and B are incorrect because they are
not related to risk matrices. Market, credit, and liquidity risks refer to types
of investment risks. Operational, compliance, and investment risks are risk
classifications.
the organisation’s risk profile is aligned with its risk tolerance, but it does not
lead to the elimination of risk. Some risks should be eliminated, but others may
be exploited—for example, the risks the organisation has expertise in dealing
with and can benefit from. B is incorrect because implementing a risk manage-
ment process leads to more rather than less accountability.
8 C is correct. The intangible costs of risk management are slower decision mak-
ing and missed opportunities. A and B are incorrect because hiring risk man-
agers and putting compliance procedures in place are tangible, not intangible,
costs of risk management.
10 A is correct. Using agents and third parties increases compliance risk. It is more
difficult to monitor and control these agents and third parties than internal
staff, but the company may still be responsible for the actions of these agents
and third parties. B and C are incorrect because separating the front and back
offices and monitoring and controlling business processes decrease compliance
risk.
11 B is correct. Credit risk is the risk for a lender that a borrower fails to honour
a contract and make timely payments of interest and principal. A is incor-
rect because the risk caused by changes in market conditions affecting prices
describes market risk. C is incorrect because the risk that an asset cannot be
bought and sold quickly without a significant concession in price describes
liquidity risk.
12 C is correct. Value at risk gives an estimate of the minimum, but not the
maximum, loss of value that can be expected for a given period of time with a
specified level of probability. A is incorrect because value at risk often underes-
timates, not overestimates, the frequency of losses. B is incorrect because value
at risk makes an assumption regarding the distribution of returns. For example,
it is often assumed that returns are normally distributed.
CHAPTER 19
PERFORMANCE EVALUATION
by Andrew Clare, PhD
LEARNING OUTCOMES
INTRODUCTION 1
Investors are interested in knowing how their investments have performed. For retail
investors, the performance of their investments may determine whether they will
enjoy a comfortable retirement, whether they will have enough money to send their
children to university, or whether they can afford their dream holiday. Likewise, the
pension plans, foundations, and other institutional investors want to monitor the
performance of their investments to ensure that the assets will be sufficient to meet
their needs. The performance of a fund and its fund manager is also important to an
investment management firm; after all, if the output of the car industry is cars, then
the output of the investment management industry is, arguably, investment returns.
For an investment management company, measuring and understanding fund manager
performance is vital to managing and improving the investment process.
The performance evaluation process includes four discrete but related components:
Attribute performance
Absolute returns are the returns achieved over a certain time period. Absolute
returns do not consider the risk of the investment or the returns achieved by similar
investments.
Example 1 illustrates how holding-period returns are calculated. As always, you are
not responsible for calculations, but the presentation of formulae and calculations
may enhance your understanding.
The total holding-period return is the sum of the capital and income com-
ponents (i.e., 15%). Mathematically, this sum can be shown as
(110 − 100) + 5 10 + 5
Total holding-period return = = = 0.15 = 15%
100 100
£5
dividend
Return = £15
£10
capital gain
1 January 31 December
The return to an investment fund or portfolio over the course of a given period is
typically made up of the capital gains or losses on all of the assets held over that
period plus any income earned on those assets over the same period. This income
may include dividend income from equity securities, interest income for portfolios of
debt securities, and rental income for portfolios of commercial real estate.
We can see how capital and income components combine to produce returns by
looking at some representative investment portfolios. Exhibits 1A and 1B present
the holding-period returns and the split between the capital gains and losses
portion and the income portion for a range of investment portfolios in 2010.
United States and in Europe; the emerging market equity portfolio includes
equity securities listed in emerging markets, such as Brazil, Russia, India, and
China—widely known as the BRIC countries.
20
16
12
Return (%)
0
Global United States Europe Emerging Market
Source: Based on data from the Centre for Asset Management Research, Cass Business
School, London.
Exhibit 1B Capital Gains, Income, and Total Return for Bond and
Commercial Property Portfolios, 2010
20
15
10
Return (%)
Source: Based on data from the Centre for Asset Management Research, Cass Business
School, London.
Exhibit 1A shows that the total holding-period return of all the equity port-
folios except the European equity portfolio was more than 12% and that the
capital gains portion was much larger than the income portion. The European
equity portfolio’s total holding-period return was approximately 4% and was
made up almost entirely of income return.
In other words, there is a constant flow of cash into and out of most investment funds
and portfolios. Additional investments and withdrawals by clients will affect the cal-
culation of the performance of the fund. Example 2 illustrates this point.
Flows of money into and out of funds over time can be accounted for by dividing
the measurement period into shorter holding periods. A new holding period starts
each time a cash flow occurs—that is, each time money flows into or out of a fund. If
there is only one cash flow during the holding period, the measurement period will
be divided into two shorter holding periods. If there are two cash flows, there will be
three holding periods, and so on. In practice, client cash inflows and outflows may
occur on a daily basis, in which case an annual holding-period return is divided into
daily holding-period returns.
Example 3 illustrates how the total holding-period return is calculated when a cash flow
occurs during the holding period. There are two approaches used to combine returns.
The first approach is to calculate the arithmetic mean by adding the two six-month
returns. This approach, however, does not consider compounding; recall from the time
Measure Absolute Returns 181
Suppose that the fund in Example 2 had received one client cash inflow of
$5 million at the close of business on 30 June. No other cash inflows or outflows
occurred in the period; there was no additional cash from clients and there was
no cash from income on holdings of the fund. The holding period of one year
can be divided into two periods of six months. The holding-period return is
calculated as follows:
■■ First, calculate the six-month holding-period return for the period from 1
January to 30 June, before the additional deposit.
■■ Next, calculate the six-month holding-period return for the period from 1
July to 31 December, including the cash inflow of $5 million that increased
the value of the fund on 30 June.
There is one final piece of information that is needed to calculate the return
over each of these two six-month periods: the value of the fund on 30 June
immediately before the inflow of $5 million. Assume that the fund’s value was
as follows (the 30 June value does not include the $5 million deposit):
1 January $100 million
30 June $98 million
31 December $110 million
The holding-period return over the first six months (1 January to 30 June) is
as follows:
The clients of the fund may want to know the return achieved by the fund
manager over the full calendar year rather than over each six-month period.
Using our current example, the fund return was –2.0% for the first six months
and 6.8% for the last six months. The fund’s arithmetic return for the year is
4.8% (= –2.0% + 6.8%). Alternatively, the fund’s compounded return for the year
is calculated as follows:
Fund return = [(1 – 2.0%) × (1 + 6.8%)] – 1 = 0.0466 = 4.66%
The fund manager achieved an annual holding-period return of 4.66%, which
is the return achieved by the fund manager on the funds under management
between 1 January and 31 December.
To compare the performance of one fund from one year with the next year or to
compare the performance of one fund with another fund requires that returns be
measured on a consistent basis over time and across fund managers. In 1999, a set of
voluntary investment performance standards—the Global Investment Performance
Standards (GIPS)—was proposed for this purpose. Investment management firms
around the globe have adopted GIPS, and organisations in more than 30 countries
sponsor and promote the Standards, which were created by and are administered by
CFA Institute. GIPS requires the use of the time-weighted rates of return method
because this measure is not distorted by cash inflows and outflows.
Investors want to get as much return as possible for as little risk as possible. So, if two
investments have a holding-period return of 10% but the first investment has very
little risk whereas the second one is very risky, the first investment is better than the
second one on a risk-adjusted basis.
deviation. The standard deviation of returns reflects the variability of returns around
the mean (or average) return; the higher the standard deviation of returns, the higher
the variability (or volatility) of returns and the higher the risk.
Exhibits 2A and 2B show the standard deviation of the annual returns for
2006–2010 on the four equity, three bond, and two commercial property port-
folios introduced in Exhibits 1A and 1B.
50
Standard Deviation (%)
40
30
20
10
0
Global United States Europe Emerging Market
Source: Based on data from the Centre for Asset Management Research, Cass Business
School, London.
184 Chapter 19 ■ Performance Evaluation
10
0
European European European US UK
Government Corporate High Yield Commercial Commercial
Source: Based on data from the Centre for Asset Management Research, Cass Business
School, London.
Exhibits 2A and 2B support the common perception that equities are riskier
than bonds. As shown in Exhibit 2A, the standard deviation of annual returns
for the equity portfolios exceeded 20%, reaching 41% for the emerging market
equity portfolio. In contrast, Exhibit 2B indicates that the standard deviation
of annual returns for the bond and commercial property portfolios are much
less than for the equity portfolios: less than 5% for the European government
and corporate bond portfolios and less than 10% for the high-yield bond and
the two commercial property portfolios.
There are at least two reasons why investors care about historical variability (the
standard deviation of past returns). First, past variability of returns might be indic-
ative of how variable returns may be in the future. But it is important to be aware
that volatility can change over time and that there is no guarantee that future returns
will behave like past returns. Second, the variability of returns may affect an inves-
tor’s objectives. Pension funds invest to generate the returns necessary to pay their
beneficiaries, insurance companies invest to generate returns to meet the claims on
their policies, and individuals invest because they usually have a future expenditure
in mind. Investing in a portfolio or fund whose returns vary significantly over time
could potentially disrupt investors’ plans. If returns are very negative one year, then
the investors’ commitments, such as paying pensions, may be harder to meet. Retail
investors may need to sell some of their investments because of unforeseen circum-
stances, such as a decline in dividend income.
Adjust Returns for Risk 185
Downside deviation is calculated in almost exactly the same way as standard devia-
tion, but instead of using all the deviations from the mean—positive and negative—
downside deviation is calculated using only negative deviations. In other words, it is
a measure of return variability that focuses only on outcomes that are less than the
mean. Downside deviation may also be calculated by focussing on outcomes that are
less than a specified return target; this target does not have to be the mean.
Exhibit 3 shows the standard and downside deviations of returns associated with
investing in a diversified portfolio of UK equities and in a diversified portfolio of UK
government bonds.
25
20
Deviation (%)
15
10
0
UK Equity UK Bond
Standard Deviation Downside Deviation
Source: Based on data from the Centre for Asset Management Research, Cass Business School,
London.
As we see, the downside deviations are lower than the standard deviations; this out-
come is expected because downside deviations only consider the negative deviations.
But both measures convey the same message: the risk of the bond portfolio is lower
than that of the equity portfolio.
186 Chapter 19 ■ Performance Evaluation
A commonly used reward-to-risk ratio is the Sharpe ratio, so-called because it was
first suggested by Nobel Prize–winning economist William Sharpe.1 The portfolio
reward is measured as the portfolio’s excess return, which is equal to the difference
between the portfolio’s holding-period return and the return on a “risk-free” investment.
Risk-free investment is usually approximated by the return achieved from investing in
short-term government bonds because in most countries government bonds are the
investments that carry the lowest level of risk. The chosen measure of portfolio risk
is the standard deviation of the portfolio returns, a measure of the portfolio’s total
risk. So the Sharpe ratio is calculated as follows:
Sharpe ratio
Return on portfolio − Risk-free return Excess return on portfolio
= =
Standard deviation of portfolio returns Standard deviation of portfolio returns
Another commonly used reward-to-risk ratio is the Treynor ratio, suggested by Jack
Treynor.2 The measure of portfolio reward is the same as that used in the Sharpe ratio
but the measure of portfolio risk is different. The chosen measure of portfolio risk is
beta of the portfolio, a measure of the portfolio’s systematic risk (also called market
or non-diversifiable risk). Systematic risk is discussed in the Investment Management
chapter. The Treynor ratio is calculated as follows:
Treynor ratio
Return on portfolio − Risk-free return Excess return on portfolio
= =
Beta of portfolio returns Beta of portfolio returns
Example 4 illustrates the calculation of the Sharpe and Treynor ratios.
1 William F. Sharpe, “Mutual Fund Performance,” in Part 2: Supplement on Security Prices, Journal of
Business, vol. 39, no. 1 (January 1966):119–138.
2 Jack L. Treynor, “How to Rate Management of Investment Funds,” Harvard Business Review, vol. 43, no.
1 (January–February 1965):63–75.
Adjust Returns for Risk 187
Suppose that over a year, the holding-period return on an investment fund was
10% and the return achievable from investing in government bonds (“risk-free”
investments) was 4%. Also assume that the standard deviation and beta of the
investment fund’s returns over this period were 5% and 1.8, respectively.
Each of these ratios can be compared with the same ratios for similar funds or port-
folios to evaluate the fund’s or portfolio’s performance. As stated earlier, the higher
the value of the reward-to-risk ratio, the better the risk-adjusted return—that is, the
higher the return per unit of risk.
Exhibits 4A and 4B present the Sharpe ratios for the four equity, three bond, and
two commodity property portfolios we examined in Exhibits 1A, 1B, 2A, and 2B.
0.5
0.4
Sharpe Ratio
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
Global United States Europe Emerging Market
Source: Based on data from the Centre for Asset Management Research, Cass Business
School, London.
188 Chapter 19 ■ Performance Evaluation
0.2
–0.2
Sharpe Ratio
–0.4
–0.6
–0.8
–1.0
European European European US UK
Government Corporate High Yield Commercial Commercial
Source: Based on data from the Centre for Asset Management Research, Cass Business
School, London.
Exhibit 4A shows that the Sharpe ratios of all the equity portfolios were
positive, ranging from 0.10 to 0.40. The emerging market equity portfolio had
the highest Sharpe ratio. Put another way, this portfolio provided the highest
amount of reward for the risk incurred. Exhibit 4B shows that the bond portfo-
lios also had positive Sharpe ratios, although lower than the equity funds. But
the commercial property portfolios had negative Sharpe ratios, indicating that
these funds generated lower returns than the government bond portfolios during
2006–2010. That is, they provided a negative reward for the risk taken. But you
should not conclude that commercial property portfolios are necessarily poor
investments. The 2006–2009 period was not typical given that it was marked by
a global financial crisis that saw a significant drop in property prices.
The Sharpe ratio, along with other reward-to-risk ratios, is an important metric for
understanding the quality of the returns produced by a portfolio. A portfolio with
high returns but with high risk might be said to have produced lower-quality returns
than a portfolio with similarly high returns but with much lower risk. So, in a sense,
reward-to-risk ratios, such as the Sharpe ratio, are one of the main quality control
checks that investors need to apply to their investments. Such ratios are also helpful
for comparing investments.
Measure Relative Returns 189
Benchmarks can be used to assess the quality and/or quantity of a company’s per-
formance by comparing its performance with that of its peers and competitors; you
have already seen an application of this use of comparison in the Financial Statements
chapter with ratio analysis.
4.1.1 Benchmarks
Fund managers may not only use a benchmark for assessment, but some, such as index
fund managers, may also manage their portfolios to a benchmark.3 This means that
managers must regularly compare the composition and performance of their portfolios
with the composition of a financial market index, such as the FTSE 100 Index or the
S&P 500. For investors, knowing the financial market index that a fund manager uses
as a benchmark will give them some idea of the return and risk that they can expect
from investing in that fund.
Before engaging a fund manager, institutional investors will often specify the finan-
cial market benchmark that they intend to use to assess the performance of the fund
manager. For example, a US equity fund manager may be asked, or mandated, to
manage a portfolio of US equities for a client and told that they will be “benchmarked
against” the S&P 500. A fund manager may simply be a passive index fund manager
using S&P 500 as the reference index. Alternatively, a manager might be given a spe-
cific mandate reflecting specific risk requirements, return targets, or style or sector
preferences, such as investing in biotech companies. In this case, simply holding the
500 US stocks that make up the S&P 500 in their appropriate proportions will not
produce the performance demanded (and paid for) by clients. To beat this benchmark,
the manager will have to be an active manager and to use analytical and trading skills
and deliver high levels of client service to satisfy the mandate.
To help clients meet their objectives, a benchmark should meet certain criteria:
■■ Clarity. The rules governing the construction of the benchmark should be clear.
This clarity should extend to the weighting of individual benchmark constitu-
ents, to the method used to calculate benchmark returns, and to the process
used to add and remove constituents to and from the benchmark over time.
4.1.2 Indices
A number of organisations produce financial market indices that allow investors to
compare the holding-period return achieved by their fund manager with that generated
by the wider market. For most equity exchanges around the world, there is at least
one index that represents the majority of its stocks. In addition to these broad indices,
stock indices that measure performance of industrial sectors are also available, both
within a particular country and globally. These indices make it possible, for instance,
for investors to compare the performance of a portfolio of global information tech-
nology (IT) stocks with the performance of a portfolio of Indian IT stocks, as long as
the indices have been constructed using the same methodology.
A number of bond indices exist too. Many leading investment banks, such as Barclays
Capital and Goldman Sachs, produce bond indices for different types of issuers located
in developed or emerging countries. Independent index providers also provide a wide
range of bond indices. In addition to aggregate bond indices that are designed to cover
the market as a whole, many index providers offer bond indices classified by maturity,
credit rating, currency, and industrial category. Many index providers, such as FTSE
International, Standard & Poor’s, and Morgan Stanley Capital International, produce
indices for nearly every asset class, including cash, currencies, commercial property,
hedge funds, private equity, and commodities, as well as for bonds and equities.
Measure Relative Returns 191
Tracking error can also be used to formulate another widely used reward-to-risk
ratio known as the information ratio. The “reward” part of the information ratio is the
difference between the holding-period return on the portfolio and the return on an
appropriate benchmark over the same period; the “risk” part of the information ratio
is based on the tracking error of the fund—that is, its deviation from the performance
of the benchmark. It is calculated as follows:
Difference in average return between portfolio and benchmarrk
Information ratio =
Fund tracking error
Example 5 uses the annual holding-period returns on the UK equity portfolio as seen
in Exhibit 3 to illustrate the calculations of the tracking error and the information ratio.
Source: Based on data from the Centre for Asset Management Research, Cass Business
School, London.
The average of the differences in returns is –0.45% per year; in other words, on
average, the equity portfolio underperformed the benchmark by 0.45% each
year over the 10-year period.
simply attributable to luck. But even when stocks are not chosen randomly, luck can
play a big part in investment returns, so investors need a way to distinguish between
skill and luck.
Fund manager skill is often referred to as alpha. Perhaps the best way to explain the
concept of alpha is to consider the sources of a fund’s return, which is composed of
three elements:
■■ market return
■■ luck
■■ skill
Given that most active fund managers benchmark their funds against financial market
indices, such as the S&P 500, some of the return generated by an actively managed
fund will come from market movements over which the active fund manager has no
control. Arguably then, investors in actively managed funds should not pay higher active
fees for fund returns that are generated by the market rather than by the investment
acumen of their fund manager because they can access market returns more cheaply
by investing in passively managed funds.
4.3.2 Luck
Some of the return generated by an investment fund is the result of luck rather than
judgement. The prices of financial assets held in portfolios are affected by events that
cannot be foreseen by a fund manager.
Skilful fund managers may be unlucky on occasion and unskilled fund managers might
enjoy some good luck. Because luck tends to even out over the long term, it is vital that
investors are able to distinguish luck from skill. However, it is not always easy to do so.
194 Chapter 19 ■ Performance Evaluation
4.3.3 Skill
A skilful fund manager is able to add value to a portfolio over and above changes to
the portfolio’s value that are driven by market movements and that could have been
produced by a passive fund manager.
Because luck will tend to even out over time, a skilful manager is one who adds this
value consistently over time, year after year. This outperformance over the returns
from a relevant market benchmark is generally referred to as alpha.
5 ATTRIBUTE PERFORMANCE
4 William F. Sharpe, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk,”
Journal of Finance, vol. 19, no. 3 (September 1964):425−442.
Attribute Performance 195
Benchmarks can also be used to explore the reasons for the fund manager’s perfor-
mance. By using appropriate financial market indices, the fund manager’s performance
can be decomposed to reveal the sources of returns. Depending on the nature of the
fund, the performance itself might come from the following sources:
■■ asset allocation
■■ sector selection
■■ stock selection
■■ currency exposure
Knowing how a fund manager’s performance is derived is useful information both for
the clients of the fund and for the investment management company. For example,
if a fund manager is skilled at stock selection but less proficient at sector selection,
another fund manager may be asked to give advice on the sector selection aspect of the
portfolio, allowing the first fund manager to concentrate on stock selection. Knowing
the strengths of fund managers can also help investors choose an investment fund.
Determining how much of performance is the result of the selection of asset classes,
sectors, individual securities, and currencies is known as performance attribution.
Example 6 provides an illustration of performance attribution.
Consider a fund manager who manages a portfolio that has a value of £100 mil-
lion on 1 January, the start of an annual evaluation period. The benchmark for
this fund comprises three equity market indices:
The mandate specifies that the benchmark will be 60% of the performance
of the FTSE 100, 30% of the S&P 500, and 10% of the Nikkei 225. We can show
this as
Over the course of the year, assume the three financial indices produce the
returns shown in Exhibit 6. For simplicity, the full-year return is equal to the sum
of the returns for the two six-month periods—that is, we ignore compounding.
196 Chapter 19 ■ Performance Evaluation
Return
1 January to 1 July to 1 January to
Index Weight 30 June 31 December 31 December
Source: Andrew Clare and Chris Wagstaff, The Trustee Guide to Investment (London:
Palgrave Macmillan, 2011).
Over the full year, the benchmark generated a return of 14%, composed of
6.6% in the first half of the year and 7.4% in the second half. Although the returns
are positive, the components of the benchmark were actually quite volatile over
these two periods. In particular, the Japanese index was up 15% over the first
half of the year, but down 10% over the second half.
Assume that over the full year, the fund manager achieved a return of 15%.
The manager thus satisfied the mandate—the return on the fund (15%) is 1%
higher than the benchmark’s return (14%). But where did the performance
come from? To understand this question, an investor needs more information
about the fund manager’s decisions. In particular, an investor needs to know the
proportions of the funds that the manager allocated to UK, US, and Japanese
equities over the course of the year.
Fund Allocations
1 January to 1 July to
Markets 30 June 31 December
Source: Andrew Clare and Chris Wagstaff, The Trustee Guide to Investment (London:
Palgrave Macmillan, 2011).
Exhibit 7 shows that the fund manager reduced the proportion of both UK
and US equities by 10 percentage points each before the second half of the year
and increased the holding of Japanese equities by 20 percentage points.
Attribute Performance 197
It is possible to calculate the returns that the fund manager would have
achieved based on the fund’s allocations to the three markets and the returns
achieved by the indices. In the first half of the year, the fund would have achieved
the following return:
In the second half of the year, the fund would have achieved the following
return:
This analysis suggests a return of approximately 10.2% for the full year.
However, the fund manager actually achieved a return of 15%, which means that
4.8% (15.0% – 10.2%) of the return came from a source other than broad asset
allocation decisions. In fact, had the manager held the equity funds passively,
in line with the benchmark proportions, the manager would have achieved a
return of 14% over the year—that is, the return for the full year reported in
Exhibit 6. This result means that the fund manager’s asset allocation decisions
cost the fund 3.8% (14% – 10.2%).
So, the fund manager outperformed the benchmark by 1% even though the
asset allocation decision lost 3.8%. This result means that the manager added
4.8% to the portfolio from a source other than asset allocation. It is possible that
this portion of the return may have been from stock selection or from currency
exposure, which is the change in the relative value of the currencies involved
(the pound, dollar, and yen).
16
14 15.0
14.0 14.0
12
10
10.2
Return (%)
8
4 4.8
2
0.0
0
Total Asset Allocation Stock Selection
Portfolio Benchmark
In Example 6, it was assumed that the return that did not come from the manager’s
asset allocation decision was instead attributable to stock selection or to changes in
currency exchange rates. With more detailed attribution analysis, an investor could
reveal how much of the performance was from exchange rate movements, how much
of the performance in the Japanese fund was from sector selection, and so on.
SUMMARY
■■ Absolute returns include two components: a capital gain or loss component and
an income component.
Summary 199
■■ Returns need to be measured by taking into account the cash flows into and out
of a fund over time.
■■ The Sharpe and Treynor ratios are important reward-to-risk ratios that com-
pare a portfolio’s excess return with a measure of portfolio risk. Each reflects
the return achieved per unit of risk taken.
■■ Relative returns allow for the comparison of a fund’s return with the return of
an appropriate benchmark.
■■ The use of financial market indices allows for the identification of how much
of a fund’s return is attributable to the fund manager’s choice of asset classes,
sectors, or individual securities or currencies.
200 Chapter 19 ■ Performance Evaluation
A attributing performance.
B attribute performance.
A a measure of risk.
4 The measure that best reflects the variability of returns around the mean return
is the:
A standard deviation.
B reward-to-risk ratio.
C downside deviation.
5 The measure that is best suited for investors who dislike losses more than they
like equivalent gains is the:
A Sharpe ratio.
B standard deviation.
C downside deviation.
A historical volatility.
B downside deviation.
C risk-adjusted performance.
8 The Sharpe ratio is a measure of the excess return on a portfolio compared with
the:
9 The criterion that a benchmark should be made up of assets that can be bought
or sold by the fund manager is known as:
A investability.
B compatibility.
C pre-specification.
10 A fund manager who uses analytical and trading skills to try to beat a bench-
mark is best described as a(n):
A active manager.
B index replicator.
C passive manager.
A beta.
B alpha.
C tracking error.
13 Beta measures the portion of the investment fund’s return attributable to:
A randomness.
A attribution analysis.
B risk-adjusted analysis.
ANSWERS
2 A is correct. The Sharpe ratio evaluates the reward for each unit of risk. B and
C are incorrect because the Sharpe ratio is not used in the attribution of perfor-
mance or in the measurement of absolute performance.
8 C is correct. The Sharpe ratio is calculated as reward per unit of risk, where
reward is excess return on the portfolio and risk is the standard deviation of
portfolio returns. A is incorrect because the Treynor ratio is calculated as the
excess return on the portfolio relative to the beta, a measure of systematic risk,
of portfolio returns. B is incorrect because the information ratio is calculated
as the difference between average return of the portfolio and the benchmark
relative to the fund’s tracking error.
9 A is correct. The ability to buy and sell the assets in a benchmark means it is
investable. B is incorrect because compatibility means that the benchmark’s
composition and level of risk should be in line with the investor’s objectives,
including desired level of risk. C is incorrect because pre-specification means
that the benchmark should be specified in advance so that the manager is clear
about the client’s objectives.
10 A is correct. Active fund managers use analytical and trading skills to try to
beat a benchmark. They seek out investments that meet the investment man-
date, and their portfolios look different from the benchmark. B and C are incor-
rect because passive fund managers, including index replicators, try to match
the performance of the benchmark.
11 A is correct. The tracking error reflects how the performance of the investment
fund deviates from the performance of its benchmark. Because a passive invest-
ment fund is seeking to replicate a benchmark, the tracking error should be
very low. Active investment funds attempt to select assets in a benchmark that
will outperform the benchmark, and as a result the tracking error is typically
higher than the passive fund. B and C are incorrect because the tracking error
for the passive investment fund is most likely lower than the tracking error for
active investment funds.
13 B is correct. Beta measures the portion of the investment fund’s return attribut-
able to broad market movements, over which the fund manager has no control.
A is incorrect because randomness is the portion of the investment fund’s
return attributable to luck. C is incorrect because the portion of the investment
fund’s return attributable to the fund manager’s judgment (or skill) is referred to
as alpha, not beta.
a Define a document;
INTRODUCTION 1
Documentation touches every aspect of investing, from internal documents to con-
tracts with external parties. Every time an investment manager places an order and
purchases a security, for instance, a large number of documents are developed to
record the trade.
Policies, procedures, and processes are the fabric of companies. They are essential in
the investment industry to ensure successful outcomes for clients. Recall from the
Regulation chapter that policies are principles of action adopted by a company. They
are typically driven from the top down, with rules cascading down through the vari-
ous business units and functional areas of the company. Procedures identify what the
company must do to achieve a desired outcome. Processes are the individual steps
that the company must take, from start to finish, to achieve that desired outcome.
Documentation of policies, procedures, and processes helps to communicate them
and to ensure compliance with rules, laws, and regulations.
Protects Educates
Records Communicates
Objectives
of
Documentation
Measures Authorises
Organises Formalises
From a legal perspective, documents also establish proof: proof of existence, authority,
activity, and obligation.
Origin relates to the source of the document. Documents can be classified by their
source as
■■ original documents,
■■ derived documents, or
■■ associated documents.
An employee travels for work and incurs expenses while doing so.
■■ The expense claim form the employee has to fill out when she returns to
the office is a derived document; this document exists because of other
documents—in this case, the taxi or train ticket receipt.
■■ Ad hoc documents, such as letters, memos, and e-mails, are typically informal.
The free-form nature of ad hoc documents means that they carry additional risk
for the company, particularly if the records are subpoenaed in a legal dispute.
Consequently, companies may implement policies and procedures to impose a
process of peer review for ad hoc communication. Peer review should be docu-
mented and auditable.
3 INTERNAL DOCUMENTATION
A standardised template helps maintain version control. Given the level of legislative
and regulatory activity affecting most companies, it is rare for policy and procedure
documents to remain static. Any changes reflected in a policy document need to be
similarly reflected in all associated procedure and process documents. Simply stating
the document title, the version number, and the date on which the version came into
effect helps ensure that, in case of a review, a company can show it has made efforts
to meet the required standards imposed by the relevant laws and regulations.
Internal Documentation 213
Policies, procedures, and processes are living documents and should be subject to
a regular review and confirmation process as a function of good governance. This
review and confirmation process should not be merely event driven. Even without a
notable event, attitudes and practices change over time. So, if policies, procedures,
and processes are not regularly reviewed, they can become outdated or even obsolete.
A regular review process is often managed with the use of registers, which are doc-
uments containing obligations, past actions, and future or outstanding requirements.
Registers of the previous and next review dates should be maintained by a control
function (generally, the compliance or internal audit function) and scheduled for dis-
cussion. A sign-off process is generally also incorporated into the document template.
A travel policy that simply states that employees must provide both receipts and
boarding cards for air travel is not as effective as one that provides additional
context of the reasons for the policy. The company’s travel policy not only should
clearly state that employees are prohibited from downgrading their class of
seat or ticket, but also should mention that the rule prevents employees from
booking a higher class of seat, downgrading, and then benefiting from either a
cash credit or free flights. The consequences of violating the travel policy should
also be explained.
A policy statement that merely states that a company’s employees will not engage
in insider trading is not as effective as one with additional context to make the
statement “real” for the employees. It should be explained that the policy has
its origin in law and that violation carries penalties for the company and the
individual. It should also be explained that the policy applies to everyone who
has access to sensitive information that could be considered “inside information”,
which includes not only decision makers but also anyone with access to sensi-
tive information. For example, the boardroom attendant serving refreshments
during board meetings may have access to sensitive information and, therefore,
would require training.
The importance of understanding the origins of, reasons for, and implications of doc-
umentation, for both the company and the individual, should not be underestimated.
People create and implement policies, procedures, and processes, and they need
214 Chapter 20 ■ Investment Industry Documentation
context in which to learn them, understand them, and attribute the proper degree
of importance to them. Failure to do so increases operational risk, which can have
severe consequences, as noted in the Risk Management chapter.
One role of the board of directors is to ensure that the company works within the law
and, in doing so, protects and represents the interests of all stakeholders. This over-
sight usually results in policy documents that help a company develop and implement
procedures and processes.
Many companies look externally to identify standards that should be followed. There
are numerous standards that can be readily adopted and applied, including those
issued by professional groups. For example, CFA Institute has established the Global
Investment Performance Standards (GIPS) for the presentation of investment perfor-
mance information. In some instances, professional standards are considered “best
practices”.
It may not be economically feasible, however, for smaller companies to adhere to best
practices. An alternative approach for such companies is to apply standards that suit
their own specific circumstances. These standards are known as “fit for purpose”, and
a company using this approach has to critically assess and document its own needs
and requirements. The result should strike a balance between practicality and cost on
the one hand, and between control and assurance on the other hand.
The keys to good policy documentation are simplicity and transparency. Policy state-
ments do not need to be overly detailed, but they should include a statement of intent
that explains the purpose and goals of the policy. The statement of intent should cover
the circumstances under which the policy is invoked and establish any parameters for
its use. The policy document should also clearly designate who needs to comply with
the policy and who is responsible for controlling and monitoring activities.
To ensure stakeholder confidence, and hence support, the firm must demonstrate the
Statement
... ...
Starting from a simple and concise policy statement about adhering to the highest
standards, the firm implements four procedures and processes related to each
procedure. For example, the fourth procedure relates to training employees
to mitigate breaches and lists a couple of possible processes. The first process
listed to train each employee is to ensure that each new employee undergoes
compliance training when hired. The second process listed is to ensure that all
employees go through compliance training every year.
or process and the limitations in place at the time of its creation. Companies must also
make sure that all employees receive adequate training regarding existing procedures
and processes, and that they are kept informed when changes are made.
Assume that an asset management firm has a gift policy stipulating that gifts
worth more than $100 require compliance approval. The policy is intended to
prevent conflicts of interest that might arise if receiving gifts influences employ-
ees’ behaviours. So, the asset management firm has established procedures and
processes that employees must follow when offered gifts.
Statement
to determine potential conflicts of interest.
Policy
receipt in is notified to
receives
automated determine gift No
a gift. Employee
system. eligibility. Compliance
Employee s keeps gift.
determines Ye
potential is notified
INPUT ACTIVITY OUTPUT conflicts about gift No
of interest. eligibility. Employee
returns gift,
or gift
becomes
INPUT ACTIVITY OUTPUT property of
company.
The first procedure refers to gift management. The first process in that pro-
cedure starts when the employee receives the case of wine—that is, the input.
Her first activity is to record this gift in the automated system, which triggers
a notification to the compliance department—that is, the output. If the gift is
eligible, the employee receives an automatic notification that she can accept the
gift and no further action is required. Alternatively, the compliance department
may need to determine whether there is a potential conflict of interest, which
would trigger a second process. If the compliance department concludes that
the gift is eligible, the employee can keep the case of wine. But if the compliance
department decides that the gift is not eligible, the employee must either return
the case of wine to the brokerage firm or give the gift to the company.
EXTERNAL DOCUMENTATION 4
External documentation exists between a company and external parties, including
clients, market participants, and service providers. External documents aim to artic-
ulate business relationships and obligations undertaken by the parties involved and
are often legally binding. Examples of external documents in the investment industry
are a contract between a buyer and a seller of an asset, an investment management
agreement between a firm and a client, and a “know-your-client” (some people call
it KYC) document for a new client. Because contracts and other legally binding
documents are governed by law and are enforceable, parties are usually motivated to
218 Chapter 20 ■ Investment Industry Documentation
comply with them. If any of the parties fail to fulfil their obligations, the law offers the
other party or parties protection or help. The level of protection or help often varies
depending on the jurisdiction that applies to the contract.
External documents may also be used to inform the public or other external parties
about a company’s activities or changes in its business—for example, a press release
announcing the appointment of a new chief executive officer, a marketing presenta-
tion for a new investment product, or a statement about the launch of a new website.
■■ Groups that help organise the market, such as stock exchanges, clearing houses,
and depositories
■■ Professional firms and individuals serving the needs of the industry, including
credit rating agencies, auditors, lawyers, consultants, and trustees
The relationships between parties dictate how they use documentation to formalise
their relationships.
The rest of this chapter focuses on a typical client interaction and the different types
of external documents that exist at different stages of the client’s investment cycle.
Differences among products, laws, and regulations in different jurisdictions, as well
as the client’s objectives and constraints, affect the nature of the client interaction
and hence the documentation involved.
Marketing
on
i
pt
On
em
Cliearding
-Bo
Red
nt
Client
Investment
Cycle
I n v e s t nts
Ev e
in g
me
nd
nt
Fu
Re p o
rtin g
4.1 Marketing
Most companies in the investment industry share the same basic objective of winning
clients. So, most companies’ documentation at the marketing stage of the cycle shares
the same purpose: to promote and position the company’s products and services to
persuade the client to invest.
■■ Fact sheets about the company’s products that provide short summaries of the
investments and typically detail historical performance
For asset management firms, the marketing documentation also contains information
about the managers, including their investment strategy and competitive advantages.
Other features include past performance, risk analytics, and characteristics of the
product, such as liquidity, distributed income, and fees that will be borne by the client.
220 Chapter 20 ■ Investment Industry Documentation
Marketing materials are typically regulated to ensure that companies in the investment
industry provide fair representations of their products, as discussed in the Regulation
chapter. The regulation is usually more onerous as the client’s level of investment
sophistication decreases. Most developed markets tightly regulate the sale of financial
products to retail investors, who are considered the least sophisticated investor type.
■■ provide proof of the source of funds to verify that the money does not originate
from an illegal or criminal source.
Companies must constantly monitor activities and transactions to ensure that they
are not suspicious. If something suspicious does arise, companies must report that
activity or transaction to the authorities. The heavy penalties imposed by most regula-
tors globally help combat identity theft, criminal activity, and the flow of money from
illegal sources into the financial services industry, including the investment industry.
The KYC process also serves to define the client’s level of knowledge and sophistica-
tion, assign associated and specific risk profiles, and assess any possible restrictions.
Depending on the type of client and the purpose of the relationship, different types
of information might be required to ensure that the company provides appropriate
products and services for the client’s needs.
Moreover, the KYC process is important in setting the basis for the relationship, in
particular to differentiate between discretionary and non-discretionary relationships.
Discretionary relationships permit the service provider to act on behalf of the client—
for example, as an investment manager with a specific mandate or as a trustee of a
trust. In such cases, the service provider must act in the best interest of its clients. In
contrast, a non-discretionary relationship permits the service provider to undertake
only specific tasks that are authorised by the client on a per task basis.
External Documentation 221
4.3 Funding
Once the client on-boarding process is complete and the relationship has been initi-
ated and approved by the compliance department, the next stage is the cash transfer
and the investment of the money. The client authorises his or her bank to make a
payment to the company’s client account, and the bank acts on this instruction and
provides a confirmation of the cash transfer. After receiving the money, the company
initiates the investment transaction and sends a formal confirmation to the client. For
example, the documentation associated with the investment transaction could be a
share certificate or confirmation of an investment in a mutual fund.
4.4 Trading
Documentation is important in trading—to provide a record of which assets were
ordered and traded, in what quantity and at what price. You may be surprised just
how much documentation must be produced for a single order and trade.
The diagram below shows a simplified version of the trading process, as presented in
The Functioning of Financial Markets chapter. It illustrates some of the documents
that may be produced during a trade. Depending on the asset, where it is traded, and
between which counterparties, the documentation required can vary widely.
Documents
Order Placed
Order Document
No Yes Execution
Market
Order? Instructions
Notification to
No Issuer’s Transfer
Order Closed Order Settled
Agent
When an order is placed, a document is sent to the chosen trading venue, specify-
ing what security to trade, whether to buy or sell, and how much should be bought
or sold. Another document is often attached, as discussed in The Functioning of
Financial Markets Chapter, giving instructions about order execution, exposure, and
time-in-force.
222 Chapter 20 ■ Investment Industry Documentation
Once the order has been received, a number of documents record the progress of the
trade until execution. These include:
■■ A submitted-for-dealing note
■■ Confirmation of dealing
Once the trade has been settled, the settlement agent reports the trade to the issuing
company’s transfer agent. This generates yet another document. Documents will also
be produced by accounting and other departments.
4.5 Reporting
After funding, regular communication will occur between the company and its client.
A valuation (if a market price is available) or an appraisal (that is, an estimation if no
market price is available) of each asset held is sent to the client on a regular basis.
For example, a mutual fund may report the fund’s daily net asset value per unit in a
national newspaper.
Some events are expected, such as regular income in the form of interest from a bond
investment, dividends from an equity investment, or rental income from a commercial
real estate investment. Typically, income is accompanied by a written confirmation
of payment to the client or of re-investment. Income must be accounted for in future
performance reporting as well as for income tax purposes.
■■ Merger and acquisition activity. If a company merges with, spins off from, or
acquires another company, its business and operations may change, affecting
the client’s investment.
Document Management 223
■■ Natural disaster. This type of event may affect a real asset or even a financial
asset.
4.7 Redemption
At some stage, a client may want to redeem or sell an investment. Depending on the
type of investment, a written request may be required. After verifying the authenticity
of the client’s instruction, the company arranges for the investment to be sold. The
timing of redemption depends on the type of investment and its liquidity. When the
investment is sold, the company’s authorised signatories allow the bank to release
the cash proceeds. A final written confirmation statement is then sent to the client.
Although redemption is the end of a transaction, it does not necessarily mean the end
of the client relationship. The client may want to invest or conduct other transactions
with the company in the future. The documentation relating to the final transaction
will be retained, as discussed in Section 5, should there be any future dispute or dis-
agreement between the parties.
DOCUMENT MANAGEMENT 5
It should by now be clear that documents serve an important role in establishing the
rules by which a product or service is supplied, in formalising the rights and entitle-
ments of ownership, and in recording events that take place after the purchase of an
asset. Given that millions of typical client interactions occur each day and given the
complexity of all the different parties involved in the investment industry, the amount
of existing external documentation is enormous and constantly growing. This final
section describes some of the aspects of managing documentation, including the role
of information technology and how companies access, secure, retain, and dispose of
documents.
IT has also affected the way external documentation is handled. Thanks to the advent
of straight-through processing (STP), also referred to as straight-through exception
processing (STeP), the need for manual intervention has been removed. It is often
224 Chapter 20 ■ Investment Industry Documentation
The use of IT can also reduce risk. For example, payments from an investment account
may be subject to fraud. To limit the risk of fraud, payments typically require a dual
sign-off process. If implemented correctly, a dual sign-off process makes collusion
between two parties easier to identify. Automated processes also help reduce errors.
For instance, the manual dual sign-off process involves a physical cheque and two
signatories, which is time consuming and prone to errors. A fully automated process
that relies on dual independent (blind) input with automated reconciliation and release
reduces the risk of errors and time for review.
Access. Documents that staff need to access should be easily retrievable. Companies
usually have a centralised repository that is often electronic: a read-only drive, docu-
ment database, or documentation management system capable of storing internal and
external documents relevant to the company’s business activities.
Retention. Documents are official records that offer proof and protection. So, it is
important, not only for business reasons but also often for legal or regulatory reasons,
that all documents are retained until the risk associated with the action described in
the document no longer exists. There are generally laws or policies in place to prescribe
document retention. Each legal jurisdiction has its own time frames for retention, and
some types of documents may have more specific time frames than others. Although
most documents today are held electronically, there are still requirements to hold
physical, original documents. These documents include certificates of title, contracts,
and trust deeds. Companies typically store historic information, backups, and physical
documents at an off-site location, which is often managed by a third party.
SUMMARY
Whatever your role in the investment industry, you will have to deal with documenta-
tion. Properly prepared documentation can save you and others time, assist everybody
to perform their role better, and help protect you and your company against unethical
behaviour. Key points in this chapter include the following:
■■ Policy broadly sets the rules, procedures help apply policies, and processes
divide procedures into manageable actions.
2 A broker receives a purchase order by e-mail from a client and a printed mem-
orandum with some policy updates from the human resources department.
Which of the following statements is most likely correct?
C Both the client e-mail and the memorandum are considered documents.
A an official record.
C not an official record because it conveys only information and not evidence.
A Educating
B Organising
C Formalising
A origin.
B direction.
C level of standardisation.
A ad hoc document.
B derived document.
C associated document.
A policy document.
B process document.
C procedure document.
B Process flow diagram that guides employees when they receive gifts from
clients
C Policy document that states the organisation will not engage in insider
trading
A legally bind.
12 When a client wants to sell an investment, the documentation needed from the
client relates to:
A funding.
B reporting.
C redemption.
13 The external document that is most likely used during the reporting stage of the
client investment cycle is a:
A prospectus.
B share certificate.
C monthly statement.
ANSWERS
3 A is correct. Fact sheets are documents that provide short summaries of invest-
ments and typically detail historical performance—in this case, the monthly
performance of the mutual fund. Fact sheets represent an official record. B and
C are incorrect because official records can be in electronic or printed format
and can provide information or evidence.
13 C is correct. In the reporting stage of the client investment cycle, the external
document usually takes the form of a statement, often provided by a third-party
custodian or administrator. A is incorrect because an external document, such
as a prospectus or a term sheet, is usually provided during the marketing stage
of the client investment cycle. B is incorrect because a share certificate is an
external document associated with an investment transaction, which occurs
during the funding stage of the client investment cycle.