Unit - 1 Basics of Managerial Ecnomics LESSON 5-Tools and Technique of Decision Making
Unit - 1 Basics of Managerial Ecnomics LESSON 5-Tools and Technique of Decision Making
Unit - 1 Basics of Managerial Ecnomics LESSON 5-Tools and Technique of Decision Making
After doing this lesson you will be able to know the various tools and techniques of
decision making. How these tools and technique are useful for managers in making the
right decision.
But before knowing the tools and technique of decision making can you
answer some of my questions:
• Is decision making a process?
• Are there any particular steps required for decision making?
• Is decision making depends on the condition or situations?
• What are the various conditions affecting decision making?
o.k.
Fine, tell me why decision making is required?
See we all know we have unlimited wants, and the means to satisfy those wants are
very limited. We have to make choices. We cannot have whatever we want. We have
to make preferences amongst our choices. And we will prefer those thing first which
is most needed. Therefore our choice depends on our need. What we need the most is
to be chosen first.
Business decision making is essentially a process of selecting the best out of alternative
opportunities open to the firm. The above steps put managers analytical ability to test and
determine the appropriateness and validity of decisions in the modern business world.
Modern business conditions are changing so fast and becoming so competitive and
complex that personal business sense, intuition and experience alone are not sufficient to
make appropriate business decisions.
It is in this area of decision making that economic theories and tools of economic analysis
contribute a great deal.
2) Incremental principle:
It is related to the marginal cost and marginal revenues, for
economic theory. Incremental concept involves estimating the impact of decision
alternatives on costs and revenue, emphasizing the changes in total cost and total
revenue resulting from changes in prices, products, procedures, investments or
whatever may be at stake in the decisions.
The two basic components of incremental reasoning are
1) Incremental cost
2) Incremental Revenue
Managerial economists are also concerned with the short run and the long run
effects of decisions on revenues as well as costs. The very important problem in
decision making is to maintain the right balance between the long run and short
run considerations.
For example,(illustration)
Suppose there is a firm with a temporary idle capacity. An order for 5000 units
comes to management’s attention. The customer is willing to pay Rs 4/- unit or
Rs.20000/- for the whole lot but not more. The short run incremental
cost(ignoring the fixed cost) is only Rs.3/-. There fore the contribution to
overhead and profit is Rs.1/- per unit (Rs.5000/- for the lot)
Analysis:
From the above example the following long run repercussion of the order
is to be taken into account :
4) Discounting Principle :
One of the fundamental ideas in Economics is that a rupee tomorrow is worth less than a
rupee today. Suppose a person is offered a choice to make between a gift of Rs.100/-
today or Rs.100/- next year. Naturally he will chose Rs.100/- today. This is true for two
reasons-
i) the future is uncertain and there may be uncertainty in getting Rs. 100/- if the
present opportunity is not availed of
ii) 2) even if he is sure to receive the gift in future, today’s Rs.100/- can be
invested so as to earn interest say as 8% so that one year after Rs.100/- will
become 108
FURTHER READINGS: