Research Paper
Research Paper
Research Paper
Volume 1, Issue 4
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1
B.A. Hons. Economics, Ramjas College, University of Delhi, India
2
B.A. Hons. Economics, Ramjas College, University of Delhi, India
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Abstract
Migration has been an inherent part of human existence and in today’s world, it is shaped
by several factors related to economic, political, religious, life risk, and various ethnic and
socio-cultural issues. (Debnath and Roy, 2011). The paper aims to understand the changing
patterns of internal migration in the pre and post-reform period, the factors affecting internal
migration, and to highlight the gaps in existing policies. The present study is a descriptive study
based on secondary data from the Census of India and NSSO. This study shows that with
liberalization, privatization, and globalization, migrants are attracted to urban areas which
increase rural to urban and urban to urban migration. Inter-state migration to urban areas
shows prominent growth reflecting the migration of people from lower socio-economic classes.
Urban migration has been constantly increasing in the lower economic class which indicates
migration is dominated by poorer sections. Given the current growth of urbanization, increasing
regional disparities, it is likely that migration to urban areas will be more prominent in the future
due to the changing nature of the economy. Hence, there is a need to look into the changing
pattern of migration which is critical to explore the emerging issues, identify the challenges and
accordingly analyze the policy gaps. At the policy level, the major focus should be to link
migration policies with employment and social services, in order to enhance the well-being of the
migrants.
Keywords: Migration, internal migration, socio-economic factors, economic reforms.
1.0 Introduction
Migration is one of the most peculiar features of human beings. In post-independence
India, there were two noticeable migration streams. The biggest migration that India ever faced
was a result of the partition of the country in 1947, which led to about 14 million people being
displaced between India and Pakistan. The second movement was voluntary and driven by the
rapid growth of industries and trade in the port cities of the country. These newly emerged port
centres, along with Delhi, reshaped regional economies and triggered interregional migration
flows in India (Bhagat and Keshri, 2018).
Migration is one of the causes of social change and one of the three basic components of
demographic change, the other two being birth and death (EPGP, n.d.). It has been a major
source of human survival, adaptation, and growth across centuries and millennia. In olden times,
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humans generally migrated due to changing climate and landscape, inadequate food supply for
the levels of population, to escape hunger and poverty, etc. Migration in today’s world is shaped
by several factors related to economic, political, religious, life risk, and various ethnic and
socio-cultural issues. Migration generally leads to higher income, savings, and remittances and
has a positive impact on human development and leads to poverty reduction, but migrants face
hardships in availing basic necessities of life like housing, education, health facilities, and
adequate food and nutrition (Malhotra and Devi, 2016).
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2.0 Literature Review
Inter‐state migration has been studied extensively within the literature, with abundant
specialization in understanding the determinants of migration and therefore the influence of
migration as an equilibrating mechanism during a dynamical economy. Internal migration is
recognized to be a very important mechanism through which the spatial distribution of
individuals changes over time. Excluding a group of social, economic, political, and
environmental factors, the migration of the population in any region is determined, to a large
extent, by the perception and behaviour of the people involved. One among the few studies on
migration and fiscal variables in India has been done by Cashin and Sahay. In their study on
twenty Indian States during the period 1961–1991, they found migration to have negligible
impact on the convergence of per-capita income across states as important social, economic, and
cultural barriers resulted in net migration from poor to rich states, responding weakly to
cross‐state income differentials. Skeldon (1986) finds that migration in India is primarily rural to
urban and long-term in nature. Kundu (1986) found that the migration rate has diminished over
time in both rural and urban areas. The study points out that the decline in migration rate is
responsible for increasing inter-state disparities in terms of per capita output or labour
productivity (Malhotra & Devi, 2016). Similarly, Kundu and Gupta’s (1996) study found that the
percentage share of inter-state migrants has been decreasing over the 1961- 1981 period in all the
developed states except Gujarat, Punjab, and Haryana. Kundu (2003) also found that there's a
negligible decline in the role of rural migration in the growth of urban population because of
anti-migration prejudice in some states and therefore the absence of inclusive urbanization
policies being pursued.
Rele, J.R (1969) study finds that the rate of internal migration in India is low. Females
sometimes migrate inside the district on account of marriage. Among the males, a significant
reason for migration is unemployment. Mitra and Murayama found that in poor and
economically underdeveloped states, there's an outsized population that's mobile and finding an
adequate living. Even within the developed states of Maharashtra and Gujarat, the male
population is kind of mobile. Bhagat and Mohanty (2009) found a rise in the contribution of
migration towards the urban population throughout the 1990s as compared with the 1880s.
Bhagat (2009) found higher growth of interstate migration as compared with intra-state
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migration throughout the 1990s (Malhotra & Devi, 2017). There's a strong relationship between
per capita income and inter-state migration; both in-migration and outmigration. Bihar, UP, MP,
West Bengal, and Punjab are the most important states contributing to the in-migration of
workers (Turrey, 2016). The movement of those folks was concerned with both pull and push
factors. As per the consequences, the study concludes that migration has turned out to be
advantageous for these in-migrants. It has contributed to their incomes, daily consumptions,
school enrolments of children, better employment opportunities in urban centres attracted a large
proportion of employees from the rural to urban areas. Rural liability is a very important push
factor. Roy and Debnath (2011) found that per capita income and level of infrastructure show a
positive and important relationship with net migration rate and negative relation with
unemployment and cost of living (Malhotra & Devi, 2017).
3.0 Methodology
The present study has been undertaken to assess the factors of internal migration and its
impact in India. It will also look at changing trends and patterns of internal migration. The
present study is based on secondary data sources. It is mainly drawn from the publications of
books, monthly journals, articles, magazines, and official reports published by the central and
state governments. Since the study is concerned with internal migration in India, therefore, the
data is mainly drawn from two main sources, the decennial population Census and the
quinquennial migration surveys conducted by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO). The
Census of India also provides data on migration, collecting information mainly on the migration
causes, age and sex of the migrant, reasons, and duration of migration, place of destination and
origin, and the industry and occupation of the migrants (Turrey, 2016). At the time of the study,
Census data on migration of the year 2021 was not available, hence the last decade Census data
of 2011 is being analyzed. A multiple linear regression model has also been explained to study
the relationship between the in-migration and factors determining it, where in-migration is a
dependent variable and all factors are independent variables. Some graphs and tables have been
obtained to study the changing trends of internal migration between pre and post-reform periods,
i.e., in 1981 and 2011.
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4.0 Theories and Determinants of Migration
4.1.0 Theories of Migration
4.1.1 Ravenstein’s 11 laws of migration
The first-ever attempt to spell out the ‘laws of migration’ was made by Ernst Georg
Ravenstein as early as 1885. Ravenstein’s 11 “laws” are the basis for contemporary geographic
migration studies (Only IAS Exam, 2009). The laws can be organized into three groups:
● The reason why migrants move
● The distance they typically move
● Their characteristics
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4.2.3 Labour Market Variables
The unemployment rate is another explanatory variable that is often used in migration
analysis. Salvatore estimated the impact of unemployment rates, of the origin and destination
regions, on interregional migration. The rate of unemployment is an important variable that is
supposed to hurt the in-migration rate.
5.0 The Changing Patterns of Internal Migration (Pre and Post Reform Period)
With liberalization, privatization and globalization, there has been a significant change in
trends and patterns of internal migration. A detailed analysis is as follows:-
The migration statistics up to the early 1990s (from Census) show a declining trend, i.e.,
there has been a marginal decline in population mobility between 1981-91 for the overall
population. However, a steady increase in internal migration has been witnessed after 1991, i.e.,
in the post-reform era (after the introduction of LPG- Liberalization, Privatization, and
Globalization). It has increased from 27.41% in 1991 to 29.85% in 2001. This increment is
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attributed to the process of economic liberalization which implies the greater movement of
capital and natural resources and growing mobility of the population. LPG reforms and
subsequent restructuring of the Indian economy after economic reforms have led to more internal
migration across sub-regions. Although traditionally migration had been an exclusively male
phenomenon. But from the above figure, it is evident that the rate of migration of females has
been consistently high for the past four decades, while the rate of migration of males remained
much lower. Men generally migrate for economic reasons while females migrate principally for
family reasons.
Figure 2:- Rate of Migration by Distance (Source: NSSO 1981 and 2011)
The other way of examining the trends in migration is stream-wise as it throws some light
on the changing aspects of these types of migration (Mahapatro, 2012). The data presented in
Figure shows that almost half of the migration flow is rural to rural in both periods, i.e., 1981 and
2011. Around 1/5th of migrants constituted rural to urban followed by urban to urban and urban
to rural in 1981. However, rural to urban flow shows an upward trend. Urban to urban flow also
shows a marginal increase between the two periods. A comparison of data over the period shows
that though rural to rural flow overwhelmed the other streams of migration, the proportion has
declined from 65.4% in 1981 to 47.4% in 2011. Rural to rural migration is generally seasonal. It
was mainly driven by the differences in agricultural productivity of different rural areas, but due
to advancement in farming techniques, villagers could fulfil their survival needs in their native
areas and creation of employment in villages through MGNREGA (Mahatma Gandhi National
Rural Employment Guarantee Act, 2005) reduces rural to rural flow by mitigating
distress/seasonal migration.
It is expected that with the generation of employment opportunities in urban areas,
migration from rural areas continuously increases. Studies show that the increasing rural to urban
migration in recent years is largely endorsed for economic reasons as they are mostly motivated
by the availability of urban employment in the expanding informal sector.
The increasing R-U (Rural-Urban) migration is a serious issue since it leads to many
problems such as urban congestion, social disorders, and crimes which are likely to create unrest
in urban areas. As per the theory given by Everett Spurgeon Lee, besides pull factors of urban
areas, push factors of rural areas such as poverty, unemployment, lack of infrastructure also
influences rural to urban migration. Overall, it can be said that neither push nor pull factors are
influencing migration flow rather both groups of factors influence migration simultaneously
(Narayan & Singh, 2016).
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Figure 4:- Relative Migration (Source: NSSO 2011 and Census 2011)
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The volume of interstate relative in-migration is presented in the above graph. It has been
observed that developed states such as Maharashtra, Gujarat, Karnataka, Haryana, and Punjab
have higher in-migration rate, which indicates an inflow of people to these states.
This could be explained with the help of the push and pull theory of migration as stated
earlier. The in-migration rate is high in developed states because of pull factors, which are the
conditions that attract people to a destination location. It clearly shows that these developed
states have better job opportunities, better living conditions, peace and stability, security of life
and property, infrastructure, etc. On the contrary, states like Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jammu and
Kashmir, and north-eastern states supply large numbers of migrants. The low in-migration rate in
these underdeveloped states is because of the push factors, which are the conditions that can
force people to leave their homes due to unemployment, poor living standards, political
instability, harsh climate, natural disaster, epidemic, and social and economic backwardness.
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Jammu and Kashmir showed the lowest in-migration rate. This may be due to Article 370
of the Indian Constitution which gives special status and thus has a separate set of laws for its
residents, which includes citizenship, ownership of property, and fundamental rights as compared
to the residents. As a result of this provision, Indian citizens from other states could not purchase
land or property in Jammu and Kashmir. Thus, a major change has been observed in the
migration pattern after the New Economic Policy of 1991.
As per estimation by Kundu, there are sixty-five million interstate migrants in India, and
out of this figure, around 33% are daily wage-based workers. The total estimated figure is 12–18
million, including casual workers, workers of the informal sector, street vendors, and other
vulnerable communities (Sing and Magazine 2020). The precise volume of returning migrants is
unknown due to the lack of official records at the pan-India level. However, it's clear that the
pandemic has pushed lakhs of migrant employees to the darkness of unemployment; they were
left with the sole possibility of turning back to their native places, which too didn’t result in any
happy ending.
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The World Bank reports that the COVID-19 had impacted the livelihood of forty million
migrants. It has caused unemployment, and the protocols of social distancing created a more
complex situation for migrant labourers (PTI 2020). According to an estimate by SWAN (2020),
about 12 crores of migrant employees suffered from livelihood crises due to lockdown. (Edwin
2020)
The interesting part is the “reverse” direction of the migration. With no means of
employment, several of them started returning to their native villages. This COVID-19-triggered
reverse migration was the second-largest mass migration. Reverse migration is uncommon in
terms of the standard rural-to-urban migration trend of the country, which has been expedited for
the last 3 decades.
6.1.0 Impacts
6.1.1 Demographic Impacts
Migration may have profound effects on the size, structure, and growth patterns of
populations. Migration has effects on both population of the places that people leave & on the
populations of those in which they settle, while it has a positive impact on the sending state as
the population density is reduced and the birth rate decreases, on the other hand, it leads to
overpopulation as receiving states have become much involuted, i.e., they have grown merely in
population, not in prosperity, due to which acute problems have arisen such as extreme housing
scarcities, and frequent breakdown of essential municipal services such as water supply,
electricity, sewerage, transport (Sinha, 2014). These effects vary with different types of migration
& the length of migrants' stay in places. The absence of a large number of either men or women
may have a limited impact on the sending society in the short term but if they are absent for long
periods, their absence will have significant effects on population growth rates in the medium and
longer terms. Thus, population density is reduced and the birth rate decreases. (Dineshappa and
K.N, 2014)
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effects vary with different types of migration, the skills of the migrants & the lengths of time
involved. It leads to improvement of the social life of people as they learn about a new culture,
customs, and languages. (Dineshappa and K.N, 2014)
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● Building self-reliant and sustainable villages that offer a decent standard of living will go
a long way in positively impacting both the rural and urban diaspora. If properly planned
and executed, such small villages can be a roadmap for rural development in India
(Biswas et al., 2017).
It has been argued that although India has one of the most comprehensive systems of pro-poor
programs in the developing world, the millions of poor migrant labourers cannot access these for
the entire time that they are away due to proof-of-residence requirements. Even though several
laws exist to protect the rights of migrant workers, especially in India these are widely
disregarded by employers and intermediaries because of a lack of political will to implement
them and ignorance among illiterate migrants of their rights as workers. There is a need for
widespread awareness creation among the general public, policymakers, and migrants
themselves. Another major area of concern is to focus on female migration because the pattern of
female migration changes from marriage to employment and education reasons. A substantial
gap remains in the research and policy arena related to migration and gender; hence, more
research is also needed to understand migration through a gender lens. Internal migration in India
has been considerably increased, still, a great deal remains to be done subject to its dynamism
(Mahapatro, 2012).
8.0 Conclusion
Migration has been an inherent and characteristic part. This paper has investigated the
impact of a variety of economic and non-economic factors such as per capita income,
unemployment, crime, infrastructure, and cost of living on net migration. It has also explained
the econometrics model, which is commonly used to study the relationships between migration
and socio-economic indicators. Secondly, the changing pattern of internal migration for the pre
and post-reform period has been studied.
As per the study, a steady increase was found in the interstate migration rate after the
introduction of LPG both in males and females. It was also observed that distance no longer
plays an important role as there has been a rise in interstate migration but not in intradistrict
migration. A significant change has been observed in the pattern of migration. The upward trend
has been found for rural to urban migration and a downward trend for rural-to-rural migration
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from pre-reform to post-reform period.
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