Ratio Analysis
Ratio Analysis
Ratio Analysis
Ratio analysis primarily aims to compare various line items of the financial
statement pertaining to a business. It is targeted to evaluate various metrics
required to understand a company’s performance like solvency, liquidity,
profitability, and operations efficiency. This is particularly helpful for
analysts outside the company as it is only the financial statement which
they have to study or understand the company. On the other hand,
corporate insiders who have ample information about the company ratio
analysis are not that important.
3. Maintaining Liquidity
The liquidity problem is the major issue that many firms face these days,
and thus every firm should maintain a certain amount of liquidity to meet
its urgent cash requirement. Specifically to main short term solvency issues,
5. Helps in Comparing
Here, certain ratios are used to compare the benchmarks prevalent in the
industry to get a better outlook of the company’s financial performance
and position. Businesses can take rectifying actions if the company does
not maintain the standard. Here generally, the ratios are compared to the
previous year’s ratio to understand the company’s track record.
Conclusion
Ratio analysis has both advantages and disadvantages of its own and solely
depends on the analyst who is using this and what he/she is using this for.
Even then, the advantages clearly outweigh the disadvantages as for people
outside the company; this is the only way to get a better view of the
company and understand its financials. Ratio analysis plays a major role in
any kind of fundamental analysis specific to a company.
#1 – Vertical Analysis
What is Vertical Analysis?
Vertical analysis is a technique used to identify where a company
has applied its resources and in what proportions those resources
are distributed among the various balance sheets and income
statement accounts. The analysis determines the relative weight of
each account and its share in asset resources or revenue generation
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#3 – Trend Analysis
What is Trend Analysis?
Trend Analysis compares the overall growth of key financial statement line items
over the years from the base case.
Current analysis
Acid test (or quick asset) ratio
Cash Ratio
#4 – Current Ratio
What is the Current Ratio?
The current ratio is the most frequently used ratio to measure the
company’s liquidity as it is a quick, intuitive, and easy measure to
understand the relationship between the current assets and current
liabilities. It basically answers this question “How many dollars in
current assets does the company have to cover each $ of
current liabilities.”
Formula
Current Ratio Formula = Current Assets / Current Liabilities
Example
Let us take a simple Current Ratio Calculation example,
This implies that the company has two dollars of current assets for
every one dollar of current liabilities.
Analyst Interpretation
The current ratio provides us with a rough estimate of whether
the company would be able to “survive” for one year or not. If
Current Assets are greater than Current Liabilities, we interpret that
the company can liquidate its current assets and pay off its current
liabilities and survive at least for one operating cycle.
The current Ratio in itself does not provide us with full details
of the quality of current assets and whether they are fully realizable.
If the current assets consist primarily of receivables, we should
investigate the collectability of such receivables.
If current assets consist of large Inventories, then we should be
mindful of the fact that inventories will take longer to convert into
cash as they cannot be readily sold. Inventories are much less liquid
assets than receivables.
The average maturities of current assets and current liabilities
should also be looked into. If current liabilities mature in the next
one month, then-current assets providing liquidity in 180 days may
not be of much use.
Formula
Quick Ratio Formula = (Cash and Cash Equivalents + Accounts
Receivables)/Current Liabilities
Example
Let us take a simple Quick Ratio Calculation example,
Analyst Interpretation
Accounts Receivables are more liquid than inventories.
This is because Receivables directly convert into cash after the
credit period; however, Inventories are first converted
to Receivables, which in turn take further time to convert into cash.
In addition, there can be uncertainty related to the true value
of the inventory realized as some of it may become obsolete, prices
may change, or it may become damaged.
It should be noted that a low quick ratio may not always mean
liquidity issues for the company. You may find low quick ratios in
businesses that sell on a cash basis (for example, restaurants,
supermarkets, etc.). In these businesses, there are no receivables;
however, there may be a huge pile of inventory.
Example
Let us take a simple Cash Ratio Calculation example,
Analyst Interpretation
All three ratios – Current Ratios, Quick Ratios, and Cash Ratios
should be looked at for understanding the complete picture of the
Company’s liquidity position.
The cash Ratio is the ultimate liquidity test. If this number is
large, we can obviously assume that the company has enough cash
in its bank to pay off its short-term liabilities.
Turnover Ratios
We saw from the above three liquidity ratios (Current, Quick, and
Cash Ratios) that it answers the question, “Whether the company
has enough liquid assets to square off its current liabilities.” So this
ratio is all about the $ amounts.
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Receivables turnover
Accounts receivables days
Inventory turnover
Inventory days
Payables turnover
Payable days
Cash Conversion Cycle
Example
Let us take a simple Receivables Turnover Calculation example,
Sales = $1000
Credit given is 80%
Accounts Receivables = $200
Credit Sales = 80% of $1000 = $800
Analyst Interpretation
Please note that Total Sales include Cash Sales + Credit Sales.
Only Credit Sales convert to Accounts Receivables; hence, we
should only take Credit Sales.
If a company sells most of its items on a Cash Basis, then there
will be No Credit Sales.
Credit Sales figures may not be directly available in the annual
report. You may have to dig into the Management discussion and
analysis to understand this number.
If it is still hard to find the percentage of credit sales, then do
have a look at conference calls where analysts question the
management on relevant business variables. Sometimes it is not
available at all.
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#8 – Days Receivables
What are Days Receivables?
Days receivables are directly linked with the Accounts Receivables
Turnover. Days receivables express the same information but in
terms of the number of days in a year. This provides an intuitive
measure of Receivables Collection Days.
Formula
Accounts Receivables Days Formula = Number of Days in Year /
Accounts Receivables Turnover
Example
Let us take a simple Days Receivables Calculation example,
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Days receivables or Average Receivables collection days have
decreased from around 34.1 days in 2017 to 30 days in 2020.
This implies that during the year, inventory is used up 5 times and is
restored to its original levels.
Analyst Interpretation
You may note that when we calculate receivables turnover, we
took Sales (Credit Sales); however, in inventory turnover ratio, we
took Cost of Goods Sold. Why?
B+A=S+E
B = Beginning Inventory
A = Addition to Inventory (purchases during the year)
S = Cost of Goods sold
E = Ending Inventory
S = B + A – E
Formula
Inventory Days Formula = Number of days in a year / Inventory
Turnover.
Example
Let us take a simple Days Inventory Calculation example. We will
use the previous example of the Inventory Turnover Ratio and
calculate Inventory Days.
Analyst Interpretation
You may also think of inventory days as the number of days a
company can continue with production without replenishing its
inventory.
One should also look at the seasonality pattern in how
inventory is consumed, depending on the demand. It is rare that
inventory is consumed constantly throughout the year.
Formula
Payables Turnover Formula = Purchases / Accounts Payables
Example
Let us take a simple Accounts Payable Turnover calculation
example. From the Balance Sheet, you are provided with the
following –
In this example, we need to first find out Purchases during the year.
If you remember the BASE equation that we used earlier, we can
easily find purchases.
B+A=S+E
B = Beginning Inventory
A = Additions or Purchases during the year
S = COGS
E = Ending Inventory
we get, A = S + E – B
Analyst Interpretation
Some analysts make the mistake of taking the Cost of Goods
Sold in the numerator of this accounts payable turnover formula.
It is important to note here that Purchase is the one that leads
to Payables.
We earlier saw Sales can be Cash Sales and Credit sales.
Likewise, Purchases can be Cash Purchases as well as Credit
Purchases. Cash Purchases do not result in payables; it is only the
Credit Purchases that lead to Accounts payables.
Ideally, we should seek Credit Purchase information from
the annual report.
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We note that the Payable turnover decreased to 5.12x in 2020. This
implies that Colgate is taking a bit longer to make payments to its
suppliers.
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Example
Let’s take a simple Payable Days calculation example. We will use
the previous example of Accounts Payable Turnover to find the
Payable days.
This implies that the company pays its clients every 91 days.
Analyst Interpretation
The higher the accounts payable days, the better it is for the
company from a liquidity point of view.
Payable days can be affected by seasonality in the business.
Sometimes a business may stock inventories due to the upcoming
business cycle. This may distort the interpretations that we make on
payable days if we are not aware of seasonality.
Formula
Cash Conversion Cycle Formula = Receivable Days + Inventory
Days – Payable Days
Example
Let us take a simple Cash Conversion Cycle calculation example,
Analyst Interpretation
It signifies the number of days the firm’s cash is stuck in the
operations of the business.
A higher cash conversion cycle means that it takes a longer
time for the firm to generate cash returns.
However, a lower cash conversion cycle may be viewed as a
healthy company.
Also, one should compare the cash conversion cycle with the
industry averages so that we are in a better position to comment on
the higher/lower side of the cash conversion cycle.
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Formula
Asset Turnover ratio Formula = Total Sales / Assets
Example
Let us take a simple Cash Conversion Cycle calculation
example.
Analyst Interpretation
Asset turnovers can be extremely low or very high, depending
on the Industry they operate in.
The asset turnover of the Manufacturing firm will be on the
lower side due to a large asset base as compared to a company that
operates in the services sector (lower assets).
If the firm has seen considerable growth in assets during the
year or the growth has been seasonal, then the analyst should find
additional information to interpret such numbers.
Example
Let us take a simple Net Fixed Asset Turnover calculation example.
Analyst Interpretation
This ratio should be applied to high capital intensive
sectors like Automobile, Manufacturing, Metals, etc.
You should not apply this ratio to asset-light companies like
Services or Internet-based as the Net Fixed assets will be really low
and not meaningful from an analysis point of view.
This number can look temporarily bad if the firm has recently
added greatly to its capacity in anticipation of future sales.
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Unlike Asset Turnover, Net Fixed asset turnover is also showing an
increasing trend.
Net Fixed Asset turnover was at 3.91 in 2017; however, this ratio has
increased to 4.41x in 2020.
Formula
Equity Turnover Ratio Formula = Total Sales / Shareholder’s Equity
Example
Let us take a simple Equity Turnover calculation example,
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Operating Profitability Ratio
Analysis
Operating Profitability Ratios measure how much the costs are
relative to the sales and how much profit is generated in the overall
business. We try to answer questions like “how much the profit
percentage” or “Is the firm controlling its expenses by buying
inventory etc. at a reasonable price?”
Formula
Gross Margin Formula = (Sales – Costs of Goods Sold)/Sales =
Gross Profit / Sales
Example
Let us take a simple Gross Margin calculation example,
Assume from the Sales of a firm is $1,000 and its COGS is $600
Analyst Interpretation
Gross Margin can vary drastically between industries. For
example, digital products sold online will have an extremely high
Gross Margin as compared to a company that sells laptops.
Gross margin is extremely useful when we look at the
historical trends in the margins. If the Gross Margins has increased
historically, then it could be either because of the price increase or
control of direct costs. However, if the Gross margins show a
declining trend, then it may be because of increased
competitiveness and therefore resulting in the decreased sales
price.
In some companies, Depreciation expenses are also included
in Direct Costs. This is incorrect and should be shown below the
Gross Profit in the Income Statement.
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Please note that depreciation related to manufacturing operations
are included herein Cost of Sales (Colgate 10K 2020, pg 79)
Shipping and handling costs may be reported either in the Cost of
Sales or Selling General and Admin Expenses. Colgate has, however,
reported these costs as a part of Selling General and Admin
Expenses. If such expenses are included in the Cost of Sales, then
the Gross margin of Colgate would have decreased by 845 bps and
decreased by 810 bps in both 2019 and 2018, respectively.
Example
Let us take a simple Operating Profit Margin calculation example,
Assume from the Sales of a firm is $1,000 and its COGS is $600
SG&A expense = $100
Depreciation and Amortization = $50
EBIT = Gross Profit – SG&A – D&A = $400 – $100 – $50 =
$250
Analyst Interpretation
Please note that some analyst takes EBITDA (Earning before
interest taxes depreciation and amortization) instead of EBIT as
Operating Profit. If this is so, they assume that depreciation and
amortization are non-operating expenses.
The most analyst prefers taking EBIT as Operating Profit.
Operating Profit Margin is most commonly tracked by analysts.
You need to be mindful of the fact that many companies
include non-recurring items (gains/losses) in SG&A or
other expenses above EBIT. This may increase or decrease the EBIT
Margins and skew your historical analysis.
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#19 – Net Margin
What is Net Margin?
Net Margin is basically the net effect of operating as well as
financing decisions taken by the company. It is called a Net Margin
because, in the numerator, we have Net Income (Net of all
the operating expenses, interest expenses as well as taxes)
Formula
Net Margin Formula = Net Income / Sales
Example
Let us take a simple Net Margin calculation example;
continuing with our previous example, EBIT = $250, Sales = $1000.
Analyst Interpretation
Like Gross margins, Net Margins can also vary drastically
across industries. For example, Retail is a very low margin business
(~5%), whereas a website selling digital products may have a Net
Profit Margin in excess of 40%.
Net Margins is useful for comparison between companies
within the same industry due to similar products and cost
structure.
Net Profit Margins can vary historically due to the presence of
non-recurring items or non-operating items.
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Formula
Return on Total Asset Formula = EBIT / Total Assets.
Example
Let us take a simple Return on Total example,
Analyst Interpretation
Many analysts use the numerator as Net Income + Interest
Expenses instead of EBIT. They basically are deducting the taxes.
Return on Assets can be low or high, depending on the type of
industry. If the company operates in a capital-intensive sector (Asset
heavy), then the return on assets may be on the lower side.
However, if the company is Asset Light (services or internet
company), they tend to have had a higher Return on Assets.
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Let’s investigate.
Formula
Return on Equity Formula = Net Income / Total Equity
Example
Let us take a simple Return on Equity example.
Analyst Interpretation
Please note that the Net income will be before the preference
dividends and minority interest are paid.
Higher Return on Equity implies a higher return to the
Stakeholders.
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Formula
Return on Owners Equity = Net Income (after pref dividends and
minority interest) / Common Shareholder’s Equity
Example
Let us take a simple ROE calculation example,
Analyst Interpretation
Since common shareholder’s equity is a year-end number,
some analyst prefer taking the average shareholder’s equity
(average of beginning and year-end)
ROE can be basically considered as a profitability ratio from a
shareholder’s point of view. This provides how much returns on
generated from shareholder’s investments, not from the overall
company investments in assets. (Please note Total Investments =
Shareholder’s Equity + Liability that includes Current Liabilities
and Long term Liabilities)
ROE should be analyzed over a period of time (5 to 10 year
period) in order to get a better picture of the growth of the
company. Higher ROE does not get passed directly to the
shareholders. Higher ROE -> Higher Stock Prices.
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Formula
Dupont ROE formula
= (Net Income / Sales) x (Sales / Total Assets) x (Total Assets /
Shareholder’s Equity)
The above formula is nothing but the ROE formula = Net Income /
Shareholder’s Equity.
Example
Let us take a simple Dupont ROE calculation example.
Analyst Interpretation
THE Dupont ROE formula provides additional ways to analyze
the ROE ratio and helps us find out a reason for the final number.
The first term (Net Income/Sales) is nothing but the Net Profit
Margin. We know that the Retail sector operates on a low-profit
margin; however, software product-based companies may
operating on a high-profit margin.
The second term here is (Sales/Total Assets); we normally call
this term Asset turnovers. It provides us with a measure of how
efficiently the assets are being utilized.
The third term here is (Total Assets / Shareholder’s Equity); we
call this ratio Asset Leverage. Asset leverage gives insight into how
the company may be able to finance the purchase of new assets.
Higher Asset leverage does not mean that it is better than the low
multiplier. We need to look at the financial health of the company
by performing a full ratio analysis of the financial statement.
Colgate Case Study
Colgate Dupont ROE = (Net Income / Sales) x (Sales / Total Assets) x
(Total Assets / Shareholder’s Equity)
Please note that the Net Income is after the minority shareholder’s
payment.
Also, the shareholder’s equity consists of only the common
shareholders of Colgate.
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We note that the asset turnover has shown a declining trend over
the past 7-8 years.
Profitability, however, has increased over the past 4 years.
Risk Analysis
Risk analysis examines the uncertainty of income for the firm and
for an investor.
Total firm risks can be decomposed into three basic sources – 1)
Business risk, 2) Financial Risk 3) External Liquidity Risk
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Business Risk
Wikipedia defines it as “the possibility a company will have lower
than anticipated profits or experience a loss rather than making a
profit.” If you look at the income statement, there are many line
items that contribute to the risk of making losses. In this context, we
discuss three kinds of business risks – Total Leverage, Operating
Leverage, and Financial Leverage.
# 24 – Operating Leverage
What is Operating Leverage?
Operating leverage is the percentage change in operating profit
relative to sales. Operating leverage is a measure of how sensitive
the operating income is to the change in revenues.
Formula
Operating Leverage Formula = % change in EBIT / % change in
Sales.
Please note that the greater use of fixed costs, the greater the
impact of a change in sales on the operating income of a company.
Example
Let us take a simple Operating Leverage calculation example.
Analyst Interpretation
The greater the fixed costs, the higher is the operating
leverage.
Between three to ten years of data should be used for
calculating Operating Leverages.
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Formula
Financial Leverage formula = % change in Net Income / % change
in EBIT
Example
Let us take a simple Financial Leverage calculation example,
Analyst Interpretation
The greater the Debt, the higher is the financial leverage.
Between five to ten years of data should be used for
calculating Financial Leverages.
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Formula
Total Leverage Formula = % change in Net Profit / % change in
Sales
Example
Let us take a simple Total Leverage calculation example,
Sales 2020 = $500, EBIT 2020 = $200, Net Income 2020 = $120
Sales 2019 = $400, EBIT 2019 = $150, Net Income 2019 = $40
% change in Sales = ($500-$400)/$400 = 25%
% change in EBIT = ($200-$150)/$100 = 50%
% change in Net Income = ($120-$40)/$40 = 200%
This implies for every 1% change in Sales, the Net Profit moves by
8%.
Analyst Interpretation
Higher sensitivity could be because of higher operating leverage
(higher fixed cost) and higher financial leverage (higher debt), 3-10
years of data should be taken to calculate the total leverage.
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Financial Risk
Financial risk is the type of risk primarily associated with the risk of
default on the company loan. We discuss 3 types of financial risk
ratios – Leverage Ratio, Interest Coverage Ratio, and DSCR ratio.
Generally, the lower the ratio better it is. Debt includes current debt
+ long-term debt.
Example
Let us take a simple Leverage Ratio calculation example.
Analyst Interpretation
A lower ratio is generally considered better as it shows
greater asset coverage of liabilities with its own capital.
Capital-intensive sectors generally show a higher debt to
equity ratio (leverage ratio) as compared to the services sector.
If the leverage ratio is increasing over time, then it may be
concluded that the firm is unable to generate sufficient cash flows
from its core operations and is relying on external debt to stay
afloat.
Formula
Interest Coverage Formula = EBITDA / Interest Expense
Please note that EBITDA = EBIT + Depreciation & Amortization
Example
Let us take a simple Interest Coverage Ratio calculation example,
EBIT = $500
Depreciation and Amortization = $100
Interest Expense = $50
EBITDA = $500 + $100 = $600
Analyst Interpretation
Capital intensive firms have higher depreciation and
amortization, resulting in lower operating profit (EBIT)
In such cases, EBITDA is one of the most important measures
as it is the amount available to pay off interest (depreciation and
amortization is a non-cash expense).
Higher interest coverage ratios imply a greater ability of the
firm to payoff its interests.
If Interest coverage is less than 1, then EBITDA is not sufficient
to pay off interest, which implies finding other ways to arrange
funds.
Colgate has a very healthy Interest coverage ratio. More than 25x in
the past three years.
Formula
Debt Service Coverage Formula = Operating Income / Debt Service
Example
Let us take a simple DSCR calculation example,
EBIT = $500
Pricipal Payment = $125
Interest Payment = $50
Lease Payments = $25
Debt Service = $125 + $50 + %25 = $200
Analyst Interpretation
A DSCR of less than 1.0 implies that the operating cash flows
are not sufficient enough for Debt Servicing, implying negative
cash flows.
This is a pretty useful matrix from the Bank’s point of view,
especially when they give loans against property to individuals.
For Colgate, we get the Debt service obligations from its 10K
reports.
Please note that you get the estimate of the Debt Service in the 10K
reports.
For finding out the historical Debt Service Payments, you need to
refer to the 10Ks prior to 2020.
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Debt Service Coverage Ratio or DSCR for Colgate is healthy at
around 6.62x for 2020.
You can click here for a detailed, in-depth article on DSCR Ratio
Example
Let us take a simple Bid-Ask Spread calculation example.
If the bid price is $75 and the asking price is $80, then the bid-ask
spread is the difference between the ask price and the bid price.$80
– $75 = $5.
Analyst Interpretation
External market liquidity is an important source of risk to
investors.
If the bid-ask spread is low, then the investors are able to buy
or sell assets with little price changes.
Also, another factor of external market liquidity is the dollar
value of shares traded.
source: Yahoo Finance
Example
Let us take a simple Trading Volume example.
There are two companies – Company A and B. The average daily
traded volume of Company A is 1000, and that of Company B is 1
million.
Analyst Interpretation
If the trading volume is high, then investors will show more
interest in the stock that may help in an increase in the share price.
If the trading volume is low, then fewer investors will have an
interest in the stocks. Such stock will be less expensive due to the
unwillingness of investors to buy such stocks.
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Let us look at the trading volume of Colgate. We note from the
above graph that Colgate traded volume was at around 4.165
million shares. This is a fairly liquid stock.
Growth Analysis
The growth rate is one of the most important parameters when we
look at analyzing a company. As a company becomes bigger and
bigger, its growth tapers and reaches a long-term sustainable
growth rate. In this, we discuss how sustainable growth rates are
important.
Formula
Sustainable Growth Rate Formula = ROE x Retention rate
Example
Let us take a simple Sustainable Growth calculation example.
ROE = 20%
Dividend Payout ratio = 30%
Analyst Interpretation
If the company is not growing, then there can be greater
chances of default on the debt. Company’s growth phase is
generally divided into three parts – Hypergrowth period, Maturity
Phase, Decline Phase
The Sustainable Growth rate formula is primarily applicable
in the Mature Phase.
Conclusions
Now that we have calculated all 32 ratios, you should appreciate
that ratio analysis includes learning about the company from all
dimensions. A single ratio does not provide us with a full
understanding of the company. All the ratios need to be looked at
cohesively and are interconnected. We noted that Colgate has been
an amazing company with solid fundamentals.