Module 12
Module 12
CONTEMPORARY WORLD
The UN figures show that the global migrant stock grew from 75 million
in 1965 to 120 million in 1990. The 1990 figure was roughly equal to 2 percent
of the world’s population. The number of migrants grew slightly faster than
world population as a whole, but the annual growth rate was not dramatic.
However, international migration appears to have grown more rapidly in the
1990s, reaching an estimated 135-140 million people, including some 13
million UNHCR-recognized refugees by 1997. Nonetheless, international
migrants remain a fairly small minority, with most of the world’s people
remaining in their country of origin. Internal migration, by contrast is much
larger: for instance, the number of internal migrants in India in 1981 was some
200 million, more than double the number of international migrants in the
whole world at the time. Overall, in the second half of the 1980s, between 750
million and one billion people migrated – mainly internally.
For receiving countries, the key question is whether immigration will lead
to settlement, formation of ethnic communities, and new forms of ethnic and
cultural diversity. In the 1960s, Western – European policy makers thought
that ‘guest workers’ would not settle permanently. However, after the oil crisis,
family reunion and community formation took place. The Gulf oil countries do
not allow family reunion and settlements, yet their economies are structurally
dependent on foreign labor. This is leading to increased length of stay and
family formation, despite the rules. Similarly, there is evidence of settlement
and emergence of ethnic neighborhoods in Japan and other Asian labor-
importing countries. It seems that migration almost inevitably leads to
settlement of a certain proportion of the migrants. Whatever policy-makers
expect. This is partly due to the social nature of the migration process which is
sustained by informal networks once it gets started. Another factor is the
increasing strength of human rights safeguards in many countries, which
make it difficult for governments to deport migrants or to deny them the right
to live with their families.