The Textbook Questions Tend To Rely Too Much On Excel. I Have Simplified The Questions To Make It Less Tedious and Doable Without Using Excel
The Textbook Questions Tend To Rely Too Much On Excel. I Have Simplified The Questions To Make It Less Tedious and Doable Without Using Excel
The Textbook Questions Tend To Rely Too Much On Excel. I Have Simplified The Questions To Make It Less Tedious and Doable Without Using Excel
Problem Set
Q2. An investor is planning a $100 million short-term investment and is going to choose among two
different portfolios. This investor is seriously worried about interest rate volatility in the market.
Compute the duration of the portfolios. Which one is more adequate for the investor’s objective?
Assume today is May 15, 2000, which means you may use the yield curve presented in the following
table:
• Portfolio A
– 40% invested in 1.5-year zero coupon bond
– 60% invested in 1.5-year coupon bond paying 9% annually
• Portfolio B
– 50% invested in 2-year zero coupon bond
– 50% invested in 1.5-year floating rate bond with zero spread and annual payments.
Answer:
We will compute and compare the durations of the two portfolios.
The term structure of interest rates will imply the following discount factors (we need them to find
the PV of the cash flows to calculate the weights for portfolio duration):
2×(T −0)
Maturity T Yield r2 (0, T ) Discount Factor Z (0, T ) = 1/ (1 + r2 (0, T ) /2)
2×0.5
0.50 6.49% 1/ (1 + 0.0649/2) = 0.968 569 91
2×1
1.00 6.71% 1/ (1 + 0.0671/2) = 0.936 131 84
2×1.5
1.5 6.84% 1/ (1 + 0.0684/2) = 0.904 037 4
2×2
2 6.88% 1/ (1 + 0.0688/2) = 0.873 465 90
Portfolio A:
1 The textbook questions tend to rely too much on Excel. I have simplified the questions to make it less tedious
1
Duration of the 1.5-year zero coupon bond is Dz = 1.5.
Duration of the 1.5-year 9% coupon bond paying annually is computed as follows:
Note that
Viewing the coupon bond as a portfolio of zero coupon bond, we can find its duration as PV
weighted sum of the durations of the individual zero coupon bonds:
DA = 0.4 × Dz + 0.6 × Dc
= 0.4 × 1.5 + 0.6 × 1. 418 726 8
= 1. 451 236 1
Portfolio B:
Duration of the 2-year zero coupon bond is Dz = 2.
Duration of the 1.5-year floating rate bond with zero spread and annual payments is just the time
to next coupon date Df l = 0.5. (Quick note: if the floating rate bond has non-zero spread, then we
need to find the duration of the spread component which is an annuity or a portfolio of zero coupon
bonds, and combine it with the duration of a zero-spread floating rate bond to find the duration
for the whole bond)
Therefore, the duration of portfolio B is
DB = 0.5 × Dz + 0.5 × Df l
= 0.5 × 2 + 0.5 × 0.5
= 1.25
For the risk-averse investor, portfolio B should be recommended since it has lower risk as measured
by DA > DB .
Q5. The investor in Exercise 2 is still worried about interest rate volatility. Instead of a duration
measure, the investor wants now to know the following:
2
(a) What is the dollar duration of each portfolio?
Answer:
$
DA = $100m × DA = 100 × 1. 451 236 1 = $145. 123 61m
$
DB = $100m × DB = 100 × 1.25 = $125.0m
(b) What is PV01 for each portfolio?
Answer:
0.01 0.01
P V 01$A = DA
$
× 100 = 145. 123 61 × 100 = $0.014512361m
0.01 0.01
P V 01$B = DB
$
× 100 = 125.0 × 100 = $0.012 5m
(c) Does the conclusion arrived at in Exercise 2 stand?
Answer:
Yes. The ranking of the risk doesn’t change.
Exercises 7 to 12 use the two yield curves (term structure of interest rates) at two moments in time
Note: Simplification from the textbook version includes (1) Assume flat term structure of interest
rate (2) There are no inverse floaters in the portfolio (you should be able to price and measure the
risk of inverse floaters by breaking them down into more basic fixed income securities).
Q7. You are standing on February 15,1994:
(a) What is the total value of the portfolio? Find out the number of each bond in the portfolio (all
the bonds have face value of $100).
Answer:
Total value of the portfolio is Punhedged = 40 − 30 = $10 m
Note that the discount factor Z (t, T ) = e−r(T −t) in all the calculations below.
Price of the 2-year 9% coupon bond:
3
Price of the 1-year zero coupon:
Q8. You are worried about interest rate volatility. You decide to hedge your portfolio with a
10-year zero coupon bond (face value $100).
(a) How much should you go short/long on this bond in order to make it immune to interest rate
changes? Find out both the total dollar amount and the number of such bond.
Answer:
The hedged portfolio should have a zero dollar duration:
$ $ $
Dhedged = Dunhedged + D10−year zero
$
0 = Dunhedged + x × D10−year zero
4
i.e. short $4.6805228m worth of the 10-year zero coupon bonds.
The price of the 10-year zero coupon bond is
Q9. Assume that it is now August 13, 1994 and that the yield curve has changed accordingly (7%
flat).
(a) What is the value of the unhedged portfolio now?
Answer:
The 9% coupon bond has time to maturity 1.5 years. Its price:
The zero coupon in the unhedged portfolio has 0.5 year to maturity. Its price:
Punhedged = Nc × Pc + Nz × Pz
= 0.373 174 92 × 106. 825 82 − 0.315 381 33 × 96. 560 542
= $9. 411 324 7m
5
Therefore the value of the total hedged portfolio is:
(c) Is the value the same? Did the immunization strategy work?
Answer:
The hedged portfolio value was $5. 319 477 2 on February 15, and it changed to $5. 442 738 9m on
August 13. It is unclear whether the immunization strategy worked.
There are two effects that can change the portfolio’s value. (1) interest rates change (2) time change.
We need to separate out each effect to see how effective the immunization strategy was. This is
accomplished in Q10 and Q11.
Q10. Instead of assuming that the change took place 6 months later, assume that the change in
the yield curve occurred an instant after February 15,1994.
(a) What is the value of the unhedged portfolio?
Answer:
If the interest rate change took place instantaneously, then the 9% coupon bond still has time to
maturity 2 years. Its price:
The zero coupon in the unhedged portfolio has 1 year to maturity. Its price:
Punhedged = Nc × Pc + Nz × Pz
= 0.373 174 92 × 103. 151 59 − 0.315 381 33 × 93. 239 382
= $9. 087 626m
(b) What is the value of the hedged portfolio? Did the immunization strategy work?
Answer:
The hedging instrument, 10-year zero coupon bond, has price:
6
Compared to the original hedged portfolio value of $5. 319 477 2, the percentage change is
5. 255 538 1 − 5. 319 477 2
= −1.2%
5. 319 477 2
Without hedging, the percentage change is
9. 087 626 − 10
= −9.1%
10
The immunization strategy worked in reducing the downside risk. If one views the 1.2% hedging
error to be too big, there are ways to improve on the hedging performance (to be covered in next
chapter).
Q11. Now use the February 15,1994 yield curve to price the stream of cash flows on August 13,
1994.
(a) What is the value of the unhedged portfolio?
Answer:
Here only time changes, and interest rate stay at 5% level.
The 9% coupon bond has time to maturity 1.5 years. Its price:
Pc = 9 × exp (−0.05 × 0.5) + 109 × exp (−0.05 × 1.5) = $109. 901 83
The zero coupon in the unhedged portfolio has 0.5 year to maturity. Its price:
Pz = 100 × exp (−0.05 × 0.5) = $97. 530 991
Compare it to the answer in 9(b). We can see the change in hedged portfolio value is due to time
change.