Economic Survey 2021-22
Economic Survey 2021-22
Economic Survey 2021-22
Government of PakistanIslamabad
www.finance.gov.pk
CONTENTS
Foreword
Preface
Pakistan Economic Survey Team
Overview of the Economy ................................................................................................................... i-xvi
Annexure
Annex-I: Contingent Liabilities ..................................................................................................... 309
Annex-II: Tax Expenditure ............................................................................................................... 311
Annex-III: Information Technology................................................................................................ 313
Statistical Appendix
Economic and Social Indicators ........................................................................................................... 1-8
Statistical Series ................................................................................................................................. 11-137
Weights and Measures ........................................................................................................................... 138
Abbreviations.............................................................................................................................................. 139
Feed Back Form ........................................................................................................................................ 145
FOREWORD
Global coordinated efforts gradually brought the pandemic under control and the world
is recovering from the devastating effects of COVID-19. However, the Russia-Ukraine
conflict has created new risks to economic growth and posed significant uncertainty
about the economic outlook. The economic impact of the conflict is manifesting in terms
of higher commodity prices, disrupted trade and supply chains, lower business
confidence, and increased investors’ uncertainty. The fallout of conflict will contribute to
a significant slowdown in global growth in 2022 and 2023. The global economic growth
is projected to slow from an estimated 6.1 percent in 2021-22 to 3.6 percent in
2022-23. The negative economic consequences of the war in Ukraine are spreading across
the world and Pakistan is also among the vulnerable countries. The risk for Pakistan’s
economy has been elevated by high international commodity and oil prices, significant
pressure on external side, and squeezed fiscal space.
According to provisional estimates, Pakistan’s economy in FY2022 has witnessed an
estimated GDP growth of 5.97 percent. This unsustainable growth has triggered
macroeconomic imbalances. Unfortunately, the weak economic management of the
previous government has resulted in the deterioration of the exchange rate, high inflation
and widened the twin deficits, thus bringing Pakistan to the verge of a financial crisis.
The present coalition government has inherited a fragile economy with a current account
deficit of $13.8 billion in the first 9-months of the year, a fiscal deficit of 3.8 percent of GDP
expected to increase to 7.0 percent by June, total public debt at Rs 44,366 billion (end
March 2022), inflation at 11.3 percent and depleting forex reserves. The present
government is taking politically tough decisions to steer the economy through various
crises. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif is taking CPEC forward with new vigor, promoting
the multifaceted development of the flagship project of China's ambitious Belt and Road
Initiative (BRI).
Besides growth, the government is also taking care of its solemn obligation towards the
poor segments through a social safety program and targeted subsidies. The government
is taking measures to extend relief to the less well-off citizens through Benazir Income
Support Programme (BISP).
The Pakistan Economic Survey has reviewed the progress of the outgoing fiscal year based
on the latest available data up to March-April 2021-22. As is customary, the Survey is
launched just before the presentation of the Federal Budget 2022-23. Hence, the
Economic Survey covered the latest available data for the outgoing fiscal year.
I wish to congratulate and thank the Economic Adviser and his team for preparing this
important document. It will serve as an invaluable information tool for all stakeholders,
including parliamentarians, policymakers, academia and international development
partners.
In 2021 vaccination programs, although unevenly spread among world regions, allowed
to gradually relax economic restrictions. In the meantime, economic policies continued
to support the strong economic revival across the globe that resulted in economic
growth exceeding potential output growth in 2021. Supply-demand imbalances became
apparent exacerbated by supply chain disruption and bottlenecks in the transport
sector. International commodity prices responded abruptly to the economic rebound
accelerated inflation in most parts of the world.
In early 2022, the Russian-Ukraine conflict elevated global commodity prices, fueled
inflation and domestic inflation rates further. Threats from high inflation, rising interest
rates, lingering supply constraints, and mounting uncertainties affected the global
economic forecasts. The impact of war has revised the global growth forecast downward
by 0.8 and 0.2 percentage points to 3.6 percent in both 2022 and 2023. The projection
for economic growth of European Economies has been revised downwards by 1.1
percentage points to 2.8 percent. Similarly, the outlook for advanced and emerging
economies also revised downwards by 0.6 and 1.0 percentage points, respectively. In the
medium-term, the outlook is revised downwards for all groups, except commodity
exporters who are benefitting from the surge in energy and food prices.
Central Banks around the world responded well to the overheated economies and
reversed the expansionary monetary policy. Fed and other central banks raised the
policy rate to slow the economy enough to tame inflation. On the fiscal side, policy space
was already eroded in many countries by the pandemic. The surge in commodity prices
and the increase in global interest rates will further reduce fiscal space, especially for oil
and food-importing economies. The withdrawal of extraordinary fiscal support was
projected to continue because of the overheated economies, shrinking fiscal space, and
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
growing budget deficits. Clear communication and forward guidance on the outlook for
monetary policy and greater support from the treasury will be essential to minimize the
risk of disruptive adjustments and to ensure that medium and long-term inflation
expectations remain well-anchored.
The weakening growth prospects, provision of relief to the vulnerable population, and
supportive measures by governments will widen fiscal deficits. Several economies will
need to consolidate their fiscal balances. This should not impede governments from
providing well-targeted support for vulnerable populations, especially in the presence
of high energy and food prices.
Summing up, the recurring economic crisis allowed governments across the globe to
develop a strategic response to the crisis. The changing economic landscape brought a
paradigm shift in economic policymaking. The focus has been shifted to knowledge-
based and service economies where investment in human capital is of equal importance
as an investment in machinery, equipment, and buildings.
Pakistan Economic Review
Though economy recovered from the pandemic (a 0.94 percent drop in FY2020) and
maintained V-Shaped recovery by posting real GDP growth of 5.97 percent in the fiscal
year 2022. This high growth, however, is unsustainable and has resulted in financial and
macroeconomic imbalances.
Historically, Pakistan’s economy had shown periodic ‘boom-bust’ growth cycles. The
reasons for such volatile growth cycles include the wide-ranging economic challenges
like shrinking fiscal space, exchange rate pressure, mounting current account deficit,
inflation, energy sector bottlenecks, and the absence of a supportive environment for the
private sector.
Political instability in the country also led to a huge increase in economic uncertainty.
Uncertainty at individual, firm, and government levels is negatively affecting the
economy. Political stability can reduce uncertainty by making clear policy statements
to build the trust of domestic as well as foreign investors and the business community.
The coordinated monetary-fiscal policy approach after the COVID-19 outbreak has
succeeded in reviving the real economic activity. Specifically, the fiscal-monetary
stimulus packages have a cascading effect on growth through a revival in private
investment. In addition, the accommodative monetary policy stance in FY2021, focused
on the revival of the construction industry and mandatory housing finance targets by
the SBP, together with the rebound in external demand has set the stage for stronger
growth momentum in FY2022.
ii
Overview of the Economy
On the external front, the exports grew remarkable on account of policy supports
provided-including regionally competitive energy tariff rates, Export Facilitation
Scheme 2021, enhancement in coverage and loan limits under LTFF, Changes in FX
regulations to facilitate exports, the launch of an e-Tijarat portal and tariff rationalized
in various sectors in line with objectives of National Tariff Policy 2019-2024. In addition
to this, STPF 2020-25 has been prepared to enhance the export competitiveness of
Pakistan through a framework of interventions having an impact across the value chains.
Furthermore, textile policy 2020-25 has also been approved to fully utilize the potential
of home-grown cotton augmented by man-made fibers and filaments to boost value-
added exports. Moreover, at the international level, World Trade Organization (WTO)
has undertaken the Trade Policy Review (TPR) for Pakistan to achieve transparency and
a better understanding of trade policies and practices.
However, a surge in global commodity prices is exerting pressure on imports by
significantly pushing up import payments. Resultantly, the sizeable trade deficit of US$
32.9 billion during July-April FY2022 was partially financed by significant workers’
remittances. Thus, in the period under discussion, the current account posted a deficit
of US$ 13.8 billion compared to a deficit of US$ 0.5 billion during the same period last
year. The widening of the current account deficit together with a build-up in inflationary
pressures in the backdrop of the geopolitical situation (especially the Russia-Ukraine
conflict) has created significant challenges for sustainable economic growth. In addition,
the recent emergence of domestic conditions (including political instability) is eroding
business confidence. Thus, all in all, inflationary and external sector pressures have
created macroeconomic imbalances in the economy.
To counter inflationary pressure and for sustainable economic recovery, SBP moved to
monetary policy normalization in September 2021. Policy Rate increased by cumulative
675 bps between September-April, FY2022.
The CPI inflation for the period July-May FY2022 was recorded at 11.3 percent as against
8.8 percent during the same period last year. The pressures on headline inflation can
fairly be attributed to adjustments in prices of electricity and gas, a significant increase
in the non-perishable food prices, exchange rate depreciation along with a rapid increase
in global fuel and commodity prices.
iii
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
price stability, provide jobs to the youth and rebuild the key infrastructure of the
country. This will also require fiscal adjustments, and reforms in almost every sector of
the economy to lay the foundation for higher, inclusive, and sustainable economic
growth.
Executive Summary
1. Growth and Investment
In FY2022, the real GDP growth remained at 5.97 percent. However, underlying
macroeconomic imbalances and associated domestic and international risks have
dampened celebrations. The economy of Pakistan rebounded from the pandemic (0.94
percent contraction in FY2020) and continued to post a V-Shaped economic recovery
which is higher than the 5.74 percent recorded last year (FY2021).
This high growth, however, is also accompanied by external and internal imbalances, as
has been the case historically with Pakistan’s economy. However, external
circumstances also played a critical role this time. These circumstances have placed
almost all economies of the world in shambles. A highly transmissible Omicron variety,
changes in Afghanistan's government after the withdrawal of US troops sparked and the
Russian-Ukraine conflict started in Feb 2022, all of these have upended the global
economic picture. Financial and commodity markets have felt shockwaves. Thus, energy
and food prices have surged rapidly and threaten to remain further elevated. The
exceedingly uncertain outcome of the crisis is another challenge for developing
economies, particularly for Pakistan.
Pakistan’s economy has shown a strong recovery after being depressed due to the
pandemic which resulted in lockdown. For FY2022, real GDP (GVA at basic prices 2015-
16) posted a growth of 5.97 percent on account of 4.40 percent growth in Agriculture,
7.19 percent growth in the Industrial sector, and 6.19 percent growth in the Services
sector. This growth is slightly above the growth of 5.74 percent recorded for FY2021.
For FY2022, GDP at current market prices stands at Rs 66,950 billion showed a growth
of 20.0 percent over last year (Rs 55,796 billion). In the dollar term, it remained at US$
383 billion. Gross National Income (GNI) is also used for measuring and tracking a
nation's wealth which is calculated by adding Net Primary Income (NPI) to GDP (MP).
Regarding per capita income in terms of dollar, there was a rebound seen in FY2021
which continued in FY2022. In FY2022, per capita income was recorded at US$1,798
which reflects an improvement in prosperity due to the fact that economic growth per
person improved.
The Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) for FY2022 was recorded at Rs 8,992 billion
against Rs 7,217 billion in FY2021, thus, posting a growth of 24.6 percent. The GFCF is
comprised of Private, Public, and General governments. The GFCF in the private sector
during FY2021 is estimated at Rs 6,704 billion against Rs 5,557 billion in FY2021,
showing an increase of 20.6 percent. On the basis of data reported by PBS, GFCF in Public
sector remained at Rs 481 billion during FY2022 compared to Rs 419 billion last year,
registering an increase of 14.9 percent. The overall provisional GFCF in General
Government services for FY2022 has been recorded at Rs 1808 billion compared to
iv
Overview of the Economy
Rs 1241 billion during FY2021, posting a growth of 45.6 percent. This time, PBS has also
provided industry-wise disaggregation of GFCF of General Government. The data
suggests that there was a 48, 34, and 25 percent increase in Public Administration &
Social Security, Education, and Human Health & Social Work, respectively.
2. Agriculture
During FY2022, the agriculture sector recorded a remarkable growth of 4.40 percent
and surpassed the target of 3.5 percent and last year’s growth of 3.48 percent. This
growth is mainly driven by high yields, attractive output prices and supportive
government policies, better availability of certified seeds, pesticides, and agriculture
credit.
The crops sector outperformed and posted a growth of 6.58 percent during FY2022
against 5.96 percent last year. At the sub-sector level, important crops, other crops, and
cotton ginning depicted a significant growth of 7.24 percent, 5.44 percent, and 9.19
percent, respectively, against last year’s growth of 5.83 percent, 8.27 percent, and -13.08
percent. The growth in production of important crops namely cotton, rice, sugarcane,
and maize are estimated at 17.9 percent, 10.7 percent, 9.4 percent, and 19.0 percent,
respectively. The cotton crop increased from 7.1 million bales reported last year to 8.3
million bales during 2021-22; rice production increased from 8.4 million tonnes to 9.3
million tonnes; sugarcane production increased from 81.0 million tonnes to 88.7 million
tonnes; maize production increased from 8.9 million tonnes to 10.6 million tonnes
respectively, while wheat production decreased from 27.5 million tonnes to 26.4 million
tonnes. Other crops having a share of 13.86 percent in agriculture value addition and
3.14 percent in GDP, grew by 5.44 percent on the back of an increase in the production
of pulses (29.82 percent), oilseeds (24.75 percent), vegetables (11.52 percent), fruits
(1.53 percent) and fodders (0.36 percent).
Livestock having a share of 61.89 percent in agriculture and 14.04 percent in GDP,
recorded a growth of 3.26 percent in 2021-22 compared to 2.38 percent during the same
period last year. The fishing sector having a share of 1.39 percent in agriculture value
addition and 0.32 percent in GDP grew at 0.35 percent compared to a growth of 0.73
percent in the same period last year. The forestry sector having a share of 2.14 percent
in agriculture value addition and 0.49 percent in GDP posted a positive growth of 6.13
percent against the negative growth of 0.45 percent last year.
Water availability during Kharif 2021 was recorded at 65.1 million-acre feet (MAF)
compared to 65.1 MAF of Kharif 2020. Rabi season 2021-22 stood at 27.4 MAF, showing
a decrease of 12 percent over Rabi 2020-21.
v
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
During July-March FY2022, total tractor production reached 41,871 compared to 36,900
produced last year, a 13.5 percent higher than the same period last year.
During FY2022 (July-March), banks disbursed Rs 958.3 billion which is 56.4 percent of
the overall annual target and 0.5 percent higher than the disbursement of Rs 953.7
billion made during the same period last year. Further, the outstanding portfolio of
agricultural loans has increased by Rs 30.9 billion i.e., from Rs 601.8 billion to Rs 632.7
billion at end of March 2022 as compared to the same period last year. In terms of
outreach, the number of outstanding borrowers reached 3.2 million in March 2022.
During FY2022 (July-March), total fish production was recorded at 696.0 thousand MT
(marine: 468 thousand MT and inland: 228 thousand MT) witnessing an increase of 0.8
percent over the same period of last year’s fish production of 690.6 thousand MT
(marine: 465.2 thousand MT and inland: 225.4 thousand MT).
On a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis, LSM grew by 26.6 percent in March FY2022 against 22.5
percent growth in the same month last year. However, on a month-on-month (m-o-m)
basis LSM marked the growth of 8.2 percent in March 2022 against 3.7 percent in
February 2022.
4. Fiscal Development
Currently, the fiscal policy at the global level is functioning in a highly volatile
environment and Pakistan is no exception. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has
potentially serious economic consequences for Pakistan’s economy as it has exacerbated
vi
Overview of the Economy
difficult policy choices for the country. Thus, controlling inflation, strengthening the
economic recovery, supporting the vulnerable, and rebuilding fiscal buffers, all became
significantly important.
The conflict and resultantly its impact on higher international commodities prices
especially energy and food brought a plethora of challenges to Pakistan’s economy. To
offset the impact of increasing oil prices, tax relief to the masses was provided in the
shape of a reduction in the petroleum development levy (PDL) and the elimination of the
sales tax on all POL products. These measures, combined with energy subsidies, have
posed significant risks to fiscal sustainability in an already constrained fiscal
environment.
Despite a significant rise in tax collection, higher current and development expenditures
widened the fiscal deficit to 3.8 percent of GDP during July-March FY2022 against 3.0
percent in the previous period. Similarly, the primary balance posted a deficit of Rs 447.2
billion against a surplus of Rs 451.8 billion. On the expenditure side, total spending
witnessed a sharp increase of 27.0 percent in July-March FY2022 against the contained
growth of 4.2 percent in the same period of last year. Higher development and non-
markup current spending contributed to an increase in total expenditures during the
year.
Total revenues increased by 17.7 percent in July-March FY2022 against 6.5 percent in
the same period of last year. A significant increase in tax collection was a key factor in
boosting revenue growth, which more than offset the decline in non-tax revenues during
the review period. During the first nine months of the current fiscal year, total tax
collection (federal & provincial) grew by 28.1 percent, while non-tax revenues fell by
14.3 percent.
FBR outperformed the revenue target during the first ten months of FY2022. During
July-April, FY2022, FBR has been able to collect Rs 4,855.8 billion (provisional) net tax
revenues reflecting a growth of 28.5 percent. However, tax relief measures have
impacted revenue collection by approximately Rs 73 billion during the month of April
2022.
Accordingly, the MPC in an unscheduled meeting on April 7, 2022, raised the policy rate
by 250 basis points. The MPC was of the view that this action would help to safeguard
external sector and price stability. During the monetary policy decision held on 23rd May
2022, the MPC decided to raise the policy rate by 150 basis points to 13.75 percent. The
vii
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
decision was based on the outcome of provisional growth estimates for FY2022 more
than the target, showing excess aggregate demand, elevated external sector pressure,
and a higher inflation outlook due to domestic and international factors.
During the period 01st July-29th April FY2022, broad money (M2) has increased by
Rs 1,457.2 billion (growth of 6.0 percent) as compared with Rs 1,632.7 billion (growth
of 7.8 percent) during the comparable period of last year. Contained growth in M2
mainly due to negative Net Foreign Assets (NFA) of the banking system, which has been
contracted by Rs 1,327.7 billion as compared to an expansion of Rs 980.6 billion last
year. This was contained due to pressure on the external front on account of high
international commodity prices and expansion in domestic activities, transfers pressure
on import bill, and current account deficit. Conversely, the Net Domestic Assets (NDA)
of the banking sector observed an expansion of Rs 2,784.8 billion against Rs 652.1 billion
last year. The expansion in NDA on account of significant expansion in private sector
credit increased lending to Public Sector Enterprises (PSEs) and lending to government
commodity procurement agencies.
Private sector credit witnessed an unprecedented expansion of Rs 1,312.9 billion during
the period 1st July-29th April, FY2022 compared to Rs 454.4 billion during the same
period last year, posting significant growth of 189 percent in flow terms. On a positive
note, credit demand increased both for fixed investment and working capital loans.
Businesses took advantage of SBP concessionary financing schemes, particularly TERF.
As a result, fixed investment loans witnessed a significant expansion of Rs 333.1 billion
during July-March, FY2022 as compared to Rs 137.0 billion during the same period last
year. Similarly, working capital loans observed an expansion of Rs 608.7 billion during
July-March, FY2022 as compared to an expansion of Rs 110.8 billion during the same
period last year. This expansion is a signal for both continuation and expansion of
economic activities, as evident from the significant economic growth of 5.97 percent in
FY2022.
6. Capital Markets & Corporate Sector
The world stock indices started on a positive note during the current fiscal year.
However, due to the geopolitical tensions especially the Russia-Ukraine war plummeted
the global indices in the month of February and March 2022.
Pakistan stock market’s performance has posted a boom-and-bust situation during the
first nine months of the current fiscal year. During July-March FY2022, the benchmark
KSE-100 index declined from 47,356 points to 44,929 points. During the period under
review, the index closed at its highest level of 48,112 points on August 23, 2021. As of
March 31, 2022, the total number of listed companies on the Pakistan Stock Exchange
(PSX) stood at 532, with a total market capitalization of Rs 7,583 billion.
The major development of this year in the equity market is the issuance of Initial Public
Offerings (IPOs). During July-March FY2022, five companies issued shares through a
public offering on the main board of PSX (Citi Pharma limited, Pakistan Aluminium
Beverages Cans Limited, Airlink Communications Limited, Octopus Digital Limited, and
Adamjee Life Assurance Company Limited), while two companies were listed on the
viii
Overview of the Economy
newly introduced Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) Board (Pak Agro Packaging Limited
and Universal Network Systems Limited).
ix
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
growth of 7.6 percent. This ever-highest level of workers’ remittances still not sufficient
to offset the trade deficit. Thus, the current account deficit was recorded at US$ 13.8
billion during the period under discussion. Further, the low performance of the Financial
Account during the period not only resulted in the depletion of foreign reserves but also
brought the exchange rate under pressure. The interbank PKR-USD exchange rate
depreciated 15.1 percent during July-April FY2022. The SBP’s FX reserves also came
under pressure from Q2 onwards, dropping from US$5.9 billion during the review
period to US$ 10.5 billion by end-April 2022.
9. Public Debt
Total public debt was recorded at Rs 44,366 billion at end-March 2022. Domestic debt
was recorded at Rs 28,076 billion, while external public debt was recorded at Rs 16,290
billion or US$ 88.8 billion at end-March 2022.
The public debt portfolio witnessed various positive developments during the first nine
months of the ongoing fiscal year (July-March FY2022), some of them are highlighted as
follows:
Within domestic debt, the Government relied entirely on long-term domestic debt
securities for the financing of its fiscal deficit and repayment of debt maturities. In
fact, the Government retired/repaid a portion of Treasury Bills amounting to Rs 1.5
trillion which led to a reduction of short-term maturities in-line with the
Government’s commitment to reduce its Gross Financing Needs.
The Government repaid Rs 569 billion against SBP debt. Cumulative debt retirement
against SBP debt stood at Rs 2.3 trillion from July 2019 to March 2022.
The Government successfully issued Shariah Compliant Sukuk instruments
amounting to around Rs 1.1 trillion, in line with the target specified in the Medium
Term Debt Management Strategy of Pakistan (2019/20 - 2022/23), to increase the
share of Shariah-compliant securities within domestic debt stock;
Debt from multilateral and bilateral sources cumulatively constituted around 79
percent of the external public debt portfolio at end-March 2022. A set of reforms
initiated by the Government to improve the economy has brought strong support
from multilateral development partners. This is expected to strengthen confidence
and catalyze additional support from development partners in the coming years
which will also help in reducing the pressure on domestic sources.
Within external debt, inflows from multilateral and bilateral development partners
remained major sources of funding. In addition, Pakistan successfully raised US$ 1
billion in July 2021 through multi-tranche tap issuance of 5, 10 and 30-year
Eurobonds. These bonds were issued at a premium.
In January 2022, the Government of Pakistan successfully raised US$ 1 billion
through the issuance of International Sukuk under the ‘Trust Certificate Issuance
Program’. This was the first time that the Government has issued International Sukuk
with 7 Year maturity and at a market-clearing price i.e., zero issuance premium. The
x
Overview of the Economy
Total interest servicing was recorded at Rs 2,118 billion during the first nine months of
the current fiscal year against its annual budgeted estimate of Rs 3,060 billion. Out of
this total, domestic interest payments were Rs 1,897 billion and constituted around 90
percent of total interest servicing during the first nine months of the current fiscal, which
is mainly attributable to a higher volume of domestic debt in the total public debt
portfolio.
xi
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
A Single National Curriculum (SNC) has been introduced to minimize disparity in the
country’s education system where three main education systems are in place, i.e., Public
schools, Private schools, and Deeni madaris. SNC is aimed at providing equal learning
opportunities to all segments of society and will provide equal opportunity for learning
and help the students and parents in case of inter provincial mobility.
The overall education situation based on the key indicators, such as enrolments, number
of institutions, and teachers has shown a significant improvement. The total number of
enrolments during 2019-20 was recorded at 55.7 million as compared to 53.1 million
during 2018-19, which shows an increase of 4.9 percent. It is estimated to increase to
58.5 million during 2020-21. The number of institutions recorded at 277.5 thousand
during 2019-20 as compared to 271.8 thousand during 2018-19. However, the number
of institutions is estimated to increase to 283.7 thousand in 2020-21. Similarly, there
were 1.83 million teachers in 2019-20 as compared to 1.79 million last year. The number
of teachers is estimated to increase to 1.89 million during 2020-21.
During 2021-22, PSLM Survey was not conducted due to the upcoming Population &
Housing Census 2022. However, according to Labour Force Survey 2020-21, literacy rate
trends show 62.8 percent in 2020-21 (as compared to 62.4 percent in 2018-19), more
in males (from 73.0 percent to 73.4 percent) than females (from 51.5 percent to 51.9
percent). Area-wise analysis suggests literacy increases in both rural (53.7 percent to
54.0 percent) and urban (76.1 percent to 77.3 percent). The male-female disparity
seems to be narrowing down with time span. The literacy rate has gone up in all
provinces, Punjab (66.1 percent to 66.3 percent), Sindh (61.6 percent to 61.8 percent),
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (52.4 percent to 55.1 percent), and Balochistan (53.9 percent to
54.5 percent).
Cumulative education expenditures by Federal and Provincial Governments in FY2021
remained at 1.77 percent of GDP (revised estimates). Expenditures on education-related
expenditures during FY2021 witnessed an increase of 9.7 percent, reaching Rs 988
billion from Rs 901 billion.
xii
Overview of the Economy
system, lives, and livelihood which was successfully contained by the Government
through timely procurement and a massive vaccination drive.
Pakistan has some of the greatest demographic opportunities for development in the
world as the growing youth population enters adulthood. The demographic dividend can
only be achieved with adequate investments in the education and skills of youth,
harvesting the fruits of long-term human capital development. The Government has
started different programmes for improving employment opportunities for youth such
as "Youth Entrepreneurship Scheme" and "Hunermand Programme-Skills for All”.
13. Transport and communications
Presently, Pakistan has 48 national highways, motorways, and strategic roads with a
total length of 14,480 Km. In the first quarter of 2022, PIA has added two airbuses A320
fleets.Pakistan Railways comprised a total of 466 Locomotives for a 7,791 Km route
length. During FY2022, PEMRA issued 265 Licenses for FM Radio and 4,152 Cable TV
Licenses. In addition to this, there are 9,522 post offices across Pakistan.
CPEC is a flagship and most actively implemented project of the Belt & Road Initiative
(BRI) where Pakistan and China have successfully launched 56 projects on the ground.
Out of these projects, 26 projects worth approximately US$17 billion have been
completed so far and 30 projects worth US$8.5 billion are under construction. The
Government is taking benefit of Pakistan’s strategic location and has focused on
developing an efficient and well-integrated transport and communication system by
connecting remote regions of the country into one road one Asia chain. With the help of
CPEC, roads and railways infrastructure will integrate Pakistan with the regional
countries which will help in generating economic and business activities by integrating
its markets with Central Asia, the Middle East, and other parts of the world.
xiii
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
14. Energy
The latest available data indicates that the import bill of oil increased to US$ 17.03 billion
during July-April FY2022 compared to US$8.69 billion during the same period last year,
showing increase of 95 percent. Crude oil imports rose by 75.34 percent in value and 1.4
percent in quantity. Similarly, liquefied natural gas witnessed an increase of 82.90
percent in value while liquefied petroleum gas imports also jumped by 39.86 percent
during July-April FY2022. During July-February FY2022, 75.64 percent of gas is
domestically produced while 24.36 percent of gas is being imported. Coal is also used
for electricity generation in Pakistan. Currently, the overall electricity generation from
coal has reached 5280 MW. Thar coal is contributing 1,320 MW, while imported coal’s
contribution to electricity generation is 3,960 MW which is around 75 percent of the
total electricity generation from coal in the country.
The Government is also committed to the global agenda of SDGs goal 7 and investing in
renewable and alternate sources of energy to cater to Pakistan’s growing energy
demand. Pakistan is rich in hydropower and has the enormous potential to generate
electricity from water. Currently, the Hydro installed capacity is 10,251 MW which is
around 25 percent of the total installed capacity. Pakistan has also wind corridors. The
contribution of Wind to the total installed capacity is 4.8 percent and currently stood at
1,985 MW. The potential for solar power in Pakistan is also high. The installed capacity
of solar is 600 MW which is around 1.4 percent of the total installed capacity. Pakistan
is also producing energy from nuclear technology whose contribution is increasing
gradually. Last year, the gross capacity of the nuclear power plants was 2,530 MW which
supplied about 7,076 million units of electricity to the national grid during July-March
FY2021. The gross capacity of nuclear power plants has increased by 39 percent and it
stood at 3,530 MW.
BISP is currently disbursing payments to around 5.7 million regular beneficiaries under
its Ehsaas Kafaalat Programme. During FY2022, the number of regular beneficiaries has
been enhanced to 8.0 million. BISP in coordination with Finance Division and World
Bank has developed an institutional mechanism as well as a proposal to increase the
cash assistance under Kafaalat @ Rs 166.33/- per month or Rs 500/- per quarter w.e.f
1st January 2022 has been approved by the Federal Cabinet.
The second phase of the Ehsaas Emergency Cash Programme (ECAP-II) has been
launched in June 2021. As of 30-03-2022, an amount of Rs 30.18 billion has been
disbursed to 2.50 million additional beneficiaries (other than UCT beneficiaries)
xiv
Overview of the Economy
Under Ehsaas Taleemi Wazaif Programme, 6.52 million children have been enrolled and
25 billion have been paid so far. During FY2022, 3.22 million children have been enrolled
and Rs 5.0 billion have been disbursed.
Pakistan Poverty Alleviation Fund (PPAF) also helps in micro-credit, water, health,
education, and livelihood. Since its inception in April 2000 till March 2022, PPAF has
disbursed approximately Rs 237.56 billion to its Partner Organizations (POs) in 147
districts across the country. A total of 8.4 million microcredit loans have been disbursed
with 60 percent loans to women and 80 percent financing extended to rural areas.
During July-March FY2022, PPAF disbursed Rs 2,112.70 million to its POs for various
programmes funded by Donors and PPAF’s own resources.
Pakistan Baitul Mal (PBM) is providing financial assistance to the destitute, widows,
orphans, and other needy persons at the district level. During FY2022, Rs 6.505 billion
has been allocated to PBM for its core projects/schemes.
Workers Welfare Fund (WWF) during July-March, FY2022, disbursed Rs 1.43 billion on
15,004 scholarship cases, while Rs 244.07 million was utilized as marriage grants @
Rs 200,000 per worker, benefitting 1819 workers' families. The WWF has also disbursed
Rs 420.4 million as a death grant @Rs 600,000 per worker covering 804 cases of mishaps
all over the country.
EOBI provides monetary benefits to old age workers through various programmes such
as Old Age Pension, Invalidity Pension, Survivors Pension, and Old Age Grant. EOBI has
registered 9,429,281 employees. During FY2022, EOBI registered 307,296 new
employees. During July-March FY2021, an amount of Rs 33.54 billion has been disbursed
by EOBI.
xv
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The existing meager forest resources are crucial to environmental stability in Pakistan,
which appeals for serious interventions supported by a commitment to adequate
financial flows to improve and enhance the overall forestry, wildlife, and biodiversity
sector. However, the TBTTP is helping to restore the ailing ecosystems and it will
improve natural capital as well. The programme is being implemented by the Provincial
Forest and Wildlife Departments through MoCC on a 50 percent cost-sharing basis
except for AJ&K and GB which are 100 percent funded by the Federal Government
through PSDP. The programme has achieved 579.093 million plants during July-March
FY2022 and cumulatively has attained 1,586.18 million plants till March 2022.
xvi
éEBJG;5A8<AI9FG@9AG
'W'ƌĞǁďLJ
$VRI'*3
3HU&DSLWD,QFRPH86
)< )<
Despite achieving a real GDP growth of 5.97 percent in FY2022, the underlying
macroeconomic imbalances and associated domestic and international risks have
dampened celebrations. The economy of Pakistan rebounded from the pandemic (0.94
percent contraction in FY2020) and continued to post a V-Shaped economic recovery
which is higher than 5.74 percent recorded in last year (FY2021). This high growth,
however, is also accompanied by external and internal imbalances, as has been the case
historically with Pakistan economy. Historically, it has been observed that higher growth
also accompanied with macroeconomic imbalances. However, external circumstances
also played a critical role this time. These circumstances have placed almost all
economies of the world in shambles. A highly transmissible Omicron variety began
making things much worse in 2021, when the global economy had yet to recover from
COVID-19's effects. Changes in Afghanistan's government after the withdrawal of US
troops sparked a global discussion of misery and humanitarian crises, which further
worsened due to the Russian-Ukraine conflict started in February 2022. The crisis has
also upended the global economic picture and considerably increased the uncertainty
for a global economy that was still struggling to recover from COVID-19 aftermath.
Financial and commodity markets have felt shockwaves. Thus, energy and food prices
have surged rapidly and threatens to remain further elevated. The exceedingly uncertain
outcome of the crisis is another challenge for developing economies, particularly for
Pakistan.
In Pakistan, during the outgoing fiscal year, inflationary pressures started rising initially
due to broadly accommodative fiscal and monetary policies to cushion the impact of
COVID-19 in 2020 and 2021. Further, global supply chain disruptions fueled inflation on
account of a significant increase in the cost of freight. On the way, when the government
was planning to start unwinding pandemic emergency measures and gradually shifting
toward fiscal consolidation, the Russian-Ukraine conflict impacted the entire global
economy with the prediction of slower growth and faster inflation. Impacts are
transmitting through three main channels. First, increasing commodity prices, such as
food and energy, driving up inflation further, diminishing the value of income. Thus,
weighing on demand. Second, trading economies are grappling with disrupted trade,
supply chains, and remittances. While, third, high uncertainty in international market is
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
reducing business confidence and putting downward pressure on asset values. Further,
tightening financial conditions may increase capital outflows from emerging markets. In
Pakistan, CPI inflation (General) increased by 13.4 percent on a year-over-year basis in
April 2022, compared to 12.7 percent in March 2022, while, it remained at 11.0 percent
for July-April FY2022. Likewise, the WPI posted a growth of 23 percent during the period
under discussion, which in turn intensified domestic inflationary pressure. Since the
international commodity prices, especially oil and food are expressed in US dollars,
therefore, the depreciation of the Rupee exchange rate vis-a-vis US dollar, also
influenced the domestic prices of finished and intermediate products. It is a well-known
fact that high prices erode benefits of high growth and adversely impacting the well-
being of the society. Therefore, price stability is emphasized in government policies
along with sustainable inclusive growth.
Contrary to significant rise in WPI, LSM which is used as proxy for domestic industrial
production, posted a growth of 10.4 percent during July-March FY2022. The growth of
LSM appears to be extensive, as 17 of 22 LSM sectors experienced positive growth. This
significant growth in industrial sector boosted the exports growth by 28 percent during
July-April FY2022. However, trade deficit in goods and services widened by 51 percent
on account of 39 percent increase in imports of goods as well as 34 percent increase in
imports of services according to SBP data. During this period, remittances reached
US$26.1 billion posting a growth of 7.6 percent. Despite historically high remittances,
trade deficit in goods and services could not be offset. Thus, current account deficit
started ballooning up. Further, low performance of Financial Account, not only resulted
in depletion of foreign reserves but also brought exchange rate under pressure.
2
Growth and Investment
requires conducive environment in which investors feel comfortable to take long term
investment decisions. Such developments are expected to increase the growth rate of
the country’s potential output and employment. On the other hand, increase in
productive capacity will enhance production of exportable, imports substitution, which
in turn improve trade. Since Positive output gap is creating overheating situation in the
economy which not only exerts pressure on domestic prices but also worsen balance of
trade due to increase in imports.
Global Perspective
Soon after the recovery from COVID-19, the economic gains were threatened by the
Russian-Ukraine conflict in start of 2022. due to the outbreak and evolvement of the
COVID-19 pandemic. Initially, the global recovery momentum weakened due to the
Delta variant followed by highly transmissible Omicron. The Russian-Ukraine conflict
brought more economic damage predicting a significant slowdown in global growth in
2022 due to worldwide spillover effects through commodity markets, trade, and
financial channels.
Keeping in view, the prevailing supply shocks for an unknown time length, every
institution working on the global outlook has downgraded global growth. Especially IMF
has downward revised global growth from early estimates made in January 2022 and
October 2021. Global growth is projected to decline from an estimated 6.1 percent in
2021 to 3.6 percent in 2022 and 2023 as well. This decline is 0.8 and 0.2 percentage
points lower for 2022 and 2023 than in the January 2022, while in Oct 2021, IMF was
projecting 4.9 percent global growth. The most worrisome is inflationary pressure.
According to IMF, the conflict will broaden price pressures. Thus, inflation is expected
to remain elevated a longer period than the previous forecasts. The conflict is likely to
have a protracted impact on commodity prices, affecting oil and gas prices more severely
in 2022 and food prices in 2023 (because of the lagged impact from the harvest in 2022).
However, the intensity of impact varies across countries, depending on trade and
financial linkages, exposure to commodity price increases, and the strength of the
existing inflationary pressure.
However, sanctions imposed on Russia by the world community will hamper financial
and trade linkages between Russia and other countries due to the fact that some
countries in Eastern Europe and Central Asia have large trade and migration links with
Russia. Thus, with a delay in conflict settlement, the repercussions will be far-reaching.
Moreover, increased global polarization will also impede the cooperation essential for
long-term prosperity. It is also mentionable that recent lockdowns in key manufacturing
and trade hubs in China will likely compound supply disruptions elsewhere.
On the financial sector, an increase in core sovereign interest rates before the conflict
had already placed pressure on borrowers in some emerging and developing economies.
Markets have so far differentiated across countries depending on their debt exposures
3
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
and trade linkages to advanced economies. Countries with higher debt levels and larger
gross financing needs have usually been vulnerable to more extreme stress in such
episodes. In these countries, increases in domestic long-term yields largely reflect
increases in risk premia, over and above the effects of increases in domestic policy rates.
To the extent that higher core rates may reflect more robust nominal demand in
advanced economy trading partners, countries with stronger trade ties to advanced
economies are less exposed. Summarizing, the global economy faces 'its biggest test'
since WWII due to Russian-Ukraine conflict as concluded in World Economic Forum
meeting held in Davos, recently. It was recorded in the meeting that rising interest rates
are adding to pressure on countries, companies and households with big piles of debt.
Further, market turbulence and ongoing supply chain constraints are also posing risks.
Moreover, the other important risk is the climate change.
The cyclical position of Pakistan’s manufacturing sector, which exerts positive multiplier
effects on the rest of the economy, is known to be correlated with the foreign CLI. In
Pakistan, potential output kept on growing in 2022 due to which Pakistan’s growth
performance remained up to the mark in FY2022.
Thus, high inflation, external imbalances, excessive fiscal deficits, and higher interest
rates may compromise Pakistan’s future short-term growth prospects.
4
Growth and Investment
Box - I: Effects of Internal and External Imbalances on Prices and Economic Growth
Macroeconomic diagnostics of the economy help in assessing the state of the economy and gauge
economic performance. It further allows us to map the risks and vulnerabilities faced by the economy.
In this regard, it is important to understand:
The internal balance schedule, where Y=Y*, is upward sloping. Along this line the output gap is zero.
This zero-output gap can be attained by different combinations between real demand and the exchange
rate: higher demand would be inflationary, which can be overcome by exchange rate appreciation. The
external balance schedule, CA=CA*, is downward sloping. Along this line, the CA is equal to its target.
This target can be reached by different combinations between real demand and the exchange rate. Too
high demand worsens the CA, which can be compensated by exchange rate depreciation and vice versa.
Note: Y-axis: higher values = RER appreciation
Pakistan has been plagued by regular BOP crises and had to look for IMF assistance to help finance
these external imbalances. External imbalances were mainly driven by trade deficit as imports of goods
and services always remained higher than exports in magnitudes. Further, trade deficit could not be
financed by remittances and other components of the current, capital and financial accounts of the BOP.
The origins of the excessive trade balance deficits were either from external or internal sources or a
combination of both. Regarding internal imbalance, over time, it was seen that observed economic
growth exceeded the potential growth of the economy (driven by GFCF) mainly due to expansionary
fiscal and monetary policies, which made real domestic demand higher than domestic production, and
therefore economy was overheated. All these resulted in a significant increase in imports.
If a country like Pakistan is confronted with external imbalances, either its reserve assets will decline,
or its exchange rate will depreciate or a combination of both will happen. From the monetary side, too
low Net Foreign Assets (NFA) may lead to speculation and enhance currency depreciation which in turn
fuel domestic inflation.
However, in such circumstances, a country can respond only with a restrictive stance on fiscal and
monetary policies. But these restrictive monetary and fiscal policies will adversely affect the labor
market. Thus, in the long run, there is intense need to implement structural measures that generate
high potential economic growth accompanied with the necessary equilibrium stance of fiscal and
monetary policies.
5
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Fig-1A: Saving - Investment Gap (US$ Billion) Fig-1B: Foreign Reserve (US$ Million)
20,000 3
18,000
16,000 2.5
14,000 2
12,000
10,000 1.5
8,000
6,000 1
4,000 0.5
2,000
- 0
FY 2018
FY 2019
FY 2020
FY 2021
April FY 2022
FY 2020
FY 2018
FY 2019
FY 2021
FY 2022
As far as exchange rate is concerned, during July-May FY2022, the exchange rate
depreciated significantly and was recorded at 1US$ = Rs 197.87 on June 1, 2022
compared to 1US$ = Rs 157.55 on June 30, 2021, showing 20 percent depreciation.
6
Growth and Investment
1,798
55.0 Current Prices
1,768
1,723
1,676
1,640
45.0
1,578
1,800
1,458
35.0
1,600
25.0
1,400
15.0
5.0 1,200
2021-22 (P)
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20 (F)
2020-21 (R)
(5.0) 1,000
2021-22 (P)
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20 (F)
2020-21 (R)
Source: PBS GDP (MP ) GNI NPI Source: PBS
7
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Fig-3A: Contribution in Real GDP Fig - 3B: Real GDP Growth &
Total Consumption [C] Total Investment [I] Propensity to Invest
10.0 Net Exports [X-M] GDP (MP) (RHS)
8.0 35 10
8.0 6.5 30 8
6.2 6.2 6.0
6.0 25
4.4 6
4.0 4.0
20
2.0 2.5 4
2.0 15
- 2
- 10
(2.0) Propensity to Invest (LHS)
(1.3) 5 Real GDP Growth Rate (RHS)
0
(4.0) (2.0)
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2021-22 (P)
2019-20 (F)
2020-21 (R)
0 -2
FY 1974
FY 2004
FY 1972
FY 1976
FY 1978
FY 1980
FY 1982
FY 1984
FY 1986
FY 1988
FY 1990
FY 1992
FY 1994
FY 1996
FY 1998
FY 2000
FY 2002
FY 2006
FY 2008
FY 2010
FY 2012
FY 2014
FY 2016
FY 2018
FY 2020
Source: PBS FY 2022
Source: EA Wing Calculation
It is well established fact that high growth in Pakistan determined by the propensity to
investment. However, after the mid-1980s, the propensity to investment fell
dramatically. One of the implications deduced is that the Total Gross Fixed Capital
Formation (TGFCF) is not driver of economic growth. (Fig – 3B).
Thus, Pakistan remained trapped in a low-saving and low-investment situation, which
has constraint its economic potential. It is also said that the economic conditions
remained unable to attract investment both domestically and Foreign Direct Investment.
Thus, Average of Incremental Capital Output Ratio of Pakistan became much lower
compared to countries in the region. Further, low savings rate limits the volume of
investible funds. In turn, low investments make growth unsustainable. In FY2022, high
growth was due to high foreign savings (current account deficit) resulted in low
domestic and national savings. Thus, current savings and investment level is insufficient
to boost growth momentum (Fig -4)
1 https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/rankings/investment_percent_of_gdp/
8
Growth and Investment
17.1
16.3
15.9
15.5
15.1
14.8
14.6
18
14.4
14.1
13.3
12.7
16
11.7
11.3
11.1
14
9.8
12
8.6
7.8
7.6
10
7.1
6.4
8
5.4
4.5
4.2
4.1
3.6
6
1.6
1.5
4
0.5
2
0
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 (F) 2020-21 (R) 2021-22 (P)
Source: PBS & M/o PD &SI Total Investment National Saving Domestic Saving Foreign Saving
In FY2022, the Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) stood at Rs 8,992 billion against
Rs 7,217 billion in FY2021, thus, posting a growth of 24.6 percent as compared to 16
percent growth in FY2021. During the same period, the GFCF in the private sector was
estimated at Rs 6,704 billion against Rs 5,557 billion in FY2021 showing a growth of 20.6
percent. The GFCF in Public Sector remained at Rs 481 billion during FY2022 compared
to Rs 419 billion last year registering a growth of 14.9 percent. Likewise, the GFCF in the
General Government sector during FY2022 stood at Rs 1,808 billion compared to Rs
1,241billion during FY2021, posting a growth of 45.6 percent.
Private Sector GFCF: During FY2022, GFCF in Agriculture has the highest share of 27
percent in Private Sector GFCF which is almost consistent since FY2016. Within
agriculture sector, livestock share is around 20 percent. Real Estate activities is having
second-highest share of 18 percent in Private Sector GFCF as compared to 15 percent in
FY2016. The share of Manufacturing in Private Sector GFCF declined from 20 percent in
FY2016 to 16 percent in FY2022. However, within Manufacturing, the share of Large
Scale stood at 12 percent, while it was 18 percent in FY2016. The share of Transport and
Storage reached at 11 percent in FY2022 as compared to 7 percent in FY2020.
The private sector GFCF in agriculture, forestry, and fishing recorded at Rs 1,787 billion
in FY2022 compared to Rs 1,513 billion in FY2021, posting a growth of 18.1 percent on
account of an increase in imported agriculture machinery and increase in the value of
stock in the livestock. In real estate activities, private sector GFCF has registered a
9
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
growth of 35 percent on account of higher growth of deflator. The private sector GFCF
in large scale manufacturing for FY2022 reached Rs 785 billion against Rs 761 billion
during FY2021, showing a growth of 3.1 percent. The conservative reporting of
provisional capital formation by private companies is the main reason behind this
relatively slow growth. Regarding private sector GFCF in Transportation & Storage
industry, it posted a growth of 38 percent as its value increased to Rs 751 billion in
FY2022 from Rs 545 billion in FY2021 on account of higher imports as well as domestic
sales of transportation equipment.
Public Sector Enterprises GFCF: During FY2022, the major industries showed an
increase in GFCF compared to FY2021. For instance, construction (Rs 14.0 billion against
Rs 9.8 billion due to Capital Development Authority and Lahore Development
Authority), Transportation & Storage (Rs 117.0 billion against Rs 60.8 billion due to Port
Qasim Authority, Pakistan National Shipping Corporation, and National Logistic Cell),
Information & Communication (Rs 79.0 billion against Rs 34.2 billion due to PTCL and
Ufone on machinery & equipment), and Finance & Insurance (Rs 18.8 billion against Rs
11.4 billion due to Nationalized Banks and EOBI). However, a decline was observed in
Mining & Quarrying (Rs 13.8 billion against Rs 25.3 billion due to OGDC on machinery &
equipment), Manufacturing (Rs 13.9 billion against Rs 14.4 billion due to Pak Arab
Refinery), and Electricity Gas & Water Supply (Rs 224.2 billion against Rs 262.6 billion
due to Water & Power Development Authority and companies relating to machinery &
equipment).
General Government GFCF: For FY2022, GFCF related expenditure for the Federal
Government has been recorded at Rs 566 billion compared to Rs 477 billion last year,
posting a growth of 18.5 percent. Similarly, GFCF related expenditures by Provincial
Governments were increased by 63 percent as these were recorded at Rs 1,064 billion
in FY2022 compared to Rs 654 billion last year. These were mainly related to buildings
and structures in Punjab (from Rs 254.2 to 423.7 billion), Sindh (from Rs 179.3 to 322.4
billion), KP (from Rs 154.2 to 201.3 billion) and Balochistan (from Rs 66.1 to 116.4
billion). Moreover, expenditure on GFCF incurred by District Governments also
increased to Rs 178.2 billion in FY2022 from Rs 110.4 billion in FY2021, posting growth
of 61.4 percent. Industry-wise disaggregation of GFCF of General Government suggests
that there was 48.0, 34.2 and 25.1 percent increase in Public Administration & Social
Security, Education and Human Health & Social Work, respectively during FY2022.
Net Exports: The contribution of Net Exports in aggregate demand, remained negative,
mainly due to the massive decline in imports on account of the pandemic. As per
National Accounts data, Exports of Goods and Services posted a growth of 39 percent,
while Imports of Goods and Services posted a growth of 46 percent in FY2022. Since
1972, a dramatic decline has been seen in the share of Net Exports in GDP (Fig-5A).
Usually, trade openness is frequently used to measure the importance of international
transactions relative to domestic transactions. It is defined as the ratio of exports plus
imports over GDP. Pakistan’s openness to trade improved little after 2005, but reflecting
two markedly divergent trends: import share rose and export share declined (Fig-5B).
10
Growth and Investment
Fig - 5A: Share of Net Exports in GDP Fig - 5B: Trade Performance
40
2
35
0
30
-2 25
-4 20
-6 15
10
-8
5
-10
0
1974
1977
1980
1983
1986
1989
1992
1995
1998
2001
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016
2019
2022
-12
1980
2019
1974
1977
1983
1986
1989
1992
1995
1998
2001
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016
2022
Openness Export Share Import Share
Source: EA Wing Calculation based on PBS Data Source: EA Wing Calculation based on PBS Data
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
Box - II: Rebasing of National Accounts from basic prices of 2005-06 to 2015-16
Recently, the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics has revised National Accounts at basic prices of 2015-16.
Thus, rebasing of National Accounts Series means replacing the old base year used for compiling the
constant price estimates with a new or more recent base year for computing constant price estimates
Real GDP is considered more important which is estimated with reference to some base year
considered as constant prices. While constant price data have the advantage of being additive, the
11
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
pattern of relative prices in the base period becomes increasingly irrelevant with the passage of time.
As a result, the base period must be updated to reflect current conditions. Actually, the System of
National Accounts (SNA) is a set of internationally agreed standards for measuring economic activity.
SNA 2008 is presently in place. It is also mentionable that most of the countries, namely Bangladesh,
Hong Kong China, India Nepal, Philippines, Sri Lanka, and Thailand undertake their rebasing exercise
at a gap of 10 years.
Advantages of Rebasing
It helps in getting the most reliable and accurate estimations of GDP (GDP). Further, estimates of
new GFCF involve broadening of the scope and coverage of macroeconomic data. Thus, the estimates
become in accordance with the System of National Accounts (SNA) standards.
The rebasing of Pakistan's macroeconomic data is required by government, policymakers and
decision makers, researchers, and other national and international users for appropriate policies
implications
In Pakistan, prior to recent rebasing, the National Accounts of Pakistan had been estimated on current
prices until the base was set as 1959-60, which was adopted in 1962-63. The first change of base took
place in 1987 when the year 1980-81 was adopted as the base year. The next change of base was
adopted in 2003 setting the base as 1999-2000. Then in 2013, the base year was changed to 2005-06.
1980-81 1999-00 2005-06 2015-16
Base Year Base Year Base Year Base Year Base Year Base Year Base Year Base Year
Rs Million
1959-60 1980-81 1980-81 1999-00 1999-00 2005-06 2005-06 2015-16
Agriculture 71,699 71,399 779,692 923,609 1,457,222 1,775,346 6,749,966 7,306,957
Industry 61,495 56,013 676,369 830,865 1,923,698 1,616,157 5,308,368 5,939,635
Services 114,402 115,419 1,465,927 1,807,546 3,777,607 4,324,274 15,343,961 17,261,613
GDP at basic
247,596 247,831 2,921,988 3,562,020 7,158,527 7,715,777 27,402,295 30,508,205
prices
GDP at
market 277,961 278,196 3,147,167 3,826,112 7,623,205 8,216,160 29,075,633 32,725,049
prices
Change in Key Macroeconomic Variables Ratios
Fiscal Year 2021
Indicators Base Year 2006 Base Year 2016 % Change
Real Sector
GDP Size (current) (Rs mn) 47,709,325 55,795,515 16.9
GDP Size (current) (US$ mn) 298,650 348,678 16.8
Per Capita Income (US$) 1,542 1,676 8.7
Population 211.9 222.6 5.0
12
Growth and Investment
Agricultural Sector: The agriculture sector posted growth of 4.4 percent mainly due to
6.6 percent growth in Crops and 3.3 percent growth in Livestock. The growth in crops
was recorded on account of 7.2 percent growth in Important Crops, 5.4 percent growth
in Other Crops, and 9.2 percent growth in Cotton Ginning.
The better performance of Agriculture is mainly due to 18.1 percent growth in Private
Sector GFCF in agriculture, forestry, and fishing. Further, extensive outreach of the Prime
Minister’s Agriculture Package also helped significant agriculture growth. Important
Crops has 56.2 percent share in Crops Value Addition. The growth in production of
important crops namely Cotton, Rice, Sugarcane, and Maize is estimated at 17.9, 10.7,
9.4, and 19.0 percent, respectively. The cotton crop increased from 7.1 million bales to
8.3 million bales, while Rice production increased from 8.4 million tons to 9.3 million
tons. Likewise, Sugarcane production increased from 81.0 million tons to 88.7 million
tons, while Maize production increased from 8.9 million tons to 10.6 million tons. There
was a decrease in Wheat production which decreased from 27.5 million tons to 26.4
million tons. Other crops showed growth of 5.4 percent mainly because of an increase in
the production of pulses, vegetables, fodder, oilseeds, and fruits.
Industrial sector performance is more dependent on the Manufacturing sector which has
a share of 65.0 percent in the industry. Within Manufacturing, Large-Scale
Manufacturing (LSM) holds 74 percent while its share in the industry is 48 percent.
However, LSM is reflected by Quantum Index Numbers (QIM) data. During July – March
FY2022, the QIM index posted a growth of 10.4 percent. Major contributors to this
growth remained Food (11.7%), Tobacco (16.7%), Textile (3.2%), Wearing Apparel
(34.0%), Wood Products (157.5%), Chemicals (7.8%), Iron & Steel Products (16.5%),
Automobiles (54.1%), Furniture (301.8%) and other manufacturing (37.8%).
13
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The other components of Manufacturing, Small Scale, and Slaughtering posted growth of
8.9 and 6.2 percent, respectively. Thus, Manufacturing sector posted a growth of 9.8
percent.
It is mentionable that Mining and Quarrying which has a 9.0 percent share in Industry,
posted negative growth of 4.5 percent. It is worth mentioning that during FY2022, GFCF
in Mining and Quarrying posted a growth of 13 percent, while it posted negative growth
of 5 percent in FY2021. Thus, there may be a lag effect of GFCF in this sector. It is also
reported that the decline in Mining and Quarrying growth is mainly due to a decline in
the production of other minerals such as limestone (-21.7%), marble (-3.4%), argi
(-13.4%), and shale (-21.4%) clay, phosphate (-54.6) and rock salt (-19.9%).
Similarly, Electricity, Gas and Water Supply, the other sub-sector of Industry posted a
growth of 7.9 percent. One reason being that there was 11 percent growth in Public GFCF
during FY2021 in this sector. Further, there was an increase in subsidies from Rs 366.4
billion in FY2021 to Rs 567.0 billion in FY2022.
Finally, Construction has a 13.4 percent share in Industry, while value-added in the
construction industry is mainly driven by construction-related expenditures by
industries. Construction recorded a modest growth of 3.1 percent mainly due to an
increase in general government spending. This moderate growth rate is due to an
unusual increase of 30.1 percent in relevant deflator i.e., WPI building material.
Services Sector: Services sector still constitutes the largest share of 58 percent in GDP
even in the new methodology used for the Change of Base of National Accounts on 2015-
16. However, in the new methodology, the services sector has been divided into Ten sub-
sectors. Sub-sectors of Services with respective shares in Services and GDP in Table – 3.
Table 3: Components of Services
Share in Share in
Services GDP
1. Wholesale & Retail Trade 32.4 18.8
2. Transport & Storage 17.8 10.4
3. Accommodation and Food Services Activities (Hotels & Restaurants) 2.4 1.4
4. Information and Communication 4.6 2.7
5. Finance and Insurance Activities 3.2 1.9
6. Real Estate Activities (OD) 9.6 5.6
7. Public Administration and Social Security (General Government) 8.0 4.6
8. Education 5.1 3.0
9. Human Health and Social Work Activities 2.7 1.5
10. Other Private Services 14.3 8.3
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
During FY2022, the services sector continued to post a significant growth of 6.2 percent
as it posted 6.0 percent growth last year.
Wholesale and Retail Trade industry posted a growth of 10.0 percent, mainly because its
value addition is dependent on the output of agriculture, manufacturing, and imports.
14
Growth and Investment
Transportation & Storage industry posted a growth of 5.4 percent due to an increase in
railways (41.85%), air transport (26.56%), road transport (4.99%), and storage
(10.01%).
Accommodation and food services activities showed growth of 4.1 percent. The growth
of Information and communication remained at 11.9 percent due to improvements in
telecommunication, computer programming, consultancy, and related activities.
Finance and insurance industry shows an overall growth of 4.9 percent mainly due to an
increase in Financial Intermediation Services Indirectly Measured (FISIM) on deposits
and loans.
Real Estate Activities posted a growth of 3.7 percent, while public administration and
social security (General Government) activities posted a negative growth of 1.2 percent
mainly due to high deflator.
Education has witnessed a growth of 8.7 percent due to increase in public sector
expenditure. Human health and social work activities posted a growth of 2.2 percent due
to the general government GFCF. Finally, other private services posted a growth of 3.8
percent.
Way Forward
Pakistan’s economy faces several severe challenges. Inflation is running too high, the
prospects for future growth in potential output are challenging. Fiscal deficit is at a level
where its financing is becoming challenging. Further, high trade deficit is leading to
external imbalances putting extra pressure on foreign reserves and on the exchange
rate. Economic growth seems to be slow down next year. Moreover, high uncertainties
are restricting market confidence.
In the short run, Pakistan is confronted with the challenge to finance its external finance
requirements stemming from current account deficits and foreign debt servicing.
Successful conclusion of the seventh review of Pakistan’s reform program which is
supported by an IMF Extended Fund Facility arrangement is on the right direction.
Government is very much committed to ensure the stability and confidence in the
economy. Stable fiscal policy with a higher, growth promoting path for PSDP, based on
physical and human capital development will be obligatory. Likewise, subsidies
targeted to stimulate development of innovative industries and services will be
essential. On the revenue side, growth-oriented revenue policies will be helpful.
15
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
initiatives in their own and in the country’s interest. Thus, well-functioning competitive
markets is required.
There is also need to continue policies which brought improvement in related sectors.
For example, Prime Minister’s Agriculture Package and related agricultural policies
remained more effective for better agriculture performance. Likewise, policies related
to energy mix and efficient energy supplies. Furthermore, there is also need of stable
legislative and political culture.
As a result of these, it is expected that potential output growth will be upgraded,
resulting in higher employment and real income growth. It will also create additional
capacity for exports and import substitution and a stable exchange rate environment.
Thus, demand management fiscal and monetary policies should on average be neutral
and play their role of cyclical stabilizers when temporary shocks create deviations from
the long-term growth path.
16
5éE<7H?GHE9
'ƌĞǁďLJ
Chapter 2
Agriculture
Sustainable growth of the agriculture sector stands vital for food security and rural
development in Pakistan. It is a major contributor to the employment and foreign
exchange earnings. In addition to that it provides industrial raw material, hence growth
in this sector has multiple linkages with the overall economy. It contributes 22.7 percent
to the GDP and provides employment to around 37.4 percent of the labour force,
manager of rural landscape and environmental shield in protecting and upgrading the
climate-resilient production and ecosystem. The improvement in agriculture production
systems will increase farm income, reduce consumer prices and enhance diverse food
supplies besides generating an exportable surplus. During the post COVID-19 period, the
steep rise in the price of various commodities has further enhanced the importance of
this sector, especially for the countries who are net importers of food items.
Realizing the importance of agriculture sector, the Government encourage financial
inclusion activities in the agriculture sector to adopt new approaches in order to boost
the productivity and exports, thus enhancing a rural development-driven economic
growth.
percent), oilseeds (24.75 percent), vegetables (11.52 percent), fruits (1.53 percent) and
fodders (0.36 percent).
Livestock having share of 61.89 percent in agriculture and 14.04 percent in GDP,
recorded a growth of 3.26 percent in 2021-22 compared to 2.38 percent during same
period last year. The fishing sector having share of 1.39 percent in agriculture value
addition and 0.32 percent in GDP, grew at 0.35 percent compared to growth of 0.73
percent in same period last year. Forestry sector having share of 2.14 percent in
agriculture value addition and 0.49 percent in GDP posted a positive growth of 6.13
percent against the negative growth of 0.45 percent last year (Table 2.1).
Table 2.1: Agriculture Growth (Base=2015-16) (%)
Sector 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 P
Agriculture 2.22 3.88 0.94 3.91 3.48 4.40
1. Crops (i+ii+iii) 1.37 4.61 -4.38 6.32 5.96 6.58
i) Important Crops 2.68 4.27 -8.59 5.24 5.83 7.24
ii) Other Crops -1.24 4.65 3.62 9.21 8.27 5.44
iii) Cotton Ginning 5.24 8.27 -11.23 -4.06 -13.08 9.19
2. Livestock 2.89 3.59 3.65 2.80 2.38 3.26
3. Forestry -2.92 2.24 7.22 3.36 -0.45 6.13
4. Fishing 1.22 1.57 0.78 0.63 0.73 0.35
P: Provisional
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Water availability during Kharif 2021 recorded at 65.1 million acre feet (MAF) compared
to 65.1 MAF of Kharif 2020. Rabi season 2021-22 stood at 27.4 MAF, showing a decrease
of 12 percent over Rabi 2020-21. (Table 2.2).
Table 2.2: Actual Surface Water Availability (Million Acre Feet)
% increase/decrease
Period Kharif Rabi Total over the average system
usage (103.5 MAF)
Average system usage 67.1 36.4 103.5 -
2014-15 69.3 33.1 102.4 -1.1
2015-16 65.5 32.9 98.4 -4.9
2016-17 71.4 29.7 101.1 -2.3
2017-18 70.0 24.2 94.2 -9.0
2018-19 59.6 24.8 84.4 -18.5
2019-20 65.2 29.2 94.4 -8.8
2020-21 65.1 31.2 96.3 -7.0
2021-22 65.1 27.4 92.5 -10.6
Source: Indus River System Authority
I. Crop Situation
The important crops contribute 19.44 percent to value addition in agriculture sector and
4.41 percent to GDP. Other crops account for 13.86 percent in value addition of
agriculture sector and 3.14 percent in GDP. The production of important crops is given
in Table 2.3.
18
Agriculture
a) Important Crops
i) Cotton
Pakistan is 5th largest producer of cotton in
Fig-2.1: Cotton Production
the world. Export of cotton and textile
14000
products have a share of around 60 percent 11946
in overall exports of the country. It 12000
9861
contributes around 0.6 percent to GDP and 10000 9148
8329
2.4 percent of the value added in
(000 bales)
8000 7064
agriculture. Over the last decade or so, area
6000
under cotton cultivation has been declined
and replaced by its competing crops like 4000
sugarcane, maize, potato and rice. During 2000
2021-22, the cropped area declined to
0
1,937 thousand hectares (6.8 percent) 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
against last year’s 2,079 thousand hectares. (P)
19
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
ii) Sugarcane
Sugarcane is of great significance for
Fig 2.2: Sugarcane Production
sugar related industries and 2nd largest
100000
agro-based industry after textile. Its 88651
90000 83333 81009
production accounts for 3.7 percent in 80000
agriculture’s value addition and 0.8 70000
67174 66380
percent in GDP. During 2021-22,
(000 Tonnes)
60000
sugarcane was cropped on 1,260 50000
0
recorded at 88.651 million tonnes during 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 (P)
2021-22, up by 9.4 percent over last year
(81.009 million tonnes). The higher domestic sugar price and better sugarcane
procurement price incentivized growers to dedicate more area to sugarcane, favourable
weather conditions, better management and timely availability of quality inputs. The
area, production, and yield of sugarcane during the last five years are given in Table 2.5
and Figure 2.2.
Table 2.5: Area, Production and Yield of Sugarcane
Year Area Production Yield
(000 Hectare) % Change (000 Tonnes) % Change (Kgs/Hec.) % Change
2017-18 1,342 - 83,333 - 62,096 -
2018-19 1,102 -17.9 67,174 -19.4 60,956 -1.8
2019-20 1,040 -5.6 66,380 -1.2 63,841 4.7
2020-21 1,165 12.0 81,009 22.0 69,534 8.9
2021-22(P) 1,260 8.2 88,651 9.4 70,341 1.2
P: Provisional
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
iii) Rice
Rice is an important cash crop and after
Fig 2.3: Rice Production
wheat and it is 2nd major staple food item
10000 9323
consumed in the country. Its production 8420
9000
comprises of 34 percent of basmati (fine) 8000 7450 7414
7202
types and 66 percent of coarse types. 7000
During the last few years, production of
(000 Tonnes)
6000
coarse types is increasing as the farmers 5000
0
sown on 3,537 thousand hectares, 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 (P)
showing an increase of 6.1 percent as
against 3,335 thousand hectares last year. The record high output of rice stood at 9.323
million tonnes during 2021-22, higher by 10.7 percent than last year’s production of
8.420 million tonnes. From the last couple of years, area under rice cultivation is
20
Agriculture
iv) Wheat
Wheat is the staple crop and it ensures food Fig 2.4: Wheat Production
security of the country. Wheat is cultivated
28000
over 22 million acres and accounts for 7.8 27464
27500
percent of the value added in agriculture and 27000
1.8 percent of GDP. Self-sufficiency in wheat 26394
26500
has been an objective of every Government and 26000
(000 Tonnes)
21
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Box-I: Impacts of the Conflict between the Russia-Ukraine on Food and Agriculture Markets in
Pakistan
Pakistan imports significant amounts of wheat, pulses, and oilseeds from the Russia and Ukraine. Last
year, imports from Russia and Ukraine contributed for 77.3 percent of total wheat imports, 19.3 percent
of total pulses imports, and 10.4 percent of total oilseed imports into the country. Moreover, although
Pakistan is not primarily dependent on these two countries for fertilizers and fossil fuels, it is likely to
bear the brunt of rising international prices for fertilizers and energy.
Due to high fertilizer prices and drought in some parts of the country, Pakistan has missed its wheat
production target of 28.90 million metric tons (MMT) for 2021-22 season. Therefore, Pakistan will most
likely need to import 3.0 MMT of wheat in the next few months. Wheat prices were already rising to
historic levels, but with the ongoing conflict between the Russia and Ukraine, international wheat prices
are now at their highest level in the last few decades. The increased cost of production domestically,
due to increased fertilizer and energy prices, are expected to raise the price of wheat in the Pakistani
market.
Cooking oil and ghee are also essential food commodities in Pakistan. The country's annual requirement
for edible oil is around 4.1 MMT. In 2021, Pakistan produced only 11 percent of edible oil required for
domestic consumption, and the rest of 89 percent was imported. Since the beginning of the conflict, the
price of cooking oil in Pakistan has increased by 14.2 percent, and that of vegetable ghee has risen by
15.8 percent in just six weeks. This increasing trend is likely to persist as the international edible oils
market may experience a considerable shortfall due to the conflict.
Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Pakistan
v) Maize
During 2021-22, maize crop was sown on
area of 1,653 thousand hectares and Fig 2.5: Maize Production
recorded increase of 16.6 percent over 12000
10635
last year’s cultivated area of 1,418
10000 8940
thousand hectares. Maize crop output
7883
recorded at 10.635 million tonnes 8000
6826
(000 Tonnes)
22
Agriculture
b) Other Crops
During 2021-22, gram production grew by 36.3 percent and reached to 319 thousand
tonnes on account of availability of certified seeds and favourable weather conditions
compared to last year. The production of rapeseed & mustard increased by 26.7 percent
while production of Jowar and Bajra witnessed a decrease of 33.3 percent and 15.0
percent, respectively, due to decline in area under cultivation. The production of Barley
and Tobacco remained at the last year’s production level. The area and production of
other crops is given in Table 2.9.
Table 2.9: Area and Production of Other Kharif and Rabi Crops
Crops 2020-21 2021-22(P) % Change in
Area Production Area Production production over
(000 Hectares) (000 Tonnes) (000 Hectares) (000 Tonnes) Last year
Bajra 350 266 227 226 -15.0
Jowar 126 96 77 64 -33.3
Gram 883 234 867 319 36.3
Barley 42 42 39 42 -
Rapeseed & Mustard 224 296 277 375 26.7
Tobacco 55 168 55 168 -
P: Provisional
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
During 2021-22, the production of chillies, potato and moong increased by 36.6 percent,
35.1 percent and 29.0 percent, respectively, as compared to same period of last year.
However, the production of mash and onion declined by 11.6 percent and 8.5 percent,
respectively, while production of masoor remained same over last year. The area and
production of other crops is given in Table 2.10.
Table 2.10: Area and Production of Other Crops
Crops 2020-21 2021-22(P) % Change in
Area Production Area Production production
(000 Hectares) (000 Tonnes) (000 Hectares) (000 Tonnes) over Last year
Masoor 6.9 4.1 5.8 4.1 -
Moong 231.1 204.5 301.8 263.8 29.0
Mash 11.0 6.9 8.0 6.1 -11.6
Potato 234.3 5,873.0 313.8 7,937.1 35.1
Onion 153.8 2,305.7 141.0 2,108.8 -8.5
Chillies 46.8 105.4 58.1 144.0 36.6
P: Provisional
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
i) Oilseeds
During FY2022 (July-March), 2.754 million tonnes of edible oil/oil from oilseed for
crushing total value Rs 662.657 billion (US$ 3.681 billion) was imported. Local
production of edible oil during this period is provisionally estimated at 0.460 million
tonnes. Total availability of edible oil during this period is estimated at 3.214 million
tonnes. The area and production of oilseed crops is given in Table 2.11.
23
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Table 2.11: Area and Production of Major Oilseed Crops (000 Tonnes)
Crops 2020-21 2021-22 (July-March) (P)
Area Production Area Production
(000 Acres) Seed Oil (000 Acres) Seed Oil
Cottonseed 5,137 1,782 214 4,740 2,126 255
Rapeseed & Mustard 608 338 108 692 377 121
Sunflower 151 87 33 253 141 54
Canola 77 49 19 124 79 30
Total 5,073 2,256 374 5,809 2,723 460
P: Provisional
Source: Pakistan Oilseed Development Board (PODB), Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
For promotion of oilseed crops, Ministry of National Food Security & Research (M/o
NFS&R) is executing a mega project “National Oilseed Enhancement Programme” with a
total cost of Rs 10.964 billion under the National Agriculture Emergency Programme.
Subsidy of Rs 5,000 per acre for seed/inputs for canola, sunflower and sesame and 50
percent on purchase of oilseed machineries is being provided to oilseed growers.
Rabi 2021-22 started with an opening balance of 116 thousand tonnes of urea (Table
2.12). Domestic production during Rabi 2021-22 was estimated at 3,272 thousand
24
Agriculture
tonnes. A quantity of 100 thousand tonnes arrived through import from China. Urea
offtake during Rabi 2021-22 is projected around 3,195 thousand tonnes, against 3,489
thousand tonnes of total availability, leaving a closing balance of 294 thousand tonnes
for upcoming season. DAP availability during Rabi 2021-22 is estimated about 1,181
thousand tonnes, which includes 353 thousand tonnes of opening inventory, 385
thousand tonnes of imported supplies and domestic production of 443 thousand tonnes.
Offtake of DAP during Rabi season stood at 933 thousand tonnes, leaving a balance of
255 thousand tonnes for next season.
The total availability of urea during Kharif 2022 will be about 3,508 thousand tonnes,
comprising of 294 thousand tonnes of opening balance and 3,214 thousand tonnes of
domestic production (Table 2.12). Urea offtake is expected to be around 3,364 thousand
tonnes, leaving a balance of 144 thousand tonnes. The total availability of DAP will be
705 thousand tonnes against expected offtake of 907 thousand tonnes. Supply and
demand gap will be filled through imported supplies by the private sector.
Table 2.12: Fertilizer Supply Demand Situation (000 Tonnes)
Description Kharif (Apr-Sep) 2021 Rabi (Oct-Mar) 2021-22 Kharif (Apr-Sep) 2022
Urea DAP Urea DAP Urea DAP
Opening Stock 298 55 116 353 294 255
Imported Supplies 0 733 100 385 0 30
Domestic Production 3,106 444 3,272 443 3,214 420
Total Availability 3,404 1,232 3,489 1,181 3,508 705
Offtake/Demand 3,258 889 3,195 933 3,364* 907
Write on/off -29.8 9 0 7 0 0
Closing Stock 116 353 294 255 144 -202
*: Offtake projections are based on demand received from Punjab province and three-year average offtake for
rest of the provinces.
Source: National Fertilizer Development Centre
25
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
with the following countries and international organizations; D-8, SAARC, FAO, ECO,
Turkey, Netherlands, Germany, UK, Middle east, Azerbaijan, USA, Japan, Russia, Korea,
China and Turkmenistan.
2. Distinctness, Uniformity and Stability (DUS) Examination
A total of about 149 new candidate lines of Oilseeds, Vegetables, Pulses, Fruits, Paddy,
Fodder & Forage, Medicinal plant, Maize, Wheat & Cotton have been examined for DUS
trials during the subject period. DUS examination is under progress.
3. Track and Traceability of Certified Seed
FSC&RD collected traceability data from majority of seed companies which revealed that
total wheat seed availability was 638,000 MT (before processing out of which companies
processed 520,000 MT and 947,855 certified seed tags were issued for 474,000 MT after
testing by FSC&RD. A total of 338,464 MT of certified seed was supplied by the seed
companies to seed dealers depending on market demand and 206,680 MT of certified
seed was sold to farmers i.e., 31 percent of total seed availability and 19 percent of total
seed requirement (1,075,562 MT). This showed that certified seed replacement was 19
percent out of which 160,715 MT of new rust tolerant varieties have been given to
farmers (i.e., 15 percent certified seed replacement of new varieties).
The area, seed requirement and seed availability during FY2022 (July-March), are given
in Table 2.13.
Table 2.13: Area, Seed Requirement and Seed Availability (Metric Tonnes)
Crop Sowing Total Seed Seed Availability
Area* Requirement Public Private Imported Total **
(000 Ha)
Wheat 9,210 1,137,435 76,309 561,300 0 637,609
Cotton 2,330 39,940 425 28,712 0 29,137
Paddy 3,070 44,148 965 40,037 4,145 45,167
Maize 1,331 32,868 88 2,494 15,615 18,198
Pulses 1,185 42,674 379 3,980 0 4,359
Oilseeds 830 10,790 2 1,031 467 1,500
Vegetables 280 8,400 0 1,058 2,828 3,886
Fodders 2,038 61,140 0 5,961 19,028 24,999
Potato 166 415,000 0 0 13,400 13,400
Total 20,440 1,792,396 78,169 644,572 55,483 778,225
*: Targeted area has been decided by the Federal Committee on Agriculture (FCA), M/o NFS&R.
**: The seed availability figures (excluding wheat) are provisional
Source: Federal Seed Certification & Registration Department, M/o NFS&R
26
Agriculture
The domestic tractor industry has played a significant role in fulfilling the requirements
of tractors. The number of operational tractors in the country is around 670,000
resulting in availability of around 0.09 horsepower (HP) per acre against the required
power of 1.4 HP per acre. During 2021-22 (July-March), total tractor production reached
to 41,871 compared to 36,900 produced last year, a 13.5 percent higher than same
period last year. The prices and production of locally manufactured tractors are given in
Table 2.14.
Table 2.14: Prices and Production of Locally Manufactured Tractors 2021-22 (July-March)
Tractors Model – Base Price Total Price Actual Actual Sale
Horse Power (HP) Excluding Including Production (in Nos.)
GST (Rs) GST@ 5% (Rs) (in Nos.)
M/s Al-Ghazi Tractors Limited
NH-480-S (55 HP) 1,170,000 1,228,500 3,720 3,725
NH-480 Power Plus (55 HP) 1,221,500 1,282,575 2,160 2,164
Ghazi (65 HP) 1,352,000 1,4,19,600 6,495 6,303
640 (75 HP) 1,733,000 1,819,650 3,208 3,078
Dabung (85 HP) 1,790,000 1,879,500 486 432
NH-70-56 4WD (85 HP) 2,355,000 2,472,750 36 35
Total 16,105 15,737
M/s Millat Tractors Limited
MF-240 (50 HP) 1,192,000 1,251,600 5,318 5,346
MF-350 P.S (50 HP) 1,380,000 1,449,000 08 0
MF-260 (60 HP) 1,378,000 1,446,900 4,389 4,387
MF-360 P.S (60 HP) 1,455,000 1,527,750 307 329
MF-375 (85 HP) 1,787,000 1,876,350 1,259 1,279
MF-385 (85 HP) 1,860,000 1,953,000 13,692 13,739
MF-375 4WD (75 HP) 2,320,000 2,436,000 153 142
MF-385 4WD (85 HP) 2,410,000 2,530,000 625 644
Total 25,766 25,866
Grand Total 41,871 41,603
Source: Tractor Manufacturers, Federal Water Management Cell
iv) Irrigation
During the monsoon season (July-September) 2021, rainfall recorded at 125.0 mm
showing a decline of 11.3 percent against the normal average rainfall of 140.9 mm.
During post-monsoon season (October-December) 2021, rainfall stood at 23.5 mm
against the normal average rainfall of 26.4, showing a decrease of 11.2 percent. During
winter season (January-March) 2022, rainfall recorded at 72.7 mm against the normal
average rainfall of 74.3 mm, showing a decrease of 2.2 percent. Rainfall recorded during
the reference period is given in Table 2.15.
Table 2.15: Pakistan’s Rainfall* Recorded During 2021-22 (in Millimetres)
Monsoon Rainfall Post Monsoon Rainfall Winter Rainfall
(Jul-Sep) 2021 (Oct-Dec) 2021 (Jan-Mar) 2022
Normal** 140.9 26.4 74.3
Actual 125.0 23.5 72.7
Shortage (-)/excess (+) -15.9 -2.9 -1.6
% Shortage (-)/excess (+) -11.3 -11.2 -2.2
*: Area Weighted **: Normal/Long Period Average of 1961-2010
Source: Pakistan Meteorological Department
27
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Table 2.16: Canal Head Withdrawals (Below Rim Stations) (Million Acre Feet)
Province Kharif Kharif % Change in Rabi Rabi % Change in
(Apr-Sep) (Apr-Sep) Kharif 2021 (Oct-Mar) (Oct-Mar) Rabi 2021-22
2020 2021 Over 2020 2020-21 2021-22 Over 2020-21
Punjab 33.44 33.13 -1 17.42 14.65 -16
Sindh 28.80 28.96 1 12.01 11.08 -8
Balochistan 2.02 1.94 -4 1.22 1.00 -18
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 0.85 1.05 23 0.57 0.70 23
Total 65.11 65.08 -0.05 31.21 27.42 -12
Source: Indus River System Authority
Pakistan has been blessed with a bounty of water resources. During its course, the Indus
River and its Tributaries irrigates 48 million acres of land through one of the world
largest contiguous Indus Basin Irrigation System having average annual withdrawal of
101 MAF water. It is estimated that approximately 50 MAF groundwater is pumped
through 1.2 million tubewells. Water is essential to meet the food need for country's
growing population. Rising population, reservoir sedimentation, dwindling river
supplies and climate change impacts have put Pakistan’s limited water resources under
immense stress. The country is facing severe water stress gradually morphing into water
scarcity.
The Government’s existing strategy of “Integrated Water Resources Management”
recognizes the need to introduce appropriate policy measures, institutional reforms, and
knowledge-based interventions to make water infrastructure and management system
more efficient and sustainable. Main targets for 2018-30 under National Water Policy
(2018) are; 33 percent reduction in the 46 MAF river flows lost in conveyance through
watercourses lining, live storage capacity enhancement of 10 MAF, 20 percent increase
in water use efficiency through modern irrigation techniques, refurbishment of
irrigation infrastructure, real-time monitoring of water distribution for transparent
water accounting and development of unified authentic database to have reliable water
resources assessment.
During FY2022, an amount of Rs 90.312 billion (10 percent of total PSDP) were allocated
for 91 water sector’s development projects/studies (including Mohmand Dam Rs 15
billion, Diamer Basha Dam Rs 8 billion, Diamer Basha Land acquisition Rs 7 billion and
Kachhi Canal 12 billion). Out of this, Rs 57.544 billion have been released till 31st March,
2022 against which utilization is Rs 47.618 billion.
Key Achievement during FY2022
Despite the continuing impacts of COVID-19, construction activities remained in
progress on both national importance mega projects i.e., Diamer-Basha Dam and
28
Agriculture
Mohmand Dam projects. On completion, these dams will greatly mitigate water and
power shortages in the country.
Kachhi Canal (Phase-I) with 72,000 CCA in Balochistan remained operational. 55,000
of this command area has been developed.
Work on Kachhi Canal Phase-I (Remaining works) having additional 30,000 acres
CCA remained in full swing.
Rainee Canal Phase-I has been completed and handed over to Irrigation Department,
Government of Sindh.
Initiation of about 30 new schemes of small dams/recharge/check having cost about
Rs 28.60 billion with an allocation of Rs 2.74 billion in Balochistan.
Works on Kurram Tangi Dam Phase-I (Kaitu Weir Diversion and allied works)
remained in progress in North Waziristan. The project is planned to be completed in
next financial year.
Detailed engineering design of Chashma Right Bank Canal (Lift-cum-Gravity) Project
completed, and PC-I submitted by MoWR is under approval process.
Upon approval of PC-II, Expression of Interests were published for hiring of
Consultants for Detailed engineering design of Kurram Tangi Dam Phase-II.
Under Karachi Transformation Plan (Storm Water Drain Projects), Restoration &
Revamping of Mehmoodabad Nullah was completed, while Restoration & Revamping
of Gujjar Nullah & Orangi Nullah remained in progress.
PC-I for Greater Karachi Bulk Water Supply Scheme K-IV approved by ECNEC on
31.01.2022.
Under Southern Balochistan Package, approval of 17 water sector projects
including Sunni Gar, Panjgur, Gish Kaur, Awaran & Shehznek dams and one umbrella
PC-II covering 10 feasibility studies has been accorded.
Under Sindh Package Feasibility study, detailed engineering design, Tender
documents & PC-I of Jacobabad, Shikarpur & Kashmore drainage projects, Feasibility
for construction of Drainage network in Taulka Ubauro, Daharki, Khangar, Mirpur
Mathelo of District Ghotki and construction of small Storage Dams, Delay Action
Dams, Recharge Weirs and I.S.S.O barriers have been initiated.
Revised PC-I of Naulong Multipurpose Dam Project (Jhal Magsi, Balochistan)
amounting to Rs 39.9 billion recommended to ECNEC by CDWP.
Consultants for detailed engineering design of Hingol Dam Project having 65,000
acres CCA in Lasbela, Balochistan under finalization.
Contractor re-mobilized at Nai Gaj Dam site and re-commenced the suspended
works.
Due to gradual decrease in the surface water inflow at Rim stations, water
availability at canal head for Kharif season 2021-22 remained 67.14 MAF compared
to 68.04 MAF in Kharif season 2020-21.
In Balochistan, Sindh, Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa construction of
medium/small/delay action dams and recharge dams remained in progress in
FY2022. Province-wise detail is as under:
29
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
30
Agriculture
Financial
Key Initiative Activity/action conducted Results Achieved
Expenditure
Karachi Transformation Plan Approval and releases of Rs 34,505.738 ¾ Restoration & Rs 8 billion
(Storm Water Drain Projects) million to 4 projects namely revamping of have been
i) Restoration & revamping of Mehmoodabad expended till
Mehmoodabad Nullah and its Nullah and its 28th Feb. as
Tributaries Tributaries have reported by
ii) Restoration & revamping of Gujjar been completed Sponsors.
Nullah ¾ Restoration &
iii) Restoration & revamping of Orangi revamping of
Nullah Gujjar Nullah &
iv) Restoration & revamping of Liyari & Orangi Nullah are
Malir Rivers with associated being
Tributaries implemented
31
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
During FY2022 (July-March), banks have disbursed Rs 958.3 billion which is 56.4
percent of the overall annual target and 0.5 percent higher than the disbursement of Rs
953.7 billion made during the same period last year. Further, the outstanding portfolio
of agricultural loans has increased by Rs 30.9 billion i.e., from Rs 601.8 billion to Rs 632.7
billion at end March 2022 as compared to same period last year. In terms of outreach,
the number of outstanding borrowers has reached to 3.2 million in March 2022. The
comparative disbursements of agriculture lending banks/institutions against their
annual indicative targets during FY2022 (July-March) are given in Table 2.18
Analysis of the sector-wise disbursement reveals that out of the total disbursement of
Rs 958.3 billion, the farm sector has received Rs 474 billion (49.5 percent) and Rs 484.3
billion (50.5 percent) has been disbursed to non-farm sector during FY2022 (July-
March). However, the data of farm credit by land holdings reveals that Rs 170.5 billion
has been disbursed to the subsistence farm size which witnessed 13.7 percent growth
during the period. Moreover, Rs 66.2 billion has been disbursed to economic farm size
and Rs 237.3 billion to the above economic farm size witnessing a decline of 21.3
percent. Under non-farm sector, agriculture lending institutions disbursed Rs 128.2
billion to small farms with positive growth mainly due to credit off take in non-farm
sector activities especially in livestock/dairy and meat sector. Moreover, Rs 356.0 billion
has been disbursed to large farms showing a growth of 3.6 percent during FY2022 (July-
March). The sector-wise comparative details of credit disbursements are given below in
Table 2.19.
Table 2.19: Credit Disbursement to Farm & Non-Farm Sectors (Rs billion)
Sector FY2021 (July-March) FY2022 (July-March) %
(Land Holding/Farm size) Disbursement % Share Disbursement % Share Growth
in Total in Total over the
Period
A Farm Sector 507.9 53.3 474.0 49.5 -6.7
1 Subsistence Holding1 150 15.7 170.5 17.8 13.7
2 Economic Holding2 56.2 5.9 66.2 6.9 17.8
1 Landholding in acres (Punjab and KP up to 12.5, Sindh up to 16.0 and Balochistan up to 32.0)
2 Landholding in acres (Punjab and KP 12.5-50.0, Sindh 16.0-64.0 and Balochistan 32.0-64.0)
32
Agriculture
Table 2.19: Credit Disbursement to Farm & Non-Farm Sectors (Rs billion)
Sector FY2021 (July-March) FY2022 (July-March) %
(Land Holding/Farm size) Disbursement % Share Disbursement % Share Growth
in Total in Total over the
Period
3 Above Economic Holding3 301.7 31.6 237.3 24.8 -21.3
B Non-Farm Sector 445.8 46.7 484.3 50.5 8.6
1 Small Farms 102.1 10.7 128.2 13.4 25.6
2 Large Farms 343.7 36 356 37.2 3.6
Total (A+B) 953.7 100 958.3 100 0.5
Source: State Bank of Pakistan
3 Landholding in acres (Punjab and KP above 50.0, Sindh and Balochistan above 64.0)
33
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
February, 2022. Since its inception, more than 131,000 farmers have benefitted
through this scheme against Rs 1.1 billion funds released by the Federal Government.
iii. Adoption of Electronic Land Record Management Information System (LRMIS)
by banks for Agriculture Financing: SBP is working in collaboration with
Provincial Governments and financial institutions for implementing and
mainstreaming electronic land verification records and charge creation for availing
bank loans.
iv. Promoting Electronic Warehouse Receipt Financing (EWRF): EWRF is a form of
credit, extended by banks to farmers, traders and processors against
commodities/agricultural produce stored in accredited warehouses. In order to
allow banks to start EWRF in line with Collateral Management Company (CMC)
Regulations 2019, SBP has issued the necessary amendments in Prudential
Regulations while allowing EWR as acceptable collateral for bank financing. Further,
to sensitize banking industry and kick start of EWRF in Pakistan, SBP has formally
launched EWRF in February, 2022 wherein 25 banks signed the System Usage
Agreements (SUA) with CMC.
v. Introduction of Scoring Model for Agriculture Credit Performance of Banks:
SBP has introduced the scoring model to promote fairness and transparency in
gauging the individual performances of agriculture lending banks. The scoring model
utilizes a multi-dimensional criteria based on various indicators, which are used to
calculate an aggregate statistic reflective of each bank’s agriculture credit
performance.
vi. Introduction of Champion Bank Concept: To address the bottlenecks in
agriculture credit outreach in underserved areas by introducing the concept of
provincial/regional champion banks in underserved areas. The six regional
champion banks will spearhead the efforts in their respective assigned
province/region (Southern Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan, AJK
and GB) to enhance flow of credit and bring more borrowers into the fold of formal
credit network.
III. Forestry
According to the latest findings of National Forest Reference Emissions Level (FREL),
the country is maintaining 4.786 million hectare (5.45 percent) area under forest cover.
Within the forest cover area, dry temperate forests hold the largest share (36 percent),
followed by sub-tropical broadleaved shrub (19 percent), moist temperate (15 percent),
Chir Pine (13 percent), Riverine (4 percent), irrigated plantation (4 percent), thorn (3
percent), mangrove (3 percent) and subalpine forests (2 percent). The inadequate forest
cover area due to growing population and dependence on the natural resources coupled
with deforestation have rendered the country one of the most vulnerable to climate
change effects. As a result, natural resources are under tremendous pressure owing to
change of land use and habitat destruction and consumption of fuel wood and timber
extraction. Such pressures have rendered most of the forests of poor and medium
density in need of drastic restocking on war footing.
34
Agriculture
The position of milk and meat production for the last three years is given in Table 2.22.
Table 2.22: Estimated Milk and Meat Production (000 Tonnes)
Species 2019-201 2020-211 2021-221
Milk (Gross Production) 61,690 63,684 65,745
Cow 22,508 23,357 24,238
Buffalo 37,256 38,363 39,503
35
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The estimated production of other livestock products for the last three years is given in
Table 2.23.
Table 2.23: Estimated Livestock Products Production
Products Units 2019-201 2020-211 2021-221
Eggs Million Nos. 20,133 21,285 22,512
Hides 000 Nos. 18,139 18,751 19,384
Cattle 000 Nos. 9,405 9,759 10,127
Buffalo 000 Nos. 8,622 8,878 9,142
Camels 000 Nos. 112 114 115
Skins 000 Nos. 59,460 60,837 62,250
Sheep Skin 000 Nos. 11,807 11,947 12,088
Goat Skin 000 Nos. 30,129 30,946 31,784
Fancy Skin 000 Nos. 17,524 17,945 18,377
Lamb Skin 000 Nos. 3,507 3,548 3,590
Kid Skin 000 Nos. 14,017 14,397 14,787
Wool 000 Tonnes 47.3 47.9 48.4
Hair 000 Tonnes 29.4 30.2 31.0
Edible Offal’s 000 Tonnes 440 452 465
Blood 000 Tonnes 73.1 75.0 77.0
Casings 000 Nos. 60,069 61,461 62,888
Guts 000 Nos. 19,280 19,929 20,599
Horns & Hooves 000 Tonnes 64.3 66.2 68.2
Bones 000 Tonnes 961.0 990.3 1,020.7
Fats 000 Tonnes 304.5 313.6 322.9
Dung 000 Tonnes 1,362 1,405 1,448
Urine 000 Tonnes 413 425 437
Head & Trotters 000 Tonnes 274.6 282.4 290.4
Ducks, Drakes & Ducklings Million Nos. 0.38 0.37 0.35
1:The figures for livestock product for the indicated years were calculated by applying production parameters to the projected
population of respective years.
Source: Ministry of National Food Security & Research
36
Agriculture
b) Poultry
Poultry sector is one of the most important segments of livestock that provides
employment to more than 1.5 million people in the country. With an investment of more
than Rs 750 billion, this industry is growing at an impressive growth rate of
approximately 7.5 percent per annum over the last decade that has enabled Pakistan to
occupy 11th position among the largest poultry producer of the world and has ample
space for further improvement.
Ongoing Projects
The Federal Government has launched following programmes under the “Prime
Minister’s National Agriculture Emergency Programme”:
Prime Minister Initiative for Backyard Poultry Projects: Under this project, five
million pre-vaccinated high laying backyard birds will be distributed among public
across the country at subsidized rates. The total cost of the project is Rs 1.6 billion, where
30 percent contribution by federal and provincial governments, while rest of the cost
to be borne by the beneficiary. Since 2019, 2.927 million backyard poultry birds will be
distributed by the 30th June 2022 in all over the Pakistan except Sindh.
37
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Prime Minister Initiative for Safe the Calf Project: Under this project, 380,000 male
calves are projected to be saved from early slaughter in 4 years period through financial
incentive of Rs 6,500 per calf to farmers besides reducing mortality with improved
nutrition and husbandry practices. This intervention is providing stock for feedlot
fattening for enhanced productivity and quality beef which ultimately result in high
profit margins for the farmers and reduced rural poverty. The total cost of the project is
Rs 3.4 billion. The Federal Government is contributing 20 percent of total cost, while the
remaining will be shared by provincial governments. Since 2019, 167175 calves would
be saved by the 30th June 2022 in all over the Pakistan except Sindh and Balochistan.
Prime Minister Initiative for Calf Feedlot Fattening in Pakistan: Under this
programme, Rs 4,000 for each calf has been allocated as financial incentive to persuade
farmers to produce healthy and nutritious beef in the country. In Balochistan, Rs 1500
cash incentive is given for each fattened sheep/goat. The intervention is promoting
feedlot fattening business in the country. The total cost of the project is Rs 2.4 billion.
Since 2019, 191757 calves fattened in all over Pakistan except Sindh and Balochistan
and 240,000 kid/lamb will be fattened in Balochistan by the 30th June 2022.
i. Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR). The Fleming Fund Country Grant with the
support of U.K. Department of Health and Social Care Programme to help low-and
middle-income countries fight AMR has initiated a programme in collaboration of
Government of Pakistan with the following objectives:
Improved policy environment for managing AMR-Data review and analysis
In the animal health sector, the Fleming Fund Country Grant is providing support for
strengthening AMR surveillance in food animals, diagnostic harmonization, capacity
development of animal health laboratories, field surveys for AMU and Knowledge
Attitudes Practices (KAP) surveys. To cope up with the scope in animal health sector,
Fleming Fund through AHC office, M/o NFS&R has identified
38
Agriculture
To better coordinate AMR and AMU activities in the animal health sector alongside
Human Health, (M/o NFS&R) has notified the establishment of the AMR Coordination
Unit (AMR-CU) at the Animal Husbandry Commissioner (AHC) office.
39
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Way Forward:
The available potential in agriculture sector needs to be exploited to boost economic
growth, job creation and encourging country’s exports. For this purpose synchronization
of programmes, reforming of institutions and encouraging public-private partnership,
simplification of laws and investment reforms is the need of the hour. As federal and
provincial investment should be based on their mandate/role in agriculture sector and
national issues could be co-financed. Effective mechanisation stands vital to enahnce
productivity in this sector.
40
@5AH:57GHE<Aé5A8@<A<Aé
>^D^ĞĐƚŽƌ'ƌĞǁďLJ
;:ƵůͲDĂƌͿ&zϮϬϮϮ
kű¥ěŅě¥Æ±ŸĜŸØXačųåƵÆƼ
ƖƅţƅŞåųÏåĹƋĜĹa±ųÏĘ8¥ƖLjƖƖ
kűaěŅěaƱŸĜŸXaĵ±ųĩåÚ
ƋĘåčųŅƵƋĘŅüíţƖŞåųÏåĹƋĜĹ
a±ųÏĘƖLjƖƖ
kƚƋŅüƖƖŸƚÆŸåÏƋŅųŸØŎƀŞŅŸƋåÚ
čųŅƵƋĘÚƚųĜĹčIƚĬƼěa±ųÏĘ8¥ƖLjƖƖ
Chapter 3
In Pakistan, manufacturing with a share of 12.4 percent in GDP has a dominant presence
within the industrial sector. Pakistan’s national accounts capture manufacturing sector
in three different components: Large Scale Manufacturing (LSM), Small Scale
Manufacturing (SSM) and Slaughtering. Establishments having ten or more employees
are covered under LSM. Quantum Index of Manufacturing (QIM) is a measure of LSM
performance with 78.4 weight in overall LSM, derived from the Census of Manufacturing
Industries (CMI) 2015-16 (Box-I). Similarly, Small Scale Manufacturing (SSM)
information is also based on the survey1 conducted in year 2015. It covers industrial and
household units engaged in manufacturing activity having less than ten employees.
While, slaughtering sector performance is estimated through a methodology which
measures the value addition in output of the sector.
During FY2022, LSM with 9.2 percent of GDP dominates the overall manufacturing
sector, accounting for 74.3 percent of the sectoral share followed by Small Scale
Manufacturing, which accounts for 2.0 percent of total GDP and 15.9 percent sectoral
share. The third component, slaughtering, accounts for 1.2 percent of GDP with 9.7
percent sectoral share.
1 A survey titles “Small and Household Manufacturing Industries (SHMI) 2015” was conducted by Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) for
rebasing.
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
to stoke strong inflationary winds throughout the global economy resulting damage in
the form of higher food and energy prices or new supply-chain disruptions. Thus,
economic recovery from virus-induced economic recession would remain uncertain in
the coming years because of uncertainty in pandemic resurgences as well as uncertain
geopolitical tensions.
140 60
40
120
20
100
0
80
-20
60 -40
YoY Growth (rhs) QIM
40 -60
Mar-20
Mar-21
Sep-19
Oct-19
May-20
Jun-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
May-21
Jun-21
Mar-22
Sep-21
Oct-21
Dec-19
Feb-20
Dec-20
Feb-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
Apr-21
Aug-19
Jan-20
Apr-20
Aug-20
Jan-21
Aug-21
Jan-22
Jul-19
Nov-19
Jul-20
Nov-20
Jul-21
Nov-21
Since September 2020, the LSM has rebounded after months of a downturn. On year-on-
year (Y-o-Y) basis, LSM grew by 26.6 percent in March FY2022 against 22.5 percent
growth in the same month last year (Fig. 3.2). Initially the pace was slow till December
2021, but rebounded from January 2022 onwards. While, Month-on-Month (M-o-M)
42
Manufacturing and Mining
basis, growth of LSM marked the growth of 8.2 percent in March 2022 as compared to
3.7 percent in February 2022.
Box-I: Rebasing of Quantum Index of Large Scale Manufacturing Industries
(from 2005-06 to 2015-16)
Rebasing of Large Scale Manufacturing Industries has been conducted with the following
objectives:
To measure the structural changes in Large Scale Manufacturing Industries, new Census of
Manufacturing Industries (CMI) is conducted on the base of 2015-16.
Pakistan Standard Industrial Classification (PSIC) 2010, derived from UN International Standard
Industrial Classification ISIC Rev-4, has been used to classify manufacturing activities.
The current QIM is rebased on the basis of results of CMI 2015-16. Important changes can be
gauged from the table below:
QIM 2005-06 QIM 2015-16
Sources No. of Items Weights (%) No. of Items Weights (%)
Total 112 70.30 123 78.40
Ministry of Industries & Production 36 49.56 36 40.54
Oil Companies Advisory Council 11 5.41 11 6.66
Provincial Bureaus of Statistics/PBS 65 15.37 76 31.17
Coverage
Previous censuses were conducted on the frame of Labour and Industries departments which had low
coverage. To improve coverage, Business Register (BR) of PBS was utilized for the current census,
which is based on different administrative sources like SECP, FBR, EOBI, PSX, Distribution companies
of WAPDA, Provincial Labour and Industries departments, etc. which resulted to 390 percent increase
in frame as understated below:
Number of Establishments QIM 2005-06 QIM 2015-16
Frame 8,680 42,578
Respond 6,417 23,712
Major Groups 15 23
Source: - Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
43
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Textile sector weight has been reduced from 20.9 to 18.16 in QIM 2015-16 but still the
highest among all sectors of LSM. The sector grew by 3.2 percent during July-March
FY2022 as compared to 8.0 percent in the same period last year. Major growth
originated from woolen segment production with highest surge of 38.9 percent in
blankets, 27.9 percent growth in woolen & carpet yarn, and 19.1 percent in woolen &
worsted cloth. Production of yarn and cloth showed marginal growth of 0.7 and 0.3
percent, respectively. Congruent production units, invariant capacity and elevated
cotton prices owing to demand and supply gap disruptions have moderated the growth
momentum of the cotton sector. Depreciation of rupee restrained the production of jute,
as most of the raw material is imported from Bangladesh. However, surge in imports of
textile machinery2, rising demand for concessionary financing3 from textile firms and
high exports4 of this sector showing a sizeable improvement in the textile sector.
Wearing apparel has been separated from textile sector with 6.08 weight in QIM
showing the growth of 34 percent against the contraction of 35.6 percent. The sector has
gained traction local as well as in international market as garments production grew at
34.0 percent during the period. The export of garments also escalated with 33.9 percent
growth in terms of quantity during July-March FY2022.
Food group having second highest weight of 10.69 in QIM witnessed the growth of 11.7
percent during the period under review against 27.1 percent same period last year.
Sugar, bakery and chocolate & sugar confectionary, tea blended, and starch came up with
significant growth of 38.1, 11.9 and 10.6 percent respectively. Historic bumper crop of
sugar cane and better international prices pushed up the production level of sugar in
Pakistan. Production of cooking oil increased by 10.8 percent, while vegetable ghee
down by 2.5 percent. Surging prices of palm oil and soyabean in international market
2 As per PBS, textile machinery imports reached to US$ 621.7 million from US$ 377.5 million showing an increase of 64.7
percent during Jul-Mar FY2022.
3 According to SBP, out of 202.9 billion of total financing of LTFF/TERF under fixed financing 94.6 billion has been borrowed
by textile sector (i.e., 46.6 percent of total financing to private sector business).
4 According to PBS, exports of textile group increased by 25.4 from 11.4 billion to 14.2 billion during Jul-Mar FY2022.
44
Manufacturing and Mining
accompanied with the depreciating Pakistani currency against the dollar were the major
factors responsible for lower level of production. Production of wheat & rice milling
stood negative at 2.6 percent during the period under review.
Coke and Petroleum products marginally grew by 2.0 percent in July-March FY2022
against 12.3 percent same period last year. High global energy prices depressed the
overall growth momentum. However, pickup in economic activities especially
automobile and resultant increase in transportation activities and oil sales (which
showed an increase of 14.9 percent during July-March FY2022 and clocked at 16.3
million tonnes) partially offset the impact of high fuel prices. Besides, production of jute
batching oil, jet fuel oil, kerosene oil, diesel and Solvant Naptha remained encouraging
as demand spurred from transportation.
Automobile sector marked a vigorous growth of 54.1 percent during July-March FY2022
against 21.6 percent growth last year. New Auto Policy, to promote new technologies
including Electric Vehicles (EVs) and Hybrid, and accommodative monetary policy to
promote auto financing paved the way to grew automobiles production. Besides, tax
incentives to promote locally manufactured cars also pent-up the demand as well as the
production of the given sector such as locally manufactured hybrid sales tax reduced
from 12.5 percent to 8 percent and FED reduced by 2.5 percent upto 1300cc for locally
manufactured cars. Moreover, during July-March FY2022 car production and sale
increased by 56.7 and 53.8 percent, respectively. Trucks & Buses production and sale
increased by 66.0 and 54.0 percent and tractor production and sale increased by 13.5
and 12.1 percent, respectively. Though the relief measures in form of waiving of taxes
pushed up the sector, in the meanwhile reduced the revenues of national exchequer and
built the pressure on imports besides creating uncertainty in market sentiments.
Iron & Steel production jumped by 16.5 percent during the period under review against
the contraction of 8.6 percent in the same period last year. Billets/Ingots, mainly used in
construction industry, grew by 32.8 and H/C.R.Sheets/Strips/Coils/plates increased by
7.9 percent. Both reflect the growth momentum in automobile and construction-allied
sectors. Non-metallic Mineral Products inched up 1.1 percent as compared to 18.5
percent increase last year.
Chemicals is subdivided into two components i.e., chemical products and fertilizers with
the total weight of 6.48 in QIM. The chemical products showed the growth of 15.2
percent against 14.5 percent same period last year. Sulphuric acid, hydrochloric acid,
soda ash, and toilet soaps remained the major contributors to overall growth of
chemicals. On the other hand, Fertilizers production showed a meager growth of 3.3
percent as compared to 5.9 percent growth during last year.
Pharmaceuticals growth witnessed a dip of 0.4 percent during July-March FY2022,
against the growth 10.5 percent last year, triggered by hefty decline observed in
capsules, injections, tablets and galenicals. Electrical equipment declined by 1.1 percent
against the hefty shrink of 17.1 percent.
Paper and Board production increased by 8.5 percent during July-March FY2022 as
compared to dip of 0.6 percent last year. Rubber Products nosedived by 20.6 percent
45
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
during July-March FY2022 as compared to 13.1 percent growth in the same period last
year. Wood Products jumped by 157.5 percent as compared to contraction of 46.2
percent last year. Production of Plywood remained the sole contributor to overall pick
up in the output of wood. Furniture production drastically increased by 301.8 against
71.7 percent in the same period last year.
46
Manufacturing and Mining
47
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
48
Manufacturing and Mining
vii. Canvas
The performance of canvas remained subdued both in term of quantity and value which
shows decline of 11.02 percent and 7.87 percent, respectively, and recorded at 29.3
million Kgs during the period under review as compared to 32.9 million Kgs during the
same period last year.
viii. Synthetic Textile Fabrics
Artificial silk such as Synthetic fibers Nylon, Polyester, Acrylic and Polyolefin dominate
the market. There are currently five major producers of synthetic fibers in Pakistan, with
a total capacity of 636,000 tons per annum. Synthetic textile fabrics worth US$ 343.59
million were exported as compared to US$ 269.20 million last year which is showing an
increase of 27.6 percent. In Quantitative terms, the exports of synthetic textile decreased
by 33.6 percent.
ix. Woolen Industry Table 3.6: Exports of Carpets and Rugs (Woolen)
(July-March) (July-March) %
The main products manufactured by the 2021-22 2020-21 Change
Woolen Industry are carpets and rugs. Quantity
(Th.Sq.Mtr) 1.799 1.109 62.22
The exports of carpets during the period
July-March FY2022 are given in the Table Value
60.993 54.324 12.28
(M.US$)
3.6.
Source: Textile Commissioner's Organization
x. Jute Industry
The main products manufactured by the Jute Industries are Jute Sacks and Hessian cloth,
which are used for packing and handling of Wheat, Rice and Food Grains. The installed
and working capacity of jute industry is given in the Table 3.7.
Table 3.7: Installed and working capacity of Jute
(July-March) 2021-22 (July-March) 2020-21 % Change
Total No. of Units 10 10 0
Spindles Installed 25060 25060 0
Spindles Worked 16973 21172 -19.8
Looms Installed 1102 1134 -2.8
Looms Worked 737 885 -16.7
Source: Textile Commissioner's Organization
49
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
were reversed in the subsequent mini-budget thus frustrating the possible impetus to
growth.
New Auto Industry Development and Export Policy 2021-26 has been announced
Besides Make in Pakistan notion, in the new policy, interalia, Meri Gari Scheme, New
Product Policy and setting up of export targets have been introduced. All these measures
are encouraging, and it is expected that these initiatives would soon see the light of day.
However, in the forthcoming outlook the demand would weaken, as disposable incomes
would decline with higher inflation, and higher exchange rates and increasing interest
rates, amongst other factors.
The august performance has been observed in automobile sector during the period of
July-March FY2022 (Table 3.8). It was the latent demand for motor vehicles that showed
about 50 percent plus growth. Also, in the heavy commercial vehicles, there is
substantial growth in trucks as the medium size trucks, around 5 ton, unexpectedly
became popular due to affordability and expansion of e-commerce. Additionally,
number of small trucks signed up at a reduced rate of 5 percent in response to Kamyab
Jawan Scheme. More market expansion is expected owing to inbuilt confidence by the
current investors as well as the new entrants in bringing locally produced hybrid
vehicles. Therefore, all projections cast a positive outlook for the industry.
In case of passenger cars, the production and sales are up by 57 percent and 54 percent
with 166,768 and 172,612 units, respectively. In this regard, higher growth has been
observed in up to 800cc and up to 1000cc segments registering 77 percent and 65
percent growth, respectively. Growth in exceeding 1000cc segment was 35 percent. For
similar reasons, the production and the sales of light commercial vehicles (LCV) and
SUVs registered increase by 44 percent and 46 percent, respectively. In the SUV and SUV
crossover segment two new products appear from Beijing Automotive Industry, BAIC
BJ40L and BAIC X25 with modest numbers which are expected to grow in time.
Farm tractor sector has shown growth with production and the sales up by 13.5 percent
and 12 percent respectively. This pleasant upward surge was due to overall growth in
agriculture sector ensuing better crop prices and consequent more buying power of the
farmers. However, these numbers are not even close to the highest numbers this
industry had achieved in the past.
The two/three wheelers sector showed modest fall in production and the sales by 3.5
percent and 4.1 percent respectively. This fall is due intra-industry production losses by
some units, while other units have shown their natural growth. Two/three wheelers
offers most economical public transport alternate for the lower income group, however,
at same time, it is extremely price sensitive. Massive exchange rate losses kicked off
inflationary conditions resulting inevitable price increase. Still, this sector offers most
preferred means of transport and best alternative in the absence of Public Transport in
the cities and thus holds a dependable and continued potential for growth in the coming
years.
50
Manufacturing and Mining
The auto sector constitutes about 15 percent to LSM, hence represents significant
industrial output of the country. According to PBS, automobile recorded 54.1 percent
upsurge during July-March FY2022. Despite robust growth during 9 months of FY2022,
the higher numbers, to a great extent, fall short of installed capacities. Also, these
numbers are far too meager against production projections made in the successive auto
policies. Long-term policies attracting new players did indeed expand the market with
new makes and models but volumes did not go across critical level that warrant broad-
based localisation and import substitution. Auto industry heavily invested during the
last four decades to establish engineering base in the country and undertook
innumerable transfer technology agreements. All this holds a bright future for so far best
performing auto-sector amongst the large-scale manufacturing.
Given Government support and removal of irritants would soon going to bear fruits in
the wake of industrial expansion as many new investors have joined with commercial
production while the existing players have already made huge investments and a lot
more is in waiting. These investments by the new and the existing players is testimony
to confidence in our market, at home and abroad. Given the macroeconomic stability in
the country and the extraneous factors not to go out of hand, particularly in terms of
unwanted tariffs and untoward policies, the latent demand would burst out and
expansion of industry volumes would sure to take place.
51
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
example, the iron and steel sector are the major supplier of raw material to the tractor industry and its
growth hinges on tractor production in Pakistan. Furthermore, tractor parts and raw material are also
being exported worldwide as the allied industries are gradually finding their own feet.
The Agriculture Machinery sector, more specifically the tractor industry, is also promoting the
development of SMEs in the engineering sector. Aside from a few big names, most of the manufacturers
are small businesses that are successfully meeting the local demand. Some of these players have also
established themselves in exports. They manufacture tools and implements that are attached with
tractors such as front loaders etc. These implements are considered complementary parts of tractors
and are essential for tillage and harvesting.
In the Engineering and Healthcare Show, organized by the MOC and TDAP in February 2022, Pakistan’s
tractors and agriculture machinery were in the limelight. The interest of foreign delegates could be
gauged from the fact that two deals worth more than US$ 200,000 were finalized on the spot. It is
expected that Pakistan’s tractor exports will grow in the near future.
Source: Trade Development Authority of Pakistan
Nutrient offtake during July-March FY2022 remained 3,826 thousand tonnes which was
3.6 percent less than the corresponding period of the previous year. Nitrogen and
phosphate offtake were 2,861 and 903 thousand tonnes, respectively, whereas Potash
offtake was 63 thousand tonnes. Offtake of Nitrogen during current fiscal year increased
slightly by 0.02 percent, while offtake of Phosphate decreased by 14.3 percent as
compared to corresponding time frame of the last year.
Urea and DAP offtake remained 5,076 thousand tonnes and 1,534 thousand tonnes,
respectively. Urea offtake increased by 6.5 percent while DAP offtake decreased by 18.6
percent as compared to the same period of the previous year.
52
Manufacturing and Mining
Cement industry showed a decline of 6.3 percent in March FY2022 on Y-o-Y basis due to
massive decline in exports. Total cement dispatches stood at 5.04 million tonnes (mt) as
against 5.38 mt last year. Domestic consumption grew by 4.02 percent and reached 4.75
mt as compared to 4.56 mt in March FY2021. The largest hit was observed by exports
which drastically decrease by 63.8 percent to 0.30 mt dispatches in March FY2022 as
compared to 0.82 mt during same period last year. This was largely attributed to rising
international freight rates, political and economic instability in Afghanistan and a trade
ban with India.
6 60%
5 40%
20%
Million tonnes
Growth rates
0%
3
-20%
2
-40%
1 -60%
- -80%
Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22
Source: All Pakistan Cement Manufacturer Association
Northern Region
Domestic consumption in the north recorded at 3.85 mt in March FY2022 as compared
to 3.81 mt dispatches in the same month last year thus showing a slight growth of 1.07
percent. Exports from north plummeted by 71.3 percent and stood at 0.08 mt during the
period as compared to 0.28 mt same period last year.
Southern Region
Domestic consumption in the south increased by 18.9 percent and reached to 0.90 mt in
March FY2022 as compared to 0.75 mt in March FY2021. While exports from the region
decreased by 59.8 percent, from 0.53 mt to 0.21 mt in March FY2022.
Cumulative Dispatches
Total local dispatches during July-March FY2022 slightly decreased by 0.03 percent to
36.17 mt from 36.18 mt last year. While, total exports clocked in at 4.64 mt (-35.04
percent) against 7.15 mt during the same period last year. Local dispatches from the
northern region decreased by 2.27 percent, while southern region dispatches surged by
12.3 percent. Exports from the north nosedived by 64.5 percent, while south witnessed
fall of 24.3 percent growth during the period.
Cumulative dispatches (local & exports) posted a decline of 5.8 percent and reached
40.82 mt during July-March FY2022 against 43.32 mt in the corresponding period.
53
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
54
Manufacturing and Mining
Government has launched the National SME Policy 2021 in January 2022, underlining the importance
of supporting small businesses and startups with key performance targets to be achieved by 2025
includes:
¾ Increasing the economic contribution of SMEs via sustaining a growth rate of small scale
manufacturing by 9 percent, services sector SMEs by 10 percent, average employment by 5 percent
and exports by 10 percent per annum.
¾ Making SMEs more competitive & productive via increasing credit to Rs 800 billion and number of
borrowers from 172,893 to 700,000
¾ Number of registered businesses to grow by 10 percent per year.
Policy envisions to introduce following initiatives under key thematic areas:
The SME Definition enunciated in National SME Policy 2021 has been adopted by the State Bank of
Pakistan through amendment in SME Prudential Regulations vide IH&SMEFD Circular No. 05 of 2022
dated March 29, 2022.
i. SME Regulatory Reforms: A total of 167 reform proposals have been identified and within a
short span of time, 112 reform proposals have been implemented. Furthermore, no NOC regime
for SMEs & Start-ups, BMR through a Risk Based Assessment Model, Self Declaration, Time Bound
Approvals regime, E-inspection Portal and Sample Based Audits shall be instituted to simply
regulatory regime for SMEs.
3. Simplified Taxation Regime: SMEs falling under particular size thresholds have been provided
an option to opt for a presumptive tax regime and or normal tax regime with reduce taxation rates,
minimal audit and reduced interface with the government. Other incentives include, single point
collection of taxes and levies, progressive reduction in Withholding Tax with corresponding
increase in formalization and Sales/ Income Tax receipts, no audit under presumptive regime,
minimal audits under normal tax regime and Single Sales Tax Portal launched by the FBR to file
single monthly Sales Tax returns instead of multiple returns.
4. SMEs Access to Finance: SBP’s SME Aasan Finance Scheme (SAAF) scheme has been launched that
provides, loans up to Rs 10 million for 3-year tenure with 40-60 percent Credit Risk Guarantee to
SMEs. Other measures included in SME policy are to design, financing incentives for SMEs with tax
55
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
history, undertake specialized lending for micro and small enterprises, operationalization of
Venture Capital and Credit Guarantee Company and such initiatives for promoting financial
inclusion in the country.
5. Skills, Human Resource & Technology: A special focus has been placed on human resource
development such as establishing National Skills Fund, undertaking skills mapping, support
technology acquisition and research & development for technology upgradation, and developing
model of labour market data management.
6. Infrastructure: Allocation of land in existing industrial estates on a land lease-based model is one
of the pillars of the National SME Policy. For the purpose, 4,200 acres of land has been identified
for SMEs with access to 19,500 plots to set-up business. Similarly, it is envisaged that identified
plug and play infrastructure facilities will be made available to SMEs.
8. Business Development Services: Linking SMEs with Business Development Service Providers
(BDSPs) on cost share basis and undertaking focused development initiatives for high growth SME
sub-sectors will catalyze sectoral and cluster-based support for SMEs.
i. Participation of SMEs shall be supported in trade fairs, exhibitions & trade delegations.
Furthermore, capacity of SMEs will be enhanced to make them export ready and for adopting
digitization to capitalize upon the opportunities of a growing E-commerce market. In this regard,
E - Tijarat Platform has been launched on February 21 st, 2022 to facilitate SMEs.
ii. Public Procurement: Reservation in public procurement from SMEs, review of requirement of
performance guarantees, bid bonds, securities and turnover restrictions, as well as
Supplier/Contactors being bound to purchase a fixed percentage of business orders from SMEs
are initiatives envisaged to be undertaken as part of implementation of the National SME Policy.
i. National Coordination Committee (NCC) on SMEs Development: NCC has been constituted to
lead the agenda of SME development and ensure effective implementation of the National SME
Policy 2021. The NCC is supported by Provincial Working Groups set up in each of the
provinces.
ii. Institutional Strengthening of SMEDA
a. Institutional Reform of SMEDA: SMEDA will be further strengthened to transform its
organizational potential.
b. SME Registration Portal (SMERP)- Single Point Access to all Incentives: An SME
Registration Portal has been developed, which is integrated with NADRA, FBR, SECP and
over time, other data gathering agencies. SMEs may register at the SME Registration Portal
and apply for SME Size Certificate.
c. SME Development Fund: An SME Development Fund to the tune of PKR 30 billion shall
be established.
d. Census of Economic Establishments / SME Census: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS)
shall conduct Census of Economic Establishments.
56
Manufacturing and Mining
e. Advocacy: SMEDA shall continue to take a central role in SME advocacy and coordination
of SME related efforts across the country.
f. Presence of SMEDA in Key Regulatory Arenas as a voice of SMEs
Source: SMEDA
57
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
During July-March FY2022, production of major minerals such as Coal, Natural Gas,
Chromite, Crude Oil and Barytes witnessed the growth of 8.34, 3.45, 25.7, 4.48 and 162.5
percent, respectively. Further details of the extraction of principal minerals are given in
the table 3.11.
Table 3.11: Extraction of Principal Minerals
Minerals Unit of July-March %Change
2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
Quantity 2020-21 2021-22* FY22/FY21
Coal 000 M.T 5,407 8,428 9,230 6,798 7,365 8.34
Natural Gas 000
40.68 37.29 36.22 27.25 28.2 3.45
M.CU.Mtr
Crude Oil M.Barrels 32.50 28.09 27.56 20.77 21.70 4.48
Chromite 000 M.T 138 121 134 101 127 25.74
Magnesite 000 M.T 43 16 15 13 6 -52.30
Dolomite 000 M.T 472 302 388 335 325 -3.03
Gypsum 000 M.T 2,518 2,150 2527 955 1,232 -36.98
Lime Stone 000 M.T 75,596 65,810 76,632 59,366 39,581 -33.33
Rock Salt 000 M.T 3,799 3,369 3,366 2,686 2, 037 -24.16
Sulphur 000 M.T 21 20 19 15 12 -16.80
Barytes 000 M.T 116 55 52 32 84 162.50
Iron Ore 000 M.T 627 574 806 611 620 1.55
Soap Stone 000 M.T 157 150 289 241 259 7.47
Marble 000 M.T 7,736 5,797 7917 6,204 4,781 -22.94
Ocher 000 M.T 81 132 107 87 65 -25.46
*: Provisional
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS)
Each province has its own Mines and Minerals Department which is responsible for
exploration, exploitation, and investment promotion of mineral endowments in
provinces. Besides, the departments also contribute to the tax and non-tax revenue5 of
the government. Efforts are being made for scientific exploration and exploitation of the
5
Punjab has contributed a handsome amount of Rs 41.83 billion as non-tax revenue during last five years.
58
Manufacturing and Mining
mineral resources in all provinces. Government has given prompt attention towards the
development of minerals. Following initiatives have been taken during the period of
July-March FY2022.
59
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Several Mineral Titles and Concessions were held without any development,
exploration or mining activity. Therefore, the Department initiated action against
such concessions/titles and cancelled more than 100 expired/idle concessions/titles
which have now become free for serious investors.
The Government of Balochistan has enacted two companies in the name of
Balochistan Mineral Exploration Company (BMEC) and Balochistan Mineral
Resources Limited (BMRL). Both companies have been granted exploration licenses.
During the current fiscal year BMRL has been granted Reconnaissance License (RL)
for Solar Salt for which international investor has approached the company for Joint
Venture which will pave the way for mining of solar salt on large scale for the first
time in the province.
The Department has initiated project “Capacity Building of the Officers of Mines &
Minerals Development Department” under which 24 officers were given financial
and management training at IBA Karachi in October 2021.
3.7 Conclusion
Accommodative fiscal and monetary measures continued in FY2022 provided incentives
to the businesses to perform better. Thus, LSM picked up the momentum and staged the
overall growth of 10.4 percent during July-March FY2022. The performance was broad
based on the back of strong growth of high weighted sectors such as textile, food,
wearing apparel, chemicals, automobile, tobacco, and iron & steel products. It is also
pertinent to mention here that operationalization of special economic zones under CPEC
in Nowshera, Pishin and Faisalabad further paved the way for fast tracked industrial
development which is pivotal to achieve inclusive and sustainable economic growth.
Supply-side disruptions which were originated from pandemic still in place due to
emergence of new variants. Ukraine-Russia conflict has further escalated this disruption.
Thus, internationally commodity prices are increasing significantly along with intense
uncertainty in the market confidence. All these may result in severe challenges in LSM
performance as industrial production is mainly dependent on import of capital goods.
Thus, the future prospects of industrial sector are uncertain as risks still prevails owing
to geopolitical environment, surge in energy prices, and new variants.
60
+.(&1)*:*1452*38
ZĞǀĞŶƵĞƐŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĚďLJ
5VELOOLRQ
;ϴ͘ϴйŽĨ'WͿŝŶ:ƵůͲDĂƌ&zϮϬϮϮ
7RWDOH[SHQGLWXUHVJUHZE\SHUFHQWWR
UHDFK5VELOOLRQLQ-XO\0DUFK)<
7RWDOGHYHORSPHQWH[SHQGLWXUHLQFUHDVHG
VLJQL¿FDQWO\E\SHUFHQWWR5V
ELOOLRQLQ-XO\0DUFK)<
Chapter 4
Fiscal Development
Agile fiscal policy has played a decisive role in macroeconomic stabilization in the
backdrop of the COVID-19 pandemic. When prices and demand plunged and the central
banks in advanced countries were unable to lower interest rates any further, fiscal policy
became more important. It provided significant impetus to businesses, assistance to
vulnerable households, and minimized the impact of business closures on economic
activity and employment. However, it did so at the cost of massive deficits, which added
to the world's already high debt levels.
After a steep expansion in 2020, the fiscal
deficit contracted in 2021, owing to Fig: 4.1- General Government Overall
economic recovery and the withdrawal of Balance % of GDP
emergency aid from governments around 2020 2021 2022(P)
France
Spain
U.SA
Italy
China
India
Pakisan
Germany
The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has potentially serious economic consequences
for Pakistan’s economy. In the second half of the current fiscal year, Pakistan faced
greater inflationary pressures being an importer of crude oil and food commodities as
well as palm oil, etc. The negative economic consequences of the conflict have
exacerbated difficult policy choices for the country. Thus, controlling inflation,
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
strengthening the economic recovery, supporting the vulnerable, and rebuilding fiscal
buffers, all became significantly important. In striking a balance between these policy
choices, the fiscal accounts have come under significant pressure during the current
fiscal year.
A quick review of fiscal indicators shows that FY2021 witnessed a strong performance
in fiscal indicators with a sizeable decline in fiscal deficit to 6.1 percent of GDP against
7.1 percent of GDP in FY2020. Nevertheless, additional spending under COVID-19 funds
for vaccine procurement, IPPs circular debt payment, social sector spending, and higher
development expenditures have kept the strain on this performance for the current
fiscal year. Nonetheless, the sector fared well during the first half of the current fiscal
year. The deficit contained to 2.0 percent of GDP which was similar to the deficit
recorded in the last year. However, during the second half of the current fiscal year, the
global economic challenges due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict and resultantly its impact
on international commodities prices, especially energy and food brought a plethora of
challenges to Pakistan’s economy. Particularly, the fiscal accounts came under further
pressure to provide relief to the masses. To offset the impact of increasing oil prices, tax
relief to the masses was provided in the shape of a reduction in the Petroleum
Development Levy (PDL) and the elimination of the sales tax on all POL goods. These
measures, combined with energy subsidies, have posed significant risks to fiscal
sustainability in an already constrained fiscal environment.
Although tax collection grew significantly during the period under review, however,
higher current and development expenditures widened the fiscal deficit by 55.3 percent
in July-March FY2022. In terms of GDP, the deficit has increased to 3.8 percent during
the period, up from 3.0 percent in the previous period. Similarly, the primary balance
posted a deficit of Rs 447.2 billion (0.7 percent of GDP) during July-March FY2022 as
compared to a surplus of Rs 451.8 billion (0.8 percent of GDP) last year. On the revenue
side, FBR was able to boost the collection by 28.5 percent to reach Rs 4,855.8 billion
during July-April FY2022 against Rs 3,777.7 billion collections in the same period of last
year. Total expenditure, on the other hand, increased by 27.0 percent and reached Rs
8,439.8 billion during July-March FY2022, against Rs 6,644.6 billion in the comparable
period of last year.
Despite significant challenges on the fiscal side, the government is striving hard to
restore fiscal sustainability by reducing the fiscal deficit in the medium to long term.
However, this can only be done through effective revenue mobilization and a prudent
expenditure strategy. In this regard, key priorities are to increase the tax to GDP ratio
through various tax policy and administration reforms and to curtail unnecessary
expenditures by adopting austerity measures. Furthermore, the focus is on the
rationalization of untargeted subsidies and reducing the losses of public sector
enterprises through better governance. These measures would provide significant
support to control the slippages in expenditures and increase the revenues, hence
lowering the fiscal deficit.
62
Fiscal Development
Overall, the total revenue receipts grew at a slower pace of 10.1 percent in FY2021,
compared to the significant increase of 28.0 percent in FY2020. This slowdown in
revenue growth was attributed to the sharp decline in non-tax collection relative to tax
revenues during the period under review.
Table: 4.1 Fiscal Indicators as percent of GDP
Overall Expenditure Revenue
Year Fiscal Total
Total Current Development/1 Tax Non-Tax
Deficit Rev.
FY2008 7.3 21.4 17.4 4.0 14.1 9.9 4.2
FY2009 5.2 19.2 15.5 3.5 14.0 9.1 4.9
FY2010 6.2 20.2 16.0 4.4 14.0 9.9 4.1
FY2011 6.5 18.9 15.9 2.8 12.3 9.3 3.0
FY2012 8.8 21.6 17.3 3.9 12.8 10.2 2.6
FY2013 8.2 21.5 16.4 5.1 13.3 9.8 3.5
FY2014 5.5 20.0 15.9 4.9 14.5 10.2 4.3
FY2015 5.3 19.6 16.1 4.2 14.3 11.0 3.3
Overall Expenditure Revenue
Year Fiscal Total
Total Current Development/1 Tax/2 Non-Tax/1
Deficit Rev.
FY2016 4.1 17.7 14.3 4.0 13.6 10.4 3.2
FY2017 5.2 19.1 14.6 4.7 13.9 10.4 3.5
FY2018 5.8 19.1 14.9 4.1 13.3 10.8 2.5
FY2019 7.9 19.1 16.2 2.8 11.2 9.7 1.5
FY2020 7.1 20.3 17.9 2.5 13.2 9.3 3.9
FY2021 6.1 18.5 16.3 2.4 12.4 9.4 2.9
FY2022B.E 6.3 22.6 19.2 3.5 16.3 12.0 4.3
/1 including net lending
Note: Beginning from FY2016, Pakistan's GDP was rebased at 2015-16 prices from the old base of 2005-06.
Therefore, wherever, GDP appears in the denominator the number prior to FY2016 are not comparable.
/2: During FY2021, the fiscal accounts have been reclassified in line with the implementation of PFM procedures.
According to the reclassification, federal taxes other than FBR have now been included in non-tax revenue. To make
the data comparable, the fiscal indicators since FY2016 have also been reclassified.
Source: Budget Wing and Economic Adviser Wing’s Calculations, Finance Division
63
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
50
10.4 10.4 10.8 9.7 9.3 9.4
0
-50
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021
Note: In this chapter graphical representation of fiscal indicators as a percentage of GDP is based on revised data since FY2016
Tax collection increased by 19.5 percent (9.4 percent of GDP) in FY2021, up from 4.3
percent (9.3 percent of GDP) in FY2020. Both the Federal and Provincial Governments
contributed to this improvement. Overall tax collection benefited from a revival in
domestic economic activity during FY2021. Specifically, various policy and
administrative measures to improve the tax collection, higher imports, and anti-
smuggling measures supported FBR to achieve higher than expected revenue growth
during FY2021. Non-tax revenues, on the other hand, fell by 12.4 percent in FY2021,
primarily due to a decline in receipts from PTA profits, SBP profits, windfall levy against
crude oil, and mark-up (PSEs and others).
During FY2021, total expenditures grew by 6.8 percent (18.5 percent of GDP) against
the significant growth of 15.6 percent (20.3 percent of GDP) in the comparable period of
FY2020. The slower pace in expenditure growth was realized on the back of 6.5 percent
growth in current spending during FY2021 against a sharp rise of 20.1 percent in
FY2020. In contrast, total development expenditures grew by 7.2 percent during FY2021
against a 2.0 percent decrease in FY2020. Overall, the expenditure management during
FY2021 enabled the Government to use additional funds for spending on social safety
nets, the Economic Stimulus Package, and
targeted assistance to various sectors of Fig-4.4: Revenue-Expenditure Gap
the economy. (% of GDP)
30
Expenditure
On the provincial side, all the four 24
FY2017
FY2018
FY2019
FY2020
FY2021
64
Fiscal Development
FY2017
FY2018
FY2019
FY2020
FY2021
During the year, the current
expenditures accounted for 88.1 percent Total Expenditure
Development
Current
of total expenditures.
Table 4.2: Trends in Components of Expenditure (% of GDP)
Year Total Current Markup Defence Development Non Interest Fiscal Revenue Primary
Expen- Expen- Payments Expenditure* Non-Defence Deficit Deficit/ Balance
diture diture Exp Surplus
FY2008 21.4 17.4 4.6 2.6 4.2 14.2 7.3 -3.3 -2.7
FY2009 19.2 15.5 4.8 2.5 3.4 11.8 5.2 -1.4 -0.3
FY2010 20.2 16.0 4.3 2.5 4.1 13.4 6.2 -2.1 -1.9
FY2011 18.9 15.9 3.8 2.5 2.8 12.6 6.5 -3.5 -2.7
FY2012 21.6 17.3 4.4 2.5 3.9 14.6 8.8 -4.5 -4.3
FY2013 21.5 16.4 4.4 2.4 3.5 14.7 8.2 -3.0 -3.8
FY2014 20.0 15.9 4.6 2.5 4.5 12.9 5.5 -1.5 -1.0
FY2015 19.6 16.1 4.8 2.5 4.1 12.3 5.3 -1.8 -0.6
FY2016 17.7 14.3 3.9 2.3 4.0 11.5 4.1 -0.8 -0.3
FY2017 19.1 14.6 3.8 2.5 4.8 12.8 5.2 -0.7 -1.4
FY2018 19.1 14.9 3.8 2.6 4.0 12.7 5.8 -1.6 -1.9
FY2019 19.1 16.2 4.8 2.6 2.7 11.7 7.9 -5.0 -3.1
FY2020 20.3 17.9 5.5 2.6 2.4 12.2 7.1 -4.8 -1.6
FY2021 18.5 16.3 4.9 2.4 2.2 11.2 6.1 -3.9 -1.2
FY2022 B.E 22.6 19.2 5.7 2.5 3.6 14.4 6.3 -2.9 -0.7
* excluding net lending
Note: Indicators since FY2016 are based on revised GDP on a new base (2015-16). Therefore, the numbers prior to FY2016 are
not comparable.
Source: Budget Wing, Finance Division, and EA Wing's Calculations
65
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The component-wise analysis shows that the markup payments grew by 5.0 percent in
FY2021 against a sharp rise of 25.3 percent in the year earlier. The major contribution
to 5.0 percent growth during the year entirely came from 9.1 percent growth in domestic
payments, while foreign payments contracted by 26.3 percent in the same period. Lower
interest rates and debt relief through the Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI) were
the main reasons for the limited growth in markup payments in FY2021. Mark-up
payments contributed 26.7 percent of total expenditures in FY2021, down from 27.2
percent in FY2020, while their share of current expenditure remained nearly the same
at 30.3 percent in FY2021, down from 30.7 percent in the previous year.
Defence expenditures grew by 8.5 percent in FY2021 against 5.8 percent growth in
FY2020. Its contribution to total and current spending increased to 12.8 percent and
14.5 percent in FY2021 from 12.6 percent and 14.2 percent in FY2020, respectively. The
running of civil government expenditures witnessed a decline of 3.5 percent in FY2021
against a 3.2 percent increase recorded in FY2020. The decline under this head is the
outcome of various austerity measures that were adopted during the year. In FY2021,
the expenditures under subsidies increased by 18.1 percent down from 84.2 percent
recorded in FY2020. During FY2021, the power sector continued to be the largest
beneficiary of high subsidies, receiving Rs 339.0 billion compared to Rs 269.8 million
during the same period in FY2020. The contribution of subsidies to current expenditure
increased to 4.7 percent in FY2021 from 4.2 percent in FY2020.
66
Fiscal Development
is imperative because it provides countries with the necessary fiscal space to finance
various social and physical infrastructures required for achieving higher inclusive and
sustainable economic growth.
Overall tax revenues (federal & provincial) increased to 9.4 percent of GDP in FY2021
against 9.3 percent of GDP recorded in FY2020 (Fig-4.7). In total, FBR which collects a
major part of tax revenues was able to increase the tax to GDP ratio to 8.5 percent in
FY2021 against 8.4 percent of GDP in FY2020.
Total tax collection has been severely
impacted over the last two years: first in Fig-4.8: Total FBR (Rs billion)
4,745
FY2019 due to a slowdown in economic
3,997
activity because of stabilization measures, 3,844 3,829
3,368
a low tax rate on major petroleum 3,113
products, import compression, suspension
of withholding tax collection on mobile
top-ups, and a reduced rate on salary
income. Second, during FY2020, the
COVID-19 crisis hampered tax collection.
However, FBR’s measures to improve the
tax collection helped it to achieve a growth FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021
of 19 percent in FY2021 against a 4.4
percent rise in the preceding year. It is
worth mentioning that FBR tax collection crossed the Rs 4 trillion mark for the first time
1
FBR Biannual Review Jan-Jun 2020-21
67
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
in history. Nonetheless, during the last six years, the tax to GDP ratio remained lower
within a range of 8.4 percent and 9.8 percent.
Table 4.3: Structure of Federal Tax Revenue (Rs billion)
Total Tax Rev Direct Indirect Taxes
Year (FBR) as % of Taxes Customs Sales Excise Total
GDP
FY2008 1,008.1 9.5 387.9 150.7 377.4 92.1 620.2
[38.5] {24.3} {60.9} {14.9} [61.5]
FY2009 1,161.1 8.8 443.5 148.4 451.7 117.5 717.6
[38.2] {20.7} {62.9} {16.4} [61.8]
FY2010 1,327.4 8.9 526.0 160.3 516.3 124.8 801.4
[39.6] {20.0} {64.4} {15.6} [60.4]
FY2011 1,558.2 8.5 602.5 184.9 633.4 137.4 955.7
[38.7] {19.3} {66.3} {14.4} [61.3]
FY2012 1,882.7 9.4 738.4 216.9 804.9 122.5 1,144.3
[39.2] {19.0} {70.3} {10.7} [60.8]
FY2013 1,946.4 8.7 743.4 239.5 842.5 121.0 1,203.0
[38.2] {19.9} {70.0} {10.1} [61.8]
FY2014 2,254.5 9.0 877.3 242.8 996.4 138.1 1,377.3
[38.9] {17.6} {72.3} {10.0} [61.1]
FY2015 2,589.9 9.4 1,033.7 306.2 1,087.8 162.2 1,556.2
[39.9] {19.7} {69.9} {10.4} [60.2]
FY2016 3,112.7 9.5 1,217.3 404.6 1,302.7 188.1 1,895.4
[39.1] {21.3} {68.8} {9.9} [60.9]
FY2017 3,367.9 9.5 1,344.2 496.8 1,329.0 197.9 2,023.7
[39.9] {24.5} {65.7} {9.8} [60.1]
FY2018 3,843.8 9.8 1,536.6 608.4 1,485.3 213.5 2,307.2
[39.7] {26.4} {64.4} {9.3} [60.0]
FY2019 3,828.5 8.7 1,445.5 685.6 1,459.2 238.2 2,383.0
[37.8] {28.8} {61.2} {10.0} [62.2]
FY2020 3,997.4 8.4 1,523.4 626.6 1,596.9 250.5 2,474.0
[38.1] {25.3} {64.5} {10.1} [61.9]
FY2021 4,745.0 8.5 1,731.3 748.4 1,988.3 277.0 3,013.7
[36.5] {24.8} {66.0} {9.2} [63.5]
FY2022 5,829.0 10.8 2,182.0 785.0 2,506.0 356.0 3,647.0
B.E
B.E: Budget Estimate
Note: FBR tax to GDP ratio since FY2016 is calculated on the basis of the revised GDP at the new base
2015-16.
[]as % of total taxes, {} as % of indirect taxes
Source: Federal Board of Revenue
Within FBR net tax collection, sales tax posted the highest growth of 24.5 percent
followed by customs duty 19.4 percent, direct taxes 13.6 percent, and federal excise duty
(FED) 10.6 percent in FY2021 against 9.4 percent, negative 8.6 percent, 5.4 percent, and
5.2 percent, respectively in FY2020. The share-wise analysis implies that Pakistan’s tax
system is mostly reliant on indirect taxes. For instance, sales tax remained the top
revenue-generating source with a 42 percent share in total tax collection. Whereas
direct taxes contributed 36.5 percent, customs duty 16 percent, and FED 6 percent in
68
Fiscal Development
FBR tax collection. It implies that indirect taxes, which are regressive in nature, account
for the majority of tax revenue in Pakistan, contributing to more than 60 percent of total
FBR tax collection. Direct taxes, on the other hand, are a more equitable way of
increasing revenue because they make the system more progressive by narrowing down
the inequality gap.
FBR has taken various steps over the last many years to increase the contribution of
direct taxes in overall tax collection. The maximum statutory rates of customs duty have
been reduced from 125 percent in FY1988 to currently 20 percent. Similarly, the
contribution of customs duty in the total collection came down from 45.7 percent in
FY1991 to 15.8 percent in FY2021. The tax base of FED contracted over the years and
now is restricted to only a few commodities like cigarettes, cement, beverages,
international travel, etc. The contribution of FED in the total collection also dropped
from around 20 percent in FY1991 to 5.8 percent in FY2021. The sales tax was re-
structured as a tax on consumption, which is in line with the principles of equity and
progressivity.
Over the period, customs duty slabs have been reduced from 7 to 4 and the highest slab
has been brought down from 30 percent to 20 percent. Accordingly, customs duty slabs
have been reduced to four, i.e., 3 percent, 11 percent, 16 percent, and 20 percent, with a
ceiling of 20 percent and a floor of 3 percent, with exception of a few goods like vehicles
& alcoholic beverages. This significant reduction in tariff slabs has helped reduce the
share of indirect taxes.
The FBR is working hard to increase revenue collection and the tax-to-GDP ratio through
various tax policies and administrative reforms. In this regard, efforts are being made
through maximum taxpayer facilitation, automation, ease of transactions, reducing
human interface, minimizing procedural complications, increasing tax awareness, and
improving the overall efficiency of the tax machinery.
For FY2022, the fiscal deficit is budgeted to remain at 6.3 percent of GDP with total
expenditure at 22.6 percent while revenues at 16.3 percent of GDP. Within expenditures,
development spending is expected to be at 3.2 percent of GDP while current expenditure
is budgeted to be 19.2 percent of GDP. The Budget FY2022 has enhanced the expenditure
estimates while directing them towards more productive expenditure. Within revenues,
total tax collection (federal and provincial) is expected to rise by 12.0 percent of GDP
while non-tax collection is budgeted to be at 4.3 percent of GDP.
69
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
To achieve the set targets, the FY2022 budget introduced several fiscal measures on both
the expenditure and revenue sides. However, during the first nine months of the current
fiscal year, additional spending under COVID-19 funds for vaccine procurement, IPPs
Circular debt payment, social sector spending, and higher development expenditures
strained the fiscal sector, thus reversing the consolidation gains made over the last two
years. All these factors in confluence with the global economic challenges resulting from
the Russia-Ukraine conflict, as well as the impact on international commodities and oil
prices, have increased the risk of fiscal slippages during the current fiscal year.
Fiscal Performance (July-March, FY2022)
During July-March FY2022, the fiscal Fig-4.9: Fiscal Indicators % of GDP
deficit increased to 3.8 percent of GDP (Jul-Mar)
(Rs 2,565.6 billion) against 3.0 percent of
Fiscal Deficit Primary Balance Revenue Balance
GDP (Rs 1,652.0 billion) in the same
period of last year (Fig-4.9). Similarly, the 0.8
0.2 0.4
primary balance posted a deficit of Rs -0.4 -0.8 -1.1 -0.7
447.2 billion against the surplus of Rs
451.8 billion during the period under
-1.4 -1.3 -1.3
review. While revenue deficit also -1.9 -2.0 -2.2
deteriorated to 2.2 percent of GDP in the -3.1
-2.8 -3.0
-3.5 -3.5
first nine months of FY2022 against the -3.8
-4.4
-3.8
deficit of 2.0 percent of GDP in the same FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022
period of FY2021.
21.4
15.2
12.6
11.5
Non-tax revenues, on the other hand, fell 14.3 percent to Rs 1,052.2 billion in July-March
FY2022, compared to Rs 1,227.6 billion in the same period the previous year. Within the
total, federal non-tax revenue declined by 16.3 percent to Rs 958.5 billion in July-March
FY2022 against Rs 1,145.4 billion in the same period of last year.
70
Fiscal Development
498
474 Profit PTA
369
Surplus Profit of State Bank of
Pakistan
Royalties on Oil\ Gas
53
53
39
20
18
17
15
14
Petroleum Levy
FY2022 FY2021
71
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
On the expenditure side, total spending witnessed a sharp increase of 27.0 percent in
July-March FY2022 against the contained growth of 4.2 percent in the same period of
last year. A significant rise in development and non-markup current spending
contributed to an increase in total expenditures during the year. In absolute terms, it
stood at Rs 8,439.8 billion during the first nine months of FY2022 against Rs 6,644.6
billion in the comparable period of last year.
Within the total expenditures, current expenditures grew by 21.2 percent to Rs 7,378.0
billion during July-March FY2022 as compared to Rs 6,085.4 billion in the comparable
period of last year. Higher growth in non-markup expenditures lifted up the total current
spending. During July-March, FY2022 non-mark-up expenditures grew by 32.1 percent
to stand at Rs 5,259.5 billion against the contained growth of 6.7 percent (Rs 3,981.6
billion) last year. Under this head, subsidies and grants witnessed a sharp rise.
Mark-up payments, on the other hand, witnessed a restricted growth of 0.7 percent
during July-March FY2022 against an 11.9 percent increase in the preceding year. In
absolute terms, it stood at Rs 2,118.5 billion in July-March FY2022 as compared to Rs
2,103.9 billion in the comparable period of FY2021. The restricted growth in mark-up
payments is largely attributed to the shift in a major portion of the PIB portfolio from
fixed to floating rate bonds which were contracted at T-bill rate plus spread within a
range of 30-90 Bps and is lower than the corresponding fixed-rate bonds. The issuance
of floating-rate bonds also includes quarterly coupon payment frequencies. Moreover,
almost Rs 1 trillion worth of additional Sukuks were issued during FY2022 majority of
which are below the T-bill rate. In addition, considering the impact of the policy rate,
more than Rs 350 billion worth of PIB at fixed rates were issued during July-March
FY2021 while the policy rate remained lower, and the portion of their interest servicing
was reflected in the year July-March FY2022 because the interest servicing/coupon
payment for PIB fixed-rate bonds reflected with a lag of 6 months due to Semi-Annual
Coupon Payment Frequencies.
72
Fiscal Development
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022
Another key component that has contributed to a sharp rise in non-mark up current
expenditure is grants to others. During July-March FY2022, grants to others increased
by 116.8 percent to reach Rs 920 billion against Rs 424.3 billion in the same period of
FY2021. A major impetus in grants came from grants for COVID-19 vaccine
procurement, HEC, DLTL (a drawback of taxes), BISP, and contingent liability.
Total development expenditure increased significantly by 54.6 percent during July-
March FY2022 after a contraction of 11.1 percent in the same period of last year. In
absolute terms, it increased to Rs 1,032.7 billion in July-March FY2022 against Rs 668.0
billion in the comparable period of last year. The federal PSDP (including development
grants to the provinces) grew by 28.1 percent to Rs 452.3 billion during July-March
FY2022 against Rs 353.0 billion last year.
With the widening of the fiscal deficit during July-March FY2022, total financing needs
increased by 55.3 percent. Domestic and external resources fetched Rs 1,584.2 billion
and Rs 981.5 billion, respectively, during July-March FY2022. Out of total domestic
resources, financing from banks stood at Rs 1,051.7 billion and from non-bank Rs 532.4
billion.
FBR Tax Collection (July-April, FY2022)
In FY2021, FBR was able to collect Rs 4745.0 billion while exceeding the revised target
of Rs 54 billion. Despite significant challenges, FBR not only maintained this momentum
73
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
during the current fiscal year but outperformed the revenue target during the first ten
months of FY2022. During July-April, FY2022, FBR has been able to collect Rs 4,855.8
billion as provisional tax revenues reflecting a growth of 28.5 percent. However, tax
relief measures have impacted revenue collection by approximately Rs 73 billion during
the month of April 2022. The Sales Tax on all POL products has been reduced to zero
which cost FBR Rs 45 billion in April. In the month of April 2022, FBR provisional tax
collection remained Rs 4.6 billion lower than the target of Rs 484.7 billion. The
provisional net collection grew by 25.1 percent to Rs 480.1 billion against Rs 384.0
billion last year. By adding Rs 73 billion in April, the net provisional collection is 553.1
billion with a growth of 44 percent. Tax-wise details are presented in Table 4.5.
Table: 4.5- FBR Tax Collection (Rs million)
FY2021 July-April % Change
Revenue Heads
Actual FY2021 FY2022 (P)
Direct Tax
Gross 1,375,445 1,754,218 27.5
Refund/Rebate 12,873 10,484 -18.6
Net 1,731,254 1,362,572 1,743,734 28.0
Indirect Tax
Gross 2,605,403 3,365,740 29.2
Refund/Rebate 190,249 253,704 33.4
Net 3,013,744 2,415,154 3,112,036 28.9
Sales Tax
Gross 1,766,905 2,289,151 29.6
Refund/Rebate 170,606 224,945 31.9
Net 1,988,308 1,596,299 2,064,206 29.3
Federal Excise
Gross 223,432 256,052 14.6
Refund/Rebate 0 4 -
Net 277,046 223,432 256,048 14.6
Customs
Gross 615,066 820,537 33.4
Refund/Rebate 19,643 28,755 46.4
Net 748,390 595,423 791,782 33.0
Total Tax Collection
Gross 0 3,980,848 5,119,958 28.6
Refund/Rebate 0 203,122 264,188 30.1
Net 4,744,998 3,777,726 4,855,770 28.5
P: Provisional
Source: FBR
I. Direct Tax
The net collection of income tax has registered a growth of 28 percent during the first
ten months of FY2022. The net collection has increased from Rs 1,362.8 billion to Rs
1,743.7 billion. The major contributors to income tax are withholding tax, voluntary
payments, and collection on demand.
II. Sales Tax
The gross and net sales tax collection during July-April, FY2022 has been Rs 2289.2
74
Fiscal Development
billion and Rs 2064.2 billion, respectively, showing healthy growths of 29.6 percent and
29.3 percent respectively. Around 71.2 percent of total sales tax was contributed by sales
tax on imports during July-April, 2021-22, while the rest was contributed by the
domestic sector.
III. Federal Excise Duty
The collection of federal excise duties (FED) from July-April, FY2022 has recorded a
growth of 14.6 percent. The net collection has stood at Rs 256.0 billion during July-April,
FY2022 as against Rs 223.4 billion during the same period last year. The major revenue
spinners of FED are cigarettes, cement, services, and beverages.
To maintain the growth momentum and to further improve the revenue collection, FBR
has initiated various measures to facilitate the taxpayers in order to create a congenial
environment and to fetch sufficient tax revenues. (Box-I)
75
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
input tax adjustment as well as tax payments across the sales tax authorities, therefore eliminating
the need for reconciliation and payment transfers.
v. E-hearing: To provide faceless tax administration, reduce compliance costs, and save precious
time for the taxpayers the mechanism of E-hearing has been devised. Enabling legal provisions for
admissibility of evidence collected during E-hearing has been introduced through 227E of the
Income Tax Ordinance.
vi. Electronic Filing of an Appeal: The mechanism of online filing of appeals has been made available
to the taxpayer. However, enabling legal provisions were lacking which have been introduced
through section 127 of the Income Tax Ordinance.
vii. Tax Asaan: A mobile application to facilitate taxpayers, available free of cost for Android as well
as iOS-based smartphones. It offers the following facilities for taxpayers:
a. Registration of Income Tax
b. Registration of Sales Tax
c. Returns filing for Salaried Individuals
d. Recovery of Password
e. Creation of Tax payments PSIDs
f. POS Invoice Verification
viii. IREN and Joint Anti-smuggling Field Intelligence Exercise: Establishment of Inland Revenue
Enforcement Network (IREN) to check smuggling and counterfeit products. Inland Revenue Service
and Pakistan Customs Service have joined hands for an anti-smuggling field intelligence exercise.
ix. Risk-based Audit: FBR has developed a centralized Risk-based Audit Management System (RAMS)
for the selection of audit cases centrally on the basis of pre-determined risk parameters. Selection
of scientific matrix allowing allocation and distribution of weightage to different parameters in Risk
Grid will segregate the potential and high-risk cases for audit through parametric computer
balloting. Subsequently, in September 2020, through Audit Policy, 2019, a total number of 12,533
cases were selected for audit for Tax Year 2018 through the Risk-based Audit Management System
(RAMS).
x. Transformation of Traditional Audit Processes through E-Audits: FBR is also moving toward
Instituting Data analytics for E-Audit through a transformation in the traditional audit processes.
In this system, the correspondence between taxpayers and the tax department would totally be
electronic till the conclusion of audit proceedings. The process will be technology-driven with the
least human interference and system-based controls for ensuring transparency of the process.
xi. Automation of Audit Monitoring System: A software solution is under process to provide
continuous monitoring of the audit cases with sufficient documentation and assistance to the
auditors.
B. Customs
i. Pakistan Single Window (PSW): To achieve trade facilitation in an automated environment,
reduce clearance times for legitimate trade, and improve compliance through increased access to
regulatory information and functions, the system of Pakistan Single Window (PSW) has been
launched. This ensures greater collaboration and coordination between Customs and other border
regulatory agencies at the national and international level for coordination of border management
and increases transparency in regulatory processes and decision-making.
ii. Automated Process for Scanning of Cargo: FBR’s Pakistan Customs Wing has introduced a new
automated process in the WeBOC system for scanning containerized import consignments of
industrial raw materials for their speedy clearance at ports. The introduction of the Non-Intrusive
Inspection System by Customs was a long-awaited initiative aimed at replacing the physical
inspection of cargo and reducing the dwell time at ports by using the latest scanning technology in
line with international practices.
76
Fiscal Development
iii. Removal of Requirement for I-form, E-form: Removal of the requirement for I-form, E-form, and
other documents implemented since 31st December 2021. It would help reduce compliance time
and documentation.
iv. Virtual Assessment Module: This is a system-based automated assessment of GD on the basis of
selectivity criteria. The module has been developed and deployed. It will significantly facilitate the
assessment process of GDs by reducing the clearance time.
v. Development of Authorized Economic (AEO) Module: The AEO Module has been developed. It
will help to reduce port dwell time and customs clearance.
vi. The Threshold for Electronic/Digital Mode of Payment: The Threshold for Electronic/Digital
Mode of Payment has been lowered from Rs 500,000 to Rs 200,000. The Module has been
developed. It will streamline the payment process and would reduce the time.
vii. Common Bonded Warehousing Module: The Module developed and deployed will help
streamline the matters relating to Common Bonded Warehouse.
Source: FBR
Provincial Budget
According to the overview of the provincial budget, total expenditures are expected to
rise by 24.5 percent to reach Rs 5,010.7 billion in FY2022 against the revised estimates
of Rs 4,023.7 billion in FY2021. During FY2022, the share of current and development
expenditures in total expenditures is expected to remain at 71.1 percent and 28.9
percent, respectively. While provincial revenue receipts are budgeted to rise by 26.6
percent to stand at Rs 4,737.0 billion in FY2022 as compared to the revised estimate of
Rs 3,740.6 billion in FY2021.
Table 4.6: Overview of Provincial Budgets (Rs billion)
Punjab Sindh Khyber Baluchistan Total
Pakhtunkhwa
Items
2020- 2021- 2020- 2021- 2020- 2021- 2020- 2021- 2020- 2021-
21 RE 22 BE 21 RE 22 BE 21 RE 22 BE 21 RE 22 BE 21 RE 22 BE
A. Tax Revenue 1,566.1 1,955.9 857.1 1,103.6 451.2 576.0 273.5 329.9 3,147.9 3,965.4
Provincial Taxes 228.7 272.6 230.4 304.9 31.8 43.2 21.8 34.2 512.6 654.9
GST on Services 16.6 1.3 17.9
(transferred by federal
Govt)
Share in Federal Taxes 1,320.8 1,683.3 626.7 798.7 418.1 532.8 251.7 295.7 2,617.3 3,310.5
B. Non-Tax Revenue 90.3 130.0 74.2 73.9 47.3 58.3 18.1 86.6 229.9 348.8
C. All Others 84.8 83.7 66.5 82.3 193.2 220.0 18.3 36.8 362.8 422.9
Total Revenues (A+B+C) 1,741.2 2,169.6 997.8 1,259.8 691.7 854.3 309.9 453.3 3,740.6 4,737.0
a) Current Expenditure 1,314.9 1,427.9 954.4 1,089.4 619.3 724.9 269.0 319.5 3,157.7 3,561.7
b) Development 375.2 560.0 160.3 329.0 250.0 370.8 80.5 189.2 866.0 1,449.0
Expenditure
Total Exp (a+b) 1,690.1 1,987.9 1,114.7 1,418.4 869.3 1,095.7 349.5 508.7 4,023.6 5,010.7
Source: Provincial Finance Wing, Finance Division.
77
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
billion), Sindh (Rs 848.2 billion), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Rs 559.3 billion inclusive 1
percent war on terror), and Balochistan (Rs 313.3 billion).
Table: 4.7-Transfers to provinces (Rs billion)
FY2021R.E FY2022B.E
A. Divisible Pool 2,600.0 3,310.5
Income Tax 993.4 1,232.9
Capital Value Tax 0.4 0.3
Sales Tax (Excl. GST on Services) 1,063.1 1,435.6
Federal Excise (excl. Excise Duty on Natural Gas) 155.9 197.3
Customs Duties (excl. Export Development Surcharge) 387.2 444.4
B. Straight Transfers 104.1 101.4
Gas Development Surcharge 24.2 16.5
Royalty on Natural Gas 50.1 51.6
Royalty on Crude Oil 19.7 21.6
Excise Duty on Natural Gas 10.2 11.7
Total Transfers (A+B) 2,704.2 3,411.9
Source: Budget in Brief 2021-22
12.8
8.1 9.5
6.65.6 5.74.4
81.2 81.0 75.5 80.0 77.3 73.5
78
Fiscal Development
Within provincial own revenue receipts, tax collection stood at Rs 508.4 billion in
FY2021, up from Rs 413.6 billion in FY2020, representing a 22.9 percent increase. A
significant boost in tax collection came from a 26.0 percent increase in sales tax on
services and motor vehicle tax, owing to a rebound in domestic economic activity, higher
imports, and a rise in automobile sales. Similarly, non-tax collection reached Rs 150.3
billion during FY2021 against Rs 102.4 billion in FY2020, posting a growth of 46.8
percent. Significant growth in non-tax collection has been realized largely due to higher
receipts from mark up and profits from hydroelectricity, during the period under review.
Table 4.8-Overview of Provincial Fiscal Operations (Rs billion)
Jul-Mar
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021
FY2022 FY2021
A. Tax Revenue 2,145.4 2,287.6 2,618.8 2,799.6 2,917.6 3,250.3 3,022.5 2,355.9
Provincial Taxes 283.3 321.8 401.4 401.8 413.6 508.4 438.3 370.1
Share in Federal Taxes 1,862.2 1,965.8 2,217.4 2,397.8 2,504.0 2,741.9 2584.2 1985.8
B.Non Tax Revenue 93.3 79.5 146.7 86.3 102.4 150.3 93.7 82.2
C.All Others 55.1 61.2 173.0 110.0 221.0 327.5 278.9 146.3
Total Revenue (A+B+C) 2,293.9 2,428.2 2,938.5 2,995.9 3,241.0 3,728.0 3,395.2 2,584.3
a. Current Expenditure 1,559.8 1,739.3 2,080.7 2,350.8 2,541.9 2,844.2 2192.4 1948.4
b. Development Expenditure 592.4 852.2 880.1 506.2 622.0 770.2 724.1 390.0
c. Statistical Discrepancy -65.7 -147.4 -4.8 -51.1 -147.9 -200.0 -121.1 -166.8
Total Expenditure (a+b+c) 2,086.5 2,444.1 2,956.0 2,805.9 3,016.1 3,414.4 2,795.4 2,171.6
Overall Balance 207.4 -15.9 -17.5 190.0 224.9 313.6 599.8 412.7
79
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Provincial tax grew by 18.4 percent during July-March FY2022 to reach Rs 438.3 against
Rs 370.1 in the same period of last year. Higher growth in the collection from stamp
duties and motor vehicle tax was largely attributed to raising the provincial tax
collection drive during the period under review. Similarly, non-tax revenues grew by
14.1 percent to stand at Rs 93.7 billion during July-March FY2022 as compared to Rs
82.2 billion in the same period of last year. The main impetus in non-tax collection is
stemmed from significant growth in a collection from hydro-electricity profits.
Consequently, the province’s own revenue receipts increased to Rs 532.0 billion in July-
March FY2022 against Rs 452.3 billion in the same period of last year, representing a
growth of 15.7 percent.
Total provincial expenditure increased by 28.7 percent to Rs 2,795.4 billion during July-
March, FY2022, compared to Rs 2,171.6 billion during the same period last year. Higher
expenditures were observed due to a sharp increase in provincial development
spending that outpaced growth in current expenditures during the period under review.
Development expenditures grew by 85.7 percent during July-March FY2022 to Rs 724.1
billion, compared to Rs 390.0 billion in the same period last year. While current
expenditure increased by 12.5 percent to Rs 2,192.4 billion during July-March FY2022
against Rs 1,948.4 billion in the comparable period of last year. The significant rise in
development expenditures has been witnessed mainly in the areas of health,
recreational culture & religion, housing & community, economic affairs, social
protection, environment protection, and general public services etc.
80
Fiscal Development
81
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Conclusion
Despite a significant rise in tax collection during July-March FY2022, higher current and
development expenditures widened the fiscal deficit to 3.8 percent of GDP against 3.0
percent in the previous period. Similarly, the primary balance posted a deficit of Rs 447.2
billion against a surplus of Rs 451.8 billion. Due to additional spending under COVID-19
funds for vaccine procurement, IPPs Circular debt payment, social sector spending, and
higher development expenditures, the fiscal sector remained under tremendous
pressure. All these factors, along with the global economic challenges posed by the
Russia-Ukraine conflict, as well as the impact on international commodities and oil
prices, have increased the risk of fiscal slippages during the current fiscal year. To offset
the inflationary pressure, the government initially tried to provide relief to the masses
by maintaining domestic oil prices. However, as international commodity and energy
prices continued to rise, providing relief acted as a double-edged sword, potentially
increasing the fiscal deficit, and reducing fiscal space. To avoid severe fiscal imbalances
and to ensure that fiscal consolidation would remain on track, the government has
reduced the subsidy by raising the price of petroleum products. At the same time, the
government is providing targeted subsidies to protect vulnerable segments of society
from rising oil and commodity prices.
82
@BA9L5A87E98<G
WŽůŝĐLJZĂƚĞŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞĚďLJĐƵŵƵůĂƟǀĞ
ESV
ĚƵƌŝŶŐ^ĞƉͲDĂLJ&zϮϬϮϮ
{ųĜƴ±ƋåŸåÏƋŅųÏųåÚĜƋƵĜƋĹ域åÚ±Ĺ
ƚĹŞųåÏåÚåĹƋåÚåƻŞ±ĹŸĜŅĹŅüŸ 5V
ŎØƐŎƖţĿÆĜĬĬĜŅĹ
8ĜƻåÚĜĹƴåŸƋĵåĹƋĬŅ±ĹŸƵĜƋĹ域åÚ±
ŸĜčĹĜĀϱĹƋåƻŞ±ĹŸĜŅĹŅüŸƐƐƐţŎ
ÆĜĬĬĜŅĹ
ŅųĩĜĹ豪ĜƋ±ĬĬŅ±ĹŸŅÆŸåųƴåÚ±Ĺ
åƻŞ±ĹŸĜŅĹŅüŸƅLjíţƀÆĜĬĬĜŅĹ 5V
Chapter 5
The outbreak of COVID pandemic in 2019 has led to a global macroeconomic shock of
unprecedented magnitude. The central banks responded aggressively to avoid deep
recession in the economies. Short-term interest rates, which were already low in most
advanced economies, quickly fell to around zero in all advanced economies, outpacing
their responses to Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in terms of both speed and scope.1
Emerging markets also experienced sharp declines in short-term interest rates,
approaching zero in several countries.
The central banks supported national government’s expansionary fiscal policy measures
in the form of tax cuts and higher government spending to boost aggregate demand and
employment. The GFC and the COVID-19 pandemic have shifted the focus of monetary
policy, which involves significant budgetary expansion even if it requires using the
money-creation capacity of the central bank.
The global recovery was expected in 2021 after contraction in 2020, but the momentum
slowed and fueled by the highly transmissible Delta and Omicron variant, along with
emerging price pressures, due to unusual pandemic-related developments, soaring
global commodity prices and pandemic-induced supply-demand imbalances during
second half of 2021. Further, the Russia-Ukraine conflict raises immediate financial
stability risks and questions about the longer-term impact on markets early in the 2022.
In a nutshell, the sharp rise in commodity prices combined with long-term supply
disruptions, has exacerbated pre-existing inflationary pressures and shifted inflation
risks to the upside. In many countries, inflation has become a central concern. In some
advanced economies, including the United States and some European countries, it has
reached its highest level in more than 40 years.
War-related supply shortages are expected to amplify these pressures, notably through
increases in the price of energy, metals, and food. As a result, inflation is projected to
remain elevated for longer than previously expected, in both advanced and emerging
market and developing economies.2
In response, central banks around the world began to tighten monetary policy to keep
inflationary expectations well anchored. Since July 2021, 53 central banks have
1https://voxeu.org/article/monetary-policy-and-central-banking-COVID-era-new-ebook
2 Global Financial Stability Report, April 2022, IMF
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
increased their policy rates. The changes in policy rate in some selected countries is
shown in Fig-5.1.
1150
1000
800
800
550
525
500
450
450
450
440
425
600
400
350
350
350
350
350
325
275
250
250
225
400
200
200
175
150
125
125
125
100
100
75
75
75
75
75
65
200
50
50
50
50
50
50
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
0
0
0
-25
-25
-40
-50
-200
-400
-300
Jamaica
Argentina
Iceland
Russia
Pakistan
Armenia
Kazakhstan
New Zealand
Rwanda
Jordan
Angola
Kyrgyzstan
Mongolia
Serbia
UK
USA
Israel
Brazil
Zambia
Uganda
Peru
Belarus
Romania
Costa Rica
Saudi Arabia
Egypt
South Africa
Albania
North Macedonia
Dominican Rep.
In emerging and developing economies, increases in food and fuel prices can
significantly increase the risk of poverty. A wider range of emerging market economies
can come under pressure if the pace of global monetary tightening accelerates further,
especially in the United States, or if financial markets start to reprice more aggressively,
which would further weigh on the global outlook.
With heightened uncertainty due to COVID-19, the Monetary Policy Committee for the
first time considered it appropriate to provide some forward guidance on monetary
policy in its January 2021 meeting3, to facilitate policy predictability and decision-
3The central bank communication is an important aspect of the monetary policy that aims to reduce economic and financial uncertainty.
During unusual economic conditions, some central banks also communicate the future monetary policy stance which is referred to as
84
Money and Credit
However, policy rate was increased by 250 bps to 12.25 percent from 9.75 percent in an
unscheduled meeting on 07th April 2022, to address significant uncertainty amidst rising
global commodity prices and domestic political situation. The inflation outlook had
deteriorated and risks to external stability had increased for FY2022. Externally, futures
market suggests that global commodity prices, including oil, are likely to remain
elevated for longer and the Federal Reserve is likely to increase interest rates more
quickly than previously anticipated, likely leading to a sharper tightening of global
forward guidance. It is an unconventional monetary policy tool that is used by the central banks to minimize interest rate volatility and to
manage interest rate expectations. In the aftermath of COVID-19 outbreak, some developed and emerging market central banks (included
US Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Canada, Reserve Bank of India, Central Bank of Sri Lanka and Central Bank of Brazil)
adopted this approach to give confidence to investors and other economic agents in the forward-looking decisions given heightened
uncertainties (SBP Annual Report, FY2021).
85
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
In monetary policy decision held on 23rd May, 2022 the MPC decided to raise the policy
rate by 150 basis points to 13.75 percent. The decision was based on outcome of
provisional growth estimates for FY2022 more than target, shows excess aggregate
demand, elevated external sector pressure and the higher inflation outlook due to
domestic and international factors.
In addition to policy rate increase, the interest rates on EFS and LTFF loans are also being
raised. The MPC has informed that in future, these rates will be linked to the policy rate
and will adjust automatically, while continuing to remain below the policy rate in order
to incentivize exports.
500
12.0
0
-500
8.0
-1000
-1500
4.0 Current Account Balance (Million US$, rhs)
Y0Y CPI Inflation -2000
Policy rate
0.0 -2500
Jul-18 Nov-18 Mar-19 Jul-19 Nov-19 Mar-20 Jul-20 Nov-20 Mar-21 Jul-21 Nov-21 Mar-22
4 https://www.sbp.org.pk/about/pdf/LF/Brief-1.pdf
5 Major revisions in the SBP Act were introduced in 1994, 1997, 2012 and 2015
86
Money and Credit
6 "Whereas it is necessary to provide for the constitution of State Bank to achieve domestic price stability by way of regulating the monetary
and credit system of Pakistan and, without prejudice to said primary objective, contribute to the stability of the financial system of Pakistan
and supporting the general economic policies of the Federal Government to foster development and fuller utilization of the country's
productive resources;"
7 Section 4C. Functions of the Bank
8 Section 9C. Prohibition on the Government borrowing
9 Section 17G. Lender of last resort
10 Share capital. (1) The authorized capital of the Bank shall be five hundred billion Rupees, divided into five billion shares of one hundred
Rupees each. The authorized capital may be increased by the resolution of the Board, subject to the approval of the Federal Government.
11
Section 4A. Re-capitalization
12 Section 52A, Section 9G
13 Section 52A. Protection of action taken in good faith and indemnity
87
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
objectives, conduct of monetary policy, state of the economy and the financial system.
23 Section 45. Audit committee.
24 Section 45A. Chief internal auditor
25 43. External Audit
26 Section 9. Board of Directors and 9(A). Powers of the Board
88
Money and Credit
Within Broad Money, the NFA of the banking sector contracted by Rs 1,327.7 billion
against expansion of Rs 980.6 billion in last year.
The NFA of SBP witnessed contraction of Rs 1,360.1 billion during the period under
review against expansion of Rs 782 billion in last year. This was contained due to
pressure on external front on account of high international commodity prices and
expansion in domestic activities, transfers pressure on import bill and current account
deficit. The higher foreign currencies outflows on account of debt repayment and foreign
exchange operations more than offset the impact of inflows from issuance of Eurobonds
and higher remittances received under Roshan Digital account during the period under
review. Meanwhile, the allocation of SDRs amounting to US$ 2.75 billion under IMF’s
general SDR allocation had no effect on the NFA of SBP.27 Whereas, NFA of scheduled
bank increased by Rs 32.4 billion as compared Rs 198.4 billion in last year.
Reserve Money (RM) grew by 13.5 percent (Rs 1,171.0 billion) during 1st Jul- 29th April,
FY2022 as compared to growth of 7.2 percent (Rs 550.8 billion) during same period last
year. High growth in RM is entirely stemmed from NDA of SBP which partially counter
by negative NFA of SBP.
Therefore, M2 growth remained 6.0 percent, after expansion of 7.8 percent during same
period last year. Contrary to last year, M2 growth totally emanated from growth in NDA
which partially offset by contraction in NFA growth.
89
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Commodity Finance
Commodity operation means advances provided either to Government, public sector
corporations or private sector for the procurement of commodities such as cotton, rice,
90
Money and Credit
wheat, sugar, fertilizer, etc. Both federal and provincial governments borrow from
scheduled banks to finance their purchases of commodities.28 The proceeds from the
sale of such commodities are subsequently used to retire commodity borrowing.
During FY2021, commodity finance observed net borrowing of Rs 90.6 billion (posted
growth of 11.1 percent) against borrowing of Rs 57 billion (growth of 7.5 percent) in
FY2020. The outstanding stock of commodity finance amounted to Rs 904.0 billion in
FY2021 as compared Rs 813.4 billion in FY2020. The amount has been borrowed for
commodity finance during FY2021 mainly reflected the borrowing of Rs 90.9 billion by
wheat procurement agencies from banking system as compared to Rs 43.1 billion in
FY2020.
200
1,000
150
100
500
50
0
0
-50
-100 -500
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 Jul-29 April Jul-30 April
FY2022 FY2021
Loans for commodity finance observed a net borrowing of Rs 210.9 billion during 01st
Jul-29th April, FY2022 as compared to net retirement of Rs 28.8 billion during same
period last year. The outstanding stock of commodity finance reached at Rs 1,115 billion
as on 29th April, FY2022, against Rs 785 billion during the same period last year.
During July-March, FY2022, loans for wheat financing observed a net retirement of Rs
45.6 billion against the retirement of Rs 110.8 billion during same period last year. Loans
for sugar financing witnessed net retirement of Rs 8.6 billion during the period under
review, before borrowing of Rs 1.1 billion in last year. Fertilizer financing observed net
retirement of Rs 5.1 billion as compared to net retirement of Rs 2.9 billion last year.
Fertilizer sector has paid its loans due to better liquidity situation on account of
increased in sales revenues. Cotton financing witnessed net borrowing of Rs 82.0 million
as compared to net borrowing of Rs 94.0 million last year. Rice financing shows net
retirement of Rs 15 million against the net borrowing of Rs 8.0 million in last year.
28
Glossary, Monthly Statistical Bulletin, SBP
29IslamicFinancing, Advances (against Murabaha etc), Inventories and other related Items previously reported under Other Assets have
been reclassified as credit to private sector.
91
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
rate remaining unchanged at 7.0 percent, as well as the availability of SBP concessional
finance schemes such as the Long-Term Finance Facility (LTFF) and the Temporary
Economic Refinance Facility (TERF). Within loans to private sector businesses, fixed
investment loans increased significantly during FY2021 to Rs 203.5 billion as compared
retirement of Rs 27.9 billion in FY2020. On the other hand, working capital loans
observed expansion of Rs 169.5 billion as compared Rs 23.3 billion in FY2020.
During the period 1st July-29th April, FY2022 private sector credit witnessed significant
expansion of Rs 1,312.9 billion against Rs 454.4 billion during comparable period of last
year, posted significant growth of 189.0 percent. On average, it has posted growth of
17.2 percent as compared to growth of 6.0 percent in last year. On Year on Year (YoY)
basis, it has posted growth of 22.2 percent as on 29thApril, 2022.
Quarter-wise data revealed that the first quarter of FY2022 witnessed net expansion of
Rs 177.4 billion credit to businesses as compared usual seasonal loan retirement of Rs
101.4 billion in last year. Factors contribute to this unusual expansion include
continuation of accommodative policy environment, availability of concessionary
financing schemes (mainly TERF), significant growth in LSM and increase in industrial
activity and improved business confidence. Policy stance has been changed from
accommodative to contractionary during second quarter of FY2022, it increased by 275
bps during second quarter, but high WALR cost has not been transmitted on borrowing
pattern. Therefore, it has increased significantly to Rs 682.8 billion during second
quarter of FY2022 against the expansion of Rs 320.9 billion during same quarter of last
year.
Private Sector business loans increased to Rs 142.0 billion during third quarter of
FY2022 against expansion of Rs 60.5 billion during comparable period last year.
Fig-5.6: Credit to Private Sector flows (Rs Billion) Private sector /GDP (rhs)
900 18
16.8 14.6 13.7
800 15.0 15.0 15.2 15.2 16
14.6 14.4
700 13.6
14
600
12
500
10
400
8
300
6
200
100 4
0 2
-100 0
FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021
Sectoral Analysis
Overall, private sector credit observed an expansion of Rs 1,162.6 billion (growth of 17.0
percent) during Jul-Mar, FY2022 against an increase of Rs 441.5 billion (growth of 7.1
percent) last year. Within private sector credit, loans to private sector businesses
increased to Rs 1,002.2 billion (receive 86 percent share of total credit) compared Rs
280.0 billion (63.4 percent of credit) during same period last year. Sectors which posted
92
Money and Credit
Sizeable increase in credit offtake has been observed during first nine months of current
fiscal year, credit demand increased both for fixed investment and working capital loans.
Businesses took advantage of SBP concessionary financing schemes, particularly TERF.
As a result, fixed investment loans witnessed significant expansion of Rs 333.1 billion
during Jul-Mar FY2022 as compared Rs 137.0 billion during same period last year.
Sector-wise distribution shows that Manufacturing sector dominated the overall fixed
investment loans to Rs 213.9 billion (share of 64%), of which textile sector borrowed
93
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
major share to Rs 94.6 billion during Jul-Mar FY2022 as compared Rs 45.9 billion during
same period last year. The sector availed long term loans facility and benefitted from
SBP concessionary schemes as evident from data of textile machinery which posted
significant growth of 65 percent during Jul-Mar, FY2022.
Within non-manufacturing sectors, information and communication has borrowed long
term loans amounted to Rs 72.5 billion as compared to retirement of Rs 1.5 billion during
same period last year. The sector has availed long term loans for expansion and up-
gradation. Similarly, Electricity and Gas sector has availed fixed investment loans to Rs
26.4 billion, albeit lower than last year of Rs 41.3 billion.
Loans to Private Sector 280.0 1002.2 110.8 608.7 137.0 333.1 120.0 202.9 68.7 101.1
Business
Agriculture, forestry and 1.6 22.4 6.5 12.9 -4.9 8.5 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
fishing
Mining and quarrying 1.6 1.1 -3.6 -4.3 5.2 5.4 0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.1
Manufacturing 163.8 789.0 60.9 566.3 99.9 213.9 102.8 194.9 64.1 99.4
Manufacture of food 125.4 148.7 97.8 134.1 27.0 13.9 7.8 15.1 7.3 15.3
products
Manufacture of grain mill 42.8 29.4 41.6 24.3 1.1 4.9 1.0 1.1 10.2 10.7
products
Wheat Processing -1.9 -20.7 -2.4 -21.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.1
Rice Processing 36.7 62.4 35.4 57.1 1.3 5.1 0.5 0.8 8.3 10.4
Manufacture of sugar 73.0 98.6 63.1 100.6 9.7 -2.1 1.2 3.4 -2.3 3.3
Manufacture of beverages 2.4 17.3 0.8 13.8 1.5 3.5 0.5 0.2 -0.4 0.2
Manufacture of textiles 37.9 334.1 -9.8 235.3 45.9 94.6 60.8 94.6 44.8 64.8
Manufacture of coke and 2.4 25.5 1.3 21.1 1.1 4.5 0.4 1.4 0.3 0.0
refined petroleum products
Manufacture of refined 2.2 25.9 1.1 21.3 1.1 4.6 0.4 1.4 0.3 0.0
petroleum products
Manufacture of chemicals -28.9 24.5 -8.6 3.9 -20.2 20.5 4.1 16.5 0.2 5.0
and chemical products
Electricity, gas, steam and 57.0 30.0 16.0 3.7 41.3 26.4 1.1 -1.7 -0.1 -0.3
air conditioning supply
Electric power generation, 56.4 29.3 14.6 3.6 42.1 25.8 0.9 -2.3 -0.1 0.0
transmission and distribution
Water supply; sewerage, 7.0 0.8 5.7 1.4 1.3 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
waste management and
remediation activities
Construction 8.9 31.0 4.7 -1.2 -12.3 -5.7 3.5 -5.3 0.1 0.0
Wholesale and retail trade; 13.6 46.1 7.0 38.2 6.2 6.0 4.2 0.1 0.6 0.7
repair of motor vehicles and
motorcycles
Transportation and storage -0.2 14.0 0.4 10.2 -0.6 3.1 0.9 1.8 0.0 0.0
Accommodation and food 6.3 -1.6 0.8 -2.4 4.1 0.8 0.8 1.4 0.0 0.1
service activities
Information and 2.7 66.8 4.1 -5.7 -1.5 72.5 5.0 9.2 1.0 2.8
communication
Telecommunications -0.3 66.1 2.4 -3.8 -2.7 69.9 4.7 6.7 0.0 2.5
Real estate activities -2.6 5.9 -0.9 0.8 -5.6 -0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
94
Money and Credit
Source: SBP
Working Capital loans observed expansion of Rs 608.7 billion during Jul-Mar, FY2022 as
compared expansion of Rs 110.8 billion during same period last year. Demand for short
term loans has increased on account of high exports proceed particularly in textile
sector, expansion of economic activities and higher commodity prices at global level
which transfers pressure on domestic prices. Accordingly, manufacturing sector credit
offtake amounted to Rs 566.3 billion against the borrowing of Rs 60.9 billion during
same period last year. Of which, textile sector is the dominant sector, credit demand
increased to Rs 235.3 billion against retirement of Rs 9.8 billion during last year. The
textile sector also benefitted from SBP Export Finance Scheme (EFS) at a concessional
rate of 3.0 percent, being the major exporter and availed Rs 64.8 billion against Rs 44.8
billion in last year.
Higher international fuel prices and domestic demand on account of expansion in
economic activities also reflects in petroleum sector credit demand for working capital
loans, which increased to Rs 21.3 billion compared Rs 1.1 billion during same period last
year. This also evident from 77.0 percent increase in Brent crude prices in March, 2022
on YoY basis and total oil sales by 23.0 percent.
Fig-5.7:Loans to Private Sector Businesses, Fig-5.8:Loans to Private Sector Businesses,
Rs billion Rs billion
Jul-Mar, FY2021 Jul-Mar, FY2022
400 Working Capital Fixed Investment
300
0
Fixed Investment
-100
-200
Jul-20
Jul-21
Sep-20
Jan-21
Sep-21
Jan-22
Nov-20
Mar-21
Nov-21
Mar-22
Aug-20
Aug-21
Oct-20
Dec-20
Feb-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
95
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Consumer financing continued to accelerate and major impetus came from housing and
automobile sector (Table 5.5). Consumer financing increased to Rs 143.6 billion (growth
of 20.3 percent) during Jul-Mar, FY2022 as compared to Rs 131.7 billion (growth of 24.7
percent) during same period last year. Banks consumer loans demand primarily
stemmed from automobile sector, with dominant share of 39 percent in total portfolio.
Increasing demand also evident from cars sales which increased by 54.0 percent during
Jul-Mar, FY2022.
Table-5.5: Consumer Financing Rs billion
July-March (Flows) Growth(%)*
Description FY2021 FY2022 FY2021 FY2022
Consumer Financing 131.7 143.6 24.7 20.3
1) For house building 13.8 66.6 17.2 64.3
2) For transport i.e. purchase of car 73.6 55.5 34.9 18.0
3) Credit cards 10.0 13.9 23.1 25.2
4) Consumers durable -2.7 1.4 -33.6 23.5
5) Personal loans 37.2 6.2 19.4 2.6
6) Other -0.1 0.2 -16.7 24.0
* Growth is calculated on the basis of Stocks.
Source: State Bank of Pakistan
House building sector has witnessed unprecedented growth of 64.3 percent (Rs 66.6
billion) during Jul-Mar FY2022 as compared growth of 17.2 percent (Rs 13.8 billion) in
last year. This surge in house building loans demand primarily due to measures taken
by Government and SBP to promote housing and construction financing in the country.
In October 2020, the Government of Pakistan augmented these efforts by introducing
the Government Markup Subsidy Scheme (G-MSS) wherein, now commonly known as
Mera Pakistan Mera Ghar (MPMG) Scheme. This scheme enables banks to provide
financing for the construction and purchase of houses at very low financing rates for low
to middle income segments of the population.
SBP also instructed banks to target housing and construction finance on July 15, 2020.
Banks were required to increase their housing and construction finance portfolio to 5
percent of their domestic private sector advances by the end of 2021. As a result, banks’
financing to housing and construction sector increased to Rs 367 billion as of December
31, 2021 from Rs148 billion as of June 30, 2020. For 2022, Banks have been directed to
increase their housing and construction portfolio to 7 percent of their domestic private
sector advances, i.e. up to Rs 560 billion30.
Monetary Liabilities
Monetary Liabilities include currency in circulation, demand deposits, time deposits and
Resident Foreign Currency Deposits.
30
https://www.sbp.org.pk/press/2022/Pr1-14-Apr-2022.pdf
96
Money and Credit
Deposits
Bank deposits (including demand, time and Resident Foreign Currency Deposits
(RFCD)) increased by Rs 438.2 billion (growth of 2.5 percent) during the period 01st July-
29th April, FY2022 as compared Rs 939.6 billion (growth of 6.4 percent) during same
period last year. Within deposits, demand deposits witnessed expansion of Rs 363.8
billion against Rs 1,172.1 billion in last year.
This slowdown in deposit growth was partly due to high base effect of deposits at end-
June 2021. Accordingly, demand deposit increased by Rs 2,686.4 billion in FY2021 as
compared Rs 1,494.0 billion in FY2020. On the other hand, time deposits decreased by
Rs 1.6 billion as compared decline of Rs 177.0 billion in last year. On the contrary, RFCDs
increased by Rs 76.0 billion as compared to contraction of Rs 55.5 billion last year, on
account of massive PKR depreciation around 15.3 percent during Jul-Apr, FY2022 as
compared appreciation of 8.0 percent during same period last year, reversing the
position of foreign currency deposits. Resultantly, significant increase in CiC and
reduction of deposits has led to increase in currency-to-deposits ratio to 44.5 percent as
of 29th April, 2022 compared 43.5 during same period last year.
Monetary Management
During the period July-March, FY2022, average Open Market Operations (OMOs) stepup
almost double to Rs 2,214.6 billion as compared Rs 1,291.1 billion during same period
97
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
last year. Net injections have increased on account of increase in liquidity requirement,
which primarily stem from significant increase in private sector credit offtake, increase
in government budgetary borrowing and SBP’s foreign exchange operations
cumulatively increased the Rupee liquidity requirements of commercial banks.
Meanwhile, deposit mobilization was not sufficient to bridge this short-term liquidity
gap. In response to these requirements, SBP has increased its OMOs injections.
Accordingly, the outstanding net injections has rose an average in each of first three
quarters.
Market offered the total amount of Rs 26,438.6 billion for T-Bills during Jul-Mar, FY2022
as compared Rs 17,405.4 billion during same period last year. During current fiscal year,
the Government has raised Rs 12,959.5 billion (49.0 percent of the offered amount) in
the T-bill’s auction compared to last year accepted amount of Rs 10,122.3 billion (58
percent of the offered amount). The acceptance for the tenors under T-Bills almost
remained same during current fiscal year as compared to last year. During Jul-Mar
FY2022, around 57.5 percent of outstanding T-bills comprised of 3 months, followed by
36.0 percent for 6.0 months and just 6.5 percent under 12 months, indicating market’s
expectation of bottoming out of interest rates.
98
Money and Credit
60 57.5
Percent
40 36.0
25.8
20
5.2 6.5
0
3-Months 6-Months 12-Months
99
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
During Jul-Mar, FY2022, Government remained inclined towards floating rate long-term
debt instrument PIBs. Market offers Rs 3,915.8 billion under fixed rate PIBS which is
53.5 percent of offered amount, while for floaters, the market offered Rs 3,397.1 billion,
46 percent of the offered amount. Keeping in view higher yields demanded by the
market compared to the prevailing cut- offs, the Government accepted only Rs 1,181
billion from fixed coupon PIBs (33 percent of the accepted amount). In this backdrop,
floaters helped the Government to raise medium-to-long term debt. Given these
favorable traits of floaters, the Government was able to raise Rs 2,382 billion via
issuances of floating rate PIBs (67 percent of accepted amount). Moreover, 3Y quarterly
coupon PIBs remained the market’s most favored instrument floaters which contribute
around 61 percent of floaters accepted amount.
45 40.7
40
35 32.7
30
Percent
25 20.7
20
13.7
15 11.5 12.4
9.2 10.1
10 7.2 6.3 5.6
4.4 4.5 4.7 5.2 3.6
5 1.91.7 2.1 1.8
0
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 15 Years 20 Years 02 Years 03 Years 05 Years 10 Years 03 Years 05 Years 10 Years
Maturity Maturity (Floater) (Floater) (Floater) (Floater) (Floater) (Floater) (Floater)
Maturity Maturity Maturity Maturity Maturity Maturity Maturity
(PFL) (PFL) (PFL) (PFL) (PFL) Semi- (PFL) Semi- (PFL) Semi-
Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly Annual Annual Annual
Monetary policy has changed its direction from accommodating to tightening, the impact
has been transferred on Weighted Average Lending Rate (WALR), which was 7.7 percent
on gross disbursement in March, 2021 increased to 10.59 percent in March, 2022.
Similarly, Weighted Average Deposit Rate (WADR) offered on fresh deposits also
increased to 5.1 percent in March, 2022 from 3.2 percent in March, 2021. Accordingly,
banking spread, which is the difference between the lending and deposit rates and the
cost of channeling funds through intermediaries, increased from 4.5 percent in March,
2021 to 5.5 percent in March, 2022.
May-21
Jun-21
Oct-21
Mar-22
Sep-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
Apr-21
Aug-21
Jan-22
Jul-21
Nov-21
100
Money and Credit
Financial Sector
To create conducive and thriving environment for the banking industry, the SBP
continued to play its role within its regulatory and supervisory ambit during FY2022.
Deposits of the banking sector surged by 17.3 percent over the year to Rs 21.7 trillion
by end CY21 (16.1 percent increase in CY20). Current and Savings deposits together
contributed 70.9 percent rise in total deposits in CY21. A number of factors, such as
revival of economic activities, upbeat momentum of workers’ remittances, sizeable
increase in Roshan Digital Accounts (RDAs), increased use of digital payment modes and
improvement in rate of return on deposits contributed to the rise in deposits during
CY21.
Asset Quality indicators of the lending portfolio improved due to contained growth in
NPLs as well as better provisioning. The infection ratios, on both gross as well as net
basis declined over the year CY21. With high provisions coverage (provisions to NPLs)
of 91.2 percent, net NPLs to net loans ratio declined to 0.7 percent by end Dec-2021 from
1.2 percent as of end Dec-2020.
Solvency indicators such as Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) moderated to 16.7 percent by
end Dec-2021 (18.6 percent at end Dec-2020), largely due to healthy growth in
advances. However, the prevailing CAR level remains well above the local and
international minimum benchmarks of 11.5 percent and 10.5 percent, respectively.
Table-5.10: Highlights of the Banking Sector Industry
CY15 CY16 CY17 CY18 CY19 CY20 CY21
Key Variables (Rs billion)
Total Assets 14,143 15,831 18,342 19,682 21,991 25,124 30,058
Investments (net) 6,881 7,509 8,729 7,914 8,939 11,935 14,554
Advances (net) 4,816 5,499 6,512 7,955 8,249 8,292 10,121
Deposits 10,389 11,798 13,012 14,254 15,953 18,519 21,720
Equity 1,323 1,353 1,381 1,406 1,658 1,862 1,942
Profit Before Tax (ytd) 329 314 267 243 304 411 451
Profit After Tax (ytd) 199 190 158 149 171 244 264
Non-Performing Loans 605 605 593 680 761 829 860
Non-Performing Loans (net) 91 90 76 110 141 97 75
101
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Financial Development
The relationship between financial development and economic growth has remained an
important issue of debate. A well-developed financial system performs several critical
functions to enhance the efficiency of intermediation by reducing information,
transaction, and monitoring costs. A modern financial system promotes investment by
identifying and funding good business opportunities, mobilizes savings, enables the
trading, hedging, and diversification of risk, and facilitates the exchange of goods and
services. These functions result in a more efficient allocation of resources, in a more
rapid accumulation of physical and human capital.
Financial development (i.e. financial depth) can Table- 5.11: Financial Depth
be measured by different macroeconomic Years M2/GDP
variables such as domestic credit to the private 2010-11 36.6
sector as a percentage of GDP, money supply 2011-12 38.1
measures, and stock market indicators. In table 2012-13 39.6
5.11, financial depth is measured by M2/GDP 2013-14 39.6
ratio, which is widely used as an indicator of 2014-15 41.0
financial sector deepening, where higher values 2015-16 44.1
represent a more developed financial sector. 2016-17 45.7
2017-18 46.2
This ratio has witnessed substantial rise and
2018-19 40.6
increased from 36.6 percent in FY2011 to 43.5 2019-20 44.0
percent in FY2021, indicating more developed 2020-21 43.5
and efficient financial sector due to SBP various 29th April
initiatives for financial sector development. The 2020-21 40.4
increasing trend is continued in current fiscal 2021-22 38.5
year and the ratio stood at 38.5 percent as on Source: EA Wing Calculation, Finance Division
29thApril FY2022.
Box-II: Financial Sector Reforms during July-March FY2022
To enhance financial soundness and robust performance of the banking sector, SBP has taken various
regulatory and policy reforms. The key policy reforms are highlighted below.
Strengthening of Regulatory and Supervisory Environment
SBP, in line with the international best practices, introduced a comprehensive set of reforms to enhance
supervision and resilience of the banking system.
¾ Supervisory Reforms
1. Supervisory Transition to Risk Based Supervisory Regime
SBP accomplished successful supervisory transition with the implementation of “Risk Based Supervisory
(RBS) Framework” in order to improve the supervisory regime and align it with international best
102
Money and Credit
practices. Being a forward-looking framework, it will help better understand the risk profiles of regulated
entities with respect to both external & internal risks and controls.
2. National Money Laundering/Terror Financing (ML/TF) Risk Assessment of Pakistan
The National ML/TF Risk Assessment of Pakistan – 2022 (NRA-22) is currently underway and SBP is
member of a national level core committee for review and guidance on NRA-22. With respect to NRA-22,
SBP conducted a comprehensive assessment of inherent ML/TF vulnerabilities of SBP regulated entities,
i.e. Banks, Microfinance Banks, Exchange Companies and Development Finance Institutions.
3. Guidance and Technical Support to Central Directorate of National Savings (CDNS) and Pakistan
Post
SBP has been providing guidance and support to CDNS and Pakistan Post to bridge gaps identified by
Asia Pacific Group (APG) in Pakistan’s Mutual Evaluation Report (MER). Senior officers of SBP are
member of Supervisory Boards constituted for both the institutions.
¾ Regulatory Reforms
1. SBP has developed a licensing and regulatory framework for setting up digital banks in Pakistan. The
primary aim of the framework, inter alia, include enhancement of financial inclusion, provision of
affordable/cost effective digital financial services especially to unserved and underserved segments of
the society and fostering a new set of customer experience.
2. Revision of Corporate Governance Regime
SBP has comprehensively updated the Corporate Governance Regulatory Framework (CGRF) for
banks/DFIs (vide BPRD Circular No. 05 of 2021). The revised framework aims to align with the
international standards and principles. The framework covers Fit and Proper Test (FPT) criteria and
other corporate governance regulatory requirements for the sponsor shareholders Issuance of
Licensing and Regulatory Framework for Digital Banks /beneficial owners, members of the Board of
Directors (BoDs), Presidents/CEOs and key executives of banks/DFIs.
3. Customers’ Digital On Boarding Framework
SBP has developed a “Customers’ Digital on Boarding Framework” for banks/ MFBs which inter alia
elaborates basic parameters for opening of bank accounts for Resident Pakistanis through digital
channels.
4. Implementation of Regulatory Approval System (RAS)
In order to further strengthen the organizational efficiency, effectiveness and turnaround time of
regulatory approval process, SBP has implemented Regulatory Approval System to digitize the end-to-
end process of various request letters/ proposals received from banks/DFIs/MFBs, their approval
process and dissemination of regulatory decisions there against.
5. Revised Prudential Regulations for Consumer Financing to Moderate Import Growth
SBP has revised Prudential Regulations (PRs) for Consumer Financing (vide BPRD Circular Letter No. 29
of 2021), to moderate the demand for imported items, particularly the automobiles and address
associated prudential risks to the banks. The changes in the PRs effectively prohibit financing for
imported vehicles, and tighten regulatory requirements for financing of domestically manufactured/
assembled vehicles of more than 1000 cc engine capacity and rationalize other Consumer Finance
Facilities like personal loans and credit cards.
6. Women Branchless Banking Agents under Banking on Equality Policy
The introduction of Women Branchless Banking (BB) agents will facilitate women’s adoption of digital
financial services, especially in rural areas.
7. SBP Imposed 100 percent Cash Margin Requirement on Import of Additional 114 Items
SBP imposed 100 percent Cash Margin Requirements (CMR) on import of 114 items vide BPRD Circular
Letter No. 30 of 2021, taking the total number of items subject to CMR to 525. In view of the building
current account deficit in the context of fast economic growth, SBP has decided to adjust its policy by
imposing CMR on additional import items. This will complement SBP’s other policy measures to ease the
pressure on import bill and help contain the current account deficit at sustainable levels.
¾ Foreign Exchange (FX) Regime
1. International Trade
SBP has taken following measures to facilitate E-Commerce, foreign trade, exporters of SME sectors and
export proceeds realization. These measures will not only improve the foreign exchange flows into the
country but also enhance the ease of doing business in Pakistan.
103
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
104
Money and Credit
Islamic Banking
During CY21, assets of Islamic banking Industry (IBI) witnessed significant YoY increase
of Rs 1,308 billion to Rs 5,577.0 billion (growth of 30.6 percent) compared to growth of
30.3 percent in CY20. Deposits of IBI increased by Rs 822 billion to Rs 4,211 billion
(growth of 24.2 percent) in CY21. It is pertinent to mention that this is the highest ever
increase in assets and deposits of IBI in a year. Accordingly, market share of Islamic
banking assets and deposits in the overall banking industry jumped to 18.6 percent and
19.4 percent, respectively by end December 2021 compared 17.0 and 18.3 percent,
respectively in CY20. (Table-5.12).
Table- 5.12: Islamic Banking Industry
CY16 CY17 CY18 CY19 CY20 CY21
Total Assets (Rs billion) 1,853.0 2,272.0 2,658.0 3,284 4,269 5,577
Total Deposits (Rs billion) 1,573.0 1,885.0 2,203.0 2,652 3,389 4,211
Share in Banks' Assets (Percent) 11.7 12.4 13.5 14.9 17 18.6
Share in Banks' Deposits (Percent) 13.3 14.5 15.5 16.6 18.3 19.4
* Provisional
Source: State Bank of Pakistan
Investments (net) made by IBI registered significant increase of 46.7 percent (Rs 589
billion) in CY21 and reached to Rs 1,852 billion in CY21. This increase in investments
(net) was mainly due to funds invested by IBIs in multiple Government of Pakistan (GoP)
domestic Ijarah Sukuk (GIS).
105
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Mode-wise financing breakup in CY21 revealed that Diminishing Musharaka has highest
share in overall financing of IBI followed by Musharaka and Murabaha.
Microfinance
The Microfinance Banks (MFBs) are set to conclude on a positive note by registering all-
round growth in FY2022; although a significant number of microcredit borrowers
continue to struggle and recover from the adversities inflicted by the COVID-19
pandemic. Many of these borrowers were unable to honor their debt obligations, which
in turn placed MFBs under considerable financial stress owing to escalated loan loss
provisioning and charging off overdue facilities.
The GoP and SBP worked in tandem to provide support to vulnerable groups. SBP
remained proactive to respond to emerging challenges by actively engaging the
microfinance industry. To this end, a number of policy interventions were made to
support both MFBs and their vulnerable clients.
Table-5.13: Microfinance Industry Major Indicators (Rs billions)
Indicators FY21 FY22* Annual Growth
Number of Branches 3,782 3,823 1.1%
No. of Borrowers 8,031,941 8,122,085 1.1%
Gross loan portfolio 355.7 392.6 10.4%
Average Loan Balance (in Rs) 44,286 48,335 9.1%
*up to December 2021
Source: PMN MicroWatch , various issues
As of March 2022, eleven MFBs and MCB – Islamic Bank32 were involved in extending
micro-banking services to the low-income segments of the country.
In 3rd quarter of FY22, the combined asset base of MFBs, witnessed a growth of 14.9
percent (Rs 76 billion) since June 30, 2021. MFBs reported an increase in Non-
31
Include Non-Bank Microfinance Companies (NB-MFCs), specialized microfinance institutions, rural support programs besides
organizations running microfinance, as a part of their multi-dimensional service offering.
32 Since October/November 2017, MCB Islamic Bank is extending microfinance banking services by establishing counters at its existing
106
Money and Credit
Performing Loans (NPLs) from 5.4 percent to around 6.0 percent. Among other factors
that underpin the current rise in portfolio infection, the lack of credit discipline of
borrowers remains primary challenge faced by the sector. The deposit base of MFBs
registered an impressive growth of 13.7 percent to reach Rs 430.3 billion, compared to
Rs 378.4 billion over June 30, 2021.
Gross Loan Portfolio (Billion) Deposits (Billion) No. of Borrowers (Million) rhs
107
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
108
Money and Credit
Conclusion
SBP had initiated to tighten monetary policy stance from September 2021 after keeping
the policy rate unchanged at 7 percent in all the MPC meetings held in FY2021. The
monetary policy in Pakistan shifted direction in Q1-FY2022 in accordance with the
changing economic outlook owing to recovery in domestic demand, higher commodity
prices and persistent inflationary pressures. Consequently, policy rate had increased by
cumulative 275 bps to 9.75 percent during consecutive three monetary policy decision,
within a span of three months.
The outlook for inflation improved following the reduction in fuel prices and electricity
tariffs announced by the Government’s relief package, while data also suggest a
moderation in growth. As a result, MPC kept the policy rate unchanged in January and
March 2022 meetings.
However, the Russia-Ukraine conflict has created significant uncertainty about the
outlook for international commodity prices and global financial conditions.
Consequently, the outlook for inflation worsened. Accordingly, the MPC in an
unscheduled meeting on April 7, 2022, raised policy rate by 250 basis points to 12.25
percent. The MPC was of the view that this action would help to safeguard external and
price stability.
In monetary policy decision held on 23rd May, 2022 the MPC decided to raise the policy
rate by 150 basis points to 13.75 percent. The decision was based on outcome of
elevated external sector pressure and the higher inflation outlook due to domestic and
international factors.
109
75C<G5?@5E>9GF7BECBE5G9F97GBE
sĂƌŝŽƵƐŽŵŵŽĚŝƟĞƐ&ƵƚƵƌĞ
ŽŶƚƌĂĐƚƐǁŽƌƚŚ
WULOOLRQ
ǁĞƌĞƚƌĂĚĞĚŽŶWD>ŝŶ
:ƵůͲDĂƌ&zϮϬϮϮ
{)ŞåųüŅųĵ±ĹÏåʱŸŞŅŸƋåÚ±ÆŅŅĵě±ĹÚě
ÆƚŸƋŸĜƋƚ±ƋĜŅĹÚƚųĜĹčƋĘåĀųŸƋĹĜĹåĵŅĹƋĘŸŅü
ƋĘåÏƚųųåĹƋĀŸÏ±ĬƼå±ų
ĘåƋŅƋ±ĬĹƚĵÆåųŅüĬĜŸƋåÚÏŅĵޱĹĜåŸŅĹ
ƋĘå{)ŸƋŅŅÚ±ƋĂƐƖØƵĜƋʱƋŅƋ±Ĭĵ±ųĩåƋ
ϱŞĜƋ±ĬĜDŽ±ƋĜŅĹŅüŸƀØĂíƐÆĜĬĬĜŅĹ
Chapter 6
Capital market is an organized market where both individuals and business entities can
trade various financial instruments such as bonds, stocks, government securities etc.
Capital market is a key source of funds for an entity whose securities are permitted by a
corporate regulatory authority to be traded, since it can readily sell its debt obligations
and equity to investors. Capital market offers a variety of financial instruments that
enable economic agents to pool, price and exchange risk. Through assets with attractive
yields, liquidity and risk characteristics, it encourages savings in the financial form.
A well-developed capital market creates a sustainable low-cost distribution mechanism
for multiple financial products and services which enhance efficient financial
intermediation. It increases mobilization of savings and, therefore, improves efficiency,
volume of investments and economic development. Capital market can create greater
financial inclusion by introducing new products and services tailored to suit investors’
preferences for risk and return as well as borrowers’ project needs and risk appetite.
Considering its role in the economy, the capital market has an important place, through
its specific mechanisms, succeeding to give its contribution to the economic
development of the country. In consequence, the government must notice the
importance of the capital market in the national economy and to make efforts for
ensuring the necessary framework for the normal functioning of its specific
mechanisms.
The chapter will cover the performance of the equity market, debt market, commodity
futures market, non-banking financial companies, corporate sector, Islamic finance and
insurance sector for FY2022. The chapter will also be covering the capital markets
reforms and development activities introduced by the Securities and Exchange
Commission of Pakistan (SECP), the apex regulator of the capital markets in Pakistan.
I – Equity Market
An equity market, also known as a stock market, is a market in which shares of listed
companies are issued and traded. The shares that are traded in an equity market are
either over the counter or at stock exchanges. Equity market mobilizes financial
resources and connecting savers and investors. It also plays a key role in linking real and
monetary sectors of the economy.
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
8,000 66,000
7,500 63,000
7,000 60,000
6,500 57,000
6,000 54,000
51,000
5,500
48,000
5,000
45,000
4,500 42,000
4,000 39,000
3,500 36,000
3,000 33,000
2,500 30,000
19-Sep-21
29-Sep-21
17-Jan-22
27-Jan-22
8-Mar-22
11-Jul-21
21-Jul-21
31-Jul-21
18-Mar-22
28-Mar-22
10-Aug-21
20-Aug-21
30-Aug-21
9-Oct-21
18-Nov-21
28-Nov-21
8-Dec-21
6-Feb-22
1-Jul-21
9-Sep-21
19-Oct-21
29-Oct-21
7-Jan-22
16-Feb-22
26-Feb-22
8-Nov-21
18-Dec-21
28-Dec-21
Source: Investing.com
Major Asian stock market indices presented a mix picture during the first nine month of
FY2022 (Fig-6.2 & Table 6.1). Jakarta Composite Index has seen the highest growth of
18.1 percent, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index declined by 23.7 percent, revealing
the highest decline during the period July 2021 to March 2022.
Table 6.1: Major Asian Stock Market Indices (July-March FY2022)
Index On Index On %
Country Index
30.06.2021 31.03.2022 Change
Pakistan KSE 100 Index 47,356.02 44,928.83 -5.13
MSCI-EM MSCI Emerging Market Index 1,374.64 1,141.79 -16.94
China Shanghai Composite 3,591.20 3,252.66 -9.43
Vietnam VN30 Index 1,529.00 1,508.53 -1.34
India BSE Sensex 30 52,482.71 58,568.51 11.60
Indonesia Jakarta Composite Index 5,985.49 7,071.44 18.14
Hong Kong Hang Seng 28,827.95 21,996.85 -23.70
Singapore Straits Times Singapore 3,130.46 3,408.52 8.88
Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index 1,532.63 1,587.36 3.57
Philippines PSEi Composite 6,901.91 7,203.47 4.37
Thailand SET Index 1,587.79 1,695.24 6.77
Source: Investing.com
1
S&P 500 is a stock market index tracking the performance of 500 large companies listed on stock exchange in the US
SSE composite index is a stock market index of all stocks that are traded at the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
Sensex 30 is a free-float market-weighted stock market index of 30 well established companies on the Bombay Stock Exchange
The CAC 40 is a benchmark French stock market index, represents a capitalization-weighted measure of the 40 most significant stocks
among the 100 largest market caps on the Euronext Paris
The KSE-100 index is a stock index acting as a benchmark to compare prices on the Pakistan Stock Exchange over a period.
112
Capital Markets and Corporate Sector
The turnover in shares reached its peak in September 2021, indicating that investors
were actively investing in the market. However, the market activity slowed down in
February and March 2022 due to the geo-political and domestic political uncertainty.
Table 6.2: Month-wise performance of KSE-100 Index
Months 2020 – 2021 Months 2021 – 2022
Market Turnover in Market Turnover
KSE 100 KSE 100
Capitalization shares Capitalization in shares
index index
(Rs billion) (billions) (Rs billion) (billions)
Jul-20 39,258.44 7,294.27 3.68 Jul-21 47,055.29 8,242.71 8.75
Aug-20 39,868.55 7,418.38 3.94 Aug-21 47,419.74 8,290.43 7.29
Sep-20 40,571.48 7,643.09 4.73 Sep-21 44,899.60 7,804.49 9.12
Oct-20 39,888.00 7,399.62 5.41 Oct-21 46,184.71 7,953.39 5.51
Nov-20 40,807.09 7,519.25 3.97 Nov-21 45,072.38 7,553.51 6.95
113
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The major development of this year in the equity market is the issuance of Initial Public
Offerings (IPOs). During July-March FY2022, five companies issued shares through IPOs
on the main board of Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX), while two companies were listed
on the newly introduced Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) Board. Their detail is given
in Box-I.
The total number of companies listed in PSX till March 2022 stood at 532. Total listed
capital with PSX increased from Rs 1,442.64 billion in FY2021 to Rs 1,502.13 billion
during the first nine months of current fiscal year. Five new companies were listed with
the PSX during July-March 2022 as compared to five companies in the fiscal year 2020-
21. The profile of PSX from 2018 to March 2022 is reported in table 6.3.
114
Capital Markets and Corporate Sector
115
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
In terms of market capitalization, five top sectors are shown in Fig 6.4.
Modarabas 65.0
Jute 64.9
Miscellaneous 34.6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Source: Pakistan Stock Exchange
It is evident from table 6.5 that out of five major companies in the PSX, Meezan Bank
Limited and Mari Petroleum Company Limited share price has a positive growth. Fall in
the share price of Pak Tobacco is partly explained by the negative growth of 28 percent
in the Tobacco industry. Share price of Nestle has dropped as Food & Personal Care
Products companies posted a modest growth of 1.2 percent. The stock price trend of top
five companies registered at the PSX is also presented in Fig 6.5.
116
Capital Markets and Corporate Sector
Fig-6.5: Stock price trend of top five companies in PSX indexed to 100
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
1-Jul-21 1-Aug-21 1-Sep-21 1-Oct-21 1-Nov-21 1-Dec-21 1-Jan-22 1-Feb-22 1-Mar-22
OGDCL PAKT NESTLE MARI MEBL
Source: ksestocks.com
Corporate Debt Securities Outstanding: As of March 31, 2022, 102 corporate debt securities
remain outstanding, amounting to Rs 749.8 billion. Category-wise break-up is shown in table
6.7.
117
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The product basket of the NSS ranges from three months Short-Term Savings
Certificates (STSC) to ten years long term Defence Savings Certificates. The detail is
given in table 6.8.
Table 6.8: Product basket of the National Savings Scheme
S. No Rate of profit on National Savings Schemes w.e.f. 25-03-2022
Rate of Return
Name of Scheme Maturity Period Tax Status
(per annum)
1 Defence Savings Certificates 10.92% 10 Years Taxable
2 Special Savings Certificates/Accounts 11.13% (Average) 3 Years Taxable
3 Regular Income Certificates 11.04% 5 Years Taxable
4 Savings Account 8.25% Running Account Taxable
5 Pensioners' Benefit Account 12.72% 10 Years Tax exempt
6 Bahbood Savings Certificates 12.72% 10 Years Tax exempt
7 Shuhada Family Welfare Account 12.72% 10 Years Tax exempt
8 National Prize Bonds (Bearer) 10.00% Perpetual Taxable
9 Premium Prize Bonds (Registered) * 8.79% Perpetual Taxable
10 Short Term Savings Certificates (STSC)
STSC 3 Months 10.40% 3 Months Taxable
STSC 6 Months 10.60% 6 Months Taxable
STSC 12 Months 10.70% 12 Months Taxable
*Effective from 10.09.2021
Source: Central Directorate of National Savings
Due to discontinuation of highest domination prize bonds i.e., Rs 40,000, Rs 15,000 and
Rs 7,500, the net proceeds of NSS have been counted at Rs -86.4 billion as of March 31,
2022. Scheme-wise net investment is presented in table 6.9.
118
Capital Markets and Corporate Sector
During July-March FY2022, 2.31 million lots of various commodities futures contracts
including gold, crude oil and US equity indices worth Rs 2.65 trillion were traded on
PMEX.
119
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
120
Capital Markets and Corporate Sector
Lending NBFCs
Lending NBFCs include leasing companies, investment finance companies, housing
finance companies, discount houses and non-bank microfinance companies. Highlights
of each category as of December 31, 2021 is stated in table 6.12.
Table 6.12: List of Lending NBFCs
Asset Base
S.No Lending NBFC No. of companies
(Rs billion)
1 Leasing Companies 4 5.36
2 Investment Banks 16 78.22
3 Non-Bank Microfinance Companies 30 146.11
4 Housing Finance Companies 3 0.216
Source: Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan
Currently, three REIT schemes have offered units to the investors and acquired
property(ies) i.e., Dolmen City REIT, Silk Islamic Developmental REIT and Silk World
Islamic REIT. As of December 31, 2021, the aggregate fund size of these REIT Schemes
was Rs 67.15 billion. Stakeholders continue to express interest in REIT as a viable option
for investing in real estate projects, as evidenced from the number of companies licensed
to undertake REIT management services increasing to eleven and receipt of twelve fresh
applications for formation of REIT management company/grant of REIT management
services licenses.
V- Corporate Sector
Company incorporation trend: Facilitation extended during the pandemic coupled
with availability of uninterrupted online services has helped in registration of
companies. During July-March FY2022, a total of 19,929 new companies were
registered, out of which around 99 percent companies were incorporated through
online process.
Digital Portal for Banks: In pursuit of its agenda to promote ease of doing business and
digitalization, SECP in coordination with SBP, had launched an exclusive digital portal in
March, 2021, enabling banks to open corporate accounts without seeking physically
certified copies of statutory documents. Presently, 47 financial institutions have joined
the portal, during the period of July-March FY2022.
Biannual Online Reporting System for Employees Contribution Fund: SECP has
successfully lunched "Online Reporting System for Filing Biannual Returns" through e-
Services platform, the module is related to Employees Contributory Funds (Investment
in Listed Securities) Regulations, 2018 (the "Regulations") which were previously filed
121
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Integration with SMEDA: SECP has successfully integrated with SME Registration
Portal (SMERP) of Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA),
which is a web-based interactive platform for SMEs registration and requested SECP to
extend its integration services to SEMDA and enabling it to verify company registration
status for companies applying to register as SME at SMERP.
Launch of online process for Companies Easy Exit Regulations (CEER): SECP has
launched online process for processing easy-exit applications under Companies Easy-
Exit Regulations, 2016 to provide automated platform for easy-exit of companies. It will
facilitate exit of companies without manually applying by simply signing up to e-Services
portal which will improve end-users experience and optimize the exit process.
Box-III: ADB’s $ 300 million Loan to Further Develop Pakistan’s Capital Markets
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) approved a $ 300 million loan on 22 nd March 2022 to further develop
the Pakistan’s capital markets, promote private investment in the country and help to mobilize domestic
resources to finance sustainable growth. The program aims to catalyze institutional investor demand and
increase the range of alternative financial instruments such as derivatives and commodity futures that
are available to investors. It will also help to mobilize more domestic resources which support the
government’s efforts to finance sustainable growth and respond effectively to crises, by making the
country’s capital markets more robust and strengthening government debt management.
ADB’s program supports policy actions that will strengthen market stability and attract investor capital
to Pakistan. It supports measures that will strengthen the government debt market and enhance market
surveillance systems to facilitate information exchange. The program also promotes an enabling
environment to expedite access to financing for growth companies and state-owned enterprises.
These reforms will help to mobilize financial resources for productive investment, especially by the
private sector, and help facilitate economic growth by developing the bond and equity capital markets.
This will also help to reduce cost of financial intermediation and help stabilize systemic vulnerabilities in
the bank-dominated finance system.
Source: Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan
As of December 31, 2021, the aggregate paid-up capital, equity and total assets of
Modaraba sector stood at Rs 20.7 billion, Rs 24.1 billion and Rs 57.3 billion respectively.
122
Capital Markets and Corporate Sector
Out of total twenty-five profit making Modarabas, nineteen Modarabas declared cash
dividend and/or bonus for the year 2021.
123
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
best practices. The new contracts provided investors with more flexibility with
respect to their trading strategies and eliminated the rollover week.
4) Shared KYC Information System: Benefitting from the successful implementation
of online opening system in capital markets, a new mechanism has been introduced
for facilitating resident Pakistanis in opening trading accounts with securities broker by
allowing sharing of KYC information already submitted to the banks with the brokers.
5) Reforms in Dividend Payment: In order to facilitate shareholders of listed companies
and to make dividend distribution process more efficient; amendments in Companies
(Distribution of Dividend) Regulations, 2017 were approved by the Commission to
reduce turnaround time for payment of cash dividend from 15 working days to 10 working
days from the date of its declaration.
6) Risk Management Regime for Custodian Clearing Members: Risk management
regime for Custodian Clearing Members (CCMs) has been implemented. The new
mechanism allows collection of acceptable collateral from CCMs against margin
requirements in respect of trades of foreign investors. This will improve efficiency
of risk management system while improving the capacity of local brokers.
7) Revision in Fee, Charges and Deposits Schedule of CDC and NCCPL: In order to
provide benefit to unit holders of mutual fund industry; the SECP has approved to
rationalized NCCPL’s tariff structures of security deposit requirement for Collective
Investment Schemes (CIS) and Capital Gain Tax (CGT) fee in a progressive manner.
Further, the security deposit shall not be applicable on Asset Management
Companies admitted for only using single UIN facility for all CISs under its
management.
8) CDC’s Tariff Structure has also been rationalized on account of multiple fee heads,
i.e., waiver for online transactions, reduction in annual fee for multiple accounts,
significant reduction in fee for fresh issue of shares and redeemable securities
especially for short term redeemable securities. Such reduction would be beneficial
for corporate sector to issue bonds with substantially reduced induction fee and
investors shall be able to have lesser cost to maintain CDC investor and sub-account.
9) Promotion of ETFs: In order to encourage launch of more ETFs at PSX, the SECP
has approved reduction in minimum brokerage rates for trading in fixed income
ETFs. Further, to promote and develop ETF market, incentives provided previously
by PSX, CDC and NCCPL in respect of ETFs, have been further extended for one year.
10) Account Facilitation and Customer Help Centre: In a bid to enhance investor base
of capital market, regulatory framework for opening and operations of account
facilitation/ customer help centres by securities brokers has been implemented.
These centres shall enhance physical presence of securities brokers and facilitate in
account opening for new investors in the capital market through utilization of
branch networks of Commercial Banks, Asset Management Companies and
Insurance Companies, in addition to allowing specially trained sales staff of brokers
to carry out permissible marketing activities in public places.
124
Capital Markets and Corporate Sector
Development of Primary Capital Market: Following measures have been taken for
development of primary capital market:
125
<A:?5G<BA
/ŶĐƌĞĂƐĞŝƐŽďƐĞƌǀĞĚ
ŝŶĂůůŝŶĚŝĐĂƚŽƌƐ
{FĜĹā±ƋĜŅĹƵ±ŸųåÏŅųÚåÚ±ƋŎŎţLj
ŞåųÏåĹƋ±Ÿ±č±ĜĹŸƋíţƅŞåųÏåĹƋĬ±ŸƋƼå±ų
{FųåÏŅųÚåÚ±ƋŎƅţĿŞåųÏåĹƋ±č±ĜĹŸƋ
ŎƖţĿŞåųÏåĹƋĬ±ŸƋƼå±ų
{FųåÏŅųÚåÚ±ƋƖƖţĿŞåųÏåĹƋ±Ÿ
ÏŅĵޱųåÚƋŅƀţĉŞåųÏåĹƋĬ±ŸƋƼå±ų
Chapter 7
Inflation
Inflation is a key economic indicator that provides important insight on general cost of
living and price movements. Price stability is essential for all kind of economic decision
making that leads not only to economic growth, but also uplifts the poor and fixed
income citizens who are the most vulnerable segment of the society. For a developing
country like Pakistan, stable inflation environment is necessary to ensure productive
investments and savings to achieve sustainable and inclusive growth.
For the outgoing fiscal year, the inflation target was set at 8.0 percent, but abnormal
increase in global commodity prices especially crude oil and the edible oil has soared the
domestic prices since Pakistan is net importer of these essential items. It is the 6th
consecutive month when inflation rate has remained in double digit. Consumer Price
Index (CPI) in April 2022 stood at 13.4 percent on a year-on-year (YoY) basis which was
up from 12.7 percent in the previous month and 11.1 percent in April 2021. The pace of
food inflation surged 15.6 percent in Urban and 17.7 percent in Rural during the month
of April 2022. The CPI Inflation, recorded at 11.0 percent on average during July-April
FY2022 as against 8.6 percent in same period last year.
12.7
12.3
12.2
11.5
14
11.1
10.9
12
9.7
9.2
9.1
9.0
8.7
8.4
8.4
10
%
8
5.7
6
4
2
0
Jan-21
Jan-22
Mar-22
Feb-21
Mar-21
May-21
Sep-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
Jul-21
Apr-21
Jun-21
Nov-21
Apr-22
Oct-21
Aug-21
The pressures on headline inflation during the period can be attributed to adjustment in
prices of electricity and gas, a significant increase in the non-perishable food prices,
exchange rate depreciation along with rapid increase in global fuel and commodity
prices. The drivers of global price hike highlight that demand for goods was already
strong but supply side limitations due to global logistics (transportation congestion)
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
constraints added stress to already swelling prices. It is also recorded that the Wholesale
Price Index (WPI) continued its upward trajectory, indicating persistent cost push
inflationary pressure in the economy.
The government made best efforts to ensure smooth supply of essential domestic goods
through vigilant monitoring of prices both at provincial and federal level. A Ramazan
package of Rs 8.2 billion was provided through Utility Store Corporation (USC) for
providing essential items to general public at affordable prices. Government has already
approved import of three million metric tonnes of wheat to ease the supply in the
country. Further, continuous relief to the lower strata of the society from global
inflationary pressure, the ECC granted approval to revise prices of wheat flour and sugar
from Rs 950/20kg to Rs 800/20kg and Rs 85/kg to Rs 70/kg, respectively, and also
directed that discount of Rs 190/kg on vegetable ghee will be continued. The
government will continue to absorb the cost of subsidy for the benefit of the common
man.
In response to price hikes, policymakers have often sought to provide relief to consumers via subsidies
or lower taxes; however, these are ineffective remedies particularly at this point in time and may
exacerbate supply shortages. Policymakers can better mitigate the impact of higher prices on low-
income households through targeted measures, including cash transfers. Past commodity price shocks
induced policy and market responses that led to increased sources of supply and, for oil price shocks,
greater consumption efficiency and substitution away from oil. Over time, the recent spike in prices will
likely once again spur more efficient energy consumption and a faster transition away from fossil fuels,
particularly if supported by appropriate policy responses. Food production, at the global level, will also
respond to changes in relative prices. However, the uncertainties for food supply availability stemming
128
Inflation
from the war are high, and low-income countries may have urgent needs for international assistance
for a prolonged period.
Trend of global Commodity prices
Crude oil, Brent ($/bbl) Sugar, world ($/kg)
140 0.5
0.5
120
0.4
100 0.4
80 0.3
0.3
60 0.2
40 0.2
0.1
20
0.1
0 0.0
Apr-19
Jul-19
Apr-20
Jul-20
Apr-21
Jul-21
Apr-22
Apr-19
Jul-19
Apr-20
Jul-20
Apr-21
Jul-21
Apr-22
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Palm oil ($/mt) Soybean oil ($/mt)
2000 2500
1800
1600 2000
1400
1200 1500
1000
800 1000
600
400 500
200
0 0
Apr-19
Jul-19
Apr-20
Jul-20
Apr-21
Jul-21
Apr-22
Apr-19
Jul-19
Apr-20
Jul-20
Apr-21
Jul-21
Apr-22
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Wheat, US HRW ($/mt) Rice, Thai A.1 ($/mt)
600 600
500 500
400 400
300 300
200 200
100 100
0 0
Apr-19
Jul-19
Apr-20
Jul-20
Apr-21
Jul-21
Apr-22
Apr-19
Jul-19
Apr-20
Jul-20
Apr-21
Jul-21
Apr-22
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Source: World Bank, Pink sheet and Commodity market outlook, April 2022
129
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Gas & other Fuel have recorded an increase of 11.0 percent during July-April FY2022 as
against 5.7 percent during the same period last year.
Non-Perishable food items are the main contributory factor in jacking up the food
inflation. Non-perishable food items recorded at 13.1 percent against the increase of
16.0 percent during the same period last year. Among non-perishable food items, the
upward pressure came from Edible oil followed by Pulses and Chicken. In case of edible
oil and ghee products, manufacturers have been struggling with rising international
prices of palm and soyabean oil since July 2020. The high prices of poultry bird mainly
attributed to low production, weather variations and more than doubled rate of soybean
(main ingredient of poultry feed).
Inflation in perishable food items was increased by 4.1 percent against the slight
increase of 0.1 percent during same period last year. CPI movements by major groups
are given in Table 7.1.
Table 7.1: Composition of CPI-National Inflation (July-April)
% Change
Group Weights
2020-21 2021-22
CPI National 100.0 8.6 11.0
Food & Non-alcoholic Beverages 34.6 13.4 11.8
i) Non- perishable Food Items 29.6 16.0 13.1
ii) Perishable Food Items 5.0 0.1 4.1
Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco 1.0 5.7 2.4
Restaurant & Hotels 6.9 8.5 11.3
Clothing & Foot wear 8.6 10.0 10.0
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & other Fuel 23.6 5.7 11.0
Furnishing & Household Equipment maintenance 4.1 8.1 11.6
Health 2.8 8.3 9.1
Transport 5.9 -1.3 19.4
Communication 2.2 0.5 2.5
Recreation & culture 1.6 4.2 7.7
Education 3.8 1.2 3.8
Miscellaneous 4.9 11.7 9.8
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
In Q1-FY2022, CPI was brought down to 8.6 percent from 8.8 percent in corresponding
quarter last year on account of lower pace of inflation in Non-perishable food items than
the same quarter of last year. CPI in Q1 also remained lower due to negative growth in
perishable items compared to double digit in the Q1- FY2021. Low inflation in Q1
FY2022 resulted from the timely decisions of National Price Monitoring Committee
(NPMC) meetings where provincial governments were directed to look into profit
margins i.e. gap between wholesale and retail prices and take proactive measures to
minimize it. Furthermore, M/o National Food Security & Research and M/o Industries &
Production also remained vigilant on wheat and sugar stock in the country and make
arrangements for timely import of wheat & sugar as per ECC direction.
In Q2-FY2022, main drivers of CPI inflation remained Transport, Housing, water,
electricity, gas & other fuel and Non-perishable items. In Q3-FY2022, CPI inflation
130
Inflation
131
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
difficulties.1 To curb these harmful tendencies, some countries have included legal provisions to
limit government borrowing from the central bank.2
A similar restriction would be beneficial for Pakistan, as this clause will restrict money printing to
finance budget deficit.
Enhanced Accountability: SBP will remain accountable for its actions. First, by defining its
objectives more clearly so that its performance can be better assessed. Second, by requiring that
the Governor submit an annual report to Parliament on the extent to which these objectives were
met and a separate report on financial stability, as well as explicitly giving the right to Parliament
to ask for senior officials to appear before it as many times as needed. Enhanced accountability
clauses will lead to more vigilant policy actions by the SBP.
Scope of SBP Functions: Under the amended Act, formulation and implementation of the exchange
rate policy will be covered under SBP functions. Under the new system, the exchange rate is
determined by market forces, with intervention only when exchange conditions become
disorderly. A market-based exchange rate system also means that the exchange rate is not kept
artificially high as this eventually leads to balance of payments crises, and owing to sharp
depreciation, results in higher inflation. Going forward, two-way exchange rate movement will
prevent economy from high and sudden currency depreciation and allied inflationary impacts.
Source: State Bank of Pakistan
Nov
Dec
Apr
Mar
Oct
Jan
Jul
Aug
Feb
period last year.
Urban CPI FY 22 Urban CPI FY 21
On YoY basis, the food commodities that Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
contributed to urban food inflation during
April 2022 over the same month of last year include Tomatoes (124.68 percent)
followed by Mustard oil (61.72 percent), Onion (61.64 percent), Cooking oil (60.07
percent), Vegetable ghee (58.71 percent), Masoor pulse (40.29 percent), Gram whole
(30.85 percent), Fruits (30.64 percent), Meat (25.64 percent), Vegetables (19.15
percent), Wheat flour (18.34 percent) and Wheat (14.69 percent), respectively. The food
commodities that witnessed decline in prices include Moong pulse (25.94 percent),
Potatoes (20.73 percent), Eggs (19.42 percent), condiments and spices (16.31 percent)
and Sugar (9.67 percent).
1
When the government borrows from the central bank, it is equivalent to printing money. Simply printing money does not create more
real resources in the economy rather will induce inflation.
2Alagidede, P. (2016), “Central bank deficit financing in a constrained fiscal space”, Working Paper, International Growth Center (IGC): S-
33306-GHA-1
132
Inflation
%
8
to 14.1 percent and 8.9 percent,
6
respectively, in the same month last year.
4
During the period July-April FY2022, CPI-
2
Rural recorded at 11.2 percent as against
0
10.0 percent during the same period last
Sep
Dec
Apr
Nov
Mar
Oct
Jan
Feb
Jul
Aug
year. The inflation differential in Rural and Rural CPI FY 22 Rural CPI FY 21
Urban may be attributed to relatively loose Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
price checks in rural areas. The high food
(other than fruits and vegetables) and non-food inflation in rural areas can be attributed
to the transportation cost.
In rural YoY inflation, the food commodities that contributed to upward growth of CPI
include Tomatoes (169.87 percent), Onions (77.72 percent), Cooking oil (63.94 percent),
Vegetable ghee (62.22 percent), Mustard oil (59.23 percent), Masoor pulse (45.30
percent), Gram whole (39.49 percent), Fruits (39.20 percent), Vegetables (27.14
percent), Meat (26.19 percent), Beans (21.49 percent), Wheat flour (18.82 percent),
Besan (16.30 percent) and Wheat (14.10 percent). The food commodities that witnessed
decrease in prices included Moong pulse (26.93 percent), Eggs (19.50 percent), Potatoes
(18.97 percent), Condiments and spices (14.82 percent) and Sugar (8.09 percent).
The non-food commodities that contributed to rural inflation include Liquefied
hydrocarbons (64.64 percent), Motor fuels (38.47 percent), Washing
soaps/detergents/match box (20.15 percent), Cleaning and laundering (19.86 percent),
Motor vehicles accessories (17.28 percent), Hosiery (17.04 percent), Solid fuel (15.74
percent) and Woolen readymade garments (15.03 percent).
Core inflation for Urban and Rural recorded at 7.6 percent and 8.3 percent respectively
during July-April FY2022 as compared to 5.8 percent and 7.6 percent during the same
period last year. The YoY core inflation remained higher in both Urban and Rural as
compared to the same months last year. The spike witnessed in YoY increase in core
inflation due to higher domestic demand, lagged impact of exchange rate depreciation
133
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
and revision of taxes (vehicles and postal services) which were kept unchanged in
previous budget on account of COVID-19 related relief. Table 7.3 shows the core inflation
trend YoY basis.
Table 7.3: Core Inflation (%)
Months Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Jul-Apr
2020-21 Urban 5.3 5.6 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.4 6.4 6.3 7.0 5.8
Rural 7.8 7.6 7.8 7.6 7.4 7.7 7.8 7.7 7.3 7.7 7.6
2021-22 Urban 6.9 6.3 6.4 6.7 7.6 8.3 8.2 7.8 8.9 9.1 7.6
Rural 6.9 6.2 6.2 6.7 8.2 8.9 9.0 9.4 10.3 10.9 8.3
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
16
the current year upward trajectory. The
YoY WPI for April 2022 is recorded at 28.1 11
Nov
Dec
Apr
Oct
Jan
Mar
Aug
Feb
Jul
134
Inflation
%
12
markets in 17 cities of the country.
8
The trend of this index is monitored 4
regularly by the NPMC, and immediate
0
measures are being taken to control
Dec
Sep
Apr
Nov
Oct
Jan
Mar
Jul
Feb
Aug
fluctuation in prices. The SPI YoY basis in
SPI FY 22 SPI FY 21
FY2022 remained volatile as presented in
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
the Figure 7.5.
The annualized increase in SPI during July-April FY2022 was recorded at 16.9 percent
against 12.9 percent in the same period last year. Twenty-five (25) major food items
including wheat flour, rice, tomatoes, onions, pulses, chicken, sugar, red chilies, etc.
having a weight of 59 percent, influenced SPI by 10.6 percent.
Table 7.5: Change in prices of major food items of SPI (%)
Items Units Weights Change Contributions
(Combined) Apr-22/ Apr-21
Wheat Flour Bag 20 Kg 4.0 8.1 0.3
Rice Basmati Broken 1 Kg 1.3 13.0 0.2
Bread plain Each 0.6 14.4 0.1
Beef with Bone 1 Kg 3.4 25.9 0.9
Mutton 1 Kg 2.4 24.2 0.6
Chicken 1 Kg 3.9 5.3 0.2
Milk fresh (Un-boiled) 1 Ltr 18.4 9.8 1.8
Curd 1 Kg 1.8 9.0 0.2
Powdered Milk 390 gm 0.4 8.3 0.0
Eggs Hen 1 Dozen 1.4 -17.0 -0.2
Cooking Oil DALDA 5 litre 3.1 58.6 1.8
Vegetable Ghee 2.5 kg 1.5 58.2 0.9
Vegetable Ghee 1kg 1.5 57.2 0.8
Bananas 1 Dozen 0.9 13.6 0.1
Pulse Masoor 1 Kg 0.5 41.8 0.2
Pulse Moong 1 Kg 0.5 -27.5 -0.1
Pulse Mash 1 Kg 0.3 3.6 0.0
Pulse Gram 1 Kg 0.5 11.1 0.1
Potatoes 1 Kg 2.1 -19.6 -0.4
Onions 1 Kg 1.7 93.2 1.6
Tomatoes 1 Kg 1.4 115.4 1.7
Sugar 1 Kg 3.2 -11.5 -0.4
Chilies Powder Packet 200 gm 0.8 -39.5 -0.3
Garlic 1 Kg 0.6 76.7 0.4
Tea Lipton Packet 190 gm 2.4 12.7 0.3
Total 58.5 10.6
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
135
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The food prices have risen globally because of shortage of the supply of commodities
and high demand. Pakistan has also been affected as the country is a net importer of food
items, especially wheat, sugar, pulses and edible oil. The impact of global price
movement is realized on domestic prices. However, the government made best efforts
to minimize the impact of global increase in prices on domestic consumers.
Table 7.7: National Average prices
Sugar Cooking Vegetable Wheat Petrol Hi-Speed Rice Tea
Months Refined Oil Ghee Flour (Rs/Litre) Diesel (Rs/kg) (Rs/190
(Rs/Kg) (Rs/5Kg) (Rs/Kg) (Rs/20Kg) (Rs/Litre) gm)
Apr-21 97.1 1536.7 302.6 1011.5 110.7 113.2 92.1 230.0
Mar-22 87.6 2258.2 451.2 1167.4 150.6 144.9 103.0 257.6
Apr-22 85.9 2437.9 475.7 1092.1 150.6 144.9 104.0 259.1
% Change
Apr-22/Apr-21 -11.6 58.6 57.2 8.0 36.1 28.0 13.0 12.7
Apr-22/Mar-22 -2.0 8.0 5.4 -6.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.6
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
136
Inflation
The drop in the FAO Food Price Index (FFPI) in April, 2022 was led by a significant
downturn in the vegetable oil sub-index, along with a slight decline in the cereal price
sub-index, whereas sugar, meat and dairy price sub-indices are sustained and showing
moderate increases.
Fig 7.6: FAO Food Commodity Prices
Prices of wheat largely driven by conflict-related export disruptions from Ukraine and
to a lesser extent from the Russian Federation. The expected loss of exports from the
Black Sea region exacerbated the already tight global availability of wheat. Hence, the
world wheat prices rose sharply in March 2022, soaring by 19.7 percent while in April it
marginally increased by 0.2 percent. International rice prices in April 2022, went up 2.3
percent from their March levels, sustained by a combination of strong local demand in
various Asian exporters, purchases by Chinese buyers and weather setbacks in the
Americas.
International palm oil prices dropped moderately in April, mainly weighed by subdued
global import purchases amid high costs as well as a weakening demand outlook in
China. Nevertheless, uncertainties about export availabilities out of Indonesia, the
world’s leading palm oil exporter, contained further decline in international prices.
The April 2022 rebound in international sugar price quotations was mainly prompted
by the sharp increase in international crude oil prices, which raised expectations of a
greater use of sugarcane for ethanol production in Brazil in the upcoming season.
However, the good harvest progress and favourable production prospects in India, a
major sugar exporter, contributed to easing the price hike and prevented larger monthly
price increases.
137
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
138
GE5895A8C5L@9AG
džƉŽƌƚƐ'ƌĞǁďLJ
ŝŶ&zϮϬϮϮ
)ƻŞŅųƋŸŅüŸåųƴĜÏ域åÏƋŅų
ųåčĜŸƋåųåÚ±čųŅƵƋĘŅüŎíţƖ
ŞåųÏåĹƋÚƚųĜĹčIƚĬěeŞų8¥ƖLjƖƖ
åƻƋĜĬåŸåÏƋŅųØåŸŞåÏĜ±ĬĬƼƋĘåĘĜčĘ
ƴ±Ĭƚåě±ÚÚåÚŸåčĵåĹƋÆųĜĹčŸƋƵŅě
ƋĘĜųÚŅüƋĘåƋŅƋ±ĬčųŅƵƋĘ
åĵĜƋƋ±ĹÏåŸŞŅŸƋåÚ±čųŅƵƋĘŅüƀţƅ
ŞåųÏåĹƋ±ĵŅƚĹƋĜĹčƋŅâƖƅţŎ
ÆĜĬĬĜŅĹ
Chapter 8
Introduction
The global economy has faced multiple headwinds during Jul-Mar FY2022. The post-
COVID growth rebound had contributed to higher consumer demand for many products
and commodities, thereby stressing supply chains and leading to a commodity price
‘super cycle’. From late February 2022 onwards, geopolitical tensions between two
major commodity producers – Russia and Ukraine – significantly added onto the
commodity price spiral, pushing up prices of energy and food commodities even further.
Just as the higher commodity prices were pressuring external accounts of emerging
markets (EMs), higher inflation outturns in the US and other advanced economies
resulted in central banks adopting a tightening monetary policy stance.
The revival of global economic activity in the first half of 2021 has boosted merchandise
trade over its pre-pandemic peak, as global merchandise trade volume has increased by
9.8 percent in 2021. The global trade grew by 26 percent and reached US$ 22.4 trillion,
while services trade grew by 15 percent and reached US$ 5.7 trillion. World
merchandise trade volume is projected to grow by 3.0 percent in 2022 and 3.4 percent
in 2023 provided the Ukraine-Russia war does not expand further. Fig 8.1 depicts the
growth pattern of global merchandise trade.
40 World Exports
30 Worls Imports 23.8 24.9 22.3 23.4
16.6 14.2
20
Percent
10 3.2 2.2
0
-10 -4.0 -5.9
-6.5 -5.0
-20
-30 -21.2 -20.6
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2020 2021
Source: WTO
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
During Jul-Mar FY2022, goods exports grew by 26.6 percent and amounted to US$ 23.7
billion, whereas services exports grew by 17.1 percent and amounted to US$ 5.1billion.
Despite the encouraging export performance, the country’s imports have also risen
significantly. The broad-based surge in global commodity prices, COVID-19 vaccine
imports, and demand-side pressures, all contributed to the rising imports. Resultantly,
trade deficit grew by 55.5 percent amounted to US$ 30.1 billion which is historically
high. Remittances which always supported in easing out pressure of trade deficit of both
goods and services recorded at US$ 22.9 billion during Jul-Mar FY2022 and posted a
growth of 7.1 percent. This ever-highest level of workers remittances was not sufficient
to offset trade deficit. Thus, current account deficit recorded at US$ 13.2 billion during
FY2022. Further, low performance of financial account during the period not only
resulted in depletion of foreign reserves but also brought exchange rate under pressure.
8000
6000
US $ Million
4000
2000
0
Oct FY21
Oct FY22
Jul FY21
Aug FY21
Feb FY21
Jul FY22
Aug FY22
Dec FY22
Feb FY22
Nov FY21
Jan FY21
Mar FY21
Apr FY21
Nov FY22
Jan FY22
Sep FY21
Jun FY21
Sep FY22
Mar FY22
May FY21
Dec FY21
Source: PBS
Exports
Due to pro-business measures and recent rupee depreciation, (as per PBS data) exports
marked an impressive growth of 25.0 percent during Jul-Mar FY2022 amounting to US$
23.3 billion as compared to US$ 18.7 billion in the same period last year. Around two-
thirds of the increase came from the textile sector, especially from the high value-added
segment. Pakistan’s textile exporters capitalized on the policy support available –
including the SBP’s concessionary refinance schemes for working capital and fixed
investment, and the regionally competitive energy tariffs – and managed to ship higher
volumes to key destinations (such as the US, UK and EU). Higher cotton prices also
helped to increase the export unit prices both low and high value-added textile products.
Apart from textiles, rice exports also rebounded during Jul-Mar FY2022, mainly due to
the non-basmati variety.
140
Trade and Payments
141
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
i) Addressed the tariff anomalies identified during the budget exercise for the Financial
Year 2021-22, and subsequently rationalized Customs Duty (CD), Additional
Customs Duty (ACD) and Regulatory Duty (RD) on different tariff lines.
ii) Addressed tariff anomaly under SRO 655 (1)/2006 by the removal/reduction of ACD
for vendors and on the import of Heavy Commercial Vehicles in CKD condition.
iii) The tariff rationalization in the Auto sector are as follows:
a) Imposition of 10 percent RD on import of EVs in Complete Built Unit (CBU)
Condition of more than 50 KWH battery pack excluding commercial buses and
trucks.
b) RD on import of all type of Hybrid vehicles in CBU condition, exceeding 1500cc
but not exceeding 1800cc, would be increased from 15 percent to 50 percent.
c) RD on import of vehicles having spark/compression ignition engine
(conventional engines) in CBU condition exceeding 850cc but not exceeding
1800cc, would be increased from 15 percent to 50 percent.
d) The matter regarding increase in FED rate, from current 5 percent to 10 percent,
on locally assembled/manufactured cars/SUVs, etc. as well as on import in CBU
condition, of above 1500cc.
iv) Examined the tariff structure on the import of key products from Afghanistan to
facilitate and support economic stability in Afghanistan. Tariff Policy Board (TPB)
has approved reduction/removal in CD, ACD and RD on 11 items.
Box-I: Export Facilitation Scheme, 2021
Federal Board of Revenue has notified rules for new Export Facilitation Scheme (EFS) 2021 which is
effective since 14th August, 2021 This Scheme runs parallel with existing schemes like Manufacturing
Bond, DTRE and Export Oriented Schemes till August, 2023. Rules of EFS 2021 can be accessed at official
website of FBR.
Users of this Scheme include Exporters (Manufacturers cum Exporters, Commercial Exporters, Indirect
Exporters), Common Export Houses, Vendors and International Toll Manufacturers. Users of this
Scheme are subject to authorization of inputs by the Collector of Customs and Director General Input-
Output Organization (IOCO). Inputs include all goods (imported or procured local) for manufacture of
goods to be exported. These include raw materials, spare parts, components, equipment, plant and
machinery. No duty and taxes are levied on inputs imported by the authorized users and local supplies
of inputs to the authorized users are zero rated. Through this new Scheme, Common Export House can
import inputs duty and tax free for subsequent sale to the authorized users especially SMEs. This
Scheme also allows International Toll Manufacturing within Pakistan. Under the said scheme, minimum
but necessary documentation and securities based on category and profile of the applicant, user or
exporter are required. This scheme encourages new entrants and SMEs. This Scheme is completely
automated under WeBOC and PSW where users of the Scheme and regulators (IOCO, Regulator
Collector, PCA etc.) are integrated through WeBOC and PSW and communicate through these systems.
The focus of the Scheme is on post clearance compliance checks and audits.
Since its inception, the response to EFS is encouraging and so far, 29 new units have opted for EFS
besides switching over to EFS from existing schemes which include 11 from Manufacturing Bond
Scheme, 9 from DTRE Scheme and 4 from Export Oriented Units. It is expected that EFS 2021 shall
reduce cost of doing business and cost of tax compliance, improve ease of doing business, reduce
liquidity problems of exporters by eliminating Sales Tax refunds and Duty Drawback for the users of
Scheme and shall attract more users and shall ultimately promote exports.
Source: Federal Board of Revenue
142
Trade and Payments
143
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The Basmati rice exports increased both in quantity and value by 26.1 percent and 21.6
percent respectively, during Jul-Mar FY2022. One major contributor to this increase is
exports to Kazakhstan, which grew by over 200 percent during Jul-Feb FY2022. Besides,
there was higher demand from Madagascar, Somalia and Malaysia. Price of Pakistan’s
basmati rice remained lower than last year, making it more competitive in the
international market.
The other varieties under rice group during Jul-Mar FY2021 witnessed a growth of 12.6
percent in value and 22.2 percent in quantity. Higher shipments could be traced to China,
where demand was strong, as underscored by growth in consumption and import of rice
amidst Asian origin quotes being lower than domestic prices.
Exports of oil seeds, nuts & Kernels witnessed a growth of 88.7 percent in quantity and
131.4 percent in value during Jul-MarFY2022. The export of spices also increased both
in quantity and value by 12.7 percent and 18.0 percent, respectively during Jul-Mar
FY2022.
Meat and meat preparation increased in value by 1.2 percent; however, its quantity
declined by 21.7 percent during Jul-Mar FY2022. Pakistan has the opportunity to
harness the Halal meet market in Muslim African and East Asian countries. The major
challenges being faced by exporters include: credit risk, under-invoicing, over-supply of
chilled meat, new entrants, lack of fair play in domestic market, Foot and Mouth Disease
(FMD) and lack of technical expertise. Further, establishment of FMD free zones,
livestock feedlot farms, and efficient traceability mechanism are necessary required
actions to enhance meat exports.
Textiles and apparel sector occupies a pivotal position in Pakistan’s economy having
most intensive backward and forward linkages compared to any other sector. It
contributes approximately 60 percent in total exports and 40 percent in industrial
employment. Pakistan is the fifth largest cotton producing country with tremendous
potential in further improvement in its world share.
During current fiscal year, Textile policy 2020-25 has been approved by the Cabinet.
Textiles and Apparel Policy, 2020-25 aims to fully utilize potential of home-grown cotton
augmented by Manmade Fibers/Filaments to boost value-added exports and become
one of the major players in global textiles and apparel supply chain. The policy aims to
provide conducive business environment, consistent, predictable and foreseeable
measures and level playing field for the domestic and export-oriented textiles and
apparel value-chain industries.
Textile group witnessed a growth of 25.4 percent during Jul-Mar FY2022 and reached
US$ 14.2 billion compared to US$ 11.3 billion during the corresponding period last year.
Pakistan received higher foreign orders for finished goods, which consequently
increased demand of textile intermediaries’, i.e. cotton fabric and yarn and led to
enhancing capacity development as well as the value chain. Increased international
prices of cotton helped in increased export unit values of Pakistan’s major textile
products. Some competitor countries like Bangladesh have witnessed the same surge in
exports unit values. According to the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) world cotton
144
Trade and Payments
market updates, strong global demand and lower supplies due to logistical challenges,
led to prices rising consistently until the middle of February 2022.1Besides China, Cotton
is witnessing strong demand from Pakistan, Bangladesh and Vietnam as well.
Global logistical crisis and rising freight cost elevated the landed cost of imported cotton
in Pakistan, which is eventually being factored into exports unit prices of finished goods
like apparel and textile. Containers freight rates increased dramatically between January
2019 and March 2022. The year 2021 saw an especially steep increase in global freight
rates, reaching a record price of over US$10,800 in September 2021. Whereas, on YOY
the global freight rate index increased by 68.3 percent to US$ 8200 in March 2022 as
against US$ 4872 in March 2021.2
In case of home textiles, bedwear exports increased both in quantity and value by 15.0
percent and 19.3 percent, respectively, whereas towels exports increased in both
quantity and value by 5.1 percent and 18.4 percent in Jul-Mar FY2022. Knitwear exports
grew by 34.1 percent in value despite a decline of 4.8 percent in quantity during Jul-Mar
FY2022. The exports of readymade garments increased both in quantities by 33.9
percent and in value by 26.2 percent during Jul-Mar FY2022. This increase is mainly due
to increase in the demand for formal wear bouncing back as the COVID-related mobility
restrictions generally eased around the globe in 2021, and many workers returned to
their workplaces.
The exports of intermediate commodities like cotton yarn witnessed an increase in value
by 26.0 percent, while the quantity witnessed a decline of 11.2 percent. Cotton cloth
export increased both in quantity and value by 8.9 percent and 26.5percent, respectively
during Jul-Mar FY2022.
The Petroleum group’s exports posted an increase of 103.3 percent during Jul-Mar
FY2022. Furthermore, petroleum crude exports also soared 184.9 percent to US$ 178.7
million during Jul-Mar FY2022.
Export of leather tanned grew remarkably both in quantity and value by 49.6 percent
and 36.3 percent, respectively. The leather industry witnessed a steady recovery on
account of prudent government policies and significant relaxations in lockdown at
various export destinations.
In the case of sports goods, Gloves exports increased both in quantity and value 132.5
percent and 16.4 percent, respectively during Jul-Mar FY2022. Gloves exports were
recorded at US$ 56.7 million. Other major sports goods is football witnessed an increase
both in quantity and value by 37.8 percent and 40.3 percent, respectively.
Pakistan has been the official makers of match-ball since the 1982 FIFA World Cup. The
nowcasts for the football exports is very remarkable as FIFA World Cup is set to
commence in Doha, Qatar in November, 2022.The ball named ‘Al-Rihla’ has been
manufactured in Pakistan by Adidas.
1
Fibre2Fashion.com
2
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1250636/global-container-freight-index/
145
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Export of carpets, rugs, and mats registered a growth both in quantity and value by 62.2
percent and 12.3 percent, respectively during Jul-Mar FY2022.The export of cement
witnessed a decline both in quantity and value by 16.3 percent and 5.1 percent,
respectively during Jul-Mar FY0222. Increased production cost, rising international
freight rates, soaring coal prices are the main reasons of reduction in cements exports.
Moreover, Iranian cement replaced Pakistani cement in Bangladeshi market, as the
former is economical due to low cost of energy.
Exports of Chemicals and pharmaceuticals product grew by 29.6 percent and clocked in
at US$ 1093.7 million during Jul-Mar FY2022. Chemicals, other than the ones used in
pharmaceutical and plastic products, had the highest share.
To tap the huge potential for pharmaceutical products in the global market, the MOC
closely coordinated efforts with Ministry of National Health Services, Regulations &
Coordination (MNHSR&C) and Drug Regulations Authority of Pakistan (DRAP) to
implement the following:
a. One-Window Facility for grant of GMP3 and cGMP4: DRAP has decentralized the
process of issuance of cGMP certificates, which are now issued by DRAP’s field offices
on priority basis. Moreover, the validity period of the GMP certificate for export
purpose has also been extended by DRAP for 3 years.
b. Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient: API is substances used in a finished
pharmaceutical product. Pakistan imports over 90 percent of the
APIs/pharmaceutical raw material from abroad especially from India and China. In
order to decrease reliance on imported raw material and develop indigenous
capabilities, the MNHSR&C has finalized draft of the API Policy, which is in the
process of approval by the Cabinet.
Surgical industry is an important sector of the economy having an annual export of US$
426 million in FY2021, providing employment to hundreds of thousands of skilled and
semi-skilled workforces in the country. During Jul-Mar FY2022, Surgical goods &
Medical Instruments exports were recorded at US$ 307.7 million. The European Union
Medical Device Regulation (MDR)/Regulation (EU) 2017/745 (EU MDR) entered into
force on 26th May 2021, impacting manufactures which were previously exempt from
medical device regulation. The new regulations will be fully implemented from May
2024.
3
A Good Manufacturing Practices (GMP) certification scheme
4
Current Good Manufacturing Practice (cGMP)
146
Trade and Payments
The purpose of the event was to provide opportunity to Pakistani SMEs to showcase their products in
African and Central Asian markets, to explore opportunities for investments, JVs & brand franchising,
and to promote soft image of Pakistan as manufacturing hub of Engineering & its allied products.
Prominent sectors exhibited in the show included Agricultural machinery, Mobile devices,
Pharmaceutical, Surgical instruments, Sports goods, Musical instruments, Auto-parts, Electrical
machinery, Cutlery, Cookware, Marble, Minerals, Steel & Iron, Construction materials, Gems & Jewelry,
Furniture, Mattresses, Rubber & its other products, Packaging, Plastic and its implements, Stationery,
Paperboard, Handicrafts, Safety Equipment& Chemicals.
The reported outcome of business deals which have been materialized so far amounts to approximately
USD 47 million, based on which it is expected that the actual business generated may exceed USD 150
million.
During the event, TDAP organized around 2100 sector-specific B2B meetings of foreign buyers with
local exhibitors in which extensive discussion was held related to business generation and future
collaboration. In order to create awareness regarding ease of doing business, investment and financial
matters, three seminars were organized by Pakistan Single Window (PSW), BOI and SBP, respectively.
The President of Pakistan formally launched the Pakistan Trade Portal on the sideline event of the show.
Pakistan Trade Portal is an initiative of TDAP to cater the need of Pakistan Businesses relating to having
a free of cost, cross boarder B2B matchmaking portal. Keeping in view the success of the 1stEdition of
EHCS, it has been decided to make Engineering and Healthcare Show a permanent feature of Annual
Business Plan of TDAP.
Source: TDAP
Concentration of Exports
The trend of Pakistan’s export of major items remains more or less the same having
concentrated on three items namely cotton manufactures, leather and rice (Table 8.2).
These three categories account for 69.9 percent of total exports during Jul-Mar FY2022.
Within these few items, cotton manufactures remain the major contributor with 59.2
percent in total exports. Almost all the export earnings have originated from textile
manufactures. This pattern shows that Pakistan’s export is still concentrated in a few
items. The annual percentage shares of the major export commodities are shown in
Table: 8.2.
Table 8.2: Pakistan's Major Exports Percentage Share
July-March
Commodity 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
2020-21 2021-22 P
Cotton Manufactures 55.0 56.5 61.7 56.4 56.6 59.0 58.8 59.2
Leather** 4.9 4.1 4.2 3.7 3.6 3.3 3.3 3.0
Rice 8.8 8.8 7.7 9.0 10.2 8.1 8.4 7.7
Sub-Total of three
Items 68.7 69.4 73.6 69.1 70.4 70.4 70.5 69.9
Other items 31.3 30.6 26.4 30.9 29.6 29.6 29.5 30.1
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
P: Provisional, ** Leather & Leather Manufactured.
Source: PBS
Direction of Exports
In so far as the top export destinations are concerned, USA remains the largest export
market for Pakistan during Jul-Mar, FY2022. Exports to USA have moderately increased
from 20 percent in Jul-Mar FY2021 to 21 percent in Jul- Mar FY2022. Similarly, Chinese
147
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
share in exports has increased from 10 percent to 11 percent during the period under
review. Detailed bifurcation of major export markets have shown in the Table 8.3.
Table 8.3: Major Exports Markets (Rs billion & Percentage share)
Country July-March
2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
2020-21 2021-22 P
Rs. % Share Rs. % Share Rs. % Share Rs. % Share Rs. % Share
USA 532.8 17 585.4 17 823.6 20 593.6 20 854.3 21
China 259.6 8 273.4 8 388.0 10 292.9 10 428.4 11
Afghanistan 176.4 6 134.3 4 163.8 4 126.9 4 90.2 2
United Kingdom 226.8 7 239.6 7 324.7 8 245.3 8 277.1 7
Germany 173.4 6 199.0 6 241.2 6 187.7 6 220.0 5
U.A.E 125.8 4 178.9 5 160.9 4 118.9 4 174.6 4
Bangladesh 101.8 3 102.6 3 104.1 3 78.3 3 125.1 3
Italy 107.4 3 115.0 3 125.9 3 92.6 3 138.6 3
Spain 126.5 4 130.3 4 140.3 3 108.1 4 159.3 4
France 53.9 2 87.1 3 101.8 3 49.8 2 60.5 2
All Other 1,243.8 40 1,324.2 39 1,467.8 36 1,126.1 37 1,490.6 37
Total 3,128.2 100 3,369.8 100 4,041.9 100 3,020.2 100 4,018.8 100
Source: PBS
148
Trade and Payments
Bilateral Relation
Pakistan attaches great importance to its trade relations with other trading partners.
Engagements of Pakistan with its trading partners in the outgoing fiscal year are
mentioned below:
China-Pakistan
Pakistan is engaged with China through a bilateral agreement in addition to other
commercial agreements.
1. During the period July-March FY2022, the MOC, in consultation with the TDAP,
launched an awareness campaign for the un-utilized tariff lines for exports under
CPFTA-II. The campaign is extended over two FYs (21-22 & 22-23).
CARs Region
Pak-Uzbekistan Preferential Trade Agreement (PTA): To enhance market access,
MOC signed Pak-Uzbekistan PTA on 3rd March, 2022. Under the PTA, both sides have
provided tariff concessions to each other on seventeen items, by reducing duties from
20-100 percent. This would help in enhancing exports to Uzbekistan.
149
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
150
Trade and Payments
3. Establish of JWG on Trade with Syria: Pakistan and Syria signed a MOU to establish
a Joint Pakistan-Syrian Working Group on Trade & Economic Affairs on 31st of Oct,
2021 in Damascus, Syria. . In this regard, first technical level meeting of JWG was held
on 23rd Dec, 2021 to discuss various aspects of trade cooperation.
Africa Region
To enhance exports to the non-traditional market of Africa, MOC launched its Look Africa
Policy in 2017/18 to increase commercial presence of Pakistan in Africa, establishment
of institutional linkages and strengthening of B2B relations. The exports increased by 12
percent during July-March FY2022.The following initiative has been taken to diversify
exports to Africa:
United States
The USA is the largest exports market for Pakistan’s products with 20 percent share in
Pakistan’s total export in 2020-21. Pakistan’s main exports to USA are in articles of
apparel & home textiles (78percent), intermediate textile (6percent), leather apparels
(3percent), sugar confectionary, rice, spices etc. (3percent), surgical goods (2percent),
plastics and rubber (2percent), and furniture & sports goods (2percent).
Russia
The balance of trade is in favour of Russia with Pakistan trade deficit balance of US$
191.7 million in July-Feb FY2022. The 3rd Joint Working Group meeting on Trade &
Investment of the 7th Pakistani-Russian Intergovernmental Commission on Trade,
Economic, Scientific and Technical Cooperation was held in Yekaterinburg, Russia on
November 24-26, 2021.
United Kingdom
The balance of trade is in favour of Pakistan with a trade balance of US$ 911.13 million
in July-Feb FY 2021-22. Post Brexit, UK has given a firm commitment to Pakistan that it
will continue to grant similar market access to the Pakistani products which it currently
enjoys under EU GSP plus regime. The Government of UK is going to commence its own
GSP scheme called Developing Countries Trading Scheme effective from 2022. The new
scheme will replace the UK’s current Generalized Scheme of Preferences. Consultation
process for the new scheme concluded on 12 September 2021. From Pakistan, the
representatives of public sector, private sector and academia participated in the
consultation process.
151
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The Trade Policy Review (TPR) is a mandatory exercise undertaken by Trade Policy Review Board
(TPRB) of the World Trade Organization (WTO). The review is undertaken every seven years for
Pakistan and engages in surveillance of national trade and economic policies from view point of
multilateralism. Pakistan being one of founding members of WTO has undergone four such reviews in
the past and the 5th Trade Policy review stretched over May 2021 to April 2022. Main objectives of TPR
are to achieve transparency, better understanding of the reviewed Member’s trade policies and
practices and contributing to improved adherence by all Members to rules, disciplines and
commitments made under the Multilateral Trade Agreements. The review culminates into two reports:
‘Government Report’ and ‘Secretariat Report’ which are circulated amongst all WTO Members and
hence have an international audience.
Ministry of Commerce served as focal Ministry for the entire process and liaised with all public sector
stakeholders to respond to all queries of the TPRB and to compile such reports as are effective to
represent the progressive nature of Pakistan’s economic and investment potentials. Scope of
‘Secretariat Report’ is extensive as it relays detailed analytical information regarding economic
environment, trade regime, investment regime, trade policies and practices. ‘Government Report’
comprises of a precise and forward-looking statement from the government focusing on future
economic policy aims of the country. After extensive data gathering, analyses and inter-ministerial
consultations both the reports were shared with WTO Secretariat and were circulated to all the WTO
members.
The Reports were discussed at concluding meetings of TPRB where all WTO Members noted Pakistan’s
resilience and effective policies in tackling economic shocks of COVID -19 and subsequent economic
recovery. Pakistan was commended largely for quick implementation of the Trade Facilitation
Agreement (TFA). The Members unanimously appreciated Pakistan’s active engagement at the WTO
upholding the values and fundamental principles of the WTO and support for developing countries &
invited Pakistan to join other international agreements on various trade pertinent matters for further
integration into multilateralism.
Imports
The total imports during Jul-Mar FY2022 clocked at US$ 58.9 billion as compared to US$
39.5 billion in the same period last year, showing a growth of 49.1 percent (Table 8.4).
The increase in imports is recorded in all the major groups. Multiple factors have
contributed to the steep rise in imports during Jul-Mar FY2022. Rising global commodity
prices contributed significantly to the increasing import volume.
Disaggregated data on imports indicates that the energy group is the largest source of
the increase in imports, contributing over one-third to the YoY increase in imports
during the period. Similarly, price-led pressures were also noted across non-energy
commodities imported by Pakistan, such as edible oil (palm and soybean), sugar, tea,
fertilizer, and steel. At the same time, the domestic demand for imported raw materials
(such as cotton and steel) and capital goods was also elevated in the wake of the policy-
induced economic rebound.
152
Trade and Payments
153
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Eighth Schedule has now been streamlined and a number of reduced rates and
concessionary regimes have been withdrawn, bringing these goods under standard
regime.
Table 8.4 : Structure of Imports
Particulars Units July-March % Change July-March % Change
Value in US$ million in Value Quantity in Quantity
2020-21 2021-22 (P) 2020-21 2021-22 (P)
Total 39,489.3 58,867.6 49.1
A. Food Groups 6,121.4 7,067.7 15.5
Milk & Milk food M.T 76.8 74.3 -3.3 43,675 35,796 -18.0
Wheat Un milled M.T 938.3 795.3 -19.1 3,612,638 2,206,880 -38.9
Dry Fruits M.T 69.7 54.0 -22.5 66,766 77,902 16.7
Tea M.T 435.1 487.1 12.0 194,961 199,807 2.5
Spices M.T 157.6 176.0 11.7 138,407 115,414 -16.6
Edible Oil (Soyabean& Palm) M.T 1,909.3 2,834.0 48.4 2,516,070 2,325,117 -7.6
Sugar M.T 127.5 190.9 49.7 279,604 311,031 11.2
Pulses M.T 448.4 477.7 6.5 842,643 720,433 -14.5
Other Food Items 1,913.8 1,978.6 3.4
B. Machinery Group 4,481.0 5,565.7 24.2
Power generating Machines 1,356.1 1,235.9 -8.9
Office Machines 332.7 464.0 39.5
Textile Machinery 381.9 624.8 63.6
Const. & Mining Machines 104.6 138.5 32.4
Aircrafts, Ships and Boats 373.4 532.9 42.7
Agriculture Machinery 66.0 90.6 37.3
Other Machinery Items 1,866.4 2,479.1 32.8
C. Petroleum Group 5,471.0 10,944.7 100.0
Petroleum Products M.T 3,447.6 7,290.0 111.4 10,439,837 12,532,860 20.0
Petroleum Crude M.T 2,023.4 3,687.7 82.3 6,422,166 6,647,166 3.5
D. Consumer Durables 2,623.6 4,181.5 59.4
Road Motor Vehicles 1,545.6 2,693.8 74.3
Electric Mach.& Appliances 1,077.9 1,487.7 38.0
E. Raw Materials 7,160.7 9,596.6 34.0
Raw Cotton M.T 1,032.1 1,205.5 16.8 624,945 533,871 -14.6
Synthetic Fibre M.T 441.0 562.3 27.5 346,248 291,364 -15.9
Silk Yarn (Synth &Arti) M.T 499.8 650.2 30.1 317,440 293,191 -7.6
Fertilizer Manufactured M.T 440.2 675.2 53.4 1,256,943 1,231,926 -2.0
Insecticides M.T 129.9 135.7 4.0 28,509 24,379 -14.5
Plastic Material M.T 1,771.1 2,324.9 31.3 1,449,276 1,452,426 0.2
Iron & steel Scrap M.T 1,418.8 1,856.1 30.8 3,830,128 3,128,070 -18.3
Iron & steel M.T 1,427.8 2,186.7 53.1 2,309,097 2,782,458 20.5
F. Telecom 1,913.7 2,125.4 11.1
G. All Other Items 11,718.0 19,353.5 65.2
P : Provisional
Source : PBS
The food group with a share of 12.2 percent in total imports, increased by 15.5 percent
during Jul-Mar FY2022, and its import clocked at US$ 7067.7 million as against US$
6121.3 million during the comparable period last year. Within food group, surge has
been observed in the import of tea, sugar, palm oil, soya bean oil and pluses.
The import of petroleum group increased by 96.1 percent during Jul-Mar FY2022 and
reached US$ 14812.5 million as compared to the US$ 7553.9 million corresponding
period last year, mainly due to historically high global oil prices. Within the petroleum
group, the petroleum products increased both in quantity and value by 20.0 percent and
111.4 percent, respectively. Petroleum crude increased tremendously in value by 82.2
percent and quantity increased meagerly by 3.5 percent during Jul-Mar FY2022 as
154
Trade and Payments
compared to the same period last year, despite a huge increase in unit prices
internationally.
Machinery Group is vital engine of growth for successful industrial and manufacturing
sector development. Its import increased substantially by 21.7 percent and reached US$
8684.5 million during Jul-Mar FY2022 as compared to US$ 7132.8 million the same
period last year. Within this group, import bill of power generating machinery decreased
by 8.9 percent and reached US$ 1235.8 million as compared to US$ 1356.0 same period
last year. The import bill of textile machinery registered an increase of 64.7 percent (US$
621.7 million) during Jul-Mar FY2022 against (US$ 377.5 million) last year. The textile
sector availed Rs 94.6 billion loans under TERF and LTFF during Jul-Mar FY 2022 as
against Rs 68.8 billion, which may have augmented the demand for textile machinery.
Electrical machinery & Apparatus imports registered a growth of 37.5 percent (US$
1515.2 million) during Jul-Mar FY2022 over (US$1101.7 million) in the same period last
year. The ongoing increase in industrial activity, specifically in textile industry and
transport sector, raised the demand for switch gears and other electrical equipment
leading to the increased demand of electrical machinery.
Within the machinery group, telecom sector imports accelerated by 11.1 percent (US$
2136.5 million) during Jul-Mar FY2022 compared to (US$ 1923.4 million) last year.
Mobile phone imports in Pakistan increased by 3.9 percent during Jul-Mar FY2022 and
reached US$ 1596.3 million as compared to US$ 1535.9 million same period last year.
The import of transport group surged by 67.5 percent and reached US$ 3367.4 million
during Jul-Mar FY2022 as compared to US$ 2010.3 million last year. The import of road
motor vehicle increased by 73.2 percent of which CBU increased by 94.3 percent and
CKD/SKD increased by 78.7 percent.
Metal group import increased by 38.4 percent and reached US$ 5011.9 million. The
reviving activity in the construction and automobile sectors led to an increase in import
of iron and steel by 53.1 percent in value and 20.5 percent in quantity during Jul-Mar
FY2022. Imports of iron and steel scrap increased in value by 30.8 percent despite a
155
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
decline of 18.3 percent in quantity during Jul-Mar FY2022 mainly due to rising prices
internationally.
In the textile group, import of raw cotton witnessed an increase in value by 16.8 percent
and its quantity declined by 14.6 percent during Jul-Mar FY2022 as compared to the
same period last year on account of higher international prices.
Direction of Imports
Pakistan imports from countries like China, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Indonesia constitute
around 50 percent of the total imports. The share of imports from China has increased
from 27 percent to 28 percent during Jul-Mar FY2022. Share of imports from USA has
decreased from 6 percent to 5 percent during the period under review. Change in
Pakistan’s import pattern in subsequent years is shown in Table 8.5
Table 8.5: Major Import Markets (Rs billion & Percentage share)
Country July-March
2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
2020-21 2021-22 P
Rs. % Share Rs. % Share Rs. % Share Rs. % Share Rs. % Share
China 1734.3 23 1909.2 27 2473.8 28 1728.8 27 2828.7 28
UAE 1020.1 14 812.7 12 878.6 10 601.1 9 983.6 10
Saudi Arabia 401.3 5 273.6 4 426 5 301.9 5 567.1 6
Kuwait 185.8 2 178.7 3 247.4 3 167.0 3 334.7 3
Indonesia 327.3 4 339.6 5 506.9 6 360.6 6 594.6 6
India 204.8 3 59.95 1 50.67 1 38.3 1 47.7 0
U.S.A 368.9 5 396.7 6 459.4 5 351.1 6 551 5
Japan 246.1 3 174.7 2 249 3 173.8 3 304.6 3
Germany 142.6 2 124.2 2 162.2 2 122.2 2 134.1 1
Malaysia 145.5 2 148.8 2 175.8 2 134.3 2 179.9 2
All Other 2666.5 36 2611.5 37 3352.6 37 2400.1 38 3593 36
Total 7443.3 100 7029.8 100 8982.4 100 6376.1 100 10119 100
P : Provisional
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Balance of Payment
Amidst the challenging present global environment, Pakistan’s external account also
came under strain during Jul-Mar FY2022 and the trade deficit widened substantially
over last year. On one hand, export receipts and workers’ remittances both reached
record-high levels during the nine-month period. On the other hand, however, the
import payments also registered a sizable, broad-based increase. As a result, the current
account deficit widened considerably over last year. These payment pressures
manifested on the interbank PKR-USD exchange rate, which depreciated 14.1 percent
during Jul-Mar FY2022. The SBP’s FX reserves also came under pressure from Q2
onwards, dropping US$ 5.9 billion during Jul-Mar FY2022 to US$ 11.4 billion by end-
March 2022.
Current Account
During Jul-Mar FY2022, current account posted a deficit of US$ 13169 million against a
deficit of US$ 275 million last year. The major contributor to the higher current account
deficit was the 55.5 percent increase in the merchandise trade deficit during Jul-Mar
FY2022.
156
Trade and Payments
-500 -1,028
-1,152
-1000
-1,779 -1,857
-1500 -1068
-2000 -1,523
-1637
-1,929 -2,531
-2500
-3000
In the primary income account, the deficit rose to US$ 3.9 billion (17.7 percent) in Jul-
Mar FY2022, mainly due to a 20.7 percent uptick in interest payments during the period.
Interest payments on official debt (including sovereign bonds) rose significantly during
the period, partly reflecting the impact of rising global interest rate benchmarks on
floating rate debt. Furthermore, profit and dividend repatriations also rose 12.2 percent
during the period, contributing to deteriorate primary income account deficit.
2500
500
-1500
-3500
-5500
157
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The exports of services grew by 17.1 percent and reached US$ 5.2 billion during Jul-Mar
FY2022 as compared to US$ 4.4 billion last year. This increase may be attributed due to
29.3 percent increase in net information and communication technology (ICT) services
export, as higher earnings from call centre, and software development and consultancy
services.
400
300
200
100
0
-100
-200 -202
-300 -287 -291 -264
-400 -388 -433 -403 -426
-500 -485
-600
Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22
310
291.0
218
282.0 250.0
US $ Million
253.0
388
231.0 403 417.0
398.0 342.0 399.0
309.0
667
635 646.0
514.0 547.0 601.0
446.0
On the other side, import of services increased by 31.3 percent during Jul-Mar FY2022
and stood at US$ 8.3 billion as compared to US$ 6.3 billion last year. The higher goods
imports had a spill over effect on the services account that led to a YoY doubling in
freight import charges during Jul-MarFY2022. The resumption of international air travel
also led to an increase in air transport and travel services imports. However, due to the
rise in transport and travel services imports, the overall services account posted a deficit
158
Trade and Payments
of US$ 3.2 billion in Jul-Mar FY2022 as against a deficit of US$ 1.9 billion same period
last year.
180.0 322
51.0 120.0 118.0 277.0
657.0
Remittances
Worker remittances have remained an important source of foreign exchange earnings
over the years and are considered to be the dominant force to keep current account
deficit at a manageable level.
According to the World Migration Report 2022, the number of international migrants
has grown to 281 million (3.6 percent of world’s population) in 2020 as compared to
272 million in 2019. The number of air passengers globally dropped 60 percent in 2020
on account of COVID-19 travel restriction to 1.8 billion (down from 4.5 billion in 2019)
while at the same time internal displacement increased to 40.5 million (up from 31.5
million in 2019) due to disaster, conflict and violence.
Out of all international migrants over 40 percent in 2020 were born in Asia, primarily
originating from India, China and South Asian countries such as Bangladesh, Pakistan
and Afghanistan. During 2021 Bureau of Emigration and Oversee Employment (BE&OE)
and Oversee Employment Corporation (OEC) have registered 288,280 workers for
overseas employment. During Jan-Mar 2022 number of Pakistanis registered 222749.
159
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
In case of Pakistan, workers’ remittances have been rising consistently since FY2018 and
the trend continued in FY2022 with a commendable growth of 7.1 percent and reached
to US$ 22.9 billion during the Jul-Mar FY2022.On MoM basis, remittances increased by
28.3 percent in March (US$ 2.8 billion) compared to February (US$ 2.2 billion). On YoY
basis, remittances increased by 3.2 percent to US$ 2.8 billion in March 2022 (US$ 2.7
billion in March 2021). The increase in remittances mainly due to Holy month of
Ramadan as money is sent home for donation, charity, and Zakat and Eid festivals.
Workers' remittances continued their unprecedented run of remaining above US$2
billion since June 2020.
The data of Workers’ Remittances has been revised upward to reflect inflows into
Roshan Digital Accounts (RDA) that are related to local consumption (like payment of
utility bills, transfer to local PKR account, etc.) from November 2021 and onward. Since
data on these conversions were not previously available by country, hence, these were
reported under ‘other private transfers’ in the balance of payments statistics.
Table 8.7: Country/Region Wise Cash Worker's Remittances
July-March (US$ billions)
Country/Region
2020-21 2021-22 % Change Share
Saudi Arabia 5738.9 5809.9 1.2 25.3
U.A.E. 4524.8 4283.9 -5.3 18.7
USA 1830.5 2211.3 20.8 9.6
U.K. 2905.6 3187.3 9.7 13.9
Other GCC Country 2461.6 2665.5 8.3 11.6
Malaysia 154.6 106.4 -31.2 0.5
EU Countries 1951.7 2504.8 28.3 10.9
Others Countries 1868.8 2182.9 16.8 9.5
Total 21436.5 22952.0 7.1 100.0
Source: State Bank of Pakistan
During Jul-Mar FY2022, the share of remittances from Saudi Arabia stood at 25.3 percent
(US$ 5809.9 million), U.A.E 18.7 percent (US$ 4283.9 million), USA 9.6 percent (US$
2211.3 million), U.K 13.9 percent (US$ 3187.3 million), other GCC countries 11.6 percent
(US$ 2665.5 million), EU 10.9 percent (US$ 2504.8 million), Malaysia 0.7 percent (US$
106.4 million) and other countries 9.5 percent.
160
Trade and Payments
Financial Account
The financial account recorded net an inflow of US$ 8.5 billion during Jul-Mar FY2022,
which were sharply higher than inflows of US$ 2.3 billion received in the same period
last year. Still, these were not sufficient to offset current account deficit. The major
inflows included US$ 3 billion in deposits from Saudi Arabia and US$ 2.8 billion in
additional SDR allocation from IMF(August 2021), and US$ 1 billion in net proceeds from
sovereign bonds. The country also received sizable financing from multilaterals,
including the World Bank, ADB and Islamic Development Bank, and from commercial
banks.
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
In 2021, global FDI recuperate robustly and grew by 77 percent to US$ 1.65 trillion as
compared to US$ 929 billion last year exceeding their pre- COVID 19 level. The recovery
remained highly uneven in infrastructure and green field projects, as due to stimulus
package the former attract more FDI while in later it remained weak, globally. FDI in
developed economies saw the biggest rise by far, with FDI reaching an estimated US$777
billion in 2021 – three times the exceptionally low level in 2020.FDI flows in developing
economies increased by 30 percent to nearly US$870 billion, with a growth acceleration
in East and South-East Asia (+20 percent), a recovery to near pre-pandemic levels in
161
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Latin America and the Caribbean, and an uptick in West Asia. Developing economies,
especially the least developed countries (LDCs) saw more modest recovery growth. 5
Similarly, in Pakistan, net FDI inflows rose 6.1 percent to US$ 1.25 billion till February
2022 as against US$ 1.18 billion last year. In March 2022, net outflow was recorded at
30.4 million on account of political instability and ultimate change of regime. The FDI
during Jul-Mar FY2022 declined by 2.0 percent to 1.28 billion as compared to US$ 1.31
billion same period last year. The inflows of FDI reached US$ 1.96 billion during Jul-Mar
FY2022 compared to US$ 2.33 billion million same period last year, declined by 15.6
percent. The outflows of FDI during Jul-Mar FY2022 decreased by 33.2 percent and
reached US$ 682.4 million compared to US$ 1021.0 million same period last year.
Table 8.8: Foreign Investment (US$ million)
FY2020 FY2021 July-March
FY2021 FY2022 P
A. Foreign Private Investment 2,315.8 2,027.1 1048.4 943.4
Foreign Direct Investment 2,597.5 1,820.5 1311.1 1285.1
Inflow 3,322.1 3,061.4 2332.1 1967.5
Outflow 724.6 1,240.9 1021 682.4
Portfolio Investment -281.7 206.6 -262.7 -341.7
Equity Securities -281.7 -293.4 -262.7 -341.7
Debt Securities 500
B. Foreign Public Investment -241.3 2555.3 -3.50 502.6
Portfolio Investment -241.3 2555.3 -3.5 502.6
Total Foreign Investment (A+B) 2074.5 4582.4 1044.8 1446
P: Provisional
Source: State Bank of Pakistan
The sectoral breakdown shows that the telecom sector attracted a net FDI inflow US$
92.3 million till February 2022. The inflow this year went into a cellular company, which
made a partial spectrum license payment to the Government. However, in March 2022,
net outflow of US$ 179.5 was recorded on account of divided paid by the cellular
companies to their international owners. The information technology (IT) sector also
attracted substantially higher inflows of US$ 118.5 million as compared to US$ 50.6
million last year; reflecting foreign investors’ interest in the country’s export- oriented
IT services firms, whose recent export performance has been quite encouraging.
Country wise analyses suggests that, highest FDI received from China during Jul-Mar
FY2022 US$333.5 million (26.0 percent of total FDI), United States US$ 183.1 million
(14.2 percent), Hong Kong US$ 133.0 million (10.3percent of total FDI), Switzerland US$
107.4 million (8.3 percent) U.A.E US$ 100.8 million (7.8 percent) and Singapore US$ 90.5
million (7.0percent).
5
Investment Trend Monitor, Issue 40, January 2022, UNCTAD.
162
Trade and Payments
Switzerland,
8%
Singapore, Financial
7% Business,
25%
U.A.E, 8%
Malaysia ,
5%
Oil & Gas
U.S.A, 14% Hong Kong, Communicati Exploration,
10% on, 3% 14%
Considering sector-wise bifurcation Power sector attracted highest FDI of US$ 489.1
million (38.1 percent of total FDI) declined by 34.4 percent from US$ 746.2 million last
year; as most of the power projects under the CPEC has already completed, FDI into
power sector has been trending downwards over the past couple of years. Financial
business with FDI US$322.8 million (25.1 percent), Oil & Gas exploration US$ 179.7
million (14.0 percent) and Information Technology US$ 118.5 million (9.2 percent).
BOI has taken several steps to increase FDI which are listed below:
163
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
On the other hand, commercial banks’ reserves declined by US$ 1.1 billion during Jul-
Mar FY2022, with the reserves dropping during all three quarters. This was mainly due
to an increase in trade financing extended by banks to exporters and importers, as well
as a decline in FE-25 deposits.
The pressures in the external sector –reflected via the current account deficit –
contributed to a weakening in the exchange rate, with the PKR depreciating 14.1 percent
against the US Dollar during Jul-Mar FY2022. Importantly, currencies of many other
emerging markets as well as advanced economies have been under pressure against the
US Dollar in FY2022.The pressure of emerging market currencies intensified in Q3, as
the US Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 0.25 percent in March 2022 and
signalling further monetary tightening in the coming months of 2022. As a result, the US
Dollar Index rose by 6.4 percent during Jul-Mar FY2022.
250
exports despite surge in global oil prices. The
elevated international commodity prices 200
generally affect Pakistan negatively as surge in
price increases input cost due to high import 150
content in our exports. This could only be
100
countered by a flexible exchange rate as
adjustment in exchange rate according to 50
market dynamics helps to improve
competitiveness. Resultantly, the export 0
volumes can be sustained or even improved. 2020 - Q2 2020 - Q3 2020 - Q42021 - Q1 2021 - Q22021 - Q3
This is evident from the fact that Pakistan’s Source: Volumes are from PBS
exports volume steadily rose after Q2-20206
164
Trade and Payments
(Fig-1), implying that market based exchange rate regime helped improved competitiveness.
Exports prices have also increased. Consequently, exports rose to US$23.7 billion in Jul-Mar FY2022 as
compared with US$18.7 billion in the corresponding period of last year. Higher momentum in textiles
contributed to increase exports, within which major contribution came from HVA items.
(ii) Qualitative and Quantitative Impact of Recent Depreciation on BoP and Overall, Economy
SBP has announced to embark on the market based flexible exchange rate regime from May 2019. This
has helped SBP not only to build foreign exchange reserves from US$ 7.3 billion in June 2019 to US$
16.4 billion at end March 2022 but also to reduce size of its forward swap book from US$ 8.0 billion in
June 2019 to US$ 4.4 billion at end January 2022.
Despite the uncertainties of the COVID-19, market-based exchange rate regime helped the external
sector to record marked improvement during FY2021.The current account deficit fell to US$1.9 billion
(0.6 percent of the GDP) in FY21 from US$4.4 billion (1.7 percent of GDP) in FY20. This is the lowest
deficit in 10 years with all-time high exports (US$25.6 billion) and workers remittances (US$29.4
billion). With the sharp rise in global commodity prices amid supply chain disruptions, however,
current account deficit widened to US$12.1 billion during Jul-Feb FY2022. Exchange rate is continuing
to play its role of shock absorber and as of 28th March 2022 is depreciated by around 13.5 percent since
end June 2021. This depreciation together with other policy actions are expected to contain the current
account deficit in the rest of FY2022 and FY2023. Despite adverse terms of trade shock, current account
deficit (CAD) narrowed sharply to US$0.5 billion in February 2022, almost one fifth of US$ 2.5 billion in
January 2022. This is a broad-based improvement as indicated by reduction of deficits in balances of
goods and services, primary income and increase in secondary income 7.
(iii) A Comparative Analysis of Regional Countries’ Exchange Rates
The Emerging Market (EM) currencies’ strength highly depends on whether the country is a net
commodity exporter or importer. In emerging economies, depreciation pressures continue to persist
(Fig-2) in the wake of inflationary pressures emanating from commodity markets, pandemic induced
supply chain issues and expectations of interest rate hikes by central banks of Advanced Economies.
Higher interest rates induce reversal of capital flows and increase depreciating pressures on emerging
market economies. High global commodity prices are translating into higher food prices and putting
additional pressure on EM currencies.
Fig-2: Movement in Currencies (Jun 2021 =100) US$ / PKR EM Currency Index USD Index
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
Jul-21
Sep-21
Jan-22
Mar-22
Aug-21
Nov-21
Oct-21
Jun-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
Pakistan as a small open economy is no exception as during this fiscal year the Pak Rupee has
depreciated by around 14 percent till 1st April 2022 like many other emerging market economies
(Fig-3).
7
Mainly led by significant and broad-based contraction in imports and double-digit growth in exports, trade deficit
fell to $2.3 billion in February 2022, around $1.5 billion lower compared with $3.8 billion in January 2022. Likewise,
deficits in services and primary income narrowed to $284 million and $287 million in February 2022, from $485
million and $504 million in the preceding month. Secondary income (net) increased to $2,307 million from $ 2,275
million in the previous month.
165
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
(iv) Future Outlook of the REER and NEER in the Case of Exchange Rate Volatility
Outlook for REER generally depends on macroeconomic fundamentals and their deviation from
equilibrium level as well as inflation differential between Pakistan and its trading partners.
Given that inflation is also rising in our trading partners, the inflation differential is expected to narrow
going forward. This will keep relative prices under check and NEER close to its current level. This means
the REER may remain close to its current level. On the other hand, a balanced output gap that equates
aggregate demand to aggregate supply in the economy and the fiscal deficit close to Pakistan’s trading
partners’ average would also help keep REER competitive and supportive for exports in the medium
term.
Source: State Bank of Pakistan
Conclusion
Though supportive measures helped in encouraging export performance during Jul-Mar
FY2022. However, significant rise in imports bill due to broad-based surge in global
commodity prices, COVID-19 vaccine imports, and demand-side pressures, all
contributed in widening trade deficit by 55.5 percent (US$ 30.1 billion). Even ever-
highest remittances of US$ 22.9 billion were unable to offset the highest trade deficit.
Thus, Current account deficit recorded at US$ 13.2 billion during Jul-Mar FY2022 which
was not been able to be financed by Financial Account. This in turn putting pressure on
foreign reserves and exchange rate.
At on going inflation rate, there is still acceleration in the domestic demand. The high
consumption expenditure and government spending has led to massive surge in
imports. The depletion of foreign reserves is becoming vulnerable. The present
government has to take difficult decisions specially to address structural issues,
mobilized additional financing from friendly countries in the form of short- to medium-
term loans, deferred payment on imported oil, etc. Further, resuming IMF program will
expected to build market confidence.
166
CH6?<7896G
ų屟ƚųƼĜĬĬŸ±ĵŅƚĹƋĜĹčƋŅŸţŎţĂƋųĜĬĬĜŅĹ
ųåƋĜųåÚxųåŞ±ĜÚƋŅųåÚƚÏå:8ĹååÚŸ
{ÚåÆƋ±ĵŅƚĹƋĜĹčƋŅĂƅĿÆĜĬĬĜŅĹƵ±ŸŞ±ĜÚØ
ÏƚĵƚĬ±ƋĜƴåÚåÆƋųåƋĜųåĵåĹƋŸƋŅŅÚ±ƋƖţƐƋųĜĬĬĜŅĹ
ŅƋ±ĬĜĹƋåųåŸƋŸåųƴĜÏĜĹčƵ±ŸųåÏŅųÚåÚ±ƋŸţƖØŎŎí
ÆĜĬĬĜŅĹŅƴåųƋĘåŞåųĜŅÚ
Chapter 9
Public Debt
9.1 Introduction
The primary objective of public debt management is to establish and execute a multi-
pronged debt strategy to efficiently bridge the gap between the Government’s revenues
and expenditures at the lowest possible cost while ensuring a sustainable level of risk.
In addition, the development of efficient and liquid domestic debt capital market is also
a key objective of public debt management.
The conduct of public debt management varies from country to country due to different
institutional setup, macro-dynamics, behaviour of economic fundamentals, legal
frameworks, and governance structures. Nevertheless, the objective is to ensure that
both the level and rate of growth in public debt is fundamentally sustainable while
safeguarding that the debt portfolios are efficiently structured in terms of currency
composition, maturity profile, interest rates, and prudent levels of contingent liabilities.
Public debt portfolio witnessed various developments during first nine months of
ongoing fiscal year (Jul-Mar 2021-22), some of them are highlighted as follows:
Within domestic debt, the Government relied entirely on long-term domestic debt
securities for the financing of its fiscal deficit and repayment of debt maturities.
Infact, Government retired Treasury Bills amounting to Rs 1.5 trillion which led to a
reduction of short-term maturities in-line with the Government’s commitment to
reduce its Gross Financing Needs (GFN);
The Government re paid Rs 569 billion against its debt owed to SBP. The cumulative
debt retirement against SBP debt stood at Rs 2.3 trillion from July 2019 to March
2022;
The Government successfully issued Shariah Compliant Sukuk instruments
amounting to around Rs 1.1 trillion, in line with the target specified in Medium Term
Debt Management Strategy of Pakistan (2019/20 - 2022/23), to increase the share
of Shariah compliant securities within domestic debt stock;
Debt from multilateral and bilateral sources cumulatively constituted around 79
percent of the external public debt portfolio at end-March 2022. A set of reforms
initiated by the Government to improve the economy has brought strong support
from multilateral development partners. This is expected to strengthen confidence
and catalyse additional support from development partners in the coming years
which will also help in reducing the pressure on domestic sources;
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Successful completion of the 6th review of the IMF Extended Fund Facility (EFF) led
to the disbursement of US$ 1,053 million;
Government received US$ 3,000 million deposit from Saudi Arabia which was
utilized towards budgetary support;
Within external debt, inflows from multilateral and bilateral development partners
remained major sources of funding. In addition, Pakistan successfully raised US$ 1
billion in July 2021 through multi-tranche tap issuance of 5-, 10- and 30-year
Eurobonds and at a premium;
In January 2022, the Government of Pakistan successfully raised US$ 1 billion
through the issuance of International Sukuk under the ‘Trust Certificate Issuance
Program’. This was the first time that Government has issued International Sukuk
with 7 Year maturity and at market-clearing price i.e., zero issuance premium. The
transaction was very successful as healthy participation was witnessed from Middle
Eastern and European investors and as the books were oversubscribed 2.7 times;
Government repaid US$ 1 billion against maturing International Sukuks in October
2021;
Government utilized IMF allocated SDR equivalent to Rs 475 billion to support its
budgetary operations.
Over the medium-term, the Government objective is to reduce its Gross Financing Needs
(GFN) through various measures mainly including (i) better cash flow management;
(ii) lengthening of debt maturity profile; (iii) development of regular Islamic based
lending programs; and (iv) availing maximum concessional financing from bilateral and
multilateral development partners.
Government (including the Federal Government and the Provincial Governments) serviced out of the consolidated fund and debts owed to the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) less accumulated deposits of the Federal and Provincial Governments with the banking system.
Note: PBS has changed the National Accounts base year from 2005/06 to 2015/16. The new GDP numbers are available from 2015/16
Source: State Bank of Pakistan and Debt Policy Coordination Office, Ministry of Finance
168
Public Debt
Total public debt was recorded at Rs 44,366 billion at the end-March 2022 (Table 9.1),
registering an increase of Rs 4,500 billion during first nine months of current fiscal year.
Apart from financing of Federal fiscal deficit, the depreciation of Pak Rupee against US
Dollar by around 26 percentage points led to significant increase in the value of external
public debt when converted into Pak Rupees. The main reasons for increase in total
public debt during first nine months of ongoing fiscal year vis-à-vis corresponding
period of last year are presented in table 9.2.
Table 9.2: Increase in Total Public Debt (Rs billion)
Jul-Mar FY21 Jul-Mar FY22
Increase / (Decrease) in Total Public Debt 1,607 4,500
of which:
Federal Primary Deficit / (Surplus) (39) 1,047
Interest on Debt 2,104 2,118
Currency Depreciation / (Appreciation) (1,133) 1,744
Increase / (Decrease) in Government Cash Balance 675 (409)
Source: Budget Wing and Debt Policy Coordination Office, Ministry of Finance
Fig 9.1: Trend in Domestic and External Debt (end-Jun position) (Rs in billion)
30,000
25,000
20,000
Domestic Debt
15,000 External Debt
10,000
5,000
0
1981
1996
2004
2019
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2020
2021
*2022
*End March
169
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
1 https://www.finance.gov.pk/publications/MTDS_FY20_FY23.pdf
170
Public Debt
171
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
financial year. Government has further issued around Rs 0.4trillion worth of Sukuks
during April and May 2022 and total issuance of Sukuk accordingly stood at around
Rs 1.5trillion during first eleven months of ongoing fiscal year.
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
-
Jul-Sep Oct-Dec Jan-Mar
Target 450 300 300
Participation 900 852 1,611
Acceptance 392 254 428
Maturity 1,053 55 -
Target Participation Acceptance Maturity
172
Public Debt
I. Permanent Debt
Permanent debt mainly comprises medium to long-term instruments like PIBs,
Government Ijara Sukuks, and Prize Bonds. Permanent debt constituted 67 percent of
the domestic debt portfolio and was recorded at Rs 18,714 billion at end-March 2022,
representing an increase of Rs 2,803 billion during the first nine months of the ongoing
fiscal year. The bifurcation of this increase reveals that Government net mobilization
through the issuance of PIBs and GIS was Rs 1,939 billion2and Rs 1,111 billion
2excluding PIBs held by non-residents amounting to Rs 20 billion, which are recorded as external public debt.
173
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
respectively, whereas a net retirement amounting to Rs 178 billion and Rs 70 billion was
observed in stock of Bai-Muajjal Sukuk and Prize Bonds, respectively.
Figure 9.7 summarizes the source wise break-up of domestic debt stock:
PIBs/Sukuk/Bai-Muajjal T-Bills MRTBs Others (Prize Bonds, NSS, NPC, SDR loan)
NSS: National Saving Schemes; NPC: Naya Pakistan Certificates; SDR loan: SBP's SDR on-lending to Federal Government
3
excluding T-bills held by non-residents amounting to Rs 24 billion, which are recorded as external public debt.
174
Public Debt
175
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Due to a significant increase in the interest rate during FY2021-22, notable changes in
security-wise outright volumes were witnessed. The volume of T-Bills increased, while
overall volumes of PIBs (fixed and floating) declined. Among PIBs, floating-rate PIBs
witnessed a robust increase as outright trade of 2-year floating-rate PIBs increased on
the back of strong primary issuance. Out of Rs 7 trillion outright trades in 3-year PIBs,
Rs 4.9 trillion (70 percent) was in floating-rate instruments. Higher primary market
issuance and large outstanding stocks contributed to high trading volumes. On the
longer end, secondary market trading volume of 5- and 10-year PIBs decreased by 55
percent and 44 percent, respectively. Among 5-Year and 10-Year PIBs, primary issuance
of floaters remained minimum, while consistent issuance of fixed-rate PIBs contributed
to relatively higher outright volumes in the fixed-rate instruments;
T-Bills outright volume during the first nine months of FY2021-22 continued to
constitute a major share (65 percent) of total outright volume. T-Bills outright trade
volume clocked in at Rs 21 trillion during the period, exhibiting an increase of 11 percent
compared to that of the same period of the preceding year. Tenor-wise outright volumes,
however, changed drastically during the period under review as 3- and 6-Month T Bills
outright volumes increased by around 17 percent and 95 percent, while that of 12-
Month decreased by 87 percent.
Outright trade-in GoP Ijara Sukuks (GISs) continue to decline despite strong primary
market issuances during the current fiscal year. GIS worth Rs 1.7 trillion were outright
traded during the first nine months of FY2021-22, reflecting a decline of 31 percent
compared to volumes registered during the same period of the preceding year. The
significant drop in GIS outright volume indicates Islamic banks’ preference to buy and
hold securities.
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2019-20 2020-21 Jul-Mar 2020-21 Jul-Mar 2021-22
176
Public Debt
At the beginning of FY2021-22, the yield curve was upward sloping. SBP policy rate had
anchored the left end of the yield curve (short-term rates) to around 7 percent while the
term structure of long-term rates was normal with a 10-year rate at 10 percent. During
the first nine months of FY2021-22, SBP increased the policy rate by a cumulative 275
bps. This resulted in an upward shift in the yield curve with an increase more
pronounced in short-term rates and long-term rates being flat at around 12 percent.
However, short-term rates (up to 1 year) continue to be positively sloped.
13
12
Yield (percentage)
11
10
6
3 Month 6 Month 12 Month 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year
177
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
witnessed net increase of US$ 1 billion during first nine months of ongoing fiscal
year;
The stock of Pakistan Banao Certificates and Naya Pakistan Certificates cumulatively
increased by US$ 0.5 billion; and
The stock of non-resident investment in Government securities (T-bills & PIBs)
decreased by US$ 0.6 billion.
Pakistan’s external public debt is derived from four key sources, with around 49 percent
coming from multilateral loans, 30 percent from bilateral loans, 11 percent from
commercial loans4, and 10 percent from Eurobonds/Sukuk. Figure 9.10 summarizes the
component-wise break-up of external public debt stock:
Fig 9.10: Source Wise Profile of External Public Debt (end-June position)
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 End March
2022
Multilateral Bilateral Eurobonds/Sukuk Commercial Loans
4 Including non-resident investments in domestic Government securities, Naya Pakistan Certificates and Pakistan Banao Certificates.
178
Public Debt
5 Excluding disbursement from Pakistan Banao Certificates, NPCs and non-resident investment in Government securities.
179
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Table 9.9: Source Wise External Public Debt Inflows and Outflows (Fiscal Year-wise)
(US$ in million) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Jul-Mar 22
Bonds - 500 750 - 1,000 1,000 0 1,000
Commercial / Other 686 1000 1922 1995 3634 5061 3,444 4,160
Total Repayments (B) 3,500 3,213 5,127 4,190 7,355 9,043 6,936 8,139
Net Inflows (A-B) 3,952 5,480 5,406 6,809 3,140 4,031 6,370 4,640
INTEREST PAYMENTS
Multilateral 258 290 381 485 584 637 639 446
Bilateral 385 380 441 444 541 484 115 230
Bonds 300 354 366 423 503 396 362 340
Commercial / Other 32 102 124 332 475 515 337 282
Total Interest Payments (C) 975 1,127 1,313 1,684 2,103 2,032 1,453 1,297
Total Debt Servicing (B+C) 4,475 4,340 6,440 5,874 9,458 11,075 8,389 9,436
Note: Above data excludes disbursements from Naya Pakistan Certificate, Pakistan Banao Certificates, and non-resident
investment in Government domestic securities
Source: Ministry of Economic Affairs and State Bank of Pakistan
In addition to net external inflows, the following factors influenced the movement in
external public debt stock during the first nine months of the current fiscal year:
180
Public Debt
as healthy participation was witnessed from Middle Eastern and European investors as
the books were oversubscribed 2.7 times.
Government plans to diversify its International Capital Market instrument base through
issuance of various bonds under its Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG)
Framework and also would like to tap the Chinese Capital Market through issuance of
Panda Bonds.
9.7 Conclusion
The Government’s strategy to reduce its debt burden to a sustainable level includes
adherence to run primary budget surpluses, maintain low and stable inflation, promote
measures that support long-term sustainable economic growth and follow an exchange
rate regime based on economic fundamentals. In addition, the Government is committed
to ensuring fiscal discipline through revenue mobilization and expenditure
rationalization. With a narrower fiscal deficit, public debt is projected to enter a firm
downward path while the Government’s efforts to improve maturity structure will
enhance public debt sustainability.
181
98H75G<BA
džƉĞŶĚŝƚƵƌĞƐ'ƌĞǁďLJ
{ųĜĵ±ųƼØXŅƵåųرĹÚŞŞåųåÏŅĹÚ±ųƼ
)ÚƚϱƋĜŅĹŅĵŞĬåƋĜŅűƋåŸƋŅŅÚ±Ƌ
ƅƀŢØĉƀŢرĹÚƖƐŢØųåŸŞåÏƋĜƴåĬƼ
{±ųĜƋƼFĹÚĜÏ埱ƋXĜƋåų±ÏƼØ¥ŅƚƋĘ
XĜƋåų±ÏƼØ{ųĜĵ±ųƼؼåÏŅĹÚ±ųƼ±ųå
LjţƀŎØLjţíƖØLjţííرĹÚLjţíĿØ
ųåŸŞåÏƋĜƴåĬƼ
eĜĹčĬåc±ƋĜŅűĬƚųųĜÏƚĬƚĵʱŸÆååĹ
ĜĹƋųŅÚƚÏåÚƋŅĵĜĹĜĵĜDŽåÚĜŸŞ±ųĜƋƼĜĹƋĘå
ÏŅƚĹƋųƼűŸåÚƚϱƋĜŅĹŸƼŸƋåĵ
Chapter 10
Education
Education is one of the key factors for changing the existing state of a nation into a
distinguished position in the community of nations. The educational advancements
which have taken place so far and the skills which have been acquired in due course of
time are not only benefiting Pakistan but also the surrounding regions. For a country
like Pakistan, it becomes even more indispensable for its socio-economic development
through effective transition of its huge proportion of population i.e youth.
Transformation of 63 percent youth into a real wealth requires optimum capitalization
through establishing a high-quality and market demand driven basic, secondary and
higher Education.
184
Education
1According to Academy of Educational Planning & Management (AEPAM), the estimated data for enrolment, number of institutions
and teachers for the year 2021-22 is not available. However, the said data will be available in July 2022 which will be incorporated
in the Statistical Supplement of Pakistan Economic Survey, 2021-22. Therefore, the estimated data for the year 2019-20 and 2020-
21 is considered for analysis.
185
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Fig-10.1: Enrolment at each level Primary Fig-10.2: Institution at each level Primary
187.9
183.9
180.1
160
25676.4
24591.7
(In thousand)
(In thousand)
23588.0
20000 140
120
8250.7
7931.5
7634.1
15000 100
49.3
48.3
47.3
4486.7
4213.5
3969.0
80 32.3
32.0
31.7
10000 60
40
5000
20
0 0
400
300
200
100
0
2018-19 P 2019-20 E 2020-21 E
186
Education
Table 10.1: Number of Mainstream Enrolment, Institutions and Teachers by Level (Thousands)
Higher Technical &
Pre- Primary Degree
Years Middle High Sec./ Vocational Universities Total
Primary ^ Colleges
Inter Institutes
2013-14 9267.7 19441.1 6460.8 3109.0 1233.7 465.4 308.6 1594.6 41880.9
2014-15 9589.2 19846.8 6582.2 3500.7 1665.5 510.6 319.9 1299.2 43314.1
Enrolment
2015-16 9791.7 21550.6 6922.3 3652.5 1698.0 518.1 315.2 1355.6 45804.0
2016-17 11436.6 21686.5 6996.0 3583.1 1594.9 537.4 344.8 1463.3 47642.6
2017-18 12574.3 22931.3 7362.1 3861.3 1687.8 604.6 433.2 1575.8 51030.4
2018-19* 12707.1 23588.0 7634.1 3969.0 2139.9 725.6 433.2 1858.7 53055.6
2019-20** 13487.9 24591.7 7931.5 4213.5 2328.3 741.5 464.5 1910.0 55668.9
2020-21** 14360.2 25676.4 8250.7 4486.7 2548.9 758.0 500.2 1964.0 58545.1
2013-14 - 157.9 42.9 30.6 5.2 1.1 3.3 0.161 241.2
2014-15 - 165.9 44.8 31.3 5.4 1.4 3.6 0.163 252.6
Institutions
Literacy, Gross Enrolment Rate (GER) and Net Enrolment Rate (NER)
Literacy
During 2021-22, PSLM Survey was not conducted due to upcoming Population and
Housing Census 2022. Therefore, the figures for the latest available survey regarding
GER and NER may be considered for the analysis. However, according to Labour Force
Survey 2020-21, literacy rate trends shows 62.8 percent in 2020-21 (as compared to
62.4 percent in 2018-19), more in males (from 73.0 percent to 73.4 percent) than
females (from 51.5 percent to 51.9 percent). Area-wise analysis suggest literacy increase
in both rural (53.7 percent to 54.0 percent) and urban (76.1 percent to 77.3 percent).
Male-female disparity seems to be narrowing down with time span. Literacy rate gone
up in all provinces, Punjab (66.1 percent to 66.3 percent), Sindh (61.6 percent to 61.8
percent), Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (52.4 percent to 55.1 percent) and Balochistan (53.9
percent to 54.5 percent). [Table10.2].
Table 10.2: Literacy Rate (10 Years and Above) (Percent)
Province/Area 2018-19 2020-21
Male Female Total Male Female Total
Pakistan 73.0 51.5 62.4 73.4 51.9 62.8
Rural 67.1 40.4 53.7 67.2 40.8 54.0
Urban 82.2 69.7 76.1 83.5 70.8 77.3
Punjab 74.3 58.1 66.1 74.2 58.4 66.3
187
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
90
80 73.4 74.2 72.9 72.8 69.4
70 58.4
60 51.9 49.7
(%)
50
37.4 36.8
40
30
20
10
0
Pakistan Punjab Sindh Khyber Balochistan
Pakhtunkhwa
During 2021-22, PSLM Survey was not conducted due to upcoming Population and
Housing Census 2022. Therefore, the figures for the latest available survey are reported
here.
Table 10.3: National and Provincial GER (Age 6 -10 years) at Primary Level (Classes1-5) (Percent)
Province/Area 2014-15 2019-20
Male Female Total Male Female Total
Pakistan 98 82 91 89 78 84
Punjab 103 92 98 93 90 92
Sindh 88 69 79 78 62 71
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa - - - 96 73 85
(Including Merged Areas)
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 103 80 92 98 79 89
(Excluding Merged Areas)
Balochistan 89 54 73 84 56 72
Source: Pakistan Social and Living Standards Measurement (PSLM) District Level Survey, 2019-20,
Pakistan Bureau of Statistics.
Table 10.4: National and Provincial NER (Age 6 -10 years) at Primary Level (Classes1-5) (Percent)
Province/Area 2014-15 2019-20
Male Female Total Male Female Total
Pakistan 72 62 67 68 60 64
Punjab 73 67 70 71 89 70
188
Education
Table 10.4: National and Provincial NER (Age 6 -10 years) at Primary Level (Classes1-5) (Percent)
Province/Area 2014-15 2019-20
Male Female Total Male Female Total
Sindh 67 54 61 60 49 55
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa - - - 72 56 65
(Including Merged Areas)
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 78 62 71 73 59 66
(Excluding Merged Areas)
Balochistan 67 42 56 65 45 56
Source: Pakistan Social and Living Standards Measurement (PSLM) District Level Survey, 2019-20,
Pakistan Bureau of Statistics.
Expenditure on Education
Cumulative education expenditures by federal and provincial governments in FY2021
remained at 1.77 percent of GDP (revised estimates). Expenditures on education-related
expenditures during FY2021 witnessed an increase of 9.7 percent, reaching Rs 988
billion from Rs 901 billion. The education related expenditure details are given in Table
10.5 and Figure 10.5.
189
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
550 479.9
450 393.5
322.8
350 259.5
240.4
250 187.7
162.1
150
50
190
Education
IT/Science labs, up-gradation of girls and boys primary schools to middle, high and
secondary levels, construction of new boys and girls schools and colleges, provision of
scholarship through endowment funds and other scholarship schemes.
Punjab
During FY2022, an amount of Rs 54.3 billion was allocated by Government of Punjab for
110 on-going and 405 new development projects of education sector. Out of which Rs
35.5 billion was allocated for school education, Rs 15.1 billion for higher education, Rs
0.8 billion for special education and Rs 2.9 billion for literacy and non-formal education.
Sindh
During FY2022, the Sindh government dedicated Rs 30.3 billion for 225 on-going and
283 new development projects of education sector. Out of which an amount of Rs 18.3
billion was allocated for school education, Rs 4.0 billion for college education, Rs 0.8
billion for Empowerment of Persons with Disabilities, Rs 1.2 billion for Sindh TEVTA and
Rs 6.0 billion for Universities & Boards.
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
The government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa has allocated Rs 24.6 billion in FY2022 for 172
on-going and 39 new development projects. Out of which, an amount of Rs 4.3 billion
was allocated for primary education, Rs 12.1 billion for secondary education, Rs 1.2
billion for elementary & secondary education and Rs 7.0 billion for higher education.
This amount is 94 percent higher than the last year allocation.
Balochistan
The Balochistan government allocated Rs 31.4 billion for FY2022 for 510 on-going and
380 new development projects. Out of the total allocation, an amount of Rs 2.3 billion
was allocated for primary education, Rs 1.9 billion for middle education, Rs 8.6 billion
for secondary education, Rs 8.5 billion for college education, Rs 9.5 billion for university
education, Rs 0.2 billion for general education and 0.4 billion for technical education.
191
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Skill development is the quickest and most effective method of youth empowerment and
channelizing their energies for socio-economic development of the country. NAVTTC
under the umbrella of Ministry of Federal Education and Professional Training,
promoting linkages among various stakeholders; improving TVET image; uplift TVET
sector; and improves employability. NAVTTC accords a high priority to address the
issues being faced by neglected geographical areas, marginalized segments of the
society; and uplift TVET sector in the country. A comprehensive skill development
programme, i.e., Prime Minister's Special Package to implement "Skills for All" Strategy
as a catalyst for TVET Sector Development, is being implemented by NAVTTC. NAVTTC
with the vision of "Skills for Employability, Skills for All" is imparting the youth of
country with employable technical and vocational hands-on skills to prepare them for
decent employment and self-employment in the shortest possible time.
The TVET landscape of Pakistan has taken its shape as a result of consequent policies,
measures and interventions taken by the government, which are highlighted as under:
192
Education
On-going TVET interventions in TVET Sector through "Skill for All" Programme
(PSDP) in the light of National Skills Strategy 2018
Subsequent to National Education Policy 2017 and National Skills for All Strategy 2018,
the government is executing the "Skill for All Programme" in 14 areas of interventions,
which is aimed at total transformation of Pakistan TVET landscape on the international
standards under the PSDP project Prime Minister's "Skills for All Strategy"-Hunarmand
Pakistan Programme under Kamyab Jawan Initiative, a comprehensive skill
development programme is prepared and being implemented by NAVTTC to implement
the above recommendations of the Task Force. Fourteen (14) components/areas of
interventions covered under this programme include:
193
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
NAVTTC has made major contribution to national human resource development and has
generated a large number of employment for the skilled youth, overseas and nationally,
benefitting the individuals as well as the national economy. Some key achievements of
NAVTTC are;
379,350 youth trained as certified skilled professionals
170,000 trained in year 2021, in 720 institutes, with 71 percent employed
40,361 trained in High-Tech skills including Artificial Intelligence, Robotics, Cyber
Security & IT and other 104 trades
Developed National Skills Information System (NSIS) and established NEXT Skilled
Youth & Job Portal with Databank of 311,734 certified skilled youth available in real
time;
18,627 personnel certified and mainstreamed through RPL (Recognition of Prior
Learning)
Developed National Vocational Qualifications Framework (NVQF)
Competency Based Training & Assessment (CBT&A)/outcome based Curriculum has
been developed in 102 demand driven trades in accordance with international and
national job market. Designing of TVET Curriculum to Cater Attitude and Personality
Grooming of Skilled Work Force to cater technical skills, professional/work ethics,
confidence building, practical tasking, Introduction of CBT&A in TVET sector, i.e. (80
percent practical and 20 percent theory) in all TVET institutes
Matric-Tech Programme has been launched in 15 schools of ICT, GB & AJK in 08
discipline to mainstream TVET in formal education
50 Smart Labs and 500 Class Rooms set up with the Chinese CPEC support;
577 national institutes accredited; International Accreditation, etc
10 TVET institute Internationally Accredited by International accreditation agencies
Saudi Takamol Skills Verification Programme (SVP) system has been established for
Pakistani Skilled workforce to seek employment in KSA
Higher Education Commission (HEC)
HEC is not only plays a central role for the promotion of quality education and
development of the higher educational institutions in Pakistan but also promote
universities to become world-class centers of education, and produce quality research
in the field of science and technology.
HEC has prepared and launched its Vision 2025, presenting a broader landscape of
Higher Education Sector and future strategic frameworks.
HEC Vision Plan 2025 focuses on improving quality education, faculty development, and
maximizing the research and development opportunities in higher education sector.
Major areas of higher education have restructured to enhance the reach and
effectiveness by prioritizing equitable access, improved learning and increased
194
Education
To enhance the equitable access to quality higher education, the total number of
universities in the country both in Public Sector & Private Sector has been increased to
233 (Public Sector: 141 & Private Sector: 92). Similarly, the number of sub-campuses of
these universities has also been expanded to 115 (Public Sector: 82 & Private Sector:
33). Ultimately, the total enrolment has also been increased to around 2.0 million.
Quality of Higher Education
HEC through its Ordinance, has established Quality Assurance Agency (QAA) in 2005.
The agency is a policymaking and monitoring body for enhancement and assurance of
quality in Higher Education Institutions. It is involved in the systematic implementation
of quality enhancement procedures/criteria to attain improved levels of international
compatibility and competitiveness at the institutional and programme level.
Internal Quality Assurance [IQA]
The objective of IQA processes is to enhance and institutionalize the quality culture in
institutions of higher learning. For this purpose, the IQA processes relate to the activities
with respect to establishing new QEC and strengthening the implementation of QA
parameters. To reinforce its objective, IQA holds periodic progress review meetings,
capacity building workshops and performs monitoring visits. The quality of the IQA
mechanism in an HEI is measured quantitatively, on annual basis, by means of a
scorecard. The major outcome of the IQA mechanism is to prepare an HEI for external
evaluations.
Currently, 227 QEC are functional in the HEIs across the country. The establishment of
QEC is a requirement for every new university established in public as well as private
sector HEIs. During FY2022, new QECs have been established in 21 HEIs across
Pakistan. Also progress review meetings and capacity building workshops of 227 QECs
are conducted in all regions, across the country, i.e. Lahore, Peshawar, Karachi,
Islamabad, Bahawalpur, Hyderabad, Quetta and Swat.
External Quality Assurance (EQA)
Institution Level [Institution Performance Evaluation (IPE)
This is an umbrella activity that evaluates the performance of an HEI through a peer
review process from all aspects, i.e. quality of teaching & learning, research, the
effectiveness of leadership and governance. The main objective is to evaluate the overall
performance of an HEI. For this purpose, the QAA plans are administers the activities of
IPE against eleven defined standards. The standards are namely, Mission Statement and
Goals, Planning and Evaluation, Organization and Governance, Integrity, Faculty,
Students, Institutional Resources, Academic Programmes and Curricula, Public
Disclosure and Transparency, Assessment & Quality Assurance, and Student Support
Service.
195
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
So far, 140 HEIs are reviewed across the country, which includes 22 HEIs in the FY2022.
Also, capacity building and consultative sessions were held with the 227 HEIs across
Pakistan.
Undergraduate-Level Programme
HEC has established five Accreditation Councils in the areas of Agriculture, Business,
Computing, Teacher and Technology Education in addition to already existing nine
professional Councils, i.e., Pakistan Council for Architects and Town Planners (PCATP),
Pakistan Bar Council (PBC), Pakistan Engineering Council (PEC), Pakistan Medical and
Dental Council (PM&DC), Pakistan Nursing Council (PNC), Pakistan Veterinary Medical
Council (PVMC), National Council for Tibb (NCT), Pharmacy Council of Pakistan (PCP)
and National Council for Homeopathy (NCH).
These Councils worked with universities for accreditation of undergraduate programme
in the relevant fields and continuously engaged in improving the quality of programmes
offered by them. HEC closely work with these Councils in improving their accreditation
standards and processes, capacity building of programme evaluators through training
workshops, etc.
So far 1800 professional programmes, across Pakistan, are accredited by the councils
established by QAA-HEC.
196
Education
a. The performance evaluation of HEC recognized 75 ORICs was carried out by the RFI
Section, through which 06 ORICs were categorized in the “X” category.
b. HEC R&D Division recognized 04 ORICs who fulfilled the minimum criteria in
accordance with the HEC ORIC Policy. These include Karachi Institute of Economics
and Technology, Karachi, Muhammad Nawaz Shareef University of Agriculture,
Multan, University of Balochistan, Quetta and University of Central Punjab, Lahore –
taking the total number of recognized ORICs to 76. (information till March 2022)
197
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
c. HEC in collaboration with the British Council conducted 03 training workshops for
ORIC Management in Karachi, Islamabad, and Faisalabad in which Director ORICs of
different HEIs of Pakistan participated
d. HEC initiated the call for proposals from interested HEIs for Establishment of
Business Incubation Centers (BICs). In response to the call, 23 HEIs submitted their
proposals out of which 08 HEIs have been shortlisted for physical evaluation and
final award (information till March 2022)
e. HEC in collaboration with SMEDA initiated the Establishment of National Idea Labs
at HEC established BICs. 05 BICs (NUST, NED, NTU, IMSciences, BUITEMS) have been
shortlisted for the pilot phase and NIL Agreement Signing Ceremony will be held in
March 2022. The NIL will provide facilitation service to final year students to convert
their ideas into sustainable businesses (information till March 2022)
f. Innovator Seed Fund Pre-Launch Webinars were organized for the facilitation and
wider outreach of information of different stakeholders. 09 Webinars were held in
total targeting different thematic areas.
g. A one-day rigorous training of BIC Managers was organized in December 2021 on
Innovator Seed Fund. BIC Managers of 29 BICs across Pakistan participated in the
training.
h. HEC announced call for Concept Notes against HEDP funded Innovator Seed Fund
Programme. The deadline for submission of concept notes was 31st January 2022.
HEC has finally received 186 applications, endorsed by the partnering BICs for
further evaluation process (information till March 2022)
i. Under Innovation Seed Fund Programme of HEDP, Mapping and Needs Assessment
Exercise for ORICs and BICs was carried out. The final report has been approved and
disseminated with ORICs and BICs virtually.
j. HEC held a series of consultative virtual meetings with Chambers of Commerce and
Industries to improve the university-industry linkages. 10 consultative online
meetings were held and 04 round table sessions were held for active coordination
between industry and academia.
k. HEC relaunched its Access to Scientific Instrumentations Programmes for the
facilitation and support of Research Students to have analytical facilities from
scientific instruments/laboratories not available in their HEIs. Against first call for
applications, HEC R&D Division has received 129 applications so far for grant of Rs
200,000/- per applications as sample analysis funding. The applications are in
process of final award and around 150 more applications are anticipated to be
awarded by close of FY2022.
198
Education
199
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
NAHE works as centre of excellence for capacity building, skills development, and
promotion of academic research, governance, and leadership competencies. NAHE was
established with the mandate to offer generic as well as needs-based capacity building
programmes for HEC employees and HEIs.
The NAHE conducted three cohorts of its flagship National Faculty Development
Programme (200+ contact hours), providing intensive training to 498 Interim
Placement for Fresh PhDs (IPFP) fellows.
NAHE also conducted a series of consultative and capacity building workshops,
awareness sessions, and top-up trainings engaging a total of 3,370 participants from
faculty and HEC employees during FY2022 (July-April) in 10 training areas.
So far, NAHE trained total 3,868 participants in above mentioned training programme
during FY2022 (July-March).
Planning & Development of Higher Education
HEC plans continue reforms that are in line with GoP Vision 2025 mainly to implement
a process of developing human capital and to take higher education opportunities at the
district level throughout the country.
During FY2022, the government initially allocated Rs 42.450 billion to HEC for
implementation of 168 development projects (128 ongoing & 40 new approved
projects) of Public Sector Universities/HEIs. However, later on, the PSDP FY2022 was
rationalized/curtailed by government to Rs 32.338 billion. During FY2022 (July-April),
Rs 24.242 billion around 62 percent of the funds allocation) has been released to
HEC/Public Sector Universities/HEIs for meeting expenditure against ongoing projects
for various activities.
Annual Status of Education Report (ASER)
Annual Status of Education Report (ASER-Rural) 2021, is the largest citizen-led
household-based learning survey across all provinces/areas: Sindh, Balochistan, Punjab,
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), Gilgit Baltistan (GB), Islamabad Capital Territory (ICT) and
Azad Jammu Kashmir (AJK). According to the ASER 2021, 10,000 trained
volunteer/enumerators surveyed 87,415 households in 4,420 villages across 152 rural
districts of Pakistan. Detailed information of 247,978 children aged 3-16 has been
collected (57 percent male and 43 percent female), and of these, 212,105 children aged
5-16 years were assessed for language and arithmetic competencies. Moreover, 585
transgenders were also a part of the surveyed sample. Major findings of ASER 2021 and
its comparison with 2019 is given in Box-II
200
Education
In ASER 2021, amongst the 19 percent out-of- school children (age 6-16 years), 10 percent were
males and 9 percent were females. This gap has narrowed compared to the last ASER cycle (7
percent males and 9 percent females). However, this time more boys are out of school as compared
to girls.
AJK, GB and Punjab all recorded fall in enrolment ranging between 2 percent to 5 percent. ASER
rural results over the years illustrate a decline in the number of children going to non-state schools;
19 percent children of age 6-16 are enrolled in private sector in 2021, while in 2019 the percentage
was 30 percent.
Pre-school enrolment (3-5 years) in 2021 stands at 38 percent as compared to 39 percent in 2019.
Quality of Learning
Learning levels in two competencies, i.e. Language (Urdu/Sindhi/Pashto) and Arithmetic have
declined since 2019. However, English learning levels have improved marginally.
In ASER 2021, 55 percent of Class 5 students were reported as being able to read a story in
Urdu/Sindhi/Pashto. Similarly, 51 percent of Class 5 students were able to do 2-digit division. For
English this year, 56 percent of class 5 students could read Class 2 level English sentences as
compared to 55 percent of Class 5 students who could do so in 2019.
The top scorers for Language: Urdu are AJK (72 percent), Punjab (68 percent), Islamabad-ICT, (74
percent), GB (52 percent), and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (50 percent); English: AJK (86 percent),
Punjab (73 percent), GB (65 percent) and Islamabad-ICT (62 percent), and for Arithmetic: Punjab
(69 percent), AJK (72 percent), GB (61 percent), and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (50 percent).
ASER Rural Survey 2021 highlights as per past trends, children enrolled in private schools are
performing better in literacy compared to government counterparts, whilst for numeracy they
performed at par.
Mothers’ Education (National Rural): In 2021, the percentage of mothers’ having completed
primary education has declines (32 percent) as compared to 2019 (35 percent).
School Facilities & Other Indicators
ASER 2021 surveyed 4,096 Government and 1,602 Private schools in 152 rural districts of Pakistan.
Private sector still reports better school facilities but with progressive improvement in government
schools.
Overall teacher attendance in government schools was 90 percent compared to 92 percent in
private schools. Overall student attendance in government schools was 80 percent compared to 87
percent in private schools.
32 percent teachers of government schools have done bachelors compared to 37 percent teachers
of private schools. Whereas, 52 percent teachers of government schools have done Masters as
compared to 38 percent teachers of private schools.
70 percent of the surveyed government primary schools have toilets in 2021 compared to 59
percent in 2019. Similarly, 71 percent surveyed private primary schools have toilet facility in 2021
compared to 89 percent in 2019.
57 percent of the surveyed government primary schools have drinking water facility in 2021
compared to 61 percent in 2019; 77 percent of the surveyed private primary schools have drinking
water facility in 2021 as compared to 93 percent in 2019.
Multi-grade Teaching: The trends in multi-grade teaching across schools are as follows. ASER 2021
National-Rural reveals that 40 percent of government and 23 percent of private schools have multi-
grade teaching at Class II level; whilst at the Class VIII level, multi-grade teaching is stood at 6
percent in government schools and 19 percent in private sector schools.
ASER Findings on Technological Access and Learning Support Received During COVID-19
ASER 2021 also included a wide range of questions from the households on technological access,
recipient of social safety nets, earning and psychological well-being affected during COVID-19, learning
support received by children during COVID-19, etc. Few important findings are shared below:
201
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
77 percent of households across all rural districts of Pakistan have mobile phones and 62 percent
have smart phones. Amongst mobile users, 89 percent use WhatsApp services, whilst 64 percent
use SMS facility.
23 percent have internet connection and 18 percent have computer/laptops. 65 percent
households have TV and 18 percent have radio.
Only 16 percent of the households stated that they have received support from social safety nets
(Categories: Ehsaas, BISP, PSPA, Akhuwat, etc.)
30 percent of the households stated that their psychological well-being was substantially affected
during COVID-19.
16 percent of the households stated that their earning during COVID-19 got affected by more than
50 percent.
From a high of 68 percent support from family members, 57 percent availed PTV TeleSchool
sessions, 37 percent had access to smart phones, followed by 29 percent with access to computer,
27 percent to paid tuition, 14 percent digital learning resources and 6 percent accessed radio
programmes for learning support.
Source: ASER 2021
Conclusion
Pakistan’s literacy, enrolment and other educational indicators have been improving
over last couple of years. Government is very much focusing on improving both the
quality and coverage of education through effective policy interventions and enhancing
allocation of resources, but the required reforms and improvement in education sector
cannot be achieved without active participation of private sector.
202
;95?G;AHGE<G<BA
džƉĞŶĚŝƚƵƌĞƐ'ƌĞǁďLJ
ƖĉĿĵĜĬĬĜŅĹkF%ěŎĿÚŅŸåŸƵåųå
±ÚĵĜĹĜŸƋåųåÚƵĜƋĘŎƐĂĵĜĬĬĜŅĹŞ±ųƋĜ±ĬĬƼ¼
ŎƖƐĵĜĬĬĜŅĹüƚĬĬƼƴ±ÏÏĜűƋåÚƋĜĬĬa±ƼƖLjƖƖ
Ęåųå±ųåƅLjĘå±ĬƋĘŸåÏƋŅųŞųŅģåÏƋŸĜĹ
{%{ƖLjƖƖƋŅƋĘåƋƚĹåŅüƋŅƋ±ĬÏŅŸƋŅüŸţ
ŎƐƀţƅÆĜĬĬĜŅĹ
åʱƋ±ĘƚĬ±Ƌ{ųŅčų±ĵĵåĜŸŞųŅƴĜÚĜĹč
Ęå±ĬƋĘĜĹŸƚų±ĹÏåŠBšƋŅĉĉţƅĵĜĬĬĜŅĹ
ü±ĵĜĬĜ埱ÏųŅŸŸƋĘåÏŅƚĹƋųƼ
Chapter 11
Health and wellbeing are central to Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). SDG 3 is to
‘’Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages’’. No one must be left
behind slogan entails to reduce the health inequalities and vulnerabilities that leave
people behind and undermine the potential of individuals and of humanity as a whole.
The Government remained committed to improve health status of population through
provision of Universal Health Coverage (UHC) to all through Sehat Sahulat Card, which
was launched for reducing health inequality in the country and ameliorate the well-
being of all, a step towards achieving UHC. In 2022, the Government also expanded
health infrastructure by increasing number of hospitals, Rural Health Units (RHUs),
Basic Health Units (BHUs), doctors, dentists, and dispensaries to meet the growing
health services demand. However, COVID-19 had disrupted the major strides in health
sector as the resources were shifted to contain the spread of fourth and fifth waves of
the Pandemic. It was a threat to the health system, lives and livelihood which was
successfully contained by the Government through timely procurement and massive
vaccination drive.
Health Status
SDGs Index claims to track a country’s performance on the 17 SDGs. Overall, Pakistan’s
SDGs Index score has increased from 53.11 in 2015 to 63.5 in 2020 i.e. 19.5 percent up
from the baseline of 2015. This is a composite score. There are sectoral achievements at
different levels. Considerable decline in extreme poverty, improvement in access to
energy, increased industrial activities, reduction in maternal mortality, improvement in
undernourishment, food insecurity, wash and housing, and finally, climate action.
(Pakistan SDGs Status Report 2021).
Pakistan is on track for 3 out of 14 indicators including Maternal Mortality Rate (per
100,000 live births), New HIV infections (per 1,000 uninfected population) and births
attended by skilled health personnel. Downward trend can be seen for 1 indictor that is
subjective well-being. All other indicators are either moderately improving or
stagnating.
Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) in Pakistan has declined to 54.2 deaths per 1,000 live births
in 2020 from 55.7 in 2019, while Neonatal Mortality Rate declined to 40.4 deaths per
1,000 live births in 2020 from 41.2 in 2019. Percentage of birth attended by skilled
health personnel increased to 69.3 percent in 2020 from 68 percent in 2019 (DHS &
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
UNICEF). Maternal Mortality Ratio fell to 186 maternal deaths per 100,000 births in
2020, from 189 in 2019 (Table 11.1).
204
Health and Nutrition
Health Expenditures
The health-related expenditure increased by 30 percent from Rs 505.4 billion in FY2020
to Rs 657.2 billion in FY2021. This increase in expenditures is mainly driven by COVID-
19 related expenses such as procurement of vaccines, establishment of vaccine centers,
testing kits and vaccine storage facilities, etc. Public sector expenditure on health are
estimated at 1.2 percent of GDP in 2020-21, as compared to 1.1 percent in 2019-20. The
health expenditure details are given in Table 11.3 and Fig-1:
500
(Rs billion)
400
300
200
100
0
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
205
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
There are 60 health sector projects in PSDP FY2022 to the tune of total cost of Rs 137.6
billion and the expenditure up to 30-06-2021 is Rs 31.0 billion. Total foreign funding
share for health sector in this year’s PSDP FY2022 is 4.4 percent amounting to Rs 6.1
billion. About 45 health sector projects are being implemented by M/o NHSR&C with an
estimated total cost of Rs 89 billion.
The salient features of PSDP programmes related to health sector are as follows:
206
Health and Nutrition
The programme is being implemented in a phased manner, starting from below poverty families and
eventually targeting universal families and providing coverage to more than two hundred million
population across Pakistan. As of today, the programme is providing services to more than 44 million
families (approximately 154 million lives) across the country.
The programme is managed under the administrative control of Ministry of National Health Services,
Regulations and Coordination and currently financed through PSDP. In each participating province
(Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa) the programme is managed by health department with different
sources of financing.
SSP only provide services to families which requires indoor health care services. The services include,
but not limited to, cardiac treatments (stents, open heart, valvular replacement etc), oncological
(cancer) management, burn management, organ failure management (dialysis, etc), complication of
diabetes mellitus, accident/trauma management, neurosurgical procedures, abdominal surgeries,
fracture management and other medical & surgical interventions.
For the identification of universal, vulnerable and marginalized families, SSP is using NADRA database.
Permanent resident families are identified using permanent address on CNIC, while families are
identified using “B” form information. Information related to Transgender and Disabled is also
extracted using NADRA database.
SSP has a wide network of more than 1030 paneled hospitals across Pakistan. Beneficiary from any
district can avail treatment from any of these paneled hospitals.
In SSP each participating province (Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa) is contributing/paying health
insurance premium for its respective covered families. However Federal Government, on one hand,
provide finances for program implementation to ICT, AJK, GB, Tribal districts of KP and Tharparkar
district (Sindh), and on other hand play coordination role in defining benefit package and provide
technical support to provinces for programme implementation. Details are provided in table below.
Province / Region: Current Status Families Covered
Islamabad Universal 249,177
AJK Universal 1,341,888
GB Below Poverty and Universal 363,692
Punjab Below Poverty and Universal 31,705,290
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Universal 9,353,009
Tribal Districts Universal 1,342,537
Balochistan NIL -
Tharparkar (District) Universal 313,436
Rest of Sindh NIL -
Total: 44.66 million
Source: Ministry of National Health Services, Regulations & Coordination
207
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
thus help contribute towards achieving SDG 3, which is reducing child morbidity and
mortality.
In 2022, Federal Directorate of Immunization (FDI) shifted EPI from developmental side
to recurrent side. Refurbishment of 49 FDI centers completed. Typhoid vaccine was
introduced in a phased manner along with second dose of inactivated polio vaccine.
Disbursements under National Immunization Support Project (NISP) were made
equivalent to US$23.6 million. 91 Walk in Cold Rooms (WICRs) and Walk in Freezer
Rooms (WIFRs) were allocated to different provinces to enhance their cold chain
capacity under Non-CCEOP. Overall, 72 out of 91 units are installed in the country while
the installation of 19 equipment is in process.
208
Health and Nutrition
health facilities of Islamabad and vi) Facility based Maternal Deaths information
collected via MPDSR application in KP and Balochistan.
209
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
210
Health and Nutrition
The overall coordination has been under the National Coordination Committee
(NCC) and chaired by the Prime Minister, the NCC was operationalized by the
national command and operation center. There was creation of the cabinet
committee on vaccines following introduction of vaccines and National Disaster
Management Authority (NDMA) as the leading operational agency.
During the period, a national risk communication and community engagement
strategy was developed and rapid behavioral assessment and studies were
undertaken by Government and partners. This have been useful in provision of
information, education, and communication on COVID-19 response, including uptake
of new technologies like vaccines. The “Sehat Tahafuz” helpline was established to
provide technical advice and helpline number 1166 also provided information for
registration for vaccine and healthcare facility.
COVID-19 guidelines and SOPs were updated and disseminated. Influenza-Like
illness (ILI) and Severe Acute Respiratory Infections (SARI) sentinel surveillance was
activated and enhanced. Effective implementation of non-pharmaceutical
interventions such as smart lock downs, wearing of masks based on positivity rate
was done. Existing Polio Eradication Surveillance systems was used, and an
Integrated Disease Information Management System (IDIMS) was developed by
National Emergency Operation Centre (NEOC).
Pakistan COVID-19 laboratory testing capacity was enhanced from under 100 test
per day as of February 2020 to over 79,749 tests/day as of 30th June 2021. Public
private partnership for COVID-19 testing was established and, MoU were signed with
private laboratories/hospital facilities for requisitioning additional testing capacity
at subsidized prices across the country.
Treatment guidelines were developed or adapted and disseminated, health facilities
were equipped, and health workers capacity were enhanced, including in use of PPE
and management of COVID-19 cases. The health systems capacities were
continuously monitored including daily ICU bed and ventilator occupancy by COVID-
19 cases.
The Government through the NDMA supported the quantification of supplies and
with the support of partners COVID-19 supplies were procured, distributed to points
of use, and tracked using the Logistics Management Information System. The Federal
Government relaxed the public procurement regulatory authority rules and the
Ministry of Justice put in place the indemnity and liability agreements for COVID-19
vaccines though COVAX and bilateral agreements. These effort by Government is part
of effort to ensure enabling environment for vaccine availability.
COVID-19 disrupted the delivery of other Essential Health Services (EHS),
necessitating efforts to maintain and enhance its provision; assessments from
SARS1, Health Resources and Services Availability Mapping System (HeRAMS3) in
Balochistan, and health facility readiness assessment for COVID-19 report enhanced
planning for continuity of EHS and guidelines were produced. Various aspects were
enhancing such as in access to RMNCH including GBV using telemedicine, use of
211
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
courier and NDMA logistic structures to deliver commodities for chronic care and
family planning respectively, enhancement of immunization services through
enhanced outreach services and digitization of health tools in predicting pandemic
trends and monitoring health system capacities.
As on 28th May 2022, the total number of COVID-19 vaccine doses administered are
recorded at 249 million with 135 million partially and 123 million fully vaccinated.
(As per NCOC data).
From January 2020 to March 2022, 51,546 flights screened to trace COVID-19 cases, a
total of 8.42 million passengers were tested from which 3122 were COVID-19 positive
with a positivity rate of 0.21 percent. All the flights were screened for two category of
tests, that is, PCR C/UK Pax and RAT Pax90, 288 and 1.50 million respectively (Table
11.6).
The statistics during January 2020 to May 2022 on screening tests are administered at
four seaports (See, Table 11.7).
Table 11.7 Detail of COVID-19 Screening tests administered at Seaports
S. # Port Names Total Vessels inspected Total Crew screened Suspects Positive
1 Karachi Port 4,188 93,711 0 1
2 Bin Qasim port 3,480 78,293 38 16
3 Gwadar port 163 764 0 0
Grand Total 7,831 172,768 38 17
Source: Central Health Establishment M/o NHSR&C
Detail of screening tests administered at four borders during the period from January
2020 to May 2022 on provided in (Table 11.8).
Table 11.8 Detail of Screening tests conducted at four borders, Land Crossing
S. # Total pedestrian Crossing Total RAT COVID Positive
1 Chaman 785,356 78,000 3
2 Taftan 12,083 5,600 1
3 Wagah 21,196 10,312 36
4 Torkhum 982,136 183,860 912
Total 1,800,771 (1.8 million) 277,772 952
Source: Central Health Establishment M/o NHSR&C
212
Health and Nutrition
213
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Moreover, rehabilitation of all RHC across KP and conversion of 50 RHCs into 24/7
facilities at total cost of Rs 934 million. For secondary health care facilities, 6 DHQs have
been selected to bring operational improvement such as equipment and medicine,
214
Health and Nutrition
increasing staff presence, etc. In addition, Health Management Cadre have been
constituted in KP with financial celling of up to Rs 2 million to cater for top medicines,
repair and maintenance and filling HR shortages for 3 months.
Health department of the province declared eleven DHQ hospitals as Teaching DHQs
along with the creation of new posts for Assistant Professors and Senior Registrars for
these hospitals in the regular budget. Moreover, the production of doctors in the
province has been enhanced, with 470 MBBS qualified doctors expected to start
graduating from the public sector medical colleges of Balochistan by 2026. This has been
made possible by increasing the MBBS seats of Bolan Medical College from 192 to 320
(with the permission of PMC), and the recognition of Jhalawan, Loralai and Mekran
Medical Colleges by PMC (each has an annual strength of 50 MBBS seats).
There are 19 Atomic Energy Cancer Hospital (AECHs) dedicated to serving poor cancer
patients not only in major cities but also in remote areas like D.I Khan, Bannu, Swat,
Nawabshah, etc. They are diligently working with aim to provide latest and
comprehensive diagnostic and treatment facilities to cancer patients irrespective of
stage of disease. Construction of one more AECHs is underway at Muzaffarabad, Azad
Jammu & Kashmir. AECHs are operated by skilled team of more than 2,500 professionals,
including doctors, scientists, engineers, paramedical, technical and other supportive
staff.
Routine Services
AECHs are equipped with advanced, sophisticated and modern diagnostic /therapeutic
facilities. Major services provided at these hospitals are diagnostic and therapeutic
Nuclear Medicine, Theranostics, Radiotherapy, Chemotherapy; Indoor wards facilities,
Cancer screening/Filter clinics, Hormonal assays, Biochemistry, Hematology,
215
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Achievements
In addition to management of patients, following targets have been achieved in current
fiscal year:
216
Health and Nutrition
Pakistan nutrition commitments expressed in the Nutrition for Growth (N4G) Summit,
2020, signal the country’s pledge to combat malnutrition and fast actions towards
achieving the WHA targets set for 2025 and SDGs for 2030. Special multi-sectoral
nutrition initiatives are being taken at Federal and Provincial levels in multiple sectors
to address malnutrition on sustainable basis using a system reforms approach.
Table 11.9: Availability of Major Food Items per annum (Kg per capita)
Food Items 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 (P)**
Cereals 139.9 170.8 164.7
Pulses 7.8 7.6 7.3
Sugar 23.3 28.5 28.3
Milk (Liter) 168.7 171.8 168.8
Meat (Beef, Mutton, Chicken) 22.0 22.9 22.5
Fish 2.9 2.9 2.9
Eggs (Dozen) 7.9 8.2 8.1
Edible Oil/ Ghee 14.8 15.1 14.5
Fruits & Vegetables 53.6 52.4 68.3
Calories/day 2457 2786 2735
Source: M/o PD&SI (Nutrition Section)
Our minimum food basket comprising of basic food items (cereals, pulses, fruits,
vegetables, meat, milk, edible oils and sugar) provides 2150 kcal and 60gram
protein/day per capita. The cost of food basket per capita per month, calculated on the
basis of Monthly Price Indices (PBS data), showed an increasing trend from July to
November, 2021 (Figure 2). Following a slight decrease in December 2021 and January
2022, the cost increased again in February and March 2022, though not to the level
observed in November 2021.
217
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Fig-2: Cost of Food Basket per Capita per Month (July 2021 to March 2022)
3600
3550
3500
3450
3400
Cost (Rs.)
3350
3300
3250
3200
3150
3100
Jul-2021 Aug-2021 Sep-2021 Oct-2021 Nov-2021 Dec-2021 Jan-2022 Feb-2022 Mar-2022
3238 3275 3369 3420 3548 3400 3364 3461 3488
The cost gradually increased form Rs 3238 in July 2021 to Rs 3548 in November 2021,
then sharply reduced to Rs 3400 in December 2021 and Rs 3364 in January 2022, and
increased again to Rs 3461 in February 2022 and Rs 3488 in March 2022. On average,
7.7 percent increase in the cost of food basket has been observed during the period Jul-
Mar 2021-22.
Nutrition support programs/ initiatives
During the FY2022, following nutrition support programs/activates undertaken to
curtail malnutrition at both national and provincial levels.
A nutrition specific project “Tackling Malnutrition Induced Stunting in Pakistan”
prepared by M/o NHSR&C, to reduce the prevalence of malnutrition among the most
vulnerable population of 67 districts, costing Rs 312 billion, is in process.
In consultation with relevant ministries, provinces/ areas, and nutrition partners, a
Multisectoral National Nutrition Action Plan (MS-NNAP) has been drafted and is in
process for costing.
The revised National Agro-Ecological Based Food Composition Table data has been
validated and the report is being finalized.
Early Childhood Development (ECD) Policy Mapping Report, National Policy
Dialogue Report, and Key Family Care Practices Package have been disseminated.
The governance structure at provincial/ area level have been started. The
preparation of ECD Policy Framework is under process. The provinces are finalizing
activities for the upcoming ADPs.
Nutrition interventions titled “Improving Food Security and Nutrition, minimizing
the impact of COVID-19 on livelihoods of poorest households in South Punjab” under
the Rural Poor Stimulus Facility programme with the support of nutrition partner
for three districts of Southern Punjab i.e., Bhakkar, Khushab and Mianwali, has been
launched.
Nutrition interventions titled “Improving nutrition and food security through
kitchen gardening, advocacy, awareness & capacity building under “Gwadar-Lasbela
Livelihoods Support Project Phase-II (GLLSP-II)” have been initiated in Balochistan.
218
Health and Nutrition
219
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
` Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Stunting Prevention and Rehabilitation Integrated
Nutrition Gain (KP SPRING) project being implemented in four districts i.e.
D.I.Khan, Tank, Bannu and Nowshera
` Integration of Health Services Delivery with Special Focus on MNCH, LHW and
Nutrition Programme
` Health Nutrition Program in merged areas
` Poverty alleviation through development of Rural Poultry in Khyber
Pakhtunkhwa
Sindh
` Accelerated Action Plan (AAP) for “Stunting Reduction and Malnutrition”
consisting of nutrition sensitive and specific interventions implemented in 13
districts
` EU-PINS – Programme for improved nutrition covering sensitive and specific
interventions in 10 districts
` Implementation of People's Poverty Reduction Programme (PPRP) in Ghotki and
Sukkur, and expanded to Khairpur, Badin, Mirpurkhas, Umerkot, Sanghar and
Thatta.
Balochistan
` Nutrition Program in 132 primary schools - 4 primary schools from each district
(concept paper approved)
Gilgit Baltistan (GB)
` Scaling Up Nutrition Program (SUN) GB with the collaboration of P&DD
` Provision of specialized nutritious food to under 5 children and PLW
` Targeting Blue Revolution towards Food Nutrition & Livelihood Security through
conservation of local Species
` Food Fortification Programme of Food Department
` Provision of ECD facilities in existing Government P/S of GB
` Social Health Protection Phase-II
` Provision of Specialized Nutrition Food for Ultra poor Pregnant and Lactating
Women in all 10 districts
Azad Jammu & Kashmir (AJ&K)
` Early Childhood Development Programme (ECD) in 300 Middle and 275 High and
Higher Secondary Schools
` Agro-Ecological Based Fruit, Vegetable & Agriculture Development as enterprise
in AJ&K
Narcotics Control
Pakistan’s counter narcotics efforts revolve around the three main pillars highlighted in
the National Anti-Narcotics Policy, 2019. These three pillars include i) Drug Supply
Reduction, ii) Drug Demand Reduction and iii) International Cooperation. Counter
narcotics efforts not only encompass the law enforcement side for drug supply reduction
but also value equally importance of reducing the domestic demand for drugs.
220
Health and Nutrition
Anti-Narcotics Policy
The Anti-Narcotics Policy of Pakistan aims to re-energize existing national drug law
enforcement agencies, build the Anti-Narcotics Force (ANF) capacity, develop an
effective coordination and control mechanism and mobilize the people of Pakistan
especially youth and institutions to ensure their active participation in eradicating
drugs. This policy also seeks to promote international cooperation for mutual support
and partnership against narcotics.
Policy Objectives
1. Drug Supply Reduction
The main focus of drug supply reduction activities is to strengthen Law Enforcement
Agencies (LEAs) at the federal, provincial and district levels to combat drug trafficking
and to reduce the flow of drugs in Pakistan. The capacity of LEAs all over Pakistan and
particularly in the provinces of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan is being improved
so that they could effectively assist in disrupting illegal drug trafficking, money
laundering and seizing drug generated assets.
1.1 Drug Supply Reduction Activities 11.10 Various Narcotics Items seized by ANF (Kgs/Ltr)
S# Seizure Quantity
Table 11.10 depicts the narcotics type and A. Opium 4235.370
B. Morphine 1657.670
quantity seized by ANF during Jul-Dec C. Heroin 2641.606
2021. D. Hashish 17555.327
E. Cocaine 18.924
In addition to this, assets of worth Rs F. Amphetamine 109.752
G. Meth 426.872
306.56 million were frozen while assets H. Xanax Tabs 136.478
amounting Rs 0.448 million were fortified I. Ecstasy Tabs 117.100
J. Prazolam / Benzo Diazepam 78.000
by ANF to reduce the supply of drugs from K. Alprazolam Tabs 3.290
Jul-Dec 2021. L. Pranax Tabs 25.000
M. Cannabis/ Marijuana 0.100
Details of various drug addicted patients N. Ketamine 50.000
O. AA 1026.000
treated under different Model Addicts P. Poppy Straw 2245.000
Treatment & Rehabilitation Centre Q. LSD Stickers 0.010
R. Suspected substance 131.215
(MATRCs) throughout the country from S. Weed 1.145
Jul-Dec 2021 is given in Table 11.11. Total 30458.859
Source: M/o Narcotics Control
221
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
3. International Cooperation
Illicit trafficking of narcotics and drug abuse is a global challenge. Pakistan is acting as a
front line country in combating the menace of drugs. Government of Pakistan has taken
number of initiatives to control spread and trafficking of illicit narcotics. However,
country cannot fight this menace alone, therefore, international cooperation is
important pillar of Pakistan’s strategy against drugs. Ministry of Narcotics Control has
signed 34 MoUs with different countries on unlawful narcotics, while 30 MoUs are under
process.
In 2021, ANF seized various types of drugs smuggled through Airport, Sea port and
parcels. Details are presented in Table 11.13.
Additionally, 40 foreign nationals were arrested in Pakistan who were involved in drug
trafficking in year 2021. Pakistan extended its support for Australia, Canada, South
Africa, South Korea, Interpol, UAE, USA, Iran, Qatar, KSA and UK in a total of 123 drug
related inquires 2021 (Table 11.14).
222
Health and Nutrition
Conclusion
Healthy population can productively contribute in the progress of a nation. Health sector
development to meet the rising demand of population is necessary condition for socio-
economic development of Pakistan. Despite having an overburdened and
underequipped health system, Pakistan contained the COVID-19 outbreak successfully.
The Government remained focused on upgrading health system in response to the
challenges faced. In FY2022, health expenditures increased to 30 percent because of
timely procurement and deployment of vaccines to contain the spread of COVID-19.
223
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
In order to provide quality health care services to masses especially the poor,
Government extended Universal health coverage through Sehat Sahulat Card for
reducing health inequality in the country. The Government is committed to
pragmatically implement SDG 3 by developing inclusive health system, reducing
malnutrition and expanding basic health care in the country. However, low financial
allocation for health, weak governance, excessive focus on tertiary rather than primary
health care are the problems that need to be addressed for achieving long term
sustainable economic development.
224
BABG>2F;A@>23AGD7AD462@56?B>AK?6@F
ĐĐŽƌĚŝŶŐƚŽƚŚĞ>ĂďŽƵƌ&ŽƌĐĞ^ƵƌǀĞLJϮϬϮϬͲϮϭ͕
>ĂďŽƵƌ&ŽƌĐĞ ƚŽƚĂůůĂďŽƵƌĨŽƌĐĞŝƐϳϭ͘ϳϲŵŝůůŝŽŶŽƵƚŽĨǁŚŝĐŚ
ϲϳ͘ϮϱŵŝůůŝŽŶĂƌĞĞŵƉůŽLJĞĚ
ĹåĵŞĬŅƼĵåĹƋų±ƋåÚåÏų屟åÚüųŅĵƅţĿ
ŞåųÏåĹƋĜĹƖLjŎíěŎĿƋŅƅţƐŞåųÏåĹƋĜĹ
ƖLjƖLjěƖŎ
ĹÚåųU±ĵƼ±ÆI±Ƶ±Ĺ¥ŅƚƋĘ
)ĹƋųåŞųåĹåƚųŸĘĜŞÏĘåĵåŠ{aUIě¥)šƋĘå
čŅƴåųĹĵåĹƋʱŸÚĜŸÆƚųŸåÚŸţĉĉØĿƀƖ
ĵĜĬĬĜŅĹƋĜĬĬeŞųĜĬƖLjƖƖüŅųÆƚŸĜĹ域åŸ
Chapter 12
The human resource of a country plays a vital role not only in the economic development
but also for the social well-being of the people. However, proper management of human
resource can boost economic performance and reduce social distress. Pakistan is 5th
most populous country in the world. According to the National Institute of Population
Studies (NIPS), the estimated population of Pakistan is 224.78 million in 2021 of which
82.83 million reside in urban areas, whereas 141.96 million live in rural areas and the
population density is 282 per Km2.
Pakistan has a large labour force that stands among the top 10 largest labour forces in
the world. To generate sufficient employment opportunities for such a large labour force
is a huge challenge. In addition to this, skills gap makes it difficult for individuals to find
jobs and for employers to find appropriate trained workers for their industries. Skills
development enhances both people’s capacities to work and their opportunities at work,
offering more scope for creativity and satisfaction at work. The future prosperity of a
country depends ultimately on the number of persons in employment and how
productive they are at work. In Pakistan, skills development can play a key role in the
alleviation of poverty.
80
67.9
70 64.1 64.4 61.6
58.7
60
50 42.1 44.2 42.1
36 38.6
40
30 24
19.4
20 13.3 14.2
11.3
10
0
Pakistan KP Punjab Sindh Balochistan
Source: Labour Force Survey 2020-21
Employment by Sectors
Being a major contributor to the GDP agriculture sector plays an important role in
development of the economy. According to the Labour Force Survey 2020-21, the share
of employment in agriculture sector decreased from 39.2 percent in 2018-19 to 37.4
percent in 2020-21. This sector is the key source of supply of raw material to the other
sectors of the economy, especially industrial sector. The significant share of employment
from agriculture sector is shifted to industry and services sector due to technological
transformation. The services sector is the largest growing sector of the economy and the
share of employment in services sector is 37.2 percent in 2020-21.
The construction and manufacturing sectors are considered as major source of the
economic growth and development. Expansion of these sectors can generate millions of
jobs for unskilled, semi skilled and skilled workforce. Further, these sectors also play an
important role in generating income in formal and informal sectors. Share of
employment in construction sector has increased from 8.0 percent in 2018-19 to 9.5
percent in 2020-21. This increase shows that job opportunities are being created in the
country. Wholesale and retail trade sector has shown 14.4 percent employment in 2020-
21. The employment level in transport/storage & communication remained same in the
period under review and share of employment in community/social & personal service
sectors increased from 14.9 percent in 2018-19 to 16.0 percent in 2020-21. A
comparison of employment by sector in 2018-19 and 2020-21 is given in Fig 2a & 2b.
226
Population, Labour Force and Employment
Wholesale &
retail trade, 14.5
Wholesale &
retail trade, 14.4
Construction, 8 Manufacturing,14.9
Manufacturing, Construction, 9.5
15
Youth Employment
According to the Labour Force Survey 2020-21, the overall unemployment rate is 6.3
percent with prevalence of higher unemployment rate 12.2 percent among 20-24 years
compared with 11.8 percent in 2018-19. Youth unemployment rate is quite high as
compared to the average unemployment rate. Improvement in infrastructure and skill
development programmes can play an important role to create employment
opportunities in the country. Age -wise break up of unemployment rate reflected in
Fig-3.
14 13.3
12.2
11.8
12
9.5
10 8.6 8.9
7.8
8
5.5 5.1
6 4.5
4.3 3.9
3.6
4 3.2 2.8 2.5 3.1 3.5
2.5
2 1.2
0
15 – 19 20 – 24 25 – 29 30 – 34 35 – 39 40 – 44 45 – 49 50 – 54 55 – 59 60 years
and above
Source: Ministry of Planning, Development & Special Initiatives
227
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Skill Development
In pursuance of Goal 8 of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), i.e. Decent Work and
Economic Growth, the government has developed a broader roadmap for youth
development under National Skill Strategy (NSS) which emphasizes on improving
governance, exploring multi-source funding, capacity enhancement through employable
skills, quality assurance, access and equity, industry ownership and skill development
for international market for increasing foreign remittances. The emphasis is also made
on re-skilling the existing workers through Recognition of Prior Learning (RPL) and
provision of subsidized loan to unemployed youth. Further, the introduction of
Competency Based Training and Assessment (CBT&A) is an important element of the
National Skills Strategy (NSS), which is the basis of the ongoing Technical and Vocational
Education and Training (TVET) sector reform in Pakistan. It also provides the basis for
the implementation of the National Vocational Qualifications Framework (NVQF).
The roadmap also urges on public- private partnership; increasing the private sector
role in the governance of TVET and encouraging linkages with the informal sector
through RPL. Further, youth empowerment and productivity has been given priority in
National Youth Development Framework (NYDF). In order to implement the said
interventions, following special initiatives under PSDP have been taken in 2021-22:
Table-12.2: Initiatives under PSDP 2021-22
Sr. No Projects Amount (Rs in millions)
1 Introducing Matric-Tech Pathways for Integrating Technical and
215.0
Vocational Education &Training (TVET) and Formal Education
2 Establishment of Polytechnic Institute for Boys at Skardu 197.819
Source: PSDP 2021-22
Through aforementioned interventions, 27 TVET Labs for 15 selected schools in ICT, AJK
and GB have been established so far. Further, two newly constructed technical
&vocational institutes, located at Gwadar and Skardu, will be operationalized soon. In
addition, 25% quota is specified for women under these schemes.
Kamyab Jawan Programme
Kamyab Jawan Programme is the medium of change to empower youth and harness
their potential for human development and transformation of the future of Pakistan. The
government launched Kamyab Jawan Programme to uplift the youth of the country by
offering opportunities to utilize their entrepreneurial potential. Under this programme,
young people will launch 10,000 start-ups by 2023 to create jobs and economic
activities. Around 68,873 jobs1 have created under this programme .This programme
has following sub –components:
1
https://kamyabjawan.gov.pk/
228
Population, Labour Force and Employment
equip youth with market-driven conventional and high-tech skills required for career
progression.
This programme will also expand the pool of skilled workforce in all sectors of the
economy, and bridging demand and supply gap of skilled workforce. Women will also be
able to meet their domestic expenses subsequently. This project is being implemented
all over the country. The physical progress of the programme is as follows:
Almost 74,737 youth have been imparted employable skills (35,268 youth in High-
TECH technologies (Cyber Security, Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Internet
of Things, Digital Marketing, etc.) and 39,469 youth have been trained in
conventional technologies (Electrician, Welder, Plumber, Beautician, Domestic
Tailoring, etc.). Additionally, 25% quota is specified for women.
About 23,000 youth formally skill tested and certified under RPL.
NAVTTC has established 10 Country Specific Destination Facilitation Centers.
Developed National Employment Exchange tool and workforce database and fully
functional at: jobs.gov.pk, database: (413,197 skilled work force and 411,735 jobs
posted)
Established National Accreditation Council for TVET Stream (NAC-TVS).
Developed 200 TVET qualifications developed and accredited 535 TVET institutes
nationally
In addition, National Youth Council (NYC) is actively engaged to ensure young people
representation and participation and nurture youth leadership by recognizing young
people’s achievements through publicly valuing them as part of our society. Besides,
development of Pakistan first ever Youth Development Index (YDI) for focused
interventions to improve the ranking of Pakistan on Global Youth Development Index is
under process of completion.
229
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
During 2021, Bureau of Emigration & Overseas Employment (BE&OE) has registered
286,648 workers for overseas employment, showing an increase of 27.6 percent as
compared to the last year. Saudi Arabia (54 percent), Oman (13.4 percent) and Qatar
(13.2 percent) are the main destinations for unskilled migrant workers from Pakistan in
2021. Overall increasing trend was observed in terms of emigrants registered in 2021
as compared to 2020. Province wise distribution of workers registered during 2018-
2021 is reflected in Table 12.4.
230
Population, Labour Force and Employment
Table 12.4: Pakistani Workers Registered for Overseas Employment during the period
2018-2021 Province Wise
Year Federal Punjab Sindh Khyber Baloc- Azad N/Areas Tribal Total
Pakhtun histan Kashmir Area
-khwa
2018 2,471 185,902 41,551 88,361 2,930 33,028 2,760 25,436 382,439
2019 4,295 312,439 57,171 186,176 5,103 30,151 2,554 27,314 625,203
2020 1,814 118,818 16,950 68,299 1,869 7,685 244 9,026 224,705
2021 2,275 156,877 21,121 76,213 2,470 10,671 989 16,032 286,648
Source: BE&OE
It is evident from the Table 12.4 that during 2021, the highest number of workers went
abroad were156, 877 from Punjab, followed by Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 76,213.
The situation of the human resource exports is likely to improve in the coming months
with the reopening of business with SOPs and various preventive measures like
vaccination, the work opportunities in various host countries, etc.
Ministry of Overseas Pakistani & Human Resource Development (M/o OP&HRD) has
taken the following steps to boost the manpower export and to ensure regular
emigration:
Draft “National Emigration and Welfare Policy for Overseas Pakistanis” has been
developed and is at final stages of approval.
M/o OP&HRD has signed bilateral agreements / MoUs with destination countries. In
this regard, a bilateral Agreement / MoU on manpower export was signed with Saudi
Arabia in 2021. BE&OE is actively pursuing the matter of signing the bilateral MoUs
on manpower export with other potential countries too.
BE&OE prepared Country Specific Strategies on Saudi Arabia, UAE & Malaysia,
suggesting the responsibilities of each relevant stakeholder in boosting Manpower
Export to these countries.
BE&OE developed a comprehensive reintegration strategy for returned migrant
workers to accommodate them in local and international markets.
BE&OE is actively working to explore job opportunities for Pakistani workers in non-
traditional countries. In this regard, a comprehensive diversification strategy has
been developed for top five priority countries i.e. Saudi Arabia, UAE, Malaysia, Qatar
& Oman along with other five potential/non-traditional countries such as Kuwait,
South Korea, Japan, Germany and China to promote the export of manpower to these
countries.
To facilitate Pakistani emigrants going abroad, an initiative ‘Worker’s Foree
Remittance Account’ with a full feature bank account available in current and PLS
were inaugurated at all 09 Protectorate Offices across Pakistan.
Collection of registration fee, welfare fund & insurance premium on single deposit
slip and provide emigrants one window facility. The desks are operational at all
Protector Offices.
231
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
232
Population, Labour Force and Employment
233
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
significantly lower than the global average in terms of all of the sub-categories, signifying
cause for concern.
Table12.5: Indicators and Pakistan’s Ranking
Category 2020 2021
Pakistan’s Pakistan’s
Rank Rank
Score Score
Labour force participation rate,( %) 147 0.298 149 0.267
Wage equality for similar work, 1-7 (best) 102 0.592 113 0.575
Estimated earned income, int'l US$ 1,000 148 0.181 151 0.163
Legislators, senior officials and managers, (% ) 146 0.052 150 0.052
Professional and technical workers, (%) 140 0.304 140 0.339
Source: World Economic Forum Global Gender Gap Report 2020- Country Profile
https://www.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GGGR_2020.pdf
World Economic Forum Global Gender Gap Report 2021- Country Profile
https://www.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GGGR_2021.pdf
While men reportedly had a higher fatality rate, women and girls have also been affected
by the economic and social fallout. Women were affected across the board. They lost
their livelihoods faster because they are more exposed to hard-hit economic sectors. In
addition, the school closures, economic stress and service disruptions put the health,
wellbeing and futures of the most vulnerable girls at risk. Moreover, recent studies also
highlighted an increased Gender Based Violence (GBV) during the pandemic. Informal
jobs were hit the most during COVID-19, whereby women are expected to hit
disproportionately, especially the home based workers.
Gender Discrimination
Pakistan’s sustainable socio-economic, political and cultural development wholly lies in
the equality, empowerment, participation and representation of women in all walks of
life. Despite that the status of women is below par. Women in Pakistan encounter
multidimensional problems such as honour killing, acid throwing, harassment, sexual
assaults and domestic violence and so on. Gender inequality is a deep-rooted menace in
Pakistan that is potentially hampering its socio-economic advancement and progress.
Women’s participation in social processes remains constrained due to the norms that
persist though there are variations in their application determined by rural-urban and
geographical location and class. Their engagement in formal political processes has
steadily improved though still not commensurate with their share of the population (UN
Women Pakistan, 2020).
Women and Healthcare
Gender disparity in Pakistan healthcare system contributes to dismal health of women.
The women in Pakistan are unable to access proper healthcare due to numerous reasons.
Some of the major health problems faced by Pakistani women include anemia,
234
Population, Labour Force and Employment
2
https://data.unwomen.org/country/pakistan
235
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
In the budget allocation for 2021-22, Rs260 billion were allocated for the Ehsaas
Programme to provide relief to 14 different categories of low-income groups
including students. Some 50 percent of the beneficiaries of all initiatives under the
Ehsaas Programme are stated to be women.
Under KamyabJawan Programme Rs 25 billion funding allocated for women. The
government has so far disbursed around Rs 1 billion among the female
entrepreneurs, qualified under the Youth Entrepreneurship Scheme (YES) of
KamyabJawan Programme (KJP).
In February 2022, the six-month stipend for deserving women under Ehsaas Kafaalat
was increased from Rs 12,000 to Rs 13,000 each.
By December 2021, 50 centers had been setup in 15 districts for extending Ehsaas
Nashonuma support to deserving women and the aim is to extend this programme
nationwide.
Provinces have been requested to develop a gender-based programme in upcoming
ADP 2022-2023 aligned to the endorsed National Gender Policy Framework and
have their Gender M&E frameworks in place to ensure additional investments and
focused efforts in this domain
Legislative measures
Some of the recent legislative measures to promote gender equality are listed below:
The Protection Against Harassment of Women at the Workplace (Amendment) Act,
2022
Islamabad Capital Territory Senior Citizens Act, 2021
The National Commission on the Rights of Child (Amendment) Bill, 2021
The Islamabad Capital Territory Child Protection (Amendment) Bill, 2021
The definition of rape under Section 375 has also been expanded and gang rape
penalized.
ICT Rights of Persons with Disability Act, 2020
Legal Aid and Justice Authority Act, 2020
The Zainab Alert, Response and Recovery Act, 2020
Protection of Journalist and Media Professionals Bill, 2021
Domestic Violence (Prevention and Protection) Bill, 2020
Torture, Custodial Death and Custodial Rape (Prevention and Punishment) Bill 2020
Besides, the Ministry of Human Rights has drafted a Model Policy on violence against
women to address all forms of violence which women faces during their daily life along
with an implementation strategy for legislations and policy already enacted to
safeguards rights of women.
236
Population, Labour Force and Employment
237
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
next General Elections due to be held in 2023. As per recommendations of the Census Advisory
Committee, the census questionnaire has been finalized and “Census Monitoring Committee” has also
been proposed for monitoring, coordination and policy decisions for smooth conduct of 7 th Population
& Housing Census.
The Government has been allocated Rs 5 billion in FY-2021-22; the maximum budget will be spent for
procurement of hardware for 7th Population and Housing Census-2022.
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Key Initiatives
a. Three Years Rolling Growth Strategy (3YRGS)
` Planning Commission has constituted a Working Group on “Inter Provincial
Augmentation on Population Programmes” to lower growth rate for “Three-Year
Rolling Growth Strategy (3YRGS) – Agenda for Economic Diversification,
Transformation on Jobs-led Growth”. One of the key pillars of this 3YRGS is “Inter-
provincial Augmentation on Population Control Programmes”.
b. Pakistan Demographic Resource Center (PDRC)
In alignment with the government’s vision, efforts are being made to strengthen data
generation and population statistics to identify priority population factions before
rolling out contextualized reform programmes. In this regard, the PDRC is also
envisioned in collaboration with all stakeholders and international consultants. The
project is an initiative to collect, analyse and making use of population data in policy
making. The center is proposed to be working with concerned stakeholders including
provincial population and health departments, National Institute of Population
Studies, Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, development partners etc. So far, two meetings
have been organized with Data and Research organizations and representatives of
Population Welfare Departments. The initiative has been backed and supported by
UNFPA and Ministry of Planning Development & Special Initiatives.
c. Revision and Updating of Curriculum for RTIs
The Regional Training Institutes (RTIs), all over Pakistan, are responsible for capacity
building training of the health personnel for providing Family Planning (FP)
/Reproductive Health (RH) services to the communities. The Training Curriculum
238
Population, Labour Force and Employment
used by the RTIs has been revised and updated with technical assistance from World
Health Organization (WHO).
Health care providers play a crucial role in delivering high-quality family planning
services with respect and dignity to people in need. Family planning services require
availability of a range of FP modern methods, logistics system in place to ensure a
sustainable supply of FP commodities, method-specific counseling for informed
choice, and trained providers for appropriate counseling of clients and necessary
technical skills to deliver FP service. With this understanding, the Government has
updated Training Package on Family Planning to strengthen its services. The package
is specifically designed for health care providers. It is a comprehensive package that
addresses all components of FP services and comprises of Facilitator Guide and
Participant Module.
Conclusion
Pakistan has some of the greatest demographic opportunities for development in the
world as growing youth population enters adulthood. The demographic dividend can
only be achieved with adequate investments in the education and skills of youth,
harvesting the fruits of long-term human capital development. The Government is also
providing young people with skill-training and access to finance for setting up
businesses to further promote youth entrepreneurship. Skill development institutes are
making all efforts to improve youth employability. Moreover, focused efforts are
required for providing equal opportunities of health, education and skills for women to
achieve the goal of inclusive and balanced growth.
239
GE5AFCBEG7B@@HA<75G<BA
WƌŽũĞĐƚƐǁŽƌƚŚ
ELOOLRQ
ĐŽŵƉůĞƚĞĚƵŶĚĞƌZ/
{±ĩĜŸƋ±ĹʱŸĉíűƋĜŅűĬĘĜčĘƵ±ƼŸØ
ĵŅƋŅųƵ±ƼŸ±ĹÚŸƋų±ƋåčĜÏųŅ±ÚŸ
ƵĜƋʱƋŅƋ±ĬĬåĹčƋĘŅüŎĉØĉíLjUĵ
c±ƋĜŅűĬ±ųųĜåųŠ{FešĘ±Ÿ±ÚÚåÚƋƵŅ
±ĜųÆƚŸåŸeƐƖLjƋŅĜƋŸāååƋŸ
{±ĩĜŸƋ±Ĺ±ĜĬƵ±ƼŸÏŅĵŞųĜŸåÚŅü±
ƋŅƋ±ĬĉƅƅXŅÏŅĵŅƋĜƴåŸüŅų±ƀØƀĿŎ
UĵųŅƚƋåĬåĹčƋĘ
Chapter 13
Transport and
Communications
CPEC is a flagship and most actively implemented project of the Belt & Road Initiative
where Pakistan and China have successfully launched 56 projects on the ground. The
Government is taking benefits of its strategic location and has focused on developing
efficient and well integrated transport and communication system by connecting remote
regions of the country into one road one Asia chain.
Modes of Transportation
Users of the transport network have a wider range of modes to choose from, however,
most common and extensively used at present are highlighted below:
Air Linkage
Performance of the Pakistan International Airlines Corporation (PIAC)
Table 13.1: PIAC Performance
Indicators Units 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
PIAC Fleet No. of Planes 36 32 32 30 30
Route Km 360,937 332,303 389,725 778,609 374,054
Available Seat Million Km 19,108 18,081 18,372 8,902 7,682
Passenger Load Factor Percent 73.20 77.3 81.3 74.5 66.9
Revenue Flown 000 Km 75,207 70,089 70,515 38,114 34,544
Revenue Hours Flown Hours 122,081 110,050 110,640 58,519 55,710
Revenue Passengers 000 nos. 5,342 5,203 5,290 2,541 2,657
Carried
Revenue Passengers Million Km 13,988 13,975 14,938 6,629 5,138
Revenue Load Factor Percent 55.2 58.4 58.6 51.3 53.7
Operating Revenue * Rs million - 100,051 146,097 94,683 86,185
Operating Expenses * Rs million - 170,447 160,037 102,912 101,212
PIAC financial year is based on calendar year.
*: Revenue & Cost is based on provisional/estimated & un-audited accounts
Source: Pakistan International Airlines
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
PIA has taken following measures for revamping its operation in FY2022:
PIA has started its fleet replenishment and is adding on new aircrafts in its fleet. PIA
has added two A320 in first quarter of 2022 and plans to add four more Airbuses
A320s during 2022. The decision of induction of fuel efficient narrow body aircraft
overall fits perfectly in PIA’s new direction to capitalize and consolidate itself on the
productive domestic and regional routes, paving the way for expansion back on the
medium and long haul routes of Europe, UK and North America.
PIA Engineering & Maintenance (E&M) capability was enhanced to handle state of
art modern fleet including Boeing 787 Dreamliner and Airbus A350/A330/A320
NEO fleet.
PIA commissioned an ATR shed in North Wing of Pakistan, i.e. Islamabad providing
maintenance service level up to check ‘A’ level on Airbus A320/Boeing B777 and up
to maintenance check ‘C’ level on ATR fleet.
MRO IT, an ERP solution for maintenance activities are being implemented in PIA
Engineering.
PIA (E&M) regulatory approval-base has considerably increased. In addition to
approval from PCAA, PIA hold regulatory approvals from foreign civil aviation
authorities like QCAA (Qatar), PACA (Oman), GACA (Saudi Arabia), BCAA (Bahrain)
and CAASL (Sri Lanka)
As a part of route rationalization process, loss making routes were closed and
frequencies were increased on profit making routes. Upon acquisition of more
aircraft, PIA will certainly avail opportunities to expand its network.
In order to ensure on-time departures and to avoid delays, special public awareness
campaigns were created using mainstream and social media specially consequent to
the prevailing COVID-19 related SOPs/PCR testing and delays due to adverse
weather conditions / fog, etc.
PIA sent over 15 million flight information SMS to its valued customers to save them
from any hassle especially when flight is delayed due to some reason. The SOP to
send SMS for flight details/schedule confirmation and/or for any delay in disruption
has resulted in tremendously reducing customer complaints and annoyance.
A very effective baggage identification system WTR (World Tracer Management) has
been introduced through which the misplaced baggage is delivered to the passengers
in a very short time.
Manpower rationalization has been achieved. Cabin crew strength has been brought
down from 1500 plus (2019) to 1025(2021).
Maximum flight assignments are being done from base-to-base in order to reduce
domestic travel and hotel accommodation.
Flight operation (cabin crew) of Multan, Sialkot and Faisalabad is being supported
by LHE and ISB bases.
242
Transport and Communications
243
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
244
Transport and Communications
great efforts and achievement of both the nations and realization of the dream of
connectivity and inclusive economic growth.
In addition to the road projects, construction work on (NGIA) is well under way and
likely to be completed by October 2023.
Maritime Linkage
Pakistan National Shipping Corporation (PNSC)
Despite the prevailing unfavorable macroeconomic condition of the country, the PNSC
Group has managed to achieve (98 percent) increase in profit after tax to Rs 2,446
million as against Rs 1,235 million in the corresponding period last year. Group earnings
per share increased to Rs 18.52 million as against Rs 9.35 million in the comparable
period last year. Cumulatively, the Group achieved a turnover of Rs 16,223 million
(including Rs 6,295 million from PNSC) as compared to Rs 9,633 million (including Rs
1,978 million from PNSC) for the same period last year. The major increase was seen in
the Dry Cargo segment (including slot charter) which was increased by Rs 3,036 million.
245
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The revenue from Liquid Cargo segment increased by Rs 3,543 million mainly due to
increase of Rs 2,980 million from Foreign flagged vessels. The controlled strategies
implemented by management caused other expenses at the group level to fall by Rs 188
million (52 percent). During the nine months of FY2022, the cost on long-term financing
decreased by Rs 46 million (11 percent). At present, PNSC fleet comprises of 11 vessels
of various type/size (05 Bulk carriers, 04 Aframax tankers and 02 LR-1 Clean Product
tankers) with a total deadweight capacity (cargo carrying capacity) of 831,711 metric
tons, i.e. highest ever carrying capacity since inception of PNSC.
Commercial and Financial Performance
The breakup of commercial and financial performance of PNSC (un-audited) covering
July–March FY2022 of PNSC is given Tables 13.4-13.5.
Table 13.4: Commercial Performance
Tanker Chartering SLOT Consolidated
FY2022 Liquid Cargo (MT) Dry Cargo (MT) TEUs Slot BB/LCL
7,715,057.624 961,690.6 1,802 18,409.5
246
Transport and Communications
Fig-1: Year-wise Trade Activity of Port Qasim Authority Total Import Export
70
60
(Million Tonnes)
50
40
30
20
10
0
2021-22
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
Jul-Mar
Total 33.032 37.358 45.555 49.031 51.017 57.993 42.199
Import 25.587 30.995 38.471 41.878 43.509 50.339 35.834
Export 7.464 6.363 7.084 7.153 7.508 7.654 6.365
In the win-win cooperation framework between China and Pakistan, Gwadar projects
have achieved significant progress. For a sustainable way forward, the Federal
Government and Provincial Government of Balochistan are making all-out efforts to
realize the planned CPEC projects in Gwadar at the earliest. The master plan of Gwadar
city has been approved in the FY2020. Also, the land use regulations notified by GDA and
the project for implementation of the plan is in progress. Work on NGIA is underway.
Eastbay Expressway project is substantially completed and it will be inaugurated in June
2022. Moreover, Pak-China Vocational & Technical Institute in Gwadar was inaugurated
in September 2021. Work on Pak-China Friendship Hospital project at Gwadar is
underway and likely to achieve CoD by November 2022. Also, projects related to the
provision of drinking water such as "Necessary Facilities of Fresh Water Treatment,
Water Supply and Distribution" & "1.2 MGD Desalination Plant" are in construction
process. Measures are also underway to expedite Gwadar 300 MW Coal Power Plant,
Construction of breakwater and dredging of berthing areas and channels.
247
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Fig-2: Trade Activity of Gwadar Port (million tonnes) Imports Exports Total
82.3
80.4
77.9
90
74.0
71.1
70.7
80
70
54.7
51.4
50.9
50.6
60
50
27.3
26.8
26.6
40
24.1
30
20
5.0
3.9
3.8
3.6
2.7
1.9
1.3
0.8
0.7
0.4
10
0
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2020-21 2021-22
Jul-Mar Jul-Apr*
Source: M/o Maritime Affairs *: July-15th April 2021-22
Railways Linkage
Pakistan Railways is one of the key modes of transport in the public sector which
promotes national integration and economic growth. Pakistan Railways comprised of a
total of 466 Locomotives for 7,791 Km route length. During July-March FY2022, the
gross earnings of railways are recorded at Rs 43,731.59 million.
52000 8000
47000
7000
42000
6000
37000
5000
32000
27000 4000
Gross Earning (Rs. Million) Freight TonnesKms (Million)
22000 3000
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2020-21 2021-22
(July-Feb) (July-Mar)
Source: M/o Railways
248
Transport and Communications
The private electronic media has come a long way since 2002 when Pakistan was only
dominated by the state-run Pakistan Television and Pakistan Broadcasting Corporation.
Now with almost 123 Pakistani Satellite TV Channels and 42 channels with Landing
Rights Permission in Pakistan. This boom is owed to the government’s unequivocal
commitment to a free media and the proactive role played by PEMRA in facilitating the
growth of the electronic media. The growth of TV channels, Cable TV and launch of FM
Radio Stations has indeed contributed remarkably in raising the standards of public
awareness and literacy, locally and portraying progressive image of Pakistan, globally.
Following facts and figures on licensing of media amply substantiates growth which has
taken place in electronic media in private sector in the last twenty one years (Table
13.7).
Table 13.7(a): Licensing Status (Till 16th April, 2022) (Nos.)
Satellite TV Licenses Issued: 123
i. News & Current Affairs: 32
ii. Entertainment: 47
iii. Regional Languages; 23
iv. Health: 3
v. Sports: 5
vi. Education: 8
vii. Specialized subject Channel (Non-Commercial/ Education) 5
FM Radio Licenses Issued: 265
i. Commercial: 197
ii. Non Commercial: 68
Cable TV Licenses Issued: 4,152
Landing Rights Permissions Issued: 42
Mobile TV (Video & Audio Content Provision) Service Licensing: 6
Internet Protocol TV (IPTV) Licences Issued: 21
Direct-to-Home (DTH): 1
Teleport (Broadcast) License: 1
Provisionally Registered Television Audience
Measurement (TAM)/ Television Rating Point (TRP) Companies in Pakistan 5
Source: PEMRA
249
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Financial Contributions
Besides collecting advance tax from licensees at the time of issuance of licenses and their
renewal, PEMRA has deposited Rs 2,214,000 in the Federal Consolidated Fund (FCF)
upto December, 2021 (Table 13.8).
Table 13.8: Financial Contributions (in Rupees)
Financial Year Surplus Fine & Penalty Total
2020-21 5,097,122 6,068,000 11,165,122
2021-22 (upto December, 2021) - 2,214,000 2,214,000
Total: 976,999,598 90,685,549 1,067,685,147
*: Year wise detail may be seen in previous surveys.
Source: PEMRA
Economic Contribution
The growth of Media Industry in Pakistan has multiplied rapidly during last decade and
now this sector is contributing considerably in building broadcasting apparatus in the
major cities of Pakistan and generating a large number of job opportunities for the youth,
aspirant to pursue carrier in Electronic Media. Over the period, cumulative investment
of approximately US$4 to US$5 billion has been estimated in Electronic Media industry
of Pakistan.
The Media Industry in Pakistan is providing employment to more than 300,000 people
in the field of journalism, management and technical. However, with the growing
landscape of media industry, significant employment opportunities are expected in
coming 3 to 5 years. New licensing of Direct-to-Home (DTH), satellite TV channels, FM
radios and teleport services would contribute in accommodating youth in different
fields. In this regard, 3 licences for launching DTH in Pakistan have been approved by
the Authority. One company, i.e. M/s Shahzad Sky (Pvt.) Ltd. is going to start its DTH
services. This would be a huge project and help in giving impetus to Pakistani media in
terms of technology and revenues. Moreover, new licences would inject investment of
approximately US$ 2 to US$ 3 billion in various projects. PEMRA, being the regulator for
Electronic Media and its distribution services in Pakistan, is exploring new regimes for
licensing such as Television Audience Measurement (TAM) services, OTT (Over the Top),
Teleporting, etc. All these ventures would generate more job opportunities for the
people in Pakistan.
Pakistan Television Corporation Limited
Pakistan Television Corporation Limited (PTV) is the only public sector broadcasting
channel which telecast national and international programs in metro cities and also
remote and economically backward areas of the country in order to keep the masses
aware of current affairs of the country as well as the whole world. At present, PTV is
operating 7 channels like PTV Home, PTV News, PTV Sports, PTV Global, PTV National,
PTV Bolan and PTV World. Only PTV English News channel in Pakistan is telecasting the
information about Pakistan domestically as well as internationally. Pakistan Television
covers 100 percent area of population on terrestrial network. The total of registered TV
Set holders in year 2021 are 23,214,967.
250
Transport and Communications
The four of above projects are ongoing and will be completed till 30th June 2022. While,
the work on RBS-Ziarat has stopped due to arbitration with contractor.
PTV is trying its level best to improve signal quality of terrestrial network in the less
develop areas of Pakistan, for which DTMB-A project through grant in aid is in the pipe
line with the help of Chinese grant. The work on RBS-Murree, Cherat and Kala Shah Kaku
is under process for the upgradation of transformers and new power connections.
251
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
252
Transport and Communications
253
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
iv. PSDP project titled “Installation of Passenger Elevator (Lift) at Radio Pakistan,
Multan” at an estimated cost of Rs 13.639 million. Funds released and work is in
progress.
v. PSDP project titled “Construction of Auditorium for 200 people at Radio Pakistan,
Multan” at an estimated cost of Rs 37.119 million. Funds released and work is in
progress.
vi. PSDP project titled “Up-gradation of Studios and Master Control Rooms” at an
estimated cost of Rs 254.945 million.
Pakistan Post Office
Pakistan Post Office is one of the oldest government departments in the Sub-Continent.
In 1947, it began functioning as the Department of Post & Telegraph. In 1962, it was
separated from the Telegraph & Telephone and started working as an independent
attached department of Ministry of Communications. Pakistan Post Office is playing a
vital role in the economic and social development of Pakistan through postal services
broadly categorized as domestic and International Postal Services, Financial Services,
Postal Life Insurance Company Limited and Savings Bank, collection of utility bills,
disbursement of funds and Foreign Remittances Payment.
Pakistan Post’s Recent Initiatives
Pakistan Post has recently taken important initiatives to provide the most efficient
postal services to the people of Pakistan. The detail is under:
Same Day Delivery Service
The same Day Delivery Services aims to facilitate the delivery of packets, documents
within the city. Consignment is delivered the same day if booked before noon. The
service is available in 29 cities and would be extended to other cities in future.
254
Transport and Communications
track and trace facility. The service will bring down business cost for small and medium
exporters.
255
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
256
Transport and Communications
257
9A9EéL
KŝůŝŵƉŽƌƚďŝůůƐƵƌŐĞĚďLJ
ųƚÚåŅĜĬĜĵŞŅųƋŸųŅŸåÆƼƀĂţƐĉŞåųÏåĹƋĜĹ
ƴ±Ĭƚå±ĹÚŎţĉŞåųÏåĹƋĜĹŧƚ±ĹƋĜƋƼ
XĜŧƚåĀåÚűƋƚų±Ĭč±ŸƵĜƋĹ域åÚ±ĹĜĹÏų屟å
ŅüíƖţĿLjŞåųÏåĹƋĜĹƴ±Ĭƚå
ĘåÏŅĹƋųĜÆƚƋĜŅĹŅüĜĵŞŅųƋåÚÏŅ±ĬĜĹåĬåÏƋųĜÏĜƋƼ
čåĹåų±ƋĜŅĹüųŅĵÏŅ±Ĭųåĵ±ĜĹåÚƀĂŞåųÏåĹƋ
Chapter 14
Energy
The surge in commodity prices in 2021 and during the initial months of 2022 mainly
lifted by the global economic rebound, improved growth prospects and conflict between
Russia and Ukraine. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the economic
recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, combined with unusual weather conditions led
to a sudden jump in electricity demand by more than 6 percent in 2021. The cost of fuel
and electricity has enhanced cost of overall production, consequently higher prices have
substantially increased cost of living which further eroded the purchasing power of
households across the world.
Currently, global economy faces higher energy prices which may remain intact due to
the Russian-Ukraine war. The war has led to significant disruptions to the production
and trade of commodities for which Russia and Ukraine are key exporters. World Bank’s
(WB) latest forecasts indicated that war in Ukraine is set to trigger the largest
commodity shock. This would contribute to huge price surge for energy related goods
including oil and natural gas. The WB report further revealed that energy prices are set
to increase more than 50 percent, pushing up cost for households and businesses. This
situation has raised concerns at global level, particularly for the developing economies
where provision of energy subsidy has become a major challenge due to weak fiscal
position.
decrease in the transmission & distribution losses, increase in the revenue collection and
a reduction in the time required for decision making at the ministry level or other related
departments.
In 2019, the Alternative and Renewable Energy Policy was introduced to assist and
promote the development of renewable resources in the country. The main objective of
the policy was to provide supportive environment for renewable power projects,
increase the share of green energy capacity to 20 percent by 2025 and 30 percent by
2030 through attracting private capital in the area of green energy.
Energy sector is prone to certain challenges. For instance, the problem of circular debt
in the energy sector is a long awaited issue. Successive governments have strived hard
to bring circular debt down but the issue largely remained uncontrolled. In FY2013,
circular debt was around Rs 450 billion which reached to Rs 1148 billion in 2018.
According to the data of the Central Power Purchasing Authority (CPPA), circular debt
stood at Rs 2467 billion by March 2022. This implies that circular debt is equivalent to
3.8 percent of Pakistan’s GDP and represents 5.6 percent of Pakistan’s government debt.
Growing at the current pace and if it is allowed to grow unaddressed, it is estimated to
reach Rs 4 trillion by 2025, demanding the urgency of reforms in the power sector.
Pakistan’s dependence on liquefied natural gas (LNG) has increased in recent years due
to depleting indigenous natural gas deposits. Over the past three years, the stock of
circular debt in the gas sector has nearly doubled to Rs 650 billion increased from Rs
350 billion in 2018. The inappropriate response of the government created problems in
the import of LNG by the private sector which led to gas crisis in the country, especially
in winter. This led to a suspension of gas supply to the captive power plants industries
and compressed natural gas (CNG) stations.
260
Energy
24.18 percent in quantity. The Crude oil imports rose by 75.34 percent in value and 1.4
per cent in quantity during the period under review. Similarly, liquefied natural gas
witnessed an increase of 82.90 percent in value, while liquefied petroleum gas (LPG)
imports also jumped by 39.86 percent during July-April FY2022.
The scarce natural gas reserves of the country are quickly depleting due to substantial
increase in the demand for gas, putting huge pressure on the limited natural gas reserves
of the country. Government is looking for both short as well as long-term alternatives
solutions to respond effectively to the substantial energy requirements. Keeping in view
the rising demand for energy, Government is focusing to develop new exploratory wells
to increase the supply of national gas. In addition to that, LNG and piped gas are being
imported. In the FY2021, around 373 million MMBTU of LNG gas worth around US$3.4
billion was imported. This corresponds to around 30 percent of the total natural gas
consumption in the country. During July-Feb FY2022, 75.64 percent gas is domestically
produced, while 24.36 percent of gas is being imported.
Coal is also used for electricity generation in Pakistan. Thar has the largest coal reserves
in the country which has been actively developed in recent years. The first Thar plant,
having capacity of 660 MW, became operational in the first quarter of FY2020. Currently,
the overall electricity generation from coal has reached to 5280 MW. Thar coal is
contributing 1,320 MW, while imported coal contribution in electricity generation is
3,960 MW which is around 75 percent of the total electricity generation from coal in the
country. Electricity generation configuration is relying heavily on the imported coal and
this trend is likely to change as units based on the Thar field are added to the electricity
generation mix.
Pakistan is very rich in hydropower and has the enormous potential to generate
electricity from water. The estimated total hydropower potential of Pakistan is around
60,000 MW. The country is not utilizing full potential and using nearly 16 percent of the
total hydropower potential. The high investment cost for the installation of hydroplants,
development of electricity transmission network and resettlement of the affected
population are few reasons for hydropower not being exploited to its full capacity.
Currently, the Hydro installed capacity is 10,251 MW which is around 25 percent of the
total installed capacity.
Pakistan has wind corridors as well and there is huge potential to generate electricity
from wind. It is estimated that Pakistan can generate 50,000 MW from wind. The
contribution of Wind in the total installed capacity is 4.8 percent and currently stood at
1,985 MW. The potential for solar power in Pakistan is also high. The sunlight is available
abundantly almost throughout the country. Currently, the capacity share of these
renewable resources is small, but it is expected to increase sharply, as reflected in the
Alternative and Renewable Energy Policy 2019. The installed capacity of solar is 600
MW which is around 1.4 percent of the total installed capacity.
Pakistan is also producing energy from the nuclear technology whose contribution is
increasing gradually. The gross capacity of the nuclear power plants was 2,530 MW that
supplied about 7,076 million units of electricity to the national grid during July-March
FY2021. The gross capacity of nuclear power plants has increased by 39 percent and it
261
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
stood at 3,530 MW that supplied 12,885 million units of electricity to the national grid
during July-March FY2022.
262
Energy
12%
share in electricity generation in the
country, although its percentage
contribution has declined from 62.5
percent during Jul-April FY2021 to 60.9
percent during Jul-April FY2022. Similarly,
Hydel
the percentage contribution of Hydel in 24%
Electricity Consumption
The first ten months of the current fiscal year has not seen any major shift in the
consumption pattern of electricity. The share of household in electricity consumption
has slightly declined from 49.1 percent in FY2021 to 47.0 percent in FY2022. Electricity
consumption in the commercial sector has also witnessed a decline and stood at 7
percent in FY2022, down from 7.4 percent in FY2021. However, the share of Industry in
electricity consumption has increased to 28 percent during July-April FY2022 from 26.3
percent during July-April FY2021. The use of electricity in agriculture sector has slightly
increased to 9 percent from 8.9 percent. The share of electricity consumption in other
sectors, including public lighting, general services and other government traction has
decreased to 8 percent from 8.3 percent.
263
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
60
49.1
50 47
40
26.3 28
30
20
0
Household Commercial Industry Agriculture Others
Oil Sector
Pakistan generates its power from an energy mix that includes oil, gas including natural
gas and LNG, coal, renewable sources including solar, wind and hydro energy, nuclear,
and biomass. The energy sector is heavily dependent on imported fuel including oil and
LNG and will continue to rely on its imports because of the low domestic capacity. Higher
oil prices in the global market and massive depreciation of the Pakistani rupee making
oil imports more expensive, triggering external sector pressure and is widening trade
deficit of the country. The surge in oil import bill is attributed to increases in value as
well as increase in quantity demanded. Oil import bill increased by 95.9 percent to
US$17.03 billion July-April FY2022 compare to US$8.69 billion during the
corresponding period last year. Further breakup showed that the import of petroleum
products went up by 121.15 percent in value and 24.18 percent in quantity. During July-
April FY2022, the import of petroleum products increased to US$8.55 billion in July-
April FY2022 compared to US$3.87 billion during July-April 2021. The crude oil imports
rose by 75.1 percent in value and 1.4 per cent in quantity during the period under
review. Petroleum crude reached to US$4.22 billion July-April FY2022 against US$2.41
billion in the same period in FY2021. During July-March FY2022, the total processed
imported crude stood at million metric tons while processed local crude recorded at 2.31
million metric tons. Similarly, the import of LNG has increased by 39.86 percent during
264
Energy
Gas Sector
The indigenous supply of natural gas witnessed a decline of around 5 percent and its
contribution recorded at 33.1 percent in the total primary energy supply mix of the
country. The available statistics for July-March FY2022 indicate that Pakistan has an
extensive gas network of over 13,513 KM transmission,155,679KM distribution and
41,231KM services gas pipelines to cater the requirement of millions of consumers. The
number of consumer has increased from 10.3 million to more than 10.7 million across
the country. Government’s policies to enhance indigenous gas production to meet
increasing demand of energy in the country proved effective. At present, the capacity of
two Floating Re-gasification Storage Units (FRSU) to Re-gasified Liquefied Natural Gas
(RLNG) is 1200 MMCFD. RLNG is being imported to bridge the widening gap between
demand and supply of gas in the country. The average natural gas consumption has
declined from 3,723 MMCFD to about 3,565 MMCFD during July-March FY2022. This
also includes 863 MMCFD volume of RLNG during July 2021 to March 2022. During July
2021 to March 2022, the two Gas utility companies (SNGPL & SSGCL) have laid 67 km
Gas Transmission network, 3,244 Km Mains and 829 Km Services lines and connected
108 villages/towns to gas network. During July-March FY2022, 259,212 additional gas
connections including 257,644 domestic, 1473 commercial and 95 industrial were
provided across the country compared to 304,573 additional gas connections provided
during the same period in last fiscal year.
It is expected that gas will be supplied to approximately 736,060 new consumers (this
target is subject to approval/revision by OGRA) during FY2023. Gas utility companies
have planned to invest Rs 27,669 million on Transmission projects, Rs 77,484 million on
distribution projects and Rs 8,746 million on other projects bringing the total
investment of Rs 113,899 million during the fiscal year 2022-23.
Table 14.5: Sector Wise Natural Gas Consumption in million Cubic Feet Per Day (Mmcfd)
Sector Gas Consumption RLNG Total
Power 560 555 1,115
Domestic 907 1 908
Commercial 62 8 70
Transport(CNG) 49 23 72
Cement 1 0 1
Fertilizer 684 51 735
General Industry 439 225 664
Total 2,702 863 3,565
Sources: Ministry of Energy (Petroleum Division)
The consumption of natural gas in power sector has reduced from 610 MMCFD to 560
MMCFD. The use of gas in domestic sector has also decreased to 907 MMCFD during July-
March FY2022 from 915 MMCFD in the same period last year. Commercial sector
265
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
witnessed a decline in the use of gas and its consumption registered at 62 MMCFD during
July-March FY2021-22. Earlier it was 65 MMCFD during the first nine months of FY2021-
22. The use of gas (CNG) in the transport sector has declined to 49 MMCFD from 63
MMCFD. The consumption of gas in fertilizer sector has reduced from 687 MMCFD to
684 MMCFD while the consumption in general industry has increased to 439 MMCFD
from 433 MMCFD. However, total consumption of gas has reduced to 2,702 MMCFD
during July-March FY2022 from 2,773 MMCFD during the same period in FY2021.
Nuclear Energy
Government has formulated several policies for the development of the power sector in
the past. The aims of these policies were elimination of inefficiencies in existing
generation, transmission and distribution systems, as well as diversification of the
energy generation mix with maximum utilization of indigenous energy resources to
supply reliable, affordable and clean electricity.
PAEC started operation of its first nuclear power plant, Karachi Nuclear Power Plant
(KANUPP) on August 01, 1971. KANUPP completed 50 years of safe operation on August
01, 2021 and was shut down permanently for decommissioning. It is a true symbol of
success and pride for Pakistan by generating and providing cheap electricity to the
general public.
At present, there are six nuclear power plants (NPPs) operating on two sites in the
country. Among these six NPPs, two units of Karachi Nuclear Power Plant (K-2, K-3) at
Karachi and four units of Chashma Nuclear Power Plants (C-1, C-2, C-3 & C-4) at
Chashma, Mianwali Punjab. Last year, the gross capacity of these nuclear power plants
was 2,530 MW that supplied about 7,076 million units of electricity to the national grid
during July-March 2020-21. The capacity of these nuclear power plants has increased
this year and the gross capacity of NPPs stood at 3530 MW that supplied 12,885 million
of electricity to the National grid during 1st July 2021 to 31st March 2022. This shows in
increase of 39 percent in terms of MW and 82 percent increase terms of units supplied.
PAEC is planning for the construction of another nuclear power plant at Chashma near
Mianwali. The site is already home to four operating nuclear plants. This unit, named as
C-5, will replicate the design characteristics of K-2 and K-3.
266
Energy
Mineral Sector
Coal is an important source of energy and power sector uses significant share of coal for
the generation of electricity. Generally, indigenous coal is consumed in brick kilns and
cement factories while imported coal is used for power generation, cement
manufacturing and other industries like steel making, etc. During FY2021, domestic coal
production figured around 9.3 million tonnes, and about 18.9 million tonnes of coal were
imported. During July-Feb FY2022, the import of coal stood at 12.21 million metric tons.
The consumption of coal in cement and other industry has significantly declined from
37.6 percent July-March FY2021 to 24.1 percent during July-March FY2022. The
consumption of coal has increased from 19.7 percent in July-March FY2021 to 31.4
percent during July-March FY2022. Power sector uses most of the coal and the share has
increased to 44.5 percent during July-March FY2022 from 42.7 percent during the
corresponding period last year.
267
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
268
Energy
Karot, 6%
Thal Nova,
Hub Power, 3%
28%
Besides the paramount advantage of generating much needed electricity, these projects
would play instrumental role in promoting economic development, creating
employment opportunities and improving livelihoods through social and development
works at their respective locations.
269
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
270
Energy
of the Government for turning the existing market from single buyer model to a
Competitive Wholesale Power Market.
PPIB is aiming to undertake small hydropower projects under Tripartite Letter of
Support (TLOS) regime so that share of clean and green electricity is increased in the
overall energy-mix of country.
For overcoming transmission constraints, PPIB is planning to undertake additional
transmission line projects in the private sector to make this segment reliable and
efficient.
For the first time, comprehensive planning has been carried out in Pakistan in the form
of the Indicative Generation Capacity Expansion Plan (IGCEP), which includes expansion
planning studies which is updated annually in order to retain accuracy in the wake of
changing dynamics. PPIB is planning to process new hydro-based IPPs under
International Competitive Bidding (ICB) mode in accordance with the findings of IGCEP
study so that there is no situation of deficit or excess generation in the country.
Renewable Sector
The GoP is striving hard to embrace the transformational changes in power system.
AEDB is taking steps to ensure affordability, sustainability, energy security and energy
access for all. Government is taking initiatives for the promotion of alternative and
renewable technologies and emphasizing on utilization of indigenous and
environmentally clean energy generation resources.
Category- I: Projects under this category are in the pipeline and significant work has
been done on these projects. 19 projects of 531 MW that have already been issued LOS
subject to revision of tariff in case tariff determination has been done since more than
one year or if the tariff validity period has lapsed
Category- II: Four solar PV projects of 250 MW capacities, listed under Category-II of the
CCoE decisions, achieved Financial Closing in 2021 and were facilitated to carry out the
construction of the projects. Six wind power projects of 300 MW capacity achieved
Commercial Operation Date and started supplying electricity to the national grid.
Another six wind power projects of 310 MW capacity were under construction and
expected to achieve COD by April, 2022.
Category- III: AEDB prepared the Request For Proposal (RFP) package for carrying out
competitive bidding for wind and solar projects falling under category-III and carried
271
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
out the revisions in the RFP documents as per the determination of NEPRA. RFP
Packages are ready to be floated upon receipt of information pertaining to
Interconnection Ready Zones (IRZs) by NTDC/DISCOs. The competitive bidding is
planned to be initiated by June/July 2022.
Distributed Generation (Net Metering)
Apart from large scale renewable projects, Government is also encouraging utilization
of renewable energy technology at consumer ends across domestic, commercial,
industrial sectors. AEDB has been promoting the renewable energy based net-metering
deployments under the NEPRA (Alternative & Renewable Energy) Distributed
Generation and Net Metering Regulations, 2015.
AEDB has also been carrying certification of service providers, vendors and installers of
solar systems under AEDB (Certification) Regulations, 2018 in order to facilitate the
consumers and DISCOs. The regulations were revised in August, 2021 with the aim of
simplification under Government’s vision of ‘Ease of Doing Business’. AEDB issued
certificates to one hundred one installers during July-Mar FY2022. As of March, 2022,
the total number of active AEDB certified installers reached up to one hundred sixty two
compare to 104 last year which shows an increase of 55 percent.
During July-Mar FY2022, a total of 10,783 net metering based systems of 196.77 MW
capacity were installed by different segments of consumers. As of 31st December, 2021,
the number of net-metering based solar installations had reached up to 17,950 with a
cumulative capacity of 305.79 MW.
Major Activities to be Undertaken in Short-term
i. Facilitating remaining projects under Cat-I and Cat-II of the CCoE’s decision in
achievement of their Financial Closing.
ii. Carry out competitive bidding for wind and solar power projects falling under
Category-III of the CCoE decision, planned to be initiated by June/July 2022.
iii. Preparation of Annual ARE Procurement Plan by the AEDB Board’s Steering
Committee on the basis of approved IGCEP.
iv. Development of RFP package for carrying out competitive bidding in accordance
with the approved Annual ARE Procurement Plan.
v. Initiation of competitive bidding process for procurement of new ARE capacity under
the ARE Policy 2019 by end of 2022.
Other Initiatives in FY2022
Additional measures to promote ARE technologies and to attract private sector
investments are taken. The supportive measures taken by AEDB are as follows:
i. AEDB proactively engaged with WB for carrying out the Pakistan Renewable Energy
Competitive Bidding Study that will provide strategic analysis and advice to the
AEDB and other relevant sector agencies on the implementation of competitive
272
Energy
bidding for the contracting of renewable energy capacity to achieve the 2025 and
2030 targets in line with the ARE Policy 2019.
ii. Carried out revision of AEDB (Certification) Regulations aimed to simplify the
procedures laid therein in order to ensure the implement the present Government’s
policy of Ease of Doing Business.
iii. AEDB promoted the net metering concept and facilitated the concerned
stakeholders in implementation Net Metering systems under NEPRA’s regulations.
For mass deployment of net metering-based systems, several supportive steps have
been taken including simplifying the process of acquiring generation license and
other approvals/ permissions and shortening the time period required for the same.
iv. Developed the Request for Proposal (RFP) package after stakeholder consultation
for carrying out competitive bidding amongst pipeline wind and solar projects are
per the decisions of the CCoE.
v. AEDB assisted State Bank of Pakistan in revision of SBP’s Financing Scheme for
Renewable Energy in order to make financing available for broader consumer
categories and swift implementation.
vi. Assisted NTDC in carrying out the feasibility study of solar water pumping in
Balochistan.
vii. Supported Government of Balochistan in preparation of PC-IIs for renewable energy
based off-grid electrification projects in districts of southern Balochistan.
Concluding Remarks
Historically, Pakistan’s economic growth is constrained by bottlenecks in the energy
sector. Pakistan’s energy requirements are increasing and demand for energy in the
coming decades will rise substantially. Energy demand on this scale will put increasing
pressure on energy resources and distribution networks. This is unsustainable without
a fundamental transformation of the energy system. Dependency on the dominant fossil
energy resources, especially oil is risky. Energy security is essential because the kind of
disruption we have seen is a potential threat to our economic well-being. Exploration of
the more indigenous and renewable resources is key to have energy security.
273
FB7<5?CEBG97G<BA
'ůŽďĂůůLJ
PLOOLRQ
ŵŽƌĞƉĞŽƉůĞĨĂůů
ĂţƀĵĜĬĬĜŅĹÆåĹåĀÏĜ±ųĜåŸÏƚųųåĹƋĬƼ
ųåÏåĜƴĜĹčųåčƚĬ±ųޱƼĵåĹƋŸƚĹÚåų
)ĘŸ±±ŸU±ü±±Ĭ±Ƌ{ųŅčų±ĵĵåţ
%ƚųĜĹč8ƼƖLjƖƖØƋĘåĹƚĵÆåųŅü
ÆåĹåĀÏĜ±ųĜåŸåĹʱĹÏåÚÆƼíţLj
ĵĜĬĬĜŅĹ
ƖţĂLjĵĜĬĬĜŅűÚÚĜƋĜŅűĬ
ÆåĹåĀÏĜ±ųĜåŸųåÏåĜƴåÚŸţƐLjţŎí
ÆĜĬĬĜŅĹĜĹkF%ŎĿŠƐųÚƵ±ƴåš
ƚĹÚåų)e{ěFFƋĜĬĬƐŎŸƋa±ųÏĘ
ƅţĂƖĵĜĬĬĜŅĹÏĘĜĬÚųåĹųåÏåĜƴåÚƖĂ
ÆĜĬĬĜŅĹŸŅü±ųƚĹÚåų)ĘŸ±±Ÿ±ĬååĵĜ
±DŽ±Ĝü{ųŅčų±ĵĵå
Chapter 15
Social Protection
The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly increased poverty and inequality globally,
causing a substantial reversal in progress towards global Sustainable Development
Goals (SDGs). According to latest estimates provided by the United Nations Department
of Economic and Social Affairs in the report “The World Economic Situation and
Prospects 2022”, progress in reducing extreme poverty has been set back by several
years in most countries. An unprecedented 85 million more people entered extreme
poverty in 2020 globally. The number is projected to remain well above pre-pandemic
levels for the next several years, likely at record high for the last decade (figure 15.1).
Only slight decline is expected in 2022, to about 876 million people. Fast-developing
economies in East and South Asia as well as developed economies will likely see a
reduction in poverty in the near term. But it is anticipated to increase further in the
world’s most vulnerable economies.
860 876
868 865
840
848
820 840 835
800 818 812
780
760
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Source: UN DESA
Note: Estimates were derived using the latest growth forecasts from the World Economic
Forecasting Model. Extreme poverty refers to US$ 1.90 per day (in 2011 PPP).
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The rise in global fuel and commodity prices has also severely impacted Pakistan’s
economy when it was already facing a balance of payments crisis stemming from high
food and fuel prices in the world markets. The combined effects of the global food and
fuel crises adversely affected the economy resulting in unsustainable current account
and fiscal deficits and unprecedented high inflation. The macro-economic crisis in the
country necessitated making social protection an urgent priority for the poor and
vulnerable segments of society. With the objectives to attain both growth and equity,
social protection is the best mechanism available to transfer the benefits of economic
progress to the extremely poor and vulnerable people in order to make them part of the
overall development process.
Pakistan’s poverty reduction efforts have been widely acknowledged. According to the
World Bank report “Global Social Protection Responses to COVID-19” Pakistan ranks
4th globally in terms of the number of people covered and 3rd globally in terms of the
percentage of population covered amongst those that covered over 100 million people;
the World Bank has stated that only “selected countries have attained impressive six-
digit levels” in this regard. Pakistan’s Ehsaas Emergency Cash is one of them that
demonstrated how cash transfer programmes can be deployed to counter socio-
economic fallouts due to external shocks like COVID-19 which present a long-term
predicament. The approach can also address rising inequality and advance attainment
of SDGs in a post COVID-19 world.
Pakistan is striving to make progress towards SDGs amid challenges of ensuring quality
education, gender equality, skill development, health & sanitation, infrastructure
development and job creation. Pakistan is committed to alleviate poverty in line with the
SDGs target Goal-1 "No Poverty" in all its manifestations everywhere by 2030. Planning
Commission’s poverty estimation is based on Cost of Basic Need approach (CBN)
estimated poverty line at Rs 3757.85 per adult equivalent per month. According to this
methodology, 21.9% of the population lives below poverty line in FY2019 as compared
to 24.3% in FY2016 as per latest Household Integrated Economic Survey 2018-19 used
for the poverty estimation. Poverty in both rural and urban areas has also declined as
poverty headcount of 11.0% in Urban and 28.2% in rural areas is estimated as given in
table-15.1:
276
Social Protection
50
40
(%)
30
20
(Food Energy Intake Approach) (Cost of Basic Needs Approach)
10
Income Inequalities:
Income distribution also matters in poverty alleviation. A highly unequal income
distribution makes it harder to reduce poverty. Reducing income inequality will increase
the numbers who benefit from the same rate of economic growth. Conversely, higher
inequality will require even more growth to yield the same reduction in poverty. Over
the years, the pattern of income distribution in Pakistan, measured in terms of Gini
Coefficient and household income share of the lowest and the highest 20 percent for
rural and urban areas has been mixed and moderate. The Household Income and
Expenditure Surveys (HIES) undertaken periodically since 1961-64 to 2018-19,
provides data for the selected years. The Gini Coefficient of household income had been
around 0.35 or below since the 1960s, reaching 0.407 in 1990-91, 0.410 in 1998-99, and
after that it started decreasing due to improved poverty situation and reached to 0.30 in
2018-19 as compared to 0.33 in 2005-06. The persistent declined in poverty owing to
well targeted poverty reduction programmes by the government as shown in the Table-
15.2:
Table -15.2: Gini Co-efficient adjusted by Hh weigths
Years Pakistan Urban Rural
2005-06 0.330 0.376 0.265
2007-08 0.314 0.354 0.264
2010-11 0.296 0.334 0.253
2011-12 0.307 0.351 0.250
2013-14 0.299 0.323 0.259
2015-16 0.326 0.356 0.266
2018-19 0.303 0.328 0.248
Source: Ministry of Planning, Development & Special Initiatives
0.4
0.35
(%)
0.3
0.25
0.2
277
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
4600 4282.14
4200 3760.50
3800
3167.92
(Rs billion)
3027.42 3099.30
3400
2694.58
3000
2600 2274.63
1913.29 1934.18
2200
1800
1400
1000
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
278
Social Protection
279
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Tirah Valley.
vi) Payments Related Grievance Redressal System: BISP has developed an
automated Payment Complaint Management System (PCMS) through which
payments related complaints can be launched and resolved in an automated
manner. It is used by the BISP’s Tehsil offices to register and resolve complaints of
the beneficiaries. PCMS has been refined to process all types of complaints reported
during field activities. Moreover, the PCMS has also been integrated with Complaint
Resolution Mechanisms (CRMs) of BISP partner banks to further enhance the
efficiency of complaints resolution mechanism.
vii) Financial Inclusion and Financial Literacy Programmes: In pursuance of Ehsaas
Financial Inclusion Strategy, BISP has designed and launched a pilot project for
opening of Savings Accounts (Mobile Wallets) and provision of Financial Literacy to
Ehsaas Kafaalat beneficiaries. After evaluating the pilot, a detailed road map and
action plan will be prepared and Mobile Wallet and Financial Literacy programmes
will be launched across the country which will pave the way for formal interaction
of Kafaalat beneficiaries with the economy.
viii) Hybrid Social Protection Programme (HSP): BISP is also working on HSP
Programme which will blend social assistance with social risk mitigation elements
to promote savings that informal sector workers can fall back on in case of shocks,
while also providing a platform through which the government can more rapidly
deploy additional support during a crisis. The basic model, drawn from global
experiences, will be a contributory savings scheme with matching incentives, with
a short-to-medium term horizon for withdrawals. The HSP scheme will allow exiting
BISP beneficiaries to receive support by way of fiscal incentives to save in a platform
created to meet their needs. The scheme will rely on existing institutional capacity
and digital for efficient delivery and promoting behavioral change. The programme
is currently in design phase with the technical assistance of World Bank, Asian
Development Bank and other stakeholders.
ix) Indexation of Cash Transfer: In pursuance to fulfill the requirement under IMF’s
Extended Fund Facility Program, 2019-20 as well as World Bank’s Second Securing
Human Investments to Foster Transformation (SHIFT-II) Policy Reform
Framework, BISP in coordination with Finance Division and World Bank has
developed an institutional mechanism as well as proposal to increase the cash
assistance under Kafaalat @ Rs 166.33/- per month or Rs 500/- per quarter w.e.f 1st
January, 2022 has been approved by the Federal Cabinet.
x) Designing of a New Innovated Payment Model: BISP is striving continuously for
improving its payment model and incorporating innovative solutions and new
technologies to further improve the service delivery at the beneficiary level. In this
regard, BISP has initiated the work for designing a new payment model in
consultation with key stakeholders as well as various national and international
organizations with experience in designing and executing payment systems,
especially in the Social Protection Programmes with particular emphasis on G2P
payments.
xi) Imported Service Delivery: BISP is providing assistance and guidance to its
beneficiaries regarding all initiatives at tehsil level. BISP has a dedicated call center
280
Social Protection
to improve service delivery and also address the grievances of the beneficiaries
facilitated through Interactive Voice Response System for solution of complaints
timely. The call center can be accessed at Toll free number (080026477) from 9 A.M
to 5 P.M.
B. Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) Programme:
i) Conditional Cash Transfer-Education: The overall objective of this programme is
to encourage education of BISP beneficiary families and households through regular
cash transfers to invest in human capital development. Since 1st July 2021, the scope
of work of programme expanded from Primary to Secondary and Higher Secondary
level and currently operational in all over the country. Attendance of at least 70
percent for a beneficiary child is mandatory in school/college within a quarter to
receive cash transfer from 2nd quarter and onwards. So far, 6.52 million children
have been enrolled and Rs 25 billion have been paid through Ehsaas Taleemi Wazaif
Programme since inception and 3.22 million children have been enrolled and Rs 5.0
billion have been disbursed during FY2022. An amount of stipend rate of students
is given as below:
Description Age Criteria Per Boy/per quarter (Rs) Per Girl/Per Quarter (Rs)
Primary Level 4-12 Years 1,500 2,000
Secondary Level 8-18 Years 2,500 3,000
Higher Secondary Level 13-22 Years 3,500 4,000
281
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
282
Social Protection
8 200 171.9*
7 5.8
5.5 5.6 7.1
6 5.1 5.2 175.0
4.6 150
5 3.7 3.8 104.4 108.6
4 3.1 89.0
2.6 100
3 1.8 98.5 102.2
46.5
2 50
35.0
66.3
15.9
1 45.9
34.8
0 0
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
2013-14
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
* Till 31st March, 2022
* Till 31st March, 2022
II. Pakistan Poverty Alleviation Fund (PPAF): PPAF’s mission is to transform the
lives of the poor to create a more equitable and prosperous Pakistan. It has outreach
in 147 districts across all four provinces and regions of the country, supporting
communities to access improved infrastructure, energy, health, education,
livelihoods, finance, and develop resilience to disasters. PPAF’s approach to
graduating households out of poverty contributes directly to SDGs-1 & 8, with the
underlying policy objectives being to mainstream the graduation approach as part of the
government poverty alleviation agenda, and ensure greater access to finance, especially
for women.
Since its inception in April 2000 till March 2022, PPAF has disbursed approximately Rs
237.56 billion to its Partner Organizations (POs) in 147 districts across the country. A
total of 8.4 million microcredit loans have been disbursed with 60 percent loans to
women and 80 percent financing extended to rural areas. Following are the key
achievements under the PPAF:
283
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Interest-Free Loan (IFL) Programme under PPAF: The IFL is one of the major
components of the initiative being implemented by the PPAF through its 21 partners
organisations. The range of interest-free loans is Rs 20,000 – Rs 75,000. As many as 2.8
million interest-free loans will be provided (50,000 loans a month) for the next 4 years
to 1.7 million households.
Since inception of the programme in July 2019 till March 2022, a total of 1,805,297 loans
(49 percent loans to women) have been disbursed Rs 64.87 billion. During July 2021-
March 2022, a total of 389,238 interest free loans (61% loans to women) amounting
Rs 14.41 billion have been disbursed to the borrowers. The programme is being executed
through 768 Loan Centers/Branches in about 75 districts by 21 partners organisations
across the country. The detail of physical progress of IFL programme is given in table
below:
Sr. Progress for Cumulative
# Particulars July–March FY2022 as of March 2022
Men Women Total Men Women Total
1 Number of loans disbursed
153,436 235,802 389,238 919,474 885,823 1,805,297
to borrowers
2 Amount disbursed to
borrowers (Rs billion) 5.74 8.67 14.41 35.13 29.78 64.87
3 Number of Loan Centers 768
The diversity of loans disbursed shows that 34.1% of loans are for commodity/ petty
trading, 20.3% for livestock/ poultry/ fish farming, 16.3% for embroidery/ stitching/
handicrafts, 13% for services (barber, carts etc.), 8.3% for agriculture/ cropping, and
8% for manufacturing/ light engineering/ workshop:
Services 13.0%
Agriculture/Cropping 8.3%
Embroidery/Stitching/HandiCraft 16.3%
During the reporting period, 85.28 percent loans provided in Punjab, 6.53 percent in
Sindh, 6.09 percent in KP, 1.31 percent in Balochistan, 0.53 percent in Gilgit-Baltistan
and 0.27 percent in Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK). Provincial breakdown of loans and
amount disbursed is mentioned in table-15.5:
284
Social Protection
Table-15.5: Province/Region wise Interest Free Loan (IFL) Progress (July 2021 to March 2022 )
Province / Region No. of Loans Amount Disbursed (Rs million)
Name Male Female Total Male Female Total
AJK 66 730 796 3.00 35.21 38.21
Balochistan 3,061 754 3,815 160.88 27.71 188.59
GB 537 901 1,438 28.39 47.48 75.87
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 13,674 11,227 24,901 541.57 336.29 877.86
Punjab 130,772 202,892 333,664 4,793.69 7,498.78 12,292.47
Sindh 5,326 19,298 24,624 216.44 724.60 941.04
Total 153,436 235,802 389,238 5,743.96 8,670.07 14,414.03
Source: Pakistan Poverty Alleviation Fund, Islamabad.
During the reporting period, a total of 1,626 community institutions were formed and
8,804 community and PO staff members were trained (74% women) under the ID/SM
component. Similarly, under the LEP component, 24,176 individuals (85% women)
received skills and entrepreneurial trainings and 15,551 productive assets (95% to
women) were transferred to ultra and vulnerable poor households. A total of 09 Water
and Infrastructure sub-projects were completed benefitting 10,040 persons (including
51% women). A total of 389,238 (61% loans to women) loans were disbursed through
the IFL Programme.
Overall, these projects and interventions benefitted around 389,238 poor and
marginalized segments of the society during the July-March FY2022. The highlights of
physical progress are given in table-15.7:
Table-15.7: Physical Progress Update (July - March FY2022) (Numbers)
Physical
Programme Components
Progress
Institutional Development and Social Mobilization:
Community Institutions Formed 1,626
Community and PO staff trainees (74% women) 8,804
Livelihoods Enhancement and Protection
Individuals received skills/entrepreneurial training (85% women) 24,176
Productive assets transferred to ultra and vulnerable poor (95% women) 15,551
285
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
PPAF qualified for the Pakistan Centre for Philanthropy (PCP) certification, valid for
three years, for demonstrating excellence in its programme delivery and
management.
The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) has awarded Pre-
Qualified for Procurement (PQP) status to PPAF. Valid till December 31, 2025, the
status authorizes PPAF to carry out procurement activities for UNHCR funded
programmes at the national level.
PPAF dedicated Rs 9.0 million of its own resources to provide immediate relief
assistance to the poorest communities severely affected by the earthquake in District
Harnai. Emergency assistance included food, non-food items and shelter to 100
families in the worst-hit areas in the district.
PPAF signed an agreement with the Planning and Development Department,
Government of Gilgit-Baltistan (GB), to reduce poverty and enhance socioeconomic
development in far flung areas of GB under collaborated development initiatives.
A 120 KW solar lighting system was recently inaugurated by First Secretary,
Embassy Federal Republic of Germany, Director, KfW Islamabad along-with PPAF’s
partner organization implementing the project in village Jabba of district Swabi.
PPAF signed MoUs with top financial institutions (FIs) to ease access to financing for
Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises under the EU funded Growth for Rural
Advancement and Sustainable Progress programme. MoUs were signed with Asia
Insurance Company, Askari Bank Limited, Mobilink Microfinance Bank Limited, The
First Microfinance Bank Limited and the Zarai Taraqiati Bank Limited in December
2021.
III. Microfinance Initiatives: The Pakistan Microfinance Network (PMN) is the national
association for retail players in the microfinance industry with a membership of 46
Microfinance Providers including Microfinance Banks (regulated by SBP) and Non-Bank
Microfinance companies (regulated by SECP).
The microfinance industry broadly provides services in three categories of micro-credit,
micro-savings, and micro-insurance. As shown in Table 15.8, the sector continued an
upward trend. The micro-credit outreach witnessed 16 percent growth with active
286
Social Protection
borrowers touching 8.1 million during the year 2021, while the gross loan portfolio
registered 21 percent growth reaching Rs 393 billion during the same year. Micro-
savings, on the other hand, posted a growth of 23 percent under active savers increased
to over 78.7 million and the value of their savings reached to Rs 422.5 billion, an increase
of 13 percent over the corresponding year. Moreover, micro-insurance also remained
positive wherein the number of policyholders increased by 12 percent touched to 8.2
million, whereas sum insured posted a robust growth of 30 percent reached to Rs 319
billion.
Table 15.8: Active Borrowers, Active Savers, and Active Policyholders
Micro-Credit Micro-Savings Micro-Insurance
Details Active Value Value Policy Sum Insured
Active Savers
Borrowers (Rs million) (Rs million) Holders (Rs million)
2021* 8,122,085 392,585 78,731,952 422,547 8,228,178 319,255
2020* 7,005,885 324,155 64,112,657 374,362 7,324,379 244,650
Increase/decrease (Net) 1,116,200 68,429 14,619,295 48,185 903,799 74,604
Increase/Decrease (%) 16% 21% 23% 13% 12% 30%
*: Calendar Year
Source: Pakistan Microfinance Network
The microfinance sector in Pakistan has been dedicated towards improving access to
economic opportunities and growth for the marginalized segments of the population.
Improving access to financial services is inadequate without considering social and
developmental areas of improvement. These areas have been a priority for Microfinance
Providers (MFPs) as evidenced by their engagement in a number of social and
development initiatives like increasing access to financial services, development of
start-up and existing enterprises, poverty alleviation, employment generation, and
promoting gender equality.
It is provided as a package through Microfinance Banks (MFBs), Microfinance
Institutions (MFIs), Rural Support Programmes (RSPs) and Others including
Commercial Financial Institutions (CFIs) and Non-Government Organizations (NGOs).
Table-15.9 presents the number of micro-credit beneficiaries with outstanding loan
portfolios and disbursements by loan providers upto December 2021.
Table 15.9: Micro credit beneficiaries, outstanding loans portfolio and loan disbursement as of Dec. 2021
Active Outstanding Loans Number of Disbursements
MFP
Borrowers Portfolio (Rs) Loans Disbursed (Rs)
Total for Pakistan MF sector 8,122,085 392,584,787,202 4,758,134 134,615,948,880
MFBs
Apna Microfinance Bank 111,177 11,997,793,718 118,474 15,413,106,287
Advans Pakistan 15,059 2,494,002,192 4,275 956,096,984
FINCA Microfinance Bank 202,094 19,695,729,435 31,639 4,525,373,263
HBL Microfinance Bank Limited 554,520 59,244,623,755 129,828 19,096,480,461
Khushhali Bank 806,434 72,513,039,269 111,582 16,889,052,839
Mobilink Microfinance Bank 2,018,447 38,369,832,811 3,180,599 13,382,574,633
NRSP Bank 316,231 30,847,512,808 76,508 8,447,299,810
Pak Oman Microfinance Bank 55,981 5,583,519,184 16,662 1,784,763,722
Sindh Microfinance Bank 53,993 962,406,040 14,037 431,250,532
Telenor Microfinance Bank Limited 177,987 11,796,070,764 136,670 4,154,411,381
U Microfinance Bank 346,390 36,411,344,571 25,659 4,579,787,369
Total for MFBS 4,658,313 289,915,874,547 3,845,933 89,660,197,282
287
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Table 15.9: Micro credit beneficiaries, outstanding loans portfolio and loan disbursement as of Dec. 2021
Active Outstanding Loans Number of Disbursements
MFP
Borrowers Portfolio (Rs) Loans Disbursed (Rs)
MFIs
Agahe Pakistan 41,940 1,116,906,322 13,894 572,686,705
Akhuwat Islamic Microfinance 725,633 21,611,817,412 137,407 6,057,430,900
CSC Empowerment & Inclusion
45,628 1,676,869,596 10,737 598,327,662
Programme
Damen Support Programme 125,013 4,135,515,772 30,825 2,065,600,000
FFO Support Program 38,197 907,878,721 10,292 535,344,060
JWS Pakistan 105,342 3,348,096,049 32,461 1,847,865,000
Kashf Foundation 574,996 17,952,336,037 178,235 8,830,035,000
Mojaz Support Program 40,080 893,381,021 6,097 353,690,000
Organization for Poverty Reduction
20,677 480,126,914 5,062 234,470,000
&Chartiable Trust
OPD Support Program 5,215 90,863,449 1,001 42,080,000
Rural Community Development
154,553 5,530,032,110 38,262 2,476,981,880
Programs
Sayya Microfinance Company 7,489 206,556,983 3,261 126,110,000
Safco Support Foundation 110,773 3,164,509,110 22,418 1,354,486,600
Shah Sachal Sami Foundation 3,629 148,500,250 420 39,800,000
Soon Valley Development Program 10,125 286,134,375 2,045 108,222,700
Taleem Finance Company 305 163,526,792 327 213,299,691
Villagers Development Organization 1,872 31,920,356 172 9,092,000
Total for MFIs 2,011,467 61,744,971,269 492,916 25,465,522,198
RSPs
Ghazi BarothaTaraqiatiIdara 23,527 347,640,858 4,938 134,265,000
National Rural Support Programme 698,689 19,626,620,078 195,037 9,358,855,100
Punjab Rural Support Programme 42,818 1,137,756,893 11,997 507,375,000
Sindh Rural Support Organization 80,716 1,995,522,561 21,682 797,400,000
Sarhad Rural Support Programme 6,737 153,794,000 2,080 81,529,000
Thardeep Microfinance Foundation 86,666 3,483,863,227 13,937 1,016,172,300
Total for RSPs 939,153 26,745,197,617 249,671 11,895,596,400
Others
ASA Pakistan 512,309 13,994,789,802 169,614 7,594,633,000
MCB Islamic Bank 843 183,953,968 - -
Total for Others 513,152 14,178,743,770 169,614 7,594,633,000
Source: Pakistan Microfinance Network
288
Social Protection
V. Pakistan Bait-ul-Mal (PBM): The PBM was established for assistance to destitute
and needy widows, orphan, invalid, infirm and such other persons and thereby save
from hardship and suffering and to enable them to lead an honorable life in the society.
During FY2022, Rs 6.505 billion has been allocated to PBM for its following core
projects/schemes is as under.
a). Individual Financial Assistance (IFA): Through IFA, poor, widows, destitute and
orphans are supported for medical treatment, education and general assistance. PBM
has envisioned providing Wheel Chairs to every disabled person in the country. A family
having two or more special (disabled) children has been declared “special family” and is
benefited with Rs 30,000/- annually, whereas the family with two special children are
being provided financial assistance of Rs 60,000/- per annum. From July-March FY2022,
an amount of Rs 1.5 billion has been disbursed.
b). Schools for Rehabilitation of Child Labour (SRCLs): PBM has established National
Centres for Rehabilitation of Child Labour countrywide since 1995 for primary (non-
formal) education. Children (male & female) between the ages of 5-6 years are weaned
away from hazardous labour and enrolled in these centers with free provision of
uniform, books and stationery. An amount of Rs 524.080 million has been utilized for
the period July-March, FY2022.
c). Women Empowerment Centres (WEC): Vocational Training Centres now called
Women Empowerment Centres have been established throughout the country since
1995. WECs are providing free training to widows, orphans and poor girls in different
skills i.e. cutting, sewing, knitting, computers and embroidery along with other trades.
The trainees are being provided with free training material. An amount of Rs 335.797
million has been utilized during July to March FY2022.
d). Darul Ehsaas (Orphanages): PBM has established Dar-ul-Ehsaas (orphanages) for
the orphan children, where they are being provided free food, nutrition, medical
treatment, boarding and lodging, as well as, free education through well reputed
289
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Old-age pension on attaining the age of 60 years in case of male workers and 55
years in case of female and mine workers.
Invalidity pension on sustaining invalidity affecting insured person’s earning more
than one third of normal.
Survivors’ pension to the following in case of death of insured person/pensioner:
Surviving spouse 100% pension till life, or
Surviving male children till 18 years of age, or
Surviving female children till 18 years of age or their marriage, whichever is
earlier, or
Surviving parents for 5 years, if any insured person/pensioner not survived by
spouse or children.
290
Social Protection
Old-Age Grant: paid in lump sum to insured persons having less than fifteen years’
insurable employment but attain the age of 60/55 years.
The details of disbursed benefits during July-March FY2022 are shown in Table-15.11.
Table-15.11: Achievements of EOBI during July- March FY2022 (Rs million)
Pension Disbursement Type-Wise Total
Benefits Disbursement
July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Old-age Pension 2189.13 2189.33 2189.18 2189.39 2189.82 2189.52 2206.92 2256.98 2238.11 19,838.38
Invalidity Pension 45.52 45.63 45.52 45.72 45.55 45.52 46.58 47.01 45.65 412.7
Survivors’
1415.57 1415.77 1415.50 1416.18 1416.86 1415.61 1446.47 1509.74 1505.51 12,957.21
Pension
Old-Age Grant 32.29 31.27 32.34 32.11 32.31 32.50 35.49 54.35 48.25 330.91
Total 3682.51 3682.00 3682.54 3683.40 3684.54 3683.15 3735.46 3868.08 3837.52 33,539.20
Source: Employees' Old Age Benefits Institution (EOBI), Karachi
VII. Workers Welfare Fund (WWF): The WWF was established under the Workers
Welfare Fund Ordinance, 1971 to take initiatives for the industrial workers by providing
service in health, education and low-cost housing sector which includes provision of
Marriage Grants, Death Grants, Talent Scholarships, establishment & maintenance of
labour Colonies and establishment & operations of Workers Welfare Schools at various
priority locations throughout the country. The main objectives of WWF are as under:
a) Financing of projects connected with the establishment of housing estates
or construction of houses for the industrial workers.
b) Other measures for the welfare of workers.
The WWF derives its receipts from the following three sources:
i) An industrial establishment contributes 2% of its assessable income
under WWF Ordinance 1971, when it exceeds Rs 500,000/- in an
accounting year.
ii) The left-over amount under Companies Profit Workers Participation
(CPWP) Act, 1968 after distribution amongst workers.
iii) Income from investments.
During July-March, FY2022, expenditures amounting to Rs 1.43 billion were incurred on
15,004 scholarship cases, while Rs 244.07 million disbursed as marriage grants @ Rs
200,000 per worker benefitting 1819 workers' families. The WWF has also disbursed Rs
420.4 million as death grant @Rs 600,000 per worker– covering 804 cases of mishaps
all over the country.
Way forward
Toward promoting sustainable and inclusive development, a fundamental role of
government is to provide essential public goods and services and, where necessary,
direct support to households to tackle poverty and meet redistribution goal.
Development can only thrive when there is investment in people and where
governments are responsive and accountable to their citizen’s social and economic
security. The pandemic brought substantial changes to every aspect of people’s lives,
setbacks have already been observed in some dimensions of human development. The
most strongly affected areas are income, health, and education.
291
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
292
7?<@5G97;5Aé9
hŶĚĞƌdddWƚŽƚĂůŶƵŵďĞƌŽĨWůĂŶƚƐƟůů
DĂƌĐŚϮϬϮϮǁĞƌĞ
PLOOLRQ
{ĜŸĘåĬŞĜĹčƋŅųåŸƋŅųåƋĘå±ĜĬĜĹč
åÏŅŸƼŸƋåĵŸ±ĹÚĜƋƵĜĬĬĜĵŞųŅƴå
űƋƚų±ĬϱŞĜƋ±Ĭ±ŸƵåĬĬ
{ĜŸÆåĜĹčĜĵŞĬåĵåĹƋåÚĜűĬĬ
{ųŅƴĜĹÏåŸŅĹĂLjŞåųÏåĹƋÏŅŸƋě
ŸĘ±ųĜĹčţ
{ʱŸ±ÏĘĜåƴåÚĂƀĿţLjĿƐ
ĵĜĬĬĜŅĹŞĬ±ĹƋŸÚƚųĜĹčIƚĬƼěa±ųÏĘ8¥
ƖLjƖŎěƖƖ
Chapter 16
Climate Change
Climate change is caused by an increase of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases
in earth’s atmosphere mostly from fossil fuel emissions. In Pakistan, the environmental
degradation and climate change are adversely affecting the economy, livelihood of the
poor and sustainable development. On the one hand, growing population, unplanned
urban expansion and dependence on natural resources puts immense pressure on
environment that triggered climate change. Moreover, lack of public awareness
regarding environmental issues and mismanagement of water and solid waste has
aggravated the situation. Consequently, Pakistan continues to suffer from a plethora of
natural and human induced hazards that threaten the lives and livelihood of its citizens
– natural disasters including floods, earthquakes, landslides, cyclones and drought.
are 100 percent funded by the Federal Government through PSDP. The programme has
achieved 579.093 million plants during July-March FY2022 and cumulatively has
attained 1586.18 million plants till March 2022. Through this programme 327,877 man
months have been employed uptil March 2022.
Digital Progress Reporting System for TBTTP
MoCC developed a robust digital reporting system to ensure the transparency of TBTTP
activities. The system captures all activities including block plantation, linear plantation,
assisted natural regeneration and nursery management system performed under forest
component of TBTTP. In addition, Geographic Information Centre (GIS) team of TBTTP
developed a web-GIS monitoring portal which is capable to visualize the plantation sites
geographically with detailed information of the site and processed satellite imagery of
pre & post plantation status. Table1 shows the details of Plants, planted or regenerated
under TBTTP.
Table- 16.1: Plantation / Regeneration / Distribution of plants under TBTTP (2019-20 to 2021-22) (In millions)
S.No. Province/Territory Plantation / Regeneration / Distribution Progress and Targets Anticipated
2019-20 2020-21 Monsoon 2021 Spring 2022 Progress Till
Progress Target Presented 30th June 2022
1 Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 167.880 223.060 107.230 194.000 692.170
2 Punjab 58.000 10.675 46.242 74.000 188.917
3 Sindh 177.030 231.360 206.980 140.000 755.370
4 Balochistan 2.900 3.202 2.334 13.500 21.936
5 AJK 69.087 41.503 13.217 98.757 222.564
6 GB 4.690 17.700 11.060 20.642 54.092
Total 479.587 527.500 387.063 540.899 1935.049
Source: MoCC
294
Climate Change
The available forest resource shall be used by the bee keepers to produce honey specific
to particular flora and shall be branded accordingly. The NAVTTC will provide training
to the selected beekeepers along with technical support, follow-up of on-ground
activities and product extraction. The certified bee keepers will be provided financial
support. The Ministry of Science and Technology shall be responsible for certifying the
honey produced under the programme, whereas the Ministry of Commerce shall patent
the market brand of ‘Ten Billion Tree Honey’.
295
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
296
Climate Change
297
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
The budgetary allocations for Water, Sanitation and Hygiene in 2021-2022 (including
federal and provincial budgets) are Rs 225.159 billion includes Rs 126.897 billion under
development expenditures and Rs 67.133 billion under current expenditures. The
provincial and federal budget breakup of WASH programme for 2021-2022 is given in
Table-16.3.
Table-16.3: Budget for WASH FY2022 (Rs millions)
Province Current Development PSDP Total Rs Per Capita
Balochistan 7,409 19,330 1,500 28,239 2,139
Sindh 17,995 36,822 22,532 77,349 1541
Punjab 28,063 54,329 500 82,892 723
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 13,666 16,416 730 30,812 822
(Including NMDs)
Federal 0 0 5,867 5,867
Pakistan 67,133 126,897 31,129 225,159 1,034
Source: M/o CC
The per capita WASH allocation in Pakistan is Rs 1,034. The Table 16.3 shows the highest
per capita WASH allocation is in Balochistan with Rs 2,139, whereas Punjab holds the
lowest per capita WASH allocation of Rs 723.
298
Climate Change
Regular reporting on SDG-6 that includes reporting on WASH in health care facility,
GLAAS survey, JMP reports in close coordination with PBS.
Development of policy guidelines for drinking water and sanitation.
Behavior Change Communication (BCC) strategy for WASH addressing all the
thematic area of clean green Pakistan has been developed.
Capacity Building on Water Quality Monitoring and SDG 6 (6.1) Reporting under
the KOICA Grant
The project will provide support in water quality infrastructure and equipment uplift in
the 36 labs of Punjab and 8 divisional labs of KP. The complete staff of water quality labs
will be trained on water quality monitoring and compliances frameworks in Punjab, KP,
Sindh and Baluchistan. The total cost of the project is Rs 1289.206 million with Rs
102.006 and Rs 1187.2 share of federal and KOICA, respectively.
COVID Response for Hygiene and WASH
Hand washing with soap appeared the most cost-effective approach for COVID-19
response. The Ministry of Climate Change developed and launched a national roadmap
for Hand Hygiene for All (HH4A). The provinces have been supported to develop detailed
action plans for HH4A.
299
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Study on plastic waste in Pakistan conducted and disseminated findings of the same
to all federal and provincial stakeholders.
Integration of Mobile App on “Ban on Polythene Bags” into the city of Islamabad
application initiated and launched.
Organized First National Dialogue and Stakeholder Convening at Islamabad with the
Collect and Recycle (CoRe) Alliance on the topic “Collective action approach to deal
with Packaging waste in Pakistan”.
Signed MOUs with TEVTA Punjab, Sindh, KPK, Balochistan and Punjab Vocational
Training Council for transfer to tools and equipment related to Refrigeration and Air
Conditioning (RAC) trade. All the TEVTAs nominated 56 institutes for receiving RAC
tools and equipment.
Ratification process for Kigali Amendment is underway and the hired consultancy
firm has submitted the initial draft Country Assessment Report (CAR).
Funds were approved for Pakistan amounting US$ 287,318/- for Phase-XI of the
Institutional Strengthening Project for the Implementation of Montreal Protocol
preparation in 87th Executive Committee Meeting of the Ozone Secretariat held in
July, 2021.
Working on developing PCT codes for import of HFCs in Pakistan in collaboration
with FBR and Ministry of Commerce for consideration in upcoming IPO Amendment
2022.
Draft legal document including the rules for implementation of Montreal Protocol in
Pakistan has been drafted and are under initial review.
MoU signed with the Government of the Uzbekistan on Cooperation in the field of
Environment and Climate Change
Developed draft National Hazardous Waste Management Policy in Pakistan.
Issued HCFCs import licenses for 2022. It will enable Pakistan to keep the imports
under the scale target of Ozone Secretariat
Policies and Strategies
Updated National Climate Change Policy (2021)
M/o CC updated National Climate Change Policy of Pakistan. The goal of this policy is to
steer Pakistan towards climate resilient and low carbon development. Thus, it would
provide a comprehensive framework in order to address the issues that Pakistan faces
and will face in future due to changing climate. This policy document will be reviewed
and updated regularly to address emerging concepts and issues in the ever-evolving
science of climate change.
Keeping in view national and international requirements, the updated policy document
has been designed in accordance with the requirements of Paris Agreement on climate
change, SDGs and Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction. Hence, appropriate
measures relating to disaster preparedness, capacity building, institutional
strengthening; technology transfer and international cooperation have also been
incorporated as important components of the policy.
300
Climate Change
The implementation of National Climate Change Policy has been assessed, which shows
landmark achievements gained by MoCC, Provincial line Departments in various
development sectors i.e., agriculture, transport, energy, industries, forestry and
biodiversity through adaptation and mitigation measures. Number of projects has been
initiated by the Federal Government and Provincial departments i.e., Ten Billion Tree
Tsunami, Clean Green Pakistan Index, Ecosystem Restoration, WASH, Climate resilient
Urban Development and Green Building Code are the major initiatives in addressing
climate change in the country.
Pakistan Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) revised 2021
Aimed at achieving reduced poverty Fig-2: Summary of Pakistan NDCs 2021
and ensuring stable economy, the
updated NDCs commit to abate overall
50 percent of Pakistan’s projected GHG
emissions by 2030. This commitment
will be contributed by the shift to 60
percent renewable energy for
electricity generation, and 30 percent to
electric vehicles by 2030 and complete
ban on the use of imported coal. The
success of restoring the forest cover and
conservation efforts was corroborated
when the latest GHG inventory of 2018
reported an 8.7 percent decline in
projected GHG emissions for 2018
(sequestration of 8.4 Mt CO2e).
Encouraged by these analytics, Pakistan
commits to enhance its reliance on
Nature-based Solutions (NbS)
underpinned by the fact that TBTTP will
alone sequester 148.76 MtCO2e if fully
implemented.
301
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
302
Climate Change
In line with the Government's commitment for socio-economic and gender responsive
green economy, UNDP Pakistan is supporting MoCC to promote green jobs in Pakistan.
The support includes baseline assessment of green jobs future in Pakistan based on
existing legislative environment, gaps and challenges to leveraging the potential benefits
of green economy and opportunities (like public-private partnerships) to catalyze
national green jobs efforts. In addition, the gender analysis is also included in the efforts
to create a gender responsive green job strategy for future. The ultimate goal is to
formulate green jobs roadmap focusing on guiding relevant stakeholders on creating
and promoting green jobs and green skills especially suitable for women, youth and
excluded groups.
Climate and Clean Air Initiatives
With rapid population growth and urbanization, Pakistan is facing the worst air quality
for many years. Air pollution and climate change result from same sources i.e., fossil fuel
burning, industrial processes, transport and agriculture activities. However,
anthropogenically induced climate change further increases the threat of exposures to
air pollutants by changing the concentrations, transport process and lifetime of local and
regional pollutants. These pollutants also include a major category of Short-Lived
Climate Pollutants (SLCP) including black carbon and methane. Another significant
problem that has emerged in recent years is smog. There is no doubt that urgent and
collective action is required in order to tackle the issue of air quality and greenhouse gas
emissions. In this connection, following measures have been initiated under the
umbrella of the MoCC.
303
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
term action plan but also to track the implementation of PCAP targets. Therefore, MoCC
in partnership with Clean Air Asia (CAA) and Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI)
initiated Integrating Short-Lived Climate Pollutants (SLCPs) reduction in the Pakistan's
Air Quality Plans and Programme to substantially reduce SLCPs in Pakistan by
strengthening the capacity of national partners through training on the use of Low
Emissions Analysis Platform system including the Integrated Benefits Calculator (LEAP-
IBC1), supporting national partners in the development of the Pakistan LEAP-IBC
analysis, and through the development of the LEAP-IBC analysis, identifying and
evaluating those mitigation actions, at national and provincial scale, which are most
effective at simultaneously improving air quality and mitigating climate change.
In addition, Pakistan recently signed joined Global Methane Pledge initiated by EU and
US governments in October 11th, 2021 to slash methane emission and initiate focused
intervention. The parties joining the pledge are committing to a goal of reducing global
methane emissions by at least 30 percent from 2020 levels by 2030 and moving towards
using best available inventory methodologies to quantify methane emissions, with a
particular focus on high emission sources.
Pakistan Environmental Protection Agency
Pakistan Environment Protection Agency (Pak-EPA) is mandated to enforce the Pakistan
Environmental Protection Act 1997 in the Islamabad Capital Territory. The following
major activities have been undertaken:
Water Quality
Pak-EPA constituted an Inspection Committee and sampling team collected 15 up and
down stream nullah water samples with nullah flows of KachiAbadis and analyzed in
EPA water lab. As EPA mandated for reservoir water quality surveillance and regularly
monitored the Islamabad’s natural streams, Simli dam, Rawal lake catchment area and
river sides, 13 water samples were collected and analyzed, along with, Margallah hills.
Four water samples collected from industrial effluent treatment, slaughter and housing
society’s sewage treatment plant. Six water samples collected from CDA filtration plants
along with microbial testing. Two Bore water samples received from public Gulberg
green and I-8. From July-December 2021, Lab/NEQS Directorate collected 88 water
samples and tested in EPA laboratory. From January-March 2022, Lab/NEQS Directorate
has also tested 40 water samples in EPA water quality laboratory.
Air quality
Lab/NEQS Directorate reported daily air quality data, for the year 2021-22 and air
quality monitoring reports are available on the Pak-EPA website. Pak-EPA has
established an active and reliable monitoring system to routinely monitor air emissions
of tyre burning units, asphalt plants, steel, aluminum, food industries, brick kilns and
construction sites.
At the end of December 2021 to January 2022, Director General EPA-KPK requested
1LEAP-IBC tool is an integrated modelling and scenario planning tool to help governments jointly assess the emission reduction potential
of greenhouse gases, short-lived climate pollutants and other air pollutants emissions in their country.
304
Climate Change
305
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
change in the aggregate average annual flows in the Upper Indus Basin (UIB) upstream
of Tarbela Dam. However, there is a significant increase in the annual maximum flows.
This has specially been found in the water availability analysis of the Kabul River Basin,
a snow melt-fed basin, where there is a sharper peak with a clear shift in the annual peak
flow by a month. Other modelling work focused on the Gilgit River Basin, a glacier-fed
basin, revealed that faster melting of glaciers under increased temperatures would bring
more flow a month earlier but with a flattened peak.
Another highly damaging event is a drought. Climate change has increased its likelihood
and spread in Pakistan. The analysis is in progress to devise a computational framework
for efficiently monitoring and predicting the future drought events so that appropriate
steps are taken in advance so as to minimize loss of human lives and economy.
Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture
Agriculture is one of the major sectors which is being adversely affected by climate
change. Climate change can disrupt food availability, reduce access to food and affect
food quality. Projected increases in temperatures, changes in precipitation patterns and
reductions in water availability may reduce agricultural productivity. Crop simulation
models-based studies depict significant reductions in wheat, rice and maize yields in the
arid, semi-arid and rainfed areas of Pakistan under various IPCC climate change
scenarios by the mid and end of the century.
Recent findings of GCISC study reveals an increasing trend in the average maximum
temperature for the future projections for both RCPs, with 1-2.0 0C for RCP 4.5 & 5-6 0C
for RCP 8.5 during Rabi and kharif seasons. Temperature in the South Eastern part of
Pakistan exceeds the thresholds at the times of flowering and ripening thereby causing
wheat yield losses. Further, increase in temperature is projected to have serious
implications for these growing areas. Due to rise in temperature, an increase of 1000
Growing Degree Days (GDDs) between historical and late century extreme scenarios
have been observed in case of wheat, implying that South Eastern side of Pakistan are
likely to become unsuitable for wheat production.
APSIM Crop Simulation Model, disclosed that wheat production in the arid areas of
Pakistan is likely to suffer to the tune of 17 percent in 2020s in case of RCP 4.5, whereas
21 percent and 40 percent in case of RCP 8.5 for 2020s and 2080s, respectively. Aqua
Crop Model projected 34 percent and 41 percent decline in Maize yields in case of
scenario RCP8.5 by the end of the century in the KPK province, respectively. The results
suggest that the aggregate impact of climatic parameters i.e., changes in temperature
and rainfall exerted negative impact on cereal crop yields, given that the management
practices and use of technology remain unchanged. Studies suggest an imminent need of
adaptation interventions to cope with the negative impacts of climate change.
Another study reported that agriculture is the second largest sector contributing to GHG
emissions (174 out of 406 Mt CO2 Eq). Baseline emission (of 2015) projections till 2030
under future scenarios of agricultural growth are expected to increase up to 271.9 (56
percent) Mt, 314.3(80 percent) Mt and 362.9 (108 percent) Mt of CO2-equivalent under
Business As Usual (BAU), Food Security (FS) and Enhanced Consumption Pattern (ECP)
306
Climate Change
scenarios, respectively. Besides the fact that agricultural emissions are expected to
increase in future, it is also true that presently Pakistan has yet to produce more to meet
the future needs and preferences of the masses which will lead to emissions at faster
rates. Till now, Pakistan has not devoted much of its efforts in curtailing the emissions
from agriculture due to limited awareness and low confidence in monitoring/estimation
of these emissions. Since agriculture sector offers a lot of opportunities in GHG
reduction, the present estimates will aid in designing the future agriculture policy,
especially for emission reductions from livestock sector and soils.
Pakistan Biennial Update Report (BUR1)
GCISC has contributed to the preparation of national GHGs inventory and chapters on
National Circumstances and Development of Measurement Reporting Verification
(MRV) framework for climate change reporting.
307
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
information that the party considers relevant. In this context, Pakistan submitted its
Initial National Communication in 2003, and the second National Communication (SNC)
in 2019. Pakistan also prepared its First Biennial Update Report which is at its final stage
of approval and expected to be submitted in the second quarter of 2022. The work on
the 3rd National Communication has just been started to update the Greenhouse Gas
Inventory (for 2020-21) coupled with specified outcomes that will be prepared over the
course of next 28 months.
308
5AA9KHE9F
&RQWLQJHQW/LDELOLWLHV
,
7D[([SHQGLWXUH
,,
,QIRUPDWLRQ7HFKQRORJ\
,,,
Annex-I
Contingent Liabilities
Contingent liabilities are possible obligation that arises from past events and their
existence will be confirmed only by the occurrence or non-occurrence of one or more
uncertain future events, not wholly within the control of the government.
Contingent liabilities should be examined in the same manner as a proposal for a loan,
taking into account, inter alia, the credit-worthiness of the borrower, the amount and
risks sought to be covered by a sovereign guarantee, the terms of the borrowing,
justification and public purpose to be served, probabilities that various commitments
will become due and possible costs of such liabilities. Hence, such off-balance sheet
transactions cannot be overlooked in order to gain a holistic view of a country’s fiscal
position and unveil the hidden risks associated with the obligations made by the
government outside the budget.
Guarantees issued against commodity operations are not included in the stipulated limit
of 2 percent of GDP as the loans are secured against the underlying commodity and are
essentially self-liquidating. These guarantees are issued against the commodity
financing operations undertaken by Trading Corporation of Pakistan (TCP), Pakistan
Agriculture Storage & Services Corporation (PASSCO), and Provincial Governments. The
outstanding stock of commodity operations was Rs.845 billion at end-March 2022.
310
Annex-II
Tax Expenditure
Sales Tax
Major exemptions in sales tax and their tax expenditures during FY2022 are presented
in Table 2.
Table 2: Sales Tax Expenditure Summary
Tax Expenditure Growth
Exemption Heads (Rs million) Rate (%)
FY2021 FY2022
Zero Rating under 5th Schedule to Sales Tax Act 1990 12,887 11,367 -12
Exemption under 6th Schedule on (Imports) 173,808 527,002 203
Exemption under 6th Schedule on Local supplies 156,134 233,541 50
Reduced Rates Under 8th Schedule (1%) 330 6 -98
Reduced Rates Under 8th Schedule (1.5%) 0 413
Reduced Rates Under 8th Schedule (2%) 90,288 95,460 6
Reduced Rates Under 8th Schedule (5%) 27,108 24,097 -11
Reduced Rates Under 8th Schedule (7%) 496 49 -90
Reduced Rates Under 8th Schedule (7.5%) 0 613
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Customs
Following is the break-up of estimates of tax expenditure of main exemptions in Customs
Duties for FY2022.
Table 3: Customs Duty Expenditure Summary
Tax Expenditure Growth
Exemption Heads
(Rs million) Rate (%)
FY2021 FY2022
Chapter-99 Exemptions 12,635 15,963 26
FTA & PTA Exemptions 34,210 46,105 35
5th Schedule Exemptions & Concessions 137,418 168,754 23
General Concessions: Automobile sector, E&Ps, CPEC, etc. 55,877 60,987 9
Export Related Exemptions 47,631 51,081 7
Total Customs Expenditure 287,771 342,890 19
Source: Federal Board of Revenue
312
Annex-III
1. E-governance
2. IT Infrastructure
3. Human Capital Development
4. Innovation and Entrepreneurship
5. IT/ITeS Development and Export
6. Fintech, E-commerce and Digital Platforms
7. Privacy and Security
8. Partnership and Collaboration
E-Governance remained the key pillar for MoITT’s strategy to assist Federal
Government in reshaping the governance structure. Through number of initiatives,
MoITT successfully handheld the governance structure in various Federal
Ministries/Divisions/ Organizations.
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Access to Information
Equal Opportunity
Service Delivery
Informed Decision Making
Economic Growth can be targeted through the use of IT ecosystem which may provide
enabling environment to business growth, help job creation and enhance citizen
empowerment through E-governance.
Fig-1:
Fig-2
314
Information Technology
Table 17.1: Growth of IT Exports during Period (July 2021 – March 2022) US$ (billion)
Period Net Exports % of Total Exports Total Exports-
IT Sector
July-March FY2022 1.47 75.56 1.948
July-March FY2021 1.12 74.72 1.5
Source: Ministry of Information Technology & Telecommunication
a. 100 percent tax credit on export income from IT and IT-enabled services until 30th
June, 2025.
b. 100 percent tax credit on profits and gains derived by the IT start-ups for the tax year
in which a start-up is certified by Pakistan Software Export Board (PSEB) and for the
next two years.
c. 100 percent equity ownership allowed to foreign investors, 100 percent repatriation
of capital and dividends allowed, and tax holiday for venture capital funds till 2024.
d. Growth Driven Financial Incentive on IT & ITeS export remittances: The main
purpose of financial incentive scheme, is to encourage IT & ITeS export remittances
through formal banking channels and improve reporting of export remittance
receipts in correct IT & ITeS purpose codes, assigned by the State Bank of Pakistan.
The government has allocated Rs. 4 billion to PSEB for the first ever financial
incentive on IT & ITeS export remittances to be disbursed on the basis of export
remittance receipts in FY2021.
Policy Intervention
1. Infrastructure Development
a. Establishment of Software Technology Parks (STPs)
STPs have been a major factor in facilitating IT &ITeS companies. There is a strong
demand for STPs in the country due to the booming of IT industry. To meet the
demand, STPs are being setup on public-private sector partnership basis. PSEB is also
setting up STPs through conversion of unused buildings into state of the art STPs with
particular focus on secondary and tertiary cities of Pakistan. This would expand
Pakistan’s tech eco system beyond Islamabad, Lahore and Karachi, thus contributing
to the local economies through expansion of tech industry, export earnings growth
and employment generation. As of December 2021, PSEB has 21 operational STPs
with 1.25 million sqft of space serving 170 IT &ITeS companies.
b. Establishment of IT Park
A loan agreement was signed between Economic Affairs Division and EXIM Bank of
Korea worth US$ 158 million for establishment of Pakistan’s largest IT Park in
315
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Karachi. The total cost of the project is estimated at US$ 186 million and would take
48 months to complete. The IT Park building would have 14 floors with a gross floor
area of 106,449m2 Park with latest state of the art facilities to ensure that IT
companies can operate 24/7 providing services to clients around the globe. In
addition to office space, the park would have software testing labs, business
incubation centers, technology commercialization centers, exhibition halls,
auditorium, day care center and other ancillary facilities.
316
Information Technology
Overall Achievement
Overall achievements can be seen in Figure 3.
Fig-3:
317
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
318
Information Technology
of Rs. 201 million have been made against 3,929 approved FYP. Whereas, disbursements
against approved 978 FYPs of NGIRI FY2021 are under process. Program highlights
from 2012 to 2022 are summarized in table 17.7.
Table 17.7: National Grassroots IT Research Initiative (NGIRI)
Program Participating FYP FYP FYP Disbursements
Year Institutes Submitted Approved Funded (Rs. In million)
2011-12 68 785 272 272 15.27
2012-13 78 1,017 418 418 31.78
2013-14 72 1,247 430 430 25.13
2014-15 75 1,324 436 436 29.59
2015-16 76 1,166 512 360 18.14
2017-18 89 1,623 569 439 21.45
2018-19 136 2,124 815 677 30.72
2019-20 156 2,832 1,042 857 29.02
2020-21 159 3,417 1,155 978 In Process
Total - 15,535 5,649 3,929 201
Source: IGNITE
NGIRI FY2022 has been launched on December 2021 and last date to submit FYP is 2 nd
May 2022.
319
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
is being done by USF. As of now, approximately 2,400 Kms of unserved road segments
have been identified. A salient feature of this program is National Roaming that
facilitates computers to get seamless coverage irrespective of the originally subscribed
networks. These will be first of their kind projects to offer this facility in Pakistan. In
FY2022, 2 project contracts worth Rs. 295 million have been awarded, targeting 133
Kms of unserved road segments on Motorways M3 & M5. Whereas, USF has completed
provision of NG-BSD services along 1757.51 Kms of un/underserved road segments. Rs
6.4 billion have been disbursed in current FY for NG-BSD Projects including NH&MW.
Legislative Measures of ITS
Personal Data Protection Bill
In view of increase in Cyber crimes and growing importance of protection of personal
data, the Ministry of IT and Telecom is in the process of finalizing a “Personal Data
Protection Bill”. The Bill aims to provide security to all citizens and businesses against
breach of data and has been submitted to the Federal Cabinet for approval by virtue of
Rules 16(1)(a) and 27 of the Rules of Business, 1973.
Special Communications Organization (SCO)
1. During last 45 years of continued devotion, SCO has been able to extend
comprehensive IT services to the people of the harsh terrain of AJ&K and Gilgit
Baltistan. During this journey, SCO has always strived to further improve the C&IT
eco system. Moreover, quality of C&IT services being extended to the local populace
are comparable to those being provided in other parts of the country.
2. SCO extensive footprint has cutting edge innovative solution that has improved
network coverage and capacity across different areas of AJK and GB by adopting the
following strategy:
a. Expansion of 3G/4G cellular services in whole area of responsibility including
KKH.
b. Compatibility/adaptability with futuristic 4.5/5 G techniques.
c. Migration from tradition DSL to Fiber to Home in major cities.
d. Setting up of Technical Training Institutes, Technology Parks and Incubation
Centers to ensure digital inclusivity of under developed areas.
e. Transformation of legacy power systems with Hybrid/green energy system.
f. Undertake strategic communication projects like Pak-China connectivity.
g. Establishment of regional Data Centers to promote Digital Pakistan Vision.
h. Upgradation of transmission network to 100 G Dense Wavelength Division
Multiplexing (DWDM) technology.
320
Information Technology
A centralized portal powered by NITB to automate manual system for Cabinet agenda
meetings with digital submission of summaries, agenda compilation and notification to
ministries, along with approvals and other details.
Economic Indicators 2020-22
i) Save 80 percent time and brings transparency by automation of agenda items of
business process.
Developed by NITB, National Job Portal provides a centralized job portal for job hunters
to have a chance to work with the Government of Pakistan Ministries and its attached
department.
Economic Indicators 2020-22:
i) Single window for all Government Jobs
ii) 0.33 million registered users.
iii) Saves exchequers by eliminating paper based apply and evaluation process.
321
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
A youth-centric platform that ensures a smooth online process from submission of loan
applications to provision of loan grants for the people of Pakistan under Prime Minister’s
Kamyab Jawan Program.
Economic Indicators 2020-22:
i) 46.9 billion allocations.
ii) 39.4 billion loan distribution to create entrepreneurs.
iii) 5426 Jobs created.
All data publicly available at (https://kamyabjawan.gov.pk/kjhome/dashboarddetails).
1. Pass Track
a) Pass Track app by the NITB, as part of Management for traveler coming over to
Pakistan.
b) It aids in recording and tracking of passengers' basic information. The application
comes with scanning option of National Identity Card and Passport of Pakistan.
2. Think-Tank
Think-Tank Portal is developed for National Security Division (NSD), in which NSD
will make/finalize national policies or decisions on the basis of data/queries
provided to them.
322
Information Technology
5. EAD Portal
EAD Portal is online portal for NGO’s in which different NGO’s register themselves
for one year initially. After registering NGO’s will be given a certificate, though they
can perform their task and achieve their goals.
6. Bait-Ul-Mal Portal
Bait-Ul-Mal Portal is being developed for Bait-Ul-Mal Headquarter and its regional
officers located across the country. The purpose of software/portal is to get
registration of students, specially females of backward areas for technical education.
323
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
324
Information Technology
Telecom Contribution
Telecom sector is a significant source of revenue generation for the national exchequer.
During July to March FY2022, telecom sector contributed Rs 163.3 billion to the national
exchequer in terms of taxes, regulatory fees, initial and annual license fees, activation
tax, and other taxes.
Telecom Revenues
Telecom sector revenue during July to March FY2022 recoded at Rs 423 billion.
Teledensity
At the end of Feb 2022, total teledensity in the country reached to 89.5 percent,
registering a growth of 3.23 percent during July to Feb FY2022. Cellular mobile segment
was the main contributor towards overall growth in teledensity.
1.3 1.1
70 1.3
60
50
84.2 88.3
40 76.4 78.8
72.8
30
20
10
0
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 Feb-22
Subscribers
By the end of February 2022, the total number of subscriptions (Mobile and Fixed) in
Pakistan reached 194.2 million. Net addition of 6.7 million subscribers has been
reported translating into a growth of 3.64 percent during (July-Feb FY2022) which is a
healthy sign.
325
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Million
120
February-2022.
Fig-10: Broadband Subscribers & Fig-11: Cellular Mobile Data Usage (PB)
140 Penetration (Percentage) 60
8,000
52.02
6,855
120 46.9 50 7,000
6,000 5,674
100 38.5
33.8 40
Petabytes
%
Million
5,000 4,498
80
28.1
30 4,000
60 114.3
102.7 3,000 2,545
20
40 83.9
71.5 2,000
58.7 1,207
20 10
1,000
0 0 -
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 Feb-22 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 Jul-21 to
Feb-22
Subscribers(Million) Penetration (%)
326
Information Technology
Regulatory Activities
National Broadband Forum
Fiberization plays an important role in a world heading towards broadband
technologies. In Pakistan, relatively lower speed of fixed broadband networks is causing
staggered growth of broadband subscribers and lower Internet speed. To address this
issue, PTA and Huawei Technologies Pakistan jointly organized a national broadband
network forum themed ‘Broadband for All,’ where local and foreign stakeholders shared
their insight on transformative technologies and viable solutions to challenges impeding
broadband proliferation in Pakistan. In the forum Pakistan’s Progress was linked to
extensive digitalization of all sectors. The forum was followed by a panel discussion on
challenges and issues confronting operators in the expansion of fiber networks across
the country. The effectiveness of Fiber to the Home (FTTH) and wireless technologies
for spread of broadband were highlighted in relation to different geographical areas. The
private sector underlined the importance of Government support as efforts to improve
the footprint continue. The broadband network forum was the first of its kind arranged
by the regulator, and will now be convened on a regular basis to expedite broadband
proliferation in the country.
Spectrum Auction in Pakistan
The process for cellular mobile spectrum auction teed off in September 2020. In
accordance with timelines mentioned in the ‘Information Memorandum (IM) for the
spectrum auction for NGMS in Pakistan 2021’, the opening of applications and sealed bid
offers from prospective applicants was completed on September 9, 2021. PTML (Ufone)
won the auction upon scrutiny of its submitted bid by PTA. Total spectrum won by Ufone
is 9 MHz in 1800 MHz band, which is 70.3 percent of the total offered spectrum in the
said band during the current auction. This addition will increase Ufone spectrum
holdings from 6 MHz to 15 MHz in 1800 MHz band, thereby enhancing quality and
increasing its coverage footprint for voice and data services. This auction has generated
revenue of US$ 279 million.
Spectrum Auction in AJ&K and GB
The first-ever cellular spectrum auction for Next Generation Mobile Services (NGMS) in
AJ&K and GB successfully concluded at the PTA Headquarters on September 28, 2021.
Two operators CMPak (Zong) and PMCL (Jazz) participated in the electronic auction for
1800 MHz band. After 18 rounds, Zong was declared winner of 10 MHz (2 blocks of 5
MHz) in 1800 MHz band against a price of US$ 14.398 million. The spectrum sold in 1800
MHz band constituted 85 percent of the total offered spectrum in the said band for AJ&K
and GB. Furthermore, Telenor, Ufone, and Zong also won 1.2 MHz in 1800 MHz band.
Telenor Pakistan was declared winner in 2100 MHz band for a spectrum of 15 MHz
against the set base price. The spectrum sold in 2100 MHz band constituted 50 percent
of the total offered spectrum in the said band. The total revenue generated from the
spectrum auction for AJK & GB stood at over US$ 30 million. New licenses were issued
to CMPak (Zong), Telenor Pakistan, and Pakistan Telecommunications Mobile Limited
(PTML; Ufone) for the spectrum secured in the auction process for AJ&K and GB. The
award of licenses for NGMS in the two regions will contribute towards strengthening
327
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
uninterrupted provision of better telecom services to the people of AJ&K and GB in line
with GoP’s ‘Digital Pakistan’ vision.
The following steps have been taken as part of NTCERT functioning so far (Table 17.20).
As part of local advisory services of Telecom CERT, PTA’s cyber security team issued
approximately 152 security advisories and more than 160 security alerts to telecom
328
Information Technology
The portal’s secure access was shared with all licensees. Many telecom operators are
currently using the portal for threat intelligence information exchange, security
readiness, and compliance.
Following is the impact of DIRBS on the status of blocked, banned, and barred devices in
Pakistan:
DIRBS has created a level playing field for all entities in Pakistan, resulting in
establishment of local assembly plants. In view of the successful development of this
industry, PTA issued MDM Regulations, 2021, in accordance with the Mobile
329
Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22
Manufacturing Policy issued by GoP in June 2020. The policy offers incentives including
tax exemptions, etc., for all entities that establish manufacturing plants in Pakistan.
As many as 30 local and foreign companies both stand alone and joint ventures have
obtained 10-year MDM authorization from PTA and have established manufacturing
plants for the purpose. Leading brands including Samsung, Xiaomi, Oppo, Vivo, Nokia,
Techno, and Infinix, ZTE, among others, have established their plants in Pakistan. Local
manufacturing has enabled smart phone manufacturing in Pakistan, created job
opportunities in skilled areas, and promoted affordability for consumers. Table 17.12
provides a summary of local manufacturing and its impact on job creation, and reliability
of locally manufactured 4G phones.
330
Information Technology
arrest of 02 persons, against whom further proceedings in the court of law are being
carried out by FIA.
Conclusion
The latest information system helps a country integrating domestically and globally by
enhancing its capacity in the areas of fast internet access, software development, app
development, adoption of technological gadgets, and digitization of economy. Modern IT
infrastructure is the corner stone for realizing economic development because it
improves access to information, connectivity and ameliorate entrepreneurial efficiency
and growth.
331
CONTENTS
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INDICATORS ................................................................................... 1-8
2 AGRICULTURE
2.1 A Index of Agricultural Production ............................................................................................. 21
2.1 B Basic Data on Agriculture ....................................................................................................... 22
2.2 Land Utilization ....................................................................................................................... 23
2.3 Area under Important Crops .................................................................................................... 24
2.4 Production of Important Crops ................................................................................................ 24
2.5 Yield Per Hectare of Major Agricultural Crops....................................................................... 25
2.6 Production and Export of Fruits .............................................................................................. 25
2.7 Crop-wise Composition of Output of Major Agricultural Crops
(At Constant Basic Prices)....................................................................................................... 26
2.8 Credit Disbursed by Agencies. ................................................................................................ 26
2.9 Fertilizer Off-Take and Imports of Pesticides ......................................................................... 27
2.10 Average Retail Sale Price of Fertilizers................................................................................... 27
2.11 Area Irrigated by Different Sources ........................................................................................ 28
2.12 Procurement/Support Prices of Agricultural Commodities ..................................................... 28
2.13 Procurement, Releases and Stocks of Wheat .......................................................................... 29
2.14 Livestock Population ............................................................................................................... 29
2.15 Livestock Products .................................................................................................................. 30
4 FISCAL DEVELOPMENT
4.1 Federal Government Overall Budgetary Position .................................................................... 41
(i)
4.2 Summary of Public Finance (Consolidated Federal and Provincial Governments)................. 42
4.3 Consolidated Federal and Provincial Government Revenues .................................................. 43
4.4 Consolidated Federal and Provincial Government Expenditures ............................................ 44
4.5 Debt Servicing ........................................................................................................................ 44
7 INFLATION
7.1 A Price Indices ........................................................................................................................... 61
7.1 B Head line & Core inflation ...................................................................................................... 62
7.1 C Price Indices ............................................................................................................................ 63
7.2 Monthly Percent Changes in CPI,WPI and SPI....................................................................... 64
7.3 A Price Indices by Consumer Income Groups ............................................................................ 65
7.3 B Annual Changes in Price Indices and GDP Deflator ............................................................... 66
7.4 Average Retail Prices of Essential Items ................................................................................. 67
7.5 Indices of Wholesale Prices of Selected Commodities............................................................ 69
9 PUBLIC DEBT
9.1 Public and Publicly Guaranteed debt outstanding as on 31-03-2022 ...................................... 85
(ii)
9.2 Commitments and Disbursements of Loans and Grants (By type) .......................................... 86
9.3 Annual Commitments, Disbursements, Service Payment and
External Debt Outstanding ...................................................................................................... 87
9.4 Debt Service Payments on Foreign Loans (paid in foreign exchange) .................................... 88
9.5 Terms of Foreign Loan / Credits contracted by Pakistan ........................................................ 90
9.6 Grant Assistance Agreement Signed ....................................................................................... 93
9.7 Total Loans and Credit Contracted .......................................................................................... 94
10 EDUCATION
10.1 Number of Educational Institutions, by kind, level and sex .................................................... 97
10.2 Enrolment in education institutions by kind, level and sex ..................................................... 97
10.3 Number of teachers in educational institutions in Pakistan, by kind, level and sex ................ 97
(iii)
13.2 Pakistan International Airlines Corporation (Revenue) ......................................................... 121
13.3 Number of Motor Vehicles Registered .................................................................................. 122
13.4 Motor Vehicles on Road LCV ............................................................................................... 122
13.4 Motor Vehicles on Road HCV .............................................................................................. 123
13.5 Motor Vehicles-Production ................................................................................................... 123
13.6 Motor Vehicles-Import .......................................................................................................... 124
13.7 Post and Telecommunications ............................................................................................... 125
14 ENERGY
14.1 Commercial Energy Consumption ........................................................................................ 129
14.2 Commercial Energy Supplies ................................................................................................ 130
14.3 Commercial Energy Supplies ............................................................................................... 131
14.4 Schedule of Electricity Tariffs ............................................................................................... 132
14.5 Oil Sale Prices ....................................................................................................................... 134
14.6 Gas Sale Prices ...................................................................................................................... 137
(iv)
ECONOMIC AND
Base Year 2005-06
FINANCIAL SECTOR:
GROWTH RATE (at constant fc) %
GDP 6.8 4.8 6.5 4.6 4.5 5.0 0.4 2.6 3.6
Agriculture 5.1 2.4 5.4 4.4 2.8 1.8 3.5 0.2 2.0
Manufacturing 9.9 5.5 8.2 4.8 7.3 6.1 -4.2 1.4 2.5
Commodity Producing Sector 6.8 3.9 6.5 4.6 4.8 5.1 -0.9 1.8 3.2
Services Sector 6.7 6.3 6.7 4.6 5.2 4.9 1.3 3.2 3.9
GROWTH RATES (at current mp) %
Total Investment - 21.8 4.2 8.1 15.6 17.7 13.4 1.4 9.8
Fixed Investment 14.8 20.5 3.7 7.8 15.7 17.9 12.4 0.3 8.4
Public Investment 14.0 25.3 2.6 7.3 12.5 21.0 11.2 -2.1 6.6
(including general govt.)
Private Investment 20.9 17.0 5.1 8.8 17.5 16.8 12.9 1.2 9.0
(as % of Total Investment) 5.1
National Savings - 67.5 79.2 75.4 89.9 57.5 68.6 85.9 100.7
Foreign Savings - 32.5 20.8 24.6 10.1 42.5 31.4 14.1 -0.7
(as % of GDP current mp)
Total Investment - 17.1 18.7 18.3 17.9 19.2 17.5 15.8 14.1
Fixed Investment - 15.9 17.0 16.6 16.4 17.6 15.9 14.2 12.5
Public Investment - 10.3 9.2 7.5 4.6 4.8 4.3 3.7 3.2
Private Investment - 5.6 7.8 9.1 11.8 12.8 11.7 10.5 9.3
National Savings - 11.2 14.8 13.8 15.9 11.0 12.0 13.6 14.2
Foreign Savings* - 5.8 3.9 4.5 2.0 8.2 5.5 2.2 -0.1
Domestic Savings - 7.4 7.7 14.0 14.6 9.1 9.4 9.8 9.7
Per Capita Income (mp-US $)* - - - - 746.0 1053.2 1026.1 1072.4 1274.1
GDP DEFLATOR (growth %) - - 2.3 8.3 8.4 12.9 20.7 10.7 19.5
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI)
(growth %) 3.2 12.5 7.2 9.7 7.3 12.0 17.0 10.1 13.7
FISCAL POLICY
(as % of GDP mp)
Total Revenue 13.1 16.8 17.3 17.1 13.9 14.1 14.0 14.0 12.3
Tax Revenue - - 13.8 13.4 10.3 9.9 9.1 9.9 9.3
Non-Tax Revenue - - 3.5 3.7 3.6 4.2 4.9 4.1 3.0
Total Expenditure 11.6 21.5 24.9 24.1 18.3 21.4 19.2 20.2 18.9
Current Expenditure - - 17.6 19.4 15.1 17.4 15.5 16.0 15.9
Defence - - 6.5 5.6 3.1 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5
Markup Payments - - 3.8 6.8 4.9 4.8 5.0 4.4 3.9
Others** - - 7.3 7.0 7.2 10.0 8.0 9.2 9.6
Development Expenditure - - 7.3 4.7 3.3 4.0 3.5 4.4 2.8
Overall Deficit 2.1 5.3 7.1 6.9 4.4 7.3 5.2 6.2 6.5
MONEY & CREDIT (growth %)
Monetary Assets (M2) 16.3 21.0 13.2 16.8 15.0 15.3 9.6 12.5 15.9
Domestic Assets 15.0 20.5 15.4 12.2 14.1 33.6 15.4 12.7 13.1
STOCK EXCHANGE (growth %)
KSE 100 Index - - 0.1 4.1 27.2 -10.8 -41.7 35.7 28.5
Aggregate Market Capitalization - - 2.5 13.4 29.1 -6.0 -43.9 28.8 20.3
- : Not available mp : Market prices fc : Factor cost P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final
*: At average exchange rate used in National Accounts Committee meeting
**: also include provincial expenditure
Note: From 2016-17, CPI is estimated on 2015-16=100 as base year
: In 2015-16 base year and composition of sub sectors of GDP has been changed, therefore growth rate in
respective variable is onward from 2016-17 is provided on new base.
2
SOCIAL INDICATORS
Base Year 2005-06 Base Year 2015-16
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
F R (Jul-Mar) P
3.8 3.7 4.1 4.1 4.6 4.6 6.1 3.1 -0.9 5.7 6.0
3.6 2.7 2.5 2.1 0.2 2.2 3.9 0.9 3.9 3.5 4.4
2.1 4.9 5.7 3.9 3.7 4.9 7.1 4.5 -7.8 10.5 9.8
3.1 1.7 3.5 3.6 2.9 3.3 6.3 0.6 -0.6 5.4 5.7
4.4 5.1 4.5 4.4 5.7 5.6 6.0 5.0 -1.2 6.0 6.2
17.1 10.8 10.0 17.0 5.8 11.3 15.2 1.5 3.8 16.0 24.1
18.1 10.7 9.7 18.0 5.8 11.6 15.8 0.3 3.2 15.8 24.6
27.2 4.9 1.2 29.0 7.0 29.7 24.4 -24.0 -2.1 23.4 37.9
14.9 12.9 12.8 14.5 5.4 5.9 12.4 10.8 4.7 13.7 20.6
86.3 92.8 91.3 93.4 90.1 77.9 68.5 73.1 90.0 96.2 73.1
13.8 7.2 8.7 6.6 9.3 22.1 31.5 26.9 10.0 3.8 26.9
15.1 15.0 14.6 15.7 15.9 16.3 17.1 15.5 14.8 14.6 15.1
13.5 13.4 13.0 14.1 14.2 14.6 15.4 13.8 13.1 12.9 13.4
3.7 3.5 3.2 3.7 3.4 4.1 4.6 3.1 2.8 3.0 3.4
9.7 9.8 9.9 10.4 10.8 10.5 10.7 10.7 10.3 10.0 10.0
13.0 13.9 13.4 14.7 14.4 12.7 11.7 11.3 13.3 14.1 11.1
2.1 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.6 3.6 5.4 4.2 1.5 0.5 4.1
7.8 8.7 7.7 8.6 9.8 8.6 7.8 6.4 7.6 7.1 4.5
1320.5 1333.7 1388.8 1514.0 1639.7 1723.0 1767.9 1577.6 1457.6 1676.5 1797.5
5.7 7.1 7.4 4.3 0.5 4.0 3.7 9.2 9.9 10.4 13.3
11.0 7.4 8.6 4.5 2.9 4.8 4.7 6.8 10.7 8.9 11.0
12.8 13.3 14.5 14.3 13.6 13.9 13.3 11.2 13.2 12.4 8.8
10.2 9.8 10.2 11.0 10.4 10.4 10.8 9.7 9.3 9.4 7.2
2.6 3.5 4.3 3.3 3.2 3.5 2.5 1.5 3.9 2.9 1.6
21.6 21.5 20.0 19.6 17.7 19.1 19.1 19.1 20.3 18.5 12.6
17.3 16.4 15.9 16.1 14.3 14.6 14.9 16.2 17.9 16.3 11.0
2.5 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.4 1.3
4.5 4.5 4.6 4.8 3.9 3.8 3.8 4.8 5.5 4.9 3.2
10.3 9.5 8.9 8.8 8.2 8.3 8.5 8.8 9.9 9.0 6.5
3.9 5.1 4.9 4.2 4.0 4.8 4.0 2.7 2.4 2.2 1.5
8.8 8.2 5.5 5.3 4.1 5.2 5.8 7.9 7.1 6.1 3.8
14.1 15.9 12.5 13.2 13.7 13.7 9.7 11.3 17.5 16.2 4.6
20.2 20.9 9.1 11.7 12.9 18.3 15.9 19.1 11.0 10.0 9.7
10.4 52.2 41.2 16.0 9.8 23.2 -10.0 -19.1 0.1 39.5 -5.1
6.2 47.6 36.2 5.7 2.3 25.5 -9.0 -20.5 -6.8 29.2 -8.6
(Contd...)
3
ECONOMIC AND
1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
INDICATORS
Average (Annual)
4
SOCIAL INDICATORS
2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
F R (Jul-Mar) P
28.9 -2.6 0.3 1.1 -3.9 -8.8 0.1 12.6 -2.1 -7.1 13.7 27.8 *
14.9 12.8 -0.6 3.8 -0.8 -0.6 16.7 16.0 -6.8 -15.9 24.3 39.0 *
25.8 17.7 5.6 13.7 18.2 6.4 -2.8 2.9 9.2 6.4 27.3 7.6 *
11.9 11.0 10.7 10.2 8.9 7.0 6.5 6.9 7.5 7.5 7.4 7.0 *
16.7 18.0 17.4 17.0 15.3 13.1 14.1 15.6 16.1 14.5 15.6 15.6 *
4.9 7.0 6.6 6.8 6.4 6.1 7.7 8.7 8.6 7.0 8.2 8.6 *
+0.1 2.1 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.8 3.6 5.4 4.2 1.5 0.8 3.6 *
22.7 22.5 22.6 23.2 23.3 24.0 23.0 23.5 23.5 24.1 24.1 -
25.2 23.5 24.2 26.0 25.1 25.6 26.7 25.1 24.3 25.2 27.5 26.4
4.8 6.2 5.5 6.8 7.0 6.8 6.8 7.5 7.2 7.4 8.4 9.3
55.3 58.4 63.8 67.5 62.8 65.5 75.5 83.3 67.2 66.4 81.0 88.7
11.5 13.6 13.0 12.8 14.0 9.9 10.7 11.9 9.9 9.1 7.1 8.3
3.9 3.9 3.6 4.1 4.3 3.7 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.5 5.0 3.8
263.0 293.9 336.2 391.4 515.9 598.3 704.5 972.6 1174.0 1214.7 1365.9 958.3
2939.5 2954.6 3017.9 3066.0 3360.0 3405.6 3428.1 3430.7 3431.3 3049.6 3441.6 2594.7
1020.3 1023.4 1029.1 1036.1 1036.1 1039.2 1043.3 1043.7 1046.0 931.0 969.8 788.3
5.9 6.0 5.7 6.7 7.0 8.0 8.1 7.2 7.7 8.1 8.8 6.7
4.2 4.6 5.1 5.6 5.1 5.1 7.0 6.6 5.3 4.9 5.7 7.8
28.8 29.5 31.1 31.4 32.2 35.4 37.0 41.1 39.9 39.1 49.8 36.5
378.0 370.7 366.2 409.1 437.1 468.5 479.7 509.8 572.1 550.6 594.3 493.7
172.0 179.1 182.9 167.5 184.0 225.3 223.9 270.1 246.6 342.4 394.1 296.2
65.4 62.0 67.4 64.5 62.7 53.5 34.3 59.1 60.7 46.1 51.5 46.1
93.2 94.1 102.8 101.7 94.3 55.3 59.8 74.2 67.1 65.0 70.0 44.1
24.0 24.6 27.8 31.6 34.5 31.7 32.3 32.6 32.5 28.1 27.6 24.1
1471.6 1559.0 1505.8 1493.5 1465.8 1481.6 1471.9 1458.9 1436.5 1316.6 1279.2 962.4
22.5 22.8 22.8 23.5 23.8 25.9 29.9 33.6 35.1 36.1 37.2 41.6
259.5 261.6 263.4 263.8 265.4 265.9 267.0 268.9 271.0 501.4 500.7 500.8
10.4 11.5 11.6 13.2 13.9 15.6 21.9 24.3 25.2 30.0 32.2 33.6
12.0 12.0 12.8 12.1 12.1 11.7 11.5 11.5 10.1 10.1 10.1 9.6
5.7 5.8 6.4 5.7 4.2 3.3 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.5
108.9 120.2 128.9 140.0 114.7 133.2 139.8 150.2 161.0 168.5 184.3 191.7
(Contd...)
5
ECONOMIC AND
1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
INDICATORS
Average (Annual)
HUMAN RESOURCES:
Population* million - - 96.3 124.6 150.9 155.4 158.2 161.0 163.8
Crude Birth Rate per 1000 person - - - - 27.4 26.1 26.1 26.1 24.3
Crude Death Rate per 1000 person - - - - 7.9 8.2 7.1 7.1 7.3
Infant Mortality Rate per 1000 person - - - - 79.6 77.0 76.7 76.7 68.2
Labour Force & Employment***
Labour Force million - - 11.6 35.1 45.5 46.8 50.5 50.8 52.2
Employed Labour Force million - - 11.2 33.1 42.4 43.2 47.3 48.1 49.5
Un-employed Labour Force million - - 0.4 2.0 3.6 3.6 3.1 2.7 2.7
Un-employment Rate % per annum - - 1.4 5.7 6.8 7.6 6.2 5.2 5.2
SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT:
Education
Primary Schools 000 nos. - - 88.8 143.5 155.2 157.5 158.7 157.4 156.7
Male 000 nos. - - 64.6 96.4 96.6 97.7 97.8 92.5 93.3
Female 000 nos. - - 24.2 47.1 58.6 59.8 60.9 64.9 63.4
Middle Schools 000 nos. - - 6.8 15.3 31.9 39.4 40.1 40.8 40.9
Male 000 nos. - - 4.6 8.8 16.7 20.1 22.6 20.2 20.5
Female 000 nos. - - 2.2 6.5 15.2 19.3 17.5 20.6 20.4
High Schools 000 nos. - - 5.4 10.6 18.6 22.9 23.6 24.0 24.3
Male 000 nos. - - 3.9 7.4 12.2 14.8 14.6 15.0 15.1
Female 000 nos. - - 1.5 3.2 6.3 8.1 9.0 9.0 9.2
Technical / Vocational
Institutions nos. - - 508.6 572.2 1623.8 3059.0 3090.0 3125.0 3159.0
Male - - 282.2 328.7 874.8 1584.0 1599.0 1618.0 1636.0
Female - - 235.2 243.5 749.0 1475.0 1491.0 1507.0 1523.0
Literacy Rate percent - - 29.5 40.7 52.6 54.0 55.0 56.0 57.0
Male - - 39.0 51.6 65.7 65.0 67.0 69.0 69.0
Female - - 18.7 28.6 41.4 42.0 42.0 44.0 45.0
Expenditure on Education
(as % of GDP) 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8
Health*
Registered Doctors 000 nos. 2.0 6.3 28.1 68.9 109.7 123.1 128.0 133.9 139.5
Registered Nurses 000 nos. - 2.9 9.9 24.1 48.7 57.6 62.6 65.4 69.3
Registered Dentists 000 nos. 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.8 6.0 7.4 8.2 9.0 9.8
Hospitals nos. 380.0 521.0 651.0 823.0 917.5 924.0 945.0 948.0 968.0
Dispensaries 000 nos. 1.7 2.8 3.5 4.3 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.8
Rural Health Centers nos. - 1.0 127.0 330.0 494.0 560.0 562.0 561.0 572.0
TB Centres nos. - 90.0 122.0 245.0 283.7 288.0 290.0 293.0 293.0
Total Beds 000 nos. 25.5 38.4 55.6 83.8 99.3 102.1 103.3 103.0 103.7
Expenditure on Health
(as % of GDP) - 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final - : Not available
* : on Calendar Year basis **: Labour Force Survey 2017-18 ***: Labour Force Survey 2020-21
Notes:
Total may differ due to rounding off
Note: Total Population is revised from 2018 onward on the basis of Census 2017 by NIPS
6
SOCIAL INDICATORS
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
F R (Jul-Mar) P
173.5 177.1 180.7 184.4 188.0 191.7 198.8 207.7 211.8 216.1 220.4 224.78 -
28.0 27.5 27.2 26.8 26.4 26.1 27.8 27.3 26.7 26.1 25.4 - -
7.4 7.3 7.2 7.0 6.9 6.8 7.0 7.6 7.8 6.7 6.6 - -
72.0 70.5 69.0 67.5 66.1 64.6 62.4 67.2 67.2 59.5 58.5 - -
157.5 155.5 154.6 159.7 157.9 165.9 164.6 168.9 172.5 180.1 183.9 187.9 -
96.9 93.6 93.6 99.6 97.6 99.9 99.3 102.8 99.0 99.4 98.6 97.5 -
60.6 58.2 57.0 60.1 60.3 66.0 65.3 66.1 73.5 80.7 85.3 90.4 -
41.3 41.6 42.0 42.1 42.9 44.8 45.7 49.1 46.7 47.3 48.3 49.3 -
21.8 21.9 21.6 20.7 21.8 22.4 18.7 21.2 23.2 23.6 24.2 24.8 -
19.5 20.4 21.0 21.4 21.1 22.4 27.0 27.9 23.5 23.7 24.1 24.5 -
24.8 25.2 28.7 29.9 30.6 31.3 31.7 31.6 31.4 31.7 32.0 32.3 -
14.2 14.4 14.3 17.6 18.0 18.2 16.1 16.9 17.9 18.0 18.1 18.1 -
10.6 9.5 11.6 12.3 12.6 13.1 15.6 14.7 13.5 13.7 13.9 14.2 -
3192.0 3224.0 3257.0 3290.0 3323.0 3579.0 3746.0 3798.0 3740.0 3740.0 3825.0 3914.0 -
1010.0 1018.0 1028.0 1037.0 1047.0 1760.0 2232.0 2262.0 2410.0 2410.0 2586.0 2754.0 -
2182.0 2206.0 2229.0 2253.0 2276.0 1819.0 1514.0 1536.0 1330.0 1330.0 1239.0 1160.0 -
57.7 58.0 58.0 60.0 58.0 60.0 58.0 - 62.3 ** 60.0 60.0 62.8 *** -
69.5 69.0 70.0 71.0 70.0 70.0 70.0 - 72.5 ** 71.0 70.0 73.4 *** -
45.2 46.0 47.0 48.0 47.0 49.0 48.0 - 51.8 ** 49.0 50.0 51.9 *** -
1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 -
144.9 152.4 160.9 167.7 175.2 184.7 195.9 208.0 220.8 233.3 246.0 266.4 -
73.2 77.7 82.1 86.1 90.3 94.8 99.2 103.8 108.5 112.1 116.7 121.3 -
10.5 11.6 12.7 13.7 15.1 16.7 18.3 20.5 22.6 24.9 27.4 31.0 -
972.0 980.0 1092.0 1113.0 1143.0 1172.0 1243.0 1264.0 1279.0 1282.0 1289.0 1276.0 -
4.8 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.7 6.0 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.8 -
577.0 579.0 640.0 667.0 669.0 684.0 668.0 688.0 686.0 670.0 719.0 736.0 -
304.0 345.0 326.0 329.0 334.0 339.0 345.0 431.0 441.0 412.0 410.0 416.0 -
104.1 107.5 111.8 118.4 118.2 119.5 124.8 131.0 132.2 133.7 147.1 147.0 -
0.5 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.2 -
7
TABLE 1.1
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT AT CONSTANT BASIC PRICES OF 2015-16
Rs million
Sectors 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 % Change
F R P 2020-21/ 2021-22/
2019-20 2020-21
A. AGRICULTURE 7,306,957 7,468,900 7,758,432 7,831,296 8,137,860 8,420,705 8,791,447 3.48 4.40
1. Crops 2,497,153 2,531,438 2,648,128 2,532,070 2,692,121 2,852,578 3,040,265 5.96 6.58
i). Important Crops 1,462,455 1,501,621 1,565,723 1,431,198 1,506,263 1,594,031 1,709,421 5.83 7.24
ii). Other Crops 912,388 901,099 943,042 977,166 1,067,179 1,155,393 1,218,208 8.27 5.44
iii). Cotton Ginning 122,310 128,718 139,363 123,706 118,679 103,154 112,636 (13.08) 9.19
2. Livestock 4,531,885 4,662,846 4,830,324 5,006,731 5,146,701 5,269,009 5,440,778 2.38 3.26
3. Forestry 161,737 157,022 160,541 172,129 177,917 177,111 187,970 (0.45) 6.13
4. Fishing 116,182 117,594 119,439 120,366 121,121 122,007 122,434 0.73 0.35
B. INDUSTRIAL SECTOR 5,939,635 6,213,295 6,783,864 6,800,675 6,409,967 6,910,608 7,407,709 7.81 7.19
1. Mining & Quarrying 691,258 685,104 734,818 738,791 685,844 694,134 663,084 1.21 (4.47)
2. Manufacturing 3,668,779 3,847,353 4,119,706 4,305,977 3,970,245 4,387,842 4,817,690 10.52 9.80
i). Large Scale 2,841,709 2,957,914 3,162,576 3,274,235 2,906,578 3,240,668 3,580,206 11.49 10.48
ii). Small Scale 494,949 538,401 585,867 638,626 647,374 705,450 768,204 8.97 8.90
iii). Slaughtering 332,121 351,038 371,263 393,116 416,293 441,723 469,280 6.11 6.24
3. Electricity, Gas and Water Supply 681,030 690,618 745,548 786,907 814,703 866,129 934,188 6.31 7.86
4. Construction 898,569 990,220 1,183,792 969,000 939,174 962,503 992,747 2.48 3.14
COMMODITY PRODUCING SECTOR (A+B) 13,246,592 13,682,195 14,542,296 14,631,971 14,547,827 15,331,313 16,199,156 5.39 5.66
C. SERVICES SECTOR 17,261,613 18,232,012 19,317,324 20,284,070 20,038,838 21,241,331 22,555,934 6.00 6.19
1. Wholesale & Retail Trade 5,380,330 5,727,275 6,114,661 6,331,734 5,998,707 6,633,542 7,299,219 10.58 10.04
2. Transport & Storage 3,448,607 3,589,252 3,707,938 3,990,773 3,634,152 3,817,868 4,024,673 5.06 5.42
3. Accommodation and Food Services
Activities (Hotels & Restaurants) 425,666 442,789 460,952 479,936 499,522 520,024 541,196 4.10 4.07
4. Information and Communication 610,952 675,174 703,443 763,216 868,338 933,478 1,044,594 7.50 11.90
5. Finance and Insurance Activities 530,185 573,828 624,079 662,149 647,435 685,878 719,687 5.94 4.93
6. Real Estate Activities (OD) 1,735,453 1,798,794 1,863,846 1,932,853 2,006,873 2,079,996 2,156,863 3.64 3.70
7. Public Administration and Social
Security (General Government) 1,458,465 1,547,990 1,717,130 1,776,775 1,830,153 1,820,093 1,797,778 (0.55) (1.23)
8. Education 954,556 939,569 972,853 991,899 1,024,760 1,058,068 1,149,604 3.25 8.65
9. Human Health and Social Work
Activities 419,645 470,322 497,098 535,541 568,638 584,633 597,779 2.81 2.25
10. Other Private Services 2,297,754 2,467,019 2,655,324 2,819,194 2,960,260 3,107,751 3,224,541 4.98 3.76
GDP {Total of GVA at bp (A + B + C)} 30,508,205 31,914,207 33,859,620 34,916,041 34,586,665 36,572,644 38,755,090 5.74 5.97
Indirect Taxes 2,442,880 2,483,605 2,610,793 2,555,422 2,449,628 2,894,190 3,215,037 18.15 11.09
Subsidies 226,036 222,184 192,402 287,359 325,947 375,056 459,289 15.07 22.46
GDP {GVA + T - S} 32,725,049 34,175,628 36,278,011 37,184,104 36,710,346 39,091,778 41,510,838 6.49 6.19
Net Primary Income (NPI)* 1,492,194 1,479,873 1,484,165 1,934,448 2,424,050 3,276,052 2,931,447 35.15 (10.52)
Gross National Income 34,217,243 35,655,501 37,762,176 39,118,552 39,134,396 42,367,830 44,442,285 8.26 4.90
Population (in million) 200.19 205.17 209.75 213.95 218.24 222.59 227.00 1.99 1.98
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
* : As per PBS, Net Primary Income (NPI) = Net Factor Income (NFI)
Note: Figure in parenthesis indicate negative growth.
11
TABLE 1.2
SECTORAL SHARE IN GDP (%)
(%)
Sector 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
F R P
A. AGRICULTURE 23.95 23.40 22.91 22.43 23.53 23.02 22.68
1. Crops 8.19 7.93 7.82 7.25 7.78 7.80 7.84
Important Crops 4.79 4.71 4.62 4.10 4.36 4.36 4.41
Other Crops 2.99 2.82 2.79 2.80 3.09 3.16 3.14
Cotton Ginning 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.35 0.34 0.28 0.29
2. Livestock 14.85 14.61 14.27 14.34 14.88 14.41 14.04
3. Forestry 0.53 0.49 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.48 0.49
4. Fishing 0.38 0.37 0.35 0.34 0.35 0.33 0.32
B. INDUSTRIAL SECTOR 19.47 19.47 20.04 19.48 18.53 18.90 19.11
1. Mining & Quarrying 2.27 2.15 2.17 2.12 1.98 1.90 1.71
2. Manufacturing 12.03 12.06 12.17 12.33 11.48 12.00 12.43
Large Scale 9.31 9.27 9.34 9.38 8.40 8.86 9.24
Small Scale 1.62 1.69 1.73 1.83 1.87 1.93 1.98
Slaughtering 1.09 1.10 1.10 1.13 1.20 1.21 1.21
3. Electricity, Gas & Water Supply 2.23 2.16 2.20 2.25 2.36 2.37 2.41
4. Construction 2.95 3.10 3.50 2.78 2.72 2.63 2.56
COMMODITY PRODUCING SECTOR (A+B) 43.42 42.87 42.95 41.91 42.06 41.92 41.80
C. SERVICES SECTOR 56.58 57.13 57.05 58.09 57.94 58.08 58.20
1. Wholesale & Retail Trade 17.64 17.95 18.06 18.13 17.34 18.14 18.83
2. Transport & Storage 11.30 11.25 10.95 11.43 10.51 10.44 10.38
3. Accommodation and Food Services Activities
(Hotels & Restaurants) 1.40 1.39 1.36 1.37 1.44 1.42 1.40
4. Information and Communication 2.00 2.12 2.08 2.19 2.51 2.55 2.70
5. Finance and Insurance Activities 1.74 1.80 1.84 1.90 1.87 1.88 1.86
6. Real Estate Activities (OD) 5.69 5.64 5.50 5.54 5.80 5.69 5.57
7. Public Administration and Social Security
(General Government) 4.78 4.85 5.07 5.09 5.29 4.98 4.64
8. Education 3.13 2.94 2.87 2.84 2.96 2.89 2.97
9. Human Health and Social Work Activities 1.38 1.47 1.47 1.53 1.64 1.60 1.54
10. Other Private Services 7.53 7.73 7.84 8.07 8.56 8.50 8.32
GDP {Total of GVA at bp (A + B + C)} 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
TABLE 1.3
Growth Rates (%)
(%)
Sector 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
F R P
A. AGRICULTURE 2.22 3.88 0.94 3.91 3.48 4.40
1. Crops 1.37 4.61 (4.38) 6.32 5.96 6.58
Important Crops 2.68 4.27 (8.59) 5.24 5.83 7.24
Other Crops (1.24) 4.65 3.62 9.21 8.27 5.44
Cotton Ginning 5.24 8.27 (11.23) (4.06) (13.08) 9.19
2. Livestock 2.89 3.59 3.65 2.80 2.38 3.26
3. Forestry (2.92) 2.24 7.22 3.36 (0.45) 6.13
4. Fishing 1.22 1.57 0.78 0.63 0.73 0.35
B. INDUSTRIAL SECTOR 4.61 9.18 0.25 (5.75) 7.81 7.19
1. Mining & Quarrying (0.89) 7.26 0.54 (7.17) 1.21 (4.47)
2. Manufacturing 4.87 7.08 4.52 (7.80) 10.52 9.80
Large Scale 4.09 6.92 3.53 (11.23) 11.49 10.48
Small Scale 8.78 8.82 9.01 1.37 8.97 8.90
Slaughtering 5.70 5.76 5.89 5.90 6.11 6.24
3. Electricity, Gas & Water Supply 1.41 7.95 5.55 3.53 6.31 7.86
4. Construction 10.20 19.55 (18.14) (3.08) 2.48 3.14
COMMODITY PRODUCING SECTOR (A+B) 3.29 6.29 0.62 (0.58) 5.39 5.66
C. SERVICES SECTOR 5.62 5.95 5.00 (1.21) 6.00 6.19
1. Wholesale & Retail Trade 6.45 6.76 3.55 (5.26) 10.58 10.04
2. Transport & Storage 4.08 3.31 7.63 (8.94) 5.06 5.42
3. Accommodation and Food Services Activities
(Hotels & Restaurants) 4.02 4.10 4.12 4.08 4.10 4.07
4. Information and Communication 10.51 4.19 8.50 13.77 7.50 11.90
5. Finance and Insurance Activities 8.23 8.76 6.10 (2.22) 5.94 4.93
6. Real Estate Activities (OD) 3.65 3.62 3.70 3.83 3.64 3.70
7. Public Administration and Social Security
(General Government) 6.14 10.93 3.47 3.00 (0.55) (1.23)
8. Education (1.57) 3.54 1.96 3.31 3.25 8.65
9. Human Health and Social Work Activities 12.08 5.69 7.73 6.18 2.81 2.25
10. Other Private Services 7.37 7.63 6.17 5.00 4.98 3.76
GDP {Total of GVA at bp (A + B + C)} 4.61 6.10 3.12 (0.94) 5.74 5.97
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Note: Figure in parenthesis indicate negative growth.
12
TABLE 1.4
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT AT CURRENT PRICES
Rs million
Sectors 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 % Change
F R P 2020-21/ 2021-22/
2019-20 2020-21
A. Agriculture 7,306,957 7,808,538 8,485,078 9,056,577 10,389,544 12,650,937 14,896,781 21.77 17.75
1. Crops 2,497,153 2,814,824 2,997,673 3,026,409 3,704,256 4,728,105 5,782,886 27.64 22.31
Important Crops 1,462,455 1,665,727 1,724,508 1,692,431 2,015,035 2,731,874 3,387,606 35.57 24.00
Other Crops 912,388 995,393 1,096,907 1,152,141 1,502,853 1,804,768 2,077,865 20.09 15.13
Cotton Ginning 122,310 153,704 176,258 181,837 186,368 191,463 317,415 2.73 65.78
2. Livestock 4,531,885 4,681,073 5,163,098 5,681,368 6,301,160 7,504,838 8,660,910 19.10 15.40
3. Forestry 161,737 159,493 165,288 184,508 197,771 225,869 258,805 14.21 14.58
4. Fishing 116,182 153,148 159,019 164,292 186,357 192,125 194,180 3.10 1.07
B. INDUSTRIAL SECTOR 5,939,635 6,434,821 7,285,014 8,568,673 8,837,507 10,487,430 13,271,324 18.67 26.55
1. Mining & Quarrying 691,258 706,614 847,753 1,156,829 1,230,493 1,258,716 1,371,712 2.29 8.98
2. Manufacturing 3,668,778 4,017,236 4,547,093 5,513,025 5,427,248 6,646,410 8,855,634 22.46 33.24
Large Scale 2,841,709 3,083,146 3,499,175 4,266,145 4,026,236 4,916,269 6,743,961 22.11 37.18
Small Scale 494,949 575,507 633,065 772,543 851,921 1,038,424 1,280,298 21.89 23.29
Slaughtering 332,121 358,582 414,852 474,337 549,090 691,717 831,376 25.98 20.19
3. Electricity, Gas & Water Supply 681,030 684,635 601,438 723,614 936,384 1,198,052 1,196,379 27.94 (0.14)
4. Construction 898,569 1,026,336 1,288,730 1,175,205 1,243,382 1,384,252 1,847,599 11.33 33.47
COMMODITY PRODUCING SECTOR (A+B) 13,246,592 14,243,359 15,770,092 17,625,250 19,227,051 23,138,367 28,168,105 20.34 21.74
C. SERVICES SECTOR 17,261,613 18,931,611 20,744,074 23,484,914 25,519,825 29,074,932 34,509,450 13.93 18.69
1. Wholesale & Retail Trade 5,380,330 5,910,874 6,647,619 7,719,369 7,827,884 9,575,067 12,743,775 22.32 33.09
2. Transport & Storage 3,448,607 3,605,358 3,413,093 3,663,539 3,976,118 4,666,915 4,377,831 17.37 (6.19)
3. Accommodation and Food Services Activities
(Hotels & Restaurants) 425,666 474,246 537,789 587,976 620,711 726,385 812,493 17.02 11.85
4. Information and Communication 610,952 672,357 687,372 764,469 929,777 991,997 1,147,333 6.69 15.66
5. Finance and Insurance Activities 530,185 573,387 673,401 904,881 1,088,992 929,339 1,758,413 (14.66) 89.21
6. Real Estate Activities (OD) 1,735,453 1,951,033 2,133,802 2,356,250 2,572,654 2,806,149 3,083,344 9.08 9.88
7. Public Administration and Social Security
(General Government) 1,458,465 1,622,405 1,891,699 2,102,445 2,385,741 2,567,759 2,831,319 7.63 10.26
8. Education 954,556 1,031,740 1,228,677 1,373,330 1,494,309 1,556,051 1,764,782 4.13 13.41
9. Human Health and Social Work Activities 419,645 506,166 608,073 701,212 792,130 881,480 974,059 11.28 10.50
10. Other Private Services 2,297,754 2,584,045 2,922,549 3,311,443 3,831,509 4,373,790 5,016,101 14.15 14.69
GDP {Total of GVA at bp (A + B + C)} 30,508,205 33,174,970 36,514,166 41,110,164 44,746,876 52,213,299 62,677,555 16.69 20.04
Indirect Taxes 2,442,880 2,603,563 2,876,571 3,015,143 3,184,272 4,068,363 5,013,528 27.76 23.23
Subsidies 226,036 225,714 200,927 326,906 390,739 486,147 741,176 24.42 52.46
GDP {GVA + T - S} 32,725,049 35,552,819 39,189,810 43,798,401 47,540,409 55,795,515 66,949,907 17.36 19.99
Net Primary Income (NPI)* 1,492,194 1,460,043 1,539,673 2,135,631 2,730,935 3,908,330 4,408,309 43.11 12.79
Gross National Income 34,217,243 37,012,862 40,729,483 45,934,032 50,271,344 59,703,845 71,358,216 18.76 19.52
Population (in million) 200.2 205.2 209.8 214.0 218.2 222.6 227.0 1.99 1.98
Per Capita Income (Rs) 170,924 180,401 194,181 214,695 230,349 268,223 314,353 16.44 17.20
Per Capita Income(US $) 1,639.7 1,723.0 1,767.9 1,577.6 1,457.6 1,676.2 1,797.5 14.99 7.24
GDP Deflator Index 100.00 103.95 107.84 117.74 129.38 142.77 161.73 10.35 13.28
GDP Deflator (Growth %) 3.95 3.74 9.18 9.88 10.35 13.28
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
* : As per PBS, Net Primary Income (NPI) = Net Factor Income (NFI)
Note: Figure in parenthesis indicate negative growth.
13
TABLE 1.5
EXPENDITURE ON GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT AT CONSTANT PRICES OF 2015-16
Rs million
Flows 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 % Change
F R P 2020-21/ 2021-22/
2019-20 2020-21
Household Final Consumption
Expenditure 26,106,974 27,915,885 29,915,812 31,583,262 30,674,157 33,545,348 36,948,148 9.36 10.14
NPISH Final Consumption Expenditure 296,722 317,125 352,015 370,679 374,912 388,667 368,944 3.67 (5.07)
General Government Final Consumption
Expenditure 3,471,786 3,627,594 3,826,636 3,766,290 4,086,774 4,161,026 4,019,571 1.82 (3.40)
Total Investment 5,214,981 5,601,582 6,153,971 5,557,257 5,220,581 5,465,991 5,625,516 4.70 2.92
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 4,657,149 5,017,178 5,533,617 4,921,409 4,592,834 4,797,521 4,915,681 4.46 2.46
A. Private Sector 3,537,220 3,621,176 3,879,013 3,812,927 3,627,468 3,717,184 3,698,625 2.47 (0.50)
B. Public Sector 252,053 353,002 418,721 404,028 257,481 273,532 261,167 6.23 (4.52)
C. General Govt. 867,876 1,043,000 1,235,883 704,454 707,885 806,805 955,888 13.97 18.48
Change in Inventories 523,601 546,810 580,448 594,946 587,366 625,468 664,173 6.49 6.19
Valuable 34,231 37,593 39,906 40,903 40,381 43,001 45,662 6.49 6.19
Export of Goods and Non-Factor
Services 2,859,095 2,929,753 3,223,918 3,648,583 3,703,874 3,945,411 4,277,537 6.52 8.42
Less Imports of Goods and Non-Factor
Services 5,224,509 6,216,310 7,194,340 7,741,968 7,349,952 8,414,664 9,728,877 14.49 15.62
Expenditure on GDP at Market Prices 32,725,049 34,175,628 36,278,011 37,184,104 36,710,346 39,091,778 41,510,838 6.49 6.19
Plus Net Primary Income* 1,492,194 1,479,873 1,484,165 1,934,448 2,424,050 3,276,052 2,931,447 35.15 (10.52)
Expenditure on GNP at Market Prices 34,217,243 35,655,501 37,762,176 39,118,552 39,134,396 42,367,830 44,442,285 8.26 4.90
Less Indirect Taxes 2,442,880 2,483,605 2,610,793 2,555,422 2,449,628 2,894,190 3,215,037 18.15 11.09
Plus Subsidies 226,036 222,184 192,402 287,359 325,947 375,056 459,289 15.07 22.46
GNP at Factor Cost 32,000,399 33,394,080 35,343,785 36,850,489 37,010,715 39,848,696 41,686,537 7.67 4.61
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
* : As per PBS, Net Primary Income (NPI) = Net Factor Income (NFI)
Note: Figure in parenthesis indicate negative growth.
TABLE 1.6
EXPENDITURE ON GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT AT CURRENT PRICES
Rs million
Flows 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 % Change
F R P 2020-21/ 2021-22/
2019-20 2020-21
Household Final Consumption Expenditure 26,106,974 28,800,377 31,906,384 36,301,307 38,265,131 45,959,938 57,065,160 20.11 24.16
NPISH Final Consumption Expenditure 296,722 332,379 386,231 434,362 487,348 546,349 575,331 12.11 5.30
General Government Final Consumption
Expenditure 3,471,786 3,823,258 4,308,381 4,708,220 5,604,444 6,102,658 6,794,114 8.89 11.33
Total Investment 5,214,981 5,806,803 6,689,031 6,788,597 7,043,368 8,171,193 10,137,272 16.01 24.06
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 4,657,149 5,198,850 6,018,885 6,039,644 6,230,427 7,217,090 8,992,429 15.84 24.60
A. Private Sector 3,537,220 3,745,750 4,211,187 4,665,930 4,885,372 5,556,780 6,703,572 13.74 20.64
B. Public Sector 252,053 363,686 448,598 475,183 349,556 418,892 481,283 19.84 14.89
C. General Govt. 867,876 1,089,414 1,359,100 898,531 995,499 1,241,418 1,807,574 24.70 45.61
Change in Inventories 523,601 568,845 627,037 700,774 760,647 892,728 1,071,199 17.36 19.99
Valuable 34,231 39,108 43,109 48,178 52,294 61,375 73,645 17.36 19.99
Export of Goods and Non-Factor Services 2,859,095 2,923,015 3,363,191 4,113,048 4,420,573 5,054,072 7,008,316 14.33 38.67
Less Imports of Goods and Non-Factor
Services 5,224,509 6,133,012 7,463,408 8,547,132 8,280,456 10,038,695 14,630,286 21.23 45.74
Expenditure on GDP at Market Prices 32,725,049 35,552,819 39,189,810 43,798,401 47,540,409 55,795,515 66,949,907 17.36 19.99
Plus Net Primary Income* 1,492,194 1,460,043 1,539,673 2,135,631 2,730,935 3,908,330 4,408,309 43.11 12.79
Expenditure on GNP at Market Prices 34,217,243 37,012,862 40,729,483 45,934,032 50,271,344 59,703,845 71,358,216 18.76 19.52
Less Indirect Taxes 2,442,880 2,603,563 2,876,571 3,015,143 3,184,272 4,068,363 5,013,528 27.76 23.23
Plus Subsidies 226,036 225,714 200,927 326,906 390,739 486,147 741,176 24.42 52.46
GNP at Factor Cost 30,508,205 33,174,970 36,514,166 41,110,164 44,746,876 52,213,299 62,677,555 16.69 20.04
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
* : As per PBS, Net Primary Income (NPI) = Net Factor Income (NFI)
14
TABLE 1.7
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (GFCF) IN PRIVATE, PUBLIC, AND GENERAL
GOVERNMENT SECTORS BY ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AT CURRENT MARKET PRICES
Rs million
Sector 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 % Change
F R R 2020-21/ 2021-22/
2019-20 2020-21
GFCF (A+B+C) 4,657,149 5,198,850 6,018,885 6,039,644 6,230,427 7,217,090 8,992,429 15.84 24.60
A. Private Sector 3,537,220 3,745,750 4,211,187 4,665,930 4,885,372 5,556,780 6,703,572 13.74 20.64
B. Public Sector 252,053 363,686 448,598 475,183 349,556 418,892 481,283 19.84 14.89
C. General Govt. 867,876 1,089,414 1,359,100 898,531 995,499 1,241,418 1,807,574 24.70 45.61
Private & Public (A+B) 3,789,273 4,109,436 4,659,785 5,141,113 5,234,928 5,975,672 7,184,855 14.15 20.24
SECTOR-WISE:
1. Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing 904,250 965,529 1,050,711 1,138,639 1,251,854 1,513,149 1,787,577 20.87 18.14
2. Mining and Quarrying 122,166 100,586 71,969 73,327 90,144 85,759 96,691 (4.86) 12.75
3. Manufacturing (A+B) 723,845 755,058 810,934 891,741 870,779 987,687 1,074,191 13.43 8.76
A. Large Scale 633,494 649,780 694,141 749,597 699,962 775,052 798,536 10.73 3.03
B. Small Scale (including Slaughtering) 90,351 105,278 116,793 142,144 170,817 212,635 275,655 24.48 29.64
4. Electricity Gas and Water Supply 201,651 191,259 387,511 461,987 314,993 335,661 291,097 6.56 (13.28)
5. Construction 64,882 111,621 84,984 44,489 50,961 50,710 74,937 (0.49) 47.78
6. Wholesale and Retail Trade 202,799 231,144 301,783 430,297 408,671 458,047 472,404 12.08 3.13
7. Accommodation and Food Services Activities
(Hotels & Restaurants) 74,922 92,968 85,589 85,772 57,994 57,050 59,726 (1.63) 4.69
8. Transport and Storage 416,691 492,166 610,512 558,132 364,876 605,736 868,244 66.01 43.34
9. Information and Communication 158,036 157,208 143,185 155,142 368,840 230,361 324,444 (37.54) 40.84
10. Finance and Insurance Activities 56,520 65,697 61,650 72,956 78,146 95,670 113,570 22.42 18.71
11. Real Estate Activities (OD) 523,819 562,916 613,462 709,639 803,990 901,064 1,215,696 12.07 34.92
12. Public Administration and Defence;
compulsory social security 750,084 967,642 1,229,418 804,220 888,918 1,070,774 1,584,815 20.46 48.01
13. Education 179,991 182,153 190,376 198,774 217,294 284,049 373,782 30.72 31.59
14. Human Health and Social Work Activities 92,531 108,840 128,714 118,991 146,936 180,997 223,956 23.18 23.73
15. Other Private Services 184,962 214,063 248,085 295,537 316,032 360,375 431,299 14.03 19.68
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final (Contd…)
Note: Figure in parenthesis indicate negative growth.
15
TABLE 1.7 a
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (GFCF) IN PRIVATE SECTOR BY ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
AT CURRENT MARKET PRICES
Rs million
Sector 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 % Change
F R P 2020-21/ 2021-22/
2019-20 2020-21
PRIVATE SECTOR 3,537,220 3,745,750 4,211,187 4,665,930 4,885,372 5,556,780 6,703,572 13.74 20.64
1. Agriculture 904,045 965,346 1,050,469 1,138,425 1,251,552 1,512,886 1,786,989 20.88 18.12
Crops 176,622 212,925 233,258 237,615 240,929 304,518 382,585 26.39 25.64
Cotton Ginning 1,042 1,097 1,150 1,274 1,487 1,748 2,106 17.55 20.48
Livestock 689,165 712,747 776,275 855,920 958,893 1,148,427 1,333,399 19.77 16.11
Forestry 1,392 1,468 1,542 1,712 2,000 2,355 2,843 17.75 20.72
Fishing 35,824 37,109 38,244 41,904 48,243 55,838 66,056 15.74 18.30
2. Mining and Quarrying 94,113 38,057 47,723 55,204 65,017 60,464 82,905 (7.00) 37.11
3. Manufacturing (A+B) 722,512 726,853 802,299 889,976 862,159 973,292 1,060,254 12.89 8.93
A. Large Scale 632,161 621,575 685,506 747,832 691,342 760,657 784,599 10.03 3.15
B. Small Scale (including Slaughtering) 90,351 105,278 116,793 142,144 170,817 212,635 275,655 24.48 29.64
4. Electricity Gas and Water Supply 46,543 44,640 126,854 86,747 78,541 73,065 66,860 (6.97) (8.49)
5. Construction 59,704 105,809 78,378 43,519 46,805 40,935 60,972 (12.54) 48.95
6. Wholesale and Retail Trade 202,799 231,144 301,783 430,297 408,671 458,047 472,404 12.08 3.13
7. Accommodation and Food Services Activities
74,922 92,968 85,589 85,772 57,994 57,050 59,726
(Hotels & Restaurants) (1.63) 4.69
8. Transport and Storage 389,786 422,421 495,270 515,888 340,198 544,854 751,285 60.16 37.89
9. Information and Communication 129,729 123,564 116,808 126,389 326,496 196,113 245,424 (39.93) 25.14
10. Finance and Insurance Activities 49,556 48,748 55,057 65,082 70,269 84,232 94,779 19.87 12.52
11. Real Estate Activities (OD) 523,819 562,916 613,462 709,639 803,990 901,064 1,215,696 12.07 34.92
12. Education 99,588 108,127 121,144 139,770 160,611 182,254 237,152 13.48 30.12
13. Human Health and Social Work Activities 55,142 61,094 68,266 83,685 97,037 112,149 137,827 15.57 22.90
14. Other Private Services 184,962 214,063 248,085 295,537 316,032 360,375 431,299 14.03 19.68
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final (Contd…)
Note: Figure in parenthesis indicate negative growth.
TABLE 1.7 b
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (GFCF) IN PUBLIC AND GENERAL GOVERNMENT
SECTORS BY ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AT CURRENT MARKET PRICES
Rs million
Sector 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 % Change
F R P 2020-21/ 2021-22/
2019-20 2020-21
Public Sector and
General Govt. (A+B) 1,119,929 1,453,100 1,807,698 1,373,714 1,345,055 1,660,310 2,288,857 23.44 37.86
A. Public Sector (Autonomous & Semi Auto-Bodies) 252,053 363,686 448,598 475,183 349,556 418,892 481,283 19.84 14.89
1. Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing 205 183 242 214 302 263 588 (12.91) 123.57
2. Mining and Quarrying 28,053 62,529 24,246 18,123 25,127 25,295 13,786 0.67 (45.50)
3. Manufacturing (Large Scale) 1,333 28,205 8,635 1,765 8,620 14,395 13,937 67.00 (3.18)
4. Electricity, Gas & Water Supply 155,108 146,619 260,657 375,240 236,452 262,596 224,237 11.06 (14.61)
5. Construction 5,178 5,812 6,606 970 4,156 9,775 13,965 135.20 42.86
6. Transport & Storage 26,905 69,745 115,242 42,244 24,678 60,882 116,959 146.71 92.11
Railways 5,825 39,407 8,627 14,612 6,261 4,239 1,979 (32.30) (53.31)
Post Office & PTCL - 1 - 997 1,539 2,422 1,005 57.37 (58.51)
Others 21,080 30,337 106,615 26,635 16,878 54,221 113,975 221.25 110.20
7. Information and Communication 28,307 33,644 26,377 28,753 42,344 34,248 79,020 (19.12) 130.73
8. Finance & Insurance 6,964 16,949 6,593 7,874 7,877 11,438 18,791 45.21 64.29
B. General Govt. 867,876 1,089,414 1,359,100 898,531 995,499 1,241,418 1,807,574 24.70 45.61
Federal 235,406 314,376 359,047 354,495 387,225 477,178 565,630 23.23 18.54
Provincial 527,461 686,665 909,116 463,854 527,970 653,800 1,063,748 23.83 62.70
District Governments 105,009 88,373 90,937 80,182 80,304 110,440 178,196 37.53 61.35
General Government (By industries) 867,876 1,089,414 1,359,098 898,530 995,500 1,241,418 1,807,574 24.70 45.61
i) Public Administration and Social Security
(General Government) 750,084 967,642 1,229,418 804,220 888,918 1,070,774 1,584,815 20.46 48.01
ii) Education 80,403 74,026 69,232 59,004 56,683 101,795 136,630 79.59 34.22
iii) Human health and social work activities 37,389 47,746 60,448 35,306 49,899 68,848 86,129 37.98 25.10
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Note: Figure in parenthesis indicate negative growth.
16
TABLE 1.8
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (GFCF) IN PRIVATE, PUBLIC, AND GENERAL
GOVERNMENT SECTORS BY ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AT CONSTANT PRICES (2015-16)
Rs million
Sector 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 % Change
F R P 2020-21/ 2021-22/
2019-20 2020-21
GFCF (A+B+C) 4,657,149 5,017,178 5,533,617 4,921,409 4,592,834 4,797,521 4,915,681 4.46 2.46
A. Private Sector 3,537,220 3,621,176 3,879,013 3,812,927 3,627,468 3,717,184 3,698,625 2.47 (0.50)
B. Public Sector 252,053 353,002 418,721 404,028 257,481 273,532 261,167 6.23 (4.52)
C. General Govt. 867,876 1,043,000 1,235,883 704,454 707,885 806,805 955,888 13.97 18.48
Private & Public (A+B) 3,789,273 3,974,178 4,297,734 4,216,955 3,884,949 3,990,716 3,959,792 2.72 (0.77)
SECTOR-WISE:
1. Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing 904,250 954,120 988,985 996,522 996,479 1,037,227 1,074,961 4.09 3.64
2. Mining and Quarrying 122,166 101,274 71,341 57,706 55,167 51,178 52,739 (7.23) 3.05
3. Manufacturing (A+B) 723,845 720,981 739,446 706,175 627,453 645,739 577,816 2.91 (10.52)
A. Large Scale 633,494 622,096 631,209 587,689 497,732 503,705 422,282 1.20 (16.16)
B. Small Scale (including Slaughtering) 90,351 98,885 108,237 118,486 129,721 142,034 155,534 9.49 9.50
4. Electricity Gas and Water Supply 201,651 183,994 363,600 399,832 239,057 220,276 164,355 (7.86) (25.39)
5. Construction 64,882 107,742 78,075 36,618 38,333 35,276 40,063 (7.98) 13.57
6. Wholesale and Retail Trade 202,799 221,295 274,423 337,356 290,600 297,684 249,817 2.44 (16.08)
7. Accommodation and Food Services Activities
(Hotels & Restaurants) 74,922 89,007 77,829 67,246 41,238 37,077 31,584 (10.09) (14.82)
8. Transport and Storage 416,691 471,198 555,163 437,579 259,458 393,667 459,145 51.73 16.63
9. Information and Communication 158,036 150,510 130,204 121,632 262,277 149,712 171,573 (42.92) 14.60
10. Finance and Insurance Activities 56,520 62,897 56,060 57,198 55,568 62,175 60,058 11.89 (3.40)
11. Real Estate Activities (OD) 523,819 543,355 563,585 584,065 604,777 626,827 649,931 3.65 3.69
12. Public Administration and Defence; compulsory
social security 750,084 926,416 1,117,958 630,514 632,097 695,903 838,088 10.09 20.43
13. Education 179,991 175,242 174,250 161,297 161,121 192,943 199,038 19.75 3.16
14. Human Health and Social Work Activities 92,531 104,203 117,045 93,289 104,484 117,631 118,433 12.58 0.68
15. Other Private Services 184,962 204,944 225,651 234,380 224,726 234,207 228,079 4.22 (2.62)
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final (Contd…)
Note: Figure in parenthesis indicate negative growth.
17
TABLE 1.8 a
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (GFCF) IN PRIVATE SECTOR BY ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
AT CONSTANT PRICES (2015-16)
Rs million
Sector 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 % Change
F R P 2020-21/ 2021-22/
2019-20 2020-21
PRIVATE SECTOR 3,537,220 3,621,176 3,879,013 3,812,927 3,627,468 3,717,184 3,698,625 2.47 (0.50)
1. Agriculture 904,045 953,943 988,757 996,336 996,250 1,037,054 1,074,634 4.10 3.62
Crops 176,622 206,283 219,931 206,156 182,757 200,445 213,116 9.68 6.32
Cotton Ginning 1,042 1,063 1,084 1,106 1,128 1,150 1,173 1.95 2.00
Livestock 689,165 709,222 730,231 751,233 774,253 797,154 821,965 2.96 3.11
Forestry 1,392 1,423 1,453 1,485 1,517 1,550 1,584 2.18 2.19
Fishing 35,824 35,952 36,058 36,356 36,595 36,755 36,796 0.44 0.11
2. Mining and Quarrying 94,113 38,317 47,307 43,443 39,790 36,083 45,219 (9.32) 25.32
3. Manufacturing (A+B) 722,512 693,978 731,594 704,791 621,324 636,384 570,446 2.42 (10.36)
A. Large Scale 632,161 595,093 623,357 586,305 491,603 494,350 414,912 0.56 (16.07)
B. Small Scale (including Slaughtering) 90,351 98,885 108,237 118,486 129,721 142,034 155,534 9.49 9.50
4. Electricity Gas and Water Supply 46,543 41,949 117,837 74,272 59,696 47,425 39,446 (20.56) (16.82)
5. Construction 59,704 102,132 72,006 35,819 35,207 28,476 32,597 (19.12) 14.47
6. Wholesale and Retail Trade 202,799 221,295 274,423 337,356 290,600 297,684 249,817 2.44 (16.08)
7. Accommodation and Food Services
Activities (Hotels & Restaurants) 74,922 89,007 77,829 67,246 41,238 37,077 31,584 (10.09) (14.82)
8. Transport and Storage 389,786 404,424 450,369 404,459 241,910 354,100 397,295 46.38 12.20
9. Information and Communication 129,729 118,300 106,218 99,089 232,167 127,454 129,785 (45.10) 1.83
10. Finance and Insurance Activities 49,556 46,671 50,065 51,025 49,967 54,742 50,121 9.56 (8.44)
11. Real Estate Activities (OD) 523,819 543,355 563,585 584,065 604,777 626,827 649,931 3.65 3.69
12. Education 99,588 104,370 111,295 115,037 120,815 126,785 126,785 4.94 (0.00)
13. Human Health and Social Work Activities 55,142 58,491 62,077 65,609 69,002 72,886 72,886 5.63 0.00
14. Other Private Services 184,962 204,944 225,651 234,380 224,726 234,207 228,079 4.22 (2.62)
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final (Contd…)
Note: Figure in parenthesis indicate negative growth.
TABLE 1.8 b
GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (GFCF) IN PUBLIC AND GENERAL GOVERNMENT
SECTORS BY ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AT CONSTANT PRICES (2015-16)
Rs million
Sector 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 % Change
F R P 2020-21/ 2021-22/
2019-20 2020-21
Public Sector and
General Govt. (A+B) 1,119,929 1,396,002 1,654,604 1,108,482 965,366 1,080,337 1,217,055 11.91 12.66
A. Public Sector (Autonomous & Semi
Auto-Bodies) 252,053 353,002 418,721 404,028 257,481 273,532 261,167 6.23 (4.52)
1. Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing 205 177 228 186 229 173 327 (24.45) 89.02
2. Mining and Quarrying 28,053 62,957 24,034 14,263 15,377 15,095 7,520 (1.83) (50.18)
3. Manufacturing (Large Scale) 1,333 27,003 7,852 1,384 6,129 9,355 7,370 52.64 (21.22)
4. Electricity, Gas & Water Supply 155,108 142,045 245,763 325,560 179,361 172,851 124,909 (3.63) (27.74)
5. Construction 5,178 5,610 6,069 799 3,126 6,800 7,466 117.51 9.79
6. Transport & Storage 26,905 66,774 104,794 33,120 17,548 39,567 61,850 125.48 56.32
Railways 5,825 37,729 7,845 11,456 4,452 2,755 1,047 (38.12) (62.00)
Post Office & PTCL 0 1 0 782 1,094 1,574 531 43.88 (66.26)
Others 21,080 29,044 96,949 20,882 12,002 35,238 60,272 193.60 71.04
7. Information and Communication 28,307 32,210 23,986 22,543 30,110 22,258 41,788 (26.08) 87.74
8. Finance & Insurance 6,964 16,226 5,995 6,173 5,601 7,433 9,937 32.71 33.69
B. General Govt. 867,876 1,043,000 1,235,883 704,454 707,885 806,805 955,888 13.97 18.48
Federal 235,406 300,982 326,495 277,926 275,350 310,121 299,119 12.63 (3.55)
Provincial 527,461 657,410 826,695 363,664 375,432 424,909 562,535 13.18 32.39
District Governments 105,009 84,608 82,693 62,863 57,103 71,776 94234.286 25.69 31.29
General Government (By industries) 867,876 1,043,000 1,235,881 704,453 707,886 806,805 955,888 13.97 18.48
i) Public Administration and Social
Security (General Government) 750,084 926,416 1,117,958 630,514 632,097 695,903 838,088 10.09 20.43
ii) Education 80,403 70,872 62,955 46,260 40,306 66,157 72,253 64.14 9.21
iii) Human health and social work activities 37,389 45,712 54,968 27,680 35,482 44,745 45,547 26.10 1.79
P: Provisional, R: Revised, F: Final Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Note: Figure in parenthesis indicate negative growth.
18
TABLE 2.1 A
PRODUCTION INDEX OF IMPORTANT CROPS
Food crops Cash crop Fiber crop
Fiscal Year
Wheat Maize Rice Sugarcane Cotton
Base Year 2005-06
2005-06 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
2006-07 109.5 99.3 98.0 122.6 98.7
2007-08 98.5 115.9 100.3 143.1 89.5
2008-09 113.0 115.5 125.3 112.0 90.8
2009-10 109.6 104.9 124.1 110.5 99.2
2010-11 118.5 119.2 87.0 123.8 88.0
2011-12 110.3 139.5 111.1 130.7 104.4
2012-13 113.8 135.7 99.8 142.7 100.1
2013-14 122.1 159.0 122.6 151.0 98.1
2014-15 117.9 158.7 126.2 140.7 107.2
Base Year 2015-16
2015-16 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
2016-17 104.1 116.4 100.7 115.3 107.6
2017-18 97.8 112.0 109.5 127.3 120.5
2018-19 95.0 129.5 105.9 102.6 99.4
2019-20 98.5 149.1 109.0 101.4 92.2
2020-21 R 107.1 169.6 123.8 123.7 71.3
2021-22 P 103.0 201.8 137.1 135.4 84.0
P: Provisional R: Revised Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
21
TABLE 2.1 B
BASIC DATA ON AGRICULTURE
Fiscal Cropped Area Improved Water ^ Fertilizer Credit Tubewells
Year (million Seed distribution Availability Offtake Disbursed Public & Private
hectares) (000 Tonnes) (MAF) (000 N/T) (Rs million) (Number in 000)
22
TABLE 2.2
LAND UTILIZATION
Million Hectares
Fiscal Total Reported Forest Not Avail- Culturable Cultivated Area Area Sown Total
Year Area Area Area able for Waste Current Net Area Total Area more than Cropped
Cultivation Fallow Sown Cultivated once Area
(6+7) (7+9)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
2010-11 79.61 57.64 4.26 23.37 7.98 6.38 15.65 22.03 7.07 22.72
2011-12 79.61 57.73 4.26 23.25 8.19 7.05 14.98 22.03 7.52 22.50
2012-13 79.61 57.78 4.26 23.06 8.21 7.04 15.22 22.26 7.34 22.56
2013-14 79.61 57.99 4.55 25.56 8.27 6.68 15.40 22.06 7.76 23.16
2014-15 79.61 57.99 4.54 25.54 8.30 6.66 15.46 23.24 7.82 23.26
2015-16 79.61 58.11 3.99 25.56 8.27 10.14 15.62 22.74 7.90 24.04
2016-17 79.61 58.00 4.47 25.54 8.37 9.51 15.59 22.11 7.46 23.01
2017-18 79.61 58.02 4.47 25.60 8.29 9.40 15.74 22.15 7.75 23.45
2018-19 79.61 57.90 4.47 23.00 8.29 9.40 15.74 22.15 7.75 23.45
2019-20 79.90 57.90 3.90 23.10 8.20 10.10 15.74 15.70 8.40 24.10
2020-21 P 79.90 57.90 3.90 23.10 8.20 10.10 15.74 15.70 8.40 24.10
P: Provisional Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Ministry of National Food Security and Research
Note:
1. Total Area Reported is the total physical area of the villages/deh, tehsils or districts, etc.
2. Forest Area is the area of any land classed or administered as forest under any legal enactment dealing with forests. Any cultivated area
which may exist within such forest is shown under heading "cultivated area".
3. Area Not Available for Cultivation is that uncultivated area of the farm which is under farm home-steads, farm roads and other
connected purposes and not available for cultivation.
4. Culturable Waste is that uncultivated farm area which is fit for cultivation but was not cropped during the year under reference nor in
the year before that.
5. Current Fallow (ploughed but uncropped) is that area which is vacant during the year under reference but was sown at least once during
the previous year.
Cultivated Area is that area which was sown at least during the year under reference or during the previous year.
Cultivated Area = Net Area Sown + Current Fallow.
6. Net Area Sown is that area which is sown at least once during (Kharif & Rabi) the year under reference.
7. Area Sown more than once is the difference between the total cropped area and the net area sown.
8. Total Cropped Area means the aggregate area of crops raised in a farm during the year under reference including the area under fruit
trees.
23
TABLE 2.3
AREA UNDER IMPORTANT CROPS
000 Hectares
Fiscal Wheat Rice Bajra Jowar Maize Barley Total Gram Sugar- Rapeseed Sesa- Cotton Tobacco
Year Food cane and mum
Grains Mustard
2010-11 8,901 2,365 548 229 974 77 13,094 1,054 988 212 78 2,689 51
2011-12 8,650 2,571 458 214 1,087 72 13,052 1,008 1,058 201 76 2,835 46
2012-13 8,660 2,309 461 198 1,060 73 12,761 992 1,129 224 71 2,879 50
2013-14 9,199 2,789 475 198 1,168 71 13,900 950 1,173 220 82 2,806 49
2014-15 9,204 2,891 462 195 1,142 68 13,962 943 1,141 214 83 2,961 54
2015-16 9,224 2,739 486 274 1,191 66 13,980 940 1,131 201 79 2,902 53
2016-17 8,972 2,724 469 256 1,348 61 13,830 971 1,218 190 80 2,489 47
2017-18 8,797 2,901 489 255 1,251 58 13,751 977 1,342 199 83 2,700 46
2018-19 8,678 2,810 456 241 1,374 57 13,616 943 1,102 237 83 2,373 45
2019-20 8,805 3,034 522 199 1,404 49 14,013 944 1,040 353 139 2,517 51
2020-21 9,168 3,335 350 126 1,418 42 14,439 883 1,165 224 170 2,079 55
2021-22 P 8,976 3,537 227 77 1,653 39 14,509 867 1,260 277 200 1,937 55
P: Provisional Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Note: 1 ha = 2.47 acres
TABLE 2.4
PRODUCTION OF IMPORTANT CROPS
000 Tonnes
Fiscal Wheat Rice Bajra Jowar Maize Barley Total Gram Sugar- Rape- Sesa- Cotton Tob-
Year Food cane seed and mum (000 (000 acco
Grains Mustard tonnes) Bales)
2010-11 25,214 4,823 346 141 3,707 71 34,302 496 55,309 188 31.0 1,949 11,460 103
2011-12 23,473 6,160 304 137 4,338 66 34,478 284 58,397 164 30.2 2,310 13,595 98
2012-13 24,211 5,536 311 123 4,220 67 34,468 751 63,750 205 29.2 2,214 13,031 108
2013-14 25,979 6,798 301 119 4,944 67 38,208 399 67,460 203 32.4 2,170 12,769 130
2014-15 25,086 7,003 294 115 4,937 63 37,498 379 62,826 196 33.1 2,372 13,960 120
2015-16 25,633 6,801 300 161 5,271 61 38,227 286 65,482 185 31.8 1,688 9,917 116
2016-17 26,674 6,849 305 148 6,134 58 40,168 330 75,482 181 34.1 1,815 10,671 100
2017-18 25,076 7,450 339 153 5,902 55 38,975 323 83,333 225 35.2 2,032 11,946 107
2018-19 24,349 7,202 350 149 6,826 55 38,931 447 67,174 302 35.7 1,677 9,861 104
2019-20 25,248 7,414 384 120 7,883 48 41,097 498 66,380 488 64.4 1,556 9,148 133
2020-21 27,464 8,420 266 96 8,940 42 45,228 234 81,009 296 102.2 1,202 7,064 168
2021-22 P 26,394 9,323 226 64 10,635 42 46,688 319 88,651 375 128.0 1,417 8,329 168
P: Provisional Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
24
TABLE 2.5
YIELD PER HECTARE OF MAJOR AGRICULTURAL CROPS
Kg/Hectare
TABLE 2.6
PRODUCTION AND EXPORT OF FRUIT
000 Tonnes
Fiscal Production of Important Fruit Export
Year Citrus Mango Apple Banana Apricot Almonds Grapes Guava Quantity Value
(Mln. Rs)
2010-11 1,982 1,889 526 139 190 22 64 547 669 25,017
2011-12 2,147 1,700 599 97 189 21 64 495 737 32,068
2012-13 2,002 1,680 556 116 179 22 64 500 718 38,085
2013-14 2,168 1,659 606 119 178 22 66 496 784 45,196
2014-15 2,395 1,717 617 118 171 22 66 488 682 44,375
2015-16 2,344 1,636 620 135 173 22 66 523 677 44,607
2016-17 2,180 1,784 670 137 166 21 66 548 646 39,878
2017-18 2,351 1,734 565 135 142 21 67 586 697 43,842
2018-19 2,469 1,723 544 136 108 20 68 548 756 56,272
2019-20 2,369 1,639 604 151 94 20 82 706 798 67,769
2020-21 2,451 1,714 672 142 124 21 89 963 975 76,846
2021-22 P 2,422 1,843 666 142 125 21 89 963 515 67,931
P: Provisional (Jul-Mar) Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
25
TABLE 2.7
CROP WISE COMPOSITION OF OUTPUT OF IMPORTANT AGRICULTURAL CROPS
(AT CONSTANT BASIC PRICES)
% Share
Base Year 2005-06 Base Year 2015-16
Fiscal Year/
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
Crops
P
Important Crops 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
Food Crops 58.79 61.21 59.94 66.04 65.07 61.56 66.21 68.43 70.65 68.61
Wheat 40.21 40.29 38.63 46.25 44.97 41.41 43.09 43.63 44.14 40.12
Maize 8.09 8.88 8.83 9.65 10.47 9.87 12.24 13.76 14.50 16.39
Rice 10.49 12.04 12.49 10.14 9.63 10.28 10.88 11.04 12.01 12.10
Cash Crop 13.15 13.09 12.11 16.27 17.13 18.92 16.47 15.92 18.08 18.81
Sugarcane 13.15 13.09 12.11 16.27 17.13 18.92 16.47 15.92 18.08 18.81
Fibre Crop 28.06 25.70 27.95 17.70 17.79 19.53 17.32 15.66 11.26 12.58
Cotton 28.06 25.70 27.95 17.70 17.79 19.53 17.32 15.66 11.26 12.58
P: Provisional Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
TABLE 2.8
CREDIT DISBURSED BY AGENCIES
Rs Million
Fiscal ZTBL DPBs PPCBL Commercial MFBs Islamic MFIs/ Total
Year Banks Banks* RSPs
**
2010-11 65,361 50,187 7,162 140,312 - - - 263,022
2011-12 66,068 60,876 8,520 146,271 12,115 - - 293,850
2012-13 67,068 69,271 8,304 172,833 18,770 - - 336,247
2013-14 77,920 84,813 8,809 195,488 22,796 1,527 - 391,353
2014-15 95,827 108,708 10,486 262,912 32,951 4,991 - 515,875
2015-16 90,977 123,097 10,335 311,401 53,938 8,540 - 598,287
2016-17 92,451 139,061 10,880 342,068 87,772 12,326 19,930 704,488
2017-18 83,187 184,863 10,724 523,930 124,756 16,392 28,754 972,606
2018-19 71,478 211,942 9,677 653,531 153,998 39,379 33,984 1,173,990
2019-20 62,286 224,970 8,825 708,245 139,298 42,143 28,917 1,214,684
2020-21 78,500 274,525 8,205 801,472 132,070 47,815 23,281 1,365,870
2021-22 P 46,999 202,170 4,800 525,699 112,116 47,856 18,627 958,269
P: Provisional (Jul-Mar) - : Not available Source: State Bank of Pakistan
ZTBL: Zarai Taraqiati Bank Limited
DPBs: 14 Domestic Private Banks
PPCBL: Punjab Provincial Corporative Bank Limited
Commercial Banks: Include ABL, HBL, MCB, NBP & UBL
MFBs: 11 Microfinance Banks
*: 5 Islamic Banks
**: 13 Microfinance Institutions / Rural Support Programmes
26
TABLE 2.9
FERTILIZER OFFTAKE AND IMPORTS OF FERTILIZERS & PESTICIDES
000 N/Tonnes
Fertilizer Offtake Import of Insecticides
Fiscal Import of
Year Fertilizers Quantity Value
Nitrogen Phosphorus Potash Total
(Tonnes) (Mln Rs.)
2010-11 3,134 767 32 3,933 645 36,183 13,178
2011-12 3,207 633 21 3,861 1,177 32,152 12,255
2012-13 2,853 747 21 3,621 735 17,882 8,507
2013-14 3,185 881 24 4,089 1,148 23,546 12,572
2014-15 3,309 975 33 4,316 984 23,157 14,058
2015-16 2,672 1,007 20 3,699 901 17,386 15,974
2016-17 3,730 1,269 41 5,040 961 18,088 16,680
2017-18 3,435 1,279 50 4,763 1,191 26,480 19,162
2018-19 3,408 1,153 53 4,614 1,093 29,117 25,909
2019-20 3,415 1,084 50 4,549 890 32,089 29,572
2020-21 3,711 1,228 69 5,008 884 37,441 30,083
2021-22 P 2,861 903 63 3,826 586 24,151 23,296
P: Provisional (Jul-Mar) Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
National Fertilizer Development Centre
TABLE 2.10
AVERAGE RETAIL SALE PRICES OF FERTILIZERS
Rs per bag of 50 Kgs
Fiscal Year Urea AN/CAN AS NP SSP(G) DAP SOP
27
TABLE 2.11
AREA IRRIGATED BY DIFFERENT SOURCES
Million Hectares
Canals Wells Canal Tubewells Canal Others Total
Fiscal Year
Wells Tubewells
2010-11 6.00 0.36 0.25 3.92 7.60 0.72 19.16
2011-12 5.59 0.35 0.19 4.03 7.86 0.72 18.99
2012-13 5.22 0.30 0.19 3.81 7.86 0.19 18.68
2013-14 5.55 0.38 0.27 3.71 8.15 0.17 19.28
2014-15 5.55 0.38 0.27 3.71 8.15 0.17 19.28
2015-16 5.59 0.35 0.30 4.48 8.19 0.26 19.33
2016-17 5.56 0.10 0.30 3.57 7.89 0.21 18.91
2017-18 5.66 0.43 0.28 3.57 8.19 0.21 19.32
2018-19 5.42 0.27 0.28 3.75 8.23 0.16 18.11
2019-20 5.55 0.26 0.25 4.04 8.51 0.25 18.86
2020-21 P 5.55 0.26 0.25 4.04 8.51 0.25 18.86
P: Provisional Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Ministry of National Food Security & Research
TABLE 2.12
PROCUREMENT/SUPPORT PRICES OF AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
Rs per 40 Kg
Fiscal Wheat Sugarcane* (at factory gate)
Seed Cotton
Year Khyber
Punjab Sindh (Phutti)
Pakhtunkhwa
2010-11 950.0 125.0 125.0 125.0 -
2011-12 1,050.0 150.0 150.0 154.0 -
2012-13 1,200.0 170.0 170.0 172.0 -
2013-14 1,200.0 170.0 170.0 172.0 -
2014-15 1,300.0 180.0 180.0 182.0 3000.0
2015-16 1,300.0 180.0 180.0 172.0 3000.0
2016-17 1,300.0 180.0 180.0 182.0 -
2017-18 1,300.0 180.0 180.0 182.0 -
2018-19 1,300.0 180.0 180.0 182.0 -
2019-20 1,400.0 190.0 190.0 192.0 -
2020-21 1,800.0 200.0 200.0 202.0 -
2021-22 2,200.0 225.0 225.0 250.0 5000.0
* : Sugarcane prices are notified by the respective Provincial Governments Source: Ministry of National Food Security & Research
28
TABLE 2.13
PROCUREMENT, RELEASES AND STOCKS OF WHEAT
000 Tonnes
Fiscal Wheat (May-April)
Year
Procurement Releases Stocks
2010-11 6,150.0 6,404.0 3,186.0
2011-12 5,792.0 5,820.0 3,506.0
2012-13 7,910.0 6,363.0 1,681.0
2013-14 5,948.0 6,149.0 7,566.0
2014-15 6,139.0 3,380.0 6,447.0
2015-16 5,806.0 4,468.1 6,284.0
2016-17 6,516.0 - 4,531.0
2017-18 5,942.0 - 9,858.0
2018-19 4,034.0 - 3,777.0
2019-20 6,596.0 1,846.3 602.2
2020-21 5,810.5 3,894.0 8,144.1
2021-22 P 6,326.6 7,052.1* 1,805.4**
P: Provisional - : Not available Source: Ministry of National Food Security & Research
*: As on 13-04-2022 **: As on 01-05-2022 (carry forward)
TABLE 2.14
LIVESTOCK POPULATION
Million Numbers
Fiscal Year Buffalo Cattle Goat Sheep Poultry Camels Asses Horses Mules
2010-11 31.7 35.6 61.5 28.1 663.0 1.0 4.7 0.4 0.2
2011-12 32.7 36.9 63.1 28.4 721.0 1.0 4.8 0.4 0.2
2012-13 33.7 38.3 64.9 28.8 785.0 1.0 4.9 0.4 0.2
2013-14 34.6 39.7 66.6 29.1 855.0 1.0 4.9 0.4 0.2
2014-15 35.6 41.2 68.4 29.4 932.0 1.0 5.0 0.4 0.2
2015-16 36.6 42.8 70.3 29.8 1,016.0 1.0 5.1 0.4 0.2
2016-17 37.7 44.4 72.2 30.1 1,108.0 1.1 5.2 0.4 0.2
2017-18 38.8 46.1 74.1 30.5 1,210.0 1.1 5.3 0.4 0.2
2018-19 40.0 47.8 76.1 30.9 1,321.0 1.1 5.4 0.4 0.2
2019-20 41.2 49.6 78.2 31.2 1,443.0 1.1 5.5 0.4 0.2
2020-21 42.4 51.5 80.3 31.6 1,578.0 1.1 5.6 0.4 0.2
2021-22 P 43.7 53.4 82.5 31.9 1,725.0 1.1 5.7 0.4 0.2
P: Provisional Source: Ministry of National Food Security & Research
Note: Estimated figures based on inter census growth rate of Livestock Census 1996 & 2006
29
TABLE 2.15
LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
000 Tonnes
Fiscal Milk* Beef Mutton Poultry Wool Hair Bones Fats Blood Eggs Hides Skins
Year Meat (Mln.Nos.) (Mln.Nos.) (Mln.Nos.)
2010-11 37,475 1,711 616 767 42.5 23.2 735.1 234.8 58.3 12,857 13.5 48.5
2011-12 38,617 1,769 629 834 43.0 23.8 757.5 241.7 59.8 13,114 13.9 49.6
2012-13 39,855 1,829 643 907 43.6 24.4 780.5 248.8 61.3 13,813 14.4 50.7
2013-14 41,133 1,887 657 987 44.1 25.1 802.9 255.8 62.8 14,556 14.9 51.9
2014-15 42,454 1,951 671 1074 44.6 25.8 827.2 263.3 64.4 15,346 15.4 53.1
2015-16 43,818 2,017 686 1170 45.1 26.5 852.3 271.0 66.1 16,188 15.9 54.3
2016-17 45,227 2,085 701 1276 45.7 27.2 878.2 279.0 67.8 17,083 16.4 55.5
2017-18 46,682 2,155 717 1391 46.2 27.9 904.9 287.3 69.5 18,037 17.0 56.8
2018-19 48,185 2,227 732 1518 46.8 28.6 932.5 295.8 71.3 19,052 17.5 58.1
2019-20 49,737 2,303 748 1657 47.3 29.4 961.0 304.5 73.1 20,133 18.1 59.5
2020-21 51,340 2,380 765 1809 47.9 30.2 990.3 313.6 75.0 21,285 18.8 60.8
2021-22 P 52,996 2,461 782 1977 48.4 31.0 1,020.7 322.9 77.0 22,512 19.4 62.3
P: Provisional Source: Ministry of National Food Security & Research
*: Human Consumption
Note: From 2006-07 onward figures estimates are based on Inter census growth rate of Livestock Census 1996 & 2006
30
TABLE 3.1
RESERVES AND EXTRACTION OF PRINCIPAL MINERALS
Minerals Antimony Argonite/ China Chromite Coal Dolomite Fire Clay Fullers Gypsum Lime
in 000 tonnes (tonnes) Marble Clay (000 tonnes) (000 tonnes) (tonnes) (000 tonnes) Earth Anhydrite Stone
(000 tonnes) (000 tonnes) (000 tonnes) (000 tonnes) (000 tonnes)
Years
2011-12 12 1,751 22 179 3,179 198,392 408 7 1,260 35,016
Jul-Mar
TABLE 3.1
RESERVES AND EXTRACTION OF PRINCIPAL MINERALS
Minerals Magne- Rock Salt Silica Ochre Sulphur Soap Baryte Bauxite/ Iron Crude Natural
in 000 tonnes site (000 Sand (tonnes) (tonnes) Stone (000 Laterite Ore Oil Gas (000
(tonnes) tonnes) (000 (000 tonnes) (tonnes) (tonnes) (m. barrels) m.cu.mtr.)
tonnes) tonnes)
Years
2011-12 5,444 2,136 270 42,107 25,560 56 49 323,848 384,893 24.57 44.15
2012-13 6,705 2,160 356 37,769 20,610 93 118 353,355 412,108 27.84 42.65
2013-14 4,130 2,220 298 32,634 35,672 89 134 480,054 197,074 31.58 42.30
2014-15 4,581 2,136 268 33,909 19,730 116 205 451,818 328,702 34.49 41.51
2015-16 35,228 3,553 387 68,352 14,869 126 158 773,289 432,156 31.65 41.96
2016-17 19,656 3,534 338 86,080 23,740 152 92 719,030 501,664 32.27 41.68
2017-18 23,596 3,654 376 75,939 22,040 142 89 995,855 677,206 32.56 41.32
2018-19 42,996 3,799 805 81,502 20,715 157 116 779,118 627,464 32.50 40.68
2019-20 16,165 3,369 780 132,144 19,948 150 55 639,890 573,695 28.09 37.29
2020-21 15,120 3,366 461 106,704 19,398 289 52 1,085,913 805,696 27.56 36.22
Jul-Mar
2020-21 13,435 2,686 341 87,272 14,955 241 32 951,209 610,506 20.77 27.25
2021-22 P 6,409 2,037 425 65,055 12,442 259 84 344,753 619,957 21.70 28.2
33
TABLE 3.2
PRODUCTION INDEX OF MINING AND MANUFACTURING
Mining Manufacturing
Year
Base Year 2005-06 = 100
2010-11 108.1 111.1
2011-12 113.7 112.4
2012-13 115.3 117.4
2013-14 118.5 123.7
2014-15 120.5 127.9
2015-16 121.6 131.9
Base Year 2015-16 = 100
2016-17 101.9 104.2
2017-18 108.3 111.4
2018-19 109.4 115.2
2019-20 101.0 102.4
2020-21 104.1 114.1
Jul-Mar
2020-21 105.0 114.3
2021-22 P 99.0 126.2
P: Provisional Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
TABLE 3.3
COTTON TEXTILES STATISTICS
Year No. of Installed Capacity Spindle Loom Consump- Total Surplus Total Pro-
Mills No. of No. of Working at the end of Hours Hours tion of Yarn Pro- Yarn duction
Spindles Looms the period Worked Worked Cotton duced (000 of Cloth
(000) (000) (Million) (Million) (mln kg) (mln.kg) tonnes) (mln. sqmtr.)
No. of No. of
Spindles Looms
(000) (000)
2010-11 524 11,762 7 10,757 5 76,835 23.0 3,405.7 2,939.5 2,851.2 1,020.3
2011-12 212 11,762 7 10,653 5 76,933 23.0 3,427.1 2,954.6 2,857.3 1,023.4
2012-13 526 11,946 8 10,872 5 76,757 23.0 3,539.3 3,060.0 2,960.9 1,029.1
2013-14 538 13,269 8 10,999 6 78,207 24.0 3,675.5 3,323.7 2,669.5 1,036.1
2014-15 411 13,184 8 11,058 5 79,184 24.0 2,732.7 3,360.0 3,256.2 1,037.0
2015-16 408 13,142 8 11,263 5 78,548 28.0 2,732.5 3,405.6 3,301.6 1,039.2
2016-17 408 13,409 9 11,338 6 77,213 30.0 2,733.1 3,428.1 3,315.3 1,043.3
2017-18 408 13,409 9 11,313 6 51,280 19.0 1,825.0 3,430.1 2,190.3 1,043.7
2018-19 408 13,409 9 11,338 6 86,871 29.6 2,735.2 3,431.4 3,314.4 1,046.0
2019-20 408 13,409 9 11,338 6 19,897 9.0 2,467.3 3,059.9 2,945.6 934.5
2020-21 408 13,409 9 11,338 6 80,315 30.15 2,743.1 3,441.6 3,324.7 969.8
2021-22 P 408 13,409 9 11,338 6 60,561 23.4 2,046.1 2,594.7 2,505.6 788.3
34
TABLE 3.4
PRODUCTION OF FERTILIZERS, VEGETABLE GHEE, SUGAR AND CEMENT
(000 Tonnes)
Fertilizers Vegetable Sugar Cement
Year Super Ammonium Dia-Ammonium Nitro Ghee
Urea
Phosphate Nitrate phosphate Phosphate
2010-11 4,552.1 173.3 275.1 663.8 252.3 1,092 4,169 28,716
2011-12 4,470.7 114.7 432.3 622.6 337.6 1,103 4,634 29,557
2012-13 4,215.1 79.3 401.3 729.9 291.9 1,139 5,074 31,055
2013-14 4,930.3 87.8 519.1 693.1 447.2 1,185 5,582 31,418
2014-15 5,073.1 63.6 569.2 754.9 501.9 1,185 5,150 32,185
2015-16 5,846.9 89.5 647.4 787.6 594.6 1,241 5,115 35,432
2016-17 5,912.7 81.6 664.7 802.4 630.2 1,280 7,049 37,022
2017-18 5,405.2 65.2 518.9 758.4 471.4 1,347 6,566 41,148
2018-19 5,957.9 78.1 448.9 785.1 443.9 1,392 5,260 39,924
2019-20 6,159.8 55.8 545.7 737.7 602.7 1,454 4,881 39,121
2020-21 6,294.9 104.6 786.1 788.7 876.4 1,455 5,694 49,803
Jul-Mar
2020-21 4,632.6 82.8 582.5 567.3 654.2 1,088 5,619 37,619
2021-22 P 4,753.7 73.5 615.5 670.2 618.7 1,060 7,760 36,543
TABLE 3.5
PRODUCTION OF SELECTED INDUSTRIAL ITEMS
Food and Tobacco Rubber
Jute
Year Beverages Cigarettes Textiles Motor Motor Cycle Cycle
(Million (Million (000 tonnes) Tyres Tubes Tyres Tubes
liters) Nos) (000 Nos) (000 Nos) (000 Nos) (000 Nos)
2010-11 1,492 65,403 93 9,222 19,108 2,879 6,534
2011-12 1,813 61,954 94 7,011 20,338 3,431 6,846
2012-13 2,079 67,377 103 7,864 20,269 3,429 7,746
2013-14 2,552 64,482 102 8,802 20,825 4,038 8,061
2014-15 2,956 62,667 94 9,058 22,001 4,633 8,391
2015-16 3,137 53,522 55 9,735 24,467 4,205 7,285
2016-17 3,565 34,341 60 9,710 24,635 3,930 7,577
2017-18 3,440 59,058 74 10,392 24,665 3,753 7,717
2018-19 3,459 60,729 67 10,807 25,514 4,584 9,907
2019-20 3,232 46,085 65 11,128 24,550 4,438 9,058
2020-21 3,449 51,554 70 9,458 22,447 3,519 6,795
Jul-Mar
2020-21 2,625 39,473 53 7,535 16,915 2,641 5,144
2021-22 P 2,513 46,070 44 5,940 16,739 2,829 5,181
P : Provisional (Contd.)
35
TABLE 3.5
PRODUCTION OF SELECTED INDUSTRIAL ITEMS
Transport, Machinery &
Chemicals
Electrical Appliances
Polishes &
Year Soda Sulphuric Caustic Chlorine Paints & Sewing Total
Creams for Bicycles
Ash Acid Soda Gas Varnishes Machines TV Sets
Footwear (000 Nos.)
(000 tonnes) (000 tonnes) (000 tonnes) (000 tonnes) (tonnes) (000 Nos.) (000 Nos.)
(mln. grams)
2010-11 378.0 114.8 172.0 15.2 25,673 1,018.6 345.3 47.0 425.6
2011-12 370.7 100.4 179.1 15.8 23,026 1,028.8 262.1 39.6 268.8
2012-13 366.2 89.4 182.9 15.5 28,048 1,039.1 233.0 32.9 462.9
2013-14 409.1 85.3 167.5 15.0 37,236 1,049.5 203.7 19.8 426.6
2014-15 437.1 70.2 184.0 17.4 48,631 975.7 210.9 19.3 428.2
2015-16 468.5 75.1 225.3 16.4 53,651 985.5 199.0 13.5 453.2
2016-17 479.7 56.0 223.9 16.3 49,173 995.3 200.2 18.3 438.9
2017-18 509.8 49.0 270.1 16.6 51,930 1,005.3 200.3 23.4 400.3
2018-19 572.1 49.4 246.6 17.5 52,265 1,015.3 173.5 35.4 380.7
2019-20 550.6 40.3 342.4 15.8 51,761 1,025.5 141.1 28.6 282.1
2020-21 594.3 72.5 394.1 17.1 90,166 1,035.7 79.3 20.2 209.7
Jul-Mar
2020-21 439.4 50.8 292.0 13.0 70,848 716.6 53.1 15.2 159.3
2021-22 P 493.7 77.4 296.2 14.8 66,079 723.8 103.2 12.6 160.9
P : Provisional (Contd.)
TABLE 3.5
PRODUCTION OF SELECTED INDUSTRIAL ITEMS
Electrical Appliances Paper & Board Steel Products
Year Electric Electric Paper Paper Billets
Coke Pig Iron
Bulbs Tubes Board (All Types) (000 tonnes)
(000 tonnes) (000 tonnes)
(Mln.Nos) (000 metres) (000 tonnes) (000 tonnes)
2010-11 79.6 1,180.0 206.1 228.7 301.7 433.1 1,628.9
2011-12 79.0 1,266.0 283.0 246.3 192.9 249.1 1,616.4
2012-13 79.7 - 381.9 232.4 203.4 201.5 1,638.5
2013-14 75.1 - 465.8 218.7 31.9 89.4 2,128.3
2014-15 64.6 - 415.7 204.0 275.8 265.5 2,731.0
2015-16 73.9 - 376.9 233.1 57.4 1.5 3,183.3
2016-17 72.4 - 404.6 263.9 0.0 0.0 4,099.0
2017-18 76.4 - 457.3 273.9 0.0 0.0 5,186.0
2018-19 63.7 - 447.3 256.7 0.0 0.0 3,874.0
2019-20 57.8 - 448.9 257.6 0.0 0.0 3,164.0
2020-21 51.3 - 501.2 229.0 0.0 0.0 4,777.0
Jul-Mar
2020-21 41.4 - 379.9 172.9 0.0 0.0 3,564.0
2021-22 P 41.3 - 406.7 192.8 0.0 0.0 4,733.0
36
TABLE 3.6
PERCENT GROWTH OF SELECTED INDUSTRIAL ITEMS
(in %)
Cotton Cotton Jute Veg.Ghee Cigarettes Fertilizers Cement Soda Ash Caustic Sugar
Yarn Cloth Goods Soda
2010-11 5.46 1.08 (12.30) 1.57 0.17 (8.88) (8.43) (7.70) (5.62) 32.62
2011-12 0.52 0.30 0.98 1.01 (5.27) 0.08 2.93 (1.93) 4.11 11.16
2012-13 3.57 0.56 9.28 3.25 8.75 (4.02) 5.07 (1.22) 2.11 9.48
2013-14 8.62 0.68 (1.07) 4.08 (4.30) 16.50 1.17 11.72 (8.42) 10.03
2014-15 1.09 0.08 (7.21) (0.04) (2.81) 4.56 2.44 6.83 9.85 (7.75)
2015-16 - - - - - - - - - -
2016-17 0.66 0.40 8.15 3.12 (35.84) 1.68 4.49 2.39 (0.62) 37.80
2017-18 0.06 0.04 23.86 5.21 71.98 (9.87) 11.14 6.26 20.67 (6.85)
2018-19 0.04 0.22 (9.54) 3.34 2.83 7.59 (2.97) 12.22 (8.70) (19.89)
2019-20 (10.83) (10.66) (3.08) 4.50 (24.11) 4.32 (2.01) (3.75) 38.85 (7.20)
2020-21 12.47 12.19 7.33 0.07 11.87 7.41 27.31 7.93 15.10 16.66
Jul-Mar
2020-21 3.17 3.00 1.66 (1.24) 17.76 5.91 25.13 1.01 7.92 16.66
2021-22 P 0.66 0.29 (16.28) (2.55) 16.71 3.29 (2.86) 12.35 1.44 38.10
37
TABLE 4.1
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT OVERALL BUDGETARY POSITION
Rs million
A. REVENUE
FBR Tax Revenue (1 +2) 4,764,302* 4,383,610
1. Direct Taxes 1,731,860 1,578,584
2. Indirect Taxes 3,032,442 2,805,026
i. Customs 765,184 714,778
ii. Sales Tax 1,990,186 1,866,123
iii. Federal Excise 277,072 224,125
Non-Tax Revenue 1,505,423 982,700
Gross Revenue Receipts 6,269,725 5,366,310
B. EXPENDITURE
Current Expenditure 6,348,670 5,280,691
i. Defence 1,316,418 881,885
ii. Mark-up payments 2,749,729 2,118,481
iii. Grants 911,572 990,788
vi. Others** 1,370,951 1,289,537
Development Expenditure and Net Lending 789,060 535,146
Statistical Discrepancy 107,036 131,718
Total Expenditure 7,244,766 5,947,555
P: Provisional Source: Budget Wing, Finance Division, Islamabad
*: Revised FBR tax collection 2020-21 is Rs 4,744,998 million
** : Includes other categories not shown here
41
TABLE 4.2
SUMMARY OF PUBLIC FINANCE (CONSOLIDATED FEDERAL & PROVINCIAL GOVERNMENTS)
Rs million
2021-22 P
Fiscal Year / Items 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 July-March
Total Revenues (i+ii) 4,446,979 4,936,723 5,228,014 4,900,724 6,272,168 6,903,370 5,874,151
Federal 4,070,392 4,535,452 4,679,945 4,412,625 5,756,162 6,244,698 5,342,113
Provincial 376,587 401,271 548,069 488,099 516,006 658,672 532,038
i) Tax Revenues 3,395,321 3,682,818 4,243,520 4,231,272 4,411,538 5,272,699 4,821,904
Federal 3,112,048 3,361,046 3,842,148 3,829,469 3,997,921 4,764,302 4,383,610
Provincial 283,273 321,772 401,372 401,803 413,617 508,397 438,294
ii) Non-Tax Revenues 1,051,658 1,253,905 984,494 669,452 1,860,630 1,630,671 1,052,247
Federal 958,344 1,174,406 837,797 583,156 1,758,241 1,480,396 958,503
Provincial 93,314 79,499 146,697 86,296 102,389 150,275 93,744
Total Expenditures (a+b+c+d) 5,796,302 6,800,520 7,488,395 8,345,640 9,648,488 10,306,691 8,439,793
a) Current 4,694,294 5,197,854 5,854,267 7,104,030 8,532,020 9,084,010 7,378,029
Federal 3,144,276 3,472,150 3,789,767 4,776,150 6,016,192 6,264,821 5,209,862
Provincial 1,550,018 1,725,704 2,064,500 2,327,880 2,515,828 2,819,189 2,168,167
b) Development 1,301,473 1,693,474 1,584,057 1,178,442 1,155,213 1,238,738 1,032,672
c) Net Lending to PSE's 12,631 -12,817 37,625 40,750 48,528 76,938 18,427
d) Statistical Discrepancy -212,096 -77,991 12,446 22,418 -87,273 -92,995 10,665
Overall Balance -1,349,323 -1,863,797 -2,260,381 -3,444,916 -3,376,320 -3,403,321 -2,565,642
Primary Balance -85,955 -515,362 -760,459 -1,353,790 -756,581 -653,592 -447,161
Financing (net) 1,349,323 1,863,797 2,260,380 3,444,916 3,376,320 3,403,321 2,565,642
External (net) 370,465 541,390 785,166 416,706 895,510 1,338,091 981,460
Domestic (i+ii+iii) 978,858 1,322,407 1,475,214 3,028,210 2,480,810 2,065,230 1,584,182
i) Non-Bank 191,843 276,629 352,719 764,986 540,250 196,189 532,448
ii) Bank 787,015 1,045,778 1,120,495 2,263,224 1,940,561 1,869,041 1,051,734
iii) Privatization Proceeds - - 2,000 - - -
Memorandum Item
GDP (mp) in Rs billion 32,725 35,553 39,190 43,798 47,540 55,796 66,950
(As Percent of GDP at Market Price)
Total Revenue 13.6 13.9 13.3 11.2 13.2 12.4 8.8
Tax Revenue 10.4 10.4 10.8 9.7 9.3 9.4 7.2
Non-Tax Revenue 3.2 3.5 2.5 1.5 3.9 2.9 1.6
Expenditure 17.7 19.1 19.1 19.1 20.3 18.5 12.6
Current 14.3 14.6 14.9 16.2 17.9 16.3 11.0
Development Expenditure & net Lending 4.0 4.7 4.1 2.8 2.5 2.4 1.6
Overall Balance -4.1 -5.2 -5.8 -7.9 -7.1 -6.1 -3.8
Primary Balance -0.3 -1.4 -1.9 -3.1 -1.6 -1.2 -0.7
P : Provisional Source: Budget Wing, Finance Division, Islamabad
Note: Beginning from FY2016, Pakistan's GDP was rebased at 2015-16 Prices from the old base of 2005-06. Therefore, wherever, GDP appears in the
denominator the number prior to FY2016 are not comparable.
/1: During FY2021, the fiscal accounts have been reclassified in line with the implementation of PFM procedures. According to the reclassification, federal
taxes other than FBR have now been included in non-tax revenue. To make the data comparable, the fiscal indicators since FY2016 have also been reclassified.
42
TABLE 4.3
CONSOLIDATED FEDERAL & PROVINCIAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES
Rs million
Total Revenue (I+II) 4,446,979 4,936,723 5,228,014 4,900,724 6,272,168 6,903,370 5,874,151
Federal 4,070,392 4,535,452 4,679,945 4,412,625 5,756,162 6,244,698 5,342,113
Provincial 376,587 401,271 548,069 488,099 516,006 658,672 532,038
I. Tax Revenues 3,395,321 3,682,818 4,243,520 4,231,272 4,411,538 5,272,699 4,821,904
Federal (A+B) 3,112,048 3,361,046 3,842,148 3,829,469 3,997,921 4,764,302 4,383,610
A. Direct Taxes 1,191,602 1,343,197 1,536,636 1,445,594 1,524,252 1,731,860 1,578,584
B. Indirect Taxes 1,920,446 2,017,849 2,305,512 2,383,875 2,473,669 3,032,442 2,805,026
i. Excise Duty 190,581 198,570 205,877 233,591 250,470 277,072 224,125
ii. Sales Tax 1,323,685 1,323,261 1,491,310 1,464887 1,596,821 1,990,186 1,866,123
iii. Customs 406,180 496,018 608,325 685,397 626,378 765,184 714,778
Provincial 283,273 321,772 401,372 401,803 413,617 508,397 438,294
Sales Tax on services GST 129,752 170,791 223,860 202,881 232,969 293,645 251,503
Excise Duty 6,880 6,635 8,554 9,274 7,643 8,218 6,728
Stamp Duties 35,484 38,167 62,754 70,396 59,148 55,217 50,298
Motor Vehicle Taxes 19,077 21,282 24,123 24,850 17,979 26,779 27,276
Others* 92,080 84,897 82,081 94,402 95,878 124,538 102,489
II. Non-Tax Revenues 1,051,658 1,253,905 984,494 669,452 1,860,630 1,630,671 1,052,247
Federal 958,344 1,174,406 837,797 583,156 1,758,241 1,480,396 958,503
Provincial 93,314 79,499 146,697 86,296 102,389 150,275 93,744
Surcharges** 181,944 239,959 203,086 211,612 306,037 447,177 143,096
i. Gas 32,654 73,262 24,212 5,304 12,356 22,532 17,532
ii. Petroleum 149,290 166,697 178,874 206,308 293,681 424,654 125,564
P: Provisional Source: Budget Wing, Finance Division
*: It also includes property tax
** : Non-Tax Revenues under these heads are exclusively Federal
Note: According to the re-classification, of data as per PFM procedures, federal taxes other than FBR have now been included under Non tax revenues
43
TABLE 4.4
CONSOLIDATED FEDERAL & PROVINCIAL GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
Rs million
TABLE 4.5
DEBT SERVICING
Rs million
2021-22 P
Fiscal Year / Item 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
July-March
Servicing of Domestic Debt 1,150,809 1,220,265 1,322,645 1,820,821 2,313,133 2,523,811 1,897,248
Servicing of Foreign Debt 112,559 128,170 177,277 270,305 306,606 225,918 221,233
Repayment/Amortization of
B. 335,307 544,314 450,189 974,001 1,362,353 940,278 1,300,894
Foreign Debt
C. Total Debt Servicing (A+B) 1,598,675 1,892,749 1,950,111 3,065,127 3,982,092 3,690,007 3,419,375
Servicing of Domestic Debt 3.5 3.4 3.4 4.2 4.9 4.5 2.8
Servicing of Foreign Debt 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3
Repayment/Amortization of
1.0 1.5 1.1 2.2 2.9 1.7 1.9
Foreign Debt
Total Debt Servicing 4.9 5.3 5.0 7.0 8.4 6.6 5.1
44
TABLE 5.1
COMPONENTS OF BROAD MONEY (M2)
Rs million
End June
Stock
2021-22
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
(Mar)
3. Currency in tills of Scheduled Banks 264,627 255,891 343,516 325,508 378,302 365,277
5. Other deposits with SBP* 22,692 26,962 33,636 41,218 68,004 85,801
6. Scheduled Banks Total Deposits** 10,646,875 11,582,372 12,814,820 14,724,770 17,319,755 18,060,814
Memorandum
1. Currency / Money ratio 26.8 27.4 27.8 29.4 28.4 28.6
2. Demand Deposits / Money ratio 64.3 63.0 62.8 60.6 63.2 63.3
3. Time Deposits / Money ratio 4.2 4.2 3.0 4.7 3.8 3.3
4. Other Deposits / Money ratio 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
47
TABLE 5.2
CAUSATIVE FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD MONEY (M2)
Rs million
2021-22
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
(Mar)
A. Stock End June
1. Public Sector Borrowing (net)
(i + ii + iii) 8,955,597 10,199,670 12,336,664 14,547,233 16,265,119 17,375,590
i. Net Budgetary Support 8,282,074 9,392,960 11,596,468 13,748,309 15,373,463 16,541,925
ii. Commodity Operations 686,508 819,680 756,416 813,435 903,999 844,776
iii. Zakat Fund etc. -12,985 -12,971 -16,220 -14,510 -12,344 -11,112
2. Non-Government Sector 6,011,267 7,033,598 8,072,803 8,372,428 9,114,395 10,417,332
i. Autonomous Bodies* 250,244 324,787 285,745 258,059 266,372 295,987
ii. Net Credit to Private Sector &PSEs 5,761,023 6,708,811 7,787,058 8,114,369 8,848,024 10,121,345
a. Private Sector 5,197,473 5,972,968 6,666,505 6,862,862 7,629,069 8,923,430
b. Public Sector Corp. other than 2(i) 572,553 743,413 1,108,476 1,232,463 1,170,373 1,143,442
c. PSEs Special Account Debt Repayment -24,244 -24,244 -24,244 -24,244 -24,244 -24,244
d. Other Financial Institutions (NBFIs) 15,241 16,675 36,321 43,288 72,825 78,717
3. Counterpart Funds -530 -530 -560 -534 -534 -531
4. Other Items (Net) -987,502 -1,027,153 -1,103,333 -1,494,971 -1,806,007 -1,937,405
5. Domestic Credit (1+2+3+4) 13,978,833 16,205,586 19,305,575 21,424,157 23,572,973 25,854,987
6. Foreign Assets (Net) 602,049 -208,423 -1,507,081 -516,153 724,723 -447,214
7. Broad Money (5+6) 14,580,882 15,997,162 17,798,494 20,908,003 24,297,696 25,407,772
48
TABLE 5.3
SCHEDULED BANKS' CONSOLIDATED POSITION BASED ON LAST WEEKEND POSITION OF
LIABILITIES & ASSETS
Rs million
2021-22
Item Description 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
(Mar)
Assets
Cash & Balances with Treasury Banks 1,122,866 1,349,450 1,966,692 1,408,559 1,528,246 1,745,293
Balances with other Banks 185,623 186,038 195,992 212,150 213,911 303,755
Lending to Financial Institutions 503,760 612,681 717,249 843,513 966,673 639,671
Investments 8,166,143 8,178,723 7,624,217 10,681,288 13,615,840 14,954,199
Gross Advances 6,176,306 7,361,622 8,096,771 8,202,328 8,831,088 10,089,586
Less: Provision for Non- Performing Advances 456,701 463,772 488,093 546,797 629,039 665,392
Advances – Net of Provision 5,719,604 6,897,850 7,608,677 7,655,531 8,202,049 9,424,194
Operating Fixed Assets 345,652 417,591 468,981 567,753 635,575 684,274
Deferred Tax Assets 47,428 52,835 59,834 56,161 70,764 101,732
Other Assets 711,952 715,125 943,951 950,083 908,754 1,071,753
Total Assets 16,803,028 18,410,293 19,585,594 22,375,037 26,141,812 28,294,870
Liabilities
Bills Payable 201,124 230,357 299,737 245,363 322,389 340,368
Borrowings 2,654,899 3,014,680 2,412,023 2,865,768 4,097,113 5,529,717
Deposits and other Accounts 11,980,697 13,062,787 14,458,307 16,229,036 18,695,178 19,802,304
Sub-ordinated Loans 46,910 79,460 108,670 126,296 112,732 122,914
Liabilities Against Assets Subject to Finance Lease 35 20 0 2,134 1,823 9,822
Deferred Tax Liabilities 35,556 22,070 22,591 47,329 17,288 8,757
Other Liabilities 446,232 577,934 803,227 964,493 997,101 1,094,091
Total Liabilities 15,365,453 16,987,306 18,104,555 20,480,420 24,243,625 26,907,974
Represented by:
Paid up Capital / Head Office Capital Account 651,359 525,796 546,922 556,465 561,451 569,555
Reserves 199,217 285,610 340,060 357,675 379,965 428,606
Un-appropriated / Un-remitted Profit 392,033 440,846 480,816 618,864 696,938 839,566
Sub total 1,242,609 1,252,252 1,367,798 1,533,004 1,638,354 1,837,727
Surplus/ (Deficit) on Revaluation of Assets 194,964 170,736 113,241 361,613 259,833 179,169
Total 1,437,573 1,422,988 1,481,039 1,894,617 1,898,187 2,016,896
49
TABLE 5.4
LIST OF DOMESTIC, FOREIGN BANKS AND DFIs
50
TABLE 5.5
SECURITY AND NATURE WISE WEIGHTED AVERAGE LENDING RATES /
FINANCING RATES (ALL SCHEDULED BANKS)
(Percent)
As at the Precious Stock Merch- Machi- Real Financial Others Unse- Total
End of Metal Exchange andise nery Estate Oblig- cured Advances
Securities ations Advances *
Conventional Banking
2019 Jun 11.20 12.34 10.32 11.74 11.09 10.74 11.88 28.12 11.64
(11.20) (12.41) (10.19) (11.58) (11.09) (10.74) (12.00) (28.12) (11.56)
Dec 12.67 14.08 11.20 12.89 11.55 12.01 14.08 26.14 12.92
(12.67) (13.79) (10.99) (12.64) (11.53) (11.65) (13.80) (26.14) (12.42)
2020 Jun 14.13 10.79 8.87 9.60 9.25 8.65 10.96 28.20 10.30
(14.13) (10.73) (8.60) (9.69) (9.25) (8.71) (10.96) (28.20) (10.10)
Dec 10.58 7.85 6.91 7.83 7.24 7.01 8.06 27.42 8.03
(10.58) (7.83) (6.84) (7.80) (7.24) (6.90) (7.80) (27.42) (7.96)
2021 Jun 10.40 8.38 6.63 7.85 6.80 7.19 8.78 28.30 8.16
(10.40) (8.37) (6.51) (7.68) (6.80) (7.07) (9.51) (28.30) (8.13)
Dec 11.30 9.06 7.48 8.67 7.86 8.60 8.94 28.77 8.83
(11.30) (9.04) (7.49) (8.52) (7.86) (8.48) (9.31) (28.77) (8.88)
Islamic Banking
2019 Jun - 11.26 10.99 11.07 10.87 9.31 11.34 5.76 11.13
- (8.00) (10.95) (10.90) (10.87) (9.31) (11.23) (5.24) (10.99)
Dec - 10.95 11.59 12.63 12.14 10.35 12.92 12.92 12.40
- (7.13) (11.53) (12.63) (12.16) (10.35) (11.85) (10.52) (11.96)
2020 Jun - 13.12 9.55 11.10 10.30 9.30 10.56 10.81 10.38
- (11.43) (9.46) (11.16) (10.25) (8.83) (10.20) (10.74) (10.19)
Dec - 7.96 7.50 8.41 7.75 6.57 7.40 9.82 7.68
- (9.56) (7.51) (8.42) (7.71) (6.48) (7.32) (9.82) (7.72)
2021 Jun - 8.90 6.84 8.01 7.59 5.03 7.71 16.06 7.53
- (8.93) (6.79) (7.99) (7.48) (5.03) (7.66) (16.06) (7.44)
Dec - 7.12 7.55 9.08 8.46 5.20 7.93 16.45 8.14
- (7.02) (7.54) (9.04) (8.33) (5.20) (7.68) (16.45) (8.14)
51
TABLE 5.6
SALE OF MARKET TREASURY BILLS THROUGH AUCTION
Rs million
2022
No. Securities 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
(Jul-Mar)
Market Treasury Bills
A. Three Months Maturity
Amount Offered
i) Face value 5,287,269 19,826,420 23,757,544 14,913,709 15,505,232 12,095,938
ii) Discounted value 5,223,172 19,549,300 23,222,877 14,486,853 15,250,389 11,842,832
Amount Accepted
i) Face value 3,824,534 16,231,950 18,866,489 8,811,853 8,698,476 7,450,156
ii) Discounted value 3,772,951 16,005,555 18,448,036 8,554,064 8,556,387 7,293,499
Weighted Average Yield
i) Minimum % p.a. 5.7873 5.9902 6.7575 7.6896 6.4267 7.2103
ii) Maximum % p.a. 5.9910 6.7595 12.7454 13.7490 7.4418 11.7506
B. Six Months Maturity
Amount Offered
i) Face value 4,632,304 1,620,207 120,484 4,345,673 9,989,084 10,515,444
ii) Discounted value 4,495,594 1,560,051 101,275 4,115,593 9,627,168 10,052,700
Amount Accepted
i) Face value 2,974,251 1,271,001 8,928 1,705,828 5,585,878 4,661,527
ii) Discounted value 2,888,666 1,233,895 8,502 1,613,386 5,384,224 4,457,900
Weighted Average Yield
52
TABLE 5.7
SALE OF PAKISTAN INVESTMENT BONDS THROUGH AUCTION
Rs million
2022
No. Securities 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
(Jul-Mar)
Pakistan Investment Bonds
A. Amount Offered (Face Value) 1,761,044 348,935 3,156,891
02 Years (Floater) Maturity (PFL) Quarterly 213,423 1,067,462
03 Years Maturity 1,039,668 235,367 976,869 2,389,228 1,181,021 1,436,991
05 Years Maturity 451,788 48,467 653,189 1,643,278 866,330 1,316,745
07 Years Maturity - - - - -
10 Years Maturity 266,846 65,101 815,509 1,216,358 445,052 1,077,606
03 Years (Floater) Maturity (PFL) Semi-Annual 84,100 1,193,302 --
05 Years (Floater) Maturity (PFL) Semi-Annual 48,500 776,785 318,000
10 Years (Floater) Maturity (PFL) Semi-Annual 706,324 1,445,471 384,124 63,150
03 Years (Floater) Maturity (PFL) Quarterly 365,931 1,948,458
05 Years (Floater) Maturity (PFL) Quarterly 107,600 --
10 Years (Floater) Maturity (PFL) Quarterly 130,050 --
15 Years Maturity - - - 22,925 96,589 73,978
20 Years Maturity 2,743 - 5,000 22,659 72,061 10,529
30 Years Maturity - - - - -
B. Amount Accepted (Face Value) 894,017 101,732 1,183,510
(a) 02 Years (Floater) Quarterly Maturity (PFL)
(i) Amount Accepted 175,664 738,404
(ii) Cut-Off Price
(1) Minimum Cut-Off Price 99.5239 99.1149
(2) Maximum Cut-Off Price 99.6467 99.6516
(b) 03 Years Maturity.
(i) Amount Accepted 522,756 37,915 418,859 1,102,152 479,261 488,929
(ii) Weighted Average Yield
(1) Minimum % p.a. 6.1444 6.4029 12.0002 7.5239 7.2359 8.6626
(2) Maximum % p.a. 6.4043 7.4677 13.6770 14.1519 9.3344 11.7223
(c) 03 Years (Floater) Maturity (PFL) Semi-Annual**
(i) Amount Accepted 60,552 624,763
(ii) Margin* / Cut-Off Price
(1) Minimum bps / Cut-Off Price 45bps 98.8132
(2) Maximum bps / Cut-Off Price 45bps 100.4413
(d) 03 Years (Floater) Quarterly Maturity (PFL)
(i) Amount Accepted 228,976 1,449,403
(ii) Cut-Off Price
(1) Minimum Cut-Off Price 98.9923 98.0033
(2) Maximum Cut-Off Price 99.2323 99.2531
(e) 05 Years Maturity
(i) Amount Accepted 239,114 14,932 199,680 612,849 301,239 408,456
(ii) Weighted Average Yield
(1) Minimum % p.a. 6.6364 6.8960 9.2500 7.8740 8.2139 9.1602
(2) Maximum % p.a. 6.8998 8.4795 13.7687 13.7740 9.8296 11.6460
(Contd…)
53
TABLE 5.7
SALE OF PAKISTAN INVESTMENT BONDS THROUGH AUCTION
Rs million
2022
No. Securities 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
(Jul-Mar)
*: The benchmark for coupon rate is defined in clause 'B' of DMMD Circular No. 9 dated May 07, 2018.
** : Margins quoted ober benchmark rate in fresh auctions of floating rate PIB (PFL)
Note:
1: A special issuance in PFL-SA 10 Years Issued by GoP to Independent Power Producer (IPPs) against their receivables from GoP on 4 th June, 2021
(Rs 28,905.1 Million) and on 29-Nov-21 (Rs 43,322.80 Million)
2: Amounts include non-competitive bids & short sale accommodation as well.
54
TABLE 6.1
NATIONAL SAVINGS SCHEMES (NET INVESTMENT)
Rs million
2021-22
Name of Scheme 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
(Jul-Mar)
1 Defence Savings Certificates 16,183.3 8,053.0 16,620.0 10,743.6 57,171.0 92,783.1 (9,132.6) (6,771.6)
2 National Deposit Scheme (1.0) (0.3) (0.7) 0.1 (0.03) - (0.00) (0.35)
3 Khaas Deposit Scheme (4.3) (2.0) (51.4) (0.2) (0.04) (0.05) (0.24) (0.02)
4 Special Savings Certificates (R) 28,547.1 (1,932.8) (39,344.6) (51,180.1) 31,842.5 13,945.7 (6,327.9) (22,611.8)
5 Special Savings Certificates (B) - - (0.8) (0.6) - (0.01) (0.50) -
6 Regular Income Certificates 50,582.1 (16,223.0) (20,950.7) 8,726.3 142,088.1 83,232.3 26,711.2 19,812.6
7 Bahbood Saving Certificates 45,927.8 63,761.1 57,432.1 45,395.3 119,573.1 83,380.0 2,549.4 8,816.6
8 Pensioners' Benefit Account 15,701.9 20,645.1 18,716.7 21,504.4 43,367.4 33,876.0 16,347.2 15,710.2
9 Savings Accounts 3,859.4 3,807.7 4,684.4 3,413.0 (166.2) 4,537.0 1,083.5 6,442.8
10 Special Savings Accounts 100,124.9 30,924.1 65,246.6 59,939.2 (132,393.5) 200,770.6 (39,659.1) (37,415.8)
11 Mahana Amdani Accounts (73.0) (63.0) (55.2) (46.7) (73.8) (60.4) (47.52) (48.8)
12 Prize Bonds 75,884.6 123,901.9 97,791.6 101,575.7 40,432.1 (171,109.9) (315,531.7) (82,941.4)
13 Postal Life Insurance - - 2,529.8 875.5 1,248.4 628.0 (1,311.9) -
14 National Savings Bonds (62.6) - - - - (137.0) - -
15 Short Term Saving Certificates 389.1 157.9 2,077.4 560.6 761.0 19,254.6 (20,362.2) (89.7)
16 Premium Prize Bonds (R) - - 2,921.7 2,323.2 2,820.0 11,322.7 25,147.2 12,675.3
17 Shuhda Welfare Accounts - - - - 42.1 27.0 24.2 13.9
Grand Total 337,059.3 233,029.6 207,617.0 203,829.1 306,712.0 372,449.4 (320,510.9) (86,408.1)
- : Not available Source: Central Directorate of National Savings (CDNS)
Figures in Parenthesis represent negative value
TABLE 6.2
MARK UP RATE/PROFIT RATE ON FEDERAL GOVERNMENT'S DEBT INSTRUMENTS
S. No. Name of Securities Coupon/Profit Rates Remarks Tax Status
1 Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs)
Fixed-rate PIBs
Floating-rate PIBs
fortnightly coupon reset and quarterly
2-years maturity coupon rate linked to 3M
coupon payment; first issued on 30-Dec-21
t-bill auction's weighted-average
Quarterly coupon reset and payment; issued
3-years maturity yield
on 07-Oct-21
For 5- and 10- year floating rate PIBs, coupon
5-Years maturity coupon rate linked to 6M
reset and payment are half yearly; 5- and 10-
t-bill auction's weighted-average
year floating-rate PIBs were issued on 06-
10- Years maturity yield
May-21 and 04-Nov-2021, respectively.
5-year Fixed Rental Rate (FRR) Sukuk 11.40% First Issued on 15-Dec-2021
Note: Federal Government debt securities auctioned by DMMD, SBP Source: State Bank of Pakistan
The Securities issuance status is as of end March, 2022
57
TABLE 7.1 (A)
PRICE INDICES
A. COMBINED CONSUMER PRICE INDEX BY GROUPS\
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
Groups/ General Food & Beverages Clothing Housing, Household Health Transport Commu- Recreation Education Restaurant Miscellan-
Fiscal Non & & Water, Equipment & nication & & eous
Year Alcholic Tobaco Foot Elec.Gas Repair Culture Hotels
Beverages wear & Fuel Maintenance
2010-11 146.45 164.10 151.64 133.35 135.27 135.59 123.79 149.01 122.47 134.62 128.17 164.04 152.45
2011-12 162.57 182.20 165.01 153.45 146.17 160.28 137.97 171.39 122.94 145.35 143.83 185.82 181.47
2012-13 174.53 195.18 191.02 175.58 151.34 179.87 156.56 186.43 126.16 169.07 156.69 203.63 199.49
2013-14 189.58 212.74 223.38 198.01 164.60 195.85 167.15 195.15 129.76 183.77 172.57 228.61 210.15
2014-15 198.16 220.20 269.93 213.82 174.93 208.68 176.19 187.22 130.09 190.29 196.40 244.58 221.13
2015-16 203.82 219.42 329.25 224.18 183.90 217.38 182.69 174.25 130.56 194.21 213.02 256.79 228.22
2016-17 212.29 226.59 368.88 233.36 192.91 223.90 201.82 172.93 131.79 196.31 235.72 256.79 240.23
2017-18 220.62 232.95 310.09 244.45 202.50 233.06 218.13 182.18 133.26 200.24 264.79 285.88 254.99
2018-19 236.81 242.62 345.33 260.88 221.07 251.44 235.29 211.50 141.29 215.90 289.97 302.04 276.48
Base Year 2015-16=100
General Food & Alcoholic Clothing Housing, Furnishing Health Transport Commu- Recreation Education Restau- Misc.
Non- Beverages and Water, and nication & ants and goods and
Alcoholic Tobaco Footwear Elec., Household Culture hotels services
Beverages Gas Equipment
and Maintenance
other
fuels
feuls
2016-17 104.83 110.24 110.76 105.29 105.98 102.34 107.97 99.26 100.03 102.27 110.83 106.04 104.39
2017-18 110.18 117.60 100.83 110.94 111.23 106.00 114.98 108.04 100.65 104.91 123.88 113.15 109.93
2018-19 117.99 112.24 112.26 118.13 120.08 114.00 122.92 125.31 103.27 111.54 134.74 119.10 118.86
2019-20 129.99 129.59 135.80 129.56 128.33 125.70 136.81 138.71 106.84 118.70 141.90 127.78 132.96
2020-21 140.58 146.74 143.36 142.61 136.35 136.23 148.36 140.38 107.62 123.99 143.71 138.66 148.34
July-April
2020-21 140.56 146.02 143.10 141.33 135.66 135.16 147.33 139.86 107.41 123.48 143.50 137.82 147.49
2021-22 154.99 162.40 155.43 152.44 150.32 148.98 161.14 168.64 112.44 129.62 151.42 152.56 160.65
(Contd.)
Note: i) On the adoption of each new base year the data for the common periods may not be matched
61
TABLE 7.1 (B)
PRICE INDICES (HEADLINE & CORE INFLATION)
Indices Headline & Core Inflation
Year General Food Non-Food *Core General Food Non-Food *Core
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 146.45 164.10 135.87 131.03 13.66 18.02 10.71 9.38
2011-12 162.57 182.20 150.81 144.78 11.01 11.03 11.00 10.49
2012-13 174.53 195.18 162.16 158.62 7.36 7.12 7.53 9.56
2013-14 189.58 212.74 175.69 171.82 8.62 9.00 8.35 8.32
2014-15 198.16 220.20 184.95 183.08 4.53 3.50 5.27 6.55
2015-16 203.82 224.78 191.25 190.71 2.86 2.08 3.41 4.17
2016-17 212.29 233.37 199.65 200.61 4.16 3.82 4.39 5.19
2017-18 220.62 237.59 210.45 212.34 3.92 1.81 5.41 5.85
2018-19 236.81 248.44 229.84 229.21 7.34 4.57 9.21 7.94
*: Core Inflation is defined as overall inflation adjusted for food and energy.
Note: On the adoption of each new base year the data for the common periods may not be matched
62
TABLE 7.1 (C)
PRICES INDICES
2017-18 109.97 113.34 100.88 107.08 104.00 115.64 101.40 115.52 106.06 110.28 107.84
2018-19 127.55 124.35 127.07 119.30 112.45 133.41 107.72 147.71 115.26 115.92 117.74
2019-20 140.63 137.80 163.40 131.68 126.74 141.64 113.65 147.95 131.83 131.85 129.38
2020-21 153.87 155.69 167.57 149.24 146.95 155.76 119.27 151.61 150.09 150.09 142.77
July-April
2020-21 151.97 153.44 167.78 147.13 145.26 152.67 119.26 149.15 150.36 148.17 142.77
2021-22 186.76 189.98 183.57 174.18 168.25 189.11 124.86 205.78 177.67 173.25 161.73
Note: On the adoption of each new base year the data for the common periods may not be matched
63
TABLE 7.2
MONTHLY PERCENTAGE CHANGES IN CPI, WPI AND SPI
(Percent)
Months 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
Base Year 2007-08=100 Base Year 2015-16=100
Jul 1.27 -0.25 2.02 1.70 0.43 1.34 0.34 0.94 - 0.57 1.51 1.83 2.50 1.33
A. CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Aug 1.40 0.90 1.16 0.33 0.24 -0.30 0.19 0.21 -0.36 0.15 -0.31 1.64 0.63 0.58
Sep 1.03 0.79 -0.29 0.35 -0.10 0.20 0.63 -0.06 0.42 0.69 -0.03 0.77 1.54 2.12
Oct 1.44 0.38 1.97 0.21 0.49 0.81 0.75 2.33 0.93 1.09 2.12 1.82 1.70 1.90
Nov 0.29 -0.39 1.27 -0.51 0.59 0.21 0.37 0.11 0.47 0.66 -0.12 1.34 0.82 2.98
(C.P.I)
Dec -0.70 0.23 -1.32 -1.01 -0.57 -0.68 -0.10 -0.41 -0.58 -0.03 -0.30 -0.34 -0.68 -0.02
Jan 1.54 1.67 0.49 0.08 0.21 0.18 0.03 1.00 0.43 0.08 0.25 1.97 -0.21 0.39
Feb 0.30 -0.34 -0.32 -0.92 -0.25 0.28 -0.31 0.64 0.48 -0.26 0.87 -1.04 1.80 1.15
Mar 1.17 0.41 0.96 0.23 0.15 0.84 0.31 1.42 1.05 0.22 2.00 0.04 0.36 0.79
Apr 1.83 1.09 1.70 1.32 1.55 1.40 1.82 1.26 0.72 1.08 0.73 -0.84 1.03 1.61
May 1.15 0.51 -0.26 0.76 -0.21 0.01 0.51 0.78 -0.52 0.46 0.60 0.32 0.10
Jun 0.04 0.72 0.61 0.62 0.64 -0.41 0.56 0.36 0.17 0.83 0.48 0.82 -0.24
Base Year 2015-16=100
Jul - - - - - - - - 0.59 1.41 1.98 2.15 1.29
0.48
URBAN CONSUMER PRICE
Aug 0.55 1.02 2.65 -0.48 -0.49 -0.03 0.33 0.79 0.06 0.19 0.55 1.25 1.27 1.17
Sep 0.25 0.35 0.71 0.15 -0.46 -0.53 0.06 -1.52 -0.40 0.28 -1.51 0.07 1.05 3.17
Oct 0.37 0.11 1.13 -0.31 0.53 -0.04 0.61 4.17 -0.09 0.88 4.40 2.03 2.88 4.24
Nov -0.53 -0.37 0.25 -0.99 0.01 -0.21 0.36 0.70 0.54 1.05 1.04 -0.82 -0.94 3.79
(W.P.I.)
Dec -1.33 0.43 -0.99 -1.89 -0.65 -0.14 0.36 -0.88 0.20 0.49 -1.34 -0.30 0.34 -0.24
Jan 2.26 1.25 0.53 -1.03 -0.53 0.51 1.81 -0.21 0.83 2.60 -0.82 1.83 2.50 0.65
Feb 0.56 0.34 -0.14 -1.09 -0.59 0.47 -0.15 0.90 0.81 0.41 1.62 -0.80 2.20 1.91
Mar 0.67 0.26 0.34 0.01 -0.40 0.66 0.25 1.70 0.42 -0.08 2.23 -0.88 3.72 3.86
Apr 1.80 0.77 0.10 0.86 1.30 0.89 1.27 2.33 0.43 1.28 1.76 -2.04 -0.36 3.16
May 2.15 -0.43 -0.08 1.10 0.55 -0.20 1.28 1.43 -0.15 2.02 1.47 -2.08 0.30
Jun -0.05 1.00 1.37 1.18 1.38 -0.46 1.48 0.33 -0.08 2.46 0.25 -0.32 0.91
Base Year 2007-08=100 Base Year 2015-16=100
Jul 2.38 0.51 2.27 1.95 0.34 1.32 -0.45 1.17 0.00 1.39 1.03 3.03 1.80
C. SENSITIVE PRICE INDEX
Aug 0.83 1.29 1.54 0.83 -0.19 0.23 0.54 0.22 -0.25 1.06 -0.20 2.72 0.92 0.70
Sep 1.34 1.25 0.06 0.24 0.46 0.11 2.13 -0.06 0.21 2.06 -0.42 1.87 2.09 2.72
Oct 0.76 -0.45 1.17 -0.03 1.18 0.67 0.86 1.15 0.49 0.94 2.27 2.66 3.36 2.15
Nov 0.74 0.03 3.22 -1.13 1.00 0.33 0.34 0.26 0.68 0.20 -0.69 3.71 1.10 3.58
(S.P.I.)
Dec -2.01 0.05 -2.54 -1.52 -0.71 -0.78 -0.67 0.02 -1.25 -0.88 -0.25 -1.97 -2.71 -0.43
Jan 1.00 1.92 -2.54 -0.87 -0.67 -0.80 -1.04 0.61 -1.00 -1.52 0.36 0.45 -0.82 -0.79
Feb -0.12 0.07 -0.09 -0.99 -0.52 0.21 -1.21 1.48 0.42 -1.16 2.45 -0.79 3.14 1.27
Mar 1.49 0.78 2.15 0.00 -0.15 1.79 -0.60 1.56 2.75 -0.91 2.13 -0.31 5.70 0.64
Apr 1.67 -0.29 0.07 0.39 -0.12 -0.91 0.45 0.89 -0.69 0.86 0.48 -1.77 0.41 1.48
May -0.14 0.07 -1.51 1.31 -0.96 -0.89 -0.15 1.24 -0.38 0.71 0.58 2.15 0.79
Jun 1.39 2.45 1.11 0.99 1.12 0.14 1.78 1.57 0.00 1.45 0.90 1.37 -0.44
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Note: On the adoption of each new base year the data for the common periods may not be matched
64
TABLE 7.3 (A)
PRICE INDICES BY CONSUMER INCOME GROUPS
65
TABLE 7.3 (B)
ANNUAL CHANGES IN PRICE INDICES AND GDP DEFLATOR
Fiscal Consumer Price Index Wholesale Sensitive Annual
Year Price Index Price GDP
National Urban Rural
Indicator Deflator
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 13.66 - - 21.25 16.57 19.52
2011-12 11.01 - - 10.42 7.08 5.66
2012-13 7.36 - - 7.35 7.77 7.12
2013-14 8.62 - - 8.15 9.30 7.39
2014-15 4.53 - - -0.30 1.75 4.34
2015-16 2.86 - - -1.05 1.31 0.45
(Base Year : 2015-16 = 100)
2016-17 4.81 5.10 4.08 4.45 7.62 3.95
2017-18 4.68 7.08 6.34 3.90 7.38 3.74
2018-19 6.80 7.09 6.34 15.99 5.11 9.18
2019-20 10.74 10.17 11.62 10.24 13.74 9.88
2020-21 8.90 8.15 10.04 9.41 13.83 10.35
July-April
2020-21 8.62 7.72 9.99 7.36 12.86 10.35
2021-22 11.04 10.94 11.19 22.89 16.93 13.28
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
TABLE 7.4
AVERAGE RETAIL PRICES OF ESSENTIAL ITEMS
(Price in Rs.)
(Weight in Kg.)
Fiscal Wheat Wheat Basmati* Moong Gram Beef Chicken Mutton Eggs Hen Potato Dry Tomato
Year (Av.Qlty) Flour Rice Pulse Pulse (Cow/ (Farm) (Goat) (Farm) (Av.Qlty) Onion (Av.Qlty)
(Av.Qlty) (Broken (Washed) (Av.Qlty) Buffalo (Av.Qlty) Doz. (Av.Qlty)
with
bone)
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 25.98 29.41 50.32 136.49 70.25 215.42 130.98 411.48 72.78 27.58 33.28 44.86
2011-12 26.74 30.26 60.36 127.90 83.32 252.41 150.07 482.04 86.95 25.33 32.24 46.46
2012-13 30.61 34.53 69.01 115.95 99.70 268.38 143.93 517.83 92.02 26.09 36.71 49.80
2013-14 37.02 40.98 74.09 137.64 74.77 283.99 161.40 559.49 97.61 42.79 41.63 58.36
2014-15 34.56 39.28 72.38 161.94 79.33 301.55 153.64 592.56 98.71 42.49 35.80 55.05
2015-16 33.92 38.57 63.00 160.30 123.53 316.37 151.95 627.94 89.84 25.75 44.29 49.14
2016-17 33.77 37.99 63.90 139.93 149.85 327.52 145.88 662.65 101.86 34.09 30.08 51.82
2017-18 33.11 37.45 72.07 118.15 118.76 348.64 158.87 733.68 103.17 33.89 48.59 59.62
2018-19 34.95 39.36 76.82 128.64 123.10 376.47 163.06 783.88 102.93 27.21 36.91 64.85
Base Year 2015-16=100
2019-20 - 897.48 81.92 213.44 142.21 431.29 169.73 896.00 106.71 44.57 59.90 56.83
2020-21 - 1010.32 90.41 231.42 143.81 482.26 207.39 1004.05 153.10 53.41 43.01 61.38
July-April
2020-21 - 987.54 89.91 233.85 142.91 474.40 199.51 988.38 154.08 54.67 46.18 70.07
2021-22 - 1162.54 98.90 171.63 154.82 573.39 222.84 1167.70 162.32 46.06 44.95 80.99
(Contd.)
Note: i) On the adoption of each new base year the data for the common periods may not be matched
ii) In the new base year 2015-16, dissemination of prices started w.e.f July, 2019
66
TABLE 7.4 (A)
AVERAGE RETAIL PRICES OF ESSENTIAL ITEMS
(Price in Rs.)
(Weight in Kg.)
Fiscal Mustard Vegeta- Rock Red Sugar Gur Milk Tea in*
Year Oil ble Ghee Salt Chilies (Open (Sup. Fresh Packet
(Mill) (Loose) (Powder) (Av.Qlty) Market) Qlty) Ltr. (Sup.Qlty)
200 grams
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 156.56 150.31 7.28 230.27 72.72 83.86 50.10 123.19
2011-12 178.29 166.26 8.13 299.42 60.99 78.27 58.17 135.15
2012-13 185.88 160.73 8.74 254.06 53.25 74.50 65.24 146.01
2013-14 184.48 160.57 9.37 221.33 53.82 82.83 69.86 154.58
2014-15 183.08 151.90 9.98 261.42 57.14 83.95 76.21 133.80
2015-16 179.67 138.35 10.43 274.03 62.60 89.28 78.24 172.76
2016-17 181.15 143.34 10.64 272.60 64.94 88.20 80.59 177.24
2017-18 183.83 146.22 11.10 266.58 53.70 81.49 82.75 189.44
2018-19 195.43 161.85 12.29 335.21 59.84 85.75 86.74 210.27
Base Year 2015-16=100
2019-20 208.50 225.75 29.90 157.44 76.60 115.20 93.43 225.54
2020-21 254.12 269.95 30.01 318.56 94.21 128.82 105.17 230.17
July-April
2020-21 246.75 263.58 30.01 307.51 93.50 128.39 104.41 230.20
2021-22 363.10 382.88 31.63 317.47 96.15 138.37 113.85 245.63
(Contd.)
*: Tea packet prices in bases year 2015-16=100 is quoted of 190 grams packet price.
In the new base year 2015-16, prices are disseminated started w.e.f July, 2019.
*Prices of Gents Sandal Bata has been quoted in base year 2015-16 instead of prices of Shoes Gents Concord Bata in previous
base year.
67
TABLE 7.4 (C)
AVERAGE RETAIL PRICES OF ESSENTIAL ITEMS
(Rs/unit)
Fiscal Energy Cooked Cooked Rice Masoor Mash Garlic Cooking Vegetable
Year Saver Beef Dal Irri-6 Pulse Pulse Kg Oil Dalda Ghee
(14-W) Plate Plate Kg Kg Kg 2.5 Ltr* 2.5 Kg
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 124.75 52.88 33.65 38.87 117.72 163.16 198.92 435.88 435.98
2011-12 139.93 60.54 37.27 45.68 102.64 145.82 107.89 502.66 501.91
2012-13 151.82 68.55 40.16 49.90 100.39 132.72 123.18 535.55 519.06
2013-14 162.69 77.84 45.46 54.05 120.49 134.21 129.71 538.73 511.77
2014-15 165.49 82.86 48.41 51.99 135.32 163.82 139.00 513.55 495.00
2015-16 166.95 87.19 52.62 47.16 146.36 238.59 200.32 457.61 448.92
2016-17 167.79 92.56 56.70 48.71 140.36 223.70 273.46 460.79 452.68
2017-18 168.98 101.49 58.83 51.53 118.44 164.91 166.10 471.26 464.46
2018-19 173.40 113.60 64.17 54.59 107.55 152.18 157.72 497.94 483.96
Base Year 2015-16=100
2019-20 185.73 133.64 68.75 62.54 141.16 211.13 280.43 1199.22 586.30
2020-21 199.66 148.96 75.60 71.09 156.48 250.28 216.42 1374.94 690.38
July-April
2020-21 199.13 147.30 74.97 70.80 156.23 249.25 225.25 1343.50 674.86
2021-22 208.38 167.28 83.04 73.91 191.18 257.04 286.73 1947.02 970.30
(Contd.)
*: The unit of cooking oil Dalda has changed from 2.5 Ltr. to 5 Ltr. in base year 2015-16. In the new base year 2015-16,
dissemination of prices started w.e.f July, 2019.
68
TABLE 7.4 (E)
AVERAGE RETAIL PRICES OF ESSENTIAL ITEMS (Average of 17 Centers)
Fiscal Kerosene Gas Elect Petrol Tele Local Call
Year (per ltr.) Charges Charges Super Charges
(100 cf) (upto 50 units) (per ltr.) (per Call)
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 84.89 110.20 1.84 75.70 3.59
2011-12 104.84 132.73 1.89 92.93 3.59
2012-13 116.07 119.58 2.00 101.26 3.74
2013-14 123.45 124.18 2.00 110.99 3.94
2014-15 100.94 124.18 2.00 88.58 3.94
2015-16 80.62 127.79 2.00 72.31 3.94
2016-17 77.48 128.66 2.00 69.09 3.94
2017-18 98.74 128.70 2.00 80.70 3.94
2018-19 119.97 140.99 2.00 97.00 4.47
Base Year 2015-16=100
2019-20 - 141.57 3.90 106.49 1.55
2020-21 - 141.57 4.63 107.12 1.60
July-April
2020-21 - 141.57 4.39 106.53 1.56
2021-22 - 141.57 6.53 137.53 1.79
-: Not available Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
In the new base year 2015-16, prices are disseminated w.e.f July, 2019.
TABLE 7.5
INDICES OF WHOLESALE PRICES OF SELECTED COMMODITIES
Fiscal Wheat Rice Gram Sugar Vegetab- Tea Meat Vegeta- Fresh Cotton Motor
Year (Whole) Refined le Ghee bles Milk Spirit
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 159.53 123.39 169.24 251.13 118.21 165.31 174.86 173.43 157.40 171.48 126.84
2011-12 163.44 149.45 - 229.24 141.37 192.23 214.40 211.52 190.29 189.55 155.00
2012-13 188.52 165.42 - 201.93 141.75 203.24 228.80 216.66 213.81 168.92 168.70
2013-14 227.13 177.67 - 206.98 141.51 215.49 238.93 254.41 225.98 185.58 184.99
2014-15 209.29 172.20 - 189.35 147.13 145.16 236.14 255.40 249.87 208.86 167.79
2015-16 209.07 147.58 - 237.16 119.85 242.82 267.79 258.45 255.23 249.16 120.71
2016-17 208.21 154.49 - 242.70 124.63 243.24 282.23 280.77 266.08 268.07 115.52
2017-18 202.02 172.15 - 201.60 127.22 261.70 311.25 294.16 275.05 262.92 134.99
2018-19 211.14 191.38 - 226.24 135.10 285.16 348.60 293.46 287.20 269.50 164.47
(Base Year 2015-16=100)
2019-20 119.09 145.34 - 123.16 138.46 126.36 139.45 178.87 116.22 127.20* 150.35
2020-21 158.62 166.97 - 150.78 167.12 129.72 162.32 161.91 141.12 138.85* 148.00
July-April
2020-21 159.92 165.39 - 149.19 162.54 129.68 159.73 115.03 140.64 138.32* 147.57
2021-22 171.53 179.12 - 155.99 246.91 140.37 189.42 196.26 146.76 144.20* 194.62
-: Not available (Contd.)
*: In the base year 2015-16 prices of Cotton Seeds has been quoted instead of Cotton prices.
69
TABLE 7.5
INDICES OF WHOLESALE PRICES OF SELECTED COMMODITIES
Fiscal Kerosene Fire Cotton Matches Soaps Ferti- Trans- Leather Timber Cement
Year Oils Wood Yarn lizers port
(Base Year : 2007-08 = 100)
2010-11 141.73 151.43 182.87 110.37 130.52 174.65 116.77 107.07 127.27 140.80
2011-12 166.98 190.47 196.06 118.84 151.04 258.65 - 109.08 139.00 162.19
2012-13 177.67 215.48 208.38 132.57 167.01 261.38 - 111.60 149.51 185.77
2013-14 178.30 238.11 213.03 143.20 180.26 266.33 - 168.48 170.36 203.42
2014-15 179.03 252.59 246.11 175.76 160.21 235.83 - 216.67 200.60 225.95
2015-16 162.08 263.90 173.44 162.62 183.87 260.00 - 220.42 214.44 212.15
2015-16 161.99 263.88 173.41 162.62 183.87 260.10 - 220.40 214.35 212.23
2016-17 178.77 272.97 198.86 165.53 189.10 219.37 - 222.98 225.62 214.45
2017-18 186.98 282.43 216.99 171.36 191.32 222.52 - 215.78 233.96 217.99
2018-19 232.43 290.68 267.72 172.07 198.37 258.49 - 224.79 243.08 236.62
Base Year 2015-16 = 100
2019-20 169.85 111.12 164.90 1164.79 110.25 101.84 - 106.04 111.87 113.42
2020-21 141.77 124.41 179.14 1172.40 113.18 102.06 - 119.27 152.12 122.71
July-April
2020-21 138.56 123.72 174.27 1172.22 112.47 100.18 - 119.26 151.59 121.65
2021-22 212.79 133.23 231.06 1201.34 127.65 137.48 - 124.86 161.37 145.31
-: Not available Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Note: In the base year 2007-08 and 2015-16 prices of kerosene Oil has been quoted instead of other oils.
70
TABLE 8.1
SUMMARY BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AS PER BPM6
US $ million
ITEM 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
R P
Jul-Mar
Current Account Balance -3,130 -2,815 -4,961 -12,270 -19,195 -13,434 -4,449 -2820 -13169
Current Account Balance without off. transfers -3,464 -3,141 -5,546 -12,844 -20,165 -14,177 -4,898 -3079 -13426
Exports of Goods FOB 25,078 24,090 21,972 22,003 24,768 24,257 22,536 25639 23699
Imports of Goods FOB 41,668 41,357 41,118 48,001 55,671 51,869 43,645 54273 53796
Balance on Trade in Goods -16,590 -17,267 -19,146 -25,998 -30,903 -27,612 -21,109 -28634 -30097
Exports of Services 5,345 5,872 5,456 5,915 5,851 5,966 5,437 5945 5156
Imports of Services 7,995 8,848 9,002 10,576 12,277 10,936 8,753 8461 8335
of which
Transportation 3,874 4,160 3,272 3,808 3,956 3,639 3,036 3279 4530
Travel 1,073 1,518 1,839 2,000 2,289 1,709 1,229 752 853
Balance on Trade in Services -2,650 -2,976 -3,546 -4,661 -6,426 -4,970 -3,316 -2516 -3179
Balance on Trade in Goods and Services -19,240 -20,243 -22,692 -30,659 -37,329 -32,582 -24,425 -31150 -33276
Primary Income credit 508 644 610 696 726 578 479 508 488
Primary Income debit 4,463 5,243 5,955 5,710 6,163 6,188 5,938 4908 4393
of which: Interest Payments 1,323 1,605 1,733 1,993 2,600 3,066 3,109 2176 2257
Balance on Primary Income -3,955 -4,599 -5,345 -5,014 -5,437 -5,610 -5,459 -4400 -3905
Balance on Goods, Services and Primary Income -23,195 -24,842 -28,037 -35,673 -42,766 -38,192 -29,884 -35550 -37181
Secondary Income credit 20,222 22,291 23,204 23,604 23,800 24,990 25,802 33027 24239
of which: Workers' Remittances 15,837 18,721 19,917 19,351 19,914 21,740 23,131 29450 22952
Secondary Income debit 157 264 128 201 229 232 367 297 227
Balance on secondary Income 20,065 22,027 23,076 23,403 23,571 24,758 25,435 32730 24012
Capital Account Balance 1,857 375 273 375 376 229 285 224 169
Capital Account credit 1,857 375 279 375 376 229 288 224 169
Capital Account debit 0 0 6 0 0 0 3 0 0
Net lending (+) / Net borrowing (–)
(Current and Capital Accounts) -1,273 -2,440 -4,688 -11,895 -18,819 -13,205 -4,164 -2596 -13000
Financial Account -5,553 -5,119 -6,878 -9,855 -13,611 -11,759 -9,313 -8768 -8496
Direct investment -1,572 -960 -2,374 -2,320 -2,772 -1,436 -2,652 -1,648 -1260
Direct Investment Abroad 128 73 19 86 10 -74 -54 171 26
Direct Investment in Pakistan 1,700 1,033 2,393 2,406 2,782 1,362 2,598 1,819 1286
Portfolio investment -2,762 -1,886 429 250 -2,257 1,274 409 -2774 -183
Portfolio Investment Abroad -23 -44 100 -1 -48 -144 -115 -12 -21
Portfolio Investment in Pakistan 2,739 1,842 -329 -251 2,209 -1,418 -524 2762 162
Financial Derivatives (other than reserves) and ESOs* 2 -2 0 0 0 0 -8 0 -2
Other Investment -1,221 -2,271 -4,933 -7,785 -8,582 -11,597 -7,062 -4346 -7051
Net Acquisition of Financial Assets -211 -71 96 1,180 273 -67 -127 1,345 2435
Net Incurrence of Liabilities 1,010 2,200 5,029 8,965 8,855 11,530 6,935 5691 9486
of which
General Government 1,610 1,400 3,445 5,040 4,894 4,294 5,919 5738 5019
Disbursements 4,349 4,243 6,159 9,414 8,507 8,255 13,181 9808 7780
Credit and Loans with the IMF (Other
than Reserves) 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,834 500 1053
Other Long Term 3,617 3,088 4,498 8,251 6,782 6,610 8,736 8060 4933
Short Term 732 1,155 1,661 1,163 1,725 1,645 1,611 1248 1794
Amortization 2,734 2,841 2,714 4,374 4,107 5,982 7,299 5855 6394
Credit and Loans with the IMF (Other
than Reserves) 900 563 53 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other Long Term 1,834 1,696 1,927 2,981 2,619 4,444 6,117 5071 5983
Short Term 0 582 734 1,393 1,488 1,538 1,182 784 411
Other Liabilities (Net) -5 -2 0 0 494 2,021 37 1,785 3633
Net Errors and Omissions -422 -33 462 94 -933 -58 150 -619 -608
Overall Balance -3,858 -2,646 -2,652 1,946 6,141 1,504 -5,299 -5553 5112
Reserves and Related Items 3,858 2,646 2,652 -1,946 -6,141 -1,504 5,299 5553 -5112
Use of Fund Credit and Loans -573 1,949 2,009 102 -86 -376 -745 -1080 -734
Exceptional Financing 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SBP Gross Reserves 10,509 14,836 19,446 17,550 11,341 9,301 13,724 18716 12899
73
TABLE 8.2
COMPONENTS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENTS (AS PERCENT OF GDP)
Current
Trade Worker's
Year Exports * Imports * Account
Deficit * Remittances #
Balance #
2010-11 11.6 18.9 7.3 5.2 0.1
2011-12 10.5 20.0 9.5 5.9 -2.1
2012-13 10.6 19.4 8.9 6.0 -1.1
2013-14 10.3 18.4 8.2 6.5 -1.3
2014-15 8.7 16.9 8.2 6.9 -1.0
2015-16** 6.6 14.2 7.6 6.3 -1.6
2016-17 6.0 15.6 9.6 5.7 -3.6
2017-18 6.5 17.0 10.5 5.6 -5.4
2018-19 7.1 17.0 9.9 6.8 -4.2
2019-20 7.1 14.8 7.7 7.7 -1.5
2020-21 7.3 16.2 8.9 8.5 -0.8
July-March
2020-21 5.4 11.3 6.0 6.2 -0.08
2021-22 P 6.1 15.4 9.3 6.0 -3.4
P : Provisional Source: PBS, SBP & EA Wing, Finance Division
* : Based on the data compiled by PBS
**: Based on revised GDP base year since 2015-16 onwards
# : MoF Calculation based on data compiled by SBP
TABLE 8.3
EXPORTS, IMPORTS & TRADE BALANCE
Rs. million Growth Rate (%) US $ million Growth Rate (%)
Year Current Prices Current Prices Exports Imports Balance
Exports Imports Balance
Exports Imports Balance Exports Imports Balance
2010-11 2,120,847 3,455,287 -1,334,440 31.12 18.70 3.16 24,810 40,414 -15,604 28.62 16.43 1.19
2011-12 2,112,140 4,009,093 -1,896,953 -0.48 16.03 42.27 23,624 44,912 -21,288 -4.78 11.13 36.43
2012-13 2,366,478 4,349,880 -1,983,402 12.12 8.50 4.47 24,460 44,950 -20,490 3.54 0.08 -3.75
2013-14 2,583,463 4,630,521 -2,047,058 9.17 6.45 3.21 25,110 45,073 -19,963 2.66 0.27 -2.57
2014-15 2,397,513 4,644,152 -2,246,639 -7.20 0.29 9.75 23,667 45,826 -22,159 -5.75 1.67 11.00
2015-16 2,166,846 4,658,749 -2,491,903 -9.62 0.31 10.92 20,787 44,685 -23,898 -12.17 -2.49 7.85
2016-17 2,138,186 5,539,721 -3,401,535 -1.32 18.91 36.50 20,422 52,910 -32,488 -1.76 18.41 35.94
2017-18 2,555,043 6,694,897 -4,139,854 19.50 20.85 21.71 23,212 60,795 -37,583 13.66 14.90 15.68
2018-19 3,128,230 7,443,253 -4,315,023 22.43 11.18 4.23 22,958 54,763 -31,805 -1.09 -9.92 -15.37
2019-20 3,369,782 7,029,819 -3,660,037 7.72 -5.55 -15.18 21,394 44,553 -23,159 -6.81 -18.64 -27.18
2020-21 4,041,927 8,982,441 -4,940,514 19.95 27.78 34.99 25,304 56,380 -31,076 18.28 26.55 34.19
July- March
2020-21 3,020,244 6,376,138 -3,355894 10.83 17.33 23.87 18,687 39,489 -20,802 7.13 13.51 19.92
2021-22 P 4,018,802 10119,009 -6100207 33.06 58.70 81.78 23,350 58,868 -35,518 24.95 49.07 70.74
74
TABLE 8.4
UNIT VALUE INDICES & TERMS OF TRADE (T.O.T) (1990-91 = 100)
July-March
Groups 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
2020-21 2021-22 P
All Groups
Exports 703.39 735.40 794.77 841.44 903.14 903.54 1189.97
Imports 1,199.54 1,261.25 1342.30 1369.71 1450.51 1418.76 1818.16
T.O.T. 58.47 58.32 59.21 61.43 62.26 63.69 65.45
Food & Live Animals
Exports 923.60 1,134.29 1229.51 1280.54 1355.88 1355.92 1522.91
Imports 829.56 943.23 908.93 1172.18 1179.43 1208.55 1352.08
T.O.T. 111.34 120.26 135.27 109.24 114.96 112.19 112.63
Beverages & Tobacco
Exports 1,225.01 1,061.25 860.48 830.28 776.77 784.56 954.45
Imports 1,762.07 1,656.22 1325.61 1287.99 1488.28 1529.54 1409.99
T.O.T. 69.52 64.08 64.91 64.46 52.19 51.29 67.69
Crude Materials(inedible except fuels)
Exports 888.69 1,043.30 1119.52 1327.78 1210.79 1234.64 1422.61
Imports 1,019.86 1,020.56 1102.13 1228.58 1284.58 1263.92 1591.49
T.O.T. 87.14 102.23 101.58 108.07 94.26 97.68 89.39
Minerals, Fuels & Lubricants
Exports 1,126.22 1,485.92 2016.59 1894.55 1624.56 1556.44 2424.30
Imports 811.76 1,030.32 1564.46 1411.00 1259.52 1176.60 1980.39
T.O.T. 138.74 144.22 128.90 134.27 128.98 132.28 122.42
Chemicals
Exports 1,017.19 1,054.28 1129.18 1252.79 1256.13 1324.48 1202.64
Imports 1,277.08 1,264.05 1335.10 1455.62 1426.78 1426.06 1633.80
T.O.T. 79.65 83.40 84.58 86.07 88.04 92.88 73.61
Animal & Vegetable Oils, Fats & Waxes
Exports - - - - - - -
Imports 1,090.65 1,010.73 995.35 1133.53 1451.50 1410.51 1987.37
T.O.T. - - - - - - -
Manufactured Goods
Exports 595.81 580.96 616.90 647.03 669.74 670.55 1045.49
Imports 927.03 939.97 1110.15 1289.64 1333.21 1335.18 1472.37
T.O.T. 64.27 61.81 55.57 50.17 50.24 50.22 71.01
Machinery, Transport & Equipment
Exports 1,741.77 1,838.42 1466.32 1129.99 1393.65 1393.90 1664.05
Imports 1,872.19 1,913.85 1458.64 1387.32 1895.14 1881.00 2111.36
T.O.T. 93.03 96.06 100.53 81.45 73.54 74.10 78.81
Miscellaneous Manufactured Articles
Exports 786.63 820.87 887.27 982.56 1185.14 1191.24 1300.53
Imports 2,494.45 2,652.61 2186.14 2019.53 1989.64 2021.81 2344.45
T.O.T. 31.54 30.95 40.59 48.65 59.57 58.92 55.47
75
TABLE 8.5 A
ECONOMIC CLASSIFICATION OF EXPORTS
Rs million
Primary Commodities Semi-Manufactured Manufactured Goods
Total
Year Percentage Percentage Percentage
Value Value Value Value*
Share Share Share
July-March
TABLE 8.5 B
ECONOMIC CLASSIFICATION OF IMPORTS
Rs million
Industrial Raw Material For
Capital Goods Consumer Goods
Capital Goods Consumer Goods Total
Year
Percentage Percentage Percentage Percentage Value *
Value Value Value Value
Share Share Share Share
2010-11 829,005 24 239,525 7 1,826,243 53 560,512 16 3,455,285
July-March
76
TABLE 8.6
MAJOR IMPORTS
Rs million
July-March
Items 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
2020-21 2021-22 P
1. Chemicals 447,521 498,340 532,197 540,558 579,959 719,354 865,613 851,989 1,063,394 758,404 1,076,381
2. Drugs &
medicines 80,736 81,399 96,183 96,135 102,110 118,122 148,428 157,763 221,027 135,173 642,697
3. Dyes and
colours 29,932 38,601 40,221 43,345 47,334 55,255 72,491 65,958 87,948 64,287 79,260
4. Chemical Fertilizers 63,277 73,058 92,641 75,667 67,063 90,879 105,162 89,580 114,521 71,307 114,762
5. Electrical goods 81,728 114,784 122,183 187,163 243,082 236,896 239,618 349,334 259,081 173,974 255,530
6. Machinery
(non-electrical) 473,258 551,829 633,733 712,920 996,128 1,045,502 984,410 1,042,935 1,365,097 982,849 1,246,193
7. Transport
equipment 228,987 219,877 263,622 297,225 332,549 462,630 397,772 229,955 455,168 309,548 556,090
9. Tea 35,632 30,827 34,532 53,491 54,839 60,368 77,367 84,354 92,834 70,424 83,888
10. Sugar-refined 501 635 631 645 535 554 534 608 20,893 20,710 32,208
11. Art-silk yarn 52,328 63,596 69,028 64,612 66,478 72,996 94,611 79,126 104,697 80,711 111,601
13. Non-ferrous metals 37,693 44,389 44,709 51,722 55,534 67,736 61,698 49,606 77,951 52,949 77,302
15. Edible oils 196,776 206,955 186,010 195,200 212,327 238,563 265,430 300,008 440,317 308,488 487,124
17. Other imports 896,228 900,876 979,535 1,149,622 1,340,002 1,750,526 2,091,010 2,057,949 2610,122 1,877,788 2,714,144
Grand Total 4,349,880 4,630,521 4,644,152 4,658,749 5,539,721 6,694,897 7,443,253 7,029,818 8,982,441 6,376,138 10,119,009
77
TABLE 8.7
MAJOR EXPORTS
Rs million
July-March
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
2020-21 2021-22 P
1. Rice 186,304 222,907 206,266 194,246 168,244 224,739 285,031 343,916 325,585 251,312 310,336
2. Fish and Fish 30,755 37,918 35,429 33,918 41,214 49,755 60,405 64,118 66,040 48,972 53,813
preparations
3. Fruits 37,772 45,196 44,375 44,607 39,878 43,842 56,272 67,769 76,846 61,079 67,931
6. Meat and Meat 20,362 23,650 24,657 28,036 23,103 24,920 33,438 48,021 52,978 39,937 43,000
Preparations
7. Raw Cotton 14,882 21,353 14,931 7,948 4,559 6,184 2,709 2,669 131 98 1,160
8. Cotton Yarn 217,123 205,660 187,376 131,700 130,216 151,063 152,726 155,158 161,781 116,119 156,067
9. Cotton Fabrics 260,347 285,130 248,431 230,757 223,675 242,374 285,625 287,877 307,157 229,679 308,842
10. Hosiery 196,408 235,564 243,719 246,267 247,242 298,374 394,748 440,104 609,576 449,952 641,198
(Knitwear)
11. Bed wear 172,538 219,962 213,018 210,543 223,812 248,538 307,202 338,750 443,286 332,181 420,355
12. Towels 75,060 78,889 80,778 83,681 83,819 87,633 107,043 111,969 149,783 111,896 141,139
13. Readymade 175,662 196,198 212,210 228,861 242,782 283,498 362,320 401,355 485,061 366,997 492,800
Garments
14. Art Silk and 39,369 39,508 33,485 30,005 19,638 34,069 40,433 49,548 59,106 43,470 59,093
Synthetic
Textiles
15. Carpets, 11,839 12,935 12,098 10,186 8,219 8,317 9,147 8,516 11,844 8,777 10,493
Carpeting Rugs
& Mats
16. Sports Goods 31,888 37,260 34,294 33,862 32,285 37,710 41,995 41,286 44,443 31,130 44,738
excl. Toys
17. Leather 48,378 56,496 49,583 37,803 36,180 36,330 34,269 29,001 25,791 18,295 26,617
Excluding
Reptile Leather
(Tanned)
18. Leather 54,000 64,368 60,429 54,788 51,421 57,422 66,146 74,588 90,110 69,300 79,519
Manufactures
19. Foot wear 10,037 12,208 13,304 11,453 10,024 11,913 16,734 19,839 21,125 16,023 20,054
20. Medical & 29,316 34,726 34,576 37,408 35,574 41,618 52,970 55,960 68,506 52,485 52,813
Surgical
Instruments
21. Chemicals and 84,213 120,391 99,339 83,752 92,176 114,350 154,532 159,377 183,253 136,133 187,990
Pharmaceuticals
22. Engineering 28,030 33,487 22,675 19,645 18,238 22,882 23,518 27,229 36,042 26,440 28,917
goods
23. Jewellery 112,419 33,844 668 833 610 644 661 506 2,162 1,060 1,752
24. Cement and 55,878 52,147 44,943 33,468 24,896 24,420 36,550 40,849 42,959 34,051 34,418
cement Products
25. All other items 421,592 483,295 447,952 359,244 363,405 420,960 552,485 588,499 778,362 574,856 835,757
Total Exports 2,371,879 2,583,463 2,397,513 2,166,846 2,138,186 2,555,043 3,128,230 3,369,782 4,041,927 3,020,244 4,018,802
78
TABLE 8.8
DESTINATION OF EXPORTS & ORIGIN OF IMPORTS
% Share
July-March
REGION 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
2020-21 2021-22 P
1. Developed Countries
Exports 41.5 44.7 46.7 51.6 53.4 52.2 53.6 54.5 57.8 57.5 57.3
Imports 21.5 20.5 20.9 23.3 22.5 22.0 21.8 21.0 20.5 21.4 19.7
a. OECD
Exports 40.4 43.5 45.5 50.5 52.2 50.8 52.3 53.0 56.5 56.2 56.1
Imports 20.5 18.5 18.4 20.9 20.6 20.1 19.9 19.3 18.3 18.8 17.0
b. Other European Countries
Exports 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2
Imports 1.0 2.0 2.5 2.4 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 2.3 2.6 2.7
2. CMEA*
Exports 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.2
Imports 1.0 1.0 1.3 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.9 2.1 1.1
3. Developing Countries
Exports 57.0 53.7 51.6 46.6 44.6 45.8 44.2 43.3 39.7 39.9 40.5
Imports 77.6 78.5 77.8 75.8 76.2 77.0 77.3 77.9 77.6 76.5 79.2
a. OIC
Exports 26.5 23.3 20.9 18.6 17.2 17.5 16.7 17.6 14.7 15.0 12.8
Imports 40.5 39.4 33.2 24.7 26.2 28.2 30.8 27.3 25.7 25.2 27.7
b. SAARC
Exports 5.6 5.5 5.6 6.0 6.1 6.1 5.8 4.6 3.7 3.8 4.5
Imports 4.3 4.8 4.0 4.3 3.5 3.4 3.0 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.7
c. ASEAN
Exports 2.8 2.6 3.6 2.6 2.8 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.7
Imports 11.0 11.0 10.7 10.2 9.8 10.2 10.3 10.4 10.9 11.0 11.3
d. Central America
Exports 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.7
Imports 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2
e. South America
Exports 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.3
Imports 0.8 0.8 1.3 2.2 1.4 1.5 1.2 2.0 2.7 2.0 1.8
f. Other Asian Countries
Exports 15.4 14.9 14.1 12.1 11.5 11.3 11.9 10.6 11.9 11.9 12.9
Imports 18.2 20.2 25.6 30.7 31.6 29.3 27.0 31.6 32.4 32.2 31.6
g. Other African Countries
Exports 4.4 5.2 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.8 4.2 4.9 4.0 4.1 3.7
Imports 2.6 2.2 2.9 3.4 3.4 4.1 4.8 5.1 4.8 4.9 5.9
h. Central Asian States
Exports 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.9
Imports - - - 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
79
TABLE 8.9
WORKERS' REMITTANCES
US $ million
July-March
COUNTRY 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
2020-21 2021-22 P
I. Cash Flow 13,921.6 15,837.7 18,719.8 19,916.8 19,351.3 19,913.6 21,739.4 23,132.3 29,449.9 21,436.5 22,952.0
Bahrain 282.8 318.8 389.0 448.4 396.4 355.7 340.2 417.1 470.8 353.8 390.8
Canada 177.2 160.0 171.0 176.0 187.4 211.1 213.0 313.4 594.8 395.4 510.3
Germany 83.2 85.6 78.1 93.7 94.1 127.8 123.5 392.2 431.9 312.5 377.5
Japan 5.2 7.1 7.8 13.2 14.3 22.8 23.0 66.4 85.2 65.8 56.8
Kuwait 619.0 681.4 748.1 774.0 763.8 774.2 725.8 738.6 861.6 635.6 692.3
Norway 37.8 30.8 27.6 34.9 41.3 47.8 43.5 69.7 111.8 78.9 107.2
Qatar 321.3 329.2 350.2 380.9 404.4 371.1 385.9 760.2 910.7 667.0 751.9
Saudi Arabia 4,104.7 4,729.4 5,630.4 5,968.3 5,469.8 4,858.8 5,003.0 6,613.5 7,726.3 5,738.9 5,809.9
Sultanat-e-Oman 384.8 530.5 685.7 819.4 760.9 657.3 667.2 994.3 1,088.6 805.1 830.6
U.A.E. 2,750.2 3,109.5 4,231.8 4,365.3 4,328.0 4,359.0 4,617.3 5,611.8 6,164.8 4,524.8 4,283.9
Abu Dhabi 1,485.0 1,512.5 1,750.7 1,418.3 1,426.8 1,132.7 1,488.0 810.4 944.8 644.8 857.7
Dubai 1,213.8 1,550.0 2,412.0 2,877.7 2,845.3 3,173.7 3,075.5 4,768.2 5,116.0 3,807.7 3,370.0
Sharjah 49.8 45.5 67.6 66.5 50.5 47.6 37.2 25.1 79.4 52.3 43.1
Others 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.8 5.5 5.0 16.7 8.1 24.6 20.1 13.1
U.K. 1,946.0 2,180.2 2,376.2 2,579.7 2,341.7 2,892.4 3,412.3 2,569.0 4,091.0 2,905.6 3,187.3
U.S.A 2,186.2 2,467.7 2,702.7 2,524.7 2,452.9 2,838.0 3,309.1 1,742.8 2,599.6 1,830.5 2,211.3
Other Countries 1,023.2 1,207.4 1,321.3 1,738.4 2,096.2 2,397.7 2,875.7 2,843.3 4,313.0 3,122.60 3,742.2
II. Encashment* 0.1 0.0 0.2 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total (I+II) 13,921.7 15,837.7 18,720.0 19,916.8 19,351.3 19,913.6 21,739.5 23,132.3 29449.9 21436.5 22,952.0
TABLE 8.9
WORKERS' REMITTANCES
% Share
July-March
COUNTRY 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
2020-21 2021-22 P
Cash Flow
Bahrain 2.03 2.01 2.08 2.25 2.05 1.8 1.56 1.80 1.6 1.7 1.7
Canada 1.27 1.01 0.91 0.88 0.97 1.1 0.98 1.35 2.0 1.8 2.2
Germany 0.60 0.54 0.42 0.47 0.49 0.6 0.57 1.70 1.5 1.5 1.6
Japan 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.1 0.11 0.29 0.3 0.3 0.2
Kuwait 4.45 4.30 4.00 3.89 3.95 3.9 3.34 3.19 2.9 3.0 3.0
Norway 0.27 0.19 0.15 0.18 0.21 0.2 0.20 0.30 0.4 0.4 0.5
Qatar 2.31 2.08 1.87 1.91 2.09 1.9 1.78 3.29 3.1 3.1 3.3
Saudi Arabia 29.48 29.86 30.08 29.97 28.27 24.4 23.01 28.59 26.2 26.8 25.3
Sultanat-e-Oman 2.76 3.35 3.66 4.11 3.93 3.3 3.07 4.30 3.7 3.8 3.6
U.A.E. 19.75 19.63 22.61 21.92 22.37 21.9 21.24 24.26 20.9 21.1 18.7
Abu Dhabi 10.67 9.55 9.35 7.12 7.37 5.7 6.84 3.50 3.2 3.0 3.7
Dubai 8.72 9.79 12.88 14.45 14.70 15.9 14.15 20.61 17.4 17.8 14.7
Sharjah 0.36 0.29 0.36 0.33 0.26 0.2 0.17 0.11 0.3 0.2 0.2
Others 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.0 0.08 0.03 0.1 0.1 0.1
U.K. 13.98 13.77 12.69 12.95 12.10 14.5 15.70 11.11 13.9 13.6 13.9
U.S.A 15.70 15.58 14.44 12.68 12.68 14.3 15.22 7.53 8.8 8.5 9.6
Other Countries 7.35 7.62 7.06 8.73 10.83 12.0 13.23 12.29 14.6 14.5 16.3
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
80
TABLE 8.10
GOLD & CASH FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES HELD & CONTROLLED BY STATE BANK OF
PAKISTAN IN RUPEES
Rs million
Total Cash 2 Gold 1
Period Jun* Dec.* Low High Jun* Dec.* Low High Jun* Dec.* Low High
2011 R 1,696,181 1,584,975 1,556,926 1,775,642 1,428,227 1,299,849 1,294,186 1,445,662 267,954 285,126 235,433 329,980
2012 1,438,697 1,314,155 1,299,786 1,584,430 1,125,621 980,592 954,440 1,257,965 313,077 333,563 303,074 348,805
2013 963,392 774,197 753,136 1,302,120 717,295 512,038 471,447 965,052 246,097 262,159 246,097 337,068
2014 1,307,687 1,449,882 754,644 1,449,882 1,038,379 1,200,107 481,286 1,200,107 269,308 249,775 248,274 288,264
2015 1,757,189 2,034,391 1,452,365 2,034,391 1,510,039 1,803,668 1,188,267 1,803,668 247,151 230,723 230,723 264,097
2016 2,325,799 2,307,147 2,001,893 2,404,776 2,038,628 2,055,633 1,759,993 2,128,176 287,170 251,514 241,900 291,829
2017 2,110,682 2,037,749 1,789,701 2,229,859 1,840,320 1,740,610 1,509,347 1,966,073 270,361 297,139 263,786 297,139
2018 1,693,453 1,631,886 1,590,720 1,906,897 1,377,842 1,262,167 1,258,993 1,598,188 315,611 369,719 302,540 369,719
2019 1,957,315 2,546,110 1,766,630 2,546,110 1,488,690 2,056,041 1,386,208 2,056,041 468,625 490,069 376,650 498,191
2020 2,923,806 3,006,317 2,546,494 3,021,459 2,306,312 2,379,318 1,960,582 2,379,318 617,495 626,999 508,578 681,860
2021 3,525,879 4,031,780 2,813,795 4,210,904 2,948,523 3,364,010 2,276,950 3,583,263 577,356 667,770 536,845 667,770
- : Not available P: Provisional R: Revised *: Last day of the month Source: State Bank of Pakistan
2: Cash includes Sinking fund, Foreign currencies cash holdings and excludes unsettled claims on RBI
Note: Gold and Currency wise foreign exchange reserve are converted into US Dollar and then converted into PKR. Further, Low and High value may
differ with given US $ due to exchange rate volatility.
81
TABLE 8.11
EXCHANGE RATE POSITION (Pakistan Rupees in Terms of One Unit of Selected Foreign Currencies)
(Average During the Year) July-March
Country Currency 2021-22 P
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
Australia Dollar 99.2813 94.4043 84.6706 75.8551 78.9703 85.1230 97.1750 105.9281 119.3876 125.0998
Bangladesh Taka 1.2059 1.3232 1.3045 1.3327 1.3263 1.3414 1.6203 1.8636 1.8864 2.0187
Canada Dollar 96.3207 96.1939 86.6031 78.6541 78.9236 86.5105 102.7630 117.6982 124.7096 135.9614
China Yuan 15.5063 16.7639 16.3639 16.1983 15.4059 16.9332 19.9618 22.4714 24.1827 26.8375
Hong Kong Dollar 12.4764 13.2668 13.0664 13.4416 13.5015 14.0663 17.3843 20.2849 20.6442 22.0592
India Rupee 1.7658 1.6757 1.6354 1.5735 1.5778 1.6903 1.9323 2.1845 2.1727 2.2999
Iran Rial 0.0079 0.0041 0.0037 0.0035 0.0033 0.0030 0.0032 0.0038 0.0038 0.0041
Japan Yen 1.1116 1.0180 0.8865 0.8959 0.9611 0.9965 1.2257 1.4617 1.5034 1.5142
Kuwait Dinar 342.4219 364.0262 346.1203 345.2872 345.0024 364.9610 448.8278 516.4404 526.2587 568.6324
Malaysia Ringgit 31.3927 31.6823 29.3817 25.2457 24.4675 27.0716 33.0115 37.5510 38.7926 40.9896
Nepal Rupee 1.1044 1.0477 1.0222 0.9838 0.9861 1.0565 1.2070 1.3770 1.3550 1.4439
Norway Krone 16.8037 17.0596 14.2794 12.4110 12.4644 13.7701 16.0675 16.9236 18.2895 19.5785
Singapore Dollar 78.0767 81.6310 77.3079 74.9776 75.1927 81.9160 99.7173 114.1680 118.7881 126.7882
Sri Lanka Rupee 0.7524 0.7862 0.7701 0.7372 0.7031 0.7107 0.7853 0.8669 0.8409 0.8555
Sweden Krona 14.6811 15.7629 13.1103 12.4006 11.8827 13.2473 14.8779 16.3999 18.6777 19.2105
Switzerland Franc 102.7673 113.7726 107.4720 106.3904 105.5866 113.2043 136.7574 161.7409 175.8046 186.2771
S. Arabia Riyal 25.8099 27.4313 27.0040 27.7996 27.9260 29.2998 36.2985 42.1047 42.6535 45.7523
Thailand Baht 3.1909 3.2278 3.1076 2.9393 3.0034 3.3964 4.2335 5.0949 5.1892 5.1937
UAE Dirham 26.3384 28.0070 27.5787 28.3865 28.5170 29.9164 37.0585 43.0181 43.5597 46.7435
UK Pound 151.5965 167.2207 159.4351 154.4878 132.7123 148.0433 175.9308 199.0651 215.2793 232.6702
USA Dollar 96.7272 102.8591 101.2947 104.2351 104.6971 109.8444 136.0901 158.0253 160.0219 171.6739
EMU Euro 125.1227 139.4950 121.6726 115.6294 114.0341 131.0859 155.0710 174.5851 190.7393 196.9029
IMF SDR 147.2259 158.0043 146.9546 145.8777 143.8126 156.7849 189.5557 217.2951 228.2827 241.9621
82
TABLE 9.1
PUBLIC & PUBLICLY GUARANTEED DEBT OUTSTANDING (AS ON 31-03-2022)
Country/Creditor US$ million
I. I. BILATERAL
Amount
a. Paris Club Countries
AUSTRIA 24
BELGIUM 17
CANADA 50
FINLAND 3
FRANCE 1,598
GERMANY 1,299
ITALY 161
JAPAN 4,632
KOREA 415
THE NETHERLANDS 78
NORWAY 10
RUSSIA 72
SPAIN 63
SWEDEN 88
SWITZERLAND 79
UNITED KINGDOM 5
UNITED STATES 1,113
Sub Total I.a. Paris Club Countries 9,708
b. Non Paris Club Countries
CHINA 14,503
KUWAIT 143
LIBYA 1
SAUDI ARABIA 982
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES 26
Sub Total I.b. Non-Paris Club Countries 15,656
c. Commercial Banks 8,770
d. SAFE/TIME Deposit 7,000
Total I. (a+b+c+d) 41,134
II. MULTILATERAL & Others
ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK (ADB) 14,028
INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT (IBRD) 1,875
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION (IDA) 16,274
Other 2,336
ASIAN INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT BANK (AIIB) 867
ISLAMIC DEVELOPMENT BANK (IDB) 1,007
INTERNATIONAL FUND FOR AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT (IFAD) 316
NORDIC DEVELOPMENT FUND 6
OPEC FUND 99
ECO TRADE BANK 40
Sub Total II. Multilateral & Others 34,513
III. BONDS 8,800
IV. IDB (SHORT TERM CREDIT) 1,301
V. LOCAL CURRENCY BONDS (TBs & PIBs) 226
VI. PAKISTAN BANAO CERTIFICATES (PBCs), NAYA PAKISTAN CERTIFICATES (NPCs) 1,385
Grand Total: (I+II+III+IV+V+VI) 87,359
Note: Excluding IMF Loans Source: Economic Affairs Division
85
TABLE 9.2
COMMITMENTS AND DISBURSEMENTS OF LOANS AND GRANTS (BY TYPE)
US$ million
Non-Project Aid
Project Aid Total*
Fiscal Non-Food Food BOP Relief
Year Commit- Disburse- Commit- Disburse- Commit- Disburse- Commit- Disburse- Commit- Disburse- Commit- Disburse-
ment ment ment ment ment ment ment ment ment ment ment ment
2000-01 396 1,030 - - 91 23 1,128 1,128 21 5 1,637 2,186
2001-02 973 741 - - 40 114 2,589 1,880 0 21 3,603 2,756
2002-03 700 846 - - - 9 1,089 1,057 11 8 1,800 1,920
2003-04 1,214 622 - - - - 1,263 755 2 3 2,479 1,380
2004-05 2,089 918 - - - - 1,202 1,803 - 2 3,291 2,723
2005-06 3,250 2,084 - - 22 10 1,225 1,262 1 1 4,498 3,357
2006-07 1,365 1,308 133 - - 12 2,649 2,058 3 3 4,151 3,381
2007-08 2,440 1,565 - 80 - - 1,309 2,013 2 2 3,751 3,660
2008-09 2,296 1,272 125 175 18 - 3,947 3,238 2 2 6,389 4,688
2009-10 3,729 1,213 100 100 - - 2,846 2,305 68 49 6,744 3,668
2010-11 2,384 1,076 - - - - 397 648 1,799 895 4,580 2,620
2011-12 3,341 1,753 100 73 - - 1,135 949 103 314 4,679 3,089
2012-13 1,848 2,071 100 51 - - 708 466 4 268 2,660 2,855
2013-14 9,809 2,015 125 80 - - 5,019 4,612 4 133 14,957 6,840
2014-15 2,038 2,449 - 10 - - 2,671 3,163 12 134 4,721 5,756
2015-16 12,325 2,337 - - - - 5,069 5,199 6 15 17,400 7,551
2016-17 4,257 3,609 - - - - 7,803 7,072 11 1 12,071 10,682
2017-18 3,510 4,460 - - - - 8,566 8,173 2 45 12,078 12,678
2018-19 1,280 3,466 - - - - 7,129 7,352 1 1 8,410 10,819
2019-20 1,962 3,117 - - - - 7,922 8,783 - - 9,884 11,900
2020-21 4,332 3,376 - - - - 12,127 10,908 - 2 16,459 14,285
2021-22
1,810 2,550 - - - - 10,087 10,217 - 0 11,897 12,767
(Jul-Mar)
*: Excluding IMF Loans Source: Economic Affairs Division
Notes:
Project Aid includes commitments and disbursements for Earthquake Rehabilitation & Construction
BOP includes commitment and disbursement for Bonds, Commercial Banks, BOP Programme Loans, IDB Short-term credit and Tokyo Pledges
Relief includes commitment and disbursement for Afghan Refugees, IDPs, Earthquake and Flood Assistance
86
TABLE 9.3
ANNUAL COMMITMENTS, DISBURSEMENTS, SERVICE PAYMENTS AND EXTERNAL DEBT
OUTSTANDING
Transactions during period Debt Servicing as % of
Debt Outstanding @
Service Payments*** Foreign
Fiscal Year Commit- Disburse- Export
Exchange GDP
Disbursed* Undisbursed* ment** ment** Principal Interest Total Receipts
Earning
2000-01 25,608 2,860 1,167 1,846 1,004 663 1,668 18.7% 11.7% 2.3%
2001-02 27,215 3,504 3,293 2,423 772 538 1,309 14.3% 8.5% 1.8%
2002-03 28,301 3,811 1,747 1,729 971 613 1,583 14.4% 7.7% 1.9%
2003-04 28,900 5,392 2,125 1,372 2,513 702 3,215 25.8% 14.6% 3.3%
2004-05 30,813 4,975 3,113 2,452 1,072 669 1,742 12.0% 6.5% 1.6%
2005-06 33,033 5,838 4,507 3,163 1,424 712 2,136 12.9% 6.7% 1.6%
2006-07 35,673 6,277 4,059 3,356 1,283 819 2,102 12.2% 6.4% 1.4%
2007-08 40,770 6,540 3,398 3,160 1,130 949 2,079 10.2% 5.6% 1.2%
2008-09 42,567 7,451 5,792 4,032 2,566 873 3,439 18.0% 9.7% 2.0%
2009-10 43,187 9,634 6,171 3,099 2,339 756 3,095 15.7% 8.1% 1.7%
2010-11 46,458 9,797 4,580 2,620 1,925 762 2,687 10.6% 5.6% 1.3%
2011-12 46,349 10,316 4,679 3,089 1,534 717 2,251 9.1% 4.7% 1.0%
2012-13 44,350 9,954 1,278 2,486 1,903 709 2,612 10.5% 5.2% 1.1%
2013-14 48,978 15,770 11,263 3,760 2,074 736 2,810 11.2% 5.5% 1.1%
2014-15 47,832 18,559 3,621 3,601 2,262 949 3,211 13.3% 6.1% 1.2%
2015-16 52,979 20,669 14,215 4,693 3,202 1,092 4,294 19.5% 8.4% 1.4%
2016-17 57,643 21,524 5,651 4,859 5,195 1,242 6,437 29.3% 12.3% 1.9%
2017-18 65,526 19,573 4,120 4,320 4,175 1,636 5,811 23.5% 10.5% 1.6%
2018-19 70,601 17,739 3,119 5,578 7,054 2,067 9,121 37.6% 16.3% 2.8%
2019-20 74,558 19,032 5,803 7,327 8,569 1,985 10,554 46.8% 19.5% 3.5%
2020-21 84,424 21,867 6,931 6,168 5,913 1,381 7,294 28.4% 11.2% 2.1%
2021-22
87,359 17,762 3,383 3,718 7,459 1,305 8,764 37.0% 16.3% 2.3%
(Jul-Mar)
* : Excluding grants Source: Economic Affairs Division
** : Excluding IMF, Short Term Credit, Commercial Credits and Bonds
*** : Excluding IMF Loans
@: Public and Publicly Guaranteed Loans (Excluding IMF)
Note: PBS has changed the National Accounts base year from 2005/06 to 2015/16. The new GDP numbers are available from 2015/16
87
TABLE 9.4
DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS OF FOREIGN LOANS (Paid in Foreign Exchange)
US$ million
2021-22
Fiscal Year Kind 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
(Jul-Mar)
I. PARIS CLUB COUNTRIES
1. Australia Principal - - - - - - - - - -
Interest - - - - - - - - - -
2. Austria Principal 3.7 4.9 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.9 2.8 1.5 - -
Interest 3.0 3.0 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.4 0.7 - 0.1
3. Belgium Principal 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.1 - -
Interest 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.5 - -
4. Canada Principal 2.7 3.1 3.6 4.1 4.7 5.4 6.1 3.4 - -
Interest 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.9 0.8 - -
5. Denmark Principal - - - - - - - - -
Interest - - - - - - - - -
6. France Principal 39.8 52.3 53.4 57.9 79.3 109.6 115.6 66.6 - 7.2
Interest 77.5 79.2 66.8 60.6 57.9 58.6 52.7 25.7 0.3 0.9
7. Finland Principal 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 - -
Interest 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 - -
8. Germany Principal 17.9 14.5 16.8 16.0 39.5 66.7 67.8 34.5 0.2 0.3
Interest 16.5 26.7 25.1 24.8 22.4 22.9 19.9 10.1 0.5 -
9. Italy Principal 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 0.8 - -
Interest 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 - -
10. Japan Principal 61.5 55.9 51.2 62.5 175.5 281.8 294.0 179.6 0.6 28.1
Interest 117.6 103.3 88.1 90.4 93.8 89.9 86.2 48.2 0.1 4.0
11. Korea Principal 14.5 16.6 19.0 22.2 25.8 30.2 34.0 22.3 8.4 5.0
Interest 6.9 5.9 5.5 6.1 8.0 9.3 11.8 5.9 0.6 0.3
12. Norway Principal 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 0.7 - -
Interest 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 - -
13. The Principal 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.4 4.7 4.6 2.3 - -
Netherlands Interest 3.0 3.2 3.0 2.6 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.1 - 0.9
14. Russia Principal 3.7 4.3 4.9 5.6 6.4 7.3 8.4 4.6 - -
Interest 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.1 4.7 4.4 4.0 1.9 - -
15. Sweden Principal 4.7 5.4 6.1 7.0 8.1 9.2 10.6 5.8 - -
Interest 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.9 2.3 3.2 1.4 - -
16. Spain Principal 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 2.6 3.9 4.1 2.2 - -
Interest 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.0 1.0 - -
17. Switzerland Principal 2.9 3.4 3.7 4.1 5.2 6.4 7.1 4.0 - -
Interest 1.2 3.9 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.4 - -
18. USA Principal 5.3 6.1 7.0 8.0 25.5 43.1 45.0 23.8 - -
Interest 28.7 28.4 29.4 27.7 27.3 26.1 24.7 11.8 - -
19. UK Principal 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 - -
Interest 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 - -
Principal 160.5 171.1 174.6 196.6 383.1 577.3 605.5 353.8 9.1 40.6
TOTAL (I)
Interest 267.1 265.1 232.2 225.8 225.9 223.9 213.1 110.7 1.4 6.2
II. NON-PARIS CLUB COUNTRIES
1. China Principal 72.7 121.3 128.0 170.4 712.3 216.1 342.0 421.6 135.5 385.7
Interest 74.6 103.5 139.3 141.5 205.8 240.3 388.2 450.8 169.8 234.8
2. Czecho- Principal - - - - - - - - -
Slovakia Interest - - - - - - - - -
3. Kuwait Principal 8.1 7.1 7.6 10.3 9.5 11.2 12.1 12.0 11.5 14.1
Interest 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.8 4.1 4.0 3.5 3.4 3.5
4. Libya Principal - - - - - - - - -
Interest - - - - - - - - -
5. Saudi Arabia Principal 76.1 166.7 121.9 111.2 167.1 30.7 32.8 30.0 - 81.6
Interest 4.2 7.5 5.7 5.4 7.8 4.3 5.1 10.7 - 38.6
6. UAE Principal 4.1 4.5 4.5 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 - 1.8
Interest 1.9 3.0 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.0 0.8 - 0.6
7. EXIM Bank Principal 6.3 7.3 8.3 9.5 10.9 12.5 14.3 7.9 - -
(FE) Interest 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.9 3.5 1.8 - -
8. PL-480 Principal 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 3.1 5.1 4.8 2.4 - -
Interest 2.9 2.9 1.5 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.6 1.3 - -
9. CCC Principal 8.5 9.7 11.1 12.7 14.6 16.7 19.1 10.6 - -
Interest 15.7 15.2 14.6 13.9 13.1 12.2 11.1 5.1 - -
Principal 177.0 317.6 282.5 321.6 923.9 298.7 431.5 490.7 147.0 483.2
TOTAL (II)
Interest 103.4 136.5 167.0 169.7 236.0 266.9 415.5 474.0 173.3 277.4
(Contd..)
88
TABLE 9.4
DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS OF FOREIGN LOANS (Paid in Foreign Exchange)
US$ million
2021-22
Fiscal Year Kind 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
(Jul-Mar)
III. MULTILATERAL
1. ADB Principal 737.1 728.1 721.2 755.4 778.4 757.6 744.0 803.0 846.6 663.0
Interest 101.6 82.6 80.6 84.8 107.4 138.8 184.1 201.8 174.4 101.4
2. IBRD Principal 177.1 165.6 156.1 147.3 128.0 136.8 117.2 85.0 87.9 99.3
Interest 13.9 8.1 5.9 8.0 13.4 17.1 42.0 40.6 22.4 13.9
3. IDA Principal 222.6 236.3 253.5 256.8 279.0 344.8 370.2 452.3 512.3 459.0
Interest 92.8 96.2 113.1 125.4 151.1 174.0 178.4 187.2 213.3 179.0
4. IFAD Principal 8.1 4.8 5.3 5.5 6.6 7.9 7.8 7.8 9.2 6.1
Interest 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.3 1.6
5. IDB Principal 17.4 23.6 31.6 44.6 50.8 58.5 80.8 93.1 87.7 64.1
Interest 4.8 10.2 13.6 16.4 18.1 20.7 29.8 39.8 30.1 20.0
6. IDB (ST) Principal 390.3 413.0 409.1 734.5 877.9 836.3 1,082.1 836.7 757.2 439.4
Interest 11.2 15.7 18.4 47.6 51.5 61.2 52.0 48.4 40.8 24.8
Principal 1,552.6 1,571.4 1,576.8 1,944.0 2,120.6 2,141.9 2,402.1 2,277.8 2,301.0 1,730.8
TOTAL (III)
Interest 225.9 214.5 233.3 283.8 343.2 413.7 488.2 519.7 483.2 340.7
IV. DEVELOPMENT FUNDS
1. NORDIC Principal 1.9 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.4
Interest 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
2. OPEC Fund Principal 3.0 3.0 4.5 6.4 6.1 6.1 9.5 9.4 9.4 5.4
Interest 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 3.1 2.5 2.4 2.1 1.1
3. Turkey (EXIM Principal - 0.7 31.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 41.3 1.3 1.3 -
Bank) Interest 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.7 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.0
4. E.I.Bank Principal 8.1 8.4 8.2 7.0 5.5 5.0 5.0 - - -
Interest 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 -
5. ANZ Bank / Principal - - 172.5 225.0 1,003.8 1,138.9 2,552.0 4,434.7 3,444.1 4,186.2
Standard
Charted Bank Interest - 6.9 12.3 55.0 65.9 284.2 443.2 485.3 357.2 294.3
Principal 13.0 13.6 217.3 240.2 1,017.2 1,151.9 2,608.4 4,445.8 3,455.5 4,192.0
TOTAL (IV)
Interest 2.0 9.1 15.2 58.2 70.1 289.3 447.9 489.8 361.4 296.5
V. GLOBAL BONDS
1. Euro Bonds Principal - - - 500.0 750.0 - 1,000.0 1,000.0 - 1,000.0
Interest 110.9 110.8 301.4 354.3 366.9 422.8 502.7 395.8 361.8 339.7
2. Saindak Bonds Principal - - - - - - - - -
Interest - - - - - - - -
3. US Dollar Principal - - - - - - - -
Bonds (NHA) Interest - - - - - - - -
Principal - - - 500.0 750.0 - 1,000.0 1,000.0 - 1,000.0
TOTAL (V)
Interest 110.9 110.8 301.4 354.3 366.9 422.8 502.7 395.8 361.8 339.7
TOTAL Principal 1,903.0 2,073.8 2,251.2 3,202.5 5,194.8 4,169.7 7,047.4 8,568.0 5,912.5 7,446.7
(I+II+III+IV+V) Interest 709.3 736.0 949.1 1,091.8 1,242.2 1,616.7 2,067.3 1,990.0 1,381.0 1,260.4
Total (P+I) 2,612.3 2,809.8 3,200.4 4,294.2 6,437.1 5,786.4 9,114.8 10,558.0 7,293.5 8,707.1
VI. OTHERS
1. NBP Principal - - - - - - - - - -
Interest - - - - - - - - - -
2. Bank of Principal - - - - - - - - - -
Indosuez Interest - - - - - - - - - -
3. NBP Bahrain Principal - - - - - - - - - -
Interest - - - - - - - - - -
4. ANZ Bank Principal - - - - - - - - - -
Interest - - - - - - - - - -
5. US Dollar Principal - - - - - - - - - -
Bonds Interest - - - - - - - - - -
6. Cash (ST) Principal - - - - - - - - - -
Interest - - - - - - - - - -
7. OTF Principal - - - - - - - - - -
Interest 0.2 0.2 - - - - - - - -
8 Exchange Loss Principal - - - - - - - - - -
Interest - - - - - 19.4 - - - -
9 Unspent Principal - - 10.7 - - 5.3 6.7 1.1 0.1 11.8
Balance Interest - - - - - - - - - -
Principal - - - - - - 6.7 1.1 0.1 11.8
TOTAL (VI)
Interest 0.2 0.2 - - - 19.4 - - - -
10 SAFE Deposit Principal - - - - - - - - - -
(VII) Interest - - - - - - - - - 44.6
TOTAL Principal 1,903.0 2,073.8 2,261.9 3,202.5 5,194.8 4,175.0 7,054.2 8,569.2 5,912.6 7,458.5
(I+II+III+IV+V+VI+VII) Interest 709.5 736.2 949.1 1,091.8 1,242.2 1,636.0 2,067.3 1,985.0 1,381.0 1,305.0
Grand Total (P+I) 2,612.5 2,810.0 3,211.1 4,294.2 6,437.1 5,811.1 9,121.5 10,554.2 7,293.6 8,763.5
Note: Excluding IMF Loans Source: Economic Affairs Division
89
TABLE 9.5
TERMS OF FOREIGN LOANS/CREDITS CONTRACTED BY PAKISTAN*
2012-13 2013-14
Lending Country/Agency Amount Interest Rate/ Amortization Amount Interest Rate/ Amortization
$ million Commission(%) years $ million Commission(%) years
A. Paris Club Countries
1. Germany 27.3 0.75 Fixed 40
2. Japan 49.3 LIBOR Yen 6 Month + 0.34 40
3.France 83.3 EIBOR+0.93 20
4. Italy 88.9 LIBOR 6 months + 0.93 15
Sub-Total A 88.9 159.9
B. Non-Paris Club
1. China 448.0 LIBOR 6 months + 2.8 10 6,493.8 1 , 2 and 6 Fixed 28 to 30
2. Kuwait
LIBOR 12 months + 1.25 and 2 For Fixed 6 and
3. Saudi Arabia 100.0 LIBOR 12 months + 1.25 10 282.8
Fixed for LIBOR 25
4. Korea
Sub-Total B 548.0 6,776.6
C. Multilateral
5.25 Fixed, LIBOR 12 Months +
1. IDB Short-term 1,006.5 4.5, LIBOR 6 Months + 4.5, 1
LIBOR Euro 12 Months+2.3
2. IDB 227.0 LIBOR 6 months + 1.35 24 264.4 2 to 2.5 Fixed 25
3. IDA 242.9 1.25 Fixed 25 1,554.1 1.25 to 2 Fixed 30
4. ADB 170.8 1.5 & LIBOR 6 months + 0.6 20-28 2,148.8 2 Fixed & LIBOR 6 months + 0.6 30
5. OPEC 50.0 1.75 Fixed 25
6.IBRD
7. IFAD
LIBOR + spread, Euribor +
8. EIB 136.5 30
spread and Fixed
9. E.C.O BANK 30.0 LIBOR 6 MONTHS + 2 1
Sub-Total C 640.7 5,190.3
D. Commercial Banks
1. SCB (London) 172.5 LIBOR 3 Months + 4 1
2. SUISSE AG, UBL, ABL 200.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 4 1
Sub-Total (D) - 372.5
E. International Bonds
1. Eurobonds 1,000.0 7.25 Fixed 5
2. Eurobonds 1,000.0 8.25 Fixed 10
3. International Sukuk -
Sub-Total (E) - 2,000.0
Total (A+B+C+D+E) 1,277.6 14,499.2
2014-15 2015-16
Lending Country/Agency Amount Interest Rate/ Amortization Amount Interest Rate/ Amortization
$ million Commission(%) years $ million Commission(%) years
A. Paris Club Countries
1. Germany 44.6 0.75 Fixed 40
2. Japan 109.8 LIBOR Yen 6 Months + 0.1 30 to 40
3.France 46.3 EIBOR + 0.25 20
4. Italy
5. Korea 139.8 0.10 Fixed 40
Sub-Total A 0.0 340.4
B. Non-Paris Club
1. China 37.7 Fixed 2 20 9,422.7 2 and 5.2 Fixed 18 to 20
2. Kuwait
3. Saudi Arabia 55.0 2 Fixed 20
Sub-Total B 37.7 9,477.7
C. Multilateral
5.0126 Fixed, LIBOR 6 Months 4.9 Fixed, LIBOR 12 months + 4.5
1. IDB Short-term 488.8 1 1,237.0 1
4.5, LIBOR EURO 12 Months to 5.5
2. IDB 100.0 2 Fixed, LIBOR 6 months +1.35 16
3. IDA 1,425.4 1.25 to 2 Fixed 30 1,598.6 1.83 to 2 Fixed 24
4. ADB 762.1 2 Fixed & LIBOR 6 Months + 0.6 30 1,713.1 2 Fixed & LIBOR 6 months + 0.6 6 to 24
5. OPEC
6. IBRD 100.0 LIBOR 6 months + 0.75 18
7. IFAD 31.6 Fixed 0.75 67.9 8
8. EIB
9. E.C.O BANK 35.0 LIBOR 6 months + 2.5 1
10. AIIB 100.0 LIBOR 6 months + 0.75 20
Sub-Total C 2,707.9 4,951.6
D. Commercial Banks
1. SCB (London) 100.1 LIBOR 3 Months + 4.25 4
2. SUISSE AG, UBL, ABL 983.0 LIBOR 3 months +2.66 & 3.25 1
3. Dubai Bank 125.0 LIBOR 6 months + 2.5 1
4. Noor Bank 340.0 LIBOR 3 months + 3.75 & 4.1 1
Sub-Total (D) 100.1 1,448.0
E. International Bonds
1. International Sukuk 1,000.0 6.75 Fixed 5
2. Eurobonds 500.0 8.25 Fixed 10
Sub-Total (E) 1,000.0 500.0
Total (A+B+C+D+E) 3,845.7 16,717.7
*Excluding IMF Loans (Contd.)
90
TABLE 9.5
TERMS OF FOREIGN LOANS/CREDITS CONTRACTED BY PAKISTAN*
2016-17 2017-18
Lending Country/Agency Amount Interest Rate/ Amortization Amount Interest Rate/ Amortization
$ million Commission(%) years $ million Commission(%) years
A. Paris Club Countries
1. Germany
Fixed 0.1 & LIBOR Yen 06 Months +
2. Japan 23.8 30
0.1
LIBOR EURO 06 Months + 0.47 &
3.France 114.0 LIBOR EURO 06 Months + 0.52 20 192.1 20
0.52
4. Italy
5. Korea 76.3 Fixed 0.1 40
Sub-Total A 214.1 192.1
B. Non-Paris Club
1. China** 729.4 Fixed 2 & LIBOR 06 Months + 2.8 20 500.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 1 2
2. Kuwait 14.9 Fixed 2.5 21
3. Saudi Arabia
Sub-Total B 729.4 514.9
C. Multilateral
1. IDB Short-term 700.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.22 1 694.4 Fixed 4 & LIBOR 12 Months + 2.22 1
2. IDB
3. IDA 761.2 1.88 to 3.2 Fixed 25 1,386.3 Fixed 2 to 3.36 25
4. ADB 2,001.0 2 Fixed & LIBOR 6 Months + 0.6 25 1,589.6 Fixed 2 & LIBOR 6 Months + 0.6 24
5. OPEC
6. IBRD 690.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 0.5 & 0.75 21 855.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 0.75 21
7. IFAD 50.0 Fixed 1.75 20 82.6 Fixed 0.75 40
8. EIB
9. E.C.O BANK 40.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 1.9 2
10.AIIB 300.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 0.75 20
Sub-Total C 4,542.2 4,607.9
D. Commercial Banks
1. SCB (London) 700.0 Fixed 4.47 10 200.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 1.4 1
2. SUISSE AG, UBL, ABL 1,000.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 2 to 3 1&9 1,200.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 2 1
3. Dubai Bank 80.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 2.6 2
4. Noor Bank 445.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 2.3 to 2.5 2 220.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 2 1
5. Bank of China 300.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 2.93 3 200.0 LIBOR CHF 3 MONTHS + 2 3
6. China Development Bank 1,700.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 3.02 3 1,000.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 3 3
7. Citi Bank 275.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 2.7 2 267.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 2.7 2
8. ICBC-China 300.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 2.75 2 1,000.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 3.25 3
Sub-Total (D) 4,720.0 4,167.0
E. International Bonds
1. Bonds 2021 1,000.0 Fixed 5.5 5
2. Bonds 2027 1,500.0 Fixed 6.875 10
3. Sukuk 2022 1,000.0 Fixed 5.625 5
Sub-Total (E) 1,000.0 2,500.0
Total (A+B+C+D+E) 11,205.7 11,981.9
2018-19 2019-20
Lending Country/Agency Amount Interest Rate/ Amortization Amount Interest Rate/ Amortization
$ million Commission(%) years $ million Commission(%) years
A. Paris Club Countries
1. Germany
2. Japan
3.France 148.0 LIBOR EURO 6 MONTH +0.25 20
4. Italy 23.0 Interest Free 28
5. Korea 80.0 Fixed +1.5 25
Sub-Total A 148.0 103.0
B. Non-Paris Club
1. China** 2,000.0 LIBOR 12 Months +1 1
2. Kuwait
3. Saudi Arabia
Sub-Total B 2,000.0 0.0
C. Multilateral
1. IDB Short-term 926.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.7 1 555.8 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.7 1
2. IDB 200.0
3. IDA 615.6 Fixed 1.25 30 1,449.0 Fixed 1.25 30
4. ADB 355.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 0.6 25 2,823.3 LIBOR 6 Months + 0.6 25
5. OPEC
6. IBRD 652.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 0.5 25
7. IFAD 36.0
8. EIB
9. E.C.O BANK 40.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 1.9 1
10.AIIB 540.0 LIBOR 6 MONTHS +0.6 16
Sub-Total C 1,936.6 6,256.1
D. Commercial Banks
1. SCB (London) 200.0
2. SUISSE AG, UBL, ABL 495.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 3.25 1 200.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 3.25 1
3. Dubai Bank 685.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 2 1 445.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 2.2 1
4. Noor Bank 225.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.25
5. Bank of China 500.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 2.93 and 2.65 2 and 3
6. China Development Bank 2,183.7 SHIBOR 6 Months + 2.5 3 1,700.0 LIBOR 6 Months +3 3
7. Citi Bank 150.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 2.2
8. ICBC China 300.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 2.75 2
9. Ajman Bank 274.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 2.20 1 267.5 LIBOR 6 Months + 2.20 1
Sub-Total (D) 4,162.7 3,462.5
Total (A+B+C+D) 8,247.2 9,821.6
*Excluding IMF Loans ** Including SAFE Deposits Source: Economic Affairs Division
91
TABLE 9.5
TERMS OF FOREIGN LOANS/CREDITS CONTRACTED BY PAKISTAN*
2020-21 2021-22 (Jul-Mar)
Lending Country/Agency Amount Interest Rate/ Amortization Amount Interest Rate/ Amortization
$ million Commission(%) years $ million Commission(%) years
A. Paris Club Countries
1. Germany 32.1 Fixed 0.75 40
2.France 77.3 Fixed 0.25
Sub-Total A 109.4
B. Non-Paris Club
1. China ** 1,000.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 1.0 1
2. CATIC 534.5
3. Saudi Arabia 1,200.0 Fixed 3.8 1
Sub-Total B 1,000.0 1,734.5
C. Multilateral
1. IDB Short-term 951.5 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.7 1 761.5 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.4 1
2. IDB 252.5 Fixed 2 20
3. IDA 3,633.6 Fixed 2 30 95.8 Fixed 1.5 30
4. ADB 900.0 Fixed 2 & LIBOR 6 Months + 0.6 15, 25 1,105.0 Fixed 2 25
5. OPEC 50.0 Fixed 2 11
6. IBRD 854.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 0.5, 0.25 25 195.0 LIBOR 6 Months + 0.5 30
7. IFAD 62.3 Fixed 1.25
8.AIIB 321.8 LIBOR 6 MONTHS +0.6, 0.25 16, 23
Sub-Total C 6,773.2 2,409.8
D. Commercial Banks -
1. SCB (London) 600.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.4 1 400.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.4 1
2. SUISSE AG, UBL, ABL 215.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.0 1 343.5 LIBOR 12 Months + 2 1
3. DUBAI BANK 825.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.05 1 1,140.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.05 1
4. CHINA DEV BANK 1,000.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 3.0 1
5. ICBC-CHINA 1,300.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 2.75 2
6. EMIRATES NBD 370.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.05 1 600.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 2 1
7. AJMAN BANK PJSC 350.0 LIBOR 12 Months + 2.0 1
8. NBP Bahrain 142.0 LIBOR 3 Months + 4.5 2
Sub-Total (D) 4,802.0 2,484
E. International Bonds
1. Eurobond 1,000.0 Fixed (6.0 percent) 5 300.0 Fixed (6.0 percent) 5
2. Eurobond 1,000.0 Fixed (7.375 percent) 10 400.0 Fixed (7.375 percent) 10
3. Eurobond 500.0 Fixed (8.875 percent) 30 300.0 Fixed (8.875 percent) 30
4. International Sukuk 1,000.0 Fixed (7.95 percent) 7
Sub-Total (E) 2,500.0 2,000.0
F. SFD TIME Deposit 3,000.0 Fixed (4 percent) 1
Total (A+B+C+D+E+F) 15,184.6 11,627.8
92
TABLE 9.6
GRANT ASSISTANCE AGREEMENTS SIGNED
(US$ million)
2021-22
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
(Jul-Mar)
I. Paris Club Countries
1. Australia - - - - - - - - - -
2. Austria - - - - - - - - - -
3. Canada - - - - - - - - - -
4. France 0.5 3.4 - 6.5 - - - - - -
5. Germany 13.1 18.4 9.0 56.8 1.1 11.6 5.7 13.5 5.9 -
6. Japan 28.4 19.2 79.7 38.1 10.7 26.2 3.0 - 71.5 30.9
7. The Netherlands - - - - - - - - - -
8. Norway 12.4 - - - - - - - - -
9. Korea - - - - - - - - - -
10. Switzerland - - - - - - - - - -
11. UK 1,173.3 - 534.4 - 49.8 - - - - -
12. USA 70.0 150.0 - 43.0 677.3 - - - - -
13. Italy - - - - - - - - - -
14. Denmark - - - - - - - - -
Sub-Total (I) 1,297.6 191.0 623.0 144.5 738.9 37.8 8.7 13.5 77.4 30.9
II. Non Paris Club Countries
1. China 11.4 - 123.9 4.5 - 21.2 - - - 166.2
2. Iran - - - - - - - - - -
3. UAE - - - - - - - - - -
4. Oman - - - - - - - - - -
5. Saudi Arabia - 26.7 - 53.5 16.1 - - -
Sub-Total (II) 11.4 26.7 123.9 58.0 - 21.2 16.1 - - 166.2
III. Multilateral
1. ADB - - - 247.6 3.5 19.2 4.0 5.0 2.0 -
2. EEC / EU 19.6 200.7 - 230.2 130.9 14.6 - -
3. Islamic Development Bank - - - 0.6 0.3 - - - -
4. IDA - 9.0 - - 2.0 10.2 117.7 -
5. IBRD 39.4 18.1 127.2 - 111.2 15.6 - 15.0 69.9 30.0
6. IFAD - - 0.5 - - - - 2.9 3.1 -
7. AIIB - - - - - - - 1.5 4.1 -
8. UN and Specialised Agencies - 2.4 - - - - - - - -
9. UNDP Special Grant - - - - - - - - - -
10. World Food Programme - - - - - - - - - -
11. UNFPA - - - - - - - -
Sub-Total (III) 59.0 230.2 127.8 478.3 114.9 34.8 136.9 49.1 196.8 30.0
IV. Relief Assistance for
A. Afghan Refugees 4.2 - 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 - -
B. Earthquake - - - - - - -
1. Afghanistan - - - - - - - - - -
2. Algeria - - - - - - - - - -
3. Austria - - - - - - - - - -
4. Azerbaijan - - - - - - - - - -
5. Bhutan - - - - - - - - - -
6. Brunei - - - - - - - - - -
7. China - - - - - - - - - -
8. Cyprus - - - - - - - - - -
9. Indonesia - - - - - - - - - -
10. Jordan - - - - - - - - - -
11. Malaysia - - - - - - - - - -
12. Morocco - - - - - - - - - -
13. Oman - - - - - - - - - -
14. Pak-Turk foundation - - - - - - - - - -
15. Saudi Arabia - - - - - - - - - -
16. South Korea - - - - - - - - - -
17. Thailand - - - - - - - - - -
18. Turkey for FATA TDPs - - - - 10.0 - - - - -
19. UK - - - - - - - - - -
20. ADB - - - - - - - - - -
21. WB (IDA) 10.0 - - - - - - - - -
22. Germany - - - - - - - - - -
23. IDB - - - - - - - - - -
24. Mauritius - - - - - - - - - -
Sub-Total (IV) 14.2 - 1.0 1.3 11.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 - -
V. International Bonds - - - - - - - - - 41.7
Sub-Total (V) - - - - - - - - - 41.7
Grand Total (I+II+III+IV+V) 1,382.3 447.9 875.6 682.1 864.9 95.7 162.6 62.9 274.2 268.7
Source : Economic Affairs Division
93
TABLE 9.7
TOTAL LOANS AND CREDITS CONTRACTED
(US$ million)
2021-22
Lending Country/Agency 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
(Jul-Mar)
A. Paris Club Countries
1. Austria - - - - - - - - - -
2. Australia - - - - - - - - - -
3. Belgium - - - - - - - - - -
4. Canada - - - - - - - - - -
5. France 88.9 83.3 - 46.3 114.0 192.1 148.0 - 77.3 -
6. Germany - 27.3 - 44.6 - - - - 32.1 -
7. Japan - 49.3 - 109.8 23.8 - - - - -
8. Korea - - - 139.8 76.3 - - 80.0 - -
9. Netherlands - - - - - - - - - -
10. Norway - - - - - - - - - -
11. Spain - - - - - - - - - -
12. UK - - - - - - - - - -
13. USA - - - - - - - - - -
14. Italy - - - - - - - 23.0 - -
15. Sweden - - - - - - - - - -
Sub-Total (A) 88.9 159.9 - 340.4 214.1 192.1 148.0 103.0 109.4 -
B. Non-Paris Club Countries
1. China 448.0 6,493.8 37.7 9,422.7 729.4 500.0 2,000.0 - 1,000.0 -
2. Kuwait - - - - - 14.9 - - - 534.5
3. Saudi Arabia 100.0 282.8 - 55.0 - - - - - -
4. Turkey (EXIM Bank) - - - - - - - - - 1,200.0
5. Abu Dhabi Fund - - - - - - - - - -
Sub-Total (B) 548.0 6,776.6 37.7 9,477.7 729.4 514.9 2,000.0 - 1,000.0 1,734.5
C. Multilateral
1. IBRD - - - 100.0 690.0 855.0 - 652.0 854.0 195.0
2. IDA 242.9 1,554.1 1,425.4 1,598.6 761.2 1,386.3 615.6 1,449.0 3,633.6 95.8
3. ADB 170.8 2,148.8 762.1 1,713.1 2,001.0 1,589.6 355.0 2,823.3 900.0 1,105.0
4. IFAD - - 31.6 67.9 - 82.6 - 36.0 62.3 -
5. European Investment Bank - 136.5 - - - - - - - -
6. ECOTDB - 30.0 - 35.0 40.0 - 40.0 - - -
7. OPEC Fund - 50.0 - - 50.0 - - - 50.0 -
8. IDB 227.0 264.4 - 100.0 - - - 200.0 - 252.5
9.IDB (ST) - 1,006.5 488.8 1,237.0 700.0 694.4 926.0 555.8 951.5 -
10.AIIB - - - 100.0 300.0 - - 540.0 321.8 761.5
Sub-Total (C) 640.7 5,190.3 2,707.9 4,951.6 4,542.2 4,607.9 1,936.6 6,256.1 6,773.2 2,409.8
D. International Bonds
1. Eurobonds / Sukuks - 2,000.0 1,000.0 500.0 1,000.0 2,500.0 - - 2,500.0 2,000.0
Sub-Total (D) - 2,000.0 1,000.0 500.0 1,000.0 2,500.0 - - 2,500.0 2,000.0
E. Commercial Banks
1. SCB London - 172.5 100.1 - 700.0 200.0 - 200.0 600.0 400.0
2. Dubai Bank - - - 125.0 - 80.0 685.0 445.0 825.0 1,140.0
3. Noor Bank - - - 340.0 445.0 220.0 225.0 - - -
4. SUISSE AG, UBL, ABL - 200.0 - 983.0 1,000.0 1,200.0 495.0 200.0 215.0 343.5
5. Bank of China - - - - 300.0 200.0 - 500.0 - -
6. China Development Bank - - - - 1,700.0 1,000.0 2,183.7 1,700.0 1,000.0 -
7. ICBC-China - - - - 300.0 1,000.0 300.0 - 1,300.0 -
8. Citi Bank - - - - 275.0 267.0 - 150.0 - -
9. Emirates NBD - - - - - - - - 370.0 600.0
10. Ajman Bank - - - - - - 274.0 267.5 350.0 -
11. NBP Bahrain - - - - - - - 142.0 -
Sub-Total (E) - 372.5 100.1 1,448.0 4,720.0 4,167.0 4,162.7 3,462.5 4,802.0 2,483.5
F. SFD TIME Deposit - - - - - - - - - 3,000.0
Grand-Total (A+B+C+D+E+F) 1,277.6 14,499.2 3,845.7 16,717.7 11,205.7 11,981.9 8,247.3 9,821.6 15,184.6 11,627.8
Note: Total may differ due to rounding off Source : Economic Affairs Division
94
TABLE 10.1
NUMBER OF EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS BY KIND, LEVEL & SEX
Numbers
Year Primary* Middle High Technical & Higher Sec/ Degree Universities
Schools (000) Schools (000) Schools (000) Vocational Inter Colleges Colleges
Institutions
Total Female Total Female Total Female Total Female Total Female Total Female Total
2010-11 155.5 58.2 41.6 20.4 25.2 9.5 3,224 2,206 3,435 1,690 1,558 814 135
2011-12 154.7 57.0 41.9 21.0 28.7 11.6 3,257 2,229 4,515 2,184 1,384 643 139
2012-13 159.7 60.1 42.2 21.4 29.9 12.3 3,290 2,253 5,030 2,410 1,534 683 147
2013-14 157.9 60.3 42.9 21.1 30.6 12.6 3,323 2,276 5,179 2,462 1,086 518 161
2014-15 165.9 66.0 44.8 22.4 31.3 13.1 3,579 1,819 5,393 2,567 1,410 308 163
2015-16 164.6 65.3 45.7 27.0 31.7 15.6 3,746 1,514 5,470 1,437 1,418 260 163
2016-17 168.9 66.1 49.1 27.9 31.6 14.7 3,798 1,536 5,130 2,689 1,431 344 185
2017-18 172.5 73.5 46.7 23.5 31.4 13.5 3,740 1,330 5,754 2,654 1,659 834 186
2018-19 (P) 180.1 80.7 47.3 23.7 31.7 13.7 3,740 1,330 5,876 2,634 2,893 1,425 202
2019-20 (E) 183.9 85.3 48.3 24.1 32.0 13.9 3,825 1,239 6,041 2,675 3,320 1,683 218
2020-21 (E) 187.9 90.4 49.3 24.5 32.3 14.2 3,914 1,160 6,214 2,717 3,872 2,035 233
P : Provisional E: Estimated *: Including Pre-Primary, Mosque Schools and Non-Formal Basic Education
Notes:
1. All figures include Public & Private Sector data
2. Female institution includes percentage of mixed institutions
TABLE 10.2
ENROLMENT IN EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS BY KIND, LEVEL & SEX
Numbers
Year Primary Stage Middle Stage High Stage Technical & Higher Sec/ Degree Universities
I-V VI-VIII IX-X Vocational Inter Colleges Colleges
(000) (000) (000) (000) (000)
Total Female Total Female Total Female Total Female Total Female Total Female Total Female
2010-11 18,063 7,971 5,644 2,421 2,630 1,103 281 106 1,188 408 431,180 218,374 1,107,682 521,284
2011-12 18,677 7,905 6,020 2,573 2,753 1,155 290 109 1,294 367 497,152 222,098 1,319,799 642,198
2012-13 18,790 8,278 6,188 2,653 2,898 1,215 302 113 1,400 395 641,539 234,006 1,594,648 805,062
2013-14 19,441 8,567 6,461 2,798 3,109 1,303 309 117 1,234 497 465,435 240,585 1,594,648 805,062
2014-15 19,847 8,778 6,582 2,843 3,501 1,493 320 112 1,665 662 510,588 82,479 1,299,160 602,550
2015-16 21,551 9,534 6,922 3,026 3,653 1,580 315 112 1,698 675 518,144 86,134 1,355,649 602,509
2016-17 21,686 9,660 6,996 3,088 3,583 1,541 345 120 1,595 618 537,407 89,512 1,463,279 667,912
2017-18 22,931 10,093 7,362 3,273 3,861 1,692 433 148 1,688 765 604,614 294,388 1,575,793 695,028
2018-19 (P) 23,588 10,625 7,634 3,426 3,969 1,755 433 148 2,140 984 725,631 402,603 1,858,704 832,299
2019-20 (E) 24,592 11,127 7,931 3,593 4,214 1,885 465 155 2,328 1,071 741,483 411,398 1,910,001 836,992
2020-21 (E) 25,676 11,674 8,251 3,775 4,487 2,033 500 164 2,549 1,332 757,986 455,951 1,963,960 841,734
P : Provisional E : Estimated
Notes:
1. All figures include Public & Private Sector data
2. Enrolment of Deeni Madaris and Non-Formal Basic Education are included.
TABLE 10.3
NUMBER OF TEACHERS IN EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTIONS IN PAKISTAN, BY KIND, LEVEL & SEX
Numbers
Year Primary Schools* Middle Schools High Schools Technical & Voca- Higher Sec/ Degree Universities
(000) (000) (000) tional Institutions Inter Colleges Colleges
Total Female Total Female Total Female Total Female Total Female Total Female Total
2010-11 440.5 210.1 335.0 220.3 452.8 235.3 15,591 4,993 81,183 39,378 36,349 16,181 63,557
2011-12 427.4 198.6 351.4 233.9 458.7 271.3 15,847 5,079 97,633 52,746 40,191 16,815 70,053
2012-13 428.8 209.1 362.6 241.5 489.6 287.2 16,109 5,168 132,011 71,121 48,809 19,319 77,557
2013-14 420.1 209.5 364.8 243.6 500.5 296.3 16,377 5,259 124,336 58,867 25,964 7,599 77,557
2014-15 430.9 218.9 380.8 256.1 514.2 306.2 19,393 5,353 118,079 63,569 36,587 7,239 88,288
2015-16 444.6 226.3 394.2 270.3 529.5 318.0 18,157 4,384 123,061 66,528 37,082 7,379 83,375
2016-17 475.2 258.9 455.4 325.7 560.6 342.6 18,207 4,304 120,336 63,386 37,857 7,541 58,733
2017-18 522.4 284.0 448.1 319.8 563.3 342.9 18,207 4,304 123,154 64,320 41,233 17,803 56,885
2018-19 (P) 494.9 276.5 448.7 322.0 567.3 348.5 18,207 4,304 136,008 70,818 61,602 27,260 60,279
2019-20 (E) 507.6 291.4 466.4 339.8 582.3 360.9 18,602 4,184 136,694 70,768 64,293 29,128 58,041
2020-21 (E) 522.8 307.7 485.0 359.0 595.9 372.2 18,963 4,062 138,635 72,812 77,852 40,916 55,954
P : Provisional E : Estimated * : Including Pre-primary, Mosque Schools and Non-Formal Basic Education
Notes: All figures include Public & Private Sector data
Sources:
1. Figures of Primary, Middle, High and Higher Sec. from 2010-11 to 2018-19 is based on Annual Pakistan Education Statistics Reports, NEMIS, AEPAM,
Islamabad.
2. Figures of Universities is provided by Higher Education Commission (HEC), Islamabad.
97
TABLE 11.1
NATIONAL MEDICAL AND HEALTH ESTABLISHMENTS, Progressive (Calendar Year Basis)
(Numbers)
Year Hospitals Dispen- BHUs Maternity Rural TB Total Population
saries Sub & Child Health Centres Beds per Bed
Health Health Centres
Centres Centres
2011 980 5,039 5,449 851 579 345 107,537 1,647
2012 1,092 5,176 5,478 628 640 326 111,802 1,616
2013 1,113 5,413 5,471 687 667 329 118,378 1,557
2014 1,143 5,548 5,438 670 669 334 118,170 1,591
2015 1,172 5,695 5,478 733 684 339 119,548 1,604
2016 1,243 5,971 5,473 755 668 345 124,821 1,565
2017 1,264 5,654 5,505 727 688 431 131,049 1,585
2018 1,279 5,671 5,527 747 686 441 132,227 1,608
2019 1,282 5,743 5,472 752 670 412 133,707 -
2020 1,289 5,849 5,561 752 719 410 147,112 -
2021 (P) 1,276 5,802 5,558 780 736 416 146,053 -
P: Provisional - : Not Available Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
TABLE 11.2
REGISTERED MEDICAL AND PARAMEDICAL PERSONNEL (Progressive) AND EXPENDITURE ON
HEALTH, (Calendar Year Basis)
(Numbers)
Year Regis- Regis- Regis- Register- Register- Population per Expenditure (Rs. Million)**
tered tered tered ed Mid- ed Lady Doctor Dentist Develop- Non-
Doctors Dentists Nurses wives Health ment Deve-
* * * Visitors lopment
2011 152,368 11,649 77,683 30,722 12,621 1,162 15,203 27,658 78,359
2012 160,880 12,692 82,119 31,503 13,678 1,123 14,238 29,898 104,284
2013 167,759 13,716 86,183 32,677 14,388 1,099 13,441 31,781 129,421
2014 175,223 15,106 90,276 33,687 15,325 1,073 12,447 55,904 146,082
2015 184,711 16,652 94,766 34,668 16,448 1,038 11,513 65,213 165,959
2016 195,896 18,333 99,228 36,326 17,384 997 10,658 75,249 192,704
2017 208,007 20,463 103,777 38,060 18,400 957 9,730 99,005 229,957
2018 220,829 22,595 108,474 40,272 19,910 963 9,413 87,434 329,033
2019 233,261 24,930 112,123 41,810 20,565 - - 58,624 363,154
2020 245,987 27,360 116,659 43,129 21,361 - - 77,496 427,915
2021 266,430 30,501 121,245 44,693 22,408 - - 122,867 534,318
101
TABLE 11.3
DATA ON EXPANDED PROGRAMME OF IMMUNIZATION VACCINATION PERFORMANCE
Nos. in 000
Vaccine/doze. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
B.C.G. 6,186.4 6,150.8 5,848.5 6,233.7 6,356.5 6,608.4 7,261.5 7,019.4 7141.2
POLIO
0 4,464.2 4,746.2 4,796.7 5,120.1 5,420.8 5,818.8 6,220.4 6,339.8 6239.7
I 5,905.2 5,838.7 5,743.6 5,990.7 6,001.4 6,138.1 6,618.3 6,607.1 6593.4
II 5,538.9 5,494.8 5,387.8 5,537.9 5,618.4 6,138.1 6,249.3 6,239.1 6172.1
III 5,398.0 5,369.4 5,257.4 5,378.7 5,455.2 5,672.4 6,115.9 6,124.0 6128.9
PENTAVALENT
I 5,921.6 5,843.5 5,713.7 5,933.6 6,009.0 5,526.7 6,725.8 6,145.7 6650.3
II 5,552.8 5,491.0 5,353.2 5,532.2 5,625.0 6,139.5 6,360.6 5,766.4 6224.7
III 5,411.6 5,370.8 5,225.9 5,371.7 5,472.0 5,676.0 6,231.3 5,665.8 6167.6
T.T
I 5,157.2 4,536.5 5,048.2 4,569.7 4,690.3 4,874.9 5,272.2 4,993.8 4966.7
II 4,235.0 3,708.5 4,063.1 3,934.9 3,993.8 4,103.6 4,560.7 4,366.7 4323.6
III 787.2 577.7 586.7 398.5 191.4 192.5 260.7 225.1 207.0
IV 312.3 185.4 157.9 97.8 51.9 57.9 70.8 60.1 58.0
V 130.1 105.8 86.6 56.8 27.5 30.7 37.0 27.6 26.3
MEASLES
I 5,622.7 5,370.8 5,192.1 5,516.8 5,606.5 5,455.4 6,216.6 6,284.2 5504.6
II 4,193.5 4,684.7 4,684.7 4,684.7 4,710.9 4,734.0 5,492.7 5,617.2 5492.6
PNEUMOCOCCAL (PCV10)
I 3,588.7 5,526.3 5,641.8 5,884.3 5,994.4 5,528.7 6,724.8 6,590.8 6576.3
II 3,195.3 5,197.4 5,388.6 5,505.8 5,605.1 6,135.8 6,356.5 6,225.8 6145.0
III 3,008.4 5,072.4 5,175.9 5,374.9 5,470.6 5,673.4 6,228.7 6,127.0 6083.2
B.C.G. Bacilus+Calamus+Guerin D.P.T Diphteira+Perussia+Tetanus Source: National Institute of Health (NIH)
T.T Tetanus Toxoid Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
TABLE 11.4
DOCTOR CONSULTING FEE IN VARIOUS CITIES
In Rupees
Period* Faisal- Gujran- Hyder- Islam- Karachi Lahore Pesha- Quetta Rawal- Sukkur Pakistan
abad wala abad abad war pindi
AVERAGE DOCTOR CALL FEE IN VARIOUS CITIES
2011 80.00 75.00 68.75 100.00 93.85 70.00 166.67 180.00 85.00 100.00 101.93
2012 90.00 75.00 80.00 200.00 100.00 70.36 191.61 200.00 110.00 100.00 121.70
2013 90.00 75.00 100.00 146.25 100.00 100.00 225.00 200.00 135.00 100.00 127.13
2014 90.00 75.00 100.00 175.00 100.00 100.00 220.83 200.00 166.67 100.00 132.75
2015 125.00 75.00 100.00 175.00 100.00 100.00 266.67 200.00 166.67 100.00 140.83
2016 125.00 75.00 100.00 175.00 100.00 100.00 266.67 200.00 166.67 100.00 140.83
2017 135.42 77.08 100.00 220.83 141.28 100.00 266.67 200.00 212.50 100.00 155.38
2018 250.00 100.00 100.00 225.00 173.39 118.75 266.67 200.00 216.67 135.42 178.59
2019 250.00 100.00 100.00 225.00 197.43 125.00 266.67 200.00 216.67 150.00 228.16
2020 264.47 100.00 100.00 334.56 210.18 160.14 462.83 212.09 305.87 185.38 254.29
2021 300.00 183.33 109.63 389.13 226.41 195.33 589.43 216.94 354.74 200.00 289.61
2022 314.64 200.00 138.01 495.76 240.45 208.70 640.45 271.91 460.71 242.61 330.80
102
TABLE 12.1
POPULATION
Year Population* Labour Civilian Employed Crude Crude Infant Growth
(mln) Force Labour Total Birth Death Mortality Rate**
Participation Force (mln) Rate** Rate** Rate**
Rate (%) (mln)
(per 1000 persons)
2011 177.10 32.98 58.41 55.17 27.50 7.30 70.50 2.03
2012 180.71 32.83 59.33 55.80 27.20 7.20 69.00 2.00
2013 184.35 32.88 60.35 56.58 26.80 7.00 67.50 1.97
2014 188.02 32.28 60.09 56.52 26.40 6.90 66.10 1.95
2015 191.71 32.30 61.04 57.42 26.10 6.80 64.60 1.92
2016 198.78 - - - 27.80 7.00 62.40 2.08
2017 207.68 - - - 27.30 7.80 67.20 2.40
2018 211.82 31.70 65.50 61.71 26.70 6.80 60.50 1.99
2019 216.08 32.20 68.75 64.03 26.10 6.70 59.50 1.94
2020 220.40 - - - 25.40 6.60 58.50 1.80
2021 224.78 32.30 71.76 67.25 - - - -
TABLE 12.2
POPULATION IN RURAL / URBAN AREAS
Population in Million
Year All Areas Male Female Rural areas Urban areas
Note: Total Population is revised from 2018 onward on the basis of Census 2017 by NIPS
105
TABLE 12.3
POPULATION IN URBAN, RURAL AREAS 1972, 1981, 1998 AND 2017 CENSUS
In Thousands
Population* Density
Region/
Total Urban Rural (Per sq.
Province
Both Sexes Male Female Both Sexes Male Female Both Sexes Male Female km)
1972 CENSUS
PAKISTAN 65,309 34,833 30,476 16,594 9,027 7,567 48,716 25,806 22,909 82
Islamabad** 238 131 106 77 46 31 161 86 75 259
Punjab** 37,607 20,209 17,398 9,183 4,977 4,206 28,424 15,232 13,192 183
Sindh 14,156 7,574 6,582 5,726 3,131 2,595 8,430 4,443 3,987 100
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 8,388 4,363 4,026 1,196 647 549 7,193 3,716 3,477 113
Balochistan 2,429 1,290 1,139 399 218 181 2,029 1,071 958 7
FATA 2,491 1,266 1,225 13 8 5 2,478 1,258 1,220 92
1981 CENSUS
PAKISTAN 84,253 44,232 40,021 23,841 12,767 11,074 60,412 31,465 28,947 106
Islamabad 340 185 155 204 113 91 136 72 64 376
Punjab 47,292 24,860 22,432 13,052 6,952 6,100 34,241 17,909 16,332 230
Sindh 19,029 9,999 9,030 8,243 4,433 3,810 10,786 5,566 5,220 135
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 11,061 5,761 5,300 1,665 898 767 9,396 4,863 4,533 148
Balochistan 4,332 2,284 2,048 677 371 306 3,655 1,913 1,742 13
FATA 2,199 1,143 1,056 - - - 2,199 1,143 1,056 81
1998 CENSUS
PAKISTAN 132,352 68,874 63,478 43,036 22,752 20,284 89,316 46,122 43,194 166
Islamabad 805 434 371 529 291 238 276 144 133 889
Punjab 73,621 38,094 35,527 23,019 12,071 10,948 50,602 26,023 24,579 359
Sindh 30,440 16,098 14,342 14,840 7,904 6,935 15,600 8,193 7,407 216
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 17,744 9,089 8,655 2,994 1,589 1,405 14,750 7,500 7,250 238
Balochistan 6,566 3,057 3,059 1,569 849 719 4,997 2,657 2,340 19
FATA 3,176 1,652 1,524 85 46 39 3,091 1,606 1,485 117
2017 CENSUS
PAKISTAN 207,685 106,340 101,345 75,671 39,163 36,508 132,014 67,177 64,837 261
Islamabad 2,003 1,053 951 1,009 536 473 994 517 478 2,211
Punjab 109,990 55,922 54,067 40,547 20,829 19,719 69,442 35,094 34,349 536
Sindh 47,855 24,882 22,972 24,833 12,952 11,881 23,022 11,930 11,092 340
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 30,509 15,446 15,062 5,735 2,975 2,760 24,773 12,471 12,302 409
Balochistan 12,335 6,485 5,851 3,407 1,798 1,608 8,928 4,686 4,242 36
FATA 4,993 2,552 2,441 140 73 66 4,853 2,479 2,375 183
106
TABLE 12.4
POPULATION BY AGE, IN URBAN, RURAL AREAS 1981, 1998 AND 2017 CENSUS
In Thousands
Age Total Rural Urban
(in years) Both Male Female Both Male Female Both Male Female
1981 Census
All ages 82,055 43,090 38,965 58,214 30,323 27,891 23,841 12,767 11,074
0- 4 12,574 6,200 6,373 8,995 4,387 4,608 3,579 1,813 1,766
5- 9 13,142 6,811 6,331 9,591 4,973 4,618 3,552 1,839 1,713
10-14 10,803 5,857 4,946 7,684 4,204 3,480 3,119 1,653 1,467
15-19 7,763 4,193 3,571 5,223 2,828 2,395 2,540 1,365 1,175
20-24 6,228 3,270 2,958 4,119 2,111 2,008 2,108 1,159 950
25-29 5,479 2,891 2,588 3,760 1,948 1,812 1,719 944 776
30-34 4,617 2,388 2,229 3,226 1,631 1,595 1,391 757 634
35-39 4,197 2,121 2,077 2,922 1,452 1,469 1,276 668 608
40-44 3,865 1,937 1,928 2,733 1,332 1,402 1,132 606 526
45-49 3,076 1,610 1,466 2,194 1,121 1,074 882 490 392
50-54 2,966 1,638 1,328 2,170 1,179 991 796 459 337
55-59 1,611 859 751 1,187 618 569 424 242 182
60-64 2,216 1,299 917 1,667 973 695 549 327 222
65-69 987 555 431 755 420 334 232 135 97
70-74 1,161 678 484 900 526 374 261 152 109
75 and above 1,369 782 588 1,088 622 466 281 160 121
1998 Census*
All ages 129,176 67,222 61,954 86,225 44,516 41,709 42,951 22,705 20,245
0- 4 19,118 9,761 9,357 13,534 6,907 6,627 5,584 2,854 2,730
5- 9 20,215 10,571 9,644 14,211 7,466 6,745 6,004 3,105 2,899
10-14 16,732 8,909 7,822 11,106 5,973 5,133 5,625 2,935 2,690
15-19 13,400 6,909 6,490 8,553 4,396 4,158 4,846 2,514 2,333
20-24 11,588 5,815 5,773 7,402 3,610 3,791 4,186 2,205 1,981
25-29 9,521 4,879 4,643 6,092 3,024 3,067 3,429 1,854 1,575
30-34 8,040 4,232 3,807 5,083 2,604 2,479 2,956 1,628 1,328
35-39 6,167 3,254 2,912 3,846 1,984 1,862 2,320 1,270 1,050
40-44 5,745 2,931 2,815 3,660 1,812 1,848 2,086 1,119 967
45-49 4,563 2,360 2,203 2,995 1,512 1,483 1,569 849 720
50-54 4,148 2,201 1,948 2,776 1,459 1,318 1,372 742 630
55-59 2,777 1,505 1,272 1,868 1,001 867 909 504 405
60-64 2,637 1,418 1,219 1,838 987 851 799 431 368
65-69 1,554 850 704 1,076 585 491 478 265 214
70-74 1,408 778 631 1,022 564 458 386 214 172
75 and above 1,563 849 714 1,162 632 531 400 217 183
2017 Census
All ages 207,685 106,340 101,345 132,014 67,177 64,837 75,671 39,163 36,508
00-04 29,163 14,944 14,219 19,821 10,156 9,665 9,342 4,788 4,554
05-09 30,026 15,643 14,384 20,473 10,701 9,772 9,553 4,942 4,611
10-14 24,527 12,947 11,580 16,193 8,586 7,607 8,334 4,360 3,974
15-19 21,367 11,097 10,269 13,449 6,968 6,481 7,918 4,130 3,788
20-24 18,496 9,248 9,248 11,132 5,480 5,652 7,364 3,768 3,596
25-29 16,401 7,940 8,462 9,863 4,672 5,191 6,538 3,268 3,270
30-34 14,152 6,948 7,203 8,410 4,029 4,381 5,741 2,919 2,822
35-39 12,049 6,091 5,958 7,267 3,614 3,653 4,782 2,476 2,305
40-44 9,627 4,849 4,778 5,692 2,793 2,899 3,935 2,056 1,879
45-49 7,932 4,062 3,869 4,795 2,411 2,383 3,137 1,651 1,486
50-54 6,946 3,645 3,301 4,146 2,159 1,987 2,799 1,486 1,314
55-59 4,975 2,648 2,327 3,003 1,573 1,430 1,972 1,075 897
60-64 4,312 2,248 2,064 2,670 1,372 1,298 1,642 876 765
65-69 2,952 1,558 1,394 1,918 1,004 913 1,034 554 480
70-74 2,134 1,132 1,002 1,406 746 660 728 386 342
75 and above 2,627 1,339 1,288 1,775 912 863 852 427 425
* : Figures regarding FATA are not included Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
107
TABLE 12.5
POPULATION OF PAKISTAN BY PROVINCE, LAND AREA AND
PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION 1951-2017
Area Population (In Thousand)
Sq km 1951 1961 1972 1981 1998 2017
108
TABLE 12.6
LITERACY RATIOS OF POPULATION BY SEX, REGION AND
URBAN/RURAL AREAS, 1981 TO 2017 CENSUS
Total Urban Rural
2017 1998 1981 2017 1998 1981 2017 1998 1981
Sex 15 10 15 10 15 15 10 15 10 15 10 10
10 Years 10 Years 10 Years
Years Years Years Years Years Years Years Years Years Years Years Years
& & & & & & & & & & & &
& Above & Above & Above
Above Above Above Above Above Above Above Above Above Above Above Above
Pakistan
Both 56.1 58.9 41.0 43.9 26.2 71.3 73.2 60.5 63.1 47.1 46.4 50.1 30.4 33.6 17.3
Male 65.8 67.8 53.0 54.8 35.0 76.7 78.0 68.7 70.0 55.3 58.6 61.3 44.0 46.4 26.2
Female 46.2 49.7 28.0 32.0 16.0 65.6 68.1 51.0 55.2 37.3 34.2 38.6 16.2 20.1 7.3
Islamabad
Both 80.4 81.5 69.7 72.4 47.8 80.3 81.1 75.2 77.2 57.6 80.5 81.8 58.4 62.5 32.5
Male 86.1 86.5 79.5 80.6 59.1 85.7 85.9 82.2 83.2 65.8 86.5 87.2 73.2 75.1 48.1
Female 74.0 75.8 57.7 62.4 33.5 74.1 75.6 65.9 69.7 46.8 73.9 76.0 42.1 48.8 14.7
Punjab
Both 60.9 64.0 43.4 46.6 27.4 74.6 76.6 61.9 64.5 46.7 52.3 56.2 34.5 38.0 20.0
Male 68.9 71.2 55.2 57.2 36.8 78.7 80.1 69.8 70.9 55.2 62.6 65.5 47.9 50.4 29.6
Female 52.8 56.7 30.8 35.1 16.8 70.3 73.0 53.0 57.2 36.7 42.1 46.9 20.5 24.8 9.4
Sindh
Both 53.1 54.6 43.9 45.3 31.4 69.0 70.4 62.6 63.7 50.8 32.6 35.2 23.9 25.7 15.6
Male 61.7 62.5 54.5 54.5 39.7 74.3 75.1 70.0 69.8 57.8 45.1 46.9 37.2 37.9 24.5
Female 43.8 45.9 32.0 34.8 21.6 63.2 65.3 54.9 56.7 42.2 19.5 22.6 10.2 12.2 5.2
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
Both 49.7 54.0 31.5 35.4 16.7 64.0 67.1 51.0 54.3 35.8 46.1 50.8 27.2 31.3 13.2
Male 66.3 69.2 48.2 51.4 25.9 76.1 78.0 65.5 67.5 47.0 63.6 67.0 44.1 47.7 21.7
Female 33.5 38.7 14.6 18.8 6.5 50.9 55.4 33.9 39.1 21.9 29.3 34.8 10.6 14.7 3.8
Balochistan
Both 40.5 43.6 23.1 24.8 10.3 56.3 59.6 43.4 46.9 33.2 33.7 37.0 15.2 17.5 6.2
Male 52.1 54.1 33.3 34.0 15.2 68.4 70.3 55.9 58.1 42.4 45.1 47.4 24.0 25.8 9.8
Female 27.9 31.9 11.8 14.1 4.3 43.0 47.6 20.8 33.1 18.5 21.6 25.5 5.6 7.9 1.7
FATA
Both 31.4 36.1 - 17.4 6.4 50.3 54.1 - 39.3 - 30.8 35.5 - 16.8 6.4
Male 51.7 56.0 - 29.5 10.9 71.6 73.4 - 59.7 - 51.0 55.5 - 28.6 10.9
Female 11.4 15.7 - 3.0 0.8 26.9 32.7 - 12.0 - 10.9 15.3 - 2.8 0.8
109
TABLE 12.7
LAND AREA, POPULATION AND PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION
Population in Thousand
Area Sq.
Region / Years 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Kms
Khyber 74,521 25,308 25,836 27,714 35,502 35,944 36,412 36,895 37,392
iii.
Pakhtunkhwa 9.36 13.46 13.47 13.94 17.09 16.96 16.85 16.74 16.63
Note: Total Population is revised from 2018 onward on the Sources : Ministry of Planning, Development & Special Initiatives
basis of Census 2017 by NIPS Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
National Institute of Population Studies (NIPS)
110
TABLE 12.8
PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION OF 10 YEARS AND ABOVE AND CIVILIAN
LABOUR FORCE BY GENDER AND AREA 2020-21
Percent Share
Civilian Labour Force
Population Total Civilian
Employed Unemployed
Labour Force
Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female
PAKISTAN 100 50.63 49.37 44.90 34.36 10.54 42.07 32.48 9.60 2.82 1.88 0.94
Rural 100 50.12 49.88 48.56 34.61 13.95 45.75 32.83 12.92 2.81 1.78 1.03
Urban 100 51.48 48.52 38.79 33.93 4.86 35.95 31.88 4.06 2.85 2.05 0.80
Punjab 100 49.85 50.15 47.38 34.21 13.17 44.18 32.12 12.06 3.20 2.09 1.11
Rural 100 49.29 50.71 52.26 34.72 17.54 49.01 32.71 16.30 3.25 2.01 1.24
Urban 100 50.75 49.25 39.45 33.39 6.06 36.32 31.17 5.16 3.12 2.22 0.90
Sindh 100 52.01 47.99 43.83 36.52 7.31 42.14 35.31 6.83 1.69 1.21 0.48
Rural 100 51.76 48.24 49.71 37.79 11.92 48.69 37.05 11.64 1.02 0.74 0.28
Urban 100 52.23 47.77 38.68 35.41 3.27 36.40 33.79 2.61 2.28 1.63 0.66
Khyber
Pakhtunkhwa 100 50.08 49.92 39.51 31.65 7.86 36.02 29.39 6.63 3.49 2.26 1.23
Rural 100 49.74 50.26 40.07 31.52 8.55 36.55 29.32 7.23 3.52 2.20 1.32
Urban 100 51.82 48.18 36.65 32.27 4.38 33.35 29.73 3.62 3.30 2.54 0.76
Balochistan 100 54.33 45.67 40.39 34.94 5.45 38.65 33.47 5.18 1.75 1.48 0.27
Rural 100 54.15 45.85 42.75 35.86 6.88 41.39 34.66 6.73 1.36 1.21 0.15
Urban 100 54.78 45.22 34.68 32.71 1.97 31.98 30.58 1.40 2.70 2.13 0.57
Source : Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Labour Force Survey 2020-21
111
TABLE 12.9
LABOUR FORCE AND EMPLOYMENT
In million
Mid Year 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12* 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2017-18 2018-19 2020-21
Population 172.57 176.20 180.71 183.57 186.19 189.19 206.62 214.49 222.44
Rural 105.70 107.00 120.10 121.66 121.56 123.36 131.19 135.39 142.09
Urban 66.87 69.20 60.61 61.91 64.63 65.83 75.43 79.10 80.35
Working Age Population 124.06 126.60 129.84 132.07 132.24 134.99 147.91 153.49 159.83
Rural 80.08 81.77 83.87 84.96 83.62 85.60 91.02 94.14 99.88
Urban 43.98 44.83 45.97 47.11 48.62 49.39 56.89 59.35 59.95
Labour Force 56.92 57.84 59.33 59.74 60.10 61.04 65.50 68.75 71.76
Rural 39.56 40.12 41.15 41.23 41.14 41.95 42.91 45.85 48.50
Urban 17.36 17.72 18.18 18.15 18.96 19.09 22.59 22.90 23.26
Employed Labour Force 53.76 54.40 55.80 56.01 56.52 57.42 61.71 64.03 67.25
Rural 37.66 38.24 39.22 39.14 39.07 39.85 40.75 42.94 45.70
Urban 16.10 16.16 16.58 16.87 17.45 17.57 20.96 21.10 21.55
Unemployed Labour Force 3.16 3.44 3.53 3.73 3.58 3.62 3.79 4.71 4.51
Rural 1.90 1.88 1.93 2.09 2.06 2.10 2.15 2.91 2.81
Urban 1.26 1.56 1.60 1.64 1.52 1.52 1.64 1.80 1.71
Unemployment Rate (%) 5.55 5.95 5.95 6.24 6.00 5.90 5.80 6.90 6.3
Rural 4.82 4.68 4.68 5.08 5.01 5.00 5.00 6.40 5.8
Urban 7.21 8.84 8.84 8.83 8.02 8.00 7.20 7.90 7.3
Labour Force Partici-
pation Rates (%) 32.98 32.83 32.83 32.88 32.28 32.30 31.70 32.20 32.3
Rural 34.50 34.26 34.26 34.23 33.84 34.00 32.70 33.90 34.1
Urban 29.99 29.99 29.99 30.21 29.35 29.00 30.00 28.90 29.0
112
TABLE 12.10
POPULATION AND LABOUR FORCE
In million
Years Popula- Crude Labour Unemp- Employed Agricul- Mining Const- Electricity Transport Whole- Others
tion Activity Force loyed Labour ture & Manu- ruction & Gas Storage Sale &
Rate(%) Labour Force facturing Distri- & Commu- Retail
Force bution cation Trade
2010-11 176.20 32.83 57.84 3.44 54.40 24.51 7.51 3.78 0.26 2.78 8.78 6.78
2011-12* 180.71 32.83 59.33 3.53 55.80 25.14 7.70 3.88 0.27 2.85 8.28 7.68
2012-13 183.57 32.88 60.34 3.76 56.58 24.73 8.03 4.21 0.30 2.82 8.14 8.35
2013-14 186.19 32.28 60.10 3.58 56.52 24.57 8.00 4.15 0.27 3.07 8.24 8.21
2014-15 189.19 32.30 61.04 3.62 57.42 24.27 8.89 4.20 0.45 3.11 8.41 8.09
2017-18 206.62 31.70 65.50 3.79 61.71 23.76 10.05 4.70 0.45 3.50 9.21 10.05
2018-19 214.49 32.10 68.75 4.71 64.03 25.07 9.76 5.13 0.50 3.98 9.28 10.30
2020-21 222.44 32.30 71.76 4.51 67.25 25.18 10.25 6.39 0.43 4.19 9.66 11.13
TABLE 12.11
DISTRIBUTION OF EMPLOYED PERSONS OF 10 YEARS AGE AND ABOVE BY MAJOR
INDUSTRIES
in Percentage
Years Agricul- Mining & Const- Electricity Transport Whole- Others
ture Manu- ruction & Gas Storage Sale &
facturing Distri- & Commu- Retail
bution cation Trade
113
TABLE 12.12
PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF EMPLOYED PERSONS OF 10 YEARS AGE AND ABOVE
BY MAJOR INDUSTRY 2020-21
In Percentage
Pakistan Punjab Sindh Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Balochistan
Major Industry Division
Total Rural Urban Total Rural Urban Total Rural Urban Total Rural Urban Total Rural Urban
Total 100 68 32 58.1 39.9 18.2 22.8 12.3 10.5 14 11.9 2.1 5.1 3.9 1.2
1. Agriculture, Forestry and 37.4 35.4 2 22.6 21.5 1.1 8.3 7.7 0.6 4.4 4.3 0.1 2.1 1.9 0.1
Fishing
2. Mining and Quarrying 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0 0.1 0 0 0.1 0.1 0 0.1 0.1 0
3. Manufacturing 14.9 7.4 7.5 9.6 5 4.6 3.5 1 2.5 1.6 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
4. Electricity, Gas Steam 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
and Air Conditioning
Supply
5. Water Supply, Sewerage, 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Waste, Management &
Remediation Activity
6. Construction 9.5 6.7 2.8 5 3.6 1.4 1.9 1 1 2.1 1.9 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
7. Wholesale and Retail 14.4 6.3 8 8.1 3.6 4.5 3.5 0.8 2.7 2 1.5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.3
Trade, Repair of Motor
Vehicles, Motorcycles
8. Transport, storage 5.8 3.4 2.3 3 1.8 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
9. Accommodation and 1.9 1 0.9 1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0
Food Services Activities
10. Information and 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Communication
11. Financial and Insurance 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Activities
12. Real Estate Activities 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0 0.1 0.1 0 0 0 0 0
13. Professional, Scientific 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 0 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0
and Technical Activities
14. Administrative and 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0 0 0 0
Support Service Activities
15. Public Administration 2.9 1.3 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
and Defence Compulsory
Social Security
16. Education 3.8 2 1.8 2.1 1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
17. Human Health and Social 1.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0
Work Activities
18. Arts, Entertainment & 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Recreation
19. Other Services Activities 2.5 1.4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0 0.2 0.1 0.1
20. Activities of Households 1.6 0.8 0.7 1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0 0 0 0
as Employer;
Undifferentiated Goods
& Services - Producing
Activities of Household
for own use
Note: Total may not tally due to rounding Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
(Labour Force Survey 2020-21)
114
TABLE 12.13
AGE SPECIFIC LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE
In Percentage
Age
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2017-18 2018-19 2020-21
Group
10 years & over
Both
Sexes 45.17 45.66 45.89 45.69 45.70 45.45 45.22 44.30 44.80 44.9
Male 69.54 69.31 68.83 68.70 68.89 68.07 67.78 68.00 67.70 67.86
Female 19.59 20.66 21.51 21.67 21.50 22.17 22.02 20.10 21.50 21.35
10-14
Male 17.09 16.20 15.42 14.27 14.46 12.62 11.22 9.80 8.80 5.44
Female 9.69 9.48 9.24 8.83 7.98 8.37 7.71 6.40 5.60 4.3
15-19
Male 53.94 52.74 52.68 51.59 51.16 49.68 47.55 47.60 44.90 47.89
Female 17.61 18.90 19.17 19.58 18.19 19.32 18.01 15.60 17.20 16.65
20-24
Male 85.12 85.39 84.54 84.27 82.38 81.71 82.32 84.60 81.20 85.99
Female 20.98 22.76 23.88 24.20 24.41 25.14 25.74 23.30 26.80 27.72
25-34
Male 96.90 97.19 96.89 97.42 96.73 96.91 97.33 97.00 98.30 97.59
Female 21.87 23.63 25.48 25.44 26.01 26.57 27.15 25.57 27.20 28.55
35-44
Male 97.87 98.37 97.53 98.34 98.45 98.06 98.33 98.38 99.40 98.52
Female 26.75 27.67 27.88 29.46 28.72 30.00 29.43 27.97 29.20 29.78
45-54
Male 96.65 96.69 96.96 97.29 97.02 97.13 97.24 96.77 99.20 96.19
Female 24.42 25.86 29.41 28.35 29.11 29.37 30.75 26.07 29.90 28.95
55-59
Male 92.54 93.71 93.26 92.24 92.61 92.78 93.80 91.70 94.80 84.21
Female 25.53 26.37 27.98 26.27 26.60 27.48 27.29 23.40 24.40 18.05
60+
Male 59.46 56.38 55.49 54.95 52.42 53.33 55.16 51.30 48.60 43.00
Female 15.50 15.22 13.54 14.62 13.58 12.77 11.95 11.50 8.90 7.58
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
(Labour Force Surveys)
115
TABLE 12.14
DAILY WAGES OF CONSTRUCTION WORKERS IN DIFFERENT CITIES
In Pak Rupees
Category of (Base Year : 2007-08= 100) (Base Year : 2015-16 = 100)
workers and 2021-22
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2019-20 2020-21
cities July-March
Painter*
Islamabad 900.00 1,000.00 1,200.00 1,200.00 1,250.00 1,300.00 1,432.57 1,425.27 1,432.57 1,448.32
Karachi 700.00 792.31 861.54 861.54 861.54 1,292.31 1,359.76 1,357.23 1,426.70 1,520.85
Lahore 682.14 780.36 830.36 830.36 925.00 1,100.00 1,232.45 1,232.45 1,232.45 1,237.16
Peshawar 666.67 741.67 800.00 800.00 1,000.00 1,000.00 1,200.00 1,205.27 1,314.31 1,500.00
Quetta 900.00 900.00 900.00 900.00 900.00 1,000.00 1,297.43 1,289.08 1,355.87 1,397.61
Mason (Raj)
Islamabad 900.00 1,000.00 1,200.00 1,200.00 1,250.00 1,300.00 1,440.83 1,440.83 1,490.14 1,532.18
Karachi 800.00 861.54 1,061.54 1,061.54 1,061.54 1,430.77 1,500.00 1,500.00 1,500.00 1,654.09
Lahore 689.29 826.79 926.79 926.79 1,025.00 1,150.00 1,232.45 1,274.93 1,428.17 1,500.00
Peshawar 850.00 900.00 900.00 1,000.00 1,200.00 1,200.00 1,200.00 1,227.10 1,437.65 1,500.00
Quetta 1,100.00 1,100.00 1,100.00 1,100.00 1,100.00 1,200.00 1,497.77 1,489.42 1,597.89 1,898.24
Labour (Unskilled)
Islamabad 525.00 600.00 700.00 700.00 800.00 825.00 965.49 965.49 994.25 1,051.65
Karachi 500.00 530.00 630.77 663.46 719.23 932.69 981.03 990.78 1,000.00 1,129.83
Lahore 475.00 600.00 600.00 600.00 725.00 850.00 832.03 869.14 921.10 1,000.00
Peshawar 466.67 483.33 500.00 500.00 600.00 600.00 631.64 656.80 800.00 800.00
Quetta 550.00 550.00 550.00 550.00 550.00 700.00 996.66 988.30 1,021.74 1,096.96
Data pertains to month of November each year Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
*: Painter is included while Carpenter is excluded in Base Year 2015-16
Note : From 2019-20 the data pertains to fiscal year
116
TABLE 13.1 A
TRANSPORT (Roads)
(in kilometers)
Local Metro National Primary Secondary
Years Expressway Highway Motorway Total
Road Road Highway Road Road
TABLE 13.1 B
RAILWAYS
Fiscal Locomotives Freight Route Number of Freight Freight Gross Earnings
Year (Nos.) Wagons (Km) Passengers carried Tonne (Rs. Million)
(Nos.) carried (Million (Million
(Million) Tonnes) Km)
2010-11 528 18,468 7,791 64.90 2.61 1,757 18,612
2011-12 522 17,611 7,791 41.10 1.30 403 15,444
2012-13 493 16,635 7,791 42.00 1.00 419 18,070
2013-14 421 16,179 7,791 48.00 1.60 1,090 22,800
2014-15 458 15,452 7,791 53.00 3.60 3,301 31,924
2015-16 460 15,164 7,791 52.20 5.00 4,773 36,582
2016-17 455 16,085 7,791 52.40 5.63 5,031 40,065
2017-18 478 16,159 7,791 55.00 8.40 8,080 49,570
2018-19 472 14,327 7,791 60.40 8.30 8,304 54,508
2019-20 473 14,448 7,791 44.30 7.41 7,369 47,584
2020-21 467 14,448 7,791 28.40 8.20 8,179 48,649
2021-22
466 14,314 7,791 26.15 6.33 6,312 43,732
(Jul-Feb) P
P : Provisional Source: Ministry of Railways
119
TABLE 13.1 C
PAKISTAN NATIONAL SHIPPING CORPORATION (PNSC)
Fiscal No. of Dead Wt. Gross Earnings
Year Vessels Tonnes (Rs. Million)
2010-11 11 646,666 9,293.0
2011-12 9 610,167 8,875.3
2012-13 9 642,207 12,252.9
2013-14 9 642,207 15,726.5
2014-15 9 681,806 15,536.3
2015-16 9 681,806 12,543.0
2016-17 9 681,806 12,477.0
2017-18 9 681,806 10,070.0
2018-19 11 831,711 10,862.5
2019-20 11 831,711 13,803.0
2020-21 11 831,711 12,788.5
2021-22
11 831,711 16,222.7
(Jul- Mar) P
P: Provisional Source: Pakistan National Shipping Corporation
TABLE 13.1 D
PORTS-Cargo Handled
Fiscal Karachi Port (000 tonnes) Port Qasim (000 tonnes) Gwadar Port (000 tonnes)
Total Imports
Year Total Imports Exports Total Imports Exports Exports
120
TABLE 13.2
PAKISTAN INTERNATIONAL AIRLINES CORPORATION-Operational
Year PIA Fleet Available Route Passenger Available Operating
No. of Seat Km Load Tonne Expenses
Planes (Million Km) Factor % (Million Km) (Million Rs.)
121
TABLE 13.3
NUMBER OF MOTOR VEHICLES REGISTERED
(Nos.)
Calendar Motor Motor Motor Cars Motor Buses Trucks Others Total
Year Cycle Cycle Jeeps & Station Cabs/
(2 Wheels) (3 Wheels) Wagons Taxis
2011 5,781,953 266,390 1,881,560 124,651 202,476 225,075 1,178,890 9,660,995
2012 7,500,182 323,189 2,094,289 143,859 215,374 240,888 1,270,788 11,788,569
2013 9,169,528 380,579 2,281,083 145,234 220,347 247,197 1,340,963 13,784,931
2014 11,006,421 466,185 2,437,735 145,424 224,403 253,574 1,406,819 15,940,561
2015 13,081,400 559,114 2,715,322 167,678 229,290 261,845 1,487,460 18,502,109
2016 15,230,960 671,403 2,933,668 170,759 235,614 269,471 1,555,975 21,067,850
2017 17,518,365 763,076 3,196,542 170,890 242,194 278,120 1,643,489 23,812,676
2018 19,796,577 843,300 3,495,581 171,117 249,198 284,949 1,725,445 26,566,167
2019 22,001,277 919,020 3,703,649 171,179 253,996 288,652 1,799,789 29,137,562
2020 (P) 23,407,865 951,425 3,833,616 171,462 255,409 293,460 1,844,302 30,757,539
2021 (P) 24,777,728 977,781 4,014,060 171,638 256,829 295,485 1,890,051 32,383,572
P : Provisional Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
TABLE 13.4
MOTOR VEHICLES ON ROAD-LCV
(In 000 Nos.)
Mcy/ Motor M. Cab/ Motor D.Van Pickup Jeep Station
Year
Scooter Car Taxi Rickshaw Wagon
2010-11 5,468.8 2,822.2 154.6 89.8 173.6 135.3 78.5 175.2
2011-12 6,015.7 3,104.4 170.0 98.8 191.0 148.8 86.4 192.7
2012-13 5,550.0 3,600.0 160.7 120.5 180.0 150.2 78.7 180.1
2013-14 6,100.0 4,600.0 168.8 108.0 181.0 150.0 60.0 185.0
2014-15 6,405.0 4,820.0 178.0 112.0 190.0 158.0 64.0 191.0
2015-16 6,669.3 6,131.7 186.5 118.1 191.4 166.3 54.2 192.0
2016-17 11,975.3 6,954.0 197.4 122.0 204.2 176.4 69.6 201.9
2017-18 14,060.9 7,183.5 197.7 128.1 210.1 187.2 80.0 206.6
Base Year 2018-19
2018-19 21,268.8 3,813.2 115.5 638.1 137.2 498.1 143.6 88.7
2019-20 22,808.8 3,960.2 116.1 721.3 139.9 513.5 150.9 90.3
2020-21 24,722.3 4,141.9 116.5 759.5 151.7 527.4 175.7 90.5
2021-22
25,963.1 4,315.9 116.6 779.1 163.3 540.2 195.4 90.7
(Jul-Mar)
(Contd.)
122
TABLE 13.4
MOTOR VEHICLES ON ROAD-HCV
(In 000 Nos.)
Year Ambu- Buses Trucks Tractor Tankers Others Total
lance (Oil & Water)
2010-11 4.5 125.6 209.5 970.9 11.4 24.0 10,443.8
2011-12 5.0 138.2 230.5 1,068.0 12.5 26.4 11,488.2
2012-13 3.7 130.2 220.5 1,128.7 12.3 60.5 11,576.1
2013-14 4.0 140.0 240.0 1,228.0 12.6 65.0 13,242.4
2014-15 4.0 148.0 252.0 1,283.0 12.6 68.0 13,885.6
2015-16 3.8 150.6 263.8 1,351.6 14.0 75.5 15,568.8
2016-17 5.7 156.3 276.2 1,430.1 14.8 74.7 21,858.6
2017-18 6.9 159.2 280.0 1,460.2 15.2 92.4 24,268.0
Base Year 2018-19
2018-19 8.3 159.9 301.9 610.7 20.3 283.1 28,087.4
2019-20 8.8 193.7 325.6 628.0 24.3 287.4 29,968.8
2020-21 E 9.1 164.6 313.2 648.1 21.1 287.9 32,129.6
2021-22 9.4 166.2 316.4 666.6 21.7 287.4 33,631.9
E: Estimated Source: Ministry of Communication (NTRC)
Note: NTRC conducted a comprehensive data collection exercise from source i.e. all provincial registration authorities. As a result, actual
data for the year 2018-19 was provided for publication in Economic Survey of Pakistan
TABLE 13.5
MOTOR VEHICLES-PRODUCTION
(In Nos.)
Fiscal Year Motor Cycle/ Cars & L.C.Vs Buses Trucks Tractors
Rickshaw Jeeps
2010-11 1,638,457 134,855 19,142 490 2,810 70,855
2011-12 1,649,532 154,706 20,929 568 2,597 48,152
2012-13 1,675,071 121,807 14,517 522 1,923 50,871
2013-14 1,728,137 117,498 17,477 559 2,674 34,524
2014-15 1,777,251 153,633 28,189 575 4,039 48,883
2015-16 2,071,123 180,717 35,836 1,070 5,666 34,914
2016-17 2,500,650 190,466 24,265 1,118 7,712 53,975
2017-18 2,825,071 231,138 29,055 784 9,187 71,894
2018-19 2,459,849 216,780 24,453 913 6,035 49,902
2019-20 1,813,448 97,889 12,068 532 2,945 32,608
2020-21 2,475,894 163,122 19,744 570 3,808 50,486
(Jul-Mar)
2020-21 1,875,594 114,617 14,334 445 2,509 36,653
2021-22 1,677,006 177,757 21,182 454 4,488 39,992
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
123
TABLE 13.6
MOTOR VEHICLES-IMPORTS
in Nos.
Fiscal Year Bicycle Motorised Motor Motor Rickshaw Cars Passengers Car Pickup Jeeps
Cycles Cycles Rickshaw chassis M. Cars Chassis
with (NES) with
Engine Engine
2010-11 184,023 103,694 216,080 14,746 - 675,810 344 163 35,462 27
2011-12 199,876 29,645 246,332 51,142 - 874,386 137 2 63,786 35
2012-13 211,535 36,839 275,931 19,043 - 671,531 923 - 35,101 29
2013-14 260,532 42,840 213,466 32,745 - 778,073 54 - 29,459 14
2014-15 386,981 58,270 291,882 97,591 - 1,854,622 10 2 65,751 21
2015-16 541,381 102,593 327,001 44,911 1 1,384,775 5 - 69,146 13
2016-17 715,496 106,046 323,290 30,811 192 1,568,723 - - 110,247 3
2017-18 1,351,813 140,778 393,790 33,489 161 1,855,468 - 2 251,019 76
2018-19 692,174 124,283 290,091 30,823 - 2,119,541 - - 88,945 38
2019-20 262,867 108,502 332,732 28,089 - 1,212,456 - - 89,340 1
2020-21 377,087 69,457 398,502 35,155 1,493,580 4 84,911 4
(Jul-Mar)
2020-21 264,024 47,415 289,326 28,155 - 1,252,580 - 2 54,123 4
2021-22 P 225,329 69,797 347,479 14,700 - 1,693,446 - - 236,971 1
(Contd.)
Fiscal Year Station Delivery Lorries Passenger Special Bus etc. Buses, Motor Spl. Truck Road
Wagon Van Trucks Vehicles Lorries Chassis Trolly Vehicles etc. Tractors
Ambulance Public Trucks & Buses for Chassis for
Vans Goods Trailers
2010-11 29 4 24,728 225 3,371 1,553 861 5 233 1,345
2011-12 73 1 11,942 441 563 1,828 1,555 2 16 1,598
2012-13 42 735 31,027 16,947 2,832 1,586 668 - 9 1,252
2013-14 8 2,732 23,946 1,282 1,406 3,997 425 7 17 1,309
2014-15 18 5,477 33,489 2,810 927 4,818 847 - 3,063 9,991
2015-16 126 8,707 47,645 3,036 1,398 9,136 1,234 1 3,267 4,442
2016-17 4 10,553 50,380 2,649 1,929 21,046 720 10 81 1,836
2017-18 4 12,810 38,095 3,316 1,098 2,152 685 1,313 152 1,307
2018-19 - 8,596 20,872 1,335 518 1,568 611 1 85 1,278
2019-20 - 2,361 10,701 227 197 494 404 7 406 1,493
2020-21 - 3,812 12,549 1,353 187 1,409 314 5 24 4,262
(Jul-Mar)
2020-21 - 2,772 18,359 787 164 829 189 5 21 3,772
2021-22 P - 4,121 26,780 1,225 141 953 444 - 88 7,382
(Contd.)
Fiscal Year Tractor Tractor Tractor Tractor Tractor Electric Electric Sport 3-Wheel
Agricul-tural Cater- Heavy Duty Roads (NES) Vehicles Bikes Utility Loader
pillar for const. Vehicle
2010-11 905 - 148 144 12,208 - - -
2011-12 3,684 - 68 - 12,930 - - -
2012-13 1,988 - 131 225 18,773 - - -
2013-14 2,088 - 347 157 16,796 13 15 1 -
2014-15 3,086 - 476 434 28,743 13 104 14 100
2015-16 1,843 4 369 675 30,464 25 64 10 10,202
2016-17 4,831 - 843 703 66,946 12 59 42 2,956
2017-18 3,796 44 643 713 63,638 - - 11 16,929
2018-19 2,270 - 95 867 2,468 - - 9 2,180
2019-20 1,366 - 86 488 6,913 - - 19 47
2020-21 2,244 - 105 166 2,466 - - 4 2
(Jul-Mar)
2020-21 1,334 - 101 149 1,481 - - 2 2
2021-22 P 3,429 - 162 186 10,874 - - 5 5
P : Provisional - : Not Available Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
124
TABLE 13.7
POST AND TELECOMMUNICATIONS
Fiscal No. of Post Offices Telephones Broad Band Mobile
Year (000 Nos.) Subscribers Phones
Urban Rural Total (000 Nos.) (000 Nos.)
2010-11 1,580 10,455 12,035 5,720* 1,491.5 108,894.5
2011-12 1,797 10,238 12,035 5,803* 2,101.3 120,151.2
2012-13 2,178 10,650 12,828 6,371* 2,723.7 128,933.6
2013-14 1,813 10,264 12,077 5,713* 3,795.9 @ 139,974.8
2014-15 1,813 10,264 12,077 3,931 16,885.5 114,658.4
2015-16 1,782 9,962 11,744 3,295 40,148.0 133,241.5
2016-17 2,046 9,450 11,496 2,986 44,586.7 139,758.1
2017-18 2,046 9,450 11,496 2,885 58,339.8 150,238.7
2018-19 1,717 8,352 10,069 2,575 71,026.1 161,021.6
2019-20 1,519 8,626 10,145 2,417 83,205.6 167,268.9
2020-21 1,514 8,072 9,586 2,540 102,699.9 184,249.9
2021-22
1,510 8,012 9,522 2,540 114,341.3 191,625.9
(Jul-Mar)
125
TABLE 14.1
COMMERCIAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION
Fiscal 1. Oil/Petroleum (tons)
Year Agricul- Other
Households Industry Transport Power Total
ture Govt.
2010-11 85,449 1,355,443 40,597 8,892,268 8,138,956 373,794 18,886,507
2011-12 79,448 1,419,125 23,297 9,265,883 7,594,663 295,847 18,678,263
2012-13 97,847 1,379,096 31,828 9,817,546 7,749,007 317,805 19,393,129
2013-14 100,679 1,297,035 46,655 10,299,718 9,006,085 358,512 21,108,684
2014-15 89,017 1,300,190 37,235 11,372,924 8,995,231 365,471 22,160,068
2015-16 74,357 2,023,377 14,512 13,022,573 7,765,629 386,232 23,286,680
2016-17 77,169 1,990,398 12,671 14,582,925 8,531,825 366,958 25,561,946
2017-18 66,075 1,784,781 14,527 16,047,392 6,377,388 387,801 24,677,964
2018-19 60,557 1,299,437 15,021 14,673,564 2,759,465 409,132 19,217,176
2019-20 45,844 1,221,474 11,993 13,861,073 1,526,796 371,303 17,038,484
2020-21 29,816 1,472,777 12,134 15,779,499 2,364,586 306,961 19,965,773
(July-March)
2020-21* 21,754 1,114,336 9,828 11,386,867 1,819,877 222,984 14,575,646
2021-22 24,792 1,025,448 9,738 12,789,549 2,423,462 276,316 16,549,305
P : Provisional (Contd...)
Note: HSD consumption in agricultural sector is not available separately and is included under transport sector. Agricultural sector
represents LDO only.
*: Consumption of POL products available till February 2020.
Source : Oil Companies Advisory Committee.
TABLE 14.1
COMMERCIAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION
2. Gas (mm cft)*
Fiscal
Transport
Year Households Commercial Cement Fertilizer Power SSGC* Industry Total
CNG**
2010-11 232,244 36,466 1,378 228,460 337,401 291,667 113,055 1,240,671
2011-12 261,915 39,627 1,266 211,828 358,381 296,181 119,000 1,288,198
2012-13 291,917 40,689 586 188,020 362,262 284,278 100,228 1,267,980
2013-14 269,135 38,117 522 216,518 349,535 259,032 87,634 1,220,493
2014-15 278,069 35,187 831 225,512 371,562 247,214 66,517 1,224,892
2015-16 271,302 33,633 497 262,923 440,593 231,517 64,455 1,304,920
2016-17 290,868 32,858 583 276,805 446,941 262,006 67,245 1,377,307
2017-18 284,428 32,096 886 248,104 544,654 274,074 70,455 1,454,697
2018-19 311,887 31,205 387 233,834 511,140 53,261 246,706 65,099 1,453,517
2019-20 325,348 26,999 266 248,204 424,579 26,222 225,660 46,448 1,323,725
2020-21 312,688 27,316 932 314,536 434,878 56,503 262,370 53,780 1,463,002
(July-March)
2020-21 249,795 19,929 - 197,652 324,324 - 194,649 30,030 1,016,379
2021-22 247,884 19,110 273 200,655 304,395 - 181,272 19,656 973,245
P : Provisional - : Not available (Contd…)
* RLNG withheld by SSGCL.
** Sector wise natural gas consumption is available till Feb-2019.
129
TABLE 14.1
COMMERCIAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION
3. Electricity (Gwh) 4. Coal (000 metric ton)
Fiscal
Trac- House- Comm- Indus Agricul- Street General Other Total House- Power Brick Cement Other Total
Year
tion hold ercial trial tural Lights Services* Govt. hold Kilns Govt.
2010-11 1 35,885 5,782 21,207 8,971 456 - 4,797 77,099 - 96.5 3,003.6 4,617.1 - 7,717.1
2011-12 1 35,589 5,754 21,801 8,548 478 - 4,590 76,761 - 104.6 3,108.2 4,456.9 - 7,669.7
2012-13 - 36,116 6,007 22,313 7,697 457 - 4,199 76,789 - 63.0 2,696.0 4,129.9 - 6,889.0
2013-14 - 39,549 6,375 24,356 8,290 458 - 4,381 83,409 - 160.7 2,727.6 3,669.2 - 6,557.5
2014-15 - 41,450 6,512 24,979 8,033 441 - 4,403 85,818 - 151.2 3,010.4 5,553.8 - 8,715.4
2015-16 - 44,486 7,181 25,035 8,526 459 - 4,744 90,431 - 204.4 3,541.1 5,485.3 - 9,230.8
2016-17 - 48,698 7,856 24,010 9,221 484 - 5,260 95,529 - 859.6 2,855.3 7,470.8 - 11,185.8
2017-18 - 54,028 8,606 27,468 10,128 475 - 6,222 106,927 - 4,436.1 3,941.7 9,603.3 - 17,981.1
2018-19 - 53,685 8,513 28,760 9,809 451 1 8,240 109,461 - 5,901.5 5,391.2 10,234.3 - 21,527.1
2019-20 - 55,963 7,975 25,708 9,757 385 256 8,328 108,371 1.3 10,897.0 8,183.8 6,074.8 - 25,156.9
2020-21 - 58,722 8,501 29,954 10,238 413 368 8,621 116,816 1.5 9,215.5 8,678.1 10,184.2 - 28,079.3
(July-March)
2020-21 - 41,508 6,246 22,280 7,558 318 254 6,436 84,600 - 8,925.0 4,125.0 7,875.0 - 20,925.0
2021-22 - 39,833 6,217 22,734 7,222 281 298 6,346 82,931 - 9,800.0 6,900.0 5,300.0 - 22,000.0
- : Not available P: Provisional Source: Ministry of Energy,
Hydrocarbon Development Institute of Pakistan (HDIP)
TABLE 14.2
COMMERCIAL ENERGY SUPPLIES (ELECTRICITY)
Fiscal Installed Generation Hydroelectric Thermal Nuclear Renewable
Imported
Year Capacity GW/h Installed Generation Installed Generation Installed Generation Installed Generation
(GW/h)
MW (a) Capacity (GW/h) Capacity (GW/h) Capacity (GW/h) Capacity (GW/h)
(MW) (b) (MW) (MW) (MW)
2010-11 22,477 94,653 6,481 31,811 15,209 59,153 787 3,420 - - 269
2011-12 22,797 95,365 6,556 28,517 15,454 61,308 787 5,265 - - 274
2012-13 22,812 96,497 6,773 29,857 15,289 61,711 750 4,553 - - 375
2013-14 23,531 104,089 6,893 31,873 15,887 66,707 750 5,090 - - 419
2014-15 23,759 107,408 7,030 32,474 15,541 67,886 750 5,804 438 802 443
2015-16 25,889 111,763 7,122 34,633 17,115 70,512 750 4,605 902 1,549 463
2016-17 29,944 123,614 7,129 32,183 20,488 81,268 1,090 6,999 1,237 2,668 496
2017-18 33,554 131,275 7,139 27,925 23,347 89,614 1,430 9,880 1,637 3,857 556
2018-19 35,114 128,532 8,639 27,339 23,347 86,602 1,430 9,909 1,698 4,682 487
2019-20 36,701 128,673 8,668 33,585 24,682 80,121 1,430 10,815 2,047 4,152 514
2020-21 36,485 135,073 8,673 33,556 24,461 87,847 1,430 9,346 1,921 3,323 505
(July-March)
2020-21 37,183 92,371 9,874 28,543 22,898 53,550 2,490 6,915 1,921 3,007 356
2021-22 41,557 122,934 10,251 29,181 24,710 74,862 3,647 15,182 2,949 3,709 314
- : Not Available Source: Ministry of Energy
(a) GWh: Giga Watt hour (b) MW: Mega Watt
130
TABLE 14.3
COMMERCIAL ENERGY SUPPLIES (OIL, GAS, PETROLEUM, COAL)
Fiscal Oil Gas Petroleum Products Coal
Year Crude Oil Local Production Imports Imports Production Imports Production
Imports Crude mcf* mcf 000 tons 000 tons 000 tons 000 tons
000 barrels Extraction
000 barrels
2010-11 51,306 24,041 1,471,591 - 12,371 8,911 4,267 3,450
2011-12 47,104 24,573 1,558,959 - 11,507 8,395 4,057 3,613
2012-13 57,037 27,841 1,505,841 - 10,489 9,914 3,710 3,179
2013-14 61,933 31,585 1,493,508 - 11,523 10,926 3,119 3,438
2014-15 64,208 34,490 1,465,760 20,191 13,347 11,253 5,004 3,712
2015-16 66,855 31,652 1,481,551 102,735 13,550 11,021 4,885 4,142
2016-17 66,737 32,269 1,471,855 190,406 15,145 11,513 7,021 4,165
2017-18 79,607 32,557 1,458,936 320,180 13,344 12,929 13,684 4,297
2018-19 66,833 32,496 1,436,455 380,879 8,807 11,839 15,686 5,841
2019-20 50,022 28,087 1,316,635 355,559 7,539 9,353 16,422 8,735
2020-21 65,075 27,568 1,279,242 234,957 10,117 10,070 18,850 9,230
(July-March)
2020-21*** 48,180 20,768 962,397 346,750 7,313 7,402 12,183 * 6,375 **
@
2021-22 49,705 20,407 925,107 301,809 9,346 8,181 12,209 ** 4,847
P : Provisional - : Not available Ministry of Energy
(a) MW: Mega Watt (b) GWh: Giga Watt hour
* : Million cubic feet
** : Figure of coal production and import are available till February 2021
*** : Production of crude oi, gas and coal is available till February 2020
@
: Figures for coal production are estimated on the basis of available data.
131
TABLE 14.4
Consumer-End Applicable Tariff
Description Fixed Notified Tariff * Industrial Qtr. Adjust. for 1st Qtr. Adjust. for 3rd & 4th Quarterly Total Applicable
Charges w.e.f. 01-01- Support & 2nd quarter, quarter and interim Uniform Tariff Tariff
2019 Package w.e.f. Notified w.e.f increase on account 1st Qtr 2019-20
July 01, 2019 1-07-2019 Distribution Margin, w.e.f. 1-12-2019
notified w.e.f. 1-10-2019
Variable Variable Variable Variable
Variable Charges Variable Charges
Charges Charges Charges Charges
Rs./ kW/M Rs./kWh Rs./kWh Rs./kWh Rs./kWh Rs./kWh Rs./kWh
A B C D E F G= B+C+D+E+F
A1- Residential
Up to 50 Units 2.00 - - - 2.00
For peak load requirement less than 5 kW
01-100 Units 5.79 - - - 5.79
101-200 Units 8.11 - - - 8.11
201-300 Units 10.2 - - - 10.20
301-700Units 17.6 0.75 0.83 0.07 19.25
Above 700 Units 20.7 0.75 0.83 0.07 22.35
For peak load requirement exceeding 5 kW)
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 20.7 0.75 0.83 0.07 22.35
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 14.38 0.75 0.83 0.07 16.03
Temporary Supply 20.84 1.80 0.83 0.07 23.54
A2- Commercial
For peak load requirement less than 5 kW 18 0 0.83 0.26 19.09
For peak load requirement exceeding 5 kW
Regular 400 19.68 1.8 0.83 0.26 22.57
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 21.6 1.8 0.83 0.26 24.49
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 400 15.63 1.8 0.83 0.26 18.52
Temporary Supply 18.39 1.8 0.83 0.26 21.28
A3- General Services 17.56 1.8 0.83 0.26 20.45
B- Industrial
B1 15.28 1.8 0.83 0.26 18.17
B1 Peak 18.84 (3.00) 1.80 0.83 0.26 18.73
B1 Off Peak 13.28 1.80 0.83 0.26 16.17
B2 400 14.78 1.80 0.83 0.26 17.67
B2 - TOU (Peak) 18.78 (3.00) 1.80 0.83 0.26 18.67
B2 - TOU (Off-peak) 400 13.07 1.80 0.83 0.26 15.96
B3 - TOU (Peak) 18.78 (3.00) 1.80 0.83 0.26 18.67
B3 - TOU (Off-peak) 380 12.98 1.80 0.83 0.26 15.87
B4 - TOU (Peak) 18.78 (3.00) 1.80 0.83 0.26 18.67
B4 - TOU (Off-peak) 360 12.88 1.80 0.83 0.26 15.77
Temporary Supply 16.36 1.80 0.83 0.26 19.25
C - Single Point Supply
C1(a) Supply at 400 Volts-less than 5 kW 18.68 1.80 0.83 0.26 21.57
C1(b) Supply at 400 Volts-exceeding 5 kW 400 18.18 1.80 0.83 0.26 21.07
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 21.6 1.80 0.83 0.26 24.49
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 400 15 1.80 0.83 0.26 17.89
C2 Supply at 11 kV 380 17.98 1.80 0.83 0.26 20.87
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 21.6 1.80 0.83 0.26 24.49
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 380 14.8 1.80 0.83 0.26 17.69
C3 Supply above 11 kV 360 17.88 1.80 0.83 0.26 20.77
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 21.6 1.80 0.83 0.26 24.49
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 360 14.7 1.80 0.83 0.26 17.59
D- Agricultural
Scarp 15.68 1.80 0.83 0.26 18.57
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 18.6 1.80 0.83 0.26 21.49
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 200 11.35 1.80 0.83 0.26 14.24
Agricultual Tube-wells 200 5.35 1.49 0.83 0.26 7.934
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 5.35 1.49 0.83 0.26 7.934
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 200 5.35 1.49 0.83 0.26 7.934
Public Lighting - Tariff G 18.68 1.80 0.83 0.26 21.57
Residential Colonies - Tariff H 18.68 1.80 0.83 0.26 21.57
Railway Traction Tariff I 18.68 1.80 0.83 0.26 21.57
Tariff K - AJK 360 15.9 1.80 0.83 0.26 18.79
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 21.6 1.80 0.83 0.26 24.49
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 360 14.7 1.80 0.83 0.26 17.59
Tariff K -Rawat Lab 18.68 1.80 0.83 0.26 21.57
J- Special Contract
J-1 For Supply at 66 kV & above 360 17.88 1.80 0.83 0.26 20.77
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 21.6 1.80 0.83 0.26 24.49
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 360 14.7 1.80 0.83 0.26 17.59
J-2 (a) For Supply at 11, 33 kV 380 17.98 1.80 0.83 0.26 20.87
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 21.6 1.80 0.83 0.26 24.49
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 380 14.8 1.80 0.83 0.26 17.69
J-2 (b) For Supply at 66 kV & above 360 17.88 1.80 0.83 0.26 20.77
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 21.6 1.80 0.83 0.26 24.49
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 360 14.7 1.80 0.83 0.26 17.59
J-3 (a) For Supply at 11, 33 kV 380 17.98 1.80 0.83 0.26 20.87
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 21.6 1.80 0.83 0.26 24.49
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 380 14.8 1.80 0.83 0.26 17.69
J-3 (b) For Supply at 66 kV & above 360 17.88 1.80 0.83 0.26 20.77
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 21.6 1.80 0.83 0.26 24.49
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 360 14.7 1.80 0.83 0.26 17.59
Source: NEPRA
* Industrial Support Package (ISP) reduction shall be inclusive of any downward revision of Fuel Price Adjustment notified from time to time.
Note: FC Surcharge @ Rs. 0.43/kWh and NJ Surcharge @ 0.10/kWh are applicable in addition to above on all consumer categories except life line.
132
TABLE 14.4
Consumer-End Applicable Tariff
Uniform Applicable Quarterly
Notified Base Tariff adjustment 4th Qtr. FY 2019-20, 1st & Total Applicable
Fixed Charges w.e.f. 01-11-2021 2nd Qtr. FY 2020-21 & Surcharge Tariff
Description w.e.f. 01.10.2021
Variable Charges Variable Charges Variable Charges
Rs./ kW/M Rs./kWh Rs./kWh Rs./kWh
A B C D= B+C
A1- Residential
For peak load requirement less than 5 kW
Protected
Up to 50 Units - Life Line 3.95 3.95
51-100 units - Life Line 7.74 (0.0673) 7.67
0-100 Units 7.74 (0.0673) 7.67
101-200 Units 10.06 (0.0673) 9.99
Un-Protected
01-100 Units 9.42 (0.0673) 9.35
101-200 Units 11.74 (0.0673) 11.67
201-300 Units 13.83 (0.0673) 13.76
301-400 Units 21.23 1.6527 22.88
401-500 Units 21.23 1.6527 22.88
501-600 Units 21.23 1.6527 22.88
601-700Units 21.23 1.6527 22.88
Above 700 Units 24.33 1.6527 25.98
For peak load requirement exceeding 5 kW)
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 24.33 1.6527 25.98
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 18.01 1.6527 19.66
Temporary Supply 24.47 1.6527 26.12
A2- Commercial
For peak load requirement less than 5 kW 21.34 1.1327 22.47
For peak load requirement exceeding 5 kW
Regular 440 23.02 2.9027 25.92
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 24.94 2.9027 27.84
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 440 18.97 2.9027 21.87
Temporary Supply 21.73 2.9027 24.63
B- Industrial
B1 ( upto 25kW) 18.62 2.9027 21.52
B1 - TOU (Peak) 16.62 2.9027 19.52
B1 Off Peak 16.62 2.9027 19.52
B2 (25-500 kW) 440 18.12 2.9027 21.02
B2 - TOU (Peak) 16.41 2.9027 19.31
B2 - TOU (Off-peak) 440 16.41 2.9027 19.31
B3 - TOU (Peak) 16.32 2.9027 19.22
B3 - TOU (Off-peak) 420 16.32 2.9027 19.22
B4 - TOU (Peak) 16.22 2.9027 19.12
B4 - TOU (Off-peak) 400 16.22 2.9027 19.12
Temporary Supply 19.70 2.9027 22.60
D- Agricultural
Scarp 19.02 2.9027 21.92
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 21.94 2.9027 24.84
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 200 14.69 2.9027 17.59
Agricultual Tube-wells 200 8.69 2.5927 11.28
Time of Use (TOU) - Peak 8.69 2.5927 11.28
Time of Use (TOU) - Off-Peak 200 8.69 2.5927 11.28
133
TABLE 14.5
OIL SALE PRICES
Rs/Ltrs
Date 01-09-2018 01-10-2018 01-11-2018 01-12-2018 01-01-2019 01-02-2019 01-03-2019 01-04-2019
EX-NRL/PRL KARACHI
Motor Gasoline 92.83 92.83 97.83 95.83 90.97 90.38 92.89 98.89
HOBC (Automotive 100 Octane)
Super (90 Octane) Blend of Motor
Gasoline @ 60% and HOBC 40%)
Kerosene 83.50 863.50 86.50 83.50 82.98 82.31 86.31 89.31
HSD 106.57 106.57 112.94 110.94 106.68 106.68 111.43 117.43
LDO 75.96 75.96 82.44 77.44 75.28 75.03 77.54 80.54
Aviation gasoline (100LL)
JP-1: 80.94 84.83 92.34 84.42 73.59 73.39 73.48 81.95
i) For sale to PIA Domestic Flight
ii) For sale to PIA foreign
flights & foreign airline
iii) For Cargo & Technical
Landing Flights
JP-4
JP-8 80.75 84.64 92.15 84.23 73.41 73.20 73.29 81.92
- : Not available Source: Hydrocarbon Development Institute of Pakistan (HDIP)
TABLE 14.5
OIL SALE PRICES
Rs/Ltrs
Date 01-05-2019 05-05-2019 01-06-2019 01-07-2019 1-8-2019 1-9-2019 1-10-2019 1-11-2019
EX-NRL/PRL KARACHI
Motor Gasoline 98.89 108.42 112.68 112.68 117.83 113.24 113.24 114.24
HOBC (Automotive 100 Octane)
Super (90 Octane) Blend of Motor
Gasoline @ 60% and HOBC 40%)
Kerosene 89.31 96.77 98.46 98.46 103.84 99.57 99.57 97.18
HSD 117.43 122.32 126.82 126.82 132.47 127.14 127.14 127.41
LDO 80.54 86.94 88.62 88.62 97.52 91.89 91.89 85.33
Aviation gasoline (100LL)
JP-1: 85.75 85.75 87.45 83.99 92.30 87.90 89.33 86.15
i) For sale to PIA Domestic Flight
ii) For sale to PIA foreign
flights & foreign airline
iii) For Cargo & Technical
Landing Flights
JP-4
JP-8 85.73 85.73 87.42 83.97 92.28 87.68 89.31 86.12
- : Not available Source: Hydrocarbon Development Institute of Pakistan (HDIP)
TABLE 14.5
OIL SALE PRICES
Rs/Ltrs
Date 1-12-2019 1-1-2020 1-2-2020 1-3-2020 25-3-2020 27-6-20 1-8-2020 1-9-2020
EX-NRL/PRL KARACHI
Motor Gasoline 113.99 116.60 116.60 111.59 96.58 100.11 103.97 103.97
HOBC (Automotive 100 Octane)
Super (90 Octane) Blend of Motor
Gasoline @ 60% and HOBC 40%)
Kerosene 96.35 99.45 99.45 92.45 77.45 59.32 65.29 65.29
HSD 125.01 127.26 127.26 122.25 107.25 101.46 106.46 106.46
LDO 82.43 84.51 84.51 77.51 62.51 56.24 62.86 62.86
Aviation gasoline (100LL)
JP-1: 85.34 93.02 93.02 80.92 77.37 49.05 24.85 48.64
i) For sale to PIA Domestic Flight
ii) For sale to PIA foreign
flights & foreign airline
iii) For Cargo & Technical
Landing Flights
JP-4
JP-8 85.32 87.09 87.09 74.06 51.46 19.31 24.84 48.61
- : Not available Source: Hydrocarbon Development Institute of Pakistan (HDIP)
134
TABLE 14.5
OIL SALE PRICES
Rs/Ltrs
Date 16-9-2020 1-10-2020 16-10-2020 1-11-2020 16-11-2020 1-12-2020 16-12-2020 1-1-2021
EX-NRL/PRL KARACHI
Motor Gasoline 103.97 103.97 102.4 100.69 101.69 103.69 106.00 109.20
HOBC (Automotive 100 Octane)
Super (90 Octane) Blend of Motor
Gasoline @ 60% and HOBC 40%)
Kerosene 65.29 65.29 65.29 65.29 65.29 65.29 70.29 73.65
HSD 106.46 106.06 104.06 103.22 101.43 105.43 108.44 110.24
LDO 62.86 62.86 62.86 62.86 62.86 62.86 67.86 71.81
Aviation gasoline (100LL)
JP-1: - - - - - - - -
i) For sale to PIA Domestic Flight
ii) For sale to PIA foreign
flights & foreign airline
iii) For Cargo & Technical
Landing Flights
JP-4
JP-8 - - - - - - - -
- : Not available Source: Hydrocarbon Development Institute of Pakistan (HDIP)
TABLE 14.5
OIL SALE PRICES
Rs/Ltrs
Date 16-1-2021 1-2-2021 16-2-2021 1-3-2021 16-3-2021 1-4-2021 16-4-2021 1-5-2021
EX-NRL/PRL KARACHI
Motor
Gasoline 111.90 111.90 111.90 111.90 110.35 108.56 108.56 108.56
HOBC (Automotive 100 Octane)
Super (90 Octane) Blend of Motor
Gasoline @ 60% and HOBC 40%)
Kerosene 76.65 80.19 80.19 80.19 83.61 82.06 80.00 80.00
HSD 113.19 116.08 116.08 116.08 116.08 113.08 110.76 110.76
LDO 76.23 79.23 79.23 79.23 81.42 79.86 77.65 77.65
Aviation gasoline (100LL)
JP-1: - - - - - - - -
i) For sale to PIA Domestic Flight
ii) For sale to PIA foreign
flights & foreign airline
iii) For Cargo & Technical
Landing Flights
JP-4
JP-8 - - - - - - - -
- : Not available Source: Hydrocarbon Development Institute of Pakistan (HDIP)
TABLE 14.5
OIL SALE PRICES
Rs/Ltrs
Date 16-5-2021 1-6-2021 16-6-2021 1-7-2021 16-7-2021 1-8-2021 16-8-2021 1-9-2021
EX-NRL/PRL KARACHI
Motor
Gasoline 108.56 108.56 110.69 112.69 118.09 119.80 119.80 118.33
HOBC (Automotive 100 Octane)
Super (90 Octane) Blend of Motor
Gasoline @ 60% and HOBC 40%)
Kerosene 80.00 80.00 81.89 85.75 87.14 87.49 88.30 86.80
HSD 110.76 110.76 112.55 113.99 116.53 116.53 116.53 115.03
LDO 77.65 77.65 79.68 83.40 84.67
Aviation gasoline (100LL)
JP-1: - - - 91.04 90.58 90.59 91.48 91.48
i) For sale to PIA Domestic Flight
ii) For sale to PIA foreign
flights & foreign airline
iii) For Cargo & Technical
Landing Flights
JP-4
JP-8 - - - 89.05 90.56 90.57 91.46 91.46
- : Not available Source: Hydrocarbon Development Institute of Pakistan (HDIP)
135
TABLE 14.5
OIL SALE PRICES
Rs/Ltrs
Date 16-9-2021 1-10-2021 16-10-2021 1-11-2021 5-11-2021 6-11-2021 1-12-2021 16-12-2021
EX-NRL/PRL KARACHI
Motor
Gasoline 123.30 127.30 137.79 137.79 145.82 145.82 145.82 140.82
HOBC (Automotive 100 Octane)
Super (90 Octane) Blend of Motor
Gasoline @ 60% and HOBC 40%)
Kerosene 92.26 99.31 110.26 110.26 116.53 116.53 116.53 109.53
HSD 120.04 122.04 134.48 134.48 142.62 142.62 142.62 137.62
LDO
Aviation gasoline (100LL)
JP-1: 93.45 100.63 112.64 112.64 120.71 117.05 113.50 105.83
i) For sale to PIA Domestic Flight
ii) For sale to PIA foreign
flights & foreign airline
iii) For Cargo & Technical
Landing Flights
JP-4
JP-8 93.42 100.61 112.61 112.61 120.69 117.02 113.48 105.80
- : Not available Source: Hydrocarbon Development Institute of Pakistan (HDIP)
TABLE 14.5
OIL SALE PRICES
Rs/Ltrs
Date 1-1-2022 16-1-2022 1-2-2022 16-2-2022 1-3-2022 16-3-2022 1-4-2022 16-4-2022
EX-NRL/PRL KARACHI
Motor
Gasoline 144.82 147.83 147.83 159.86 149.86 149.86 149.86 149.86
HOBC (Automotive 100 Octane)
Super (90 Octane) Blend of Motor
Gasoline @ 60% and HOBC 40%)
Kerosene 113.48 116.48 116.48 126.56 125.56 125.56 125.56 125.56
HSD 141.62 144.62 144.62 154.15 144.15 144.15 144.15 144.15
LDO
Aviation gasoline (100LL)
JP-1: 111.21 114.54 114.54 123.97 118.31 118.31 118.31 118.31
i) For sale to PIA Domestic Flight
ii) For sale to PIA foreign
flights & foreign airline
iii) For Cargo & Technical
Landing Flights
JP-4
JP-8 110.07 116.87 116.87 135.72 140.41 140.41 140.41 140.41
- : Not available Source: Hydrocarbon Development Institute of Pakistan (HDIP)
136
TABLE 14.6
GAS SALE PRICES
w.e.f w.e.f * w.e.f * w.e.f
Sectors
27-09-18 01-01-2019 01-07-2019 01-09-2020
1. DOMESTIC 1. DOMESTIC 1. DOMESTIC
Upto 50 M3 per month 121 Upto 50 M3 per month 121 Upto 0.5 hm3 per month 121
Upto 100 M3 per month 127 Upto 100 M3 per month 300 Upto 1 hm3 per month 300
Upto 200 M3 per month 264 Upto 200 M3 per month 553 Upto 2 hm3 per month 553
Upto 300 M3 per month 275 Upto 300 M3 per month 738 Upto 3 hm3 per month 738
Upto 400 M3 per month 780 Upto 400 M3 per month 1107 Upto 4 hm3 per month 1107
Upto 500 M3 per month 1460 Above 400 M3 per month 1460 Above 4 hm3 per month 1460
Over 500 M3 per month 1460
revert back on
3. Special Commercial (Roti Tanoor) 3. Special Commercial (Roti Tanoor)
14-12-2018
Upto 50 M3 per month 121 Upto 0.5 hm3 per month 110
Upto 100 M3 per month 127 Upto 1 hm3 = 110 3
Upto 100 M per month 110 Upto 1 hm3 per month 110
Upto 200 M3 per month 264 Upto 2 hm3 per month 220
Upto 300 M3 per month 275 Upto 3 hm3 = 220 Upto 300 M3 per month 220 Upto 3 hm3 per month 220
Upto 400 M3 per month 780 Over 3 hm3 per month 700
Over 400 M3 per month 980 Above 3 hm3 = 700 Over 400 M3 per month 700
12. Power Station (WAPDA's and KESCS's 12. Power Station (WAPDA's and KESCS's
i. WAPDA & KESC Power Station 629 824 i. WAPDA & KESC Power Station 857
ii. WAPDA's Gas Turbine Power Station
ii. WAPDA's Gas Turbine Power Station Nishatabad, Faislabad 857
Nishatabad, Faislabad 629 824
iii. Liberty Power Limited 1005.19 1283.47 1283.47
13. Independent Power Producers 629 824 13. Independent Power Producers 857
780 1021
137
WEIGHTS AND MEASURES
RUPEES
One Lakh =One hundred thousand =100,000
Ten Lakh =One million =1,000,000
One Crore =Ten million =10,000,000
One Billion =One thousand million
One Trillion =One thousand billion
CURRENCY EQUIVALENT
Prior to 1972
One Rupee = US$ 0.21 One US$ = Rs. 4.76
With effect from 8th January, 1982, Rupee is floating against Dollar and is linked to a basket
of currencies.
WEIGHTS
One Gram =0.035 Ounce =0.0857 Tola
One Pound =16 ounces =453.592 grams
One Kilogram =1000 grams =1.07 seers =2.205 pounds
One Metric tonne =1000 Kilograms =0.9842 ton =26.792 Maunds
One Maund =37.3242 Kilograms
One Tonne =2240 pounds =1.016 metric tonnes
One cotton bale =375 Ibs. =170.2 kg
One bushel =0.73 mds =27.25 kg
LENGTH
One yard =3 feet =36 inches =0.914 metre
One mile =1760 yards =1.609 kilometres
One sq. yard =0.83613 sq. metres
One sq. metre =1.196 sq. yards
One Acre =4840 sq. yards =0.4049 hectare
One Hectare =2.47 Acres
VOLUME
One cubic metre =35.315 cubic feet
LIQUID MEASURE
One barrel =36 gallons (imperial) =163.656 litres
YEAR
Fiscal/Trade/Agriculture Year in Pakistan starts from 1stJuly and ends on 30th June every year
CROPPING SEASONS
Kharif – Crop sowing from April to June and harvested during October-December
Rabi – Crops sowing from October to December and harvested during April-May
138
ABBREVIATIONS
A&P Assessment & Processing
ACD Additional Custom Duty
ADB Asian Development Bank
ADP Annual Development Programmes
ADS Assets Declaration Scheme
AECHs Atomic Energy Cancer Hospitals
AEDB Alternative Energy Development Board
AEPAM Academy of Educational Planning & Management
AGHA Agha Steel Industries
AIDS Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome
AIIB Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank
AJK Azad Jammu & Kashmir
AMA Asaan Mobile Account
APCMA All Pakistan Cement Manufacturer Association
APTTCA Afghanistan-Pakistan Transit Trade Coordination Authority
ARE Alternative Renewable Energy
ASER Annual Status of Education Report
ATL Active Taxpayer List
AUM Assets Under Management
B2C Business-to-Consumer
BB Branchless Banking
BHUs Basic Health Units
BINO Bahawalpur Institute of Nuclear Oncology
BISP Benazir Income Support Program
BMEC Baluchistan Mineral Exploration Company Limited
BMR Balancing, Modernization and Replacement
BMRL Baluchistan Minerals Resource Company Limited
BOT Built-Operate-Transfer
CAD Current Account Deficit
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
CAN Calcium Ammonium Nitrate
CAR Capital Adequacy Ratio
CBU Completely Built Up
CCI Council of Common Interests
CCOE Cabinet Committee on Energy
CCTs Conditional Cash Transfers
CDNS Central Directorate of National Savings
CFAO Chief Finance and Accounts Officer
CFIs Commercial Financial Institutions
CGPM Clean Green Pakistan Movement
CIA Chief Internal Auditor
CiC Currency in Circulation
CIIE China International Import Expo
CKD Completely Knocked Down
CKO Centralized Know Your Customer Organization
CM & TSA Cash Management and Treasury Single Account
CMI Census of Manufacturing Industries
CMS Complaint Management System
139
COPHCL China Overseas Ports Holding Company Limited
CPEC China Pakistan Economic Corridor
CPFTA China-Pakistan Free Trade Agreement
CPI Consumer Price Index
CPPA Central Power Purchasing Agency
CRC Corporate Restructuring Company
CRMs Complaint Resolution Mechanisms
CRVS Civil Registration and Vital Statistics
CSC Consumer Support Center
CSR Corporate Social Responsibility
DAP Diammonium phosphate
DCCI Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry
DPB Domestic Private Bank
DR Disaster Recovery
DSSI Debt Services Suspension Initiative
ECC Economic Coordination Committee
ECE Early Childhood Education
EDCF Economic Development Cooperation Fund
EDI Electronic Data Interchange
EFS Export Finance Scheme
EFS Exports Finance Scheme
EMDEs Emerging Markets and Developing Economies
EOBI Employees Old-Age Benefits Institution
EPI Expanded Programme for Immunization
ERC Ehsaas Registration Centers
ESWs Ehsaas Saving Wallets
EU Europe Union
EV Electric Vehicle
FAO Food and Agriculture Organization
FASTER Fully Automated Sales Tax e-Refund
FATF Financial Action Task Force
FBR Federal Board of Revenue
FCA Federal Committee on Agriculture
FCVA Foreign Currency Value Account
FDI Foreign Direct Investment
FED Federal Excise Duty
FRSU Floating Re-gasification Storage Units
FX Foreign Exchange
FXs Foreign Exchange
GCF Green Climate Fund
GCISC Global Change Impact Studies Centre
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GEM Growth Enterprise Market
GER Gross Enrolment Rate
GI Geographical Indication
GIDC Gas Infrastructure Development Cess
GIS Geographical Information System
GLOFs Glacial Lake Outburst Floods
G-MSS Government’s Mark-Up Subsidy Scheme
GMTN Global Medium-Term Note
140
GNI Gross National Income
GSP Geological Survey of Pakistan
GST General Sales Tax
HCV Heavy Commercial Vehicle
HDI Human Development Index
HEC Higher Education Commission
HEDP Higher Education Development Programme
HEIs: Higher Education Institutes
HIV Human Immunodeficiency Virus
I&P Investigation & Prosecution Unit
IBB Islamic Banking Branches
IBI Islamic Banking Industry
ICAC International Cotton Advisory Committee
ICTs Information and Communication Technologies
IFA Individual Financial Assistance
IFIs International Financial Institutions
IFL Interest Free Loan
IGCEP Indicative Generation Capacity Expansion Plan
IMR Infant mortality rate
INMOL Institute of Nuclear Medicine & Oncology Lahore
IPOs Initial Public Offerings
IREN Inland Revenue Enforcement Network
ITeS Information Technology enabled Services
ITU International Telecommunications Union
JHPIEGO Johns Hopkins Program for International Education in Gynecology and Obstetrics
JP&VCCs Job Placement and Vocational Counseling Centres
JPCs Job Placement Centres
JPHLEPD Japan-Pakistan High Level Economic Policy Dialogue
KANUPP Karachi Nuclear Power Plant
KPEC Khyber Pass Economic Corridor
LCV Light Commercial Vehicles
LEAs Law Enforcement Agencies
LEG Labour Expert Group
LHW Lady Health Workers
LLITN Long Lasting Insecticide Treated Nets
LMA Limited Mandate Accounts
LMC Lubricant Marketing Company
LPG Liquefied Petroleum Gas
LSM Large Scale Manufacturing
LTFF Long Term Finance Facility
LTFF Long Term Financing Facility
MDAS Ministries, Divisions, Attached Departments, Sub-Ordinate Offices
MDM Mobile Device Manufacturing
MFBs Micro-Finance Banks
MFIs Microfinance Institutions
MMCFD Million Cubic Feet per day
MMF Man Made Fiber
MNFS&R Ministry of National Food Security and Research
MOU Memorandum Of Understanding
MSCI Morgan Stanley Capital International
141
NAP National Adaptation Plan
NAVTTC National Vocational and Technical Training Commission
NBFCs Non-Bank Finance Companies
NCC National Coordination Committee
NCDs Non-Communicable Diseases
NCSP National Cyber Security Policy
NDA Net Domestic Assets
NDC National Data Center
NDCs Nationally Determined Contributions
NER Net Enrolment Rate
NFA Net Foreign Assets
NFC National Finance Commission
NFIS National Financial Inclusion Strategy
NFNE Non Food and No Energy
NHA National Highway Authority
NID National Immunization Day
NM&O Nuclear Medicine &Oncology
NMDC National Minerals Data Center
NNS National Nutrition Survey
NOU National Ozone Unit
NP Nitrophosphate
NPA Non-Performing Assets
NPGI National Poverty Graduation Initiative
NPK Nitrogen, Phosphorus, And Potassium
NPLs Non-Performing Loans
NPMC National Price Monitoring Committee
NPPs Nuclear Power Plants
NRPs Non-Resident Pakistanis
NRV Account Non-Resident Pakistani Rupee Value Account
NRVA NRP Rupee Value Account
NSER National Socio-Economic Registry
NSS National Savings Schemes
NSS National Skill Strategy
NVQF National Vocational Qualification Framework
NYDF National Youth Development Framework
OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
OFC Optic Fiber Cable
PAEC Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission
Pak-EPA Pakistan Environmental Protection Agency
PAMA Pakistan Automotive Manufacturer Association
PARC Pakistan Agriculture Research Council
PASSCO Pakistan Agriculture Storage & Services Corporation Ltd
PASSD Poverty Alleviation and Social Safety Division
PCM Professional Clearing Member
PCMS Payment Complaint Management System
PCRCL Pakistan Corporate Restructuring Company Limited
PF Proliferation Financing
PFL Floating rate PIBS
PFM Public Finance Management
PHEIC Public Health Emergency of International Concern
142
PIBs Pakistan Investment Bonds
PITE Provincial Institutes of Teacher Education
PMDC Pakistan Mineral Development Corporation
PMEX Pakistan Mercantile Exchange Limited
PMKJ-YES Prime Minister’s Kamyab Jawan Youth Entrepreneurships Scheme
PMN Pakistan Microfinance Network
PNSC Pakistan National Shipping Corporation
POC Pakistan Origin Card
PODB Pakistan Oilseed Development Board
POs Partner Organizations
POS Point of Sales
PPCBL Punjab Provincial Cooperative Bank Limited
PPIB Private Power and Infrastructure Board
PPP Public-Private Partnership
PPR Programme for Poverty Reduction
PR Pakistan Railways
PSDP Public Sector Development program
PSEs Public Sector Enterprises
PSIC Pakistan Standard Industrial Classification
PSLM Pakistan Social and Living Standards Measurement
PSX Pakistan Stock Exchange
PTL Panther Tyres Limited
QEC Quality Enhancement Cell
QIM Quantum Index of Manufacturing
RAMS Risk based Audit Management System
RAS Regulatory Approval System
RBOD Right Bank Outfall Drain
RBS Risk Based Supervision
RD Regulatory Duty
RDA Roshan Digital Accounts
REER Real Effective Exchange Rate
REITs Real Estate Investment Trusts
RFCC Refinance Facility for Combating COVID-19
RFCD Resident Foreign Currency Deposits
RFI Rapid Financing Instrument
RHCs Rural Health Clinics
RLNG Re-gasified Liquefied Natural Gas
RSPs Rural Support Programmes
RYE Revitalizing Youth Enterprise
SBP State Bank of Pakistan
SBTS Safe Blood Transfusion Services
SDGs Sustainable Development Goals
SECP Security and Exchange Commission of Pakistan
SKD Semi Knocked Down
SMEDA Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority
SNC Single National Curriculum
SOP Sulphate of Potash
SOPs Standard Operating Procedures
SPI Sensitive Price Indicator
SRCLs Schools for Rehabilitation of Child Labour
143
SSM Small Scale Manufacturing
SSP Single Super Phosphate
STPs Software Technology Parks
STSC Short-Term Savings Certificates
SWIT Saylani Welfare International Trust
TBTTP Ten Billion Tree Tsunami Programme
TCO Textiles Commissioner’s Organization
TDAP Trade Development Authority of Pakistan
TERF Temporary Economic Refinance Facility
THQs Tehsil Headquarters
TOMCL The Organic Meat Company
TPLT TPL Trakker
TPSP Third Party Service Provider
TSA Treasury Single Account
TVET Technical & Vocational Education and Training
TY Tax year
UAN Universal Account Number
UIN Unique Identification Number
UNDP United Nations Development Programme
UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
UNHCR United Nation High Commission for Refugees
US United States
USF Universal Service Fund
USSD Unstructured Supplementary Service Data
VPS Voluntary Pension System
WADR Weighted Average Deposit Rate
WALR Weighted Average Lending Rate
WASH Water, Sanitation and Hygiene
WDI World Development Indicators
WeBOC Web Based One Customs
WECs Women Empowerment Centres
WHO World Health Organization
WPI Wholesale Price Index
WWF Workers Welfare Fund
YoY Year on Year
ZTBL Zarai Taraqiati Bank Limited
144
Your Support for Improvement
Economic Adviser’s Wing would appreciate your comments on our
efforts made in presenting Pakistan Economic Survey 2021-22. Your
feedback will be helpful to further improve the quality of this publication.
Kindly forward your comments and suggestions to Economic Adviser’s
Wing, Finance Division, Islamabad.
145