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    Cbmec-4 1

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    WeStan Legends
    The document discusses four problem solving questions: 1) calculating the probability of at least one alarm warning in a hospital with three alarm systems, 2) calculating the system reliability of a machine with two backup machines, 3) calculating the percentage of scanners expected to fail before or between certain times, and 4) calculating availability given mean time between failures and average repair times.

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    Cbmec-4 1

    Uploaded by

    WeStan Legends
    19 views2 pages
    The document discusses four problem solving questions: 1) calculating the probability of at least one alarm warning in a hospital with three alarm systems, 2) calculating the system reliability of a machine with two backup machines, 3) calculating the percentage of scanners expected to fail before or between certain times, and 4) calculating availability given mean time between failures and average repair times.

    Original Title

    CBMEC-4.1

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    The document discusses four problem solving questions: 1) calculating the probability of at least one alarm warning in a hospital with three alarm systems, 2) calculating the system reliability of a machine with two backup machines, 3) calculating the percentage of scanners expected to fail before or between certain times, and 4) calculating availability given mean time between failures and average repair times.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    19 views2 pages

    Cbmec-4 1

    Uploaded by

    WeStan Legends
    The document discusses four problem solving questions: 1) calculating the probability of at least one alarm warning in a hospital with three alarm systems, 2) calculating the system reliability of a machine with two backup machines, 3) calculating the percentage of scanners expected to fail before or between certain times, and 4) calculating availability given mean time between failures and average repair times.

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    Problem Solving:

    8
    0
    9
    .
    4
    P (warning)
    Assignment 4.1
    PRODUCT AND SERVICE DESIGN

    1. A hospital has three independent firm alarm systems, with reliabilities of .90, .95,
    and .99. In the event of a fire, what is the probability that a warning would be
    given?

     If all three alarms failed, no warning would be issued. The probability that at least
    one alarm would operate is 1-P (none operate):

    P (none operate) = (1-0.95) (1-0.97) (1-0.99)


    = 0.000015

    = 1-0.000015
    = 0.999985

    2. Due to the extreme cost of interrupting production, a firm has two standby
    machines available in case a particular machine breaks down. The machine in
    use has a reliability of .94, and the backups have reliabilities of .90 and .80. In
    the event of a failure, either backup can be pressed into service. If one fails, the
    other backup can be used. Compute the system reliability.

    R1= 0.94, R2 = 0.90, and R3 = 0.80


    The system can be depicted in this way:

    RSystem = R1 + R2 (1-R1) + R3 (1-R2) (1-R1)


    = 0.94 + 0.90 (1- 0.94) + 0.80 (1-0.90) (1-0.94)
    = 0.9988

    3. An office manager has received a report from a consultant that includes a


    section on equipment replacement. The report indicates that scanners have a
    service life that is normally distributed with a mean of 41 months and a standard
    deviation of 4 months. On the basis of this information, determine the
    percentage of scanners that can be expected to fail in the following time periods:

    a) Before 38 months of service.

     0.2266% or 22.66% of scanner may fail before 38 months.

    b) Between 40 and 45 months of service.

    Z = -0.25 from the probability corresponding to z = 100


    Z = -0.25; p = 0.841345
    Z = 1.00; p = 0.401294
    O = 4401 0.25

     44.06 of the scanner may fail between 42 - 45 months.

    4. Determine the availability for each of these cases:


    a) MTBF = 40 days, average repair time = 3 days.
    (40-3) / 40 = 0.93

    b) MTBF = 300 hours, average repair time = 6 hours.


    (300-6) / 300 = 0.98

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