Residential Policy Review: Collingwood's Changing Demographics
Residential Policy Review: Collingwood's Changing Demographics
Residential Policy Review: Collingwood's Changing Demographics
Demographics 101
Birth Rate (CBR) - number of live births per year for every 1,000 people Death Rate (CDR) number of deaths per a year for every 1,000 people Natural Increase (NIR)- Percent growth per year, CBR minus CDR. Fertility Rate (TFR) - average number of children a woman will have Life expectancy predicted age that a normal person lives up to. Population Pyramids - graph the number of people alive in an age group - each year
people in an age group get one year older, some die, some leave and some new people arrive Immigration and Emigration
Demographics 101
The Great Depression World War 2 Ends The Baby Boom Baby Bust Boomer Echo Millennial Generation
Demographics 101
The Great Depression World War 2 Ends The Baby Boom Baby Bust Boomer Echo Millennial Generation
Population increase to over 65 age groups larger than increase to under 15 age groups
Over 65
Under 15
1981
1961 $29,748.00
1971 $43,437.00
$54,214.00
Over 65
Collingwood has a comparatively older Collingwood population with fewer children and young adults
Under 15
8.00% 10.00%
- General Population Trends (aging and declining fertility) - Out Migration (lure of educational and employment opportunities elsewhere) - Attractiveness for Retirees and Recreational/Seasonal Residents
85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00%
8.00%
Ontario
10.00%
Population Distribution
Population Distribution
Collingwood Ontario
A Cautionary Note
?
No, not at all
And in Collingwoods case going from 16% to 14% of the population still means more children since we are still growing.
Characteristics of Seniors
General desire to age in place; Increasingly move due to health reasons Greater openness to apartments, garden suites; More likely to move to a rural area, including popular retirement destinations - lured by cheaper housing, lower crime rates and outdoor lifestyle Healthy, active and happy, in particular 65-74 age group Significant source of volunteers; Greater need and flexibility for public transportation More affluent than in the past (with exceptions) More concern for safety and accessibility
Collingwood
couple with children couple without children one person family one parent and non-traditional
1996
30.79% 27.24% 27.15% 14.82%
2001
27.54% 28.82% 28.67% 14.97%
2006
22.97% 31.58% 30.28% 15.24%
Market Response
Collingwoods Housing Stock and Building Trends
Housing Stock
1991 SinglesandSemis Townhomes Apartments 72.1 6.5 21.0 2006 69.6 7.1 23.0
A variety of factors are likely involved with these figures the aging trend, fewer traditional families, seasonal recreational properties, desirability of Collingwood as a retirement destination, etc. Provincially, building permits for multiples overtook singles and semi-detached dwellings in 2008 with a projection from CMHC that they will account for 64% of all units to be constructed in 2011and Provincial intensification requirements are not supposed to kick in until 2015
Complete Communities/Neighbourhoods
meet peoples needs for daily living, throughout an entire lifetime, by providing convenient access to an appropriate mix of jobs, local services, a full range of housing, and community infrastructure including affordable housing, schools, recreation and open space;
provide convenient access to public transportation and options for safe non-motorized travel.
Complete Communities/Neighbourhoods
Shop
Work* Live
Worship
Learn* Play
Give
Next Steps
1. Data Collection Policy, Statistics, Land Use Information 2. Research and Analysis 3. Finalization of Growth Allocation (on hold - PDF) 4. Background Presentations
Residential Policy Review
Land Budget Complete Communities and Compact Urban Form Collingwoods Changing Demographics Infrastructure and Services