Gat 2009
Gat 2009
Gat 2009
Evolutionary
Theory and the Causes of War
AZAR GAT
Tel Aviv University, Israel
European Journal of International Relations © The Author(s) 2009. Reprints and permissions:
http://www.sagepub.co.uk/journalsPermissions.nav, Vol. 15(4): 571–599
[DOI: 10.1177/1354066109344661]
European Journal of International Relations 15(4)
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the struggle over scarce resources, somehow this has not figured prominently
in their explanation of state conduct, including war. This pretty obvious
but long unnoticed point has been well made by Schweller (1994, 1996),
who has claimed that states go to war not merely for security reasons but
also in order to achieve ‘coveted values,’ because they see ‘opportunity for
gain,’ ‘profit,’ ‘rewards,’ or ‘spoils.’ He, and others, have exposed the ‘status
quo bias’ in much of the recent International Relations literature, wherein,
indeed, scholars such as Waltz, Walt, and Snyder seem to believe that,
inherently, no profit can be made from aggressive action in the international
arena because of the balancing effect of the coalition that will form to oppose
an expansionist state.2 In the wake of the above criticism, Mearsheimer
(2001: 20) has recognized that in Waltz’s ‘defensive realism’ there are
actually no reasons for war; yet he has failed to see that his own ‘offensive
structural realism’ suffers from the very same problem. Similarly based on
the security dilemma alone, it leaves ananswered — indeed, unraised — the
question of why that dilemma should arise at all if no positive motives for
aggression exist on any side. Realists have lost touch with the purpose of the
whole exercise.
Schweller does not specify what the ‘coveted values,’ ‘gain,’ ‘profit,’
‘rewards,’ and ‘spoils’ for which states go to war might be, though his list
of historical examples provides ample illustration. People generally have a
pretty good idea of the aims that may motivate states to go to war; yet an
attempt at a strict definition and explanation of them is widely regarded as
futile, because individuals and collectives are believed to be capable of being
driven to war by practically any reason — for the attainment of any aim or
value, which are held to be largely ‘construed’ culturally.
This brings us to the age-old philosophical and psychological question
regarding the nature of the basic human system of motivation. Cultural
diversity in human societies is stressed for excellent reasons, but all too often
to the point of losing sight of our easily observed core of species specificity.3
As this article suggests, despite their many particularities, societies through-
out history have manifested a remarkably similar set of reasons for fighting.
Arguing that the human motivational system as a whole should be approached
from the evolutionary perspective, the article begins with an examination of
what can be meaningfully referred to as the ‘human state of nature,’ the
99.5% of the genus Homo’s evolutionary history in which humans lived as
hunter-gatherers. In this ‘state of nature’ people’s behavior patterns are
generally to be considered as having been evolutionarily adaptive. The inter-
action of biological propensities and cultural development in shaping the
causes of war in historical state societies is examined in the second part of
the article.
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Although I shall now survey the reasons for warfare among hunter-
gatherers one by one, it is not my intention to provide yet another ‘list’ of
elements, such as that provided in Hobbes’s Leviathan, ch. 6, or by modern
psychologists (e.g. Burton, 1990; Maslow, 1970). In the absence of an
evolutionary perspective, these lists typically have something arbitrary and
trivial about them. They lack a unifying regulatory rationale that suggests
why the various needs and desires came into being, or how they relate to
one another. Instead, I seek to show how the various reasons come together
in an integrated motivational complex. This complex has been shaped by the
logic of evolution and natural selection for geological times. It is the totality
of human motivation — in relation to the causes of violence and war — that
this article seeks to lay out and explain.4 To understand the fundamental
causes of war is to grasp how (a) the pursuit of evolution-shaped human
objects of desire, (b) by means of the violent strategic behavioural option,
(c) is endemic in anarchic systems. Here, too, it is all the so-called ‘levels’ —
the individual, the state, and the state system — in their causal interactions,
that have to be comprehended as a whole.
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Let us understand more closely the evolutionary calculus that can make
the highly dangerous activity of fighting over resources worthwhile. In our
affluent societies, it might be difficult to comprehend how precarious people’s
subsistence in pre-modern societies was (and still is). The specter of hunger
and starvation was ever-present. Affecting both mortality and reproduction,
they constantly trimmed down population numbers. Thus struggle over
resources was very often evolutionarily cost-effective. The benefits of fighting
also had to be matched against possible alternatives (other than starvation).
One of them was to move elsewhere. This, of course, often happened,
especially if one’s enemy was much stronger, but this strategy had clear
limitations. By and large, there were no ‘empty spaces’ for people to move
to. In the first place, space is not even, and the best, most productive,
habitats were normally already taken. Furthermore, a move meant leaving
a habitat with whose resources and dangers the group’s members were
intimately familiar. Such a change could involve heavy penalties. Moreover,
giving in to pressure from outside might establish a pattern of victimization.
Encouraged by its success, the alien group might repeat and even increase
its pressure. Standing for one’s own might mean lessening the occurrence
of conflict in the future. No less, and perhaps more, than actual fighting,
conflict is about deterrence.
Reproduction
The struggle for reproduction is about access to sexual partners of reproduc-
tive potential. There is a fundamental asymmetry between males and females
in this respect, which runs throughout nature. At any point in time, a female
can be fertilized only once. Consequently, evolutionarily speaking, she must
take care to make the best of it. It is quality rather than quantity that she
seeks. She must select the male who looks the best equipped for survival
and reproduction, so that he will impart his genes, and his qualities, to the
offspring. In those species, like the human, where the male also contributes
to the raising of the offspring, his skills as a provider and his loyalty are other
crucial considerations. In contrast to the female, there is theoretically almost
no limit to the number of offspring a male can produce. He can fertilize an
indefinite number of females, thus multiplying his own genes in the next
generations. The main brake on male sexual success is competition from
other males.
Around this rationale, sexual strategies in nature are highly diverse and
most nuanced, ranging from extreme polygamy to monogamy (Daly and
Wilson, 1983; Ridley, 1994; Symons, 1979). However, although monogamy
reduces, it by no means terminates, male competition. If the male is restricted
to one partner, it becomes highly important for him as well to choose the
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partner with the best reproductive qualities he can get: young, healthy, and
optimally built for bearing offspring; that is, in sexual parlance, the most
attractive female. The need to take care of very slowly maturing offspring,
which required sustained investment by both parents, turned humans in the
monogamous direction. However, competition over the best female partners
remains. Furthermore, humans, and men in particular, are not strictly mono-
gamous. In most known human societies polygamy was legitimate, though
only a select few well-to-do men were able to support, and thus have, the
extra wives and children. Second, in addition to official or unofficial wives,
men tend to search for extra-marital sexual liaisons.
How does all this affect human violent conflict and fighting? The evidence
across the range of hunter-gatherer peoples tells the same story. Within the
tribal groupings, women-related quarrels, violence, so-called blood feuds,
and homicide were rife, often constituting the principal category of violence.
Between groups, the picture was not very different, and was equally uniform.
Warfare regularly involved the stealing of women, who were then subjected
to multiple rape, or taken for marriage, or both.
So hunter-gatherer fighting commonly involved the stealing and raping of
women, but was this the cause or a side effect of hunter-gatherer fighting?
This is a pointless question that has repeatedly led scholars to a dead end.
It artificially takes out and isolates one element from the wholeness of the
human motivational complex that may lead to warfare, losing sight of the
overall rationale that underpins these elements. Both somatic and repro-
ductive elements are present in humans; moreover, both these elements are
intimately interconnected, for people must feed, find shelter, and protect
themselves in order to reproduce successfully. Conflict over resources was
at least partly conflict over the ability to acquire and support women and
children, and to demonstrate that ability in advance, in order to rank worthy
of the extra wives. Resources, reproduction, and, as we shall see, status are
interconnected and interchangeable. Motives are mixed, interacting, and
widely refracted, yet this seemingly immense complexity and inexhaustible
diversity can be traced back to a central core, shaped by the evolutionary
rationale.
Anthropological studies show that successful men in hunter-gatherer
societies had several wives, in rare cases as many as a dozen, with a record
of two dozen in the most productive environments. Many wives naturally
meant a large number of children for a man, sometimes scores, who often
comprised a large part of the next generation in the tribe (Chagnon, 1979:
380; Daly and Wilson, 1983: 88–9, 332–3; Keen, 1982; Symons, 1979: 143).
Again, women are such a prominent motive for competition and conflict
because reproductive opportunities are a very strong selective force indeed.
This does not mean that people always want to maximize the number of
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their children. Although there is some human desire for children per se and
a great attachment to them once they exist, it is mainly the desire for sex
— Malthus’ ‘passion’ — which functions in nature as the powerful biological
proximate mechanism for maximizing reproduction. As humans, and other
living creatures, normally engage in sex throughout their fertile lives, they
have a vast reproductive potential, which, before the introduction of effective
contraception, mainly depended for its realization on resource availability.
Polygyny (and female infanticide) created women scarcity and increased
men’s competition for, and conflict over, them (Divale and Harris, 1976).
Among Aboriginal Australian tribes, about 30% of the Murngin adult
males are estimated to have died violently, and similar findings have been
recorded for the Tiwi. The Plains Indians showed a deficit of 50% for the
adult males in the Blackfoot tribe in 1805 and a 33% deficit in 1858, while
during the reservation period the sex ratio rapidly approached 50–50.
Among the Eskimo of the central Canadian arctic, the rate of violent deaths
was estimated at one per thousand persons per year, 10 times the 1990 US
rate which is the highest in the developed world. Among the !Kung of the
Kalahari Desert, known as the ‘harmless people,’ the rate of killing was 0.29
persons per thousand per year, and had been 0.42 before the coming of state
authority, 3–4 times higher than the 1990 US rate (Gat, 2006: 129–32).
The data for pre-state agriculturalists is basically the same. Among the
Yanomamo of the Orinoco about 15% of the adults died as a result of
inter- and intra-group violence: 24% of the males and 7% of the females.
The Waorani (Auca) of the Ecuadorian Amazon hold the registered world
record: more than 60% of adult deaths were caused by feuding and warfare.
In Highland New Guinea violent mortality estimates are very similar: among
the Dani, 28.5% of the men and 2.4% of the women; among the Enga, 34.8%
of the adult males; among the Goilala, whose total population was barely
over 150, there were 29 (predominantly men) killed during a period of 35
years; among the Lowland Gebusi, 35.2% of the adult males and 29.3% of
the adult females (Gat, 2006: 129–32).
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Among social animals, possessing higher rank in the group promises one a
greater share in the communal resources, such as hunting spoils, and better
access to females. For this reason, rank in the group is hotly contested. It is
the strong, fierce, and — among our sophisticated cousins, the chimpanzees
— also the ‘politically’ astute that win status by the actual and implied use of
force. Rivalry for rank and domination in nature is, then, a proximate means
in the competition over resources and reproduction. For this reason people
jealously guard their honor. In traditional societies in particular, people were
predisposed to go to great lengths in defense of their honor. The slightest
offense could provoke violence. Where no strong centralized authority
existed, one’s honor was a social commodity of vital significance.
To avoid a misunderstanding: the argument is not that these behavior
patterns are a matter of conscious decision and complex calculation con-
ducted by flies, mice, lions, or even humans. It is simply that those who
failed to behave adaptively became decreasingly represented in the next
generations, and their maladaptive genes, responsible for their maladaptive
behavior, were consequently selected against. The most complex structural
engineering and behavior patterns have thus evolved in, and program, even
the simplest organisms, including those lacking any consciousness (Dawkins,
1989: 96, 291–2).
As with competition over women, competition over rank and esteem
could lead to violent conflict indirectly as well as directly. For instance,
even in the simplest societies people desired ornamental, ostentatious, and
prestige goods. Although these goods are sometimes lumped together with
subsistence goods, their social function and significance are entirely different.
Body and clothes ornamentation are designed to enhance physically desirable
features that function everywhere in nature as cues for health, vigor, youth,
and fertility (Darwin, 1871: 467–8; Diamond, 1992: ch. 9; Low, 1979). It
is precisely on these products of the ‘illusions industry’ — cosmetics, fashion,
and jewelry — that people everywhere spend so much money. Furthermore,
where some ornaments are scarce and therefore precious, the very fact that
one is able to afford them indicates wealth and success. Hence the source of
what economist Thorstein Veblen, referring to early 20th-century American
ociety, called ‘conspicuous consumption.’ In Stone Age societies as well,
luxury goods, as well as the ostentatious consumption of ordinary ones,
became in themselves objects of desire as symbols of social status. For this
reason, people may fight for them.
Indeed, plenty and scarcity are relative not only to the number of mouths
to be fed but also to the potentially ever-expanding and insatiable range of
human needs and desires. Human competition increases with abundance
— as well as with deficiency — taking more complex forms and expressions,
widening social gaps, and enhancing stratification. While the consumption
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of these arms races involve very heavy costs to the organisms, which would
not have been necessary if it were not for the competition. This, for example,
is the reason why trees have trunks. Trees incur the enormous cost involved
in growing trunks only because of their life-and-death struggle to outgrow
other trees in order to get sunlight. As with humans, competition is most
intense in environments of plenty, where more competitors can play and
more resources can be accumulated. This is why trees grow highest in the
dense forests of the water-rich tropical and temperate climates.
Arms races often have paradoxical results. The continuous and escalating
effort to surpass one’s rival may prove successful, in which case the rival
is destroyed or severely weakened. However, in many cases, every step on
one side is matched by a counter-step on the other. Consequently, even
though each side invests increasing resources in the conflict, neither gains
an advantage. This is called, after one of Alice’s puzzles in Lewis Carroll’s
Through the Looking-Glass, the ‘Red Queen effect’: both sides run faster and
faster only to find themselves remaining in place. Arms races may become a
prisoner’s dilemma.
The special feature of arm races created by the security dilemma is that
the basic motivation on both sides is defensive. Since suspicion is difficult
to overcome, there is another way to reduce the insecurity. The sides may
choose to actively pre-empt, that is, take not only defensive precautions but
attack in order to eliminate or severely weaken the other side. Indeed, this
option in itself makes the other side even more insecure, making the security
dilemma more acute. Warfare can thus become a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Since full security is difficult to achieve, history demonstrates that constant
warfare can be waged, conquest carried afar, and power accumulated, all truly
motivated by security concerns, ‘for defense.’ Of course, in reality motives
are often mixed, with the security motive coexisting with a quest for gain.
Actual competition over somatic and reproductive resources does not
have to exist on every particular occasion for the security dilemma to flare
up. Still, what structural realists have missed is that it is the prospect of such
competition that stands behind the mutual insecurity, and the stronger the
competition and potential conflict, the more intense the security dilemma
will grow (see Schweller, 1994, 1996).
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The evolutionary status of religion is beyond our scope here. Like warfare,
religion is a complex phenomenon that is probably the result of several
different interacting factors. For example, from Emile Durkheim (1965) on,
functionalist theorists have argued that religion’s main role was in fostering
social cohesion, inter alia in war.5 This means that in those groups in which
common ritual and cult ceremonies were more intensive, social cooperation
became more habitual and more strongly legitimized, which probably
translated into an advantage in warfare.
But how did hunter-gatherers’ supernatural beliefs and practices affect
the reasons for conflict and fighting? I argue that on the whole they added
to, sometimes accentuating, the reasons we have already discussed. The all-
familiar glory of the gods, let alone missionary quests, never appear as reasons
for hunter-gatherers’ warfare. These will appear later in human cultural
evolution. The most regular supernatural reason cited by anthropologists for
fighting among hunter-gatherers is fear and accusations of sorcery. It should
be noted, however, that these did not appear randomly, but were directed
against people whom the victim of the alleged sorcery felt had reasons to
want to harm him. This, of course, does not necessarily mean that they really
did. What it does mean is that competition, potential conflict, animosity,
and suspicion were conducive to fears and accusations of sorcery. To a
greater degree than with the security dilemma, the paranoia here reflects the
running amok of real, or potentially real, fears and insecurity, thus further
exacerbating and escalating the war complex.
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lest it persists and turns into a pattern of victimization. Tit-for-tat may end
in victory or a compromise, but it may also escalate, developing into a self-
perpetuating cycle of strikes and counter-strikes, with the antagonists locked
in conflict in a sort of prisoner’s dilemma situation.
Similarly, in a state of potential conflict, security precautions are called for,
which may take on a defensive but also offensive or pre-emptive character.
The security dilemma variant of the prisoner’s dilemma breeds arms races
that may produce an advantage to one side but often merely produces a
‘Red Queen’ effect, by which both sides escalate their resource investment
only to find themselves in the same position vis-a-vis one another. Organisms
can cooperate, compete, or fight to maximize survival and reproduction.
Sometimes, fighting is the most promising choice for at least one of the
sides. At other times, however, fighting, while being their rational choice, is
not their best one.
Finally, a few comments on the evolutionary perspective that underpins
this study. As our grand scientific theory for understanding nature, evolu-
tionary theory does not compete in explaining motivation with scholarly
constructs such as psychoanalytic theories or the realist approach in IR;
rather, evolutionary theory may encompass some of their main insights
within a comprehensive interpretative framework. For instance, Freud, Jung,
and Adler were divided over the elementary drive which each posited as the
underlying regulating principle for understanding human behavior. These
were respectively: sex; creativeness and the quest for meaning; and the craving
for superiority. All these drives in fact come together and interact within
the framework of evolutionary theory which also explains their otherwise
mysterious origin. Similarly, realist ‘theory’ in IR is an analytical construct,
whose fundamental assumptions and insights capture some important, albeit
partial, truths about reality, explained by evolutionary theory (see Thayer,
2000: 126, 137–8, 140; 2004: 11–12, 93).
Some readers may wonder why evolutionary theory should be presented
here as different from and superior to other scholarly approaches. It is
because evolutionary theory is nature’s immanent principle rather than an
artificial analytical construct. It is the only non-transcendent mechanism for
explaining life’s complex design. This mechanism is blind natural selection in
which at every stage those who are endowed with the most suitable qualities
for surviving and reproducing survive. There is no reason for their survival
other than that they proved successful in the struggle for survival. ‘Success’
is not defined by any transcendent measurement but by the immanent logic
of the evolutionary process.
This brings us to another widespread cause of resistance to ‘sociobiology,’
the belief that it upholds biological determinism in a subject which is
distinctively determined by human culture. For once humans developed
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agriculture some ten thousand years ago, which led to the growth of the first
states about five thousand years ago, they set in motion a continuous chain of
developments that have taken them far away from their evolutionary natural
way of life. Original, evolution-shaped, innate human wants, desires, and
proximate behavioral and emotional mechanisms now expressed themselves
in radically altered, ‘artificial’ conditions. In the process, they were greatly
modified, assuming novel and diverse appearances. All the same, cultural
evolution did not operate on a ‘clean slate,’ nor was it capable of producing
simply ‘anything.’ Its multifarious and diverse forms have been built on a
clearly recognizable deep core of innate human propensities. Cultural take-off
took place much too recently to affect human biology in any significant way.
Biologically, we are virtually the same people as our Stone Age forefathers
and are endowed with the same predispositions. With cultural evolution all
bets are not off — they are merely hedged. We now turn to examine these
gene–culture interactions to see how they shaped the motives for human
fighting throughout history.
Historical State-Societies
As we have seen, the motivations that lead to fighting are fundamentally
derived from the human motivational system in general. Fighting, to extend
Clausewitz’s ideas, is a continuation of human aims, and the behavior
designed to achieve them, by violent means, and, now, on a progressively
larger scale and with increasing organization, mainly associated with the
state. How did cultivation, accumulated resources, stratification, coercive
structuring, and a growing scale affect the motivational system that led to
fighting?
Resources
Territories for cultivation (and for pasture) replaced hunting and foraging
territories as an object for competition. However, where both of the above
involved competition over the right of access to nature, the real novelty
brought about by cultivation was the exploitation of human labor. With
cultivation it became possible to live off other people’s work. Accumulated
foodstuffs and livestock could be appropriated by looting. Other somatic-
utility objects, such as fabrics, tools, and metal, were also desirable targets.
In addition to their utility value, objects possessed decorative, status, and
prestige value. Precious objects that acquired the role of money, most
notably precious metals, became the most highly prized booty. Control
over both natural sources of raw materials and trade intensified as a source
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in heroic sagas of semi-barbaric societies, such as the Iliad, the sexual value
of that prize was barely veiled, the practice was no less in force — openly or
more discretely — in the armed forces of more civilized societies.8
The other major reason — apart from the silence of both victors and
victims — for the oversight of sexuality as one of the potential benefits
of fighting was the exponential rise in large-scale civilized societies of
accumulated wealth, which functioned as a universal currency that could be
exchanged for most of the other good things in life. Even more than before,
fighting advanced reproductive success not only directly, as women were
raped and kidnapped, but also indirectly, as the resources and status won
by fighting advanced one in the intra-social competition for the acquisition
and upkeep of women domestically. By and large, power, wealth, and sexual
opportunity comprised overlapping and interlinked hierarchic pyramids.
Where polygyny was permitted, the rich and powerful acquired a greater
number of wives and enjoyed a marked advantage in choosing young, beauti-
ful and otherwise worthy ones. In addition to wives, many societies sanc-
tioned official concubines, and there were, of course, unofficial concubines
or mistresses. Yet another avenue of sexual opportunity was females in the
household, some of whom were slave girls captured in war and raiding.
Finally, there was the sex trade per se, where again the most consummate
and graceful exponents of the trade could be very expensive.
The manner in which power, wealth, and sexual opportunity were linked
is most strikingly demonstrated at the apex of the hierarchic pyramids, most
notably in the figure of the so-called Oriental despot, who had his counter-
part in the empires of pre-Columbian America. Rulers possessed large
harems. According to the Greek authors (Cook, 1985, ii: 226–7), Alexander
the Great captured 329 of King Darius III’s concubines after the Battle of
Issus (333 BC). Only slightly later, Kautilya’s Arthasastra (i.20 and i.27)
provides a detailed description of the construction and procedures of the
harem, as well as an account of the bureaucratic apparatus that supervised
the march of prostitutes who were invited to the court.
Bureaucratic records, where they survive, constitute the most solid source
from which verified numbers can be derived. The most bureaucratic and
most magnificent of empires was China. According to the state’s records
(Bielenstein, 1980: 73–4), the imperial harem of the Early Han (second and
first centuries BC) comprised some 2000–3000 women, whereas that of the
Later Han (first and second centuries AD) reached 5000–6000. Imperial
China represented the ultimate in terms of harem size. The records of the
Ottoman Privy Purse indicate (Peirce, 1993: 122–4) that at its zenith,
during the first half of the 17th century, the sultan’s harem comprised some
400 women, with another 400 kept on a ‘retired list.’
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Was it ‘worth it’ and in what sense? Did people who engaged in the
high-gain–high-cost, intra- and inter-social, ‘two-level’ game of power
politics improve their ultimate reproductive success? The answer to this
question seems very difficult to compute. On the one hand, rulers enjoyed
much greater reproductive opportunities, most strikingly represented in the
autocratic harem. On the other hand, contenders to the throne, and even
incumbent rulers, played a highly risky game for both themselves and their
families. Some light is shed on the question by a remarkable study recently
conducted on the Y (male) chromosome in Central and Eastern Asia, which
demonstrates how great rulers’ reproductive advantage could be (Zerjal et al.,
2003). It reveals that some 8% of the population in the region (0.5% of the
world’s population) carry the same Y chromosome, which can only mean
that they are the descendants of a single man. Furthermore, the biochemical
patterns indicate that this man lived in Mongolia about a thousand years
ago. It was not difficult to identify the only likely candidate, Chinggis Khan,
an identification confirmed by an examination of the Y gene of his known
surviving descendants. This, of course, does not mean that Chinggis Khan
alone sired so many children from a huge number of women, an obvious
impossibility even if he had ceased his military conquests altogether. The
tremendous spread of his Y chromosome is due to the fact that his sons
succeeded him at the head of ruling houses throughout Central and East
Asia for centuries, all enjoying staggering sexual opportunities.
To be sure, Chinggis Khan was among the greatest warlords ever, and
his dynasty probably the most successful. Countless unsuccessful bidders
for power, whose lines ceased because of their failures, have to be figured
into the other side of the equation. All the same, the apex of the social
pyramid held such a powerful attraction for people because it was there
that evolution-shaped human desires could be set loose and indulged on a
gigantic scale. On a more modest scale, the same considerations held true
farther down the social hierarchy.
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represented all else. For this reason, the quest for power seemingly acquired
a life of its own and was also pursued for its own sake. To be sure, power was
desired not only for positive reasons; the security dilemma itself drove people
and political communities to expand their power as a defensive measure, for
in a competitive race one would rather swallow than be swallowed.
Like status and power and closely linked to them, the quest for honor
and prestige was originally ‘designed’ to facilitate access to somatic and
reproductive resources. As such, it too is stimulated by powerful emotional
gratifications, which give it a seemingly independent life of its own. Again,
the potential for the fulfillment of this quest increased exponentially in large-
scale societies. The stellas on which autocrats celebrated their achievements
in super-human images are interpreted by scholars as instruments of royal
propaganda; but, equally, they express the quest for the ultimate fulfillment
of the craving for boundless glory and absolute domination, which could
now be extended to the ‘four corners of the world’ and ‘everything under
the sun,’ as the mightiest of imperial rulers boasted.
All the above also applied to individuals in general and to political com-
munities at large. Community members bathed in their collective glory
and were willing to pay for its advancement and protection. This again was
derived from the conversion value of honor and glory in terms of power,
deterrence, and inter-state bargaining. Individuals and political communities
jealously guarded their honor and responded forcefully even to slight
infringements not because of the trifling matters involved, but because of the
much more serious ones that might follow if they demonstrated weakness.9
To paraphrase Winston Churchill: choosing shame rather than war might
very likely beget shame and then war.
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Conclusion
This article’s contribution is two-pronged: it argues that IR theory regarding
the causes of conflict and war is deeply flawed, locked for decades in ultimately
futile debates over narrow, misconstrued concepts; this conceptual confusion
is untangled and the debate is transcended once a broader, comprehensive,
and evolutionarily informed perspective is adopted.
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Thus attempts to find the root cause of war in the nature of either the
individual, the state, or the international system are fundamentally misplaced.
In all these ‘levels’ there are necessary but not sufficient causes for war,
and the whole cannot be broken into pieces.13 People’s needs and desires
— which may be pursued violently — as well as the resulting quest for power
and the state of mutual apprehension which fuel the security dilemma are all
molded in human nature (some of them existing only as options, potentials,
and skills in a behavioral ‘tool kit’); they are so molded because of strong
evolutionary pressures that have shaped humans in their struggle for survival
over geological times, when all the above literally constituted matters of
life and death. The violent option of human competition has been largely
curbed within states, yet is occasionally taken up on a large scale between
states because of the anarchic nature of the inter-state system. However,
returning to step one, international anarchy in and of itself would not be an
explanation for war were it not for the potential for violence in a fundamental
state of competition over scarce resources that is imbedded in reality and,
consequently, in human nature. The necessary and sufficient causes of war
— that obviously have to be filled with the particulars of the case in any
specific war — are thus as follows: politically organized actors that operate in
an environment where no superior authority effectively monopolizes power
resort to violence when they assess it to be their most cost-effective option
for winning and/or defending evolution-shaped objects of desire, and/or
their power in the system that can help them win and/or defend those
desired goods.
Wars have been fought for the attainment of the same objects of human
desire that underlie the human motivational system in general — only by
violent means, through the use of force. Politics — internal and external — of
which war is, famously, a continuation, is the activity intended to achieve at
the intra- and inter-state ‘levels’ the very same evolution-shaped human aims
we have already seen. Some writers have felt that ‘politics’ does not fully
encompass the causes of war. Even Thayer (2004: 178–9), who correctly
argues that evolutionary theory explains ultimate human aims, nonetheless
goes on to say, inconsistently, that Clausewitz needs extension because war
is caused not only by political reasons but also by the evolutionarily rooted
search for resources, as if the two were separate, with politics being somehow
different and apart, falling outside of the evolutionary logic.
What is defined as ‘politics’ is of course a matter of semantics, and like all
definitions is largely arbitrary. Yet, as has been claimed here, if not attributed
to divine design, organisms’ immensely complex mechanisms and the
behavioral propensities that emanate from them — including those of human
beings — ultimately could only have been ‘engineered’ through evolution.
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The challenge is to lay out how evolution-shaped human desires relate to one
another in motivating war.
The desire and struggle for scarce resources — wealth of all sorts — have
always been regarded as a prime aim of ‘politics’ and an obvious motive
for war. They seem to require little further elaboration. By contrast, repro-
duction does not appear to figure as a direct motive for war in large-scale
societies. However, as we saw, appearance is often deceptive, for somatic
and reproductive motives are the two inseparable sides of the same coin.
In modern societies, too, sexual adventure remained central to individual
motivation in going to war, even if it usually failed to be registered at the
level of ‘state politics.’ This may be demonstrated by the effects of the
sexual revolution since the 1960s, which, by lessening the attraction of
foreign adventure for recruits and far increasing the attraction of staying at
home, may have contributed to advanced societies’ growing aversion to war.
Honor, status, glory, and dominance — both individual and collective —
enhanced access to somatic and reproductive success and were thus hotly
pursued and defended, even by force. The security dilemma sprang from this
state of actual and potential competition, in turn pouring more oil onto its
fire. Power has been the universal currency through which all of the above
could be obtained and/or defended, and has been sought after as such, in
an often escalating spiral.
Kinship — expanding from family and tribe to peoples — has always
exerted overwhelming influence in determining one’s loyalty and willingness
to sacrifice in the defense and promotion of a common good. Shared culture
is a major attribute of ethnic communities, in the defense of which people
can be invested as heavily as in the community’s political independence and
overall prosperity. Finally, religious and secular ideologies have been capable
of stirring enormous zeal and violence; for grand questions of cosmic and
socio-political order have been perceived as possessing paramount practical
significance for securing and promoting life on earth and/or in the afterlife.
In the human problem-solving menus, ideologies function as the most
general blueprints. Rather than comprising a ‘laundry list’ of causes for war,
all of the above partake in the interconnected human motivational system,
originally shaped by the calculus of survival and reproduction.
This calculus continues to guide human behavior, mostly through its
legacy of innate proximate mechanisms — human desires — even where the
original link between these proximate mechanisms and the original somatic
and reproductive aims may have been loosened or even severed under altered
conditions, especially during modernity: more wealth is desired even though
above a certain level it has ceased to translate into greater reproduction;
with effective contraception much the same applies to sexual success; power,
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status, honor, and fame — connected to the above — are still hotly pursued
even though their reproductive significance has become ambivalent.
To the extent that the industrial-technological revolution, most notably
its liberal path, has sharply reduced the prevalence of war, the reason for this
change is that the violent option for fulfilling human desires has become
much less promising than the peaceful option of competitive cooperation.
Furthermore, the more affluent and satiated the society and the more
lavishly are people’s most pressing needs met, the less their incentives to
take risks that might involve the loss of life and limb. This does not mean a
millenarian era of selfless altruism. People continue to compete vigorously
over scarce objects of desire, partly because much of the competition among
them concerns relative rather than absolute allocation of gains. On this
realists are on firmer ground than radical liberals. However, liberals have
been right in stressing that human reality is not static and, indeed, has
been changing dramatically over the past generations, with the growth of
affluent-liberal society going hand in hand with deepening global economic
interdependence and mutual prosperity.14 As conditions have changed —
indeed, only for those for whom they have changed, most notably within the
world’s affluent and democratic ‘zone of peace’ — the violent option, the
‘hammer,’ in the human behavioral tool kit seems to have declined in utility
for attaining desired aims.
Notes
1. See also Thompson (2001); Rosen (2005).
2. For the ‘status quo bias,’ see Waltz (1979: 108–9, 137); implicitly in Walt
(1987); and most strongly, Snyder (1991). Snyder’s defensive bias has been
criticized by Zakaria (1992).
3. The best discussion on this point is Tooby and Cosmides (1992).
4 As will be shown here, this totality is not fully encompassed in Thayer’s evolu-
tionary account (2000, 2004).
5. Durkheim was followed in the functionalist tradition by Bronislav Malinovski and
A.R. Radcliffe-Brown. More recently see Heiden (2003); and for an evolutionary
perspective: Ridley (1996: 189–93); Wilson (2002).
6. Rome is the best documented case: Frank (1959, i: 146, 228, and passim; v:
4–7, and passim); Hopkins (1980); more broadly see Goldsmith (1987: 18, 31–2
[Athens]; 48 [Rome]; 107, 121 [Moghal India]; 142 [Tokugawa Japan]).
7. Even Thayer generally shies away from sexuality in his evolutionary account of
war. There have been, of course, attempts to connect sexuality with politics, most
famously, in Freud’s footsteps, those by Wilhelm Reich and Michel Foucault.
8. Thornhill and Palmer (2000) is an evolution-informed study. See also Buss and
Malamuth (1996); Goldstein (2001: 362–9); van Creveld (2001: 33).
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9. Two works on the subject are: Mercer (1996), which unpersuasively rejects the
significance of that factor in crisis; O’Neill (1999).
10. Cavalli-Sforza et al. (1994). This is not the place to go into the vast literature on
nationalism.
11. For a similar argument see: Stark (1996: ch. 8: ‘The Martyrs: Sacrifice as Rational
Choice’); Wilson (2002). Both works overlook the military aspect.
12. Schwartz (1997) is historically naive and overstates a good case; as do Dawkins
(2006) and Hitchens (2007). Martin (1997), although idiosyncratic and
apologetic, rightly claims that religion was merely one interacting element within
a complex array of factors. Stark (2001: ch. 3) is best.
13. See Suganami (1996), an excellent work of analytical philosophy that dissects
Waltz (1959 and 1979). This, more or less, is also the message in Buzan et al.
(1993).
14. See Modelski (2001: 22); Sterling-Folker (2001); Gat (2005).
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