Biases and Realistic Preferences PDF
Biases and Realistic Preferences PDF
Biases and Realistic Preferences PDF
1) Which of the following describes investors’ behavior in being too slow in updating their beliefs
in response to new information?
a) Overconfidence
b) Conservatism
c) Framing
d) Regret avoidance
2) Which of the following is the technical name for people’s desire to find information that
agrees with their existing view?
a) Conservatism
b) Framing
c) Confirmation bias
d) Over-optimism
3) Participants in an experiment were taken to a house for sale, asked to inspect the house for 20
minutes, given a 10-page handout giving information about the house and about other houses
in the area. The handout given to subjects were identical expect for the asking price. Subjects
were then asked their opinions of the appraisal value, appropriate listing, purchase price and
the lowest offer price they would personally accept. Agents who were given an asking price of
$119,900 had a mean predicted appraisal value of $114,201, listing price of $117,745, a
purchase price of $111,454, and a lowest acceptable price of $111,136. Subjects who were
given an initial asking price of $149,900 had a mean appraisal value of $128,754, listing price
of $130,981, predicted purchase price of $127,318 and a lowest offer price of $123,818. What
bias does this experiment illustrate?
a) Overconfidence
b) Conservatism
c) Framing
d) Anchoring
4) Kahneman and Tversy (1973) asked people the following: “In a typical example of text in the
English language, is it more likely that a word starts with the letter K or that K is its third
letter?” Of the 152 people in the sample, 105 generally thought that words with the letter in
the first position were more probable. However, in reality there are approximately twice as
many words with K as the third letter as there are words that begin with K. People index on
the first letter, and can recall them easier. Which bias does this example illustrate?
a) Overconfidence
b) Conservatism
c) Confirmation bias
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d) Availability bias
5) If an investor sees many periods of good earnings then she is inclined to believe that the firm
is one with particularly high earnings growth, and hence is likely to continue to deliver future
high earnings growth. This is an illustration of which bias?
a) Overconfidence
b) Representativeness
c) Availability bias
d) Loss aversion
6) A person may reject an investment when it is posed in terms of risk surrounding potential
gains, but may accept the same investment if it is posed in terms of risk surrounding potential
losses. What is this an example of?
a) Framing
b) Regret avoidance
c) Overconfidence
d) Conservatism
8) What types of errors lead investors to misestimate the true probabilities of possible events or
associated rates of return?
a) Regret avoidance
b) Framing errors
c) Information processing errors
9) Conservatism explains why investors are too _________ in updating their beliefs in response
to news, and hence, they initially ________________ to news.
a) quick; overreact
b) quick; underreact
c) slow; underreact
d) slow; overreact
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c) Prospect theory assumes that utility functions are convex over gains and concave over
losses.
d) Prospect theory assumes utility functions are defined over gains and losses.
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