Inequality Source 01
Inequality Source 01
Inequality Source 01
UNDESA EGM on Addressing Inequalities and Challenges to Social Inclusions, 25-27 June 2018
1
KEY MESSAGES
• Divergence in income levels and trends across regions, groups and
countries
• Drivers of income inequality are multi-dimensional and complex
• Inequality generates development paradoxes; which make
development management more complex
• Extreme inequality is detrimental to growth and development
• There is no one silver bullet to addressing inequality in Africa
• Policies that help reduce poverty are not necessarily the same as
those that help reduce income inequality, which underpins
complementarity of policies
2
Magnitude and trends of income
inequality in SSA (1/3)
• SSA one of the most unequal regions
(10/19)
• GOOD NEWS: Income inequality declined in SSA
by 3.4 Gini points between 1990 and 2011
...BUT rose by 0.6 points (2008-2010) because
of global financial crisis
Gini for Africa and other developing countries (ODCs) 7 Outliers’ driven
Africa ODCs Difference
Ave. 0.43 Ave. 0.39 0.04
Min: Egypt 0.31 Min: Ukraine =0.25
Max: SA 0.65 Max: Haiti = 0.52
LIC =0.42 LIC = 0.39 0.03
LMIC =0.44 LMIC = 0.40 0.05
UMIC =0.46 UMIC = 0.40 0.06
3
Magnitude and trends of income
inequality in SSA (2/3)
• Bifurcation in inequality trends
existed across countries in SSA:
Gini, where data is available,
✓Declined in 59% of countries
✓Rose in 41% of countries
5
Structural drivers of inequality (1/2)
1. Highly dualistic economic • Inequality rises when growth occurs in:
structure – labour elite Sector high asset, capital and skilled-labour
(mining, MNCs, FIRE, Pub. concentration sectors BUT falls or remains
stable in labour intensive mfg., agric. and
Service) Vs informal and construction sectors.
subsistence sectors • Inequality falls as result of:
2. High concentration of land, ➢Improved distribution of human capital
physical and human capital ➢Increased direct taxes, efficiency of tax
administration, well-targeted social protection
3. Limited redistributive capacity ➢Better distribution of socio-economic facilities
– roads, electricity, schools, hospitals, etc.
of the state manifested by:
natural resource curse, urban bias policies, ➢Enhanced productivity in agriculture
regressive tax, ethnic and gender
inequalities
Message Two: Drivers of income inequality are multi-dimensional and complex 6
Structural drivers of inequality (2/2)
7
Emerging puzzles requiring further investigations
1. No clear link exists
3. Conflict-Inequality
between resource 2. Population growth and
relationship creates a
dependence and inequality creates a puzzle
puzzle
inequality
Population-Inequality relationship
Inequality Risks are high: is negative: Countries with high Gini are
1. Corruption and Illicit Most countries with fertility rate of 6.0+ non-conflict prone countries
outflows have low Gini(<0.44); (e.g. Botswana, Namibia, RSA
2.Weak governing institutions Most countries with low fertility rate have Harold Laski Hypothesis
high Gini(>0.54)
– resource curse
10
Conclusion
11
THANK YOU
12