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Press Statement - Q421 - BI v3 10022022 PDF

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‘Embargo: Only to be published or disseminated at 1200 hours, Friday, 11th February 2022

MEDIA STATEMENT
FOR MALAYSIA ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE FOURTH QUARTER OF 2021

1. Malaysia’s GDP recovered 3.6 per cent in Q4 2021 resulting to an economic


trajectory of 3.1 per cent for overall 2021
2. Malaysia’s GDP grew 3.6 percent in Q4 2021, resulting increase 3.1 percent
in 2021
3. Malaysia’s GDP recovered 3.6 per cent in Q4 2021 resulting to an
expansion of 3.1 per cent for overall 2021
4. Malaysia's GDP improved 3.6 per cent in Q4 2021 which build-up to 3.1 per
cent for overall 2021

PUTRAJAYA, 11 February 2022 – The Department of Statistics, Malaysia today


released statistics Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter of 2021 and
Malaysia’s economic performance for year 2021.

Malaysia’s GDP in the fourth quarter of 2021 grew at 3.6 per cent while the
quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted GDP rebounded 6.6 per cent (Q3 2021: -3.6%).
Correspondingly, the monthly economic performance have grown modestly in the fourth
quarter with the growth of 2.7 per cent in October and accelerated to 5.4 per cent in
November 2022. Nonetheless, the growth back to moderate 2.6 per cent in December
2021. Overall, Malaysia’s economic performance in 2021 showed a recovery
momentum with the growth of 3.1 per cent as compared to a decline of 5.6 per cent in
2020.

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From the current economic standing, the performance in 2021 is still below than its
pre-pandemic level in 2019. However, the economic performance for fourth quarter of
2021 has surpassed above the level of fourth quarter of 2019 (pre-pandemic level) by
0.01 per cent.

According to the Chief Statistician Malaysia, Dato’ Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin,
“The economic performance in the fourth quarter of 2021 on the supply side was
primarily driven by the Manufacturing, Services and Agriculture sectors. Meanwhile, on
the demand side, all expenditure components experienced positive performance except
for Gross fixed capital formation”.

He added that, “In terms of sectoral performance, Manufacturing sector was the main
contributor to the Malaysia’s economic performance. The Manufacturing sector grew
strongly by 9.1 per cent (Q3 2021: -0.8%) in the fourth quarter of 2021 led by Electrical,
electronic & optical products (16.4%) followed by Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic and products (6.5%). The recovery in Non-metallic mineral products, basic
metals & fabricated metal products (5.8%) and Wood products, furniture, paper products
and printing (5.6%) also influenced the performance of this sector. On a quarter-on-
quarter seasonally adjusted, the overall Manufacturing sector increased 8.3 per cent
(Q3 2021: -1.8%)”.

The Services sector rose by 3.2 per cent (Q3 2021: -4.9%) in the fourth quarter of 2021.
On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted, this sector rebounded 7.0 per cent.
The performance was attributed to the Private services sub-sector, which recorded an
increase of 2.7 per cent (Q3 2021: -6.8%) supported by Information & communication
(6.8%), Transportation & storage (11.7%) and Finance & insurance (4.0%) sub -sectors.
In addition, Wholesale & retail trade recorded a growth of 1.3 per cent while Real estate,
Business services and Private education sub-sectors remain a decline trend.

The Agriculture sector turnaround 2.8 per cent (Q3 2021: -1.9%) in this quarter backed
by the rebound in Oil palm (4.8%) and the increase in Other agriculture (5.4%)
sub-sectors. The increase of Oil palm sub-sector was in line with the higher production
in fresh fruit bunches and the growth of Other agriculture sub-sector was contributed by
vegetables, fruits and paddy. Agriculture sector recorded a marginal increase of
0.2 per cent on a seasonally adjusted terms.

The Mining & quarrying sector contracted 0.9 per cent (Q3 2021: -3.6%)
influenced by Crude oil & condensate sub-sector which declined
6.5 per cent (Q3 2021: -8.0%) in this quarter. Meanwhile, the Natural gas sub-sector
increased 3.9 per cent (Q3 2021: 2.1%). In terms of seasonally adjusted, this sector
registered a marginal increase of 0.6 per cent.

The Construction sector recorded a double-digit decline 12.2 per cent


(Q3 2021: -20.6%) in thr fourth quarter of 2021. The decline in this sector was mainly
influenced by the fall in Residential buildings (-24.3%), Civil engineering (-18.8%) as

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well as Non-residential buildings (-11.9%). Nonetheless, Specialised construction
activities further expanded 9.0 per cent (Q3 2021: 8.9%) in this quarter. On a quarter-
on-quarter seasonally adjusted, the overall Construction sector increased 6.2 per cent
(Q3 2021: -13.5%).

Commenting further on the demand side, the Chief Statistician Malaysia stated that
“Private final consumption expenditure which contributed 58.0 per cent to GDP in
the fourth quarter of 2021, rebounded 3.7 per cent (Q3 2021: -4.2%) attributed to the
higher consumption in Food and non-alcoholic beverages (5.1%), Communication
(12.6%) and Housing, water, electricity, gas & other fuels (2.0%). Furthermore,
consumption of Restaurants & hotels (3.8%) and Transport (2.0%) grew in this quarter.
On a seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter terms, the overall performance of Private
final consumption expenditure posted an increase of 6.4 per cent”.

Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) or investment on fixed assets decreased


by 3.3 per cent (Q3 2021: -10.8%) in this quarter. On a quarter-on-quarter seasonal
adjusted performance, the GFCF registered an increase of 10.9 per cent.The smaller
decline of GFCF was influenced by the double-digit increase in Machinery & equipment
(16.4%). On the contrary, Structure and Other assets registered a decline of 15.5 per
cent and 3.1 per cent, respectively. Based on GFCF by sector, both Public and Private
sectors also recorded a decrease moderately in the fourth quarter 2021.

Government final consumption expenditure moderated 4.3 per cent (Q3 2021: 8.1%)
supported by spending on supplies and services attributed to the health-related
expenditure in this quarter. The consumption on health services was reflected by the
government efforts to encourage people taking booster doses in order to restore
protection against COVID-19 to an optimal level. On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally
adjusted, Government final consumption expenditure decreased 6.0 per cent
(Q3 2021: 5.2%).

He also mentioned that “Both Exports and Imports has accelerated to 13.3 per cent
(Q3 2021: 5.1%) and 14.6 per cent (Q3 2021: 11.7%) respectively following the higher
trade of goods and services. Therefore, Net exports rose by 2.6 per cent as compared
to a decrease 37.5 per cent in the preceding quarter driven by higher external demand.

The overall economic performance in 2021 was driven by the recovery in the
Manufacturing, Services and Mining & quarrying sectors. Meanwhile, the Agriculture
and Construction sectors showed a declining in 2021. Overall GDP expenditure was
impelled by the components of Private final fonsumption expenditure and Government
final consumption expenditure. Private final fonsumption expenditure on essential items
namely Food & non-alcoholic beverages; Communication; and Housing, water,
electricity, gas & other fuels have surpassed above the pre-pandemic level.
On the other hand, Gross fixed capital formation and Net exports were still in the
negative growth. In 2021, GDP at current prices amounted to RM1.5 trillion with a Gross
national income per capita increased by 7.7 percent as compared to 2020.

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Based on the current scenario of the Malaysian economy, the economic performance
of the fourth quarter of 2021 signaling an economic recovery despite encountering the
COVID-19 pandemic and natural disasters simultaneously. Towards the end of 2021,
more economic, social and recreational activities resumed their operations as all states
have transitioned to Phase 4 of the National Recovery Plan (NRP). The easing of
inter-state travel rules has given significant repercussions, especially on the domestic
tourism-related industries. This positive development will enable entrepreneurs to
restore business momentum, thus will drive economic rebound in Malaysia.

The Department of Statistics Malaysia is conducting the Household Income,


Expenditure and Basic Amenities Survey (HIES/BA) 2022 from 1st January 2022 to
31st December 2022. The Department greatly appreciates the cooperation given by the
selected respondents by sharing their information with DOSM officers and making the
survey a success. Please visit www.dosm.gov.my for more information.

Released by:

THE OFFICE OF CHIEF STATISTICIAN MALAYSIA


DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, MALAYSIA
11 FEBRUARY 2022

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APPENDIX 1

Chart 1: Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Q1 2018 – Q4 2021

Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia

Chart 2: Quarterly GDP Growth at Constant 2015 Prices, Q1 2018 – Q4 2021


YoY %

20.0
16.1
15.0

10.0

5.0 3.6
0.7
0.0
-0.5
-5.0 -2.7
-3.4 -4.5
-10.0

-15.0

-20.0 -17.2
Q118

Q218

Q318

Q418

Q119

Q219

Q319

Q419

Q120

Q220

Q320

Q420

Q121

Q221

Q321

Q421

Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia

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Chart 3: Monthly GDP Growth at Constant 2015 Price, Jan. 2020 – Dec. 2021
YoY %

50.0

39.7
40.0

30.0

20.0 19.3

10.0
6.1 5.4
2.7 2.6
0.0

-1.8 -1.1
-10.0 -2.8 -3.6 -3.6
-3.5 -3.6 -4.7
-7.6
-20.0

-30.0
Mar 20

Mar 21
Nov 20

Dec 20

Nov 21

Dec 21
May 20

Jul 20

Aug 20

May 21

Jul 21

Aug 21
Sept 20

Apr 21
Apr 20

Oct 20

Sept 21

Oct 21
Jan 20

Feb 20

Jun 20

Jan 21

Feb 21

Jun 21
Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia

Chart 4: Quarterly GDP Growth by Kind of Economic Activity, Q3 – Q4 2021

Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia

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Chart 5: Monthly GDP Growth by Kind of Economic Activity, Oct. – Dec. 2021

Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia

Chart 6: Seasonally Adjusted GDP (Percentage Change from Preceding Quarter),


Q2 2015 – Q4 2021

Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia

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Chart 7a: Volume Index of GDP in 2021 Against 2019 (Pre-Pandemic)

2019=100 2020 2021

94.4 97.3
GDP

94.5 96.3 97.8 97.6


Services Agriculture

80.6 76.4 89.4 90.0


Construction Mining and quarrying

Manufacturing

97.4 106.6

Chart 7b: Volume Index of GDP in 2021 Against 2019 (Pre-Pandemic)

2019=100 2020 2021

94.4 97.3
GDP

87.0 81.9 95.7 97.4


Private final
Net exports of goods &
consumption
services
expenditure

103.9 110.8
91.6 108.5
Government final
Imports of goods &
consumption
services
expenditure

91.1 105.6 85.5 84.8


Exports of goods & Gross fixed capital
services formation

Notes:
i. The year of 2019 and Q4 2019 are used as a reference which referred to pre-pandemic period
equivalent to 100.0
ii. The index above 100.0 means the performance of the sub-sector is better than pre-pandemic period
iii. The index below 100.0 means the performance of the sub-sector is less good than pre-pandemic period

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