Central Limit Theorem
Central Limit Theorem
Central Limit Theorem
(a) n = 1
(b) n = 10
(c) n = 20
(d) n = 70
No matter the shape of the population, the
distribution of x-bars tends toward Normality
Central Limit Theorem - Summary
If the sample is normal, then the sampling distribution of the means will also
be normal, no matter the sample size.
When the sample population is approximately symmetric, the distribution
becomes approximately normal for relatively small values of n (as small as
15).
When the sample population is skewed, the sample size must be larger
(i.e., 30 or more) before the sampling distribution of means becomes
approximately normal.
Let’s visualize CLT
https://vimeo.com/75089338
As an example, say that we find a school that has 1200 students, with exactly 200
students each in grades 7 through 12. The population distribution is, as the following
figure shows, definitely not normal.
We take a sample of 25 students and calculate the mean grade level for
the sample, which we find to be 9.52. We then take another sample and
find that its mean is 9.32.
By the nature of random sampling, we will get a slightly different result
each time we take a new sample. For example, the following table shows
the mean we get from 10 separate samples, each of size n = 25, drawn
from the population.
population. means across 1,000 samples would look like the following.
Example
A certain brand of tires has a mean life of 25,000 miles with a standard
deviation of 1600 miles.
What is the probability that the mean life of 64 tires is less than 24,600 miles?
Solution
The sampling distribution of the means has a mean of 25,000 miles (the
population mean)
m = 25000 mi.
z = (24600-25000)/200 = -2
P(z< -2) = 0.0228