IBV - 2023 Global Outlook For Banking and Financial Markets PDF
IBV - 2023 Global Outlook For Banking and Financial Markets PDF
IBV - 2023 Global Outlook For Banking and Financial Markets PDF
2023
Global Outlook
for Banking and
Financial Markets
Creating digital advantage
for uncertain times
Authors
John J. Duigenan John is the General Manager for the Financial Services sector within
General Manager, IBM Global Industries. His mission is to align the value creation from
Financial Services Industry IBM Technology with current industry imperatives that span clients
IBM Technology across the sector. John and his team partner closely with clients to show
john.duigenan@us.ibm.com how industry-specific use cases map to IBM technology capabilities,
linkedin.com/in/duigenan solutions, and outcomes. Use cases are a vehicle to demonstrate
relevance, scale re-use, and create client references. As an IBM
Distinguished Engineer, John also leads by example by being a hands-
on technologist. Since joining IBM in 1998, he has held technical and
business roles spanning the entire product lifecycle, with extensive
development, service, sales and technology leadership. He led multi-
billion-dollar transformation programs at IBM’s customers. John is
based in New York City.
2
Expert contributors
Pablo Suarez
Managing Partner,
Financial Services
IBM Consulting EMEA
pablo.suarez@us.ibm.com
linkedin.com/in/pablosuarez
3
4
Contents
02 Foreword
03 Executive summary
39 Action guide
1
Foreword
Folksy wisdom abounds about how hard it is to change the tires on a moving car.
Some would say it’s an impossible feat. And yet, financial institutions have been
trying to do the corporate equivalent over the past several years.
It’s not been easy. It’s still not easy. Geopolitical uncertainty causes market shocks
and calibrations. Client demands grow. Sustainability requires higher transparency
based on real world data. All the while, financial services’ C-suites are investing to
respond rather than react.
Many are moving to digital foundations and transformations, but not just to keep
pace with competitors. They recognize that modern banking and financial markets
require digital capabilities for the resilience that leads to healthier financial
performance. A measured, fast business response requires business agility and
access to real-time data, grounded on strong hybrid cloud foundations and fueled by
artificial intelligence and automation. Traditional business models—just like
traditional monolithic legacy architectures—were not designed for highly digital
economies and consumers.
The IBM experts in banking and financial markets reflect each year on the global
industry environment, as well as emerging banking strategies. They ponder the
investments made by key institutions in every jurisdiction, on client lessons learned,
and on new ways forward. All of this rich thinking and debate is baked into the 2023
Global Outlook for Banking and Financial Markets by the IBM Institute for Business
Value.
This year’s report unpacks the uncertainty that is sure to remain globally in 2023.
We discuss new impacts and strategies for growth and performance, risk and
compliance, and cost and efficiency. Financial institutions can weather the storm,
and emerge stronger, serving as the beacon for other industries that also must
navigate under challenging economic conditions.
We trust it provides the basis for a strategic discussion within your organization
throughout a year that brings certain change.
2
Executive
summary
3
4
The only certainty Foreword
Executive summary
5
Four key market conditions to address in 2023
Financial institutions’ C-suites are faced with a challenge: how to preserve
increasingly expensive capital (see Figure 1) while investing in transformation
to better combat uncertainty and emerge stronger.
FIGURE 1
Year
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
North Europe Europe Europe Japan Greater APAC MEA LATAM
America Core Nordics Broader China Broader
CET1 5-year averages of the median, 1st and 3rd quartile calculated in
each region across the top 25 banks by total assets.
6
Leaders will be expected to adapt and respond 4. Sustainability.
to four key market conditions: Environmental concerns have led to new, albeit
necessary, restrictions on business and economic
1. Macroeconomic tensions.
activities. While banks can be an integral part of
Increasing macroeconomic tensions are epitomized the sustainability solution and find new revenue
by spiking inflation, which called for major central opportunities, they are also exposed to new risks
banks to raise interest rates (except in China and and complex compliance requirements. They will
Japan).1 Facing recessionary environments, the need to navigate this area with great care, not only
sudden reversal in monetary policies may prove for their business but for the planet.
untenable for central bankers, adding more
uncertainty in future decisions. At the same time, Let’s delve deeper into each of these four
price volatility has returned to financial markets. market conditions.
2. Geopolitical uncertainties.
Macroeconomic tensions
Economic decoupling, among other factors, is
testing the resilience of value chains while
spur change
heightening financial risk across geographies and Central bankers were late to realize inflation spikes
economic sectors. As globalization helped reduce would be more than temporary in 2022. The US
costs, deglobalization will drive up costs, further Federal Reserve Board was first to act, raising
fuel inflation, and change financial clients’ needs. interest rates, certainly aware of the potential
drawbacks in an economy with stagnant real GDP.
3. New competitors.
The European Central Bank followed, despite the
Clients’ digital adoption is accelerating, which recessionary effects of energy supply challenges
exposes the shortcomings of traditional financial caused by the war in Ukraine. On the other end of the
services. This creates an opening for new, digital- spectrum, the People’s Bank of China further reduced
savvy competitors to capture and engage clients, rates as part of an effort to stabilize the ailing housing
resulting in potential revenue loss for incumbents. market while they shift from a manufacturing-led
Large traditional institutions are hindered by legacy boom to a more services-oriented economy.
business and operating models that are not proving
agile enough. Many of these models were designed in
another era for another era, long before the speed
enabled by exponential technologies.
7
Will central banks reconsider raising interest rate centered on retail and wholesale lending. Reces-
targets, as their economies are likely to become sionary expectations, however, are also resulting
recessionary in 2023? From a banking perspec- in growing credit risk appraisal and a significant
tive, higher interest rates should favor interest rate increase in the cost of operations, which might offset
margins which have declined steadily over the last most economic benefits for financial intermediaries.
decade (see Figure 2), especially for institutions
FIGURE 2
Year
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
North Europe Europe Europe Japan Greater APAC MEA LATAM
America Core Nordics Broader China Broader
NIM 5-year averages of the median, 1st and 3rd quartile calculated in
each region across the top 25 banks by total assets.
8
New competitors have taken
advantage of a key change brought
by the pandemic: clients are more
accustomed to consuming financial
services on digital.
9
“Uncertainty is
the new normal.”4
Kristallina Georgieva,
IMF Managing Director
More than 8 out of 10 CEOs (83%) expect sustainability Together with data and AI, this hybrid cloud strategy
investments to produce improved business results in the uses a combination of new ways of thinking, new ways
next five years.2 Yet, 57% of CEOs identify unclear ROI of working, and new tools to simplify and accelerate
and economic benefits as a leading challenge, while development. This enables institutions to weather
44% cite a lack of insights from data.3 a variety of disruptions with speed and flexibility.
Remaining mired in legacy constraints is no longer
Financial institutions closely monitor and rely on other
a viable option.
industries’ transparency regarding their ESG initiatives.
In this regard, they are instrumental in informing To face uncertainty in 2023 and beyond requires
executive decisions in all industries, granting short- holistic changes. CEOs and boards of directors taking
and medium-term value in terms of financial levers. The an active role in this endeavor is essential to success.
banking C-suite grapples with the same issues as those The next sections are intended to aid the banking
they serve. C-suite in formulating their strategies and imple-
menting them, reflecting on how to:
The orchestration of sustainability-oriented data
platforms allows financial ecosystems to participate – Innovate on the business model to fuel growth
transparently in a standard exchange of information. and performance, by meeting or exceeding more
Doing so not only provides value for their individual competitive customer needs and expectations
sustainability efforts, but for the entire planet.
– Rethink cost and efficiency to spur growth and
innovation, using the power of digital technologies
10
Perspective
Why hybrid
cloud matters
The result is that business ideas can be engineered at the speed of thought
and operated automatically. The pivot is that the realization of value shifts
from cloud as infrastructure to hybrid cloud as an operating model.
11
12
Growth and performance Foreword
Executive summary
innovation
is uncertainty
Regulations and central banks not only address macroeconomic Rethinking cost and efficiency
factors but also try to buffer financial services from severe to fund growth and innovation
13
In such a competitive—yet regulated—environment, But delivering technology-based innovation is more
most banks find it hard to demonstrate the entrepre- than a challenge; it’s an opportunity to differentiate.
neurial mindset that can fuel growth and performance. Incumbents need to drive growth and performance in
Innovation is limited to narrow domains and within the a sector rife with new, nimble, digital competitors
confines of traditional industry definitions. The who are rewriting the rules of engagement.
distance between current business models and
unexploited digital opportunities is reflected in weak
price-to-book ratios (see Figure 3).
FIGURE 3
Year
2007–‘21 2007–‘21 2007–‘21 2007–‘21 2010–‘21 2007–‘21 2007–‘21 2010–‘21 2010–‘21
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
North Europe Europe Europe Japan Greater APAC MEA LATAM
America Core Nordics Broader China Broader
PBR 5-year averages of the median, 1st and 3rd quartile calculated
in each region across the top 25 banks by total assets.
14
Advanced technology can unlock financial performance has not materialized; return on
average equity (ROAE) faltered industry-wide in the
value and innovation in new ways last decade (see Figure 4).
According to 2022 mid-year analysis, total technology Financial institutions set up innovation centers,
spending in retail banking bounced back from the which were often configured as siloed experimenta-
pandemic, and was on target to grow by 4.3% to reach tions rather than real transformation engines. As a
$250 billion in 2022.5 Although many banks made result, innovation initiatives often missed the mark
headlines for their innovation efforts, sustained for achieving key ambitions as part of an enterprise
strategy.
FIGURE 4
Year
2007–‘21 2007–‘21 2007–‘21 2007–‘21 2007–‘21 2007–‘21 2007–‘21 2007–‘21 2007–‘21
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
North Europe Europe Europe Japan Greater APAC MEA LATAM
America Core Nordics Broader China Broader
CIR
ROAE
ROAE and CIR 5-year averages of the median, 1st and 3rd quartile
calculated in each region across the top 25 banks by total assets.
15
Without business model innovation, banks cannot Also, many firms lacked a holistic strategy to rapidly
capture growth and performance. Infusing advanced integrate fintech services on a secure platform, which
technology throughout a business model not just for hampered their ability to succeed. Most attempted to
increased efficiencies, but also enhanced value, is digitize existing business models without changing
essential. AI can be of a game changer in both areas— the foundations of client engagement, continuing to
efficiency and value. IBV research across industries replicate what worked traditionally, but on mobile
shows that AI value drivers are increasingly centered interfaces. In reality, the client engagement strategy
on customers and their perceived value, rather than and approach needed to change when the platform
on efficiency or direct revenues (see Figure 5). Crédit was introduced.
Mutuel, for example, used AI to help customers get
Business models need to reflect the digitalization
faster, better answers to their inquiries—reducing
of financial services to help drive growth and
average resolution time from 3 minutes to 1 minute.
performance.6 The shift to digital prompts financial
(See “Crédit Mutuel uses AI to get the right
firms to search for new value-based approaches to
information to customer advisors” on page 17.)
customer relationships that can change the institution
at its core. Adjusting the business model goes
hand-in-hand with changing the operating model,
infusing technology to better deliver on the promise
of innovation.
FIGURE 5
AI value drivers
2016–2020
2016 2018 2020 AI value drivers
Companies are focused on Customer satisfaction enhancement
top-line, customer-centered
growth.
Customer retention improvement
Headcount redeployment
Headcount reduction
Source: “How to create business value with AI: 12 stories from the field,” IBM Institute for Business Value. August 2022.
16
Case study
Crédit Mutuel
uses AI to get the
right information to
customer advisors7
At Crédit Mutuel, each customer has a dedicated advisor. The advisor acts
as a first point of contact, helping customers navigate their relationship
with Crédit Mutuel across various products in areas like checking, savings,
mortgages, and investments. The quicker and easier it is for advisors to
access relevant information, the faster they can respond to customer
requests (and the more time available to serve other customers). With
approximately 3 million incoming calls and 7 million emails received per
month, improvements in resolution time can have a significant impact.
17
The distance between current business
models and unexploited digital
opportunities is reflected in weak
price-to-book ratios.
Fit-for purpose foundations are crucial for success. – A strategy that does not map digital technologies
Creating a strong digital foundation for the business to business opportunities
allows banks to move forward on multiple fronts— – Inadequate operating models on inflexible
innovating, while protecting interest rate margins architectures
and requalifying fee income.
– Imperfect alignment of organizational incentives,
limiting an entrepreneurial mindset
Ecosystem platforms can
– Lack of experience in hybrid cloud adoption.
multiply value
Let’s look more deeply at these challenges and how
As we write this outlook, financial institutions are financial institutions can approach them.
learning to create new value with ecosystem
platforms. Not only do these platforms remove
Link digital and business strategies
friction from client and employee journeys, but they
also allow sharing data, insights, and capabilities with Currently, most banks are intermediaries in product
trusted partners—multiplying the potential value that distribution channels, connecting proprietary or
can be achieved. As an increasing number of financial third-party manufacturers to final clients needing
organizations build essential data-driven architec- access to their money, credit facilities, investment
tures, these ecosystems become even more risks and returns, and potential hedges for their
powerful. As firms can better understand, anticipate, liabilities.
and serve evolving client expectations, they become
more adept at proactively delivering on them.
18
But digital economies create an opportunity for banks For example, PNC embraced domain driven design
to generate value beyond product placements. Banks (DDD) when deploying a new retail banking solution.
can become enablers, if not active orchestrators, of It was able to resolve system complexity, reducing
ecosystem platforms. Platforms allow engineering of operational risk and accelerating time to market (see
frictionless user journeys beyond banking, or trusted “Reimagining the future of retail banking through
advice at scale. Linking banking profitability to the digital transformation” on page 20).8 DDD helps
value consumed by clients across ecosystems bridge the divide between code and business reality.
redefines the revenue stream—from fees embedded How? With software that reflects the mental model of
inside products to fees for accessing the platform. the people who know the business best, using a single
language and shared model that is reflected in the
This is just one example—there are many opportu- project code.
nities for banks to gain greater clarity on digital
business strategies that can bring value.
Incentivizing an
New forms of client engagement entrepreneurial mindset
require agile operating models on Non-traditional competitors are changing how
customers consume financial services, with fresh
modernized architectures approaches. To meet or exceed customers’ new
Current operating models supporting client expectations, banks need a new operating model
engagement are often limiting, based on traditional that allows for greater agility, tailored customer
architectures’ shortcomings—namely, IT implemen- engagement, and speed. CEOs are challenged with
tation and business logic. Some institutions approach infusing an entrepreneurial mindset into institutions
this with a lift-and-shift to cloud, where workflows that must balance innovation-fueled growth with risk
and workforce interactions remain largely and compliance. New ways of funding and incentiv-
unchanged. This won’t provide the same economic izing can help speed the cause. But they will not be
legs that a significant modernization of the enough—a heavy focus on innovation is necessary.
application landscape does.
19
Case study
Reimagining the
future of retail
banking through
digital transformation9
PNC Bank was looking for a flexible and agile approach to win
new customers as part of its expansion strategy. Teams needed an
innovative way to reduce the complexity in multiple systems so it could
better attract new customers to PNC through streamlined experiences
that build and maintain trust.
20
“If you can embrace agile setups, experiments
and constantly nurture a learning culture… you
can respond a lot more quickly to opportunity
and changes in the environment.”11
Piyush Gupta,
CEO, DBS Bank
Many financial institutions have funded innovation For financial firms to achieve their desired
experiments periodically, as a discretionary spend, business outcomes and achieve healthier financial
but they lack the authority to enforce change on performance, they need to move on multiple fronts.
operations. Rather than siloed experiments, leaders Baking digital technology throughout the business,
should consider a more broad-based approach, either infusing innovation with entrepreneurial mindsets
centralizing holistically or—at a minimum—addressing and ecosystems, modernizing enterprise architec-
innovation across multiple lines of business at once. tures and operating models—these are all worthy
of focus in 2023 in the quest for growth and
Becoming an innovation culture, though, means performance.
accepting—and even celebrating—failure as essential
to the experimentation that brings success. Business
Innovate anywhere and
models will have to be tested and adjusted in real
time, in the “fail fast, learn fast” culture endemic to everywhere on hybrid cloud
entrepreneurial companies.
Today, competition invites banks to innovate
What we very often see in large financial institutions continuously. In order to innovate anywhere and
instead is the opposite. Several legacy institutions everywhere, hybrid cloud is instrumental. Yet, most
built their “digital bank” leveraging existing infra- banks are still early in their journey to hybrid cloud.
structure and client relationships, in an attempt Take two hallmarks of hybrid cloud maturity:
to reduce the entrepreneurial risk of innovation. extensive containerization with advanced use of
The side effects of that approach were technical microservices, and automated deployment of
dependencies and overlapping client segments, containers and cloud-native applications. Our
with unclear mandates about open competition in data reveals that, respectively, only 15% and 18%
the marketplace. Once live, this can lead to significant of organizations have adopted those practices.10
costs and limits the upside—which, in turn, hinders Banking organizations have “room to grow” as
business success. they progress from a “lift-and-shift” approach to
migrating workloads for cloud optimization.
21
22
Rethinking cost and efficiency Foreword
Executive summary
While return on average equity (ROAE) weakened in the last Rethinking cost and efficiency
decade, cost-to-income ratio (CIR) improved but remains to fund growth and innovation
uncomfortably high (see Figure 4). Although financial institutions Evolving risk, compliance,
invested in multiple cost reduction programs, the relative and regulatory dynamics
stickiness of CIR can be attributed to myopic attempts
Transform operations
on cost takeout for select non-business-critical workloads
on modern business
rather than holistic strategies to transform core operations. architectures
Pervasive cost reduction is crucial to free capital for investments in new products
Action guide
and services. Cost reduction initiatives have typically been managed top-down by
senior executives and funded through profit from as-is businesses. However, to
fully address CIR stickiness, executives are now seriously considering integrating
cost reduction into bottom-up business reinvention, which can help by:
– Conducting a reality check about changing business culture and skill gaps
Only 43%
of IT executives in the US say
they have visibility today into
costs and consumption across
their cloud environment.
23
Redefining the strategic scope 2. Remember: Economies of scale vanish
when operating on the quicksand of
of cost cutting monolithic architectures.
Chasing cost reduction tactically, isolated from Industry consolidation has often been a common
business strategy, tends to lead to narrow outputs. route in the search for economies of scale. However,
Instead, healthier CIR is the ongoing outcome of a recent mergers were primarily executed to resolve
multiyear commitment to reduce overall operating distressed institutions, with bounded commercial
complexity and enhance the quality of client services. upside. Failure to secure economies of scale in these
Financial institutions should consider three major deals is not surprising, as many are performing
areas where business strategy intersects with integration with pre-existing monolithic architectures
cost-oriented initiatives: that do not meet modern banking needs. As a result,
the competitive posture of post-merger banks can
1. Replace a quick-win mindset with an easily worsen, delaying the digitalization that could
“it’s-safe-to-transform” mindset. bring value.
Margins steadily declined over the last decade
3. Manage total cost of ownership (TCO)
(see Figure 2), punctuated by systemic crises.
across channels.
Financial institutions historically have reacted to
unsatisfactory performance with a series of urgent The promise of digital is to make individual
cost-cutting projects. This approach generally transactions easier and less expensive. However,
could not address—and sometimes worsened—the total cost can still increase with rapidly expanding
root causes. Sustained performance can only be overall transaction volume. Banks must think more
achieved when executives are freed from “quick-win broadly about the full economic model around client
syndrome.” Leaders can unlock the value of a interactions. When client interactions change
proactive “it’s-safe-to-transform” mindset when modality, banks need to revise their cloud cost
they involve and incentivize the entire organization variability assumptions (for example, shifting from
over the long term. Technology can also help branches and ATMs to mobile). Banks must consider
support a transformation mindset, leading to greater more than cost. A balance of digital and human touch
value. In today’s business environment, that means is, many times, the better route because more
reducing complexity—from eliminating products complex financial decisions still benefit from human
that no longer align with overarching strategy, to relationships.
redesigning business processes with an automation
and AI lens. Both bring cost efficiency and reduce
operational risk. “The pandemic, we had a lot of
work to do to help our clients
through. But you had to keep
investing in technology that would
provide efficiencies and effectiveness
going forward. And that’s how you
run the company.”12
Brian Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America
24
25
Reality checks on culture and Employing deep cloud for
workforce experiences business-critical value streams
Top-down change mandated from the C-suite works While technology transformation is essential to
when front-line workers are committed to it. And that deliver healthier operating costs, re-platforming
generally means they are helping to shape it. In the existing workloads with a “lift-and-shift” approach
same way, technology delivers more value when delivers only limited benefits. Attempting to harvest
bottom-up workforce contributions are embraced. immediate cost savings from hurried cloud migrations
To get to healthy cost reduction and resilient largely means missed strategic targets. Usually, this
operating models, leaders must address business is due to faulty assumptions on cloud-related costs
culture. The workforce is typically hesitant to and lack of visibility on the target platform that deals
embrace change even if not directly impacted by with security and containerization of complex
headcount reduction. Ongoing, transparent commu- environments. More than half (53%) of IT executives
nication when moving to more efficient operating in the US say they’ve been hit with more unexpected
models is essential. Rather than “telling” employees, cloud bills than what they planned for in the first half
involve them in the change from the beginning so they of 2022. And only 43% say they have visibility today
can help shape it; doing so usually results in a far into costs and consumption across their cloud
better employee experience. environment.13 Using domain-driven design within
hybrid cloud can help alleviate some of these issues
Review overall strategy in light of because it simplifies the cloud journey and helps
speed cost savings. Simplification pays, as data
geopolitical developments. reveals that cloud migrations are a cost-amplifying
While globalization boosted operational efficiency, factor in case of data breaches.14
resilience concerns have mounted in the face of
As financial institutions embark on new initiatives to
growing geopolitical risks. They impact entire
remain competitive, cost and efficiency efforts will
economic sectors. Institutions are currently in full
remain high on the list in 2023. While it’s tempting to
review of their configurations. For example, some
approach this endeavor incrementally—and that is a
European banks chose to wind down their Russian
viable approach—the strategy itself must be more
operations because of the war in Ukraine. Pondering
holistic to increase the depth and speed of success.
on near-shoring or geographical reallocation of
operations, many institutions need to refresh all
economic assumptions while revising the most
appropriate mix of strategic changes.
26
Perspective
What is deep
cloud and how can
it help banks?
But those standardized functions don’t generate revenue and can’t differentiate the
enterprise’s core value propositions. If your business is still dragging nets through the
shallow, near-shore waters of back-office cost optimization, it’s not going to catch a
bigger, more lucrative fish. Ever.
Deep cloud proposes that if you want to catch bigger fish—to make material improve-
ments in how your core business performs—you must go fishing in the deeper waters
where those big fish swim by taking on the most business-critical value streams and use
cases in your enterprise.12
Two key principles are at the core of the deep cloud proposal. The first is that financial
organizations must focus CDSAI investments directly on improving the performance
of their most business-critical operations—the way they go about creating and
keeping customers; the way they deliver fundamental value propositions; the way they
orchestrate the front, middle, and back office; and the way they respond to changes in
the global business environment.
Deep cloud’s second key principle is that banks must visualize, design, and operate their
business-critical operations as value streams. By doing so, they can model the current
performance of those value streams in terms of velocity, flow, quality, cost, contribution
to income, and so on. Then, with that current state as a baseline, they can establish a
performance improvement target and begin to redesign the value stream using
elements of the deep cloud toolkit, including CDSAI and related methods and practices.
Excerpted and adapted from “The deep cloud alternative: Getting to the heart of business
performance.” IBM Institute for Business Value. August 2022.
27
28
Evolving risk, compliance, Foreword
Executive summary
The average cost of data breaches has been rising in recent years, heightened
by the accelerated digital adaptation from clients and banking workforces.
Although financial services are at the forefront of cybersecurity investments,
their cost of data breaches was 37% higher than the global average in 2022,
second only to healthcare.16 Facing uncertainty and rogue actors in a digitally
interconnected world, cyber resilience needs to become a top priority across
entire ecosystems.
29
Key action areas The complexity inherent in managing a multicloud
environment with full visibility is making new infra-
Financial firms can address risk and compliance while structure difficult to manage. In 2022, only 27% of IT
pursuing digital transformation and business model executives across industries in the US said they have
innovation. They are not mutually exclusive. With this adequate visibility into migrations; just 55% confirmed
in mind, institutions are prioritizing a few key things: having it for security and incident response.17
30
FIGURE 7
Security as Security as
Cost-to- cost center revenue enabler Value-to-
value ratio risk ratio
31
FIGURE 8
Threat
Traditional security (pre-cloud era)
32
This newfound—and more mature—security posture Foster sustainability
will manifest itself differently within specific
industries as well as within each organization’s and transparency
transformation journey. The shift is also mirrored by
While financial institutions expand their offering
new regulatory requirements such as the upcoming
around sustainability, such as ESG lending and
Digital Operational Resilience Act (DORA) in the
investment products, global standards are still
European Union.22
emerging for reporting on underlying promises and
associated risks. As the approaches continue to
Refresh governance for evolve, reputational damage may materialize. In the
hybrid cloud and trusted AI absence of complete regulations and clear market
standards, risk management and compliance officers
A single public cloud is rarely adequate because of face accountability challenges because realistic
data gravity, security and regulatory requirements, metrics are hard to establish. The data they need is
and the complexity of mission-critical applications. either not available or the quality is not reliable.
Regulated institutions can leverage hybrid cloud Unlike other risks that control functions oversee,
approaches that span conventional data centers, financial institutions and their clients do not have
mainframes, multiple clouds (private and public), historical ESG data to draw from, so establishing best
software as a service (SaaS) applications, and appli- practices and thresholds is difficult. Investments to
cations and data running at the edge. As financial connect all parties operating in the sustainable
institutions demand near to real-time data and open finance ecosystem can help resolve compliance and
innovation to expand business value, a holistic risk management gaps.
approach to hybrid cloud governance is required to
remain compliant during digital transformation.
33
Case study
Global Bank
uses AI to improve
internal audits23
Global bank’s audit process represented a significant manual effort. It conducts approx-
imately 1,000 audits per year, each of which looks at around 10 controls and takes
three hours on average to complete. Global bank continues to increase its capacity (the
number of auditors will grow by 30%), and already has one of the largest internal audit
departments in the world, so it’s important to optimize the productivity of those
resources.
The bank developed a natural language processing (NLP) model to automatically flag
any important information that might be missing from control documentation based on a
5W’s test—What, Why, Who, When, Where. Global bank could use the system when the
document was initially written, or could scan across existing documents to identify
those where issues may exist.
Within just four months, rapid adoption of the system had already yielded results.
Fifty active users had collectively input 12,000 entries (custom annotations) across
5,000+ controls and were adding an additional couple hundred entries each week. The
increased efficiency of the review process enabled global bank to release an estimated
30,000 hours of effort and deploy it towards additional assurance that would not
otherwise have been possible.
34
“[Open finance] makes the provision of financial
services even more important. We want to feel in
control, and we want to feel safe and secure. If you
get back to what open banking promises, it is
absolutely that!”25
Charlotte Hogg, CEO of Visa Europe
35
36
In response to changing customer
expectations and heightened
competition, banks are turning
their business model on its head.
Executive summary
architectures
is uncertainty
The equation comes down to growth, controls, and cost. Growth will be fueled
by differentiating around the customer experience. Controls involves using the
best of AI and cloud to better handle risk and compliance. And cost is about
doing all the above as efficiently as possible.
“Ambidextrous collaboration”
between business and technology teams
Business needs drive strategy, but technology is required to enable the
business strategy. Technology leaders should be more than just the recipients
of business requests; they need to have a seat at the table when business
strategy is created. A consistent vision and continuous feedback loop
between business and technology leaders and teams unlocks healthier
financial performance.
37
FIGURE 9
Yesterday Tomorrow
Complex, inflexible, expensive Open, modular, agile, automated
Engagement
ws
Inte
and insight Products Cognitive products
rk f lo
l
lige n
Middle office Data and AI driven
t wo
t wo
ige n
rk f lo
ll
System of
Inte
Operations AI-infused operations ROE
ws
record low
Back office Reimagined processes
Focus/spend Focus/spend
CIR CIR
high low
Source: IBM.
Looking ahead: better experiences What sits at the heart of growth and performance,
cost and efficiency, and risk and compliance? People.
are the thread that stitches it all True employee engagement and commitment are
together essential components of an operational foundation;
they spur growth and innovation. Transforming
In any business or digital transformation, an essential operating models across business and technology is
question to consider is: do customers and employees not just about cutting cost and keeping pace. It’s
have better experiences as a result? Transformations also about driving the value-generating employee
that empower the workforce help them better serve experiences that, in turn, can drive that of clients.
highly dynamic customer needs. Workforces
need access to data and AI platforms for optimal 2023 is the year to make it happen.
performance—combining the best of human and
digital intelligence. Transformations that enable
better experiences help the enterprise move from
reactive to responsive across the entire value chain.
38
Action guide
As financial institutions begin 2023, many begin with plans for
change to operating models and business plans. An increasing
number are applying exponential technologies, new mindsets,
and new ways of working.
Here are a few overarching actions for C-suites to 5. Focus on what truly matters. Balance a “go-it-
consider in their quest for healthier financial alone” approach with open innovation and
performance this year. partners’ contributions to unlock the scaling
power of the ecosystem.
1. Ensure “ambidextrous collaboration” between
business and technology leaders when business 6. Engage all stakeholders by aligning incentives to
strategy is created. Business needs drive transform and innovate with a defined “value
strategy, but technology is required to enable engine room”. Siloes are inhibitors to innovation
the business strategy. and growth.
2. Build flex into your institution with hybrid cloud In today’s digital world, value comes primarily from
mindset and ways of working. That means digital better workforce and client experiences. Put another
infused throughout your operations for speed way: digital transformation is intrinsically linked to a
and innovation. bank’s culture. When business value is woven into the
operational foundation, the workforce becomes a
3. Reimagine workforce experiences with driver of growth and innovation.
automation, data and AI. People are the
lifeblood of any enterprise.
39
About Expert Insights The right partner for
Expert Insights represent the opinions of a changing world
thought leaders on newsworthy business
At IBM, we collaborate with our clients, bringing
and related technology topics. They are
together business insight, advanced research, and
based on conversations with leading
technology to give them a distinct advantage in
subject-matter experts from around the
today’s rapidly changing environment.
globe. For more information, contact the
IBM Institute for Business Value at
iibv@us.ibm.com.
Related Reports
IBM Institute for “Foundations of Banking Excellence”
40
Notes and sources
1. Central banks – summary of current interest rates. 13. 2022 Cloud Cost and Optimization Outlook -
Global-rates websites accessed on 2022 Dec 8 - Wanclouds - https://wanclouds.net/resources/
https://www.global-rates.com/en/interest-rates/ reports/2022_Cloud_Cost_Optimization_Outlook.pdf
central-banks/central-banks.aspx
14. “Cost of a data breach report 2022,” IBM. https://www.
2. “Own your impact: Practical pathways to transforma- ibm.com/reports/data-breach
tional sustainability.” IBM Institute for Business Value
C-suite Series: 2022 CEO Study. https://www.ibm. 15. Excerpted and adapted from “The deep cloud
com/thought-leadership/institute-business-value/ alternative: Getting to the heart of business
en-us/c-suite-study/ceo performance.” IBM Institute for Business Value.
August 2022.
3. Ibid
16. “Cost of a data breach report 2022,” IBM. https://
4. Kristalina Georgieva, CNN interview, 2019. https:// www.ibm.com/reports/data-breach
www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Q0ed9rTN8c
17. 2022 Cloud Cost and Optimization Outlook -
5. RETAIL BANKING TECHNOLOGY SPENDING Wanclouds - https://wanclouds.net/resources/
FORECASTS 2022-2027: GROWING OUT OF THE reports/2022_Cloud_Cost_Optimization_Outlook.pdf
PANDEMIC, https://www.celent.com/
insights/631021434 18. Morgan, Steve. “Cybercrime to Cost the World $10.5
Trillion Annually by 2025.” Cybercrime Magazine.
6. Mario Draghi and Luis de Guindos. Press conference. November 2020. https://cybersecurityventures.com/
European Central Bank. September 12, 2019. https:// hackerpocalypse-cybercrime-report-2016/;
www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/2019/html/ecb. Upadhyay, Shailendra, Rahul Yadav, et al. “Forecast:
is190912~658eb51d68. en.html Information Security and Risk Management,
Worldwide, 2020-2026, 2Q2022 Update. https://www.
7. “How to create business value with AI: 12 stories from gartner.com/document/4016190?ref=algobottom-
the field,” IBM Institute for Business Value. August rec&refval=4004647 (Access required.)
2022. https://www.ibm.com/thought-leadership/
institute-business-value/en-us/report/ai-examples 19. “Foundations for Banking Excellence,” IBM Institute
for Business Value. October 2022. https://ibm.co/
8. Nitsopoulos, Mike and Shahir Daya. “Reimagining the foundations-banking-excellence
Future of Retail Banking through Digital
Transformation.” IBM Newsroom. June 7, 2021. 20. Prosper in the Cyber Economy – IBV 2022 – https://
https://newsroom.ibm.com/ ibm.co/security-cyber-economy
Reimagining-the-Future- of-Retail-Bank-
ing-through-Digital-Transformation 21. Ibid.
41
© Copyright IBM Corporation 2023
IBM Corporation
New Orchard Road
Armonk, NY 10504
B21E0GYR-USEN-03