Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                
Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • 48 views

    Time Series Dasar 07 - Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing

    Uploaded by

    HELGA JUAN MUHARNA
    This document contains monthly sales data from January 2018 to December 2022 with columns for sales, level, trend, seasonal, forecast, error, absolute error, squared error, alpha, beta, gamma, mean absolute error, mean squared error, and root mean squared error. It also shows the initial trend calculation based on year 1 and year 2 sales data.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Time Series Dasar 07 - Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing

    Uploaded by

    HELGA JUAN MUHARNA
    48 views5 pages
    This document contains monthly sales data from January 2018 to December 2022 with columns for sales, level, trend, seasonal, forecast, error, absolute error, squared error, alpha, beta, gamma, mean absolute error, mean squared error, and root mean squared error. It also shows the initial trend calculation based on year 1 and year 2 sales data.

    Original Title

    Time Series Dasar 07_ Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing

    Copyright

    © © All Rights Reserved

    Available Formats

    XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    This document contains monthly sales data from January 2018 to December 2022 with columns for sales, level, trend, seasonal, forecast, error, absolute error, squared error, alpha, beta, gamma, mean absolute error, mean squared error, and root mean squared error. It also shows the initial trend calculation based on year 1 and year 2 sales data.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    48 views5 pages

    Time Series Dasar 07 - Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing

    Uploaded by

    HELGA JUAN MUHARNA
    This document contains monthly sales data from January 2018 to December 2022 with columns for sales, level, trend, seasonal, forecast, error, absolute error, squared error, alpha, beta, gamma, mean absolute error, mean squared error, and root mean squared error. It also shows the initial trend calculation based on year 1 and year 2 sales data.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    of 5

    Absolute

    Month Sales Level Trend Seasonal Forecast Error Error


    Jan-2018 28496
    Feb-2018 32022
    Mar-2018 27811
    Apr-2018 27734
    May-2018 28846
    Jun-2018 27648
    Jul-2018 29247
    Aug-2018 27529
    Sep-2018 28450
    Oct-2018 29728
    Nov-2018 27993
    Dec-2018 30306
    Jan-2019 30183 30183.00 30183.00
    Feb-2019 32508 32508.00 32508.00
    Mar-2019 30864 30864.00 30864.00
    Apr-2019 28056 28056.00 28056.00
    May-2019 30703 30703.00 30703.00
    Jun-2019 28779 28779.00 28779.00
    Jul-2019 30612 30612.00 30612.00
    Aug-2019 28253 28253.00 28253.00
    Sep-2019 29932 29932.00 29932.00
    Oct-2019 30065 30065.00 30065.00
    Nov-2019 29348 29348.00 29348.00
    Dec-2019 31781 31781.00 31781.00
    Jan-2020 30880 30880.00 30880.00
    Feb-2020 34259 34259.00 34259.00
    Mar-2020 32349 32349.00 32349.00
    Apr-2020 28966 28966.00 28966.00
    May-2020 30894 30894.00 30894.00
    Jun-2020 31171 31171.00 31171.00
    Jul-2020 31598 31598.00 31598.00
    Aug-2020 30147 30147.00 30147.00
    Sep-2020 32199 32199.00 32199.00
    Oct-2020 31729 31729.00 31729.00
    Nov-2020 31612 31612.00 31612.00
    Dec-2020 34365 34365.00 34365.00
    Jan-2021 32456 32456.00 32456.00
    Feb-2021 36856 36856.00 36856.00
    Mar-2021 34563 34563.00 34563.00
    Apr-2021 31324 31324.00 31324.00
    May-2021 34675 34675.00 34675.00
    Jun-2021 33074 33074.00 33074.00
    Jul-2021 33218 33218.00 33218.00
    Aug-2021 32218 32218.00 32218.00
    Sep-2021 34343 34343.00 34343.00
    Oct-2021 33338 33338.00 33338.00
    Nov-2021 33817 33817.00 33817.00
    Dec-2021 35272 35272.00 35272.00
    Jan-2022
    Feb-2022
    Mar-2022
    Apr-2022
    May-2022
    Jun-2022
    Jul-2022
    Aug-2022
    Sep-2022
    Oct-2022
    Nov-2022
    Dec-2022
    Squared
    Error 39000

    37000

    35000

    33000

    31000

    29000
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME? 27000
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    25000
    #NAME? 1 1 2 4 6 6 7 9 1 2 3 5 7 7 8 0 2 2 3 5
    310 319 328 337 346 355 364 373 383 392 401 410 419 428 437 447 456 465 474 483
    #NAME? 4 alpha
    4 4 0.54 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 MAE4 4 431844.64
    4 4 4 4 4
    #NAME? beta 0.2 MSE ###
    #NAME? gamma 0.3 RMSE 31910.71
    #NAME?
    #NAME? Level
    #NAME?
    #NAME? Trend
    #NAME?
    #NAME? Seasonal
    #NAME?
    #NAME? Forecast
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    #NAME?
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    Initial Trend
    Year 1 Year 2 Y2 - Y1 (Y2 - Y1) / 12

    Sales

    87 378 470 562 652 743 835


    44 44 44 44 44 44

    You might also like