Options
Options
Options
Derivatives : Options
• Individual Stocks
• Stock indices (Index Options)
• Foreign Currencies Options
• Options on Futures Contracts
Standardisation
• Exchange traded options are standardised with respect to
• Availability
• Contract size
• Delivery dates
• Suppose St = 26.80
• If K = 25, then intrinsic value (IV) and time value (TV)
• For call : IV = St-K (1.80 here) and TV = Call Premium - IV
• For put : IV = 0 and TV = Put Premium
• If K = 27.50, then intrinsic value (IV) and time value (TV)
• For call : IV = 0 and TV = Call Premium
• For put : IV = K-St (0.70 here) and TV = Put Premium - IV
Intrinsic and Time Value – Call Premia on
st
Company A, 1 July
Current stock price, S0 = 376p
Expiry Month
Strike price October January April
360p 36.5 50 57.5
(16 \ 20.5) (16 \ 34) (16 \ 41.5)
Expiry Month
Strike price October January April
360p 16 25 27.5
(0 \ 16) (0 \ 25) (0 \ 27.5)
390p 31 40 43.5
(14 \ 17) (14 \ 26) (14 \ 29.5)
Option Payoff Profiles
Long Call
• Suppose you purchase in July a (European) call option on
stock XYZ.
• If the quoted call premium is C = $3.-
• Suppose the strike price is K = $80 and the expiry date is
October.
$5
K = $80
0
Call premium $83 $88 ST
-$3
Writing (Selling) a Call
• The gains of one party are the loses of the other party (and vice
versa)
• Zero sum game (ignoring commission)
0 K
Strike price K = $80
-1
Profit
$3
Call premium
$83
0
K = $80 $88 ST
-$5
Long Put
• Suppose you hold ABC stocks (as part of a pension plan). The stock price in July is
$72. You are planning to sell them in 3 month time and you are worried that
stock price falls below $70.
• Purchase in July a (European) put option on stock ABC.
• If the quoted put premium is P = $2.-
• Suppose the strike price is K = $70 and the expiry date is October.
-1
Strike price K = $70 0
Profit K
$3
$68 ST
0
$65 K = $70 Put premium
-$2
Writing (Selling) Put – Payoff Profile at Expiry
K 0
Strike price K = $70
+1
Profit
$2
Put premium
$65
0
$68 K = $70 ST
-$3
Positions in Options
• There are two sides of the market in calls and puts
Long call = buy a call option
Long put = buy a put option
Short call = sell (or write) a call option
Short put = sell (or write) a put option
Profit 0
K
equals
K = 102
-1 +1
8 8
0
Long Straddle
-8 SBE = 110
SBE = 94
Stock Index Options
• Stock index options (SIO) can be used to hedge market risk of
a diversified portfolio of stocks
• Most popular US stock index options are on S&P500 (SPX),
S&P100 (OEX) and Nasdaq100 (NDX) indices
• One index point on the S&P500 is z = $100, so if S0 = 2000,
value of option is zS0 = 200,000 (i.e. 100 times the index)
• Today
• If S0 = 2000
• K = 2000, P = 50 and z = $100, need to buy Np index puts
• Np = [$4m/200000]1 = 20 contracts (= [($ value of portfolio)/zS0]bp = ($V/zS0)bp)
• Cost of puts : $100,000 (= 20 contracts x 50 x $100)
• Future
• Suppose ST = 1600 (20% fall in index)
• Cash profits : $800,000 (= 20 contracts x 400 x $100)
• (Remember : Put premium payments of $100,000).
Put-Call Parity : European Options
Arbitrage relationship between (European) call and put premia, the
stock price and some cash : S + P = C + Ke-rT
Portfolio A ST K
Portfolio B (ST – K) + K = ST K
• Put-Call-Parity : C + Ke-rT = P + S
• In ‘numbers’ : 16.10 + 90.50 = 6.60 + 100
Structuring Guarantee Bond – Possibility 1
Possibility 1 : Using Stocks and a Put Option
• Today, buy $100 of the stock and buy put (K = 100) at cost 6.60. Total cost is
$106.60 (equals investment of investor.)
• 2 Years later :
• ST = 50, exercise put to get $100.
• ST = 150, %Return to investor : $50/$106.60 = 47%
Uses put call parity for structuring here. To make riskless profit charge
more than $106.60.
Structuring Guarantee Bond – Possibility 2
Possibility 2 : Using Bonds and a Call Option
• Today, use $106.60 to invest in bond ($90.50) and buy 2 year call (K = 100) at
cost $16.10. Total costs $106.60
• 2 Years later :
• ST = 50 : Bond has maturity value of $100 which is paid to investor. Do not exercise the
call.
• ST = 150, exercise the call. Value of call is St-K = $50 and bond has value of $100 which
gives a total payout of $150.
Dividend payments are also a factor, but let’s assume the stock
does not make dividend payments.
Speculating with Calls
Ct B
BC = time value
C
CD = intrinsic value
C1 = 3.3
C0 = 3.1 A D
0
S1 = 100.5
S0 = 100.0 K St Stock price
Potential Futures Spot Price, S1
Starting Position = S X
0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
100
88
Example : Pricing Call Option on BA Share (Cont.)
Call -22
132 BA share 0
Premium ?
Net -22
C ???
Call 0
BA share 0
88 Premium ?
Net 0
Example : Pricing Call Option on BA Share (Cont.)
• S1 = 88 : BA%(88-110) + C(1+10%) = 0
If S1 = 88 → P&L = 0
If S1 = 132 → P&L = 0
Example : Pricing Call Option on BA Share (Cont.)
0
88 110 132 S1
Black-Scholes Model
C = SN(d1) – N(d2)Ke-rT
where d1 = (ln(S/K) + (r+s2/2)T)/(s sqrt(T))
d2 = d1 – s sqrt(T) = (ln(S/K) + (r-s2/2)T)/(s sqrt(T))
N = probability under normal distribution
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
only change the values in the yellow shaded area. Do not change anything else.
S 45
K 43
r 0.01
T 0.5 182.5 days
d 0
Sigma 0.2
d1 d2 N -"dash"
(d1)
0.427534 0.2861122 0.364098
Implied Volatility
Implied Volatility
• “Market’s” average forecast for the volatility of the stock
• Solving the BS model for volatility if we have the call price C = f(S, K, r, T and s)
• Price = traded price for options
• Volatility is ‘forward looking’ measuring the risk of the underlying
(between now and when the option expires).
• Problem : extracting implied vol. using different strike prices (everything
else the same) gives us different results → violation of theory.
Excel Spreadsheet – Implied Volatility (Trial
and Error)
Calculating the Implied Volatility (using Trial and Error)
Data Inputs
S 164
K 165
r 0.0521
T 0.0959
d 0
Quoted C Premium 5.75
Data Inputs
only change the values in the yellow shaded area. Do not change anything else.
S 164
K 165
r 0.0521
T 0.0959
d 0
Start value (and final value) for Sigma for use in SOLVER = 0.2
d1 d2 N -"dash"
(d1)
0.013487 -0.04845 0.398906
CBOE SPX Volatility VIX – Price Index
100
80
60
40
20
0
Summary
• Option markets and types of options
• Call and put options
• European and American style options
• Stock index option
• Structured Products – Guaranteed Bond
• Combining different options gives us alternative payoff profiles : Only
Straddles covered here. (More advanced in pre-recording)
• Pricing options : The Black Scholes model and intuition of BOPM
• Implied volatility – Volatility of the underlying asset extracted from
options data (and options pricing model).
Readings
• Cuthbertson, K. and Nitzsche, D. (2008) ‘Investments’, J.Wiley (2nd
edition), Chapters 23, 24 and 25
100 SD = 99
SD = 90
SD2 = 81
Generalising the BOPM : Value of Call
B. Long One Call
(K = $ 100) Cuu = 21
Cu = 15
(hu = 0.9545)
C = 10.714 Cud = 0
(h = 0.75)
Cd = 0
(hd = 0)
Cu = (1/R) [qCuu + (1-q)Cud] Cdd = 0
Cd = (1/R) [qCud + (1-q)Cdd]
• dt = T/n
• As n → infinity, dt → 0, the lattice approximates the geometric
Brownian motion which is being used in the Black-Scholes model.
BOPM and Black-Scholes
6.4
6.2
5.8
5.6
5.4
5.2
5
1 6 11 16 21 n
Advantage and Disadvantages of BOPM
• Advantages
• Can easily be extended to other options
• European options with dividend payments
• American options
• Exotic options
• Disadvantage
• Computational burdensome
End of Lecture
D.Nitzsche@city.ac.uk
Theory of Finance