Beginners Guide To Mutual Funds 2019 Unovest
Beginners Guide To Mutual Funds 2019 Unovest
Beginners Guide To Mutual Funds 2019 Unovest
GUIDE TO MUTUAL
FUNDS
A UNOVEST GUIDE 2019
Introduction
There are more than 800 mutual fund schemes in India offered by
44 fund houses (as of Nov 2019). These fund schemes come in a
wide variety of options, investment styles and investment
objectives.
It's baffling.
What to do?
How do you build a decent portfolio that puts your money to work
while you focus on what you are good at – your work and growing
your income?
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If you have any feedback or comment that you would like to share
about this eBook, feel free to write to me at vipin@unovest.co.
All the best for building your own winning mutual fund portfolio!
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Disclaimer
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Index
1. How not to select mutual funds……………………………………….7
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#1
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So, let’s invert the ‘selection’ process and understand how NOT to
select mutual funds.
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Due to lack of time, effort and inclination, you pick and choose
your funds using easy, convenient and obvious indicators such as:
#1 Star Ratings
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The star ratings just make it easier for us to decide. I mean how
else do you find out whether to put your money for that
product/service or not. It is convenient to rely on existing user
experiences, which reflect in the ratings.
First, these star ratings do not reflect user experiences like they
do for hotels or e-commerce sites. They are created based on a
complex methodology using past returns and risk and is developed
by the ranking / rating organisations.
Second, mutual funds are not able to maintain their ratings over
time. If you track the ratings over 1 or 3 or 5 years of various
mutual funds, you would see that the ratings change almost every
year, sometimes every few months.
Since they are based on quantitative factors only such as risk and
return, as the numbers change, the ratings change too. It is not be
surprising to see a 5 star rated fund being down rated to 3 stars
and vice versa.
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When you select mutual funds and invest on the basis of star
ratings, you would have to keep selling and buying mutual funds as
and when the ratings change.
This means you have to incur taxes related to buying and selling. It
also means that you need to invest time and effort to keep track of
changes in ratings or pay fees to an advisor to do the same for you.
If you don’t exit your lower star rated funds and just keep buying
the new 5-stars, you are soon going to have an ugly, bloated
portfolio with several schemes.
#2 Past Returns
This is not just a disclaimer. It is a fact. Yet, when we set out to buy
mutual funds, the first thing (sometimes the only thing) that we
look at is ‘past returns‘. I would argue that you should NEVER look
ONLY at returns to select mutual funds.
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You are probably aware about the law of mean reversion. Any
period of superior performance is likely to be followed by a period
of lower performance. Overall, over long period of time the returns
tend to move towards the average or mean
Rather, you must focus on how the fund goes about managing the
portfolio. You cannot control returns. At best, you can trust the
process.
#3 Brand Name
A lot of existing fund houses in India have been working under the
umbrella brands of their parent organisations and riding on the
trust that the parent enjoys. Take for example, an HDFC, Tata,
Aditya Birla, etc.
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The bottom line is, a well-known brand is good but not necessarily
for your portfolio too.
I rest my case.
You are better off ignoring the noise generated by the above
parameters / filters and focus on what really matters.
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#2
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Most scheme objectives tend to be vague and that’s where you can
spot the difference. A clearly defined investment objective is a good
signal.
#2. Benchmark
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A good fund manager helps create a strategy that can deliver better
risk-adjusted returns for the fund scheme.
It may also specify the maximum number of stock the fund will
have in the portfolio and the allocation range for a stock. This
defines the diversification strategy of the scheme.
You can find more details about the investment style in the Scheme
Information Document (SID).
The current holdings of the fund in terms of stocks and sectors give
you an idea of where the fund is invested and whether it is in line
with the objective and style it has identified for itself.
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You may see Top 10 stocks and sectors in some cases, while other
fund factsheets present the entire portfolio.
FIBF has 43 stocks in its portfolio – which means that the portfolio
is quite diversified indicating an average of about 2.5% per stock.
However, 9 stocks in the portfolio have an allocation higher than
the average.
#6. Turnover
The turnover of the portfolio suggests how often the fund makes
changes to its portfolio in terms of buying and selling
stocks/securities.
As a general rule, the lesser it is, the better. Higher turnover means
more churning, more expenses, which can drag down returns.
FIBF’s turnover, as per the July 2017 fact sheet is, 36.45%. That
means that on an average an investment in a stock stays for about
3 years in the portfolio.
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Along with it, portfolio strategy and various other ratios deserve
more attention than just past performance.
In case of FIBF, data over a period of 3 years has been used for
the calculation.
Standard deviation tells you how much of a yo-yo the fund’s value
tends to be against its average. Higher the standard deviation,
more volatile the fund is.
It is calculated as
= (% Return of the fund – % Risk free rate of return*) / Standard
Deviation
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The expense ratio is the fee charged for running the show. It is a
sum of all expenses that the fund charges including Investment
management fee (plus GST), sales and distribution costs including
commissions, brokerages, custodian charges, etc.
In case of FIBF, it has an expense ratio of 2.23% for its regular plan
while the expense ratio of direct plan is 1.36%.
Direct plan expenses are always lower because they do not have
commission costs to pay.
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As an investor, it is quite likely that you feel overwhelmed with this
information. Anyone would be.
Start with the fund factsheet and then you can go deeper with the
Scheme Information Document. Use it to ask more questions of a
fund.
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#3
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That’s what Ajay wanted to do too. I had to literally hold him by his
hand.
Now, let’s list down what to pay attention to. On the specific
fund scheme level, here are the things to be considered.
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*Direct plans also ensure that your expense ratio remains on the
lower side. In debt funds, a higher expense ratio can wipe off any
advantage that you came looking for.
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#4
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Ajay realises that while most of these funds are great performers
with brilliant history of management, he can’t have all of them. He
needs only 4 to 5 funds to build a diversified portfolio for his
retirement.
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4. More of mid and small cap funds to add that extra risk
element. A good fund with a focused mandate in that space
can boost the overall portfolio returns.
The above itself will not be sufficient to bring down the list number
to 4 or 5. Hence, Ajay has decided to apply one more criteria.
The Skin in the game means that the fund managers should have
invested their own money into the funds. It is a simple heurestic –
does the cook eat his own cooking?
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Finally, Ajay had a portfolio that catered to his own criteria and
requirements.
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#5
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Your financial goals, time horizon and risk tolerance play a role in
deciding this allocation.
What if I tell you that there is a mutual fund for all of these
options.
For Equity, you can choose equity mutual funds as the investment
vehicle.
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With mutual funds, you can own Gold and Real Estate
without the pains and the costs of holding a physical
asset.
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#6
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To first understand debt funds, you need to know that debt funds
invest privately with corporates (they loan money to these
corporates for a return), and also invest in government securities.
One, the credit quality or how likely is the borrowing party likely
to honour its payment and not default. Government securities are
assumed to be the highest quality as the chances of default are nil.
Two, what is the time horizon for which the investment is being
made? With longer duration, more market risk enters the portfolio.
Debt funds are sensitive to change in interest rates and this
sensitivity goes up as the duration goes up.
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Along with that background, you can rely on the following SEBI
defined categories to make your final selection.
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The liquid, ultra short term and some short term funds follow an
accrual strategy where the focus is to work with cash flows
generated by their holdings.
The duration funds or medium and long term funds tend to play on
the interest rate scenario and positioning their portfolios
accordingly. This strategy focuses on generating capital gains by
active management of the portfolio. This can add volatility and
risk.
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#7
Profit booking in
mutual funds – Wise
or Foolish?
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“You see the markets have run up so high and the value of my
funds has also gone up by about 30% to 40%. I should book the
profits before I lose them all to a market fall.”
For example, 1 year ago you bought stock of Company A at Rs. 100.
Now the current market price of the stock is at Rs. 150. The
stock has delivered a 50% profit but for you it is only on paper. You
will actually own the profit only when you sell the stock and realise
Rs. 50 of profit in cash.
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Should it be when the fund has lost steam and has changed
fundamentally, hence not in alignment with your filters?
When it comes to stocks, it has been famously said that the best
time to sell a good quality business bought for a decent price is
NEVER.
Having said that, you can book profits or sell your stocks for one of
the following reasons:
#1 You believe that the stock that you bought has gone beyond
its real value (or intrinsic value). It is best to book profits now and
may be reinvest in that stock later.
#4 You need the money for a real cash flow need such as a
medical emergency, paying for your child’s higher education or
may be to make a downpayment for your house.
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Suppose you invest Rs. 100 as per your asset allocation. Let’s also
assume that you invest your stocks/equity portion through
equity mutual funds.
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As you can see, your asset allocation has changed. Equity now has
a higher allocation while all others are lower than the previously
decided percentages.
What it means is that you should take money out from equity
mutual funds and invest in other assets so as to maintain the
original allocation. In this process, you will automatically need to
book profits or sell your mutual funds and invest in bonds, gold,
cash and may be in real estate too.
So, as far as mutual funds are concerned, this is the only thing
that you should be concerned about from a profit booking
perspective – your asset allocation.
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In conclusion
Note: There may be times when you feel the markets have run up
irrationally. That insight is not easy to get and many investors who
exit, never get back in the game. That is far more dangerous.
Only, if you have the insight and the discipline to manage and
execute the process, take a tactical call based on market levels.
Else, you are better off following your strategic asset allocation and
let it do most of the work for you.
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